Speaker 1: Welcome to Wayge You Talk today, the gold standard of
sports betting shows where he talked the Talk and walk
the Walk. Football Friday is here, loaded with EDFL. We're
gonna touch on college football a little bit. Yanni's gonna
start it off with the Steam Report, Teddy Covers are
gonna break down the Chargers, Chiefs, Bill's Patriots big games,
and of course we gotta do another episode of Sell Me.
Marco's got one of my favorite game breakdowns. I can't
wait to hear this one on what he's gonna do
with Phil Rivers and the Colts versus the Seahawks. Get
his thoughts on Army Navy and his wing sauce of
the week. Dan's gonna join me for our Pick five
super contest picks weekend starts. Now, let's make it a
profitable one. Thank you so much for joining us. Uh,
let's bring in Yanni. Let's talk Steam Report. Yanni, what's
it looking like when we got this lull in college football?
Are they really just focusing on NFL? Or is there
any type of college football action you see him?
Speaker 2: No, You're absolutely right, and yesterday was a perfect example
of that with the Thursday night game and the kind
of action that it did coming off a lucky winner.
Speaker 3: We were the product of good luck.
Speaker 2: Had a badline on Atlanta. I got down at plus
four and a half. Whise guys disagreed with me. They
were on Tampa Bay. Public was on Tampa Bay. I
actually locked in a bad number, but it turned out
good for us with a four percent winner on Atlanta.
Speaker 3: But that's what you're seeing.
Speaker 2: Other than that game last night, you're seeing most of
the action on SAT Sunday. Excuse me, NFL already kind
of like parlaying yesterday's game with Sunday action, parlaying NHL,
NBA college basketball already with Sunday action, because we don't
really have anything on Saturday as far as college football goes.
We have an Army Navy game that nobody gets excited about,
and then we had that first Bowl game.
Speaker 3: Between Boise Stateton Washington.
Speaker 2: It's going to attract attention and action because it's a
standalone game, eight pm Eastern Time, only college football game
more or less that matters on Saturday, so it's gonna
get the money. But nothing in comparison, you know, to
the action on Sunday in the NFL. I wouldn't be
surprised to see college basketball attract a lot of recreational money.
So look for a different type of market tomorrow, because again,
up until tomorrow, college basketball mostly parlayd on Saturdays. I mean,
you get some of the standalone prime time marquee games
that get straight bets, but for the majority, it's been
wise guys versus the books. That starts to change as
we have less and less football to bet on, and
you start getting the recreational betters that start straight betting
the college basketball on Saturday. That's going to affect the market,
which will force some line movements, and then you'll get
more value for the wise guys to sweep in on
Saturday morning and take advantage of because again, all of
a sudden, they're left with what are we going to
bet on? There's no football, so they're going to move
into college basketball, kind of like when COVID came and
they all became fans of Russian hockey and Korean tennis. Now,
all of a sudden, you know they're going to dive
into the college basketball actual they're going to dive into
mma tomorrow as well, and we'll be able to get
some extra value because of it.
Speaker 1: I love how your and I's style is different. You
say you made a bad bet last night, and I say, no,
you made a good one. It won.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: True, there, it's a great bet. It won.
Speaker 3: You're right, You're right.
Speaker 1: I had one bet last night. It won. Therefore, great bet,
absolutely right. That parlaying college basketball?
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, and you know what the parlaying. Here's what
I'm going to tell you.
Speaker 2: They're parlaying like a money line, like they're looking for
a duke minus seventeen to already tie into their lock
for Sunday.
Speaker 3: You know, that's how they're doing it.
Speaker 2: And here's what I saw something yesterday. I'm sorry, I
just have to share this because it's on the top
of my mind. And I even circled that bet I saw. Gentlemen,
this might was probably two nights ago is day, right
before we did bet on it. Clemson was playing Clemson
was I think a minus seven point favorite and seven
and a half point favorite. This gentleman bought them down,
laid minus one forty or minus one fifty to take
them down a point.
Speaker 3: And a half.
Speaker 2: So he took his minus seven and a half point
favorite like Clemson, and he bet them minus won forty
down to minus six, And I don't understand how recreational
betters do this or why they do this. Is it
the comfort of feeling now I just have to win
by seven to cash my ticket? Like does the juice
not even factor into the equation that you're now laying
seven hundred to win five? You're not laying five point fifty,
like you're now putting up so.
Speaker 3: Much more risk.
Speaker 2: And I see that over and over and over again,
and I just don't understand it. It's hard enough to
comprehend it, like in an NFL game, even in a
college football game where there's more variants, but to do
it in a college basketball game where you're already expecting
one hundred and thirty one hundred and forty one hundred
and fifty points to be scored, and you came to
the conclusion that you don't think there's a fifty two
and a half percent chance that Clemson wins by seven,
but you do think there's a sixty percent chance they
win by six, Like in what universe does that even
make sense? And these are probably very intelligent people, smarter
than me, educated, probably have degrees, and they don't take
us a minute to realize what you're actually saying. You're
saying that you don't think at minus one ten there's
a fifty two and a half percent chance that Clemson
could cover to seven and a half, but you're confident
at minus six that they could do it over sixty
percent at a time, Like how can they do win
by more than six sixty percent of time but not
be able to win by more than seven fifty two
and a half percent at a time? Like Again, that's
where I argue with people when they say every game's
fixed and it's all shady. You don't have to fix
anything when better are willing to place bad bets like that,
all you have to do is open your door and
let them come in again. We know their shady stuff happening.
We we they catch it all the time. But when
when betters are really willing to take the worst of
it over and over and over again, it's just not
necessary to do that. Sorry to go off on a tangent,
but this show, more than anything else, is to try
to educate better is to be smarter and either win
more or lose less, And buying points is one of
the fastest way to lose more. It's the quickest way,
because unless you know what absolutely every half point you're
buying is worth to the exact penny, you shouldn't be
doing it. So yeah, let's go, Well.
Speaker 1: Well, it's because it's because most people don't look at
those percentages like you, just like you just went through
the sixty percent and fifty two percent. It's people just
trying to make themselves feel better and a little confidence.
And no, there's no you know, there's no thoughts about
why why laying minus one twenty at a certain number
is way better than laying minus one forty, Like, those
percentages are hard to like come up with in your.
Speaker 2: E Yeah, you're right, you're right, and we take it
for gee it because we do it every day. You're right,
you're right, you're right, You're absolutely right. And that's why
I'm saying I'm not criticizing anybody, because again, you're not
born knowing this stuff.
Speaker 3: You have to learn it.
Speaker 2: But in twenty twenty five, with so much good content
out there, you could get Sharper and sharper, I guess
there's just too much bad content out there. I see
so many same game parlays and all that stuff, So.
Speaker 3: I get it.
Speaker 1: Welcome to wager Talk today, home of the good content
in sports.
Speaker 3: Betty, yeah, they won't win us.
Speaker 1: Do we have any steam on college basketball? NBA hockey?
What are you seeing?
Speaker 2: A couple of plays so far in college basketball small
board not getting much action, but we did see two
big dogs get the money eight eighty one Missouri State
plus eighteen and a half and plus eighteen in eight
eighty three Texas plus fifteen and a half and fifteen Texas.
A little worried about already seeing public taking Texas. You know,
a big name team like Texas getting all those points
seems a little bit attractive as far as the NBA goes.
They took five fifty six Memphis minus six, and I'll
give you a free premium right now. I gave out
one play so far today in basketball, and that was
the Philadelphia seventy six ers at minus six and a half,
good to minus seven minus one ten. That's still readily
available on the board if you agree with me. If not,
you're probably getting a better number now. I do like
the Sixers at home over the Pacers. I think it's
a good spot for them. I thought the line should be,
you know, a little higher than closer to double digits.
