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Speaker 1: Week three of the NFL preseason is here. How do

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you get on the right side of some line moves? Well,

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that's what you're here to find out. Opening Line Report,

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August eighteenth. A beautiful Monday morning, and no I am

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not the beautiful Kelly Stewart, Dan Alexander here and the

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driver's Seed joined by the incomparable Teddy Covers and Teddy Man.

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We'll get into it because we got a Monday night

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football game to night standalone preseason action, right The announcers

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need their preseason fine tuning as well. That's why I

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understand why there's probably a Monday night football game so

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much to get into from what we saw in Week two,

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and of course every single game broken down right here

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getting you on the right side of the line moves

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for Week three NFL preseason. Teddy, how are we doing

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on a Monday morning?

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Speaker 2: Brother? Well, good morning Dan, Good morning audience. How's everybody today?

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Looking forward to breaking down the world in the NFL?

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What just happened, what's meaningful, what isn't? What we can

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expect in week three? What we know already? What lines

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on the move as we speak, loaded Monday edition, just

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like every week right here, I'm the way to talk

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opening a line report. So let's start with little Monday

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night football talk, shall we.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, let's please, and guys, you definitely want to like

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and subscribe, make sure you're here subscribe to the channel, because,

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like Teddy said, every Monday morning, this is the way

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to start your week. Handicap in the NFL. And Teddy,

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let's be real with a standalone game. There's many people

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who have clicked on this video simply because they want

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to know how do we bet Monday night football? Anything

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to be gleaned on this one. I know there's a

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video up here on the page on YouTube Teddy breaking

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this one down, so I know you have some thoughts here.

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Cincinnati Bengals Washington Commanders Monday Night Football Action.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I do have a standalone video on this game.

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You can see it on YouTube. You can see it

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on my homepage WTT Buzzbackslash TC as I talk about

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why the money has come for Cincinnati and we saw

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the line. This line move off of three last night

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was about ten o'clock at night and pretty much all

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the sharp books went from three to three and a

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half at that moment. The recreational books have also made

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that move since the sharp money came in on, since

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the last night, and it's twofold here, all right. I

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would not be surprised if we see a little bit

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more Cincinnati money. There's four starting to pop, and we

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could see fours between now and kickoff because we got

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a little bit of bet on and a little bit

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of bet against, bet against four the commanders. It's all

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about Dan Quinn. You know, Washington lost by thirty last

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week at New England, and you look at Quinn's track

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record again, the bet on coaches in the NFL preseason.

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I'm tapping my brakes on that in theory, and we'll

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talk about that as the show goes on. The bet

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against coaches, there's no tap in the brakes. Dan Quinn

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in Atlanta twenty seventeen oh and four straight up and

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against the spread, twenty eighteen oh and four straight up

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and against the spread, twenty nineteen, one and four straight

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up and against the spread. The only one game they

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won was a garbage week four matchup no preseason in

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twenty twenty. He was fired by twenty twenty one. Last

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year in Washington one and two straight up and against

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the spread. The one win garbage time Week three matchup,

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and this may be that, But that being said, we're

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talking about a head coach who has a grand total

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of two straight up wins two point spread covers in

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his last five preseasons. So that's a bet against track record.

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And of course they scored twenty or less fifteen times

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in those seventeen games. So it's been a guy who

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doesn't want to show a whole lot on offense. Hence

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the anti Washington money and then the pro Cincinnati money. Well,

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it gives me some urgency for the Bengals. You know,

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Zach Taylor was not amused by some of the things

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he's seen. Quote those are things as a team we

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can't tolerate. We got to play better football than that.

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Joe Burrow. Actually last week today was average overall. I'm

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happy with the brat. Next week I'd like to be

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a little bit better. So there's urgency for Cincy. There's

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anti Washington center in the markets, and we've seen already

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this line move off of three. It could go higher.

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Speaker 1: Man, whether you want to cash some tickets or just

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sound smart talking to your buddies, nobody breaks it down

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better if than my man Teddy covers Teddy. If Week

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one of the NFL preseason was all about.

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Speaker 3: Overs, overs, overs.

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Speaker 1: That was clearly the takeaway there and everybody thought, oh,

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easy money, let's just keep riding the overs. I'm wondering

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did that come back down to earth here in preseason

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week two? And what was your big takeaway here for

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the second week of the preseason as we had into

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week three.

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Speaker 2: So if you watched the opening line report last week,

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after the bevy of overs in week one, I said

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I would expect week two to be much closer to

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fifty to fifty. What we see in week two, Well,

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it's either eight and seven to the over or seven

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and eight to the over going into Monday night, depending

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on how your great San fran Vegas. That game was

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as high as forty one and a half under money

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came in before kickoff. It closed thirty nine thirty nine

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and a half, so against the closing total it counts

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as an over. That being said, for much of the

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week it was an under, so that one landed in

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the middle, but eight and seven or seven and eight

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to the over, so it wasn't from a macro betting perspective,

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there's nothing to talk about that's what you expect to see,

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you know, closer to fifty to fifty. We had a

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flip of favorites Miami Detroit. So when you're worried about

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the favorite, and really, you know, there's so many of

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these preseason games that are lined less than a field goal,

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I really try to pay attention to the teams that,

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you know, the big favorites, the teams that get this team.

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And you see in the markets this morning, all right,

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most of the games lined one and a half, one,

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two and a half, a couple of threes. We don't

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see a lot of games that are lined in the

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preseason higher than a field goal. And when they when

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we do see those games, it's because that's where the

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money's poured in. The sharp money's poured in on one

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side or the other. And the sharp money did very

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poorly in week one. They didn't do that great in

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Week two either. The cash the middals, which is Nicce, Tennessee,

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Atlanta bouncing between two and a half and three and

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a half. You know, that was good for savvy betters,

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But there were four favorites that closed minus three in

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a high three and a half or higher, and all

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four of those favorites that took some steam. Throughout the week.

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Every other game was lined into three or less those

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four favorites. One in three straight up. San Fran beat Vegas,

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Green Bay beat Indy, The Rams beat the Chargers, the

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only win with Seattle beating Kansas City. So it was

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again a week for the bigger underdogs. It was again

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a week where if you faded the line moves, the

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big line moves towards chalk, you did fairly well from

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a total standpoint, exactly what we expected, much closer to

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fifty to fifty. And there was a tight win. I

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mean it was really most of the games fell between

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like thirty one and forty five. The overs didn't go

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over by very much, the unders didn't go under by

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very much. So you know, that's what you often expect

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in August. You don't see offenses clicking on. Also, you

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don't see a lot of forty eight point outings like

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the Patriots at week one, for example against the Commanders.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Teddy, maybe the sharp money was was partially distracted.

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They were the half of them were at bet Bash, right,

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So maybe maybe week three they'll finally be able to

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focus up a little bit I'm messing with you, Teddy,

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come on, come on yet?

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Speaker 2: So I heard Better's talking. Oh yeah, there's not as

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much money moving in the markets this week because all

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these guys are here at bet Bash. I mean, yes,

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bet Bash is. There's a lot of people there, but

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I'm not convinced that it's affecting the global betting marketplace enough.

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And it's not like they're not they're walking away from everything.

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Then there's other guys but that they leave behind that

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are they're doing what they normally do. Yeah, they have

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had any packs I would encounter as a big impact.

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Speaker 3: Spot behay, you know gambling.

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Speaker 1: Twitter is always level headed, Teddy and always always having

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the best takes out of the gate there. Man, if

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I'm this jacked up talking about preseason football, I cannot

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wait for what a week from now, we're going to

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be back here on the opening line report talking week

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one NFL numbers.

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Speaker 2: Teddy. So after Week three of the preseason, there's actually

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kind of an off week before. So next week's show,

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we're not going to talk week one. Next week's show,

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we're going to talk a proper NFL preview. We're going

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to go through all my divisions. I'm going to give you, guys,

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you know, my take on all thirty two teams, teams,

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what upside is there, what downside is there? We'll go

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rapid fire fashion, you know. And also next week we

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will have time for questions yep, at the end of

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the show. So whatever you guys want to know prop wise,

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you know, that's something you can absolutely ask me because

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I'm not going to break it to you. But if

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there's player props you want. And then the following week

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Labor Day, we'll talk a week one of the NFL season.

