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Speaker 1: I want to know who we like for Monday Night Football,

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maybe some barking dogs. This week is the Deli back open,

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and we know VR is going to bring you all

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of that information from the wise guys.

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Speaker 2: NFL Week five is up next on bet on It.

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Speaker 1: To the right of me, we've got Marco DiAngelo, you

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guys know him as Marco and Vegas. We've got Yanni

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Corrals you guys know him as the Greek Gambler. I

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call him VR back in the day, Vegas Runner, and

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I am Kelly Stewart. This is beat on It, the

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NFL edition, specifically Week five. We're gonna get right into

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it here with Thursday Night Football. San Francisco. Boy, oh boy,

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is this one gotten out of control? Up to six

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and a half here on the Odds logic screen at

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the Rams are the total sitting here at forty six

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and a half.

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Speaker 2: Talk to me about this INN FC West matchup.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: And the reason I wanted to touch on this game is

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the TV game is because it's it makes it easy

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for a handicapper and the sports better because you look

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at this betting line right now and you only have

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one option, and that's do I like San Francisco catching

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seven or is it a pass because you can't bet

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the Rams.

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Speaker 3: The Rams in this spot is just not.

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Speaker 4: A good bet only because if you don't have that

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ticket in your pocket already, you're buying at the absolute

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worst time and regardless of outcome, that's just not a

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good way to do this because a week ago they

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were minus three and a half four, then you had

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a couple of days to bet him at four and

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a half, You had a few days to bet them

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at five, five and a half, six, six and a half.

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So again, once it gets the seven, a key number

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of seven, that the bet becomes easy. It's either a

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dog or pass situation because we're not gonna take the

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worst of it with the Rams here, which I think

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is obviously an inflated price coming off of their win

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compared to San Francisco the way they look. But I

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just think this line's now a little bit too inflated,

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Like eventually it gets to a point where it's an overreaction,

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and I think that's what we're looking at right now

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because prior to Purdy returning, San Francisco is actually outperforming

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the betting market. There was supposed to be a big

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drop off and that just didn't happen. They ended up,

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you know, winning at New Orleans. They ended up beating

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Arizona by one. Then he returns, loses and all of

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a sudden, all those cluster injuries compounded have just forced

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bookmakers to keep moving this line, and that's just them

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trying to protect themselves against risk. But again, there's not

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sharp betters out there laying the seven. The only shot

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you should be looking at the Rams is if it

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gets to seven and a half, then you want to

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look at the teaser. Then that makes sense on betting

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the Rams. If I see seven and a half's or

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eight across the board, but where it sits right now

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at seven again, I'm forced to either bet the dog

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or pass.

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Speaker 3: And personally, I think there's a little bit of value

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on this dog.

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Speaker 4: In San Francisco Divisional game, you know they're going to

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show up. Usually the market overreacts to what players are worth.

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I think that's happening right now. And again you have

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a RAMS team that's coming off impressive win against Indianapolis

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and now it gets to play at home again.

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Speaker 3: This line's just too high for me. It's dogg or pass.

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Speaker 4: I don't know if I'll be on San Francisco, but

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I do like the Niners a little bit. And like

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I said, though, if it goes above a touchdown, I'll

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probably look to the possible teaser spot for the Rams.

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But for the pick for the show, it's San Francisco

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plus the seven and see how it does.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of teasers spots, this is an interesting one. Sunday

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Night Football. New England is seven and a half at Buffalo.

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Marco forty nine and a half here as the total.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, Kelly, no question, there's gonna be a ton of

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Buffalo teasers in this game. The books are gonna need

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New England come Sunday. But we got to handicap the

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game as it is. And you go back to last week.

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Buffalo was in a major flat spot. They were coming

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off their first three wins of the season. They beat

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Baltimore in a come from behind win. Then they had

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two division games against the Jets and Dolphins, Dolphins being

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the last one on Thursday Night football. And you're coming

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off all of that, and what do you got. You

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got the Saints coming to town, and you know nobody's

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you know, striking fear, and when the streets when the

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Saints come marching in. But that's exactly why you know

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free play Sunday morning, I gave out this ats that

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was a horrible spot for Buffalo Sandwich between two primetime

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games the Monday, the Thursday night game against Miami in

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this Sunday night game against another division rival. So you

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saw lackluster performance. How many times do I tell you

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when you get these big favorites that have that lackluster

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performance and I know the final score, they almost got there,

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but Kelly, I know anybody that had them in Survivor

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got a little worried there in the third quarter when

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it was a four point game and the Saints had

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the ball. But then you know, things righted the ship

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and they ended up getting the win, but not the

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clever And that's all we're about is who covers. We

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don't care who wins. We care about who covers, and

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the Saints got the money. You'll get a focused effort

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from Buffalo this week, and I expect them to put

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up points. I know New England's coming in here off

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of scoreing a ton last week, but when you score

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forty two and your opponent's Carolina, that doesn't impress me.

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And I know they also scored thirty three earlier in

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the year against Miami, and we know Miami's had their problems.

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But what I'm gonna point out is, yeah, they had

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two high scoring games, but what about the other two games?

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They were held to thirteen points by the Raiders and

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held to fourteen points by my Steelers, and Steelers defense

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is not played that well this year, so I don't

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think they can trade points in this game. With Josh Allen,

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he'll be focused. It's a division game, it's a TV game.

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We get the best of the Bills. There's only one

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way I can play this game. That is with Buffalo,

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and yes, I like Buffalo minus the points. But yeah,

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I may have a couple teasers as well, Kelly. As

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you know, those teasers have been doing very well.

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Speaker 2: Yes they have.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about them here in the Steam segment

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with VR, But first we got to talk about Monday

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night football. Kansas City is a three and a half

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point favorite at Jacksonville total forty six and a half,

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and honestly, I.

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Speaker 2: Went dog or under here. I kind of went back

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and forth.

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Speaker 1: Teddy and I do the opening line report here on

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the wager Talk YouTube channel on Monday mornings, and I said, Teddy,

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what is going on with this line?

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Speaker 2: What am I missing here?

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville, I believe was Marco's barking dog last week, and

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we were both on them in that spot versus San France.

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I think we were both on Kansas City, if I

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remember correctly, versus the Ravens, And hey, look, I don't

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want to take away from what Kansas City was able

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to do for me last week. I appreciate getting to

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cash that ticket and get another win in the contents,

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but let's look at kind of the verse there. The Ravens, well,

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there was a lot of injuries that started to pile

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up there. But I'm gonna give the Kansas City defense

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a little bit of credit. They were able to stifle

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Lamar before ultimately he left the game. On the other

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side of that, let's look at the Jacksonville defense and

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what they've been able to do.

