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Speaker 1: You're lie.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.

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This is wager Talk Today. I am your host, ay

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Leg It's Thursday. And when I say we got a

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jam pack show, I mean jam packed show. We got

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Geohnny with the Steam Report, Dave Mason for bet Online's

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gonna join us, Steve Merrill is gonna join us for

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Rays and Red Sox, and then somehow he's going to

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do a segment that involves Hussein Bolt and Joey Chestnut.

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Stay tuned for that. Nick Parts is gonna give out

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a CFL pick. I believe his pick cast easily last week.

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And then Kylie Anthony's gonna join us and break down

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a couple of UFC fights. All right, before we get

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into it, we're gonna do something here. We've been playing

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the game where we pick a game and you had

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to tell us the winner and get the correct score.

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We're gonna try something a little different. It's the summer

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of trying things after the show. Put in the comments section,

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so not in the live chat. In the comment section,

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put your wager Talk user name and your best bet

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for the day, and we're gonna randomly pick some people

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to get a three day flex pass, So wager talk,

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use your name your best bet. We're gonna randomly pick

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a winner. Put that in the comments section right after

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the show. While we're doing that, hit the like button.

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Let's bring on Gianni, Gianni.

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Speaker 3: Happy Thursday.

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Speaker 2: Here, let's do Steam report real quick and then we'll

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we'll get get a little UFC in for me because

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I know you're not going to be here tomorrow.

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Speaker 3: Happy Thursday. How are you, sir?

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Speaker 4: Thank you brother.

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Speaker 5: Slow day, slow day so far today, but big fire.

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NBA Summer League gave out three plays already to subscribers

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aside a money line and a total. I'll give you

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the side right now for guys out there is a

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three percent play on New Orleans, New Orleans plus the

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seven New Orleans plus the seven over Minnesota that's in

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the Summer League.

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Speaker 4: Maybe sprinkle a little.

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Speaker 5: Something on that Minnesota on that New Orleans money line

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at plus two hundred, just throwing it out there. But

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the plus seven three percent play for subscribers follow or fade,

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just letting you know what we bet in the NBA. Sorry,

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NBA Summer League. Otherwise, just a little bit of baseball.

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Slow so far, but it'll pick up. Thursdays are always

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like that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, any big notice and any big things you

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notice with the steam report. The only one I really

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noticed is that WNBA line, and that's all because of

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Asia Wilson. So be careful if you're betting the Aces.

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I know, I saw that huge aces opened up minus

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one Washington's minus three. Asia got hurt last night with

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a wrist injury, so make sure you're checking starting lineups.

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She's a game time decision. My guess is she probably

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doesn't play, so be careful with that game. Make sure

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you know the starting lineups in that one. So what

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else have you noticed? Steam report, Johnny?

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Speaker 4: Major League Baseball? Couple signs for you coin flip.

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Speaker 5: Games, uh nine fifty eight Yankees at even money, nine

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to sixty four, La Angels at even money. Also they're

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now favorites nine sixty seven the Cubs minus one ten.

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So that's Yankees, La Angels, and the Cubs all right

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around that coin flip price and the Chalk nine sixty nine,

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the Braves again on Atlanta, and also the over once

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again in the Braves over ten all the way up

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the minus one thirty, So Yankees, Angels, Cobs, Braves, and

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the over in the Braves game. There were somebody overnights

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and some of the stuff that got hit early in

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the morning so far, but again, Thursday is usually a

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little bit slower till later in the day and it's

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you know, the travel day for baseball as well. So

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getting ready for this weekend though, a lot going on.

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Speaker 2: Brent says he just watched that Summer League bounce up.

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Do you think there was line manipulation. I'll get your

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take on that, Johnny. My guess is there's just not

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a lot of action on this so it doesn't take

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very much to move to move lines with things like that.

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You'll see that in some of the smaller markets that

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just a little bit of money will make make pretty

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aggressive line moves.

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Speaker 3: What's your take.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, we got bad off, Like you know, Minnesota got

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bad off from four and a half.

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Speaker 4: And that's why I always try to.

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Speaker 5: Stress be careful of those overnights because the the overnight

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on Minnesota opened at four and a half, and I

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can tell you to go from four and a half

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to seven doesn't take a lot of money like I have.

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For example, I have an account in Canada that I

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have to use the VPN for and they're a skin

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of pinnacle. Okay, well they've realized that this account is sharp.

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The only thing I use it for is MMA from

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one of my originators and for the sharper stuff that

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I know. They're then going to bet on screen because

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they're going to move the line. So anyway, to make

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a long story short, if I bet just to some limits.

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Overnights are like two hundred dollars, The most ever are

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is five hundred dollars.

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Speaker 4: For five hundred dollars.

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Speaker 5: Max, I could make that line move from minus four

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and a half the minus five and a half or

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six with maybe one thousand dollars fifteen hundred max. And

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now at seven this morning, I could get down you know,

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five ten thousand pretty quickly with a couple you know,

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clicks of my mouse. So where the night before I

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can't do that. So it just goes to show you

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got to be careful with a lot of those overnight

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line moves, because that's a perfect example. Like again, if

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you have Minnesota minus four and a half in your pocket,

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it's obviously a good bet because you're looking it got

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to as high as seven. It's probably gonna go off

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at six, So you still got a good bet, but

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that was just early manipulation being bet up. And the

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real hit came this morning on New Orleans at plus

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seven and even some seven and a half, So I

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know got picked off that you know couple that moved

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it higher than they should have.

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Speaker 4: But that's what I talked about before.

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Speaker 5: In NBA Summer League, the lines move very quickly once

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information is confirmed, lines and they bet lines move very quickly,

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but there's a lot of setting up and a lot

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of manipulation just because there's not recreational money on the

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other side, so they're not able to write, you know,

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the other team. They're just writing one side more or less,

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and it's the sharp side. I mean, unless you're going

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to NBA Summer League, you're probably not betting it. And

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if you watch the crowd in those games, it's not

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like that that pack, So they're not getting much recreational

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betters at all. It's more like sharps versus the books.

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And as I've explained here so many times, when that's

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the case, there's a lot of manipulation going on. Yeah,

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and they're not writing anything else on the other side.

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Speaker 2: Real quick, your take on the Dodgers, they just dip

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below sixty percent on their win percentage fifty six and

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thirty eight. That's fifty nine point six, not way below

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sixty percent. But we talk about these waves. I like

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that we're following these teams, you know, throughout the season,

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so they're obviously slumping a little bit. I know Teddy's

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I know Teddy Cover has been doing a good job

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picking his spots and betting against him. Pretty soon, it's

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about time to come back on them, correct.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, because right now they're right about where they

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should be, the Dodgers, and when you look, look where

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are We're not even at the All Star break.

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Speaker 4: Bro, We're not even at the All Star break.

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Speaker 5: And only one team, one team, when you look at

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today's standings.

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Speaker 4: Has one sixty or higher six zero or higher. Only

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one team.

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Speaker 5: That's the Detroit Tigers. I was screaming that from April.

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I was screaming that in May, that that just what's

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going to happen. It's not like I'm a profit or

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a psych kick. It's just every single year, the same

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thing happens. These guys play one hundred and sixty plus games.

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They're going to regress and progress towards the mean and

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there's not a single team out there who's means hired

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in sixty five percent or lower than twenty five percent.

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They're all going to be somewhere in the middle there,

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you know, between thirty and sixty. That's the difference between

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first place and last place pretty much in Major League

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Baseball every single year.

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Speaker 4: But now we start looking at that flip side.

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Speaker 5: I like what you mentioned that some of those teams

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that we do expect, you know, to do a little

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bit better that had been running bad. You know, you

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look at a team like Atlanta. Atlanta for example, this

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is a team when the season is finished, should be

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about five hundred, you know, and right now we're winning about.

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Speaker 4: What forty four forty three percent?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, just just for you.

