1
00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:07,679
Speaker 1: Welcome on in Monday edition Wager Talk Today Sports Center

2
00:00:07,719 --> 00:00:08,400
for gamblers.

3
00:00:08,480 --> 00:00:10,320
Speaker 2: We got to come in right here your way.

4
00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:12,720
Speaker 1: That's right, Dan Alexander in the driver's seat for you

5
00:00:12,759 --> 00:00:16,519
today as our man, our fearless leader, Andy Lang a

6
00:00:16,559 --> 00:00:19,440
little under the weather, so Andy, we're sending out our

7
00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:22,679
hearts to you. Buddy, You're gonna feel better. He'll be back, folks,

8
00:00:22,719 --> 00:00:25,320
But for the meantime, we got plenty to get into

9
00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:29,879
here on a Monday, Conference championships loom. So how should

10
00:00:29,879 --> 00:00:32,439
we be betting that? We're gonna talk to Yanni see

11
00:00:32,439 --> 00:00:36,679
how his power rankings are. Are you creeping in and

12
00:00:36,719 --> 00:00:39,399
how it relates to selection Sunday. That's just a few

13
00:00:39,439 --> 00:00:42,759
weeks away from now, So folks, we're gonna talk a

14
00:00:42,799 --> 00:00:44,920
lot of college basketball here on the show.

15
00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:46,799
Speaker 2: Yanni the Greek gonna kick it off for us.

16
00:00:47,039 --> 00:00:49,960
Speaker 1: Coming up after him, the resounding return of our man

17
00:00:50,119 --> 00:00:54,200
Bill Krackenberger. That's right, Bill Krackman, He's coming back. Why

18
00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:56,880
was he gone last week? You'll find out. We'll also

19
00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:00,000
get an NBA player prop from him. Talk some markets

20
00:01:00,039 --> 00:01:03,000
stuff as well with our man Bill Krackenberger, and then

21
00:01:03,079 --> 00:01:05,400
we're gonna shut it down with one of our favorites here, folks.

22
00:01:05,480 --> 00:01:08,760
Steve Merrill is coming on. He's got three count on

23
00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:11,879
three free plays for you. He's gonna talk two games

24
00:01:11,879 --> 00:01:14,680
in college basketball action. That's Duke and NC State that

25
00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:17,400
I know you want to play on. And we're also

26
00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:19,719
going to talk Iowa State and Arizona. So two of

27
00:01:19,719 --> 00:01:23,920
the biggest games in recent memory here in this college

28
00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:26,400
basketball season. Steve's gonna give you a play on each

29
00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:30,280
of them. The doubleheader on ESPN Clippers and Warriors also

30
00:01:30,439 --> 00:01:33,519
coming your way a play and financially free and focused.

31
00:01:34,079 --> 00:01:37,760
The madness certainly is here. And even that's right, Frank.

32
00:01:38,159 --> 00:01:41,280
When Andy isn't with us as we as we do

33
00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:44,120
the show here on Monday, he's still cashing tickets for

34
00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,400
US top twenty second place overall. That's what we call

35
00:01:47,439 --> 00:01:50,840
a no sweat rocking share winner from our man Andy Lang.

36
00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:53,319
Speaker 2: All right, guys, let's get into it. Keep those comments coming.

37
00:01:53,359 --> 00:01:55,400
Speaker 1: If you haven't already hit that like button while you're

38
00:01:55,439 --> 00:01:58,319
hanging out with us here, and if you haven't subscribed,

39
00:01:58,599 --> 00:01:59,879
I don't know what the hell you're doing, because you

40
00:01:59,879 --> 00:02:02,959
get a notification anytime we go live. We also got

41
00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:05,280
some great deals coming your way, but let's bring them in.

42
00:02:05,760 --> 00:02:08,879
Yanni the Greek, the Greek gambler, Buddy, how was the

43
00:02:08,879 --> 00:02:09,719
weekend for you?

44
00:02:09,879 --> 00:02:12,599
Speaker 2: I know that crazy UFC card we talked about was

45
00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:14,639
freaking land mine after landmine.

46
00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:17,759
Speaker 1: But as we reset start a new week here on

47
00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,039
a Monday, how you feel it heading into the week?

48
00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:20,360
Speaker 2: Brother?

49
00:02:20,879 --> 00:02:22,840
Speaker 3: Amazing man. I had a great weekend.

50
00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:28,639
Speaker 4: Crushed it in college basketball once again hit my five

51
00:02:28,719 --> 00:02:33,000
percent another dog that I said the wrong team is favored,

52
00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:35,759
and of course they got there for us out right

53
00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:38,280
in that Baylor Central Florida game.

54
00:02:38,879 --> 00:02:41,039
Speaker 3: And UFC I did well. Also.

55
00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:47,560
Speaker 4: One disappointment, a split decision cost me over four thousand dollars.

56
00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:52,120
That one bad split decision, Chyrez and Bonez. I gave

57
00:02:52,159 --> 00:02:55,000
Boonez to my subscribers at like plus two seventy five

58
00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:58,000
as a three percent place, so I had three dimes

59
00:02:58,039 --> 00:03:02,360
on them and had him in a parlay and stuff.

60
00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:04,879
So it cost me just a lot of money. But overall,

61
00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:08,759
it was an amazing, amazing weekend. And more importantly, we

62
00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:13,680
are going into college basketball in like really really good shape.

63
00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:16,360
Speaker 3: Power ratings are on point.

64
00:03:16,879 --> 00:03:21,919
Speaker 4: The results reflect that right now I'm up over sixty

65
00:03:22,039 --> 00:03:26,639
six units in college basketball for the season almost a

66
00:03:26,759 --> 00:03:31,080
five percent ROI number one combined NBA and college basketball,

67
00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:34,400
Number one MMA right now, number one NHL right now.

68
00:03:34,599 --> 00:03:37,120
So we are shicking ass. And I said twenty twenty

69
00:03:37,159 --> 00:03:39,560
six was going to be a record breaking year. So far,

70
00:03:39,639 --> 00:03:42,879
so good. Don't want to keep going long. So for

71
00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:45,280
that few minutes that you stuck around, I'm gonna give

72
00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:49,879
you two free plays real quickly, both in soccer. Both

73
00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:52,639
are premium plays, So let me get them to you

74
00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:56,919
guys real quickly. The first one is in scott Scotland

75
00:03:57,159 --> 00:04:02,759
Scotland Total Air United ayre United. Look at that game,

76
00:04:02,759 --> 00:04:04,879
we're going under two and a half. That's a three

77
00:04:04,919 --> 00:04:10,439
percent play. And then in Brazil, in Brazil Flamingo against Madua.

78
00:04:10,759 --> 00:04:13,439
Just look for Flamingo. We're going over two and a

79
00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:16,560
half in that game. That one's a four percent play.

80
00:04:16,759 --> 00:04:20,720
So you have two soccer bets already in there, and

81
00:04:21,079 --> 00:04:24,160
the steam sheets got an NHL bets bet that we

82
00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:27,800
were able to isolate a lot more NHL plays.

83
00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:29,560
Speaker 3: Also, they're really.

84
00:04:29,319 --> 00:04:33,920
Speaker 4: Attacking the NHL, and it's hard to pick off what's sharp.

85
00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:36,759
If you look at today's steam sheet and look at

86
00:04:36,759 --> 00:04:39,079
what the NHL sharp plays are and then look at

87
00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:42,279
the board there, you're gonna be like wow. Like but

88
00:04:42,319 --> 00:04:45,079
when you click the Odds logic screen and you see

89
00:04:45,079 --> 00:04:47,240
where that line moved, you'll be like, damn, that's where

90
00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:50,000
they hit it. So you'll see how the line dropped,

91
00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:51,600
then they went in, then.

92
00:04:51,439 --> 00:04:52,160
Speaker 3: It moved up.

93
00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:55,360
Speaker 4: Like it's really cool if you're following those line movements.

94
00:04:55,519 --> 00:04:58,959
But getting back to college basketball that you touched on,

95
00:04:59,199 --> 00:05:02,439
we have number one duke playing tonight against unranked NC State,

96
00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:08,360
and we have Iowa State and Arizona. Now according to

97
00:05:08,399 --> 00:05:11,120
the ape pole, they have Iowa State number four, Arizona

98
00:05:11,199 --> 00:05:13,879
number two. Nothing could be further from the truth. I

99
00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:18,319
have Iowa State number twelve. I have Arizona number four.

100
00:05:19,759 --> 00:05:23,000
I make actually Arizona.

101
00:05:23,319 --> 00:05:23,959
Speaker 3: That's the problem.

102
00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:24,160
Speaker 1: Man.

103
00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:26,040
Speaker 4: They jacked them up, or I would say look to

104
00:05:26,079 --> 00:05:30,399
bet Arizona in this spot. But obviously the market reflects

105
00:05:30,399 --> 00:05:31,480
that because I made them.

106
00:05:31,399 --> 00:05:34,879
Speaker 3: Eight and it was seven. Now it's up to seven

107
00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:35,279
and a half.

108
00:05:35,319 --> 00:05:37,680
Speaker 4: So probably not much line value there unless you like

109
00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:39,360
the handicap, and I also like.

110
00:05:39,399 --> 00:05:40,519
Speaker 3: The game over.

111
00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:43,439
Speaker 4: It's getting hit right now that would have been on

112
00:05:43,519 --> 00:05:45,680
the steam sheet had an up and waiting right now

113
00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:48,040
to jump on because they just hit over one forty

114
00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:51,519
seven and I have one forty eight Arizona and Iowa State,

115
00:05:51,879 --> 00:05:55,680
and that one actually supported by my power ratings which

116
00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:58,279
have that game pegged at one point fifty two. And

117
00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:01,800
then in Duke and NC State, that line's right on point.

118
00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,360
I made Duke a nine and a half point favorite

119
00:06:04,399 --> 00:06:07,399
and one forty eight the total, and that's exactly what

120
00:06:07,399 --> 00:06:11,319
I'm looking at right now. So unless unless any of

121
00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:14,000
the groups I work with come in really strong on

122
00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:17,879
either of those games, we probably won't be firing premiums

123
00:06:17,879 --> 00:06:20,759
there because they just did a real good job of

124
00:06:20,959 --> 00:06:21,639
pricing them.

125
00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:21,800
Speaker 3: Bro.

126
00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:24,240
Speaker 4: That's you know, sometimes they're going to do that, and

127
00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:26,399
that's what we're looking at so far.

128
00:06:27,639 --> 00:06:29,879
Speaker 1: Dude, I'll tell you what, filling in here for Andy,

129
00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:32,439
you make my job really damn easy VR because you

130
00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:34,120
just hit a hell of a lot of stuff there,

131
00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:37,000
just real quick. For the soccer games, just in case

132
00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:39,759
people missed out on those, he gave you two client plays.

133
00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:42,560
That's one that's in the Scottish League and it's a

134
00:06:42,879 --> 00:06:44,560
y R as well United.

135
00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:47,160
Speaker 2: So when we're going under in.

136
00:06:47,199 --> 00:06:52,839
Speaker 1: The Scottish Championship fact and that's arbor Ath versus Air,

137
00:06:52,959 --> 00:06:54,879
So I got that one in there. And then in

138
00:06:54,959 --> 00:06:57,720
the Brazil League is where we're going over and that's

139
00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:02,279
Flamengo f l A and the NGO versus Cruise AIO

140
00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,120
and that one we're going over two and a half correct.

141
00:07:04,959 --> 00:07:06,360
Speaker 3: Over two and a half correct.

142
00:07:06,399 --> 00:07:09,240
Speaker 1: All right, cool, all right, So I got your back there, folks.

143
00:07:09,079 --> 00:07:10,879
That's how you search for those ones.

144
00:07:11,319 --> 00:07:13,600
Speaker 2: VR. You kind of touched upon the two games tonight.

145
00:07:13,399 --> 00:07:15,839
Speaker 1: That are absolutely huge. Steve has free plays coming up

146
00:07:15,879 --> 00:07:18,279
in those. But one thing that people really look forward

147
00:07:18,279 --> 00:07:20,360
to when we have you on here is how these

148
00:07:20,399 --> 00:07:23,360
power rankings, you know, play out, and obviously that's how

149
00:07:23,399 --> 00:07:25,319
you see those matches not really much of an edge,

150
00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:27,839
you know, the odds are factored in. So as we

151
00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:31,199
sit here on a Monday, heading on in conference championships

152
00:07:31,360 --> 00:07:33,879
right around the corner here, so there's gonna be these

153
00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:36,959
tournaments that are going down as you're heading into that.

154
00:07:37,319 --> 00:07:40,839
Are there any big outliers for you when you look

155
00:07:40,879 --> 00:07:42,800
at your list of power rankings and maybe even just

156
00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:45,079
give us what the top ten is. What's a team

157
00:07:45,079 --> 00:07:47,800
that maybe is getting way overrated and a team that's

158
00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:50,120
getting way underrated as we had and just talk about

159
00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:53,439
the power rankings specifically, not even just games specific.