So yeah, I like the Sixers a little bit three
percent play, but that's all I bet so far in
the hoops so far today. Nothing in the NHL that
jumped out as far as the wise guys.
Speaker 3: Only two games, but we.
Speaker 2: Are seeing public on a little overnight steam on Chicago.
Speaker 3: But since then it's been the public.
Speaker 2: They're bet in Chicago on the road as dogs, and
then in the other game, obviously they're betting the Utah
the favorite, So no surprise. That's pretty much the only
thing that sticks out in the NHL. Again, small boarding
college basketball, big board in the NBA, but except for injuries,
players sitting out laid information, you don't get much steam.
I was a little bit surprised to see two sides
in their early Memphis and the Sixers. I didn't mess
with the Memphis side, although I don't disagree with it.
I couldn't get down at six it's you know, seven
and a half now, so I just let that alone.
But I did agree with the Sixers side and the totals.
Just too many middles are played to have any confidence
that's a legit move like Cavs Wizards. Yeah, over got
steamed but I wouldn't be surprised later in the day
if you see under money come in as well, because
those totals just move so significantly. Again, unless you're getting
out ahead of it, unless you're on that odds logic
screen and you have some off screen outs that you
could fire into. When you see an on screen book adjust,
it's it's hard to make money in the NBA.
Speaker 1: Any movement on the Jake Paul fight right now, it's
one way traffic on Anthony Joshua. I'm looking at DK
right now. My god, he's minus twelve hundred. Jake Paul's
seven to one. And you liked Jake Paul.
Speaker 4: Just wait.
Speaker 3: I saw this over and over and over again.
Speaker 2: Andy, I came here in ninety six, okay, right around then,
and back then it was different. You know, there wasn't
offshore yet anything like that. So if you were gonna
bet big money, unless you had, you know, a book
maker that was going to take six figures, you had
to do it in Vegas and get paid. And they
used to call them the suitcase guys. I was like
the suitcase guys, And about thirty minutes an hour before
the big fights, they would walk into the mirage and
unload suitcase worth of money. Like they would bring out
the money counter and they would just teach just rushing
these dudes' money through money counters, and they would come
in and they would bet these big favorites, like at
minus twelve hundred boxing and bet like one hundred and
twenty thousand to win ten thousand.
Speaker 3: And they would do it. And then they would do
it on like.
Speaker 2: Mayweather eighty thousand to win ten thousand, bets like that,
and they would do it late, and nine times out
of ten, the book actually needed that side. They wanted
this guy coming up to bet six figures to win
his bet because everyone else was on the other side.
And that's what's gonna happen here tonight. Rest as short
with the Jake Paul fight, forgive me when it takes place.
The recreational betters and even more serious betters, they're not
gonna want to put up one thousand, twelve hundred to
win one hundred on the favorite. They're gonna want to
put ten twenty fifty on the dog and hope that
Jake Paul goes out there and pulls off a rocky,
performs a miracle, and they cash out at ten twelve
to one, what happen you, that's what's going to happen.
And all those ten twenty fifty hundred dollars bets are
going to start to pile up. And when the book
has to pay out six to one, seven to one,
if Jake Paul wins, that risk is going to become astronomical.
They're going to be forced to lower that line a little.
And that's when the suitcases come in and those big
betters that are figure I can make a ten percent
ROI twenty percent ROI in fifteen minutes.
Speaker 3: To them, that's money all day long.
Speaker 2: Most people, they'll let their their stockbroker babysit their kids
if they turn twenty percent a year ROI.
Speaker 3: For you, you'll trust them with your children.
Speaker 2: If you could turn a ten percent ROI twenty percent
ROI in fifteen minutes, these guys are going to do it.
Speaker 3: That's how they think.
Speaker 2: They don't think about like you know, oh, I'm picking
the winner or I'm cheering the sin. They look at
the risk and a lot of those boxing fights back
then it was one sided. It was the promoter getting
his guy confidence against a guy that's just there.
Speaker 3: To lose Jake Paul's not there just to lose.
Speaker 2: That's the problem that I think the sportsbook's gott to
worry about.
Speaker 3: He's there to win.
Speaker 2: I don't know if he's capable of doing it against
someone like Joshua. I don't know if that's possible, but
that will be the case.
Speaker 3: Andy.
Speaker 4: The public's all.
Speaker 3: Going to be on Joshua.
Speaker 2: I mean, on a poll the line moved in favor
of the favor because wise guys did see the value immediately.
That's going to move up when the public drives it
back down. They'll be waiting to bet Joshua. They did
it with Mayweather against McGregor. It was the exact same situation.
Everybody will put their ten twenty fifty dollars on McGregor.
Every time that line was dropping, these guys were going
in and sweeping up Mayweather. They're not afraid to lay
chalk if they think they're getting the best of it.
And with Joshua, all the stuff that I've talked heard
guys that I talk to that bet that kind of money,
they're all waiting to get the best price they can
on Joshua. If they didn't already get down. They think
this is a mismatch the likes of Mayweather McGregor. I
don't agree with that, but I think that's the approach
they're taking.
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a this is Shenanigans, right, there could
be You're.
Speaker 3: Thrown on Jake Paul if you're not taking it seriously.
Speaker 1: I'm not. I'm not betting on Jake Paul. Thank you.
We have a we have a boxing play that is
up right now for tomorrow and it is on you
know what we do. It's on obscure fights that not
many people are following because that's where all the all
the best lines are and stuff. So yeah, that's that's
not where I'm gonna be.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 1: I'm not going to be betting the Jake Paul fight.
I might watch it, but I'm not gonna be putting
any money. I will not have my.
Speaker 2: It's like talking the horse guys that actually make money,
and there's a couple on the planet they're like, yeah,
I'm not betting the Kentucky Derby.
Speaker 3: They're betting every race on that card, but not that race.
Speaker 1: You know, exactly exactly. Yeah, all right, y Audi, it's
a big, big weekend. What do you have up for everyone?
Speaker 2: It is man and my packages are up and ready
to go, and we got that long term specially, anyone
that wants to partner up with me for the next
twelve months.
Speaker 3: Twenty twenty six is going to be fired.
Speaker 2: You're already seeing it since we put the steam sheet together.
I got my Saturday College Football it's gonna be all
four percent best bets in there. I have my Saturday
UFC card already up, multiple best bets in there. Sunday
we are dropping a five percent big move. I think
we hit three of them in this past month. So
feeling really good about this next couple of days. And
the bowl games are ahead. I've already released two or
three bowl plays.
Speaker 3: These lines move. If you're going to join me for
the Bulls, don't wait.
Speaker 2: Having a great college football season finished number one overall,
and the Bulls have been money year in, year out.
So excited for what's ahead. Let's do some damage and
best luck to everyone this weekend.
Speaker 1: Wted up buzz slash v r Ynny the Greek, thank
you so much, Thank you, bro. I have a big,
big weekend shout out to the chat. Thank you guys
for joining us. Please hit the light button algorithm boost time.
It's a huge, huge weekend. Five percent NFL best bet
just went up for myself. We have a monster Day.
We have an NBA bet that is up. We have
a boxing and UFC package that is up three and one.
Since we started doing boxing plays on an eight and
two UFC run, so we just put combat sports into
one package. Boxing in UFC going off tomorrow. Somebody in
the chat asked about the UFC card breakdown. My co
host lost his voice, like literally has no voice. It
is gone. So if it comes back this afternoon, we'll record.
If not, I'll do a breakdown and get something up.
It's a pretty terrible card, but I will have something
up for everybody. All right, Let's bring on legend Teddy
Covers Teddy Happy Friday, Yanni said. He backed up. Yanni
said moving was the worst. It's like this the worst
experience ever moving.
