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Speaker 1: And you are live.

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Speaker 2: My friend. Welcome to the best sports betting show on

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the planet. This is Wager Talk Today. I am your host,

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Andy Lang. It is Monday Countdown. NFL Week one is

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officially here. We're gonna get you ready for some opening lines.

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Bill Belichick makes his college football debut. We're gonna cover that.

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We're gonna add some MLB and this show we're gonna

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set the tone for the entire week moving forward. Mondays

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and Fridays very very important to watch. We're gonna take

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a look at all the opening lines for NFL and

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college football Mondays and then Fridays Football Friday. We're gonna

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get you ready for the weekend. So these two shows

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really really important. That's why you subscribe to the channel.

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Get notified when these shows go live, when the breakdown

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videos come up. So let's get it started. We got

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Gianni coming up with the Steam Report. Crack Man's gonna

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join us. We're gonna get everyone's thoughts on college football

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on NFL. Crack is gonna give us an MLB prop

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and Brian Power is gonna join us. He's gonna break

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down the college football game tonight between TCU North Carolina

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and we're gonna talk Ranger and the Diamondbacks. Let's get

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us started, Johnny, busy, busy weekend, Happy Monday. How are you,

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my friend? It's always a good day when I see

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you and me one two on the last seven days.

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So obviously you and I Bakrolls are looking good. How

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was your weekend?

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Speaker 3: Never better? Bro? I expected, honestly, this NFL and college

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football season to be the best I've had in a while,

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and so far they're living up the expectations. Over thirty

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units of profit already in college football, sixty percent on

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over fifty plus bets, and over thirty percent ROI, so

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everything is lining up nicely. I've already released two college

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football bets for next week, including a five percent best bet,

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trying to get out ahead of the market. We do

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have a college football for tonight MLB four tonight. So

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excited for the next couple months Man September, October, November,

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December some of the best months to get down and

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I'm really excited for whats ahead?

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Speaker 1: Brother?

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Speaker 2: Can I just throw out myself? I had a bad

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college football US Open Tennis crushed, absolutely crushed. Don't forget

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about these sports guys. There are way way too many

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sports that you could be profiting off just to focus

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on one. We're going to talk mostly football, but do

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not leave out some of these other sports, like we

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have lacrosse playoffs today that people don't even really realize

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that there's really soft lines in some of these sports.

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So don't forget about these other sports. But Jianny, let's

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talk about college football if we can take a look

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at some of the lines. But actually, before we do that,

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takeaways from the first week of college football. I feel

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like the books probably did really really well across the board.

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I feel like they probably did good. But what did

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you notice from week.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's hard not to do good when

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the majority of your betters are betting in the closing lines.

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You know, again, there's some of the tightest numbers you

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could bet into, and that's what a lot of recreational

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petters are forced to do in week one. You know,

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those lines have been up a perfect example tonight's game TCU.

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TCU was getting two points in July. In May, forgive me,

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they were minus one and a half points. In June.

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They were minus two and a half points late June.

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They were minus three in July they were minus three

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and a half in August. They're minus four right now

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September first. So if you like TCU, there's absolutely no

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reason you should have been sitting on your hands over

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the last four months. You absolutely had opportunities to place

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a good bet with a ton of closing line value.

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That's no longer the case unless you think this TCU

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line is going to close at minus six. You can

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only play this one way, and that's dog or pass.

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If you don't like the dog, it's time to wait

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for a better spot to get your money in, because

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you know you're not getting it in good when you

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could have got plus two and now you're laying minus four.

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In fact, you could have got minus one and a half,

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minus two, minus two and a half, Like, why would

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you wait until minus four? Why would minus four now

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make TCU a good bet? So again, when lines have

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been bet into like that, it makes it kind of

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easy if you're betting for profit, because if you're betting

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for profit, you're not going to turn a profit betting

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in the closing numbers. It's just not going to happen.

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So you're right. Books had a good Saturday, They've had

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a good season, so far. It'll be a little different

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going into Week two because this is the overreaction week,

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and I think betters can take advantage of those overreactions.

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We have about sixty minutes of football played so far

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for ninety five percent of these teams, ninety nine percent

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of these teams, and yet we have six days to

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talk about that sixty minutes, and I think it's paralysis

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by analysis. It'll be a lot of analysis of those

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sixty minutes, and I think a lot of conclusions that

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will be drawn that are biased, and you could take

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advantage of that bias. In Week two. It's one of

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my favorite weeks to bet, as you can see, like

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I said, already fired two Week two college football bets

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because I do think it's that week where you could

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take advantage of the overreaction. Again, like I said, TCU,

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obviously they've gotten the money, but today it's good two

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way action. Like if you're booking it today, it's a

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great day to book it because it's split right down

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the middle as far as risk goes, as far as

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ticket count goes. But the early Sharp money was all

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on TCU. The earlier Sharp money also went under. The

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opener was at fifty nine stayed there until it finally

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got bet under. It went quickly to fifty eight and

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a half, from fifty and a half to fifty six

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and a half, and still went under a little more.

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So now it's another case of do you like the

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over or pass, because you're now getting what three and

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a half four points worse than you could have got

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a little earlier. So a game like this makes it

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easy for betters if you're trying to profit and you're

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not just betting for action, it's either dog and over

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or let it go. There's a lot better games. There's

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even two CFL games tonight, I released a four percent

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two subscribers in the CFL. Like Andy said, don't overlook

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those other markets. There's going to be a lot more

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any fishencies when there's less like top level traders in

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that market. And right now they're all in college football.

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They're all looking at NFL and then memob everything else

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comes after that. And that's why you could really find

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some value in those smaller markets.

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Speaker 2: Well, let's take a look at college football. Let's take

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a look at some of these lines here. I mean,

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to me, the funniest one is we have a spread

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that looks like a total I mean, Texas Tech is

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my mind is forty eight and a half. I even

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see a minus forty nine. What's funny is they're taking money.

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It looks like, what are some of the line moves

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that we need to be paying attention to here so far?

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Speaker 3: And here's the funny thing about that Texas Tech game.

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Here's a lesson for sports betters out there. Okay, this

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is my argument against parlays being profitable. If I walk

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into a strict casino right now with five hundred dollars

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and I say I want to parlay Texas Tech with

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the you know what, they're gonna tell me you can't

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do it. We will not book that parlay. And you

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know why, because it's correlated. And when it's correlated, the

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books no longer believe that they have that huge edge

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on you. Because for Texas Tech to cover that forty nine,

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it's highly probable it's gonna go over fifty nine. For

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them to cover the forty nine, the probability of it

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going over fifty nine are really high. So the side

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and the total are correlated. When a correlated opportunity exists,

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the sportsbook will not allow you to parlay. They will

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let you parlay Texas Tech with an entirely other game

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because the outcome of Texas Tech and the other game

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have nothing to do with each other. But the outcome

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with Texas Tech cover and that spread and the over

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under definitely have something to do with the other. If

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they cover that big point spread, they're probably gonna go

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over as well. And when that's the case, they will

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not let you place that bet. So that tells you

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why they want you parlay in unless it's correlated. So

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Texas Tech is a perfect example of that. Glad we

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brought that game up, and that line's climbing, Texas Tech

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is getting more money and the total something down. So

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in other words, you need the run and bet Kent

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State team total under under because I don't think Kent

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State's going to put up many points at all, at

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least they couldn't.

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Speaker 2: They barely they barely scoring against Merrimack. There you go, So,

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all right, what are some other games that we've seen

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some move? When I saw Navy, I saw that line

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moved a little bit. What are some other ones?

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Speaker 3: Maryland, Maryland? In fact, I tried to get down on

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Maryland for my subscribers. I was trying to get down

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at seventeen or better. We laid minus sixteen and a half,

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and I, like Maryland, I was actually leaning that way,

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so I figured I could give him out at seventeen

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because I figured if we cashed the sixteen and a half,

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worst happens. Subscribers laying the seventeen is a push. I

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wouldn't put out seventeen and a half if they laid seventeen,

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because they could push and we could lose. But in

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that case, I was looking in the seventeenth, but they weren't.