160
00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:55,160
Speaker 4: I love the question. I love and this is where

161
00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:57,720
you're going to get the most gold from. Here's my

162
00:07:57,839 --> 00:08:11,759
top ten. Right down my top ten. Duke Houston, Florida, Arizona, Michigan, Gonzaga, Perdue, Alabama, Illinois,

163
00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:12,720
and Tennessee.

164
00:08:12,959 --> 00:08:14,160
Speaker 3: Those are my top ten.

165
00:08:14,439 --> 00:08:17,720
Speaker 4: Now what I like seeing as slowly but surely the

166
00:08:17,759 --> 00:08:20,199
AP is coming around, and let me share with you

167
00:08:20,279 --> 00:08:23,600
what I'm talking about. Last week, the AP had Duke

168
00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:27,120
number four. I had him number one. Now where we're close,

169
00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:28,720
we're number one and number one.

170
00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:29,160
Speaker 2: Okay.

171
00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:33,519
Speaker 3: Last week I had Florida, all right. I had Florida

172
00:08:33,799 --> 00:08:40,120
at number four. They had Florida at what number? Thirteen? Fourteen?

173
00:08:40,399 --> 00:08:42,559
Speaker 4: Now, all of a sudden, Florida's up to number seven,

174
00:08:42,759 --> 00:08:45,879
getting closer to what my number had him. Gonzaga. I

175
00:08:45,919 --> 00:08:50,600
had Gonzaga number six. They had Gonzaga number twelve. Now

176
00:08:50,639 --> 00:08:54,759
you look up Gonzaga's number nine. Slowly moving towards what

177
00:08:54,879 --> 00:08:57,159
I was talking about. These are much better teams than

178
00:08:57,200 --> 00:09:01,120
their number reflects. On the flip side of that, I

179
00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:06,039
talked about Saint Louis nowhere, nowhere, not even in my

180
00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:09,840
top thirty. Where did they have Saint Louis seventeenth? Saint

181
00:09:09,919 --> 00:09:12,759
Louis is now out of their top twenty. Also, who

182
00:09:12,759 --> 00:09:16,000
else Vanderbilt? They had Vanderbilt as the nineteenth best team

183
00:09:16,039 --> 00:09:18,559
in the country. I said, not even in my top thirty.

184
00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:22,039
Now they're out of their top twenty as well. Clemson

185
00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:25,639
was their twentieth best team, not even in my top thirty.

186
00:09:25,799 --> 00:09:29,679
Clemson's now nowhere in their rankings either. So I love

187
00:09:29,759 --> 00:09:36,799
when I start seeing that the season is progressing towards

188
00:09:36,919 --> 00:09:40,200
exactly what my man's power ratings show. They're not going

189
00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,080
to be perfect, but he's going.

190
00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:44,720
Speaker 3: To get a lot more right than wrong, and.

191
00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:47,200
Speaker 4: That's going to uncover so much value for us. Now,

192
00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:50,519
a couple of those overvalued undervalued teams I'm going to

193
00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:57,440
share right now, undervalued Gonzaga. Few are as undervalued as Gonzaga.

194
00:09:57,559 --> 00:10:00,679
Right now, they're going to be a top five team.

195
00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:05,159
Alabama I talked about Alabama. Alabama's now number eight. For me,

196
00:10:05,639 --> 00:10:08,120
I'm not even sure they're ranked in the AP. So

197
00:10:08,399 --> 00:10:13,240
Alabama's another team. Where else are we?

198
00:10:13,799 --> 00:10:14,320
Speaker 3: Tennessee?

199
00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:18,840
Speaker 4: Finally they're they're giving Tennessee some kind of respect. Tennessee's

200
00:10:18,879 --> 00:10:24,440
a top ten team, top ten team, and overvalued teams

201
00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:26,919
that they think are a lot better than I do.

202
00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:28,039
Speaker 3: Number one.

203
00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:32,159
Speaker 4: Start off obviously with Nebraska. We talked about Nebraska, how

204
00:10:32,440 --> 00:10:36,679
they're slowly dropping. They were six last week, tenth this week,

205
00:10:36,919 --> 00:10:38,600
and they're going to drop some more because they're not

206
00:10:38,639 --> 00:10:45,240
even in my top twenty. Another team, Kansas, Kansas finally

207
00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:48,919
dropping down to where they should be. Kansas was eighth

208
00:10:49,039 --> 00:10:52,279
last week, ninth last week, fourteenth, This week I have

209
00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:55,480
them thirteenth, so Kansas is getting back to where they

210
00:10:55,480 --> 00:11:00,399
should be. North Carolina overvalued. They got the me eleventh

211
00:11:00,480 --> 00:11:03,240
last week, eighteenth this week they're not even in the

212
00:11:03,279 --> 00:11:10,480
top twenty, so unc overvalued. Another overvalued team, Virginia Virginia

213
00:11:11,120 --> 00:11:16,159
another overvalued team. They have them eleventh right now, eleventh,

214
00:11:16,600 --> 00:11:20,279
barely in my top twenty, that Virginia team. And last,

215
00:11:20,320 --> 00:11:24,519
but not least, who else do we have. We talked

216
00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:26,399
about Iowa State, how they have them as a top

217
00:11:26,440 --> 00:11:28,840
five team, and I have them out of my top ten.

218
00:11:29,039 --> 00:11:33,200
So that's exactly where we find our value in college basketball,

219
00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:38,480
in NBA, in NHL, in college football, NFL, like I

220
00:11:38,519 --> 00:11:41,639
talked about in bed on It with Marco and Kelly

221
00:11:42,039 --> 00:11:45,279
all year. I have my own numbers for the games

222
00:11:45,639 --> 00:11:47,600
my side in my total. This is what I think

223
00:11:47,679 --> 00:11:50,480
the game should be based on my power ratings. As

224
00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:55,120
steam comes in. If it confirms, we fire. If it's opposite,

225
00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:58,559
I have a decision to make. And that's pretty much

226
00:11:58,559 --> 00:12:00,600
how I do it, and so far, so good man,

227
00:12:00,639 --> 00:12:05,120
and I urge all guys that are breaking in that

228
00:12:05,159 --> 00:12:08,200
are trying to turn become winning sports betters to try

229
00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:10,759
doing that, even with just the teams that they know

230
00:12:11,000 --> 00:12:14,200
or the sports that they follow. Most compare a line

231
00:12:14,279 --> 00:12:16,759
before you look up, like before you even looked at

232
00:12:17,039 --> 00:12:19,159
Duke n C State, before you even looked at Iowa

233
00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:22,159
State Arizona, Like, if you're betting college basketball in twenty

234
00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:26,080
twenty six, you already have an opinion on Arizona's and

235
00:12:26,159 --> 00:12:30,440
Iowa State. You should already have in your mind. Where's

236
00:12:30,480 --> 00:12:33,039
the game played at Arizona State? What's their home court advantage?

237
00:12:33,039 --> 00:12:33,360
Speaker 2: Okay?

238
00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:35,840
Speaker 4: How much better is one team than another? This is

239
00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:38,320
what I think the line should be. You should already

240
00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:41,440
have that so you have something to compare. You don't

241
00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:44,200
go into a car dealership without having an idea what

242
00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:46,200
the car is worth, right, because they're gonna tell you

243
00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:48,519
eighty thousand. You don't know if it's worth fifty or

244
00:12:48,519 --> 00:12:51,600
one hundred and twenty. You gotta have your own price

245
00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:54,840
when you're going to any any kind of market. If

246
00:12:54,840 --> 00:12:57,559
you're gonna buy bitcoin, you're gonna buy Tesla, you need

247
00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:01,120
to have an idea at what price do I want

248
00:13:01,159 --> 00:13:01,799
to get in at?

249
00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:04,919
Speaker 3: And with games, do the same thing. Create your own line.

250
00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:07,399
Speaker 4: Now you have something to compare. So that's how I

251
00:13:07,440 --> 00:13:09,840
work with these power ratings. So far, so good.

252
00:13:10,799 --> 00:13:13,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I mean the proof is in the putting,

253
00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:16,200
like he said, absolutely rolling here in college basketball guys.

254
00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:18,759
Obviously we give you the picks here on the show.

255
00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:21,039
But a segment like that that is worth its weight

256
00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:24,080
in gold, guys, so go back, clip that, rewind it.

257
00:13:24,159 --> 00:13:25,919
Speaker 2: Don't worry. We got a time stand for you.

258
00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:29,080
Speaker 1: VR breaking down his power rankings and it's relative to

259
00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:31,600
its standing here today. Who he thinks is overvalued, he

260
00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:34,120
thinks is undervalued. I couldn't think of a better way

261
00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:36,159
to kick off the week here, VR, brother, you gave

262
00:13:36,200 --> 00:13:39,120
him so much good shit here today. They need to

263
00:13:39,120 --> 00:13:41,759
head over to WT dot buzz backslash VR. What you

264
00:13:41,879 --> 00:13:42,320
what do you got?

265
00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:42,600
Speaker 2: Rocking?

266
00:13:42,639 --> 00:13:46,000
Speaker 1: You already gave away two client plays here, so obviously, folks,

267
00:13:46,039 --> 00:13:48,080
the soccer plays he's already given out here.

268
00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:49,679
Speaker 2: But what do you got rocking over at your page?

269
00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:52,440
Speaker 4: Brother, steam sheet is up. The steam sheet is up

270
00:13:52,799 --> 00:13:58,759
with NBA College Basketball and NHL. The premium play is

271
00:13:58,799 --> 00:14:02,399
an NHL best bet. I believe we're seven and two

272
00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:05,519
over the last nine on the steam sheet, so I'm

273
00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:08,600
very selective what I put out on those, but there's

274
00:14:09,159 --> 00:14:11,320
stuff in there for you guys to handicap. I'll be

275
00:14:11,399 --> 00:14:14,279
adding throughout the day. If I'm able to confirm any premiums,

276
00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:18,000
I'll put a package together. Otherwise, subscribers, you'll be getting stuff.

277
00:14:18,000 --> 00:14:20,799
Anyone that's partnered with me for twenty twenty six, you

278
00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:23,240
already know the game plan. We discussed it on Saturday

279
00:14:23,320 --> 00:14:26,440
in the steam room. She keep going to four hundred.

280
00:14:26,519 --> 00:14:28,679
That's the goal four hundred. That's when we double our

281
00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:32,639
bank roll. So goal four hundred and then we reassess.

282
00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:35,360
Until then, keep the head down, keep grinding. Thanks for

283
00:14:35,360 --> 00:14:35,759
having me on.

284
00:14:35,919 --> 00:14:39,720
Speaker 3: Best of luck this week. It's turning another profitable seven days.

285
00:14:40,159 --> 00:14:41,399
Speaker 2: Always a pleasure man.

286
00:14:41,519 --> 00:14:44,360
Speaker 1: No way a better way to start off obviously the

287
00:14:44,360 --> 00:14:47,360
week here than those breakdowns there, guys. Like I said,

288
00:14:47,679 --> 00:14:49,919
we timestamp these episodes, so you know, if you want

289
00:14:49,919 --> 00:14:52,320
to go back, you want to watch and rewatch and

290
00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:55,360
take a little notes there on who we're seeing value

291
00:14:55,399 --> 00:15:00,440
and maybe some overvalued options here. Great stuff there from VR.

292
00:15:00,559 --> 00:15:03,120
Got a question here from Steve. There's one game on

293
00:15:03,159 --> 00:15:04,000
the docket today.

294
00:15:04,559 --> 00:15:05,720
Speaker 2: I don't like it enough to bet it.

295
00:15:06,039 --> 00:15:08,960
Speaker 1: Over the weekend we ended up going I believe, three

296
00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:10,960
and one with our lacrosse plays. We gave you that

297
00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:15,600
free winner on Friday, another fading Syracuse angle and we

298
00:15:15,679 --> 00:15:19,120
got at home folks, another outright dog for you here

299
00:15:19,159 --> 00:15:22,600
with Princeton beating Syracuse. So there will be more action coming.

300
00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:25,240
Don't worry. This Thursday. I think we'll have a play

301
00:15:25,279 --> 00:15:28,519
that we like in the PL Championship Series, so appreciate it.

302
00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:30,519
Speaker 2: And yes, you got to keep your head up.

303
00:15:30,759 --> 00:15:33,080
Speaker 1: Keep your head down while you're grinding, but keep your

304
00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:36,840
head up when things aren't going quite right. All right, guys,

305
00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:40,440
let's bring in our favorite another great way to kick

306
00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:42,080
off a Monday, Bill.

307
00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:43,720
Speaker 2: Krakenberger in the house.

308
00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:44,080
Speaker 5: Bill.

309
00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:46,879
Speaker 1: We missed you last week, buddy. The comments were saying,

310
00:15:47,039 --> 00:15:50,639
where's our man crack? Now we got Monday with crack Man,

311
00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:53,200
how was the week off? I know you were you

312
00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,840
didn't have any time off, but it's good to see.

