Speaker 1: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.
This is Wager Talk Today and it is Football Friday.
Loaded card with NFL, loaded card with college football. We're
talking the Super Contest, We're talking Survivor. Everything is going
to be covered today. Giohanny's going to join us with
the Steam Report, Teddy Covers is going to join us
to do Bears, Lions, Florida LSU, and we're gonna do
sell Me where we get assigned a game and a
couple of teams and we got to make the case
on the spot for who's gonna win. Marco is gonna
join us talk his Steelers versus the Seahawks, Southern Florida
and Miami, and he'll do the sauce of the week.
Kelly Vegas gonna join us to go over her winning
week last week in the contest and what her picks
are for this week. And then Dan and I we
both survived in Survivor. We're gonna give you our picks
for it this week. Let's get started. Let's bring in Jiohnny.
Hit the button. Hit that like button. You guys know
it helps the algorithm. Malcolm morning, Gianni, how are you It's.
Speaker 2: Never better coming off a nice sweet NFL Green Bay
and NC State. In college football, the football romp continues, baby,
So everything's good heading into this weekend.
Speaker 1: Well, let's talk. We got some college football games tonight,
and of course we've got NFL. What do you see
in action wise? Any lines moving?
Speaker 2: What are the and before I forget real quickly over
on wager Talk on the free picks page, there's two
premium picks that I released for Saturday.
Speaker 3: Both are off there.
Speaker 2: Both are soccer, ones in the Netherlands, ones in Spain
second Division. Both of those are up for free, both
three percent premium releases to my subscribers. So again, check
out the free page over at wager Talk. Here's what
we have going on tonight.
Speaker 3: We pull that up for you.
Speaker 2: In college football real fast. Houston's getting one sided money.
It's been all Houston. All recreational betters on Houston. They're
betting Houston straight. Their tea's in Houston, even using like
six and seven point teasers taking Houston down to like
plus one plus two. I'm seeing a lot of those
bets in there, just finding different ways to bet Houston.
Speaker 3: Money line parlays.
Speaker 2: Arizona and Kansas State here's when I got good information here.
Sharp money on Kansas State for the game, okay, but
also this morning Arizona first quarter. So they took Arizona
plus a half in the first quarter, laying up to
like minus one forty five fifty.
Speaker 3: I think that's way gone.
Speaker 2: I didn't even send that to my subscribers because that's
way gone now. I think you gotta lay like minus
one seventy to get that half.
Speaker 3: Point in the first quarter.
Speaker 2: But they do have Arizona in the first quarter, and
then Kansas State for the game. Kansas State open is
a one point dog that are now about a one
one and a half point favorite. Public money's opposite. They're
on Arizona for the game. So interesting information there. And
finally Ucla New Mexico. Not a lot of volume there,
difference of opinion between the sharp money and the public.
Speaker 3: Public's taking the points with the dog.
Speaker 2: Whise guys laid the fourteen and a half immediately on
the Ucla side, which put shit up.
Speaker 3: They about that fifteen and a half on sixteen earlier
in the week.
Speaker 2: But like I said, some money's come back on the
dog New Mexico since from the recreational better so that's
some of that primetime action for Friday.
Speaker 1: What's that parlay pay Arizona first quarter Kansas State money
line for the game? Weirder, that's one of the weirder
same game parlays. What did they know who's going to
win the coin toss or something?
Speaker 2: That's that's an obvious That's.
Speaker 4: A great point.
Speaker 2: You just brought up a lot of the first quarter
bets in the NFL with the group that I was
working with. That's exactly what they would narrow down those
in the NFL, especially those coaches that would defer, you
know what I mean that had that reputation of wanting
to play defense first, they found a slight advantage on
that team that gets the ball first, kind of like
even they would bet third quarter, take advantage of third
quarter knowing that team gets the well, you know, this
probability is they're going to receive the second half kickoff,
higher probability that they'll have the lead in the third quarter.
So it's just they find different ways to bet those.
It's awesome when you see that, you know.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, let's move to NFL here. I'm not seeing
too much line movement here on some of these games.
What action are we seeing so far?
Speaker 2: No, And it's because the betting public hasn't really gotten
involved yet. There's a lot between now and Sunday. And
again most aren't betting with credit shops. They're posting up,
so they're not going to tie up Sunday NFL money
when we still have Friday night primetime college football, Saturday
primetime college Football, No JUFC, Canelo Crawford. They're wait until
Sunday to bet the NFL.
Speaker 4: So I think you're going to.
Speaker 2: Start seeing a lot more line movements come Sunday because
again even the public doesn't get respect from the odds
makers and the book makers, but they definitely bet enough
to force line movements because they create a lot of
risk for the books because their money far outweighs Wiseky
money when it comes to the NFL. But some of
the NFL games, they got out ahead at New England
Patriots at plus two and a half, didn't even need
the three there, so they're like New England to win
the game. And under we talk out Dallas Cowboys getting
steamed up from three to minus four to minus five.
The Jets also down to that key number of plus
seven Indianapolis Colts plus two and a half plus two
Colts on the money line, so they really like the Colts,
and then also faded San Francisco, you know.
Speaker 3: With all their injuries.
Speaker 2: Kiddle on ir Party injured for another two weeks or so,
so they're fading San Francisco. But I think the public
is going to steal back San Francisco because they don't
seem to be worried about that. I'm seeing San Francisco
already in some parlays from yesterday's NFL game and college
football because it gives you an idea of what they're
going to do on Saturday and Sunday when they start
parlaying the same teams, and San Francisco is one of
those teams that are getting parlaid money line into already.
Speaker 1: What games are are interesting teaser wise from your perspective.
I know last week was a big one. A lot
of obvious obvious candidates last week, But this week a
little bit tougher for teaser wise because it just doesn't
feel like there's a lot of teasers that can cross
these key numbers.