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Speaker 2: So look at the metrics.

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Speaker 1: Both these teams really tight, and ultimately wanted to make

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a case for Jacksonville. I wanted to make a case

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for the under I'm giving you guys both here for

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Monday Night football, but for the show, I'm gonna give

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you guys the under.

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Speaker 2: I found this stat I think it was from our

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good friend Ralph Michaels. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I read a lot of things come Wednesday, but unders

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Monday nights eighty three, thirty five and one since twenty sixteen.

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If you guys are looking for this pattern, Monday night

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road favorites of one to ten, that is the Chiefs

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and Jaguars this week when the line is less than

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fifty points, and just over the last five years it's

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three and twenty one. That is eighty eight percent to

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the under. So I'm gonna take the easier route here

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instead of betting against the Kansas City Chiefs because I

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don't want to hear it from the comments section. Give

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me under forty six and a half here on Monday

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Night football. You're up next here with the steam room,

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but first got to do it. I gotta ask you guys,

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give us a little bit of love here, whether it's

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in the comments section, whether you want to give us

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a like or get that thumbs up so you never

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miss another moment here on the way, you're talking YouTube

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Channel VR's steam room. He's given us information, actionable info

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to use as part of our handicap. Get your pens

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and papers ready, because I'm.

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Speaker 4: Gonna let my guy go all right, and a little

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early in the week, but already getting down on some NFL,

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especially on those look aheadlines. Pay attention to those, and

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as I touched on weekend and week out, and then

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look at the od's logic screen on Monday, and see

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what the adjustments are made after that, because again the

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look aheadlines, the limits are low. With that said, let's

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dive right in. Start off with four to sixty three

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Miami at a pick them for sixty nine. Denver plus

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four and a half. Denver plus four steamed them while

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the Monday night game hadn't even started. They were betting

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Denver against the Eagles for seventy two. New Orleans at

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a pickum and minus one for seventy.

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Speaker 3: Nine the Lions.

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Speaker 4: They steamed the Lions last week, got the money. They

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came right back in, laid ten with the Lions and

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went over forty nine. Talk about getting out ahead of

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the public on both of those. For seventy five Tennessee

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from plus nine and a half all the way down

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the plus eight. They laid the three with Seattle and

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finally New England Buffalo under fifty on that total, So

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already some NFL action for this week. But Sunday we'll

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be in the steam room in that final hour going

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through each and every game side totals, props, and of

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course fifteen minutes for kickoff we tie in those teasers

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that are now eight and one heading into this week.

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Speaker 1: So VR, my partner Chris and I in the Survivor

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there at the West Gate and were talking about this.

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He sent attacks to John Murray and goes who bet

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the Titans? And I said, I have a feeling I'm

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gonna find out tomorrow who bet the Titans. Can you

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tell me what the seam is on the Titans here?

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And should I be a little concerned maybe holding an

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Arizona Survivor's seat.

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Speaker 4: No, it's it's good two way action as far as

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the betting public goes. I think it's a case of

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a team getting shut out like Tennessee did last week,

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and there's nothing more embarrassing than that, especially in an

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NFL game. Not being able to put up, you know,

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any points at all, usually going to be some recency

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bias attached to that. I think that's what you're looking

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at here. And also it was above that that seven.

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But personally, cal I'll be looking to tease Arizona down

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because I don't think this is going to get down

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to seven across the board. I'd be surprised if they

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got there in the seven. I'd be a little worried

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on that Arizona survivor to but as long as it

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stays above a touchdown, I wouldn't be too concerned. Again,

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the teaser protection opened up at nine and a half,

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but that sharp money came in on Tennessee, and I

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think it is just the result of them getting shut out,

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and you know, the overreaction because of that shutout, and

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I just think they concluded the lines a little bit

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too high, and based on power ratings, I do I

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think it is. I mean, obviously Tennessee is the worst

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team in all of the NFL power rating wise, but

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still seven and a half, so eight is a lot

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of points to be given them in this spot for Arizona,

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so I could see why they took the points, but

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I think you're safe with your survivor pick.

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Speaker 1: All right, Speaking of those teasers, Giants, Cardinals, Jets, Bills, Commanders,

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so far on my list for this week, I do

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not have my odds logic screen open. So I apologize

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if any of those have moved since VR. Let's talk

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about these teasers, because I thought the Jets that's we're

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gonna really hurt me there on Monday night they back

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to our those teasers once again.

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Speaker 2: If we're looking for these teasers right, well, actually, you

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know what, here's a great one. I got a tweet

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yesterday from a guy saying.

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Speaker 1: Kelly X Major Sports book is offering ten point teasers,

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and I said, what's the juice? And then he's sending

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me screenshots and I'm going, you're laying minus one twenty

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on ten point teasers.

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Speaker 2: Huh bud, that is uh, that is a pretty wild thing.

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Speaker 1: So I want to got to talk about some teasers here,

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what people should be looking for. Again, I know everybody

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in the comment section hates it. I say I have

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minus one ten teasers with a guy. I'm sorry. Ask

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around you, ask your local guy. If he'll give you

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minus one ten teasers, you'd be surprised what you guys

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can get at your disposal.

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Speaker 2: VR kind of talk about the math there and what

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people should be looking for.

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Speaker 1: I know, my laying more than minus one twenty on

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a six point two team teaser is unacceptable. Minus one

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twenty on a three point ten point teaser I thought

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was a little egregious.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, but we're simply looking the lay six point teasers

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and trying not to lay more than one twenty. I

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know it's hard to find these days, but like Kelly said,

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it is out there, especially with a lot of the

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credit outs one twenty five at worse. Because here's the thing.

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If you're teasing numbers and looking the place plus EV

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tasers where you really don't care about who the team is,

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you simply want to place plus EV bets where you

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know you have the edge. There's one thing you gotta do.

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You got to tease through the numbers three, six, and seven,

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and doing that at even money gives you a five

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percent edge. Doing that at minus win twenty gives you

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about a two point two percent edge. Doing that at

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minus one twenty five maybe gives you a one percent edge.

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Anything greater than that you no longer have the advantage.

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So it's no longer advantageous to tease.

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Speaker 3: It's it's I can't.