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Speaker 1: So that's all I know is we got an opening

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line report every single Monday through the end of the

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Super Bowl. After the Super Bowl you even get the

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opening line report. So we're locked and loaded, folks, more

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reasons than ever to hit that light button. Make sure

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you're subscribed. The little bell will let you know when

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we go live Teddy. Nothing to it but to do it.

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So let's get into it. Preseason Week three, Pittsburgh, Carolina

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is where we're gonna start. Guys, if you've never been

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on the show, Before we start, we go rotation order

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down the odds board so you can check out oddslogic

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dot com. Go to the wager talk free odds, play

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along with us and check out the games Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 3: Carolina, Teddy.

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Speaker 1: And these lines are pretty fresh because as of Sunday night,

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last night, there was nothing. So this is a great

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addition here. I turned the mic on over to you.

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Let's talk some Steelers and Panthers and let's get into it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and you nailed it. There were no lines Sunday night,

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and I can't tell you that doesn't happen very often.

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Week three of the preseason and not a single book.

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I mean, there wasn't anything. And then this morning I

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was at my computer about a quarter after six and

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there were already a handful of books that popped. I

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wrote the openers from about a quarter after six, specific

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time nine to fifteen and using my Odds Logic Live

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odd screen. And by the way, get a free trial

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the ods Logic Live Oddscreens. Go to oslogic dot com

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back slash Teddy check it out. It really is a

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kind of a cool product. If you've never had a

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live odd service, play around with it. It's fun. But

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I wrote the openers there again from about six fifteen

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this morning. And let's start right here, right now, because

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this game has an emergency betting alert written all over it.

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Sure that's an interesting sound. This line opened Pittsburgh minus

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one and a half. There were a couple of pick

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coms out there, total sitting at thirty six. I'm seeing

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right now the Steelers early up to two at a

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handful of books. There is a prominent three out there.

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They're also still one and a half out there as well.

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I'm expecting more Steelers' money. Why well, Dave Canalis has

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already told us he's not playing starters this week, all right,

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even though the starters were rough, and that means a

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lot of Jake Plumber or Jack Plummer, I should say.

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And of course Carolina was not good. You know, they

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weren't good in week one, they weren't good in week two.

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Canalis now one and sorry one in four straight up,

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oh and five against the spread. And as a head

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coach in August and of course you know, as quote

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after they got done, you know, they were one to

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ten on third downs, three point six yards for play,

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one hundred and sixty four total yards. Bryce Young couldn't

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get anything going. Andy Talton couldn't get anything going. Uh,

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and he basically said, I ain't playing starters. Quote. You know,

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he said you wouldn't play starters in his final preseason

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game quote. A lot of good work out there. To me,

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to sum it up, it was the day of almost

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I just kind of challenged a group, Blake, are we

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going to be almost good? Are we gonna make the

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plays when they're there to be made? So Canals is

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always upbeat, doesn't look like he's playing starters. Mean well,

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the Steelers they lost to Tampa Bay. You know, the

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offense looked really sluggish. The defense didn't have starters. With

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Mason Rudolphin, Skyler Thompson, then Logan Woodside, all three quarterbacks

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had an interception. Thompson took three sacks. But Pittsburgh's defense

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control the flow of that game. Let me give up

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one point seven yards per carry. And Tomlin's a head

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coach who seems to care about these games more than

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most Steelers went seventeen and four straight up between twenty

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seventeen and twenty twenty three in the preseason, oh and

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three last year, one and one this year. After the

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loss to Tampa it feels like there's a little bit

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more interes circu at Pittsburgh. I think we'll see some

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Steelers starters, and Tomlin cares about winning in August more

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than Canalis does. Hence my encouragement. If you'll like Pittsburgh

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bet I'm sooner rather than later. Right now you can

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find minus one and a half for the dealers. I

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do not think that will be available by later today,

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and certainly not by later this week.

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Speaker 1: EBA emergency betting alert right out the gate. You love

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to see it. That's how we start a Monday morning

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primetime Thursday, August twenty. First, you got the New England

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Patriots taken on the New York Giants and Teddy if

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it's over reaction season in the preseason, Travon Henderson is

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gonna be Rookie of the Year from the Patriots.

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Speaker 3: Is everything that I'm seeing on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: And the New York Giants will lead the league in sacks,

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That's what I'm hearing from all again, the easy, even headed.

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Speaker 3: Folks over on X. How do we break this one down?

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Speaker 2: Though?

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Speaker 1: Teddy Giants and the Patriots? Looking about what two and

270
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a half point favorites here for the Giants and on

271
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the move?

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Speaker 2: No, no, I'm seeing three and a hand. There was

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two and a half at the open. Wow. Thirty seven

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and a half and I'm seeing pretty much across the

275
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board now for the g Man minus three and a half,

276
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so it's already moved through the key number of three.

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I'm not seeing any further indication that this line's going up.

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It could, but this isn't a game where if you

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if you wanted New England at the Giants are the

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best the number, you already missed it, and I'm not

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convinced it's gonna go higher. There is a little bit

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of a betting bandwagon behind New England already. You know

283
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Rabels two and oh straight up and against the spread

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so far this year in the preseason. His last three

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years in Tennessee, the three years with three game preseasons,

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he went six and three straight up, five two and

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two against the spread. So Vrabel's been making his backers

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money both in Tennessee and here in New England. We

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saw Drake May, then Josh Dobbs, then Woolridge went most

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of the second half and what was pretty good? What

291
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is the guy who I wanted to bet against week one?

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And he was pretty good? He was pretty good again

293
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this past week. May played a couple of series against

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Minnesota's backups. Packers went twelve of twenty on third downs

295
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note to twenty. That's a lot of third down oportunities.

296
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It means the offense was to make a big plays

297
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and the uh that a lot of that had to

298
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do with the defense that were facing and Florius's blitz

299
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packets were giving them trouble. But it's it's certainly a

300
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Patriots team that you know, again, preseasons easy to love everyone.

301
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But the New England's looked solid and the markets are

302
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certainly favorite this team. But the Giants have preseason juggernaut

303
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written all over them. All right, you have Jackson Dart

304
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playing really well, You have Russell Wilson as the starter,

305
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and then you have behind them Jamis Winston and Tommy DeVito.

306
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You know, three of those four quarterbacks average ten yards

307
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per play past tempt are better in the win over

308
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the Jets. You know, Dart, I thought, guys are making

309
00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:41,679
great plays for me. I was just trying to distribute

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the ball of the playmakers. You know that being said Brian,

311
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the ball has been it very clear. Russ is our starter.

312
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We're gonna keep developing Jackson. But you know, the ball

313
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entered twenty twenty five one to eight against his spread.

314
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In nine previous preseason games, you know, four and five

315
00:14:56,840 --> 00:14:58,879
straight up, but three of the four wins came by

316
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a field goal or less. This year, the Giants with

317
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that QB rotation, they scored thirty one and thirty four

318
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in two preseason games, obviously two and zero straight up,

319
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two and oh against the spread, and both those wins

320
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coming by more than a touchdown. The g Men have

321
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taken the very early money, but now that it's already

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moved to three and a half, it could go higher.

323
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But I'm not convinced that it's will that urgency. You

324
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gotta bet this right now, isn't I'm not seeing it

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there for the g Men right now?

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Speaker 1: All right, Eddie, let's flip the page to Friday, August

327
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twenty second. My Philadelphia Eagles were looking at one five,

328
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one six, and outside of a Macuba pick six, Eagles

329
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fans didn't have much to cheer for in their final

330
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home preseason game. Now they'll go on the highway taking

331
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on the Jets here and Teddy, you kind of have

332
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your pick. I'm seeing on the odds screen here you

333
00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:51,919
got half for the New York Jets all the way

334
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up to what I see two and a half at CIRCA,

335
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So it looks like Jets are the favorites here. How

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are you looking to bet the final week here for

337
00:16:00,159 --> 00:16:01,360
for both of these teams here?