Speaker 2: A couple teasers right now, and again I like to
wait until later for teasers because it sounds counterproductive because
our goal of sports betters is to beat the market,
to get out ahead of the betting line. But with
that said, to cash a teaser, you need the game
to land near the number, So I need an efficient
betting line that's going to come closer to close. That's
why I don't like betting them real early. But if
kickoff was going on twenty minutes from now, I would
be on the New England Patriots plus seven and a half.
Speaker 4: Because it's a low total.
Speaker 3: You want low total, you want steam on the under.
Speaker 2: Low points means each point's worth more, so the total
is more advantageous.
Speaker 3: You want load totals.
Speaker 2: You don't want to be teasing NFL games that are
in the fifties, mid fifties, more scoring, more variants, less chance,
you're probable your TEASER's going to cash.
Speaker 3: And then who else is offering the teaser?
Speaker 1: Arizona?
Speaker 2: Maybe get down, hey, Tampa Bay right now? That would
be my teaser, would be New England Tampa Bay. I
take New England up to seven and a half and
I would take Tampa Bay up to eight and a half.
And with Tampa Bay you have another low total, so
you have two totals forty three or lower, which is
exactly what you want with a teaser. And you got
two teams that you could go through three through six
and through seven. Dude, that's a plus CB teaser right there.
If you're laying less than one twenty five or better,
that's a winning bet, regardless of outcome you placed the
winning bet. It's like walking up to the roulette wheel
and there's thirty eight numbers and they're giving you thirty
nine to one or forty to one. Doesn't mean you're
going to hit the number, but you are getting the
best of it. And that's exactly what that teaser is
offering you. New England Patriots with Tampa Bay.
Speaker 3: I like it.
Speaker 5: I like it all right.
Speaker 1: I had to tell you. I had the weirdest text message.
Somebody from DraftKings text to me and was like, Hey, Andy,
I see you have been playing a lot of NFL.
Can can we get you to play some more NFL?
Speaker 4: I don't know what.
Speaker 1: I don't know what that says about me that they
sometimes trying to convince me to bet more.
Speaker 2: You're maybe you're helping them balance some of that risk,
especially on those props, but you're doing well, it workily.
Most people don't do well on props, so if you're
balanced risk, that's not always a bad thing for a book.
Speaker 1: I've never I've never had I've never had a sports
book reach out to me and say, can you please
bet more? It's like I came off of a winning week. Uh, well,
I guess, I guess. I guess the like like old
Lang is not going to do it two weeks in
a row. I don't know. Anyway, it was very, very strange.
Never had that happen before. Let's do Let's go to
baseball real quick. We do have a nice card in MLB. Actually,
actually we got a huge card. Ton of games here.
What are we seeing on that?
Speaker 3: We got some baseball action.
Speaker 2: I went deep today because we haven't really been covering baseball,
and I talked about how with all the attention on football,
all the attention on combat sports on Saturday, don't overlook
the baseball money. Don't care where it comes from as
long as it keeps coming. So pay attention to to baseball.
But it's late in the season, so remember, can't bet
those teams in must win situations. You can't bet those
first place teams. You're gonna have to bet some bad
teams that are undervalued. Right now, here's what we got
for baseball Friday Night. Nine point fifty one under eight Pittsburgh,
Washington nine fifty eight, San Francisco plus one forty nine
fifty nine under eight, Baltimore, Toronto nine sixty one under eight,
White Sox Cleveland nine sixty three, Yankees minus one fifteen
and under nine nine sixty seven under seven and a half,
Tampa Bay Cubs nine seventy two, Miami plus one eighty five,
nine seventy four Mets minus one oh five and under
seven and a half, and finally nine seventy eight Minnesota
minus one twenty five. I told you I had some
gold for you today. That's the baseball couple overnights, couple
early hits. But I think there's still some of those
numbers readily available for you to do some damage.
Speaker 1: Awesome, awesome stuff. Jihanny, What do you have up for
clients today on this Friday?
Speaker 5: All right?
Speaker 2: I have another prime time package for you Thursday. College
football already four percent in there. I have Saturday's college
football pass that's up already number one in college four fotball,
we hit another one yesterday a four percent on NC State,
and I have a five percent up for Saturday's Action
Net cards in there already, and of course Combat Sports
for Saturday. You have seen note Jay and the Canelo
Crawford combo package is there. And NFL for Sunday. If
you're a Monther or greater subscriber, we have the steam
Room leading into NFL kickoffs on Sunday as well. Jump
on board. Number one college football in NFL combined in
twenty twenty five. That's not going to change. Told you
coming in, I highly expect this to be one of
the most profitable seasons. So far, so good, So appreciate
all the people that jumped on board to start the season.
Stay the course, manage your risk correctly. We'll make some
money between now and Super Bowl.
Speaker 1: All right, thank you so much, Johnny, appreciate it. Good luck,
have a great weekend, Johnny. The Greek Everyone Football Special
starts today forty nine dollars. It gets you all football
plays starting today and Saturday and Sunday and Monday, calling
it the Weekend Warrior. This is discounted down to forty
nine dollars. Any plays included all percentages, So got a
five percent play that's gonna be included. It includes props,
It includes parlays, it includes teasers, it includes money, line spreads,
anything you want. Pick your favorite Haiti Kapper and you
lock in this forty nine dollars price. It's a special discout.
We're running it this weekend only. Get you all plays
for college and NFL Friday, Saturday, Sunday. We're throwing in
Monday for free. That's over at the Deal's page, over
at wager Talk. All right, let's bring in Teddy Covers.
We got a lot to get to. We're gonna talk
Florida and LSU. We're gonna do sell me but Teddy Bears, Lions.
So many storylines in this game, like where do you
want to start? You got Kayleb Williams, you got revenge
factor all over the place. We got the Lions as
minus six, the over under forty six and a half.
