Speaker 1: Let's make some money together. I'm Lawrence Presban. You guys
are lucky enough to be watching the best betting show ever.
We got Joe n Aery and Art to Caesar with us.
We got a lot of information coming your way. This
show is a sports betting show. It's about making you
guys money. We also need to find out where all
the big bets are today. Art to Caesar from the
Westgate with that type of information, Art, we missed you yesterday.
Last time we saw you, we hit our four team parlay.
We hit both legs yesterday on the Monday Parlay Show.
The third leg is going right. The second the under
in the Czechoslovakia Denmark game zero zero in the first intermission.
Looking good there. Let's get to it, brother. How was
the weekend over at the Westgate? What do we need
to know? Tell us, regale us, teach us. The mic is.
Speaker 2: Yours, Yeah, Prez, this is one of those weekends, right
what the first weekend without football and god knows how long,
So obviously it was a little bit more of a
quiet weekend. NBA is off and echelis still off. College
basketball and the Olympics take front and center, especially college
basketball We're going to start to really ramp up a
lot more here this week because NBA will be back Thursday.
Really good college basketball slate on Saturday. You basically have
the two top four or five teams in the country
playing each other. Duke and Michigan is the marquee game there.
So it should be a really good and busy weekend.
So looking forward to it.
Speaker 1: Mar Joe Ranii.
Speaker 3: Yeah right, let me ask you, I mean, not that
you know football is gone and you still have that low,
but of all of the sports from here on out right,
So you got baseball, you got MMA, golf, you know,
the first major will be right around the corner. What
you know, what do you see as far as action
with all of those? We know college basketball is going
to get there, and.
Speaker 1: Don't forget the World Cup is right in.
Speaker 3: Front and it is also coming up here. But as
far as when you're talking about sharp players and sharp
action coming in, like, does it take a lot to
move an MMA line? Does it take a lot in
a golf line if you see is it always the
same guys bet in the same sports with that or
is there a wider net being cast with a lot
of those other sports?
Speaker 2: I mean, Joe, there's definitely a wider net because obviously
you got a you know, you just mentioned five or
six different markets that you can really bet into. Obviously,
the guys I always say this, the guys who've been
betting college basketball, they've been there since November first, right,
you know, they have not taken a break. They've been
there since day one. The NBA guys are the same way.
The NHL guys are the same way. The one thing
I will say on some of the like you know,
secondary sports MMA, we have one or two guys who
really just bet MMA, and when we see their sharp
information come across, we are pretty aggressive. You know, we
really want to book to add, especially like a card
this week, which is like a fight night card. It's
not a numbered card where it's like you know, UFC
four hundred. It's one of those smaller level cards which
you do take smaller limits on. But when the sharp
information comes through, and we've had a couple already this
week come through, and obviously once we get to Friday,
I've said I'll try to put out as much UFC
info info as I can, which I will do on
Friday and kind of give you some of those sharp
leans you start to see that golf. I'll say this
with golf. The big thing with golf is the sharp
guys move the matchups.
Speaker 4: That's what they move. The matchups are huge, you know.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know you take a sharp matchup play from
a guy for two times, you're moving that thing thirty
forty cents. Wow, you know it's gonna yeah, it's gonna
be one of those things where you know, if a
sharp guy comes in and he puts five hundred bucks
down on you know, pick your golfer to win a tournament.
It's really hard to move aggressively off that yep, you know,
because it's a tournament. You know, you're talking a field
of like this week it's seventy. You know, when you
get to the Masters, you know it's you know, in
the hundreds. It's just it's hard for that to happen.
It's really the matchups and maybe a winning score or
a first round number, and you'll see the sharp guys
really hit in the golf for sure.
Speaker 3: So those are the markers that when you see them move,
it's it's not overwhelming public support. You're moving them because
of the guys that you truly that you truly believe
did you get anything on NASCAR? Because I'm watching Daytona
on Sunday and Michael Jordan of course wins Shaker and
his sort of thing. But like, though, like NASCAR and
F one, what do you get with that market there?
Now that we're starting to get the Cup Series and
everything else back.