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Speaker 2: Well, so I'm gonna call it Jets open minus one

339
00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:08,679
slash one and a half total thirty seven and a

340
00:16:08,679 --> 00:16:10,480
half for this. We haven't seen a whole lot of

341
00:16:10,519 --> 00:16:12,960
movement on the total yet, we haven't seen a whole

342
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lot of moon on the side yet, and I'm again

343
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still one one and a half just about everywhere. So Philly, well, gee,

344
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Tanner McKey matters. Huh. You know McKee lit up in

345
00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:36,440
lit up who they played week one? The Bengals, the Bengal. Yeah,

346
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they absolutely lit up the Bengals in Week one through

347
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for two hundred and fifty yards. Guy to the team

348
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:44,559
a touchdown after touchdown rallied from you know when Burrow

349
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and company came in and scored two touchdowns and Philly

350
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didn't matter. McKee just was was clicking on all cylinders

351
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this past week against Cleveland, Tanner McKee rested. It was

352
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during Thompson Robinson followed by followed by Kyle McCord, and

353
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between that duo, Philly had eight first downs and eighty

354
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eight total yards. And we love their depth on the

355
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offensive defensive lines, so dtr and McCord, you know, and

356
00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:12,839
again it may have been some of the dms. The

357
00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:15,799
Browns defense might be pretty good, you know, better than

358
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people are giving them credit for. But Philly's offense didn't

359
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do anything this past week. And there may be a

360
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little bit more urgenty here, but the defending champs, there's

361
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no urgency and real the markets will move based on

362
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McKee status. I'll tell you that right now. There's there

363
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there's interest in Tanner McKee for a for a marketplace

364
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that that looks for anything they can find that's that's reasonable.

365
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In the preseason for the Jets, they got annihilated by

366
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the Giants. You know, once again the passing game didn't work,

367
00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:49,200
justin fields one to five for four yards. Adrian Martinez

368
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was pretty good in that game, and Brady Cook closed

369
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it out. Aaron Glenn quote, we were sloppy, and the

370
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guys know that overall in general, it wasn't good enough.

371
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I don't care what the starting offense, I don't here

372
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was the second team offense, third team offense, So there

373
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was certainly you know, Glenn was not abused by that performance.

374
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We could see more urgents from the Jets. That's why

375
00:18:08,519 --> 00:18:11,400
they're favored here. But the markets will move when we

376
00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:12,920
find out if m Key's playing or not. I can

377
00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:15,480
tell you that I would expect that. I haven't heard

378
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:18,519
anything yet. And again, for the purpose of this, you

379
00:18:18,519 --> 00:18:21,960
know Monday morning video, when I have info coaches playing starters,

380
00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:24,000
coaches not playing starters, carters are going to get a

381
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cup of coffee. Stor is going to get two series.

382
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When I have that info, I will share it. If

383
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I'm not sharing it, it means it's not out yet

384
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and the market's likely to move once that information becomes

385
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available later in the week.

386
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Speaker 1: Yeah, and for what it's where Teddy. I mean, McKee

387
00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:42,559
is solely locked in at that two spot. And you know, Sirianni,

388
00:18:42,680 --> 00:18:44,759
he's not a guy who really cares. He saw what

389
00:18:44,799 --> 00:18:47,160
he needed to see probably in week one. I would

390
00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:50,400
be surprised if you did see McKee again. That's just

391
00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:53,680
my opinion, but we'll see if Sirianni agrees with me

392
00:18:53,759 --> 00:18:55,440
there and ahead Teddy.

393
00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:57,279
Speaker 2: So one of the things that I founded I was

394
00:18:57,279 --> 00:18:58,960
reading a bunch of beat writers last night. They all

395
00:18:58,960 --> 00:19:02,400
have their opinion you know the Carolina Fighters, Oh, the

396
00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:05,319
Canala should play his starters this week, and this guy should.

397
00:19:05,519 --> 00:19:08,519
Oh if I'm the coach, none of us are the coach.

398
00:19:09,759 --> 00:19:12,880
So whatever, in the regular season, we can talk all

399
00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:16,000
the time about what opinions we have. In the preseason,

400
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:18,880
my opinion doesn't mean nothing. Your opinion doesn't mean nothing.

401
00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:22,759
And sometimes what the coach says before the game is

402
00:19:22,799 --> 00:19:26,319
not what actually happens in the game because circumstances change.

403
00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:28,680
And you know, we saw some bizarre stuff that I'll

404
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:32,920
talk about, you know, with guys being shuttled in and

405
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:34,759
out of the lineup, or guys who are sitting and oh,

406
00:19:34,839 --> 00:19:36,960
let's get Jackson Dart in for a play right now.

407
00:19:37,279 --> 00:19:40,279
You know, It's like I didn't even tell the covering staff.

408
00:19:40,279 --> 00:19:41,799
I just thought it might be a good opportunity. And

409
00:19:41,799 --> 00:19:43,279
then jacks and Dark comes in and throws a thirty

410
00:19:43,319 --> 00:19:45,720
yard was a screen pass? Was a thirty yard completion,

411
00:19:45,799 --> 00:19:48,240
and then he throws back to the bench. That kind

412
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of shit happens in August. So what I try to

413
00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:55,599
do on this show for the purpose of the preseason

414
00:19:56,079 --> 00:19:59,519
is I'll give you my take, but the information is

415
00:19:59,519 --> 00:20:02,240
what moves the markets and information is what helps you

416
00:20:02,279 --> 00:20:04,440
win bet So my goal here is all about info

417
00:20:04,799 --> 00:20:07,640
and we'll see if the key plays are not this week.

418
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Speaker 1: Yeah, and so the big takeaway folks, preseason opinions are

419
00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:16,720
like Atlanta Falcons. We'll talk Atlanta Falcons here, Atlanta's taking

420
00:20:16,799 --> 00:20:20,640
on Dallas. Teddy and graphic here of course, saying two

421
00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:22,160
and a half. I'm seeing three and a half in

422
00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,880
the marketplace. This is this is my struggle with the

423
00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:28,480
opening line report is having the graphics updated because the

424
00:20:28,519 --> 00:20:30,880
lines are moving when Teddy's doing the damn show. So

425
00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:34,000
we got Dallas around three and a half point favorite,

426
00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:35,680
you're looking at a total around thirty six and a

427
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:38,039
half thirty seven, Teddy, how are you breaking this one down?

428
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:40,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, big market move this morning on this game. They's

429
00:20:40,279 --> 00:20:42,279
taking a third bit of money. It's been all Dallas money.

430
00:20:42,319 --> 00:20:44,039
Opened one and a half. There were thirty six and

431
00:20:44,079 --> 00:20:47,400
a halfs and thirty seven and a half on the total,

432
00:20:47,759 --> 00:20:49,640
and that really someone took out the thirty seven and

433
00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,319
a half down to thirty six and a half in

434
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:54,599
thirty seven and we've seen heavy money for Dallas. Three

435
00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:56,359
and a halfs out there. There's four and a half

436
00:20:56,480 --> 00:21:01,039
out there, right now for the Cowboys. So there hasn't

437
00:21:01,039 --> 00:21:03,279
been a whole lot of bets on Atlanta, and we

438
00:21:03,319 --> 00:21:05,480
can perhaps understand why would we look at Rhee Morris

439
00:21:05,519 --> 00:21:08,400
who is now zero and five straight up, one and

440
00:21:08,519 --> 00:21:11,759
four against the spread the last two preseasons in hot Atlanta,

441
00:21:11,839 --> 00:21:15,279
so no wins, only one cover and of course the

442
00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:18,359
quarterback rotation for Atlanta here in August. We're not seeing

443
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:21,160
Kirk Cousins. We're not seeing Michael Penix has been easton

444
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:24,079
Stick and Emery Jones east and sick through a pick

445
00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:26,119
six in the first quarter and finished with just five

446
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:28,960
point one yards per past attempt. Emery Jones played in

447
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:31,079
the fourth he got stuffed on fourth down and then

448
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:34,319
he got hurt in that game. I did not see

449
00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:37,720
an update as to how hurt Emery Jones actually is,

450
00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:40,480
but it could be a lot of Eastern Stick this game,

451
00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,440
because Jones got stuffed on a fourth down late in

452
00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:45,720
the game and that was the end of himsel Stick

453
00:21:45,759 --> 00:21:48,440
had to come back in for the final drive. The

454
00:21:48,559 --> 00:21:51,039
running game didn't work for the Falcons over the weekend.