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Speaker 4: Put it any simpler than that. Where if you're laying

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more than one twenty five for six point teaser, you're

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that are off straight betting both long term, your results

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will actually be better not taking those extra six points

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and laying that juice. Then if you just break up

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your two bets and split them right down the middle

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at minus one ten, I promise you you'll do better

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long term. Also, the sometimes they're they're the books'll will

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have odds that are off. Like if you see a

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three team six point teasers at plus one eighty or better.

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There was a time where you were getting plus one

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eighty on three team six point teasers. That was the

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exact equivalent of getting even money on a six point teaser.

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So on a on a even money two team teaser,

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so you still have that same five percent edge, But

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again it's all going to come back to what they're paying.

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If they're not paying plus one eighty or better on

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a three team six point teaser, again it's not advantageous.

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So the best advice I could give you keep it

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to sick points, keep it to two teams, don't lay

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more than one twenty five teas through three, six, and seven.

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Those are simple rules. They're guidelines that we've stuck to.

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We don't break them, and they produce good results. I

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urge you to wait until closer to kick off because

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you want the line to be efficient. That's when totals

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cash at the highest clip because the game lands close

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and you do that and you should be able to

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make money in the NFL. It really is that simple, Kel,

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But you got to stick to the rules like you can't.

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You know they sometimes it's borderline.

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Speaker 3: Just let it go.

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Speaker 4: That's what I've been doing lately, had a lot more discipline,

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and the results have have produced.

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Speaker 1: Just because our good friend Press there on Last Call

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Monday Night with Joe Madden said two's a dead number,

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and I thought, hmmm, I think you're wrong there, Press.

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I made a phone call to our good friend Ralph Michael.

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So on the Mega Show or on his TNA segment,

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he's actually going to break down the key numbers for

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you guys.

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Speaker 2: Guess what the fifth key number is?

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Speaker 3: Now?

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Speaker 2: It's two.

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Speaker 1: Sorry, Marco usually gets to throw the shade on this show,

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but I'm throwing some shade this time. So definitely check

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out that TNA edition because I specifically asked for since

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moving the pat back and what we've seen since then,

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I want to know what the new key numbers are.

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Different things coming to play every single year as the

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league changes the rules. Thus key numbers are going to change,

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all right, guys, Barking dogs have been great except for

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the Colts last week. Thank you guys for that one.

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Oh well, it is what it is. Marco di'angelo, you

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were on that one as well. You know, the Lord

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give it and the Lord take it away from a

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gambling perspective, because I was against the Rams and then

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the Rams gave me one right back, or maybe ad

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Mitchell did, since he decided not to drop that twelve

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ounce football about on a half yard line and for

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a touchback. Okay, I'm done, barking dogs. Marco D'Angelo. You

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gotta go first. Tell me I'm not done more.

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Speaker 5: It was only to drop touchdown when he's crossing the plane.

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He the same player was the guy called for the

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holding on the long Taylor touchdown run. Yeah right, he

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took two touchdowns off the board. But we're still okay, Kelly,

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there's only a couple of minutes left in the game.

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The Rams are getting the ball, They're gonna drive down

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and kick a field goal. Right, we're getting three and

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a half. You know what the Colts did. They only

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had ten men on the field for that blown coverage.

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Did you know that? Yeah, that was fun losing that one,

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but hey, that is all part of it. There's been

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one gut red chig loss each week in the NFL,

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and that's why we love the NFL, because, as you say, Kelly,

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for every team that wins that shouldn't have won, means

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somebody that should have had a loser got a winner

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and they're happy. We're not. So it'll come back around.

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We got some in the gambling God's bank that they

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owe us later in the season. But for this week's

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show for the Barking Dog, I've got Denver VR talked

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about it already, and this is a team that if

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my mic suddenly goes silent, that's only gonna because our

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producer does not want to hear what I'm about to say.

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The Eagles are four to oh, but guys, let's be

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realistic about it. They don't look like the same Eagles

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team that won the super Bowl last year so far.

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Maybe it's that you don't hangover effect the fat and

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sassy from winning the super Bowl last year, but they've

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won their four games by a combined twenty points. Now

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you know, you got to give them credit. They have

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played a tough schedule thus far. They opened up against

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Dallas grounded. Dallas is not a good overall team, but

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they're a division rival. They got an explosive offense. They

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played them on that Thursday night game. Then you played

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the Chiefs who were playing with Super Bowl revenge. Then

377
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you played the Rams the next week, who had Playoffs

378
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revenge as well. Those were big games for those opposing teams.

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And then last week they had to travel to Tampa Bay.

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That could have been the spot that they lost. They

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got out to a big lead and then Tampa comes

382
00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:15,759
storming back and made it close late. Sooner or later,

383
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one of two things is going to happen. Either Philadelphia

384
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is going to put together a complete game and blow

385
00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:24,880
somebody out, or their luck is going to run out.

386
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And I'm gonna go with the luck running out this week.

387
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My concern with Philadelphia has been the last two weeks.

388
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Where did the running game go one hundred and seventy

389
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four yards on fifty nine rushing attempts. That's under three

390
00:20:39,519 --> 00:20:42,960
yards of carry. That is not the Philadelphia team we

391
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saw last year. Remember the year that Barkley had. Now

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we can't expect him to have that same year this year.

393
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But come on, you've cut Jalen Hurts and Barkley in

394
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that backfield and you can't run the football. Philly has

395
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a divisional game on deck. Granted it's only against the Giants,

396
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but it is a division game. Giants always get up

397
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for them. And when is it? It's on Thursday night.

398
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Always got to look ahead to see who these teams

399
00:21:11,039 --> 00:21:14,039
are playing, especially look to see who that Thursday night

400
00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:17,759
game is. All right, this is a spot where Denver,

401
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:22,440
although they were underachieving so far this year, they finally

402
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:27,160
got things put together last week. Yeah, granted they played Cincinnati.

403
00:21:27,400 --> 00:21:31,000
Bo Nicks finally had a breakout game against the poor defense.

404
00:21:31,079 --> 00:21:34,279
But I have an old saying in with the horse racing.

405
00:21:34,559 --> 00:21:38,079
You know, sometimes when your horse hasn't been doing well,

406
00:21:38,519 --> 00:21:41,680
you need to regain its confidence. You drop the horse

407
00:21:41,759 --> 00:21:44,920
in class. He can't read a program. He doesn't know

408
00:21:45,319 --> 00:21:48,440
that he's playing an inferior foe. Hopefully nobody told bo

409
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Nicks that that was only against the Cincinnati defense, and

410
00:21:51,279 --> 00:21:54,559
he has another good game against the Eagles this week.