Speaker 2: F one is such a small market. I think the
things that really hit are when F one is here
in Vegas. You know, when it's here and it's in town,
you start to see the bets rise a little bit.
Really haven't seen the rise of popularity, even though I
know F one is very popular around the world. I
think that Netflix series was super popular, and I have
friends of my life who've never talked talked to me
about F one.
Speaker 4: Oh did you watch that Netflix thing?
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's yeah, I know, and it's definitely rising.
And when you get to NASCAR, Nascar Joe very similar
to golf matchups and they bet matchups.
Speaker 4: That's when you see the big moves.
Speaker 2: Once again, if you're betting into a pool of you
know how many drivers, really hard to move the needle
on that. But the matchups are the ones you see
move twenty thirty forty cents for sure.
Speaker 1: And you know, I'm guessing six nations does nothing in
Vegas for you guys. The rugby tournament, I'm sure that
doesn't move the needle. But we do have or crickets summer. Yeah, well,
cricket is one of the most in the world. That's
why exactly likely not at the West Gate, it would
be my guest, no, But art, we do have a
summer of events ahead of us. We've got the college
baseball World Theories or whatever it's called Championships. We also
have the World Baseball Championships this year, and of course
we have the World Cup of Soccer. Any of those
three sports, I mean, I assume the World Cup of
Soccer is bedlam when it's going on, But the other
two sports have to be very small.
Speaker 4: Right Oh yeah, when you talk about the baseball small,
I'll say this.
Speaker 2: The college baseball, we don't book it throughout the whole year.
Once we get the conference tournaments and then obviously you know,
the the Regionals and the Super Regionals, we start booking
the games. Obviously, we have a pool up to see
who will win the NCAA Championship of Baseball, so we
have that up all year, but we just didn't. We
just haven't felt that booking the games day in and
day out, and college baseball started a couple of days ago.
It's just not something that we felt, you know, there's
been a thirst for it and that people have really said, hey,
why are you guys offering that? And you know all
that type of stuff.
Speaker 4: The World Baseball Classic.
Speaker 2: I think we'll get a little bit of interest as
far as the games go, we'll get a little bit
of love there. But you said it Press. We just
started to see this past week or two some of
the World Cup bets come in for you know, hey,
who's gonna win? All that type of stuff, because the
World Cup's going to be enormous and we do an
enormous business on soccer. Soccer is one of those sports
where you know, we try to offer as many leagues
as we can. I think we offer the most leagues
in Vegas as far as even some of the secondary leagues.
But once you get to the World Cup, not only
do the soccer people bet the World Cup, but you
do see general public people bet the World Cup, especially
in the summer because it's slower, there's not as much
for them to bet. So you will see general public
people who might not bet the EPL or Syria ah
or you know Spanish our legal all year, right, but
now they're into the World Cup they want to put
a couple of dollars on Brazil, a couple of dollars
on USA, whatever it may be.
Speaker 4: So you definitely see that.
Speaker 3: No, I was gonna say, I mean, the MLS has
come a long way too, So it's amazing. How you know,
in the betting markets though, you're starting to see more
and more handle and the World Cup only helps that, art, right,
I mean that's basically that's only going to keep increasing.
So good stuff. I mean, that's all good to know.
Speaker 1: I will say this everybody. Once the World Cup starts
and we are in full World Cup mode, We're going
to bring on a soccer expert on a regular basis
to give us some soccer picks, because yeah, Pele and
Maradonna both yes, yes, Za.
Speaker 3: Roll them in. I love it.
Speaker 1: Look, look look at us throwing out names soccer players
showing at showing how old we really are.
Speaker 5: Cosmos Jersey, so American idol is in season twenty five arts.
Speaker 1: Has anyone walked up to the counter and placed a
bet on that sport.
Speaker 2: If we offered it, I'm sure they would bet it,
but obviously it's something we do not offer.
Speaker 4: And there you go. There are your predictive markets.
Speaker 2: Yes, I'll say this, and the predictive markets are gonna
be huge, and I'm sure you guys have already talked
about it, but it's gonna be huge for the political
stuff because you always get people who are.
Speaker 4: Like, why can't I bet on the president? Why can't
I bet on this? Why can't I bet on that?
