Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to props and parlays were breaking down the
Eagles and the Chargers on Monday Night Football. Thank you
everyone for joining us, your host Andy Lang, being joined
as always by my fellow prop betting expert Andrew McGinnis.
We're gonna break down passing props, rushing props, receiving props.
We're gonna give you so many time touchdowns, which it
could be really difficult.
Speaker 2: In this game.
Speaker 1: Angel, I'm not sure how many touchdowns we're actually gonna see.
And then we're gonna try and hit a same game parlay.
Maybe this is the week, Andrew, Happy Monday.
Speaker 3: How are you having Monday? Andy, I'll tell you it's
either we go for a safe one and we try
and just you know, get on base, or we just
go for a huge home run today. With that, we'll
find out here shortly. You know, feel a little bit
frustrated today because yesterday went one and four with player
props and that's more than I have released on a
Sunday in a while. And obviously we believe in the transparency,
want to shut our records out. And you know, the
funny thing is I should be sort of happy because
at least the one that I won was the four percenter,
So like, that's like the bright side of things. But yeah,
frustrating day. Frustrating day. I sent my friends a text
yesterday saying, I hope Kirk Cousin gets a flat tire
on the way home because, uh, those pick those interceptions,
And he was like, Pat had a completion percentage of
like fifty percent all game. That made life a bit
difficult for me. But they got a few picks I
like today. Don't necessarily love this game for props, but
got a few few that I like. Here.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's interesting. I was the exact opposite. I lost
my big play and then one everything else, so uh,
it's it's kind of weird.
Speaker 3: I never know.
Speaker 2: I never know how to feel about that.
Speaker 1: You know, we always talking about hitting your big plays
are super important, but if you lose one, you come
back with a bunch of winners. That's always a it's
always a nice, nice feeling here. So well, let's get
into it here. Let's start with the well, actually i'
gonna start. There was a really funny headline Philadelphia, God
love Philadelphia. There was headlines like Eagles only missing two
players tonight, and it's like Yeah, it's Lane Johnson and
Jalen Carter, two pretty big plays, but only two gonna
be missing tonight. So make sure you realize that these
guys are not gonna play tonight, because that certainly has
an effect on how I'm looking at this game. I'm
coming to you first. Let's start with passing props. We
got Justin Herbert. I'm going into assumption that he's gonna play.
We're recording this early Monday morning, so I'm just assuming
that Herbert is gonna play. What do you do with
passing props in this one? Oh Andrew's given out all
the good stuff muted.
Speaker 3: If we have to scrap the whole video because Justin
Herbert is just not playing in the game, that'd be
a little bit tough to just have to record this
whole video and go back on it. We're pretty confident
he's gonna get out there, but I'm pretty confident he's
gonna play it pretty safe, and they're gonna play it
pretty safe with him overall. So no yards, no completions
for me. I'm going the under on thirty two and
a half passing attempts for Justin Herbert. Not to mention,
I am confident in this running game for the Chargers.
I think this is gonna be one of those games
where we do see a heavy run game against this
Eagles defense that as of late, has been given some
numbers against the run. As far as the passing touchdowns
are concerned, this one is a little bit juicy, but
you know what, I think it's still worth playing. I'm
gonna go with the under one and a half touchdowns
for Jalen Hurts. Look, you've talked a lot about Jalen
Hurts anytime touchdown score on this show. Andy, we can
talk about Sakwon Barkley, we talked about the running backs.
I just think looking at this Chargers defense, they have
not been given up that many passing touchdowns throughout the
season as a whole, but especially two passing touchdowns in
one game. So this is definitely worth a maybe a
smaller bet. Use the risk button when you're betting this one.
Not the best price, but maybe you can find me
using this one for same game parlay later. But I
do think the under one and a half passing touchdowns
is a good one there to.
Speaker 4: Use Andy's muted Christ Mighty Boys, this is a crazy
day here.
Speaker 2: Didn't even mutant. I didn't mute myself, all right, I'm
mute under.
Speaker 3: The mute list.
Speaker 2: Not even you guys.
Speaker 1: Listen, listen, Indiana's not one football team in the country.
Speaker 3: With what is going on with you?
Speaker 4: What is going on with me?
