Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Do Podcast. I'm your host,
Corey Evans. This week, in the spirit of Halloween, the
show is titled Trick or Treat. I have five players
that are either tricking us in value not sustainable for
the long run, or treating us in value. They've been
a solid ROI thus far, and I expect more the
same or even perhaps better in rest of season outlook
or usage.
Speaker 2: Let's get right to it up.
Speaker 1: First is Isaiah Davis, who I believe is a treat
in value so far in the season, seventeen rushes for
one oh nine in the ground six point four yards
per carry. Has added fourteen receptions for one hundred and
seventeen scoreless yards across nineteen targets. He delivered his best
game of the season in Week eight at Cincinnati, but
also coincided with Breeze Hall's best output to date. The
production for ISAA Davis was seven tots sixty five yards
to the ground and five catches for forty four yards
five targets, including a fifty yard rush that truly elevated
his overall performance. Keep in mind that Bresaw is a
trade deadline candidate. There's been so much in that rumor mill.
The deadline this year is November fourth, not to mention
Briest being a penning free agent in twenty twenty six,
meaning Isaiah Davis the time to buy is now. I've
hyped him up in the past multiple times across the
past year or so when he's been a rookie to
now sophomore. I'm simply a fan of Isaia Davis when
he brings it to table as a well rounded rushing
and receiving running back. No matter what, Davis should benefit
from negative game script rest of season on the Jets,
regardless of Bresall being traded or not.
Speaker 2: Let's look a deeper dive into snap shares.
Speaker 1: Isaiah Davis has not exceeded forty eight percent of snaps
in a contest so far in twenty twenty five, which
in a sense does put him on the back end
of an RBBC. However, the growth for more opportunities for
an expanded role cannot be ignored, and.
Speaker 2: That's why I think Isaiah Davis is a treat.
Speaker 1: Time Dubai is now, I'd say at peak value, he's
worth the second more middle of the road or.
Speaker 2: Baseline a third.
Speaker 1: If we flash back to his rookie outlook, a former
fifth round pick out of South Dakota States who averaged
an up third six point seven yards per rush on
six one hundred and seventy six rushing attempts along with
fifty three receptions. The future for Davis's outlook is here,
whether or not he can coexist or overtake the Jets
backfield with Breeshall, the ultimate X factor being Breeshall being
traded or meeting with the Jets. But the fact that
there's been so much speculation of Hall eventually ending in
a breakup with the Jets organization does pave a nice
path forward for Isaiah Davis. Let's go to Jacory or
Bill Crosskey Merritt. I believe he is a trick in
value eighty two four h two four rushing touchdowns or
four point nine yards per carry. So far seven catches,
sixty yards, eleven targets. Bill has been the definition of
boom or bust, feast or fam as a rookie with
three double legit PPR showings, with one in particular that
has boosted his overall stock and five single digit PPR
showings to date. His entire campaign has been elevated from
the aforementioned Week five outburst against the LA Chargers when
Krossky Merrit had fourteen rushes for one hundred and eleven
yards and two rushing touchdowns. Bill snap rates paint the
most accurate picture, at least in my opinion, of his
volatile or inconsistent role unpredictable.
Speaker 2: They have been percentage.
Speaker 1: By thirty three, twenty two, forty, thirty five, forty seven,
sixty six, forty nine, and fifty seven percent. You'll see
for yourself there that if you're starting Bill, you relying
on touchdowns.
Speaker 2: It's basically that premise.
Speaker 1: He's not going to be a massive volume threat to
this point with under ninety rushing attempts and limited usage
as receiver under ten receptions. That's even with Austin Eckler
out for the season due to injury. Chris Rodriguez Jerry
McNichols are used enough on early and passing downs to
limit a full breakout or featured usage role for Crosskey
may That's where I have the dilemma of truly relying
on JCM or Bill as a must hold or must
start in dynasty Fantasy football. Bill's rookie usage and hype,
especially after the Brian Robinson trade to San Francisco, reminds
me of Aaiah Pachecko during Picchecko's first years a pro,
but to a lesser extent production my so far for
Krosskey Merit. Both Krossky Merrit and Picchecko or seven round
picks each share similar early down skill sets. Bill is
five eleven too a eight pic Checko five ten, two sixteen.