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Just there was like one book at minus seventeen minus

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one fifteen, and I say, if I send that out,

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that's not fair to subscribe us, because there's no way

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they're going to get seventeen. They're all going to be

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looking at eighteens, eighteen and a half maybe, And I

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think that's what's happened there. So Maryland got hit. Another

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one that got hit was Toledo. Toledo. That's why you'll

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be looking at Toledo minus seven really soon. We laid

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Toledo minus five and a half. We laid Toledo minus

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six and six and a half as well, So Toledo

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got steamed, and yeah, the college football they're wasting no

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time with it at all. Wow. Good games, good man,

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I'm excited.

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Speaker 1: Man.

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Speaker 3: Weak one NFL next week? Wow, good week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I see Michigan State's moving that it may go

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to three and a half. So there's a key number

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for you as well. Let's take a look at NFL.

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I mean, these NFL lines. I don't know what all

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we can do with them at this point because this

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is the week where obviously these lines have been out,

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you know, forever, but any anything, we need to be

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keeping our eye on here.

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Speaker 3: I think you need to be conscious of the line

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move of the opening number, but I think you then

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have to play the game from August one, meaning that

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that early initial moves that you see back in May

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or June, you can't pay too too much attention to

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them because you got to remember, the limits were really small.

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They didn't book a ton of money. So even though

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some of those lines might have moved two or three points,

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it wasn't a lot of money booked on those It's

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not until you see multiple books put out a number

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and they're all booking at that number that I think

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you should start paying attention from that point on, and

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luckily you go to the odds logic screen that'll tell

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you when that line came out, when it moved. You

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could even do it with the wager talk three odds

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just so you could see when did the major books

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actually post the number and what number did they post

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that game at? And then I think you play it

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from there, because again some books try to get out

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ahead and entice action and get a publicity from offering

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Week one NFL early in the summer. But remember they're

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not taking big bets on it. They're taking maybe a nickel.

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So for you know, two or three limit bets, you

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can move an NFL game a point point and a

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half two points, which isn't going to happen during the

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regular season. And you see a lot of these movement

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Like I'll tell you right now, I don't think this

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is going to change. The signs that are the most

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one sided right now, and it's already building more and

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more exposure is where they go. The Green Bay Packers. Yea,

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there's so much Packer exposure already, and against a tough

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team like the Lions, I'm a little bit surprised to

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see such one sided action on the Green Bay Packers.

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I think you'll see some takers on Detroit at three.

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Another game that's all one sided was the Cardinals, where

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they're continuing the bet the Cardinals regardless of the number.

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I think it's a fade of New Orleans more than

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the bet on Arizona, because maybe the early money from

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the Sharps was a bet on Arizona. But I think

241
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the recreational betters that are steaming it now it's all

242
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just a fate of the New Orleans Saints because again

243
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they're laying a very very very late number. And then

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it shows in the line a sharp sign that the

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wise guys fell in love with that was the Raiders.

246
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For some reason, they fell in love with that Raiders

247
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week one against the Patriots, and that just continued to

248
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take money all the way down to like through that

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key number of three.

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Speaker 1: I think.

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Speaker 3: So it'll be interesting to see if anything changes leading

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up to the week, but I don't think so. I

253
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think teams like the Steelers are going to be a

254
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big risk for the book. Teams like the Packers are

255
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going to be a big risk for the book. The

256
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Bengals are going to be a big risk for the book,

257
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usual suspects, usual suspects. But finally Thursday, real quick, the

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first game of the year, Dallas Eagles. You're getting Egle money,

259
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No surprise, That's why it's asked that T seven. So

260
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far it's all Eagles. Uh. Interested to see if Dallas

261
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money comes in as we approach Thursday.

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Speaker 2: Well, I will happily be on the side of the books.

263
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Just just let me uh, let me, let me be

264
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where the books would it would be, and I'll be

265
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happy there. Let's see, uh, Titans oncenow. Do we have

266
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anything on Oklahoma Michigan. You see money has come in

267
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on on one side. What are you seeing on your end?

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Speaker 3: Oklahoma Michigan? What a game?

269
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Speaker 2: Yeah?

270
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Speaker 3: Big, we too. Nothing nothing really sticking out so far.

271
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Just dog money from the public, just dog money from

272
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the public, which is you know you get that many

273
00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:48,200
points with Michigan. I'm not really surprised, not really surprised.

274
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I'm interested to see if I see any of the

275
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Oklahoma in the accounts. I liked Oklahoma myself early. I

276
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thought anything less than a touchdown, I'd be on the

277
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Oklahoma side, But I didn't fire. Still waiting a little bit,

278
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see what happened.

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Speaker 2: Like it, like it, and uh, question, what's the attraction

280
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to the Raiders. I mean, uh, I wish I knew.

281
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Speaker 3: I wish I knew.

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Speaker 2: I I will tell you my opinion is that they've

283
00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:17,759
had an incredible like training camp. The coaching upgrade is.

284
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Speaker 3: Matt Ryl coming to town, the city.

285
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Speaker 2: Big coaching City's quarterback upgrade.

286
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Speaker 3: I I running upgrade.

287
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Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, okay, so we pretty much said they upgraded everything.

288
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That's probably why there's attraction to the much worse truth

289
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truth before we let you go. You're doing a contender

290
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series tomorrow, correct.

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Speaker 3: Yep, yeah, contended tomorrow. I gotta work on that tonight

292
00:14:42,279 --> 00:14:44,919
because we'll have bet on it on Wednesday. So I

293
00:14:44,919 --> 00:14:46,799
have bet on it Wednesday. I won't be able to,

294
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you know, do any of the work Tuesday because I'm

295
00:14:48,799 --> 00:14:51,679
at Apex all day. I'm so I'm gonna do college

296
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football and NFL work tonight, Contender series work tonight, And

297
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like I said, I have a four percent in the CFL.

298
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A package will be probably when in the next thirty minutes.

299
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Baseball package is going up today. I love Labor Day baseball.

300
00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:07,240
A lot of day games people are off, so it's

301
00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:10,120
a little different market with only one college football game

302
00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:13,600
late tonight, so baseball package will be up as well.

303
00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:17,240
And Week two college football already release plays, so that

304
00:15:17,279 --> 00:15:20,279
package will be up also. And yeah, best of luck

305
00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:23,799
this week. NFL Week one Sunday, don't forget steam Room

306
00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:26,200
will be leading up into kickoff on Sunday. We'll go

307
00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:28,879
over each and every NFL game and give out those

308
00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:32,039
bonus teasers as well. Best of luck to everyone this week.

309
00:15:33,039 --> 00:15:35,000
Speaker 2: Before I let you go, I'm just calling it right now.

310
00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:38,080
Theo Haig's gonna beat Michael Old to say, Chick's brother

311
00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:41,720
minus three, minus three forty five is going to go down.

312
00:15:41,840 --> 00:15:43,960
That's my big call for Contender series.

313
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Speaker 4: I like this week.

314
00:15:45,159 --> 00:15:45,799
Speaker 2: So we'll see.

315
00:15:45,639 --> 00:15:48,559
Speaker 3: How many favorites lately, too many favorites.

316
00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:51,279
Speaker 2: We we talked about you on our live show. We

317
00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:53,080
were like, oh, Gianni is going to be loving the

318
00:15:53,159 --> 00:15:58,480
dogs next week. That's way favorites. Yes, yeah, yeah, I

319
00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:01,600
got theo Haig. So have funny Tender series. We'll be

320
00:16:01,639 --> 00:16:03,679
thinking of you. Have a great week, and thanks again, Johnny,

321
00:16:03,759 --> 00:16:07,559
thank you for Let's just keep momentum going here. Let's

322
00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:09,919
bring in crack Man. Let's bring in Crackman. And get

323
00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:14,360
his thoughts on NFL College Football bill right out of

324
00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:16,639
the gate college football. What was your takeaway from the

325
00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:17,279
from the week?