313
00:15:55,840 --> 00:16:00,519
Speaker 6: If I was traveling. I was down in Florida. I

314
00:16:00,559 --> 00:16:02,960
was cashing tickets at the hard Rock. I had some

315
00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:06,759
futures bets that I wanted to get cash from NFL

316
00:16:06,879 --> 00:16:09,679
season and I had. I was down there in December

317
00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:12,879
and bet a lot of props one weekend and I

318
00:16:12,960 --> 00:16:14,320
just had a lot of tickets. I wanted to get

319
00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:17,360
cashed in and maybe get some more. I actually did

320
00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:21,080
find a baseball bet down there. As a matter of fact,

321
00:16:21,399 --> 00:16:25,480
when I came back, I have been running around like crazy,

322
00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:29,360
just betting and betting and betting already. Usually I don't

323
00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:32,360
baseball futures are normally I'm not betting them. The middle

324
00:16:32,399 --> 00:16:35,960
of February, I was betting in them literally the last

325
00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:38,960
two weeks. So up at wagers talk, we have that

326
00:16:39,559 --> 00:16:43,080
up there for you, some great season wins. And when

327
00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:46,639
I say that, you know, guys, it's a way to

328
00:16:46,799 --> 00:16:49,559
bet and have action all year long.

329
00:16:49,679 --> 00:16:50,799
Speaker 2: But I don't do it for that.

330
00:16:51,039 --> 00:16:53,320
Speaker 6: I do it because I have a mathematical edge. I

331
00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:59,879
have destroyed, destroyed regular season wins over the years, especially

332
00:16:59,879 --> 00:17:02,519
in baseball. Some really good stuff up there. I think

333
00:17:02,559 --> 00:17:06,680
we have a package of at least four. I only

334
00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:08,799
got five, so at least four of them. I think

335
00:17:08,839 --> 00:17:12,359
we given away. No, actually we did. We gave away five.

336
00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:14,720
I'll give you guys a free one here. Actually the

337
00:17:14,759 --> 00:17:17,680
first one we gave was only the only reason why

338
00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:19,680
I'm saying I give you a free one here, because

339
00:17:20,759 --> 00:17:23,640
I don't see this number really moving. As a matter

340
00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:25,559
of fact, let me check right, let me check again.

341
00:17:25,599 --> 00:17:29,480
It's amazing that I actually went over to MGM and

342
00:17:29,519 --> 00:17:31,319
bet this, but I don't want to give out. I'll

343
00:17:31,319 --> 00:17:36,039
never give out a stale line to anybody. So yeah, MGM,

344
00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:37,559
I bet a lot of money on it. I was

345
00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:41,200
shocked they did not move. It seems like, MGM. Out

346
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:42,920
of all the books I play, if I play something

347
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:45,880
at Circa or Westgate, oh god, they.

348
00:17:45,839 --> 00:17:46,920
Speaker 2: Overmoved the lines.

349
00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:49,359
Speaker 6: And I understand I actually would overmove and try to

350
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:52,839
get customers on the other side. But MGM, let me

351
00:17:52,839 --> 00:17:55,920
just see what the unbelievable. I cannot believe the astros is.

352
00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:58,480
So I know what you guys probably can't. Did this

353
00:17:58,519 --> 00:18:02,359
is MGM, there's the astros right there, it's still eighty

354
00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:03,440
six and a half.

355
00:18:04,839 --> 00:18:05,599
Speaker 2: At MGM.

356
00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:08,359
Speaker 6: I bet under just to let you got the guys know,

357
00:18:08,759 --> 00:18:13,000
I bet under and it's it's still available there. So

358
00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,680
just just to see that and just to let you know,

359
00:18:15,759 --> 00:18:18,599
I put my money where my mouth is. There is

360
00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:22,359
a copy of my ticket after betting five thousand.

361
00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:26,319
Speaker 2: You think they would I'm pretty shocked.

362
00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:28,039
Speaker 6: I can't believe they wouldn't move that.

363
00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,240
Speaker 2: So yeah, but I say, I'm pretty shocked.

364
00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:33,359
Speaker 6: The reason why I'm giving that one that freebe out

365
00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:36,559
to the customers will tell you why. The Astros is

366
00:18:36,599 --> 00:18:38,720
one of those teams. Listen, they're not the Dodgers, they're

367
00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:40,440
not the Yankees. They're not going to be getting all

368
00:18:40,559 --> 00:18:45,000
that volume that that that the Dodgers and Yankees people

369
00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:46,480
give the sports books.

370
00:18:46,839 --> 00:18:47,920
Speaker 2: However, the Astros.

371
00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,920
Speaker 6: People love to bet overs on the Astros typically in

372
00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:55,599
the playoffs, you know, World Series team, playoff team, So

373
00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:56,640
people like betting over.

374
00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:59,640
Speaker 2: It's possible that over there at.

375
00:18:59,559 --> 00:19:02,519
Speaker 6: MGM, they just said, hey, people are gonna come in

376
00:19:02,599 --> 00:19:05,440
on the over and we're gonna leave it alone.

377
00:19:05,519 --> 00:19:07,160
Speaker 2: Matter of fact, MGM was the only place.

378
00:19:08,279 --> 00:19:10,559
Speaker 6: Yeah, they're the only place that has the Dodgers at

379
00:19:10,559 --> 00:19:12,599
one olds three and a half too. I didn't bet

380
00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:15,759
that yet. I was kind of thinking some square books

381
00:19:15,759 --> 00:19:16,279
would have one.

382
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:16,920
Speaker 5: Of those three and a half.

383
00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:18,400
Speaker 6: I'm seeing one o two and a half. I even

384
00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:21,519
see one of those three flat. But uh, it's just

385
00:19:21,599 --> 00:19:24,640
it's hard for a team to win one hundred and

386
00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:27,039
four games. Matter of fact, there's a bet at Draft Kings.

387
00:19:27,079 --> 00:19:29,079
Of course I can't bet that here in Las Vegas.

388
00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:34,000
There's a bet available at DraftKings will any team win

389
00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:38,000
one hundred and four and a half. It's actually unbelievable

390
00:19:38,079 --> 00:19:40,359
that that will any team win in one oh four

391
00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:42,240
and a half or more. So, yeah, now you're rooting

392
00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:45,680
against any team in baseball one hundred and five. You're

393
00:19:45,759 --> 00:19:50,480
laying a dollar five on the under. Unfortunately for me

394
00:19:50,759 --> 00:19:54,839
living in Las Vegas, I can't bet DraftKings. And even

395
00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:58,559
if I was over there at Foxwood's when I got off,

396
00:19:58,599 --> 00:20:01,839
Arabison said something bad about I guess I said something bad.

397
00:20:01,839 --> 00:20:04,200
I talk good and bad about all the companies, and

398
00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:07,039
you just tell the truth. I was talking about DraftKings.

399
00:20:07,799 --> 00:20:12,519
Their their rule where if a starting running running back

400
00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,200
gets taken out of the game and he's not he

401
00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:18,720
doesn't start. If you have a backup running back over.

402
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,920
They have an option to cancel your ticket. And I said,

403
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:24,799
that's that's horrible that the idea is us doing the

404
00:20:24,839 --> 00:20:28,039
research of finding out that reading the Beat reporter stuff,

405
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:30,920
and they put that out there to all their customers

406
00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:33,240
saying we have a right to cancel your bets if

407
00:20:33,319 --> 00:20:35,599
a starter goes down. So I just talked about him

408
00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:39,079
on Vison and I got a call. I get off

409
00:20:39,079 --> 00:20:41,039
of Theson at ten ten o'clock. At ten oh one,

410
00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:45,519
my phone rings. It's my host from a casino. It's like, hey,

411
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:48,119
DraftKings just called me and told me to get a

412
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:49,599
hold of you and say you're not allowed to bet

413
00:20:49,599 --> 00:20:51,640
more than two hundred and fifty bucks at our property.

414
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:51,880
Speaker 1: Now.

415
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:55,440
Speaker 6: I was like what, He's like, Yeah, they listened to me.

416
00:20:55,839 --> 00:20:58,000
So their office is over on Durango.

417
00:20:58,359 --> 00:21:01,079
Speaker 2: For literally pointing out it's like, dude, what do we doing?

418
00:21:01,079 --> 00:21:02,039
This is like a rule.

419
00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:05,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, And you didn't even say, hey, go hammer this book.

420
00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:07,680
You didn't even say, hey, they have a stale line.

421
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:09,640
All you said was, hey, I think this rule is

422
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:11,000
kind of bullshit, which it is.

423
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:13,880
Speaker 6: But you know, I talked let me and let me dan,

424
00:21:14,559 --> 00:21:16,240
I talk good and bad about the book.

425
00:21:16,319 --> 00:21:18,480
Speaker 2: So I say, hey, I hear DraftKings.

426
00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 6: They were taking a thousand dollars at resorts in Atlantic

427
00:21:20,759 --> 00:21:23,359
City for me. They were taking two thousands of Foxwoods.

428
00:21:23,359 --> 00:21:25,680
That's the DraftKings off. And they were very good to me.

429
00:21:25,799 --> 00:21:27,759
I beat them for a hell of a lot of money.

430
00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:30,839
They were very very good to me on some futures

431
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:33,319
and stuff. They were very good. I talked, you know,

432
00:21:33,799 --> 00:21:35,680
and then I just talked about the rule they had.

433
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:37,359
I thought it was bad. I didn't go after them

434
00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:39,960
with vile. I didn't, you know, go. I just said,

435
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:43,799
this is ridiculous, because how can you bet an NFL

436
00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:48,000
prop on a secondary running back and if the starting

437
00:21:48,079 --> 00:21:51,599
running back doesn't play, if he's questionable. Now they could say, hey,

438
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:55,119
the line on the backup running back was only twenty

439
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:57,400
three and a half and now it's thirty five and

440
00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,799
a half. Yeah, no good, we cancel your over bet.

441
00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:02,359
I just thought it was bad and they called me

442
00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:04,960
and right after and said I'm not welcome. It's basically

443
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:07,720
it's a bet more than toy. I'm not allowed to

444
00:22:07,759 --> 00:22:10,359
bet on the app. You' about ten dollars, Like a

445
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:12,720
lot of people get limited, you know, Dan number one

446
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:15,359
problem in this is if you've asked me the number

447
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:19,480
one problem in this industry, it's that people in risk,

448
00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:24,279
not their bosses, not the management, not especially not in

449
00:22:24,319 --> 00:22:27,680
the board of directors and the big CEOs. They don't

450
00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:33,240
know anything about this. People in risk limit or throw

451
00:22:33,279 --> 00:22:35,799
out squares gods.

452
00:22:36,079 --> 00:22:37,759
Speaker 2: And here here's what I can tell you.

453
00:22:37,759 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 5: Bill.

454
00:22:38,079 --> 00:22:40,079
Speaker 1: It's so funny that you said that, because you know,

455
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:42,039
and not to be smirch anyone, but you were just

456
00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:44,799
talking about that astros under right. So what was I

457
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:46,960
doing you were talking? I go over to bed MGM,

458
00:22:47,039 --> 00:22:48,839
I go to just I'm not a big time better.

459
00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:49,440
Speaker 2: You know what I mean.

460
00:22:49,519 --> 00:22:52,119
Speaker 1: I'm what would be described as a public better. You know,

461
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:54,960
I'm I'm this is this is what I do. You know,

462
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,039
obviously I do it to build my bankroll. I do

463
00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,480
it in a professional sense. But I'm a I'm a square,

464
00:22:59,519 --> 00:23:01,759
I'm a or you know, I'm I'm a public guy.

465
00:23:02,079 --> 00:23:04,880
So I took your under your under they were posting

466
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:06,799
eighty six and a half. I just went to go

467
00:23:06,839 --> 00:23:09,720
throw fifty bucks on it. This was my approved stake.

468
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:11,559
I don't know if you could see it, you probably can't.

469
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:13,400
It was six months I got I was able to

470
00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:15,480
put six seventy nine cents.

471
00:23:15,799 --> 00:23:20,440
Speaker 6: Now now that I'm guessing that these sports books that

472
00:23:20,519 --> 00:23:25,240
do this, the reason is maybe like a Gianni or

473
00:23:25,279 --> 00:23:28,839
myself throughout the year, gave you a play, or gave

474
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:29,200
someone a.

475
00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:33,039
Speaker 1: Play, someone's beard in their account or something, line move

476
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:36,440
or something, and and it moved instantly, and and uh,

477
00:23:36,759 --> 00:23:40,039
but that is our goal is to is to to

478
00:23:40,079 --> 00:23:41,640
beat the lines and get ahead of them.

479
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:47,400
Speaker 6: So it's it's it's someone sometimes though, this is what happens,

480
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:52,920
not not sometimes more often than not, someone in risk

481
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:58,000
that's working there. We'll just say, freak this guy, he beat.

482
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 2: Us out on soccer play last week. I'm gonna I'm limiting.

483
00:24:00,759 --> 00:24:03,640
Speaker 6: And they don't have to even put their their name

484
00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:04,799
in there or who did it.

485
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:05,960
Speaker 2: No one even knows who did it.

486
00:24:06,039 --> 00:24:08,519
Speaker 6: Just someone at risk says they're not beating us on

487
00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:12,599
my shift. And then I'll go to the directors or

488
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:15,359
I'll go to someone up top that I know, and

489
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:18,720
they are furious that this happens, curious because they don't

490
00:24:18,759 --> 00:24:21,160
even know, because they're like, I am losing my job

491
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:23,119
over this shit, you know what I mean, So that

492
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:23,799
the higher.