455
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:54,559
They had ten penalties. It wasn't a clean game, so

456
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the market's not enamored with Atlanta right now. That being said,

457
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:01,519
I don't get to say this very often, but as

458
00:22:01,599 --> 00:22:03,960
the Cowboys man, I had a big play on Dallas

459
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:07,160
over the weekend. I was not. I mean, boy, I

460
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:08,799
read it wrong. I couldn't have read it. You know,

461
00:22:08,839 --> 00:22:10,920
Cooper Rush. I thought Dallas would have an answer for

462
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,880
Cooper Rush defensively. Cooper Rush lit him up. I thought

463
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:17,759
that Joe Milton was gonna take advantage of the opportunity

464
00:22:17,799 --> 00:22:19,200
that he had and they were gonna call play to

465
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:23,480
try to make him work. And Joe Milton was god awful.

466
00:22:24,519 --> 00:22:26,640
Dallas was pretty got awful in that game. I mean,

467
00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:29,880
first Dallas Baltimore twenty six Dallas seven yard three nine

468
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:32,240
ninety one seventy six Baltimore more than forty minutes of

469
00:22:32,279 --> 00:22:35,680
possession in that game. Brian Schottenheimer, who put a lot

470
00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:37,079
of answers on, we got to get off to a

471
00:22:37,079 --> 00:22:40,240
better start this week. We need you know, we can't

472
00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:42,799
get pushed off the ball after they got lit up

473
00:22:42,799 --> 00:22:46,720
by the Rams the previous week and they resulted the

474
00:22:46,759 --> 00:22:49,680
first half possessions, two punts, a pick, turnover on downs

475
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:54,200
in a safety. You know, Shottenheimer, We're not pushing the

476
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:58,720
panic button. We're pushing the work button. Schottenheimer quote. It

477
00:22:58,759 --> 00:23:01,160
wasn't just Joe Milton. We didn't get in a rhythm.

478
00:23:01,559 --> 00:23:05,240
I thought we're gonna get some Will Greer on on Saturday,

479
00:23:05,799 --> 00:23:07,599
and Will Grew did get in there. One to five

480
00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:10,599
for thirty three yards. Shottenheimer's now oh and two straight

481
00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:13,240
up and against the spread. This August Dallas as a team,

482
00:23:13,319 --> 00:23:15,880
Jerry Jones isn't really you know. And Jerry Jones hangs

483
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:19,759
over the Cowboys franchise. He doesn't care about August wins

484
00:23:19,759 --> 00:23:21,680
four and eleven straight up against the spreads in twenty

485
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:24,880
twenty one. The money coming on Dallas. Yes, I'm frustrated

486
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:27,519
with the Cowboys. No, I'm not taking Atlanta. But I

487
00:23:27,559 --> 00:23:29,799
had my fun with Joe Milton this last week. I

488
00:23:29,839 --> 00:23:31,960
do not expect to be betting on Joe Milton again

489
00:23:32,079 --> 00:23:34,720
anytime soon. Yeah.

490
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:36,640
Speaker 3: Four games down, twelve to go.

491
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:39,000
Speaker 1: Here on the opening line report folks hop below in

492
00:23:39,039 --> 00:23:41,279
the comments after the video goes live, and let us

493
00:23:41,319 --> 00:23:43,400
know what games you're looking at. Eye Teddy will be

494
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:45,960
in the comments answering your questions. So keep them coming,

495
00:23:46,319 --> 00:23:48,599
and the ones that are even good enough, we'll throw

496
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:50,680
them on next week's show as well, since we have

497
00:23:50,759 --> 00:23:53,319
some open time four questions, So keep them coming, folks,

498
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:55,960
and make sure you're subscribed. Don't miss out on a show.

499
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:58,839
Like I said, Teddy, four down and a dozen to

500
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:03,079
go here, let's go one O nine one ten Titan

501
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:05,519
CT says, you want to talk about being wrong. I

502
00:24:05,519 --> 00:24:07,839
had a huge play on the Vikings. Well let's see

503
00:24:07,839 --> 00:24:10,519
if the Vikings can bounce back as well. They're taking

504
00:24:10,559 --> 00:24:14,359
on at ten See. And again, line's kind of all

505
00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:16,359
over the place on this one, Teddy, at least on

506
00:24:16,519 --> 00:24:18,200
my Odds logic screen.

507
00:24:18,319 --> 00:24:19,799
Speaker 3: How are you seeing this one?

508
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:24,119
Speaker 2: So I'm seeing I'm gonna call it Minnesota open one

509
00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:29,000
and a half, thirty seven and a half Minnesota. I'm

510
00:24:29,039 --> 00:24:31,319
seeing there's still one and a half at some books.

511
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:36,200
I'm seeing Tennessee as a favorite in other books. And

512
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:43,319
where's it gonna go? Good question. I'll say this all right.

513
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:46,880
I would not be shocked to see Tennessee money. I

514
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:48,960
feel like I almost should, even though I haven't seen

515
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:50,559
signs of it yet. Let me just look around and

516
00:24:50,559 --> 00:24:52,680
see if there's anything bigger. I haven't seen any signs

517
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,880
of it yet, so I'm not convinced I would not

518
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,519
be surprised that I feel like I part of me

519
00:24:59,599 --> 00:25:02,079
I'm ten did to give EVA on Tennessee, even though

520
00:25:02,079 --> 00:25:03,480
I haven't say. And what I'm trying to do with

521
00:25:03,519 --> 00:25:07,000
the EBA's early betting alerts emergency betting alerts is all right,

522
00:25:07,039 --> 00:25:11,839
I'm seeing signs this is moving, therefore bet it now.

523
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:17,480
This isn't that yet, but boy, you know, cam Ward

524
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:19,880
finished two to seven, all right. He had three drives.

525
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,559
He had one first down Brandon Allen. Next he led

526
00:25:22,599 --> 00:25:24,559
a couple of touchdown drives. And Trevor Simmons, who just

527
00:25:24,599 --> 00:25:26,400
got signed off the waiver wire, but he's a veteran.

528
00:25:27,079 --> 00:25:29,039
He led the drive there for the go ahead field goal.

529
00:25:29,079 --> 00:25:32,519
In the game they won against Atlanta, they fumbled a

530
00:25:32,599 --> 00:25:34,480
kickoff return that led to a cheap score for the

531
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:37,759
Falcon So the game wasn't perhaps as close as the

532
00:25:37,759 --> 00:25:43,519
final score might indicate, you know, and cam Ward after

533
00:25:43,559 --> 00:25:46,839
the game more reps for me, I'm probably seen. The

534
00:25:46,839 --> 00:25:48,599
biggest thing I emphasize is making it hard of myself

535
00:25:48,599 --> 00:25:50,359
in practice when I have a real rush coming at me.

536
00:25:50,559 --> 00:25:53,640
I think I'll continue to get better every week. Looking

537
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:57,079
forward to next week playing a good defense in Minnesota,

538
00:25:57,559 --> 00:26:03,079
so Ward sounds like he's expecting a play for the Vikings.

539
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,359
You know, they got slapped around by New England. But

540
00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:09,640
it really was sloppy game. Ten penalties minus two turnovers,

541
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:13,640
four in the red zone. Minnesota set all of their starters,

542
00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:17,160
they set most of their backups. They prioritize the joint

543
00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:20,559
practices with the Patriots over the game time. Number two

544
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,079
QB Sam Howell had a rough game, you know, one

545
00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:25,720
to five for thirteen, win a pick. The rookie Max

546
00:26:25,759 --> 00:26:28,480
Brosmer played the entire second half and he was fine.