Speaker 2: You guys cannot mute your mics.
Speaker 3: What are you talking about?
Speaker 2: It's terrible.
Speaker 1: I'll take Herbert under his past completions, uh under in
five straight.
Speaker 2: I'm with you, Andrew.
Speaker 1: With Hampton being back, I think this is probably gonna
be a heavy run attack, and also the last three
games Eagles twenty sixth in past defense, but also fourth
worst and rush defense. The rushing defense has not been
there with Jalen Carter out, I think it's going to
be a heavy dose of Hampton and Kamani Videll.
Speaker 2: So I'll take Herbert under his completions.
Speaker 1: Also, Accuracy, could I know it's just not I know
it's his non throwing hand that is that he had
surgery own, but it just looks really uncomfortable. Wouldn't sprise
me if accuracy might have a little bit of problems
with that tonight? And I'll go back to Jalen Hurts
under half an interception he did throw in last week,
but that's only two this season. I'm a little worried
about it because the Chargers have been pretty good. They
have eleven interceptions this entire season, but Hurts normally does
not throw interceptions, so when he throws one, I like
to come back and play him not to throw one.
So Herbert under his completions, Hurts under interceptions. Let's move
to rushing props. Philly fourth worst, Chargers tenth best. So
we've got some rush defenses kind of going in opposite directions.
Speaker 2: What are you doing thrushing props?
Speaker 3: And yeah, I don't bet these a lot, but I
do think this could be a good opportunity for the
Amaron Hampton over on rushing plus receiving if you want
to get that extra kicker, just because of how weak
against running backs the Eagles team has been in the
receiving department. But I also do think it's going to
be a heavy run game as well. They have been
very poor against the run, especially of late, as I
mentioned earlier. So I'm seeing that at fifty or sixty
and a half, fifty nine and a half, you can
get a pretty good number as well. If we shop
around over on rushing plus receiving yards, and I'll tell
you what, looking at looking at Jalen Hurts on his
rushing attempts, I'm actually willing to go under on this
one here, and I'll tell you why. I think they're
actually gonna be able to pass the ball tonight against
this Chargers here. I feel they're gonna spread things out
a little bit. I think Saquon's gonna get a heavy workload.
You know, a lot of this does depend on the
tush push, and it does depend on how many ones
they have. But I'm seeing, what, what's the number seven
and a half? You can get eight and a half
at minus money. I always prefer the plus money, So
plus one oh five under seven and a half rushing
attempts for Jalen Hurts. Kind of a risky business play here,
but I'm just putting a lot of faith in Saquon
being used and just a kind of a heavier passing
game tonight for this Eagles team.
Speaker 1: I'm with you that I think both teams are going
to try to establish the run. I'm going to go
back to Kimani Vidal over thirty five and a half.
I know Hampton is back, but I just don't think
they're going to just say see a Vidal, you're You're gone.
He's been explosive, He's has a really good place. He's
kind of alternated big games and not big games. But
he did have one hundred and twenty six rushing last week,
and he's a pretty explosive back. He's going to come
in and spell Hampton, and I think they trust him.
Speaker 2: The carball and the staff really trust him. So I
think this.
Speaker 1: Number is a really really big overreaction to Hampton being back.
I'm gonna go Saquon Barkley under seventy and a half rushing.
It just hasn't It just hasn't been there for him
this year. He's only gone over this total twice this season,
fifty six and twenty two the last two weeks. Chargers
thirteenth in rushing yards allowed, tenth best in the last
three games, so their rush defense is getting better. And
I just think his attempts and production are going to
be pretty limited tonight.
Speaker 2: We're gonna go.
Speaker 1: Over receiving yards anytime, touchdown and sane game parlays. Andrew,
tell everyone what you have up on this Monday over
a wager talk?
Speaker 3: Yeah, Andy, as I mentioned. Look, yesterday was one and
four with the player props, but we did hit the
big one on Patrick Mahomes rushing yards over. That was
a nice hit on so the Night Football four percent play.
So the long term record did take a hit, but
the good news is we improved the best bet record.
We are now on an eight and two run with
NFL best bet props. That's what I have going tonight.
