WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Good evening, and welcome to another edition of The Cajun

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<v Speaker 1>Night Live. I am your host, the Cajun Night Jacob Mook.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of things have discussed this evening. We're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>start off with the United States. Then we're gonna shift

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<v Speaker 1>over the Atlantic to Europe. Then we're gonna make a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit of a stop into South Africa, stop off

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<v Speaker 1>in India for a minute, and then we're gonna end

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<v Speaker 1>over in China and Southeast Asia as a whole. All right,

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<v Speaker 1>For anybody who would like to see what we are

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be talking about rather than just hear about it,

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<v Speaker 1>please come to the link in the description below to

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<v Speaker 1>the Cajun Night. There is where we had the links

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<v Speaker 1>to host these events every Wednesday night at nine pm Central.

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<v Speaker 1>If you would like to join this ever growing community,

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<v Speaker 1>Now is the time, all right, Without further ado, I

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<v Speaker 1>am going to get over to our main course for

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<v Speaker 1>the evening, starting off with some things in the United States. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>before I say anything, this is not going to be

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<v Speaker 1>an episode where we spend a lot of time talking

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<v Speaker 1>about the Epstein cover up. That's just what I'm calling

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<v Speaker 1>it now, There's no other way to verbalize it. However,

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<v Speaker 1>I find it interesting that Dan Bongino has issued ominous

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<v Speaker 1>statements about FBI corruption probe. Shocked me down to my core.

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<v Speaker 1>For anybody who doesn't know, Dan Bongino just recently released

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<v Speaker 1>a statement on X, on Twitter, on the socials and

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<v Speaker 1>the media's and essentially just told everybody that he has

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<v Speaker 1>forever been changed. He had no idea that the agency's

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<v Speaker 1>works like this. This time in DC has shaked him

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<v Speaker 1>down to his core and all of these things. His

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<v Speaker 1>direct quote says, we cannot run a republic like this. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so let's just get into the reading of it. Dan Bongino,

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<v Speaker 1>former conservative radio host and current deputy director of FBI,

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<v Speaker 1>posts a vague but highly ominous statement Saturday about what

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<v Speaker 1>he's learned during an internal investigation of corruption and quote

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<v Speaker 1>unquote political weaponization at federal law enforcement and intelligence agencies,

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<v Speaker 1>saying his findings thus far have shocked me down to

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<v Speaker 1>my core. Direct quote. Bongino, who is very quiet since

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<v Speaker 1>his statements dismissing the Epstein matter kicked off a firestorm

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<v Speaker 1>inside the Trump administration, posted the message Saturday on X,

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<v Speaker 1>though he gave no specifics or names. Bongino, who would

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<v Speaker 1>routinely dial up the drama around the news and conspiracy theories.

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<v Speaker 1>As a host of The Damn Bongino Show, made it

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<v Speaker 1>sound something very big and very dark. Way excuse me,

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<v Speaker 1>made it sound like something very big and very dark

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<v Speaker 1>was soon to come out during my tenure this direct

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<v Speaker 1>quote here. During my tenure here, as the deputy director

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<v Speaker 1>of the FBI, I have repeatedly relayed to you that

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<v Speaker 1>things are happening that might not immediately might not be

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<v Speaker 1>immediately visible, but they are happening, Bongino wrote, the Director

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<v Speaker 1>and I are committed to stamping out public corruption and

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<v Speaker 1>the political weaponization of both law enforcement and intellig intelligence operations.

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<v Speaker 1>It is a priority for us. But what I have

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<v Speaker 1>learned in the course of our properly predicated and necessarily

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<v Speaker 1>investigations into these aforementioned matters has shocked me down to

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<v Speaker 1>my core. Okay. Bongino was reportedly considering his resignation earlier

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<v Speaker 1>this month amid political fallout from his commitments or comments

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<v Speaker 1>rather that Epstein did in fact kill himself, which he

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<v Speaker 1>did not, and that there was no infamous quote unquote

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<v Speaker 1>client list, But Bongino stayed, and something he's come across

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<v Speaker 1>since he's since has got him on one, and something

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<v Speaker 1>he's come across has got him on one on a list. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>this article's written very strangely. I know it sounds like

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<v Speaker 1>I'm stammering here, but it's actually okay, it's another direct

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<v Speaker 1>quote here. We cannot run a republic like this. I'll

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<v Speaker 1>never be the same after learning what I've learned. Bongino

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<v Speaker 1>called the investigation righteous and proper and promised it would

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<v Speaker 1>be done by the book and in accordance with the law.

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<v Speaker 1>A direct quote continuing as with the investigation, I cannot

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<v Speaker 1>predict where it will land, but I can promise you

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<v Speaker 1>an honest and dignified effort at truth. Not my truth

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<v Speaker 1>or your truth, but all capital the truth. God bless

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<v Speaker 1>America and all those who defend her respectfully. Damn. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>that's the overunder of the statements that he made. I

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<v Speaker 1>maybe I'm just a bit of a pessimist at this point.

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<v Speaker 1>I have less than zero faith in the system, and

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<v Speaker 1>somehow they still shock me. And that just seems to

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<v Speaker 1>be a new thing every day. The internal investigation that

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<v Speaker 1>he has said that has shocked him to his core,

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<v Speaker 1>and all of these things. I have a weird feeling

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<v Speaker 1>that this is gonna be in reference to a twenty

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<v Speaker 1>sixteen Obama scandal. I could be so wrong here. I

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<v Speaker 1>could be wrong, and he is really about to give

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<v Speaker 1>us the truth about Epstein. I just I don't believe that.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that he's letting out this ominous tweet to

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<v Speaker 1>get people, you know, hanging by a thread like, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>is it about to happen? I think the big hammer

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<v Speaker 1>drop is gonna be a treason charge from twenty sixteen,

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<v Speaker 1>which I cannot stress this enough. Trump won that election

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<v Speaker 1>and he's drumming up old charges about something from an

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<v Speaker 1>election that he won. So like, at this point, there

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<v Speaker 1>are some, not myself, but there are some that are

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<v Speaker 1>saying that this is more or less him being a

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<v Speaker 1>really late sore winner, like really late, like two administrations

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<v Speaker 1>late sore winner to this particular conversation. I don't know.

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<v Speaker 1>Perhaps I'm wrong, and Dan Bongeno will release all of

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<v Speaker 1>the Epstein things in kind. Maybe this is just not

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<v Speaker 1>gonna go anywhere, and it's all gonna be a part

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<v Speaker 1>of spinning the rumor mill, which all of these people

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<v Speaker 1>have done, Cash, Pam, Dan, Trump, JD all of them

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<v Speaker 1>just kind of seemed to be spinning that rumor mill

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<v Speaker 1>as much as humanly possible to maintain their composure and

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<v Speaker 1>their job. All right, now, let's move on here. Interestingly,

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<v Speaker 1>still sticking to the US, but starting to make our

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<v Speaker 1>way across the Atlantic. The United States nuclear weapons are

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<v Speaker 1>quote unquote deployed to UK for the first time in

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<v Speaker 1>seventeen years. For anybody who does not know, yes, this

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<v Speaker 1>is very true. The United States has decided to give

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<v Speaker 1>some nuclear warheads over to UK to just kind of

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<v Speaker 1>hold on for a while, just you know, Hey, we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna send some boats. Can you just put them at

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<v Speaker 1>port and the stuff that's on the boats, can you

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<v Speaker 1>put them in a really secure location for us just

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<v Speaker 1>for a little bit. Thanks. No real reason as to

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<v Speaker 1>why nothing has started up in Europe any more or

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<v Speaker 1>less than what's been going on for the past three

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<v Speaker 1>years that would lead anybody to assume that we need,

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<v Speaker 1>and by way, I mean the United States need a

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<v Speaker 1>nuclear arm out there in Europe. Nothing has happened that

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<v Speaker 1>would shift that gear. Yet somehow here we are now.

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<v Speaker 1>I know some are gonna say that this is in

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<v Speaker 1>response to Russia Test five firing one of their new ICBMs. Okay, fine, fine,

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<v Speaker 1>But to the principle of America sending nuclear warheads to UK.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like that's a bit presumptuous. If anything, test

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<v Speaker 1>firing in ICBM seems like the ultimate saber rattle. But

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<v Speaker 1>it's only just a saber rattle. It was a test fire.

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<v Speaker 1>No one got hurt, nothing got damaged or any of

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<v Speaker 1>these things. And we already knew that Russia had ICBMs.

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<v Speaker 1>That's that's that's not a flex, it's a it's a

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<v Speaker 1>rattle of the saber. But anyway, reading on here, this

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<v Speaker 1>is from newsweeks the United States military has moved nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>weapons to British soil for the first time in close

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<v Speaker 1>to two decades. New analysis indicates open source analysis identified

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<v Speaker 1>an aircraft taking off from the Kirkland Air Force Base

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<v Speaker 1>in Albuquerque, New Mexico, bound for the United Kingdoms Royal

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<v Speaker 1>Air Force Royal Air Force Base rather than Lackynheath in

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<v Speaker 1>the east of England. Kirkland Air Force Base is the

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<v Speaker 1>headquarters of the US Air Force Nuclear Weapons Center, a

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<v Speaker 1>main storage site for nuclear weapons. I feel like me,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe we shouldn't just have that open source. Same time,

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<v Speaker 1>I think, actually, because of the nuclear deals that it

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<v Speaker 1>kind of has to be open source. I'm not one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred percent on that, but anyway. A US defense official

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<v Speaker 1>told Newsweek the US did not comment on the status

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<v Speaker 1>or location of strategic weapons. Okay, that's that's actually pretty funny,

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<v Speaker 1>as they just told us the location and said they

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<v Speaker 1>didn't comment on it all right. A spokesperson for the

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<v Speaker 1>British Defense Ministry said it remains a long standing UK

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<v Speaker 1>and NATO policy to neither confirm nor deny the presence

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<v Speaker 1>of nuclear weapons at a given location. Why does this matter?

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<v Speaker 1>Speculation has long surrounded whether the East England RAF base

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<v Speaker 1>could once again host US Air Force or US nuclear weapons.

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<v Speaker 1>Rather rif Locknheath hosted American nuclear weapons for several decades

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<v Speaker 1>until two thousand and eight. Interesting that they held nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>weapons until Bush got out of office. I find that interesting,

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<v Speaker 1>But moving on, the Federation of American Scientists the FAS

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<v Speaker 1>said in twenty twenty three, the United States military budget

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<v Speaker 1>documents strongly implied the US Air Force intended to re

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<v Speaker 1>establish its nuclear weapons mission in the UK at Lacknheath,

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<v Speaker 1>the home of the forty eight fighter Wing dubbed Liberty Wing,

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<v Speaker 1>has been upgraded in recent years. If Washington moves nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>weapons back into the UK. It would break with decades

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<v Speaker 1>of policy and planning and reverse the southern focus of

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<v Speaker 1>the European nuclear deployment that emerged after the end of

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<v Speaker 1>the Cold War, the FAS said in an updated analysis

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<v Speaker 1>earlier this year. So what do we need to know

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<v Speaker 1>from this? Flight tracking data shows that the US Air

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<v Speaker 1>Force C seventeen cargo plane deported or excuse me, departed

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<v Speaker 1>from Albuquerque for a flight just over ten hours to

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<v Speaker 1>Lackenheath on July sixteenth, and left the UK two days later.

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<v Speaker 1>It looks like it went to England, dropped off those

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<v Speaker 1>weapons and went back to regular operations in the US.

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<v Speaker 1>William Albuquer Alberquie Okay, a former head of NATO's Nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>Non Proliferation Center, told Britain's The Times. The UK government

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<v Speaker 1>announced last month that it would buy at least twelve

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<v Speaker 1>F thirty five A fifth generation aircraft, which, unlike the

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<v Speaker 1>F thirty five B jets the country's RIF already operates,

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<v Speaker 1>are certified to carry nuclear weapons. The jets will be

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<v Speaker 1>stationed at RIF Marham Marham. I guess I don't you know.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't speak the Kings English, I speak American English.

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<v Speaker 1>A base north of Lackynheath. The purchase reintroduces a nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>role for the Royal Air Force for the first time

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<v Speaker 1>since the UK retired its sovereign air launched nuclear weapons

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<v Speaker 1>following the end of the Cold War. The British government

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<v Speaker 1>said in a statement the UK has triedent its own

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<v Speaker 1>nuclear weapons program, made up of four Vanguard class submarines

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<v Speaker 1>able to fire nuclear missiles. The US has both strategic

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<v Speaker 1>and non strategic nuclear weapons. Non strategic nuclear weapons, which

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<v Speaker 1>in the US case are variants of the B sixty

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<v Speaker 1>one gravity bomb, are also known as tactical nuclear weapons.

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<v Speaker 1>The US announced at the start of the year that

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<v Speaker 1>it had completed a long running program to upgrade the

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<v Speaker 1>B sixty one to the B sixty one Dash twelve.

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<v Speaker 1>Strategic nuclear weapons are deployed or on intercontinental ballistic missiles,

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<v Speaker 1>submarine launches, launched ballistic missiles, and those fire from bomber aircraft.

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<v Speaker 1>They are thought of as missiles that could level entire

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<v Speaker 1>cities and threaten major global superpowers. Unlike strategic weapons, tactical

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<v Speaker 1>nuclear weapons are designed for use on the battlefield or

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<v Speaker 1>in what is known as a specific theater. They have

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<v Speaker 1>a smaller yield and are designed to be used against

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<v Speaker 1>different targets. That different targets than strategic nuclear weapons, which

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<v Speaker 1>are limited under the New Start treaty that is due

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<v Speaker 1>to expire in twenty twenty six. The US has an

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<v Speaker 1>estimated two hundred tactical nuclear weapons, with roughly half deployed

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<v Speaker 1>at European bases. The US is believed to have around

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<v Speaker 1>one hundred tactical bombs deployed in five NATO countries on

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<v Speaker 1>the continent, including in Turkey, Germany and Belgium. So what

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<v Speaker 1>people are saying, Ah, it's not really that important, Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>Long story short, The US has decided to send nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>capable weapons to Britain, as well as sell Britain a

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<v Speaker 1>upgraded version of the F thirty five that is capable

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<v Speaker 1>of carrying said nuclear weapons. Is this also a form

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<v Speaker 1>of saber rattling the same way that Russia launching its

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<v Speaker 1>ICBM might have been seen as such? I personally think so,

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<v Speaker 1>Although I do find it interesting that they would choose now,

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<v Speaker 1>of all times to flex in this manner. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>know that. Being said, we're talking about nukes making its

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<v Speaker 1>way to Britain, We're talking about jets being sold. It's

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<v Speaker 1>interesting to note that one of the biggest military industrial

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<v Speaker 1>complex figureheads in America, Lockheed Martin. Their profit dives eighty

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<v Speaker 1>percent on one point six billion dollar charge, shares tumble.

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<v Speaker 1>If you haven't heard anything about this, Lockheed Martin's profit

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<v Speaker 1>shares have dropped eighty percent. That is unprecedented and there's reasons.

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<v Speaker 1>There's absolutely reasons as to why. But you would even

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<v Speaker 1>think still Locky Martin, RTX formerly Raytheon, and Boeing are

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest. Those are the top three. Those the godfathers,

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<v Speaker 1>if you will, of the American military industrial complex. For

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<v Speaker 1>their profits to drop eighty percent is insane, especially if

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<v Speaker 1>it's on a charge like I understand that. But even still,

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<v Speaker 1>they got lawyers. For their lawyers, you think they'd be

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<v Speaker 1>able to beat the case and keep going. But you

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<v Speaker 1>know what, let's just read into it. Here is it

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<v Speaker 1>from earlier this month, July twenty second, Locky Martin reported

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<v Speaker 1>on Tuesday that its second quarter profit plunged by about

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<v Speaker 1>eighty percent after the US defense group recorded a pre

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<v Speaker 1>tax loss of one point six billion dollars mainly linked

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<v Speaker 1>to a classified program within its aeronautics segment, sending its

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<v Speaker 1>shares down more eight percent, more than eight percent. Rather,

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<v Speaker 1>the company also trimmed its twenty twenty five profit outlook

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<v Speaker 1>by one point five billion dollars or eighteen percent, and

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<v Speaker 1>said it now targets six point sixty five billion in

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<v Speaker 1>operating profit for the year. This new guidance revised down

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<v Speaker 1>since the company's last estimate in April did not include

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<v Speaker 1>potential impacts from tariffs, which have affected other defense companies

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<v Speaker 1>with international customers. Lockheed's tariff's risk is relatively low, as

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<v Speaker 1>its supply chain and labor are largely domestic, said Brian Mulberry,

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<v Speaker 1>portfolio manager at Zach's Investment Management. Don't know who that is,

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<v Speaker 1>but moving on, the company's hefty change charge stem from

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<v Speaker 1>difficulties with a classified program in its Aeronautics business and

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<v Speaker 1>air National Helicopter program and its Sikorski unit. Thing got

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<v Speaker 1>killed that word all right. Defense contractors are grappling with

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<v Speaker 1>mounting cost pressures as inflation and supply change disruptions drive

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<v Speaker 1>up expenses on long term programs priced years ago. Many

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<v Speaker 1>of these contracts, often fixed price, were negotiated before the

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<v Speaker 1>post pandemic surge in labor, material and component costs, forcing

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<v Speaker 1>contractors such as Lockheed to absorb overruns. Apart from the

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<v Speaker 1>nine hundred and fifty million dollar charge on the classified program,

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<v Speaker 1>Lockheed took a five hundred and seventy million dollar hit

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<v Speaker 1>on its work for the Canadian government relating to the

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<v Speaker 1>procurement of its H one forty eight cyclone maritime helicopters.

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<v Speaker 1>The Turkish Utility helicopter program saw a ninety five million

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<v Speaker 1>dollar loss as well. This charge was due to a

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<v Speaker 1>rest restructuring caused by US government sanctions on Turkish entities

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<v Speaker 1>and persons involved in the program. Tasselt said it was

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<v Speaker 1>in a call with Analysis. Lockheed is also engaged in

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<v Speaker 1>a tussle with the US tax authorities, who assert the

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<v Speaker 1>company owes an additional four point six billion dollar tax bill,

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<v Speaker 1>executives said, adding that they were pursuing a remedy that

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<v Speaker 1>could include litigation. Additionally, the company provided an update on

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<v Speaker 1>progress with upgrades for its F thirty five jets, saying

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<v Speaker 1>it had completed hardware integrations and released new software for

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<v Speaker 1>the fleet. Earlier this month, the Pentagon's Program Office confirmed

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<v Speaker 1>the final delivery of seventy two jets held in long

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<v Speaker 1>term storage. In twenty twenty four, Lockheed's net income in

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<v Speaker 1>the quarter fell to three hundred and forty two million

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<v Speaker 1>dollars or a dollar forty six per share, from you

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<v Speaker 1>know what once was. Okay, let me let these numbers

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<v Speaker 1>are insane. They fell from three hundred and forty two million,

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<v Speaker 1>or a dollar forty six per share. And this was

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<v Speaker 1>from one point sixty four billion dollars or six eighty

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<v Speaker 1>five per share. So their profit shares dropped from six

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<v Speaker 1>dollars and eighty five cents per share to a dollar

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<v Speaker 1>forty six per share. This is that's drastic. That's really drastic.

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<v Speaker 1>And you would think again, with all of the wars

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<v Speaker 1>going on around the world, the military industrial contras like this,

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<v Speaker 1>whether they're American based or French based or Russian base,

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<v Speaker 1>it doesn't matter, you would think that this would be

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<v Speaker 1>go time for them. Everybody wants their their materials, everybody

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<v Speaker 1>wants their equipment, and somehow Lockheed has dropped eighty percent

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<v Speaker 1>in one quarter. That is remarkable. Lockheed missed Wall Street

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<v Speaker 1>estimates for a second quarter revenue, which came in at

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<v Speaker 1>eighteen point sixteen billion dollars compared with an average expectation

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<v Speaker 1>of eighteen point five to seven billion. Okay, I thought

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<v Speaker 1>it was just interesting to bring up. How again, you

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<v Speaker 1>would think the Lockey would kind of be, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>living off the fat of the hog right now, and

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<v Speaker 1>unfortunately that is not the case now as of this moment,

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<v Speaker 1>as of time of recording, there is no conversation about

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<v Speaker 1>Lockey closing its doors, restructuring, management, or any of these things.

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<v Speaker 1>Most of the tariff conversation has been you know, well

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<v Speaker 1>at least understood and agreed upon with the certain countries

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<v Speaker 1>and things. But put a pin in that one for

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<v Speaker 1>later in the episode, because now we have an issue

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<v Speaker 1>where Trump has decided that India will now pay a

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<v Speaker 1>twenty five percent tariff. We'll get to that here in

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<v Speaker 1>a moment. Anyway, moving on to the next topic. As

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<v Speaker 1>we were talking about the nukes making their way to

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<v Speaker 1>the UK, and as we were talking about Locky Martin

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<v Speaker 1>and all these things going on, let's go now across

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<v Speaker 1>the pond full force. Here the UK and Germany hail

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<v Speaker 1>a wide ranging treaty deepening ties in face of threats.

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<v Speaker 1>For anybody who hasn't heard, we will be talking about

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<v Speaker 1>the Kensington Treaty. This is something it was just recently

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<v Speaker 1>signed in England. Prime Minister Keir Starmer and German Chancellor

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<v Speaker 1>Frederick Murz hailed a major treaty to deepen ties in

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<v Speaker 1>areas ranging from defense to immigration on Thursday, the latest

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<v Speaker 1>step in Britain's push to reset UK relations with the

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<v Speaker 1>European Union. Isn't that kind of why the whole Brexit

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<v Speaker 1>thing happened? They didn't want to be a part of

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<v Speaker 1>the EU, but all right, nope. On his first trip

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<v Speaker 1>to London, as Chancellor Mar's described the Kensington Treaty as historic,

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<v Speaker 1>the first major bilateral agreement between Britain and Germany to

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<v Speaker 1>deepen defense cooperation and to try to boost economic growth

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<v Speaker 1>in both nations. Murrs's day trip follows a three day

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<v Speaker 1>state visit by Britain to Britain by French President Emmanuel Macrome,

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<v Speaker 1>which bro not gonna try to sign tangent too much here.

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<v Speaker 1>But I don't know if y'all been keeping up with

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<v Speaker 1>what's been going on with old Brigitte. She apparently lawyered

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<v Speaker 1>up to try to take on Candace Owens, and apparently

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<v Speaker 1>her lawyer has a very very very dirty past, with

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<v Speaker 1>all but actual skeletons in his closet, so it's not

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<v Speaker 1>looking really good. And Candace is pretty much right there

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<v Speaker 1>to just absorb all the smoke. I think at this

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<v Speaker 1>point she's actually getting high off the smoke. And I

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<v Speaker 1>don't mean that to say that she choked it down,

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<v Speaker 1>although I'm not saying she doesn't. You know, she does her,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's gearing up. I'm still fully of the belief

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<v Speaker 1>that Brigitte Macrone is a dude and or Emmanuel's long

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<v Speaker 1>lost dad slash long lost uncle. But anyway, Murse's day

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<v Speaker 1>trip follows a three day state visit to Britain by

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<v Speaker 1>French President Emmanuel Macrone, signaling a greater cooperation between Europe's

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<v Speaker 1>top three powers at a time of threat to the

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<v Speaker 1>continent and uncertainty about their US ally. This seems to

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<v Speaker 1>be more of the intent behind the Kensington Treaty. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>it is to deepen ties between these two countries and

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<v Speaker 1>all these things, fine, fine, cool. It is actually more

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<v Speaker 1>or less because they can't trust that the United States

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<v Speaker 1>will do as they say they will do, and a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of NATO countries are starting to feel that way.

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<v Speaker 1>There's reasons for that. Could it be that this is

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<v Speaker 1>because Trump has spurned on and more or less strong

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<v Speaker 1>arm leverage everybody in NATO to now spend five percent

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<v Speaker 1>GDP rather than two percent, because he wants them to

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<v Speaker 1>be stronger on their own so that America doesn't have

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<v Speaker 1>to step in if things go sideways. Okay, I get that.

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<v Speaker 1>That being said, now European countries aren't feeling so safe

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<v Speaker 1>that America is going to come to their aid in

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<v Speaker 1>times of needs. So now they're starting to make their

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<v Speaker 1>own treaties, their own alliances. The Kensington Treaty is one

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<v Speaker 1>of them. This is a direct quote here. We see

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<v Speaker 1>the scale of the challenges our continent faces today and

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<v Speaker 1>we intend to meet them head on. Starmar told a

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<v Speaker 1>press conference after the two leaders signed the treaty in

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<v Speaker 1>Victoria and Albert Museum, co founded by Britain's Queen Victoria

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<v Speaker 1>and her husband Prince Albert, of German origin, which also

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<v Speaker 1>makes sense. I mean the Habsburgs, which is the current

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<v Speaker 1>royal family, if I'm not mistaken, are of German descent.

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<v Speaker 1>So like it makes sense that Britain and Germany would

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<v Speaker 1>have their historic reasons for making this treaty happen. Dope,

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<v Speaker 1>The Kensington Treaty is an expression of our shared aims

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<v Speaker 1>and values. But more than that, it's a practical work

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<v Speaker 1>plan setting out a seventeen major projects where we will

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<v Speaker 1>come together to deliver real results which will improve people's lives.

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<v Speaker 1>Standing next to Starmer at an airbus plant, Merz aimed

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<v Speaker 1>again lamented Britain's departure from the EU, but said the

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<v Speaker 1>agreement would cement ties between the two nations and compliment

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<v Speaker 1>in agreement london struggle with France. His direct quote from Merz,

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<v Speaker 1>we are jointly determined to shape this new era with

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<v Speaker 1>new leadership opportunities the United Kingdom and Germany side by side.

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<v Speaker 1>Europe has been confronted with the US tariffs since President

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<v Speaker 1>Trump returned to the White House as a well, excuse me,

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<v Speaker 1>as well as question about the US commitment to defend

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<v Speaker 1>its European allies, including Ukraine, against Russian invasion. So let's

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<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about weapons for Ukraine here, because

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<v Speaker 1>that is also where we're going next. Two leaders said

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<v Speaker 1>they had discussed in detail plans to send more weaponry

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<v Speaker 1>to Ukraine after Trumps signaled he would sell weapons to

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<v Speaker 1>NATO countries, including Patriot air defense missiles Kiev has urgently sought.

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<v Speaker 1>Merz said that the two had discussed Ukraine's need for

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<v Speaker 1>long range strike systems, which he called long range fire

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<v Speaker 1>and Ukraine will soon receive substantial additional support in this area,

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<v Speaker 1>he told press at a press conference. The treaty includes

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<v Speaker 1>a cause clause excuse me on mutual assistance, which, in

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<v Speaker 1>light of the Russian war of aggression against Ukraine, is

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<v Speaker 1>highly significant, a German official said this week. It builds

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<v Speaker 1>a different defense deal agreed last year that included the

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<v Speaker 1>joint development of long range strike weapons, and comes after

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<v Speaker 1>France and Britain agreed last week to reinforce cooperation over

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<v Speaker 1>their respective nuclear arsenals. As part of Thursday's announcement, Britain

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<v Speaker 1>and Germany also pledged to pursue joint export campaigns to

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<v Speaker 1>drum up orders from other countries for equipment they make jointly,

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<v Speaker 1>such as the Typhoon, eurofighter jet and the Boxer armored vehicle.

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<v Speaker 1>So moving on here the Europe situation. Yeah, we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about Ukraine. Very briefly. We brought

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<v Speaker 1>up last week that America is sending Patriot missile systems

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<v Speaker 1>that way, and in spite of all of these things,

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<v Speaker 1>Germany and Britain have decided that they want to have

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<v Speaker 1>even closer ties than they already do. I understand it.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not necessarily throwing shade at it by any means,

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<v Speaker 1>but I find it interesting that Britain went through the

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<v Speaker 1>whole process of splitting from the EU, which I mean

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<v Speaker 1>as somebody who is not British outside looking in perspective here,

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<v Speaker 1>I respect they were at the time one of the

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<v Speaker 1>biggest economies in Europe and they were pretty much footing

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<v Speaker 1>the bill for all the EU projects and that's not fair.