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Speaker 5: Want to be looking the back, they're about nine ten

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games below where they should be right now based on

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run scored runs allowed. A team like that should have

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won more games already. So like that's a team that

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you want to be looking to back, a team like Atlanta. Look,

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we've been on Atlanta, I think two of the last

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three nights betting Atlanta. So this works throughout the entire season,

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and again it's not going to happen overnight, but you

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want to be able to wake up every morning every Monday,

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forgive me and write down two three five teams that

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you look for spots to fade, two three five teams

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that you look for sides to back, and then you

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handicap individual matchups and you look for those teams where it,

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you know, it lines up, where you get more factors

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to help you confirm bet or fade. I do that

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with baseball every single year, and that's where I'm able

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to come out with a lot of some of my

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own plays where you know, I move for other groups

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that they originate their own baseball. But that's how I'm

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able to pick. You know, a lot of my own

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stuff is simply looking for those teams that are going

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to regress and progress. It works with baseball better than

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any other sport because of the amount of games they play,

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and anybody can do it.

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Speaker 4: You know, you don't need a degree to.

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Speaker 5: UH as long as you have good long term projections,

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like if you trust the long term projections, and I

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do because the guy I deal with historically has done

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very well with these as My season win totals show

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that the history of them, and I just follow it

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and what it says it should do. They usually do

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man And as of today, again there is only I'll

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look right now because he sent it over, it's two

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days old, but it's still pretty fresh. Yeah, we are

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still only one team when the season's over. And I'm

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telling you even right now, I will bet right now,

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right now that Detroit, that Detroit does not win sixty

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pers more than six zero six zero would be the

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over under sixty percent. So fifty nine point six that's

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not sixty percent, sixty six zero or higher. I swear

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to you right now, I would lay mineus two hundred.

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Speaker 4: Mine is two hundred.

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Speaker 5: Since we're not even at the All Star break, I

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have more than enough time for that team to regress.

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I would bet you that when the season's over, this

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Detroit team does not win more than ninety five games,

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and five games they will be low sixty percent. They're like,

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at that's the most games this team's gonna win.

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Speaker 2: Right after you left, someone ask in the main event,

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where where where we thought money would come in?

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Speaker 3: I was like, yeah, probably Derek Lewis.

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Speaker 2: That I wake up this morning and see Derek Louis

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has taken all the money. Just give me, just thirty

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seconds here on UFC, because I know we won't have

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you tomorrow. Anything jumping off the page for you. That's interesting.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, here, here's what I can tell you real quickly.

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Speaker 5: I'm glad you asked, because I actually started not just

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doing UFC, but I sent two premium plays out the subscribers.

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I sent four percent play and I even sent a

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little part like here, here's the problem I have with

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Derek Lewis. You know, he's been profitable as an underdog

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fourteen times in the UFC.

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Speaker 4: He's been a dog.

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Speaker 5: He's come out with the money eight of those times,

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close to sixty percent. So if you ever want to

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back there Derek Lewis, this is probably the position went

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to bet him in as an underdog, but he's just

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in a really bad spot here. He's up against Tallis

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to Shara, who's going to be fifteen years younger. It's

241
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going to have a four inch reach advantage. The only

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negative is the strength of schedule. But you can only

243
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fight who's in front of you. And the way this

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guy's been running through people, and the way he ran

245
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through Tafa, I really think I understand why the betters

246
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are on Derek Lewis. But I just think that's thrown

247
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away money. I think to shera gets the job done.

248
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I think he gets it done pretty easily as well.

249
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And I dug deeper into that comane event as also

250
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with bon Fiend and Thompson. And that's another situation. This

251
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is coming from someone that looks the bet dogs live dogs.

252
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And I'm comfortable betting a plus three hundred, then I

253
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know I'm gonna throw out six out of ten times,

254
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because again, if I'm taking a plus three hundred, I

255
00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:11,799
know I'm gonna throw that ticket out, you know, at

256
00:12:11,919 --> 00:12:13,639
least six out of ten times, probably six and a

257
00:12:13,679 --> 00:12:16,279
half out of ten times. I'm comfortable doing that because

258
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I'm going to bet every day for a long time.

259
00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:21,679
So I'm looking for the long term. But if if

260
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you're not, then again you know, dogs aren't the way

261
00:12:24,759 --> 00:12:26,639
to go. But I don't think this is a dog

262
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that's very live with Derek Lewis, I really don't. I

263
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just trajectory of careers. He's at the end of his

264
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career to share is at the beginning of his career.

265
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The only thing is strength of schedule, and we've seen

266
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Derek Lewis be a gatekeeper before and you know, finish

267
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some of these younger guys. But I think to share

268
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is just a different level. I think when this is

269
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the setting, Yeah, I don't look like and I think

270
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the same thing with the Thompson. I mean Thompson, he's

271
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fought tough guys, but he's got one win man in

272
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the last like four years.

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Speaker 2: I know he's fought the killers. Steven Thompson hasn't. So

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we got a jam pack show Jiotty Teller and what

275
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you have up for clients up at wager Talking.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, like I said that, the UFC package is already off.

277
00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:16,759
There's two four percent plays in there already. More will

278
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be coming. I've been working on that card over the

279
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last twenty four hours. Going to work on it more

280
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today and tomorrow I'll have the baseball card off. We

281
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won again yesterday. We were perfect on Monday, we won

282
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on Tuesday, we won again on Wednesday. So baseball's going good.

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Just like I said, I can tell from beforehand how

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they're running. They're running really good right now. And basketball

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Summer League, there's a free playoff for you on wager

286
00:13:39,799 --> 00:13:42,080
Talk on the free page. Anymore Summer League comes in,

287
00:13:42,159 --> 00:13:44,879
that'll be there as well. Hope you guys do damage

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00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:47,440
cash some tickets, whether you follow or fage, just here

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00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:49,399
to share information, love it.

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Speaker 2: Thank you, Geohnny, have a great weekend. You'd look at

291
00:13:51,919 --> 00:13:54,879
your show tomorrow. Great offer right now, guys, we're still

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00:13:54,919 --> 00:13:57,720
running three days for just forty nine dollars for flex picks.

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Speaker 3: You can pick your handicapper.

294
00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:01,480
Speaker 2: You can pick one here, handy kapper, you could pick

295
00:14:01,519 --> 00:14:04,519
two handy cappers, you could pick three handy cappers. It's

296
00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,320
completely up to you. You've got the power to tailor

297
00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:10,159
it to your style in your schedule. You can pick me,

298
00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:13,360
then you can pick Teddy that, you can pick Johnny

299
00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:16,120
or anybody you want, anybody you want at the websites.

300
00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:18,360
Three days for just forty nine dollars. This is the

301
00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:20,840
best way to try out some new handicappers. Try out

302
00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:23,600
handicappers and sports that maybe you haven't met in before.

303
00:14:23,919 --> 00:14:25,759
Get a good indication of what the write ups are

304
00:14:25,799 --> 00:14:27,480
like and what their plays are like. So take advantage

305
00:14:27,519 --> 00:14:30,799
of that three days flex pass for just forty nine dollars,

306
00:14:30,799 --> 00:14:34,360
a twenty dollars save on this limited time offer. Let's

307
00:14:34,399 --> 00:14:36,559
go all around the world give out some free plays

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00:14:36,639 --> 00:14:39,879
here kind of stuck up the joint on free plays yesterday.

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Speaker 3: Let's get back, Let's get back on the winning ways here.

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Speaker 2: So we're gonna go to the Rangers at the Angels,

311
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We're going to go yes run first inning. Rangers five

312
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and oher your fee run scored a first inning run

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in four out of five games, and the Angels are

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on a seven and one your fee run score the

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first inning run in six out of seven. That comes

316
00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:05,399
from Ralph Michael's links and the Sparks under one sixty

317
00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:07,519
three and a half links number one defense in the league.