493
00:24:23,599 --> 00:24:26,400
Speaker 2: Ups don't even know it's going on. That's risk making,

494
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:27,640
you know, twenty five bucks an hour.

495
00:24:27,759 --> 00:24:30,480
Speaker 6: He just got get mad that people are betting on

496
00:24:30,599 --> 00:24:34,039
his shift. Just I'm using the word betting, just betting.

497
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,559
They're they're they're doing it. So this guy his job

498
00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:40,200
is to take bets, but he doesn't want to take bets.

499
00:24:40,599 --> 00:24:44,920
This goes for many sportsbooks, even in this town. Absolutely

500
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:46,880
crazy that this happens.

501
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:47,160
Speaker 2: Now.

502
00:24:47,519 --> 00:24:50,319
Speaker 6: Now, it just so happens that I know someone high up,

503
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:53,880
and I'll tell him, you know, hey, this happened, this

504
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:58,119
happ and he'll this guy is the director. There's nobody

505
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,960
higher He's the director. He's ahead of all the risk guys.

506
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:04,240
He has, you know, fifty five employees.

507
00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:07,119
Speaker 2: He says, what what do you mean?

508
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:09,519
Speaker 6: And and he you know, and he's like, you know,

509
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:12,480
I wish I knew who's doing this at my company.

510
00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:15,000
I wish I knew who actually did it at.

511
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:16,200
Speaker 2: What time so I could say.

512
00:25:16,839 --> 00:25:18,759
Speaker 6: But he'll go in the meetings and say, hey, guys,

513
00:25:19,279 --> 00:25:24,319
our our job is to take volume volume, volume volume

514
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:29,000
and volume volume. And you guys, someone is turning off

515
00:25:29,319 --> 00:25:34,519
Joe Public's accounts and limiting him to pennies. And it's

516
00:25:34,559 --> 00:25:37,200
just it's out of control. And it's it's it's literally

517
00:25:37,279 --> 00:25:41,680
a blanket statement across the entire industry. But yeah, they

518
00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:44,960
could develop some kind of software where it says, you know,

519
00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:48,160
if you worked there, Dan Alexander.

520
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, like their employee I D number or whatever.

521
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:53,319
Speaker 6: Employer ID number limited to ten bucks, you know, like,

522
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:55,400
and then you'll find out why.

523
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 2: Stand by it, stand by it if you make the decision,

524
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:02,200
stand by you know. Yeah. No, My big thing is

525
00:26:02,519 --> 00:26:05,480
you shouldn't even do that. Just hire people like we

526
00:26:05,599 --> 00:26:06,799
hire people. I have a payroll.

527
00:26:07,039 --> 00:26:10,480
Speaker 6: I have a payroll every single month that I pay

528
00:26:10,599 --> 00:26:13,720
people to literally get my information.

529
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:15,160
Speaker 2: You know.

530
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:17,119
Speaker 6: We have a guy that does all he does is read,

531
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:20,039
So he reads all the scouting reports, he reads all

532
00:26:20,039 --> 00:26:23,920
the beat reporters. Why can't DraftKings and the big companies,

533
00:26:24,319 --> 00:26:26,759
Why can't they just hire someone, you know, for twenty

534
00:26:26,799 --> 00:26:30,359
five because Bill the different The difference is Bill, you're

535
00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:31,960
not beholden to shareholders.

536
00:26:32,079 --> 00:26:35,440
Speaker 1: You're you're beholden to Bill Krackenberger. That's that's that's the

537
00:26:35,519 --> 00:26:39,599
difference there, man. And good question here from our man Jeffrey,

538
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:42,359
because obviously, hey, folks, crack already gave you out a

539
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:44,599
free play in some MLB Future Action. If you want

540
00:26:44,599 --> 00:26:46,359
his other ones, go head on over to his page

541
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:48,440
to get it. But he gave you a Houston Astros

542
00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:52,039
under looking to fade the Astros this year. We got

543
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:55,400
Jeffrey asking any NBA props tonight. You know, Mondays, We

544
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:56,720
always like grabbing.

545
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:58,880
Speaker 2: A prop from you man. Anything you fire in on

546
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:00,680
is what already this morning.

547
00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:03,720
Speaker 6: Props are doing really good, up up over twenty units

548
00:27:04,079 --> 00:27:07,440
on the season. NBA props twenty pointy four units. Let's

549
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:10,079
go jokeick over ten and a half assists. Just want

550
00:27:10,079 --> 00:27:12,440
to make sure the line exists mine minus one twenty.

551
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:16,559
Speaker 2: Okay, that's first. The Jazz in the back to back

552
00:27:16,599 --> 00:27:17,559
situation after.

553
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 6: A tough game verst the Timberwolves here last night, he

554
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:24,519
should be a little more passive. It's funny I had him.

555
00:27:24,599 --> 00:27:28,160
I had him over points yesterday over twenty nine and

556
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,920
a half and a half and twenty nine and if

557
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:32,880
he had thirty five. But yet I lean to the

558
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:34,839
dog in that game. I think they don't do NBA game.

559
00:27:34,839 --> 00:27:37,759
It's kind of hard to win both, but I did.

560
00:27:37,839 --> 00:27:41,279
Actually so again the Jazz that they just don't have

561
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:44,160
a good center to really guard him a.

562
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,400
Speaker 2: Good at any double since there in tank mode.

563
00:27:46,839 --> 00:27:49,240
Speaker 6: Yeah, the Jokers should hit this number. I think by

564
00:27:49,279 --> 00:27:51,160
the third quarter. He might not play if it's a

565
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:52,880
fourth quarter. If it's a blowout though.

566
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:57,319
Speaker 1: That rebounds again Bill, right, yeah, oh assists assists, Oh assists.

567
00:27:57,319 --> 00:27:59,480
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, sorry, I miss I misheard you there. So yeah,

568
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:01,279
so we're looking at joke assists.

569
00:28:01,559 --> 00:28:05,279
Speaker 1: Headn't over looked into dish the rock a little bit there, So.

570
00:28:05,319 --> 00:28:09,920
Speaker 6: Dan, I put out a tweet yesterday on Twitter, and

571
00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:12,319
I'll get these once in a while. I've had, like

572
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:13,680
if I had asked my if I had to go

573
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:17,400
by my top tweets, I've had one that was fourteen million.

574
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,279
I've had at least half a dozen up to five million.

575
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:21,839
Speaker 2: But so last.

576
00:28:21,839 --> 00:28:23,680
Speaker 6: Yesterday I put it in and by the way, it's

577
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:26,519
at Bill Krackman on Twitter. B I L L K

578
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,160
R A C K M A N. So I put

579
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:31,559
a tweet out on Twitter last night. It was just

580
00:28:31,599 --> 00:28:33,759
a photo and I was down in Florida of the

581
00:28:33,839 --> 00:28:36,839
inside of one of the machines. There's an arrow there

582
00:28:37,279 --> 00:28:41,880
pointing eighty three point nine per eighty three point nine

583
00:28:42,079 --> 00:28:47,039
six payback percentage, the payback percentage of the machine and

584
00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:50,119
I you know, listen, people say, well, you're supposed to

585
00:28:50,119 --> 00:28:51,640
take a phot Listen. The machine was open, it was

586
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:54,160
right next to me. I just snapped the photo. I

587
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:57,359
know that I said the word motherboard, but it wasn't.

588
00:28:57,440 --> 00:28:59,960
It's not a motherboard, but it's you know, the listing

589
00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:02,799
of everything that goes on inside the machine.

590
00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:03,599
Speaker 2: So I took a.

591
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 6: Photo of that, and I was shocked when I loomed

592
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:08,880
in on it and seen eighty three point nine six.

593
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:12,119
I mean, they are just hitting everyone over the head

594
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:15,200
with a hammer and stealing your money down there in

595
00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:18,599
Florida eighty three point nine six. Anyway, over one point

596
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:21,559
three million reviews on this one so far, eight hundred

597
00:29:21,559 --> 00:29:24,799
and thirty six comments, And now I want to read

598
00:29:24,839 --> 00:29:26,920
it to you. The reason why I said this is

599
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:29,079
a recent photo of the inside the motherboard of a

600
00:29:29,119 --> 00:29:31,519
slot machine. The casinos are squeezing the public and making

601
00:29:31,559 --> 00:29:34,599
the RTP, which is the return to player on the machines,

602
00:29:34,599 --> 00:29:37,240
lower and lower this machine eighty three point nine six.

603
00:29:37,279 --> 00:29:39,759
You almost have no chance of winning this on a

604
00:29:39,839 --> 00:29:42,720
machine this low. Every single time you push the button,

605
00:29:43,279 --> 00:29:46,599
you lose forty five cents on every three dollars five

606
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,119
hundred spins per hour two hundred and twenty five hundred

607
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:52,480
spins two hundred and twenty five dollars an hour. You know,

608
00:29:53,039 --> 00:29:55,000
So I said, they're draining our pockets. I wanted to

609
00:29:55,039 --> 00:29:57,880
show people how bad some of the machine payouts are

610
00:29:58,119 --> 00:30:04,640
penny machines. The responses comical, absolutely comical. I did not

611
00:30:04,839 --> 00:30:08,039
expect that, you know, I had. What were they saying,

612
00:30:08,519 --> 00:30:10,559
Oh my god, is eight hundred and thirty six So

613
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:14,400
far half of them are attacking me, like they're saying

614
00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:16,720
to me, and I'm trying to tell people how, you know,

615
00:30:16,839 --> 00:30:20,319
just show them that's what I do. Listen, I'm unfiltered.

616
00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:22,599
I'll go after casinos and sports books if I feel

617
00:30:22,599 --> 00:30:24,400
they're not doing the public right or if they're not

618
00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:28,799
trying to be fair. So I put these things up there,

619
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:31,599
and people were saying, you didn't know this. Are you

620
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:34,480
new to gambling? You don't realize that. And some people said,

621
00:30:34,599 --> 00:30:36,640
every game in the casino is eighty four percent, Like

622
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:36,960
they have.

623
00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:38,599
Speaker 2: No they have no clue.

624
00:30:38,279 --> 00:30:40,519
Speaker 6: They don't know, like you know, they don't know that

625
00:30:40,559 --> 00:30:42,960
blackjacks one and a half percent or whatever, you know, whatever,

626
00:30:43,079 --> 00:30:44,599
the video poker could be half a percent.

627
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:45,640
Speaker 2: They don't know anything.

628
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:48,480
Speaker 6: They just love to respond because they're on their anonymity

629
00:30:48,799 --> 00:30:53,119
and talking about gambling. But some of the responses were like,

630
00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:56,720
this is the reason why you should never gamble and

631
00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:01,119
but but the responses that came after me were more funny,

632
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:06,039
I tell you. People were saying like, uh, you know, yeah,

633
00:31:06,119 --> 00:31:09,359
thanks thanks for sharing this, genius, welcome to the world,

634
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:13,720
like I mean like and other people were saying, this

635
00:31:13,759 --> 00:31:16,440
is why you can't gamble. The machines are fixed. No

636
00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:19,319
one's saying that things are fixed. I'm just saying fixed

637
00:31:19,359 --> 00:31:23,640
is the biggest thing now because of these recent NBA

638
00:31:23,759 --> 00:31:27,839
idiots that have you know, fixed their props and and

639
00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:31,319
the poker games. So now everyone thinks everything if they lose,

640
00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:34,880
no matter what, it couldn't be because of their intelligence

641
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:38,559
level and them just going overboard and closet gambling, and it.

642
00:31:38,519 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 2: Has to be something was fixed. I'm supposed to win.

643
00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:43,680
Speaker 6: I won Monopoly with my father and checkers when I

644
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:45,720
was a kid. I could beat this, like, you know,

645
00:31:46,119 --> 00:31:49,559
like it really is funny though, But you know, I

646
00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:54,599
like this response from one of the guys though, Ice Schoon,

647
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:57,400
who's been around a long time. Twenty nineteen, I'd beat

648
00:31:57,440 --> 00:31:58,880
cancer I'm really great.

649
00:31:58,920 --> 00:31:59,119
Speaker 5: Guy.

650
00:32:00,119 --> 00:32:02,640
Speaker 6: Are out there, Bob Stupak and Betty Benyon are rolling

651
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:06,680
in their graz Vegas hotels. Casinos should give every uh

652
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,359
should give you give everyone k why jelly when they enter,

653
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:11,640
to minimize the pain when you get When this gets

654
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:14,519
shoved up here, you know why playing these odds expected

655
00:32:14,559 --> 00:32:17,119
to win. But the reason why he's saying Bob Stupak

656
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:20,559
and Benny Binyon, you know Betty Benyon's philosophy was give

657
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:23,640
him a good drink, a good gamble, good meal, show

658
00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:26,240
him a good time and they'll always be loyal and

659
00:32:26,279 --> 00:32:28,839
come back to you. Bob Stupak, he was, you know,

660
00:32:29,559 --> 00:32:32,400
Vegas World and in the stratosphere. He came in. I

661
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:34,720
got to meet him a couple of times. I know

662
00:32:34,799 --> 00:32:38,759
his son gave people a good gamble, gave them some

663
00:32:38,799 --> 00:32:41,279
good deals. Come in town. We're gonna pick up this

664
00:32:41,359 --> 00:32:43,960
for you. We promise you, we're gonna like three hundred

665
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:45,839
bucks including your air for his is back when I

666
00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:49,160
was reading the old TV guys. He would bring people

667
00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:51,599
in and say, oh, three hundred dollars, I'll pay for

668
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:52,759
your airfare and everything.