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<v Speaker 1>They decided to split and do their own thing. Now

416
00:24:47.200 --> 00:24:49.839
<v Speaker 1>because of the insane amount of immigrants, not just there

417
00:24:49.839 --> 00:24:53.799
<v Speaker 1>but all over Europe. But Britain themselves, their economy is

418
00:24:53.880 --> 00:24:56.720
<v Speaker 1>not doing as hot as it once was, and now

419
00:24:56.759 --> 00:24:59.519
<v Speaker 1>they're making these private deals between them and France, them

420
00:24:59.559 --> 00:25:01.759
<v Speaker 1>in Germany. It'll be interesting to see who they make

421
00:25:01.759 --> 00:25:04.039
<v Speaker 1>a deal with next. But beside the point, I think

422
00:25:04.079 --> 00:25:07.000
<v Speaker 1>that that also gives them a little more leverage as

423
00:25:07.000 --> 00:25:10.039
<v Speaker 1>far as making deals goes now that they are not

424
00:25:10.200 --> 00:25:12.079
<v Speaker 1>a part of the EU, but they can still be

425
00:25:12.200 --> 00:25:15.720
<v Speaker 1>friends and draw treaties with the EU. I could see

426
00:25:15.720 --> 00:25:18.640
<v Speaker 1>it as kind of the best of both worlds. Again,

427
00:25:19.440 --> 00:25:21.640
<v Speaker 1>kind of early in this whole conversation, So we will

428
00:25:21.640 --> 00:25:24.920
<v Speaker 1>see how it plays out. All right. Now, let's talk

429
00:25:24.960 --> 00:25:27.440
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about the Bricks Summit that just took

430
00:25:27.480 --> 00:25:31.799
<v Speaker 1>place not too terribly long ago. There is some differences

431
00:25:31.880 --> 00:25:36.839
<v Speaker 1>of opinions that came to light at this last Bricks

432
00:25:37.640 --> 00:25:43.079
<v Speaker 1>you know summit, and of the similarities that these countries share.

433
00:25:43.480 --> 00:25:47.240
<v Speaker 1>Of course, they want to topple the USD as the

434
00:25:47.279 --> 00:25:51.680
<v Speaker 1>world currency in question, right, they want to be taken seriously,

435
00:25:51.720 --> 00:25:53.640
<v Speaker 1>they want to be seen as the new g seven.

436
00:25:55.359 --> 00:26:01.759
<v Speaker 1>That being said, that's about where the similar stopped, and

437
00:26:01.799 --> 00:26:05.440
<v Speaker 1>there was no real hints at a military alliance. Everybody

438
00:26:05.519 --> 00:26:07.599
<v Speaker 1>was more towards the side that they want to be

439
00:26:07.720 --> 00:26:10.440
<v Speaker 1>the leader of AI. They want bricks to be the

440
00:26:10.480 --> 00:26:16.079
<v Speaker 1>world's foremost AI thing, and by they they meant China

441
00:26:16.119 --> 00:26:18.119
<v Speaker 1>and Russia are gonna vie for who's leading the world

442
00:26:18.119 --> 00:26:21.640
<v Speaker 1>in AI technology. That's about what I got from it,

443
00:26:21.720 --> 00:26:24.720
<v Speaker 1>But the differences that came out of it I found

444
00:26:24.720 --> 00:26:28.200
<v Speaker 1>to be pretty interesting as well. Let's read the takeaway

445
00:26:28.200 --> 00:26:29.799
<v Speaker 1>here and then we'll just kind of go over the briefs.

446
00:26:30.640 --> 00:26:33.640
<v Speaker 1>The seventeenth Bricks Summit, held in Rio de jan Ara, Brazil,

447
00:26:34.119 --> 00:26:37.200
<v Speaker 1>marked the first major gathering of the expanded block, which

448
00:26:37.319 --> 00:26:41.599
<v Speaker 1>now comprises eleven members, the original five Brazil, Russia, India, China,

449
00:26:41.599 --> 00:26:44.640
<v Speaker 1>and South Africa, which for the record, South Africa was

450
00:26:44.720 --> 00:26:46.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of late to the game. At first it was

451
00:26:46.279 --> 00:26:49.920
<v Speaker 1>just called brick. Then when South Africa joined, it became

452
00:26:50.079 --> 00:26:53.240
<v Speaker 1>bricks and they were seen as the original five but anyway,

453
00:26:53.880 --> 00:26:58.559
<v Speaker 1>and the new entrance Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran, Saudi Arabia

454
00:26:58.720 --> 00:27:02.799
<v Speaker 1>which has not yet formally accepted membership, and the UAE.

455
00:27:03.319 --> 00:27:07.880
<v Speaker 1>They were joined by Brazil in Brazil by ten partner countries,

456
00:27:07.920 --> 00:27:12.400
<v Speaker 1>including Malaysia and Vietnam. With the summit haled just days

457
00:27:12.400 --> 00:27:17.400
<v Speaker 1>before the US President's July ninth reciprocal tariffs deadline. The

458
00:27:17.440 --> 00:27:20.680
<v Speaker 1>bricks countries appeared united in pushing back against the tariff

459
00:27:20.680 --> 00:27:24.640
<v Speaker 1>threat and sought to present themselves as united on key

460
00:27:24.720 --> 00:27:29.960
<v Speaker 1>issues such as global conflicts, AI and critical minerals. Put

461
00:27:29.960 --> 00:27:33.799
<v Speaker 1>a pin in the critical mineral thing, because while your

462
00:27:33.799 --> 00:27:37.599
<v Speaker 1>first inkling might be you know, iron, cobalt, lithium, these

463
00:27:37.599 --> 00:27:41.079
<v Speaker 1>types of things, that is actually kind of a source

464
00:27:41.079 --> 00:27:43.799
<v Speaker 1>of contention between bricks in and of themselves, but not

465
00:27:43.880 --> 00:27:45.440
<v Speaker 1>in the way you might think we're gonna get to

466
00:27:45.480 --> 00:27:50.279
<v Speaker 1>it anyway. However, statements of unity nowithstanding, member states are

467
00:27:50.279 --> 00:27:53.559
<v Speaker 1>pursuing divergent strategies in how they are negotiating with the

468
00:27:53.599 --> 00:27:58.119
<v Speaker 1>Trump administration. Meanwhile, differences among the BRICKS member countries also

469
00:27:58.240 --> 00:28:03.200
<v Speaker 1>persist on issues such as global conflicts, reforming multilateral order,

470
00:28:03.519 --> 00:28:06.880
<v Speaker 1>and critical minerals. Yes, let's talk about this, just kind

471
00:28:06.880 --> 00:28:09.920
<v Speaker 1>of reading over the briefs here. The expand of Bricks

472
00:28:09.920 --> 00:28:13.680
<v Speaker 1>block accounts for approximately forty percent of global GDP compared

473
00:28:13.720 --> 00:28:17.039
<v Speaker 1>to twenty eight percent for the G seven, and represents

474
00:28:17.119 --> 00:28:20.880
<v Speaker 1>about half of the world's population. I mean, to be fair,

475
00:28:22.880 --> 00:28:26.839
<v Speaker 1>China's got a really dense population, so does Russia, so

476
00:28:26.920 --> 00:28:30.960
<v Speaker 1>does India. So I mean, yeah, that's that's pretty fair

477
00:28:31.000 --> 00:28:33.880
<v Speaker 1>as far as the numbers are concerned. In a notable

478
00:28:33.920 --> 00:28:38.200
<v Speaker 1>first sense, taking office, President Jijiping don't worry, We're gonna

479
00:28:38.200 --> 00:28:40.480
<v Speaker 1>get to him later in the episode did not attend

480
00:28:40.480 --> 00:28:43.200
<v Speaker 1>the summit, missing an opportunity to project China as an

481
00:28:43.240 --> 00:28:47.599
<v Speaker 1>alternative to US power. He was represented instead by Premier

482
00:28:47.759 --> 00:28:52.079
<v Speaker 1>Lee Kwang. Russian President Vladimir Putin attended virtually as he

483
00:28:52.119 --> 00:28:55.839
<v Speaker 1>faces an international criminal court arrest warrant in connection with

484
00:28:55.960 --> 00:28:59.440
<v Speaker 1>alleged war crimes committed in Ukraine. Not going to go

485
00:28:59.480 --> 00:29:02.680
<v Speaker 1>into it on that fine. Ukrainians have committed some war

486
00:29:02.720 --> 00:29:05.319
<v Speaker 1>crimes as well. Russia has committed some war crimes as well.

487
00:29:05.359 --> 00:29:07.279
<v Speaker 1>Like we're not We're not gonna have that conversation day.

488
00:29:07.319 --> 00:29:09.920
<v Speaker 1>It is what it is that being said. At least

489
00:29:09.960 --> 00:29:14.440
<v Speaker 1>Putin was able to like zoom call in. Jizaping has

490
00:29:14.599 --> 00:29:18.880
<v Speaker 1>actually gone into full tilt hermit mode, Like he is

491
00:29:18.960 --> 00:29:22.880
<v Speaker 1>vowed that he will never leave his country again. There's

492
00:29:22.920 --> 00:29:25.599
<v Speaker 1>a conversation to say that this might be because of,

493
00:29:25.960 --> 00:29:29.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, his health, maybe he's not doing so well,

494
00:29:29.279 --> 00:29:32.799
<v Speaker 1>his age, the stress heavy lies, the crown kind of thing.

495
00:29:33.839 --> 00:29:36.559
<v Speaker 1>There's another conversation to say that he is afraid that

496
00:29:36.599 --> 00:29:39.599
<v Speaker 1>if he leaves, he may not make it back. There's

497
00:29:39.640 --> 00:29:42.640
<v Speaker 1>a conversation happening right now to say that he might

498
00:29:42.680 --> 00:29:45.720
<v Speaker 1>get overthrown if he tries to leave again. And I'm

499
00:29:45.759 --> 00:29:49.480
<v Speaker 1>not saying I necessarily believe that, but it is documented

500
00:29:49.480 --> 00:29:53.240
<v Speaker 1>in a few different places that Xijaping is definitely becoming

501
00:29:53.279 --> 00:29:56.960
<v Speaker 1>more of an isolationist and wants China to be isolationist,

502
00:29:57.160 --> 00:29:59.680
<v Speaker 1>even though he wants them to have global reach. It's

503
00:29:59.680 --> 00:30:02.880
<v Speaker 1>a very strange time. It's a very weird time for China.

504
00:30:02.920 --> 00:30:04.720
<v Speaker 1>We're gonna talk about that more in depth here in

505
00:30:04.759 --> 00:30:08.880
<v Speaker 1>a minute. Moving on with the brief keynotes from the

506
00:30:08.920 --> 00:30:13.000
<v Speaker 1>Brick Summit, signaling discontent with the US President Trump's tariffs.

507
00:30:13.359 --> 00:30:17.440
<v Speaker 1>The group's joint declaration voice concerns over unilateral tariffs and

508
00:30:17.599 --> 00:30:21.480
<v Speaker 1>non tariff measures which distort trade and are inconsistent with

509
00:30:21.880 --> 00:30:26.240
<v Speaker 1>WTO rules, albeit without directly naming the US, but I mean,

510
00:30:26.680 --> 00:30:28.720
<v Speaker 1>you could look at it. We knew exactly who they

511
00:30:28.759 --> 00:30:32.359
<v Speaker 1>were talking about, but anyway, the summit produced a separate

512
00:30:32.440 --> 00:30:37.480
<v Speaker 1>Leader Statement on Inclusive AI governance, a roadmap for energy cooperation,

513
00:30:38.000 --> 00:30:43.039
<v Speaker 1>and an emphasis on fair and resilient critical mineral supply chain. Okay,

514
00:30:43.920 --> 00:30:50.559
<v Speaker 1>a roadmap for energy cooperation. A big source of contention

515
00:30:50.720 --> 00:30:56.240
<v Speaker 1>right now is that half of the bricks countries rely

516
00:30:56.480 --> 00:31:00.000
<v Speaker 1>on fossil fuels, and now I mean relies in like, oh,

517
00:31:00.079 --> 00:31:01.799
<v Speaker 1>they use them, but they're trying to be more green.

518
00:31:01.880 --> 00:31:07.160
<v Speaker 1>No no, no, like they really heavily rely on fossil fuels.

519
00:31:07.880 --> 00:31:10.319
<v Speaker 1>The other half of them are making all of these

520
00:31:10.319 --> 00:31:14.559
<v Speaker 1>efforts to become more green. So when we're talking about energy,

521
00:31:14.920 --> 00:31:17.920
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to bricks, it actually has led to

522
00:31:17.960 --> 00:31:21.519
<v Speaker 1>a decent amount of infighting within the bricks nations, but

523
00:31:22.079 --> 00:31:25.200
<v Speaker 1>we'll get to that more in here in a minute.

524
00:31:25.279 --> 00:31:28.880
<v Speaker 1>The joint declaration avoided, however, the blocks pass references to

525
00:31:29.000 --> 00:31:32.880
<v Speaker 1>trading in local currencies, a potential challenge to the dominance

526
00:31:32.880 --> 00:31:35.960
<v Speaker 1>of the US dollar. Nevertheless, President Trump responded to the

527
00:31:35.960 --> 00:31:40.039
<v Speaker 1>group's tariff statement, warning that countries aligning with anti American

528
00:31:40.079 --> 00:31:44.319
<v Speaker 1>policies would face an additional ten percent tariff. Brazilian President

529
00:31:44.400 --> 00:31:49.759
<v Speaker 1>Louis Silva responded, saying the world does not want an emperor,

530
00:31:50.519 --> 00:31:54.000
<v Speaker 1>and I agree with that statement. It absolutely doesn't. We

531
00:31:54.039 --> 00:31:56.519
<v Speaker 1>can skip over the implications. Basically, it's going to be

532
00:31:56.519 --> 00:31:59.680
<v Speaker 1>more towards the tariff conversation. But there's more than just

533
00:31:59.720 --> 00:32:01.519
<v Speaker 1>the tear tarriffs that took place at the Brick Summit.

534
00:32:02.319 --> 00:32:04.480
<v Speaker 1>Now which kit and bricks countries are closed to a

535
00:32:04.519 --> 00:32:08.440
<v Speaker 1>trade deal with the US. No bricks country has finalized

536
00:32:08.480 --> 00:32:11.720
<v Speaker 1>a trade agreement with the US, with the exception of Indonesia.

537
00:32:12.079 --> 00:32:15.880
<v Speaker 1>Beijing reached a tentative trade framework with Washington in June,

538
00:32:16.119 --> 00:32:20.240
<v Speaker 1>but the truce remains fragile, with an August twelfth deadline

539
00:32:20.279 --> 00:32:24.559
<v Speaker 1>looming for a formal deal to avert renewed tariffs. Trump

540
00:32:24.559 --> 00:32:28.240
<v Speaker 1>has also announced DEEEP tariffs in Brazil fifty percent following

541
00:32:28.279 --> 00:32:31.680
<v Speaker 1>a public spat with President Lula, and on South Africa

542
00:32:32.119 --> 00:32:36.519
<v Speaker 1>thirty percent amid growing trade tensions, both set to take

543
00:32:36.559 --> 00:32:41.160
<v Speaker 1>effect on August first. Now New Delhi, however, appears to

544
00:32:41.279 --> 00:32:45.119
<v Speaker 1>close close to securing a deal. An interim trade deal

545
00:32:45.160 --> 00:32:48.680
<v Speaker 1>with Washington is reportedly nearing completion, although the key sectors,

546
00:32:48.680 --> 00:32:53.960
<v Speaker 1>such as India's heavily protected agriculture, remains continuous contentious. Rather

547
00:32:54.359 --> 00:32:57.319
<v Speaker 1>as India prepares to assume the Bricks presidency in twenty

548
00:32:57.359 --> 00:33:00.559
<v Speaker 1>twenty six, it continues to perform a careful ballotleancing act,

549
00:33:00.599 --> 00:33:03.960
<v Speaker 1>projecting leadership within the global South, while steering clear of

550
00:33:03.960 --> 00:33:08.960
<v Speaker 1>any d dollarization rhetoric to avoid friction with Washington. Put

551
00:33:09.000 --> 00:33:13.119
<v Speaker 1>a pin in that because this article was written about

552
00:33:13.160 --> 00:33:17.680
<v Speaker 1>a week in some change ago. Yeah, we just things

553
00:33:17.680 --> 00:33:20.119
<v Speaker 1>have changed here. Trump just made it to where now

554
00:33:20.440 --> 00:33:22.680
<v Speaker 1>India is gonna have a twenty five percent tariff because

555
00:33:22.680 --> 00:33:24.759
<v Speaker 1>of them buying Russian oil. We're gonna get to it.

556
00:33:25.279 --> 00:33:29.240
<v Speaker 1>Critical minerals emerged as a key area of cooperation and competition.

557
00:33:29.759 --> 00:33:33.000
<v Speaker 1>While Bricks leaders have pledged cooperation on critical minerals, significant

558
00:33:33.000 --> 00:33:37.119
<v Speaker 1>differences persist among key members, particularly China and India, two

559
00:33:37.119 --> 00:33:40.519
<v Speaker 1>countries locked in a regional rivalry and engaged in an

560
00:33:40.640 --> 00:33:45.480
<v Speaker 1>unresolved border dispute. Indian Prime Minister Mody denounced the weaponization

561
00:33:45.559 --> 00:33:49.599
<v Speaker 1>of critical minerals and at the Rio summit following Beijing's

562
00:33:49.759 --> 00:33:54.240
<v Speaker 1>imposition of rare earth export restrictions on India. This signaled

563
00:33:54.359 --> 00:33:59.160
<v Speaker 1>pushback against the Chinese are China's alleged economic coercion and

564
00:33:59.200 --> 00:34:02.839
<v Speaker 1>price manipulation, aligning New Delhi more closely with Western leed

565
00:34:02.880 --> 00:34:07.319
<v Speaker 1>initiatives as India seeks secure and stable sources of critical minerals.

566
00:34:07.440 --> 00:34:11.400
<v Speaker 1>A partnership with Canada, positioning itself as a key player

567
00:34:11.440 --> 00:34:15.639
<v Speaker 1>in the critical mineral sector shows strong potential. With global

568
00:34:15.639 --> 00:34:19.920
<v Speaker 1>players competing for trade opportunities, partnerships and investments in this sector,

569
00:34:20.280 --> 00:34:23.599
<v Speaker 1>both competition and cooperation are likely to shape their economic

570
00:34:23.719 --> 00:34:28.480
<v Speaker 1>and diplomatic strategies. All right, So, knowing what we just

571
00:34:28.519 --> 00:34:30.559
<v Speaker 1>read about bricks, there was a lot of cooperation that

572
00:34:30.679 --> 00:34:33.239
<v Speaker 1>was had a lot of things about how they need

573
00:34:33.239 --> 00:34:36.400
<v Speaker 1>to stand together against the tariff war that Trump is raging,

574
00:34:37.079 --> 00:34:39.159
<v Speaker 1>a lot of things about we need to de escalate

575
00:34:39.199 --> 00:34:43.639
<v Speaker 1>military conflicts around the world. Although they weren't talking about Russia.

576
00:34:43.639 --> 00:34:47.719
<v Speaker 1>Oddly enough, when they were talking about de escalation and

577
00:34:47.920 --> 00:34:50.679
<v Speaker 1>ending conflicts in all this, it seemed to be more

578
00:34:50.760 --> 00:34:54.840
<v Speaker 1>at they were pissed at America for bombing Iram or

579
00:34:54.880 --> 00:34:59.239
<v Speaker 1>getting more heavily involved with Israel. No one talked about

580
00:34:59.280 --> 00:35:03.800
<v Speaker 1>the Russia at the entire Bricks summit. They just kind

581
00:35:03.800 --> 00:35:06.440
<v Speaker 1>of meandered over the topic. It was. It was pretty

582
00:35:06.480 --> 00:35:08.760
<v Speaker 1>much none of their concerns, so why concern yourself with

583
00:35:08.840 --> 00:35:12.719
<v Speaker 1>that kind of thing. But one of the key things

584
00:35:12.760 --> 00:35:15.360
<v Speaker 1>that started to show cracks in the bricks system is

585
00:35:15.440 --> 00:35:20.920
<v Speaker 1>the energy conversation. South Africa is one of the original

586
00:35:20.960 --> 00:35:23.559
<v Speaker 1>five members of Bricks, right, they're an og as far

587
00:35:23.599 --> 00:35:25.440
<v Speaker 1>as the bricks thing is concerned, and I understand that's

588
00:35:25.480 --> 00:35:27.239
<v Speaker 1>a weird thing to say. They haven't been around that long,

589
00:35:27.320 --> 00:35:30.000
<v Speaker 1>but as far as the conversation goes, they're seen as

590
00:35:30.039 --> 00:35:33.760
<v Speaker 1>the original five. We read that earlier. But they rely

591
00:35:34.719 --> 00:35:38.199
<v Speaker 1>so heavily on coal for a lot of their energy.

592
00:35:38.960 --> 00:35:41.440
<v Speaker 1>Bricks is starting to make moves to say that they

593
00:35:41.480 --> 00:35:44.159
<v Speaker 1>are going to I don't want to use the word

594
00:35:44.360 --> 00:35:50.000
<v Speaker 1>in force, but also they are making the signal that

595
00:35:50.079 --> 00:35:53.480
<v Speaker 1>if bricks countries don't start making more efforts to go green.

596
00:35:53.920 --> 00:36:00.239
<v Speaker 1>There may be, for lack of better words, consequences. Now,

597
00:36:01.079 --> 00:36:04.000
<v Speaker 1>what exactly does that mean? Does that mean there's gonna

598
00:36:04.000 --> 00:36:09.079
<v Speaker 1>be internal tariffs, There's gonna be strong words and statements

599
00:36:09.119 --> 00:36:12.400
<v Speaker 1>given I don't know. I don't know. I have zero

600
00:36:12.519 --> 00:36:14.960
<v Speaker 1>belief that any bricks nation is actually going to take

601
00:36:15.000 --> 00:36:18.760
<v Speaker 1>steps against another bricks nation, because if one card out

602
00:36:18.760 --> 00:36:20.840
<v Speaker 1>of the base of that house of cards falls out,

603
00:36:21.079 --> 00:36:23.360
<v Speaker 1>it all comes crumbling down. It's still a very new

604
00:36:23.440 --> 00:36:26.280
<v Speaker 1>and very fragile system. So I don't think anybody's gonna

605
00:36:26.280 --> 00:36:28.480
<v Speaker 1>try to really rock the boat that hard. I get that.

606
00:36:29.559 --> 00:36:32.400
<v Speaker 1>This being said, let's talk a little bit about South

607
00:36:32.519 --> 00:36:35.480
<v Speaker 1>Africa and while they are a bricks nation and all

608
00:36:35.559 --> 00:36:38.480
<v Speaker 1>these things, let's talk about it here. How do South

609
00:36:38.519 --> 00:36:44.039
<v Speaker 1>Africa pivot as the US withdrawals from JETP. Now what

610
00:36:44.239 --> 00:36:49.559
<v Speaker 1>is the JETP. It's called the Just Energy Transition Deal. Now,

611
00:36:49.760 --> 00:36:53.920
<v Speaker 1>as much as South Africa is a bricks nation, hardcore bricks,

612
00:36:53.920 --> 00:36:56.480
<v Speaker 1>they're one of the original five. All the thing, keep

613
00:36:56.519 --> 00:36:59.800
<v Speaker 1>in mind that the United States was a big investor

614
00:36:59.840 --> 00:37:03.280
<v Speaker 1>in their entire country, and some would say that they

615
00:37:03.320 --> 00:37:06.159
<v Speaker 1>can't really make it without the US dollar investing in

616
00:37:06.199 --> 00:37:09.679
<v Speaker 1>their infrastructure. For this Energy Transition deal. I'm not saying that.

617
00:37:09.920 --> 00:37:13.039
<v Speaker 1>Let's read into it here. So this is from the

618
00:37:13.280 --> 00:37:20.679
<v Speaker 1>website investing in African mining in Daba. Okay. Interesting. South

619
00:37:20.719 --> 00:37:25.039
<v Speaker 1>Africa seeks new funding as US exits just energy transition

620
00:37:25.199 --> 00:37:28.400
<v Speaker 1>deal again. They want to devalue the dollar, they want

621
00:37:28.400 --> 00:37:30.360
<v Speaker 1>to take it out from me in the one world currency.

622
00:37:31.440 --> 00:37:33.760
<v Speaker 1>And now they're looking for help because the US just

623
00:37:33.840 --> 00:37:36.159
<v Speaker 1>exited a deal with them. Interesting how that works out?

624
00:37:36.239 --> 00:37:40.840
<v Speaker 1>Considering South Africa being formally informed by the United States

625
00:37:40.920 --> 00:37:44.719
<v Speaker 1>Embassy on about the United States decision to withdraw from

626
00:37:44.719 --> 00:37:49.320
<v Speaker 1>the JETP, how do South Africa proceed? The US has

627
00:37:49.400 --> 00:37:53.199
<v Speaker 1>pledged in support of the jet Investment Plan, which was

628
00:37:53.239 --> 00:37:57.480
<v Speaker 1>subsequently developed by South Africa, comprising of fifty six million

629
00:37:57.519 --> 00:38:01.760
<v Speaker 1>dollars in grant funds and one billion dollars in potential

630
00:38:01.800 --> 00:38:07.039
<v Speaker 1>commercial investments by the United States International Development Finance Corporation.

631
00:38:07.119 --> 00:38:11.639
<v Speaker 1>Excuse me. The JETP was expected to provide eight point

632
00:38:11.679 --> 00:38:14.480
<v Speaker 1>five billion dollars in funding from partner countries the US,

633
00:38:14.519 --> 00:38:18.079
<v Speaker 1>the United Kingdom, European Union, Germany and France. Interesting how

634
00:38:18.119 --> 00:38:21.199
<v Speaker 1>none of that was bricks nations. It's all it's crazy.

635
00:38:21.239 --> 00:38:24.039
<v Speaker 1>It's crazy to me, but anyway to support South Africa's

636
00:38:24.039 --> 00:38:28.039
<v Speaker 1>transition from coal to cleaner energy. So the Bricks Nations

637
00:38:28.039 --> 00:38:30.800
<v Speaker 1>are making pushes for all of their countries to go

638
00:38:30.920 --> 00:38:34.159
<v Speaker 1>more green, yet they are helping one of their original

639
00:38:34.239 --> 00:38:37.960
<v Speaker 1>five go green. In zero regard, the only countries that

640
00:38:37.960 --> 00:38:40.679
<v Speaker 1>were helping fund South Africa to go more green were

641
00:38:40.840 --> 00:38:46.639
<v Speaker 1>non bricks nations. I find that interesting any way, State

642
00:38:46.760 --> 00:38:51.639
<v Speaker 1>Utility escam, escam, I hope I'm pronouncing that right needs

643
00:38:51.760 --> 00:38:56.119
<v Speaker 1>significant investments to upgrade infrastructure and transition to cleaner energy,

644
00:38:56.159 --> 00:38:59.199
<v Speaker 1>so the loss of US participation will hinder progress on

645
00:38:59.320 --> 00:39:04.599
<v Speaker 1>uscrom's restructuring and plans for renewables. International investors may see

646
00:39:04.599 --> 00:39:07.800
<v Speaker 1>the withdrawal as a sign of reduced global commitment to

647
00:39:07.880 --> 00:39:12.639
<v Speaker 1>South African energy transition, possibly affecting future green investments. However,

648
00:39:13.079 --> 00:39:22.039
<v Speaker 1>other JETP partners are still committed to All other JETP

649
00:39:22.239 --> 00:39:26.519
<v Speaker 1>partners are still committed, so alternative funding options might be explored.