326
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:22,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, hey guys, Uh enjoyed a really good weekend of

327
00:16:22,759 --> 00:16:25,799
college football. I say weekend. It was Thursday, Friday, Saturday.

328
00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:28,279
And uh, you know some of these games to start

329
00:16:28,279 --> 00:16:33,480
the season, good defensive grind out type of games. Ohio State, Texas.

330
00:16:33,799 --> 00:16:35,320
You know, not that that was a good game, but

331
00:16:35,759 --> 00:16:39,320
it was just a defensive grindout game. LSU, Clemson, Uh,

332
00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:43,879
Notre Dame Miami yesterday. I was lucky enough to have Miami.

333
00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:45,759
I thought I was gonna blow it at the end there,

334
00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:50,879
but grinded it out, like I said. And and you

335
00:16:50,919 --> 00:16:54,039
know when you watch these games, all these TV games,

336
00:16:54,039 --> 00:16:56,919
people have to realize too. And this goes for everything.

337
00:16:56,919 --> 00:17:00,279
This goes for the this weekend's NFL on Thursday night,

338
00:17:00,399 --> 00:17:04,640
Friday night, Saturday games that are marquee games, primetime games,

339
00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:08,720
Sunday night football, Monday night football. You don't have to

340
00:17:08,759 --> 00:17:09,880
have a bet on each game.

341
00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:10,319
Speaker 2: So I was.

342
00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:12,720
Speaker 1: I did my Fox show yesterday. I was talking to

343
00:17:12,799 --> 00:17:16,119
some people after the show and they were just so

344
00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:18,640
pumped at at the Eagles game. They were like wo

345
00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:22,720
are like an Eagles game, like it's the first primetime

346
00:17:22,839 --> 00:17:26,319
major game. And it's so hard to talk people off

347
00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,839
games and what I mean by you don't have to

348
00:17:28,839 --> 00:17:31,559
have a side or a total on every game. However,

349
00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:37,359
I'm probably gonna have NFL props on every single primetime

350
00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:41,519
game because there's so much market for NFL props, even

351
00:17:41,599 --> 00:17:46,039
for the regular games Sunday Sunday games. There's these sportsbooks

352
00:17:46,039 --> 00:17:48,039
now that are you know, I shouldn't say neude to

353
00:17:48,079 --> 00:17:52,200
the country no more. It's eight years the Fandels, DraftKings, Caesars,

354
00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:55,200
bet on gms. They have props on every single game.

355
00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:59,160
Even over here in Vegas circa Westgate, they have props up,

356
00:18:00,079 --> 00:18:02,880
a whole slew of props. So I love betting those

357
00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:06,319
NFL props. But uh, I just wanted people to know that,

358
00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:08,680
you know, I know it's hard though, it's very very

359
00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:12,279
hard to not have a bet on every game. Everyone

360
00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:14,160
thinks they have to have a bet on the side. Well,

361
00:18:14,519 --> 00:18:19,400
it's the most efficient market out there as NFL, especially

362
00:18:20,039 --> 00:18:22,240
these week one lines that have been that have been

363
00:18:22,279 --> 00:18:27,519
hanging for months and months. So you know, we listen,

364
00:18:27,720 --> 00:18:30,240
I'm telling you I'm going to bet I have NFL

365
00:18:30,319 --> 00:18:33,799
side circles and like like to give you one of them.

366
00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:36,160
I wasn't planning to do this, but here's a here's

367
00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:39,160
a I just missed. I almost sent it out to

368
00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:43,240
Cleveland plus six this weekend. I like Cleveland plus six,

369
00:18:43,319 --> 00:18:44,960
so that's gonna be one of my one of my

370
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,119
plays if it comes back. Now it's not five and

371
00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:49,599
a half right now, so it's a pass, that's right,

372
00:18:49,839 --> 00:18:52,880
even though it's just half a point, it's a pass

373
00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:56,599
if there's not widely available sixes. Now, I do see.

374
00:18:56,759 --> 00:18:58,559
Let me see andy, if I minimize this a pull

375
00:18:58,599 --> 00:19:01,599
up my Odds Logic screen, can I can you guys see.

376
00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:04,759
Speaker 2: Me home on No, that's fine, we can. We can

377
00:19:04,799 --> 00:19:08,240
put my beautiful Yeah, we'll put my beautiful face on

378
00:19:07,759 --> 00:19:10,079
on on screen. There bill that way and the ratings

379
00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:11,200
go up. I'm kidding.

380
00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:13,680
Speaker 1: I didn't know if it when I have when I

381
00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:16,720
look at Odds Logic, if I when I minimize the screen,

382
00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:19,519
yes see, I have one two sixes, but they're they're

383
00:19:19,559 --> 00:19:21,640
not even here in town, so it's not fair. I

384
00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:23,920
would never give them out with people. All right, I'm back.

385
00:19:24,559 --> 00:19:26,759
I wanted to check the odd Logic screen so anyway,

386
00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:29,319
I will have some sides. I have about four or

387
00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:32,839
five circles that I think are are actually okay to

388
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:38,160
play and and like, like Giohnny said it that if

389
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,000
everyone loves green Bay right now, oh my god, green Bay,

390
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:42,680
Green Bay, Green Bay. Oh my god, they got they

391
00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:46,039
got Parsons, this is gonna be a great team. Well, uh,

392
00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,920
Detroit has one of the toughest schedules. But yeah, if

393
00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,680
I can find a plus three minus twenty or less,

394
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:54,839
I'll be on Detroit also. So I just wanted to

395
00:19:54,839 --> 00:19:56,759
give some logic there to the people and make sure

396
00:19:56,799 --> 00:20:00,440
you know it's a long, hard fort season. Don't get

397
00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,279
just fire and listen. I try to talk about so

398
00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:06,920
much stuff because of the human condition. And guess where

399
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:09,599
I get that from me being a kid growing up

400
00:20:09,599 --> 00:20:11,240
back in New York and New Jersey. I know what

401
00:20:11,319 --> 00:20:14,279
it is to have to gamble, growing up in gambling

402
00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:17,839
family gamble and atmosphere. You know these places that Philly,

403
00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:20,200
New York, Detroit, you know, you know all these places,

404
00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:23,240
these are right at passages that we just gambled since

405
00:20:23,279 --> 00:20:25,319
we're little kids. I was gambled ains I was eight

406
00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:28,599
nine years old. So I'm just trying to teach people

407
00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:32,599
off my losing that's right, losing my losing playbook when

408
00:20:32,599 --> 00:20:36,480
I was fourteen, fifteen, sixteen seventeen, fire and aimlessly not

409
00:20:36,559 --> 00:20:39,480
knowing anything on football, getting myself jammed up in trouble

410
00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:43,519
betting because the games are on TV. It's so much

411
00:20:43,519 --> 00:20:45,640
easier to do it now with all these apps, and

412
00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:47,559
I just wanted to, you know, tell the people out

413
00:20:47,559 --> 00:20:49,839
there be a little more responsible. It's a long, hard

414
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:53,039
fought season. You don't have to bet live and fire

415
00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:55,519
live on everything. That's the biggest form of closet gambling.

416
00:20:55,759 --> 00:20:58,759
So you catch yourself betting live one or two bets

417
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,880
was your goal four or five sixty seven? And you're like,

418
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:03,359
oh my god, I can't believe I'm betting all this

419
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:06,759
live wagering. Guess what, you're laying double the juice people.

420
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:09,319
You're not laying one ten on both sides. You're laying

421
00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:11,960
one fifteen or even one twenty on both sides. And

422
00:21:12,039 --> 00:21:14,559
you know, I'm not saying live wagering can't be beat.