Four percent best bet playerpropwager talk dot com and two
NHL plays one side and one total up at WTPUS
slash Am. Like I said, Andy, not too happy with
the results yesterday, but hopefully we can keep it going.
Hit the big one again tonight.
Speaker 1: I'm looking to extend this primetime run. We hit one
on Thursday that moves us to twenty four and twelve.
Did not have any plays in primetime games. But if
it ain't broke, don't fix it. So we're just gonna
keep hammering away on these primetime games.
Speaker 2: One best bet that is up tonight really really stood out.
Speaker 1: Love the spot, So we're looking to make this primetime
run twenty five and twelve again. I don't know why
primetime games have been so successful, but not going to
argue it. So twenty four and twelve on NFL prime
time games, looking to close out a nice week. Here
four props tonight, let's move to receiving.
Speaker 2: I'll get us started Andy.
Speaker 1: I'm going Dallas Goddard under three and a half receptions.
He really hasn't been that involved recently, two receptions in
each of the last three games, and we've got some
accuracy problems from Hurts when he's been targeting. Goddard has
eleven targets and only six catches in these games, so
the accuracy hasn't been there. In the Chargers, they give
up less than four catches per game to tight end.
So I'm looking at Goddard under his receptions total tonight,
I'll look at Ladd mccacky under four and a half receptions.
He's gone under in four straight, but he's layding right
on four and again. If I like Herbert under his
pass completions. There's so many weapons in this passing offense.
I think Lad mccacky could have one of these games
where it's like four for sixty eight.
Speaker 2: But he comes under on his total. And here's a
sneaky one.
Speaker 1: Trey Harris over one and a half receptions. He's sneakily
gone over in six out of the last seven games,
eighteen targets in those seven games, so he's kind of
one of those forgotten targets that ends up getting wide open.
So Trey Harris over one and a half receptions is
a nice little sprinkle.
Speaker 2: What do you like from receiving props?
Speaker 3: Yeah, for me, I'm I'm with you on that. On
the lad McConkey one, I'll go with the receiving guards.
I do think I understand that. You know, with the receptions,
you're just betting on the catches itself. You don't have
to worry about him catching one big long one. But
right now, you know, the targets are dropping down. They
are kind of getting lower and lower and lower. But
they have kind of been there a little bit. But
I'm starting to see a lot of the plays that
he's being targeted with are kind of more over the top,
more like mister reliable type of plays, not as much
the downfield. So current number I'm seeing right now, fifty
one and a half will go under on that one,
DeVonta Smith, I'm going to go over fifty eight and
a half receiving guards, look base and everything that I've found,
he does very well against the defense like the Chargers
have to offer. He's been really pep getting it up
with his targets. And I'll tell you this guy right now,
his yards after catch is extremely high over the past
few weeks. Like you can give this guy a ten
to fifteen yard pass and he can make something out
of it. That's really what you need with the number
like fifty six and a half. And I will say
when you look at a guy like Johan Dawson at
seven and a half, I feel like he could be
someone involved and you know what, all it takes is
one catch, and he's kind of my sleeper for tonight.
If I think Hurts is going to be throwing the
ball a little bit, I do think that he could
be someone that gets involved. And I just love players
like that with a number at seven and a half, Andy,
because I'm pretty much betting over a half a reception
if he gets two. We catch that ticket.
Speaker 1: I'm so jealous of you. I looked at that one
and then I didn't. I wean eat out and yes,
you're one hundred percent right. I love those props where
it's one catch. You know you can go one for nine,
complete non factor in the game, and yet somehow you
you're sitting there holding a winning ticket.
Speaker 2: So proud of you for that one. Andrew, that's a
that's a really good one.
Speaker 3: That was the Kyle Us check in the super Bowl.
Like everybody was on it, like one catch. It was
like the first play of the game or something like that,
and we all cash. Yeah.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, you know, as it dressing last super Bowl, I
only had like one or two bets and it was
like the most enjoyable super Bowl I've had. Like there's
no there was no stress. I wasn't like, I like
thoroughly enjoyed it. So I think that's gonna be my
hot take is good is gonna be done. Don't have
too many bets on the super Bowl. And I know
we work for a gaming company, but I'm telling you,
I just I thoroughly enjoyed watching the Super Bowl with
only a couple bets as opposed to you know, clearing
off a million bets.
