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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's Wednesday. It's time for full

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court press, Rob Vino. What do they always say, right,

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make your free throws? Miami of Ohio last night had

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a couple of chances to hit our parlay. We had

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over eighty six and a half and Ian Elmer missed

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a couple big ones, and then of course Peter Soter

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just needed to hit both right at the end, hits

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the first. They go into a time out, comes out.

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We're one free throw away from hitting the parlay, and

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of course he misses it. But you know what, Rob,

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We've had a couple of team totals in the parlay

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recently that have kind of squeaked over on free throws,

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so maybe we were due for one of those. I

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think you're muted, Bud.

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Speaker 2: Frank Martin eised us last he took that time out.

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Speaker 1: He did, and the.

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Speaker 2: Commentators on the game wanted to tell you how wonderful

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Peter Souter is, and in my mind, I'm like, don't

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chink this please, but hey, listen, he was seven freight

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from the line. I think it was mort Ian Elmer,

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who you know, he's an eighty four percent guy who

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had three chances with two shot fouls. They were in

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the bonus quite a bit late in that game and

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made only one of two each time. But you can't

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complain with the thirty points he put up because without

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those you're not even close. Great game, great comeback by

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Miami O. And what a huge effort by you, mass Adam.

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They really they were right in that game and maybe

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a couple of poor decision shots that you know, last

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couple of minutes.

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Speaker 1: Frank Martin was furious at that. Yes, step back three.

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Speaker 2: Three, well, and he had it right to be because

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they were killing him inside.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, another close call, Rob for Miami of Ohio. I'm

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gonna I'm gonna segue into our feature game today. The

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you know, sometimes close is fine. Like if you're Miami

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of Ohio, you keep winning close games. Sometimes close doesn't

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work if your TCU and you find yourself on the

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wrong end of like every close game that could give

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you a win, that would pretty much you know, secure

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your fate into the NCAA tournament as a better you know,

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But what's the saying, Rob, horseshoes hand grenades and I

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guess in sports betting two right, Because like, if you've

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had TCU in a lot of these big games, you've

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probably cash tickets. They've been great against the number as

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a dog in some of these bigger games. But man,

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looking back, they had chances to win. The Michigan game

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fell just short. You know, Arizona, they led Arizona at halftime.

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That final score is a little deceiving eighty six to

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seventy three because TCU is up six at half. BYU

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they led for a good portion of the game and

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lost that game. And of course Kansas at Alan Fieldhouse

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and Lawrence, Kansas, they pretty much had the game almost

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won and they ended up losing in overtime. So another

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opportunity here for the horn Frogs as a big dog

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on their home court tonight TCU Houston. Is this where

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the horn Frogs get their signature win.

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Speaker 2: Well, they probably wish that Houston hadn't lost to Texas

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Tech previous game. And you know, yesterday we talked a

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little bit about kind of a double combo play, Adam,

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and I know somebody commented on it back to you

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with the you know, we can't call it full letdown,

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but the fact that Oklahoma State had come off of

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a huge win at the Buzzer and then travel to

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Alabama where Alabama had come off of a miserable shooting performance,

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and I just felt like I actually had that game

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for clients, team total up and over thinking that Alabama

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would pour it on. We talked about some of the

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matchup advantages they had against that particular misery defense. It

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worked out. It's almost like you have the same thing here.

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TCU wins Saturday against Baylor against all odds. They don't

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have David Punch, their leading scorer, the lead rebounder, and

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Jamie Dixon tells you there's an illness running through the

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team and that they were in scramble mode all day long.

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I don't know if that's more of a positive. Obviously,

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it's a positive for TCU to be able to handle

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the circumstances and come up with the win, but kind

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of negative towards Baylor. Right, you can't beat a team

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without their best player, with other guys that are, you know,

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probably sick on the bench playing and Dixon's telling you

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that they were kind of scrambling all game one, but

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they pulled it off and Houston I gotta go immediately.

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Kelvin Sampson's one of my favorites, but we got to

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go immediately to the quotes, because here's where TCU could

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be in a little bit of trouble tonight. Whether or

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not to take points where the trouble, we'll find out.

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But they lost to Texas Tech and a heartbreaker right

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that that season series has been fantastic. Both games one

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went Houston's way, one went Tech way. But this one

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on Saturday, Texas Tech had an offensive rebounding edge of

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twenty one ti to eleven against huge against Houston, which

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is like sacrilegious. In Kelvin Sampson's book, you cannot be

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beat on the offensive glass by the opponent. He said this,

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He said, I'm not gonna sit here and complain about

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the referees when Tech Kickdart asked the way they did

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on the offensive glass, So I'm not into that narrative.

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I don't even care about the whistle right now. I

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care about our guys getting better at the things we

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can get better at. The game came down to one area.

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That's where they were really good. When they missed the shot,

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they rebounded the ball and scored twenty two points off

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their missus. That's an area. Whatever you think of our program,

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it's a big reason why we've been so successful. When

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Kelvin Sampson's angry at his team, there's just no way

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I'm playing the other side the next game. There's just

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no way. And especially when you have TCU, who is

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not necessarily a good rebounding team inside of league. I

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think they rank a tenth in defensive rebound percentage. So

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you can spec Tuggler and these guys tonight for Houston

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to be all over the boards. Just to follow up

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on that really quick, here Adam Jamie Dixon, and again

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he was without David Punch, who's his leading scorer, who's

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his leading rebounder. He doesn't have him in that game Saturday,

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but he said, we're really excited about what we did

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on Saturday. Except for the rebounding. Offensively, we were good,

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We kept attacking. Happy with the win. One team didn't

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rebound well. They got out rebounded pretty good. They don't

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rebound particularly well, and Houston absolutely angry Kelvin Sampson is

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with this game. I don't know the status on Punch.

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I tried to find it this morning.

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Speaker 1: For certain, I think he's as far as I'm going

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to play.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so you've got and it's been three days off

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for the team to maybe get past the illness that's

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running through the team. They shot forty three free throws

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on Saturday. Whether or not they get forty three tonight

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against against Houston is probably questionable at best. But the

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way that game was played at him the Baylor TCU game,

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so tight, so high scoring, you would expected files. I

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think Houston's better in a lot of categories than this team.

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We're off of a loss here, we don't have anything

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to go on for this season history, but the last

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two times they've met up, TCU has found it really,

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really difficult to score. I don't know how much emphasis

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I can put on those last two meetings because you

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have such different teams each and every year. But I

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just want to end with this because you started talking

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about how great the freshmen are in this class across

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the country, and Kingston Flemings is one of those freshmen.

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Had forty two in that game against Texas Tech the

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other day. He's a load to handle. Along with what

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they already have. To me, Houston's the better team. They're

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better in a lot of areas, but we'll see eight

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points the great equalizer here. I do notice one thing

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Houston has been trending over with their team totals, and

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when I watched them, they do seem to be a

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little more offensive minded as a group. Maybe the coach

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doesn't want it that way, but as a group they

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like to shoot it a little bit. They should get

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stuff close to the rim tonight because TCU doesn't defend

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the rim really well and Houston is a team that

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can score off second chances. So for me, I think

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it would be a slight lean towards Houston here. But

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I don't like the price tag. I just don't like

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laying eight. Maybe you shorten this up first half because

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Houston has been an absolute moneymaker first half wise last

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two three years. We'll see how it goes.

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Speaker 1: Well, we're gonna do a little swap today, Rob, you

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came on made a case for the side that's usually me.

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I'm gonna come on and make a case for a total.

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I think this game plays under TCU. This is not

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necessarily a terrible matchup for TCU. But you made a

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great point. It's a bad matchup against Houston anytime they

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come off of a bad defensive game and a bad

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rebounding game, and they played one of the words that for.

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I mean, granted, you got to tip your cap a

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little bit to Texas Tech being a really good team

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and a really good offense, but that was still one

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of the statistically the worst defensive games Houston has had

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in the past couple of years, right in terms of

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like points per possession. And then you talked about Sampson

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at the end of the game, talking about getting crushed

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on the boards and just just being overall not happy

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with the effort for defense and rebounding. Ultimately, what costs

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them that game because as you also pointed out, they

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scored plenty of the offense was fine. Things that are

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gonna be tough for TCU in this game, Like, I

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really feel like TCU needs to force turnovers. As you said,

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like they're not going to be able to totally keep

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Houston away from the rim. So the way that they're

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the way that TCU, I feel like, has given some

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of these teams like Michigan and Florida and some of

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the better teams they've played on their schedule trouble is

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really tight defense on the perimeter, the ability to force turnovers,

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and Robb you know, no one turns it over less

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in college basketball. To the Houston Cougars number one in

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the country eight point one turnovers a game, that's the

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lowest mark in the country. They also move the ball

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incredibly well assist a turnover ratio is top ten, and

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so like, if you're Houston, I do think you're like

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equipped to sort of move the ball, you know, in

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and out of the TCU pressure, not turn it over.

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And it feels like if you could take care of

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the basketball against TCU and get into your offense, that

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there's points to be had there for Houston. But TCU

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just listen, they're at home. They play insanely hard. There

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is some merit to that. I think, like, I think

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they're going to scratch and claw, which definitely is something

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that helps the under And then on the other side,

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let's not totally like, let's not totally right off the

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fact that Houston could just wipe them out. Like if

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Houston's totally focused here and Samson does what he does

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and gets to his team and is just like, hey,

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that defense and that rebounding effort was unacceptable and we

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need to be better here. This could be one of

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those games where Houston's holding tc you to twenty points

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in the first half, right like that, We've seen that

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so many times from Houston when they just come out

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and straight up demoralize a team, hold them under thirty,

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and suddenly they've got they've got control of the game.

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And now you're looking at a second half where TCU

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can't force a turnover and suddenly you know you're getting

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lulled to sleep by a Houston team that's fantastic defensively,

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that's not going to probably give you many, you know,

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second chances, and that's not going to give you many

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turnovers and open play right there's there's very little of

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that when you play against Houston. The steal that turns

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into a bucket on the other end. So for me,

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this is an under And it's not like I'm not

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a great totals handicap er. I don't play many of them,

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but you could not get me to play an over

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in this game between these two teams. This magnitude knowing

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that every possession really really matters for TCU here and

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the way that they tend to get up for these

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games tells me that, like they're not going to be

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okay with just getting run out of their own building.