423
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,400
Trust me. It absolutely can be beat if you do

424
00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:19,799
it from a smart sense. And what I'm saying is

425
00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:24,160
the slower moving apps or sportsbooks compared to the faster

426
00:21:24,279 --> 00:21:27,200
moving apps and sports books. It can be beat. But

427
00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:29,640
just know that you're on like a ten to fifteen

428
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:33,319
second delay with the frequency from the stadium to the

429
00:21:33,519 --> 00:21:36,720
even screen. Now another twenty you may be at a

430
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,920
sixty second delay. Sometimes betting live that you're watching on

431
00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:43,160
your TV screen, Depending on what market you're in and

432
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:46,920
what service you're using, just know that bet during the commercials,

433
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:49,680
don't bet when they're on the field, because there's no

434
00:21:49,759 --> 00:21:52,519
other way to tell you this. Yes, some of the

435
00:21:52,599 --> 00:21:57,680
sites are cheating. That's right, you're cheating. No, it's hard

436
00:21:57,680 --> 00:21:59,759
to believe. I knew a guy here that worked for

437
00:22:00,039 --> 00:22:02,799
all the companies, and he didn't know anything any better.

438
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:06,160
He didn't think he was cheating. You know, green Bay

439
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:09,160
playing Detroit. Green Bay's going in on the five yard line.

440
00:22:09,319 --> 00:22:12,039
They scored a touchdown, and people that are betting green

441
00:22:12,079 --> 00:22:16,039
Bay live get denied. People that better Detroit they take

442
00:22:16,079 --> 00:22:19,279
their bet. It's unbelievable. Now, this was this really happened here.

443
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:22,400
Matter of fact, the company was fined thirty six million

444
00:22:22,519 --> 00:22:27,599
dollars buying Nevada Gaming altogether for things like this. So

445
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:31,200
trust me, especially if you're playing with far off places

446
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:34,839
and stuff listen, trust me, do not bet when you're

447
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:37,039
watching the game. Bet during commercials only.

448
00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:37,440
Speaker 5: All right?

449
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:39,640
Speaker 1: I went off on rants and I wasn't even planning

450
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:39,880
to know.

451
00:22:40,039 --> 00:22:43,119
Speaker 2: You're we talk about this, we repeat ourselves, but it's

452
00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:45,480
too important. UFC is the same way you bet in

453
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:49,440
between rounds. It's you bet in between fights and you're like,

454
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:51,359
why did the line drop? And then one minute later

455
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:57,200
a guy gets clocked and because you're forty five seconds behind, good.

456
00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:00,920
Speaker 1: UFC, it's gotta be terrible too. They're in the grappling

457
00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:03,720
and fighting and you can't bet live. I don't even

458
00:23:03,759 --> 00:23:08,160
bet UFC really hardly, but just hearing that, I'm sure

459
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:10,960
that Andy, you've been involved in situations like this.

460
00:23:11,759 --> 00:23:14,920
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, you said you had Miami. I watched that

461
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:16,839
Miami Notre Dame game. I gotta tell you. My big

462
00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,079
takeaway was, I think Notre Dame is gonna be really good.

463
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:21,640
Both teams were good, but I thought Notre Dame really

464
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:24,200
figured it out in the second half. I think they're

465
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:27,240
a bet on. I mean, I don't know if that's

466
00:23:27,279 --> 00:23:28,680
that hot of a take, but I was. I was

467
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:30,599
pretty impressed with them. What was your take on that game?

468
00:23:31,079 --> 00:23:34,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, both teams were I gotta tell you what

469
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:36,640
a comeback? What a comeback? Well, you know there a

470
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:40,079
little bit and I thought it was. I watched the

471
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:42,799
first half. I actually went out to one of our

472
00:23:42,839 --> 00:23:46,839
local casinos here for the second half and I watched.

473
00:23:46,839 --> 00:23:49,640
I actually did watch the rest of the game, and yeah, no,

474
00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:52,000
they're gonna be a They're gonna be a tough team.

475
00:23:52,039 --> 00:23:54,400
And I actually bet them, but that was I bet

476
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:57,440
them on a future here that was at well the

477
00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:00,519
westkeat they hung like a twenty to one on which

478
00:24:00,559 --> 00:24:02,279
I thought was I seen him like ten to one,

479
00:24:02,319 --> 00:24:05,240
twelve to one, and that this first game will hurt

480
00:24:05,279 --> 00:24:07,920
them and that, but you know they're gonna be grinding

481
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:10,039
all year, so we'll see what happens. But yeah, they're

482
00:24:10,079 --> 00:24:13,319
they're They're definitely a tough team, definitely. But Miami showed

483
00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:15,839
a little heart there coming back at the again with

484
00:24:15,839 --> 00:24:19,680
that long field goal after blowing the lead too. So yeah,

485
00:24:20,279 --> 00:24:22,000
I'm happy happy they did it. You know, I had

486
00:24:22,079 --> 00:24:24,440
three points, went down to two and a half everywhere,

487
00:24:24,839 --> 00:24:28,200
and then you know you just start feeling when they're

488
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:30,119
collapsing there, like, oh but there's no way I can

489
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,000
win this. You think you know only because you know

490
00:24:33,039 --> 00:24:34,960
you're on the good side. The momentum on the field

491
00:24:35,039 --> 00:24:38,799
was really going th to Dame's way and then they

492
00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:40,839
luckily got the wind though, so we got the win

493
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:44,119
for the wagers. Tald guys happy, did you did you?

494
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:46,000
Speaker 2: Did you see Lee Corso? Uh?

495
00:24:46,079 --> 00:24:46,440
Speaker 3: Did you see?

496
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:48,920
Speaker 2: He made his six picks on the show and he

497
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:51,160
hit all six of them? It would have paid ninety

498
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,480
one to one. I saw a couple of people actually

499
00:24:53,559 --> 00:24:56,240
bet them on on on Twitter and social media. Wow,

500
00:24:56,279 --> 00:24:59,240
they spray, they sprinkled. Yeah, because it was this very

501
00:24:59,319 --> 00:25:02,160
last show and some people are like a a league

502
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:05,240
courso let's fire away, So shout out to show.

503
00:25:05,799 --> 00:25:09,279
Speaker 1: But yeah again, we're gonna go through an area where

504
00:25:09,279 --> 00:25:12,039
I have to talk about risk being responsible. I listen,

505
00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:15,119
even my friends, even my guys so that I know

506
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,279
that I grew up with for years Andy, they love

507
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:22,119
betting parlays. They can't get off this parlay train, and

508
00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:25,440
I try to. I waved a white towel man, I said, listen,

509
00:25:25,839 --> 00:25:27,200
if you're going to bet one hundred dollars on a

510
00:25:27,279 --> 00:25:29,359
game again, do you want to bet five or ten

511
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:32,240
dollars on your five team or go ahead? I but

512
00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:36,559
listen to sportsbooks make sixty percent of their profits from

513
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:39,599
parlay betters. But I get it. It's fun. It's fun

514
00:25:39,599 --> 00:25:42,680
to turn. You know, right now there's a lottery crazy,

515
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:44,400
it's all over a billion. I don't know where you live,

516
00:25:44,559 --> 00:25:47,359
they don't have it here, but everyone's going to the

517
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:50,000
border because the lottery is over a billion dollars. Like,

518
00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:53,200
you know, it's such a long shot, but you know,

519
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:55,960
I have no problem, even me. My neighbor was like, hey,

520
00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:57,880
I'm gonna go to the border. Do you want any tickets?

521
00:25:58,039 --> 00:26:01,039
I said, yeah, here's ten bucks. You know, like fine, again,

522
00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:03,079
I have no problem betting the long shot for a

523
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:05,920
sawbuck or something small. But just don't go crazy and

524
00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:08,720
oh let me bet two hundred dollars on a parlay.

525
00:26:08,799 --> 00:26:11,960
Hunting for your average bet should not be on a parlay.

526
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:13,720
You want to bet it, you bet it for a

527
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:15,400
little bit of money and have some fun. But you

528
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:18,720
see when Lee Corso hit six out of six, everyone said,

529
00:26:18,799 --> 00:26:20,240
this is easy. Look what happened.