Speaker 6: So Janni was talking about the guys coming in with
suitcases at the end. For all the big fights, we
would always see the guys coming in with Duffel bags,
coming with the Duffel bags one hundred you know, whether
you know the twenties and one hundreds, and you know
it would take it would take a while and then
to count it up.
Speaker 7: Before they could get the bet down.
Speaker 6: But anytime you see someone in a sports with with
a shuitcase or a duffel bag, those those tend to
be bigger betters. It doesn't necessarily mean that they're sharper betters.
Speaker 1: Fair, fair, I was gonna ask you about this plus
three fifty the Oklahoma City Thunder to break this regular
season wins total. I stared at it. I stared at it.
I stared at it. I couldn't quite bring myself to
do it, and I think I'm gonna regret it. What
do you think? Is that a decent bet? You think
they can break the total?
Speaker 7: So what are they gonna go say? They gotta win?
Seventy four?
Speaker 1: Seventy four? Yeah?
Speaker 4: Yeah? What?
Speaker 7: What?
Speaker 1: What? What scared me was their schedule gets hard play
the Spurs and the Rockets in Denver. So I don't know, no.
Speaker 6: And so the other issue, and the bigger issue might be,
you know, March in April, because they're going to be
locked into one seed. I would expect them to be
locked into one seed fairly early. What's the intensity down
the stretch? How much do they want that record? Because
you know, okay, see they arrest all five starters, and
they'll be favored over half the teams in the league,
make no mistake about it, all right, So if they
want it, they're live to get it plus three fifty
and maybe not the best price that you could have
possibly thought of, but let's I'll leave.
Speaker 7: It at this. There's worse bets to make, you know.
Speaker 6: Okay, see, they're motivated and they're unbelievably good.
Speaker 7: So you know.
Speaker 6: They're live at plus three fifty. Well, they get there.
I don't know, no other team has ever, so you know,
but they have that. They certainly have that level of upside.
Speaker 7: Yeah.
Speaker 1: One thing that occurred to me the other night was
when Booker didn't play against them in the NBA Cup game,
and I was thinking, what if the teams just look
at okay see and go, this is our time to
rest people. We're not gonna beat these guys. Why don't
we rest our good player? That's what that was one
of my big things. I was like, oh my god,
what if down the stretch, the teams that are fighting
for like the four seed the five seed, are like
we have beating them. Sit MAXI sit just I don't know.
I couldn't get there, we'll revisit, we'll see about this.
Let's we're gonna do the LA Bowl, We're gonna do
the Boise State in Washington. We're gonna start with this breakdown.
Speaker 7: Yes, Teddy, so just lasting. I'd rather have the yes
in the no.
Speaker 6: I'd rather have the yes at the plus price for
OKAC to break the record than lay juice for them
to have the no.
Speaker 7: So yeah, for what that's worth.
Speaker 1: If they lose their best player, they're still favored over everybody.
It's insane.
Speaker 6: I've been doing NBA power ratings. I started doing them
in nineteen ninety nine, and I've never in all these
years had a team that laps the rest of the
league the way OKAC does right now. You know, Okay
sees five points better than the Rockets, and the Rockets
are number two team in the NBA.
Speaker 7: I've never had that, you know.
Speaker 6: And when the Rockets are three points better than anybody else,
you know.
Speaker 7: Yeah.
Speaker 1: So I've never seen a team like this either. They're
They're truly insane to watch. So all right, let's get
to Boise State in Washington.
Speaker 4: Here.
Speaker 1: Looks like Washington's going to be the rightful favorite here
over under at fifty two and a half. You're looking
at a side or a total in this one, a
little bit of both.
Speaker 7: There's a leans.
Speaker 6: I think the total might be the stronger of the two,
but there's certainly a side lead that I have in
this bogame as well. Right now, looking at the Odds
Logic Live Odds screen.
Speaker 7: And by the way, guys.
Speaker 6: Get the free trial seven day free all access for
os bull season. The lines move around like crazy every
time there's any opt out news, coaching, change news, and
this screen helps you keep track of it all, helps
you know when and where to bet Odds, Audis dot
comback Class Teddy for the free a seven day trial.
Speaker 7: But look at the Odds Live od screen.
Speaker 3: I've seen mostly nine and a half out there for
Washington for.
Speaker 7: Eight and a half of the open.
Speaker 6: There are some minus tens for the Huskies total sitting
in the fifty two and a half slash fifty three range.
And for all of you who say there are too
many bulls, number one, I agree with you.
Speaker 7: Number two.
Speaker 6: This is the last time we'll ever see the LA
Bowl because they're finally elimiteding one, so there won't be
this Bowl again next year. It'll be all Rob Gronkowski time.
Gronk getting a lot of headlines for this.
Speaker 7: I don't know why. I guess he's a good spokesman.
We think of Boise as giant killers in bowl games.
Speaker 6: You know, it all comes back to when they were
beating Oklahoma and then the Statue of Liberty play and
all of that. Last four bowls for Boise. You know,
we're dating back to the before COVID down twenty nineteen.
They're throwing four against the spread, they're only straight up win.
Came by three points as an eleven point favorite against
North Texas.
Speaker 7: Penn State beat him by seventeen.
Speaker 6: Last year, us LA beat him by thirteen and twenty
twenty three, and the Washing beat them thirty eight to
seven here in Las Vegas Bowl action. Before that, Washington
also beat him fifty six to nineteen in the regular
season just two years ago. So the Huskies have had
the Broncos number in recent meetings. And Boise's history of
being a live dog in these bowl games, well this
dage that's ancient history. It's a unique situation for Boise
because you think about bull prep and one of the
reasons the coaches love bullprep you get fifteen extra practices.
Speaker 7: Well, boys didn't get fifteen extra practices.
Speaker 6: They played in the Mountain West championship game last week
and now they're playing in a bowl game this week.
So basically it's a normal week for Boise, you know,
fifth straight week that they've played, you know, head coach
Spencer Danielson quote, it's a quick turnaround. It's really no
time off. It's nice you stay in rhythm. Obviously, we're
gonna have some guys banged up from the championship game.
It's gonna be next man up, carry the flag. It's
the first bowl game in the country, which is awesome.
Danison's trying to speak the good, you know, and that's
his job is you know, don't worry about the fact
we're not getting extra practice for this and we played
for another opponent last week. We'll be fine even though
we're banged up. You know, he's supposed and of course
they have their quarterback matics. Manson back, who missed most
of November due to injury. He played well in the
conference champions game last Weekend's UNLB seventeen to thirty one
twitter to eighty ninety passing yards, three touchdowns, no I
and tease Washington. They ended the CEA No So Boys
the end of the season on a high note with
the blowout win over UNLB in the Mountain West title game.
Speaker 7: Washington not so much.
Speaker 6: They got slapped around by Org and they were in
that game against the Ducks, and in that game in
the fourth quarter and really couldn't do much on the
opposite side of the football down the stretch of that contest.
Ended up losing by a dozen, but competitive in defeat.
Lots of yammering the last twenty four hours forty eight
hours about Jed Fish with the Sharard Morse story in
Arbor All Sudden the Wolverines looking for head coach. Fish
was the wide receivers coach there and has connections to
Michigan's of his name has been bandied about. I don't
know how serious that is. I don't think that Fish
himself is too worried about it. And haven't gotten that that.
Speaker 7: Haven't gotten that.
Speaker 6: Assessment that all of a sudden fishes, So I'm distracted
by this.
Speaker 7: I haven't gotten that sense at all.
Speaker 6: I do know that the mind Williams is a pretty
darn dynamic quarterback, and I mean Washington when they faced
an elite defense, you know, they couldn't move the ball
against Ohio State. They struggle against Wisconsin, they struggle against Michigan,
they struggle against Oregon. When they faced a good defense,
a really good defense, Williams of the offense, they struggled.
But when they didn't face an elite defense, this offense
marched the ball up and down the field.
Speaker 7: They ran the ball effectively.