411
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I think that Denver can shut down that running game.

412
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They've held three of the four opponents this year so far,

413
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they shut down their running games. Given the tough schedule

414
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that Philly has played so far. In that divisional game

415
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,640
on Thursday, I think it is a tough spot for

416
00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:16,039
the Eagles. I'm gonna go ahead and call it. And

417
00:22:16,039 --> 00:22:18,799
this is where my mic goes dead. I'm sure Denver

418
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twenty four Philly twenty oo.

419
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Speaker 1: That's gonna be an interesting one. We're going to see

420
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how Bonix responds. Pete doesn't turn the ball over. Marco,

421
00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:33,519
I think you may get a cash yourself a ticket VR.

422
00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:34,680
Speaker 2: You and I have some.

423
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,039
Speaker 1: Small dogs this week. Well, Marcos is pretty small too.

424
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:39,519
I love when we have those bigger dogs here in

425
00:22:39,519 --> 00:22:41,440
the NFL, but this week is kind of just one

426
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:44,720
of those gross cards, and I don't love a whole lot.

427
00:22:44,759 --> 00:22:46,079
Speaker 2: We were kind of talking off air.

428
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:50,920
Speaker 1: Finding five for the super contest or Circa is going.

429
00:22:50,759 --> 00:22:52,240
Speaker 2: To be absolutely brutal.

430
00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:57,119
Speaker 1: But give me your thoughts here in terms of teams

431
00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,640
that can win outright, who do you think is barking

432
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:00,160
this week?

433
00:23:00,559 --> 00:23:05,319
Speaker 4: Well, I gotta look the Washington and I'm biased towards

434
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,880
the Chargers, Like I have a Chargers season win total over,

435
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:11,200
I have a Chargers future to win the Super Bowl.

436
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:15,440
Speaker 3: So I want the Chargers to win football games.

437
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:21,160
Speaker 4: But this is just a bad timing game for Chargers

438
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:24,680
and perfect timing for Washington. Because Washington doesn't have any

439
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:26,680
problems on the offensive side of the ball. It really

440
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,599
doesn't matter, I'm telling you now, who's that quarterback. In fact,

441
00:23:30,799 --> 00:23:33,319
if you look at passing success rate, which is one

442
00:23:33,319 --> 00:23:38,519
of the highest correlations to winning, Jaden Daniels has been

443
00:23:38,599 --> 00:23:42,200
below the NFL average so far this season and Mariota

444
00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:45,400
has been above it. In fact, the highest quarterback rating

445
00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:49,079
so far for Washington has been a game that Mariota

446
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:52,599
was the quarterback in. So the drop off just isn't

447
00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:58,160
there to warrant the adjustment to the point spread, regardless

448
00:23:58,200 --> 00:23:59,640
of who's that at quarterback.

449
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:02,640
Speaker 3: Coupled with all the injuries on.

450
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:08,039
Speaker 4: This San Diego side offensively the weakness of Washington's on

451
00:24:08,079 --> 00:24:10,279
the defensive side of the ball. But when you have

452
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:15,400
an offensive line that's as banged up as the Chargers are,

453
00:24:15,839 --> 00:24:19,640
that's gonna take a lot a lot of pressure off.

454
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Speaker 3: Of this Washington defense. Like if they're gonna be.

455
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,759
Speaker 4: If they're able to pressure the quarterback, something that they've

456
00:24:25,759 --> 00:24:29,640
been able to do against more stellar offensive lines. Then

457
00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:33,359
that's gonna relieve a lot of the pressure on their

458
00:24:33,519 --> 00:24:37,480
linebackers and in their secondary and that's exactly what Washington

459
00:24:37,599 --> 00:24:40,920
needs right now. So again, the timing is perfect for

460
00:24:41,039 --> 00:24:44,559
them to go into San Diego and get an out

461
00:24:44,559 --> 00:24:50,000
of conference win. I think the Chargers offense is starting

462
00:24:50,039 --> 00:24:52,319
to come back to life after that first week or two.

463
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:54,480
I mean, they were gonna regress.

464
00:24:54,559 --> 00:24:54,839
Speaker 5: It was.

465
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:58,119
Speaker 4: It was an outlier kind of box score, so that

466
00:24:58,279 --> 00:25:02,559
was expected again, and I like the Chargers as a whole,

467
00:25:03,279 --> 00:25:05,279
but I just think this week does not set up

468
00:25:05,279 --> 00:25:08,880
well for them. And I do like Washington, who's being

469
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:12,279
overlooked here. I think this line should be closer.

470
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:12,680
Speaker 3: To a pick them.

471
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,279
Speaker 4: You're giving me three points, key number, give me the

472
00:25:15,319 --> 00:25:17,440
skins and sprinkle that money line.

473
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,319
Speaker 1: All right, and I'm gonna take the ugliest dog on

474
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:22,359
the board, and that is the New York Jets. We

475
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:25,359
just saw them on Monday night. Have to backdoor their

476
00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:27,839
way into the teaser spots. I'll thank them for that,

477
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:31,079
But reality is they're a pretty good fourth quarter team.

478
00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,680
Let's look and see what they've done over the past

479
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:38,480
four weeks, and that is they come out of nowhere.

480
00:25:38,519 --> 00:25:41,799
We saw it against the Bucks as well, to finally

481
00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:46,279
play late. Now we could argue that the Dallas Cowboys

482
00:25:46,279 --> 00:25:49,119
are doing the exact same. They started off absolutely dreadful

483
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,920
in that first quarter versus the Packers, and then next

484
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,359
thing you know, the game turned on its head. They

485
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:56,839
were up at halftime, and they ended up in a

486
00:25:57,039 --> 00:25:59,839
forty forty tie. I woke up at three am, like

487
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:02,759
what just happened. I did kind of feel bad for

488
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:05,920
survivor backers because I've had that tie before and that's

489
00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:06,599
not any fun.

490
00:26:06,759 --> 00:26:08,680
Speaker 2: Just lose the damn game outright.

491
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,200
Speaker 1: That being said, I think Dak Prescott's playing at a

492
00:26:12,279 --> 00:26:16,000
very high level right now. Seventy two point nine percent

493
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:20,039
right that is this completion percentage, almost two hundred and

494
00:26:20,079 --> 00:26:23,839
eighty passing yards per game. I do think this is

495
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:28,920
a good team, but they're just laying a easily two

496
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:31,599
and a half points at the Jets. I think we

497
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:33,359
need to kind of look at this one right here,

498
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,960
and remember now we're asking them to go on the

499
00:26:36,079 --> 00:26:39,200
road and just beat a Jets team that is kind

500
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:41,839
of licking their wounds from a divisional spot here on

501
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:45,119
a Monday night. The Cowboys are good, but that defense

502
00:26:45,319 --> 00:26:47,160
is easily exploitable.