Speaker 3: Betting websites definitely love the week off between the game,
Like you know that the people are just staring at
the screen like, oh yeah, that one looks pretty good.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 3: If the super Bowl was tomorrow. Are you making that
many bets or is it only because the game is
in two weeks that you're that you have that many
picks lined.
Speaker 1: Up right exactly, and there's so many of them that
you're like, oh, I'll talk myself into that one.
Speaker 2: I'll talk myself into that one. And you're like, oh
my god, I have thirty bets to track.
Speaker 3: All right, let's do this game.
Speaker 1: Second catch, third catch, fourth drive. All right, let's do
anytime touchdowns.
Speaker 2: This is difficult. This is these Eagles games have been
fairly low scoring all throughout.
Speaker 1: Quinton Johnston at plus one point eighty. He seems to
be reliable.
Speaker 2: Target inside the red zone for.
Speaker 1: Herbert, and I go back to Jalen Hurts even money
to get a rushing touchdown.
Speaker 2: He didn't have one last week.
Speaker 1: I know is over under for rushing touchdowns was twelve
and a half this year and he's only sitting on eight.
So I'm kind of looking at this number going it's
about time for him to rip off a few of them.
And as we know, they get in the three yard line,
two yard line, it's just toush push. So Quentin Johnson
at plus one eighty, Jalen hurts even money, But I
gotta tell you, I'm going to fight it really hard
to actually bet any of these with money because this
has low scoring game written all over it.
Speaker 2: What do you think about anytime touchdowns?
Speaker 3: And the thing is, with low scoring game written all
over it, it kind of means that, like, if there
is going to be a touchdown, it's going to be
like a nice throw was made, not like a goal
line touchdown, which kind of makes me worried. But I
do like that under one and a half passing touchdowns
it is heavily juiced, which indicates, you know, kind of
what I'm saying here is gonna be just rushing touchdowns.
And that's it. You're saying hurts, I'm saying, Barkley, Let's
hope they both can get it. There's definitely worlds we
live in where these guys multiple times we've seen them
both get a touchdown in the same game. I would
not be shocked. How about Hampton plus one seventy would
not find getting that one as well. I think whether
it could be receiving or rushing, he could get himself
a touchdown and then hey, if I'm gonna like Smith
to have a great game, through the air, I might
as well take a look at it. My number right
now is plus two forty. I just like that number. Again,
if we're expecting that a lot of you know, rushing
attempts and overall, I mean, I think that we're gonna
see both running backs have success at the goal line.
But you know, if he does catch a deep ball,
plus two forties not too bad. So you know, this
could be a kind of a funny night. Andy though,
if you like the under for those bets not to
get a touchdown or not to do something like these guys,
you know, I'm curious, like looking at some of the
odds here for some of these guys, like because some
books do offer it, like this guy to not get
a touchdown or this guy to not do something. This
could be a pretty good undernight if we're being honest.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree.
Speaker 1: I don't have him on my books, but boy, I
could surely be talked into putting a couple of these
guys to not score a touchdown together in some kind
of parlay.
Speaker 2: So let's try and do a same game parlay. Come on, Andrew,
we gotta get one.
Speaker 1: We keep swinging for the fences and then those don't
hit and we play it safe, and we missed by one.
So every week Andrew and I each picked two legs
put it together in a same game parlay. We haven't
hit one this year on Monday Night football, so let's
see if we can get it going. What is your
first leg for the same game parlay.
Speaker 3: I was really thinking myself. I'm like, how bold did
I want to go with this one? Here? All right, Andy,
I'm going to go just give me the under on
Justin Herbert passing yards whatever, like the minus one ten
number you're seeing on your book. I think we're going
to see a heavy run game from this Chargers team,
multiple backs involved tonight. We'll go under passing yards for
Justin Herbert.
Speaker 1: All right, I'm looking at Justin Herbert passing yards and
it's under two twelve and a half. So we're going
to twelve and a half under on Justin Herbert. I'm
going to take the over twenty a half on the
Chargers team total. It's a pretty good number here and
without Jalen Carter, I think this defense is a little
bit susceptible. Chargers at home, I think they can get
the three touchdowns, so I will take the Chargers twenty
and a half.