Speaker 6: Williams was able to throw the ball effectively and then
get no shorts of playmakers on the Husky side. So
if a Boise team, it's a little banged up defensively
coming off and over their quarterback is back. If a
Washington team, who we trust offensively against all but elite defenses,
we have a serious history here that shows Washington to
move the football up and down the field against Bois.
Speaker 7: But it all together. I like the over in this ballgame.
I like the favorite favorite over.
Speaker 3: Nothing wrong with that.
Speaker 6: In early bowl games, over the total historically, even in
recent years, that's been a pretty good way to go.
Speaker 1: You use one of my favorite words, yammering. You're the
only other person besides me that I've ever heard use it,
and it's a fantastic word, and it should be a
part of everybody's vocabulary. Vocabulary. It's one of the great
unused words in the English language. My family's from Wisconsin.
They use it up there all the time, all the
time up in Wisconsin.
Speaker 6: Sure, yeah, I've been I lived in Michigan for a
decade before I moved out to Las Vegas.
Speaker 7: So it's that that Upper Miss West scenario where you're
a yamo. Yeah I got you.
Speaker 1: They always say inso at the end of sentences, Oh,
you're going to the restaurant, and sel like, why do
you add the inso at the end of it? It's
completely unnecessary, but they like yammering. All right, we move
on to the Bills and the Patriots. Huge game, But
I don't trust either one of these teams in the playoffs,
just for the record, but I think they got holes
all over the place. But this is gonna determine a lot.
I mean, you can make the case this is an
MVP race, you know, determining game here. It's basically a
pick on Buffalo's minus one over under forty nine and
a half.
Speaker 7: Weather.
Speaker 1: It looks like it's just gonna be winter. It doesn't
look like it's gonna be too crazy. So what do
we do with this game?
Speaker 6: Yeah, Bill Barnwell coming out yesterday and making me a
case for of course, Bill Barnwell from ESPN dot com
make me a case for Drake may as the NFL
MVP this season.
Speaker 7: I think that's a little bit rich in my blood.
Speaker 6: That being said, the Patriots, even if the Bills win
this game, they're still facing an off hild battle to
get the AFC East. New England's got the tie breakers
in their favorite New England's got the far superior record
of Bills win here can makes it a race still,
but I don't know that it makes a difference. The
Patriots very much in the driver's seat to win this division,
and a lot of that has to be is because
of the fact that the Patriots were able to go
into Buffalo and win straight up twenty three to twenty
in the first meeting between these two teams this season.
Looking at the othologic extreme right now, basically a pick
them game, I'm saying Buffalo minus one in a lot
of spots, minus one and a half and a couple
we have seen a little bit of sharp money for
the Bills. Total forty nine slash forty nine and a half.
So it's divisional revenge for Buffalo. Certainly from a strength
of schedule standpoint, there's no comparison between these two teams
New England. Yes, they are eleven and two right now.
They're eleven and two in large part, and I know
they have a win against Tampa and they have a
win against Buffalo. But in a large part the Patriots
have had the success they've had this season because of
the schedule. They faced one bottom ten team after the name.
Now teams can only face who's in front of them.
And it's important to note just because you haven't faced
a litany of quality foes, it doesn't mean you're a
bad team. It doesn't mean you're an underrated team or
an overrated team. All it means is you've taken care
of business against the teams you were supposed to take
care of business. And I see people often overreact to
the fact, Oh, they haven't played anyone. Doesn't mean they're
not good, just mean they haven't played anyone. So that's
the case for Buffalo. But by far, out of thirty
two NFL teams, the Patriots strength to schedule the weakest,
and it's not close. Turners matter obviously, Buffalo at three
in the first meeting. They're only five teams with more
giveaways this year than the Buffalo Bills. I expect them
to be better down the stretch. I don't think that's
in their mo You know, the Bills are not a
massive turn of a team. They've had their fair share
this season. They've had too many this season. They've talked
about it a fair bit. They had a bunch in
the first meeting. But you're trying to handicap moving forward.
It's a Bills team that devoided turnovers like the plague
last year. I think they're capable of playing turnover free
or near turnover pre football in New England. Especially with
the issues on the Patriots defensive front. We're all of
a sudden that front line on the defense, the front
four defensively has some injury concerns, and that's good news
for James Cooking Company and bad news for the Patriots run.
From a standpoint of what do these two think? I mean,
the Bills didn't fund last week right, clicking on all cylinders.
I like a team in that type of offensive rhythm.
The Patriots are off a ten game winning streak, a
Monday night football blowout, and a bye week that's not
your classic urgency out of the bye week scenario by
any stretch of the imagination. And a team again that's
been in last place, you're competing for last place in
the last couple of seasons to be at this level
of success in Mike Rabel's first year at the head coach,
I worry that.
Speaker 7: There might have been a little exhale at the break
for New England.
Speaker 6: That said, you read the quotes from from Drake May,
you know, and this is quote I thought it was.
I mentioned it in the opening line report on Monday,
and I'm gonna read it here too because I really
think it speaks to New England's mentality. You know, Drake
May just trying to be the face, trying to be
the conductor, trying to want the pressure. I want the
ball in my hands. That's a quote I want out
of my quarterback in a big game. I really do,
even my young QB. That being said, it's Bills are
passed for this better. When it comes to the rematch
between these two teams, I think Buffalo, given the maturity
of the Bills team, given their offensive acumen, I think
they are the better team, and Betty March is telling
us that as well.
Speaker 7: That's why they're favored in Foxborough. I think they get
the job done.
Speaker 1: Bills are passed, all right, bills are passed for Teddy.
We're gonna do sell me here and just a bit
of telephone. What do you have up at wager talk
for the weekend right now?
Speaker 6: I have a single NBA best bet for tonight. When
you get off the show, we will put NFL as well.
NFL great weekend last weekend four to zero for the clients,
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Speaker 1: All right, it's time to place sell me, which also
means it's time to give away a three day pass.
But first, okay, I said, I we said up in Wisconsin,
they end their sentences with in se okay. In the chat,
says it's like how they say down there in the South,
and Dan, what do they say in Pennsylvania.
Speaker 4: Yeah, so at least at least my side of Pennsylvania.
Speaker 8: We'll have to see if Marco can confirm this up
with the coal crackers near near Pittsburgh.
Speaker 4: But it's it's a while. They end their sentences with
a while.
Speaker 8: So like even you get a waitress come up to
your table and she's like, oh, you want me to
get your drinks a while?
Speaker 4: You want like like a while? What you know what
I mean? Oh, I'm gonna I'm gonna head down the
shore a while. A while?
Speaker 8: What? So, Yeah, it's it's it's a a colloquialism that
everybody ends their sentences in ways that make no sense.
That's what they do near Philadelphia's and everything with a while.
So you guys want to play sell me a while?
What do you What do you think?
Speaker 7: What do you think?
Speaker 8: I got a good one for you here, gentlemen. I
was looking, you know, some decent matchups. This is one
game that I'm kind of scratching my head because the
line just feels like a great way to entice some
action on both sides. We're taking a look at the
Green Bay Packers taking on the Denver Broncos, and you're
seeing Broncos as two and a half point home dogs here. Uh, Andy,
I want you to let me know about why this
dog might just be barking here. The only way that
I bet this this game already, by the way, guys,
I took I took Denver up. I took him to
eight and a half and a teaser leg. I can't
figure out what to do with this game. So that's
why I'm gonna force you guys to let me know. Andy,
let me know why the dog is barking here at home,
and then Teddy, you can shut him down and sell
me on the side of the road.
Speaker 4: Shock.
Speaker 8: But Andy, Denver Broncos plus two and a half, sell
me on that NFL side.
Speaker 1: Because the Packers are completely not trustworthy. But they lost
ten to seven to your Tango and Cash's Dan. This
is a team that lost to Carolina sixteen to thirteen.