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So I'll take the under here, rub.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Earlier I said Adam that you know, the last

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couple of times they've played Houston's one one was at

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the end of twenty twenty four. I think maybe in

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the in the Big twelve champion or in the Big

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twelve tournament. But point to that is in those two games,

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TCU scored forty five and forty six. And I said,

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I don't want to place a lot of emphasis on

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that because teams changed, they evolved so quickly in modern

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day college who but it could be where Jamie Dixon

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just hasn't been able to figure out or have the

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personnel to go up against a Houston team that's pretty

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bad forty five and forty six and back to back matchups,

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whether they be one from two years ago, one from

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a year ago, or whenever, it could just be a matchup.

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I want to ask you one thing, because you did

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go on I'm not going to call it a rip,

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but a little bit of a yeah fired up here.

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Speaker 1: So a lot of caffe so far this morning, rock well,

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and I'm going to point to yes, I was up

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late watching U and LD get destroyed last night, so

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I'm all ready to go this morning.

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Speaker 2: Well, yesterday you started bringing up to March madness point

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about how we're going to hear a lot of ken

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Pom rankings teams that rank inside of the top twenty five,

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et cetera, et cetera in certain categories. Houston fifteen in

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offensive efficiency seven and defensive efficiency six and sixth best

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in the country at not turning it over, fourth best

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at turning teams over. They've got a ton of these

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numbers here that maybe sit them inside that grouping that

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we're going to hear an awful lot about from others

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the next couple of months.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it is. It's gonna be a good one nine

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pm National TV. Certainly, you know we're getting to that

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part of the year, Vino where these big time home games,

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I will bump it an extra point for home court.

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Like once we get to like late January February, you

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know that that's not gonna be an easy task to

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go in there and win. But Ocho says, Houston backed

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the regular schedule programming under and probably hitting there you know,

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first half Ski Profits probably already got a Houston first half.

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Then in after that that this is like this is

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like the tailor made spot for him, uh to bet

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to to bet first half for Houston and like a

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bounce back spot. Well, I have to well to see

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if he's on that. I know he's done like extremely

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well with that angle the last couple of years. So yeah,

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gonna be a good one, big national TV game. Let's

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go to another big national TV game here, Rob, the

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chat is starting to throw opinions out on Georgia Tennessee

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or I'm sorry Georgia. Yeah, Georgia Tennessee. I have I

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have there. There's when you get this many games and

279
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then you start getting games moved from one day to another,

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you you have to, like, you know, I had to

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like second guess myself and make sure that the correct

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teams were playing. Because of course you and I talked

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about Texas Georgia. You know, we had similar colors on Saturday.

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I gave that one out on last Call with you

285
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and and Kelly in Vegas and and Texas ended up

286
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getting there in that game. Second half in that game,

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Texas really clamped down on the defensive end. Georgia started

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to you know, they really denied transition. You put Georgia,

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Rob in that half court offense, and you can beat

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this Georgia team and what better team to do that

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than the Tennessee balls right here. So I feel like

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if I liked Texas against Georgia, I kind of have

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to like Tennessee against Georgia here. What do you think

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about this one?

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Speaker 2: Well, I'll add to your case. We just saw Tennessee

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do the same exact thing, to the same exact style.

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They put Alabama in a box in Coleman on Saturday,

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only allowed seventy three points. We saw what Bama can

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do offensively last night, but they were six for twenty

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six in that game against Tennessee. So it's not I mean,

301
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it's not rare or unique, but it's not all that

302
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often where you get to come back and play the

303
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same exact style within three days. So Tennessee, we know,

304
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is well equipped for this, and I don't know, like

305
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you said that Georgia's equipped enough to handle it. Georgia

306
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wants open floor. I saw that game the other day

307
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with Georgia and I just against Texas and they were

308
00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:14,360
up early and it was low scoring early, very low scoring.

309
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Nobody could make a shot, but Georgia held somewhat of

310
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a lead to four points whatever, and then once Texas

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00:16:20,519 --> 00:16:23,879
found the basket, and started making shots. Georgia had no

312
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answers really offensively. They could not get anything to fall.

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They didn't get the same amount of clean looks that

314
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they get on a regular basis. And I'm with you,

315
00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:35,519
I don't know that they get it here. I know,

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00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:40,480
Rick Barnes, it just comes with reputation with this team, right,

317
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we just expect them to be top three defensive team

318
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every single year, and although they're good, they haven't been

319
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that to this point, Like, they haven't been consistent enough

320
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for me to just say Tennessee's one of the best

321
00:16:52,559 --> 00:16:54,639
defensive teams in the nation, like we could in the passed.

322
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But that game Saturday could have been the start of

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something here. We talk often about how these coaches work

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their teams. These good coaches work their teams into better

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performance as the season goes on. This could be the

326
00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:11,279
case with Tennessee. I have harped a little bit, and

327
00:17:11,319 --> 00:17:14,519
not recently, but a little while back, about how I

328
00:17:14,519 --> 00:17:17,720
thought maybe Jacoby Gillespie was in over his head at

329
00:17:17,759 --> 00:17:20,440
this level. Played Maryland last year was okay, but surrounded

330
00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,519
by a ton of talent. Here, again surrounded by talent,

331
00:17:23,599 --> 00:17:25,599
but the best player on the team, Nate Amen is

332
00:17:26,039 --> 00:17:29,759
a freshman. But Gillespie's been great Adham. I think it's

333
00:17:29,839 --> 00:17:32,519
like eight or nine straight twenty plus games now, and

334
00:17:32,559 --> 00:17:36,240
he's shooting the three very well, so he's everything as advertised.

335
00:17:36,799 --> 00:17:38,440
I don't know. Tennessee is starting to look like a

336
00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:41,559
team that may not have a true weakness. Felix Atpara

337
00:17:42,079 --> 00:17:45,640
obviously been around a little bit, and they crashed the boards.

338
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I think you mentioned yesterday how good they are rebounding

339
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as a team number one in the nation offensive rebound percentage.

340
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So this is a tough matchup for Georgia. I guess

341
00:17:53,839 --> 00:17:57,440
it's a lot of explanation that I'm giving here as

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to why it's tough for Georgia in this game could

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be advantageous to the volunteers. I don't know that the

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schedule maker, the fact that they had to make it up,

345
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does anything to hinder Tennessee's pattern. But it's just it's

346
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strange to me that Tennessee would open one and suddenly

347
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become a one and a half point underdog after what

348
00:18:18,559 --> 00:18:20,640
we just saw and after what I just described here.

349
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To me, it's got to be Tennessee here. I don't know.

350
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I don't understand the money in this situation.

351
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, Rob, you know, I was totally out

352
00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,240
on this Tennessee team. I was. I remember I was.

353
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It was a Tuesday night. I was out in Syracuse

354
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drinking beers, which I never ever do on a weeknight.

355
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But Syracuse had just knocked off Tennessee. We left the dome,

356
00:18:42,079 --> 00:18:44,160
we went to the bars, and I was texting you.

357
00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,039
I said, yeah, I'll be ready in the morning. But

358
00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:49,599
this Tennessee team sucks. I was out on Tennessee. I

359
00:18:49,640 --> 00:18:52,000
was like, they just got punched in the mouth by Ques.

360
00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:55,480
They couldn't score on Qus's defense, I said, I said,

361
00:18:55,559 --> 00:18:58,000
Gilepsy can't play up. I was. I was out on

362
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this Valls team for a while earlier this year, and

363
00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:04,799
I'm coming around on them. That was really imprint. You listen.

364
00:19:04,839 --> 00:19:07,240
I know Alabama was missing some guys over the weekend,

365
00:19:07,599 --> 00:19:10,440
but I've always been a I've always been like a

366
00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:14,680
Bama depth guy, right. I never really like totally downgrade

367
00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:17,880
Alabama for having a guy or two out. And Tennessee

368
00:19:18,039 --> 00:19:21,039
was was awesome on the boards, defended you know, six

369
00:19:21,039 --> 00:19:24,200
for twenty six from three for Bama. And like you said,

370
00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:26,880
it's a similar like if you can do that to Alabama.

371
00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:30,720
Theoretically you should should have success doing that for Georgia,

372
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and I think Tennessee's just up the intensity over the

373
00:19:33,519 --> 00:19:35,680
last few weeks. The defense has been so much better.

374
00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:39,960
They look like a Rick Barnes defense. Like Tennessee team

375
00:19:40,039 --> 00:19:43,240
that that that has been one of the good Tennessee teams. Uh,

376
00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:45,519
you know during the Barnes tenure the last few years,

377
00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:48,799
the teams that get into the NCAA tournament and are dangerous,

378
00:19:48,839 --> 00:19:51,039
and that's what they look like the past couple of weeks.

379
00:19:51,079 --> 00:19:54,160
So for me, I could only play Tennessee here. Now, yes,

380
00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:58,640
you could theoretically have a letdown spot. You just got

381
00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:01,279
the huge win over Alabama. Now you get to turn around.

382
00:20:01,319 --> 00:20:03,880
You're still on the road against Georgia. Georgia was up

383
00:20:03,920 --> 00:20:07,279
seven in that game at halftime against Texas, So they

384
00:20:07,319 --> 00:20:09,039
really did play a good first half. Like I was.

385
00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:11,279
I was sitting there watching that game and I was like, man,

386
00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:15,039
like I really thought Georgia was gonna struggle. They go

387
00:20:15,079 --> 00:20:17,200
out put up thirty seven points in the first half,

388
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:20,640
but when Texas made those defensive adjustments in the second half,

389
00:20:20,759 --> 00:20:23,839
it was game over. It was quickly game over. Georgia

390
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:26,880
couldn't do anything offensively, and that seven point lead turned

391
00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:30,319
into a twenty point deficit rather quickly as the second

392
00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:32,960
half war on. So I kind of trust Tennessee to

393
00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:34,720
do the same thing. I don't know if it will

394
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,519
be to that magnitude where they go in and just

395
00:20:37,599 --> 00:20:40,400
blow Georgia out. But you want to talk about like

396
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,319
this was a two they were a two point dog.

397
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,440
I think I saw Colin in the chat, so you

398
00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:46,200
could have got two and a half a few minutes ago.

399
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:48,240
I think this might be a little bit of a

400
00:20:48,279 --> 00:20:52,200
wrong team favorite situation here. I just don't think Georgia

401
00:20:52,319 --> 00:20:56,680
is better than Tennessee at this point, and stylistically this

402
00:20:56,839 --> 00:20:59,519
matchup does Georgia no favor. So Lean Vall's here for me.