Speaker 2: And people are gonna flood those markets to go bet
the political stuff.
Speaker 1: Yep, Yeah, how many seats? Who's this? Every race? It's
gonna be bedlam and we're gonna get through our predictive
market segment. A little later in the show, Art the
Casar with us from the Westgate, one of the most
prestigious sports books out there. It comes on every day,
gives us information on where the money is going. The
sharp bets foot today.
Speaker 3: Art.
Speaker 1: Look, we're in we're in the thick of things in
the hockey at the Olympics. One women's game left to go.
I'm curious what type of action you're taking on that.
We got the quarterfinals of the men's starting tomorrow, I
think it is. I'm curious what type of action you're
taking on that, and of course a full slate of
college basketball today. I'm curious what the bets are there.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, let's just hit that women's game quickly.
Obviously USA Canada are going to be playing for the gold.
You know, we're up to minus four dollars now on
US total of five over minus one thirty, so a
little bit of juice on the over there. You know,
it's a big change from when they previously played in
US one five nothing. I think we open US as
low as like minus one eighty close minus two fifty
on that, so there's been a big jump to USA there.
We opened three fifty on this game quickly, had to
get the four dollars, probably even goes up a little
bit higher. You know, not that there's a ton of action,
but you know you kind of want to stay ahead
of the market on that and say, hey, how high
is the dog number?
Speaker 4: Who will bet us on the dog?
Speaker 2: You know, it was like we said in the Super Bowl,
where we play this price discovery game and we want
to see how high we can get on the dog
before someone we respect takes the other side, so we're
kind of playing that game a little bit. College basketball,
there's a ton you got the villanover Xavier game. They
took over one fifty now one fifty two and a half.
Miami Ohio at UMass under, which is surprising because they
both play over under. One sixty four and a half
now one sixty one and a half. They laid two
and a half with Louisville at SMU. It's now four.
Wisconsin was the pick at Ohio State.
Speaker 4: They're now one and a.
Speaker 2: Half point favorite. Iowa was catching one at home against Nebraska.
Now they're a one and a half point favorite. And
Georgia was taking money at Kentucky as high as eight
and a half, even seven and a half.
Speaker 4: They took both of those. It's now seven on Georgia
at Kentucky.
Speaker 3: Good luck with that. Let me see art if. Because
we are now or a couple of days away from
the NBA kicking back up on Thursday. Anybody coming to
get early bets in now after the All Star break
and any sort of NBA action before Thursday, are you seeing.
Speaker 4: No?
Speaker 2: I mean, you know, it's funny. We actually put our
lines up yesterday. Saw a couple of totals move, but
really not much.
Speaker 4: You know.
Speaker 2: Still you gotta recognize too, those are still on overnight,
you know limits, because you know, obviously it's a couple
of days away. So probably when you get to Wednesday night,
probably tomorrow night, you'll probably start to see a little
bit more of a focus on it. But we did
throw the lines up yesterday, give them a couple of
days of shelf life. But I don't know if the
people are really zeroing in on NBA yet.
Speaker 3: How about baseball.
Speaker 4: Baseball?
Speaker 2: You know, when we've talked about this, and we'll probably
talk about this until they throw the first pitch Opening Day.
But there are spring training games this week, Joe, Yes,
we will hang some numbers on spring training games on Saturday.
Speaker 4: We actually had a very sharp guy that we respect
to it.
Speaker 2: It's a lot of futures with us come in and
take three no's to make the playoffs. He bet all
these teams know, and they were all at plus money.
He took the Astros at plus one fifty, we're now
plus one thirty. He took the Brewers at plus one fifty,
we're now plus one thirty. And he also took the
padres at plus one thirty five, we're now plus one
fifteen all knows to make the playoffs. Remove those all
twenty cents off his respected information.
Speaker 1: There you go, that's some great info. Really, this USA
Canada line fascinates me. I'm gonna give a bet out
in that game and the best bet section of the show.
I don't think that any either of these teams have
ever been minus five hundred or so against each other.
Speaker 3: Wow, our goals in that bros? What is the total?
Five and a half?