650
00:39:26.920 --> 00:39:30.400
<v Speaker 1>In addition, the withdrawal of the US could strain US

651
00:39:30.440 --> 00:39:34.440
<v Speaker 1>South African relations, especially as South African maintains ties with

652
00:39:34.519 --> 00:39:38.559
<v Speaker 1>Bricks Nations right. This would see South Africa seeking more

653
00:39:38.599 --> 00:39:42.519
<v Speaker 1>secure alternative partnerships with China and or private investors to

654
00:39:42.599 --> 00:39:45.840
<v Speaker 1>fill the funding gap. South Africa's ability to meet its

655
00:39:45.880 --> 00:39:49.440
<v Speaker 1>climate targets reducing carbon emissions and achieving net zero by

656
00:39:49.480 --> 00:39:55.519
<v Speaker 1>twenty fifty is now at risk. Bro twenty fifty, that's

657
00:39:55.559 --> 00:39:57.920
<v Speaker 1>how far the plan is in advance, and now they're

658
00:39:57.960 --> 00:40:02.800
<v Speaker 1>saying that the third twenty five year look ahead might

659
00:40:02.840 --> 00:40:05.760
<v Speaker 1>be at risk because of what's happening right now. That's interesting.

660
00:40:06.360 --> 00:40:10.039
<v Speaker 1>Without sufficient support, the country will struggle to balance economic growth,

661
00:40:10.119 --> 00:40:15.239
<v Speaker 1>job preservation, preservation rather and in cold dependent regions, and

662
00:40:15.519 --> 00:40:20.079
<v Speaker 1>decarbonization efforts. South Africa will have to explore several alternative

663
00:40:20.079 --> 00:40:23.559
<v Speaker 1>funding sources to compensate for the US withdrawal from the partnership.

664
00:40:23.840 --> 00:40:27.159
<v Speaker 1>South Africa could negotiate for increased contributions from the remaining

665
00:40:27.199 --> 00:40:31.440
<v Speaker 1>partners Institutions like the World Bank IMF and African Development

666
00:40:31.480 --> 00:40:38.639
<v Speaker 1>Bank AfDB may provide concessional financial financing for energy transition projects.

667
00:40:38.920 --> 00:40:42.000
<v Speaker 1>Given South africa strong ties to Bricks, the Bricks's new

668
00:40:42.039 --> 00:40:45.440
<v Speaker 1>Development Bank could be a viable alternative for funding renewable

669
00:40:45.480 --> 00:40:49.559
<v Speaker 1>energy products. China has shown interest in financing energy infrastructure

670
00:40:49.599 --> 00:40:54.360
<v Speaker 1>in Africa again, so even though they are showing their

671
00:40:54.400 --> 00:40:57.599
<v Speaker 1>cracks here Bricks is there are some things that they

672
00:40:57.599 --> 00:41:00.840
<v Speaker 1>are unified on, no doubt, there's other things where they

673
00:41:00.880 --> 00:41:05.360
<v Speaker 1>are very divided on. They are actually judging the fossil

674
00:41:05.400 --> 00:41:09.239
<v Speaker 1>fuel heavy countries for not being more green, even though

675
00:41:09.400 --> 00:41:11.760
<v Speaker 1>the ones that are trying to go more green, we're

676
00:41:11.800 --> 00:41:15.760
<v Speaker 1>doing so from Western funding rather than bricks funding. Will

677
00:41:15.800 --> 00:41:18.800
<v Speaker 1>bricks step up to foot the bill for not just

678
00:41:18.880 --> 00:41:21.760
<v Speaker 1>South Africa but even India to try to help them

679
00:41:21.800 --> 00:41:24.840
<v Speaker 1>become more green and use renewable energy in all these things,

680
00:41:25.360 --> 00:41:29.440
<v Speaker 1>we shall see, We absolutely shall see. But again, a

681
00:41:29.480 --> 00:41:32.639
<v Speaker 1>lot of the bricks nations already have enough on their

682
00:41:32.679 --> 00:41:34.360
<v Speaker 1>plate to deal with right now, just trying to keep

683
00:41:34.360 --> 00:41:37.199
<v Speaker 1>their own people fed and keeping their own energy costs down.

684
00:41:37.719 --> 00:41:40.400
<v Speaker 1>With that being said, let's move over to talk about

685
00:41:40.440 --> 00:41:43.480
<v Speaker 1>another bricks nation that is under fire as we speak.

686
00:41:44.079 --> 00:41:47.199
<v Speaker 1>This is from Al Jazeera. Trump hits India with twenty

687
00:41:47.199 --> 00:41:53.400
<v Speaker 1>five percent tariff extra penalty for Russian oil purchases. All right, y'all,

688
00:41:54.559 --> 00:41:57.639
<v Speaker 1>remember how Trump said that he was going to tariff

689
00:41:57.679 --> 00:42:01.280
<v Speaker 1>the in his words, I'm not mistaken the shit out

690
00:42:01.280 --> 00:42:04.920
<v Speaker 1>of countries that were buying Russian oil third party. He

691
00:42:05.039 --> 00:42:08.039
<v Speaker 1>was very clear about these things. Now, of course, Donnie

692
00:42:08.039 --> 00:42:10.639
<v Speaker 1>t does not run the world. These countries leaders are

693
00:42:10.639 --> 00:42:12.400
<v Speaker 1>gonna do what's best for them and they're gonna look

694
00:42:12.440 --> 00:42:15.079
<v Speaker 1>out for their country's best interests. Of course, who can

695
00:42:15.119 --> 00:42:21.679
<v Speaker 1>blame them for this? I get this. That being said India,

696
00:42:21.719 --> 00:42:26.000
<v Speaker 1>who we just had this big talk about them being

697
00:42:26.039 --> 00:42:30.320
<v Speaker 1>coming more friendly with making these deals with There's even

698
00:42:30.559 --> 00:42:32.679
<v Speaker 1>there was a defense contract deal that was just struck

699
00:42:32.760 --> 00:42:34.719
<v Speaker 1>with Indian now too long ago. If I'm not mistaken,

700
00:42:34.800 --> 00:42:38.599
<v Speaker 1>American Indy just signed a military alliance which was pretty

701
00:42:38.719 --> 00:42:43.519
<v Speaker 1>pretty substantial. Now Trump is hitting Modi with a twenty

702
00:42:43.599 --> 00:42:48.000
<v Speaker 1>five percent tariff, literally an extra penalty for the Russian

703
00:42:48.039 --> 00:42:51.960
<v Speaker 1>oil purchases. Now, let's get into it here. US President

704
00:42:52.000 --> 00:42:54.880
<v Speaker 1>Trump has announced a twenty five percent tariff on Indian goods,

705
00:42:54.920 --> 00:42:58.280
<v Speaker 1>as well as an unspecified penalty for the country's purchase

706
00:42:58.320 --> 00:43:01.519
<v Speaker 1>of Russian oil and military equipment as an unending war

707
00:43:01.559 --> 00:43:04.639
<v Speaker 1>in Ukraine frustrates the White House. It's frustrating the world,

708
00:43:04.679 --> 00:43:07.039
<v Speaker 1>by the way, not just the White House. We're all

709
00:43:07.079 --> 00:43:10.599
<v Speaker 1>pretty tired of it. But we'll move on. Trump announced

710
00:43:10.599 --> 00:43:12.960
<v Speaker 1>the trade moves, which he said will come into effect

711
00:43:13.000 --> 00:43:16.360
<v Speaker 1>on Friday, on his true social account on Wednesday, saying

712
00:43:16.400 --> 00:43:20.920
<v Speaker 1>they are necessary to reverse long running trade imbalance. While

713
00:43:20.960 --> 00:43:24.079
<v Speaker 1>India's our friend, we have over the years done relatively

714
00:43:24.119 --> 00:43:26.679
<v Speaker 1>little business with them because of their tariffs are far

715
00:43:26.719 --> 00:43:29.239
<v Speaker 1>too high. You know what, there's a quick video here.

716
00:43:29.239 --> 00:43:30.519
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if it will do a good job of

717
00:43:30.519 --> 00:43:31.239
<v Speaker 1>breaking it all.

718
00:43:31.079 --> 00:43:39.760
<v Speaker 2>Down for US rehearsing for the first visit to good

719
00:43:39.840 --> 00:43:43.199
<v Speaker 2>Wrath by a US president. As Donald Trump is driven

720
00:43:43.199 --> 00:43:46.199
<v Speaker 2>from the airport, he'll be welcomed by these dancers. Then

721
00:43:46.679 --> 00:43:50.639
<v Speaker 2>one hundred thousand people in Sad are valid by Patel Stadium.

722
00:43:51.159 --> 00:43:54.320
<v Speaker 3>We are very much excited and we feel proud for

723
00:43:54.760 --> 00:43:57.920
<v Speaker 3>one of the best leader of the world. Mister Donald

724
00:43:57.920 --> 00:44:02.199
<v Speaker 3>Trump is coming to a coming to Gujarat, coming to

725
00:44:02.280 --> 00:44:04.599
<v Speaker 3>a Handabay Government.

726
00:44:04.280 --> 00:44:07.320
<v Speaker 2>Leaders in Gujarath have spent around ten million dollars half

727
00:44:07.360 --> 00:44:10.880
<v Speaker 2>of that on the blanket security operation for Donald Trump's visit,

728
00:44:11.199 --> 00:44:16.239
<v Speaker 2>scheduled to last just four hours. Billboards every few meters

729
00:44:16.239 --> 00:44:19.320
<v Speaker 2>around the city center celebrate the friendship between They say

730
00:44:19.400 --> 00:44:22.599
<v Speaker 2>the world's oldest democracy in the world's largest.

731
00:44:22.599 --> 00:44:26.000
<v Speaker 1>Okay, real quick, hold on, They have spent ten million

732
00:44:26.079 --> 00:44:30.719
<v Speaker 1>dollars strictly on security for Donald Trump's four day visit.

733
00:44:31.880 --> 00:44:34.199
<v Speaker 1>That's substantial. All right, let's continue.

734
00:44:35.280 --> 00:44:37.440
<v Speaker 2>And This wall has been built along the road that

735
00:44:37.519 --> 00:44:40.599
<v Speaker 2>President Trump will take from the airport to hide the

736
00:44:40.639 --> 00:44:45.000
<v Speaker 2>slum behind it, but away from the newly manicured city center.

737
00:44:45.280 --> 00:44:48.320
<v Speaker 2>Is another Gujarat from a time when that End Mordy

738
00:44:48.440 --> 00:44:51.800
<v Speaker 2>was Chief Minister of the state and banned from traveling

739
00:44:51.840 --> 00:44:55.199
<v Speaker 2>to the United States. In February two thousand and two,

740
00:44:55.360 --> 00:44:58.559
<v Speaker 2>Hindu mobs killed at least one thousand people, most of

741
00:44:58.559 --> 00:45:03.000
<v Speaker 2>the Muslims in riot. The US government banned Modi because

742
00:45:03.000 --> 00:45:07.440
<v Speaker 2>of allegations he tacitly supported the mob violence. Ninety seven

743
00:45:07.480 --> 00:45:09.920
<v Speaker 2>people were killed in the Muslim neighborhood of the Roorda

744
00:45:09.960 --> 00:45:14.280
<v Speaker 2>Patia in one day, including Salim Shik's cousin and her

745
00:45:14.280 --> 00:45:15.239
<v Speaker 2>two young children.

746
00:45:17.920 --> 00:45:21.280
<v Speaker 4>By inviting Trump, Modi wants to hide the atrocities taking

747
00:45:21.320 --> 00:45:24.280
<v Speaker 4>place against Muslims in India. He wants to clean his

748
00:45:24.360 --> 00:45:27.519
<v Speaker 4>image and pretend that everything is peaceful in India. But

749
00:45:27.639 --> 00:45:28.800
<v Speaker 4>what happened was wrong.

750
00:45:29.079 --> 00:45:32.440
<v Speaker 1>I believe that I agree with that, and the fact

751
00:45:32.480 --> 00:45:35.840
<v Speaker 1>that they literally built a wall to hide the slums

752
00:45:35.880 --> 00:45:38.320
<v Speaker 1>behind it, so that Trump on his drive from the

753
00:45:38.360 --> 00:45:41.920
<v Speaker 1>airport to the building, don't he won't see the slums.

754
00:45:42.519 --> 00:45:45.840
<v Speaker 1>It's that's pretty incredible. Anyway, moving on with the article here,

755
00:45:46.519 --> 00:45:50.000
<v Speaker 1>the president also blamed India for buying military equipment and

756
00:45:50.079 --> 00:45:52.679
<v Speaker 1>oil from Russia, which he said has enabled the war

757
00:45:52.679 --> 00:45:55.880
<v Speaker 1>in Ukraine. There's there's some merit to that, but I

758
00:45:55.920 --> 00:45:58.599
<v Speaker 1>mean every country who's buying Russian oil, and it's not

759
00:45:58.639 --> 00:46:01.880
<v Speaker 1>just India, there's tons They're buying a third party still

760
00:46:02.079 --> 00:46:04.679
<v Speaker 1>Russian oil, which is still in turn funding the war.

761
00:46:04.719 --> 00:46:07.840
<v Speaker 1>Which okay, that's how that goes. As a result, he

762
00:46:07.880 --> 00:46:11.519
<v Speaker 1>intends to charge an additional penalty starting on Friday as

763
00:46:11.559 --> 00:46:15.400
<v Speaker 1>a part of the launch of his administration's revised tariffs

764
00:46:15.480 --> 00:46:18.519
<v Speaker 1>on multiple countries. The Indian government said in a statement

765
00:46:18.519 --> 00:46:20.920
<v Speaker 1>on Wednesday it had taken note of Trump's tariff decision

766
00:46:21.000 --> 00:46:27.920
<v Speaker 1>and was studying its implications. That's that's a statement right there.

767
00:46:27.960 --> 00:46:31.880
<v Speaker 1>But anyway, the aggressive trade policy further complicates ties between

768
00:46:31.920 --> 00:46:35.079
<v Speaker 1>Trump and India's Prime minister, which were warmed during the

769
00:46:35.159 --> 00:46:38.119
<v Speaker 1>US president's first term but have since faced challenges over

770
00:46:38.159 --> 00:46:41.239
<v Speaker 1>trade and immigration. Mody has also denied Trump's claims that

771
00:46:41.280 --> 00:46:44.519
<v Speaker 1>he intervened to resolve a four day conflict with Pakistan

772
00:46:44.599 --> 00:46:47.400
<v Speaker 1>in May, saying India had not and or has not

773
00:46:47.559 --> 00:46:52.199
<v Speaker 1>and will never accept mediation. Pakistan, by contrast, has seen

774
00:46:52.320 --> 00:46:55.760
<v Speaker 1>its stock rise with Trump's administration before and after the

775
00:46:55.800 --> 00:46:59.480
<v Speaker 1>conflict with India. In June, Trump hosted Pakistan's army chief,

776
00:46:59.519 --> 00:47:04.159
<v Speaker 1>a sim Munir Awesome Munir Sure, for lunch at the

777
00:47:04.199 --> 00:47:06.519
<v Speaker 1>White House, the first time the US president has hosted

778
00:47:06.519 --> 00:47:09.679
<v Speaker 1>a military chief from Pakistan who isn't also the country's

779
00:47:09.679 --> 00:47:13.320
<v Speaker 1>head of state. The US announcement also follows a slew

780
00:47:13.360 --> 00:47:17.960
<v Speaker 1>of negotiated trade frameworks with the European Union, Japan, Philippines,

781
00:47:17.960 --> 00:47:21.079
<v Speaker 1>and Indonesia, all of which Trump said would open markets

782
00:47:21.079 --> 00:47:23.719
<v Speaker 1>for US goods while enabling the US to raise tax

783
00:47:23.800 --> 00:47:27.320
<v Speaker 1>rates on imports. Trump views tariff revenues as a way

784
00:47:27.360 --> 00:47:32.000
<v Speaker 1>to help offset the budget deficit, increases ties to his

785
00:47:32.199 --> 00:47:36.519
<v Speaker 1>recent income tax cut, and generates more domestic factory jobs.

786
00:47:37.159 --> 00:47:39.239
<v Speaker 1>We shall see if it actually does that. It's a

787
00:47:39.239 --> 00:47:41.960
<v Speaker 1>good thought. I still have a belief that AI driven

788
00:47:42.039 --> 00:47:43.760
<v Speaker 1>robots are going to be taken over most of the

789
00:47:43.920 --> 00:47:48.440
<v Speaker 1>menial manufacturing jobs that he thinks so many Americans are

790
00:47:48.440 --> 00:47:51.119
<v Speaker 1>just dying to get into a factory and work. I

791
00:47:51.159 --> 00:47:54.400
<v Speaker 1>don't think that's true, but we'll see. While Trump has

792
00:47:54.440 --> 00:47:58.920
<v Speaker 1>effectively wielded tariffs as a Kougel to reset the terms

793
00:47:58.960 --> 00:48:03.119
<v Speaker 1>of trade. The economic impact is uncertain, as most economics

794
00:48:03.599 --> 00:48:06.679
<v Speaker 1>economicists excuse me, expect a slow down in US growth

795
00:48:06.719 --> 00:48:09.880
<v Speaker 1>and greater inflationary pressures as the cost of taxes are

796
00:48:09.880 --> 00:48:14.360
<v Speaker 1>passed along to domestic businesses and consumers. The Census Bureau

797
00:48:14.440 --> 00:48:17.639
<v Speaker 1>reported that the US ran a forty five point eight

798
00:48:17.760 --> 00:48:20.960
<v Speaker 1>billion dollar trade imbalance in goods with India last year,

799
00:48:21.320 --> 00:48:24.440
<v Speaker 1>meaning it imported more than it exported. With a population

800
00:48:24.559 --> 00:48:27.440
<v Speaker 1>exceeding one point four billion people, India is the world's

801
00:48:27.519 --> 00:48:32.559
<v Speaker 1>largest country and a possible geopolitical counterbalance to China. India

802
00:48:32.559 --> 00:48:36.159
<v Speaker 1>and Russia have close relations, and New Delhi has not

803
00:48:36.239 --> 00:48:40.039
<v Speaker 1>supported Western sanctions on Moscow over its war in Ukraine.

804
00:48:40.079 --> 00:48:42.800
<v Speaker 1>When Trump in February met with Mody, the US President

805
00:48:42.880 --> 00:48:46.079
<v Speaker 1>said that India would start buying US oil and natural gas.

806
00:48:46.440 --> 00:48:49.159
<v Speaker 1>Trump discussed his policies on trade and tariffs with the

807
00:48:49.239 --> 00:48:52.960
<v Speaker 1>reporters accompanying him on Tuesday on the flight home following

808
00:48:53.000 --> 00:48:56.119
<v Speaker 1>a five day visit to Scotland. He declined to comment

809
00:48:56.159 --> 00:48:58.840
<v Speaker 1>when asked about reports that India was bracing for a

810
00:48:59.000 --> 00:49:01.840
<v Speaker 1>US tariff rate of at least twenty five percent, saying

811
00:49:02.199 --> 00:49:05.920
<v Speaker 1>we're going to see. Trump also said the outlines of

812
00:49:06.000 --> 00:49:10.079
<v Speaker 1>the trade agreement with India had not yet been finalized. Uh,

813
00:49:10.119 --> 00:49:13.280
<v Speaker 1>it's also worth mentioning not to circle back. But also

814
00:49:13.519 --> 00:49:16.360
<v Speaker 1>I think it's funny when Trump went to Scotland, he

815
00:49:16.519 --> 00:49:19.039
<v Speaker 1>you know, played golf as he is, you know, one

816
00:49:19.119 --> 00:49:22.480
<v Speaker 1>to do, and the reporters pretty much bombarded him with

817
00:49:22.519 --> 00:49:24.559
<v Speaker 1>Epstein questions while he was in the middle of his

818
00:49:24.559 --> 00:49:29.159
<v Speaker 1>golf game. He got pissed. It was hilarious. It's uh,

819
00:49:29.400 --> 00:49:33.119
<v Speaker 1>it's great, it's great. Moving on here, let's talk a

820
00:49:33.119 --> 00:49:35.400
<v Speaker 1>little bit about this twenty five percent tear if that

821
00:49:35.400 --> 00:49:37.039
<v Speaker 1>Trump is putting on India.

822
00:49:37.800 --> 00:49:40.559
<v Speaker 5>President Trump says the August first deadline to implement new

823
00:49:40.599 --> 00:49:43.519
<v Speaker 5>tariffs on trading partners could include one of America's largest

824
00:49:43.559 --> 00:49:47.199
<v Speaker 5>allies in Asia. The president says India's trade policies have

825
00:49:47.239 --> 00:49:50.880
<v Speaker 5>been hurting America and helping fund a war. Erica Brown

826
00:49:50.960 --> 00:49:53.119
<v Speaker 5>has more details tonight from Washington.

827
00:49:55.199 --> 00:49:58.280
<v Speaker 6>President Trump says he's ready to impose a twenty five

828
00:49:58.320 --> 00:49:59.920
<v Speaker 6>percent tariff on India.

829
00:50:00.239 --> 00:50:02.599
<v Speaker 7>They sell a lot to us, but we don't buy

830
00:50:02.639 --> 00:50:04.679
<v Speaker 7>from them. You know why, because the tariff is so high.

831
00:50:04.679 --> 00:50:06.519
<v Speaker 7>They have one of the highest tariffs in the world.

832
00:50:07.159 --> 00:50:09.280
<v Speaker 7>Now they're willing to cut it very substantially, but we

833
00:50:09.400 --> 00:50:10.039
<v Speaker 7>see what happens.

834
00:50:10.119 --> 00:50:13.519
<v Speaker 6>New Delhi says it will evaluate Trump's latest comments. The

835
00:50:13.719 --> 00:50:17.000
<v Speaker 6>US and India have held multiple rounds of trade talks

836
00:50:17.039 --> 00:50:18.559
<v Speaker 6>but have not come to an agreement.

837
00:50:18.719 --> 00:50:21.400
<v Speaker 7>We're talking to Indian now, we'll see what happens. It

838
00:50:21.440 --> 00:50:23.639
<v Speaker 7>doesn't matter too much whether we have a deal or

839
00:50:23.639 --> 00:50:25.760
<v Speaker 7>whether we charge them a certain teriff.

840
00:50:25.840 --> 00:50:27.840
<v Speaker 8>But you'll know at the end of this week.

841
00:50:28.039 --> 00:50:31.480
<v Speaker 6>And he wants an additional penalty for India buying military

842
00:50:31.519 --> 00:50:35.400
<v Speaker 6>equipment and oil from Russia, which President Trump says helps

843
00:50:35.480 --> 00:50:39.199
<v Speaker 6>fund Russia's war with Ukraine. The President is also deflecting

844
00:50:39.320 --> 00:50:43.039
<v Speaker 6>questions about Justice Department files related to Jeffrey Epstein.

845
00:50:43.400 --> 00:50:45.039
<v Speaker 7>It's getting to be very old news.

846
00:50:45.079 --> 00:50:48.400
<v Speaker 6>Senate Democrats announced they are invoking a little known law

847
00:50:48.599 --> 00:50:51.679
<v Speaker 6>to try to force the DOJ to release all Epstein

848
00:50:51.800 --> 00:50:53.480
<v Speaker 6>documents by August fifteenth.

849
00:50:53.599 --> 00:50:57.719
<v Speaker 1>Under federal law, when any five Senators on the Homeland

850
00:50:57.760 --> 00:51:02.719
<v Speaker 1>Security Committee call on the executive the executive branch must comply.

851
00:51:03.159 --> 00:51:06.320
<v Speaker 6>Republicans say the move is likely to trigger court challenges

852
00:51:06.480 --> 00:51:08.559
<v Speaker 6>before the Trump administration complies.

853
00:51:09.039 --> 00:51:13.480
<v Speaker 1>Erica Brown, It's getting to be very old news. Yeah, no,

854
00:51:13.719 --> 00:51:18.239
<v Speaker 1>it's not. It's really not, bro, It's it's it is

855
00:51:18.360 --> 00:51:21.679
<v Speaker 1>crazy how hard he has pivoted away from this conversation.

856
00:51:22.159 --> 00:51:26.480
<v Speaker 1>It's mind blowing. And even some of his most staunch

857
00:51:26.719 --> 00:51:29.840
<v Speaker 1>supporters people I personally know that we're pretty much the

858
00:51:30.239 --> 00:51:32.760
<v Speaker 1>forever Trumpers, you know, at this point it was going

859
00:51:32.840 --> 00:51:35.480
<v Speaker 1>to be Maga till I die kind of thing. Even

860
00:51:35.679 --> 00:51:40.360
<v Speaker 1>they are turning away from him and his administration strictly

861
00:51:40.440 --> 00:51:43.679
<v Speaker 1>off of the way he's handling the Epstein thing. It's great,

862
00:51:44.079 --> 00:51:48.079
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm glad that people are, you know, in

863
00:51:48.119 --> 00:51:51.679
<v Speaker 1>one regard not to go to conspiratorial with the conversation

864
00:51:51.800 --> 00:51:55.360
<v Speaker 1>at this point, but COVID did a lot to make

865
00:51:55.400 --> 00:52:00.239
<v Speaker 1>people start thinking for themselves right along the two. If

866
00:52:00.239 --> 00:52:03.360
<v Speaker 1>you want to argue this point three year mandates and

867
00:52:03.440 --> 00:52:07.280
<v Speaker 1>all the things, the masks, the stabs, the vaccines, all

868
00:52:07.320 --> 00:52:11.639
<v Speaker 1>the shit, a lot of people started thinking more critically about, hey,

869
00:52:12.199 --> 00:52:16.440
<v Speaker 1>maybe we should make our own decisions, Maybe we should

870
00:52:16.480 --> 00:52:19.679
<v Speaker 1>think for ourselves before we just do some stuff. Right

871
00:52:20.639 --> 00:52:23.800
<v Speaker 1>and Trump for everything that he has done that I

872
00:52:23.880 --> 00:52:28.199
<v Speaker 1>do like and I do support. This Epstein conversation has

873
00:52:28.280 --> 00:52:32.000
<v Speaker 1>done so much in the way of making even more

874
00:52:32.119 --> 00:52:36.440
<v Speaker 1>people start thinking more critically. It's great in that regard.

875
00:52:37.000 --> 00:52:38.960
<v Speaker 1>I hope that things come out. I hope that it

876
00:52:38.960 --> 00:52:41.119
<v Speaker 1>doesn't get pushed under the rug. I just I have

877
00:52:41.199 --> 00:52:43.440
<v Speaker 1>a very hard time believing in at this point. Maybe

878
00:52:43.440 --> 00:52:46.480
<v Speaker 1>that's just pessimistic of me. I don't know. I just

879
00:52:46.519 --> 00:52:50.159
<v Speaker 1>have a really hard time believing that. And whether it's

880
00:52:50.199 --> 00:52:52.840
<v Speaker 1>the flight logs, the Little Black book, the client lists,

881
00:52:52.880 --> 00:52:56.840
<v Speaker 1>the videos of the guilty parties, and whatever, whatever, I

882
00:52:56.840 --> 00:52:58.519
<v Speaker 1>got a hard time believing that any of that's going

883
00:52:58.599 --> 00:53:01.800
<v Speaker 1>to come out. The The big thing about it is,

884
00:53:01.960 --> 00:53:04.119
<v Speaker 1>if you were to do that, it's not even just

885
00:53:04.159 --> 00:53:09.639
<v Speaker 1>the American government, like legitimately three quarters of American elected

886
00:53:09.679 --> 00:53:15.400
<v Speaker 1>officials in Washington would be brought into jail over that list. Allegedly.