How are you on this Friday?
Speaker 5: First off, I'm doing just swell and although I had
a wrong side last night with Washington, and that's where
this handicap starts. You say, where do you want to
start here? I want to start with the Green Bay Packers.
Of course, because we're talking about the Lions and the Bears.
Why are we talking about the Packers? Simple? Last night's
game with the Packers and the Commanders tells us something.
And early in the season when we're looking for data points,
you know, last week, green Bay absolutely shut down Detroit
one sided game, Detroit two point one starts per rushing
that game just three point eight yards per play. The
offense didn't work well. Green Bay just did that again
last night to another team that's supposed to be pretty
good offensively.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 5: And that's as bad as I've seen the Commander's offense
look since Jaydon Danish took over at the beginning of
last year. I mean, Washington could not find open receivers.
They weren't able to control the line of scrimmage. And
that speaks to Jeff Hafley's defense for the Packers, which
speaks to the Lions not being as bad as they
looked last week. You know. And when you read the
quotes at a Detroit the offense, new offense creator John Morton,
the guy with something to proved against Van Johnson here quote,
you know, nobody's in panic mode. Great attitude by the guys.
How do we fix this because we're in the fix
it business as coaches, And of course, this is an
offense that led the NFL. They scored more than thirty
three points per game last year, and last week they
didn't get in the end zone until what the final
couple of minutes of that, but the final minute in
fact of the fourth quarter. They hadn't failed to score
a touchdown for three quarters and for four quarters in
any game since twenty twenty three against Baltimore. So we
would expect given what we saw from the Packers defense
last night, given the quotes out of Detroit, Slucker another one,
you know, Taylor Decker quote. You know, the mister Sigmus
looked really bad. Of course, Taylor Decker, a veteran offensive tackle.
You know, the Missus Simons looked really bad. But there
it wasn't like one guy's getting his ass kicked the
whole game. Just a lot of things that we could
control and we can clean up. So the quotes coming
out of Detroit a right. Certainly, what we saw last
night from the Packers tells us this Lion's offense had
an excuse for how poorly they played last week, and
they're facing a Bears team that look when it comes
to confidence right now, Chicago can't be there. Complete collapse
down the stretch last season, new head coach, Monday Night Football,
Everyone's all excited, and then a complete collapse in the
fourth quarter again this season. And what was wrong? Well,
Caleb Williams was in sharp, the team was in sharp.
Penalties twelve for one hundred and twenty seven yards, the
Ben Johnson screwing up the challenges, Ben Johnson screwing up
the two minute warning and the kickoff. These aren't things
that are going to give a struggling team confidence. So
put it all together and I'm laying if I'm playing,
it's Detroit or pass for this better?
Speaker 1: How did they screw up that kickoff? The two minutes thing,
I like just blasted out of bounds. I think everybody
in the stadium except the Bears knew what you were
supposed to do. There was one thing you couldn't do
keep it in bounds, that would that was That was bizarre.
But I guess I guess growing pains for the first coach.
So what was your take?
Speaker 5: Well, that's again when you have a first year, first
time head coach from a franchise that hasn't a whole
lot of success, You're like, hey, do they have these
confidence you know, hey, do we have confidence in this guy?
And when your coach crews up, you know you worry
about that.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely, Let's move to college football. Florida LSU talk
about teams with that with not a lot of confidence.
Ls US minus seven and a half against this Florida
Gators team over under set at forty five and a half.
What's your breakdown on this one.
Speaker 5: So again, when we're talking about this price range for
LSU against Florida, the most basic concept in college football
and across sports biloh sell High. All right, and it's
a Florida team. We all know what happened. They lost
at home the USF. They didn't play well. Clearly, given
the circumstance, given the results, Florida was looking ahead to
this week. It happens, you know. And when we're thinking
about the concepts of how to back college football, I'm
always looking to bet on a team and a step
up game after they just played poorly in a step
down game that oftentimes serves as something of a wake
up call. And certainly, you know, DJ Lagway had a
bad week last week, you know, bad interception in the
third quarter. He's been good, and Napier's been good. Napier's
best role as Roe dog. You know, I got him
a sixties three, sixty seven percent in this spot.
Speaker 6: You know.
Speaker 5: Florida defensive end Tyreek Sap giving a couple of quotes here,
which is exactly what I'm talking about when it comes
to the Gators quote, the last week's loss doesn't reflect
who we are, because who we are isn't what we
have done once, is what we do consistently. More said,
this is a phenomenal opportunity. The best thing about is
we get to prove ourselves who we really are. So
I love the concept of the team of bad loss
searching for redemption. And they know they can beat nus
Meyer and the Tigers because they did it last year.
All Right. LSU hasn't moved the fall effectively yet this season,
all right, I mean they really haven't. They had offensive
line at all. Kinds of questions coming into the campaign,
and in my mind, those questions have not been answered
positively just yet. The center Brady the Moore, may not
play this week. He went down with an ankle injury.
The first offense to play last week they have an
injury a tight end as well with traded as Green
who's not likely to play this time around either, and
the offense hasn't moved the football, you know, so in
this point red range, Florida pass for this better. I
think the Gators are a clear choice given the circumstance,
and obviously given this attractive touchdown slash touchdown plus level points.
Speaker 1: Love it, love it? Uh yeah, Joe Verdier, we were
joking about who's going to be They should put out
a prop who's gonna be the first coach in the
state of Florida that gets fired? H This covers covers
the NFL and college football in that in that respect,
curious what if this line was six and a half?
Speaker 5: I wouldn't I need the full touchdown?
Speaker 1: Yeah? Yeah, one point all the difference in the world. So,
all right, Teddy, let's do sell me. If you guys
haven't joined us for this segment, it's as great. Dan
comes on picks an NFL game, gives Teddy a team,
gives me a team, and we have to break it
down on the spot and try and convince you guys
who we think is going to win. I think we
had the Bengals and Browns last week. So, Dan, what's
our game? What team? With that smile on your face?