This is a team that has a tie. How can
you trust a team that has a tie? Their last
four win Chicago by one score, Detroit by one score.
They beat the corpse of the Minnesota Vikings and then
they barely beat the Giants by one score. Meanwhile, this
is a Broncos team that is rolling. They come out
of the bye week, they get confident wins in overtime
against Washington, absolutely dominate a lost bit Vegas. That that
BS cover was was completely nonsensical. And why was it nonsensical?
Because they were gearing up for this game. They have
lost two games this season only in Weeks two in
Weeks three. Other than that, they've been they've been really good.
They're healthy, and this is a Packers team that I
just don't really trust on the road here. They had
the tie in Dallas, they lost on the road at Cleveland,
so when they have some blemishes, it tends to be
on the road. The line again, truly does make no sense.
That's why it scares me. But it's it's the home
team or nothing.
Speaker 8: All right, Yeah, the chat is checking in on my wellness.
They said, this is actually a quality game, Dan, Are
you okay? Because usually I'm making these guys bet two
sides that nobody wants. These are two sides that you know,
how they're playing recently, everybody would.
Speaker 4: Want the run that Denver is on. Impressive stuff.
Speaker 8: Here, Teddy, but you have to tell me why that
run comes to an end here and you should be
laying two and a half green Bay Packers, and he
sell me on that side.
Speaker 6: I will, but first I have to make the case
that I have to bring up the point that Andy
miss because there's a really easy case for to bet
against green Bay this week, and they're coming off three
consecutive division games, and the quotes coming out of the
Packers locker they're four and zero.
Speaker 7: Against NFC North this year.
Speaker 6: There were one to five against NFC North last year,
and Josh Jacobs the biggest thing we wanted to harp
on all offseason with divisional games, we know how important
they are.
Speaker 7: So there's your case for Denver.
Speaker 6: That being said, the Broncos are ten and ozh straight
up their last ten.
Speaker 7: They have the tiebreaker one with the other.
Speaker 6: Eleven to two team New England. All right, this is
not a team that's playing with urgency right now. And
why are they ten and oh straight up in their
last ten ball games. Let's just say the level of
competition hasn't been quite as elite as one might have thought.
Speaker 7: And you read the quotes, you know ten in rows
a long streak. You want to be appreciative of this
opportunity and an appreciative of the wins. You know, I
definitely worry about an exhale here for a Broncos team.
And let's be real, all right.
Speaker 6: Yeah, you talked about some of the bad losses that
Green Bay has had, and they have. They tend to
play up or down to their level of competition. But
Denver has had more claw back from an obvious loss
victories this season than most teams. And green Bay is
not easy team to do that against. You know, one
bad half for the Broncos, and I think it'll be
difficult for them. And that's been a team of struggle
to string two good halves in a row together. Last
but not least, watch Jordan Love last couple of weeks.
Jordan Love's playing at an MVP level right now, bow
Knicks not so much.
Speaker 4: Who were you sold by?
Speaker 8: If you're a wager talk you have an account comment
below here and let us know Andy or Teddy.
Speaker 4: Who do you think is covering.
Speaker 8: Andy's side of the Denver Broncos plus two and a
half or Teddy's side of the green Bay Packers minus
the two and a half.
Speaker 4: Comment below with their name.
Speaker 8: You're wady to talk to username and boom, you're entered
in for a three day flex pass four free on
the house, Teddy.
Speaker 4: Before we turn you loose.
Speaker 8: I do just want to get your thoughts because this
line itself was interesting me in why I wanted to
talk about this game because some folks they like to
pre bet the Super Bowl. You can bet NFC versus AFC,
and I think that this line's a little bit interesting
because you're seeing the Packers as a road favorite, a
top NFC team facing off against the top AFC team,
and they're a road two and a half point favorite. Now,
what I'm kind of seeing is NFC is minus two
to two and a half. So if this line is
telling you should probably be betting NFC minus two and
a half to win the Super Bowl now, right?
Speaker 4: Or is that just you know, an interesting talking point?
Speaker 6: So what the what do the look at super Bowl
line is telling us is how when you when you
average out the group of teams that have potential to
make it into the Super Bowl, which teams have more
which conference has more teams?
Speaker 7: Power rated higher?
Speaker 6: And we're looking at the AFC with a very wide
open race. This year the NFC, it feels like there's
more quality competition at the top, hence the NFC favored
over the AFC and the Super Bowl. But am I
making that bet right now? I'm running in the window. No,
you may well get that same bet on Super Bowl Sunday.
Speaker 4: Boom, say Andy.
Speaker 8: You get game breakdowns, you get thoughts, and you also
get Super Bowl look aheads and what these markets mean
pretty good. That's why I love having these guys on. Dude,
I get to I get to get all this info
for free. And so do you just by subscribing?
Speaker 4: Come on people, before.
Speaker 1: Teddy goes, can I can I just say something here?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 1: Okay, so you you post out on the comment section
whether you liked your Teddy and then you're a way
you're talking name you win a free day flex pass.
Speaker 4: Okay.
Speaker 1: This started as you get a three day pass to
the handicapper that got you the win. Okay, the higher
ups were like, no, let's make it a flex pass.
Speaker 4: Let me.
Speaker 1: I'm I'm not kidding. If Teddy wins you a three
day pass and you don't use it on Teddy, the
gambling gods are coming for you. That is so freaking
weak that if wine three day flex Pass and you
use it on other people weak sauce, absolutely smothered in
weak sauce. That is disgusting, and karma will come to
get you. So if Teddy Wiz.
Speaker 8: Has been this is like brewing under the surface for
a while, Teddy, as you can as it's ridiculous.
Speaker 7: I couldn't disagree more. You know, it doesn't matter on
whoever you want. You know, it's five.
Speaker 4: True politician, Teddy true truth.
Speaker 6: It's just you know, look, just because I was right
about this game doesn't mean I'm gonna be right about
every game. And well, that's any of the flex paths is.
Speaker 7: You can use me. You can use me for one day,
you can use Lang for the next day, you can
use Dan for the third day. You can use whoever
you want, whatever day you want.
Speaker 6: So that's why it's been such a popular product, and
why I won't be insulted in the slightest if I
win you money.
Speaker 7: If I win your flex pass and you use Lang
all three days, I don't here.
Speaker 8: Although yeah, Teddy might win you this one and might
not win you the next one. He is on an
eight and one run though. That's all I'll say about
that one. Teddy, always a pleasure, brother, Thank you so
much and best luck this we can keep that run
going man.
Speaker 6: Cheers And of course I'll be on all day Sunday
with the End Zone Live, so we're hosting this week.
Speaker 7: Will be there three and a half hours plus. Come
hang out with us. It's really a lot of fun
on Sundays.
Speaker 4: Teddy's stepping in for press. You gotta love it.
Speaker 8: He also we had I should have thrown this up
by yes, so we could add the handicap on press.
Although no, no, nobody wants not in.
Speaker 1: Nobody wants Oh all right, let's keep a show moving.
We got Marco coming up. Marco, I'm so glad that
somebody gets to break down the Colts and the Seahawks.
Of course, story of the week is Phil Rivers coming
to town. This is one of the most insane things
I've seen. You're not even going there with the spread.
You're going with a total here on the Colts and Seahawks.
Speaker 7: Are you? Yeah?
Speaker 4: Well, first of all, I want to know who I
pissed off?
Speaker 5: Okay, how did I d the shortest straw of the week?
Speaker 4: What with this one.
Speaker 1: Great game to break down? How can you do you
know what, you know, what skill it takes to break
down a game where Philip Rivers in twenty twenty five
was a quarterback. What stats do you can you possibly
look at to back up anything with the spread on
this game?
Speaker 4: I'll tell you I do have a stat for you.