318
00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,440
It's a weird back to back situation for them. Afternoon

319
00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:12,960
games in the middle of the week. Yesterday the Murcury

320
00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:16,399
only scored seventy one points or they only sport scored

321
00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:19,039
seventy one points one hundred and fifty total in that game.

322
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Links tenth in pace, Sparks only seventh in pace. That's

323
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in the last four games. To look at the under

324
00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,440
and then Drew Martin has athletics for su Braves under

325
00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:31,279
sears thirteen straight shutout innings, strider back to back quality starts.

326
00:15:32,039 --> 00:15:34,200
We're getting a little bit of an inflated line, probably

327
00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:37,960
because the first two games of the series total was eleven.

328
00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:43,320
So those are your free plays. Let's go to Steve Merrill.

329
00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:45,000
We got Steve Merril, and we're gonna talk a little

330
00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:48,919
Rays and Red Sox and then I don't know how

331
00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:51,679
you're gonna combine who saying Boat and Joey chestnutt into one.

332
00:15:52,919 --> 00:15:54,960
But I'm all years here, I'm all years here.

333
00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:56,519
Speaker 6: Do you know where I'm going with that? By the way,

334
00:15:56,679 --> 00:15:59,440
I was one? No, I actually I don't want to

335
00:15:59,759 --> 00:16:02,080
hit you by surprising because I was hit by surprise.

336
00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:03,799
Speaker 7: So I'm gonna hit Andy Lang by surprise.

337
00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:04,720
Speaker 1: Perfect.

338
00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:07,279
Speaker 2: Okay, let's take it that way. Well, let's go to

339
00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:10,080
raising Red Sox. We got Bradley for the Rays, Bueller

340
00:16:10,159 --> 00:16:13,759
for Red Sox. Buellers started off bunch of wins. A boy,

341
00:16:13,799 --> 00:16:17,960
he's gotten torched. It's got a huge era this season. Uh,

342
00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:20,679
pretty much straight pick I'm pretty close Boston minus one

343
00:16:20,759 --> 00:16:23,679
fifteen Tampa minus one oh five with an over under

344
00:16:23,679 --> 00:16:24,159
of nine.

345
00:16:24,360 --> 00:16:25,840
Speaker 3: So, Steve, how do you see this game going?

346
00:16:26,519 --> 00:16:29,639
Speaker 6: Bueller? You said, Buehler, He's been terrible. He has been

347
00:16:29,679 --> 00:16:31,720
showing up to class. Unfortunately, Yeah, he didn't go to

348
00:16:31,759 --> 00:16:34,840
pitching class because his ERI is pretty nasty. Six point

349
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:36,759
three ERA, and the season is bad enough, but if

350
00:16:36,799 --> 00:16:38,440
you go back to this end of May, he made

351
00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:40,799
a start on May thirty first, his last seven starts

352
00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:45,080
nine point three e er. And you know, Andy, most

353
00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:46,480
guys don't stay in the league when they have a

354
00:16:46,559 --> 00:16:48,960
nine point three ERA over a seven start span. But

355
00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:51,679
I've always said that that sometimes these veteran pitchers who

356
00:16:51,679 --> 00:16:54,559
have had good careers in the past hang around a

357
00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:57,440
little bit longer. We'd love to pick on Patrick Corban.

358
00:16:57,639 --> 00:16:59,200
You know, he has been awful for several years. He

359
00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:00,679
got a little bit of a new life this year

360
00:17:00,679 --> 00:17:02,759
with the Rangers. Shortly he's coming back down to earth.

361
00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:05,680
But Bueler looks like one of those guys four point

362
00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:07,920
zero ERA in twenty twenty two. He missed all of

363
00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:10,680
twenty twenty three, and he has not been the same

364
00:17:10,839 --> 00:17:13,519
five point four ERA last year one and six record

365
00:17:13,920 --> 00:17:16,079
six point three this year. As I mentioned, nine point

366
00:17:16,079 --> 00:17:18,920
three in his last seven starts. The only reason he's

367
00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:20,519
still in the rotation. He's still in the league is

368
00:17:20,519 --> 00:17:22,960
because he's a veteran, and I just these guys hang

369
00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:24,400
on a little bit too long. There's always one or

370
00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:26,839
two guys a year that shouldn't be pitching anymore, and

371
00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:30,039
it sure looks like Buehler's that guy. He was okay

372
00:17:30,079 --> 00:17:32,519
in his last start against the Nationals, who'd been ice cold.

373
00:17:32,519 --> 00:17:34,440
By the way, he gave up only two earned runs

374
00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:36,119
in five innings. You know it's bad when you're saying,

375
00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:38,519
give it up eight hits and two runs three or

376
00:17:38,759 --> 00:17:41,079
three runs two earned in five innings is a good start.

377
00:17:41,079 --> 00:17:43,759
But that puts an in perspective. I don't think anything

378
00:17:43,799 --> 00:17:45,680
has been fixed. And while the race have cooled off

379
00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:48,000
a bit, keep in mind for about a month's span

380
00:17:48,119 --> 00:17:49,799
there in mid May to mid June, they were the

381
00:17:49,839 --> 00:17:52,319
best team in baseball, number one in all offensive categories,

382
00:17:52,319 --> 00:17:55,119
even number one in a lot of pitching categories. They're

383
00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:57,480
two and two their last four, three and four their

384
00:17:57,559 --> 00:18:00,680
last seven. Red Sox have won six straight, eight of

385
00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,200
the last nine, and that's what kept us off the

386
00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:05,440
car tonight is I don't like to fade hot teams,

387
00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:08,319
but once again, I want nothing to do with Buehler,

388
00:18:09,079 --> 00:18:11,119
so I would lean raising this one at a slight

389
00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:13,799
dog price, but the best play is probably the over

390
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:17,640
nine minus one twenty raised team total over would make

391
00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:19,400
sense as well. Buehler is good to give up a

392
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:21,920
handful of runs, and I think both teams get over

393
00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:22,839
nine tonight.

394
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:27,960
Speaker 2: Nine times nine times nine.

395
00:18:28,079 --> 00:18:31,119
Speaker 6: So his era is nine point three his last seven starts,

396
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,119
and the total is only nine on the game. I mean,

397
00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:34,559
so the math works.

398
00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:39,039
Speaker 2: Ferris Bueller's day off, the MVP of the show so far,

399
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:40,920
get multiple shoutouts in the same game.

400
00:18:41,319 --> 00:18:44,519
Speaker 6: I've done that for years. I just I can't resist Buehler.

401
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:46,720
I mean, when anybody grew up in our era, Andy,

402
00:18:46,759 --> 00:18:48,440
and you hear the word Bueller, that's the first thing

403
00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:48,880
you think.

404
00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:53,000
Speaker 2: Absolutely all right, Joey Chessutt you saying bolt the floor

405
00:18:53,079 --> 00:18:53,400
is yours.

406
00:18:53,440 --> 00:18:54,279
Speaker 3: I can't wait for this.

407
00:18:55,039 --> 00:18:57,799
Speaker 6: So last week my life tip was go to the gym,

408
00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:00,000
meet people, and I mentioned a retired friend of mine

409
00:19:00,039 --> 00:19:01,880
who was in the seventies gave me those baseball books.

410
00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:04,720
My CONTI got to hang out with the young kids too.

411
00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:06,440
You gotta have balance, right, So I hang out with

412
00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:10,000
the kids, I coach, I interact. It's sixteen year old

413
00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:13,599
local track superstar Lucas Henderson, who, by the way, this

414
00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:15,720
spring won the state title with his high school here.