547
00:26:28,519 --> 00:26:34,039
But again the rookie qbs, you know, Brett Rippon got

548
00:26:34,079 --> 00:26:35,640
some action. I don't know that we're going to see

549
00:26:35,799 --> 00:26:39,359
JJ McCarthy in this ball game. I wouldn't count on it.

550
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:43,720
And again, I'm Minnesota's defense has been really good this

551
00:26:43,759 --> 00:26:46,680
August really has. I would not be shocked to see

552
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:48,559
Titans money. I'll just leave with that we have. I

553
00:26:48,599 --> 00:26:52,000
haven't seen signs of it, but I'm kind of expecting

554
00:26:52,039 --> 00:26:55,519
it at least a little. So if you like Tennessee,

555
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:58,400
take the one and a half. Now that's my not

556
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:02,079
emergency betting alert advice, but I think it's going to happen. Advice.

557
00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:07,759
Speaker 1: So a soft emergency Bettylert doesn't warn the graphic or

558
00:27:07,799 --> 00:27:11,160
the sounder, but a soft EBA for Teddy after we

559
00:27:11,279 --> 00:27:14,240
just started talking about Hey, watch out opinions here. That's

560
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:16,519
why Teddy doesn't want to go full in on the

561
00:27:16,559 --> 00:27:18,599
EBA because he hasn't seen the line move.

562
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:22,240
Speaker 3: Man a man of integrity, for sure. Teddy covers.

563
00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:25,440
Speaker 1: All right, let's finish off Friday, August twenty second here,

564
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:28,319
and you know, talk about our takeaways from week two.

565
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:33,400
Chicago beat the breaks off of Buffalo last night. You're

566
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,160
looking here at total around thirty eight and a half,

567
00:27:36,279 --> 00:27:39,359
thirty nine. Well, Chicago scored thirty eight by themselves against

568
00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:42,119
the Buffalo Bills. Sean McDermott was not happy. We'll get

569
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:44,799
into that when we talked the Bills game. But Bears

570
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:48,519
and Chiefs, Teddy, how are you seeing any moves on

571
00:27:48,559 --> 00:27:49,039
this one?

572
00:27:49,599 --> 00:27:53,200
Speaker 2: Nothing yet open pretty much? Thirty thirty eight and a

573
00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:55,359
half is a total three and a half for Kansas

574
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:58,000
City hasn't moved a whole lot yet. There is a

575
00:27:58,000 --> 00:28:00,319
three out there. There's a three and a half minus

576
00:28:00,319 --> 00:28:03,599
a nickel out there. I mean, this line could drop

577
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:09,240
down to three for Kansas City, But right now they're

578
00:28:09,279 --> 00:28:11,079
pretty much three and a half across the world. And

579
00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:18,640
I mean, obviously the Bears looked pretty good last night. Yeah,

580
00:28:18,759 --> 00:28:21,039
it was what a three hundred and seventy one to

581
00:28:21,279 --> 00:28:25,559
forty seven yard of advantage at one point in the game.

582
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:28,279
It was you know, twenty eight nothing at halftime, So

583
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:31,039
it was throughout three forty three to twenty two was

584
00:28:31,079 --> 00:28:33,240
the yard advantage with an eighteen to one first down

585
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:37,079
edge for Chicago. Uh. And you know the other reports

586
00:28:37,079 --> 00:28:42,559
that of Bears camp were the watchout for Tyler Badge,

587
00:28:42,799 --> 00:28:46,079
you know, the backup QB. And boy he was good

588
00:28:47,079 --> 00:28:49,319
uh yesterday after not being as good in the opener

589
00:28:49,359 --> 00:28:51,400
thirteen to twenty two for one ninety seven last night

590
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:56,200
against the Bill's defense, and Caleb Williams look good. The

591
00:28:56,319 --> 00:28:59,799
question is was that for chicagoing off and now we'll

592
00:28:59,799 --> 00:29:03,759
see nothing in the finale. That is certainly a possibility

593
00:29:04,559 --> 00:29:08,720
that Williams and Patient may both sit here now. Kansas City,

594
00:29:09,599 --> 00:29:12,559
you know, they got bombed by Seattle and nobody played.

595
00:29:12,839 --> 00:29:15,599
I mean there were no no nobody, nobody that could

596
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:19,440
smell a start this year got in there, you know,

597
00:29:19,519 --> 00:29:22,839
is Minshew and then Zappie and then Chris Aladuken No Mahomes,

598
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,599
the trio of Minschew Zappi and all the Duken with

599
00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:29,319
eighty eight passing yards on twenty attempts. They had nine

600
00:29:29,359 --> 00:29:31,839
first downs for the twenty nine for Seattle. You know,

601
00:29:32,039 --> 00:29:33,680
it was a blowout. It wasn't a game that the

602
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:37,640
Chiefs were really into it. Oh by the way, they

603
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:39,519
had a punt return touchdown in the fourth quarter late

604
00:29:39,519 --> 00:29:42,319
in the fourth quarter sky More had a really nice return,

605
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:45,319
But otherwise they had lost that game thirty three to nine.

606
00:29:45,359 --> 00:29:49,279
The offense didn't work in the Andy Reid era. We

607
00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:53,319
seen casey you know to twenty twenty one, twenty twenty three,

608
00:29:53,359 --> 00:29:54,920
seven and two straight up and against the spread in

609
00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:59,440
August since it started the twenty twenty four preseason oh

610
00:29:59,559 --> 00:30:02,599
and five straight up, zero and five against the spread.

611
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,359
They're laying points here to a team that has played

612
00:30:05,839 --> 00:30:08,519
some pretty good football so far this August. Again, I

613
00:30:08,519 --> 00:30:11,119
wouldn't be shocked if I see Bears money. But I

614
00:30:11,119 --> 00:30:13,480
also wouldn't be shocked if the Bears don't play anybody

615
00:30:14,319 --> 00:30:17,200
this week and Kansas City does it from this and

616
00:30:17,279 --> 00:30:19,519
I didn't see Reid say I'm definitely playing the starters

617
00:30:19,519 --> 00:30:21,759
this week. But this is a yeah, Reid said, I'm

618
00:30:21,759 --> 00:30:23,480
gonna make sure that Mahomes gets a cup of coffee

619
00:30:23,519 --> 00:30:26,920
this week. It matters, you know, because usually when the

620
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:29,960
starters come on to start the game, the coach will

621
00:30:30,039 --> 00:30:32,000
leave them out there till they score. You know, you

622
00:30:32,079 --> 00:30:34,319
have situations like you know, Bryce Young being out there

623
00:30:34,359 --> 00:30:35,880
or cam Or being out there and they leave him

624
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,640
out there for a couple of tribes they ain't scoring

625
00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:41,039
and the coach is like, all right, I'm gonna pull

626
00:30:41,039 --> 00:30:44,039
these guys before they do. But in general, if Mahomes

627
00:30:44,079 --> 00:30:45,599
is out there and the chiefs Affense is out that,

628
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:49,319
you expect them get a driver to and score something,

629
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:52,759
you know, at least three. And that's why you see

630
00:30:52,759 --> 00:30:56,119
the markets react so much to the starters being announced

631
00:30:56,119 --> 00:30:58,200
they're going to play. I haven't heard that from Kansas City,

632
00:30:58,200 --> 00:30:59,960
but this line is telling me that the markets expect

633
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:01,680
that damp. Yeah.

634
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:03,720
Speaker 1: And I mean when it was four preseason games, the

635
00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:06,480
third one was always thought of as the dress rehearsal game, right,

636
00:31:06,519 --> 00:31:08,920
And that was always Andy Reid's moniker. That's what he's

637
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:11,200
always kind of done, was third game. That's where we

638
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:14,079
see starters and like Teddy said, the line's kind of

639
00:31:14,079 --> 00:31:17,079
already telling you that is going to be the case,

640
00:31:17,319 --> 00:31:20,400
is it. That's what we're here to find out, Teddy.

641
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:23,720
We got ten games left here Saturday, August twenty third.

642
00:31:23,759 --> 00:31:27,640
But first before we talk Baltimore and Washington. Hell of

643
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:30,720
a deal over at your page, WT Dot buzz slash TC.