Speaker 9: Okay, No, Marcus went down with Philip Rivers and the
Indianapolis Colts. We remember the Indianapolis Colts number one draft
pick just a few years ago, Anthony Richardson, he's not around.
Do you realize that Philip Rivers has one less kid
than Anthony Richardson past career touchdown passes?
Speaker 4: Oh my god, think about that.
Speaker 1: He's not a Marco, He's not a family man. He's
a family lab. They're just like creating an entire army
of Phil Rivers.
Speaker 6: It's he's one shy of his own football.
Speaker 9: You know, at least one side of the offense. This
is a great story. And you know, full disclosure, you guys.
You know set the games in the schedules of who
people are doing on Sunday. So that was obviously before
Daniel Jones got hurt, So full disclosure there. But I'm
looking at this game and we'll stay with full disclosure,
because I've been coming on the show telling how good
we've been and with our five percent and the incredible
run we had. Well, we finally lost one last week
and it was on the Indianapolis Colts. I loved the
spot for the Colts. Did I think Daniel Jones was
gonna get hurt in that game? Obviously not. Would it
have made a difference. They probably still would have lost
the game. Give Jacksonville credit. They played well. But now
we got to look at what we have here. And
we always talk about and it's the Westgate here in
Las Vegas that brings out. I refer to them as
the look aheadlines. They like to call them the twelve
day lines, but they bring them out on Tuesday, the
week before the games are next week's games. And the
line on this game, you know, it was three and
a half. Now you're gonna tell me that Daniel Jones.
I don't care whose quarterback, And even if it's somebody
off the couch, we're talking about Dan Jones worth ten points.
That's a lot here to deal with if you're looking
for value. But when I'm looking at the defense that
they're facing in Seattle, it's one of the best in
the league, and that's the big concern.
Speaker 7: We know what.
Speaker 9: They're gonna try to do with Rivers. Okay, he's not
gonna win them the game. He's there to try just
not to lose the game. We're gonna see a heavy
dose of Jonathan Taylor, there's no question about that. They're
gonna have to try to run the football. But again,
you're going against one of the best defenses in the league.
And that's when you're looking at a team that's got,
you know, both a running game in a passing game.
Speaker 4: If the Colts have to become one.
Speaker 9: Dimensional, it's gonna make it even easier for this Seattle
defense to smother them. So before I tell you to
run out and bet Seattle, there's a big red flag.
Why I can't do that. I already said the line
is very inflated because the public is gonna bet one
side in this game and the books know that. But
look at who Seattle plays next week, guys, they play
the La Rams, and that is for the division. Both
teams are deadlocked at ten and three. Not only is
it for the winner of that's gonna have the hammer
lock on the division, especially if it's the Rams. Because
the Rams won the first game, which in essence would
turn a one game lead into two because of the tiebreaker.
It's gonna give them a stranglehold on the number one
seed in the NFC and have home field throughout. And
that's gonna be huge come playoff time because we've seen
nobody really separate themselves in the NFC. You know, we
saw Philly fall, you know off, we've seen the teams
in the North, Green Bay and Chicago. They're beating each
other up. There's no clear cut favorite. Having home field
is gonna be huge, I think to getting to the
super Bowl this hyar. So with that said and how
big that game is, you know that they're going to
have one eye down the road. What makes it even
worse is that game's on Thursday night, guys. So for Seattle,
if you want to come, you're looking to that game,
your game plan's got to be I want to get
in and I want to get out, and I want
to try to do it and make sure I have
all hands on deck next week, which means I think
Seattle is going to be just fine with running the
football themselves. Why you know risk, you know, injury, get
Darnold hurt and so forth. Get in, get out short
in the game. That's why I am going under. It's
the only way I can go. I really think that
the Colts are going to struggle to score, and there's
just no reason for Seattle to run this one up.
They want to get in and get out. That's the
only way I can play this game. Guys, take under
the forty three.
Speaker 1: Mike my culture truly insane, Marco. They've officially lost their
their heads. This is just this is this is the
most insane story. He's like like eight years older than Flacco.
All right, all right, let's move.
Speaker 4: To But you're gonna watch.
Speaker 9: It's gonna be like, you know, you don't want to
look when you're driving past a car accident. You're gonna
turn your head. You're gonna rub her neck and turn
your head. You're gonna want to see what's gonna happen.
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers is gonna turn my head and pull a
muscle in my back and be out. All right, Let's
talk about some guys that are young and athletic. Let's
go to college football and talk about Army and Navy.
How do we break down this game?
Speaker 4: All right?
Speaker 9: I went in depth on a game that really didn't
deserve that many words. So I'm gonna keep this one short, guys,
And really it's simple. These two teams are basically mirror
images of each other. They both run the football fifty
plus times a game, and because they both run the option,
they are both better prepared to stop the opponent. Why,
because they see it in practice every single day, they're
prepared to do it. That's why over the years, even
though these teams have come in different years, you know
where they're scoring a bunch of points, it's because they're
facing teams that don't know how to stop them, and
they score a lot of points. And generally their defenses
can't handle regular offenses and they give up a.
Speaker 4: Lot of points.
Speaker 9: But when they meet you see low scoring games because
they're going to run the football, but they know how
to stop running the football. With that said, I'm not
going to go to the total because we've seen the
total over the years keep getting lower and lower, and
you know, you don't see totals in college football in
the thirties anymore. So there's really not a lot of
value there. But where there is value, in my opinion,
is the dog for the last five meetings. The dog
has gotten the money, and we've got a couple of
things to look at that confirms what I'm saying about
these two teams knowing how to defend one another. Well,
there's a third team in this that is part of
the Commanders and Chief Trophy of the three way games
here with these teams, and that's air Force. Well, Navy
played air Force earlier. They were a thirteen and a
half point favor was Navy? What was the final score? Yeah,
Navy won by three points. Army played air Force earlier
this year. Army was a one point favorite. What was
the final Yeah, Army one by three. Get the pitcher.
We're taking the dog. Don't overthink it. Let's grab Army
and the points and look for another classic Army Navy game.
Speaker 1: All right, Marco, we're gonna get your wing Sauce of
the week before we do that. What do you have
up for clients this week?
Speaker 4: All right?
Speaker 9: Well, you heard VR talk about it earlier. He's got
a special deal that we're running. We kind of did
it for both of us from bed on It.
Speaker 4: It's a secret link.
Speaker 9: It's only to people that watch this show and watch
bet on It that you're gonna know about it, because
if you go to the site, you're not gonna find
it on my homepage. You've got to actually punch the
link in, which is WT Dot Buzz Backslash Marco three
sixty five. If you do that, you can pick up
a three hundred and sixty five day subscription comes out
to about three dollars a day for just eleven eighty eight.
The regular price is nineteen ninety nine. So take advantage
of this. If you want to lock me in for
a full year, you're gonna get every play I release.
That's every sport, that's when I do all of the
horse racing specials that I do, Triple Crown and such
where we give out stuff. Anything I give my clients
you get with this package. And guys, we have been
on a roll here this year, especially the last you know,
seven weeks. We've been rolling. We've sixty eight and forty
two on the current run. That's all sports, all plays,
net profit of over sixty five dollars, or if you
like to look at it from the unit standpoint, that's
sixty five units of profit in about seven weeks of play.
Speaker 4: So check that out.
Speaker 9: We've got a big weekend coming this week, we'll have
some plays obviously Saturday with a big card with not
much football this Saturday, but a ton of college basketball, hockey, NBA.
Speaker 4: You've got it all.
Speaker 9: And then we've got a big card coming on Sunday
as well, so check that out.
Speaker 1: All right. I actually had wings last night, believe or not, delicious,
delicious flavor with flavor. So we just did dry rub seasoning,
just salt, pepper, garlic, powder, paprika, and then I got
this barbecue sauce made with dark Porter beer at the store,
which was which was delicious.