415
00:19:15,799 --> 00:19:17,799
Jamestown High School also was part of the four by

416
00:19:17,799 --> 00:19:21,440
eight hundred school record, and he asked me my opinion

417
00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:23,000
on this the other day and I hadn't even heard

418
00:19:23,039 --> 00:19:25,039
about it. I thought he made it up. I'm like, man,

419
00:19:25,079 --> 00:19:26,519
you're brilliant. I'm gonna give you a shout out on

420
00:19:26,559 --> 00:19:28,279
wait youer talk today, because that's what kids live for,

421
00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:30,400
as you know. But he told me this is actually

422
00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:32,359
a social media thing. And I did google it about

423
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,519
ten minutes ago. It is all over the internet. So surprise, Andy,

424
00:19:35,559 --> 00:19:37,480
you haven't heard about it. I hadn't heard about it.

425
00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,599
It's Joey Chestnut versus Usain Bolt. And here's the deal.

426
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:43,440
It's a one hundred meter race. Who would you take?

427
00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:47,079
Obviously Joey Chestnut because here's the catch. They each have

428
00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:49,039
to eat a full hot dog before they run the

429
00:19:49,039 --> 00:19:51,920
one hundred meters. Chestnut can eat a hot dog in

430
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:54,759
about three to four seconds, believe it or not. I

431
00:19:54,759 --> 00:19:57,079
don't know what Bol can do. I've been told an

432
00:19:57,119 --> 00:20:00,279
average person and needed twenty to thirty seconds. I think

433
00:20:00,319 --> 00:20:02,759
Chestnut could half walk that one hundred meter race and win.

434
00:20:02,839 --> 00:20:04,519
So it's not even debatable. So here's what I'm going

435
00:20:04,559 --> 00:20:07,319
to propose, Andy, I'm bringing another element to this. What

436
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,240
is the over under. Were you saying Bolt would beat

437
00:20:10,319 --> 00:20:12,640
Joey Chestnut after they each had to eat a hot

438
00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:16,400
dog maybe a two hundred meter I think Bolt can

439
00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:20,680
run that in like nineteen seconds. Chestnut is about eighteen

440
00:20:20,759 --> 00:20:23,480
second one hundred, maybe a fifteen to eighteen second one hundred,

441
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:26,319
So he's at like twenty one seconds, maybe a forty

442
00:20:26,319 --> 00:20:29,279
second two hundred with the hot dog in him. I

443
00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:31,319
make the over under a two hundred and twenty meters,

444
00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:32,839
Andy Lang, what is your hot take?

445
00:20:34,519 --> 00:20:37,680
Speaker 2: I would I would take you saying Bolt in that one.

446
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:40,480
I don't think people realize how fast you seeing Bolt

447
00:20:40,599 --> 00:20:43,400
can run compared to an average person. And I'm just

448
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,519
gonna go out on a lemon, say, Joey Chestnut is

449
00:20:45,559 --> 00:20:47,359
not that fast.

450
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:50,680
Speaker 6: He's in shape, though I know he's probably for.

451
00:20:50,599 --> 00:20:51,559
Speaker 3: Eating hot dogs.

452
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,960
Speaker 2: It is a little different than running.

453
00:20:55,039 --> 00:20:57,680
Speaker 6: Now, they got to kick the hot dog down, Andy,

454
00:20:57,720 --> 00:20:59,240
they got to keep the hot They can't have a run.

455
00:20:59,279 --> 00:21:02,480
Oh well, that's my stipulation. I didn't read that anywhere.

456
00:21:02,519 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 2: But okay, I still think you say Bolt could practice

457
00:21:05,279 --> 00:21:07,480
eating a little bit and then get better. Give me,

458
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:11,680
give me, give me the professional runner in any competition

459
00:21:11,759 --> 00:21:12,960
that involves.

460
00:21:12,599 --> 00:21:14,400
Speaker 6: A right what distance are you making the overrun? I

461
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:16,720
think Chestnut in the one hundred wins easy. I think

462
00:21:16,759 --> 00:21:18,119
he can rest that one hundred.

463
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,799
Speaker 2: It's too short of a distance, correct, Yeah, two hundred

464
00:21:21,279 --> 00:21:22,279
give me you Satan Bolt.

465
00:21:22,279 --> 00:21:22,599
Speaker 8: All right?

466
00:21:22,839 --> 00:21:25,440
Speaker 6: Hey viewers time in below in the comments right, what

467
00:21:25,599 --> 00:21:27,759
is your over under? Andy is saying he's taking you

468
00:21:27,839 --> 00:21:31,200
Saint Bolt at two hundred. I'm making it two twenty.

469
00:21:31,319 --> 00:21:33,359
I think two hundred's a really close number. That might

470
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,599
be that fifty to fifty number. Hopefully we'll see this happen.

471
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:38,880
Dave Mason set odds on. It is Dave coming on.

472
00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:40,839
I went odds from bed online from Dave Mason.

473
00:21:41,519 --> 00:21:44,039
Speaker 2: Oh, he'll set lines for just about anything we go.

474
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:47,279
We could get that. If they actually go through with this,

475
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:50,200
then yes, one hundred percent, Yes, there will be lines

476
00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:51,599
on this one for sure.

477
00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:54,640
Speaker 6: So I did, I did google here, and I then

478
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:56,559
read this. I'm reading this live on the way to

479
00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:59,880
Talk Today USA Today article, Andy Lang. It says Joey

480
00:22:00,079 --> 00:22:03,000
Chestnut responds to you, saying, ball, that's how big this is.

481
00:22:03,039 --> 00:22:04,559
I knew nothing about it. I got to hang with

482
00:22:04,599 --> 00:22:06,799
the kids more. It says, of course I do a

483
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:08,880
chest and I told us say today's sports and now

484
00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:11,920
it's half there. Just like you know, we got Klay

485
00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:13,960
Travis would take on what's her name.

486
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:20,559
Speaker 2: There's the there's the angelries, there's the angel the one

487
00:22:20,599 --> 00:22:22,880
gorilla versus the hundred men, like that was.

488
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:24,160
Speaker 3: Every every few weeks.

489
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:27,559
Speaker 6: There's they mentioned that. My friend Lucas mentioned that right

490
00:22:27,599 --> 00:22:29,599
after we talked about this. He told me the gorilla thing,

491
00:22:29,599 --> 00:22:31,839
and I go, one hundred man would crush a gorilla.

492
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:35,119
Maybe ten or twenty wouldn't, but they'd have to work together.

493
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:37,279
The problem is nobody wants to be that that that

494
00:22:37,279 --> 00:22:40,920
that sacrificial lamb to the gorilla. That is really funny

495
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:42,480
because that's the challenges.

496
00:22:42,839 --> 00:22:45,160
Speaker 2: There'll be more than one sacrificial.

497
00:22:46,319 --> 00:22:46,799
Speaker 4: Gorilla.

498
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:48,759
Speaker 8: Gorilla.

499
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:54,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm many humans could he go through? All right, Steve,

500
00:22:54,799 --> 00:22:56,279
what do you have about for clients over a wage?

501
00:22:56,319 --> 00:22:59,079
Speaker 6: You talk got Baseball best Bets just gave you a

502
00:22:59,079 --> 00:23:01,519
free play here. I got two strong best bets tonight

503
00:23:01,519 --> 00:23:03,960
at wager Talk also a bonus free play. We post

504
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:06,079
a free play. It's always my last cut from the

505
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:08,319
best bet card, so it's a strong opinion. And don't

506
00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:10,000
forget about the free videos as well. I'm going to

507
00:23:10,039 --> 00:23:12,480
do a double video as well after this for some

508
00:23:12,519 --> 00:23:15,279
more games this evening in Major League Baseball. So check

509
00:23:15,279 --> 00:23:17,880
out two more free play videos two best bets on

510
00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:20,359
my plage a bonus free play who Lots of Stuff

511
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:23,759
tonight on Thursday, Steve Merrill, wager Talk dot Com. Get

512
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there quicker with shortcut WT dot Buzz slash sm and

513
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while you're there, check out the rest of baseball from

514
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now through the World Series for less than three and

515
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a half dollars a day. This special offer is available

516
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for the next week through the All Star break, but

517
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518
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you get for free with the rest of the baseball season.