Speaker 1: Five and a half to the juice on the over
so you can get five, which I think is what
it will end up being. So you know, I would
bet five on the nose frankly, Yeah.
Speaker 2: We have five press, we have five five Wow, we
have five over minus one thirty.
Speaker 3: Has anybody scored on the US one goal? One goal? Okay?
Speaker 1: That that is such a that is such a nonsense
statistic that it's like, why because they've played one game?
Speaker 4: You're right, I'm not disagreed. What they played one game
and it was Canada. I'm with you.
Speaker 1: They played one game, Canada had a horrible game, and
their best player wasn't on the ice.
Speaker 2: I don't disagree, Pressent. I think the movie is taking
Canada in the game.
Speaker 1: Plus two plus two and a half goals minus one
thirty five good.
Speaker 2: The value is come on, yeah, the values Canada like.
Speaker 1: The absolutely and on top of it, Art, the Switzerland
game is really what skewed this line because you had
the semi finals where America completely dominated their opponent and
Canada won two to one against a horrible Swiss team.
You guys might want to look at the data of
that Swiss Canada game. I think Canada still is shooting
on that goaltender. I think it was seven hundred shots
from Canada to two shots from Switzerland. I think Canada
carried the play it around a ninety nine percent mark.
Don't get fooled by that two to one score. But
I don't disagree with you, Art. The value is definitely
on Canada there. That is a absolutely shocking line to me.
Speaker 3: Who's in the bronze game Swiss? AND's what Sweden?
Speaker 1: Sweden against Switzerland.
Speaker 3: And Switzerland's that bad?
Speaker 1: Yeah one and a half of Sweden at plus one fifty,
which I think is an excellent bet personally, that's where
I would go, nice dog bet and you know, maybe
even put a little parlay of them and the Canada
together plus three eighty minus one and a half plus
one fifty and you got a beautiful hedge. Because the
the bronze game goes first, Let's go to our predictive markets.
Hit that like button. Everyone subscribe to our channel. This
is the best betting show ever. It's like that for
a reason. Also, it's customer appreciation Day. Over a wager
five dollars plays. Joe and I will talk about that
a little later. I have a massive, very rare four
percent play. We'll get to it in a sec art
the Caesar Joe and Aery. This is you know, one
of our listeners, George Barnes. He gets a little excited
when we do the predictive market segment, to say the least,
so I dedicate the segment to him and I look
forward to his comments. He thinks that if the predictive
market segment was a woman, you would be having sex
with it right now. Joe Rnari.
Speaker 3: Yes, listen, if that woman made me money and gave
me an edge, you bet your ass I'd be having
sex with her.
Speaker 1: So I'm sure she gave you an edge.
Speaker 3: Oh well, a little bit a little of a rimmage.
But yeah, so we have a couple of different markets
here today, art that I wanted to talk about the
men's ice hockey gold medal round here, Canada trading at
fifty It looks like President I'm not mistaken, fifty five
cents now. That was fifty three yesterday, fifty five now,
and Team USA was thirty two yesterday now trading at
thirty four. So if you like Team USA to win
the gold, you've got yourself there, one hundred dollars that
I'll get you to eighty one to return here, provided
they can win. They gotta win tomorrow, Friday and then Sunday. Right,
So it's what two more or three more games? How
many more games that I gotta play?
Speaker 1: Three more games?
Speaker 3: Joe? Three more? All right? So three more? And how
convinced are you Canada is going to run the table
because it feels like it's your last chance to get
Canada at any sort of realistic price here, because it
feels like they're just going to be the favorite. And
God forbid, Sweden upsets the United States, I can't imagine
what Canada is going.
Speaker 1: To be well of Coursetly, I think Sweden can upset
the United States. I think they have the best defensive
corps out of all the teams in this league. They
also have exceptional wingers. Where they do laugh will be
down the middle, and that's where America is going to
have to take advantage. Do I think Canada is going
to run the table? Yes, I do, Joe. I believe
that this Canadian hockey team is the best Canadian hockey
team we've ever assembled, and I believe that this American
hockey team is not nearly as good as anyone think
as everyone thinks. I mean, go down the path here,
who is the American Cale mccarr, who who's Americans Connor McDavid,
who's their Nate McKinnon, who's their Mitch Marner, who's their
Sidney Crosby. I mean, we could go on and on
and on here. This is you know, I think Mark
Stone is probably better than every player on the American team,
and he's like maybe the tenth best player on the
entire The Canadian roster is so ridiculous, and if they
get three power plays in a game, it's over.