Speaker 4: But paprika is the.
Speaker 9: Key ingredient that too many people do not use in
their dry rugs. I gotta tell you, hats.
Speaker 4: Off to you. We get thumbs up from me.
Speaker 1: I love I love paprika. I have a friend who
in college came home and his roommate had painted their
entire room paprika. The paint was called paprika is this bright?
His entire dorm room was this bright orange. He had
to live in this bright orange do for the rest.
It was so wild, all right wing sauce, Uh, what's
the wing sauce? And who are we comparing it to?
Speaker 9: Well, we're gonna Usually I say the player first and
then I give you the wing sauce to match him.
Speaker 4: We're gonna do it in reverse.
Speaker 9: This week, we're going with I're gonna tell you the
wing sauce right out of the gate.
Speaker 4: It's buffalo. And yeah, that's why are we going buffalo?
Speaker 9: Well, any good wing place that has a buffalo sauce
is generally gonna have it in three varieties. You're gonna
have mild, medium, and hot. Where am I going with this?
Why are we talking about one sauce and three different
versions of.
Speaker 5: That's because we've got an NFL player that is mild, medium,
and hot all in one, and that player would be
the hot version. George Pickens three games ago, nine targets,
nine catches.
Speaker 9: One hundred and forty six yards and a TD that
was smoking hot wing sauce. Then two weeks ago we
got the medium version. We got George Pickens thirteen targets,
six catches, eighty eight yards.
Speaker 4: No touchdowns.
Speaker 9: But then last week on Thursday Night Football against the
Detroit Lions, we got the mild George Pickens nine targets,
only four catches, only thirty seven yards and zero tds.
And on five of those plays that he didn't catch
the ball. Two of them he flat out quit on
the route that would have been big plays because he
was open. Well, hey, George Pickens, just a little bit
of a tip. You know, I've never played professional sports myself,
but I do know that if you're in a contract year,
you should try on every freaking down if you want
to get paid. Not the smartest move by him, and
is the great late Dennis Green once said, they are
who we thought they were. And if you laughed at
the Pittsburgh Steelers, why they gave up George Pickens for
next to nothing? We knew what he is and Dallas
got a dose of them last week.
Speaker 4: So there you go.
Speaker 9: George Pickens Buffalo, mild, medium and hot all in one.
Speaker 1: That's a good one. It was curious, why why your
team just gave up on Pickens like that? Should have
that that should have been just like, wait a minute,
why are they giving up on Pickens so early? Interesting?
All right, Marco Angel, you can catch him on bet
on It and the Deli? What's the what do we
got on tap of the deli this week?
Speaker 7: Yeah?
Speaker 9: Check out the deli. It's been great all a year. Guys,
we have the version on bet on It. If you
like that, where I give you a sandwich game or
a trap game. You get one each week, the ones
that missed the big show, and they have been doing well.
If you like situational stuff, I point things out, you know,
like we broke down the you know, Seattle game that
basically was almost the version of a sandwich game as
far as Seattle goes, and what they were looking at
coming up. Those are the kind of things that I
break down in the DELI find those trap spots and
alert you of them. Because remember, guys, I can give
you a winner that's one unit, but if I give
you information that takes you off a loser, I actually
did you a better service because I saved you one
point one units.
Speaker 4: Perfect.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, it's better to lay off a loser a winner.
Thank you very much, Uch Marco, great stuff. As always
looking for that under on the Seahawks were taking the
Dog and Army and Navy. All right, let's bring in Dan.
We got to do our pick five h Dan. I
told you what our five percent NFL play is. It's
locked and loaded. It's one of my favorite bets of
the year. I don't understand the line, so we will
take advantage of that. You get all of our Sunday
plays in the NFL with that pack, and then we've
got the boxing and UFC combo pack that is up
and got a cricket three pack up.
Speaker 4: Me with a good time. Yeah, I'm going to bet
cricket responsibly this weekend.
Speaker 1: Andy, Yes, this is this is this is We're confident.
There's two four percent plays. But this is not what
it was like the last time. But we got a
tournament starting that we just absolutely love. So I came
up with this hot take last night that my colts, like,
you know how people, you know how the culture kind
of seem as a pretty stable organization and you know,
seem to be what it's the opposite. Deep down inside
we are absolute insane lunatics. The Indianapolis Colts is an
insane asylum. We have done the weirdest things. Andrew Luck
was Andrew Luck was on his way to be in
the Hall of Fame and he just quit in the
middle of the Hall of Fame. We drafted a guy
who didn't play very much in college and had accuracy problems.
You have to be crazy. We took a quarterback from
the Giants. The Giants had no use for him, and
then we made him play on a broken leg. And
now we bring in a grandpa. A grandpa our owner
popped more pills than a pharmacist. He goes away sadly,
rest in peace. And who takes over the daughter?
Speaker 3: Who where's a headset during the game?
Speaker 1: And where's these dresses that look like they got she
got him in a good will store. Colts are.
Speaker 4: Great in a movie coming up though we have lost it.
Speaker 1: You are just now finally seeing how truly insane the
Indianapolis Colts are. That was my hot take. All right,
let's do the pick five here. I'm digging when everybody's
zagging here on this Bengals team. That Joe Burrow interview
was terrifying, where he was like, if I continue to play,
I want it to be fun. Yeah, playing for Cincinnati
is not a lot of fun. You know who else
isn't having a lot of fun these days? The Ravens.
I don't know what the deal is with Luar Jackson
and Harbaugh, but I just know the Ravens should not
be favored against a Bengals team. Who listen, bro didn't
sound too motivated to play. But man, when he gets
out on the field, he performed. So I'll take them.
I love the Browns getting this the hook here against
the Bears. This is just gonna be a rock fight.
Both teams are gonna run the ball a lot, and
over seven is just too many points. And listen, Shadoor
not bad, I mean, like not bad competent. That's kind
of what you need.
Speaker 4: Underyards passing last week.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, yeah, so that's all I need to cover big spread.
I'm so out on this Raiders team. I'm so out
on this Raiders team. Dan Betting, Yes, yes, the miracle
cover last night they should have gotten. It should have
been an easy cover here. I know you, I know
you're down on your team, but I mean you want
to talk about being too old, Phil Rivers, Pete Carroll.
No way. The Panthers, I get them at minus to half.
The Saints, the first place Panthers, like, I mean, they're
gonna go into New Orleans with so much confidence and
so much energy. I love them. And then this terrible TJ.
Watt situation for the Steelers, like crazy, it's got a
probam yeah, crazy. And the Dolphins they were a power
run team and we're talking about the cold and Tua
in the cold. I think I think it actually helps
them because they know they can't let Tua throw the ball,
and he hardly throws the ball anymore. If a Chane plays,
They've got right who went for one hundred yards. I
think they run, run, run, And I think this three
and a half is too much.
Speaker 7: Signore.
Speaker 1: So I got Bengals, Browns, your Eagles, Panthers, and Dolphins.
Those are my picks.
Speaker 8: Yeah, the Dolphins were also one that that we're going
to make our card. And then I started diving into
those Tua numbers and just got a little scared off.
Thirty six degrees or less, so freezing or around freezing.
Oh and five straight up for two, one and four
against the spread, oh and twenty straight up and against
the spread in his last three starts, sixty five quarterback rating,
six hundred and eighty six yards, two touchdowns, four interceptions.
But I like your point, maybe that this they know
this at this point, but you know, h and being
banged up a little bit. That kind of gave me pause.
But I already bet Dolphins plus three and a half.
They just didn't make our pick. The five picks for us.
We are with you there on Cleveland. I just want
to keep faiting this Bears team. Honestly, it wouldn't shock
me if this Bears team ended up losing outright in
this game and losing out in this season. It's a
really tough sandwich spot too that Teddy kind of alluded to.