403
00:21:01,079 --> 00:21:05,319
Speaker 2: The only drawback. And maybe I'm making a lot out

404
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:07,920
of a one game situation where they beat Alabama a

405
00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:10,759
same style as Georgia, but they were just one game

406
00:21:10,799 --> 00:21:15,160
removed from losing to Kentucky. And now I could justify

407
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:17,039
that by saying, hey, they lost to Kentucky, but they

408
00:21:17,039 --> 00:21:19,519
were off double lot to Texas A and m played

409
00:21:19,519 --> 00:21:23,160
their hearts out, okay, but after what we saw of Kentucky,

410
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:26,079
again last night. I mean, that's a bad loss at

411
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:29,119
this point, but I'm in agreement with you. We're trying

412
00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,920
to be a little bit proactive here projecting where this

413
00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:34,599
team is going, and I think Tennessee off of that

414
00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:36,599
battle Saturday, it looks like they're on the right track.

415
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:41,400
And again, stylistically, these games, just like boxing matchups, make

416
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:45,400
these games not necessarily overall season numbers. So I kind

417
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:47,559
of lean Tennessee myself.

418
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, No, beers had been draining intential New York since

419
00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:56,119
it is just a total disaster. Syracuse Twitter's on fire

420
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:59,720
this morning. We got Judah Mins tweeting now basically just

421
00:21:59,759 --> 00:22:02,000
aired out that they never asked a dear Copeland to

422
00:22:02,039 --> 00:22:06,000
come back, and it's just got to burn it down fire,

423
00:22:06,079 --> 00:22:09,559
everyone start over, bringing Jerry McNamara to be the coach.

424
00:22:09,599 --> 00:22:12,720
It's it's just bad for Syracuse basketball right now. But

425
00:22:12,799 --> 00:22:16,319
we're gonna well, well that's a conversation for a different day.

426
00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:18,039
Of course, they don't play today. Let's go to Garth.

427
00:22:18,599 --> 00:22:21,279
We're gonna go to the mid East here. That's what

428
00:22:21,319 --> 00:22:24,799
this conference is this year. Everyone's mid No one's good. Uh,

429
00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:28,160
you could even say that Yukon that Yukon might. It's

430
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:30,640
like the bad basketball might be rubbing off on Yukon

431
00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:32,640
at this point that they just have to play these

432
00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:35,680
like bad teams. We you know, not bad. Bad is

433
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:38,279
the wrong word. Mid is the perfect way to describe

434
00:22:38,279 --> 00:22:42,720
all these teams, rob Bino, because like, and here's here's

435
00:22:42,759 --> 00:22:44,960
as mid of a matchup as you're gonna find. You

436
00:22:45,079 --> 00:22:48,240
got DePaul, who in other years would probably be at

437
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,400
the bottom of this league, but they're actually one of

438
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:52,519
the better teams this year now up to four and

439
00:22:52,599 --> 00:22:56,359
five in league play. And then you have Georgetown, which

440
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:59,519
to me has been a massive disappointment, like like they're

441
00:22:59,599 --> 00:23:02,119
flying under the radar, rob for one of the biggest

442
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,960
disappointments in this league, because I really thought Ed Cooley

443
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:07,000
like maybe had a squad this year and was gonna

444
00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:10,759
surprise in this conference. And then you see how how

445
00:23:11,279 --> 00:23:13,119
bad some of the other teams in this league have

446
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:17,839
been relative to expectations. Yet you pull up the standings, Robbino,

447
00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:20,920
and Georgetown is down there at two and seven in

448
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:24,920
league play. So this game becomes a bit of a

449
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:28,839
mind f for me, right, because it's like I can't

450
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:31,559
quite wrap my head around how Georgetown could be this

451
00:23:31,759 --> 00:23:34,799
bad and then they get into conference play and they

452
00:23:34,799 --> 00:23:38,039
can't beat teams that are having like historically bad years.

453
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,599
But DePaul has been better than advertised, gard says De Paul.

454
00:23:42,039 --> 00:23:44,200
Thoughts on de Paul Georgetown. He likes to Paul plus

455
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:46,480
the points here. DePaul is a perfect five and zero

456
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:48,960
against the spread on the road, while Georgetown is one

457
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,240
to nine at home. Yeah, no one goes to Georgetown games.

458
00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,599
They were given out free tickets last year to a

459
00:23:53,599 --> 00:23:56,119
couple of these. So Rob talk to me about this

460
00:23:56,279 --> 00:23:57,519
mess in DC tonight.

461
00:23:59,039 --> 00:24:02,079
Speaker 2: And they got off of that string of losses by

462
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:05,799
beating Providence the other day in Providence, which was probably

463
00:24:06,759 --> 00:24:10,359
even less of a mid matchup than what this will be.

464
00:24:11,079 --> 00:24:13,000
I'm going to agree with Garth here. I mean, from

465
00:24:13,039 --> 00:24:16,079
what we see of DePaul and I had Seaton Hall

466
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:19,359
the other day, Adham, I took a chance that Seaton

467
00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:23,640
Hall could go to DePaul could frustrate them with their defense.

468
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,279
I know Seaton Hall can't shoot. I know it even

469
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:30,240
more so now, but I thought maybe in a low

470
00:24:30,279 --> 00:24:32,160
scoring game they could win that one. They're about a

471
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:34,039
two and a half point favorite. They didn't win. They

472
00:24:34,039 --> 00:24:37,559
didn't come close to winning. In all honesty, they were

473
00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:40,480
never I don't know from mid first quarter, I'd have

474
00:24:40,519 --> 00:24:42,200
to look or from mid first half, I'd have to

475
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,759
look it up exactly. They were never in control or

476
00:24:44,759 --> 00:24:47,400
even ahead in that game. DePaul had the lead all

477
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,640
the way. And what Chris Holtman's doing there is pretty good.

478
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:52,279
I mean, you watch them a few times this year

479
00:24:52,279 --> 00:24:55,519
and you realize that they're not the most talented group

480
00:24:56,480 --> 00:25:00,200
in the league, but they're certainly good enough on each end.

481
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:04,000
Like they're good enough offensively, they're a little better than

482
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:06,799
that on defense, which is kind of Holton's calling card.

483
00:25:08,319 --> 00:25:11,119
So you can make that case for you have one

484
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:14,480
team that's gonna scrap like crazy, like what I saw

485
00:25:14,519 --> 00:25:16,359
against Seaton Hall the other day. And if you can

486
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:19,319
scrap with Seaton Hall and beat them by seven, then

487
00:25:19,319 --> 00:25:23,240
you can certainly scrap with Georgetown, which I don't know.

488
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:28,960
They're more finesse than attitude or physicality this season. If

489
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:30,880
I'm going to play a game like this, I'm gonna

490
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:32,680
lean that way to the team that I know that's

491
00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:35,960
going to give me forty energized minutes to Paul. Actually,

492
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:39,480
here's what the best way to put it into a

493
00:25:39,559 --> 00:25:43,839
nutshell ATAM is that De Paul, actually, I think confidence wise,

494
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:48,119
mindset wise, actually is starting to think they're pretty good

495
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:50,519
in this league. And when you start to think you're

496
00:25:50,559 --> 00:25:54,039
pretty good, all of a sudden, you become pretty good.

497
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:57,680
And against the average talent level in this particular league,

498
00:25:57,680 --> 00:25:59,559
there's just no way I could play Georgetown, even though

499
00:25:59,559 --> 00:26:01,759
they did not Providence. It was just one of those

500
00:26:02,079 --> 00:26:03,799
who's going to get the ball last, who's going to

501
00:26:03,839 --> 00:26:06,440
make the last shot? Eighty one seventy eight, typical Providence

502
00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:09,599
type game. But I would be with Garth here. I

503
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,720
would have to try DePaul. If I was going to play.

504
00:26:11,759 --> 00:26:15,160
I didn't, but I definitely like a lot more what

505
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:16,960
I'm seeing out of De Paul than Georgetown.

506
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:21,039
Speaker 1: I'm with you on that. I think this is a

507
00:26:21,079 --> 00:26:24,799
reasonable statement. I think it's reasonable to say to Paul,

508
00:26:25,079 --> 00:26:27,839
de Paul is the best team in this conference relative

509
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:30,960
to expectation this year. And like you can listen, I

510
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:34,920
know Yukon's sitting there at twenty and one, but they

511
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:38,160
have not had an impressive performance in a very long time,

512
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:41,799
that Yukon team. I mean they have they are super

513
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:44,480
fortunate to not have lost as a double digit favorite,

514
00:26:44,519 --> 00:26:48,640
like at least twice in the past three weeks. So yeah,

515
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,680
I get it. Yukon's twenty and one and it's about

516
00:26:51,759 --> 00:26:55,160
wins and losses and that's great, But I would think

517
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:57,519
that if you even went into Danny Hurley, you know,

518
00:26:57,559 --> 00:27:01,400
into Danny Hurley's office and asked him like about his team,

519
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,000
like you've pulled up the quotes Rob, he's not impressed

520
00:27:04,039 --> 00:27:06,640
with that team. You go down the list, like Saint

521
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:08,880
John's Twitter came at me for saying that the team

522
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:10,640
was kind of trashed the other day and they went

523
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:12,920
out and almost lost to Xavier. I don't know what

524
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:15,319
they've done to like get put back into the top

525
00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:18,559
twenty five, but they've been disappointing in my opinion. And

526
00:27:18,599 --> 00:27:20,640
it's like right down the list. So you see a

527
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:22,960
team like DePaul, Yeah, they're only four and five in conference,

528
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:24,799
but this is a team that's been a perennial bottom

529
00:27:24,799 --> 00:27:28,240
feeder in the Big East for years. Halton, Like they're

530
00:27:28,279 --> 00:27:30,200
the one team that I think is like on the

531
00:27:30,279 --> 00:27:33,039
rise while everyone else is sort of falling. And then

532
00:27:33,039 --> 00:27:35,319
you've got to like, obviously the Yukon's and Saint John's

533
00:27:35,319 --> 00:27:37,279
that are just getting by by being like just a

534
00:27:37,319 --> 00:27:39,680
little bit better than the rest of the bat like

535
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:41,400
the teams that aren't very good in this league. So

536
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:45,119
I do think DePaul has flown under the radar to

537
00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:48,519
an extent because everyone's like, oh, well, the Big East

538
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:51,799
is just bad, right Like, that's that's the statement that

539
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:55,000
pretty much anyone's gonna make about this league. Like this year,

540
00:27:55,039 --> 00:27:57,359
it's oh, the Big East is bad. Well that might

541
00:27:57,480 --> 00:28:00,799
be true, but DePaul has has gone from a one

542
00:28:00,839 --> 00:28:05,160
in you know, most Big East years, rob Like in

543
00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:07,839
recent memory, DePaul would probably be like one in nine

544
00:28:07,839 --> 00:28:10,640
in conference play. Right now, they're four and five, and

545
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:14,359
that's Holtman slowly like finally changing the culture I think

546
00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,359
a little bit with this program. So yeah, I think

547
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,440
they are. They're the team in this league right now

548
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:23,279
that I'm interested in backing, and so I as an

549
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:27,000
underdog against it. Remember Georgetown won that game. I think

550
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:30,720
they nearly blew like a twenty point lead to a

551
00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:36,400
Providence team that is arguably the worst most I mean,

552
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:39,119
you want to talk about a team that maybe is

553
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:41,200
going to punt on the rest of the season, right like,

554
00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:44,960
Providence is just a train wreck right now, and Georgetown

555
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:47,599
nearly loses that game, has to put in a bunch

556
00:28:47,599 --> 00:28:51,359
of effort to fend off this crazy comeback from Providence. Yeah,

557
00:28:51,559 --> 00:28:53,480
I would not want any part of Georgetown as a

558
00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:56,880
favorite here. And they have zero home court advantage, less

559
00:28:56,880 --> 00:29:00,359
than zero. They have no fan base anymore, and they

560
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,559
play in an NBA arena in DC and they have

561
00:29:02,599 --> 00:29:06,039
a hard time even getting a half full. So yeah, Garth,

562
00:29:06,079 --> 00:29:12,400
I'm with you. I can see the reasoning behind a Paul.