503
00:26:47,559 --> 00:26:48,880
Speaker 2: Just ask Caleb Williams.

504
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:51,960
Speaker 1: Give me the Jets plus two and a half, give

505
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:54,960
me the Jets and teasers, and oh, while we're at it,

506
00:26:55,440 --> 00:27:00,160
give me the Jets on the money line.

507
00:26:58,559 --> 00:27:00,640
Speaker 3: Tst Jets Jets.

508
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,640
Speaker 2: Oh, love to hear it, love to hear it, I know.

509
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,480
Speaker 1: And then I'm gonna be posting the Bart Simpson meme

510
00:27:06,559 --> 00:27:07,880
here in just a little bit. I will not at

511
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:10,799
the best Jets. Yeah, I know how Sunday is gonna

512
00:27:10,839 --> 00:27:12,480
go for me, but I do think the Jets get

513
00:27:12,519 --> 00:27:17,000
a win here Marco DiAngelo, speaking of wins, the.

514
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:19,720
Speaker 2: Deli has been absolutely electric.

515
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:22,039
Speaker 1: If you guys are watching the Mega Show, which is

516
00:27:22,039 --> 00:27:25,160
our college football show, an NFL show combined here on

517
00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:27,000
the wager Talk YouTube chair, we just made it nice,

518
00:27:27,039 --> 00:27:29,359
easy packaged for you guys. You've got the extra Deli

519
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,480
over there, You've got Ralph Michaels TNA, and of course

520
00:27:31,519 --> 00:27:34,200
you've got Stockwatch, or you can just search for Marco's

521
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:37,039
Deli here on its own. It will be up earlier

522
00:27:37,599 --> 00:27:38,559
in the week.

523
00:27:38,519 --> 00:27:41,680
Speaker 2: For those insiders. That's right. Two dollars and ninety nine cents.

524
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:44,960
Speaker 1: You can join the wager Talk Insiders, WT Dot Buzz

525
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:50,079
Backslash Insiders, Marco hitting at a nice clip here in

526
00:27:50,079 --> 00:27:55,359
the deli. We've got NFL Week five underway, and this

527
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:58,240
one's an interesting sandwich spot because we saw them open

528
00:27:58,359 --> 00:27:59,079
up as a dog.

529
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 5: And now, yeah, yeah, Kelly, And here's the thing, you know,

530
00:28:03,839 --> 00:28:07,920
look out, the New York Giants are undefeated with Jackson

531
00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:11,599
Dart as their quarterback, and everybody's all excited in New York.

532
00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:14,839
Just pump the brakes. Okay, we were all over the

533
00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:17,000
Giants last week. All of us here on the show

534
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,279
loved the Giants because it was about the spot. The

535
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:24,319
Chargers were in a horrible spot last week and they

536
00:28:24,319 --> 00:28:28,319
had to travel cross country after sweeping their three division

537
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,319
rivals to open up the season, and they were on

538
00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:34,279
the road for the third time in four weeks. And

539
00:28:34,319 --> 00:28:37,960
it was a cross country early start on the East Coast. Yeah,

540
00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:41,000
that was a perfect storm for the Chargers to get

541
00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:45,519
the job done. Now it's the Giants in a bad spot.

542
00:28:45,519 --> 00:28:48,720
They're coming off that win and they got to go

543
00:28:48,759 --> 00:28:51,880
on the road. Okay, and granted, I get it, it's

544
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:55,000
the Saints or should we call them the Aints? But

545
00:28:56,000 --> 00:29:00,000
come on, they opened up the favorite which was ridict

546
00:29:00,319 --> 00:29:02,359
how could you make the Giants a favorite on the road?

547
00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:05,200
And two have you looked at the schedule? Well, I

548
00:29:05,279 --> 00:29:08,400
talked about it in the last segment. The Giants have

549
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:11,599
a monster game on deck. They got to play on

550
00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:15,079
a Thursday night against their division rival, the defending Super

551
00:29:15,119 --> 00:29:19,000
Bowl champs Philadelphia. Now you've got a rookie quarterback coming

552
00:29:19,039 --> 00:29:22,480
off as first win, and I will give them credit.

553
00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:25,759
Even though he didn't set the world on fire with stats,

554
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:29,480
there was a certain swagger to the team that they

555
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:32,799
didn't have with Russell Wilson, and down the road this

556
00:29:34,119 --> 00:29:36,839
might be their quarterback. But this is a bad spot.

557
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:38,920
You're coming off your first win and now you've got

558
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,240
to go on the road in a game where the

559
00:29:41,279 --> 00:29:44,680
line is virtually a pick them. You got to win

560
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:48,000
the game to cover. No, I don't want any part

561
00:29:48,039 --> 00:29:49,880
of that. I don't want a rookie making his first

562
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:53,039
start on the road in a bad scheduling spot with

563
00:29:53,079 --> 00:29:55,440
a big look ahead game. And make that look ahead

564
00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:59,079
game on a short week on a Thursday, a TV spotlight.

565
00:29:59,119 --> 00:30:03,359
That's going to be the rookies first nationally televised game

566
00:30:03,359 --> 00:30:07,680
as an NFL starter. Yeah, no, give me the Saints.

567
00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:10,559
This is all about the spot. And I know when

568
00:30:10,559 --> 00:30:13,799
when people leave the comments when we do the Delianette,

569
00:30:13,799 --> 00:30:15,440
they're always going to point out, how can you take

570
00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:18,519
a bad team? Well, that's the whole premise of the show.

571
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:24,000
We're finding the spots where ugly teams can prevail. Okay,

572
00:30:24,359 --> 00:30:26,839
we know, we say it all the time. The spreads

573
00:30:26,839 --> 00:30:30,319
are the great equalizer, The situations are the great equalizer.

574
00:30:30,599 --> 00:30:34,400
This is a spot that screams to take the Saints,

575
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:38,279
just like it's screened last week, to take the ugly giants.

576
00:30:38,599 --> 00:30:41,519
Go with New Orleans. They get their first win of

577
00:30:41,559 --> 00:30:44,160
the season, New Orleans twenty three to seventeen.