Speaker 2: It's eerily similar.
Speaker 1: I think Picchecko had the better supporting cast or environment
to thrive in case c, whereas Jacorey Krossky Merrit is
simply a beneficiary of opportunity, but the opportunity is not
being translated to high end production. If I had a
bet on a career ARC, I'm only to sell high
on the alert or potential upside of Bill. Cash out
for a eate first might be a bit far fetched
to this point a second in twenty twenty six and
take the perceived values opposed to the unknown, which still
is more trick than treat with JCM in my mind.
Next up is Jalen Nole, who I am viewing as
a treat Noel Shine with Nico Collins out with a
concussion in week eight for San Francisco. In fact, it's
actually three consecutive salad showings for Jalen dating back to
first week five at Baltimore two catches thirteen yards in
a touchdown, then Houston had its by week seven at
Seattle four reception seventy seven yards, and that recent weeka
performance first San Francisco of five grabs for sixty three
yards targe over that span for Noel have been three
seven and six snap shares over that duration thirty percent,
forty percent and thirty nine percent. He is not yet
a full time player or even above fifty percent snap
share contributor. However, if Noel can carve out consistent reps
in the Texans offense alongside a healthy Eagle Collins, they're reliable,
yet uninspiring veteran presence of Xavier Hutchinson, Jadan Higgins Christian Kirk,
then there's plenty of untaped potential upside and I am
banking on the pure talent the eye test of washing
Jalen ole play football and based on usage, Christian Kirk
is Nol's biggest obstacle to playing time, which, given the
statures of their career, Noel the rookie who has a
lot more juice and pure speed, not to mention rot
running prowess and after catch ability than Kirk, who's ready
dealing with this lingering Hansering strain means that I'm going
to bet more so on Noel than Kirk the rest
of this year and in general from a dynasy sense,
Houston revamped its receiver core in the form of Noel
and Higgins.
Speaker 2: Out of Iowa State. Noel was the third rounder.
Speaker 1: Seventy nine overall, with two hundred and forty four Crear
receptions and eighteen receiving touchdowns on his collegiate resume. This
is sort of like Isaia Davis, perhaps the final time
to buy reasonably low or at cost for Nol, because
if he has a few more big performances or does
overtake Christian Kirk, it's going to be too late, which
is why I'm viewing Nole's a treat in value. Quick
Break be back with two more trick or treat players.
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Speaker 2: Be right back up.
Speaker 1: Next is Chase Brown, who I views more of a
trick than treat in value that's short and long term.
Brown had his best performance in twenty twenty five so
far week eight versus Jests.
Speaker 2: It was twelve total seventy three yards.
Speaker 1: And a touchdown on the ground at it three for
thirty two and a score as a receiver, yet has
otherwise struggled and been a major letdown or bust on
the year ninety seven three eighty three, two scores on
the ground for three point nine yards per carry and
twenty five for one twenty six and one. Is a
receiver that's on thirty one targets. It's a far cry
from his twenty twenty four usage. Yet we should have known,
and a lot of people, include myself, did bring up
the fact that it's obvious regression or he was a
candidate to fall below what he did in twenty twenty
four if that dominant ppr RB ten overall season. Now,
outside of poor efficiency averaging in less than four yards
per carry this year, Chase Brown's large concern is a
lack of consistent playing time. We were banking, at least
in theory based on perceived role and previous usage a
featured back skill set here. However, to snapbreaks per week
for Chase Brown have been seventy five percent, seventy one,
fifty five, seventy three, fifty three, fifty four.
Speaker 2: Sixty three to fifty four percent.