I think that smile on your face is telling us
a big story.
Speaker 7: I'm excited for this one, much of the chagrin of
the comments. Last week we talked a divisional game, you know,
Brown's Bengals.
Speaker 4: I enjoyed the breakdown. I thought it was fascinating.
Speaker 7: But I scanned down the board this week and guys,
how can we talk anything other than the Super Bowl rematch? Yes,
the Homer asking you guys to break down Eagles cheese.
Speaker 4: Let's be real, it's a hell of a good game.
Speaker 7: Also that we're gonna be having here on the board
and it's and it's tight.
Speaker 4: You know what are we seeing? Like like like pick them?
Speaker 1: Essentially?
Speaker 7: You got you got a one point favorite road favorite.
Speaker 4: That is so teddy.
Speaker 7: Last week I made you break down the side that
I didn't really care for. This week, you're gonna tell
me why my Eagles are winning in Arrowhead against Pat Mahomes,
who didn't really kind of lose at home as as
an underdog. Andy, You'll tell us why Pat Mahomes at
home is the way to go. But Teddy favorite on
the road, super Bowl champ, my favorite team, tell me
why they're winning.
Speaker 5: So, if I'm gonna make a case for the Philadelphia Eagles,
it's gonna start with did you guys watch the Super Bowl?
Speaker 4: Hello?
Speaker 3: You know game may?
Speaker 4: All? Right?
Speaker 5: Are the Chiefs better now than they were last year?
I don't think so. And Casey, they're so due for aggression.
Not just regression, They're due for serious regression. No team
in the league, even Patriots in their prime, even whoever
in their prime, you have a down year, you have
a year where you don't win every game. And Casey,
let's put it this way, the invincibility thing has gone.
They were seventeen to zero in one score games and
that just ended in Week one. Oh, by the way,
who did the Chiefs throw to you in this game?
Do they have any healthy receivers? And that Kansas City
defense they couldn't stop La. How are they gonna stop Philly?
They couldn't stop filling the Super Bowl? I don't see
them stopping them here, Eagles.
Speaker 7: Clear choice, right, I mean, Andy, you're fighting an uphill
battle here, I mean Chiefs, Chiefs give the breakdown, because hey,
let's be real, I mean it's it's getting points, even
if it is getting a point at home for Pat Mahomes.
What do you think, Andy, The Chiefs have not lost
back to back home game since twenty nineteen.
Speaker 1: I will repeat that twenty nineteen. So if you're telling
me that the Chiefs are going to do something they
haven't done in years, I don't know what to tay Teddy.
Who are they gonna throw to? I don't know and
the Eagles don't know either. So how do you gain
plan for this? This is an Eagles team that only
beat Dallas by four points, like you have all off
season ready to go. And the fact is if Ceedee
Lamb could catch in the second half, you might might
be looking at a little oh to one there, Dan,
I'm not sure about this. On the road, I get
Andy Reid, I get Patrick Mahomes with their backs up
against the wall. I get a team that does not
lose back to back games at home. This is an easy,
easy pick for me. It's Chiefs all day. Uh And
I can't wait to go tailgate with my with my
fellow Chiefs fans on this one.
Speaker 7: You heard the bell, The fight, The fight is over.
I mean, Andy, go Birds, come on you know, you
know we're going within to break down there from Teddy Covers.
We're gonna grab a little water ice. We're gonna celebrate
nice win for Birds here. Come on, come on, comment below.
Who do you think is winning? This is a hell
of a matchup. It's gonna be the game of the week,
so a lot of people are gonna be tuning into
this one. Comment below and let us know who won
you over, who sold you that NFL side. I enjoy
this every week. I look forward to next week already.
But let's go Birds in the meeting, Teddy, tell.
Speaker 1: Everyone what you have up for clients on this Friday.
Speaker 5: Yeah, you're fighting enough hilt battle. When he gives me
feel his brutal, it's brutal and you and you won
last week, so we'll give credit. We're credited due. We
got great deals up right now, obviously at wager talk
dot com. We've got the short term deal all right,
Weekend Warrior all Access package. We have a thirty day
special right now at wagertalk dot com. Every play every day,
just one ninety nine. And of course we have a
buy three months, get a fourth free. So short term,
medium term, long term pack is whatever you're looking for.
Check out my home page w Dot Buzz backslash TC
number one all time at wager Talk with NFL five
percent pig ticket reports. We do have a five percent
big ticket in the NFL on Sunday.
Speaker 1: Nice. Thank you so much, Teddy. You're you're one of
the big guns that makes football Fridays the special day
that it is. So thank you very much. Have a
great weekend and tell the fan we said high always
always uh. I always appreciate having you on Teddy covers. Everyone,
make sure you're hitting that like button and leave a
comment in the comment section for watching after the after
live show. Tell us what you like this week? Tell
you who you tell us what you like in sell Me.
We got Kelly still coming up to talk about the
super contests, but first let's bringing Marco. I think Margot,
I think you just get the Steelers every week, and
you obviously did something right because you got a good
college game this week. That's not a twenty eight point
point spread. Happy Friday. How are you?
Speaker 4: I'm doing good? And Andy? They man, they left you
out on an island there giving to Kansas City. But
I'll give you a little stat to help you and
this is courtesy of Mark Lawrence. Patrick Mahomes in his
career as an underdog or a pick em seventeen and
two against the spread. Think about that a little bit.
That's courtesy of Mark Lawrence.
Speaker 1: All right, all right, just trying to.
Speaker 4: Give you a little assist.
Speaker 1: I appreciate it. I appreciate it. But yeah, Dan came
out with that smile on his face. I knew what
was coming.
Speaker 4: Oh, you know, he's sneaky that way.