669
00:32:53,039 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 2: You stay at our casino. You put two.

670
00:32:54,599 --> 00:32:56,400
Speaker 6: Thousands in the cage and you get your three hundred

671
00:32:56,400 --> 00:33:00,079
dollars back. Was just good deals and stuff. But I

672
00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:02,400
know I can go off on tangents on all different things. Dan,

673
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:04,799
I'm glad I got to share some time when you

674
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:08,480
talk about a couple of things on my Twitter and

675
00:33:08,519 --> 00:33:10,200
talk about some baseball I wasn't even planning to give

676
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:11,039
it out the baseball future.

677
00:33:11,079 --> 00:33:13,279
Speaker 2: The reason why I will take it. You may get it.

678
00:33:13,319 --> 00:33:16,279
Speaker 6: You may get a better price on that even towards

679
00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:19,119
maybe towards the season when it starts, because you know,

680
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:21,920
if people love betting the Astros over listen, I just

681
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:24,759
showed you that I bet five thousand MGM and I

682
00:33:24,839 --> 00:33:27,559
just showed you the ticket and they still haven't moved

683
00:33:27,559 --> 00:33:28,799
a line eighty six and a half.

684
00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 2: So yeah, there you have it.

685
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:33,720
Speaker 1: Bill, always a pleasure man. Thank you so much. We

686
00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:34,720
were very happy to.

687
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:35,039
Speaker 2: Have you back.

688
00:33:35,079 --> 00:33:35,240
Speaker 5: Man.

689
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:36,160
Speaker 2: We'll see you next Monday.

690
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:36,599
Speaker 1: You end up.

691
00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:38,079
Speaker 2: Best of luck until then, brother.

692
00:33:38,039 --> 00:33:39,720
Speaker 6: Thanks guys, Thanks everyone for listening.

693
00:33:40,279 --> 00:33:41,000
Speaker 5: Appreciate you.

694
00:33:41,079 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 1: That's Bill crack and Burger Bill crack Man on Twitter.

695
00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:47,480
That's right, real quick, guys, Steve Merrill coming on here

696
00:33:47,519 --> 00:33:49,079
in just a few minutes. We're going to talk three

697
00:33:49,119 --> 00:33:52,160
basketball games for you, two on the hardwood going in

698
00:33:52,359 --> 00:33:55,079
college basketball game tonight. The questions you've been asking all

699
00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:57,440
chat long about that Duke NC State game.

700
00:33:57,720 --> 00:33:59,440
Speaker 2: Steve's gonna answer those questions for you.

701
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:01,599
Speaker 1: But you saw Yanni there at the top, and you

702
00:34:01,599 --> 00:34:03,319
saw Crackman at the top, like these.

703
00:34:03,119 --> 00:34:05,759
Speaker 2: Are two men who are institutions in.

704
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:08,639
Speaker 1: Las Vegas, and another one we have on roster over

705
00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:11,639
at wager talk dot Com is Las Vegas Chris.

706
00:34:11,639 --> 00:34:13,800
Speaker 2: He couldn't be called Las Vegas Chris if he wasn't

707
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:14,519
an institution.

708
00:34:14,679 --> 00:34:14,920
Speaker 5: There.

709
00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:18,920
Speaker 1: Great deal going right now, folks, where thirty days you

710
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:22,599
can get a combo of these guys Yanni, Crackman, LVC.

711
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:25,639
And not only do you get that, we're also throwing

712
00:34:25,679 --> 00:34:30,480
in thirty days of all access here to odds Logic.

713
00:34:30,559 --> 00:34:33,239
And if you ever never used odds logic before, folks, here,

714
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:34,599
I'll pull it up here and show you on the

715
00:34:34,599 --> 00:34:37,360
screen of what we're looking at here. You know, this

716
00:34:37,519 --> 00:34:40,480
is just an incredible tool that so much of us

717
00:34:40,639 --> 00:34:43,119
use when we have, you know, the access to it.

718
00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:46,000
But you see here it's given you all across. You

719
00:34:46,039 --> 00:34:48,519
can choose what these books are right here at the

720
00:34:48,559 --> 00:34:50,159
top so the ones that I have up, I like

721
00:34:50,199 --> 00:34:52,840
having some Vegas books up. So I got South Point,

722
00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:55,599
I got Circa, and I got the super Book, and

723
00:34:55,639 --> 00:34:57,400
then the other ones that I have up. You know,

724
00:34:57,480 --> 00:34:59,920
I like some global market kind of stuff. And then

725
00:35:00,039 --> 00:35:02,280
I obviously do the ones that I can bet at,

726
00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:04,639
which is you know, a fan duel of DraftKings. It

727
00:35:04,679 --> 00:35:07,119
tells you the current lines you can always be making

728
00:35:07,159 --> 00:35:09,480
sure you're getting the best bet. It's also telling you

729
00:35:09,519 --> 00:35:12,119
an I or you know, a combination of what you're

730
00:35:12,119 --> 00:35:15,320
getting on ticket splits on money splits. So this Odds

731
00:35:15,360 --> 00:35:18,440
Logic tool is worth its waiting gold alone. You can

732
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,199
try it out for thirty three thirty days for free

733
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:23,880
adding on to all access with these guys. So that's

734
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,760
at any of their pages WT DO, buzz Backslash, VR,

735
00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:31,039
crack Man or LVC is where you can get any

736
00:35:31,079 --> 00:35:33,880
one of those. So info for that deal is on

737
00:35:33,920 --> 00:35:37,360
their page. But check that out, folks highly suggest that

738
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:41,400
for sure, and with no further ado, let's shut it

739
00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:44,199
down with one of our faves here, Steve Merrill in

740
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:46,840
the house. Andy's under the weather, so I've been when

741
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:49,559
Andy's away, I'll play Steve. You know we've been. We've

742
00:35:49,559 --> 00:35:52,960
been hitting everything we've been getting. We got two soccer

743
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:55,280
plays out of Yannie. I was able to squeeze a

744
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:57,679
future out of bills. So how you do it today

745
00:35:57,719 --> 00:35:58,239
on this Monday?

746
00:35:58,280 --> 00:35:59,800
Speaker 2: Man? People are excited you're on brother.

747
00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:00,559
Speaker 5: Yeah.

748
00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:02,440
Speaker 7: See, I'm not gonna get any soccer out of me,

749
00:36:02,760 --> 00:36:05,760
and I haven't really looked at too much baseball yet,

750
00:36:06,079 --> 00:36:08,480
but we are definitely locked into basketball, like you said,

751
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:09,559
and we got some good games.

752
00:36:10,440 --> 00:36:11,280
Speaker 5: Yeah. You know, it's funny.

753
00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:14,039
Speaker 7: Last week, Dan, the only two games in the rotation

754
00:36:14,119 --> 00:36:16,079
were the two ESPN games. We did the hit here

755
00:36:16,119 --> 00:36:18,239
and I think that video got over in nine thousand views,

756
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:21,079
which like doubled any of the other free play videos

757
00:36:21,079 --> 00:36:24,679
that week. So people definitely like the standalone Monday games,

758
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:26,679
the big Monday ESPN games for sure.

759
00:36:27,519 --> 00:36:30,360
Speaker 1: Well, Steve, we'll circle back some other stuff. I want

760
00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:32,079
to kick around with you, but let's get into those

761
00:36:32,119 --> 00:36:34,199
games because people have been asking about them, you know,

762
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:36,440
all show long here, so I'll turn it over to you.

763
00:36:36,519 --> 00:36:39,239
We'll kick off here with the Duke Blue Devils taking

764
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:41,320
on the NC State wolf Pack.

765
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:42,880
Speaker 2: And I'm looking on my Odds logic screen.

766
00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:45,400
Speaker 1: We're seeing nine and a half painted the total is

767
00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:48,360
where I guess we're seeing a little bit more discrepancy,

768
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:49,480
but it's one forty eight and a half.

769
00:36:49,519 --> 00:36:50,920
Speaker 2: It's one forty seven and a half.

770
00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:53,800
Speaker 1: So Duke Blue Devils, NC State wolf Pack the other

771
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:56,760
game we're gonna hit obviously, guys, this Iowa State in Arizona.

772
00:36:56,800 --> 00:36:59,199
But kick it off Hirst here with the wolf Pack

773
00:36:59,239 --> 00:37:01,159
taking on the Blue delam.

774
00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:02,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, Duke's a really good team. You know.

775
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:04,960
Speaker 7: All season long, I've been saying I think Michigan probably

776
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:07,079
the team to beat because they're so strong down low

777
00:37:07,119 --> 00:37:10,079
from two point range, both offensively and defensively. But I

778
00:37:10,119 --> 00:37:12,519
did like Duke as a live dog a few saturdays ago,

779
00:37:12,519 --> 00:37:14,239
and I mentioned that in my top twenty five video.

780
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:15,800
The other thing I mentioned in that video was the

781
00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:18,360
under that was actually the official play, which did cash

782
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:21,679
and I mentioned that Michigan over Duke under somewhat correlated.

783
00:37:21,679 --> 00:37:23,639
So I think this Duke team is really good. In fact,

784
00:37:23,679 --> 00:37:25,360
I right now would rate Michigan to Duke. It's the

785
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:27,880
best two teams in the country. So this is a

786
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:30,840
tough test for NC State here, but it is a

787
00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:33,440
live home dog here. It's a feisty NC State team

788
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:36,639
that could definitely hang this evening, not necessarily asking him

789
00:37:36,639 --> 00:37:38,159
to win the game out right, but at nineteen and

790
00:37:38,199 --> 00:37:40,840
ten straight up, ten and six in the conference, can

791
00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:43,679
they do enough to keep this game close. The only

792
00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:46,480
time they've met this season as well, so it's the

793
00:37:46,519 --> 00:37:48,840
first meeting here in NC State comes in losing four

794
00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:52,320
their last five include an overtime loss against Notre Dame

795
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:55,559
on the road Saturday, quick turnaround return home, so not

796
00:37:55,599 --> 00:37:58,599
a great setup for that reason. Duke meanwhile comes in

797
00:37:58,639 --> 00:38:00,840
here twenty seven and two, now fifteen in one of

798
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:02,239
the conference. To keep in mind, they are only two

799
00:38:02,280 --> 00:38:04,400
losses this year. This is how good they are. Was

800
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:06,840
a neutral court loss against Texas Tech by a single

801
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:09,480
point and then also a three point road loss at

802
00:38:09,519 --> 00:38:13,039
North Carolina just under a month ago in early February.

803
00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:15,880
Really strong team in excellent current form, and there's been

804
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:19,239
no letdown since that Michigan win, that upset win two

805
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:21,360
saturdays ago. They came back and beat Notre Dame by

806
00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:25,079
forty four and then beat Virginia by twenty six. Really

807
00:38:25,119 --> 00:38:27,760
impressive win against UVA, and they've got that big revenge

808
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,800
look ahead game this Saturday, by the way, to finish

809
00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:35,039
the regular season. Against North Carolina, so possibly a little

810
00:38:35,079 --> 00:38:36,679
bit of a flat spot, even though it's a national

811
00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:39,480
TV game here for Duke. One thing I'll point out

812
00:38:39,519 --> 00:38:41,760
is both teams take a lot of three point shots,

813
00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:43,920
and both defenses give up a lot of three So

814
00:38:43,920 --> 00:38:46,840
instead of trying to guess which side's more focus which

815
00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:49,440
one might have the letdown, let's look at the total here,

816
00:38:49,480 --> 00:38:51,800
and I like the over. Both teams give up a

817
00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:54,119
high percentage of shots from three point range. In fact,

818
00:38:54,159 --> 00:38:56,920
both allowed over forty five percent of their opponent's total

819
00:38:56,920 --> 00:39:00,159
field goal attempts to come from three point range, and

820
00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:02,719
both these teams take right around forty five percent of

821
00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:05,360
their shots on offense from three point range. Now, three

822
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,039
point shots are tough to predict. I get that, and

823
00:39:08,159 --> 00:39:10,960
Duke does have the much better three point defense, so

824
00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:13,039
I'd probably lean towards Duke Mines the nine and a half.

825
00:39:13,079 --> 00:39:14,800
I made the line only about eight, though, so it's

826
00:39:14,800 --> 00:39:17,119
a little inflated. That's why I'm staying away from the side.

827
00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:19,360
But I do like the over in this game over

828
00:39:19,400 --> 00:39:21,239
one forty eight, and some of the Sharper books have

829
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:23,719
gone up to one forty eight and a half. Take

830
00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:26,400
a look at this NC State Duke game up and

831
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:28,199
over one forty eight, one forty eight and a half.

