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<v Speaker 1>And welcome board everybody. It says sal along with my

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<v Speaker 1>co host Mark, welcome everybody to another edition of mid Rats,

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<v Speaker 1>and I would like to put out the altar call

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<v Speaker 1>for those that are with us live, go ahead and

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<v Speaker 1>hop into.

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<v Speaker 2>The chat room.

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<v Speaker 1>We've already got one person, two person. Everybody's hopping in

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<v Speaker 1>the chat room. That's a great place during the course

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<v Speaker 1>of the show that if you have some questions you

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<v Speaker 1>would like to ask us, are some observations you put

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<v Speaker 1>it right in there. We'll be monitoring it during the

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<v Speaker 1>course of the show. It might even interact with you

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<v Speaker 1>if you have something really pithy and good that you

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<v Speaker 1>want to share. And also if you don't already, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>you got to leave halfway through the show, or this

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<v Speaker 1>is just one of the few times you've had a

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<v Speaker 1>chance to join us live. If you go over to

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<v Speaker 1>iTunes or speaker or any of your other aggregators of podcast,

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<v Speaker 1>go ahead and find mid Rats and subscribe. That way,

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<v Speaker 1>we will be there with you at a time to

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<v Speaker 1>your convenience. And this is no guest, is just Mark

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<v Speaker 1>and I. Today we're going to cover the waterfront here

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<v Speaker 1>as everybody gets ready for Thanksgiving. And I'll probably repeat

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<v Speaker 1>it at the end of the show. But I know

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<v Speaker 1>everybody's going to have a week full of feasting and

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<v Speaker 1>family and friends.

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<v Speaker 2>I hope.

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<v Speaker 1>If not, well you've got us for an hour, so

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<v Speaker 1>you've got that going forward. So hey, happy pre Thanksgiving there, Mark, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you, sal and hope you have a good time.

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<v Speaker 2>I will.

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<v Speaker 1>I won't have all the kiddies home because they you

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<v Speaker 1>know how that is adult, so have a life for

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<v Speaker 1>their own. We're also trying something new today, maybe a

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<v Speaker 1>couple of y'allur listening. I think I joined took us

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<v Speaker 1>half a decade to get here, but I went ahead

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<v Speaker 1>and hooked up the riverside to my account over at

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<v Speaker 1>x so in addition to live streaming on the Riverside,

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<v Speaker 1>those that had that link also got us live streaming

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<v Speaker 1>on x as well. So hopefully that'll bring in some

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<v Speaker 1>new people who might want to hop on over to

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<v Speaker 1>the riverside transaction and joining the chat room. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>always good to have. Kind Of to kick things off,

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<v Speaker 1>we kind of coordinated in the pre show some of

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<v Speaker 1>the thoughts that we had bounced through our mind, and

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<v Speaker 1>as the kickoff was going, Mark, I was thinking, you

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<v Speaker 1>know the topic that you brought up because at the

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<v Speaker 1>end of the day, national defense it is a people business.

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<v Speaker 1>You have all these great and exciting technologies and machines,

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<v Speaker 1>but behind all of it and the theory, how do

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<v Speaker 1>you execute it. It's the people and an all volunteer force.

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<v Speaker 1>You have a pretty complicated set of variables that being

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<v Speaker 1>able to maintain the excellence of that all volunteer force,

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<v Speaker 1>and that has to do with not just recruiting, but retention.

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<v Speaker 1>And there are a few rumbles in the retention front

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<v Speaker 1>that people should be asking hard questions about.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's a I think we always say people first.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean that is the military one of the great

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<v Speaker 3>military mantras people first, take care of your people, I

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<v Speaker 3>think was one of the first things I heard when

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<v Speaker 3>I joined the Navy eight billion years ago. The problem

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<v Speaker 3>is that taking care of your people is also understanding

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<v Speaker 3>the problems they face and dealing as well as you

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<v Speaker 3>can with those. What we've seen is that has the

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<v Speaker 3>size of the Navy is as shrunk, then the demands

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<v Speaker 3>placed on the assets we have has increased because we're

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<v Speaker 3>trying to meet the same commitments that we've historically met

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<v Speaker 3>with a larger force. And so that means that the

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<v Speaker 3>people of the Davy and the Marine Corps and probably

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<v Speaker 3>all the other services are getting used They're getting used up.

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<v Speaker 3>We're burning them out at a younger age. They We

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<v Speaker 3>have trouble retaining mid career officers in aviation. We have

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<v Speaker 3>trouble retaining skilled personnel who can find work that doesn't

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<v Speaker 3>involve them leaving home for eight to ten months on

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<v Speaker 3>an inconsistent but regular basis. It is not taking care

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<v Speaker 3>of your people, but that it is the part of

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<v Speaker 3>the snowball effect of allowing your fleet to shrink to

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<v Speaker 3>the size where it can't do all the missions that

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<v Speaker 3>are demanded of it. But we sit won't say we

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<v Speaker 3>can't do that, and so we're trying to do everything

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<v Speaker 3>with people that are already on the ragged edge of

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<v Speaker 3>burning out. And it's a problem if you have a

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<v Speaker 3>shortage of aviation squadron department heads where some in some

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<v Speaker 3>cases people are doing they're double hatted, as in the

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<v Speaker 3>department at World, if you can't keep people motivated to

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<v Speaker 3>when especially when they're facing and it's not about money.

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<v Speaker 3>Somewhere along the way I've read I was going to

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<v Speaker 3>my various degrees that you read about money is not

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<v Speaker 3>a great motivator.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean it doesn't.

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<v Speaker 3>Getting paid well helps, but it doesn't buy happiness. If

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<v Speaker 3>the job is a killers. We keep offering bonuses. People

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<v Speaker 3>are taking the bonuses, but they're not They're not made

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<v Speaker 3>me happier. They're not getting more time off because they

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<v Speaker 3>took the bonuses. They're just having to work harder to

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<v Speaker 3>pick up the slack from all the people that have

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<v Speaker 3>decided to get out and go to work for other

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<v Speaker 3>companies or just start their own business or whatever they're

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<v Speaker 3>going to.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and for those that haven't been in the military,

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<v Speaker 1>but the thing to understand about retention is it is

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<v Speaker 1>a zero sum game out there. You have a fixed

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<v Speaker 1>number of ships, fixed number of squadrons, fixed numbers submarines,

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<v Speaker 1>shore commands that need to be manned. With your senior leadership,

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to have a COO and XO and your

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<v Speaker 1>various department heads. And you want to have in a meritocracy,

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<v Speaker 1>which is the military with a blemish here or there.

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<v Speaker 1>It is a bit of meritocracy. We can't mess around

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<v Speaker 1>with evening but the best. Ultimately, you want to have

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<v Speaker 1>a pool of people to choose from. So if you

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<v Speaker 1>have you have ten important jobs you have to fill,

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<v Speaker 1>and you have twenty people to choose from. When you

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<v Speaker 1>get those twenty people in front of you, you can say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, here's these four absolutely we want they're up there.

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<v Speaker 2>Boom.

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<v Speaker 1>There's four in here that I wouldn't trust to mow

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<v Speaker 1>my yard. So we're not going to consider them. So

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<v Speaker 1>we've taken eight out of our twenty. We've got another sixteen.

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<v Speaker 1>We have another sixteen people to fill, another six billets,

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<v Speaker 1>and you just start filing. Yeah, those other two people,

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<v Speaker 1>they're pretty good.

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<v Speaker 2>Those other two people not too good.

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<v Speaker 1>Then you get into a crunch. Do you have Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>I've got three billets left I have to fill. Unfortunately,

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<v Speaker 1>I've got six people to choose from in the crunch,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're all about equal. Not everybody gets invited to

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<v Speaker 1>the party. And the end of that very brutal or

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<v Speaker 1>wellly in process. As much as humanly possible, you have

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<v Speaker 1>selected the best. You have mitigated performance risk due to

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<v Speaker 1>low quality, our poor personality mixes, and things go well,

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<v Speaker 1>which is important when you have multi billion dollar equipment,

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<v Speaker 1>nuclear reactors. Things that go boom are very important. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>if you have those ten billets to fill and you

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<v Speaker 1>only have twelve people to choose from. Then you are

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<v Speaker 1>going to bring in some people that probably shouldn't be

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<v Speaker 1>given that opportunity to excel, and that degrades the performance

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<v Speaker 1>of your military. And you have all sorts of problems

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<v Speaker 1>developed from that. So you have to create an environment

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<v Speaker 1>that you retain enough people to pick from. And you

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<v Speaker 1>know the department head problems that people have. When people

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<v Speaker 1>get their commission, whether they go to the academy, rotcci,

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<v Speaker 1>they're usually in their early twenties unless they're prior enlisted.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's just pick a round date twenty two, and

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<v Speaker 1>let's say that the people who have the most obligation

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<v Speaker 1>I believe is still pilots. You're thirteen tens. So let's

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<v Speaker 1>say you get through a flight school at age twenty four.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's say just use round numbers here. I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>what it is right now, whether it's six, seven, eight,

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<v Speaker 1>let's just say eight because that's easy math to do.

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<v Speaker 1>Twenty four plus eight is thirty two, so at thirty

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<v Speaker 1>two you can punch out. That also happens to be

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<v Speaker 1>to years after you have gotten your commission, which means

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<v Speaker 1>it's about time to go up for a department at

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<v Speaker 1>the Green board. So you have all these people that

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<v Speaker 1>are given the ability to get out because they've got

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<v Speaker 1>through with your obligations and surface warfare. You can leave

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit earlier. But let's back up, so you

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<v Speaker 1>have thirty two. Let's back up for the surface guys

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<v Speaker 1>who can get out earlier they want to. When you

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<v Speaker 1>know you get your go to your ship at age

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<v Speaker 1>twenty two, do a year fiddle fiddling around that gets

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<v Speaker 1>you to twenty three. You do a three year tour

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<v Speaker 1>that gets you to twenty six, twenty seven and whatever.

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<v Speaker 1>Between the ages of twenty seven and thirty two is

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<v Speaker 1>one of the most important leverage parts for young men

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<v Speaker 1>and women for a variety of things. That's that's when

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<v Speaker 1>you do mostly your family formation. If you are recently married,

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<v Speaker 1>you're starting to have kids. If you're not married, especially

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<v Speaker 1>around age age thirty, you're getting itchy whether you're a

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<v Speaker 1>male or female, and if you are female, when you

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<v Speaker 1>reach age thirty, biology starts being really mean to you

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<v Speaker 1>if you want to have a family, so you've got

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<v Speaker 1>to be really motivated, and when you do the plus

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<v Speaker 1>and minuses of whether you want to stay in or not,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a real critical juncture to get there, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think one of the things we hurt ourselves is, and

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<v Speaker 1>this is a senior leadership problem, that we haven't had

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<v Speaker 1>an admiral no or really a second NEV and a

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<v Speaker 1>sect death no. That when you tell everybody that an

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<v Speaker 1>eight month to eleven month deployment is going to be

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<v Speaker 1>the new normal, that doesn't just have an effect on

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<v Speaker 1>ship's maintenance. That has effect on retention is six months forever.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of the listeners here who have done deployments,

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<v Speaker 1>you know six months is tough because you do twelve

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<v Speaker 1>months work up ahead of time. I remember the calendar

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<v Speaker 1>I kept when I was on the enterprise, backing up

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<v Speaker 1>three hundred and sixty days from when we got back

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<v Speaker 1>from deployment.

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<v Speaker 2>I was gone two hundred and seventy of them.