887
00:53:16.199 --> 00:53:18.599
<v Speaker 1>It's not just the United States though, and it's not

888
00:53:18.639 --> 00:53:20.800
<v Speaker 1>just Israel, and it's not just Russia, and it's not

889
00:53:20.880 --> 00:53:25.000
<v Speaker 1>just China, and it's the conversation goes more into the

890
00:53:25.039 --> 00:53:32.039
<v Speaker 1>realm of society might crumble if that list gets released. Personally,

891
00:53:32.679 --> 00:53:35.559
<v Speaker 1>that sounds like a good time to me. Not society crumbling,

892
00:53:35.639 --> 00:53:40.079
<v Speaker 1>but a real rebirth of society with all of the

893
00:53:40.599 --> 00:53:43.159
<v Speaker 1>shitheads at the top not being a part of the conversation.

894
00:53:43.679 --> 00:53:47.079
<v Speaker 1>That sounds amazing to me personally, But there are some

895
00:53:47.199 --> 00:53:50.320
<v Speaker 1>people that think that would be too drastic of a

896
00:53:51.280 --> 00:53:54.440
<v Speaker 1>shift and that society would not be able to withstand.

897
00:53:54.599 --> 00:53:57.480
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. But anyway, anyway, so back to the

898
00:53:57.480 --> 00:54:01.280
<v Speaker 1>whole Trump India thing. India does have very high tariffs

899
00:54:01.320 --> 00:54:05.440
<v Speaker 1>on imports into their country. That's very true, mostly because

900
00:54:05.559 --> 00:54:09.199
<v Speaker 1>they make so much that they buy in house. They

901
00:54:09.199 --> 00:54:11.559
<v Speaker 1>don't really have to outsource for much when it comes

902
00:54:11.639 --> 00:54:13.079
<v Speaker 1>to like the things that you would buy at your

903
00:54:13.119 --> 00:54:17.000
<v Speaker 1>local grocery store, manufacture goods, things like that, and they

904
00:54:17.039 --> 00:54:19.880
<v Speaker 1>have exceptions to certain things. I think the auto industry

905
00:54:19.920 --> 00:54:22.360
<v Speaker 1>has a couple of exceptions that you're able to sell

906
00:54:22.400 --> 00:54:25.400
<v Speaker 1>cars in India without such high tariffs and things, but

907
00:54:25.679 --> 00:54:27.360
<v Speaker 1>I'm not one hundred percent of that. They may have

908
00:54:27.440 --> 00:54:29.480
<v Speaker 1>high tariffs on their auto industry as well. My point

909
00:54:29.519 --> 00:54:32.800
<v Speaker 1>is India does have a very high tariff margin. As

910
00:54:32.840 --> 00:54:36.519
<v Speaker 1>far as the global conversation is concerned. Trump's saying that

911
00:54:36.559 --> 00:54:40.320
<v Speaker 1>he is pretty much matching fire with fire. However, the

912
00:54:40.400 --> 00:54:43.679
<v Speaker 1>main push to the upgrade to the twenty five percent tariff,

913
00:54:43.719 --> 00:54:46.599
<v Speaker 1>as well as the penalty he is saying, is based

914
00:54:46.639 --> 00:54:49.199
<v Speaker 1>in India's like, even though they made a deal with

915
00:54:49.280 --> 00:54:52.719
<v Speaker 1>US to buy our oil and natural gas in February,

916
00:54:53.000 --> 00:54:55.960
<v Speaker 1>They're still buying Russian oil and Trump's pissed about this.

917
00:54:56.400 --> 00:54:59.159
<v Speaker 1>So all right, fair enough, fair enough. We'll see how

918
00:54:59.199 --> 00:55:01.480
<v Speaker 1>it shakes out. We will see if that tariff stays

919
00:55:01.480 --> 00:55:04.199
<v Speaker 1>in action, or if India comes and strikes another deal

920
00:55:04.199 --> 00:55:07.159
<v Speaker 1>with Trump like so many other countries have done. We'll see.

921
00:55:07.800 --> 00:55:10.679
<v Speaker 1>Moving on the New York Post, and remember how I

922
00:55:10.719 --> 00:55:14.400
<v Speaker 1>said that President Xi might be on his way out

923
00:55:14.599 --> 00:55:18.719
<v Speaker 1>Old Winnie the Pooh himself the Chinese president Jijaping on

924
00:55:18.840 --> 00:55:21.239
<v Speaker 1>his way out question mark. This is from the New

925
00:55:21.360 --> 00:55:26.000
<v Speaker 1>York Post. Over the past few months, unprecedented developments point

926
00:55:26.039 --> 00:55:31.000
<v Speaker 1>to the potential and excuse me, potential and potentially imminent

927
00:55:31.119 --> 00:55:35.559
<v Speaker 1>fall of China's chairman of Everything, Jijaping. I don't necessarily

928
00:55:35.599 --> 00:55:37.599
<v Speaker 1>believe this, but at the same time, it is very

929
00:55:37.639 --> 00:55:40.480
<v Speaker 1>interesting that Gi has gone more into a state of

930
00:55:40.519 --> 00:55:44.360
<v Speaker 1>hermatism than anything else. Not going to the Brick Summit

931
00:55:44.960 --> 00:55:49.280
<v Speaker 1>wasn't at first glance, wasn't necessarily that big of a deal. Okay,

932
00:55:49.400 --> 00:55:53.199
<v Speaker 1>so he missed a event. Man was busy, he was

933
00:55:53.280 --> 00:55:55.639
<v Speaker 1>maybe he had a stomach virus or something something happened.

934
00:55:55.639 --> 00:55:58.360
<v Speaker 1>Whatever the case, maybe there was a legitimate reason for

935
00:55:58.440 --> 00:56:01.840
<v Speaker 1>him missing the Brick Summit, but there's been more than

936
00:56:01.840 --> 00:56:06.119
<v Speaker 1>a few speaking engagements foreign events where he was slated

937
00:56:06.199 --> 00:56:10.079
<v Speaker 1>to go where he has basically just not gone. There

938
00:56:10.159 --> 00:56:12.679
<v Speaker 1>may be more to this than what we originally thought.

939
00:56:13.000 --> 00:56:18.880
<v Speaker 1>The Chinese Communist Party elders, including Hugh Gianto's GI's imminent predecessor,

940
00:56:19.360 --> 00:56:23.320
<v Speaker 1>who G humiliated at the twentieth Party Congress in twenty

941
00:56:23.360 --> 00:56:26.559
<v Speaker 1>twenty two, are now running things behind the scenes. G

942
00:56:26.760 --> 00:56:29.280
<v Speaker 1>is in poor health and is likely to retire at

943
00:56:29.280 --> 00:56:34.079
<v Speaker 1>the CCP plenary session this August or take a purely

944
00:56:34.199 --> 00:56:38.199
<v Speaker 1>ceremonial position. G's downfall has been rumored before, but never

945
00:56:38.280 --> 00:56:42.519
<v Speaker 1>have we seen the recent purges and mysterious deaths of

946
00:56:42.679 --> 00:56:46.639
<v Speaker 1>dozens of People's Liberation Army generals loyal to G, all

947
00:56:46.719 --> 00:56:50.960
<v Speaker 1>replaced by non G loyalists. Now, I remember us talking

948
00:56:50.960 --> 00:56:53.280
<v Speaker 1>about this a couple weeks back. There seemed to be

949
00:56:53.320 --> 00:56:56.079
<v Speaker 1>this weird thing where there was more generals and more

950
00:56:56.119 --> 00:57:00.760
<v Speaker 1>heads of big businesses in China that were all just

951
00:57:01.679 --> 00:57:07.280
<v Speaker 1>found dead. And it wasn't in this big ceremonial military

952
00:57:07.360 --> 00:57:12.320
<v Speaker 1>tribunal hanging on the national news and everybody watched the execution.

953
00:57:12.440 --> 00:57:16.000
<v Speaker 1>Nothing like that, more or less, just very quietly, these

954
00:57:16.079 --> 00:57:20.079
<v Speaker 1>dudes have been pronounced dead and onto the next topic.

955
00:57:20.119 --> 00:57:23.039
<v Speaker 1>I mean, the CCP runs all the media in that country,

956
00:57:23.079 --> 00:57:24.679
<v Speaker 1>so if they don't run a big story on it,

957
00:57:24.800 --> 00:57:26.400
<v Speaker 1>there's just not gonna be a big story on it.

958
00:57:26.760 --> 00:57:30.599
<v Speaker 1>And we talked about how one of the biggest basically

959
00:57:30.679 --> 00:57:34.159
<v Speaker 1>the iPhone. To make the iPhone, it takes like three

960
00:57:34.280 --> 00:57:37.320
<v Speaker 1>hundred small companies and they're all owned by the CCP.

961
00:57:37.519 --> 00:57:40.280
<v Speaker 1>But one guy that was in charge of like a

962
00:57:40.320 --> 00:57:43.159
<v Speaker 1>third of the manufacturing facilities that all have a hand

963
00:57:43.159 --> 00:57:46.599
<v Speaker 1>in making the iPhone, he started making a conversation like

964
00:57:46.599 --> 00:57:49.880
<v Speaker 1>he was about to defect a Taiwan he got found dead.

965
00:57:50.559 --> 00:57:53.360
<v Speaker 1>And so it's not just the government, it's not just

966
00:57:53.840 --> 00:57:57.239
<v Speaker 1>the well, everything in China has its ties to the government.

967
00:57:57.320 --> 00:57:59.519
<v Speaker 1>My point is, it's not just government officials, it's not

968
00:57:59.559 --> 00:58:02.760
<v Speaker 1>just military leaders. It's even heads of businesses in China

969
00:58:02.840 --> 00:58:06.760
<v Speaker 1>that are all starting to make their way out. Xiang Wuxia,

970
00:58:07.159 --> 00:58:10.880
<v Speaker 1>probably mispronouncing that with whom she had a major falling

971
00:58:10.880 --> 00:58:14.480
<v Speaker 1>out after helping g secure an unprecedented third five year term,

972
00:58:14.920 --> 00:58:18.960
<v Speaker 1>is now the de facto leader of the People's Liberation Army. Also,

973
00:58:19.119 --> 00:58:23.440
<v Speaker 1>the unnaming of Ji's father's mausoleum last month was unprecedented.

974
00:58:23.679 --> 00:58:26.719
<v Speaker 1>The mausoleum, which she has built to honor his late father,

975
00:58:26.960 --> 00:58:31.199
<v Speaker 1>was was larger than a mausoleum for either Mal or Dang,

976
00:58:31.440 --> 00:58:36.079
<v Speaker 1>which is crazy. Meanwhile, Ji's personal protective detail has recently

977
00:58:36.119 --> 00:58:41.400
<v Speaker 1>been halved. What world leader cuts his own security. That's

978
00:58:41.639 --> 00:58:45.119
<v Speaker 1>that's where it actually kind of gets crazy to me personally. Uh,

979
00:58:45.159 --> 00:58:48.400
<v Speaker 1>whenever you see a world leader that is still currently

980
00:58:48.480 --> 00:58:50.519
<v Speaker 1>serving as a world leader. By the way, like whenever

981
00:58:50.559 --> 00:58:53.639
<v Speaker 1>Trump wasn't president, Yeah he had some secret security detail,

982
00:58:53.800 --> 00:58:56.119
<v Speaker 1>but I mean that's very normally. Former president still has

983
00:58:56.159 --> 00:58:58.719
<v Speaker 1>secret service with him in some way, shape or form,

984
00:58:59.239 --> 00:59:02.280
<v Speaker 1>not to the left that the seated president does. But

985
00:59:02.320 --> 00:59:05.840
<v Speaker 1>even Bush right now has a secret service detail attached

986
00:59:05.880 --> 00:59:10.679
<v Speaker 1>to him, usually older guys or girls or girls who

987
00:59:10.760 --> 00:59:14.079
<v Speaker 1>are you know, they're not the cream of the crop,

988
00:59:14.840 --> 00:59:17.480
<v Speaker 1>but they're still very capable agents and they just kind

989
00:59:17.480 --> 00:59:20.159
<v Speaker 1>of are with him anywhere he goes, just as private security.

990
00:59:20.320 --> 00:59:23.679
<v Speaker 1>It's very normal. She is still currently serving, and China

991
00:59:23.760 --> 00:59:28.000
<v Speaker 1>is not necessarily a uncontroversial country by any means, so

992
00:59:28.119 --> 00:59:30.800
<v Speaker 1>for him to cut his personal security detail in half

993
00:59:31.559 --> 00:59:35.800
<v Speaker 1>is actually kind of concerning to the status quo here.

994
00:59:36.599 --> 00:59:39.320
<v Speaker 1>There is no explanation for G's disappearance for almost two

995
00:59:39.400 --> 00:59:42.880
<v Speaker 1>weeks in late May and early June, while foreign dignitaries

996
00:59:42.920 --> 00:59:46.360
<v Speaker 1>were hosted in Beijing by other CCP leaders. She has

997
00:59:46.400 --> 00:59:49.719
<v Speaker 1>also been conspicuously missing from the pages of the People's Daily,

998
00:59:50.000 --> 00:59:54.639
<v Speaker 1>the CCP organ that until recently ran fawning front page

999
00:59:54.679 --> 00:59:59.639
<v Speaker 1>stories of G Daily. G appeared to host Belarus dictator

1000
00:59:59.719 --> 01:00:04.320
<v Speaker 1>and Russian puppet Alexander Lukashenko in early June. G looked

1001
01:00:04.360 --> 01:00:08.559
<v Speaker 1>tired and uninterested, even defeated. I don't. I don't necessarily

1002
01:00:08.559 --> 01:00:11.719
<v Speaker 1>see him as tired or uninterested or defeated in this picture.

1003
01:00:12.000 --> 01:00:15.800
<v Speaker 1>If anything, they both equally look like they're just kind

1004
01:00:15.840 --> 01:00:19.159
<v Speaker 1>of not really feeling this conversation. It don't look like

1005
01:00:19.159 --> 01:00:21.920
<v Speaker 1>they're they're mad or unfriendly with each other. They both

1006
01:00:22.000 --> 01:00:24.440
<v Speaker 1>just kind of look over it. So I don't. I

1007
01:00:24.440 --> 01:00:27.639
<v Speaker 1>don't know, honestly, and I've seen G's face in many

1008
01:00:27.639 --> 01:00:31.480
<v Speaker 1>a picture that's pretty much just his face. I don't.

1009
01:00:31.559 --> 01:00:34.039
<v Speaker 1>Maybe I'm just being Maybe I'm just being mean. I

1010
01:00:34.039 --> 01:00:36.280
<v Speaker 1>don't mean to sound like a dick. But I don't

1011
01:00:36.280 --> 01:00:40.199
<v Speaker 1>think he actually shows expression on his face ever, so

1012
01:00:40.320 --> 01:00:44.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, but sure to some people he looked defeated.

1013
01:00:45.000 --> 01:00:49.119
<v Speaker 1>I suppose the meeting location was a low key, family

1014
01:00:49.119 --> 01:00:53.119
<v Speaker 1>style area of the CCP leader's compound in Beijing that

1015
01:00:53.159 --> 01:00:56.000
<v Speaker 1>had never before hosted a state visit, stripped of all

1016
01:00:56.039 --> 01:00:59.760
<v Speaker 1>the pomp and circumstance that used to accompany every G gathering.

1017
01:01:00.119 --> 01:01:03.199
<v Speaker 1>The entire entourage was a mere handful. None of G's

1018
01:01:03.280 --> 01:01:07.559
<v Speaker 1>translators or senior aides were present. I find that to

1019
01:01:07.599 --> 01:01:10.800
<v Speaker 1>be highly unlikely. How is there a conversation between the

1020
01:01:10.880 --> 01:01:14.079
<v Speaker 1>leader of Belarus and the leader of China without a translator?

1021
01:01:15.119 --> 01:01:20.000
<v Speaker 1>But all right, unless maybe maybe Lukashenko had his own translator.

1022
01:01:20.360 --> 01:01:22.239
<v Speaker 1>Maybe that was what's being implied here, I don't know.

1023
01:01:22.800 --> 01:01:25.800
<v Speaker 1>Compare that to the state visits recently hosted by other

1024
01:01:25.880 --> 01:01:30.760
<v Speaker 1>CCP leaders, large extravagant affairs in prestigious CCP conference halls,

1025
01:01:31.159 --> 01:01:34.599
<v Speaker 1>And following his recent call with President Trump, Chinese state media,

1026
01:01:34.599 --> 01:01:38.440
<v Speaker 1>including State TV, referred to G without any formal title

1027
01:01:38.480 --> 01:01:42.519
<v Speaker 1>at all. This has never happened before. They usually call

1028
01:01:42.639 --> 01:01:45.599
<v Speaker 1>him by all of his monikers because he is the

1029
01:01:46.719 --> 01:01:49.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, the the ambassador to everything, the president of

1030
01:01:49.800 --> 01:01:52.119
<v Speaker 1>everything that you know, not of the world, but of

1031
01:01:52.199 --> 01:01:58.000
<v Speaker 1>every single group and association and whatever conference committee whatever.

1032
01:01:58.320 --> 01:02:00.360
<v Speaker 1>He is always the head of this committee, the head

1033
01:02:00.360 --> 01:02:02.719
<v Speaker 1>of this conference ahead of this. For them to just

1034
01:02:02.800 --> 01:02:06.599
<v Speaker 1>refer to him without any of his proper titles, that

1035
01:02:06.719 --> 01:02:10.719
<v Speaker 1>actually has never happened before in China. That's kind of crazy.

1036
01:02:11.519 --> 01:02:15.440
<v Speaker 1>While this was later partially corrected, it is an inconceivable,

1037
01:02:15.679 --> 01:02:17.880
<v Speaker 1>is it. I'm sorry, it is inconceivable that such a

1038
01:02:17.920 --> 01:02:21.559
<v Speaker 1>glaring oversight was an accident. Recently, professors at some of

1039
01:02:21.679 --> 01:02:25.880
<v Speaker 1>China's most prestigious universities have published articles directly criticizing G,

1040
01:02:26.480 --> 01:02:31.079
<v Speaker 1>which was unthinkable previously. That's another thing. Anybody that's been

1041
01:02:31.119 --> 01:02:34.079
<v Speaker 1>critical of G has ended up in jail or their

1042
01:02:34.079 --> 01:02:36.639
<v Speaker 1>family in some way, not to the level of Kim Jong.

1043
01:02:36.679 --> 01:02:39.239
<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying they get forced into twenty years of

1044
01:02:39.280 --> 01:02:43.119
<v Speaker 1>hard labor for using their voice. But also, China is

1045
01:02:43.280 --> 01:02:46.480
<v Speaker 1>not a free speech country, nor have they pretty much

1046
01:02:46.559 --> 01:02:50.840
<v Speaker 1>ever been in the last century and a half. Arguably,

1047
01:02:51.320 --> 01:02:55.280
<v Speaker 1>so that's pretty crazy that these professors are getting away

1048
01:02:55.320 --> 01:02:59.440
<v Speaker 1>with being critical of him. That's unprecedented. These are just

1049
01:02:59.480 --> 01:03:02.440
<v Speaker 1>a few of men unusual signs from Beijing that signal

1050
01:03:02.519 --> 01:03:06.360
<v Speaker 1>major changes in the CCP power structure. Although not yet certain,

1051
01:03:06.440 --> 01:03:11.480
<v Speaker 1>it appears that Jiang Wuxia again probably mispronouncing that Yuxia

1052
01:03:11.719 --> 01:03:16.800
<v Speaker 1>Wuxia whatever, and CCP elders have chosen Wang Yong from

1053
01:03:18.119 --> 01:03:23.719
<v Speaker 1>ding Zia xiapin Japing, Yeah, lifted out of obscurity and

1054
01:03:23.800 --> 01:03:27.719
<v Speaker 1>who served as a successful technocrat until his force retirement

1055
01:03:27.719 --> 01:03:32.719
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty three, to be the next CCP chairman. Again,

1056
01:03:33.079 --> 01:03:36.280
<v Speaker 1>very highly speculative at this point. I don't I don't

1057
01:03:36.559 --> 01:03:38.760
<v Speaker 1>necessarily believe that she is going to be stepping down

1058
01:03:38.760 --> 01:03:42.239
<v Speaker 1>in August. It's possible. There's always a greater than zero

1059
01:03:42.239 --> 01:03:45.760
<v Speaker 1>percent chance of a leader stepping down early from a term,

1060
01:03:46.079 --> 01:03:49.039
<v Speaker 1>especially if it's his third five year term consecutively and

1061
01:03:49.079 --> 01:03:52.280
<v Speaker 1>all these things. I don't know, but if that was

1062
01:03:52.320 --> 01:03:54.239
<v Speaker 1>to happen, it would also make sense that they would

1063
01:03:54.320 --> 01:03:58.719
<v Speaker 1>have a person slated to take the role next. He

1064
01:03:58.840 --> 01:04:02.000
<v Speaker 1>is known as a he's all spoken reformer who supports

1065
01:04:02.039 --> 01:04:06.360
<v Speaker 1>more free market policies, more decentralized decision making, and a

1066
01:04:06.440 --> 01:04:10.119
<v Speaker 1>much less confrontational foreign policy. So he sounds like a

1067
01:04:10.119 --> 01:04:13.280
<v Speaker 1>better pick as far as the Americans are concerned. Tony

1068
01:04:13.360 --> 01:04:16.280
<v Speaker 1>I saw you with your hand raised way in on

1069
01:04:16.320 --> 01:04:16.599
<v Speaker 1>this one.

1070
01:04:16.599 --> 01:04:18.519
<v Speaker 8>Brother, Yeah, I wanted to say.

1071
01:04:18.639 --> 01:04:22.400
<v Speaker 9>Dun Chowphing was the leader of China from nineteen seventy

1072
01:04:22.440 --> 01:04:27.559
<v Speaker 9>eight to about nineteen ninety one. He presided over major

1073
01:04:28.760 --> 01:04:32.280
<v Speaker 9>moves toward a more capitalist economy, but they would never

1074
01:04:32.320 --> 01:04:36.239
<v Speaker 9>say that out loud. And he was also head of

1075
01:04:36.280 --> 01:04:41.239
<v Speaker 9>the Central Military Commission while the Tianeman Square uprising happened,

1076
01:04:42.599 --> 01:04:45.760
<v Speaker 9>which is odd because he was definitely more pro Western

1077
01:04:45.800 --> 01:04:48.639
<v Speaker 9>and less Communists than the rest of the Chinese leadership

1078
01:04:48.639 --> 01:04:51.840
<v Speaker 9>and he almost got killed early on for it. And

1079
01:04:51.920 --> 01:04:54.679
<v Speaker 9>so his protege is again named Yang Yang. I had

1080
01:04:54.719 --> 01:04:56.679
<v Speaker 9>never heard of that guy, but he must be kind

1081
01:04:56.679 --> 01:04:59.280
<v Speaker 9>of old if he can trace his roots back to

1082
01:04:59.519 --> 01:05:03.039
<v Speaker 9>the the eighties probably, And the other guy you were

1083
01:05:03.039 --> 01:05:06.360
<v Speaker 9>trying to pronounce, his name is pronounced Jiang Yoshiah.

1084
01:05:07.440 --> 01:05:10.719
<v Speaker 1>Okay, I'm glad you're here for that, dude, because these

1085
01:05:10.760 --> 01:05:12.320
<v Speaker 1>words I speak American.

1086
01:05:12.400 --> 01:05:12.760
<v Speaker 8>Dude.

1087
01:05:12.800 --> 01:05:16.159
<v Speaker 9>That's wild to the way they chose to romanize Chinese.

1088
01:05:16.599 --> 01:05:19.760
<v Speaker 9>Has been a few ways, and they all suck. But

1089
01:05:20.119 --> 01:05:25.599
<v Speaker 9>I'm pretty familiar with the one called Pinion, and.

1090
01:05:24.440 --> 01:05:25.559
<v Speaker 8>It's it makes sense.

1091
01:05:25.639 --> 01:05:27.400
<v Speaker 9>You just got to remember the Q is a cha

1092
01:05:27.480 --> 01:05:29.400
<v Speaker 9>and the X is a sha, and then there's like

1093
01:05:29.519 --> 01:05:32.119
<v Speaker 9>five or ten other kind of very irregular rules that

1094
01:05:32.199 --> 01:05:34.840
<v Speaker 9>don't make sense to us. But Chinese is limited in

1095
01:05:34.880 --> 01:05:37.320
<v Speaker 9>it sound, and it's kind of stuffed our alphabet into

1096
01:05:37.320 --> 01:05:39.719
<v Speaker 9>their language, and you do get used to it if

1097
01:05:39.760 --> 01:05:40.519
<v Speaker 9>you see it enough.

1098
01:05:40.880 --> 01:05:43.159
<v Speaker 1>The X makes a shah or a shu.

1099
01:05:44.480 --> 01:05:48.119
<v Speaker 8>Shit, it's a soft sha sound, so they use the

1100
01:05:48.280 --> 01:05:50.880
<v Speaker 8>sh for the hard sha sound, and they use the

1101
01:05:51.159 --> 01:05:55.119
<v Speaker 8>X for the soft shu sound. The hard sh comes before.

1102
01:05:55.280 --> 01:06:01.800
<v Speaker 9>The the vowels A E, I, O, you, and it'll

1103
01:06:01.800 --> 01:06:04.880
<v Speaker 9>make it before an eye. It sounds like shit, But

1104
01:06:05.119 --> 01:06:07.639
<v Speaker 9>if it's an X, it's a soft and it sounds

1105
01:06:07.639 --> 01:06:07.880
<v Speaker 9>like she.

1106
01:06:08.559 --> 01:06:10.880
<v Speaker 1>So wait a minute, I thought, gie Zaping, I thought

1107
01:06:10.920 --> 01:06:13.519
<v Speaker 1>we were doing like a soft g almost when saying

1108
01:06:13.559 --> 01:06:14.320
<v Speaker 1>that name. It's she.

1109
01:06:15.719 --> 01:06:19.920
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, it's something like she or C something between those

1110
01:06:20.159 --> 01:06:23.960
<v Speaker 9>two consonants. Yeah, it's a soft sh sound, so it's

1111
01:06:24.000 --> 01:06:26.880
<v Speaker 9>like she or c, either one of those. And when

1112
01:06:26.920 --> 01:06:30.760
<v Speaker 9>it's before you, the X makes the show sound, but

1113
01:06:30.840 --> 01:06:33.639
<v Speaker 9>the U is an u sound, so you'll see x

1114
01:06:33.800 --> 01:06:36.920
<v Speaker 9>u or x u e and that's pronounced shoe or shue,

1115
01:06:37.639 --> 01:06:40.400
<v Speaker 9>and our language just doesn't really make those sounds. But

1116
01:06:40.480 --> 01:06:43.639
<v Speaker 9>there's dozen they stuffed our alphabet into their language. And

1117
01:06:43.679 --> 01:06:45.719
<v Speaker 9>I could educate you on all these rules some other

1118
01:06:45.719 --> 01:06:46.360
<v Speaker 9>time if you want.

1119
01:06:46.599 --> 01:06:49.679
<v Speaker 1>I would probably appreciate that, brother, but I also probably

1120
01:06:49.679 --> 01:06:52.440
<v Speaker 1>will forget it as soon as the lesson ends. That

1121
01:06:52.559 --> 01:06:55.119
<v Speaker 1>is crazy. This whole time, I've heard so many people

1122
01:06:55.480 --> 01:06:58.360
<v Speaker 1>call him Gi Zaping, not she shiping.

1123
01:06:59.039 --> 01:07:04.519
<v Speaker 8>That's great, Yeah, it's she Jean ping. So another thing

1124
01:07:04.559 --> 01:07:06.960
<v Speaker 8>is people say jen ping. No, it's not jen ping.