563
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:14,799
Speaker 2: So Georgetown revenge from a fifty six to fifty losses

564
00:29:15,279 --> 00:29:17,880
not a consideration in our minds, Adam, that game is

565
00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:21,440
so strange. When you were talking, you said something that

566
00:29:21,519 --> 00:29:24,519
triggered it. So I went back and just checked the box.

567
00:29:25,559 --> 00:29:29,680
In that game, Georgetown scores fifteen points in the second half.

568
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:31,880
It's a fifty six to fifty final, but they get

569
00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:34,400
beat twenty four to fifteen. In the second half. They

570
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:37,640
go one for twelve from three, eleven for forty one

571
00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:42,759
from the field. I don't know those numbers. Obviously, regression wise,

572
00:29:42,799 --> 00:29:45,680
you got to return to the mean somewhere. But the

573
00:29:45,759 --> 00:29:48,480
Paul's offensive numbers were just as bad. So if theirs

574
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:53,319
progress upward as well, and now you know you have

575
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:56,279
the situation where we're mid season and the Paul's just

576
00:29:56,279 --> 00:29:58,839
playing better. I don't know, there's just not a case

577
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:00,000
to make for Georgetown here.

578
00:30:01,839 --> 00:30:04,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, the chat makes some interesting comments, you know that

579
00:30:04,599 --> 00:30:08,079
that might be a so so that was a I'm

580
00:30:08,119 --> 00:30:09,680
just going back to that. I think I had it

581
00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:13,160
a little bit backward. Georgetown was getting destroyed and so

582
00:30:13,519 --> 00:30:15,640
they did need a huge They didn't have to hold

583
00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:18,440
off a big, a big lead. They they came back

584
00:30:18,519 --> 00:30:21,359
and beat Providence over the weekend. That's right. They were

585
00:30:21,400 --> 00:30:24,400
down huge, but still fifty six points in the second half.

586
00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:26,720
It still took a huge effort. I could see what

587
00:30:26,799 --> 00:30:28,319
Bayu and some of the folks are saying in the

588
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:32,079
chat that that could be a season turner if you will,

589
00:30:32,119 --> 00:30:34,839
to sort of get that to win in that fashion,

590
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:37,920
to snap a six game losing streak. But I don't know.

591
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:39,599
I feel like I've seen this story a couple times

592
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:41,759
in the Big East this year where it's like, oh,

593
00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:44,079
like this is the result that turns their season around,

594
00:30:44,119 --> 00:30:46,720
and then the next game the team that won is

595
00:30:46,799 --> 00:30:50,119
just back to being, you know, to disappointing. So I

596
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:51,640
don't know, I don't know. If I see it the

597
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:55,440
same way, it'll it'll be an interesting game. I think

598
00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:57,440
I lean with Garth in the points, but yeah, it's

599
00:30:57,440 --> 00:30:59,759
probably not one that's going to make my card. But

600
00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:02,440
I do have one on the card. I'm probably gonna

601
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:04,759
have a bunch, and the one is a five percenter,

602
00:31:04,799 --> 00:31:08,720
So I know, you know, I don't know if our

603
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:11,359
our our friend that was here the other day would

604
00:31:11,359 --> 00:31:14,519
remind you that I lost a five percenter over the weekend. Yeah,

605
00:31:14,519 --> 00:31:17,720
it happens. I've actually had some bad luck on like

606
00:31:17,759 --> 00:31:20,119
the five percenters I got. I got daggered by a

607
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:24,519
buzzer beater three on one earlier this month, which was frustrating.

608
00:31:24,559 --> 00:31:27,200
But hey, went to and one last night. There's a

609
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,680
spot that I absolutely love tonight, and so that's gonna

610
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:32,799
be a five percenter. You can get that on its own.

611
00:31:33,039 --> 00:31:35,400
But like when you start doing the math and you

612
00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:38,359
see what wager Talk charges for the five percenter, you

613
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:40,680
should you probably should just buy the package that gets

614
00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:45,319
you like three days. Every single play becomes a far

615
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:48,519
less or much more cost effective, is what I'm trying

616
00:31:48,519 --> 00:31:51,400
to say. So all of my plays, all of Rob's

617
00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:53,640
plays for the next three days, and if you get

618
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:56,480
it today, you get the five percenter, which Robino some

619
00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:58,880
would say I'm due to win one. You can always

620
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:00,119
look at it that way.

621
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:04,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, that's the way we want to look at

622
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:08,519
it with some positivity around here. I looked it up

623
00:32:08,519 --> 00:32:11,359
this morning to make sure double the CBB firepower. I

624
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:13,839
think I have this straight now, double the CBB firepowers.

625
00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:15,680
The package Adams referring to, you can find it on

626
00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:17,640
neither one of our pages. You can find it over

627
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:21,839
at wager talk dot com once again, three days every

628
00:32:21,839 --> 00:32:24,680
selection that we get, and I'll just reiterate this, Adam, Well,

629
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:26,599
I think what's great about the package, And I don't

630
00:32:26,599 --> 00:32:31,160
want to go ahead and you know, try to sound

631
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:33,400
so glowingly, but I think the beauty of the package

632
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:35,960
is that I play a lot of totals, Adam plays

633
00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:38,200
a lot of sides. You get a really good mix

634
00:32:38,279 --> 00:32:41,880
of both. For the season since December the first again,

635
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:43,680
this is now a seven and a half week stretch

636
00:32:43,799 --> 00:32:45,960
up over forty two units, almost forty two and a

637
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:49,839
half units playing small sized wagers. So tonight is a

638
00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:54,200
night where Adam is a five percenter and guys, I

639
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:56,319
haven't a had this except on a Saturday card. Half

640
00:32:56,359 --> 00:32:59,039
a dozen plays Tonight. This board just looks really really

641
00:32:59,079 --> 00:33:02,440
good hundred games tonight. We're getting into a spot in

642
00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:05,680
the season which I would generally refer to as the

643
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:08,480
sweet spot of the season where you can pick out

644
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:11,759
not only fundamental but situational stuff. Now we've seen enough,

645
00:33:11,799 --> 00:33:13,799
we got a big enough sample size. So once again,

646
00:33:14,559 --> 00:33:17,119
if you're looking to purchase, like Adam says, hey, you

647
00:33:17,119 --> 00:33:19,119
could go all out for one play, or you could

648
00:33:19,119 --> 00:33:21,680
pay about fifteen bucks more and get three days worth

649
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:25,039
of both of us. So double the CBB firepower, three

650
00:33:25,119 --> 00:33:28,559
days prith of all our CVB best bets at a

651
00:33:28,599 --> 00:33:31,240
low price of fifty nine dollars.

652
00:33:32,079 --> 00:33:35,000
Speaker 1: All right, let's get back to it. Mad Max wants

653
00:33:35,039 --> 00:33:37,200
to go. He says he usually fades a team off

654
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:40,160
a big win, but Texas and Auburn are both coming

655
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,880
off big wins. So Rob, youino, we're gonna go back

656
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:46,640
to the SEC. Which team do you think the line

657
00:33:46,839 --> 00:33:51,000
is inflated towards? Well, I don't know if it's really

658
00:33:51,799 --> 00:33:54,720
inflated towards either. I want to go up here and

659
00:33:54,799 --> 00:33:58,039
just get the current line, which is like finding a

660
00:33:58,079 --> 00:33:58,920
needle in a haystack.

661
00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:02,720
Speaker 2: Today, Rob with six nine three six ninety four.

662
00:34:03,519 --> 00:34:06,079
Speaker 1: That's it, Kelly see Kelly has trained us to come

663
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:09,559
to the Saturday show ready with rotation numbers. It's like

664
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:12,760
she's like, I need the rotation numbers. So six ninety three,

665
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:15,920
six ninety four. You're looking at Auburn about a six

666
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,400
and a half point favorite. So Texas on the road

667
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:21,320
as an underdog, I guess what I'll throw to you here.

668
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:24,679
Rob is like, this was about what Texas was when

669
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,559
I when I played them last week at Kentucky, I

670
00:34:27,559 --> 00:34:31,599
think I was getting seven. They covered that game, failed

671
00:34:31,599 --> 00:34:33,599
to win, but they covered. I didn't think they played

672
00:34:33,599 --> 00:34:36,159
particularly well, which is why I went back to the

673
00:34:36,159 --> 00:34:38,679
well with Texas over the weekend in a game that

674
00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:40,639
they played really good in the second half. And one

675
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,559
that being said, like I look at Auburn right now.

676
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:46,159
I like Auburn more than I like Kentucky right now.

677
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:49,920
So from a line inflated standpoint, if I think Auburn

678
00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:54,320
is better than Kentucky, maybe maybe the line maybe it's

679
00:34:54,360 --> 00:34:57,119
a Maybe Texas is the team that's getting a little

680
00:34:57,159 --> 00:34:59,280
more love because of like the recent you know, the

681
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:02,000
cover and the win, and I don't know, I think

682
00:35:02,039 --> 00:35:04,519
this might be a better matchup for Auburn. Maybe the

683
00:35:04,559 --> 00:35:07,079
line is right what do you say about this one, Robino.

684
00:35:07,599 --> 00:35:09,519
Speaker 2: Well, I think if I'm just narrowing it down to

685
00:35:10,639 --> 00:35:13,280
where I think there could be an advantage for Auburn

686
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:17,039
A obviously home floor, and B I just think there's

687
00:35:17,199 --> 00:35:21,000
more offensive weaponry on the Auburn side when they're right,

688
00:35:21,079 --> 00:35:24,119
like Pettiford can go off, Hall has shown to be

689
00:35:24,199 --> 00:35:29,159
able to go off. What interested me Saturday Adam inside

690
00:35:29,199 --> 00:35:32,320
the numbers is that they held their own with Florida

691
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:35,800
on the glass in that victory. In Florida generally speaking,

692
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:39,800
should have an edge on everybody with their front line.