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<v Speaker 1>It's more than that six month deployment, and that makes

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<v Speaker 1>people who have free will a lot more desire to

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<v Speaker 1>get out. You know, the circumstances you mentioned where let's

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<v Speaker 1>say you want to have I don't know, eight department

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<v Speaker 1>heads at any one time, Well, if you only have

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<v Speaker 1>five or eight, then you you've had double the duty,

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<v Speaker 1>lower performance, more room for error. I mean, it's great

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<v Speaker 1>for the people who want to hang around the screen

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<v Speaker 1>for command because you don't have as much competition. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think the argument could be made that we probably

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<v Speaker 1>are losing some of our best people too, because I

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<v Speaker 1>know one of the best officers I served with when

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<v Speaker 1>they came up to their obligation, they loved the Navy,

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<v Speaker 1>they loved what they did. But he was offered a

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<v Speaker 1>chance to go to Harvard to get his NBA, and

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<v Speaker 1>he actually thought real hard about it. But this is

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<v Speaker 1>the nineteen nineties and there wasn't much love going on,

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<v Speaker 1>and so he took off and did great things in

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<v Speaker 1>other places. That retention is multifaceted. I think you're right.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not just money. If it was money would be

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<v Speaker 1>easy to solve.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, there's a quote from a piece that appeared in

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<v Speaker 3>the Peninsula Press, which I gather is out on the

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<v Speaker 3>West coast someplace back in January twenty four and they,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, they were talking about I'll put a link

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<v Speaker 3>up to it, but the quote is from one of

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<v Speaker 3>the quotes from that is they ask for more every

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<v Speaker 3>year with less and less people. And I don't know

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<v Speaker 3>if that's correct.

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<v Speaker 2>Use less.

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<v Speaker 3>I would say fewer people myself. But that's the problem.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, you as people get out the burden on

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<v Speaker 3>the people who get left, and and if they're quality people,

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<v Speaker 3>they're the ones who are already getting the line's share

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<v Speaker 3>of collateral duties and stuff. Because you know, when you

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<v Speaker 3>look at when you're talking about your lineup of people

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<v Speaker 3>that decide who's going to get selected for the next job,

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<v Speaker 3>the same thing happens in your squadron around your ship.

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<v Speaker 3>You look at the people who can get the job done,

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<v Speaker 3>and the people who get the job done get all

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<v Speaker 3>the jobs, because you don't want to give an ihortant

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<v Speaker 3>job to somebody who's not as competent and won't do

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<v Speaker 3>as good a job as somebody who is competent. And

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<v Speaker 3>we'll do a good job. And that's the way it works.

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<v Speaker 3>But if you're if people are leaving, putting more burden

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<v Speaker 3>on your on your superior performers, now you're grinding those

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<v Speaker 3>folks down a lot faster than than they need to

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<v Speaker 3>be to be ground down. And as you say, it's

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<v Speaker 3>not the the sixth or seven or eight month deployment,

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<v Speaker 3>it is the work up to get there. So even

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<v Speaker 3>on a ship, you're going through refresher training, you're going

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<v Speaker 3>through all kinds of stuff to get ready to go.

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<v Speaker 3>And you know, all of that involves all hands, and

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<v Speaker 3>it involves everybody spending more time at sea. And and

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<v Speaker 3>you know, when I was on a destroyer out of

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<v Speaker 3>San Diego, we were the we'd come back from a

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<v Speaker 3>deployment and then we were the duty destroyer for a while.

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<v Speaker 3>That meant that every time a carrier needed somebody to

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<v Speaker 3>go out for a four day carrier wall or something,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, we would we would be out there following

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<v Speaker 3>along as a as a you know, the destroyer falls

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<v Speaker 3>carriers along. The playing guard is not fun. And it's

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<v Speaker 3>especially if you're if you're in port for you know,

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<v Speaker 3>we're gonna go in port for three days or four

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<v Speaker 3>days and you're gonna one in four one and three

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<v Speaker 3>duty section, which means that you could have the duty

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<v Speaker 3>when you leave the night before you go, and have

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<v Speaker 3>the duty when you get back, and that means you

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<v Speaker 3>have like two days with your family. It is it

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<v Speaker 3>is a It is a not a career enhancing position

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<v Speaker 3>to be in where you feel like that it's you're

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<v Speaker 3>you're giving all and nobody else is really taken care

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<v Speaker 3>of or even contemplating what it means to be in

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<v Speaker 3>that position.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and it.

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<v Speaker 1>Does beg the question, Okay, everybody wants to complain about it,

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<v Speaker 1>but what you can do about it?

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<v Speaker 2>There's things you.

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<v Speaker 1>Can do on on the personal level to make the

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<v Speaker 1>suck not be as bad as it is. But really,

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<v Speaker 1>this is a cno sect nov sect problem because if

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<v Speaker 1>we can't find a way to build a large enough

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<v Speaker 1>fleet to meet the demand signal that everybody wants for deployed.

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<v Speaker 2>Then we need to.

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<v Speaker 1>Start saying no, that we are not going to deploy. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>we are going to gap things because you can extend

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<v Speaker 1>them and keep them now. But this impact that you're

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<v Speaker 1>going to have down the road, not just in maintenance,

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<v Speaker 1>but pretension is pretty bad. And when people push back

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<v Speaker 1>but I need them, it's like, Okay, where were you

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<v Speaker 1>five palms ago when we told you this situation is

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<v Speaker 1>going to take place because we don't have a large

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<v Speaker 1>enough navy, so we're going to have to make decisions.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, what type of prophylactic deployment are we going

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<v Speaker 1>to do to make this present mission? Or do we

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<v Speaker 1>bring people home and start to rebuild our maintenance, rebuild

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<v Speaker 1>our quality of life. And these long employments are also

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<v Speaker 1>quality of work because you start running out of parts,

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<v Speaker 1>that you start breaking things because people machines get tired

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<v Speaker 1>on long deployments. You have additional problems if people come

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<v Speaker 1>home because their family life is not not everybody married

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<v Speaker 1>the person who's best suited to be a Navy wife.

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<v Speaker 2>So we have one of two choices.

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<v Speaker 1>We can either get a larger piece of the pie,

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<v Speaker 1>which we've been asking for for a long time. We

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<v Speaker 1>should assume it's not going to happen. So that means

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<v Speaker 1>that we need to have a different calculus up in Washington,

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<v Speaker 1>d C. About who we're going to deploy and for

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<v Speaker 1>how long.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and I think that's I mean, that's the key

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<v Speaker 3>to this is it. Well, know, if you're going to

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<v Speaker 3>take care of your people, want you want them to

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<v Speaker 3>be as sharp as they can be when they're deployed

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<v Speaker 3>and ready to go should something happen, and then we're

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<v Speaker 3>gonna have to you know, that means that we should

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<v Speaker 3>not be sending the carrier battle groups to do jobs

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00:17:00.399 --> 00:17:05.400
<v Speaker 3>that could be done by smaller, smaller units. But we

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00:17:05.440 --> 00:17:09.599
<v Speaker 3>don't have enough smaller units. We need to get We

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00:17:09.680 --> 00:17:12.359
<v Speaker 3>need to find the other folks in the Department of

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00:17:12.440 --> 00:17:14.640
<v Speaker 3>Defense to you know, come pick up some of the slack.

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<v Speaker 3>We certainly send enough Navy people to assist the army

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<v Speaker 3>in its land wars and in various places. Well, I

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<v Speaker 3>think I read the other day someplace and you maybe

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<v Speaker 3>arn more about this than I do, but ninety percent

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<v Speaker 3>of one of the cgtfs was a we're Navy people

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00:17:35.240 --> 00:17:38.519
<v Speaker 3>instead of instead of the you know, they're not doing

316
00:17:38.599 --> 00:17:42.759
<v Speaker 3>Navy things, they're doing Army things. So that you know,

317
00:17:42.839 --> 00:17:44.839
<v Speaker 3>we we need to call on the Army and say

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<v Speaker 3>you need to if you're going to be coastal artillery

319
00:17:50.079 --> 00:17:51.799
<v Speaker 3>like it used to be, then it's time to get

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<v Speaker 3>going with this. And you know we need to figure

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00:17:55.200 --> 00:17:57.799
<v Speaker 3>out how to work that. And we also need to

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00:17:57.920 --> 00:18:02.720
<v Speaker 3>make sure we don't get involved in these endless wars

323
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<v Speaker 3>where we try and and we know we talked about

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<v Speaker 3>this after Somali. We were not we were not going

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<v Speaker 3>to go in the nation building business, and then we

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00:18:10.200 --> 00:18:13.480
<v Speaker 3>went into the nation building business. Everything we've been in

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<v Speaker 3>since then. Really need to if we're going to go

328
00:18:16.480 --> 00:18:18.799
<v Speaker 3>do something, we need to make it quick. And if

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<v Speaker 3>you're looking at doing something about the hoofies. I put

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00:18:21.920 --> 00:18:25.839
<v Speaker 3>up a post on X the other day about have

331
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<v Speaker 3>anybody looked at a terrain of western Yemmen. I mean

332
00:18:29.920 --> 00:18:32.640
<v Speaker 3>there are thirteen thousand foot peaks in there. It is

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<v Speaker 3>a rugged place. I'm sure after Afghanistan, we really don't

334
00:18:38.359 --> 00:18:41.039
<v Speaker 3>I want to go operating in places where the locals

335
00:18:41.079 --> 00:18:42.960
<v Speaker 3>have all the knowledge in the high ground.

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<v Speaker 1>I responded earlier today to Rebecca Hendrix, who I made

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00:18:49.000 --> 00:18:53.680
<v Speaker 1>a little comment on X about the issues that were

338
00:18:54.400 --> 00:18:58.599
<v Speaker 1>we continue to see about. She was specifically referring if

339
00:18:58.640 --> 00:19:02.039
<v Speaker 1>memorassures me right, which means she was specifically referring to

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00:19:02.079 --> 00:19:05.119
<v Speaker 1>this last minute approval of use of weapons in Ukraine

341
00:19:05.200 --> 00:19:09.279
<v Speaker 1>and managed escalation And a lot of the problem is

342
00:19:09.359 --> 00:19:12.759
<v Speaker 1>and I'm going to stand by this because people are

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00:19:12.759 --> 00:19:19.319
<v Speaker 1>A policy is the desire to and you mentioned after

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00:19:19.400 --> 00:19:22.039
<v Speaker 1>Somalia and you can pull it back even to Vietnam.

345
00:19:22.319 --> 00:19:26.680
<v Speaker 1>Is this idea of the best and the brightest have

346
00:19:26.920 --> 00:19:31.519
<v Speaker 1>a great idea on how to use this little lever

347
00:19:31.640 --> 00:19:36.400
<v Speaker 1>of power, whether it's managed escalation, whether it's nation building,

348
00:19:36.440 --> 00:19:40.839
<v Speaker 1>whether it's Samantha powers in her group, responsibility to protect

349
00:19:41.240 --> 00:19:48.359
<v Speaker 1>it made a what Libya's is today today we continue

350
00:19:48.480 --> 00:19:53.559
<v Speaker 1>from the Pentagon to foggy Bottom. We keep using the

351
00:19:53.640 --> 00:19:58.079
<v Speaker 1>same set of criteria for the people that we are

352
00:19:58.160 --> 00:20:03.559
<v Speaker 1>going to write our plans, write our strategy, lead our

353
00:20:03.640 --> 00:20:08.480
<v Speaker 1>security and national security infrastructure to come from the same

354
00:20:08.519 --> 00:20:12.279
<v Speaker 1>schools that have the same CV have come from the

355
00:20:12.319 --> 00:20:16.400
<v Speaker 1>same think tanks, like I saw twice last week, one

356
00:20:16.440 --> 00:20:19.519
<v Speaker 1>of which was an interview at Brookings with Admiral Paparo

357
00:20:19.599 --> 00:20:22.279
<v Speaker 1>that maybe we'll come back to where one of the

358
00:20:22.319 --> 00:20:27.079
<v Speaker 1>guys from Brookings was singing all the prages praises of Petraeus,

359
00:20:27.160 --> 00:20:29.960
<v Speaker 1>which the time fifteen twenty years ago I said some

360
00:20:30.079 --> 00:20:33.680
<v Speaker 1>nice things about him as well, But in hindsight, I

361
00:20:33.680 --> 00:20:35.799
<v Speaker 1>don't care if you got his PhD from Princeton. He

362
00:20:35.839 --> 00:20:39.359
<v Speaker 1>does a hot mess and did not create a net

363
00:20:39.400 --> 00:20:42.039
<v Speaker 1>positive for our nation where it stands now in twenty

364
00:20:42.079 --> 00:20:44.079
<v Speaker 1>twenty four. But they keep looking to him as if

365
00:20:44.119 --> 00:20:49.759
<v Speaker 1>he is some sage, and we need to stop and

366
00:20:49.880 --> 00:20:54.559
<v Speaker 1>think about why we keep repeating these same errors, these

367
00:20:54.599 --> 00:21:00.319
<v Speaker 1>forever were, or these unresolved conflicts. Another example is is

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<v Speaker 1>the operation going on in Gaza. All those people who

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00:21:04.960 --> 00:21:08.599
<v Speaker 1>were asking for a ceasefire in Gaza. Would that have

370
00:21:08.720 --> 00:21:13.119
<v Speaker 1>made the experience in Gaza any better, any more likely

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00:21:13.160 --> 00:21:16.720
<v Speaker 1>to be peaceful and more likely to be resolved, or

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00:21:16.839 --> 00:21:21.200
<v Speaker 1>to just create another festering wound. You look at what

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00:21:21.480 --> 00:21:26.279
<v Speaker 1>the attacks on Israel in the north by Hesbolah. That

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00:21:26.359 --> 00:21:29.759
<v Speaker 1>all derives from the fact that when the Israelis got

375
00:21:29.759 --> 00:21:33.039
<v Speaker 1>punched in the face hard and withdrew from southern Lebanon,

376
00:21:34.119 --> 00:21:37.480
<v Speaker 1>UNIFIL and UN was supposed to come in and protect it. Well,

377
00:21:37.640 --> 00:21:41.880
<v Speaker 1>we've all seen the fact that between UN posts A

378
00:21:42.160 --> 00:21:45.319
<v Speaker 1>and B you've got rockets from hesbela shooting off. That

379
00:21:45.559 --> 00:21:51.240
<v Speaker 1>just does not work the template that we think produces

380
00:21:51.279 --> 00:21:55.920
<v Speaker 1>the best mind and theories for our national security. It's

381
00:21:56.000 --> 00:21:59.799
<v Speaker 1>doing just the opposite. And we have it our incentives

382
00:21:59.799 --> 00:22:04.160
<v Speaker 1>and this incentives have been wrong for the last thirty years.