Speaker 3: It's whose chance at the bronze? Then you think in
the US is the bron You think.
Speaker 1: No, no, you that's a great question because Sweden loses
their out, correct, I would the problem. I can't answer
that question, Joe because they receded, So I don't know, dude,
check the check Finns. I don't know.
Speaker 3: Yep. Yeah, well the the Sweden right now is twenty
one cents to get a medal, so they need you.
Speaker 1: Know, I mean they get a medal ultimately. I would
go with no. I mean they got to win.
Speaker 5: To do it exactly, because not only they don't have
to beat America, but then they're in the semi idols
where they have either Finland Jack Slovak.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a no.
Speaker 3: Sibling's in about fifty four cents right now, also metal,
so it feels like Finland is the choice to get
the bronze.
Speaker 1: Here they have the easier quarter final game.
Speaker 3: Joe, big time, and you don't have to wait forever
for them to do that. There you're you're all so
your bitcoin hit again yesterday? Prescaled that middle rush shield.
Speaker 1: Ye that Dal, oh my god, Arc you don't you
don't understand. Joe is like at five pm Eastern, yep,
will it be more than sixty seven? And I said yes,
and he said, will it be more than sixty eight too,
And I said no, it'll be right in the middle.
Speaker 3: And we middled it and night drop whitch same thing
here today press five o'clock eastern over sixty seven two
fifty over sixty eight two fifty or the one in
the middle is the one where is interesting because it's
about a fifty to fifty split right now sixty seven
seven fifty. Will it go over right or over that?
Speaker 1: Yes, so right now it is sixty seven seven five eight.
What we're witnessing in the bitcoin market over the last
seven eight days, and these patterns are important to study,
is we're seeing a drop, a big drop around nine
am Eastern, so it was sixty seven six and then
it plummeted. It was sixty hold on, it was sixty eight,
and then within five minutes it plummeted down to sixty
six eight. Then we got all the way down to
sixty six six, and then the climb started. So if
we're going with anything based on the last seven eight
days of data, I believe we will get it up.
Over sixty seven seven fifty I think it's too small
a middle, and under sixty eight to fifty I think
all three of those will be over. But my bet
is over sixty seven seven fifty.
Speaker 3: Okay, so you think up in fifty one cents right now,
up and over that is where.
Speaker 1: Yeah we are, and yes, and we are down one
thousand in the last twenty four hours, so I do
believe there's room for it to move.
Speaker 3: All right, So bang them all over then, sixty seven
two fifty, sixty seven seven fifty, bet them all over,
all off correct by the time we get the five o'clock,
just like yesterday, and you can cash those out and
just pan and pad the bank rowl there, guys, because
that's how you do it. Don't have to wait twenty
days to figure out where it's gonna go. Pres has
been on fire with those. So over sixty seven two
fifty over sixty seven seven fifty by five o'clock Eastern
time today and you guys can cash it just like
we did again yesterday and Born that was the easiest
eight hour profit that you'll that you'll make yesterday, Prez.
Speaker 1: That middle was amazing, Thanks brother, appreciate it. Guys. Let's
go to our were we ready to do the parlay
of the day? Joe go okay, Well, I'll go first.
Speaker 3: Hold on, I do want to ask Art one thing though,
because I think it's not fair that we ask him
this question from yesterday. Uh So, let me let me
see if I get this. Will a Canadian team win
the Stanley Cup before twenty thirty one?
Speaker 1: What do you think?
Speaker 4: Lord?
Speaker 3: What do you think we get them five years? You
think they can get one in there? What do you think?
Speaker 2: Well, I've I've always heard this line from a good
friend of mine who will not be named. The Canadian
team wins the Stanley Cup every year.
Speaker 3: I who love it? Is great? Well, William see.
Speaker 4: Canadian team wins it every year?
Speaker 3: Well done, I love it.