693
00:35:40,199 --> 00:35:43,239
But Chinelou did not dominate the way we've seen him

694
00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:47,039
dominate as far as rebounding his concerns. So the head

695
00:35:47,039 --> 00:35:52,119
coaching matchup here, Steven Pearl Sean Miller really good. Sean

696
00:35:52,119 --> 00:35:56,360
Miller obviously a ton of experience taking teams into venues

697
00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:59,400
like this, so I'd have to give him half a

698
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:04,760
bonus point there. And then the game against Georgia isn't

699
00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:08,119
necessarily the same game that it will be against Auburn. Yes,

700
00:36:08,199 --> 00:36:12,079
Auburn will pick up pace for sure, and sometimes Auburn

701
00:36:12,079 --> 00:36:14,840
does get a little bit scrambled, hectic throwing up shots

702
00:36:14,880 --> 00:36:16,320
that you're you know, you got to call time out

703
00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:19,079
and say what are we doing here? But when they're

704
00:36:19,199 --> 00:36:23,119
under control, they're they're really good. They're probably top four

705
00:36:23,239 --> 00:36:26,119
or five in this league when they're right. So I

706
00:36:26,119 --> 00:36:29,719
think there's more upside to Auburn than there is the

707
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:31,519
Texas at this point. And I think the reason why

708
00:36:31,559 --> 00:36:33,360
I say that is I just don't when I watched

709
00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:37,800
Texas offensively, and yes, they wrapped up fifty seven second

710
00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:39,480
half points the other day in the game that you

711
00:36:39,559 --> 00:36:42,039
won on Saturday. I mean offensively, they couldn't throw it

712
00:36:42,039 --> 00:36:44,960
in the ocean in the first half. And then because

713
00:36:45,079 --> 00:36:48,599
Georgia plays at such pace and the game got away,

714
00:36:49,599 --> 00:36:51,320
they started getting a ton of shots and they made

715
00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:52,880
a ton of shots. But I don't know if that

716
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,400
goes on the road with them here. So it's a

717
00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:59,000
really good offensive efficiency team. It's hard to argue with

718
00:36:59,039 --> 00:37:02,320
the overall numbers, but from what I see, I just

719
00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:06,119
think Auburn's the better offensive team at this point in time,

720
00:37:06,159 --> 00:37:11,119
and to me, that would be the separator. I'd probably

721
00:37:11,119 --> 00:37:12,480
take points. I gotta be honest with you that I

722
00:37:12,599 --> 00:37:15,559
probably take points here because I think these teams are

723
00:37:15,679 --> 00:37:17,679
kind of that close. They were within six and a

724
00:37:17,679 --> 00:37:20,039
half seven points in my mind, no matter where they

725
00:37:20,039 --> 00:37:20,599
played the game.

726
00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:23,880
Speaker 1: Rob you know, I just double checked and had to

727
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:27,079
make sure my number on this is six point three five.

728
00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:29,880
So I came out pretty much right on the nose

729
00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:33,119
with what Vegas is at six and a half. I've

730
00:37:33,519 --> 00:37:37,360
I like Texas, Like I've talked about this the last

731
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:41,039
week or so. I did think that Sean Miller, we

732
00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:43,800
kind of had a good laugh about some of his quotes,

733
00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:46,239
and I said, man, you know that that stretch where

734
00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:49,519
they beat Vandy and they beat Alabama really felt like

735
00:37:49,599 --> 00:37:52,199
it was the turning point of their season. You know.

736
00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:55,280
We brought that up in the last handicap with Georgetown,

737
00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:57,760
like maybe those wins with the turn turning point of

738
00:37:57,800 --> 00:38:01,840
Texas this season. They went out and played what I

739
00:38:01,880 --> 00:38:04,639
thought was like pretty poorly against Kentucky. I felt like

740
00:38:04,679 --> 00:38:06,440
it was a little bit fortunate to stay within the

741
00:38:06,519 --> 00:38:08,079
number in that game because I didn't think they played

742
00:38:08,079 --> 00:38:10,320
their best game, but came out and played great over

743
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:12,440
the weekend. My fear for them here would be the

744
00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:16,480
would be Vocatitis getting into foul trouble. Because you talked

745
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:20,119
about Auburn's offense, I think Texas might have a little

746
00:38:20,159 --> 00:38:24,079
bit of trouble defending that, and if you can get

747
00:38:24,159 --> 00:38:27,920
him off the floor, that is a huge advantage because

748
00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:30,800
they really don't have the depth at that position. In

749
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:35,920
my opinion, Like he is like the key to that team,

750
00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:38,079
and if Auburn can get him in the file trouble

751
00:38:38,159 --> 00:38:41,000
or just kind of take it to him, as you said,

752
00:38:41,039 --> 00:38:43,679
the offense like they I was so impressed with Auburn

753
00:38:43,679 --> 00:38:45,559
over the weekend. I did not I did not see

754
00:38:45,559 --> 00:38:47,719
that coming. I did not see them going into the

755
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:51,599
swamp and coming away with a win. So yeah, I mean, theoretically,

756
00:38:51,679 --> 00:38:54,360
could they have a letdown, maybe, but I just think

757
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:56,199
they're kind of playing good ball right now. So I

758
00:38:56,199 --> 00:38:58,639
don't really want to play against Auburn the numbers, right,

759
00:38:59,880 --> 00:39:01,719
I wish I had more for you there. I think

760
00:39:01,760 --> 00:39:05,599
I would lean finding a way in with Auburn, whether

761
00:39:05,679 --> 00:39:07,400
that be like, see if they get off to a

762
00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:10,519
slow start, bet them live, see if they're down at halftime,

763
00:39:10,599 --> 00:39:12,960
at them second half. My gut tells me Auburn wins

764
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,840
this game. Maybe find something to pair it with that's

765
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,800
in the same sort of ballpark. My buddy Aaron Kid

766
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:21,599
was texting me George Mason is a good parlay leg

767
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:25,000
so who knows, maybe a George Mason to Auburn type deal.

768
00:39:25,079 --> 00:39:27,639
But yeah, I don't know if this is the spot.

769
00:39:27,679 --> 00:39:29,519
I want to back Texas as a dog. I think

770
00:39:29,559 --> 00:39:31,000
your Auburn probably gets it done at home.

771
00:39:32,039 --> 00:39:35,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, and let me just because again I love talking

772
00:39:35,559 --> 00:39:37,599
these games out a little bit, because you didn't jog

773
00:39:37,679 --> 00:39:41,000
my memory about Saturday with Kelly when I presented that

774
00:39:41,159 --> 00:39:46,119
Sean Miller quote exact words, we fouled the shi t

775
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:51,159
out of anybody. Auburn happens to be the second best

776
00:39:51,159 --> 00:39:54,159
team in SEC play this year in free throw rate. Again,

777
00:39:54,760 --> 00:39:58,480
Petaford Hall, these guys can get to the line, Texas.

778
00:39:58,519 --> 00:40:02,679
Although they won Saturday, they lost the free throw attempt

779
00:40:02,679 --> 00:40:05,679
battle against Georgia by thirteen. Georgia got to the line

780
00:40:05,719 --> 00:40:08,599
twenty five more times and Texas only got their twelve.

781
00:40:08,639 --> 00:40:12,639
If you're gonna foul Auburn and Sean Miller, I mean again,

782
00:40:12,679 --> 00:40:15,559
I read the quotes. He tells you that's their biggest problem.

783
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:19,320
They can't defend without fouling. And if that happens tonight,

784
00:40:20,119 --> 00:40:23,360
and especially in a game, if maybe they're behind and

785
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:25,760
you get some extension Auburn's not the worst free throw

786
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:27,559
shooting team in the world, that's seventy five and a

787
00:40:27,599 --> 00:40:32,599
half percent, So yet that could come up so clutch here, Adam. Again,

788
00:40:33,599 --> 00:40:37,000
when you zero in on these matchups and just think

789
00:40:37,039 --> 00:40:40,480
of the type of athletes that Auburn has offensively, you

790
00:40:40,559 --> 00:40:44,000
do wonder if Texas gets themselves into trouble with files tonight.

791
00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:50,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, it'll be uh, it'll be a good one. So

792
00:40:50,880 --> 00:40:55,199
many good games tonight, Robino. I mean, as you were saying,

793
00:40:55,199 --> 00:40:58,079
this is a ton of potential here, I'm going to

794
00:40:58,159 --> 00:41:01,239
have like more than just the five percenter. I probably

795
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:04,440
have ten that I'm like, I'm giving serious consideration too,

796
00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:06,920
and I'll be like trying to pair down throughout the day.

797
00:41:08,440 --> 00:41:11,000
Aaron Pauling watches the show pretty much every day. He's

798
00:41:12,119 --> 00:41:14,440
He DMed us last night and he said, hey, guys,

799
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:18,039
I may not be able to watch the show live tomorrow,

800
00:41:18,079 --> 00:41:20,280
but can you get one in for me? And he

801
00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:22,639
doesn't request the games very often, so I said, yeah,

802
00:41:22,639 --> 00:41:25,280
I have one hundred percent got you. We'll get yours

803
00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:26,559
into the show. So I want to go to the

804
00:41:26,559 --> 00:41:29,159
game that he requested last night. Robbie know, I'm gonna

805
00:41:29,199 --> 00:41:31,280
let you kick this one off because this is right

806
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:35,119
in your wheelhouse. He likes Valpo first half. So as

807
00:41:35,119 --> 00:41:38,119
a as a Belmont guy, I need to know if

808
00:41:38,440 --> 00:41:41,039
you co sign that or if you think the Bruins

809
00:41:41,079 --> 00:41:43,760
are are the right side in this first half or

810
00:41:43,800 --> 00:41:45,960
the game or the total however you see in this one.

811
00:41:46,519 --> 00:41:48,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, first thing we'll do is make sure we get

812
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:51,320
the first half lineup full game. Belmont is four and

813
00:41:51,360 --> 00:41:54,519
a half now, been bit down a little bit, but

814
00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:57,719
first half number. Guys, bear with me, Like Adams says,

815
00:41:57,760 --> 00:42:01,480
these rotations are so long, and Kelly told us about

816
00:42:01,519 --> 00:42:05,840
a trick control F or something. I'm so technologically disadvantage

817
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:08,039
that I don't even know how to do control F.