644
00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:34,480
It's called the seven seven seven deal, And Teddy tell

645
00:31:34,519 --> 00:31:37,480
folks why they should hop on now, sooner rather than later.

646
00:31:37,799 --> 00:31:39,480
Speaker 2: Sure, you know you're gonna live in Vegas, you need

647
00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:42,240
a seven seven seven deal. This is really simple. You

648
00:31:42,359 --> 00:31:45,400
get every play every day. I'm always telling people, don't

649
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:47,599
buy a play, buy a package, and I firmly believe

650
00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:49,640
that we put up packages for sale and understand there's

651
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:52,160
a market out there for people that want a daily package.

652
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:54,920
But if you're serious about sports betting and you're serious

653
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,519
about investing in a capper, this is gonna get you

654
00:31:57,559 --> 00:32:01,000
every play every day in every sport. They'll get the

655
00:32:01,039 --> 00:32:04,039
rest of baseball season, they'll get NFL, you get college football,

656
00:32:04,319 --> 00:32:06,440
and oh you'll also get NBA, where I'm the number

657
00:32:06,480 --> 00:32:09,240
one caper since twenty twenty two at Wader Talk and

658
00:32:09,319 --> 00:32:12,559
college hoops when it starts for me in December. So

659
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:17,279
every play, every day, every sport, all five percent, big

660
00:32:17,319 --> 00:32:20,640
tickets included, et cetera, et cetera. And at seven seven seven,

661
00:32:20,799 --> 00:32:23,079
seven hundred seventy seven bucks, it's nearly like half off

662
00:32:23,079 --> 00:32:26,839
the usual price for a deal like that. If you're interested,

663
00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:28,880
if you want to partner up this football season, check

664
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:32,319
out my page WT dot buzz backslash TC. Let's see

665
00:32:32,319 --> 00:32:34,319
if we can make some money together. So again, seven

666
00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:40,160
every play every day at w TT WT dot buzz

667
00:32:40,559 --> 00:32:41,759
backslash TC.

668
00:32:42,559 --> 00:32:43,000
Speaker 3: Nailed it.

669
00:32:43,119 --> 00:32:45,920
Speaker 1: And if you've never bought before, if you've never you know,

670
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:48,640
tried any handicappers out from wader talk, I couldn't agree

671
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:50,480
more with Teddy as far as he's talking, you know,

672
00:32:50,599 --> 00:32:53,240
taking a long term approach. If you want to dip

673
00:32:53,279 --> 00:32:54,759
your water, If you want to dip your toes in

674
00:32:54,759 --> 00:32:57,480
the water, come and join us on Tuesdays. You can

675
00:32:57,519 --> 00:33:00,440
try a play for five dollars. Check out handicapping styles,

676
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:01,880
see what you want to do. So if you want

677
00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:03,200
to buy a play short, go do it. What is

678
00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:05,599
it like twenty five thirty bucks? If you if you're talking,

679
00:33:06,119 --> 00:33:08,000
you know, five percent plays. If you want to dip

680
00:33:08,039 --> 00:33:10,480
your toes in folks, join us on Tuesdays. If you

681
00:33:10,519 --> 00:33:13,519
want to take this long term approach, these packages are

682
00:33:13,519 --> 00:33:15,759
the time to do it because the specials, you know

683
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:17,640
a lot of people buy them at full price. This

684
00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:19,480
is this is the time you're going to go long term.

685
00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:21,000
To go long term, Teddy, and.

686
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:22,519
Speaker 2: We really encourage Look, if you're a first time if

687
00:33:22,519 --> 00:33:25,079
you've never bought before, or you encourage you, you know.

688
00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:27,279
Speaker 3: Check it out, save the money.

689
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 2: You know, it's that fin all, two days a great

690
00:33:30,279 --> 00:33:33,799
time for newbies to get on board. And of course

691
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:35,559
if you want to partner up, like I said seven

692
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,640
seven and seven, it's August, it's like the third week August.

693
00:33:39,319 --> 00:33:43,160
You get every play through December thirty first in every sport,

694
00:33:43,559 --> 00:33:46,640
So try it up. Appreciate your new bees, Thanks for watching,

695
00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:49,680
Guys Cheers, and if you like the show, tell your friends.

696
00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:53,240
Speaker 1: Absolutely tell your friends and hop below in the comments

697
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:55,599
and let us know what you think of the show.

698
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,519
What you'd like to see more of, but you'd like

699
00:33:57,559 --> 00:34:00,240
to see less of? Probably less Dan, Alexander Moore, Ellie

700
00:34:00,279 --> 00:34:03,680
in Vegas. I understand that, but Teddy, let's do Baltimore, Ravens,

701
00:34:04,119 --> 00:34:07,839
Washington Commanders here it seeing about what two and a

702
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:11,599
half for the preseason darlings that in recent history haven't

703
00:34:11,639 --> 00:34:14,440
been so much. That's the Baltimore Ravens. And we're looking

704
00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:16,760
at about thirty five and a half. Painted what are

705
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:17,880
you seeing in this game, Teddy?

706
00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:20,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, two and a half. Thirty five and a half

707
00:34:20,599 --> 00:34:22,760
hasn't moved from the open and it's not gonna move

708
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:25,719
until we see the Commanders play tonight. But at the

709
00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:28,119
open of the show, I talked about dan Quinn's track

710
00:34:28,159 --> 00:34:31,119
record twenty seventeen in the preseason oh and four straight

711
00:34:31,199 --> 00:34:33,239
up and against the spread twenty eighteen, oh and for

712
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,679
shit up and against spread twenty nineteen one, and for

713
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:38,960
sit up and against the spread in August. No preseason

714
00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:40,920
in twenty twenty was gone by twenty twenty one last

715
00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:43,719
year in Washington one and two straight up and against

716
00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:46,440
the spread in August this year, oh to one. So

717
00:34:46,679 --> 00:34:51,079
far so again. Five last five preseasons for dan quinn

718
00:34:51,159 --> 00:34:54,840
Is teams have won twice and covered twice. So there's

719
00:34:55,239 --> 00:35:00,559
if we see Washington no show again tonight, Baltimore will

720
00:35:00,559 --> 00:35:06,440
be a bigger favorite than this before kickoff this next week.

721
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:10,400
You know. As for the Ravens and o'harball went twenty

722
00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:13,519
three and oh from twenty sixteen to twenty twenty two,

723
00:35:13,599 --> 00:35:15,840
and then two and four straight up slash h and

724
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:18,480
six against the spread in twenty three twenty four. Both

725
00:35:18,519 --> 00:35:20,679
of those straight up wins came by a single point

726
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:23,800
after their opponents missed two point conversions to win the game.

727
00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:27,639
That being said, the Ravens are two and oh straight

728
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:29,559
up this year. They beat the Coltsweek one and got

729
00:35:29,559 --> 00:35:34,920
my money against Dallas last week. Now, every single mainstream

730
00:35:35,039 --> 00:35:38,599
site out there is Colin Harbow quote the best active

731
00:35:38,639 --> 00:35:43,199
coach in preseason against the spread. I'm not convinced that

732
00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:47,039
there's that urgency for Baltimore this preseason. And of course,

733
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:50,159
coming off an annihilation of Dallas first downs Baltimore twenty

734
00:35:50,199 --> 00:35:52,920
six Dallas seven yards three ninety nine to one seventy

735
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:56,159
six Baltimore more than forty minutes of possession they played well,

736
00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:59,639
I'm not convinced there's that level of urgency this week.

737
00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:02,719
But again Washing gets bombed tonight, it will only be

738
00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:03,519
Ravens money.

739
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:09,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, trends are great until they're not case in points.

740
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:14,639
The Baltimore Ravens Teddy one fifteen one sixteen another one

741
00:36:14,760 --> 00:36:19,079
o'clock game here on Saturday. It is the Colts taking

742
00:36:19,079 --> 00:36:22,360
on the Bengals, and you mentioned Taylor not too happy

743
00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:24,920
with his locker room what they've seen here in the

744
00:36:25,519 --> 00:36:26,440
in the preseason.

745
00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:31,639
Speaker 3: They're taking on the Colts here, and what are we seeing? Colts?