Speaker 2: I know, I know, I said low scoring, but the
fact is.
Speaker 1: The Eagles they can give up some points with with
Carter out of the lineup. So we have Justin Herbert
under to twelve and a half and then we have
the over on the Chargers twenty and a half team total.
Speaker 2: What's your second leg?
Speaker 3: Jalen Hurts under one and a half passing touchdowns. Look,
it's juicy. Need we need to win pretty bad here,
and I think if you if you like Hurts to
get a touchdown, I like Barkley to get a touchdown.
That takes away from some passing weapons. So we'll go
under one and a half passing touchdowns.
Speaker 2: All right?
Speaker 1: Going under on that one, all right, I'm gonna take
a little bit of a juicy one, but I love
this one.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Jalen Hurts to have more.
Speaker 1: Rushing yards than Justin Herbert. I think there's no way
Justin Herbert runs unless unless it's wide, wide open. Then
you want to talk about sliding really really quick. I
think this is throw the ball away or just try
to running get out of bounds. I don't see him
taking off and running. I mean his over under for
rushing was eighteen and a half. That's really really low
for him. And Hurts he's just he's really good. He
can take off. I know you like it under his
rush attempts, but this is a guy that when he
takes off, he can easily run for twenty So I'm
gonna take that. I'm gonna take the Jalen Hurts is
going to have more rushing yards than Justin Herbert. All right,
so we have under under two twelve Herbert passing yards,
under one and a half passing touchdowns, Jalen Hurts. We
have Jalen Hurts more rushing yards than Herbert and the
Chargers over twenty and a half. Wrap that up thirteen
to one plus thirteen hundred over on Draftking. So that's
gonna be our same game parlay. Just need to hit
this one. Just need to see when go in that
open the flood gates there.
Speaker 2: So there you go.
Speaker 1: There's the graphic for the same game parlay for tonight. Guys,
make sure you hit the like button algorithm.
Speaker 2: Boosse really helps it. Put something in the comments section.
Speaker 1: Put your favorite player prop tonight. Let us know what
you guys are betting on. Tonight, Andrew one more time,
you got a four percent best bet that goes off tonight.
Speaker 2: Correct.
Speaker 3: It is a four percent best bet eight and two
run with the best bets and the player prop markets.
As mentioned, yesterday wasn't my best day, but we let
it off or ended it off with a winner with
four percent on Patrick Mahomes rushing yards over and honestly
no better feeling the hitting a player prop on a
team which they lost, like they didn't look very good.
They were a lot not that great. And then it's like,
you know what, hey, Patrick Mahomes rushing yard. It's like,
if there's anything that's gonna go good for them tonight,
I like the rushing yard props. So that came through
and that's a four percent, So eight and two run
with the best bets with player props, and that's it
for me. Andy, I guess we can call that prime time.
But you sat out. You had a little load management
for primetime last night. You're getting ready for tonight? Call
you Luka dncic Lebron.
Speaker 1: James, Yes, I did. That's funny you say that I
did sit out, but I was watching the Lakers game.
I had a bet in that game.
Speaker 2: That hit, so no, I'm not gonna force it. And
primetime games have been like one.
Speaker 1: Of the bright spots of twenty twenty five in the
NFL season twenty four and twelve run we.
Speaker 2: Pick our spots.
Speaker 1: Monday night football has been fantastic, So we're gonna try
and hit this one tonight, just one bet, one that
really really jumped.
Speaker 2: Off the page for me.
Speaker 1: I've already locked this one in, so go grab that
over at wager Talk, WT dot buzz slash al. Thank
you so much for joining us, guys. Let's have a
big Monday. Let's close out Week fourteen in the NFL.
Hopefully we don't have any Raiders bad beats yesterday like
kicking a meetingless field goal to.
Speaker 3: Cover the spread.
Speaker 1: Shout out if you were involved in that game, and
hopefully hopefully you weren't holding your phone at the time.
Somebody reached out to me and was like, yeah, I
need a new phone and a TV after watching, after
watching at the end of that game, So let's have
some no sweat winners tonight here. Thank you so much
for watching us cast that same game. Parlay good look
on all your bets, and we'll see everyone next week.
On props and parlays, good luck, take care,