Speaker 1: All right, So Steeler fan, what was your takeaway from
Week one?
Speaker 4: Smoking ears ecstatic because it was the emotional hedge bet
for me. I had the Jets plus two and a
half three points in my pocket and the Steelers win
by two. Does it get any better for me? I
got to enjoy my wings on Sunday morning watching that one.
But hey, I said it at the beginning of the season,
and I'm going to continue to go that way until
it loses. I'm betting against the Steelers at the beginning
of the season because I think they're going to be
an overpriced commodity. But with that said, when we break
this one down, something just doesn't smell right this week.
I think they're really begging you to take Pittsburgh this week,
and I'm not buying it. I'm looking at Seattle in
this one. And when you look about what we had
coming in. We had all the hype with Aaron Rodgers
before the season started, but nobody really knew what to
expect because we didn't see him in the preseason. So
what's he do. He goes out and throws four touchdowns
opening week, no interceptions. So now that's you know, the
lead of SportsCenter, you know, Aaron Rodgers and everything else,
and you know what he's you know, done now with
a you know, a third team. Blah blah blah. Yet
the Steelers are coming home in his debut is a
Pittsburgh Steeler home opener. They're only a three point favorite.
This same Seattle team was an underdog at home last
week and lost. Pittsburgh was a road favorite in one,
and yet this line's only a field goal. Tell me
they are not begging you to run to the window
and bet the Pittsburgh Steelers. What got lost in the
shuffle of everybody the talking heads wanting to praise Aaron
Rodgers is the Pittsburgh Steeler defense, which was supposed to
be the vaunted side of the ball for the Steelers
gave up thirty two points to the Jets and Justin Fields. Granted,
I said going in, I expected a big game from
Justin Fields. He had something to prove, But are you
kidding me? Thirty two points they gave up in that game?
Not doing it, guys. I'm taking Seattle plus the points,
and you know I've got Seattle winning the game twenty
to seventeen. I would be very happy if I'm wrong
and it's twenty one to twenty Pittsburgh and then everybody's happy.
Speaker 1: How many more weeks of healthy and rejuvenated Aaron Rodgers
are you going to get? Realistically, if I set the
over under a five and a half more weeks.
Speaker 4: Pittsburgh got off to the fast start last year if
you remember too, and we know what happened to Russell
Wilson in those final six games, and looks like it
carried over to the start of this year. I think
the over under you need to put up is how
soon before we see Jackson Dart in New York for
the Giants.
Speaker 1: Might be halftime, might might be over under half. So uh,
let's go to college football and then we're gonna do
your sauce of the week here, let's talk uh University
Southern Florida and Miami. Man this USF team, they were
kind of the stars of Week one and maybe not
a fluke here anymore. Uh So, what's your breakdown on
this game?
Speaker 4: Well, normally, uh, Andy, when I have these type of games,
and I refer to them as big brother versus little brother,
you have an in state battle where you know, obviously
the little brothers try really hard. Uh you know, they
want to take the thunder away uh from you know,
the bigger teams in the state. I would be looking
to take South Florida. However, we've got a unique situation
here because and especially there's a caveat to this. But
look at who Miami plays next week. You want to
talk about. You know, this would be a great look
ahead spot. They play Florida next week, so easy to
look past South Florida. But you know, let's give a
little shout out to lead Corso not so fast, my friend,
because Miami got put on notice. South Florida beat Florida
last week. Now, if they wouldn't have done that, this
would have been an easy look ahead spot because they
did pull that upset last week. Miami of Florida is
not gonna look past them. Okay, They're gonna come prepared,
ready to play South Florida. And you're asking South Florida
now not only to step it up and go out
on the road for a second week in a row
against another big brother. You played Florida last week and
beat him. Now you're playing Miami of Florida. This is
their third straight game that they're playing a top twenty
five team. If you remember, in the first week they
played Boise State, and I think that game was either
on a Thursday or a Friday night, so you know
it was a TV game standalone. You know, you had
a lot of tension on you this team right now.
Can they get it up for a third week in
a row? I don't think so. And I know we
don't like lane point with Miami of Florida. We've seen
them blow some big leads last year. But let's look
at the offense. Everybody was going to question what was
going to happen. You know, cam Ward gone number one
draft pick Carson Beck, and you know, we had a
lot of speculation which Carson Beck was going to show
up at Miami. Was it going to be the Carson
Beck we saw two years ago or the Carson Beck
that we saw last year. So far, it looks like
two years ago Carson Beck. He's playing well. The granted
one was against a good team, Notre Dame. The other one, well,
not so much. You know, you played a cupcake in Bethune, Cookman.
But I like what I've seen so far. They haven't
turned the football over. They're playing balanced football, running the football,
passing the football. I think they get the job done here. Now.
We have seen this line move a tad. It was
sitting at seventeen for a good part of the week.
We gotta lay that extra hook now with them. But
I just can't take South Florida in this particular matchup.
It is Miami or pass for me. I've got the
game Miami forty one seventeen. I'll go ahead and lay
the seventeen.
Speaker 3: And a half.
Speaker 1: Wow, you're predicting an ass kicking. Not just that's just
a little win. Wow, a full, full blown blowout. All right,
all right, Marco Sauce of the Week shots fired to
arch Manning last week with your with your sauce of
the week, it was great. Uh, what's your sauce of
the week, and which team or player are we talking about?