578
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:47,039
Speaker 1: All right, Marco, I'm gonna ask because you know that

579
00:30:47,119 --> 00:30:50,599
the comment section loves when I talk about Survivor, and

580
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:52,759
I think people do like it. I know you guys

581
00:30:52,759 --> 00:30:54,799
all complain, but if you like the Survivor talk, let

582
00:30:54,839 --> 00:30:58,519
me know. Our producer Dan Alexander had the audacity for

583
00:30:58,559 --> 00:31:00,359
her to start of the show says, I think I

584
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:04,000
might take Saints and Survivor. And I said, are you insane?

585
00:31:04,359 --> 00:31:06,000
You just said you think the Saints are gonna win?

586
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:09,119
Would you burn a Survivor pick on them?

587
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:11,599
Speaker 5: I would not burn a Survivor pick I, I can,

588
00:31:11,759 --> 00:31:14,799
I can lose you know, a one unit bet any

589
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:17,079
day of the week, okay, And that's you know, that's

590
00:31:17,119 --> 00:31:19,720
part of the cost of doing business. You're talking about

591
00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:23,079
something that your you know, your whole season is on

592
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:25,680
the line with you know, one of your entries for

593
00:31:25,759 --> 00:31:28,640
the Survivor. Now, if you want to talk about it,

594
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:34,160
Kelly from game theory aspects of things, and this is

595
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:36,839
something that you know, I got into the conversation with

596
00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:41,079
your partner from last year in Survivor, and I said that,

597
00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:45,000
you know, if your goal is uh that maybe if

598
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:49,000
you're later in the season. You know how people talk about, oh, well,

599
00:31:49,119 --> 00:31:52,880
the perceived value of your entry is x because of

600
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:57,279
how the number of people left. It is not. Not

601
00:31:57,440 --> 00:32:00,880
every entry that's left with maybe four weeks to go

602
00:32:01,359 --> 00:32:03,359
is worth the same amount of money. Yeah, if you

603
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,880
divide the number of entries by the price pool, there's

604
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:09,640
a dollar figure. But it depends on what teams you

605
00:32:09,759 --> 00:32:13,519
have left. If you're able to use teams like the

606
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:18,359
Saints earlier in the season, it makes your entry worth

607
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:22,119
way more money later in the season because that means

608
00:32:22,119 --> 00:32:25,839
you've got some better teams still left in your arsenal

609
00:32:26,039 --> 00:32:27,920
that if you did try to sell that, you could

610
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:31,400
command more money on the market for selling.

611
00:32:31,119 --> 00:32:37,160
Speaker 1: It, all right, And there's your handicapper answer. I uh,

612
00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:40,440
there's just no way. There's no way, not with the Bills,

613
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:44,319
with the Lions, with the Colts, with the Cardinals, all

614
00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:47,279
these other teams that are at your disposal, and VR

615
00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:49,759
smiling because I'm looking at the script. So we're just

616
00:32:49,759 --> 00:32:51,839
gonna go right into it with best huts because you

617
00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:53,400
also like the Saints.

618
00:32:53,559 --> 00:32:58,279
Speaker 4: I swear on my mother's life. I didn't know Marco

619
00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:01,119
had that for his sandwich. In fact, I was gonna

620
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:03,680
use Denver as my dog, and I noticed he had

621
00:33:03,759 --> 00:33:04,759
Denver already.

622
00:33:05,119 --> 00:33:07,720
Speaker 3: I chose a different dog. I didn't see it on

623
00:33:07,799 --> 00:33:09,240
the Saints, and I remember.

624
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:11,960
Speaker 4: I did it late last night. I got back from

625
00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:14,200
the UFC, and I just I like the Saints. I

626
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:17,000
gave him out to my subscribers, had to pick them immediately.

627
00:33:17,119 --> 00:33:19,000
I thought this was a great spot. Remember I was

628
00:33:20,319 --> 00:33:23,319
big on the Giants. They were my dog last week.

629
00:33:23,519 --> 00:33:26,599
They were a big bet for me for subscribers. I

630
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:29,960
thought the sprinkle was warranted because I thought the spot

631
00:33:30,119 --> 00:33:32,920
was really good for them. But this is a terrible spot,

632
00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:37,000
and I don't want to waste the viewer's time because

633
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:40,680
Mark O'Neill the handicap perfectly. He got a rookie quarterback

634
00:33:40,759 --> 00:33:44,480
coming off of a historic win for the team, getting

635
00:33:44,519 --> 00:33:47,880
them their first win of the season at home, and

636
00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:49,920
now he's got to go on the road against a

637
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:53,599
winless Saint team in dire need of a w that

638
00:33:54,319 --> 00:33:56,720
already has shown the splits. They play a lot better

639
00:33:56,759 --> 00:33:59,240
at home. Just look at their point differential at home

640
00:33:59,279 --> 00:34:01,359
compared to what it is on the road. If you're

641
00:34:01,359 --> 00:34:03,000
ever going to back the Saints, this is where you

642
00:34:03,039 --> 00:34:04,920
want to do it when they are playing at home.

643
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:07,960
And I think it's a good spot for them with

644
00:34:08,079 --> 00:34:11,639
neighbors being lost for the season as well. I just

645
00:34:11,679 --> 00:34:14,000
don't think it's gonna be an easy afternoon for the

646
00:34:14,079 --> 00:34:17,199
Giants who got the pressure off of them, Like, not

647
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:19,639
only did you you know now you got your your

648
00:34:19,679 --> 00:34:21,599
new starting quarterback, which.

649
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:23,599
Speaker 3: Is the youth. But he even got hurt.

650
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,760
Speaker 4: He's a little banged up from what I saw, Like

651
00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:31,239
he's listed even as questionable because of the hamstring. So

652
00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:33,440
you got a Jackson Dort who's not even one hundred

653
00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:38,440
percent now going on the road again. He won the game.

654
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:40,400
He managed it well, but he threw the ball only

655
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:42,960
twenty times. He had one hundred and eleven yards passing.

656
00:34:43,199 --> 00:34:45,360
He just didn't lose the game. He didn't go out

657
00:34:45,360 --> 00:34:49,320
there and win the game. He just didn't lose it. Eventually,

658
00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:52,320
you're gonna have to win football games, and on the road.

659
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:53,960
That's kind of what you have to do. I don't

660
00:34:54,079 --> 00:34:57,079
see that happening. I like the Saints again. I won't

661
00:34:57,079 --> 00:35:00,760
waste time. Just rewind everything that Marco said, second it

662
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:04,880
and even power rating wise, I think it makes sense.