1125
01:07:07.039 --> 01:07:10.400
<v Speaker 9>It's like gene like the genes that you'd wear, and

1126
01:07:10.480 --> 01:07:13.199
<v Speaker 9>ping it's not like ping pong, or it's it's like

1127
01:07:13.400 --> 01:07:16.159
<v Speaker 9>peeing in the toilet or some ping.

1128
01:07:16.280 --> 01:07:19.679
<v Speaker 1>My god, Yeah, that language does not convert to the

1129
01:07:19.719 --> 01:07:24.920
<v Speaker 1>English alphabet. That's no way, no way, absolutely not. Moving

1130
01:07:24.960 --> 01:07:28.280
<v Speaker 1>on into the article here, to paraphrase Churchill, China is

1131
01:07:28.360 --> 01:07:31.480
<v Speaker 1>a riddle wrapped in an enigma surrounded by a mystery.

1132
01:07:31.679 --> 01:07:34.760
<v Speaker 1>Look that literally, from what we just talked about, that

1133
01:07:34.840 --> 01:07:39.360
<v Speaker 1>completely makes sense. Just the language itself is an enigma

1134
01:07:39.440 --> 01:07:42.159
<v Speaker 1>wrapped in a riddle surrounded by a mystery. Let alone,

1135
01:07:42.159 --> 01:07:45.079
<v Speaker 1>they're governmental status, but all right, moving on, so no

1136
01:07:45.079 --> 01:07:48.920
<v Speaker 1>one can know anything about with absolute certainty. But given

1137
01:07:49.000 --> 01:07:53.639
<v Speaker 1>the disastrous results of She's one man rule his ouster

1138
01:07:53.880 --> 01:07:57.960
<v Speaker 1>would be no surprise. With over five excuse me, with

1139
01:07:58.119 --> 01:08:02.199
<v Speaker 1>over fifty trillion dollars in total debt, national, local and

1140
01:08:02.280 --> 01:08:05.559
<v Speaker 1>private sector debt is larger than the combined economies of

1141
01:08:05.599 --> 01:08:11.519
<v Speaker 1>the US and the EU. Wow well over fifty million

1142
01:08:11.719 --> 01:08:16.199
<v Speaker 1>unused and mostly unusable apartments due to government policy failures,

1143
01:08:16.760 --> 01:08:21.920
<v Speaker 1>enough for all of Germany wealthy Chinese immigration in en mass,

1144
01:08:22.000 --> 01:08:26.960
<v Speaker 1>with their assets in an unemployment rate in depression territory.

1145
01:08:27.720 --> 01:08:32.239
<v Speaker 1>Very true, it is not surprising that local riots, factory arsons,

1146
01:08:32.279 --> 01:08:36.680
<v Speaker 1>and anti government protests have flared all over China. All right,

1147
01:08:37.479 --> 01:08:41.359
<v Speaker 1>so earlier this year there were reports, actually for the

1148
01:08:41.359 --> 01:08:43.960
<v Speaker 1>past few years, ever since COVID, there were reports of

1149
01:08:44.960 --> 01:08:49.439
<v Speaker 1>riots and protests just starting up all over China. And

1150
01:08:49.479 --> 01:08:52.199
<v Speaker 1>there were those that were saying that this couldn't be

1151
01:08:52.239 --> 01:08:57.000
<v Speaker 1>true because the people in China love al Panda bear himself, right,

1152
01:08:57.039 --> 01:09:01.039
<v Speaker 1>they would never ride against them and these things. Well,

1153
01:09:01.079 --> 01:09:03.600
<v Speaker 1>when you read that the numbers are in fact what

1154
01:09:03.720 --> 01:09:06.279
<v Speaker 1>they are, it would make sense that the Chinese people

1155
01:09:06.279 --> 01:09:09.960
<v Speaker 1>would be pretty pissed about it, especially if this guy

1156
01:09:10.000 --> 01:09:13.359
<v Speaker 1>has made himself the one man ruler over everything, so

1157
01:09:13.399 --> 01:09:15.920
<v Speaker 1>to speak. He has surrounded himself with a cult of

1158
01:09:16.000 --> 01:09:18.840
<v Speaker 1>personality of yes men that pretty much tell him that

1159
01:09:18.920 --> 01:09:23.279
<v Speaker 1>every idea he's ever had is brilliant, and over the

1160
01:09:23.920 --> 01:09:28.960
<v Speaker 1>years he has not. He's not he's not now up

1161
01:09:28.960 --> 01:09:31.680
<v Speaker 1>to snow what he once was. Let's just be real here, Okay.

1162
01:09:31.720 --> 01:09:34.199
<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying it's age. I'm not saying that he's

1163
01:09:34.199 --> 01:09:35.560
<v Speaker 1>been in power for too long and it has gone

1164
01:09:35.600 --> 01:09:37.800
<v Speaker 1>to his head. Maybe it's a mixture of both. Maybe

1165
01:09:37.800 --> 01:09:40.159
<v Speaker 1>there's a whole extra thing that we're not talking about here.

1166
01:09:40.159 --> 01:09:44.039
<v Speaker 1>But fifty trillion dollars in total debt is pretty crazy.

1167
01:09:44.720 --> 01:09:49.920
<v Speaker 1>Five or sorry, fifty million unused apartments and they're unusable.

1168
01:09:50.079 --> 01:09:53.039
<v Speaker 1>And that I've read that report from so many sources,

1169
01:09:53.680 --> 01:09:57.359
<v Speaker 1>and that the crisis there, the unemployment rate, all of

1170
01:09:57.439 --> 01:10:01.159
<v Speaker 1>these things. It's it's not good. It's not good at all. Anyway,

1171
01:10:01.840 --> 01:10:05.760
<v Speaker 1>CCP elders understand that China needs a new, pragmatic leader

1172
01:10:06.079 --> 01:10:09.479
<v Speaker 1>to have any chance of escaping the disaster now unfolding.

1173
01:10:10.880 --> 01:10:14.479
<v Speaker 1>Such a change will have huge positive implications for the

1174
01:10:14.560 --> 01:10:20.279
<v Speaker 1>US and our democratic allies if handled correctly, very very big.

1175
01:10:20.399 --> 01:10:24.039
<v Speaker 1>If on that, if it's handled correctly, I should say

1176
01:10:24.520 --> 01:10:27.119
<v Speaker 1>Trump can win this Cold war with China without firing

1177
01:10:27.159 --> 01:10:29.840
<v Speaker 1>a shot. Well, that's typically how Cold War happens. But

1178
01:10:29.880 --> 01:10:32.960
<v Speaker 1>all right, but Russia, North Korea and Iran could be

1179
01:10:33.119 --> 01:10:38.079
<v Speaker 1>devastated by this momentous change. In fact, Iran's rapid defeat

1180
01:10:38.079 --> 01:10:41.000
<v Speaker 1>by Israel and the US has underscored the weakness of

1181
01:10:41.119 --> 01:10:46.319
<v Speaker 1>Xi's foreign policy. One CCP elder recently lamented China's complete

1182
01:10:46.359 --> 01:10:49.560
<v Speaker 1>isolation on the world stage under sheet except for a

1183
01:10:49.600 --> 01:10:53.520
<v Speaker 1>handful of countries that are good for nothing. Vladimir Putin,

1184
01:10:53.720 --> 01:10:56.640
<v Speaker 1>take note, you lost Siria last year, you are on

1185
01:10:56.760 --> 01:10:59.960
<v Speaker 1>the brink of losing Iran, and you may soon lose China.

1186
01:11:00.279 --> 01:11:04.479
<v Speaker 1>Excellent news for all democracies, and especially for Israel, America

1187
01:11:04.920 --> 01:11:08.399
<v Speaker 1>and the brave people of Ukraine. Well, so this article

1188
01:11:08.479 --> 01:11:11.720
<v Speaker 1>is clearly biased, right, and I get that, But that

1189
01:11:11.760 --> 01:11:14.760
<v Speaker 1>doesn't denote some of the numbers that were thrown out here,

1190
01:11:14.960 --> 01:11:18.600
<v Speaker 1>or the fact that China is kind of going downhill overall.

1191
01:11:19.880 --> 01:11:23.039
<v Speaker 1>I don't know what the future holds for Jijiping. I

1192
01:11:23.079 --> 01:11:27.279
<v Speaker 1>will say that, yes, if he was to be removed

1193
01:11:27.760 --> 01:11:34.239
<v Speaker 1>for a more deal making person, a more agreeable person

1194
01:11:34.279 --> 01:11:36.840
<v Speaker 1>to take over the CCP, I feel like that would

1195
01:11:36.840 --> 01:11:41.479
<v Speaker 1>only go better with the entire world now there's another

1196
01:11:41.600 --> 01:11:46.720
<v Speaker 1>article from World Politics Reviews, when crisis hits China keeps

1197
01:11:46.800 --> 01:11:50.560
<v Speaker 1>leaving its partners high and dry. Now I felt like

1198
01:11:50.600 --> 01:11:52.800
<v Speaker 1>this would be pretty interesting as it was talking about

1199
01:11:52.840 --> 01:11:56.199
<v Speaker 1>when Iran was hit with the US and the Israeli

1200
01:11:56.720 --> 01:12:02.840
<v Speaker 1>joint airstrikes, China, one of Iran's really close allies, did nothing.

1201
01:12:03.800 --> 01:12:08.039
<v Speaker 1>They said some things, some words were exchanged, but that

1202
01:12:08.159 --> 01:12:10.720
<v Speaker 1>was also happened by most of the bricks nations that

1203
01:12:10.840 --> 01:12:13.800
<v Speaker 1>met at the summit. They all, if you look at

1204
01:12:13.880 --> 01:12:17.720
<v Speaker 1>individual reports, every one of them were not too pleased

1205
01:12:18.239 --> 01:12:22.680
<v Speaker 1>with what happened with Iran. Did nothing happen as a

1206
01:12:22.680 --> 01:12:25.560
<v Speaker 1>result of it. These are words, These are just words.

1207
01:12:26.319 --> 01:12:28.600
<v Speaker 1>Let's read the article here. Iran has been one of

1208
01:12:28.600 --> 01:12:32.239
<v Speaker 1>the most vocal countries in opposing US hegemony and welcoming

1209
01:12:32.279 --> 01:12:34.960
<v Speaker 1>the rise of China. It is usually lumped together as

1210
01:12:35.000 --> 01:12:40.399
<v Speaker 1>an authoritarian axis along with China, Russia, and North Korea. Nevertheless,

1211
01:12:40.439 --> 01:12:43.640
<v Speaker 1>when Iran was overwhelmed by the combined airpower of Israel

1212
01:12:43.640 --> 01:12:46.119
<v Speaker 1>in the United States in mid June, Beijing not only

1213
01:12:46.119 --> 01:12:49.880
<v Speaker 1>remained quiet, but even signaled its disapproval of Tehran's threats

1214
01:12:49.920 --> 01:12:52.840
<v Speaker 1>to block the Straight of Horror moves to maritime traffic.

1215
01:12:53.560 --> 01:12:56.640
<v Speaker 1>Now that makes sense to me. For a business standpoint,

1216
01:12:56.920 --> 01:12:59.159
<v Speaker 1>the straight of Horror moves is one of the biggest

1217
01:12:59.159 --> 01:13:02.800
<v Speaker 1>corridors of trade on Earth. Of course, if Iran talking

1218
01:13:02.800 --> 01:13:06.359
<v Speaker 1>about blocking it, China would be pissed. China only survives

1219
01:13:06.439 --> 01:13:10.720
<v Speaker 1>because of international trade. But let's move on. Though the

1220
01:13:10.760 --> 01:13:14.439
<v Speaker 1>israel I Ran conflict ended without further escalation, it underscored

1221
01:13:14.479 --> 01:13:16.560
<v Speaker 1>the fact that the narratives declaring the rise of a

1222
01:13:16.600 --> 01:13:19.520
<v Speaker 1>new Chinese led global order in Beijing's willingness to replace

1223
01:13:19.560 --> 01:13:23.880
<v Speaker 1>the US as a global hegemon are for now wildly premature.

1224
01:13:24.840 --> 01:13:28.279
<v Speaker 1>This makes me happy. Those narratives have gathered steams since

1225
01:13:28.279 --> 01:13:31.159
<v Speaker 1>the US President returned to the White House, seemingly intent

1226
01:13:31.279 --> 01:13:35.279
<v Speaker 1>on upending the last remnants of the liberal international order.

1227
01:13:36.039 --> 01:13:40.319
<v Speaker 1>But they are more a projection of Cold War era

1228
01:13:40.960 --> 01:13:45.760
<v Speaker 1>pragdem's paradigms excuse me onto today's world, than a reflection

1229
01:13:45.880 --> 01:13:48.600
<v Speaker 1>of what China has in mind. During the Cold War,

1230
01:13:48.640 --> 01:13:53.199
<v Speaker 1>the US and Soviet Union competed for global primacy by

1231
01:13:53.279 --> 01:13:56.479
<v Speaker 1>coordinating a network of allies backing them and even taking

1232
01:13:56.520 --> 01:14:00.079
<v Speaker 1>part in a costly military interventions to sustain their their

1233
01:14:00.239 --> 01:14:04.720
<v Speaker 1>spheres of influence. Name any war from the sixties and seventies,

1234
01:14:04.760 --> 01:14:06.680
<v Speaker 1>even the fifties, we could talk about Korea two. It

1235
01:14:06.720 --> 01:14:08.520
<v Speaker 1>was all part of that, right, that was all Cold

1236
01:14:08.560 --> 01:14:12.039
<v Speaker 1>War things. China has a different approach, acting not as

1237
01:14:12.039 --> 01:14:14.600
<v Speaker 1>a protector of its partner states but as an enabler

1238
01:14:14.720 --> 01:14:17.760
<v Speaker 1>of their options. China has contributed to the rise of

1239
01:14:18.760 --> 01:14:24.119
<v Speaker 1>a multipolar globalization by providing economic and technological alternatives that

1240
01:14:24.199 --> 01:14:27.479
<v Speaker 1>reduce Western leverage. Its strength relies more on the long

1241
01:14:27.600 --> 01:14:30.560
<v Speaker 1>term impacts of these shifts in global power it has

1242
01:14:30.600 --> 01:14:35.359
<v Speaker 1>helped catalyze, rather than on Beijing's ability to willing ability

1243
01:14:35.479 --> 01:14:38.960
<v Speaker 1>or willingness to take immediate action to assist partners or

1244
01:14:39.000 --> 01:14:43.760
<v Speaker 1>exercise leadership on the global geopolitical stage. This approach allows

1245
01:14:43.760 --> 01:14:47.920
<v Speaker 1>Beijing to contribute to and benefit from those shifts without

1246
01:14:47.960 --> 01:14:52.399
<v Speaker 1>bearing the full cost of providing alternative leadership. Nevertheless, China's

1247
01:14:52.399 --> 01:14:56.319
<v Speaker 1>strategy has run up against important limits with what friendly

1248
01:14:56.359 --> 01:15:00.399
<v Speaker 1>governments desperately need is not long term investments, but help

1249
01:15:00.439 --> 01:15:04.319
<v Speaker 1>from a protector capable of guaranteeing their immediate security. Recent

1250
01:15:04.359 --> 01:15:06.880
<v Speaker 1>events in the Middle East illustrate both the advantages and

1251
01:15:07.000 --> 01:15:10.199
<v Speaker 1>limits of China's enabler strategy. The fact that Beijing is

1252
01:15:10.239 --> 01:15:13.560
<v Speaker 1>a major purchaser of Middle Eastern oil, has led many

1253
01:15:13.640 --> 01:15:17.319
<v Speaker 1>analysis to mistakenly assume that China has the same geopolitical

1254
01:15:17.359 --> 01:15:20.640
<v Speaker 1>leverage as countries that can project military strength in the region,

1255
01:15:21.159 --> 01:15:23.760
<v Speaker 1>like the US and to a lesser degree, Russia. But

1256
01:15:23.800 --> 01:15:26.680
<v Speaker 1>that's not the case. Over the past fifteen years, in Syria,

1257
01:15:26.720 --> 01:15:30.079
<v Speaker 1>for example, China backed the government of former dictator Bashar

1258
01:15:30.159 --> 01:15:33.960
<v Speaker 1>al Assad through the United Nations Security Council VETOS and

1259
01:15:34.159 --> 01:15:38.840
<v Speaker 1>limited economic engagements, while aligning rhetorically with Russia and Iran

1260
01:15:38.920 --> 01:15:42.960
<v Speaker 1>in support of Damascus. In return, Syria supported China's position

1261
01:15:43.039 --> 01:15:47.279
<v Speaker 1>in international forums. But China's economic investments in Syria, including

1262
01:15:47.319 --> 01:15:52.920
<v Speaker 1>participation in reconstruction projects and energy sector developments, proved irrelevant

1263
01:15:52.920 --> 01:15:56.840
<v Speaker 1>when it came to the Asad Reshim's survival, which I

1264
01:15:56.840 --> 01:15:58.800
<v Speaker 1>mean that makes sense when Aasava was on his way out,

1265
01:15:59.399 --> 01:16:01.960
<v Speaker 1>China was an entering the conversation as far as helping

1266
01:16:02.000 --> 01:16:04.199
<v Speaker 1>him stay in power, not at all. They were just

1267
01:16:04.239 --> 01:16:06.039
<v Speaker 1>there for the energy. They're there for the business side

1268
01:16:06.039 --> 01:16:08.920
<v Speaker 1>of it. They're not there to project military force. In

1269
01:16:08.960 --> 01:16:12.640
<v Speaker 1>December twenty twenty four, when large sections of Syria's armed

1270
01:16:12.640 --> 01:16:17.279
<v Speaker 1>forces began to desert him, Beijing offered a sod rhetorical support,

1271
01:16:17.800 --> 01:16:21.800
<v Speaker 1>leading some observers to erroneously believe China was willing to

1272
01:16:21.840 --> 01:16:25.359
<v Speaker 1>step up its role in the conflict. However, China offered

1273
01:16:25.359 --> 01:16:29.880
<v Speaker 1>no practical assistance to prevent Alsad's ouster just days later.

1274
01:16:30.199 --> 01:16:33.239
<v Speaker 1>By March twenty twenty five, Beijing had already moved on

1275
01:16:33.279 --> 01:16:37.199
<v Speaker 1>and was trying to normalize relations with the new Syrian government.

1276
01:16:37.760 --> 01:16:41.439
<v Speaker 1>China's perceived in action in moments of crisis does have

1277
01:16:41.479 --> 01:16:46.279
<v Speaker 1>an impact on its international image, and its non interventionalist

1278
01:16:46.359 --> 01:16:51.239
<v Speaker 1>approach carries costs and limitations as well. That contrast with

1279
01:16:51.319 --> 01:16:54.960
<v Speaker 1>Russia's costly intervention in Syria from twenty fifteen onward, which

1280
01:16:55.079 --> 01:17:00.000
<v Speaker 1>ultimately also failed to save As'ad. And for the record, yeah,

1281
01:17:00.159 --> 01:17:03.800
<v Speaker 1>Russia has a vested interest in Syria maintaining some sort

1282
01:17:03.840 --> 01:17:07.840
<v Speaker 1>of a normalcy. Their largest air and naval stations to

1283
01:17:07.920 --> 01:17:11.840
<v Speaker 1>the entirety of the Mediterranean Sea are located in Syria.

1284
01:17:11.880 --> 01:17:15.239
<v Speaker 1>Of course, Russia's gonna step into, at least, if nothing else,

1285
01:17:15.600 --> 01:17:19.159
<v Speaker 1>protect the far western and coastal areas of Syria. That's

1286
01:17:19.199 --> 01:17:22.119
<v Speaker 1>more than China can say. But it's not like they

1287
01:17:22.199 --> 01:17:26.960
<v Speaker 1>were trying to offer military aid to keep a soden power.

1288
01:17:27.399 --> 01:17:32.560
<v Speaker 1>They at least offered some quote unquote peacekeeping operations in

1289
01:17:32.600 --> 01:17:35.239
<v Speaker 1>the area, but it wasn't even Russian forces at that point,

1290
01:17:35.319 --> 01:17:39.399
<v Speaker 1>it was more Wagner. But anyway, to a certain extent,

1291
01:17:39.560 --> 01:17:42.880
<v Speaker 1>this is the model of Russia and China's geopolitical cooperation

1292
01:17:42.960 --> 01:17:46.680
<v Speaker 1>with Moscow providing the military muscle that Beijing lacks, while

1293
01:17:46.680 --> 01:17:50.680
<v Speaker 1>Buringjing brings the cash. However, when Russia became entangled in

1294
01:17:50.720 --> 01:17:53.680
<v Speaker 1>a war in Ukraine, China did not even consider stepping

1295
01:17:53.800 --> 01:17:56.079
<v Speaker 1>up its role in Syria, which would have been a

1296
01:17:56.119 --> 01:18:00.399
<v Speaker 1>clear sign of Beijing adopting a new global profile. And

1297
01:18:00.439 --> 01:18:03.079
<v Speaker 1>I agree with that. If China wanted to make it

1298
01:18:03.159 --> 01:18:05.680
<v Speaker 1>known on the world stage that they are trying to

1299
01:18:05.720 --> 01:18:08.800
<v Speaker 1>take over as the new superpower in some way, shape

1300
01:18:08.880 --> 01:18:11.880
<v Speaker 1>or form, or at least enter the conversation as being

1301
01:18:11.880 --> 01:18:15.000
<v Speaker 1>the global superpower, Syria would have been a great time

1302
01:18:15.199 --> 01:18:18.199
<v Speaker 1>to step into that conversation. So would it have been

1303
01:18:18.239 --> 01:18:22.960
<v Speaker 1>with the India and Pakistan conversation. There's many examples where

1304
01:18:22.960 --> 01:18:25.600
<v Speaker 1>they could have and some would argue should have stepped

1305
01:18:25.680 --> 01:18:28.279
<v Speaker 1>up in a military way. They have no interest in it.

1306
01:18:28.560 --> 01:18:32.680
<v Speaker 1>They simply don't Chinese military. I know a lot of people.

1307
01:18:32.760 --> 01:18:36.039
<v Speaker 1>Their biggest asset is their numbers, but that's also been

1308
01:18:36.159 --> 01:18:40.239
<v Speaker 1>China's biggest asset as far as everything is concerned, and

1309
01:18:40.399 --> 01:18:44.159
<v Speaker 1>that's also becoming their biggest deterrent at this moment too.

1310
01:18:44.399 --> 01:18:48.880
<v Speaker 1>But let's continue. Like Moscow, Beijing might simply have thought

1311
01:18:48.920 --> 01:18:52.920
<v Speaker 1>that Asad was beyond saving. But Asad's downfall raises particular

1312
01:18:52.960 --> 01:18:55.279
<v Speaker 1>concerns for China, as it can be traced back to

1313
01:18:55.319 --> 01:18:58.600
<v Speaker 1>the so called Arab spring and the wave of regime

1314
01:18:58.720 --> 01:19:02.920
<v Speaker 1>changes those upright unleashed throughout the Arab world. Beijing has

1315
01:19:03.039 --> 01:19:07.600
<v Speaker 1>always seen those revolts as color and color revolutions in general,

1316
01:19:07.640 --> 01:19:11.880
<v Speaker 1>as driven by foreign forces, namely the US, purportedly operating

1317
01:19:11.920 --> 01:19:18.000
<v Speaker 1>through a global network of media and NGOs. That's not inaccurate. Look,

1318
01:19:18.079 --> 01:19:19.720
<v Speaker 1>if we're gonna keep it one hundred, let's go ahead

1319
01:19:19.720 --> 01:19:22.079
<v Speaker 1>and keep it one thou well here, that's not inaccurate.

1320
01:19:22.560 --> 01:19:25.039
<v Speaker 1>But it's not like US is the only actor on that.

1321
01:19:25.680 --> 01:19:28.119
<v Speaker 1>I would say that we are probably the biggest actor

1322
01:19:28.199 --> 01:19:32.640
<v Speaker 1>on that. But okay. China considers any success for these

1323
01:19:32.640 --> 01:19:37.840
<v Speaker 1>popular uprisings as dangerous, a dangerous precedent, and a threat

1324
01:19:37.880 --> 01:19:41.479
<v Speaker 1>to its own political stability, as demonstrated by the links

1325
01:19:41.680 --> 01:19:44.840
<v Speaker 1>to which it goes to portray the Hong Kong pro

1326
01:19:44.960 --> 01:19:51.000
<v Speaker 1>democracy movement as the product of hostile foreign forces. That's

1327
01:19:51.279 --> 01:19:54.960
<v Speaker 1>that's actually inaccurate. Hong Kong was owned by Europe or

1328
01:19:55.000 --> 01:19:57.159
<v Speaker 1>by England, I should say, for a very long time.

1329
01:19:57.479 --> 01:19:59.199
<v Speaker 1>When it came time for it to be returned back

1330
01:19:59.239 --> 01:20:01.760
<v Speaker 1>to China, the people of Hong Kong that operated in

1331
01:20:01.800 --> 01:20:05.119
<v Speaker 1>a democratic way didn't want to go to a CCP

1332
01:20:05.359 --> 01:20:09.319
<v Speaker 1>way that wasn't hostile foreign forces. That was a culture

1333
01:20:09.359 --> 01:20:12.800
<v Speaker 1>that had been endemic to what we might affectionately call

1334
01:20:12.880 --> 01:20:16.800
<v Speaker 1>a modern city state. That was obviously that was going

1335
01:20:16.880 --> 01:20:20.359
<v Speaker 1>to be a tumultuous transition, but neither here nor there.

1336
01:20:21.039 --> 01:20:24.840
<v Speaker 1>For these reasons, Beijing has had reasons to prefer that

1337
01:20:24.920 --> 01:20:27.159
<v Speaker 1>a SOD remained in power, but China lacked both the

1338
01:20:27.159 --> 01:20:29.840
<v Speaker 1>will and the tools to help him. That underscores the

1339
01:20:29.840 --> 01:20:32.920
<v Speaker 1>fact that while China's influence is important to normal times

1340
01:20:33.279 --> 01:20:37.159
<v Speaker 1>and it lacks the coercive capacity to bail out an

1341
01:20:37.199 --> 01:20:41.199
<v Speaker 1>ally during moments of political and security crisis, China's involvement

1342
01:20:41.199 --> 01:20:44.279
<v Speaker 1>in Iran has been much greater compared to Syria. China

1343
01:20:44.359 --> 01:20:48.479
<v Speaker 1>is Iran's top oil buyer. Despite Western sanctions, Beijing has

1344
01:20:48.520 --> 01:20:53.000
<v Speaker 1>provided Tehran with an economic lifeline against Western pressure, including

1345
01:20:53.119 --> 01:20:57.680
<v Speaker 1>access to alternative markets and financial mechanisms. In addition, China

1346
01:20:57.680 --> 01:21:00.840
<v Speaker 1>has supplied Iran with dual use technology that enabled Tehran

1347
01:21:01.319 --> 01:21:04.399
<v Speaker 1>and its proxies like the Huthis to develop highly capable

1348
01:21:04.439 --> 01:21:08.800
<v Speaker 1>military drones. More importantly, China has shepherded Iran into two

1349
01:21:09.039 --> 01:21:14.720
<v Speaker 1>multilateral groupings as full members, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Regional

1350
01:21:14.760 --> 01:21:18.840
<v Speaker 1>Security Block and the Bricks. Now, I did want to

1351
01:21:18.840 --> 01:21:21.720
<v Speaker 1>make a mention of that one. China has supplied Ran

1352
01:21:21.760 --> 01:21:24.880
<v Speaker 1>with dual use technology that has enabled them and entire

1353
01:21:24.960 --> 01:21:29.079
<v Speaker 1>Tehran and its proxies like the hoo Theis, to develop

1354
01:21:29.359 --> 01:21:34.600
<v Speaker 1>highly capable military drones. I am personally of the belief

1355
01:21:35.159 --> 01:21:38.800
<v Speaker 1>that thewish dot com slash TMU drones that China has

1356
01:21:38.840 --> 01:21:41.840
<v Speaker 1>been peddling out to these people is not what we

1357
01:21:41.880 --> 01:21:47.279
<v Speaker 1>would call highly capable quote unquote that's just my two cents.