Speaker 4: That's a great bet. I'll take the know.
Speaker 3: I was with you on the too.
Speaker 5: Yeah, exactly, Yeah, I'll take the I'll even I'll even
throw this out there.
Speaker 1: Will a Canadian team win anything any professional sport in
the next five years? I will still take the no,
thank you, unless you consider the Gray Cup. Then I'm
one hundred percent of the yes.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a different Yeah, that's a different animal. Yes,
that's great.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: So there you go. But there's gonna be a there's
gonna be a Canadian election being announced soon so we
will be talking Canada politics on Kelshi. All right, okay, guys,
Parlay of the day. I'm going to go with the
under in the Slovak Germany game. That's under five and
a half goals minus one eight under in the Slovakia
Germany game. This game goes tomorrow at six a m.
Eastern time.
Speaker 2: Are Well, you know I love when the coach gets fired.
Speaker 4: I know team, you know.
Speaker 2: I love it. It's made me money forever. Kansas State
just fired their coach. They're at home now. Baylor I
don't love, and Baylor now has to go on the road.
That thing was as high as four there are you know,
there's three out there. I wouldn't even say, you know,
don't take the money line, but take the three points
Kansas State plus three.
Speaker 1: There you go, Joe.
Speaker 3: I'm invested already with him. No point in turning my
back on Miami of Ohio tonight. So I like press
laying the money line minus won six dy tonight, Miami
of Ohio getting it.
Speaker 1: Done against you mass outstanding start to the show, Art
the Caesar, Thanks for doing this, brother, We'll see you tomorrow.
Art the Caesar. Everyone claps on the way out, well done, Okay, Joe,
we got to take care of some business. I got
a huge play up today, Customer Appreciation Day. We got
our best bets. I'm gonna do hockey. You got your
college basketball rundown, and we're gonna discuss the mail bag section,
one of my favorite segments every single day before we
get into that. Well, yeah, baby, I sent you another
video yesterday, Joe. When we're gonna go, I got you
have all these other pictures. What are you gonna start
using them?
Speaker 3: I'm gonna pull them up here in one second press.
Speaker 1: Oh god, oh god, okay, Joe. Ninety percent of my
plays are two and three percent bets. Today I have
only my second four percent college basketball bet of the
entire season. That's right, my second four percent college basketball bet.
I won my first and these four percent bets, Joe,
I'm on a ten and three, thirteen and five run.
I am forty two and twenty eight since January first
of twenty twenty four. That's right, uh sixty two percent.
Actually January orse, twenty twenty five. My bad over your
sixty two percent. This play is incredible. It is only
my second or percent. It's only five dollars five bucks
head over to over to wager talk dot com. Take
advantage of that. I do not have these bets very often.
Five dollars customer appreciation Day, and I know you Joe
also have a four percent college basketball bet. What is it?
Speaker 3: Yeah? Also ready to go here tonight college basketball and
a great card here tonight. Needless to say, there's a
lot going on here in the final three weeks before
Selection Sunday, so a lot of bubble teams in action
here tonight. We'll talk about a few of those coming
up here on the rundown as well.
Speaker 1: PRIs Yeah, there you go. Guys, please take advantage of
both Joe and my college basketball and profits on the season.
Joe is incredible in the sport. It's only five dollars
both plays, so please take it advantage of that. Okay, Joe.
For the best bet segment of the show, I'm gonna
do a hockey rundown of all the games that they're
currently lines on, and you'll do the college basketball rundown.
So let's start. We have a three o'clock game going
today between Latvia and Sweden. Sweden is minus two and
a half to minus one eighty. That's a tough bet
to make. I prefer the under five and a half.
I do think Sweden gets it done. I don't think
Latvia is going to score more than one goal in
this game. I can see a four to one hockey game.
Take under the total of five and a half. So
Vacuum playing Germany tomorrow. I love the under in this
game here, Joe five and a half. We spoke about
this in our parlay of the day. That is a
no brainer bet to me. Also, Finland playing Swede Switzerland.
Finland here is minus one and a half plus one fourteen.
I like that bat. I would take Finland. I think
they win this game by two or more goals. Now,
as for the female hockey the gold medal Canada game.