832
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:31,760
That's your ESPN game at seven eastern. All right, we'll

833
00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:34,039
look at the next game here at nine o'clock eastern.

834
00:39:34,079 --> 00:39:35,719
This is about as good as any game all season.

835
00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:39,400
Two top five right teams, Iowa State and Arizona, and

836
00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:41,800
they're both legit. I've got Iowa stated is maybe a

837
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:44,639
two slash three seed though so a little bit lower

838
00:39:44,639 --> 00:39:47,039
in my rankings Arizona. You know, when Arizona was number one,

839
00:39:47,039 --> 00:39:49,559
getting all sixty one first place votes earlier this season,

840
00:39:49,559 --> 00:39:51,400
I was saying that Michigan, maybe even Duke were the

841
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:54,679
best teams. People kept saying, Steve, what about Arizona? And

842
00:39:54,679 --> 00:39:57,480
then Arizona did falter a bit in early February, back

843
00:39:57,519 --> 00:39:59,840
to back losses after that twenty three and oho start,

844
00:40:00,079 --> 00:40:02,800
but they have since bounce back strong, four straight wins

845
00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:05,239
fourteen and two in the conference, and they're getting healthier

846
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:07,280
as well. A couple of their top eight players have

847
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:09,719
been out for a few games. They're eight man rotations

848
00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:12,719
looking pretty healthy now, and that showed what they blowout

849
00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:16,760
win against Kansas this past Saturday by twenty three points.

850
00:40:16,960 --> 00:40:17,639
Speaker 5: Impressive win.

851
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:20,760
Speaker 7: Also against Baylor before that, and this also the only

852
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:23,280
time this season that these two teams meet Iowa State

853
00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:27,599
and Arizona. Arizona, of course does have home court tonight. Meanwhile,

854
00:40:27,639 --> 00:40:30,760
Iowa State comes in here in mediocre current form to

855
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:32,599
say the least. They've gone just three and three their

856
00:40:32,679 --> 00:40:34,400
last six, and I thought it was a good spot

857
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:37,599
form on Saturday. I'd like the over in that game

858
00:40:37,639 --> 00:40:38,639
between Texas Tech.

859
00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:39,000
Speaker 5: And Iowa State.

860
00:40:39,039 --> 00:40:40,800
Speaker 7: I mentioned in the video we did cash that, but

861
00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:43,599
also like di Iowa State and they lost outright as

862
00:40:43,639 --> 00:40:46,280
a nine point favorite to Texas Text. So a little

863
00:40:46,280 --> 00:40:48,400
bit of a bounce back spot here for the Cyclones.

864
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:50,920
So let's look at the match up here. Iowa State

865
00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:53,159
gives up a lot of threes, but Arizona does not

866
00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:55,480
take many threes. So I think it's a decent matchup

867
00:40:55,519 --> 00:40:58,559
here for Iowa State for that reason, and Iowa State

868
00:40:58,639 --> 00:41:00,639
is the better three point shooting team. Now they have to,

869
00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:02,360
of course hit these shots on the road, which is

870
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:04,880
always dicey, but I do think they have a chance

871
00:41:04,920 --> 00:41:06,719
here as they're not afraid to play fast and that's

872
00:41:06,719 --> 00:41:10,119
something Arizona does extremely well. I think this game goes

873
00:41:10,119 --> 00:41:12,480
back and forth live dog here. Not going to call

874
00:41:12,559 --> 00:41:14,920
for the outright upset, but the seven seven and a

875
00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:16,880
half is enticing with one of the best teams in

876
00:41:16,920 --> 00:41:19,159
the country coming in on a focused spot off a loss.

877
00:41:19,480 --> 00:41:21,599
Take a look at the Iowa State Cyclones plus seven

878
00:41:21,599 --> 00:41:23,960
and a half. That your nine o'clock Eastern game on ESPN.

879
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:26,119
And don't forget if you want my top plays each

880
00:41:26,159 --> 00:41:28,000
and every night, I do have a free play in

881
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:31,159
the College Hoops late Night card at ten o'clock Eastern

882
00:41:31,159 --> 00:41:34,159
game for you free in college hoops, a free bonus play.

883
00:41:34,440 --> 00:41:36,280
And also my best bet of the night comes in

884
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:38,880
the NBA. I'm number one all time in NBA sides

885
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:40,880
at wager Talk in the history of the site on

886
00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:43,519
best bets. Having a great NBA season once again, so

887
00:41:43,599 --> 00:41:46,199
my top best bets not is in the NBA bonus

888
00:41:46,199 --> 00:41:48,280
free college play and I just gave you the two

889
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:50,639
big Monday games here, so click subscribe, click the bill

890
00:41:50,679 --> 00:41:52,679
for an instant alert and you'll never miss out when

891
00:41:52,679 --> 00:41:55,360
these free play videos are posted here on wager Talk TV.

892
00:41:57,079 --> 00:41:58,760
Speaker 2: Boom, great work there.

893
00:41:58,800 --> 00:42:00,599
Speaker 1: They've been asking in the chat all show long, Steve.

894
00:42:00,599 --> 00:42:02,280
They were like, how are we betting these two games? Tonight,

895
00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:04,960
and I'm with you man that Iowa State Arizona game.

896
00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:07,199
I'll be glued to my set for that one. You know,

897
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:10,440
I'm not really a big college basketball better. I'm tailing

898
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:14,119
guys like you, but I am a fan of the

899
00:42:14,159 --> 00:42:16,639
sport for sure, and that's one that I certainly will

900
00:42:16,679 --> 00:42:19,119
be watching tonight. So great breakdowns there from Steve. Guys,

901
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:20,960
give us a like. I mean, come on, he just

902
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:23,199
gave you two free plays there and you let you

903
00:42:23,199 --> 00:42:25,679
know how to get another free play at WT do

904
00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:30,599
buzz backslash sm no brainer stuff there, Steve, real quick

905
00:42:30,639 --> 00:42:33,480
before we turn into NBA and talk this Clippers and

906
00:42:33,559 --> 00:42:36,280
Warriors game. You know it's a tight game, but it's

907
00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:38,519
not as exciting as the two you just talk there, Steve,

908
00:42:38,519 --> 00:42:41,159
but people still want some NBA action. I just wanted

909
00:42:41,159 --> 00:42:43,840
to get your thoughts just overarching as we're heading on

910
00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:47,960
here into you know, the conference championships, these conference tournaments

911
00:42:48,119 --> 00:42:51,199
that you're seeing in college basketball. Do you have a

912
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:54,400
method for how you attack these tournaments? You know, you

913
00:42:55,039 --> 00:42:57,679
look maybe at some of the common opponents, some of

914
00:42:57,719 --> 00:42:59,960
these few you know, when when these teams are facing off,

915
00:43:00,039 --> 00:43:02,440
they have familiarity with each other, do you have a

916
00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:05,880
strategy heading into you know, these these conference tournaments and

917
00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:08,719
these conference playoffs or is it just kind of Hey,

918
00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:10,679
I handicap it the same way as I go, you know,

919
00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:12,960
week by week, or does it change it all for you?

920
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:16,039
Speaker 2: The ISO in on a specific one, just conceptually.

921
00:43:16,079 --> 00:43:19,280
Speaker 1: People love seeing how, you know, how the cat is skin,

922
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:20,679
how the sausage is made.

923
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,400
Speaker 2: How do you attack conference championship time? Man?

924
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:25,519
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean I've talked a lot about this is

925
00:43:25,559 --> 00:43:27,000
you know, Dan the last month or some in these

926
00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:30,519
February videos, especially those Saturday Talk twenty five videos that

927
00:43:30,599 --> 00:43:32,360
I love the month of February because we're in the

928
00:43:32,400 --> 00:43:34,239
heart of conference action and we have a lot of

929
00:43:34,599 --> 00:43:37,239
compare apples to apples scenarios because all teams have played

930
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:39,960
fifteen plus conference games, so the statistics mean a lot

931
00:43:40,079 --> 00:43:43,760
common opponents, same strength, level, a skill set. But I

932
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:47,719
love second meetings in conference action and later here in February.

933
00:43:47,760 --> 00:43:49,679
A lot of these games are second meetings. Other two

934
00:43:49,679 --> 00:43:51,519
to night aren't, unfortunately, but one of the reasons I

935
00:43:51,639 --> 00:43:54,440
like second meetings and now the conference tournaments, you almost

936
00:43:54,559 --> 00:43:57,280
you always get a rematch because every conference everyone plays

937
00:43:57,280 --> 00:43:58,920
at least once. Back in the day these you always

938
00:43:58,920 --> 00:44:01,159
played twice home and home, but we do get some

939
00:44:01,199 --> 00:44:03,719
third meetings and conference tournaments at least a second meeting.

940
00:44:03,719 --> 00:44:06,320
Every game basically is a revenge spot for somebody, and

941
00:44:06,400 --> 00:44:08,039
I love to dig into the box scores from the

942
00:44:08,039 --> 00:44:10,159
previous meeting, you know, And what we look for is

943
00:44:10,159 --> 00:44:12,320
misleading box scores. And the first thing that I check

944
00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:15,119
is three point percentage because that is the one real

945
00:44:15,199 --> 00:44:19,400
random variable, kind of like turnovers in football. Three point shooting, yes,

946
00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:21,159
some teams do it better than others, but when you

947
00:44:21,159 --> 00:44:23,519
have an extreme outlier one way or the other can

948
00:44:23,599 --> 00:44:25,880
lead to a misleading results. Same with free throw percentage.

949
00:44:26,079 --> 00:44:27,800
Most teams are gonna hit sixty eight to seventy two

950
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:30,039
percent of their free throws, right, But if one team

951
00:44:30,079 --> 00:44:31,920
gets to the line a lot more but maybe misses

952
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:34,039
several of them, that shows they probably had an edge

953
00:44:34,079 --> 00:44:36,320
down low that they can exploit it they hit the norm.

954
00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:38,280
So look for misleading box scores, and when you have

955
00:44:38,639 --> 00:44:41,800
twenty thirty forty conference tournament games every couple days, you

956
00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:44,639
can dig in and find those spots. So nothing magical,

957
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:46,760
just do your homework. But I do love getting second

958
00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:49,280
and third meetings, whether it's here in February or the

959
00:44:49,280 --> 00:44:51,599
conference tournaments in March, or here in February. That was

960
00:44:51,679 --> 00:44:54,679
last week. We're in March. Twenty eight days throws me off.

961
00:44:54,679 --> 00:44:57,320
This should be February thirtieth. I'm so conpened with you,

962
00:44:57,800 --> 00:44:59,800
so confused, Dan, But yeah.

963
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:03,159
Speaker 1: Those damn people who were born on the leap years too,

964
00:45:03,239 --> 00:45:05,000
man just absolutely blows for them.

965
00:45:05,039 --> 00:45:06,519
Speaker 7: I mean, I know this has something to do with

966
00:45:06,559 --> 00:45:08,920
the Greeks or the Romans or the Latins, and I

967
00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:11,719
mean nobody else watch it probably knows either. But like, honestly,

968
00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:14,960
how do you have Like I'm pretty good at math, Like,

969
00:45:15,039 --> 00:45:18,320
how do you have seven or eight months with thirty

970
00:45:18,360 --> 00:45:20,599
one days and you got some thirties? I get why

971
00:45:20,639 --> 00:45:23,400
that happens? Why do you have a twenty eight day month?

972
00:45:23,400 --> 00:45:25,360
And I'm sure, I look, folks, I know chat gipt,

973
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:27,239
I know how to use Wikipedia and I could do this,

974
00:45:28,039 --> 00:45:30,840
but I'm not because we're handicapping sports here. But once again,

975
00:45:31,199 --> 00:45:33,119
how do you have thirty one days thirty days and

976
00:45:33,199 --> 00:45:34,280
you have a twenty eight day month?

977
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:35,760
Speaker 5: Makes more sense to me?

978
00:45:35,920 --> 00:45:37,960
Speaker 2: And Steve you know me.

979
00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:40,920
Speaker 1: You know you you coach sports. You know you try

980
00:45:40,960 --> 00:45:43,519
and keep a calendar the best that you can. But yeah,

981
00:45:44,079 --> 00:45:46,400
I says, as husbands and men, it is not our

982
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:48,440
strength keeping a calendar. And then you give you a

983
00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:50,400
twenty eight day month. I mean, come on, what the

984
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:51,360
hell are we doing here?

985
00:45:51,400 --> 00:45:54,800
Speaker 7: Man straddled by two thirty one day months, straddled by

986
00:45:55,079 --> 00:45:57,880
three thirty one day months actually December, January and March.

987
00:45:58,000 --> 00:45:59,400
Speaker 5: So I don't know.

988
00:46:00,039 --> 00:46:02,679
Speaker 7: Every month to be thirty, we need more thirty day months.