530
00:26:21,759 --> 00:26:23,799
Speaker 2: I don't know why how they stay in business. I

531
00:26:23,839 --> 00:26:26,079
don't know how sports, but it's like.

532
00:26:26,039 --> 00:26:28,359
Speaker 1: Us when we first anyone that's on this show today,

533
00:26:29,079 --> 00:26:31,000
and you guys all that out there. You know what

534
00:26:31,039 --> 00:26:33,000
it is to hit your first big long shot. I

535
00:26:33,039 --> 00:26:34,759
was at Mammick Park when I was ten years old,

536
00:26:34,799 --> 00:26:37,039
my dad. You know, I still remember the two horses

537
00:26:37,039 --> 00:26:39,640
that I hit for two dollars with my dad, miss

538
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:42,519
self and Tinsley's Dream. I remember the name till this day.

539
00:26:42,759 --> 00:26:46,039
But you just it's amazing, four hundred dollars. I was

540
00:26:46,079 --> 00:26:46,799
hooked for life.

541
00:26:46,839 --> 00:26:47,319
Speaker 2: That was it.

542
00:26:47,599 --> 00:26:49,960
Speaker 1: Next thing I know, I'm eleven, twelve years old, taking

543
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:53,000
buses to the track behind my parents without them even knowing,

544
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:55,519
and my little buddies and trying to get someone to

545
00:26:55,599 --> 00:26:56,799
put bets at me because I was you know, I

546
00:26:56,880 --> 00:26:59,240
was only eleven and twelve, so I know what it's like.

547
00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:03,240
So anyway, parlay sucker bets. Trust me, It's all I'm saying.

548
00:27:04,039 --> 00:27:05,960
Speaker 2: I remember my first big one. It was like two

549
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,400
am and I was up and there was an mm

550
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:10,440
A card and there was a guy fighting and he

551
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:13,960
had one leg and I bet against him and I

552
00:27:14,039 --> 00:27:16,440
was like, this is the easiest money that that that

553
00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:18,400
that I've ever made in my life. And I was like, oh,

554
00:27:18,599 --> 00:27:21,279
this must be how it's like every single time, this

555
00:27:21,319 --> 00:27:24,359
is the easiest betting ever. And boy, was I wrong.

556
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:27,920
I'll never forget, never forget that.

557
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:30,440
Speaker 1: That's something our first bet. We remember that star first.

558
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:35,039
Speaker 2: Remember I remember it? All right, Let's do an MLB prop.

559
00:27:35,319 --> 00:27:36,720
Billy always come out and give us a M A

560
00:27:36,799 --> 00:27:37,839
B prop. What do you like today?

561
00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:42,079
Speaker 1: Let's go to Cleveland, Parker Messic total strikeouts over four

562
00:27:42,079 --> 00:27:44,799
and a half minus one fy five or I don't

563
00:27:44,799 --> 00:27:46,839
even mind you going over five and a half. I

564
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:50,240
seen plus one in a quarter, so a little gret

565
00:27:50,319 --> 00:27:52,680
at a middle road there as a five. I like

566
00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:56,200
going with these young prospects late in the season. He's

567
00:27:56,240 --> 00:28:00,319
got six k's and both of his starts, and now

568
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:02,559
he goes against the Red Sox lineup today. That that strikes

569
00:28:02,559 --> 00:28:06,599
out a ton of against lefty. So let's go over

570
00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:08,960
five and a half. Let me just see. I'm tanna

571
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:11,359
me see what I'm I'm on, Ben MGM over four

572
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:13,319
and a half minus fifty five or over five and

573
00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:15,559
a half plus a quarter. I don't mind too, Parker

574
00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:18,960
Messik over and yeah. So anyway, I'm getting off fair

575
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:20,799
with you, and I'm starting up my new podcast today.

576
00:28:20,799 --> 00:28:23,640
I didn't even announce it yet on Twitter. Andy new

577
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:28,000
podcast today, Kelly and Crack Kelly and Vegas and Bill Krachenberger.

578
00:28:28,039 --> 00:28:30,759
A weekly podcast. It's not gonna be long, about thirty

579
00:28:30,799 --> 00:28:33,920
minutes each each episode. We're gonna film it on Mondays

580
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:35,799
and we'll have it out there for people. It's gonna

581
00:28:35,799 --> 00:28:39,559
be recapping the weekend, maybe talking to Vegas lifestyle, what's

582
00:28:39,599 --> 00:28:41,359
going on here, a little bit out of the weekend

583
00:28:41,359 --> 00:28:44,519
whent and it should be fun. It's a weekly podcast.

584
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:48,319
Speaker 2: All right, awesome stuff. Thank you, Bill, have on with that,

585
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:51,640
Kelly and crap, don't forget me check that out. Thanks

586
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:55,319
a lot, Bill, Thanks, have a great day. All right, guys.

587
00:28:55,359 --> 00:28:57,880
We're running a few specials here. The big one this

588
00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:00,839
week is seven days for seventy seven dollars. That is

589
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:05,039
a full week of all plays starting two day. You

590
00:29:05,039 --> 00:29:08,240
can get plays today in MLB College football all the

591
00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:11,079
way through the weekend. Seven days. This is discounted down

592
00:29:11,359 --> 00:29:14,119
to just eleven dollars per day. This is where the

593
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:18,440
betting season really really kicks up. We got football damn

594
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:20,839
near every single night. So you want to test drive

595
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:23,880
a new handicapper, great, get them for seventy seven dollars.

596
00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:26,839
Get your favorite handyicapper that you've had good successful in

597
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:29,319
the past great seven days for seventy seven dollars, just

598
00:29:29,319 --> 00:29:31,599
eleven dollars a day. It's at the deal's page. And

599
00:29:31,599 --> 00:29:34,960
this is good for any handicapper at wager Talk, So

600
00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:37,720
well run these specials. Make sure you take advantage of them.

601
00:29:37,839 --> 00:29:41,759
Eleven dollars a day, seven days, all access NFL, college football, MLB,

602
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:45,680
and every other sport that your handy kapper has. All right, Chris,

603
00:29:45,799 --> 00:29:47,960
let's go to all around the world. Let's give the

604
00:29:48,039 --> 00:29:52,960
people some free plays here, and we got a couple

605
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:56,559
of a couple NFL plays. Then we'll throw a player

606
00:29:56,559 --> 00:29:59,039
prop in here. For MLB, we'll start Bangals at Browns.

607
00:29:59,079 --> 00:30:00,720
I like the Browns over twenty and a half on

608
00:30:00,759 --> 00:30:04,559
their team total. This Bengals defense, man, man, are they bad.

609
00:30:04,599 --> 00:30:07,160
They gave up over twenty five points per game last season.

610
00:30:07,359 --> 00:30:10,400
Didn't see any upgrades. They give up ninety three points

611
00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:13,680
in the preseason. I know it's preseason, but ninety three

612
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:16,599
points the three games is horrific. And honestly, for the Browns,

613
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,119
this is probably the healthiest we're gonnaver gonna see Joe

614
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:21,160
Flacco this season. So if we're gonna bet on the

615
00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:23,440
Browns with Joe Flackwell quarterback. It's probably gonna be in

616
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:26,200
Week one. So I like betting the opponent of the

617
00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,279
Bengals over their team total just about every week, so

618
00:30:29,319 --> 00:30:31,920
we're gonna take them. This is an interesting player prop

619
00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:35,519
here Andrew Monasterio to have a hit. This Sky's eleven

620
00:30:35,759 --> 00:30:38,440
games in a row with a hit. That's an incredible streak.

621
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:41,799
He's facing Walker Tyson Walker today. Walker gave up ten

622
00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:45,039
hits in the last game and Monsterario three at bats

623
00:30:45,119 --> 00:30:47,640
versus Walker and he has two hits, so you know,

624
00:30:47,759 --> 00:30:50,079
only faced him in one game, but he had good

625
00:30:50,119 --> 00:30:52,200
success there. And we'll go to the Ravens and the Bills.