519
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No promo code, need it. Steve Merrill, wager Talk dot Com.

520
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Speaker 2: Steve Merrill, always bring the heat.

521
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,160
Speaker 3: Thank you so much. That was great and hot secs.

522
00:23:49,599 --> 00:23:51,200
Great segue Steve.

523
00:23:51,559 --> 00:23:54,480
Speaker 2: All right, one more mentioned guys, after the show is over,

524
00:23:55,279 --> 00:23:58,200
post your wager Talk username in the comments section, not

525
00:23:58,279 --> 00:24:01,079
in live chat, in the comments action right after the show,

526
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,200
use your name, what's your best bet, and we're gonna

527
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:06,799
pick some lucky winners to get three days of flex pass.

528
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,599
Try out some new handicappers for the rest of you

529
00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:12,079
if you want. If if you haven't joined to wager Talk,

530
00:24:12,319 --> 00:24:15,000
please do an experiment with that three day flex pass

531
00:24:15,039 --> 00:24:15,480
for only.

532
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Speaker 3: Forty nine dollars. It's the current special running right now.

533
00:24:17,799 --> 00:24:21,119
Speaker 2: And if you haven't subscribed to the YouTube channel, we're

534
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:24,720
like eight hundred people away from two hundred and ten

535
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:28,920
thousand subscribers. So just a token of your appreciation, please

536
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:30,599
subscribe to the channel. If you have it, make sure

537
00:24:30,599 --> 00:24:32,920
you hit the like button on this show today and

538
00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:36,359
we're gonna bring in Nick Parsons. We're gonna talk our CFL.

539
00:24:36,799 --> 00:24:39,480
We get our CFL Fix of the week from Nick.

540
00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:40,079
Speaker 3: Nick.

541
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:43,880
Speaker 2: Believe it the easy cash on your play last week

542
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:47,160
that was that was no sweat, So I also got

543
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:48,000
to congratulate you.

544
00:24:48,039 --> 00:24:51,359
Speaker 3: That is the best jacket we've had on this week.

545
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:52,000
Teddy brought it.

546
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:54,680
Speaker 2: Ted Teddy always brings the heat with jacket. But I

547
00:24:54,759 --> 00:24:57,680
love that jacket. That is my favorite jacket you have.

548
00:24:57,759 --> 00:25:00,240
So talk to us a little about CFL. This is

549
00:25:00,279 --> 00:25:01,880
a really good game we got going on here. I

550
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,119
believe it's the top two teams in the West. So

551
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:05,960
break down this game for us and tell us who

552
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:07,519
you like exactly.

553
00:25:07,559 --> 00:25:11,319
Speaker 9: So, yeah, last week it was on Calgary and so

554
00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:15,319
that was a rocking chair victory at home. Quarterback Vernon

555
00:25:15,319 --> 00:25:18,720
Adams Junior finally broke out, had a big game. And

556
00:25:18,799 --> 00:25:22,160
so now Calgary's on the road this week, they're in Saskatchewan.

557
00:25:22,319 --> 00:25:24,640
They only have three games this week in the CFL.

558
00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:26,960
So this is actually a look ahead play. It's not tonight,

559
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:30,000
it's for Friday Night. But yeah, I think it improved

560
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:33,279
Vernon Adams Junior and a tough Calgary defense, they have

561
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:37,119
much more than just a puncher's chance in Saskatchewan on

562
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:37,720
Friday Night.

563
00:25:37,759 --> 00:25:38,119
Speaker 1: Andy.

564
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:41,319
Speaker 9: Now the Riders, they're four to oh straight up and

565
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:44,480
against the spread. The last time out, they beat the

566
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:46,599
BC Lions at home by a score of thirty seven

567
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:50,119
to eighteen. It was back up Jake Meyer who was

568
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:55,279
under center for that one. Quarterback Trevor starter Trevor Harris,

569
00:25:55,559 --> 00:25:58,079
he was out due to a minor injury suffered in

570
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:02,279
a win over Toronto and the previous game. But now

571
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:05,480
Saskatchewan it has a target on its back moving forward.

572
00:26:06,079 --> 00:26:09,480
It's the only unbeaten team so far in the CFL

573
00:26:09,599 --> 00:26:13,319
after the Stamps beat the Blue Bombers last weekend. But yeah,

574
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,440
Vernon Adams Junior, he was great, but it was the

575
00:26:15,519 --> 00:26:18,160
defense that stole the show last week. It didn't give

576
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:20,359
up a touchdown until the final two to twenty eight

577
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:24,519
remaining in the game, and the stam Peters have interestingly

578
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:29,799
only allowed forty points so far over the first, second, second,

579
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:34,519
and third quarters. One other situational factor which I think

580
00:26:34,599 --> 00:26:38,279
is helping Calgary here is that Saskatchewan is coming out

581
00:26:38,319 --> 00:26:40,200
of its bye week, so it's been almost three weeks

582
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,759
since Harris has been under center, and so I think

583
00:26:42,759 --> 00:26:46,920
the advantage goes to Vernon Adams Junior and the stam Peters.

584
00:26:47,839 --> 00:26:52,480
They're coming off their most complete game. Their offense is healthy,

585
00:26:52,759 --> 00:26:55,599
and their defense is looking great, and so you know what,

586
00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:58,720
I think an outright upset could possibly be in the

587
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:01,279
cards here, but official play will be to grab as

588
00:27:01,319 --> 00:27:02,400
many points as you can.

589
00:27:03,559 --> 00:27:04,720
Speaker 3: I love that. I love that.

590
00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:07,559
Speaker 2: And tell us what you have going on at sports Memo.

591
00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:09,160
I know we got a lot of cool things. We're

592
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:12,240
going to cash on the Calgary Stampeders plus five and

593
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:14,480
tell everyone about Sports Memo.

594
00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:17,160
Speaker 9: Yeah, Sports Memo, So that's where you guys can find me.

595
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:20,039
I've been doing extremely well. I'm leading all sports right

596
00:27:20,039 --> 00:27:23,039
now over the last thirty days, I'm nineteen and six

597
00:27:23,079 --> 00:27:25,920
with my WNBA picks, I'm nine and five overall in

598
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:29,079
the CFL. I do have a few different packages up

599
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:31,759
and guys, yeah, when you're over at Sports Memo, definitely

600
00:27:31,799 --> 00:27:33,799
check out some of the specials over there. It's changed

601
00:27:33,799 --> 00:27:37,000
a lot, the leaderboards. It's so competitive right now. But

602
00:27:37,279 --> 00:27:39,759
some of the different specials they brought over, the flex

603
00:27:39,839 --> 00:27:43,480
picks over from Wager Talk also to Sports Memo, same

604
00:27:43,559 --> 00:27:46,200
deal everything that Andy was just talking about there, but

605
00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:49,640
just applied to the Sports Memo handicappers. We also have

606
00:27:50,079 --> 00:27:54,920
five dollars Wednesdays where every kapper releases one five dollars pick,

607
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:58,400
and so they there's always lots of four and five

608
00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:01,279
percent picks because they know lots of people will be

609
00:28:01,319 --> 00:28:04,279
coming to check out all of those plays. And then

610
00:28:04,319 --> 00:28:07,720
also fifty off Fridays, same thing as the Wednesday, every

611
00:28:07,759 --> 00:28:10,359
kaper releases one package.

612
00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:15,319
Speaker 2: I love it, love it great segment, Nick, Love the jacket,

613
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:18,680
love the pick, love the specials, Love having you. Every Thursday,

614
00:28:18,839 --> 00:28:22,119
Nick Parsons over at Sports Memo giving out really really

615
00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:25,359
good CFL plays here every week. All right, let's talk

616
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:32,000
to Dave Mason from ben Online dot ag uh Dave. Uh,

617
00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:35,119
last week you had just gotten back for vacation and

618
00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:37,000
we're pretty lost. I hope you got your feet on

619
00:28:37,039 --> 00:28:41,400
the ground and you're you're you're you're back in the

620
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:42,839
swing of things from your cubicle.