First off, Sweden minus one and a half plus one
fifty against Switzerland in the bronze medal game is a
good bet. That's Sweden minus one and a half plus
one fifty. But my favorite bet that I'm giving out
on this segment is Canada plus two and a half
against the USA minus one thirty five. How the hell
is this number the way it is? America is minus
five hundred to win this game. That is absurd to me.
I understand, America has not let a goal in. They've
played one game. All their other games against teams like
Bangladesh and sirih leone, you know the Gambia. They don't count.
They're not playing like those teams don't count. They played
one game. They played it against Canada. Canada had a horrible,
shitty game. Who Land their best player was not on
the ice. They lost five nothing. They're gonna bounce back.
This Canadian team can win this game outright. It's not
like America has dominated this Canadian team. You're after year
after your These teams are basically dead. Even as far
as I'm concerned, I think there's a small amount of
value on the money line at plus three eighty, but
I do think America does win, So I would rather
take Canada plus two and a half goals mightas won
thirty five for a Are you kidding me?
Speaker 3: Bet Joe Lovettz All right, we'll let you go here, Prez.
Let's talk some college basketball here today is we're just
under four weeks until selection Sunday, and we got a
kind of a game here tonight where I don't want
to say must win, but it's kind of a really
good opportunity for both these teams. Number one, you got
a Virginia Tech team that I don't know. They just
got absolutely crushed last week against Florida State. They just
they had to lead at halftime. They couldn't make a
bucket in the second half. Meanwhile, Florida State last week
shot seventy eight percent from the field get and used
a twenty one to two run to outscore Virginia Tech
fifty three to twenty seven in that game. Unbelievable letdown.
Now they got to take on a University of Miami
team that stormed the court against UNC got by NC
State in the final sixty seconds somehow last week when
they trailed that entire game, but somehow managed in order
to get it done. But now this game opened up
six and a half, President's up to eight, eight and
a half. We are starting to see a little bit
of Virginia Tech money hit the board, and I agree
with that. Listen, Miami wins this game, they all but
locked themselves in to the tournament. There will be no
bubble for Miami with a win here. Virginia Tech has
to win this game if their hopes for making the
tournament are going to remain alive. So it is a
huge game for both I tend to want to take
the points here in this one, even with the you
and another game that you got to keep an eye
on here tonight. And I don't understand why this total
keeps going up. You got Nebraska and Iowa here. This
total has been bet up to about one thirty nine
and a half, maybe even one forty in a couple
of spots. This game has got I mean underwritten all
over it. Given both team's ability to be able to
play defense, nobody plays slower than Iowa. I don't think
we get to one forty. I think this is much
closer to a game played in the sixties than the seventies.
So I would look at the under for the value
in Nebraska and Iowa here tonight.
Speaker 1: Pres Joe, let's go to our mailback section. Lots to
talk about air use. Wrights. Would love to hear how
you guys got into this business sometime.
Speaker 3: You know that my.
Speaker 1: Story is pretty good about that, Joe. We can't get
into it today, but during the summer, let's uh, let's
actually do that. Maybe we'll do a show where you'll
interview me, ask me questions about that kind of stuff
and then the next day I'll interview you and we
can actually do a little bit of that. So so
here's the so pot Vin Rights, I just bet the
opposite of ver An Area and I end up a winner.
Now take that on one hand, and then take this
air Duc rights BB Joe Bryant, thanks for the info.
Armando writes nice goal on the Lumberjacks, King Joe. The
Armando also writes nice goal on Duke and Stephen A
you guys. So yeah, so there's two conflicting reports. One
guy only bets against you and wins, and the other
guy only bets on you and wins. I'm thinking the
guy who only bets against you and wins is lot.
What that said. I appreciate you dog regardless. So let's
get into the big one here. This is a Scott Stoic. Firstly, Scott,
I cannot thank you enough for all the great words,
for your patronage, for your business. I am sincerely appreciative,
he writes, speaking of the misses on five percent plays, Now,
what has happened?
Speaker 3: Joe?
Speaker 1: And I don't know if you're following this, I'm certainly not.