Speaker 4: Okay, what we're gonna talk about. The sauce of the
week is gonna be garlic palm. Okay, garlic Parm's great. Man,
You're you're eating that and you love the garlic and everything,
but you know, and it's really good. But the more
you eat of it, you know, sometimes you get a
little bit of heart fern, and then sometimes you get
to enjoy it the rest of the night because you're
you're parping it all night long. Okay. That team is Connecticut, Okay,
and you mother Connecticut. Here's what happened, all right, We
sit down. They get off to a great start. We
got Connecticut plus six and a half or seven, depending
when you bet it in the week. They jump out
seven to nothing. Then it's seven to three, still winning
out right. Then they go up fourteen to three with
just a minute two left in the first half. Oh
Syracuse could drives down the field, kicks a field goal
as time expires. Tend to half, got a little bit
of momentum, but we're still up fourteen to six. We're
getting the touchdown. This is great. We open up the
third quarter, we get the first score. We're seventeen to six.
Speaker 3: We're up.
Speaker 4: We're cruising. We go to the fourth quarter. Let's fast forward, man.
I'm like, right now, we're at about a dozen of
those garlic wings, you know, starting to sit there a
little bit. Syracuse scores a touchdown fifty three yard TD
with five forty one left on a fourth and fourth.
Speaker 6: Okay, that was game over right there. They don't convert there.
Not only do they convert, they go to the house. Well,
they go for two. Smart move, you know, you want
to try to cut it to three. They missed the
two point conversion. All right, we're still good. Still five
minutes well, Syracuse gets the ball back. They score touchdown
with forty eight seconds left in the game. They're up
eighteen seventeen. We're still good.
Speaker 4: But they're gonna go for two, naturally, because you want
to try to get it to a three point game.
They connect on this two point conversion.
Speaker 3: We're still good. There's forty eight seconds left.
Speaker 4: All right, bring the bill, it's good.
Speaker 1: If we wins, are.
Speaker 4: Good, we're out of here. Connecticut drives down the field
in the final forty eight seconds to kick a forty
one yard field goal. To tie the game one second left,
then the clock we go to overtime, Syracuse gets the touchdown.
I'm burping garlic the rest of the god damn night
here it is. It's Connecticut. I can't what could I do?
Speaker 1: Connecticut? H taste tasted so good at the beginning, and
then all of a sudden, you're it's just burning, burning
your ear heart Listen. I think this might be my
new favorite segment here, Marco. That was really good. Ripping
on Arch Banning, ripping on Connecticut. That was absolutely fantastic,
absolutely fantastic. So you got I know, we did bet
on it. This week. Tell us about that, and tell
us what you have up for clients.
Speaker 4: This weekend is the big weekend. It's the forty nine
Weekend Warrior. Another Weekend Warrior Pass. You get all the
football Saturday and Sunday, and you get free Monday Night
football for any of the cappers that have a Monday
Night football play as a bonus with that, I am
going to have a five percent play over the weekend.
It'll be my first five percent this football season. And guys,
last nineteen months, I don't release a ton of them.
We're thirty one and thirteen over nineteen months with our
five percent place. We've got that up, So head on
over to Wager Talking not only for me for the
forty nine dollars deal. It's a sight wide special. You
can pick up any your favorite cappers for forty nine
dollars and quick shout out Yes. Check out bet on It,
the College and pro edition and selfless plug for myself.
Check out Marco's Delhi. We have that. We had the
first edition of that show last week we went four
and one. We give you some of the games that
didn't make bed on it with my sandwich plays, my
trap games and things like that. You can check it out.
We've got five more free plays in this week's Marco's
Delhi that's available on our YouTube channel.
Speaker 1: Awesome stuff Marco, great segment, great breakdowns, good luck on
that five percent. Let's keep that winning percentage up. Thank
you very much. Have a great weekend, Marco. All right, guys,
we're gonna do all around the world and Dan is
gonna jump on and give us a nine to one.
I repeat a nine to one prop for this weekend.
So let's do some free plays. We're going props audition here.
Let's go to the Bears and Lions. Caleb Williams to
not throw an interception. He just doesn't really throw interceptions.
He has one interception last twelve games. This is a
great stat career. He has fifty two incompletions that he overthrows,
which means he's throwing the ball out of bounds a
lot and he's not thrown it to the other team.
So this prop is an absolute like, it's awesome. The
price is great. He just doesn't throw interceptions. Going to
Seahawks and Steelers. Kenneth Walker over one and a half receptions.
It's juicy. I don't care. He had three last week.
He's gone over in three straight games and I watched
that game. Zach Charbonay had more rush attempts and Kenneth Walker.
Walker may be the third down back that's catching passes,
so he goes over this You're gonna see two and
a half next week. And then it's just the gift
that keeps on giving James Cook anytime touchdown. He scored
in fifteen out of the last nineteen games that he's played,
and he scored in the last two games he plays
the Jets. This thing is still sit in minus one
twenty five minus one thirty. This is a rinse and
repeat play it every single week. So there's three NFL
props for you, all right, Dan, nine to one, you
have my attention like.
Speaker 5: Nine to ones.
Speaker 7: Yeah, we like nine to ones. And Andy, yes, this
is a football Friday. But Kelly Stewart going to be
ending the show coming up and heard Denver Outlaws are
in the PLL Championship this Sunday starts at twelve thirty
on ABC, so you know we at least have to
have something in that game. You can head on over
the Blue Book and you can get Jared Bernhardt plus
nine point fifty to be the Championship MVP this Sunday, because.
Speaker 4: It's football Friday. I won't belabor you.
Speaker 7: I'll just tell you the last time he faced off
against the New York Outlaws, Atlas four points game winning
goal in overtime. Why did he have such success is
because Atlas denies your attackment. Jared Bernhardt runs out of
the box, he plays midfield. If the Denver Outlaws win
the championship on Sunday, which that's the way that my
money's going, Andy, it's going to be because of Jared
Bernhardt having a large game. So this guy should be
more like plus four fifty plus six hundred, maybe he
should be in the top five favorites. Instead, we're getting
nine and a half to one Jared Bernhardt Championship MVP
for the Denver Outlaws. Go Outlaws this Sunday. Sorry, I
can't root for a New York team, Andy, I just can't. Again,
twelve thirty on ABC this Sunday, lead into football with
some PLL action and you got a nine and a
half to one ticket there, Andy, Well, we.