621
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:45,279
Speaker 7: Correct, Yeah, I am.

622
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:49,000
Speaker 8: I mean it's it's slow here, right, it's it's uh yeah,

623
00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:51,559
the slow season, you know, with digging.

624
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:55,880
Speaker 7: And I just heard your previous guests tell in CFL.

625
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 8: So I clicked on there and see what was going on.

626
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,799
Ony much attention to CFL at kind of why casually,

627
00:29:01,279 --> 00:29:03,960
but uh, but let's check it on, see what's going

628
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:08,880
on there. So so yeah, this quote unquote slow season,

629
00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:12,359
but there was always something to watch and bet on.

630
00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:12,680
Speaker 7: Though.

631
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:16,240
Speaker 2: I am in play with you guys right now on

632
00:29:16,319 --> 00:29:17,480
a cricket play.

633
00:29:17,599 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 3: So there you go, let's go cricket.

634
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:23,519
Speaker 2: All right, it is slow season. But uh, what's been

635
00:29:23,559 --> 00:29:26,559
the handle like on baseball today over the last week?

636
00:29:26,759 --> 00:29:29,440
Are people betting the usual favorites or have you seen

637
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:30,839
anything change?

638
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:33,319
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean handle's great.

639
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 8: Handle's always good on baseball, and it picks up, you know,

640
00:29:36,119 --> 00:29:41,160
I you know, definitely picks up in July as as

641
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:43,599
we're the second you know, the second half of the

642
00:29:43,599 --> 00:29:48,079
season approaches, and you know, the kind of basketball and

643
00:29:48,319 --> 00:29:50,640
NHL's out of the way, that's a lot of casual

644
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:52,079
you know, the serious guys are going to bet it,

645
00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:56,599
you know, from opening day until the World Series, but you.

646
00:29:56,559 --> 00:30:00,079
Speaker 7: Know, casual guys will a lot of them will.

647
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:04,440
Speaker 8: Put most of money on basketball indoor and the NHL playoffs,

648
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:07,480
and then once that is over, they'll put more of

649
00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:10,799
their money on baseball. So you do definitely get that

650
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:13,640
extra boost in the second half of June and July.

651
00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:19,119
But the action has been great. Last week was choppy,

652
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,200
you know, some good days and bad day.

653
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:23,440
Speaker 7: Favorites.

654
00:30:23,559 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 8: Favorites are always the way to go in baseball with

655
00:30:26,119 --> 00:30:34,319
the public. Yesterday it was interesting, Live was outstanding, and

656
00:30:34,359 --> 00:30:36,759
then pregame was a loser, So that.

657
00:30:36,759 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 7: Was an interesting little trend from yesterday.

658
00:30:40,039 --> 00:30:43,759
Speaker 8: What was bad yesterday, Red's was bad, Red Sox money

659
00:30:43,759 --> 00:30:45,480
line was bad, Phillies were bad.

660
00:30:46,039 --> 00:30:47,680
Speaker 7: Twins are really strong for us.

661
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:51,440
Speaker 8: So it's been choppy, but the volume is good.

662
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:57,319
Speaker 2: Have you betting anything these days?

663
00:30:57,359 --> 00:30:58,160
Speaker 7: Not as much.

664
00:30:58,359 --> 00:31:00,680
Speaker 8: You know, I'm more of a football guy, fight guy,

665
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:03,079
but I don't really like anything on this weekend's UFC

666
00:31:03,119 --> 00:31:06,960
card boxing match Tomorrow, something I like, I'm onna Serrano

667
00:31:07,559 --> 00:31:12,000
buy decision even money. You know this is this is

668
00:31:12,039 --> 00:31:14,960
their trilogy fight. She's lost to previous two and she's

669
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:19,599
still a minus two hundred favorite. First fight was put decision,

670
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:24,480
that second fight was on that horrible Jake Paul Tyson card.

671
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:29,519
I mean, this fight was awesome, the women's fight was awesome.

672
00:31:29,559 --> 00:31:32,920
The Jake Paul Tyson fight was a frigging joke as

673
00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:33,559
we remember.

674
00:31:34,039 --> 00:31:37,279
Speaker 7: But she, you know, I thought she won that fight.

675
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:43,319
Speaker 8: Taylor was accused of fighting dirty headbutts whatever. So I'm

676
00:31:43,359 --> 00:31:47,000
taking Serrano even money to go to win by decision.

677
00:31:47,039 --> 00:31:48,359
I don't want to lay the two to one. I

678
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:51,160
don't want to lay minus two hundred, and I think

679
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:54,480
that's a little off minus two hundred to win, but

680
00:31:54,599 --> 00:31:57,759
even money to win by decision, especially when you know

681
00:31:57,839 --> 00:32:00,559
they they've gone decision the previous two fights, and you

682
00:32:00,599 --> 00:32:02,759
know the women's fights usually do go to the decision,

683
00:32:02,839 --> 00:32:04,880
So I think those odds are off a little bit.

684
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:08,599
So Amanas Toronto be a decision even money.

685
00:32:10,519 --> 00:32:14,319
Speaker 2: Any liabilities for you this weekend boxing UFC anything. We

686
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:16,319
normally play beat Dave Mason, but it's kind of seems

687
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:16,960
seems slow.

688
00:32:17,039 --> 00:32:19,240
Speaker 3: This uh this time of year.

689
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:24,359
Speaker 8: Right, Well, first I'll give you some sharp UFC if

690
00:32:24,359 --> 00:32:25,079
that's all right.

691
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 7: Let's see what have we got here.

692
00:32:28,480 --> 00:32:32,000
Speaker 8: We have a'sult sorts of sharp and TEX share of

693
00:32:32,079 --> 00:32:34,960
minus two to sixty. You're better top of minus one sixty,

694
00:32:35,079 --> 00:32:38,720
Cht minus one thirty five, Griffin over two and a

695
00:32:38,759 --> 00:32:42,519
half minus two twenty five what is that? Davis under

696
00:32:42,559 --> 00:32:45,720
two and a half minus one fifty client under two

697
00:32:45,759 --> 00:32:52,000
and a half plus money. As far as exposures on UFC,

698
00:32:52,599 --> 00:32:57,039
let's see the biggest ones right now, nothing too big yet.

699
00:32:57,039 --> 00:32:58,000
Speaker 7: The biggest ones right.

700
00:32:57,920 --> 00:33:01,759
Speaker 8: Now, Melissa Martinez eighth to one, they're just lottery tickets, right.

701
00:33:04,319 --> 00:33:10,079
Speaker 7: What else here? Gd I mentioned before minus one sixty.

702
00:33:11,319 --> 00:33:16,279
Speaker 8: Gabriel bond firm, don fun minus four twenty five right now.

703
00:33:16,519 --> 00:33:19,039
Speaker 7: Majority actions yet to come in, so we'll see.

704
00:33:19,119 --> 00:33:22,240
Speaker 8: I think by fight time we'll be have a big,

705
00:33:22,839 --> 00:33:27,000
big liability on Derrek Lewis. Right now it's kind of choppy,

706
00:33:27,079 --> 00:33:30,599
but people that public will be taking him up plus

707
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:32,680
two to twenty five come come fight day.

708
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I saw that line has come down quite a bit,

709
00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:37,400
even just from from yesterday.

710
00:33:37,359 --> 00:33:40,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, Dantro, what's to know from you?

711
00:33:40,759 --> 00:33:43,440
Speaker 2: Any baseball sharp info for today that you can share

712
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:43,799
with us.

713
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Speaker 8: Yeah, there's a ton and that's it's very dog centric.

714
00:33:47,519 --> 00:33:50,720
Marlins plus one sixty four Yankees plus one or two

715
00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:55,920
Red Sox, evens Angels plus one o one Orioles plus

716
00:33:55,920 --> 00:34:00,480
one thirty four Twins plus one twenty one them one

717
00:34:00,599 --> 00:34:05,079
Chalk Braise minus one forty one Love it, Love.