746
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:35,320
What a one point favorite? What are you seeing in

747
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:35,639
this one?

748
00:36:35,679 --> 00:36:38,480
Speaker 2: Teddy? Yeah, I'll call them one slash one and a

749
00:36:38,599 --> 00:36:42,280
half for in the total thirty eight and a half

750
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:47,320
in this game. We're seeing some overpressure on this contest.

751
00:36:47,360 --> 00:36:50,679
I think an off over pressure, perhaps Fernberg betting over.

752
00:36:51,360 --> 00:37:10,320
Speaker 4: You love to see it, Teddy.

753
00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:04,280
Speaker 2: I'm expecting over money here. We're seeing stuff as diys

754
00:37:04,320 --> 00:37:06,760
thirty nine and a half right now, and again since

755
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:11,000
he plays tonight, so fro an emergency betting alert standpoint.

756
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:13,719
I don't think we're going to see this line go

757
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:16,400
crazy today. We could, but I doubt it because the

758
00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:21,760
Bengals haven't played yet. But we've certainly seen enough indicators

759
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:25,360
from Cincy that they're a interesting scoring points be that

760
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:31,079
the offense works. And as for Andy, again, we're expecting

761
00:37:31,119 --> 00:37:36,559
to see a resolution of the quarterback situation this week,

762
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:39,280
whether it's Anthony Richardson, whether it's Danny Jones. And look,

763
00:37:40,199 --> 00:37:42,960
the insiders are saying they expect Richardson to win the

764
00:37:43,039 --> 00:37:46,320
job because Jones hasn't won it. You know, obviously they

765
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:49,440
brought in Jones for competition, but Richardson's there guy. Richard's

766
00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:52,280
the guy they expected. Then from an upside standpoint, he

767
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:56,039
probably got a little bit more than Daniel Jones. So

768
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:58,800
I would not I would be surprised if Jones wins

769
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:02,119
this job. That couldn't mean that Jones sees the entirety

770
00:38:02,199 --> 00:38:06,079
or much of the game this week against Indy. But again,

771
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,280
there are thirty eight and a half's out there right now.

772
00:38:10,079 --> 00:38:12,079
Several of them are juiced to the over. I would

773
00:38:12,079 --> 00:38:14,280
not be shocked at all to see over money for

774
00:38:15,559 --> 00:38:18,800
since the Indy in a matchup where you're talking about

775
00:38:19,199 --> 00:38:23,360
quarterback rotations, that that makes sense. And of course, you

776
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:25,920
know Stiking played a lot of his starters into the

777
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:29,320
second quarter this past week. I'm not convinced we're gonna

778
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:31,840
see I don't know what and He's gonna do this

779
00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:36,719
time around. But Riley Leonard Jason Bean are a couple

780
00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:38,920
of guys that could end up getting a lot of

781
00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:41,599
playing time. And if it is that duo my emergency

782
00:38:41,599 --> 00:38:45,840
betting alert is garbage and we're not going to see

783
00:38:46,599 --> 00:38:48,280
the move towards the over like I expect.

784
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:51,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, and again just to clarify, as far as the

785
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:54,320
emergency betting alerts work, this is get on the right

786
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:56,000
side of the market. This is the way that Teddy

787
00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:58,760
sees the market going. Doesn't mean hey, pull the robber

788
00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:00,800
band off and this is the sign that you should bet.

789
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:02,440
That's something that you'll kind of learn that Teddy will

790
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:04,400
talk about as we go through the year.

791
00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:07,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, So this is not These are not my official bets.

792
00:39:07,519 --> 00:39:09,199
These are not the stuff I'm giving out to my clients.

793
00:39:09,199 --> 00:39:11,079
This this stuff where I see the markets moving, are

794
00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:13,679
likely to move and if you want it, and it's

795
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:16,239
not in the mercy Betty, I don't even like the over.

796
00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:17,519
If you know you don't want to bet the over,

797
00:39:17,559 --> 00:39:19,599
don't worry about it. If you want the under, you wait.

798
00:39:20,199 --> 00:39:22,679
You know, from a side standpoint, I talked to earlier,

799
00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:26,239
earlier in the show with an EBA about Pittsburgh, who,

800
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:30,920
by the way, I'm seeing threes now popping up the

801
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:34,199
whole Bunchel book. Come on, that's what we try to do.

802
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:36,159
You know, I want to get you guys ahead of it.

803
00:39:36,159 --> 00:39:39,000
It's not like you have to bet the Steelers. But

804
00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:42,320
it's not like I've loaded up on Pittsburgh as an opinion.

805
00:39:42,679 --> 00:39:44,119
When I see that, you know, again, I've been in

806
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:47,079
Vegas since nineteen ninety eight. When I see the signs

807
00:39:47,079 --> 00:39:49,159
that the market's gonna move, I try to share that

808
00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:51,519
with you before the market's move. I'm not right one

809
00:39:51,559 --> 00:39:54,559
hundred percent of the time. Sometimes i'm wrong, sometimes nothing happens,

810
00:39:55,119 --> 00:39:58,599
but I'm right more than i'm wrong, and I'm certainly right.

811
00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:01,639
And that's why we do the emergency betting alerts because

812
00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:04,519
you know, for this Pittsburgh game, we expect the Steelers money.

813
00:40:04,519 --> 00:40:05,719
We already seen Steelers money.

814
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:09,679
Speaker 3: So yeah, And that's and that's the business that you're in, folks.

815
00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:11,440
Speaker 1: Like if you're watching this show, whether you're a rec

816
00:40:11,519 --> 00:40:13,719
better or pro better, you want to bet games and

817
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:15,760
sides that you like at the best number you can

818
00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:18,920
bet them. And that's the idea behind the emergency betting alert.

819
00:40:19,079 --> 00:40:21,400
That's Teddy Covers. You can follow him on Twitter at

820
00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:27,280
Teddy Underscore Covers. Teddy, let's talk the next one o'clock game.

821
00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:29,320
So what it's the second out of the four one

822
00:40:29,320 --> 00:40:32,000
o'clock games that they have, and it's Denver taking on

823
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:35,119
New Orleans, a team that has a lot of hopes

824
00:40:35,159 --> 00:40:37,400
for this year in the Denver Broncos, and a team

825
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:39,800
who many folks think will be the worst team in

826
00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:43,599
the league. Here, But how does that translate to preseason football?

827
00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:46,039
Probably not too much, Teddy. How are you looking to

828
00:40:46,199 --> 00:40:47,079
break this one down?

829
00:40:47,559 --> 00:40:49,639
Speaker 2: Broncos minus three and a half thirty seven and a

830
00:40:49,639 --> 00:40:51,480
half of the open We haven't seen any movement on

831
00:40:51,519 --> 00:40:55,920
this whatsoever. Sean Payton three and oh straight up and

832
00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:58,400
against the spread in the preseason last year, two and

833
00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:00,000
oh straight up and against the spread in the preseason

834
00:41:00,199 --> 00:41:04,480
this year. The last four wins for the Broncos under

835
00:41:04,519 --> 00:41:07,639
Peyton in the preseason all by twenty or more points,

836
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:12,400
zero losing preseason straight up his last four years in

837
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:16,760
New Orleans dating back to twenty twenties twenty seventeen. We

838
00:41:16,840 --> 00:41:19,599
have Jared Stidham, who's been great thirty of thirty eight

839
00:41:19,599 --> 00:41:21,840
passing three and or seventy six seras in four touchdowns

840
00:41:22,199 --> 00:41:25,559
this preseason. Then Sam Allinger, you know, I don't know

841
00:41:25,559 --> 00:41:28,079
if we're gonna see bon Nicks or not. Denver's defensive

842
00:41:28,119 --> 00:41:31,480
depth had been phenomenal, and the Broncos are showing science

843
00:41:31,519 --> 00:41:34,079
right now in August, and the wise guys love this

844
00:41:34,119 --> 00:41:38,400
team already. So there's already been Denver money you talked about.