They just played Packers, they play Packers again next week.
Cleveland defense pretty solid. Miles Garrett sacks, he only needs
three to set the record. Could be a long day
for Caleb Williams, same kind of ilk.
Speaker 4: This New England team.
Speaker 8: I think Teddy kind of nailed it that there's maybe
a bit of a letup for this team. You got
Buffalo with revenge. Give me Buffalo biging down New England
and we're doing it. Man. If you want to know
my thoughts on why we have Indianapolis plus thirteen and
a half on the card, just rewind and listen to
what Marco said. Daniel Jones with a broken leg is
not a ten point downgrade to Riley Leonard or Grandpa
Philip Rivers. No quarterback is worth ten points. Look ahead
in this Andy was three and a half. This line
should be probably more like six and a half, and
we have thirteen and a half against a team in
Seattle who doesn't cover games at home with regularity under
Mike McDonald. Let me be square. Let me take the
six with Detroit against the Rams. Rams are also afforded.
I guess a little bit of a let up spot here,
and Detroit needs this game like blood. Detroit currently out
of the playoffs if they ended today, and then let
me be square again. Congratulations Minnesota, you looked awesome last week.
Speaker 4: Dallas.
Speaker 8: They have a little bit extra motivation after they saw
the Eagles lose that game outright on the road against
the Chargers, Dallas laying the spot on Sunday night.
Speaker 1: I'm so proud of you for that. Colts pick, I
almost threw him in.
Speaker 4: I love it.
Speaker 1: They're gonna get in Seattle's head, that's all the sighting is.
They're insane. They're gonna get in their head. Like what
if we rush Jonathan Taylor forty eight times? What if
we really confuse them. We're playing a quarterback who has
literally seen ghosts. What if they just go full Vecna
and just like touchdown touch and what what if they
hand the Seahawks an l Because stranger things have happened
Mike Drop on a Friday, like, go, let's go. I'm
so proud of you for that pick so.
Speaker 4: Bad that one was a no brainer for me.
Speaker 8: Man, There's there's no quarterback in the world that's worth
ten and a half.
Speaker 4: Points to a line. I mean, I mean that's that.
Speaker 8: These people asking what do I think about the Kenny
Pickett Revenge game as Kenny pickettstah, I do have an
LFG or or WTF for you Andy?
Speaker 4: That will end the show with game?
Speaker 8: But you, I mean, Andy's doing it, but ten and
a half points, you know I can't. It's funny when
I saw the line was twelve and a half. As
we were walking out, I said to my buddy Adam,
who I'd the show with, we're going to be recording
that show giving out those five picks here this afternoon.
I said to him, I go, that line's going to
be ten and a half. Within a couple hours it
was twelve and a half. There's just no way you
could be laying it with this Eagles team right now.
And it's very reminiscent an Eagles team who went on
a West Coast trip to play a Monday night football
game in twenty twenty three, they lose outright to Drew Locke.
They come home, they were ten and a half point
to eleven and a half point favorites to the Arizona Cardinals.
They lose that game outright. It's gonna be like ten
degrees at game time.
Speaker 1: Andy.
Speaker 8: It was twenty twenty, twenty seventeen or something last time
the Raiders came to town, and that was a game
that was nine degrees and there were I think twelve
points scored, so maybe fifty in the Eagles game.
Speaker 4: That's my thoughts on now one.
Speaker 1: All right, WTF or LFG we didn't even do around
the world. We could still pop off some free plays.
Speaker 4: I love it.
Speaker 1: Let's do all right, LFG or WTF what do you got?
Speaker 8: I'll be super quick on this one, Andy, since we
are going long here, but we appreciate you guys hanging
out over two thousand of you watching live. Definitely appreciate that.
If you're watching us on YouTube, make sure you hit
that like button and comment below if you agree or
disagree here it's WTF are you fading me?
Speaker 4: Or LFG? Are you riding with me?
Speaker 8: Last night we cashed a plus one fifty McMillan got
exactly two catches.
Speaker 4: We just needed the over one and a half.
Speaker 8: This one, Andy, we're one and two. Let's end the
week two and two. Saquon Barkley under eighty and a
half rush yards. It's our first under of the season.
This is a great number here. If you shop around
in the market, you're seeing as low as seventy five.
But this eighty and a half is readily available at
some regulated sports books here. But yay, Andy, Saquan had
one hundred and twenty two rush yards last week.
Speaker 4: Oh he's back right well.
Speaker 8: Fifty two of those yards came on that imaginary push
push play that was blocked perfectly. And we haven't seen
many plays block perfectly for Saquon. Barkley only gone over
this number three times this year. They're playing the Raiders.
The Raiders suck. It's gonna be cold right well. Since
Week eight, the Raiders actually have the second ranked rush.
Speaker 4: Defense in the league. They're a sneaky good against the run.
Speaker 8: Season long, They've only allowed a running back to reach
eighty yards or more three times, numbers inflated be cause
Saquan's back, baby, I'm not buying it.
Speaker 4: Under eighty and a half.
Speaker 8: And I know this one's an LFG for you because
this is something that you've been preaching since week two.
Speaker 1: Yes, it's it's absolutely an LFG. Shipley should get some
some work. This should be a pretty nice game to
not put a lot of wear and tear on Barkley
after the huge game. He also doesn't really go back
to back with good games.
Speaker 4: Yep.
Speaker 1: So so it's absolutely an LFG, easy LFG.
Speaker 8: I love it, Andy, Let's end it two and two,
and let's also get the folks some around the world
for you. I mean, all these free plays packed to
the back end of this, that's why we got you know,
twenty two you know two thousand people still watch it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, so let's do all around the world
to start in the NBA. I saw somebody brought up
Jalen Johnson earlier in the chat. I agree completely. Eighteen
and a half rebounds plus assists is absolutely insane. But
he's averaging eighteen point eight potential assists and twenty one
rebound chances. I'm not kidding. I've never seen numbers like that.
He's gone over this in eight out of the last
nine games. I'm in on Jalen Johnson Rams Lions David
Montgomery over nine and a half receiving He's gone over
and four straight and seven out of eight Rams. They
do give up receiving yards to running backs thirty four
per game. And then this comes off the wave Just
Talk Free picks page with Kevin Dolan. He likes Arsenal
minus one point seventy five. Arsenal has only allowed two
goals at home. Wolves have scored one away from home
this season. He thinks Arsenal shuts them out and wins big.
Those are your free plays, all right, guys, thank you
so much for joining us. Great week of shows, a
great football Friday. Any hot takes for the weekend, and
anything you're really gonna be concentrating.
Speaker 4: On excited to watch.
Speaker 8: I mean you and I are both on the Browns
against against the Bears. I mean, that's that's pretty hot
right there. I'm I'm betting on the Indianapolis Colts and
Grandpa Rivers.
Speaker 4: Whether it's or Rivers's, it doesn't really matter to me. Yeah,
come on, as we can get.
Speaker 1: Don't don't sign Philip Rivers and then not play them.
Speaker 4: Come on with him?
Speaker 1: Can't be can't be a smoke Scirl. I'm with him
all right, Browns and we got to watch shad Or
Sanders and Phil Rivers. Good god, what a weekend of sports.
All right, let's cast risk. It is a big is
a celebration. Yeah, it's a huge weekend of bets for us.
We have boxing, we have UFC, we have three cricket
plays that start on Sunday. We've got NBA Best Bet
that is up to night. We have our five percent
NFL Holy cow. We got a lot of units to
win this weekend. Thank you so much for joining us,
and don't forget to comment whether you agree with Teddy
or agree with Andy and the sell me segment, make
sure you put your wager talk user name. That way
we can pick a winner for a free three day past.
Thank you so much for joining us. Good luck on
your bets this weekend. We'll see ever run Monday. Take
care