989
00:46:02,840 --> 00:46:06,079
You'd have you could have two more thirty day months,

990
00:46:06,280 --> 00:46:09,079
no three more because you take two away from the

991
00:46:09,079 --> 00:46:11,119
thirty ones to make February, and then you'd have you'd

992
00:46:11,159 --> 00:46:13,480
have three more thirty day months almost every month to

993
00:46:13,599 --> 00:46:16,559
be thirty. It would make the wager talk special so

994
00:46:16,639 --> 00:46:17,199
much easier.

995
00:46:17,239 --> 00:46:21,800
Speaker 1: Also, it would make it way easier, honestly, Steve seven

996
00:46:21,840 --> 00:46:24,039
and five because three sixty five three sixty is twelve

997
00:46:24,079 --> 00:46:24,639
downs thirty.

998
00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:25,679
Speaker 5: So we've done the math.

999
00:46:26,599 --> 00:46:29,880
Speaker 1: Comment below, Steve for president, because when you run for office, Steve,

1000
00:46:29,960 --> 00:46:32,039
I'll be your campaign manager and we will win on

1001
00:46:32,119 --> 00:46:34,920
making making thirty day calendars.

1002
00:46:35,039 --> 00:46:36,960
Speaker 7: Thank you, cause you know, you know we always say,

1003
00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:39,400
like you know, Democrats are Republicans both by sneakers, They

1004
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:41,800
both buy sports betting picks, so we always keep it neutral.

1005
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:45,519
But I honestly believe this is an I'm a ninety

1006
00:46:45,559 --> 00:46:48,960
percent candidate. Like the stuff I'm talking about, ninety percent

1007
00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:50,719
of the people would agree with me. My number one

1008
00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:53,719
platform besides free Coca Cola launch. Oh wait, I'm not

1009
00:46:53,800 --> 00:46:56,920
running for eighth grade president again. No, my seriously, My

1010
00:46:56,960 --> 00:46:59,159
strategy would be get rid of daylight savings, which is

1011
00:46:59,199 --> 00:47:01,800
next week, by the way, now Sunday. That's another confusing

1012
00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:05,519
ask calendar thing, Dan, As you know sports included, man,

1013
00:47:06,039 --> 00:47:08,679
and yeah, these are ninety percent issues, and I think

1014
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:10,840
thirty day months. But the waiter talk specials would be

1015
00:47:10,840 --> 00:47:13,559
better as well, because they're all thirty day packages. You

1016
00:47:13,559 --> 00:47:15,400
could say, you're getting all of April, you're getting all

1017
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:17,320
of you, all of June, all this.

1018
00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:20,360
Speaker 1: Su drop the comment Steve for president, and while you're

1019
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:23,039
down there, hit the life button. Let's make it happen, folks.

1020
00:47:23,159 --> 00:47:26,159
We'll have thirty day months. We'll have we'll have no

1021
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:28,639
daylight savings. The world will be a better place.

1022
00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:29,760
Speaker 2: When Steve Merrill is.

1023
00:47:29,679 --> 00:47:31,559
Speaker 7: By the way, Dan, real quick on the daylight savings.

1024
00:47:31,559 --> 00:47:33,480
There is a hitch in that I've come to realize.

1025
00:47:33,559 --> 00:47:35,840
I think if we went to if we kept the

1026
00:47:35,880 --> 00:47:38,000
normal time, it's actually what we're on now, which I'm

1027
00:47:38,000 --> 00:47:38,599
not a fan of.

1028
00:47:39,599 --> 00:47:40,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, no, we want more.

1029
00:47:41,119 --> 00:47:43,320
Speaker 5: We want because this is standard. We're on standard time

1030
00:47:43,440 --> 00:47:44,199
right now.

1031
00:47:44,239 --> 00:47:46,519
Speaker 2: Sunday set later is where where mine is.

1032
00:47:46,599 --> 00:47:49,000
Speaker 7: Yeah, so we need to make daylight time standard times.

1033
00:47:49,000 --> 00:47:50,400
So we got to switch the D and the S.

1034
00:47:50,800 --> 00:47:52,599
That might take a little bit more work, but the

1035
00:47:52,679 --> 00:47:55,719
damn President, you're gonna make me I'm pretty sure the President.

1036
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:55,800
Speaker 5: Could do that.

1037
00:47:56,360 --> 00:47:58,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, you're gonna make me go cross. I'm thinking about

1038
00:47:58,559 --> 00:47:58,960
all of this.

1039
00:47:59,079 --> 00:48:00,800
Speaker 5: I'm just trying to talk about the NBA.

1040
00:48:01,360 --> 00:48:02,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's let's bring it back.

1041
00:48:02,840 --> 00:48:03,159
Speaker 5: Steve.

1042
00:48:03,239 --> 00:48:06,840
Speaker 1: Just something that I can actually understand, and that is

1043
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:10,119
that the Clippers are one and a half basket favorites

1044
00:48:10,159 --> 00:48:14,280
here as they're taking on the Golden State Warriors this

1045
00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:17,559
one going this evening, and Golden State actually opened.

1046
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:18,440
Speaker 2: As the favorite. In this one.

1047
00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:21,079
Speaker 1: We're seeing some kind of split action stem pretty much

1048
00:48:21,119 --> 00:48:25,239
total to fifteen. There's some two sixteens out there. So

1049
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:28,199
enough about daylight savings time? How are we going to

1050
00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:30,400
be cashing in on this Clippers Warriors game?

1051
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:30,719
Speaker 2: Brother?

1052
00:48:32,039 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 7: So there are four NBA games on the board four

1053
00:48:34,079 --> 00:48:36,159
NBA games. Going to get talk about this late Peacock

1054
00:48:36,239 --> 00:48:38,440
game tonight at ten Eastern. But I do like one

1055
00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:40,079
of the earlier games, and I was a strong best bet.

1056
00:48:40,159 --> 00:48:41,800
In fact, my best bet of the night for my client,

1057
00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:44,159
Steve Merrillwagter Talk dot Com is in the NBA to night,

1058
00:48:44,239 --> 00:48:46,679
so go check out that at a bonus late college

1059
00:48:46,760 --> 00:48:49,360
basketball free play as well. But we'll talk about this

1060
00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:51,679
late game Clippers Warriors because it is a national TV

1061
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:54,760
matchup on the surface, tough handicap though. We got John

1062
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:58,119
Collins questionable, Darius Garland has been upgraded to available with

1063
00:48:58,159 --> 00:49:00,440
his toe injury. There're two of the two top four

1064
00:49:00,480 --> 00:49:02,880
scores for the Clippers, and then, of course the Warriors

1065
00:49:02,920 --> 00:49:05,679
have been a mess. Curry Butler out to the top

1066
00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:09,440
two scorers this season, Porzingis is questionable tonight. He's their

1067
00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:12,440
third best scorer when he plays. So Warriors have been

1068
00:49:12,440 --> 00:49:15,239
a really tricky team to handicap here all season, especially

1069
00:49:15,280 --> 00:49:18,079
the last few months. We'll look at current form first.

1070
00:49:18,719 --> 00:49:22,079
Golden State's been zigzagging right now. They've entered in off

1071
00:49:22,079 --> 00:49:24,960
of wins and losses in their last five games, coming

1072
00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:27,760
off a loss to the Lakers, on Saturday. Now they're

1073
00:49:27,800 --> 00:49:30,519
playing the Clippers at homes, so the two LA teams

1074
00:49:30,760 --> 00:49:33,920
traveling up to the San Frand area. Defense for the

1075
00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:35,679
Warriors has not been good. In fact, if you look

1076
00:49:35,679 --> 00:49:38,440
over the last month or so, they're routinely giving up

1077
00:49:38,480 --> 00:49:40,559
over forty six to forty seven percent. In fact, their

1078
00:49:40,639 --> 00:49:43,960
last I think like eight games, they've allowed fifty percent shooting,

1079
00:49:44,039 --> 00:49:46,400
or more than half of those games. And that's a

1080
00:49:46,440 --> 00:49:48,280
real concern. And one thing I've always pointed out is

1081
00:49:48,360 --> 00:49:50,400
that even when the stars are out, these backups can

1082
00:49:50,440 --> 00:49:53,840
still score. Yet we've seen some substantial money coming on

1083
00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:55,639
the under in this game. We saw some initial lines

1084
00:49:55,679 --> 00:49:58,920
as high as two one. It's now down to two

1085
00:49:58,920 --> 00:50:02,440
point fifteen, two sixteen. In other spots, I'm kind of

1086
00:50:02,480 --> 00:50:03,119
liking the over.

1087
00:50:03,199 --> 00:50:03,320
Speaker 3: Now.

1088
00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:04,880
Speaker 7: I know a lot of this is injury base. We'll

1089
00:50:04,960 --> 00:50:07,199
keep an eye on the injuries, but once again, I

1090
00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:09,840
think all the guys in the NBA can score, and

1091
00:50:09,920 --> 00:50:13,800
I often find value playing the over with shorthanded teams.

1092
00:50:13,800 --> 00:50:16,360
We also talk about injury situations when teams are missing

1093
00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:19,679
a superstar suddenly how well they do against the points spread.

1094
00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:21,800
And you look at the Clippers, they've gone over in

1095
00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:24,079
four of their last five games. They've lost three of

1096
00:50:24,079 --> 00:50:27,079
their last four, and they've also been shaky on defense,

1097
00:50:27,119 --> 00:50:29,800
but their offense has been pretty good. They've shot forty

1098
00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:32,280
seven percent are better now in five of their last

1099
00:50:32,320 --> 00:50:35,000
six games, but they've gone just three and three straight

1100
00:50:35,079 --> 00:50:37,280
up five and one against the spread. In fact, going

1101
00:50:37,320 --> 00:50:39,199
back over the last couple of weeks, they're now six

1102
00:50:39,239 --> 00:50:41,320
and one, actually seven to one against the spread the

1103
00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:43,440
last eight. Because one of the reasons is because they

1104
00:50:43,440 --> 00:50:46,480
have been a dog in every game but two. They

1105
00:50:46,599 --> 00:50:50,159
lost as a favorite to Orlando beat the Pelicans yesterday,

1106
00:50:50,519 --> 00:50:52,880
no rest travel spots, so I don't really fully trust

1107
00:50:52,880 --> 00:50:55,000
the Clippers, even though they're in a better current form here.

1108
00:50:55,280 --> 00:50:57,079
Let's not try to guess on the side. Let's look

1109
00:50:57,079 --> 00:50:59,280
at the total. I like the value now with over

1110
00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:01,400
two fifteen, and some of the sharper books, by the way,

1111
00:51:01,400 --> 00:51:04,840
are starting to rise to two sixteen here early Monday afternoon,

1112
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:07,639
which makes me think this lie will close higher by

1113
00:51:07,679 --> 00:51:09,840
tonight at ten Eastern. When you watch this game on

1114
00:51:09,960 --> 00:51:12,800
NBC Sportsnet and Peacock by the way, you'll love how

1115
00:51:12,840 --> 00:51:14,800
I say, prime, I think I'm gonna start doing Peacock.

1116
00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:16,440
Speaker 5: I don't know why. It just feels right.

1117
00:51:16,880 --> 00:51:19,519
Speaker 7: But this is your National TV comment below if you

1118
00:51:19,559 --> 00:51:21,800
watch the Peacock games, and if you got it for

1119
00:51:21,840 --> 00:51:24,159
the Olympics and then canceled it right afterwards, because that's

1120
00:51:24,159 --> 00:51:27,360
what all great Americans do and thumbs up like and

1121
00:51:27,400 --> 00:51:29,679
we'll see more free play videos if you know. As

1122
00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:31,679
you know, click subscribe to click the bill as well

1123
00:51:31,679 --> 00:51:32,920
for instant alerts.

1124
00:51:33,199 --> 00:51:35,320
Speaker 2: They're already loving it, they say they dig it. It's

1125
00:51:35,360 --> 00:51:37,119
the new prime for you.

1126
00:51:37,440 --> 00:51:40,320
Speaker 7: Remember the old NBC logos over the years, the old Peakcock.

1127
00:51:40,639 --> 00:51:42,960
They were pretty cool and they were very They.

1128
00:51:42,800 --> 00:51:45,679
Speaker 1: Have evolved, and now it has evolved into Peacock here

1129
00:51:45,719 --> 00:51:48,199
for you with with Steve Merrill.

1130
00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:50,159
Speaker 7: I almost did the Olympics, almost bought it just for

1131
00:51:50,199 --> 00:51:52,559
the Olympics when I was getting enough on USA and NBC.

1132
00:51:53,000 --> 00:51:55,199
Speaker 1: That's exactly how it was for me too. I think

1133
00:51:55,199 --> 00:51:57,320
I get it through my cable. I don't even know

1134
00:51:57,320 --> 00:51:58,639
where to find it was too much. I don't know

1135
00:51:58,679 --> 00:52:01,559
either of that, So I think it's streaming. It's not cable.

1136
00:52:01,559 --> 00:52:02,559
I don't think, no, it is.

1137
00:52:02,639 --> 00:52:05,079
Speaker 2: It is streaming. But I'm just I was just saying.