718
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:07,920
Speaker 2: It, Dave Bason, tell everyone about bet online and tell

719
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:09,159
everyone where we can find you at.

720
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:14,320
Speaker 8: Yeah, sir, at Dave Mason bol that's my Twitter address,

721
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:18,400
and then come on bet online dot ag while we're

722
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:21,639
getting ready for football. Of course, baseball is the main event.

723
00:34:22,079 --> 00:34:24,639
We still have dimelines. A lot of books have gotten

724
00:34:24,679 --> 00:34:27,360
rid of them. We still have MLB dimeline, so we

725
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have some of the best prices and our odds hit

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727
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so great value on our MLB offering.

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Speaker 3: Love it, Love it and they take cricket bets if

729
00:34:41,039 --> 00:34:41,480
you like me.

730
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:44,440
Speaker 2: So thanks Dave, appreciate it.

731
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 3: Can't wait to see you again next week. Have a

732
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:47,920
great weekend, sir, Thank you.

733
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:48,480
Speaker 7: Take care.

734
00:34:50,199 --> 00:34:51,079
Speaker 3: All right, guys, we're.

735
00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:52,760
Speaker 2: Going to bring in Kyle Anthony. We're gonna get our

736
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:55,480
UFC fix in. So, I know we had a couple

737
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:58,320
of questions MMA locker room ANI UFC talk. Of course

738
00:34:58,360 --> 00:35:01,719
there's UFC talk. We got a fight card coming up

739
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:05,280
this weekend. So Kyle, I thoroughly enjoyed the week off.

740
00:35:05,639 --> 00:35:09,320
I gotta be honest, I baoughly enjoyed no UFC. But

741
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:11,639
we're back at it. I know you got a couple

742
00:35:11,679 --> 00:35:14,239
fights to break down. Let's just get right into it

743
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:16,760
and start with the main event. We got Derek Lewis

744
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,880
and we got talison to share. Ah, what's your breakdown

745
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:20,519
on the main event.

746
00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:25,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, so this one here, you've got talison to share here.

747
00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:28,039
And yeah, he's got that shiny record. He's eight and zero.

748
00:35:28,480 --> 00:35:31,679
All of his wins come in that first round, seven knockouts,

749
00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:35,079
one submission, and he has done, you know, a fantastic

750
00:35:35,159 --> 00:35:37,719
job going out there getting those early finishes. He comes

751
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:41,800
to the UFC UFC debut knocked out Justin Taffa in

752
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:44,559
you know, a thirty five seconds. So a great showing

753
00:35:44,559 --> 00:35:46,880
from him there, and he does have you know, a

754
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:48,559
lot of the metrics are going to go his way.

755
00:35:48,639 --> 00:35:50,559
Like some people were talking about the show today, you know,

756
00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:52,840
you've got he's gonna have a five inch height advantage,

757
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:57,519
a four inchre each advantage, fifteen years younger than Derek Lewis,

758
00:35:57,519 --> 00:35:59,000
So a lot of that does go for it. But

759
00:35:59,039 --> 00:36:00,559
the first thing that I think you to look at

760
00:36:00,559 --> 00:36:02,639
here is the strength of schedule. And I understand that

761
00:36:02,679 --> 00:36:04,840
you got to fight who you're you know, who you're

762
00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:07,199
facing and who they're booking you at. You know, you've

763
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:09,639
got a guy in Talson who's twenty five years old

764
00:36:09,679 --> 00:36:13,519
obviously hasn't had the opportunity to face these kind of guys.

765
00:36:13,519 --> 00:36:15,239
But this feels like a little bit like a too

766
00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:19,039
much too soon for Talison here where he hasn't really

767
00:36:19,039 --> 00:36:22,400
fought anybody. You've got Derek Lewis, who has fought the

768
00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:25,239
elite of the elite throughout his career. Although he's forty

769
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:28,400
years old in the heavyweight division. That's not like ancient,

770
00:36:28,519 --> 00:36:31,239
that's not like I mean, he's definitely towards the tail

771
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:33,400
end of his career, but it's not ancient. And you know,

772
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:37,320
we spoke guys like you know, Sergey Pavlovich, Cyril Gone,

773
00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:40,199
Jayaltonnell made it a DC back in the day. I mean,

774
00:36:40,239 --> 00:36:43,480
obviously elite level guys and That's the one thing that

775
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:45,320
you got to look at this here is that that's

776
00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:47,280
part of it here where who they have faced, the

777
00:36:47,360 --> 00:36:50,880
experience level. Talson's had eight fights in his career, Lewis

778
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:53,920
has had forty and at the highest level. And then

779
00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:56,360
also the big thing here, and this is something that

780
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:58,360
I look at when there's heavyweight fights going on, and

781
00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:01,239
especially guys who're banger who are gonna throw, big heavy

782
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:04,000
shots who are just gonna stand and brawl, is the variant.

783
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:07,360
I mean, you're talking to heavyweight heavyweights who are both

784
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:10,760
knockout artists. It's not gonna take much for either one

785
00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:12,960
to win this fight. It just really isn't. That's why

786
00:37:13,199 --> 00:37:14,960
you know that the total is where it is and

787
00:37:15,519 --> 00:37:18,239
everyone's expecting knockout and this is a huge part of it.

788
00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:20,199
But both these guys are gonna brawl. Both these guys

789
00:37:20,199 --> 00:37:23,320
are gonna move forward, only it's gonna take one. They're

790
00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:25,480
both gonna just move forward and throw. And I think

791
00:37:25,519 --> 00:37:27,840
that's a huge problem here when you're gonna be laying

792
00:37:28,119 --> 00:37:30,480
you know, you know, minus three hundred on a guy

793
00:37:30,519 --> 00:37:32,800
that has not really fought anybody. Plus the fact that

794
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:35,320
I think a big bread flag on the talisan side.

795
00:37:35,360 --> 00:37:37,480
If he's hittable, even though he has knocked out some

796
00:37:37,559 --> 00:37:40,480
of these guys, all of them early, he's hittable. He

797
00:37:40,519 --> 00:37:43,239
has been hit. He's very you know, you know, defensively

798
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:45,760
not aware, he has tunnel vision at times, or he

799
00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:48,880
comes forward and he's just throwing shots and guys with

800
00:37:49,400 --> 00:37:52,519
much less power than Derek Lewis have landed on him.

801
00:37:52,559 --> 00:37:54,400
And yes, he's been able to keep moving forward and

802
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:56,360
throw shots, but he's not gonna be able to do

803
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:59,119
that against Derek Lewis, who is the UFC you know,

804
00:37:59,199 --> 00:38:01,639
knockout king. So I think there is something to be

805
00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:04,039
said about that overall. But I do think that the

806
00:38:04,119 --> 00:38:08,199
last part that I think is possibly, you know, maybe

807
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:09,960
an angle here for Lewis is we've seen him go

808
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:12,239
for takedowns, you know, we've seen him take down you know,

809
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,400
Ty toe Vos. Even his last plight, he got a

810
00:38:14,440 --> 00:38:17,199
take down. There are opportunities for him. I think that

811
00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:20,039
is something that may he may look to do here.

812
00:38:20,079 --> 00:38:22,360
He's got vicious ground and pound and if he wants

813
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:24,519
to mix it up and go against the guy that

814
00:38:24,559 --> 00:38:28,079
has really no experience and really force him into uncomfortable positions,

815
00:38:28,199 --> 00:38:30,320
I think that's what Derek Lewis needs to do here,

816
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:32,480
and I just don't like this price at all. I

817
00:38:32,519 --> 00:38:35,239
think that Tylison has a future in the UFC. I

818
00:38:35,239 --> 00:38:37,079
think that you he's gonna grow and over the next

819
00:38:37,119 --> 00:38:39,800
couple of years get much better. But I think fighting,

820
00:38:40,079 --> 00:38:43,480
you know, Contender series guys to Justin Taffan now fighting

821
00:38:43,519 --> 00:38:45,480
Derek Lewis, it's a good you know, it's it's a

822
00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:47,920
good matchup because they're both gonna brawl. But I think

823
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:50,239
that this is Derek Lewis here in this spot, especially

824
00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:51,360
at this plus money number.