383
00:22:04.720 --> 00:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>How you reset that, I don't know, but probably a

384
00:22:07.079 --> 00:22:11.319
<v Speaker 1>start is to be very direct with these people, and

385
00:22:11.599 --> 00:22:16.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe talking to different people would be a plus. That

386
00:22:16.519 --> 00:22:18.599
<v Speaker 1>would be a start. Is except the fact that we

387
00:22:18.720 --> 00:22:21.759
<v Speaker 1>are not we are not training our best in our

388
00:22:21.759 --> 00:22:24.519
<v Speaker 1>brightest might be going to the certain institutions and might

389
00:22:24.559 --> 00:22:28.920
<v Speaker 1>be trained by some great places, but the end product

390
00:22:29.200 --> 00:22:33.680
<v Speaker 1>is not fit for purpose. And I think the scoreboard

391
00:22:33.960 --> 00:22:36.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of outlines that fact. Whether you agree or not,

392
00:22:36.640 --> 00:22:38.640
<v Speaker 1>and that's fine, but look at the scoreboard and tell

393
00:22:38.640 --> 00:22:39.319
<v Speaker 1>me where I'm wrong.

394
00:22:40.400 --> 00:22:43.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, It reminds me of when I was taking the

395
00:22:43.279 --> 00:22:47.599
<v Speaker 3>training to be a mediate. So trouble is when you

396
00:22:47.680 --> 00:22:50.519
<v Speaker 3>when you start from the position of being a litigation attorney,

397
00:22:50.920 --> 00:22:54.200
<v Speaker 3>they're you know they're especially when I was in house

398
00:22:54.319 --> 00:22:56.319
<v Speaker 3>litigation attorney. But there are a lot of cases that

399
00:22:56.359 --> 00:22:59.119
<v Speaker 3>ought to be you have to try, you have to

400
00:22:59.160 --> 00:23:03.400
<v Speaker 3>take them to court. Well that the mediation group thought, well, no,

401
00:23:04.000 --> 00:23:06.640
<v Speaker 3>all these things can be resolved if you if you

402
00:23:07.000 --> 00:23:09.119
<v Speaker 3>sit down and talk about it. And but the problem

403
00:23:09.200 --> 00:23:11.440
<v Speaker 3>is that somebody will come along and they let's take

404
00:23:11.680 --> 00:23:13.799
<v Speaker 3>say you work for a grocery store. You know, they

405
00:23:13.839 --> 00:23:18.039
<v Speaker 3>slip and fall on a loose grape allegedly, and their

406
00:23:18.079 --> 00:23:20.559
<v Speaker 3>theory is that they if they sue you, that you'll

407
00:23:20.640 --> 00:23:23.880
<v Speaker 3>reach some kind of settlement accommodation with them. Well, the

408
00:23:23.920 --> 00:23:26.039
<v Speaker 3>other side of that is if you've got a case

409
00:23:26.119 --> 00:23:28.680
<v Speaker 3>like that where somebody is suing you for reasons you know,

410
00:23:28.720 --> 00:23:30.880
<v Speaker 3>we're totally invalid, but it's going to cost you to

411
00:23:30.880 --> 00:23:33.519
<v Speaker 3>go to court. Sometimes you still take it. Should take

412
00:23:33.559 --> 00:23:36.440
<v Speaker 3>it to court, because otherwise you'll get the reputation of

413
00:23:36.480 --> 00:23:40.039
<v Speaker 3>being a pushover, which is what I think. Exactly what

414
00:23:40.079 --> 00:23:43.319
<v Speaker 3>you're talking about is that you know that the people

415
00:23:43.359 --> 00:23:46.079
<v Speaker 3>all rush in after there's a company. We shouldn't be fighting,

416
00:23:46.079 --> 00:23:49.200
<v Speaker 3>We should be that we should not let these this happen.

417
00:23:49.279 --> 00:23:51.759
<v Speaker 3>This is this is bad for humanity. You may have

418
00:23:51.799 --> 00:23:55.559
<v Speaker 3>been fighting worse for a zillion years, and the winners

419
00:23:57.559 --> 00:23:59.480
<v Speaker 3>used to make the rules. Now we have the losers

420
00:23:59.480 --> 00:24:03.079
<v Speaker 3>making and saying, oh, yeah, well you know, yes, we're

421
00:24:03.079 --> 00:24:05.680
<v Speaker 3>gonna We're going to continue to escalate this unless we

422
00:24:05.799 --> 00:24:09.079
<v Speaker 3>get whatever the reward is they're looking for. And that

423
00:24:09.279 --> 00:24:12.400
<v Speaker 3>is the problem sometimes. I mean, you know, it's probably

424
00:24:12.400 --> 00:24:13.759
<v Speaker 3>made me sound like a till of the hunt, but

425
00:24:13.920 --> 00:24:15.799
<v Speaker 3>until I had the right idea. Sometimes you just have

426
00:24:15.880 --> 00:24:18.519
<v Speaker 3>to go in and and for what he was going

427
00:24:18.559 --> 00:24:19.839
<v Speaker 3>for his goals.

428
00:24:20.400 --> 00:24:21.039
<v Speaker 2>You know, he didn't.

429
00:24:21.079 --> 00:24:23.400
<v Speaker 3>He didn't leave many people who opposed to his position

430
00:24:23.599 --> 00:24:28.559
<v Speaker 3>standing after after he roared through. And I think the

431
00:24:28.839 --> 00:24:32.079
<v Speaker 3>Houthi situation is a good example of that. You're exactly

432
00:24:32.160 --> 00:24:33.920
<v Speaker 3>right when you look at there's a reason.

433
00:24:33.640 --> 00:24:38.920
<v Speaker 1>Why the Emiradis and the Saudis were trying to bomb

434
00:24:38.960 --> 00:24:42.640
<v Speaker 1>their way to the victory against the Houthis. It's a

435
00:24:42.640 --> 00:24:46.920
<v Speaker 1>little mini Afghanistan. The terrain there is ideal, and the

436
00:24:46.960 --> 00:24:53.200
<v Speaker 1>culture there is ideal to make any type of Western

437
00:24:53.279 --> 00:25:00.079
<v Speaker 1>style counter and surgery insurgency operation a fool's errand, and

438
00:25:02.000 --> 00:25:05.039
<v Speaker 1>that leaves you with a few options, which is an

439
00:25:05.160 --> 00:25:11.799
<v Speaker 1>essence making the rubble bounce and mowing the ard, knowing

440
00:25:11.839 --> 00:25:14.079
<v Speaker 1>if you're not really going to fix the problem, but

441
00:25:14.240 --> 00:25:16.279
<v Speaker 1>maybe you can make it really painful for them to

442
00:25:16.359 --> 00:25:21.759
<v Speaker 1>externalize their internal problems. That there are no pretty solutions.

443
00:25:21.799 --> 00:25:25.319
<v Speaker 1>There are no nice solutions, just like for the Gosa operation,

444
00:25:25.799 --> 00:25:31.680
<v Speaker 1>there's nothing pretty. There's nothing nice. Our solution to defeating imperial.

445
00:25:31.359 --> 00:25:33.960
<v Speaker 2>Japan was not nice. It was not pretty.

446
00:25:34.359 --> 00:25:40.920
<v Speaker 1>There aren't these pristine theories that work well. Our shape

447
00:25:40.960 --> 00:25:45.000
<v Speaker 1>clearhold build in Afghanistan did not work well in the

448
00:25:45.039 --> 00:25:48.559
<v Speaker 1>real world because in the real world you have politicians

449
00:25:48.640 --> 00:25:51.160
<v Speaker 1>and you have their priorities on the other side of

450
00:25:51.200 --> 00:25:52.960
<v Speaker 1>the world that probably aren't going to be patient for

451
00:25:53.000 --> 00:25:54.960
<v Speaker 1>what you come up with in the planning room. And

452
00:25:55.359 --> 00:25:59.599
<v Speaker 1>sometimes it's just it's short and it's direct. I think

453
00:25:59.599 --> 00:26:02.240
<v Speaker 1>it is real. Really is the only people that have

454
00:26:02.440 --> 00:26:05.720
<v Speaker 1>done really big hits in the ports.

455
00:26:05.799 --> 00:26:06.319
<v Speaker 2>And you know this.

456
00:26:08.279 --> 00:26:10.440
<v Speaker 1>The International Criminal Court was in the news today. But

457
00:26:12.240 --> 00:26:14.359
<v Speaker 1>the international community is sending.

458
00:26:16.519 --> 00:26:18.720
<v Speaker 2>Food to the Hoothies.

459
00:26:19.119 --> 00:26:22.039
<v Speaker 1>To feed their army, and the army turns around and

460
00:26:22.079 --> 00:26:27.200
<v Speaker 1>fights and attacks shipping is in those same lanes that

461
00:26:27.359 --> 00:26:29.839
<v Speaker 1>their food came in on. I don't know how long

462
00:26:30.680 --> 00:26:34.319
<v Speaker 1>you can sustain that in a conflict. Nowhere in human

463
00:26:34.440 --> 00:26:41.319
<v Speaker 1>history has a hostile power under siege been allowed to

464
00:26:41.400 --> 00:26:48.000
<v Speaker 1>have resources and food come in by the besieging forces.

465
00:26:47.640 --> 00:26:52.720
<v Speaker 1>It's bizarre, but again it's because it's ugly. But I

466
00:26:52.720 --> 00:26:54.359
<v Speaker 1>don't think we picked the fight with the Houthis. The

467
00:26:54.359 --> 00:26:57.519
<v Speaker 1>hoothies are picking the fight with us. Again, there is

468
00:26:57.519 --> 00:27:00.119
<v Speaker 1>no pretty er good solution, but there are solutions out there.

469
00:27:01.279 --> 00:27:02.000
<v Speaker 2>Well that you know.

470
00:27:02.039 --> 00:27:07.799
<v Speaker 3>It's it's when when the Houthis are the proxies of

471
00:27:08.079 --> 00:27:12.240
<v Speaker 3>larger countries who are more than willing to have have

472
00:27:12.759 --> 00:27:15.319
<v Speaker 3>the Houthis die on their behalf with no little or

473
00:27:15.359 --> 00:27:18.400
<v Speaker 3>no risks for themselves, that you know, that's part of

474
00:27:18.440 --> 00:27:23.359
<v Speaker 3>the prop So when the when the Israelis attack, when

475
00:27:23.400 --> 00:27:27.920
<v Speaker 3>the Iranians directly attack, is really is Israeli's respond in kind.