818
00:42:08,119 --> 00:42:11,239
Speaker 1: Control F only works when you don't have seventeen screens

819
00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:13,760
open and you're on that screen. So yeah, yeah, I

820
00:42:13,760 --> 00:42:16,079
mean you can control F, but like I've got like

821
00:42:16,159 --> 00:42:18,760
all this stuff open, it doesn't always work like that. Yeah,

822
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:21,320
I know, matter is a.

823
00:42:23,480 --> 00:42:25,920
Speaker 2: One and a half two point first half favorite. Yeah,

824
00:42:25,960 --> 00:42:30,360
just to clarify that. That's where we're starting here. For

825
00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:34,440
Aaron Polling's question, Valpo has given Belmont trouble over the

826
00:42:34,519 --> 00:42:37,079
last couple of years. Surprisingly enough, they gave him trouble

827
00:42:37,119 --> 00:42:40,679
the first time in this game, seventy eight seventy four,

828
00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:43,199
Belmont at home. I just want to start by saying

829
00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:45,480
Nick McClain is one of the key components to this

830
00:42:45,519 --> 00:42:48,239
Belmont team. He hasn't played in five games. He didn't

831
00:42:48,239 --> 00:42:50,679
play in that Valpole game the first time around. I'm

832
00:42:50,679 --> 00:42:53,280
not sure he's going to play tonight. I say all

833
00:42:53,320 --> 00:42:56,239
that because Belmont is five and oh straight up without McClain.

834
00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:59,079
Just to show you how good they've been this season,

835
00:42:59,119 --> 00:43:03,480
Casey Alexander team has found ways. Saturday they win against

836
00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:07,679
Illinois State. Tyler Lundblade, their best shooter, doesn't even have

837
00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:10,480
a good game, two for nine from three. I feel

838
00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:13,840
like there's some offensive bounce back potential here for Belmont

839
00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:16,239
despite scoring eighty the other day. That might sound a

840
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:18,400
little crazy, how you're going to bounce back from an eighty,

841
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:22,039
but they did that eighty pretty quietly against a very

842
00:43:22,079 --> 00:43:25,480
good Illinois State team, which is number one in defensive

843
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:28,639
efficiency in the Missouri Valley Conference play this season. So

844
00:43:29,320 --> 00:43:33,239
Bellmont's got all the offensive tools, but for whatever reason, Valpo,

845
00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:36,760
like I say, they've given them fits last few times,

846
00:43:37,119 --> 00:43:39,360
and I wouldn't be surprised if they did it again.

847
00:43:39,480 --> 00:43:41,719
Valpa had been on a stretch, Adam, where their team

848
00:43:41,719 --> 00:43:47,239
total was going over by quite a bit, and then

849
00:43:47,280 --> 00:43:49,880
it kind of the train kind of halted the last

850
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:52,679
couple of games. So I don't know if that's odds

851
00:43:52,679 --> 00:43:54,760
makers figuring them out a little bit, or if it's

852
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:58,360
Valpo just going through a slump. I can't take it

853
00:43:58,360 --> 00:44:03,679
with Valpo in the first half against Belmont. However, if

854
00:44:03,679 --> 00:44:07,119
I just put that aside and tell myself that this team,

855
00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:11,239
for whatever reason, has become a difficult matchup, and now

856
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:13,800
they're at home in a revenge spot, I could certainly

857
00:44:13,840 --> 00:44:17,440
see the idea to take Valparaizo just to win the

858
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:19,719
first half straight up and see what happens full game.

859
00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:22,320
To me, it's a really difficult play. I think that

860
00:44:22,519 --> 00:44:25,840
total in the first half of Aaron Pauling. I know

861
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:28,159
he asked about side, but I think that total might

862
00:44:28,159 --> 00:44:32,599
be low sixty seven and a half sixty eight in

863
00:44:32,679 --> 00:44:36,199
a Belmont game against the team that has shown offensive

864
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:39,519
capability and a team that plays really good offense against them.

865
00:44:39,559 --> 00:44:44,559
In particular, there's game film, Adam, right, there's tape. We

866
00:44:44,599 --> 00:44:48,239
can make adjustments, et cetera. Et cetera. But this matchup

867
00:44:48,639 --> 00:44:51,519
has been a little bit repetitive the last two three times,

868
00:44:51,519 --> 00:44:54,239
so for me, I think my best look would be

869
00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:57,840
first half over. I'm not going to talk Aaron off

870
00:44:57,880 --> 00:44:59,719
of playing the Valpost side because I don't have a

871
00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:02,599
good case for Belmont, but I do find those couple

872
00:45:02,639 --> 00:45:05,159
of things interesting, mainly the fact that they're winning these

873
00:45:05,159 --> 00:45:08,920
games without Nick McClain. That shouldn't really be happening for Belmont,

874
00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:09,280
but it is.

875
00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:13,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a really good point that you make, like

876
00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:16,280
they've been without McClain. The other thing that interests me

877
00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:19,119
Rob that maybe tilts me towards the Valpo side and

878
00:45:19,159 --> 00:45:23,639
agreeing with Aaron, is that you know, Valpo's shooting splits

879
00:45:23,880 --> 00:45:26,440
have been worse on the road all year, which is

880
00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:29,039
not like a crazy thing to say. I think you

881
00:45:29,039 --> 00:45:31,519
could say make the case most teams shoot it better

882
00:45:31,599 --> 00:45:34,800
in their home gym. But I know, at least early

883
00:45:34,840 --> 00:45:37,360
in the year, earlier, maybe at like three weeks ago,

884
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:40,559
because this came up. At some point, the splits were

885
00:45:40,559 --> 00:45:44,960
fairly drastic for Belmont at home and on the road. Now,

886
00:45:45,239 --> 00:45:48,119
some of that could have evened out, but I do

887
00:45:48,159 --> 00:45:50,719
find it very interesting that this team is still eight

888
00:45:50,760 --> 00:45:54,960
and one on the road, despite the fact that offensively

889
00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:57,119
they've been poor, like they've been worse on the road,

890
00:45:57,599 --> 00:46:01,199
and they've been without McClain. Who theory should it should

891
00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:05,360
matter at some point, Like at some point you're gonna

892
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:08,400
probably lose a game, like not having Nick McClain is

893
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:11,760
supposed to matter. Now, Belma, I'm just going to their

894
00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:15,079
recent games. They've rattled off five straight wins, really good

895
00:46:15,119 --> 00:46:18,800
one over the weekend beating Illinois State. Of course that

896
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:22,199
was a home game, you know, Valpo. The reason I

897
00:46:22,239 --> 00:46:26,760
haven't wanted to touch Valpo at all and sort of

898
00:46:27,000 --> 00:46:30,480
trust them rob is offensively they're not very good, like

899
00:46:30,519 --> 00:46:33,440
they're outside the top three hundred in a lot of

900
00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:36,880
like offensive metrics. But they've been pretty good at home

901
00:46:37,119 --> 00:46:38,960
and they and they shoot it much better at home.

902
00:46:39,039 --> 00:46:43,159
So it is a very interesting game. I do subscribe

903
00:46:43,199 --> 00:46:46,239
to the theory that maybe they match up well with Valmont,

904
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:49,320
that they had a decent showing against them the first time,

905
00:46:49,639 --> 00:46:51,679
and maybe you get their home run effort at home.

906
00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:54,480
The things that concern me are the fact that they're

907
00:46:54,480 --> 00:46:57,760
outside the top three hundred in points per game, field

908
00:46:57,760 --> 00:47:01,440
goal percentage, they don't hit many outside. They're not gonna

909
00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:05,480
have a rebounding advantage on Belmont. The one thing that

910
00:47:05,519 --> 00:47:07,880
they do well is is take care of the basketball.

911
00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:11,079
Belmont could be pretty sloppy. Belmont three hundred and fourteenth

912
00:47:11,159 --> 00:47:16,199
nationally twelve point nine turnovers per game this year. So, like,

913
00:47:16,360 --> 00:47:19,079
I definitely think Belmont's gonna get themselves in trouble on

914
00:47:19,079 --> 00:47:21,840
the road at some point. I just don't know that

915
00:47:21,880 --> 00:47:24,000
I have the guts to take Valpo here because I

916
00:47:24,119 --> 00:47:26,760
just think that they're there's a pretty big gap between

917
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:30,800
these two teams. But I'm picking up what you guys

918
00:47:30,840 --> 00:47:32,400
are putting down a little bit when it comes to

919
00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:35,920
the matchup. So Aaron, if you take that one, good luck.

920
00:47:35,960 --> 00:47:37,880
I won't be betting against you. I'll tell you that much.

921
00:47:37,920 --> 00:47:43,360
I'm not gonna bet against you there. All right, So

922
00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:45,760
we've got one more rob Veno, we're gonna do this.

923
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:50,400
We have one more super Chat requested game. So I'm

924
00:47:50,400 --> 00:47:53,679
gonna go to the Florida game and then well we'll

925
00:47:53,719 --> 00:47:55,719
go parlay legs. That should take us right to the

926
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:59,400
top of the hour. So let's go. Let me just

927
00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:01,480
make sure I've got this correctly. Why can I not

928
00:48:01,559 --> 00:48:05,519
read this? Oh? Bounce back came for Florida, Robino. We

929
00:48:05,719 --> 00:48:08,599
just talked about Auburn. They go into the swamp and

930
00:48:08,639 --> 00:48:12,519
win over the weekend. Now Florida is a big favorite

931
00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:15,079
to bounce back and get back in the win column.

932
00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:18,199
Do you also see them covering a big number tonight?

933
00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:25,079
Speaker 2: You can see me here trying to get okay. The

934
00:48:25,440 --> 00:48:28,519
short answer to that is yes. I feel like South

935
00:48:28,519 --> 00:48:31,679
Carolina's probably in a little bit of trouble here. Game

936
00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:34,639
has been pushed from an opener of twelve up to thirteen.

937
00:48:34,719 --> 00:48:37,840
But again, some of the things that happened against Auburn

938
00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:40,840
on Saturday, I just don't believe can be done by

939
00:48:40,880 --> 00:48:44,840
South Carolina to this team home floor or not. If

940
00:48:44,840 --> 00:48:47,519
Florida had been on a really good run. Adam and

941
00:48:47,559 --> 00:48:49,920
I think you said earlier that you didn't see that

942
00:48:50,039 --> 00:48:53,400
game coming out of Auburn, and I think mainly the

943
00:48:53,480 --> 00:48:56,719
reason why I didn't see that game coming is how

944
00:48:56,800 --> 00:49:00,199
great Florida had been playing as of late. They they

945
00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:03,559
ran off a set of victories over Georgia, Tennessee, Oklahoma,

946
00:49:03,679 --> 00:49:06,159
Van the LSU. I know some of those teams in there,

947
00:49:06,159 --> 00:49:10,760
including LSU and Oklahoma, are not the best of the SEC. Best.