But supposedly we are having a run of bad five
percent plays across the board over at wager Talk, so
he writes any suggestions for someone who is a yearly
flex package and tends to gravitate towards the caper that
has a five percent play. So I'm going to unpack
this for you, sure, Scott. Scott first and foremost, long
term wise, our five percent plays are going to do
you well. We are going to have moments where the
five percent plays don't work out, and I understand that.
I completely understand when that happens and how frustrating it is.
But if you go back and look over the last
twelve months of all the handicappers and the five percent plays,
they are up, not down. So it's just a moment
in time. I like the strategy of buying the flex
pass and only betting five percent plays. I think that'll
be a winning strategy. You're in, you're out. However, my
favorite strategy when buying handicappers is to pick the guys
that have done consistently well in individual sports and bet
their plays from start to finish. So to give you perspective.
Steve Merrill's NBA my NBA, Teddy's NBA, Marco's NBA, NBA,
any one of those you're gonna win. You're in, You're
out in NBA hockey my hockey, and I'm down this season,
so I've got some work to do moving forward. Tokyo,
Brandon's basketball, his baseball. You got guys that are consistently
good like Joe Ranarian college basketball. You've got guys that
are consistently good in the NFL in college football. I
think that there are only two real effective ways of
buying handicappers. One you buy the flex pass, so you
get a huge discount, and you bet the five percent plays.
I understand doing that over the last month has been
a losing proposition. That means that we're going to get
very hot on five percent plays moving forward, because I
guarantee you at the end of the year those five
percent plays would be up. And the second way is
to pick one handicapper per sport and bet them with
thinking just bet every play at every unit structure they
put out. That is sort of how I would attack
buying handicapping, but never get caught up in the short
term record. This is a grind.
Speaker 3: We I went.
Speaker 1: I'll give you perspective. I went on at ten and
one and eighteen and three run in college basketball, not
ten days ago. Now, I'm on like an one in
six run. So we're gonna win, we're gonna lose. Combined,
we're more likely to win than lose. I really appreciate
the question, and most importantly, I appreciate your business, Joe.
Anything to add to that.
Speaker 3: I would just I would recommend against trying to handicap
the handicappers. That is not winning formula at all. Like
Pres says, like, just you know, get the guys that
specialize in certain sports here, that have a track record
of success, and you know, there's peaks and there's valleys.
Like anything else, it's a grind. Every sport is a grind.
But ultimately, in the end you're gonna be up money,
and that's that's what it's all about. A sample size
of three days is not Trying to handicap a guy
for three days is not a winning formula, So don't
waste your time doing it. Just move on. It's a
long game here. The end game is all that matters. Pres,
don't handicap handicappers. That's not a winning formula.
Speaker 1: There you go, guys, my four percent play in college basketball,
only five dollars, only five dollars, Joe, I think we
have a new picture to put up, Is that right?
Speaker 3: Yes? Uh, Pres, I did. I came across one here.
I think this is nice.
Speaker 1: Look at this right there. There seems to be a
genuine theme here, Joe, with my posing and my outfits.
Speaker 3: Yes, I am. I am seeing that. Pres. Now you
mentioned that, look at that very if you want to.
Speaker 1: Know the craziest part. That really wraps up the theme
of yesterday too. It's very John Travolta.
Speaker 3: It really, Yes, it is pulp fiction. I kind of
like that.
Speaker 1: Very nice. One of the guys commented that he thought
Brian Power was Mormon because yesterday I called him Hindu.
So yeah, Bryan Power, I don't know if he's Mormon
or not, but I can assure you he ain't Hindu.
Speaker 3: No, he is definitely not. No, absolutely not. I'm fairly
certain you won't find this in a Mormon church. So
I'm pretty sure that that's right there, the.
Speaker 1: Most Larry Bird thing I've ever seen in my life.
I cannot get Larry Bird out of my head. It's
it's actually I think Larry Bird would look at that
picture and be like, I don't remember taking.
Speaker 3: That I love this. Yes, this is great. There it is.
That's a Mormon right there. There he is there go
here you go party in the back. Anyway, Let's go
it a day. Thanks for doing this, brother, We'll see
you tomorrow.
Speaker 1: Let's love everyone.