476
00:27:28.680 --> 00:27:32.480
<v Speaker 3>You know, that's that's a different, much different kind of

477
00:27:32.519 --> 00:27:36.799
<v Speaker 3>worst scenario than than fighting proxies who are getting money

478
00:27:36.880 --> 00:27:41.519
<v Speaker 3>and and uh weapons from their from their proxy masters.

479
00:27:41.559 --> 00:27:43.680
<v Speaker 3>And you know that includes the Russians, it includes the

480
00:27:43.680 --> 00:27:47.880
<v Speaker 3>Iranians and undoubtedly includes the Chinese because the Chinese are

481
00:27:48.279 --> 00:27:54.039
<v Speaker 3>are providing stuff to both Russia and to to uh Irans.

482
00:27:54.440 --> 00:27:54.720
<v Speaker 2>Uh.

483
00:27:55.480 --> 00:28:00.839
<v Speaker 3>It is it is a situation that is, you know,

484
00:28:00.880 --> 00:28:05.759
<v Speaker 3>we we have become a superpower that is reluctant to

485
00:28:05.759 --> 00:28:10.279
<v Speaker 3>exercise power, and we don't and we don't. We haven't

486
00:28:10.279 --> 00:28:13.160
<v Speaker 3>maintained the level of power we should have as a superpower,

487
00:28:13.200 --> 00:28:16.119
<v Speaker 3>which is the first problem we started talking about. But

488
00:28:16.400 --> 00:28:19.839
<v Speaker 3>it is, it is a it is one to talk

489
00:28:19.880 --> 00:28:22.640
<v Speaker 3>about catch twenty two kinds of situation. You know, if

490
00:28:22.680 --> 00:28:26.720
<v Speaker 3>we if we if we don't want to fight, that's fine,

491
00:28:26.880 --> 00:28:30.400
<v Speaker 3>we shouldn't fight. Everybody wants us to fight because we're

492
00:28:30.400 --> 00:28:34.039
<v Speaker 3>the ones who's supporting the the trade corridors of the world.

493
00:28:34.680 --> 00:28:37.680
<v Speaker 3>So you know, what do you what do you do?

494
00:28:37.759 --> 00:28:40.160
<v Speaker 3>Then we invite our allies to commit, and that's great

495
00:28:40.160 --> 00:28:43.720
<v Speaker 3>because it's the European navies have been stepping up in

496
00:28:43.799 --> 00:28:48.640
<v Speaker 3>the in the Red Sea, and we've certainly been playing

497
00:28:48.680 --> 00:28:51.680
<v Speaker 3>with the some of the Allied nations up in the

498
00:28:51.720 --> 00:28:56.960
<v Speaker 3>northern area of Europe off Norway and Denmark and all

499
00:28:57.000 --> 00:29:01.720
<v Speaker 3>those areas, and that's that's great, But we have to

500
00:29:01.759 --> 00:29:04.640
<v Speaker 3>be more demanding of our allies too, you know, which

501
00:29:04.720 --> 00:29:06.960
<v Speaker 3>you and I have talked about had infinitem and some

502
00:29:07.000 --> 00:29:10.160
<v Speaker 3>of the allies are stepping up. So the Poles who

503
00:29:10.160 --> 00:29:14.920
<v Speaker 3>are you know, they're they always looking east. They recognize

504
00:29:14.920 --> 00:29:19.680
<v Speaker 3>where their front is and it's it's not it's not

505
00:29:19.799 --> 00:29:22.680
<v Speaker 3>to the north or to the south. So that says

506
00:29:22.720 --> 00:29:25.799
<v Speaker 3>a lot. But you know, we need to we need

507
00:29:25.839 --> 00:29:30.559
<v Speaker 3>to be aware that that doing things like reducing your

508
00:29:30.720 --> 00:29:33.279
<v Speaker 3>the size of your forces. And we see this with

509
00:29:33.319 --> 00:29:36.400
<v Speaker 3>the bridge. They reduce the size of their forces there.

510
00:29:36.519 --> 00:29:38.799
<v Speaker 3>They don't want to spend money on on the escort

511
00:29:38.839 --> 00:29:40.960
<v Speaker 3>ships of the carriers they have. They have to moth

512
00:29:41.039 --> 00:29:45.039
<v Speaker 3>ball a couple of of unwrapped ships. You know, this

513
00:29:45.160 --> 00:29:50.079
<v Speaker 3>is this is this is the way uh, great nations die.

514
00:29:50.759 --> 00:29:56.359
<v Speaker 3>They get caught up and and things that matter internally maybe,

515
00:29:56.359 --> 00:30:00.920
<v Speaker 3>but really aren't doing much to defend their coastlines. And

516
00:30:01.000 --> 00:30:04.680
<v Speaker 3>I think the British have a problem even greater than

517
00:30:04.720 --> 00:30:09.279
<v Speaker 3>we have, and that's the fact their political class is

518
00:30:09.880 --> 00:30:14.680
<v Speaker 3>divorced from security requirements and a lot of it's just

519
00:30:14.759 --> 00:30:18.480
<v Speaker 3>the pressure of the welfare state that they've built. And

520
00:30:19.680 --> 00:30:26.039
<v Speaker 3>you would like to make it into a party problem

521
00:30:26.160 --> 00:30:27.559
<v Speaker 3>like well, it's the Labor Party.

522
00:30:27.920 --> 00:30:28.920
<v Speaker 2>No, the.

523
00:30:30.559 --> 00:30:34.720
<v Speaker 1>Conservative Party had power most of the last twenty years,

524
00:30:35.200 --> 00:30:38.480
<v Speaker 1>and the decline has taken place with them. It's their

525
00:30:38.480 --> 00:30:41.920
<v Speaker 1>political class. One thing that we do have in our

526
00:30:42.000 --> 00:30:45.720
<v Speaker 1>representative system that you see it here and there but

527
00:30:45.759 --> 00:30:49.960
<v Speaker 1>not too much, is we actually have former naval officers

528
00:30:49.960 --> 00:30:53.000
<v Speaker 1>that are in Congress and Senate and in the reservists

529
00:30:53.200 --> 00:30:57.680
<v Speaker 1>who are are pretty good at bird dogging those issues.

530
00:30:58.160 --> 00:31:01.599
<v Speaker 1>I don't think they have the fifty point one percent

531
00:31:01.960 --> 00:31:05.279
<v Speaker 1>of the support that they need. I think we have

532
00:31:05.279 --> 00:31:07.880
<v Speaker 1>a little more of a healthy environment because even more

533
00:31:07.920 --> 00:31:12.240
<v Speaker 1>than we are, the United Kingdom is an island nation.

534
00:31:15.039 --> 00:31:19.000
<v Speaker 1>They cannot feed themselves. We can feed ourselves if for all,

535
00:31:19.039 --> 00:31:22.039
<v Speaker 1>all of a sudden, if we lost access to the

536
00:31:22.079 --> 00:31:27.839
<v Speaker 1>Atlantic and the Pacific, we'd have some economic problems, maybe

537
00:31:27.880 --> 00:31:30.440
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of industrial problem with not getting some

538
00:31:30.559 --> 00:31:32.799
<v Speaker 1>raw material, but we won't starve to death.

539
00:31:34.000 --> 00:31:34.720
<v Speaker 2>We might have.

540
00:31:34.640 --> 00:31:37.839
<v Speaker 1>Reduced crops because we import a lot of fertilizer. But

541
00:31:38.039 --> 00:31:42.680
<v Speaker 1>the British without access to the ocean, they have too

542
00:31:42.720 --> 00:31:47.799
<v Speaker 1>many people on their little wet, low production island and

543
00:31:47.839 --> 00:31:49.640
<v Speaker 1>they'll starve to death. And looking what happened at the

544
00:31:49.680 --> 00:31:53.920
<v Speaker 1>Royal Navy, it's it's sad. There's there's some people that

545
00:31:53.960 --> 00:31:56.799
<v Speaker 1>are trying to be optimistic saying that the British will

546
00:31:56.799 --> 00:31:59.519
<v Speaker 1>get the divest to invest right and it'll pay off

547
00:31:59.559 --> 00:32:04.640
<v Speaker 1>down the road. I don't see that. I think that

548
00:32:04.799 --> 00:32:09.440
<v Speaker 1>the argument was lost and it's not going to give you.

549
00:32:09.400 --> 00:32:13.000
<v Speaker 2>A get back anytime soon. You know where.

550
00:32:14.279 --> 00:32:17.960
<v Speaker 1>You look at the decline of the Royal Navy since

551
00:32:18.000 --> 00:32:22.279
<v Speaker 1>the Falkland Islands War. They've got the shell of a navy.

552
00:32:22.440 --> 00:32:30.400
<v Speaker 1>They have two great conventional carriers, but they only have

553
00:32:30.480 --> 00:32:35.599
<v Speaker 1>two and they have incomplete air wings. And it's sad,

554
00:32:35.799 --> 00:32:40.920
<v Speaker 1>and it's also underlines the fact that our allies are

555
00:32:41.000 --> 00:32:46.880
<v Speaker 1>not what they could have been or were fifteen twenty

556
00:32:47.000 --> 00:32:50.880
<v Speaker 1>thirty years ago. That we kind of need to reset

557
00:32:50.960 --> 00:32:54.799
<v Speaker 1>and recalibrate our expectations. The Japanese are going to be

558
00:32:54.799 --> 00:32:57.920
<v Speaker 1>spending more, a lot of that will show up at sea.

559
00:32:58.119 --> 00:33:02.680
<v Speaker 1>That'll be nice. Australia and the Pacific is turning two,

560
00:33:02.759 --> 00:33:05.599
<v Speaker 1>but they've feely kind of plus or minus a million

561
00:33:05.599 --> 00:33:07.960
<v Speaker 1>people from the state of Florida. You know, they got

562
00:33:07.960 --> 00:33:10.240
<v Speaker 1>a continent, but they're not a large population. They're not

563
00:33:10.279 --> 00:33:14.960
<v Speaker 1>going to be able to contribute much. There needs to

564
00:33:14.960 --> 00:33:16.920
<v Speaker 1>be a lot more hard truth which is one of

565
00:33:16.960 --> 00:33:20.920
<v Speaker 1>the nice things about Admiral Paparo's like an hour and

566
00:33:20.960 --> 00:33:24.799
<v Speaker 1>twenty minute discussion that he had over at Brookings is

567
00:33:26.200 --> 00:33:28.960
<v Speaker 1>he threw a lot of hard facts on the two

568
00:33:29.000 --> 00:33:33.119
<v Speaker 1>people classic think tankers. I love you, folks, I really do,

569
00:33:33.200 --> 00:33:35.599
<v Speaker 1>but you live in DC and you live in an

570
00:33:35.680 --> 00:33:38.519
<v Speaker 1>interesting bubble. Admiral Paparo, he's the guy who's in the

571
00:33:38.559 --> 00:33:43.039
<v Speaker 1>seat right now that if a war kicks off west

572
00:33:43.039 --> 00:33:45.640
<v Speaker 1>of the International date Line, he's the one that's going

573
00:33:45.720 --> 00:33:48.480
<v Speaker 1>to have to fight it. And he put out some

574
00:33:48.599 --> 00:33:53.319
<v Speaker 1>really hard truths that were good to see because when

575
00:33:53.359 --> 00:33:56.000
<v Speaker 1>people outline what you and I have been talking about, Mark,

576
00:33:57.039 --> 00:34:01.319
<v Speaker 1>they okay, well you know we've got depth Secteth Hicks

577
00:34:01.319 --> 00:34:04.160
<v Speaker 1>has got her replicator program. Or I saw earlier today

578
00:34:04.200 --> 00:34:07.440
<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk said, uh, you know, look at look at

579
00:34:07.480 --> 00:34:10.199
<v Speaker 1>all these these drones. These are going to solve all

580
00:34:10.280 --> 00:34:12.039
<v Speaker 1>We don't need a big fleet. We just have a

581
00:34:12.039 --> 00:34:17.239
<v Speaker 1>few thousand drones that are all flying together. That that's

582
00:34:17.320 --> 00:34:20.639
<v Speaker 1>good in a localized, small environment. But he told everybody

583
00:34:20.840 --> 00:34:24.400
<v Speaker 1>that these are not useful in the in the great

584
00:34:24.639 --> 00:34:28.000
<v Speaker 1>reaches of the Pacific, from Okinawa to Taiwan to Japan

585
00:34:28.760 --> 00:34:33.679
<v Speaker 1>down to Singapore. Those are not useful in any way,

586
00:34:33.719 --> 00:34:36.360
<v Speaker 1>shape or form. He talked about one of one of

587
00:34:36.400 --> 00:34:42.800
<v Speaker 1>our hobby horses, the logistical truth of the Pacific. He

588
00:34:42.880 --> 00:34:45.960
<v Speaker 1>was very upfront saying that he was never happy with

589
00:34:46.000 --> 00:34:50.599
<v Speaker 1>his magazine depth and the fact that the support of

590
00:34:52.679 --> 00:34:56.920
<v Speaker 1>Ukraine and Israel has a very real impact on his

591
00:34:57.000 --> 00:34:59.920
<v Speaker 1>magazine depth to begin with. And you can read between

592
00:35:00.119 --> 00:35:01.960
<v Speaker 1>lines with a few of the other topics he saw,

593
00:35:02.079 --> 00:35:04.039
<v Speaker 1>and you have you have to sit through a lot

594
00:35:04.079 --> 00:35:05.920
<v Speaker 1>of butt to get a lot of it to get

595
00:35:05.960 --> 00:35:09.199
<v Speaker 1>to it. Of that conversation, which I people can find,

596
00:35:09.239 --> 00:35:10.280
<v Speaker 1>I'll put links.