626
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:54,720
Lamar Jackson over one and a half touchdown passes. This

627
00:30:54,799 --> 00:30:58,200
was an incredible prop that hit last year, going back

628
00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,480
to last year, nine straight games. He's gone over that

629
00:31:01,319 --> 00:31:06,680
last four games. He's just been absolutely on fire. So

630
00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:10,599
like you in the regular season, going nine games in

631
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:13,240
a row. And I know Derek Henry gets all the headlines,

632
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:16,839
but Lamar Jackson is completely underpriced. This is like minus

633
00:31:16,839 --> 00:31:19,279
one fifteen on some of these books. So Lamar Jackson

634
00:31:19,279 --> 00:31:22,160
over one and a half passing touchdowns. I know the

635
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:24,920
Bills defense is good Lamar Jackson's just gonna be a

636
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:29,119
little bit better. So all right, let's bring in Bryan Power.

637
00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:32,920
Got to get his thoughts on some MLB. But first, Brian,

638
00:31:33,319 --> 00:31:37,559
we got to talk this TCU North Carolina game. Ayeah, Yeah,

639
00:31:39,279 --> 00:31:40,920
how do you break this game down?

640
00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:41,359
Speaker 1: Like?

641
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:44,079
Speaker 2: What are you looking at in this game? This? This

642
00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:46,519
feels like one of the tough ones. So how do

643
00:31:46,519 --> 00:31:47,960
you go about approaching this game?

644
00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:50,480
Speaker 5: Well, I think that was a very excellent lead in

645
00:31:50,599 --> 00:31:52,799
question there Andy over the weekend.

646
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 4: I think if there's one thing we all learn in conson.

647
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:01,200
Speaker 5: And no matter how much we read and study in

648
00:32:01,279 --> 00:32:04,799
the off season, it is very difficult predictably actually look

649
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:07,519
like when they hit the field. And to your point

650
00:32:07,799 --> 00:32:10,599
well stated, coming to twenty twenty five guys, there is

651
00:32:10,759 --> 00:32:14,200
arguably no bigger unknown in the entire country across the

652
00:32:14,279 --> 00:32:18,599
North Carolina under Bill Belichick's seventy two faces from the

653
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:21,759
transfer portal, I'll repeat that number, seventy two faces. Look,

654
00:32:21,799 --> 00:32:24,359
we know the transfer portal. It's here here to say

655
00:32:24,359 --> 00:32:26,240
it's the way it is. Seventy is a lot even

656
00:32:26,279 --> 00:32:28,720
by the modern standard. Is Bill going to give the

657
00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:30,920
same effort here that he did during his Hall of

658
00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:34,000
fame NFL career or is he just living that hashtag

659
00:32:34,039 --> 00:32:35,920
best life with a girlfriend that's a third of his age.

660
00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:38,519
I don't know, Andy, And if anyone tells you they do,

661
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:41,759
they're lying to you. But here's a classic belot Chick

662
00:32:41,799 --> 00:32:44,720
quote for you about his team here coming into the season,

663
00:32:44,799 --> 00:32:48,400
the Tar Heels quote. I can't tell you how players

664
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:49,759
are going to perform.

665
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:52,559
Speaker 4: That'll be up to them. Thank you for that, Bill.

666
00:32:52,599 --> 00:32:54,920
That is not all.

667
00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:57,599
Speaker 5: But the one thing I will say about this game

668
00:32:57,720 --> 00:33:01,640
with certainty, and Gianni talked about it in the opening segment,

669
00:33:01,759 --> 00:33:04,000
is TCU's the side that's taking all the money. Obviously

670
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:06,200
a long time ago, when this line first open, you

671
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:07,960
could have bet the horn Frogs as an underdog. Now

672
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:09,759
they're minus three and a half, maybe heading to minus

673
00:33:09,839 --> 00:33:10,720
four on the road.

674
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 4: I agree.

675
00:33:12,079 --> 00:33:14,960
Speaker 5: I concur with Gihanny that if you like to TCU,

676
00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:17,720
I think you missed your window here. But I actually

677
00:33:17,839 --> 00:33:20,839
think I'm in the minority here, Andy, and I'm gonna

678
00:33:20,839 --> 00:33:23,519
say TCU takes a small step back in twenty twenty five.

679
00:33:23,599 --> 00:33:25,640
Let's talk about them. Let's not forget about there are

680
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:28,079
two sides of this game. I think the Hordon Frogs

681
00:33:28,119 --> 00:33:30,200
probably end up as a seven or eight win team

682
00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:31,720
when all is said and done at the end of

683
00:33:31,759 --> 00:33:35,160
the season. Note they were much improved last year, but

684
00:33:35,279 --> 00:33:37,559
there was a reason for that in terms of the schedule.

685
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:40,720
TCU did not face a single ranked opponent all of

686
00:33:40,799 --> 00:33:43,720
last season. Now North Carolina clearly not ranked. They're an

687
00:33:43,759 --> 00:33:46,400
unknown and as you know, I do think the Tarios

688
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:49,240
will better defensively this year. I could say that with confence.

689
00:33:49,279 --> 00:33:53,359
Steve Belichick. Phil Sun obviously is the coordinator. His defense

690
00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:56,079
at Washington last year, that's the Washington Huskies was great

691
00:33:56,759 --> 00:33:59,759
on the offensive side of the ball. Geo Lopez transfers

692
00:33:59,799 --> 00:34:02,640
into play quarterback for North Carolina. He was in South Alabama.

693
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:05,000
I liked him last year. He's gonna be upgrade over

694
00:34:05,039 --> 00:34:08,440
what UNC had last year under center. So, in terms

695
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:11,840
of making a pick for this game, because that's certainly

696
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:13,599
what we're all here for, and you want to hear

697
00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:16,599
full disclosure, I got nothing for the clients Andy on

698
00:34:16,639 --> 00:34:19,320
this one. To Cracks point that last segment, you don't

699
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:20,880
have to make a pick on every game just because

700
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:24,320
it's on national TV. But if you forced me to,

701
00:34:24,960 --> 00:34:27,920
I'd say get a little frisky at this point, bet

702
00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:29,760
North Carolina on the money line.

703
00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,639
Speaker 4: Stranger things have happened. Remember it was two years ago.

704
00:34:33,039 --> 00:34:37,960
Speaker 5: TCU opened the season against Colorado deon Sanders first game.

705
00:34:38,159 --> 00:34:40,639
I know they're two independent events. Just because they lost

706
00:34:40,679 --> 00:34:43,599
once doesn't mean they're gonna lose again. But you know,

707
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:45,840
I don't think Bill's gonna phone it in. I don't

708
00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:48,239
think he's gonna want to get embarrassed on national television.

709
00:34:48,639 --> 00:34:52,719
And lastly, North Carolina was owen seven ats at home

710
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:54,400
last year. I don't think they're gonna go the entire

711
00:34:54,440 --> 00:34:57,599
season again this year without covering in Chapel Hill. So

712
00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:00,119
I like, I think, if you're gonna play this game

713
00:35:00,199 --> 00:35:02,159
right now, you want to have some fun, you have

714
00:35:02,199 --> 00:35:04,920
some pizza cha, pizza money, some couch change left over

715
00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:08,559
from the weekend. North Carolina money line is how I

716
00:35:08,559 --> 00:35:10,440
would do this if they if they cover the spread,

717
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:12,320
they're gonna win the game outright, is my opinion.