Speaker 1: That is not alpha Lion's share usage that is reminiscent
of a committee back. Smaje p Ryan is a factor
behind Chase Brown's volatile use sage. In fact, p Ryan
enjoyed his top show end of the year as well
versus Jets nine rushes ninety four yards and a touchdown,
one catch six yards across the target on forty two
percent of snaps. I'm not saying I prefer to roster
Samaj p Ryan over Chase Brown a dynasty. However, I
am saying that at cost. It seems like pe Ryan
has a secure role and is cheaper than what Chase
Brown is going to cost. Even after this breakout game. Now,
Joe Flacco does elevate the Bengals entire offense compared to
Jake browning He's dealing with an injury unknown status for
Week nine's game, so that's something to monitor. Keep in
mind if you're relying on Chase Brown or smash at
p Ryan, because Flacco truly is a catalyst for the
entire Cincinnati passing a rushing attack. Chase Brown, if you're
on the fence of what to do in dynasty, is
under contract with Cincinnati until twenty twenty seven. He could
be replaced with a Day one or Day two running
back in next year's draft. It's shaping up as a
solid class. That being said, it is sort of a
fork in the road you need Chase Brown to contend. However,
based on the regression both effectiveness as well as volume wise,
he's more of a cell than holder by a dynasty,
which is by in my opinion, Chase Brown is a
trick of supposed to treats for this Halloween themed episode,
and last but not least, perhaps one of the most
undervalued or underappreciated players in Dynasty, at least among wide receivers.
It's Alec Pierce, so I'm viewing as a treat in value,
all the attention for fans purposes on the Colts goes
to JT. Michael Pittman, Tyler Warren all for good reason.
That being said, Alec Pierce is somewhat of a hitting
gem who could be started weekly as a reliable flex
with upside if he finds the end zone.
Speaker 2: If he finds the end zone.
Speaker 1: Could be a wide receiver two or wide receiver one
on a per week basis. He only has eighteen catches
for three and eighty six yards, no touchdown, thirty two
targets a season, yet missed two games well two and
a half of concussion. He's been on the field for
seventy nine percent of snaps or greater and five of
his six games played. Alex is the Colts lidlifter, his
big play threat downfield, reliable hands. He actually led the
NFL last season in twenty twenty four with twenty two
point three yards per catch.
Speaker 2: Even better, he might be able to do it two
years in a row.
Speaker 1: He's on pace to lead league in avant darx perketch
again in twenty twenty five, with twenty one point four
yards perception. To date, this is a simple premise. If
you need help a wide receiver, Alex Pierce is young
enough to be an advisable buy, no matter what your
contention window or if you just need the depth and
or weekly starting option. He is a perfect addition to
any Dynas roster for a third. I don't care if
it's a twenty twenty six twenty twenty seven. The odds
that that prospect you're going to draft that there rom
pit hit are slim to none. Daniel Jones has been
playing exceptional football. Is targeting Alec Pierce often. Sure, there's
Michael Pittman, Tyler Warren, as I mentioned JT, who is
the funnel of the Colts offense, even Josh Downs, the
uncertainty of Adi Mitchell. Alec Pierce has a secure downfield
perimeter role and that in of itself is worth a
third or greater.
Speaker 2: He's a treating.
Speaker 1: Value, but nobody's going to respect or acknowledge his game.
He's more valuable to the colt to real life as
a fantasy, but you're not gonna get a goose egg.
More often than not, you're looking at a four option
in Alek Pierce. But if he finds the end zone
or gets close to one hundred yards front of his
spike weeks, he could win you a week. So my
recommendation is offer up a third acquire him wherever you can,
because there's better value that he provides than meets the eye.
Thanks for listening, ipe you all enjoyed this Halloween theme
show of Trick or Treat. A quick recap of those
five names that I discussed, along with what I would
do with them in the Dynasty realm Isaiah Davis as
a treat, Jacry Krossky Mayor or Bill as a trick,
Jalo Noel as a treat, Chase Brown as a trick,
and Alec Pierce as a treat.
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening.
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work until next time. This is the Dynasta you're checking out.
Hope you all have a great rest of the week
and I will talk to you soon.
Speaker 2: See you