597
00:35:10.000 --> 00:35:11.119
<v Speaker 2>In the show page about it.

598
00:35:11.320 --> 00:35:14.639
<v Speaker 1>We need more Admiral Paparo's out there who are willing

599
00:35:14.679 --> 00:35:18.760
<v Speaker 1>to go out there and tell their the people who

600
00:35:18.800 --> 00:35:22.320
<v Speaker 1>are interrogating them that, yeah, replicator, it breafs well in

601
00:35:22.440 --> 00:35:26.239
<v Speaker 1>d C, and it looks nice in theory. But if

602
00:35:26.239 --> 00:35:27.719
<v Speaker 1>you're going to ask me to fight a war in

603
00:35:27.760 --> 00:35:31.039
<v Speaker 1>the Western Pacific, that does nothing for me. That doesn't

604
00:35:31.079 --> 00:35:34.400
<v Speaker 1>make any friends in d C. But he's got four stars,

605
00:35:34.639 --> 00:35:36.000
<v Speaker 1>he can afford to make some enemies.

606
00:35:37.000 --> 00:35:39.519
<v Speaker 3>I wish I wish more four stars would take up

607
00:35:39.559 --> 00:35:42.960
<v Speaker 3>that baton when he gets it right.

608
00:35:43.039 --> 00:35:43.639
<v Speaker 2>Ears is.

609
00:35:45.159 --> 00:35:48.639
<v Speaker 3>If you think he's talking about Ukraine or the Lessons

610
00:35:48.880 --> 00:35:51.400
<v Speaker 3>and everybody's trying to say, oh, well, you know how

611
00:35:51.400 --> 00:35:53.519
<v Speaker 3>we got all these drones and all that stuff, he goes, well,

612
00:35:53.599 --> 00:35:55.320
<v Speaker 3>how are we going to sustain everything else? We would

613
00:35:55.360 --> 00:35:59.280
<v Speaker 3>completely give up on air and materiy aritime superiority in

614
00:35:59.280 --> 00:36:02.840
<v Speaker 3>the Pacific. You know, if that's that's the thing, what

615
00:36:03.000 --> 00:36:06.840
<v Speaker 3>if you don't have it, you can't you can't sustain it.

616
00:36:07.000 --> 00:36:09.159
<v Speaker 3>If you and if you can't sustain it, you might

617
00:36:09.199 --> 00:36:11.280
<v Speaker 3>as well not have it. And that's kind of where

618
00:36:11.320 --> 00:36:12.880
<v Speaker 3>we are. And you know, we're talking about all these

619
00:36:12.920 --> 00:36:18.239
<v Speaker 3>other programs, and you were right about the Britains or

620
00:36:18.480 --> 00:36:22.199
<v Speaker 3>UK's problems with its social welfare programs. We're in the

621
00:36:22.199 --> 00:36:25.239
<v Speaker 3>same boat. One point three trillion dollars. One point three

622
00:36:25.320 --> 00:36:28.079
<v Speaker 3>trillion dollars goes to social security eight hundred and sixty

623
00:36:28.159 --> 00:36:31.320
<v Speaker 3>nine billion, to Medicare eight five hundred or six hundred

624
00:36:31.320 --> 00:36:34.840
<v Speaker 3>and sixteen billion, to medicaidcome security programs four hundred and

625
00:36:34.880 --> 00:36:38.159
<v Speaker 3>forty eight billion. Those are those are things you can't touch.

626
00:36:38.280 --> 00:36:41.760
<v Speaker 3>Defense is I think eight hundred and five billion in

627
00:36:41.800 --> 00:36:47.440
<v Speaker 3>the twenty twenty three budget. Uh, you know that that's

628
00:36:47.519 --> 00:36:51.159
<v Speaker 3>where your defense money goes. And the total revenues are

629
00:36:51.199 --> 00:36:53.920
<v Speaker 3>only four point one trillion, and there's a budget of

630
00:36:53.960 --> 00:36:56.440
<v Speaker 3>six point one trillion, And so that you know, that

631
00:36:56.559 --> 00:37:01.920
<v Speaker 3>is a formula first disaster, and that's that's how you

632
00:37:02.039 --> 00:37:05.800
<v Speaker 3>end up like the UK. You can't keep spending money

633
00:37:05.880 --> 00:37:10.199
<v Speaker 3>on programs that you don't have the and the has

634
00:37:10.239 --> 00:37:13.280
<v Speaker 3>the boomers people like me retire. I certainly I appreciate

635
00:37:13.320 --> 00:37:17.719
<v Speaker 3>all the benefits I get, but my goodness, I'm being

636
00:37:17.719 --> 00:37:21.280
<v Speaker 3>supported by in a Ponzi scheme. I'm supported by a

637
00:37:21.320 --> 00:37:25.719
<v Speaker 3>lot of fewer people than the boomer supported my parents.

638
00:37:27.920 --> 00:37:29.840
<v Speaker 3>That really is something we need to take a heart

639
00:37:30.039 --> 00:37:37.079
<v Speaker 3>hard look at. And I'm hoping Musk and his doge

640
00:37:37.559 --> 00:37:43.079
<v Speaker 3>plan looks at this stuff with a with a very

641
00:37:43.440 --> 00:37:46.480
<v Speaker 3>very hard eye, because we can't keep going the way

642
00:37:46.519 --> 00:37:51.760
<v Speaker 3>we're going. We can't we can't make everybody, can't guarantee

643
00:37:51.760 --> 00:37:55.280
<v Speaker 3>everybody's income unless you have some major change in the

644
00:37:55.280 --> 00:38:00.159
<v Speaker 3>way we do things. You know, and back in the day,

645
00:38:00.199 --> 00:38:02.199
<v Speaker 3>there was the fair tax. The idea was we'd pay

646
00:38:02.239 --> 00:38:06.599
<v Speaker 3>everybody some kind of basic minimum income and that that

647
00:38:06.639 --> 00:38:09.679
<v Speaker 3>would they wouldn't have to pay Some people wouldn't have

648
00:38:09.719 --> 00:38:13.039
<v Speaker 3>to pay taxes on it, but the income, the government income,

649
00:38:13.079 --> 00:38:17.159
<v Speaker 3>was all from taxes on goods as they entered the

650
00:38:17.679 --> 00:38:19.800
<v Speaker 3>commerce stream. I don't know what the right answer is.

651
00:38:19.800 --> 00:38:23.320
<v Speaker 3>I'm not not an economist by any stretch imagination, but

652
00:38:24.199 --> 00:38:25.679
<v Speaker 3>we can't go on the way we're going.

653
00:38:26.760 --> 00:38:32.280
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, the whole musk Ramaswami Department of Government Efficiency is

654
00:38:32.320 --> 00:38:36.599
<v Speaker 1>kind of going to be an irresistible force meets an

655
00:38:36.800 --> 00:38:42.039
<v Speaker 1>immovable object. That immovable object is going to be the

656
00:38:42.079 --> 00:38:46.599
<v Speaker 1>blob in Washington, d C, that huge bureaucracy that you're

657
00:38:46.599 --> 00:38:49.480
<v Speaker 1>going to go in front of these people, a lot

658
00:38:49.519 --> 00:38:52.639
<v Speaker 1>of whom are pulling down one hundred and seventy five

659
00:38:52.719 --> 00:38:56.239
<v Speaker 1>to two hundred thousand dollars and more a year where

660
00:38:56.280 --> 00:39:00.760
<v Speaker 1>they just can't define what they're doing, and to cut

661
00:39:00.840 --> 00:39:05.320
<v Speaker 1>significant numbers of those that are so concentrated in DC.

662
00:39:06.119 --> 00:39:10.239
<v Speaker 1>The amount of pushback and resistance is going to be

663
00:39:10.639 --> 00:39:15.079
<v Speaker 1>a site to see. And history is full of examples

664
00:39:15.599 --> 00:39:20.400
<v Speaker 1>of how dangerous bureaucracies can be when they're put under

665
00:39:20.400 --> 00:39:25.719
<v Speaker 1>a threat. You can look back to the the eunuchs

666
00:39:25.800 --> 00:39:31.880
<v Speaker 1>of Imperial China, the janissaries of the Ottomans. Eventually was

667
00:39:31.920 --> 00:39:33.519
<v Speaker 1>resolved at the end of a cannon, which I don't

668
00:39:33.519 --> 00:39:35.639
<v Speaker 1>think we're going to be able to do here. It'll

669
00:39:35.679 --> 00:39:38.840
<v Speaker 1>be lawsuits. But if they really want to follow through

670
00:39:39.159 --> 00:39:42.320
<v Speaker 1>and somebody's going to come in and go, you know,

671
00:39:42.559 --> 00:39:45.639
<v Speaker 1>we have one hundred ses here in this room. Look

672
00:39:45.679 --> 00:39:48.559
<v Speaker 1>to your left and your right, only one of y'all

673
00:39:48.599 --> 00:39:52.400
<v Speaker 1>is going to be here in six months. That will

674
00:39:52.440 --> 00:39:57.519
<v Speaker 1>create a high warrible inside of DC from everything from

675
00:39:57.639 --> 00:40:05.039
<v Speaker 1>lobbying to real estate where otherwise unemployable people will have

676
00:40:05.079 --> 00:40:08.199
<v Speaker 1>to find a job, or you have a bunch of

677
00:40:08.320 --> 00:40:12.039
<v Speaker 1>people who will have to move or will take to

678
00:40:12.079 --> 00:40:15.239
<v Speaker 1>the streets. I don't know DC is such a company town.

679
00:40:15.480 --> 00:40:18.360
<v Speaker 1>I don't know whether the end of what Musk and

680
00:40:18.440 --> 00:40:22.320
<v Speaker 1>Ramaswami do, how much of that is actually executable are

681
00:40:22.880 --> 00:40:26.320
<v Speaker 1>maybe a value of that would be here's what we

682
00:40:26.360 --> 00:40:29.519
<v Speaker 1>want to do, but we can't do it because of

683
00:40:30.159 --> 00:40:33.119
<v Speaker 1>US Code, empty France, this regulation.

684
00:40:33.519 --> 00:40:35.119
<v Speaker 2>So Congress over to you.