1358
01:21:47.359 --> 01:21:52.079
<v Speaker 1>But anyway, but for that support if Iran if Iran's

1359
01:21:52.119 --> 01:21:54.760
<v Speaker 1>greatest security crisis since it's war with Iraq in the

1360
01:21:54.840 --> 01:22:00.000
<v Speaker 1>nineteen eighties. China responded by following its habitual playbook diplomatic

1361
01:22:00.079 --> 01:22:05.760
<v Speaker 1>statements condemning Israeli actions. Okay, got you, affirming affirmations of

1362
01:22:05.800 --> 01:22:11.199
<v Speaker 1>Iran's sovereignty no doubt, and vague calls for peaceful resolution

1363
01:22:11.319 --> 01:22:14.399
<v Speaker 1>of the conflict one hundred percent. That seems to be

1364
01:22:14.520 --> 01:22:17.840
<v Speaker 1>very much China's playbook. Only after the ceasefire was reached

1365
01:22:17.880 --> 01:22:21.359
<v Speaker 1>between Israel and Iran did China reportedly provided Iran with

1366
01:22:21.439 --> 01:22:24.840
<v Speaker 1>surface to air missile batteries in exchange for oil. You

1367
01:22:24.840 --> 01:22:26.600
<v Speaker 1>would think that that'd be something they would want prior

1368
01:22:26.680 --> 01:22:30.720
<v Speaker 1>to But okay again, Although that may help Iran in

1369
01:22:30.800 --> 01:22:34.000
<v Speaker 1>the event of a return of hostilities with Israel, it

1370
01:22:34.079 --> 01:22:36.560
<v Speaker 1>is a far cry from the kind of military aid

1371
01:22:36.640 --> 01:22:39.479
<v Speaker 1>the US has provided to Ukraine, for example, in its

1372
01:22:39.479 --> 01:22:42.920
<v Speaker 1>war with Russia. China's behavior in the Middle East fits

1373
01:22:43.079 --> 01:22:46.239
<v Speaker 1>into a broader pattern around the world. For years, China

1374
01:22:46.279 --> 01:22:49.760
<v Speaker 1>has been one of the key enablers of the Cuban government,

1375
01:22:50.039 --> 01:22:54.039
<v Speaker 1>for instance, providing the country with technology like its internet infrastructure.

1376
01:22:55.600 --> 01:22:58.960
<v Speaker 1>That would explain why Cuba is still not doing too

1377
01:22:59.000 --> 01:23:01.239
<v Speaker 1>hot if China was the one that was running the

1378
01:23:01.239 --> 01:23:07.239
<v Speaker 1>Ethernet but all right, as well as limited loans and investment. However,

1379
01:23:07.319 --> 01:23:10.560
<v Speaker 1>when Cuba faced protests at the end of the pandemic

1380
01:23:10.720 --> 01:23:13.960
<v Speaker 1>due to shortages of food and medicine, threatening the communist

1381
01:23:14.039 --> 01:23:18.960
<v Speaker 1>regime survival. Beijing denounced the US blockade, but showed no

1382
01:23:19.119 --> 01:23:22.039
<v Speaker 1>willingness to offer the kinds of aid that would relieve

1383
01:23:22.119 --> 01:23:27.279
<v Speaker 1>the pressures of Havana. According to illustrative example in Pakistan,

1384
01:23:27.680 --> 01:23:31.960
<v Speaker 1>which could be the country's most clearly under China's protective umbrella,

1385
01:23:32.600 --> 01:23:34.960
<v Speaker 1>and that's because of their Belton Road initiative. Just so

1386
01:23:35.039 --> 01:23:38.560
<v Speaker 1>everybody's clear here, why would Pakistan China be connected Because

1387
01:23:38.560 --> 01:23:41.600
<v Speaker 1>they're trying to make their way through Pakistan. For a

1388
01:23:42.720 --> 01:23:45.119
<v Speaker 1>they're trying to go to the southern portion of Pakistan

1389
01:23:45.159 --> 01:23:47.840
<v Speaker 1>to have another port. But then they're also trying to

1390
01:23:47.920 --> 01:23:51.680
<v Speaker 1>drive a road through or a railway through Pakistan to

1391
01:23:51.800 --> 01:23:54.479
<v Speaker 1>get to the mineral minds in Afghanistan that the Chinese

1392
01:23:54.560 --> 01:23:58.680
<v Speaker 1>mining companies have claimed for themselves. But yeah, Pakistan's pretty

1393
01:23:58.680 --> 01:24:02.399
<v Speaker 1>critical to the Belton Road initiative. Therefore is very critical

1394
01:24:02.399 --> 01:24:05.920
<v Speaker 1>to China anyway. Win the situation with India and Pakistan

1395
01:24:05.960 --> 01:24:09.399
<v Speaker 1>popped off, where was China, Let's continue It says it

1396
01:24:09.439 --> 01:24:12.199
<v Speaker 1>played a key role in Beijing's Belton Road initiative and

1397
01:24:12.359 --> 01:24:16.319
<v Speaker 1>is a major purchaser of big ticket Chinese arms platforms. However,

1398
01:24:16.680 --> 01:24:19.800
<v Speaker 1>in Pakistan's recent exchange of fire with India, China took

1399
01:24:19.800 --> 01:24:23.399
<v Speaker 1>a relatively hands off position. Beijing did not express support

1400
01:24:23.439 --> 01:24:28.479
<v Speaker 1>for Islamabad and shared vital intelligence with its Pakistani counterparts,

1401
01:24:29.079 --> 01:24:32.399
<v Speaker 1>and while it remained unclear how reliable the after action

1402
01:24:32.560 --> 01:24:36.039
<v Speaker 1>reports were, Pakistan reportedly downed a number of Indian Air

1403
01:24:36.079 --> 01:24:40.359
<v Speaker 1>Force jets using Chinese made Shangdu j ten Ci fighters

1404
01:24:40.920 --> 01:24:45.359
<v Speaker 1>again because they're Tamu, because their wish dot com. China's

1405
01:24:45.359 --> 01:24:48.680
<v Speaker 1>tech is not anywhere in the conversation of being good tech,

1406
01:24:48.760 --> 01:24:51.159
<v Speaker 1>but they keep buying it because of Chinese and his

1407
01:24:51.239 --> 01:24:54.520
<v Speaker 1>cheap and I get that. But yeah, Pakistan was able

1408
01:24:54.520 --> 01:24:57.239
<v Speaker 1>to down a number of these Chinese jets, which is

1409
01:24:57.600 --> 01:25:01.600
<v Speaker 1>allegedly one of their fifth gen fire which is it's

1410
01:25:01.640 --> 01:25:03.479
<v Speaker 1>not it's really not anyway.

1411
01:25:03.520 --> 01:25:07.520
<v Speaker 9>But basically sixteen's were they not? Were the Indian ones

1412
01:25:07.520 --> 01:25:08.520
<v Speaker 9>also Chinese?

1413
01:25:08.840 --> 01:25:11.319
<v Speaker 1>The Indian ones that they were flying that Pakistan shot

1414
01:25:11.399 --> 01:25:12.640
<v Speaker 1>down were Chinese.

1415
01:25:13.600 --> 01:25:18.000
<v Speaker 9>Oh I thought the Pakistani ones were Chinese. Never mind Pakistan.

1416
01:25:18.039 --> 01:25:21.359
<v Speaker 1>If I'm not mistaken, they were flying French made planes.

1417
01:25:24.319 --> 01:25:27.000
<v Speaker 8>Oh yeah, the Salt I forgot about that. Yeah, you're right.

1418
01:25:27.399 --> 01:25:29.199
<v Speaker 1>And I don't know how many of them were down.

1419
01:25:29.479 --> 01:25:31.279
<v Speaker 1>I think that India got a couple of them down

1420
01:25:31.319 --> 01:25:33.279
<v Speaker 1>as well. And I'm not even saying, well, you know,

1421
01:25:33.319 --> 01:25:38.479
<v Speaker 1>the French, their their tech is adequate. It's not cutting edge,

1422
01:25:38.520 --> 01:25:41.000
<v Speaker 1>and it's also not dog shit either. It's somewhere in

1423
01:25:41.000 --> 01:25:45.039
<v Speaker 1>the middle. But yeah, the Chinese planes absolutely ate dirt.

1424
01:25:45.239 --> 01:25:47.279
<v Speaker 1>And a couple of the.

1425
01:25:47.239 --> 01:25:49.520
<v Speaker 9>Other thing here was that the air to air missiles

1426
01:25:49.560 --> 01:25:54.079
<v Speaker 9>have an enormous range, like two hundred or three hundred miles. Yeah,

1427
01:25:54.119 --> 01:25:56.560
<v Speaker 9>so it's not like close range dog fight like in

1428
01:25:56.600 --> 01:25:57.319
<v Speaker 9>a video game.

1429
01:25:57.680 --> 01:25:59.840
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, World War Two, it's a very long range.

1430
01:26:00.079 --> 01:26:02.800
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, way, go for it, go for it. But you're

1431
01:26:02.880 --> 01:26:06.079
<v Speaker 1>right the dogfight conversation as far as what we might watch,

1432
01:26:06.079 --> 01:26:08.560
<v Speaker 1>like you know the movie Iron Eagle from the eighties,

1433
01:26:08.640 --> 01:26:11.439
<v Speaker 1>right that there was still that last little remnant of

1434
01:26:11.439 --> 01:26:14.800
<v Speaker 1>like a traditional dogfight air to air combat like it's

1435
01:26:14.840 --> 01:26:17.720
<v Speaker 1>it's it is not the same as it once was

1436
01:26:18.000 --> 01:26:21.479
<v Speaker 1>and arguably never will be again. But yeah, it's it's

1437
01:26:21.560 --> 01:26:23.600
<v Speaker 1>usually the surface to air missiles that do most of

1438
01:26:23.640 --> 01:26:26.800
<v Speaker 1>the heavy lifting as far as downing craft goes. There

1439
01:26:26.840 --> 01:26:28.760
<v Speaker 1>are air to air missiles, like you're saying, but yeah,

1440
01:26:28.760 --> 01:26:32.680
<v Speaker 1>the range on them is ridiculous, Like, well before there

1441
01:26:32.720 --> 01:26:35.319
<v Speaker 1>even within eyesight of you, you're able to see them

1442
01:26:35.319 --> 01:26:37.239
<v Speaker 1>blip up on your radar and just lock on and

1443
01:26:37.279 --> 01:26:39.119
<v Speaker 1>send it. Whether you can see them with your eyes

1444
01:26:39.199 --> 01:26:44.359
<v Speaker 1>or not, it's it's next level anyway. But Beijing never

1445
01:26:44.439 --> 01:26:47.520
<v Speaker 1>signaled any willingness to become directly involved in the conflict

1446
01:26:47.560 --> 01:26:51.039
<v Speaker 1>in order to deter Indian escalation, nor did it play

1447
01:26:51.079 --> 01:26:54.880
<v Speaker 1>any role in the truce negotiations between the two sides. Now,

1448
01:26:54.920 --> 01:26:58.000
<v Speaker 1>in fairness, China has never suggested it would intervene to

1449
01:26:58.039 --> 01:27:00.840
<v Speaker 1>protect its partners, let alone promise to do so. In

1450
01:27:00.920 --> 01:27:03.960
<v Speaker 1>all of these cases, the diplomatic and economic risks and

1451
01:27:04.159 --> 01:27:08.039
<v Speaker 1>costs of any intervention would have far outweighed any potential benefit.

1452
01:27:08.479 --> 01:27:11.359
<v Speaker 1>And I also understand that as far as the China

1453
01:27:12.039 --> 01:27:15.279
<v Speaker 1>playing a role in the India Pakistan conversation, you know,

1454
01:27:15.399 --> 01:27:18.960
<v Speaker 1>China and India, depending on the week, are either bitter

1455
01:27:19.119 --> 01:27:23.159
<v Speaker 1>rivals or thicker than thieves. It really depends on when

1456
01:27:23.239 --> 01:27:26.960
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about because on one hand, they're both bricks nations.

1457
01:27:27.319 --> 01:27:29.680
<v Speaker 1>On the other hand, there is still an open border

1458
01:27:29.760 --> 01:27:33.000
<v Speaker 1>dispute between the two, which at least once a year

1459
01:27:33.119 --> 01:27:36.880
<v Speaker 1>leads to fistfights. Somehow, it hasn't gone to using weapons

1460
01:27:36.880 --> 01:27:40.079
<v Speaker 1>except like sticks. But there is a disputed border region

1461
01:27:40.079 --> 01:27:43.199
<v Speaker 1>between India and China that these dudes just meet up

1462
01:27:43.439 --> 01:27:47.520
<v Speaker 1>and have a full on platoon versus platoon brawl over

1463
01:27:47.560 --> 01:27:51.399
<v Speaker 1>the land, which and I do believe the violence solves

1464
01:27:51.439 --> 01:27:54.399
<v Speaker 1>a lot of problems. I'm a proponent of this, but

1465
01:27:54.479 --> 01:27:57.800
<v Speaker 1>nothing ever gets resolved. It's more of them both flexing

1466
01:27:58.880 --> 01:28:01.800
<v Speaker 1>really hard and they going home over it and then ah, yeah,

1467
01:28:01.800 --> 01:28:04.319
<v Speaker 1>well we'll see y'all next year. That's all it ever

1468
01:28:04.560 --> 01:28:08.600
<v Speaker 1>amounts to. So if China would have helped Pakistan in

1469
01:28:08.680 --> 01:28:13.079
<v Speaker 1>that conversation, would India have taken that as a third

1470
01:28:13.159 --> 01:28:16.439
<v Speaker 1>party offense against them the enemy of my or the

1471
01:28:16.920 --> 01:28:20.319
<v Speaker 1>friend of my enemy is my enemy, something along those lines.

1472
01:28:20.600 --> 01:28:24.119
<v Speaker 1>Would that have deteriorated bricks because again, it is such

1473
01:28:24.159 --> 01:28:27.840
<v Speaker 1>a new system, it is so fragile. One card being

1474
01:28:27.840 --> 01:28:32.199
<v Speaker 1>removed can topple everything. So did China step back from

1475
01:28:32.239 --> 01:28:35.960
<v Speaker 1>that whole conversation to try to maintain bricks hegemony or

1476
01:28:35.960 --> 01:28:38.840
<v Speaker 1>at least what they're trying to have as agemony, or

1477
01:28:39.199 --> 01:28:42.520
<v Speaker 1>was it more that they're all talking no bark or

1478
01:28:42.560 --> 01:28:45.279
<v Speaker 1>all bark no bite However, that phrase goes in your

1479
01:28:45.279 --> 01:28:48.880
<v Speaker 1>own head. That also makes sense to me. So the

1480
01:28:48.920 --> 01:28:52.720
<v Speaker 1>Pakistan India conversation, I understand why China wouldn't have weighed in,

1481
01:28:53.239 --> 01:28:56.680
<v Speaker 1>at least from a diplomatic stance. I get it. Why

1482
01:28:56.680 --> 01:29:00.359
<v Speaker 1>they wouldn't have helped Syria, that's crazy to me. Why

1483
01:29:00.399 --> 01:29:02.520
<v Speaker 1>they wouldn't help South Africa and some of the issues

1484
01:29:02.560 --> 01:29:05.439
<v Speaker 1>they've been having. It's pretty crazy. Why they wouldn't have

1485
01:29:05.439 --> 01:29:11.199
<v Speaker 1>helped Cuba. That's really wild to me. But anyway, China's

1486
01:29:11.239 --> 01:29:14.159
<v Speaker 1>perceived in action in moments of crisis does have an

1487
01:29:14.199 --> 01:29:18.239
<v Speaker 1>impact on its international image, and its non interventionalist approach

1488
01:29:18.319 --> 01:29:22.239
<v Speaker 1>carries costs and limitations as well. Friendlier governments that fall

1489
01:29:22.560 --> 01:29:25.920
<v Speaker 1>may be replaced by less friendly ones, and with countries

1490
01:29:25.960 --> 01:29:29.119
<v Speaker 1>increasingly forced to choose between close economic relations with the

1491
01:29:29.199 --> 01:29:33.000
<v Speaker 1>US or China, or else weighing their options for partnerships

1492
01:29:33.000 --> 01:29:38.039
<v Speaker 1>in key sectors like next generation tech, some may consider

1493
01:29:38.199 --> 01:29:40.800
<v Speaker 1>Washington to be a better option due to its benefits

1494
01:29:40.880 --> 01:29:46.439
<v Speaker 1>it offers with regard to regime survival. Yeah, historically speaking, America,

1495
01:29:46.680 --> 01:29:49.119
<v Speaker 1>we be doing war. That's one of the only things

1496
01:29:49.159 --> 01:29:51.640
<v Speaker 1>we're really good at. So if you're gonna hit your

1497
01:29:51.680 --> 01:29:55.039
<v Speaker 1>horse to a certain wagon. It would make more sense

1498
01:29:55.079 --> 01:29:57.119
<v Speaker 1>to me out loud that you would hitch your horse

1499
01:29:57.159 --> 01:30:04.199
<v Speaker 1>to the Washington conversation more than the Beijing conversation. You know,

1500
01:30:04.560 --> 01:30:07.840
<v Speaker 1>I don't know that country. Yeah, the help economically, even

1501
01:30:07.880 --> 01:30:11.880
<v Speaker 1>though they are fifty trillion in dead that's insane. But

1502
01:30:12.239 --> 01:30:15.880
<v Speaker 1>moving on, the Gulf States are a prominent example, despite

1503
01:30:15.960 --> 01:30:19.840
<v Speaker 1>China now being their principal oil buyer. China's approach also

1504
01:30:19.920 --> 01:30:22.399
<v Speaker 1>limits the degree to which it can take advantage of

1505
01:30:22.439 --> 01:30:26.399
<v Speaker 1>short term changes in diplomatic landscapes. For example, in theory,

1506
01:30:26.520 --> 01:30:30.319
<v Speaker 1>Trump's trade policies since returning to the office should have

1507
01:30:30.359 --> 01:30:34.439
<v Speaker 1>created opportunities for China to expand its influence very much so.

1508
01:30:34.960 --> 01:30:37.880
<v Speaker 1>As much as Trump has been throwing tariffs left, right

1509
01:30:37.920 --> 01:30:40.000
<v Speaker 1>and center, he's been handing them out like candy. He's

1510
01:30:40.000 --> 01:30:43.159
<v Speaker 1>been throwing tariffs on countries like it's going out of style.

1511
01:30:43.920 --> 01:30:47.640
<v Speaker 1>You would think, especially China being the business hub that

1512
01:30:47.720 --> 01:30:50.680
<v Speaker 1>it is, they're all about the money. You would think

1513
01:30:51.039 --> 01:30:54.279
<v Speaker 1>that China would take that opportunity to strengthen trade deals

1514
01:30:54.319 --> 01:30:57.079
<v Speaker 1>with all these countries to where they may not want

1515
01:30:57.159 --> 01:30:59.319
<v Speaker 1>to go to America to sell their goods. Why don't

1516
01:30:59.359 --> 01:31:01.600
<v Speaker 1>you sell it in China. We have a big population,

1517
01:31:01.680 --> 01:31:05.000
<v Speaker 1>we have all these things going on. Whatever. Yet Beijing's

1518
01:31:05.039 --> 01:31:09.439
<v Speaker 1>response has been sluggish and even aloof it has offered

1519
01:31:09.560 --> 01:31:14.359
<v Speaker 1>some cosmetic measures, such as eliminating tariffs on African imports,

1520
01:31:15.239 --> 01:31:18.239
<v Speaker 1>but that mostly applies to commodities that China needs, while

1521
01:31:18.239 --> 01:31:22.600
<v Speaker 1>failing to offer more meaningful benefits, whether to developing economies

1522
01:31:22.880 --> 01:31:26.800
<v Speaker 1>or the European Union. Yeah, most of that was minerals.

1523
01:31:27.239 --> 01:31:29.399
<v Speaker 1>Most of that was the cobalt and the lithium and

1524
01:31:29.439 --> 01:31:32.720
<v Speaker 1>things like that that are being mine through slave labor

1525
01:31:32.880 --> 01:31:36.960
<v Speaker 1>in Africa right now. That was they're eliminating the tariffs

1526
01:31:36.960 --> 01:31:40.199
<v Speaker 1>on African imports. If you look deeper into that, it's mostly,

1527
01:31:40.239 --> 01:31:43.520
<v Speaker 1>like you said, things that China needs, like the precious minerals.

1528
01:31:44.079 --> 01:31:47.640
<v Speaker 1>That was it. That was their response. But anyway, China's

1529
01:31:47.640 --> 01:31:51.760
<v Speaker 1>priority remains protecting its own economic interests and avoiding entanglements

1530
01:31:51.760 --> 01:31:55.119
<v Speaker 1>that could jeopardize its long term strategic objectives. I completely

1531
01:31:55.199 --> 01:31:59.199
<v Speaker 1>understand that, including maintaining access to global markets and technology,

1532
01:31:59.399 --> 01:32:02.319
<v Speaker 1>but even the most carefully crafted long term planning means

1533
01:32:02.439 --> 01:32:05.920
<v Speaker 1>little if a country is incapable of seizing unexpected opportunities

1534
01:32:05.920 --> 01:32:09.000
<v Speaker 1>that present themselves along the way at times of crisis.

1535
01:32:09.279 --> 01:32:14.000
<v Speaker 1>Beijing's reluctance to take on diplomatic obligations, engage in military interventions,

1536
01:32:14.279 --> 01:32:18.720
<v Speaker 1>or make economic sacrifices to secure its partner's interests highlights

1537
01:32:18.760 --> 01:32:24.119
<v Speaker 1>the limits of translating economic influence into geopolitical power. At

1538
01:32:24.159 --> 01:32:27.199
<v Speaker 1>any other moment, this would offer a clear advantage to

1539
01:32:27.239 --> 01:32:30.720
<v Speaker 1>the US, whose willingness to support allies with military action

1540
01:32:31.000 --> 01:32:35.960
<v Speaker 1>is an important complement to economic statecraft in its efforts

1541
01:32:35.960 --> 01:32:40.600
<v Speaker 1>to counter China. But given Trump's hostility to alliances and

1542
01:32:40.880 --> 01:32:45.239
<v Speaker 1>a US public keen on avoiding excessive military engagements, China's

1543
01:32:45.239 --> 01:32:49.800
<v Speaker 1>preference for economic traction over political action suggests that the

1544
01:32:49.840 --> 01:32:52.840
<v Speaker 1>world may be entering a period in which no single

1545
01:32:52.840 --> 01:32:55.720
<v Speaker 1>power is willing to bear the full cost of global leadership.

1546
01:32:56.479 --> 01:32:59.560
<v Speaker 1>Now couple that with the article that we just read

1547
01:32:59.640 --> 01:33:03.680
<v Speaker 1>about possibly being on his way out. I gotta tell

1548
01:33:03.720 --> 01:33:07.239
<v Speaker 1>you now, more than ever, I feel like we need

1549
01:33:07.279 --> 01:33:11.439
<v Speaker 1>to hear from our random Malaysian man correspondent in the streets,

1550
01:33:11.800 --> 01:33:15.199
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump. Don't trust China. China is ass ho. Thank you,

1551
01:33:15.279 --> 01:33:18.560
<v Speaker 1>random Taiwanese guy. I love you to death. Stay homeie, stay.

1552
01:33:19.039 --> 01:33:21.560
<v Speaker 1>Speaking of with things that are going on in the

1553
01:33:21.600 --> 01:33:26.680
<v Speaker 1>South East Asian area. If anybody hasn't heard, Cambodia and

1554
01:33:26.720 --> 01:33:30.399
<v Speaker 1>Thailand are popping off. They have a full on war

1555
01:33:30.479 --> 01:33:32.319
<v Speaker 1>going on, and it seemed like it was gonna be

1556
01:33:32.359 --> 01:33:35.760
<v Speaker 1>something small, right, There was a land mine that went

1557
01:33:35.800 --> 01:33:41.079
<v Speaker 1>off in Cambodia, and to be completely honest, that was

1558
01:33:41.159 --> 01:33:44.760
<v Speaker 1>probably a landmine that we put there. If you look

1559
01:33:44.760 --> 01:33:50.399
<v Speaker 1>into Operation Barrel Roll, we were trying to disrupt any

1560
01:33:50.479 --> 01:33:52.640
<v Speaker 1>kind of movement in the Ho Chi Minh Trail. We

1561
01:33:52.800 --> 01:33:56.039
<v Speaker 1>dropped tons of land mines and explosives. Actually, if we're

1562
01:33:56.079 --> 01:33:59.159
<v Speaker 1>gonna be honest, we dropped two hundred and sixty two

1563
01:33:59.479 --> 01:34:04.359
<v Speaker 1>million pounds of ordinance into these areas during the Vietnam

1564
01:34:04.439 --> 01:34:08.279
<v Speaker 1>War during Operation Barrel Roll. Look it up and there's

1565
01:34:08.319 --> 01:34:11.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of unexploded ordinance in and around Lous and Cambodia.

1566
01:34:12.359 --> 01:34:16.720
<v Speaker 1>A landmine went off, Thailand is blaming Cambodia. Cambodia is

1567
01:34:16.720 --> 01:34:18.960
<v Speaker 1>blaming Thailand. There's a whole thing of who done it

1568
01:34:19.119 --> 01:34:22.640
<v Speaker 1>on this. This has spawned and spurned and spun off

1569
01:34:23.000 --> 01:34:26.119
<v Speaker 1>into a whole conflict. This video that I'm about to

1570
01:34:26.159 --> 01:34:28.960
<v Speaker 1>show y'all again, for anybody listening to this, you're gonna

1571
01:34:29.000 --> 01:34:31.479
<v Speaker 1>want to see this Come to the Cajun Night on Patreon.

1572
01:34:31.479 --> 01:34:34.399
<v Speaker 1>Link is in the description below. This dude is a

1573
01:34:34.399 --> 01:34:38.359
<v Speaker 1>whole vibe. I don't this is a Cambodian soldier. He's fighting,

1574
01:34:38.560 --> 01:34:43.600
<v Speaker 1>firing towards a tie position with a RpK and a RPG.

1575
01:34:44.479 --> 01:34:47.239
<v Speaker 1>I will say this with the RPG or excuse me,

1576
01:34:47.279 --> 01:34:51.479
<v Speaker 1>the RpK. Typically that's a belt fed machine gun. He's

1577
01:34:51.520 --> 01:34:55.640
<v Speaker 1>got the mag fed style of it. Those metal drum

1578
01:34:55.760 --> 01:34:58.960
<v Speaker 1>bags are sick if you're using it for an AK

1579
01:34:59.359 --> 01:35:03.319
<v Speaker 1>or a single f action for full auto. Those metal

1580
01:35:03.399 --> 01:35:08.840
<v Speaker 1>canister mags are absolute dog shit. You're gonna watch him

1581
01:35:08.880 --> 01:35:12.479
<v Speaker 1>do remedial action on this RpK like every shot, if

1582
01:35:12.520 --> 01:35:16.199
<v Speaker 1>not every other shot. It's insane. But I just want

1583
01:35:16.239 --> 01:35:18.159
<v Speaker 1>to point out some things about this homeboy. He is

1584
01:35:18.199 --> 01:35:20.840
<v Speaker 1>a whole vibe of a war fighter. Check this out.