948
00:49:11,320 --> 00:49:14,679
But the Vanderbilt went on the road the Tennessee, crushing

949
00:49:14,719 --> 00:49:17,719
at home by twenty four points, beating Georgia by fifteen.

950
00:49:18,119 --> 00:49:20,000
It just looked like Florida was back. Like I had

951
00:49:20,079 --> 00:49:24,199
made the comment Saturday that the guards look to be cohesive. Now,

952
00:49:24,199 --> 00:49:26,719
remember the guards were the issue to start the year.

953
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:28,320
We knew the front line was going to be good.

954
00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:35,280
As I said earlier, with Hinnelou on the boards, it

955
00:49:35,320 --> 00:49:37,880
wasn't a great game. I would expect that gets a

956
00:49:37,920 --> 00:49:41,679
lot better here tonight. I just Florida is better in

957
00:49:41,800 --> 00:49:46,320
every capacity than South Carolina is, and when they're af

958
00:49:46,360 --> 00:49:48,599
a loss like that, I just feel like this is

959
00:49:48,639 --> 00:49:52,840
a get right special for the Florida Gators. I totally

960
00:49:52,880 --> 00:49:55,400
agree with the money move in this one. For what

961
00:49:55,480 --> 00:49:58,239
it's worth, South Carolina has just been on a discent

962
00:49:58,320 --> 00:50:01,239
ever since they hit Conference Player. They got to win

963
00:50:01,280 --> 00:50:05,679
over Oklahoma, gotta win over LSU without Dton Thomas. I

964
00:50:05,760 --> 00:50:09,320
don't know exactly what South Carolina brings to the table here.

965
00:50:09,360 --> 00:50:11,079
They're coming in off of twenty three point most the

966
00:50:11,119 --> 00:50:13,960
A and M, so for me, they probably get killed

967
00:50:14,039 --> 00:50:17,119
on the boards. For me, Boogie Flann and the guards

968
00:50:17,119 --> 00:50:21,159
probably is Xavian Lee probably have a good night against

969
00:50:21,159 --> 00:50:24,039
the South Carolina Guards. Just a tough matchup at him

970
00:50:24,079 --> 00:50:27,039
in a tough situation. When you can combine fundamentals with situation,

971
00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:29,559
I think got a pretty solid play and Florida's got

972
00:50:29,599 --> 00:50:33,239
no problem really quick here. If you're afraid of thirteen,

973
00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:36,599
they've got no problem getting to ninety ninety five, which

974
00:50:36,599 --> 00:50:38,639
makes thirteen look kind of small when you can score

975
00:50:38,679 --> 00:50:39,079
that many.

976
00:50:41,599 --> 00:50:43,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a big number. But as I said, I was,

977
00:50:44,199 --> 00:50:49,880
I was really starting to listen. Florida has been like

978
00:50:50,239 --> 00:50:54,880
incredibly efficient offensively this year, and that is with Xavian

979
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:57,599
Lee and Boogie Flann struggling for like two months. So

980
00:50:57,679 --> 00:50:59,519
I always kind of, you know, I think what's come

981
00:50:59,599 --> 00:51:01,400
up on this show a couple of times. I know,

982
00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:04,159
we talked about it after they beat Vandy and dropped

983
00:51:04,719 --> 00:51:08,119
dropped ninety eight on the Commodores, and you know, the

984
00:51:08,159 --> 00:51:10,679
game before put up ninety six. I think they were

985
00:51:10,679 --> 00:51:13,199
in a run of scoring ninety plus and four straight games.

986
00:51:14,079 --> 00:51:16,719
I know, I said, man, like, this team is pretty

987
00:51:16,719 --> 00:51:20,960
efficient offensively. With Lee missing shots and with Bland missing shots,

988
00:51:21,039 --> 00:51:23,440
imagine they ever come around a little bit. Imagine their

989
00:51:23,440 --> 00:51:26,559
backcourt ever really starts hitting shots and playing the way

990
00:51:26,599 --> 00:51:29,119
that they were expected to play this year. And that's

991
00:51:29,199 --> 00:51:33,440
essentially what they did for five games up until over

992
00:51:33,480 --> 00:51:35,639
the weekend, when you know, they just got punched in

993
00:51:35,679 --> 00:51:37,960
the mouth a little bit by Auburn. But as we said,

994
00:51:38,000 --> 00:51:40,639
like that's an Auburn team that's played really good ball

995
00:51:40,679 --> 00:51:44,719
of late, and that's not this this South Carolina team

996
00:51:44,760 --> 00:51:47,920
at all. I don't even think South Carolina, if Florida's

997
00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:50,599
having a bad day, it is equipped to like would

998
00:51:50,639 --> 00:51:52,920
stand what the Florida front court is going to do.

999
00:51:53,280 --> 00:51:55,599
And then you throw in the fact that maybe the

1000
00:51:55,599 --> 00:51:57,280
Guards have a little bit of a bounce back game

1001
00:51:57,280 --> 00:51:59,280
from the weekend. I'm with you, Rob, this one could

1002
00:51:59,280 --> 00:52:02,000
get ugly quick. Like I would want no part of

1003
00:52:02,000 --> 00:52:05,800
South Carolina here. I kind of think Florida probably bounces back.

1004
00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:09,519
And Bayu makes a good point if if you know,

1005
00:52:09,519 --> 00:52:11,400
I don't know how to apply this really, but if

1006
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:15,000
you did, like something like first half, second half, Bayou says,

1007
00:52:15,159 --> 00:52:18,480
if the game Cocks ain't covering early, they're not covering late.

1008
00:52:18,679 --> 00:52:21,199
I kind of agree with that. If they if they

1009
00:52:21,280 --> 00:52:23,519
get down big, I kind of think this one just

1010
00:52:23,559 --> 00:52:26,920
becomes a twenty five point beat down at some point.

1011
00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:30,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, Todd Golden is not one of those coaches who's

1012
00:52:30,800 --> 00:52:33,559
gonna feel sorry for anybody last five minutes of a game.

1013
00:52:33,599 --> 00:52:36,320
They're gonna continue to extend margin. Adam, When you were

1014
00:52:36,320 --> 00:52:38,880
scrolling right there, I just saw quick out of the

1015
00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:42,159
corner of my eye, somebody had my parlay leg game

1016
00:52:42,280 --> 00:52:43,519
up there. So let me get all right.

1017
00:52:43,599 --> 00:52:46,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, we've we've already talked about mine, so we're gonna

1018
00:52:46,320 --> 00:52:48,360
we'll give your leg the full treatment. Who you got?

1019
00:52:49,599 --> 00:52:52,920
Speaker 2: All right? So tonight, generally speaking, eighty percent of the

1020
00:52:52,920 --> 00:52:55,320
time on the show, I've usually had some form of total,

1021
00:52:55,400 --> 00:52:57,760
and mostly team total. But tonight I'm gonna go back.

1022
00:52:57,800 --> 00:53:02,960
You know Aaron, right, Aaron Pauling is the one who

1023
00:53:02,960 --> 00:53:06,880
asked about the Missouri Valley. Yes, and he asked in

1024
00:53:06,960 --> 00:53:09,639
particular first half. And it just so happens that my

1025
00:53:09,639 --> 00:53:11,440
play here is going to be first half, and it's

1026
00:53:11,480 --> 00:53:14,000
gonna be Miami of Florida minus four and a half

1027
00:53:14,079 --> 00:53:19,760
against Stanford. I tried Saturday afternoon to play the col

1028
00:53:19,800 --> 00:53:21,880
Stanford game over one forty five and a half. I

1029
00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:25,639
thought that was just extremely low and it should have

1030
00:53:25,719 --> 00:53:27,199
really got there. Tell you the truth. It got to

1031
00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:30,000
one forty three, but Stanford just went ice ice cold

1032
00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:35,199
last two three minutes. Now, you play that game based

1033
00:53:35,239 --> 00:53:37,880
on o'cory in my part, thinking that the point guard

1034
00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:40,320
could do enough damage. I think I made that comment

1035
00:53:40,360 --> 00:53:43,159
with you and Kelly on Saturday. But what I'm noticing

1036
00:53:43,159 --> 00:53:46,280
more and more is that the loss of akpar at

1037
00:53:46,320 --> 00:53:50,400
chisolmock par here is just too much for Stanford to overcome. Listen,

1038
00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:54,119
they don't rebound well to begin with, and to lose

1039
00:53:54,199 --> 00:53:56,679
him for the remainder of the season, his minutes is

1040
00:53:56,679 --> 00:53:58,400
twenty eight and a half minutes. From what I saw

1041
00:53:58,480 --> 00:54:02,159
Saturday against Cal. This is going to become a guard

1042
00:54:02,199 --> 00:54:07,199
oriented team with one guy who can do damage. And

1043
00:54:07,239 --> 00:54:10,480
then you're not good on the glass, and then you're

1044
00:54:10,519 --> 00:54:14,480
not good at shooting threes, and then you're not good

1045
00:54:14,480 --> 00:54:18,159
at playing defense, and this thing could steamroll downhill really

1046
00:54:18,199 --> 00:54:21,679
fast for Stanford remainder of the season. Cal winds up

1047
00:54:21,679 --> 00:54:24,840
winning that game by eleven. You have cross country travel

1048
00:54:25,199 --> 00:54:27,239
right west to east here one of those three time

1049
00:54:27,320 --> 00:54:29,639
zone deals for Stanford to set up shop for this,

1050
00:54:30,039 --> 00:54:34,559
I think two game road trip and Miami for what

1051
00:54:34,599 --> 00:54:38,920
it's worth, Prides themselves this year on physicality, Like when

1052
00:54:38,920 --> 00:54:41,039
you listen to the head coach talk, it's always we're

1053
00:54:41,079 --> 00:54:43,039
a physical team. We're a physical team. And they're a

1054
00:54:43,039 --> 00:54:45,920
pretty good offensive team too. I mean, they can crank

1055
00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:50,519
out eighty fairly quickly. So to me, first half is

1056
00:54:50,519 --> 00:54:52,760
the spot I really want to attack here, Adam, I

1057
00:54:52,760 --> 00:54:56,480
think Stanford off the plane off the col game first

1058
00:54:56,519 --> 00:55:00,199
twenty minutes, maybe a little lack of days ago. I'm

1059
00:55:00,199 --> 00:55:02,559
playing a little bit situational there. And then on the

1060
00:55:02,599 --> 00:55:06,559
fundamental side, I just think Miami's better at every single thing.