685
00:40:35.599 --> 00:40:37.400
<v Speaker 1>If you want to be able to do this, you've

686
00:40:37.400 --> 00:40:40.360
<v Speaker 1>got to change the following things, and then it has

687
00:40:40.400 --> 00:40:43.079
<v Speaker 1>to go to the court system because people will sue

688
00:40:43.239 --> 00:40:47.400
<v Speaker 1>or anything. It might be an interesting exercise in order

689
00:40:47.440 --> 00:40:50.079
<v Speaker 1>to show where some of the cracks are, But I

690
00:40:50.119 --> 00:40:52.199
<v Speaker 1>don't know if overnight how much that'll free up. But

691
00:40:52.239 --> 00:40:54.079
<v Speaker 1>it is an exercise that needs to be done, and

692
00:40:54.159 --> 00:40:57.719
<v Speaker 1>there is a lot in DoD you know. John Conrad

693
00:40:57.840 --> 00:41:02.800
<v Speaker 1>likes to talk about the eighty thousand employees over a Navsey. Now,

694
00:41:02.880 --> 00:41:05.039
<v Speaker 1>a lot of that are people that actually are holding

695
00:41:05.159 --> 00:41:09.000
<v Speaker 1>welding torches and things like that. But I'll guarantee you

696
00:41:09.000 --> 00:41:12.280
<v Speaker 1>if you start picking apart and looking at that manning document,

697
00:41:12.639 --> 00:41:16.480
<v Speaker 1>just like you if you look at what was employed

698
00:41:16.639 --> 00:41:21.039
<v Speaker 1>in your county school system in nineteen seventy five versus

699
00:41:21.039 --> 00:41:24.880
<v Speaker 1>what's employed now, when it comes to staff versus faculty,

700
00:41:25.840 --> 00:41:28.159
<v Speaker 1>your head will explode. I think you'll see a lot

701
00:41:28.159 --> 00:41:29.880
<v Speaker 1>of that too in the bureaucracy.

702
00:41:30.599 --> 00:41:31.800
<v Speaker 2>But that's okay.

703
00:41:31.840 --> 00:41:34.599
<v Speaker 1>It's an adventure, it's a cleaning. The civilian sector has

704
00:41:34.639 --> 00:41:37.320
<v Speaker 1>had to do it. Musk has done it in Ramaswami,

705
00:41:37.360 --> 00:41:39.199
<v Speaker 1>have done it in the private sector. But in the

706
00:41:39.199 --> 00:41:44.840
<v Speaker 1>public sector, everything from civil service reform to just the

707
00:41:44.880 --> 00:41:48.400
<v Speaker 1>density that you have in DC of people who owe

708
00:41:48.480 --> 00:41:54.599
<v Speaker 1>directly or indirectly their livelihood to the government bureaucracy, it's

709
00:41:54.639 --> 00:41:55.280
<v Speaker 1>going to be a shock.

710
00:41:56.440 --> 00:41:58.920
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, say, every now and then you get to you know,

711
00:41:59.000 --> 00:42:03.719
<v Speaker 3>like many companies, every now and then some somebody comes

712
00:42:03.719 --> 00:42:06.360
<v Speaker 3>in and says, what are we doing here? What? What?

713
00:42:06.360 --> 00:42:09.159
<v Speaker 3>What are our goals? I mean they're usually not very

714
00:42:09.199 --> 00:42:12.760
<v Speaker 3>popular because that questions a lot of the divisions or

715
00:42:12.920 --> 00:42:16.000
<v Speaker 3>groups in a large company that may not be doing

716
00:42:16.199 --> 00:42:20.159
<v Speaker 3>anything useful. But that is that is a job for

717
00:42:20.400 --> 00:42:24.039
<v Speaker 3>the senior management. Let's sit down and get back to basics.

718
00:42:24.079 --> 00:42:26.719
<v Speaker 3>What is the purpose of the United States government? Gosh,

719
00:42:26.760 --> 00:42:29.599
<v Speaker 3>it's spilled out in the constitution. You know who does what,

720
00:42:30.280 --> 00:42:32.960
<v Speaker 3>and then you and then you go from there. But

721
00:42:32.960 --> 00:42:36.039
<v Speaker 3>but what they didn't remember, or maybe they didn't remember,

722
00:42:36.119 --> 00:42:39.400
<v Speaker 3>we haven't haven't looked at it was that if politicians

723
00:42:39.400 --> 00:42:44.519
<v Speaker 3>have access to these ways to spend money to benefit

724
00:42:44.599 --> 00:42:48.679
<v Speaker 3>their voters, they're going to use that to buy votes.

725
00:42:48.719 --> 00:42:52.760
<v Speaker 3>And we I mean we see it in this last administration.

726
00:42:53.400 --> 00:42:55.360
<v Speaker 3>If you're if you're going to promise people you're going

727
00:42:55.440 --> 00:42:58.079
<v Speaker 3>to cancel student loans, Well there and you've got a

728
00:42:58.119 --> 00:43:00.239
<v Speaker 3>student loan. Are you going to support the people?

729
00:43:00.280 --> 00:43:00.519
<v Speaker 2>Say?

730
00:43:00.719 --> 00:43:03.639
<v Speaker 3>Oh no, you've you've got that loan. You took that

731
00:43:03.679 --> 00:43:06.159
<v Speaker 3>loan voluntarily and you said you'd pay it back. And

732
00:43:06.559 --> 00:43:10.079
<v Speaker 3>I'm a welder in in Beaumont, Texas. Why in the

733
00:43:10.119 --> 00:43:13.400
<v Speaker 3>world should I pay your college loan back that you know,

734
00:43:13.519 --> 00:43:15.719
<v Speaker 3>that is somebody not sitting down and going what is

735
00:43:15.760 --> 00:43:18.559
<v Speaker 3>the function of government? Is it to pay off people's

736
00:43:18.559 --> 00:43:23.400
<v Speaker 3>student loans because they hatored in water basket weaving or

737
00:43:23.880 --> 00:43:27.639
<v Speaker 3>or whatever the useless degrees are that they got.

738
00:43:27.719 --> 00:43:28.400
<v Speaker 2>I mean it is.

739
00:43:28.639 --> 00:43:31.679
<v Speaker 3>It is astonishing to me the way we've let colleges

740
00:43:31.719 --> 00:43:37.400
<v Speaker 3>and universities because of a lot of federal money, because

741
00:43:37.400 --> 00:43:39.159
<v Speaker 3>of the FEN a lot of it's federal loan money,

742
00:43:40.039 --> 00:43:42.199
<v Speaker 3>develop all these programs that don't seem to have any

743
00:43:42.280 --> 00:43:46.400
<v Speaker 3>useful end. That is, if I were looking at what

744
00:43:46.920 --> 00:43:49.599
<v Speaker 3>to do at I would start with, you know, the basics,

745
00:43:49.639 --> 00:43:53.039
<v Speaker 3>what what are we trying to do? And who's who's

746
00:43:53.119 --> 00:43:55.000
<v Speaker 3>making it work? And if you want to talk about

747
00:43:55.440 --> 00:43:59.119
<v Speaker 3>educationist Department of Education serve a function, and you know,

748
00:43:59.239 --> 00:44:03.880
<v Speaker 3>can we combine some of the without creating a larger bureaucracy.

749
00:44:03.920 --> 00:44:06.679
<v Speaker 3>Is it possible to do the same job by combining

750
00:44:06.760 --> 00:44:10.280
<v Speaker 3>some of the things that we do? And you know,

751
00:44:10.360 --> 00:44:14.519
<v Speaker 3>I love my US mail, but I'm not sure that

752
00:44:14.599 --> 00:44:17.760
<v Speaker 3>the that we couldn't farm that out to Amazon and

753
00:44:17.800 --> 00:44:19.039
<v Speaker 3>probably get more bang for the.

754
00:44:18.960 --> 00:44:26.400
<v Speaker 1>Buck probably, And again a lot of it the interesting

755
00:44:26.920 --> 00:44:30.800
<v Speaker 1>some in in a lot of socio political areas, people

756
00:44:30.880 --> 00:44:33.559
<v Speaker 1>like to use the US military as a guinea pig,

757
00:44:33.599 --> 00:44:36.199
<v Speaker 1>which I usually don't like, but in this regard, I

758
00:44:36.199 --> 00:44:40.400
<v Speaker 1>think it might be interesting. Is these numbers could vary?

759
00:44:41.239 --> 00:44:44.360
<v Speaker 1>I asked chat GPT because I didn't feel like digging

760
00:44:44.400 --> 00:44:47.719
<v Speaker 1>around for the issue of proceedings and counting all the faces.

761
00:44:47.760 --> 00:44:50.320
<v Speaker 1>But I just ask them, you know how many how

762
00:44:50.320 --> 00:44:53.000
<v Speaker 1>many admirals there are in the US Navy, And it

763
00:44:53.039 --> 00:44:55.800
<v Speaker 1>says it's a statutory cat for flag officers in the

764
00:44:55.920 --> 00:44:59.559
<v Speaker 1>Navy across all grades. Grades is typically one hundred and

765
00:44:59.599 --> 00:45:02.599
<v Speaker 1>sixty two one hundred and seventy officers, one hundred and

766
00:45:02.639 --> 00:45:06.559
<v Speaker 1>twenty rear admirals upper and lower half, thirty vice admirals,

767
00:45:06.559 --> 00:45:08.800
<v Speaker 1>and five to ten full admirals. That's what they say,

768
00:45:09.000 --> 00:45:13.239
<v Speaker 1>so statutory cap. That means it's a house in the Senate.

769
00:45:14.920 --> 00:45:21.159
<v Speaker 1>If so, the President would sign it and he could

770
00:45:21.199 --> 00:45:23.119
<v Speaker 1>get Senate in the House to do it.

771
00:45:23.239 --> 00:45:26.800
<v Speaker 2>You know what do we say all services?

772
00:45:26.840 --> 00:45:29.599
<v Speaker 1>If the number is one hundred and one hundred and sixty,

773
00:45:30.239 --> 00:45:35.039
<v Speaker 1>make it one hundred. You want to when you look

774
00:45:35.079 --> 00:45:38.400
<v Speaker 1>at all those especially for your vice admirals and your

775
00:45:38.440 --> 00:45:41.000
<v Speaker 1>four star admirals, there's a there's a staff and a

776
00:45:41.039 --> 00:45:42.280
<v Speaker 1>cadre that goes with them.

777
00:45:42.719 --> 00:45:46.679
<v Speaker 2>There are for instance, do we.

778
00:45:46.639 --> 00:45:49.840
<v Speaker 1>Really need an lcs ron or could it else be

779
00:45:51.199 --> 00:45:54.800
<v Speaker 1>lcs RON functions be part of a desron.

780
00:45:55.199 --> 00:45:57.800
<v Speaker 2>That's a good question. Could it? Maybe? Possibly?

781
00:45:58.000 --> 00:46:00.679
<v Speaker 1>It would force It would force the name to look

782
00:46:00.719 --> 00:46:04.760
<v Speaker 1>at its structures, its staffs and go, okay, if we're

783
00:46:04.760 --> 00:46:07.280
<v Speaker 1>going to go from one hundred and sixty down to

784
00:46:07.320 --> 00:46:13.199
<v Speaker 1>one hundred by fiscal year twenty six, everybody, get your

785
00:46:13.199 --> 00:46:15.519
<v Speaker 1>manning documents, how do we do it? It would force

786
00:46:15.559 --> 00:46:18.400
<v Speaker 1>some change on the system. And if you're going to

787
00:46:18.519 --> 00:46:21.360
<v Speaker 1>use that as a template, then okay, you go to

788
00:46:22.320 --> 00:46:23.119
<v Speaker 1>Department of.

789
00:46:23.159 --> 00:46:24.360
<v Speaker 2>Health and Human Services?

790
00:46:24.639 --> 00:46:26.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, how do you make make a reduction in

791
00:46:26.960 --> 00:46:29.360
<v Speaker 1>the staff there without impacting the ability?

792
00:46:30.880 --> 00:46:31.519
<v Speaker 2>A good question.

793
00:46:31.920 --> 00:46:35.079
<v Speaker 1>So if it's if it's a statutory cap again, it

794
00:46:35.119 --> 00:46:38.719
<v Speaker 1>goes back to what Congress is willing to fund and

795
00:46:38.760 --> 00:46:42.199
<v Speaker 1>it is willing to direct. And I haven't really seen

796
00:46:42.360 --> 00:46:45.280
<v Speaker 1>the senators are the representatives that are going to ponying

797
00:46:45.360 --> 00:46:46.559
<v Speaker 1>up put their name at the top of that.

798
00:46:48.400 --> 00:46:50.800
<v Speaker 3>Well. It used to be fun when Proxmayer would do

799
00:46:50.920 --> 00:46:56.880
<v Speaker 3>his center. Proxmire used to have is expenditure follies of

800
00:46:57.159 --> 00:47:01.320
<v Speaker 3>things wasteful top spending, and John McCain did that for

801
00:47:01.320 --> 00:47:03.440
<v Speaker 3>a while. I mean it's you know, people have been

802
00:47:03.480 --> 00:47:05.679
<v Speaker 3>looking at things that are waiting. You know that the

803
00:47:05.679 --> 00:47:08.840
<v Speaker 3>the thousand dollars bolt or kind of remember what it

804
00:47:08.880 --> 00:47:12.679
<v Speaker 3>was a toilet seat for problem appreciation. Yeah, you know that,

805
00:47:12.760 --> 00:47:15.360
<v Speaker 3>but it was an expensive it's expensive. Well it's expensive

806
00:47:15.400 --> 00:47:18.440
<v Speaker 3>because for a lot of reasons, but yeah, it is.