718
00:35:13,679 --> 00:35:17,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree that you're I think your best point

719
00:35:17,599 --> 00:35:19,679
is why why I bet this game? Okay, I think

720
00:35:20,079 --> 00:35:21,679
I don't. I don't know. I don't know how you

721
00:35:21,679 --> 00:35:24,159
can say, oh, I have a very strong, awesome opinion

722
00:35:24,159 --> 00:35:27,159
that's totally going to be right on this game tonight,

723
00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:30,079
but it should be. It should be interesting here. Uh Brian,

724
00:35:30,119 --> 00:35:31,760
real quick before we get to MV. What was your

725
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:36,239
take first week in college football? I I was completely

726
00:35:36,239 --> 00:35:39,119
wrong with some of the things that I thought, like

727
00:35:39,599 --> 00:35:41,559
that IU was going to be a juggernaut. They were

728
00:35:41,559 --> 00:35:45,199
barely won by two scores against Old Dominion. I thought

729
00:35:45,679 --> 00:35:48,239
Louisiana was going to be amazing. They scored twelve points

730
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:51,280
to against Rice. Uh So, my, my, my thoughts of

731
00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:53,440
these teams, we were way off. What did you see

732
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:54,159
in the first week?

733
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:56,599
Speaker 5: Yeah, like I said of the opening, you can do

734
00:35:56,679 --> 00:35:59,039
all with the way college football is now, with so

735
00:35:59,199 --> 00:36:04,079
much player movement, coaching changes every year. You can study

736
00:36:04,159 --> 00:36:06,639
all off season and you really don't want to look

737
00:36:06,639 --> 00:36:10,000
at him. It was important, I think to a light

738
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:11,400
the first week of the season.

739
00:36:11,679 --> 00:36:13,199
Speaker 4: I watched a lot of football.

740
00:36:13,199 --> 00:36:15,239
Speaker 5: I can tell you the last four days, and my

741
00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:18,519
big takeaway when I watched last night's game between Notre

742
00:36:18,599 --> 00:36:21,280
Dame and Miami. You watched the Texas Ohio State game

743
00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:24,039
on Saturday. I had Ohio State in that one. My

744
00:36:24,119 --> 00:36:25,360
big takeaway is, and this should have.

745
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:26,119
Speaker 4: Been common sense.

746
00:36:26,559 --> 00:36:31,039
Speaker 5: Eighteen nineteen year olds making their first career start on

747
00:36:31,159 --> 00:36:33,880
the road or just making their first road start, because

748
00:36:34,119 --> 00:36:36,480
that's tough to do, man, And I think you need

749
00:36:36,519 --> 00:36:41,079
to temper your enthusiasm sometimes about these coaches that are

750
00:36:41,119 --> 00:36:42,960
a part of these quarterbacks that don't have a lot

751
00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:46,199
of experience in big games. I think that was the thing.

752
00:36:46,199 --> 00:36:48,320
And you know, I look at a team like LSU,

753
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:50,159
what they were able to do something, They were able

754
00:36:50,159 --> 00:36:51,360
to go on the road and win a big game.

755
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:53,440
Why here at nus Meyer's got experience, he's a senior.

756
00:36:54,079 --> 00:36:57,199
I was very impressed with LSU quite Franklyn't I don't

757
00:36:57,199 --> 00:36:59,679
think we should throw Clemson into the trash heap of life.

758
00:36:59,679 --> 00:37:02,039
But I was very impressed with clubs and obviously very

759
00:37:02,039 --> 00:37:03,119
impressed with Florida State.

760
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:04,400
Speaker 4: Thomas Castianos.

761
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:06,360
Speaker 5: Is he the greatest quarterback in the country, No, far

762
00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:08,760
from it, But he's played big games before and Ty

763
00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:12,840
Simpson of Alabama really hadn't. So in retrospect, that line

764
00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:15,400
was probably, it's easy to say now a touch too high.

765
00:37:15,559 --> 00:37:19,760
Speaker 4: So experience matters, Andy, I think that is a easy

766
00:37:20,039 --> 00:37:21,679
takeaway from Week one.

767
00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:25,599
Speaker 2: Titans has been bringing this up, but do you know

768
00:37:25,679 --> 00:37:29,159
anything about East Texas A and M I know.

769
00:37:29,119 --> 00:37:30,920
Speaker 4: That they're in for some tough sledge in this week.

770
00:37:32,599 --> 00:37:34,639
Speaker 2: I've never heard of them, but.

771
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,119
Speaker 5: Yeah, look, oh, by the way, a cheap plug here.

772
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:38,760
I know they will want me to plug it anyway.

773
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:42,239
The Blitz every Thursday, one pm Eastern immediately following you,

774
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:43,320
we are live.

775
00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:44,599
Speaker 4: Every Thursday taking your question.

776
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:48,440
Speaker 5: We do take STS questions. If you want confirmation by

777
00:37:48,559 --> 00:37:51,719
us for your ststick. We gave it to you on Thursday.

778
00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:54,159
And I think every single question we had shouldn't we

779
00:37:54,159 --> 00:37:56,559
take this team at SCS? I think every single time

780
00:37:56,599 --> 00:37:58,199
I said, I guess you should do that, I think

781
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:04,119
all of those were right. Film will take f STS

782
00:38:04,239 --> 00:38:05,639
questions on the books.

783
00:38:07,159 --> 00:38:11,159
Speaker 2: Let's move to MLB here, real quick, Rangers and Diamondbacks.

784
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:16,159
Corbyn for the Rangers, Nelson Diamondbacks, Dimmingbacks looking at minus

785
00:38:16,199 --> 00:38:18,440
one fifty here. He used to be Patrick Corban was

786
00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:22,280
an automatic fade not so much, but he's improved. He's

787
00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:24,280
gotten better. Here, what's your breakdown on this game?

788
00:38:25,199 --> 00:38:29,639
Speaker 5: So, despite getting hit by a bunch of key injuries recently, Andy,

789
00:38:29,679 --> 00:38:31,239
I think the Rangers are a team to look out

790
00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:33,760
for this final month of the regular season. Of all

791
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:35,920
the teams currently not in a playoff position.

792
00:38:36,599 --> 00:38:38,360
Speaker 4: I think the Rangers.

793
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:41,320
Speaker 5: Are most likely to make and get into the postseason.

794
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:45,400
There's a lot to like about this team. Ninety one

795
00:38:45,440 --> 00:38:50,920
different when I bring up and all those fun things,

796
00:38:51,119 --> 00:38:54,000
but they're run differential, seventh best at all baseball. It's

797
00:38:54,039 --> 00:38:57,320
basically the same as the Tigers, better than the Blue James.

798
00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:00,840
The Rangers pitching staff as the lowest team in all

799
00:39:00,880 --> 00:39:02,760
of baseball now a lot of them. They're playing on

800
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:06,559
the road here Arizona's inner friendly, and if at home,

801
00:39:06,599 --> 00:39:09,920
where the Rangers really nails. Still, I think the fact

802
00:39:10,159 --> 00:39:12,119
they have the lowest tr and all of baseball is

803
00:39:12,119 --> 00:39:14,159
worth noting. I think the fact they're number one in

804
00:39:14,199 --> 00:39:17,119
defensive run saved is worth noting. Andy, this is a

805
00:39:17,159 --> 00:39:20,079
good team in the field. I get e of all

806
00:39:20,159 --> 00:39:22,679
the semi and seeger, those are all big losses. I

807
00:39:22,679 --> 00:39:24,760
mentioned the injuries at the top, but you look at

808
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:28,559
tonight's matchup with the Diamondbacks and Giohnny Crack. They always

809
00:39:28,559 --> 00:39:31,920
talk about this betting numbers, not necessarily teams. I would

810
00:39:32,119 --> 00:39:34,199
I look at this game when I handicapped it, I

811
00:39:34,199 --> 00:39:36,840
would much rather be the Rangers at plus one thirty

812
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:38,440
than the Diamondbacks at minus one fifty.

813
00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:42,199
Speaker 4: That's my takeaway from this game. I think these.