1585
01:35:21.039 --> 01:35:23.000
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, I should give a warning. There's gonna be

1586
01:35:23.000 --> 01:35:25.680
<v Speaker 1>gunfire and explosions in this. So if you're listening to

1587
01:35:25.720 --> 01:35:28.920
<v Speaker 1>this the following day in your car or something like that, relax,

1588
01:35:29.760 --> 01:35:32.199
<v Speaker 1>it's just it's just a video and plan. I'll turn

1589
01:35:32.239 --> 01:35:33.920
<v Speaker 1>down the volume a little bit more just so that

1590
01:35:34.000 --> 01:35:37.199
<v Speaker 1>I'll be courteous to all of our AirPod and speaker

1591
01:35:37.399 --> 01:35:40.479
<v Speaker 1>listeners here. But yo, check this dude out cigarette dangling

1592
01:35:40.520 --> 01:35:45.039
<v Speaker 1>from the mouth, backwards hat, no shirt, no shoes, no problem,

1593
01:35:45.119 --> 01:35:48.720
<v Speaker 1>just out there getting it in, just just having a ball,

1594
01:35:49.279 --> 01:35:52.119
<v Speaker 1>just dudes being bros. He fires a couple rounds with

1595
01:35:52.159 --> 01:35:55.079
<v Speaker 1>the RpK. Look, I'm still cigarette he's he's even his

1596
01:35:55.079 --> 01:35:59.079
<v Speaker 1>own cameraman. He has a whole one man unit over

1597
01:35:59.119 --> 01:36:00.119
<v Speaker 1>here firing the rp.

1598
01:36:02.640 --> 01:36:02.800
<v Speaker 9>BRO.

1599
01:36:04.720 --> 01:36:08.199
<v Speaker 1>I love this guy, and I'm not even supporting Cambodia

1600
01:36:08.239 --> 01:36:12.359
<v Speaker 1>in this conflict, but I like this homie. Homeboy is

1601
01:36:12.520 --> 01:36:17.439
<v Speaker 1>legitimately no shoes, no shirt, cigarette dangling, just out there

1602
01:36:17.439 --> 01:36:21.000
<v Speaker 1>getting it in. You know that? Just it Ah, that

1603
01:36:21.079 --> 01:36:24.880
<v Speaker 1>makes me happy. It makes me so happy. Anyway. All right,

1604
01:36:25.000 --> 01:36:28.800
<v Speaker 1>let's read a little bit into the conversation, because while

1605
01:36:28.880 --> 01:36:30.479
<v Speaker 1>the war kicked off, I don't want to call it

1606
01:36:30.520 --> 01:36:33.399
<v Speaker 1>a war. I don't know even know if it's classified

1607
01:36:33.399 --> 01:36:36.079
<v Speaker 1>as a war. Yet, Let's call it the conflict, right,

1608
01:36:36.840 --> 01:36:40.119
<v Speaker 1>the Cambodia Thailand conflict. There was a lot of finger pointing,

1609
01:36:40.399 --> 01:36:42.520
<v Speaker 1>There was a lot of names being called, There was

1610
01:36:42.560 --> 01:36:44.399
<v Speaker 1>a lot of blame that was trying to be assigned

1611
01:36:44.399 --> 01:36:48.079
<v Speaker 1>one way or another, And for a split second, there

1612
01:36:48.520 --> 01:36:51.000
<v Speaker 1>it sounded like they were about to have a ceasefire,

1613
01:36:51.920 --> 01:36:57.000
<v Speaker 1>and then Thailand accuses Cambodia of violating the fragile ceasefire

1614
01:36:57.119 --> 01:37:01.439
<v Speaker 1>for a second time. Cambodia has pre denied breaking the truce,

1615
01:37:01.520 --> 01:37:04.760
<v Speaker 1>which came into effect on Tuesday after five days of

1616
01:37:04.880 --> 01:37:09.680
<v Speaker 1>violent clashes. Thailand has accused Cambodia of a flagrant violation

1617
01:37:09.760 --> 01:37:13.079
<v Speaker 1>of a truce to end cross border fighting, claiming Cambodian

1618
01:37:13.119 --> 01:37:16.960
<v Speaker 1>troops launched an overnight attack on the frontier. The neighbors

1619
01:37:17.000 --> 01:37:20.359
<v Speaker 1>agreed to a ceasefire starting Tuesday after five days of

1620
01:37:20.479 --> 01:37:24.079
<v Speaker 1>clashes killed at least forty three people on both sides

1621
01:37:24.359 --> 01:37:27.840
<v Speaker 1>as a long standing dispute over contested border regions boiled

1622
01:37:27.840 --> 01:37:31.720
<v Speaker 1>over into open combat across the eight hundred kilometer frontier.

1623
01:37:32.159 --> 01:37:37.319
<v Speaker 1>Thailand's Foreign Ministry said its troops in Sisiket Province came

1624
01:37:37.439 --> 01:37:41.279
<v Speaker 1>under attack by small arms fire and grenade assaults launched

1625
01:37:41.279 --> 01:37:45.560
<v Speaker 1>by Cambodian forces and an offensive which continued until Wednesday morning.

1626
01:37:45.880 --> 01:37:49.439
<v Speaker 1>This represents a flagrant violation of the ceasefire agreement, set

1627
01:37:49.479 --> 01:37:55.720
<v Speaker 1>a Foreign Ministry statement. Thai government spokesperson g Rayu Huang

1628
01:37:55.800 --> 01:38:00.239
<v Speaker 1>sab Yeah also reported overnight clashes, but said in a

1629
01:38:00.239 --> 01:38:03.760
<v Speaker 1>statement the Thai side maintained control of the situation and

1630
01:38:04.199 --> 01:38:07.800
<v Speaker 1>general conditions along the border are reported to be normal

1631
01:38:07.880 --> 01:38:12.760
<v Speaker 1>from eight am Wednesday. Cambodia has previously denied breaking the

1632
01:38:12.760 --> 01:38:16.399
<v Speaker 1>truce designed to end fighting, which has seen the two

1633
01:38:16.399 --> 01:38:19.880
<v Speaker 1>countries evacuate a total of more than three hundred thousand

1634
01:38:19.880 --> 01:38:22.920
<v Speaker 1>people from the border region. The armisiss got off to

1635
01:38:22.920 --> 01:38:25.600
<v Speaker 1>a shaky start in the early hours of Tuesday, with

1636
01:38:25.760 --> 01:38:29.840
<v Speaker 1>Thailand accusing Cambodia of continuing attacks in a clear attempt

1637
01:38:29.920 --> 01:38:34.560
<v Speaker 1>to undermine mutual trust. Before calm generally prevailed. Meetings between

1638
01:38:34.640 --> 01:38:37.600
<v Speaker 1>rival commanders along the border, scheduled as part of the

1639
01:38:37.640 --> 01:38:41.000
<v Speaker 1>pact went ahead on Tuesday, with Thailand's armies saying de

1640
01:38:41.159 --> 01:38:45.520
<v Speaker 1>escalation steps were agreed, including a halt on troop reinforcements

1641
01:38:45.600 --> 01:38:48.720
<v Speaker 1>or movements that could lead to misunderstandings, but later in

1642
01:38:48.760 --> 01:38:52.239
<v Speaker 1>the day a foreign affair spokesperson for Bangkok's Border Crisis

1643
01:38:52.279 --> 01:38:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Center not going to try to pronounce that, warned in

1644
01:38:56.199 --> 01:38:58.600
<v Speaker 1>this moment in the early days of the ceasefire, the

1645
01:38:58.600 --> 01:39:02.720
<v Speaker 1>situation is still fragile. Jets, rockets and artillery have killed

1646
01:39:02.760 --> 01:39:06.439
<v Speaker 1>at least fifteen Thai troops and fifteen Thai civilians, while

1647
01:39:06.479 --> 01:39:10.600
<v Speaker 1>Cambodia has confirmed only eight civilians and five military debts.

1648
01:39:11.000 --> 01:39:14.199
<v Speaker 1>The peace pact was sealed in Malaysia after intervention from

1649
01:39:14.319 --> 01:39:18.760
<v Speaker 1>US President Trump, who both Thailand and Cambodia are counting

1650
01:39:18.920 --> 01:39:21.760
<v Speaker 1>for a trade deal to avert his threat of an

1651
01:39:21.800 --> 01:39:26.760
<v Speaker 1>eye watering tariff. Okay, So with all this being said,

1652
01:39:27.079 --> 01:39:33.680
<v Speaker 1>the Thailand Cambodia war conversation, that's gonna be a bit

1653
01:39:33.720 --> 01:39:36.479
<v Speaker 1>of a dog walking if it actually continues to escalate.

1654
01:39:37.039 --> 01:39:41.399
<v Speaker 1>Thailand has a military force of I wanna say, six

1655
01:39:41.479 --> 01:39:47.319
<v Speaker 1>hundred thousand, while Cambodia has a little under two hundred thousand. So,

1656
01:39:48.199 --> 01:39:50.680
<v Speaker 1>just going off of numbers alone, let's not even talk

1657
01:39:50.720 --> 01:39:55.039
<v Speaker 1>about tech. Let's not even talk about actual military prowess

1658
01:39:55.039 --> 01:39:58.800
<v Speaker 1>and capabilities here, just off of the numbers and the equipment,

1659
01:39:59.359 --> 01:40:05.279
<v Speaker 1>Thailand would absolutely decimate the Cambodian forces. Now, look at

1660
01:40:05.359 --> 01:40:09.800
<v Speaker 1>whenever you see videos of Thaie fighters, they're a proper military,

1661
01:40:10.199 --> 01:40:15.279
<v Speaker 1>they're a proper United Force. Then we see Cambodian fighters

1662
01:40:15.319 --> 01:40:18.239
<v Speaker 1>who are out there looking like beach bombs with military equipment,

1663
01:40:18.640 --> 01:40:21.319
<v Speaker 1>which I'm not mad at. I like that your boy

1664
01:40:21.399 --> 01:40:24.600
<v Speaker 1>is in a comfortable you know, he's comfortable while he's fighting.

1665
01:40:24.680 --> 01:40:28.119
<v Speaker 1>That makes my heart happy. But also, let's not negate

1666
01:40:28.159 --> 01:40:30.800
<v Speaker 1>the fact that that is the majority of Cambodian fighters,

1667
01:40:31.520 --> 01:40:34.199
<v Speaker 1>a lot of them are wearing whatever uniform pieces they

1668
01:40:34.199 --> 01:40:39.840
<v Speaker 1>could throw together. They're using outdated equipment at best. If

1669
01:40:39.880 --> 01:40:44.399
<v Speaker 1>this conversation goes further, if this conflict goes further, Thailand

1670
01:40:44.439 --> 01:40:47.319
<v Speaker 1>is gonna absolutely the disputed border region is not going

1671
01:40:47.399 --> 01:40:51.239
<v Speaker 1>to be very disputed for long. So all right, that

1672
01:40:51.399 --> 01:40:54.199
<v Speaker 1>was about all I have on my end. Let's get

1673
01:40:54.239 --> 01:40:57.199
<v Speaker 1>to the chat and see what everybody else has brought

1674
01:40:57.199 --> 01:41:00.920
<v Speaker 1>to the table. Raven Lee has pulled up a video

1675
01:41:01.079 --> 01:41:07.159
<v Speaker 1>of a picture. I'm sorry, uh oh, it's Ozzie. It's

1676
01:41:07.159 --> 01:41:10.359
<v Speaker 1>Sharon being sad that Ozzie's dead. Yeah, yeah, yeah, Rip

1677
01:41:10.520 --> 01:41:14.000
<v Speaker 1>to Ozzy Osbourne, the true prince of darkness in my opinion.

1678
01:41:14.960 --> 01:41:20.960
<v Speaker 1>Let's see, there's another article here, Doug Warner. Another quake.

1679
01:41:21.479 --> 01:41:24.600
<v Speaker 1>Ooh okay, let's talk about this. A six point four

1680
01:41:24.680 --> 01:41:27.199
<v Speaker 1>quake just struck in the same region off the coast

1681
01:41:27.199 --> 01:41:30.600
<v Speaker 1>of Russia where the eight point eight earthquake registered. Talk

1682
01:41:30.600 --> 01:41:33.119
<v Speaker 1>about a swarm. Nearly all of these marks on the

1683
01:41:33.159 --> 01:41:37.079
<v Speaker 1>map are from the last couple of days alone. Wow,

1684
01:41:37.720 --> 01:41:41.319
<v Speaker 1>So that is a pretty substantial fault line, for lack

1685
01:41:41.359 --> 01:41:43.520
<v Speaker 1>of better words, or a spot where the plate's meet,

1686
01:41:44.000 --> 01:41:48.079
<v Speaker 1>that is experiencing a lot of quakes as of this moment. Now,

1687
01:41:48.600 --> 01:41:52.479
<v Speaker 1>I did see before we started shooting that Hawaii had

1688
01:41:52.520 --> 01:41:55.560
<v Speaker 1>a tsunami warning that they were, you know, starting to

1689
01:41:55.560 --> 01:41:58.199
<v Speaker 1>evacuate around the coast, and it has already been called

1690
01:41:58.239 --> 01:42:03.079
<v Speaker 1>off that. You know, it's a relatively good practice whenever

1691
01:42:03.119 --> 01:42:05.600
<v Speaker 1>you see an earthquake that could potentially send a tidal

1692
01:42:05.640 --> 01:42:09.439
<v Speaker 1>wave your way to get to higher ground. Apparently it

1693
01:42:09.479 --> 01:42:12.800
<v Speaker 1>didn't do anything, and they're not expecting that it's gonna

1694
01:42:12.840 --> 01:42:15.600
<v Speaker 1>do anything either. So I do find it interesting that

1695
01:42:15.680 --> 01:42:19.119
<v Speaker 1>Russia is having all of these quakes in that short

1696
01:42:19.119 --> 01:42:22.520
<v Speaker 1>amount of time. The symbolism, you know, I agree, Raven

1697
01:42:22.560 --> 01:42:26.720
<v Speaker 1>one hundred percent, sounds like somewhere is about to need

1698
01:42:26.760 --> 01:42:30.000
<v Speaker 1>some freedom and democracy. Yeah, Anthony, Yeah, I agree with that.

1699
01:42:31.159 --> 01:42:34.760
<v Speaker 1>Let's see moving on here. I'm rooting for Candice, but

1700
01:42:34.800 --> 01:42:37.479
<v Speaker 1>there's always the chance that Brigitte's team proves that she

1701
01:42:37.640 --> 01:42:40.359
<v Speaker 1>is a woman somehow and that they have been hiding

1702
01:42:40.359 --> 01:42:43.000
<v Speaker 1>it specifically for the right moment. I can't wait to

1703
01:42:43.000 --> 01:42:47.439
<v Speaker 1>see you know Tim Dillon had a very hot take

1704
01:42:47.479 --> 01:42:50.399
<v Speaker 1>on this. All she has to do is show it,

1705
01:42:51.600 --> 01:42:53.800
<v Speaker 1>like not to the world. I'm not saying that Brigitte

1706
01:42:53.800 --> 01:42:55.960
<v Speaker 1>needs to make OnlyFans account or something like that, but

1707
01:42:56.439 --> 01:42:59.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm just I'm throwing it out. Our first

1708
01:42:59.760 --> 01:43:03.119
<v Speaker 1>lady has a centerfold in Playboy that you could go find.

1709
01:43:04.520 --> 01:43:08.720
<v Speaker 1>Brigitte's got man hands and broad shoulders, and I'm just

1710
01:43:08.760 --> 01:43:10.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm throwing it out. I'm not saying that she should

1711
01:43:10.960 --> 01:43:13.960
<v Speaker 1>even do something like that. But if it goes to court,

1712
01:43:14.399 --> 01:43:20.439
<v Speaker 1>if the international suing that seems to possibly get ready

1713
01:43:20.479 --> 01:43:24.079
<v Speaker 1>to take place here, if that goes down, y'all understand

1714
01:43:24.159 --> 01:43:26.960
<v Speaker 1>that we're gonna have to get a real medical professional

1715
01:43:27.000 --> 01:43:32.359
<v Speaker 1>to examine Brigitte Macron's genitals to confirm that she has

1716
01:43:33.920 --> 01:43:38.319
<v Speaker 1>the parts that were born to her. I mean, yes,

1717
01:43:38.359 --> 01:43:41.199
<v Speaker 1>they could just do a blood test, right That would

1718
01:43:41.239 --> 01:43:44.720
<v Speaker 1>be one way, but that can also be altered with

1719
01:43:44.880 --> 01:43:48.159
<v Speaker 1>enough hormones. Look at all these quote unquote women that

1720
01:43:48.199 --> 01:43:54.000
<v Speaker 1>were competing in the Olympics that had dicks, but they're.

1721
01:43:54.000 --> 01:43:57.039
<v Speaker 8>Not the chromosomes. That's the thing. The chromosomes will show

1722
01:43:57.039 --> 01:43:57.640
<v Speaker 8>it right away.

1723
01:43:57.920 --> 01:44:01.399
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's very true. It's very true. I hope that

1724
01:44:01.439 --> 01:44:03.279
<v Speaker 1>they do something like that, and it would just it

1725
01:44:03.279 --> 01:44:06.720
<v Speaker 1>would save everything. Literally if she was to submit that

1726
01:44:07.159 --> 01:44:10.600
<v Speaker 1>to a medical professional, that would end the conversation. But

1727
01:44:11.279 --> 01:44:12.319
<v Speaker 1>you know, here we are.

1728
01:44:13.199 --> 01:44:15.520
<v Speaker 9>Uh huh, Yeah, I'm figuring there's a chance she may

1729
01:44:15.640 --> 01:44:18.439
<v Speaker 9>do that, and maybe she really is a woman, but

1730
01:44:18.520 --> 01:44:21.800
<v Speaker 9>she's been trying to hide it, specifically to lead someone

1731
01:44:21.840 --> 01:44:26.159
<v Speaker 9>like Candace Owens on. And Candace Owens may even say

1732
01:44:26.159 --> 01:44:29.640
<v Speaker 9>that it's a victory for Candace that oh see, look

1733
01:44:29.680 --> 01:44:32.119
<v Speaker 9>I made her release that all this stuff she didn't

1734
01:44:32.159 --> 01:44:36.119
<v Speaker 9>want to release, and then but it'll it'll be a

1735
01:44:36.399 --> 01:44:37.800
<v Speaker 9>defeat for Candas if that happens.

1736
01:44:37.840 --> 01:44:39.880
<v Speaker 8>I'm still rooting for her to actually be right about the.

1737
01:44:39.800 --> 01:44:42.239
<v Speaker 9>Whole thing and Forgit to be a man, for her

1738
01:44:42.279 --> 01:44:45.560
<v Speaker 9>to be Jean Michelle troug No. Yeah, and you know,

1739
01:44:45.640 --> 01:44:48.680
<v Speaker 9>she refuses to produce any photos of herself from her

1740
01:44:48.800 --> 01:44:52.960
<v Speaker 9>youth or standing next to Jean Michelle troug No. I

1741
01:44:53.000 --> 01:44:56.960
<v Speaker 9>think Candace has had to concede that Jean Michele and Brigitte,

1742
01:44:56.960 --> 01:45:00.000
<v Speaker 9>at least at one point in the distant past world

1743
01:45:00.159 --> 01:45:04.199
<v Speaker 9>two different people. But she's claiming that maybe Brigitte died

1744
01:45:04.399 --> 01:45:09.840
<v Speaker 9>and that Jean Michel Trugnau assumed her identity. Now that's

1745
01:45:10.399 --> 01:45:13.479
<v Speaker 9>quite a climb down from the previous statement, and you know,

1746
01:45:13.560 --> 01:45:16.359
<v Speaker 9>maybe it'll turn out Canvas is wrong and that's not

1747
01:45:16.399 --> 01:45:20.680
<v Speaker 9>going to shatter my entire world, right, you know, I

1748
01:45:20.760 --> 01:45:22.479
<v Speaker 9>just can't wait to see what the real truth is.

1749
01:45:22.960 --> 01:45:26.399
<v Speaker 1>I would love to see the backpedal if Brigitte does

1750
01:45:26.520 --> 01:45:28.920
<v Speaker 1>submit the DNA evidence and all the things, and it

1751
01:45:29.000 --> 01:45:31.840
<v Speaker 1>is understood that is a very manly looking woman, but

1752
01:45:31.880 --> 01:45:36.119
<v Speaker 1>a woman nonetheless bro that I could see Candas trying

1753
01:45:36.119 --> 01:45:38.399
<v Speaker 1>to still claim it as a victory. Like you said,

1754
01:45:38.600 --> 01:45:41.840
<v Speaker 1>I could see her absolutely trying to do that, but

1755
01:45:42.000 --> 01:45:46.600
<v Speaker 1>also the amount of backpedaling and public apology that she

1756
01:45:46.640 --> 01:45:50.319
<v Speaker 1>would have to do would be unprecedented for her. So

1757
01:45:50.479 --> 01:45:53.560
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. Either way it goes. I'm still getting

1758
01:45:53.560 --> 01:45:57.880
<v Speaker 1>a laugh out of it. So I call it. Macrona

1759
01:45:57.880 --> 01:46:03.039
<v Speaker 1>announced France would recognize Palestine very recently too. Yeah, that's

1760
01:46:03.760 --> 01:46:06.479
<v Speaker 1>that's a thing. But Cron's falling out of favor in France.

1761
01:46:06.520 --> 01:46:07.960
<v Speaker 1>From what I could tell, A lot of his people

1762
01:46:08.000 --> 01:46:10.279
<v Speaker 1>are not too happy with him, and they haven't been

1763
01:46:10.279 --> 01:46:13.039
<v Speaker 1>for a while, but now more than ever. I'm not

1764
01:46:13.079 --> 01:46:15.520
<v Speaker 1>saying it's over the Palestine thing. There's multiple levels to that.

1765
01:46:16.399 --> 01:46:18.399
<v Speaker 1>Uh yeah, to your point you're about to say, here,

1766
01:46:18.600 --> 01:46:21.680
<v Speaker 1>Europe has too many Muslims, and their leadership class may

1767
01:46:21.720 --> 01:46:25.079
<v Speaker 1>be facing a choice of whether to support Ukraine or Israel,

1768
01:46:25.840 --> 01:46:29.920
<v Speaker 1>and they are choosing Ukraine. Yo. That's another thing too,

1769
01:46:30.000 --> 01:46:32.720
<v Speaker 1>talking about too many, you know, and not just Muslims.

1770
01:46:32.960 --> 01:46:37.680
<v Speaker 1>We should give the distinction that these are refugees and

1771
01:46:37.960 --> 01:46:43.640
<v Speaker 1>illegal immigrants from Muslim countries. That yeah. But even that

1772
01:46:43.720 --> 01:46:46.239
<v Speaker 1>being said, dude, New York City is about to elect

1773
01:46:46.279 --> 01:46:50.000
<v Speaker 1>a socialist Muslim as their mayor. And the worst part

1774
01:46:50.119 --> 01:46:54.760
<v Speaker 1>is the Hasidic Jews of New York were the deciding

1775
01:46:54.880 --> 01:46:58.439
<v Speaker 1>vote to put him in office. That is mind blowing

1776
01:46:58.479 --> 01:47:03.880
<v Speaker 1>to me. But still nonetheless it's happening. Let's see, Prince

1777
01:47:03.920 --> 01:47:06.920
<v Speaker 1>Albert was not a Habsburg. He was the house of

1778
01:47:07.000 --> 01:47:10.880
<v Speaker 1>Saxe Kuberg. Oh yeah, yeah, which changed its name to

1779
01:47:11.000 --> 01:47:14.000
<v Speaker 1>Windsor in World War One to sound less German. That's right,

1780
01:47:14.119 --> 01:47:18.039
<v Speaker 1>that's right. I apologize. The Muslims are getting their round

1781
01:47:18.079 --> 01:47:21.640
<v Speaker 1>two for the Crusades, yo. Israel is looking like it

1782
01:47:21.680 --> 01:47:24.039
<v Speaker 1>wants round two for the two Crusades. They bombed the

1783
01:47:24.079 --> 01:47:28.920
<v Speaker 1>only Catholic church in Gaza that crusades were launched for

1784
01:47:29.039 --> 01:47:31.760
<v Speaker 1>much less in the Middle Ages. I'm just saying, but

1785
01:47:32.479 --> 01:47:35.079
<v Speaker 1>I hope that it doesn't escalate like that. I hope

1786
01:47:35.079 --> 01:47:38.600
<v Speaker 1>everybody just calms down and goes home and stops it.

1787
01:47:38.640 --> 01:47:41.720
<v Speaker 1>They're not gonna, I hope, but they're not gonna, you know.

1788
01:47:43.520 --> 01:47:45.560
<v Speaker 1>Tony went on to say, I think China's AI is

1789
01:47:45.600 --> 01:47:47.439
<v Speaker 1>at least as good as the US, may be better

1790
01:47:47.439 --> 01:47:50.399
<v Speaker 1>for generating video, Yeah, because they robbed it from US.

1791
01:47:50.720 --> 01:47:53.479
<v Speaker 1>Because the deep Seak conversation. Hell, there was about a

1792
01:47:53.520 --> 01:47:55.680
<v Speaker 1>month where if you went to deep seek and asked

1793
01:47:55.760 --> 01:47:59.199
<v Speaker 1>what are you, it answered chat GPT and there was

1794
01:47:59.199 --> 01:48:01.319
<v Speaker 1>that open file that they found in the Pentagon with

1795
01:48:01.359 --> 01:48:03.760
<v Speaker 1>a direct link to China. So, yes, to your point,

1796
01:48:04.119 --> 01:48:07.439
<v Speaker 1>China's AI is literally as good as the United States

1797
01:48:07.479 --> 01:48:10.159
<v Speaker 1>as AI. I one hundred percent agree with you on that.

1798
01:48:11.079 --> 01:48:11.199
<v Speaker 7>Uh.

1799
01:48:11.760 --> 01:48:14.960
<v Speaker 1>India is quite culturally dissimilar to the US and ways

1800
01:48:14.960 --> 01:48:18.199
<v Speaker 1>that are getting more noticeable. Very true. There is also

1801
01:48:18.239 --> 01:48:21.199
<v Speaker 1>a huge anti Indian far right movement on Twitter that

1802
01:48:21.359 --> 01:48:25.920
<v Speaker 1>largely started last Christmas over the H one B visas. Yeah,

1803
01:48:25.960 --> 01:48:30.359
<v Speaker 1>I noticed that too, the far right movement. It's it

1804
01:48:30.479 --> 01:48:33.079
<v Speaker 1>is very interesting that they are going after pretty much

1805
01:48:33.079 --> 01:48:36.960
<v Speaker 1>all H one B visas, but they were specifically targeting

1806
01:48:37.159 --> 01:48:40.600
<v Speaker 1>Indian H one B visas. I didn't I don't know

1807
01:48:40.720 --> 01:48:45.079
<v Speaker 1>where that particular spun from, but that seemed to be

1808
01:48:45.199 --> 01:48:46.880
<v Speaker 1>a flavor profile they were going for.

1809
01:48:47.560 --> 01:48:51.479
<v Speaker 9>Well, I've seen the charts showing that Indians in particular

1810
01:48:51.680 --> 01:48:54.479
<v Speaker 9>get like eighty percent of the H one B visas.

1811
01:48:54.479 --> 01:48:58.279
<v Speaker 9>It's an overwhelming majority. And they work with each other,

1812
01:48:58.399 --> 01:49:01.319
<v Speaker 9>their entire firms in India that are dedicated to getting

1813
01:49:01.359 --> 01:49:04.880
<v Speaker 9>people H one bvss that don't exist in other countries.

1814
01:49:05.520 --> 01:49:09.119
<v Speaker 9>And they've also got a reputation for being very nepotistic.