807
00:47:18.639 --> 00:47:23.559
<v Speaker 3>It is a question that that again, why do we

808
00:47:23.559 --> 00:47:25.039
<v Speaker 3>have any I mean, these are the questions that we

809
00:47:25.119 --> 00:47:29.440
<v Speaker 3>keep asking, we keep answering, and I think our our

810
00:47:29.480 --> 00:47:31.559
<v Speaker 3>answers are different than a lot of other folks. But

811
00:47:32.360 --> 00:47:35.559
<v Speaker 3>our navy is not here to provide jobs. Our navy

812
00:47:35.599 --> 00:47:40.599
<v Speaker 3>is not here to provide places for young men and

813
00:47:40.639 --> 00:47:45.119
<v Speaker 3>women to live while they while they mature. The Navy

814
00:47:45.159 --> 00:47:50.119
<v Speaker 3>has a function. It's it's to protect this country and

815
00:47:50.320 --> 00:47:53.159
<v Speaker 3>to fight its wars. And how are we doing And

816
00:47:53.320 --> 00:47:54.960
<v Speaker 3>you know, to get back where we talked about earlier,

817
00:47:55.000 --> 00:47:57.719
<v Speaker 3>we're not doing real well when we're not taking care

818
00:47:57.800 --> 00:48:01.840
<v Speaker 3>of our people. And that that means not burying them

819
00:48:01.880 --> 00:48:03.880
<v Speaker 3>out and giving them the right equipment to do the

820
00:48:03.960 --> 00:48:06.199
<v Speaker 3>job and giving them enough equipment to do the job

821
00:48:06.320 --> 00:48:08.599
<v Speaker 3>so that if we did have to surge forces. We

822
00:48:08.639 --> 00:48:11.400
<v Speaker 3>actually have the forces to surge, and they won't be

823
00:48:14.639 --> 00:48:18.719
<v Speaker 3>ships that are not in the best of maintenance. So

824
00:48:19.239 --> 00:48:22.079
<v Speaker 3>I think that that's important. We see this with the

825
00:48:22.199 --> 00:48:25.760
<v Speaker 3>us NS stuff. I mean, they're out doing a really

826
00:48:25.800 --> 00:48:29.000
<v Speaker 3>important job and we have new ships coming online. We

827
00:48:29.119 --> 00:48:31.159
<v Speaker 3>can't find the cruis demand because nobody wants to do

828
00:48:31.159 --> 00:48:35.000
<v Speaker 3>the kind of work they're doing, because they're they're they're

829
00:48:35.039 --> 00:48:39.960
<v Speaker 3>being used really, really hard. It is a I think

830
00:48:40.039 --> 00:48:43.519
<v Speaker 3>that I would. I'm sure somewhere there's someone who was

831
00:48:43.519 --> 00:48:46.199
<v Speaker 3>sitting down going, I know, we really need to think

832
00:48:46.239 --> 00:48:48.199
<v Speaker 3>about this, but we can't do. You know, it is

833
00:48:48.320 --> 00:48:52.039
<v Speaker 3>the it is the my hands are tied because because

834
00:48:52.599 --> 00:48:56.000
<v Speaker 3>we can't cut or ask our senior citizens to take

835
00:48:56.199 --> 00:48:59.440
<v Speaker 3>a dollar ninety eight less per month without causing a

836
00:48:59.480 --> 00:49:02.400
<v Speaker 3>disruption in the forest and revolution in the street. As

837
00:49:02.440 --> 00:49:05.960
<v Speaker 3>the seventy five year olds get out with pitchforks and

838
00:49:05.960 --> 00:49:11.519
<v Speaker 3>and signs that.

839
00:49:10.760 --> 00:49:12.719
<v Speaker 1>You got up and you brought up the point about

840
00:49:12.760 --> 00:49:19.320
<v Speaker 1>the the boomers heading out to their their retirement fields.

841
00:49:21.039 --> 00:49:26.079
<v Speaker 1>That and there's there's a certain school of people in

842
00:49:26.119 --> 00:49:30.159
<v Speaker 1>this discussion space of national security where they say, you

843
00:49:30.199 --> 00:49:32.679
<v Speaker 1>know what we need, what we need and we just

844
00:49:32.719 --> 00:49:34.880
<v Speaker 1>need to get to get the get the budget and

845
00:49:34.920 --> 00:49:37.119
<v Speaker 1>make it happen. And you know, you found this much

846
00:49:37.159 --> 00:49:39.000
<v Speaker 1>money for the Green New Deal, you just need to

847
00:49:39.039 --> 00:49:43.239
<v Speaker 1>find as much more. And I feel that emotion, but

848
00:49:43.360 --> 00:49:45.320
<v Speaker 1>I think from a realist point of view, it's just

849
00:49:45.400 --> 00:49:48.559
<v Speaker 1>it's not going to happen so and the pressures are

850
00:49:48.559 --> 00:49:51.199
<v Speaker 1>going to get worse and worse, but not just for us.

851
00:49:51.760 --> 00:49:58.480
<v Speaker 1>I saw an interesting graph yesterday about the middle the

852
00:49:58.559 --> 00:50:03.199
<v Speaker 1>Chinese middle class, because they're dying because their demographics are

853
00:50:03.199 --> 00:50:06.880
<v Speaker 1>so horrible. And while India's is slowly growing because they

854
00:50:06.880 --> 00:50:10.079
<v Speaker 1>don't have quite the same demographic their their demographic bulge

855
00:50:10.119 --> 00:50:12.239
<v Speaker 1>is going to hit a couple of day decades later

856
00:50:12.280 --> 00:50:16.079
<v Speaker 1>than China's, and that's going to create a lot of

857
00:50:16.079 --> 00:50:18.280
<v Speaker 1>pressures on their end and on our end. It's that

858
00:50:18.360 --> 00:50:22.360
<v Speaker 1>budgetary pressure. Pray for peace, because I don't think we're

859
00:50:22.360 --> 00:50:25.239
<v Speaker 1>going to find a big enough budget to be able

860
00:50:25.320 --> 00:50:28.239
<v Speaker 1>to do a you know, the Naval Act of nineteen

861
00:50:28.320 --> 00:50:34.199
<v Speaker 1>thirty six, thirty eight, nineteen forty. That money isn't just

862
00:50:34.599 --> 00:50:38.039
<v Speaker 1>isn't going to come unless we find people up in

863
00:50:38.119 --> 00:50:40.159
<v Speaker 1>Congress that are willing to tap the army on the

864
00:50:40.159 --> 00:50:43.800
<v Speaker 1>shoulder and going, and we've talked about it here and

865
00:50:43.920 --> 00:50:46.679
<v Speaker 1>we're going to assume a risk on our active duty

866
00:50:46.840 --> 00:50:51.320
<v Speaker 1>army and we're taking you need to find a way

867
00:50:51.360 --> 00:50:53.000
<v Speaker 1>to do what needs to be done in the National

868
00:50:53.039 --> 00:50:55.519
<v Speaker 1>Guard and reserves. Yes, we know about the readiness hit,

869
00:50:55.559 --> 00:50:57.960
<v Speaker 1>but we're going to assume risk there so we can

870
00:50:58.280 --> 00:51:01.079
<v Speaker 1>get the Air Force and the Navy assets we need

871
00:51:01.440 --> 00:51:04.000
<v Speaker 1>to be able to effectively fight west to the International

872
00:51:04.079 --> 00:51:06.800
<v Speaker 1>date Line unless that takes place. But again I don't

873
00:51:06.840 --> 00:51:09.559
<v Speaker 1>see that movement taking place. We have the budget we

874
00:51:09.639 --> 00:51:14.960
<v Speaker 1>have and the only way you can optimize that is

875
00:51:15.000 --> 00:51:19.760
<v Speaker 1>to look for efficiencies. And that doesn't mean we always

876
00:51:19.760 --> 00:51:22.280
<v Speaker 1>talk about, Okay, what programs are you going to cut?

877
00:51:22.639 --> 00:51:25.679
<v Speaker 1>What are you not going to buy? I have not

878
00:51:25.880 --> 00:51:29.880
<v Speaker 1>seen where we actually look at how we are going

879
00:51:30.000 --> 00:51:35.639
<v Speaker 1>to cut short staff, how are we going to cut

880
00:51:37.199 --> 00:51:39.559
<v Speaker 1>people we have that are non deployable. And the Marines

881
00:51:39.599 --> 00:51:42.440
<v Speaker 1>did something really interesting at the end of the double

882
00:51:42.559 --> 00:51:45.239
<v Speaker 1>Zeros where if you hadn't deployed, and I think it

883
00:51:45.400 --> 00:51:48.599
<v Speaker 1>was thirty six months, you were going to deploy and

884
00:51:48.599 --> 00:51:50.519
<v Speaker 1>if you couldn't deploy, then you will be.

885
00:51:53.360 --> 00:51:53.679
<v Speaker 2>None.

886
00:51:55.440 --> 00:51:58.719
<v Speaker 1>I'm invited to leave you separative. Yeah, separating for the

887
00:51:58.800 --> 00:52:02.079
<v Speaker 1>service general district under honorable conditions for the needs of

888
00:52:02.079 --> 00:52:04.199
<v Speaker 1>the service, have a good day. That will give you

889
00:52:04.239 --> 00:52:07.800
<v Speaker 1>a better idea of who you have left. And it

890
00:52:07.840 --> 00:52:09.360
<v Speaker 1>goes back to what we talked about at the top

891
00:52:09.400 --> 00:52:10.920
<v Speaker 1>of the hour. But if you're in to do that,

892
00:52:12.280 --> 00:52:14.920
<v Speaker 1>you need to optimize who you are actually having here.

893
00:52:15.559 --> 00:52:18.840
<v Speaker 1>And you're not gonna be able to optimize your deployable

894
00:52:18.840 --> 00:52:22.800
<v Speaker 1>forces when you burn them out, which means you either

895
00:52:22.840 --> 00:52:24.440
<v Speaker 1>need to get more ships that if you don't have

896
00:52:24.480 --> 00:52:27.320
<v Speaker 1>more money, you can't get more ships. That you need

897
00:52:27.360 --> 00:52:31.719
<v Speaker 1>to look at why you are deploying them and where

898
00:52:31.760 --> 00:52:35.840
<v Speaker 1>you are deploying them, and that that makes hard decisions.

899
00:52:35.880 --> 00:52:36.480
<v Speaker 2>It's easy.

900
00:52:37.039 --> 00:52:41.360
<v Speaker 1>It's easy for today to say I, I will have

901
00:52:41.400 --> 00:52:44.400
<v Speaker 1>two carriers there when you're not the one that's going

902
00:52:44.440 --> 00:52:46.440
<v Speaker 1>to deal with the secondary effects in four or five

903
00:52:46.519 --> 00:52:52.199
<v Speaker 1>or six years. And somebody will say, well, if you won't,

904
00:52:52.559 --> 00:52:54.400
<v Speaker 1>if you won't make it happen, I'll get somebody else

905
00:52:54.400 --> 00:52:57.679
<v Speaker 1>who will. Okay, I'll retirement eligible, I have four stars.

906
00:52:57.760 --> 00:53:01.960
<v Speaker 1>Let's have that conversation and you will have something like

907
00:53:02.039 --> 00:53:06.519
<v Speaker 1>we saw in two thousand and three when General Shinseki

908
00:53:07.920 --> 00:53:11.119
<v Speaker 1>he lost the argument behind the closed doors and so

909
00:53:11.360 --> 00:53:14.760
<v Speaker 1>Senator Levin brought him in to open session at the

910
00:53:14.760 --> 00:53:19.000
<v Speaker 1>Senate and asked him questions, and shin Seki was exactly right.

911
00:53:19.840 --> 00:53:20.679
<v Speaker 2>When they asked him.