814
00:39:42,119 --> 00:39:45,000
Speaker 5: Teams are pretty even, and I actually have the Rangers

815
00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:48,639
power rated ahead of the Diamondbacks. Rangers coming on a

816
00:39:48,639 --> 00:39:50,840
five game win streak. Meanwhile, you got Arizona off the

817
00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:54,079
demoralizing walk off loss Sunday to the Dodgers. We got

818
00:39:54,119 --> 00:39:57,559
to mention, you know, Dback's bullpen bottom five in ERA,

819
00:39:57,880 --> 00:40:00,440
so no lead is safe with them. And you mentioned

820
00:40:00,679 --> 00:40:03,840
the starting pitching matchup with Nelson and Corbyn. Yes, slight

821
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,000
edged Nelson and the Dbacks there, but Corbyn is coming

822
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:08,840
off as best outing of the entire season, eight shutout

823
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:12,719
innings against the Angels. And this Rangers offense, that was

824
00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:15,159
their albatross all year. They weren't scoring runs, that's why

825
00:40:15,199 --> 00:40:19,199
they're not in playoff position, but they had the twenty

826
00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:21,719
run game last week, they scored seven or more five

827
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:24,559
times during an eight and one stretch, and then again

828
00:40:24,599 --> 00:40:26,559
includes five straight wins. Coming in to night, I will

829
00:40:26,599 --> 00:40:31,480
gladly grab Texas at plus money in this series opener.

830
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:37,480
Speaker 2: NFL Week one. Any thoughts any hot takes teams you

831
00:40:37,639 --> 00:40:39,519
like in teams you're not liking. We were talking about

832
00:40:39,519 --> 00:40:42,119
the Packers like taking all this money after the Mica

833
00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:45,800
Parsons trade and everyone's high on the Raiders. What are

834
00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:46,960
you think in the NFL Week one?

835
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:49,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, why not do a public service announcement right now? Look, guys,

836
00:40:50,079 --> 00:40:51,519
I'm gonna be honest with you because we've got that

837
00:40:51,559 --> 00:40:53,440
great special coming up that you mentioned seven days for

838
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:56,119
seventy seven dollars. Look, anyone who knows me, anyone who's

839
00:40:56,159 --> 00:40:59,159
been watching me on the show all across Wage to

840
00:40:59,199 --> 00:41:02,079
Talk TV knows you know. We like to go contrarian.

841
00:41:02,199 --> 00:41:04,239
We like a lot of underdogs. I'm just gonna warn

842
00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:08,079
you now, if you're with me, the way I've had

843
00:41:08,119 --> 00:41:10,400
success in the past. In Week one, it's taking the

844
00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:13,199
points with some ugly teams, teams at the people.

845
00:41:13,199 --> 00:41:14,639
Speaker 4: That most people go on a bet.

846
00:41:14,800 --> 00:41:17,480
Speaker 5: And that's what I like, you know, I mean, there's

847
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:19,079
been some I know some people in the chat. I

848
00:41:19,119 --> 00:41:22,719
know you crack Jeohnny. You've all talked about the underdogs

849
00:41:22,960 --> 00:41:26,800
that have caught your eye. Yeah, fit you know FTP

850
00:41:27,199 --> 00:41:28,280
fade the public.

851
00:41:27,960 --> 00:41:30,199
Speaker 4: In Week one. That's what I do.

852
00:41:30,199 --> 00:41:33,599
Speaker 5: Don't have anything officially locked and loaded yet, but I

853
00:41:33,639 --> 00:41:35,880
have a number of games circled in my book.

854
00:41:35,920 --> 00:41:37,840
Speaker 4: I always like to handwrite things so it makes me

855
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:38,639
remember them better.

856
00:41:39,599 --> 00:41:42,639
Speaker 2: Love it, Love it, Brian, you already mentioned the blitz Monday.

857
00:41:42,639 --> 00:41:43,639
What do you have about for everyone?

858
00:41:44,519 --> 00:41:46,880
Speaker 5: One best bet in Major League Baseball Andy Number one

859
00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:48,599
in Major League Baseball the last seven days at wage

860
00:41:48,599 --> 00:41:50,880
to talk run a nice ten and two run on

861
00:41:51,039 --> 00:41:54,400
the diamond, two and one over all on Sunday thanks

862
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:57,199
to the under on the Sunday Night baseball game between

863
00:41:57,239 --> 00:41:57,960
the Braves and Phillies.

864
00:41:57,960 --> 00:41:59,039
Speaker 4: That one was really never a doubt.

865
00:41:59,639 --> 00:42:01,199
Speaker 5: I hate the idea that the game is gonna get

866
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:03,639
betied and go into extra innings with a stupid ghost runner.

867
00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:04,800
Speaker 4: You never know what's going to happen there.

868
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:06,960
Speaker 5: But at one one I was still feeling okay, and

869
00:42:07,039 --> 00:42:09,000
luckily the Braves just won at the top of the ninth.

870
00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:12,679
Had the under Miami Notre Dame in the first half

871
00:42:13,199 --> 00:42:15,199
was a smart bet, wasn't it, Because if you got

872
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:17,079
in late on that under, you may not have won

873
00:42:17,119 --> 00:42:19,599
the full game, But the first half under was a winner.

874
00:42:20,280 --> 00:42:23,440
Speaker 4: Votech was our only loser. Yesterday didn't look as good

875
00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:24,400
as I thought they were going to.

876
00:42:24,519 --> 00:42:27,719
Speaker 5: But one best bet today in Major League Baseball four

877
00:42:27,719 --> 00:42:31,280
percent Number one MLB last seven days and I've been

878
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:32,920
talking about this on the Power five all week. I

879
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:35,800
do have a coupon code for the find people, Andy

880
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:41,000
Power three pow Er number three. You use that, you

881
00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:43,119
can get a three day all access for twenty nine dollars.

882
00:42:43,159 --> 00:42:45,280
So right hand side of my page you see a

883
00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:47,480
three day all access, you buy it. You enter the

884
00:42:47,519 --> 00:42:51,679
code power three and you'll get it for twenty nine dollars.

885
00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:54,800
Speaker 2: Keep crushing, Brian, can't wait for the Blitz on Thursday.

886
00:42:55,199 --> 00:42:58,599
Keep keep killing it in Major League Baseball, Keep telling people.

887
00:42:58,639 --> 00:43:02,039
Don't ignore these on sports just because of football season.

888
00:43:02,079 --> 00:43:04,480
There's a lot of money to be made, So keep

889
00:43:04,519 --> 00:43:06,199
doing your thing. Brian, thanks so much for joining us.

890
00:43:06,239 --> 00:43:10,440
Have a great Monday, you too, Maady all right. Promo

891
00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:13,039
code for myself, Andy thirty A and d Y three

892
00:43:13,159 --> 00:43:16,400
zero gets thirty days for fifty percent off. That is

893
00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:19,840
an incredible special fifty percent off. We are up thirty

894
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:23,440
three units the last thirty days this month is stacked.

895
00:43:23,519 --> 00:43:25,719
We have a five percent UFC best bet that is up.

896
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:28,400
You're going to get that. We have Contender Series. You're

897
00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:32,000
going to get that. NFL props are already up. College football,

898
00:43:32,320 --> 00:43:34,800
everything that we have, any tennis plays that we have.

899
00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:37,239
We're having an incredible US Open, So any plays that

900
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:40,000
you get starting today, you have fifty percent off using

901
00:43:40,039 --> 00:43:43,400
the promo code Andy thirty thirty days worth of plays,

902
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:46,320
and really those NFL props. The lines are only going

903
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:48,760
to be moving faster and faster and faster, so get

904
00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:50,920
that locked in along with the five percent UFC play

905
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:54,480
fifty percent off using the promo code Andy thirty A

906
00:43:54,679 --> 00:43:57,239
n D Y three zero. All right, that's it for

907
00:43:57,360 --> 00:43:59,599
us on a Monday. Thanks so much for joining us

908
00:43:59,639 --> 00:44:01,480
on the hope you guys have a good one. Good

909
00:44:01,559 --> 00:44:04,079
luck on all your places. We're gonna be back tomorrow

910
00:44:04,159 --> 00:44:07,559
to keep talking about football and Major League Baseball. We're

911
00:44:07,559 --> 00:44:09,880
gonna continue to keep building those bankrolls. Thanks so much.

912
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:11,559
Good luck on your place today and take care