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Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Do Podcast. I'm your host,

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Corey Evans. This Speaks show is titled twenty twenty five

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Bust Candidates. Bust is a relative term in fantasy football.

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It could mean not meeting expectations on ADP, a bust

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in comparison to the previous season when it comes to

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baseline of expect production. Therefore a bit subjective. What it

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does not mean is bad player or immediate cell. It's

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all independent to market value in your dynasty league or leagues.

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Speaker 2: These could be.

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Speaker 1: Buys in a sense if people are down on them

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compared to their price tag. That being said, I am

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labeling them as bust candidates because I do not think,

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based on the current price to acquire or draft that

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they will live up or overachieve at that valuation. The

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opposite twenty twenty five Breakout Candidates will be this week's

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bonus episode over on Patreon, which you can also get

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all of my post draft rookie rankings back position in

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tiered form. Gain access to all of those member benefits

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on patreon dot com or download the mobile app. You'll

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find me as the Dynasty Dude or Corey Evans Direct

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links in my social media bios over on Dynasty, dupod

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via most platforms. First bust candidate A bit controversial. It's

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Bucky Irving again, not a bad player, a terrific running

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back who had a sensation Rokie season. It's all about

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what the cost is and if the expectations are a

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bit out of control, which I feel like we're approaching

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that territory with Bucky. He's twenty three this August, a

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two oh seven eleven twenty two to eight rushing effort,

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five point four yards per rush, forty seven receptions, three

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ninety two no scores, fifty two targets. As a fourth

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rounder out of Oregon last season, he exceeded expectations and

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is now arguably in RB one top eight to twelve

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in Dynasty. There are those that have BUCkies a top

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five running back in their rankings. For me, it's a

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bit far fetched and I will get to why. He

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was the PPR RB thirteen last season, so in a

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twelve team league, a high end RB two. Meanwhile, Rashad

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White ranked as the PPR RB twenty two barely in

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RB two with one hundred and forty four rushes and

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fifty one receptions compared to again BUCkies two hundred and

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seven rushes and forty seven receptions, so Bucky had farmer

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rushing volume and a few less catches than Rashad White. Essentially,

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Rashad White was the starter entering twenty twenty four, and

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then Bucky unseated Rashad You served him on Tampa Bay's

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depth chart in both usage and visible on field talent.

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There's some concern with Bucky or even Rashad White, that

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the roles could change without OC Liam Cohen, now the

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head coach in Jacksonville. Instead, we have new OC Josh Grizzard,

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who said that he quote won't try to reinvent the

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wheel end quote, as the Buccaneers plan to use a

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similar scheme to Cohen's, which makes sense in theory, but

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more often than not, ocs ten to use the same personnel,

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group beings or offensive packages. It doesn't always translate, though.

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One for one, It's also possible a lot of chat,

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especially when head coach Todd Bowles that Sean Tucker sees

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an expanded role Afterre's effective fifty three zero eight two

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rushing effort in twenty twenty four six point two yards

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per carry, adding nine for one O nine and a

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touchdown as a receiver. So the pecking order, at least

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on paper right now appears to be Bucky, Rashad Sean

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Tucker Tucker Bean the distant third who could potentially leap

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frog Rashad White if the per touch effectiveness keeps up

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from last season.

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Speaker 2: Not to mention Rashad White already.

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Speaker 1: Hinting to the fact that twenty twenty five could be

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his last season with the Buccaneers as a penny free

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agent in twenty twenty six, the volume concern is legitimate

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for Bucky sustaining the pace that he was on, a

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toward pace at that as Again, a Day three pick

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in twenty twenty four means that the odds are stacked

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against Irving to not only be an RB one again,

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but to live on that top five to twelve price

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tag depending on a redraft or dynasty format. More or less,

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I want Bucky Irvian's my RB two in a league,

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not my RB one. I feel more safe or a

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safety net, not relying on him as the anchor of

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my roster. So if you are uncomfortable Bucky like I am,

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in a certain way, not a lot, just a sense

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of a bust or regression occurring, then you can pivot

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off of him for another running back close to eightp

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that's fair, or a wide receiver for more longevity for

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roster construction purposes.

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Speaker 2: Bust candidate number two is Terry McLaurin. He turns thirty

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in September.

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Speaker 1: He aged quickly, was an older talent out Ohio State

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when he did enter the NFL this past season with

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Jayden Daniels eighty two ten ninety six, thirteen touchdowns, thirteen

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point four yards per catch, one hundred and seventeen targets

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as the PPR Wide Receivers seven, this is likely peak Terry.

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His ceiling has been reached or capped. His previous PPR

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annual finishes since joining the league in twenty nineteen have

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been wide receiver twenty nine, twenty twenty five, fourteen to

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twenty eight, so the outlier is undoubtedly wide receiver seven,

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with factors such as Jaden Daniels being a huge proponent

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of that success. McLaurin has not been present thus far

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at voluntary OTAs he enters a contract year, probably to

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stepping foots in the open market in twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 2: It doesn't sound like a whole out situation.