Speaker 1: Also can't root for him because we've got a future
on Denver. So we all.
Speaker 7: Like ten to one, twelve to one our future and
then we got I mean, I mean we get Bernhard
MVP clients to win.
Speaker 1: That's a massive Matt. Yeah, these are all clients plays
that we have locked in. So great workd In. We're
gonna talk to Kelly, then you're gonna come back on
and we'll talk Survivor. We do have our NFL prop
pack that is up, guys. It includes all props that
we have for Sunday and for Monday, anything that we
put out. We went eight and six last week. I
keep saying, I give me eight and six every single week.
I will be very very happy. So one on one
last week we had a sprinkle lot, a pretty big
underdog just barely missed that one, but we did get
home with the Jordan Love no interception prop. But expect
anywhere from ten to twelve props and plays in that pack.
We're a lot more high volume this year. So one pack,
one price that is up at wager talk dot com.
UFC plays will be going up this evening after we
confirm everything in Williams and we'll have our four percent
college football team total of the week. All right, let's
bring on Kelly, Kelly, congratulations. Week one off to a
good start in the super Bow.
Speaker 8: Three and two, three and two. Listen, it's a profitable weekend.
Picking in five NFL games a week is hard. I
only have two games I actually bet this weekend. You
were bothering me this morning almost as much as Pres
Pres is driving me nuts this morning. Like Pres, it
is Friday morning, College football NFL season. All jokes aside.
I had to push really hard for that fifth pick.
In some weeks are like that in these contests. Right again,
I gave have you got my two plays on bet
on it? Which will go over here in a minute.
Those are the only two games that I bet money
on last weekend. I had money, I think on three games.
I went two and one with my hard earned dollars,
and is what it is. We're gonna keep on rolling
into week two.
Speaker 1: All right, Well, let's take a look at your plays.
Walk us through them real quick. Hey, three and two?
May I mean that? Listen? Some people don't fine, and
they're already out of it. They're already out of it
after one week, by the way, twenty like my college plays.
Speaker 8: Thank you so much Marco D'Angelo for reminding me how
I lost Yukon in gut wrenching fashion.
Speaker 4: Happy Friday.
Speaker 1: Yes, all right, well let's uh, let's let's take a
look here. Uh we're starting with the Jags.
Speaker 4: Here.
Speaker 1: You got the Dolphins, the Chiefs, Jets, and the Ravens.
All right, what do you like about these these?
Speaker 8: Yeah, the Jags is one of the only teams I
actually got to the window on with my hard earned money.
Here's kind of the tail of the two games that
I bet. I bet teams that looked really good, teams
that looked really bad. Well that happened to be one
of the same games Colts played in Miami last week.
Speaker 1: Your Colts could not have better.
Speaker 4: The Yes, I know. I listen.
Speaker 8: If I have to own the Denver Broncos, you have
to own the Indianapolis Colts. Okay, Like that's how they
happy you own them. They looked great last week, and
I think they're getting a little bit too much love
here in the marketplace this week. That being said, we'll
see kind of how things start to play out in
that game. But let's go back to Jacksonville. Well, let
me finish Miami. Miami couldn't have looked worse. Absolutely could
not have looked worse.
Speaker 1: You had Tua.
Speaker 8: Everybody hates him, he sucks, That's what the internet was
telling me anyway. And then you have Mike McDaniel where
everybody is trying to fire the man week one, like
does he have the hottest seat?
Speaker 4: Maybe him or Brian Dable. We'll find out.
Speaker 8: That being said, I think there was a gross overreaction
Miami nine to zero against the spread in the last
nine games in the series, eight and one. Straight up,
Miami's gonna win this game. I laid one. This is
a nice scale line in the contest too, Guys. That's
some of the things that are great about the contest.
Speaker 4: Plus one plus one in the contest.
Speaker 8: Come on, so look look around there there's great places
to find some value. I think I do not have
the odds logic screen up. Sorry I shared that's part
of my job description. But I think it's two and
a half pretty much everywhere, now, isn't it.
Speaker 1: Andy, Yes it is. But you got the line locked in,
So yeah, that's They give you those lines and you
gotta and.
Speaker 4: That's what you gotta work with.
Speaker 8: I mean, we've seen lines move seven points in a
contest because Kirk Cousins is out or Aaron Rodgers is out,
or crazier things has happened, And those are some spots
where you could really take advantage. And I think everybody
should now onto the jag yours, as Prez likes to
call them. Here's an interesting thing. I bet against Cincinnati
last week, and I thought they looked really bad, but
I think they actually aren't that good. One hundred and
forty one total yards of offense. They are just struggling.
And the Browns are one of those three and two's
that I got last week. I can't believe Cleveland lost
that game. The Bengals needed turnovers, missed kicking. As for
Losers moments, it was just abysmal. This Jaguars team looks
so much more complete. I think Trevor Lawrence is a
by spot for all your fantasy teams if you have
an opportunity. I had to pick him up this week
because of course I had brought party. That's how fantasy goes.
Oh oh, by the way, Adam Hand cupped with George Kittle,
so you got San Francisco forty nine.
Speaker 4: Ers can blame me for that.
Speaker 8: I'm telling you the fantasy curse for Kelly and Vegas's
team is real. And the Johnny Detroit Big Money League,
we've got all sorts of like great brilliant people in
their poker players, Scott Van Pelt, Cousin sal Clay Traps,
all these guys are in it. And every year one
of my top guys gets injured. This year got two
for one special week one.
Speaker 1: We'll never forget when Johnny and our friend Jay drafted
Brian Robinson like a couple of minutes after he got shot.
Speaker 4: That didn't happen.
Speaker 1: Was a real thing that happened.