1815
01:49:10.680 --> 01:49:14.119
<v Speaker 9>So anyway, yeah, the far right definitely, there were a

1816
01:49:14.159 --> 01:49:17.640
<v Speaker 9>lot of very anti Indian memes made, mostly about a

1817
01:49:17.680 --> 01:49:21.159
<v Speaker 9>lot of them don't like toilets and you know, their

1818
01:49:21.239 --> 01:49:25.000
<v Speaker 9>accent and stuff like that, and I thought, wow, you know,

1819
01:49:25.039 --> 01:49:28.960
<v Speaker 9>I thought Indians were regarded as pretty conservative and well, anyway,

1820
01:49:28.960 --> 01:49:33.359
<v Speaker 9>the far right, like alt right people on Twitter, really

1821
01:49:33.399 --> 01:49:37.119
<v Speaker 9>seem to hate Indians almost that exception I know so

1822
01:49:37.199 --> 01:49:40.680
<v Speaker 9>much seeks, but especially Hindus, especially the polytheists.

1823
01:49:40.760 --> 01:49:45.359
<v Speaker 1>You know, yeah, Sikhs are by and large theists. Yeah,

1824
01:49:45.359 --> 01:49:48.000
<v Speaker 1>they're monotheists for sure, but they are if we're going

1825
01:49:48.079 --> 01:49:52.760
<v Speaker 1>to talk about just typical political leanings, they are conservative,

1826
01:49:52.760 --> 01:49:55.319
<v Speaker 1>if not ultra conservative in a lot of cases. So

1827
01:49:55.399 --> 01:49:57.479
<v Speaker 1>it makes sense that the far right would not really

1828
01:49:57.479 --> 01:50:00.439
<v Speaker 1>have much beef with them. They do see to have

1829
01:50:00.720 --> 01:50:04.319
<v Speaker 1>a lot of beef with the Hindus as a religious

1830
01:50:04.319 --> 01:50:08.479
<v Speaker 1>and a cultural thing. But also I don't know many

1831
01:50:08.560 --> 01:50:10.560
<v Speaker 1>Sikhs that got an H one B to get here.

1832
01:50:10.800 --> 01:50:13.960
<v Speaker 1>Most of them just like properly into immigrate to the

1833
01:50:14.039 --> 01:50:17.039
<v Speaker 1>area and like set up shop. That seems to be

1834
01:50:17.079 --> 01:50:19.840
<v Speaker 1>another thing for them culturally is to like branch out,

1835
01:50:19.960 --> 01:50:23.760
<v Speaker 1>not for takeover principles, but more or less because the

1836
01:50:23.800 --> 01:50:29.720
<v Speaker 1>Sikhs have been well, I don't want to say discriminated against,

1837
01:50:30.720 --> 01:50:33.319
<v Speaker 1>but there are certain countries like Canada for instance, that

1838
01:50:33.479 --> 01:50:39.039
<v Speaker 1>is borderline persecuting the Sikh population there, and there's there's

1839
01:50:39.159 --> 01:50:42.079
<v Speaker 1>reasons they say that they were housing terrorist groups or

1840
01:50:42.159 --> 01:50:45.319
<v Speaker 1>leaders of terrorist groups and all these things. It's but yeah,

1841
01:50:45.399 --> 01:50:47.880
<v Speaker 1>the the far right, they I'm with you. I don't

1842
01:50:47.920 --> 01:50:51.399
<v Speaker 1>know why they have such a hatred towards the Indian

1843
01:50:51.439 --> 01:50:53.640
<v Speaker 1>population as of this moment. But all of the shit

1844
01:50:53.680 --> 01:50:55.520
<v Speaker 1>that's going on with Trump and Modi right now is

1845
01:50:55.720 --> 01:50:57.520
<v Speaker 1>not helping that cause whatsoever.

1846
01:50:58.199 --> 01:51:01.039
<v Speaker 9>Oh yeah, well, yeah, the Sikhs are a pretty small

1847
01:51:01.079 --> 01:51:03.039
<v Speaker 9>minority in India. There may be one or two percent

1848
01:51:03.119 --> 01:51:06.880
<v Speaker 9>of the population, but there are a disproportionately high percentage

1849
01:51:06.920 --> 01:51:10.760
<v Speaker 9>of the Indian immigrants to the US and Canada. I

1850
01:51:10.800 --> 01:51:12.479
<v Speaker 9>worked with a ton of Sikhs in one of my

1851
01:51:12.600 --> 01:51:15.399
<v Speaker 9>lab jobs, and I don't think they were h one b.

1852
01:51:17.159 --> 01:51:19.359
<v Speaker 9>They don't tend to be programmers as much, but they

1853
01:51:19.399 --> 01:51:21.159
<v Speaker 9>just do all kinds of other stuff like work in

1854
01:51:21.279 --> 01:51:25.000
<v Speaker 9>labs and work as truckers. Yeah, all over the country

1855
01:51:25.039 --> 01:51:26.119
<v Speaker 9>as truckers for sure.

1856
01:51:26.439 --> 01:51:26.600
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

1857
01:51:26.640 --> 01:51:28.560
<v Speaker 9>And the Hindus for some reason, I guess they tend

1858
01:51:28.600 --> 01:51:32.720
<v Speaker 9>to be more like programmers and other stuff. But the

1859
01:51:32.800 --> 01:51:36.239
<v Speaker 9>reason the far right doesn't like them, there's several One

1860
01:51:36.279 --> 01:51:38.720
<v Speaker 9>reason is India's government and the Hindus tend to be

1861
01:51:38.800 --> 01:51:40.960
<v Speaker 9>very pro Israel for some reason, and the far right

1862
01:51:41.000 --> 01:51:44.439
<v Speaker 9>in this country is very anti Israel, especially on Twitter,

1863
01:51:46.159 --> 01:51:50.439
<v Speaker 9>and Indians are seen as very nepotistic but also like smelly.

1864
01:51:50.880 --> 01:51:53.880
<v Speaker 9>Oh gosh, we just don't like them basically, and especially

1865
01:51:54.000 --> 01:51:58.000
<v Speaker 9>vivek Wa'maswami, they don't like him. Vivic Arama Swami, head

1866
01:51:58.000 --> 01:52:01.279
<v Speaker 9>of tweeted about how oh Americans, the heritage Americans are

1867
01:52:01.319 --> 01:52:03.840
<v Speaker 9>just too lazy, and we immigrants work hard because we

1868
01:52:03.920 --> 01:52:06.159
<v Speaker 9>need to, because we're told we need to get ahead.

1869
01:52:06.159 --> 01:52:08.479
<v Speaker 9>We're not watching Saved by the Bell and the Simpsons

1870
01:52:08.520 --> 01:52:12.159
<v Speaker 9>like you people. And yeah that's WEE heard f be

1871
01:52:12.319 --> 01:52:14.680
<v Speaker 9>back a lot. But Okay, that's all I gotta say

1872
01:52:14.680 --> 01:52:15.199
<v Speaker 9>on that.

1873
01:52:15.199 --> 01:52:18.439
<v Speaker 1>That's not an untrue statement though. And it's not just Indians, right.

1874
01:52:18.520 --> 01:52:23.520
<v Speaker 1>You find any Southeast Asian immigrant to America, they blust

1875
01:52:23.520 --> 01:52:26.840
<v Speaker 1>their ass mostly because of the cultural things their parents. Like, Yo,

1876
01:52:26.880 --> 01:52:31.199
<v Speaker 1>if you're bringing home a minus like you are just worthless,

1877
01:52:31.199 --> 01:52:33.000
<v Speaker 1>it's got to be a plus's I remember I had

1878
01:52:33.039 --> 01:52:35.800
<v Speaker 1>a couple of Asian friends growing up. That was the thing.

1879
01:52:35.920 --> 01:52:38.159
<v Speaker 1>They didn't have a four oh GPA like, that was

1880
01:52:38.199 --> 01:52:40.319
<v Speaker 1>their ass when they got home, Like it was a

1881
01:52:40.359 --> 01:52:43.439
<v Speaker 1>real cultural thing to them. And you know, we could

1882
01:52:43.520 --> 01:52:45.880
<v Speaker 1>argue about the semantics as to why that is. Is

1883
01:52:45.880 --> 01:52:50.640
<v Speaker 1>it because they were second generation Americans. Their parents were

1884
01:52:50.680 --> 01:52:53.199
<v Speaker 1>directly off the boat, not physically, you know what I mean,

1885
01:52:53.479 --> 01:52:55.920
<v Speaker 1>And so they wanted their child to do well in

1886
01:52:56.000 --> 01:52:58.640
<v Speaker 1>America with the opportunities they were presented because they knew

1887
01:52:58.640 --> 01:53:01.359
<v Speaker 1>what they came from. Okay, there's probably something to be

1888
01:53:01.399 --> 01:53:03.479
<v Speaker 1>said for that. But a lot of the H one

1889
01:53:03.520 --> 01:53:07.600
<v Speaker 1>B immigrants, there's a conversation to say that some of

1890
01:53:07.600 --> 01:53:12.600
<v Speaker 1>them stay in America and do great here. Others you're

1891
01:53:12.720 --> 01:53:14.479
<v Speaker 1>kind of part of the brain drain, if you will.

1892
01:53:14.520 --> 01:53:16.640
<v Speaker 1>And they take all the credentials that they get from

1893
01:53:16.680 --> 01:53:20.680
<v Speaker 1>American institutions, go home and they live like kings. Right.

1894
01:53:20.720 --> 01:53:23.920
<v Speaker 1>And to your point about how Indians kind of get

1895
01:53:23.920 --> 01:53:28.000
<v Speaker 1>more into the tech industry, there's even racism within India

1896
01:53:28.159 --> 01:53:30.520
<v Speaker 1>which goes back to their cast system. Don't get me wrong,

1897
01:53:30.800 --> 01:53:33.680
<v Speaker 1>but like North India is more of the tech people,

1898
01:53:33.680 --> 01:53:37.279
<v Speaker 1>like you're talking about, South India gets shit on by

1899
01:53:37.439 --> 01:53:41.000
<v Speaker 1>North India as the craftsmen for lack of better words. Ah,

1900
01:53:41.039 --> 01:53:43.319
<v Speaker 1>they use their feet when they make stuff. Oh, they're

1901
01:53:43.359 --> 01:53:45.239
<v Speaker 1>the worst. They're the ones with the slums. They're the

1902
01:53:45.239 --> 01:53:46.920
<v Speaker 1>ones that don't use toilets and this and this, and

1903
01:53:46.960 --> 01:53:50.159
<v Speaker 1>it's like, you know, I understand that India is the

1904
01:53:50.239 --> 01:53:52.800
<v Speaker 1>largest country on Earth and that there's tons of cultures

1905
01:53:52.840 --> 01:53:56.119
<v Speaker 1>within India. Hell, their money has ten different languages on it.

1906
01:53:56.239 --> 01:54:00.920
<v Speaker 1>That's how culturally diverse the subcontinent itself is. But it

1907
01:54:01.039 --> 01:54:03.640
<v Speaker 1>is really, uh, it's a thing like you said, from

1908
01:54:03.680 --> 01:54:07.880
<v Speaker 1>the far right conservatives. They do not like India. Some

1909
01:54:07.920 --> 01:54:11.800
<v Speaker 1>of that's for Israeli leanings. Some of that is just

1910
01:54:11.880 --> 01:54:14.760
<v Speaker 1>for their culture and heritage as a whole. It's it's

1911
01:54:14.760 --> 01:54:19.920
<v Speaker 1>pretty wild to see. Let's see you shared a picture

1912
01:54:20.039 --> 01:54:24.239
<v Speaker 1>thirteen years of jijaping. All right. So in twenty twelve,

1913
01:54:24.279 --> 01:54:27.560
<v Speaker 1>when Jijaping took office, the GDP of China was eight

1914
01:54:27.560 --> 01:54:32.239
<v Speaker 1>point five trillion, The GDP per capita was six thousand dollars,

1915
01:54:32.640 --> 01:54:37.000
<v Speaker 1>Inflation was at two point six percent, the gold reserves

1916
01:54:37.039 --> 01:54:40.560
<v Speaker 1>were at three point two trillion dollars, the debt was

1917
01:54:40.600 --> 01:54:44.039
<v Speaker 1>twenty four percent, the pension was four hundred yen per month,

1918
01:54:44.399 --> 01:54:47.680
<v Speaker 1>and the income was four thousand yen per month median

1919
01:54:47.720 --> 01:54:51.479
<v Speaker 1>household income. Of course, twenty twenty five, the GDP is

1920
01:54:51.520 --> 01:54:55.439
<v Speaker 1>forty one trillion, the GDP per capita is thirteen thousand,

1921
01:54:55.640 --> 01:54:59.039
<v Speaker 1>Inflation is down to two point one percent, the gold

1922
01:54:59.119 --> 01:55:02.680
<v Speaker 1>in the reserves up to four trillion. The national debt

1923
01:55:02.840 --> 01:55:05.560
<v Speaker 1>is up only one percent, from twenty four percent to

1924
01:55:05.600 --> 01:55:09.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty five percent. That's nice. The pension per month has

1925
01:55:09.720 --> 01:55:13.079
<v Speaker 1>increased to just over thirty three hundred yen per month,

1926
01:55:13.479 --> 01:55:17.000
<v Speaker 1>and the median income per month is forty two thousand

1927
01:55:17.079 --> 01:55:19.920
<v Speaker 1>yen per month as opposed to four thousand, So she

1928
01:55:20.039 --> 01:55:22.600
<v Speaker 1>has done very well for China with his tenure. I'll

1929
01:55:22.640 --> 01:55:25.439
<v Speaker 1>be very honest with you, but it seems as though

1930
01:55:25.479 --> 01:55:27.479
<v Speaker 1>in the last couple of years he has kind of

1931
01:55:27.520 --> 01:55:31.079
<v Speaker 1>been going a little off the rails, and I think

1932
01:55:31.119 --> 01:55:34.560
<v Speaker 1>his people are not too pleased with him. Although I

1933
01:55:34.600 --> 01:55:37.840
<v Speaker 1>will say people have a short memory. People forget what

1934
01:55:37.880 --> 01:55:40.119
<v Speaker 1>it was like before he took office as opposed to

1935
01:55:40.159 --> 01:55:44.560
<v Speaker 1>how they're living now. But even still, it's all one,

1936
01:55:44.680 --> 01:55:47.640
<v Speaker 1>oh shit, will ruin a thousand out of boys? Right,

1937
01:55:47.680 --> 01:55:50.000
<v Speaker 1>And I've said that a million times. You could build

1938
01:55:50.000 --> 01:55:54.159
<v Speaker 1>a thousand bridges, you know what I mean. But you

1939
01:55:54.279 --> 01:55:57.439
<v Speaker 1>do that one thing and that's all you are. I'm

1940
01:55:57.439 --> 01:55:59.800
<v Speaker 1>not saying that's exactly what is happening with she as

1941
01:55:59.800 --> 01:56:03.920
<v Speaker 1>this moment. I don't I couldn't tell you, to be

1942
01:56:03.960 --> 01:56:10.199
<v Speaker 1>completely honest. Moving on here, let's see romanizing the j's noise.

1943
01:56:10.279 --> 01:56:10.960
<v Speaker 1>Yeah you said that.

1944
01:56:12.000 --> 01:56:13.640
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, we can just kip some of that stuff.

1945
01:56:13.880 --> 01:56:16.359
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I got you. Let's see Tony when you have

1946
01:56:16.439 --> 01:56:20.000
<v Speaker 1>time wikipedia on. Oh is that the thing for the

1947
01:56:20.039 --> 01:56:21.000
<v Speaker 1>pronunciation as well?

1948
01:56:21.640 --> 01:56:22.199
<v Speaker 8>Yeah?

1949
01:56:22.399 --> 01:56:24.159
<v Speaker 1>Got you. I'm gonna pull that up so I could

1950
01:56:24.199 --> 01:56:26.159
<v Speaker 1>review that later for sure, because that's gonna be a

1951
01:56:26.199 --> 01:56:29.760
<v Speaker 1>whole thing. China may be getting more ownership of the

1952
01:56:29.840 --> 01:56:33.560
<v Speaker 1>Panama Canal. Tell us a little bit about this, Tony.

1953
01:56:34.119 --> 01:56:37.680
<v Speaker 8>Oh yeah, I read an article about this, and it's

1954
01:56:37.880 --> 01:56:41.039
<v Speaker 8>a little too complicated even for me. But there's this

1955
01:56:41.359 --> 01:56:46.920
<v Speaker 8>Chinese or Hong Kong based shipping conglomerate called Hutchison that

1956
01:56:47.119 --> 01:56:51.439
<v Speaker 8>owns a lot of ports around the world, and black

1957
01:56:51.560 --> 01:56:54.960
<v Speaker 8>Rock from the US obviously has a stake in a

1958
01:56:54.960 --> 01:56:58.000
<v Speaker 8>lot of ports around the world. And there's a.

1959
01:56:58.479 --> 01:57:04.239
<v Speaker 9>Chinese Beijing owned company called Costco. It's like our Costco

1960
01:57:04.399 --> 01:57:07.880
<v Speaker 9>without the tea, and it also has a big steak

1961
01:57:07.920 --> 01:57:09.600
<v Speaker 9>in a lot of ports around the world. And apparently

1962
01:57:09.640 --> 01:57:14.399
<v Speaker 9>they're negotiating and doing some horse trading. And the short

1963
01:57:14.640 --> 01:57:18.760
<v Speaker 9>version of the story is that the Chinese government and

1964
01:57:18.880 --> 01:57:23.680
<v Speaker 9>Chinese owned Costco might be taking control of more ports

1965
01:57:23.720 --> 01:57:26.880
<v Speaker 9>in and around Panama and maybe a bigger steak in

1966
01:57:26.880 --> 01:57:30.399
<v Speaker 9>the Panama Canal. But the article I read didn't go

1967
01:57:30.479 --> 01:57:34.039
<v Speaker 9>into enough detail to really flesh it out, and I

1968
01:57:34.039 --> 01:57:38.079
<v Speaker 9>don't want to take too much time here, but yeah, China,

1969
01:57:38.319 --> 01:57:40.760
<v Speaker 9>they've had a big steak in the Panama Canal since

1970
01:57:40.800 --> 01:57:45.039
<v Speaker 9>Panama gave it to them in sometime after nineteen ninety nine.

1971
01:57:45.119 --> 01:57:49.520
<v Speaker 9>The US basically broke Panama off of Colombia in about

1972
01:57:49.640 --> 01:57:52.840
<v Speaker 9>nineteen oh three in order to make the Panama Canal

1973
01:57:52.920 --> 01:57:57.159
<v Speaker 9>happen so Colombia wouldn't own it. And then in nineteen

1974
01:57:57.239 --> 01:58:01.159
<v Speaker 9>seventy seven, the US agreed to give the Panama Canal

1975
01:58:01.239 --> 01:58:04.920
<v Speaker 9>back to Panama in nineteen ninety nine, twenty two years later,

1976
01:58:05.159 --> 01:58:08.399
<v Speaker 9>and then that happened, and then I think Panama sold

1977
01:58:08.439 --> 01:58:10.000
<v Speaker 9>a major stake of it to China.

1978
01:58:10.279 --> 01:58:11.640
<v Speaker 8>And here we are now.

1979
01:58:13.199 --> 01:58:17.600
<v Speaker 1>Fair enough. I remember whenever the big deal happened with

1980
01:58:17.720 --> 01:58:20.840
<v Speaker 1>that Trump in the big situation with the Panama Canal,

1981
01:58:21.239 --> 01:58:24.399
<v Speaker 1>Blackrock was making a big thing where they were buying

1982
01:58:24.439 --> 01:58:27.800
<v Speaker 1>like fifty four new ports. They already owned ports all

1983
01:58:27.840 --> 01:58:30.760
<v Speaker 1>over the world. They were moving in on like fifty

1984
01:58:30.760 --> 01:58:35.800
<v Speaker 1>four of them very strategically. Twenty. I know there was

1985
01:58:35.880 --> 01:58:39.079
<v Speaker 1>three that was like the crown jewels of the Panama Canal,

1986
01:58:39.479 --> 01:58:41.359
<v Speaker 1>but there was twenty of them in and around that

1987
01:58:41.479 --> 01:58:43.920
<v Speaker 1>area that it was a whole we did a whole

1988
01:58:44.000 --> 01:58:46.079
<v Speaker 1>cult to conspiracy episode as a matter of fact, on

1989
01:58:46.319 --> 01:58:51.600
<v Speaker 1>the fact that they were owning these strategic ports, Yes,

1990
01:58:51.880 --> 01:58:54.760
<v Speaker 1>for American interest, but Blackrock has a lot more than

1991
01:58:54.840 --> 01:59:00.319
<v Speaker 1>just American interests that they answer towards. So yeah, yeah,

1992
01:59:00.439 --> 01:59:03.479
<v Speaker 1>very interesting. I haven't heard much about China buying more

1993
01:59:03.560 --> 01:59:06.760
<v Speaker 1>or building more ports around the area. But again, if

1994
01:59:06.840 --> 01:59:10.000
<v Speaker 1>China is trying to project more power, and they do

1995
01:59:10.159 --> 01:59:14.399
<v Speaker 1>so through economics, and I understand that, but man, they

1996
01:59:14.439 --> 01:59:16.640
<v Speaker 1>have not done anything to help their homies on a

1997
01:59:16.640 --> 01:59:20.560
<v Speaker 1>military standpoint, especially in lieu of all the tariff's conversation

1998
01:59:20.640 --> 01:59:23.039
<v Speaker 1>that's going on here now. They are seated at a

1999
01:59:23.119 --> 01:59:27.000
<v Speaker 1>forty five percent tariff etchedon stone as of this moment.

2000
01:59:27.479 --> 01:59:30.319
<v Speaker 1>That can also change. I know that goes against the

2001
01:59:30.439 --> 01:59:33.720
<v Speaker 1>entire term of etchton Stone, but with our current administration,

2002
01:59:34.000 --> 01:59:36.439
<v Speaker 1>it depends on the day, It depends on the moon phases,

2003
01:59:36.479 --> 01:59:38.800
<v Speaker 1>it depends on the winds. As far as what's going

2004
01:59:38.880 --> 01:59:42.680
<v Speaker 1>to happen next. With all of that being said, let's

2005
01:59:42.680 --> 01:59:45.439
<v Speaker 1>see you also said that there may be rare earths

2006
01:59:45.439 --> 01:59:48.319
<v Speaker 1>on that high border, but Grox says, no, I haven't

2007
01:59:48.319 --> 01:59:50.479
<v Speaker 1>heard anything as far as there being some sort of

2008
01:59:50.520 --> 01:59:53.199
<v Speaker 1>a rare earth or anything like that as far as

2009
01:59:53.279 --> 01:59:56.520
<v Speaker 1>what the border dispute is about. But that border dispute

2010
01:59:56.560 --> 01:59:59.000
<v Speaker 1>has it's not a new conversation. That's been a border

2011
01:59:59.000 --> 02:00:02.199
<v Speaker 1>dispute for a couple of years for sure, And I

2012
02:00:02.239 --> 02:00:05.680
<v Speaker 1>don't know if they use this random accident with a

2013
02:00:05.760 --> 02:00:10.920
<v Speaker 1>landmine as just the catalysts to try to finally settle

2014
02:00:10.920 --> 02:00:13.640
<v Speaker 1>the border dispute forever, or if there is some real

2015
02:00:13.680 --> 02:00:16.279
<v Speaker 1>truth to that. I said earlier that it's very possible

2016
02:00:16.279 --> 02:00:19.439
<v Speaker 1>that it's an American mind from the Vietnam War era.

2017
02:00:19.640 --> 02:00:24.159
<v Speaker 1>It's very possible. It's also equally possible that that mine

2018
02:00:24.439 --> 02:00:27.520
<v Speaker 1>was placed by one of these sides for that purpose,

2019
02:00:27.680 --> 02:00:31.119
<v Speaker 1>maybe to be a not a false flag operation, but

2020
02:00:32.359 --> 02:00:35.399
<v Speaker 1>for the principle of starting the conflict in the first place.

2021
02:00:36.000 --> 02:00:38.279
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. I don't know. I hope that everything

2022
02:00:38.319 --> 02:00:41.319
<v Speaker 1>gets resolved fairly quickly. Me and Mar, just on the

2023
02:00:41.359 --> 02:00:43.279
<v Speaker 1>other side of Camba or on the other side of

2024
02:00:43.279 --> 02:00:47.479
<v Speaker 1>Thailand is still in an open civil war. So out

2025
02:00:47.479 --> 02:00:53.279
<v Speaker 1>of the entirety of the Southeast Asian area, India just

2026
02:00:53.319 --> 02:00:56.000
<v Speaker 1>got out of a conflict with Pakistan, there's still in

2027
02:00:56.039 --> 02:00:59.960
<v Speaker 1>a conflict with China. China is in multiple border dispute.

2028
02:01:00.039 --> 02:01:03.600
<v Speaker 1>It's not necessarily conflicts, but border disputes. Nonetheless, Me and

2029
02:01:03.720 --> 02:01:07.520
<v Speaker 1>Mar is an open fighting. Cambodia and Thailand are in

2030
02:01:07.640 --> 02:01:09.640
<v Speaker 1>open fighting. The only ones that seem to be mining

2031
02:01:09.680 --> 02:01:18.960
<v Speaker 1>their business is Laos, Vietnam, Singapore. That's about it. Honestly,

2032
02:01:19.520 --> 02:01:21.640
<v Speaker 1>it's pretty crazy. Like I said, I hope everything gets

2033
02:01:21.640 --> 02:01:24.279
<v Speaker 1>resolved fairly quickly and we can get back to business

2034
02:01:24.279 --> 02:01:26.920
<v Speaker 1>as usual. I would prefer that, and I'm sure all

2035
02:01:27.039 --> 02:01:29.279
<v Speaker 1>the good listeners of The Cajun Night would as well.

2036
02:01:30.239 --> 02:01:32.399
<v Speaker 1>With all this being said, we are gonna wrap this

2037
02:01:32.479 --> 02:01:34.760
<v Speaker 1>episode up if you again, if you would like to

2038
02:01:34.840 --> 02:01:38.159
<v Speaker 1>join in the conversation next week, please join us. The

2039
02:01:38.199 --> 02:01:40.640
<v Speaker 1>link is in the description below. Go to Patreon and

2040
02:01:40.720 --> 02:01:43.600
<v Speaker 1>check out The Cajun Night. There's only one tier for injury.

2041
02:01:43.640 --> 02:01:46.119
<v Speaker 1>We do this every Wednesday night at nine pm Central.

2042
02:01:46.479 --> 02:01:49.399
<v Speaker 1>It gets promoted on the Cult Conspiracy. And if you

2043
02:01:49.399 --> 02:01:51.279
<v Speaker 1>would like to throw in your two cents or bring

2044
02:01:51.359 --> 02:01:53.760
<v Speaker 1>up something that I did not bring up. If you're

2045
02:01:53.760 --> 02:01:55.279
<v Speaker 1>listening to this right now and you're like Jake, if

2046
02:01:55.319 --> 02:01:57.039
<v Speaker 1>you talk about all of these things, but why are

2047
02:01:57.119 --> 02:01:59.840
<v Speaker 1>you missing this thing? Why have you not talked about

2048
02:02:00.079 --> 02:02:03.239
<v Speaker 1>this conversation or whatever? Bring it. I would love to

2049
02:02:03.359 --> 02:02:06.479
<v Speaker 1>hear more people's opinions about what is important and what

2050
02:02:06.600 --> 02:02:10.760
<v Speaker 1>is happening around the world again. The link is in

2051
02:02:10.800 --> 02:02:14.520
<v Speaker 1>the description below, Cajun Night at Patreon. Once again, everybody,

2052
02:02:14.600 --> 02:02:16.640
<v Speaker 1>I am the Cajun Night and thank you again for

2053
02:02:16.760 --> 02:02:19.079
<v Speaker 1>joining me. And as always, God bless