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Speaker 1: Allow James Cook, for example, because Washington GM Adam Peters

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has been vocal about its hopes, as in Washington's franchise,

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to give Terry a new deal this offseason. So at

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this time, with ot as being voluntary, not mandatory like

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training camp or the preseason, this is not a panic

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situation quite yet for those that roster Terry and Dynasty.

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I do expect mclaurin's to remain the clear wide out

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one for Washington. However, Deebo Samuel is sure to be

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a major factor contributor, while Luke McCaffrey could emerge year

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two fourth on rookie Jalen Lane already has plenty of

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buzz Michael Gallup signed.

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Speaker 2: They could all push for sizeable roles.

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Speaker 1: You still have Zach Ertz, the potential breakout of Ben Sinnett,

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Brian Robinson, Austin Eckler, even late round possible jem Jacory

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krossky Merritt making some noise in that backfield. Basically, it's

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hard to envision Terry McLaurin maintaining a thirteen touchdown pace

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on one hundred and seventeen targets from last season, even

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with Jaden Daniels. There's too many variables at stake here.

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Terry McLaurin is a screaming cell high in dynasty to

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a younger wide receiver by back five, six, seven years

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for younger talent for a team seeking that immediate tandem

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with jad and Daniels, banking out another top seven or

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so finish, even top ten to twelve, I think is

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not a lot for Terry McLaurin. Terry, like Bucky Irving,

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for me, is more of a wide receiver two as

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opposed to wide receiver one to build a roster in

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your league's Calvin Ridley another bust candidate, thirty one years

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old in December, He has aged quickly. Like Terry McLaurin,

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Ridley's career has been a different arc. Terry has been

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a model of consistency, whereas Calvin's had far more ups

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and downs.

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Speaker 2: With his suspension from betting on games. Last season, he

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was a.

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Speaker 1: PPR wide receiver twenty eight sixty four ten, seventeen, four touchdowns,

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fifteen point nine yards per reception. His prior PPR seasonal

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finishes since twenty eighteen have been wide receiver twenty two,

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twenty seven, five one oh two suspended and then eighteen,

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so a lot of volatility the wide receiver five finish

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being the peak in his value. Instead, Ridley is more

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of a rock solid wide receiver three with Spike week

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potential four wide receiver one wide receiver do production at

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the end of the day or into the season, We're

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looking at Kelvin Milly as more of a wide receiver

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two to three borderline talent. Cam Ward should be a

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significant upgrade over Will Levis or Mason Rudolph from twenty

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twenty four. However, crowing pains should be expected for cam

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mord even as a first overall pick out of Miami,

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which will directly impact the consistency of Ridley along with

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other Tennessee pass catchers like Tyler Lockett, Treylon Burk's Shamir

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dk l iow manor Van Jefferson Zebra Strap both makes

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a team. It sounds like head coach Brian Callahan admits

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or at least acknowledges, that the Titans offensive line is

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a glarian issue, so the team plans to scheme around

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those weaknesses. With the line calling plays, Reward can get

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the ball out of his hands quickly, screens, short intermediate routes.

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If true, really we have to change his game, rely

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more on his yards after the catch or in provision

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with the football in his hands as opposed to that

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usual downfield big playability. For example, last year, Calvin Ridley

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was targeted on screens a mere eight times. It's not

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his necessary skill set or where he thrives the most,

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but this is now an offense that has to adhere

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to what it has with the offensive line. All of that,

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baked together is why I'm more out than in on Ridley.

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There's a lot of hype and excitement surrounding his name

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in Donzee circles because of the presence of cam Ward.

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This is a time to strike buy back years, same

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theme as Terry McLaurin. While I don't expect really to

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necessarily emerge more than what he's been, that wide receiver

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five finish was in fact his likely highest point and value.

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If anyone in your league thinks that that is obtainable again,

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or a wide receiver one top twelve finish, this is

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your chance to sell a possible I'm a bus candidate.

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Quick break me back with two more bus candidates with

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twenty twenty five Before we get to that if you

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want a one to one roster call over on Google Meet,

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hit me up. We'll get that locked in and scheduled asap.

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Thirty bucks thirty minutes, fifty bucks one hour. We'll talk

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about all your team's rookie draft strategy, both pre and

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post draft, cutdowns, trades, player value, whatever you want within

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that thirty minute, one hour window. Send me an email

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to Dinasay do podgemail dot com, or send me DM

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on most social media platforms. That's at dinasy do pod

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quick Break. Be right back to finish up this week's show.

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The next bus candidate is Tucker Kraft twenty five in November.

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Let's look at as rookie and sophomore seasons. Rookie year

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thirty one three fifty five two scores, eleven and a

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half yards per catch, forty targets PPR tight end twenty

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nine not a lot of.

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Speaker 2: Involvement, but was effective.