Speaker 8: The year that I got the number one pick, we
drafted Le'Veon Bell and then the league von against me
to let me trade him for Todd Furman, and no,
I am never going to forgive them for that.
Speaker 4: I am coming for blood.
Speaker 8: I am coming for fantasy football. Hate.
Speaker 5: Trevor Lawrence.
Speaker 1: Take me home, baby, Good luck, good luck with Trevor Lawrence.
I thought he was gonna throw for multiple touchdowns last week.
He only had one. Because that's what Trevor Lawrence does.
He just comes up this little short just a little
shorts up. All right, Kelly, what do you got going
on for this weekend? What do you have to promote that?
Speaker 8: Let's see, I'm not gonna be a last call tomorrow.
Joe Madden's gonna fill in for me. I am going
to basically, what is the only thing that could be
worse than a football season wedding. I'm going to Disney
Worlds for my friend Katie's fortieth birthday. Don't you worry.
I'm going to be you know what on my phone
the entire day. So right after this, I'm at a
door Orlando. You guys can absolutely show me in the
comment section. This is the worst thing that can happen
during football season, not a wedding. Even though I have
two of those, people think they're going to be a
favored by having on Fridays.
Speaker 1: Okay, oh no, rant over. I I can't imagine Disney World,
Kelly at Disney World.
Speaker 4: Thank god.
Speaker 1: The Case Games tonight.
Speaker 8: I'm gonna watch it on my phone, drive up and
the passenger seat with my laptop.
Speaker 4: Everybody leading me along.
Speaker 1: All right, Well, have fun, try and enjoy yourself. Have
fun with those twenty dollars. Drink around the world eighteen
dollars water, Yeah, exactly, yes, drink all around the world.
All right, Kelly, We'll have a great weekend. Try and
have some fun. Good luck and hopefully we see you
again next Friday with another winning week in the super contest.
Good luck this weekend. All right, Dan, survive over time.
It's your fa.
Speaker 7: Oh there it is.
Speaker 4: The graphic lives another week.
Speaker 7: That's why we have to keep we have to keep
on surviving, win and keep using the I will survive.
Speaker 4: The Andie Lang and Dan Alexander story needs to happen,
needs to happen.
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, so we did great. I think everybody
did great in Survivor last week. So we all had
the teams everybody kind of yeah, everyone kind of had
the same thing. So all right, this week it's a
little a little spicier. I had my nominees. I was
looking at Rams over the Titans. Maybe the Lions at
home versus the Bears. I used Cardinals last week. They're
at home versus the Panthers, Chargers at Raiders, Cowboys at
home versus Giants, Ravens at home to Browns. So let's
pull up the graphic in without without us even talking,
we landed on the on the same game here, so
we're both on the Cowboys. I'll let you talk. I'll
let you you talk for yeah Boys.
Speaker 7: I'm kind of breaking one of my cardinal rules, and
that's don't waite to survivor pick in in divisional games
simply because they're divisional games. Right, But for me, this
hasn't been much of a divisional rivalry Andy since what
about twenty seventeen, fifteen and one, fifteen and one. The
Dallas Cowboys record against the New York Giants since twenty seventeen.
The last time that the Giants beat Dallas was in
twenty twenty one and Andy Dalton was under center. So
this one for me, the Cowboys are one of those teams,
especially with the new head coach, you have to find
a way to, in my opinion, use him in a
spot early because Dallas late in the season is when
question marks are crazy. And let's be real, Andy, you
know the people who sweated out an Eagles pick last
week because they were huge, huge favorites, wasn't a great pick.
Like if Ceedee Lamb didn't get the drop sees, you
have one to oh Dallas team returning home, so instead
because he did, you have a pissed off Dallas team
returning home against the team that they have absolutely dominated
and the team who you know, sure they kept it
close against the Commanders, close against the Commanders for most
of the game. I think we learned last night maybe
the Commanders are that regression candidate that you and I
said heading into the year. So Cowboys for me and
I joked with you before we opt on, I was like,
if I get knocked out in week two, let it
be because the Dallas Cowboys are oh two. So that's
the homer in me of the emotional hedge that if
I get knocked out a survivor in week two because
the Dallas Cowboys lose against the Giants. I can live
with that. I don't think we do andy. I think
the Cowboys are in for a big win this Sunday. Actually,
one of my contest picks is laying the five and
a half with the Cowboys. That's a game I bet
myself too. I like them a lot this weekend.
Speaker 1: Yeah, my my reasoning was really simply Russell Wilson if
he's terrible, like he gets bedged to maybe Jackson Dart
is pretty decent. So how long? How much longer can
we fade? This Giants team were awful last week, so
so we have a lot of injuries in the bed
online contest, So each week I'm just putting in one
of them the favorites. The biggest favorite on the board
that happens to be the Ravens this week. And for
my actually just disgusting sleeper, could you play the Saints
with Mac Jones at quarterback against San fran I don't
that's gross, that's gross, it's disgusting, But I.
Speaker 7: Mean that game is disgusting. And for that reason, I
feel like the forty nine ers laying three points might
be one of my contest picks because we'll be one
of the only people with that as a contest pick.
Speaker 1: Yeah. I probably probably can't talk my self into burning
an entry on the Saints this week, but I thought
that was thought that might be interesting, So all right, Dan,
thanks very much, hopefully all right, guys, thank you so
much for joining us on football Friday. Make sure you
hit the like button, leave us a comment, tell us
who you like between that sell Me segment, between Me
and Teddy, the Eagles or the Chiefs. And it's been
a great week, great week of segments. Thank you to
all the guests, and thank you to you guys in
the chat. You guys are the reason why this show
is a success. Let's have a great weekend. Let's be
back Monday to talk Monday Night football and get you
ready for it next week. Thank you so much for
joining us, have a great weekend, Good look on your
bets and take care.