825
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:56,199
Speaker 2: Kylee Anthony, Now, we got to talk Chris Curtis and

826
00:38:56,440 --> 00:39:00,320
Max Griffin. I don't know, we'll soon be kind of

827
00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:04,000
falling off from Max Griffin here. You can't get submitted

828
00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:06,639
by Michael Jason the third round and expect me to

829
00:39:06,679 --> 00:39:10,159
want to bet on you against a striker who's got really,

830
00:39:10,159 --> 00:39:13,280
really good takedown defense. What's your breakdown on Curtis and

831
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:13,960
Griffin here?

832
00:39:14,880 --> 00:39:18,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, So you've got Chris Curtis here, he's a minus

833
00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:20,440
three ten on the compan You've got Max Griffin, he's

834
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:23,639
plus two fifty. Now, this is the first time that

835
00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:26,719
Chris Curtis has moved down to one seventy and over

836
00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:29,920
six years now he had fought at one point seventy

837
00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:32,039
when he was outside the UFC. He came to the

838
00:39:32,119 --> 00:39:35,239
UFC short notice fight, he moved up a weight class,

839
00:39:35,239 --> 00:39:37,000
and then he kind of just stayed at that weight class.

840
00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:39,000
He was fine doing it, he was okay with it,

841
00:39:39,039 --> 00:39:41,000
he was fine in victories, and I guess I'm sure

842
00:39:41,039 --> 00:39:43,360
it was more comfortable for him when talking about the

843
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:45,559
weightcut and those kinds of things. But one of the

844
00:39:45,599 --> 00:39:48,840
biggest weapons here for Chris Curtis is his volume. This

845
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,199
guy is a volume machine. He's going to push out

846
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:54,679
a very very high paced He's got fantastic boxing. He

847
00:39:54,760 --> 00:39:57,639
mixes it up very well, good counters. He also has

848
00:39:57,719 --> 00:40:00,000
really nice footwork, working in and out of the pocket

849
00:40:00,159 --> 00:40:02,159
very well. And I do think that this is a

850
00:40:02,199 --> 00:40:04,599
situation where it's going to be a volume game here.

851
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:08,559
And you look at Max Griffin, he is the complete opposite,

852
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:11,280
especially now you know he's thirty nine. You've got Chris

853
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:13,760
Curtis who's thirty seven. But you know, Griffin is just

854
00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:16,760
a guy who just doesn't push really any volume. Matt

855
00:40:16,800 --> 00:40:19,280
He'll come forward, he'll pressure a little bit he'll be

856
00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:22,239
defensively aware of but he just doesn't let his hands go.

857
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:24,320
And he's also a boxer as well too, so I

858
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:27,079
think it fits very well with what Chris Curtis does.

859
00:40:27,119 --> 00:40:29,719
But when you're looking at stats and you're looking at

860
00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:33,119
how these guys both really fight, I think it is

861
00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:35,880
very interesting that this really I think should go to

862
00:40:35,920 --> 00:40:38,920
the scorecards. Now you've got it where statistically you've got

863
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,960
over the last three fights, Max Griffin has landed ten

864
00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:45,679
significant strikes twenty six and thirty six, and those are

865
00:40:45,719 --> 00:40:49,559
all in three round fights. Very low, extremely low. Now

866
00:40:49,559 --> 00:40:52,159
you look at Chris Curtis over the last three fights,

867
00:40:52,199 --> 00:40:54,599
he's landed one hundred and forty, one hundred and forty

868
00:40:54,599 --> 00:40:56,679
two and one hundred and twenty four. Now one of

869
00:40:56,679 --> 00:40:59,159
them was a five round fight, but either way, in

870
00:40:59,199 --> 00:41:01,559
some of these three he'slanting one hundred and twenty four,

871
00:41:01,599 --> 00:41:04,280
one hundred and forty strikes. He's just going to volume

872
00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:07,039
out Max Griffin. Now where I'm going with the play

873
00:41:07,159 --> 00:41:08,840
is the fact that I do think again, this goes

874
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:11,360
to decision, and you look at Max Griffin, he is

875
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:14,519
a decision machine himself. Whether he wins or loses, he's

876
00:41:14,559 --> 00:41:18,800
a decision machine. Out of his last fifteen fights, twelve

877
00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:21,400
of them have gone through the decision. Now, out of

878
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:25,519
his twelve losses, nine have gone to the decision. So

879
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:27,599
this is really where I think that this is going

880
00:41:27,679 --> 00:41:29,280
to be a point fighting machine.

881
00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:29,480
Speaker 7: Here.

882
00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:32,320
Speaker 1: I think you're going to see Chris Curtis outlanding, working

883
00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:35,840
from the working at distance, working his boxing, and just

884
00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:37,760
really you're not going to have a lot where Griffin.

885
00:41:37,760 --> 00:41:39,960
I don't see Curtis putting him away. I think Griffin

886
00:41:40,000 --> 00:41:42,159
is tough enough to kind of withstand some of these things,

887
00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:44,920
take the shots and get to the scorecards. So you've

888
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:47,119
got it at sitting around a minus one ten for

889
00:41:47,199 --> 00:41:50,079
Curtis by points. I think it's a pretty strong number. Especially,

890
00:41:50,119 --> 00:41:51,679
I think it is a very likely outcome.

891
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:56,239
Speaker 2: All right, they're asking the chat is asking about the

892
00:41:56,280 --> 00:42:01,639
plants behind you, what strain? It's the plant.

893
00:42:02,199 --> 00:42:06,199
Speaker 1: Twit Eva and Indocome.

894
00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:12,199
Speaker 3: Don't mix them up. You'll take a nap you're not

895
00:42:12,320 --> 00:42:12,840
supposed to.

896
00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:16,400
Speaker 2: So all right, all serious, is Kyle, what do you

897
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:17,760
have up for everyone at wager talk?

898
00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:21,280
Speaker 1: So this weekend we have UFC Nashville. I've got a

899
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:23,719
four percent play up right now, gonna be adding to that.

900
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:26,880
Have about three plays right now. Like Andy said, we

901
00:42:26,880 --> 00:42:30,480
were off last week. We've got seven straight events coming up,

902
00:42:30,679 --> 00:42:33,119
some really good cards coming up as well, some nice

903
00:42:33,119 --> 00:42:34,920
pay per views. So we've got to lock in over

904
00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:38,440
these next two months and check all my plays out

905
00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:40,440
at wager talk dot com.

906
00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:43,639
Speaker 2: Awesome work, great breakdowns, KYLEI, Anthony, everyone got a four

907
00:42:43,639 --> 00:42:47,480
percent best bet going at UFC at Nashville. All right,

908
00:42:47,559 --> 00:42:49,440
jam Pack show, Thank you so much for joining us.

909
00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:51,480
We're getting ready to end the show, which means post

910
00:42:51,559 --> 00:42:54,239
your user your user name down in the comment section

911
00:42:54,320 --> 00:42:56,239
with your best bet. We're gonna pick free winners and

912
00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:59,119
has always hit the like button really helps the algorithm out.

913
00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:01,239
Speaker 3: And of course subscribe to the channel.

914
00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:04,360
Speaker 2: We're almost there to two hundred and ten thousand subscribers.

915
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:06,320
We couldn't do it without you. We're gonna get you

916
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:08,800
ready for the weekend tomorrow. So thanks everyone for watching,

917
00:43:08,840 --> 00:43:10,360
Good luck on your bets, and take care,