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Speaker 1: Twenty twenty four sophomore he emerged fifty seven h seven,

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seven touchdowns, fourteen point one yards per catch, seventy targets

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as a PPR tight end one for fantasy the tight ten. Overall,

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he is a bet on efficiency over volume. The issue

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is the td dependency with seven scores on fifty catches

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and seventy targets with a now loaded Packers receiver room,

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Jayden Reed, Matthew Golden, Romeo Dobbs, Dontavion Wicks, Savian Williams,

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Christian Watson eventually mid season or the end stretch because

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of that Week eighteen acl taar last season. Now earlier

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in the offseason, Packers had coach Matt Leflair stated quote,

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if there's an area we got to do a better

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job on, I would say featuring the tight end end.

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Speaker 2: Quote.

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Speaker 1: That's great to hear. However, the quote came back in January.

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Since then, that's well before green Baper seeded to draft

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or spend a first round pick on wide receiver Matthew Golden.

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So we all hope that there's more expansion in Craft's

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usager workload from what we've seen, though a forty target

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seventy target season, does he max out at one hundred targets?

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Does that get him over the hump of being a

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back end tight end one.

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Speaker 2: To top five territory?

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Speaker 1: For me, that's hard to rely or forecast in because

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we haven't seen that level of usage and there's so

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many weapons, the volume that Josh Shape will see let

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alone the receiver cor Craft is an exceptional talent. The

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issue again is volume and capitalizing on efficiency per targets,

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let alone after the catch. If the touchdowns fall off

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yet Craft sees more catches will say sixty seventy range

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or yards approaching one thousand yards, that could offset or

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balance it. But touchdowns are keen in fantasy for all positions,

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especially receivers and tight ends, so a top five finish

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isn't out of the roma possibilities, but the expectation is

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already baked into Craft's cost in Dynasty, where he's reached

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that threshold at this point in Dynasty leads, if you

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don't have Brock Boers, Trey McBride, George Kittle, Samuelport at

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tight end, I am not going to overspend in the position.

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I would rather take on a veteran like Evan Ingram

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or Mark Andrews and not even hope for the best,

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but just barring health, no, they're going to perform, And

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I'm not spending what it might take to acquire Craft

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with a not get guaranteed breakout, which is why I

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think that Craft could be more bust than breakout. Based

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on his environment and supporting cast in Green Bay, it's

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not a lock that his volume increases substantially. And last,

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but not least, Tyreek Hill. He's thirty one. He went

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eighty one nine fifty nine six eleven point eight yards

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per catch with one hundred and twenty three targets. His

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past season as the PPR wide receiver eighteen. Ty You

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produced for context as the PPR Wide receiver two in

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twenty twenty two and wide receiver two in twenty twenty

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three at Miami. One down season is not spell the

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end for Tyreek. The issue is he had two left

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wrist surgeries this offseason. His right wrisk has also been

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a lingering issue, which was required a protective brace in

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regular season contests. Hill has not even started catching passes

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yet this offseason in OTAs He's expected to be close

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or at full strength by training camp around July ish

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or so. There's also the ongoing saga of Tyreek not

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being committed to Miami and wanting out with a trade.

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Hill is under contract with the teams till twenty twenty seven.

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There's quite a few red flags here which make me

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believe that prior to the start of this season could

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very well present the final time to cash out on

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Tyreek Kill at anything close to an elite price tag.

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His run of top tier production could be behind him

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after that dominant stretch of twenty twenty twenty twenty one

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KC and then twenty twenty two to twenty twenty three

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at Miami. Even so, perhaps most discouraging your concerning, which

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is not bringing brought up all that often, is some

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of Tyreek's underline speed metrics like separation yards per route,

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run talks per out RuMIS, do indicate a receiver's ability

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to get open and press manners zone coverage.

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Speaker 2: They plummeted in twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: That's often the first indication of a wide receivers a

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client in the NFL. Tyreek is now post thirty if

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the speed wears off, which he's still one of the

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fastest in the game, but even a slight decrease or

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marginal dip in that area could be a negative impact

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for a smaller stature wide out. Lastly, there's also been

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Tyreek saying he intends to retire soon.

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Speaker 2: There's so many ifs what ifs with.

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Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill that I simply don't want to deal with

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the possible negative consequences or being left with the sunk cost.

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There's plenty of market value for contenders in dinaty leagues

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that will be interested in Tyreek Kill.

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Speaker 2: So you have now June July August to sell.

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Speaker 1: If you're in the same belief as me that Tyreek

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carries more bust than breakout candidate status at this stage

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of his NFL tenure, that.

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Speaker 2: Will do it.

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Speaker 1: We all enjoyed this Weeaks show of my twenty twenty

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five bus candidates as a recap.

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Speaker 2: I'm not saying they're bad players.

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Speaker 1: I'm saying given the price the context of their situation,

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there's more downside than upside when you have to meet

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the required cost. Those five names were Bucky Irving, Terry McLaurin,

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Calvin Ridley, Tucker Craft, and Tyreek Kill.

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Speaker 2: Thanks for listening.

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Speaker 1: Be sure to check out my five breakout candidates on

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this week's Patrion episode for those that support my work

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on that platform. Until next time, this is the dynast

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you're checking out. Hope you all have a great rest

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a week and I will talk to you soon.

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Speaker 2: See you