663
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:08,280
Give me the Saints at home. Man, just don't lay

664
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:11,000
the three. Bet it now, lay the two and a half.

665
00:35:11,079 --> 00:35:12,960
Don't lay the money line because the money line is

666
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:14,480
a little bit too high. We laid it when it

667
00:35:14,519 --> 00:35:17,360
was like one ten, fifteen, But right now you're better

668
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:19,239
off laying the two and a half with the New

669
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:21,760
Orleans if you agree, or sit back, and maybe you'll

670
00:35:21,800 --> 00:35:23,079
get three if you disagree.

671
00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:25,880
Speaker 1: All right, guys, right now you get five hundred dollars

672
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:28,199
off a one year pass that is just one hundred

673
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:31,559
and twenty five dollars a month. Plus we're gonna give

674
00:35:31,559 --> 00:35:35,480
you a bonus coupon for any additional purchases twenty five

675
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676
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677
00:35:40,199 --> 00:35:43,320
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678
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:46,400
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679
00:35:46,519 --> 00:35:49,760
five percent best bets, three hundred and sixty five days

680
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:51,679
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681
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:54,199
a month, which is about four dollars a day. Just

682
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:55,960
wanted to throw that out there before we went to

683
00:35:56,039 --> 00:35:58,679
Marco DiAngelo for his best bet.

684
00:35:58,719 --> 00:36:00,960
Speaker 2: Marco, what do you have going on at wager talk

685
00:36:01,039 --> 00:36:01,400
right now?

686
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:06,079
Speaker 5: Well, Kelly, we had a big week last week from

687
00:36:06,119 --> 00:36:09,159
Thursday through Monday. We went put up a nine and

688
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:12,000
four mark for our clients. We're going to have a

689
00:36:12,039 --> 00:36:16,039
five percent this weekend. College. I said it in the

690
00:36:16,079 --> 00:36:18,840
other show, seven and one on our four percents in

691
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:23,840
higher NFL's winning we had a four to one Sunday

692
00:36:24,199 --> 00:36:26,239
would have been five and oh if it wasn't for

693
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:30,119
those fricking colts. But let's you know, I'll take four

694
00:36:30,119 --> 00:36:32,719
and one any anytime you want to dish that out,

695
00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:36,000
We'll do that. And then we came back and went

696
00:36:36,079 --> 00:36:38,440
on Monday Night as well. So it was a good

697
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:41,760
week all the way around. Join me grab, don't forget.

698
00:36:42,159 --> 00:36:44,800
We talked about the long term package, but Kelly, there's

699
00:36:44,840 --> 00:36:47,800
another package going at wager Talk this week. We've been

700
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:50,280
running the last few weeks and it's been such a success,

701
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:53,840
we're bringing it back Weekend Warrior forty nine dollars. You

702
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:56,679
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703
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704
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705
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706
00:37:05,960 --> 00:37:09,000
and it even includes the five percent plays. And you

707
00:37:09,079 --> 00:37:11,559
know those five percent plays sell for thirty five dollars

708
00:37:11,639 --> 00:37:14,920
by themselves, so it would be silly not to buy

709
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:18,559
the forty nine dollars deal. For my best bet, Kelly,

710
00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:22,840
we're gonna head to the Great Northwest and we're gonna

711
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:26,119
look at the Seattle Seahawks, and Kelly, when you look

712
00:37:26,159 --> 00:37:29,199
at this one for Tampa Bay. We always talk about,

713
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:32,960
you know, travel situations and everything else. This is the

714
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:36,920
longest road trip that there is in the NFL that

715
00:37:37,039 --> 00:37:40,599
is either going from uh Seattle to Tampa or going

716
00:37:40,639 --> 00:37:44,880
from Tampa to Seattle. Bad spot for Tampa Bay. And

717
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:47,079
I gotta tell you this Tampa Bay team, they are

718
00:37:47,119 --> 00:37:49,880
a gritty team. They're three and one. Their only loss

719
00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:53,599
came last week to Philadelphia. The three wins were all

720
00:37:53,639 --> 00:37:56,679
come from behind fashion, and they almost did it for

721
00:37:56,719 --> 00:37:58,960
a fourth week in a row. Last week, they fell

722
00:37:59,039 --> 00:38:02,880
way behind the Eagle, made charge in the second half

723
00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:05,800
and almost got there. I know Philly backers were getting

724
00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:09,760
a little nervous there in that fourth quarter, but they

725
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:12,960
ended up losing by six. Seattle went on the road

726
00:38:13,039 --> 00:38:16,840
last week. It was a hard fought Division game. They

727
00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:20,480
had a big lead and almost blew it, but they

728
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:23,079
did prevail on Thursday Night football. Now, they've had a

729
00:38:23,079 --> 00:38:27,440
couple extra days to prepare for Tampa and I think

730
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:31,599
given that added rest, given the schedule that Tampa Bay

731
00:38:31,599 --> 00:38:34,719
has played so far, and the tough games that Tampa's

732
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:37,000
had and had to come from behind, I think this

733
00:38:37,039 --> 00:38:40,079
is just a bad spot for Tampa to go on

734
00:38:40,119 --> 00:38:44,119
the road. I also feel that this is a Seattle

735
00:38:44,159 --> 00:38:48,400
team that's kind of flying under the radar. They have

736
00:38:48,519 --> 00:38:50,760
yet to allow an opponent to score more than twenty

737
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:53,719
points this year. Now, granted, you know some will question

738
00:38:54,039 --> 00:38:57,519
their schedule, but they have held three of their four

739
00:38:57,519 --> 00:39:01,480
opponents to under ninety yards rushing. The only team to

740
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:04,880
top one hundred yards rushing against them was San Francisco

741
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:07,199
in Week one. But you know what, to get to

742
00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:10,960
that one hundred and nineteen yards rushing, the forty nine

743
00:39:11,039 --> 00:39:13,480
ers had to rush the ball thirty six times in

744
00:39:13,519 --> 00:39:16,519
that game to do it. I also want to point

745
00:39:16,519 --> 00:39:19,000
out that this is one of those spots we talk

746
00:39:19,079 --> 00:39:21,760
about it. It's a phrase we like to use. Lose

747
00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:24,960
the same game twice. Tampa Bay played host to the

748
00:39:25,000 --> 00:39:29,760
defending Super Bowl champ Philadelphia Eagles. Last week. They lost

749
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:33,199
the you know, a game in close fashion. Are they

750
00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:36,360
gonna come out maybe a little bit flat this week? Possible,

751
00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:39,320
That's what I'm looking at. But here's what I'm gonna

752
00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:43,239
look at. Seattle's three and one. The winner both teams

753
00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:45,519
are three and one. The winner of this game is

754
00:39:45,559 --> 00:39:49,519
gonna come out of this four in one. Uh, scratch

755
00:39:49,559 --> 00:39:52,239
your head with that one. Last week we joked about

756
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:55,880
when we talked about the Baltimore Kansas City game, when

757
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:59,360
both teams entered that game at one in three, You're

758
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:01,440
excuse me, one and two? We said one of those

759
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:04,199
teams was gonna come out one in three. Nobody would

760
00:40:04,199 --> 00:40:06,880
have thought that. But nobody would have thought that Seattle

761
00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:09,239
could come out of the season and start four and one.