1138
00:52:04,840 --> 00:52:06,960
Speaker 1: Like this streaming has gotten out of control. I remember

1139
00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:09,280
when we were all cutting the cord to really stick

1140
00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:12,679
at to cable companies. Dude, I would kill yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah,

1141
00:52:13,239 --> 00:52:16,840
that's what happens, right, No, I remember it used to

1142
00:52:16,880 --> 00:52:19,599
be you on video when when I first started here

1143
00:52:19,719 --> 00:52:21,760
with wager Talk was when they started kind of doing

1144
00:52:21,760 --> 00:52:23,960
the whole court cutting thing, and you would ask the listeners.

1145
00:52:24,000 --> 00:52:25,559
You'd be like, Hey, is this something that you guys

1146
00:52:25,559 --> 00:52:27,400
are into? Is this something that you guys are doing?

1147
00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:30,679
And it's completely changed the landscape. And I would argue, Steve,

1148
00:52:30,840 --> 00:52:33,159
you're paying a hell of a lot more if you

1149
00:52:33,239 --> 00:52:36,039
do like streaming TV shows. You got HBO, mats, you

1150
00:52:36,079 --> 00:52:39,400
got this, So streaming has we jumped the shark, folks.

1151
00:52:40,280 --> 00:52:43,440
We're spending way more than we ever were for bullshit cable.

1152
00:52:43,719 --> 00:52:44,239
Speaker 5: It makes me.

1153
00:52:44,159 --> 00:52:46,639
Speaker 7: Feel good that I never cut the cord with my cable,

1154
00:52:46,840 --> 00:52:48,719
because I should have done it. About three case show.

1155
00:52:49,360 --> 00:52:51,400
I might be coming back full circle here where I'm

1156
00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:53,760
actually not like losing as much money as I have

1157
00:52:53,800 --> 00:52:55,639
for the last three year. It's funny too, I've always

1158
00:52:55,639 --> 00:52:57,519
had all the movie channels, didn't watch them for twenty

1159
00:52:57,559 --> 00:53:00,400
some years, was always watching sports. But I've been flipping

1160
00:53:00,400 --> 00:53:02,559
around more recently, and I keep running into like twenty

1161
00:53:02,599 --> 00:53:04,440
minutes of this movie or that movie. So I'm actually

1162
00:53:04,480 --> 00:53:07,719
someone getting some value nowt having like the thirty movie channels,

1163
00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:09,480
and like, you know, I'd watched the Seinfeld you know,

1164
00:53:09,519 --> 00:53:11,519
you know some of the videos were doing Seinfeld comments, which,

1165
00:53:11,559 --> 00:53:13,679
by the way, probably my favorite comments of all the people.

1166
00:53:13,800 --> 00:53:16,400
Just like those up there again, you know, I run

1167
00:53:16,400 --> 00:53:19,159
into those on Comedy Central and TV Land and stuff,

1168
00:53:19,199 --> 00:53:22,079
and someone's like, you know, all of them are on Netflix.

1169
00:53:22,119 --> 00:53:23,480
Speaker 5: I was like, yeah, but it's not the same.

1170
00:53:23,559 --> 00:53:26,679
Speaker 7: Like I like literally randomly turning on the middle of

1171
00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:29,320
like an episode from season three and enjoyed it. Like,

1172
00:53:29,360 --> 00:53:32,760
I'm never gonna just watch them. HBO, you talked about

1173
00:53:32,760 --> 00:53:34,519
that they have a drama channel. They had all the

1174
00:53:34,519 --> 00:53:37,599
Sopranos running like a month ago, all weekend long, a

1175
00:53:37,639 --> 00:53:41,039
Boardwalk Empire. I just pop on like the two episodes,

1176
00:53:41,079 --> 00:53:43,320
like the fifth season episode three. I never I could

1177
00:53:43,320 --> 00:53:45,639
have done that. You know, I'm streaming. Yes, I'm not

1178
00:53:45,679 --> 00:53:46,239
a streamer.

1179
00:53:46,960 --> 00:53:49,000
Speaker 5: I'm not. I'm a dreamer, but not a streamer. I'm

1180
00:53:49,039 --> 00:53:49,440
a dreamer.

1181
00:53:49,440 --> 00:53:54,199
Speaker 1: But yeah, isn't that that the Kermit the Frog song,

1182
00:53:54,239 --> 00:53:56,880
the lovers, the streamers and me, they're.

1183
00:53:56,679 --> 00:53:59,320
Speaker 5: All gonna be that peacock voice is a very kermity voice.

1184
00:53:59,320 --> 00:54:01,360
Speaker 2: You're right, Steve.

1185
00:54:01,519 --> 00:54:04,079
Speaker 1: You mentioned how making all the days thirty would make

1186
00:54:04,119 --> 00:54:06,519
our deals really easy. Well, I got a great easy

1187
00:54:06,599 --> 00:54:09,000
deal for you that started here in March and it's

1188
00:54:09,039 --> 00:54:12,360
one that your clients have loved and it's where you.

1189
00:54:12,280 --> 00:54:14,000
Speaker 2: Can get all in on your access.

1190
00:54:14,039 --> 00:54:14,360
Speaker 5: Guys.

1191
00:54:14,599 --> 00:54:17,000
Speaker 2: This comes out to under four dollars a day.

1192
00:54:17,239 --> 00:54:20,280
Speaker 1: And Steve, not only are we allowing people to lock

1193
00:54:20,360 --> 00:54:22,360
in a year and yes, this is a long term.

1194
00:54:22,360 --> 00:54:23,880
Speaker 2: This is a big commitment. I get it.

1195
00:54:24,159 --> 00:54:26,519
Speaker 1: But if you're looking at your daily saving and the

1196
00:54:26,599 --> 00:54:30,000
action that you get here, folks, it's a no brainer.

1197
00:54:30,079 --> 00:54:32,159
And Steve, something that you've done with your clients is

1198
00:54:32,159 --> 00:54:34,800
they also get a bonus twenty five percent off. So

1199
00:54:35,119 --> 00:54:36,599
talk a little bit about some of the deals that

1200
00:54:36,639 --> 00:54:38,400
are over at your page, because this is one that

1201
00:54:38,440 --> 00:54:41,920
people should definitely take advantage for WT dot Buzz, backslash

1202
00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:45,119
sm What kind of action you got rocking this week, Steve,

1203
00:54:45,159 --> 00:54:46,960
and tell folks how they can save a little coin

1204
00:54:47,000 --> 00:54:47,199
on it.

1205
00:54:48,639 --> 00:54:51,079
Speaker 5: So somebody a customer support has learned to use AI.

1206
00:54:51,159 --> 00:54:52,239
Let's pop that graphic up.

1207
00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:53,519
Speaker 2: Oh that's one thousand percent.

1208
00:54:53,559 --> 00:54:56,119
Speaker 7: Ai, I mean someone has gone a little over. I'll

1209
00:54:56,159 --> 00:54:58,599
be honest, it's a little busy, but it hurts my

1210
00:54:58,639 --> 00:55:01,719
eyes a bit. A CF four dollars and I love

1211
00:55:01,880 --> 00:55:03,920
under four dollars to sound to that because everyone gets

1212
00:55:03,960 --> 00:55:07,280
excited about five dollars Tuesday, which is tomorrow. My favorite

1213
00:55:07,320 --> 00:55:09,719
Tuesday of the week is five dollars Tuesday. But what

1214
00:55:09,760 --> 00:55:13,280
if we did five dollars Tuesday? Subtrack to George Washington.

1215
00:55:13,400 --> 00:55:16,079
We get down to four dollars a day every play

1216
00:55:16,119 --> 00:55:18,880
for the next three hundred and sixty five days, sometimes

1217
00:55:18,920 --> 00:55:20,880
three sixty six. Next year is not a leap year,

1218
00:55:20,880 --> 00:55:23,079
so don't worry, you're still getting three hundred and sixty

1219
00:55:23,119 --> 00:55:25,800
five days. Seriously, everyone gets excited about a five dollars

1220
00:55:25,840 --> 00:55:28,440
play once a week, get every best bet for the

1221
00:55:28,480 --> 00:55:32,239
next year for under four dollars, and anywhere from two

1222
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:34,119
to three plays a day. That's like a dollar something

1223
00:55:34,159 --> 00:55:36,880
a play. That's eighty percent off the already eighty percent

1224
00:55:36,920 --> 00:55:39,320
five dollars discount. It's a great deal. But seriously, if

1225
00:55:39,320 --> 00:55:41,599
you're taking a true investment approach, you want a long

1226
00:55:41,639 --> 00:55:43,760
term subscription because you're gonna get all of this year's

1227
00:55:43,760 --> 00:55:46,000
baseball season. It starts in just a few weeks. You're

1228
00:55:46,000 --> 00:55:48,519
gonna get all the upcoming college and pro football seasons

1229
00:55:48,639 --> 00:55:50,679
through next year Super Bowl. You're gonna get the rest

1230
00:55:50,679 --> 00:55:53,079
of this year's basketball, which has March Madness right around

1231
00:55:53,119 --> 00:55:55,800
the corner, complete NBA playoffs, and then basically all the

1232
00:55:55,800 --> 00:55:58,440
regular season next year. Great time to lock in a

1233
00:55:58,440 --> 00:56:02,239
one year all access for the dollar play Steve merrillwager

1234
00:56:02,280 --> 00:56:06,679
talk dot com and get there quicker wt dot slash sm.

1235
00:56:06,880 --> 00:56:08,679
Speaker 2: Steve, always a pleasure, buddy.

1236
00:56:08,679 --> 00:56:11,320
Speaker 1: Thanks for holding things down for me, and best of

1237
00:56:11,360 --> 00:56:11,960
luck this week man.

1238
00:56:12,039 --> 00:56:13,199
Speaker 2: Keep catching those tickets, Steve.

1239
00:56:13,400 --> 00:56:14,440
Speaker 5: Thanks Dan, talk to you soon.

1240
00:56:14,960 --> 00:56:19,079
Speaker 1: Appreciate that. That's Steve, maryl WT dot buzz backslash s M.

1241
00:56:19,119 --> 00:56:20,960
And don't think I forgot about you folks.

1242
00:56:20,960 --> 00:56:21,360
Speaker 5: That's right.

1243
00:56:21,480 --> 00:56:24,920
Speaker 1: These people who tuned in on Friday and they were

1244
00:56:24,960 --> 00:56:28,519
participating in probably the biggest spread that we've ever had

1245
00:56:28,719 --> 00:56:32,039
in our our little contest that we do. It's Teddy

1246
00:56:32,159 --> 00:56:34,840
versus Andy, and they have to sell me on his side.

1247
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:37,000
I think it was eighteen is what we called it,

1248
00:56:37,039 --> 00:56:40,320
with the Celtics eighteen point favorites against the Nets. Well,

1249
00:56:40,639 --> 00:56:44,840
Celtics won and resounding fashion and our man Luke Lacasse

1250
00:56:45,360 --> 00:56:49,079
is our winner. He rode with Andy laying the points there,

1251
00:56:49,440 --> 00:56:51,239
So congratulations to you.

1252
00:56:51,320 --> 00:56:51,599
Speaker 5: Luke.

1253
00:56:51,840 --> 00:56:53,440
Speaker 2: It's already loaded onto your wage.

1254
00:56:53,199 --> 00:56:56,079
Speaker 1: Of Talk username right this moment, so you got a

1255
00:56:56,119 --> 00:56:57,679
free three day flex pass.

1256
00:56:57,719 --> 00:57:00,880
Speaker 2: It pays to view, folks, pays even more to comment.

1257
00:57:01,079 --> 00:57:01,559
Speaker 5: That's right.

1258
00:57:01,639 --> 00:57:03,840
Speaker 1: Comment below and let us know, guys, any of the

1259
00:57:03,880 --> 00:57:05,400
topics that we had here on the show today, we

1260
00:57:05,440 --> 00:57:08,239
would love to hear from you big Thanks for tuning in, folks.

1261
00:57:08,360 --> 00:57:10,320
The way you can say thanks to the guys obviously,

1262
00:57:10,400 --> 00:57:12,239
head over to wager Talk take advantage of some of

1263
00:57:12,239 --> 00:57:13,119
those deals that we got.

1264
00:57:13,199 --> 00:57:14,880
Speaker 2: Rocking, but a great way to do it.

1265
00:57:15,000 --> 00:57:17,559
Speaker 1: Just comment below, guys, and tell your friends about the

1266
00:57:17,639 --> 00:57:18,239
channel here.

1267
00:57:18,519 --> 00:57:21,760
Speaker 2: We'll see. Is Andy Lang back tomorrow. Well that depends

1268
00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:24,719
on how his stomach's feeling, folks, so let's send Andy

1269
00:57:24,760 --> 00:57:26,199
some good vibes. Comment below.

1270
00:57:26,599 --> 00:57:29,000
Speaker 1: Feel better, Andy, and while you're down there, hit that

1271
00:57:29,119 --> 00:57:31,840
like Linton subscribe big banks, guys. This is Dan Alexander

1272
00:57:31,880 --> 00:57:34,599
signing off. Best of luck to you on your bets

1273
00:57:34,679 --> 00:57:37,440
and guys, until next time, let's make a little money.

1274
00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:39,039
Speaker 2: We'll see tomorrow wader Talk Today