1061
00:55:07,559 --> 00:55:10,840
Stanford's got some work to do, and it might be,

1062
00:55:10,920 --> 00:55:12,599
you know, we're at mid season. It might be too

1063
00:55:12,679 --> 00:55:15,920
late to have any answers for what they're gonna do

1064
00:55:16,000 --> 00:55:20,760
without Okpar because I don't know watching Saturday exactly what

1065
00:55:20,840 --> 00:55:23,239
their identity is anymore other than give the ball to

1066
00:55:23,280 --> 00:55:28,239
your point guard, let them go. Miami can defend pretty

1067
00:55:28,280 --> 00:55:31,280
well out on the perimeters, so he's gonna have a

1068
00:55:31,320 --> 00:55:35,880
bullseye on his chest the remainder of the season. If

1069
00:55:35,920 --> 00:55:37,880
you can calm him down a little bit, like I say,

1070
00:55:37,920 --> 00:55:39,519
first half, I think there might be a little lull

1071
00:55:39,519 --> 00:55:41,840
out of Stanford. Maybe they make some second half adjustments.

1072
00:55:41,840 --> 00:55:43,519
I don't even know what those could be, but I'm

1073
00:55:43,519 --> 00:55:45,159
gonna lay four and a half. I just thought that

1074
00:55:45,239 --> 00:55:47,679
number was so small. Four and a half first half

1075
00:55:47,679 --> 00:55:50,000
with Miami of Florida at home against Stanford.

1076
00:55:52,320 --> 00:55:55,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, Rob, I found this game to be very, very interesting.

1077
00:55:57,599 --> 00:55:59,639
I went in looking to make a case for Stanford

1078
00:55:59,639 --> 00:56:02,519
plus the points because I had a feeling that Stanford

1079
00:56:02,559 --> 00:56:07,039
would come out play some zone defense. Miami really isn't

1080
00:56:07,039 --> 00:56:08,800
a great shooting team, and that is the way you

1081
00:56:08,800 --> 00:56:11,239
beat them. But you you talk about Apara and the

1082
00:56:11,239 --> 00:56:13,840
fact that he has not been there for now three games,

1083
00:56:14,400 --> 00:56:18,639
and Stanford's interior defense really suffers without him, their their

1084
00:56:18,719 --> 00:56:22,639
rim protection, and so like I guess theoretically you could

1085
00:56:22,639 --> 00:56:24,559
offset that a little bit by sitting in his zone

1086
00:56:24,639 --> 00:56:27,840
and just hope Miami misses every shot. But if Miami

1087
00:56:27,880 --> 00:56:30,079
can can work their way into your zone a little bit,

1088
00:56:30,119 --> 00:56:33,599
that is a big, big problem for Stanford. This Miami

1089
00:56:33,639 --> 00:56:37,280
team tenth nationally fifty one point one percent from the field.

1090
00:56:37,639 --> 00:56:40,119
Like if if they're able to get anywhere near the

1091
00:56:40,239 --> 00:56:42,960
rim in this game, they could, they might be able

1092
00:56:42,960 --> 00:56:45,719
to score at will on Stanford. So that that to

1093
00:56:45,800 --> 00:56:47,679
me was was easy enough for me to throw it

1094
00:56:47,719 --> 00:56:51,199
out without Akpara. I just I just don't have much

1095
00:56:51,239 --> 00:56:53,480
of an interest because again, even if even if Stanford

1096
00:56:53,559 --> 00:56:59,480
does force Miami into some threes, you know, Miami really

1097
00:56:59,519 --> 00:57:03,480
good rebound team. Stanford outside the top two fifty in

1098
00:57:03,800 --> 00:57:07,360
total rebounds this year, so this might be a scenario where, yeah,

1099
00:57:07,400 --> 00:57:09,639
maybe Miami misses some shots and then they're just cleaning

1100
00:57:09,719 --> 00:57:13,519
up missus because my Stanford really doesn't have much resistance

1101
00:57:13,559 --> 00:57:19,320
on the rims. So yeah, I threw it out because

1102
00:57:19,320 --> 00:57:21,480
of a par Or not being there, But I think

1103
00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:24,360
you could get me to come around to your point

1104
00:57:24,400 --> 00:57:26,840
of view here where without him, and then you throw

1105
00:57:26,920 --> 00:57:30,519
in cross country travel. It could be a tough one

1106
00:57:30,559 --> 00:57:34,360
for Stanford. I will be rooting for you because I

1107
00:57:34,360 --> 00:57:37,000
want to hit the parlay. Of course, not going to

1108
00:57:37,039 --> 00:57:40,519
have action in that game, but just the conversation itself,

1109
00:57:40,599 --> 00:57:43,320
Robs has pretty much talked me off of wanting anything

1110
00:57:43,360 --> 00:57:45,280
to do with Stanford in this matchup.

1111
00:57:46,639 --> 00:57:49,840
Speaker 2: Well, then defensive free throw rate real quick here, Stanford

1112
00:57:49,920 --> 00:57:53,079
puts teams in acc play on the line. It's an

1113
00:57:53,119 --> 00:57:56,440
eighteen team league. They're eighteenth in defensive free throw rate,

1114
00:57:56,519 --> 00:57:58,920
so any penetration by Miami could end up in points

1115
00:57:58,920 --> 00:58:00,719
whether they make a shot or not. And then, like

1116
00:58:00,800 --> 00:58:03,519
you say, I just after watching that game, I feel

1117
00:58:03,519 --> 00:58:06,159
like they're gonna get to the glass because they pride

1118
00:58:06,199 --> 00:58:10,599
themselves up physicality against this Stanford team. So Miami gets

1119
00:58:10,599 --> 00:58:14,159
to the live fourth most in acc play. Pretty good

1120
00:58:14,199 --> 00:58:16,079
matchup there for them. We'll see how it goes. I

1121
00:58:16,119 --> 00:58:18,679
need Miami by five, Adam, we need Miami by five

1122
00:58:18,719 --> 00:58:20,199
first test, So let's go get them.

1123
00:58:20,519 --> 00:58:23,320
Speaker 1: Yes, yes we do. And you know Miami for what

1124
00:58:23,400 --> 00:58:26,519
they They've looked a little disjointed against Zone at sometimes

1125
00:58:26,719 --> 00:58:28,920
at points in time this year, but they do move

1126
00:58:28,960 --> 00:58:31,760
the ball like their ball movement is relatively pretty good.

1127
00:58:31,800 --> 00:58:34,400
And again I didn't even really look at it from

1128
00:58:34,400 --> 00:58:36,440
the standpoint rob where they just need to get the

1129
00:58:36,440 --> 00:58:38,119
ball up on the rim and if it doesn't go

1130
00:58:38,159 --> 00:58:40,000
in the first time, there's a good chance it's going

1131
00:58:40,039 --> 00:58:44,000
in with just being bigger, stronger, more physical inside and

1132
00:58:44,039 --> 00:58:46,840
then Stanford really missing a part in this matchup. So

1133
00:58:46,960 --> 00:58:50,639
I will be rooting for you on Miami, and I'm

1134
00:58:50,639 --> 00:58:52,960
gonna close the parlay out with the Tennessee balls. The

1135
00:58:53,000 --> 00:58:55,599
reason I'm going to go to use Tennessee I think

1136
00:58:55,679 --> 00:58:57,679
I may have missed the number to make it a

1137
00:58:57,719 --> 00:59:01,880
client play, but know, in a parlay, I I really

1138
00:59:01,880 --> 00:59:04,679
think Tennessee is just the better team in a matchup

1139
00:59:04,920 --> 00:59:08,119
that suits them. What are we? Is it a can

1140
00:59:08,119 --> 00:59:10,280
we get plus one? Still? I guess it doesn't really

1141
00:59:10,280 --> 00:59:11,960
matter plus one or pick? What are you? What are

1142
00:59:12,000 --> 00:59:14,239
you seeing for this? I think I see a little

1143
00:59:14,280 --> 00:59:14,800
bit of both.

1144
00:59:16,480 --> 00:59:20,000
Speaker 2: I see in this writing game. Yeah, I see a

1145
00:59:20,000 --> 00:59:22,960
little bit of both. You're right, there's one and a half,

1146
00:59:23,000 --> 00:59:25,480
one and a half, picks one and a half. So

1147
00:59:26,280 --> 00:59:28,800
I guess we could go in the difference.

1148
00:59:29,039 --> 00:59:31,719
Speaker 1: We'll split the difference. We Tennessee plus one looks like

1149
00:59:31,760 --> 00:59:34,000
it's out there quite a few places, so you know,

1150
00:59:34,199 --> 00:59:37,000
I would have loved to I would have loved to

1151
00:59:37,039 --> 00:59:38,840
have that plus two plus two and a half that

1152
00:59:38,920 --> 00:59:42,119
seems to have evaporated. But again, I don't think it's

1153
00:59:42,119 --> 00:59:45,000
gonna matter. I think you know, Colin, shout out Colin,

1154
00:59:45,039 --> 00:59:47,840
He says. Trigg's been seeing the SEC well too. Yeah,

1155
00:59:47,880 --> 00:59:50,800
I swept in the SEC last night Alabama in Arkansas

1156
00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:54,440
and then took it on the chin out West UNLV

1157
00:59:54,800 --> 00:59:57,079
lost by one hundred. That was just a bad call.

1158
00:59:57,400 --> 00:59:59,920
But yeah, well, we'll go back to the SEC for

1159
00:59:59,920 --> 01:00:03,280
the parlay. We'll say Tennessee plus one. BA Bets just

1160
01:00:03,360 --> 01:00:07,079
jumped in with a donation, so appreciate you. Let's try

1161
01:00:07,400 --> 01:00:09,719
to hit that parlay for BA and for everyone in

1162
01:00:09,760 --> 01:00:12,360
the chat. I've got a five percent or later. Tonight,

1163
01:00:12,480 --> 01:00:14,519
Rob and I have the joint package. It's eleven, so

1164
01:00:14,559 --> 01:00:17,320
we've got to go. But the parlay real quick. Miami

1165
01:00:17,400 --> 01:00:20,000
first half minus four and a half, Tennessee full game

1166
01:00:20,000 --> 01:00:22,119
plus one. We'll see you guys back here. I think

1167
01:00:22,119 --> 01:00:24,320
I'm gonna be at a Starbucks tomorrow because your boy's

1168
01:00:24,360 --> 01:00:26,559
hitting the road. But we'll be here to do a

1169
01:00:26,639 --> 01:00:31,239
show tomorrow, ten am Eastern. We'll see you guys then