762
00:40:09,639 --> 00:40:12,119
And I'm just gonna point one thing out for all

763
00:40:12,159 --> 00:40:15,039
of the people that have bad mouthed Sam Donald and

764
00:40:15,119 --> 00:40:18,000
I know that the last two games of the season

765
00:40:18,079 --> 00:40:21,760
last year tarnished the year that he had. I'm gonna

766
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:25,440
point this out. From the beginning of last season through

767
00:40:25,519 --> 00:40:30,519
this season, as a starting quarterback in the NFL, Sam

768
00:40:30,559 --> 00:40:35,119
Darnald is seventeen and four the last twenty one games.

769
00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:39,440
Think about that. How many NFL quarterbacks have a twenty

770
00:40:39,719 --> 00:40:42,280
or have a seventeen and four record. I'm gonna go

771
00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:45,000
ahead and take Seattle at what I think is a

772
00:40:45,039 --> 00:40:47,320
low number here. I think the value is with them.

773
00:40:47,559 --> 00:40:51,199
Let's take Seattle, lay the points on Sunday. I've got

774
00:40:51,199 --> 00:40:52,639
them winning thirty one to twenty.

775
00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:53,679
Speaker 2: All right.

776
00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:56,480
Speaker 1: As if we have not talked about the Colts at nauseum,

777
00:40:56,880 --> 00:40:59,079
the Golts are my best bet for this week in

778
00:40:59,119 --> 00:40:59,960
the NFL.

779
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:02,159
Speaker 2: I was on them last week.

780
00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:06,039
Speaker 1: Marco has went over all of the reasons why that

781
00:41:06,599 --> 00:41:09,599
they lost that football game, and it is gross That's

782
00:41:09,599 --> 00:41:13,480
not a fun way to lose. But you know what

783
00:41:13,559 --> 00:41:16,519
could also be worse. You could lose like we lost

784
00:41:16,599 --> 00:41:20,599
Las Vegas last week. Do you guys remember that fifty

785
00:41:20,639 --> 00:41:26,119
four yard game winning field goal blocked? Yeah, Ashton Johnson

786
00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:32,119
looked like bo Jackson and they lost the game outright now,

787
00:41:32,199 --> 00:41:35,519
for the third time this season, they get ahead East

788
00:41:35,920 --> 00:41:38,760
in an early morning kickoff. Remember they already played New England,

789
00:41:38,760 --> 00:41:41,000
which they squeaked out a win there, and then they

790
00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:45,480
got whooped up on by Washington. Here's the reality. Geno

791
00:41:45,639 --> 00:41:52,400
Smith is a liability. This man is a turn over machine.

792
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:56,360
This is absolutely disgusting. Even when they had the number

793
00:41:56,360 --> 00:41:59,280
five offensive success rightly last week and the number two

794
00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:00,320
passing siscuss that's.

795
00:42:00,199 --> 00:42:02,920
Speaker 2: Right, they still could not win a football game.

796
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:08,239
Speaker 1: I know. Indianapolis in Vegas has been a closely contested

797
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:11,880
series in recent years, and the Raiders one is a

798
00:42:11,960 --> 00:42:14,880
three point road underdog, or that a three point win,

799
00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:17,960
excuse me in twenty twenty two as an underdog.

800
00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:21,440
Speaker 2: But this is the reality. This is a much better

801
00:42:21,559 --> 00:42:22,119
Colts team.

802
00:42:22,159 --> 00:42:24,559
Speaker 1: And if those two touchdowns don't get called back last

803
00:42:24,599 --> 00:42:27,920
week they go into LA and beat the Rams. The

804
00:42:27,960 --> 00:42:31,280
Colts are going to bounce back after last week's loss,

805
00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:34,519
and I think this is an absolute by low spot

806
00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:39,519
for them here. Keep in mind six and a half

807
00:42:39,679 --> 00:42:41,199
not seven and a half. I know a lot of

808
00:42:41,199 --> 00:42:43,440
people are thinking it's a little fishy, but it's not.

809
00:42:44,159 --> 00:42:46,480
I'm also going to take the Colts and survivor this week.

810
00:42:46,519 --> 00:42:48,159
I know I'm gonna do a little bit of Cardinals,

811
00:42:48,159 --> 00:42:49,679
but I'm gonna do a lot of Colts.

812
00:42:49,719 --> 00:42:50,519
Speaker 2: I think this is a.

813
00:42:50,440 --> 00:42:55,000
Speaker 1: Spot to utilize them to get the win here at home,

814
00:42:55,280 --> 00:42:57,199
not only the win, but of course the cover for

815
00:42:57,320 --> 00:42:57,800
you guys.

816
00:42:58,239 --> 00:43:01,679
Speaker 2: All right, let's bring back in Marco and say goodbye.

817
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:05,119
Speaker 1: We appreciate you guys watching us here every single week

818
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:08,800
on bet on It. This has been the NFL edition

819
00:43:09,199 --> 00:43:12,400
Week five, and there's your recap graphic that you guys

820
00:43:12,920 --> 00:43:16,400
love so much. And of course, if you guys missed

821
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:18,639
the college football edition of bet on It, you can

822
00:43:18,639 --> 00:43:19,480
catch it right here.

823
00:43:19,840 --> 00:43:21,800
Speaker 2: And if you want to watch the Mega Show, it's

824
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:22,440
gonna be right here.

825
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:24,519
Speaker 1: That's why you're gonna get your TNA, your stock watch,

826
00:43:24,599 --> 00:43:26,920
and of course you're DELI until next week.

827
00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:28,519
Speaker 2: Guys. Let's bet on it