912
00:53:20.559 --> 00:53:23.639
<v Speaker 1>About force levels required for Iraq. He's like, no, we

913
00:53:23.719 --> 00:53:26.559
<v Speaker 1>need another one hundred and twenty five thousand people for

914
00:53:26.639 --> 00:53:30.920
<v Speaker 1>security operations afterwards, because Phase four is going to be

915
00:53:31.800 --> 00:53:36.239
<v Speaker 1>manpower intensive. And he was exactly right, and he was

916
00:53:36.679 --> 00:53:40.239
<v Speaker 1>allowed to retire gracefully. But that doesn't quite make up

917
00:53:40.280 --> 00:53:43.159
<v Speaker 1>for the fact that Shinseki gave the Army the black beret.

918
00:53:43.639 --> 00:53:46.840
<v Speaker 1>But that was a moment that always sticks out to

919
00:53:46.880 --> 00:53:49.679
<v Speaker 1>me about somebody who decided, I'm going to go ahead

920
00:53:49.920 --> 00:53:52.400
<v Speaker 1>and make the statement, and we know why Senator Levin

921
00:53:53.119 --> 00:53:56.239
<v Speaker 1>wanted him to say that in open session. But at

922
00:53:56.280 --> 00:53:59.239
<v Speaker 1>the end of the day, I think history has shown

923
00:53:59.280 --> 00:54:02.400
<v Speaker 1>that the Rack invasion of two thousand and three was

924
00:54:02.960 --> 00:54:06.039
<v Speaker 1>not the high water of American state craft.

925
00:54:06.679 --> 00:54:09.519
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I think that. And you know, we were talking

926
00:54:09.519 --> 00:54:14.000
<v Speaker 3>about Vietnam earlier, and when you read the McMaster's book

927
00:54:14.039 --> 00:54:20.719
<v Speaker 3>on on on the war and and the the idea

928
00:54:20.920 --> 00:54:23.559
<v Speaker 3>that you were going to use the armed forces to

929
00:54:23.679 --> 00:54:27.599
<v Speaker 3>send a signal to the world and to the North

930
00:54:27.679 --> 00:54:31.599
<v Speaker 3>Vietnamese and the Chinese that we were We're gonna, we're

931
00:54:31.599 --> 00:54:34.639
<v Speaker 3>gonna keep We're going to incrementally increase our forces until

932
00:54:34.679 --> 00:54:38.199
<v Speaker 3>you agree to stop doing what you're doing, and you know,

933
00:54:38.239 --> 00:54:40.960
<v Speaker 3>we keep doing that. We're gonna we we send messages.

934
00:54:41.039 --> 00:54:46.039
<v Speaker 3>We send messages by putting two carrier groups, one of

935
00:54:46.079 --> 00:54:49.119
<v Speaker 3>the meds, say, one of the Indian Ocean area somewhere,

936
00:54:50.199 --> 00:54:53.400
<v Speaker 3>and another one you know, homeported in Japan. So we

937
00:54:53.480 --> 00:54:55.760
<v Speaker 3>have you know, these carrier groups, and they are sending

938
00:54:55.800 --> 00:54:59.760
<v Speaker 3>a message, but I don't know who's receiving the message.

939
00:54:59.760 --> 00:55:01.840
<v Speaker 3>It doesn't seem to be stopping any of the bad

940
00:55:01.840 --> 00:55:04.559
<v Speaker 3>guys from doing whatever they're doing. So, you know it

941
00:55:04.599 --> 00:55:08.000
<v Speaker 3>is it is time to rethink this message sending thing

942
00:55:08.960 --> 00:55:11.960
<v Speaker 3>and to think about what the next deploy is because

943
00:55:12.360 --> 00:55:16.679
<v Speaker 3>it is the While it's important to do the u

944
00:55:19.239 --> 00:55:23.440
<v Speaker 3>the message sending inappropriate time, just having them there all

945
00:55:23.480 --> 00:55:25.360
<v Speaker 3>the time is not sending. It's not enough of a

946
00:55:25.440 --> 00:55:29.920
<v Speaker 3>re turred effect apparently to stop bad guys from doing

947
00:55:29.920 --> 00:55:30.599
<v Speaker 3>whatever they're doing.

948
00:55:32.280 --> 00:55:35.880
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and it's also I think it's important to understand

949
00:55:35.880 --> 00:55:38.800
<v Speaker 1>what looks at who are deploying, how we're deploying, is

950
00:55:39.360 --> 00:55:42.480
<v Speaker 1>we actually don't have is large of an eighty as

951
00:55:42.559 --> 00:55:46.760
<v Speaker 1>we think we have, for instance, our litoral combat ships

952
00:55:47.000 --> 00:55:52.800
<v Speaker 1>r lcs, they're independent steaming mostly, they can't operate with

953
00:55:53.599 --> 00:55:57.039
<v Speaker 1>the send the carriers forward, they can't operate in the

954
00:55:57.079 --> 00:56:01.119
<v Speaker 1>Red Sea. Zoom Walk class whole one is actually getting

955
00:56:01.159 --> 00:56:04.679
<v Speaker 1>retrofitted now to put a bunch of the big conventional

956
00:56:04.679 --> 00:56:07.960
<v Speaker 1>prompt strike or whatever we're calling it nowadays hypersonics in there.

957
00:56:08.079 --> 00:56:12.519
<v Speaker 1>But since her commissioning, all she has done is I

958
00:56:12.519 --> 00:56:16.840
<v Speaker 1>think three or four months going from San Diego to

959
00:56:16.920 --> 00:56:22.719
<v Speaker 1>British Columbia to Alaska to Hawaii and back. And I

960
00:56:22.760 --> 00:56:25.960
<v Speaker 1>think before she went into the yard she went from

961
00:56:26.559 --> 00:56:29.480
<v Speaker 1>San Diego to Hawaii to go on to Japan and back.

962
00:56:30.559 --> 00:56:36.239
<v Speaker 1>That all those billions of dollars twenty years ago did

963
00:56:36.320 --> 00:56:39.440
<v Speaker 1>not buy us much of a fleet. So we've got

964
00:56:39.840 --> 00:56:43.119
<v Speaker 1>for those units that can make effects forward, we've got

965
00:56:43.119 --> 00:56:48.559
<v Speaker 1>a husband them and their sailors a lot better because

966
00:56:48.559 --> 00:56:50.639
<v Speaker 1>we just don't have that much of a bench. And

967
00:56:50.679 --> 00:56:53.480
<v Speaker 1>we saw that with the rotation of the DDGs through

968
00:56:53.480 --> 00:56:56.199
<v Speaker 1>the Red Sea as well. That's kind of petered off

969
00:56:56.199 --> 00:56:58.679
<v Speaker 1>a little bit now, but a lot of that has

970
00:56:58.719 --> 00:57:01.360
<v Speaker 1>to be I would think, is the fact that we

971
00:57:01.480 --> 00:57:05.079
<v Speaker 1>just don't have the units to sustain what we were

972
00:57:05.079 --> 00:57:08.199
<v Speaker 1>doing there, except at certain moments in time. But it's

973
00:57:08.239 --> 00:57:11.000
<v Speaker 1>something we simply just cannot do twenty four to seven,

974
00:57:11.039 --> 00:57:12.159
<v Speaker 1>and we shouldn't have to.

975
00:57:12.800 --> 00:57:13.119
<v Speaker 2>Are we go?

976
00:57:14.559 --> 00:57:17.079
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and it's time to call you know, the Air Force.

977
00:57:17.280 --> 00:57:22.000
<v Speaker 3>If we're just bombing and targeting things on the ground

978
00:57:22.360 --> 00:57:26.800
<v Speaker 3>using air power. Hey, the Air Force says that they are,

979
00:57:29.679 --> 00:57:32.559
<v Speaker 3>they're instant on. They can they and they've come play.

980
00:57:32.599 --> 00:57:35.400
<v Speaker 3>I mean, they've done some stuff there. So that is

981
00:57:35.719 --> 00:57:39.239
<v Speaker 3>if we're gonna do it, let's do it jointly. Let's

982
00:57:39.440 --> 00:57:42.400
<v Speaker 3>use all the tools and not you know what, how

983
00:57:42.480 --> 00:57:44.119
<v Speaker 3>long it takes to burn out of B fifty two.

984
00:57:44.199 --> 00:57:48.039
<v Speaker 3>They seem to run forever, you know, if we're using

985
00:57:48.159 --> 00:57:51.039
<v Speaker 3>B one b's or whatever, let's you know, let's let's

986
00:57:51.159 --> 00:57:55.119
<v Speaker 3>do that. Let's send the message that way. Nothing like

987
00:57:55.159 --> 00:57:59.719
<v Speaker 3>writing something on a thousand pound bomb and extillering the

988
00:57:59.719 --> 00:58:00.639
<v Speaker 3>mess directly.

989
00:58:02.400 --> 00:58:07.559
<v Speaker 1>Absolutely, and hey, we've just used up an hour. Amazing

990
00:58:07.599 --> 00:58:11.159
<v Speaker 1>but true. A little note here that I think I

991
00:58:11.199 --> 00:58:12.639
<v Speaker 1>mentioned earlier on that was going to do a little

992
00:58:12.639 --> 00:58:15.119
<v Speaker 1>bit experiment and do a live stream up on x

993
00:58:15.159 --> 00:58:17.920
<v Speaker 1>as well, and we managed to get five hundred and

994
00:58:18.000 --> 00:58:20.960
<v Speaker 1>six listeners with us live on X so those on

995
00:58:21.199 --> 00:58:23.360
<v Speaker 1>X we will try to do this with all of

996
00:58:23.400 --> 00:58:28.320
<v Speaker 1>our live shows, because not everybody gets the alert our

997
00:58:28.400 --> 00:58:31.199
<v Speaker 1>pre show announcements and can come up on riverside. So

998
00:58:31.280 --> 00:58:34.440
<v Speaker 1>hopefully that gets a few more people in with mid Rats.

999
00:58:34.559 --> 00:58:37.400
<v Speaker 1>Who if you haven't listened to us before, we're coming

1000
00:58:37.480 --> 00:58:41.719
<v Speaker 1>up on our teenth anniversary in January, and we've already

1001
00:58:41.760 --> 00:58:45.239
<v Speaker 1>made arrangements a gentleman who y'all can blame or thank

1002
00:58:45.679 --> 00:58:49.480
<v Speaker 1>for mid Rats existing, one of the guys that helped

1003
00:58:50.119 --> 00:58:54.880
<v Speaker 1>Mark and I get running on mid Rats. We've been

1004
00:58:54.920 --> 00:58:59.119
<v Speaker 1>going Claude Bearrabey. He's going to be our guest our

1005
00:58:59.159 --> 00:59:02.440
<v Speaker 1>fifteenth Anniverse show, and we're going to talk about all

1006
00:59:02.440 --> 00:59:06.440
<v Speaker 1>sorts of strange and interesting things. So in January at least,

1007
00:59:07.079 --> 00:59:09.360
<v Speaker 1>I hope everybody can join us there, whether you've been

1008
00:59:09.360 --> 00:59:11.519
<v Speaker 1>with us since twenty ten, are you just now coming on?

1009
00:59:11.719 --> 00:59:14.400
<v Speaker 1>And we're going to take a bye week next week

1010
00:59:14.440 --> 00:59:17.280
<v Speaker 1>for Thanksgiving, and then we'll be back in December before

1011
00:59:17.320 --> 00:59:19.280
<v Speaker 1>we take some time off for Christmas.

1012
00:59:20.880 --> 00:59:22.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I want to thank everybody for being here today

1013
00:59:22.960 --> 00:59:26.639
<v Speaker 3>and listening to us pontific eate we only do on

1014
00:59:26.719 --> 00:59:29.159
<v Speaker 3>rare occasions when we have a guest cancel or we

1015
00:59:29.280 --> 00:59:33.840
<v Speaker 3>can't find somebody silly enough to come on and join us.

1016
00:59:33.920 --> 00:59:38.199
<v Speaker 1>And as always everybody, we really appreciate the folks coming

1017
00:59:38.239 --> 00:59:41.039
<v Speaker 1>here and join us live, and until next time, hope

1018
00:59:41.039 --> 00:59:43.119
<v Speaker 1>everybody has a great Navy Day.

1019
00:59:43.840 --> 00:59:44.159
<v Speaker 2>Cheers,