845
00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:40,559
In New Orleans. They got the seventeen to seventeen ty

846
00:41:40,679 --> 00:41:43,039
with Jacksonville Joe for the touchdown and the two point

847
00:41:43,079 --> 00:41:47,119
conversion late, and I'm seeing I was reading stuff Spencer

848
00:41:47,199 --> 00:41:52,400
Ratler had the edge over Tyler. Shuck. No, Spencer Ratler

849
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:54,880
played against the backups. He played in the second half.

850
00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:57,320
I was playing in the first half, and when you

851
00:41:57,320 --> 00:42:01,840
play in the first half, you've seeing tougher competition. So yeah,

852
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:04,639
I rather had, you know, rather had one field goal

853
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:08,320
and one touchdown for the entirety of the second half. Shuck.

854
00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:12,000
I felt really comfortable. But listen to this quote. It's

855
00:42:12,079 --> 00:42:15,079
all new for us, a new offense, new system, new

856
00:42:15,119 --> 00:42:18,679
guys were thrown to, so there's going to be growth moments.

857
00:42:19,119 --> 00:42:22,119
You know, killing Moore sooners always better. But the guys

858
00:42:22,119 --> 00:42:23,960
are competing, they're given everything is all we can ask.

859
00:42:24,039 --> 00:42:26,320
Will continue to evaluate. They have no idea what they're

860
00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:28,440
doing at the quarterbacks station right now. And you talked

861
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:30,599
about New Orleans might be the worst team in the NFL,

862
00:42:31,079 --> 00:42:33,559
and my powering is going to the season. I've got

863
00:42:33,559 --> 00:42:37,159
them worse than the Browns, worse than the Giants, the

864
00:42:37,159 --> 00:42:39,760
thirty second ranked team in the league, and a team

865
00:42:39,760 --> 00:42:44,280
that has QB issues which may create some urgency for August.

866
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:46,320
But the markets are on step in front of Peyton

867
00:42:46,639 --> 00:42:48,320
and Denver have been bet on all the way.

868
00:42:49,840 --> 00:42:51,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, you can call it the Shadur Sanders effect.

869
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:53,719
When you get to play against the second and third

870
00:42:53,760 --> 00:42:56,280
stringers and then you light the world on fire. That'll

871
00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:59,519
that'll be the the new coin term for moving forward

872
00:42:59,559 --> 00:43:03,239
here through the preseason. Teddy, let's keep it Roland one

873
00:43:03,400 --> 00:43:07,880
nineteen one twenty on the on the odds board. Here

874
00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:11,400
we're looking at the rams taken on the aforementioned Browns.

875
00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:14,119
Perfect segue there, Teddy, how are you looking to break

876
00:43:14,199 --> 00:43:17,280
this one down? Because I'm seeing what is it over

877
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:20,079
at fan Duel four and a half is what the

878
00:43:20,079 --> 00:43:22,360
odds logic screen is showing here on Cleveland.

879
00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:25,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's emergency betting alert this one as well. I

880
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:26,960
don't know we're gonna have any more than not one,

881
00:43:27,039 --> 00:43:36,960
but this could be open. This opened three and thirty

882
00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:39,280
seven and a half we've already seen Brown's money three

883
00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:41,239
and a half, three and a half minus twenty. There

884
00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:42,920
are fours out there, there are four and a half

885
00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:47,559
popping out there. We're going. I expect we'll see more

886
00:43:47,559 --> 00:43:49,960
Cleveland money than what we just saw, than what we've

887
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:56,559
already seen. It's very much a circumstance. Four. Now I've

888
00:43:56,559 --> 00:43:59,679
lost my notes? Where am I at Cleveland Browns? There

889
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:04,159
we go? All right? So, first of all, the Rams

890
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:07,639
don't give a crap. All right, McVeigh does not care.

891
00:44:08,559 --> 00:44:10,760
Last week plus two and a half to plus eight

892
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:13,480
and a half money poorting against him. No head coach

893
00:44:13,519 --> 00:44:15,679
the NFL cares less about August wins than Sean McVay.

894
00:44:15,920 --> 00:44:17,400
That being said, the Rams are now four and one,

895
00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:19,000
straight up, five and zer against his bread in August.

896
00:44:19,039 --> 00:44:22,480
The last two years, it was all stetson Bennett. Last week,

897
00:44:22,679 --> 00:44:24,480
I'm expecting to see lots of set and penned again.

898
00:44:24,559 --> 00:44:27,000
This week we're gonna get an update on Matthew Stafford today.

899
00:44:27,159 --> 00:44:29,800
I would not expect Stafford to move. The offense was

900
00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:32,159
just fine for the third stree quarterback twenty six first downs,

901
00:44:32,280 --> 00:44:34,079
four to fifty eight total yards, six point zero yards

902
00:44:34,119 --> 00:44:38,159
per play they did allow a punt return touchdown. That said,

903
00:44:38,159 --> 00:44:40,519
it was kind of a lucky win against the Churcher's

904
00:44:40,559 --> 00:44:42,760
Bennett through a red zone pick, then a three and

905
00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:44,679
out and then he hit a forty yard completion in

906
00:44:44,679 --> 00:44:46,480
the final seconds did of set up the game winning

907
00:44:46,519 --> 00:44:50,400
field goal. The market's not enamored with the rams for

908
00:44:50,559 --> 00:44:53,760
the Browns, you know, and again we're hearing the quotes

909
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:57,719
from Tofansy that he wants to name a starter. They're

910
00:44:57,760 --> 00:45:01,920
not there yet, you know, whether Tyler Huntley or Dylan

911
00:45:01,920 --> 00:45:04,559
Gabriel or whether we're gonna see Standards or Flacco, we

912
00:45:04,599 --> 00:45:09,639
don't know yet. Nonetheless, there's quarterback competition, and there's a

913
00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:15,199
decent quarterback rotation, and there's urgency. And two straight weeks

914
00:45:15,199 --> 00:45:17,480
for Cleveland, that defense hasrilly been the best unit on

915
00:45:17,519 --> 00:45:20,360
the field. You know. They shut down Carolina last week

916
00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:25,159
and shut down Philly over the weekend. So the Browns, again,

917
00:45:25,199 --> 00:45:27,119
we've already seen them take some money. Would not be

918
00:45:27,159 --> 00:45:30,239
surprised that they take more money between now and kickoff?

919
00:45:31,159 --> 00:45:33,800
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, we'll keep it moving here. Final one

920
00:45:33,840 --> 00:45:38,760
o'clock kick. You got Houston taking on Detroit. What are

921
00:45:38,760 --> 00:45:40,039
you seeing in this one ted.

922
00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:42,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, Detroit open one and a half, thirty six and

923
00:45:42,880 --> 00:45:46,320
a half. We've seen a little bit of under money

924
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:48,280
at a couple of books. I'm seeing thirty sixes and

925
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:50,920
thirty five and a halfs out there, basically sitting still

926
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:54,159
at one and a half at most locations right now.

927
00:45:54,639 --> 00:45:57,280
The Texans beat Carolina, that's likely the last to what

928
00:45:57,320 --> 00:46:00,039
we've see in for the starters for the Texas in

929
00:46:00,119 --> 00:46:02,320
the Preseasony only give up one first down in three

930
00:46:02,360 --> 00:46:04,800
series when O actually the defense again. Stroud got to

931
00:46:04,840 --> 00:46:07,079
start six of eight of forty four, then Davis Mills,

932
00:46:07,119 --> 00:46:11,360
then Keton Slovas, then Graham Mertz, Slovas and Mertz. That's

933
00:46:11,360 --> 00:46:13,800
a rough quarterback combination. I don't know how much Mills

934
00:46:13,840 --> 00:46:17,480
we're gonna see here either, and I would not expect

935
00:46:17,480 --> 00:46:18,920
to see a whole lot of Stroud, although I haven't

936
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:23,360
heard that officially yet from the Texans. The Lions got

937
00:46:23,400 --> 00:46:25,840
beat by Miami. Kyle Allen was pretty good in that game,

938
00:46:25,880 --> 00:46:28,840
fourteen to seventeen, bucks, twenty four two touchdowns, no pick.

939
00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:31,639
Hendon Hooker, who said it was a big preseason for him.

940
00:46:32,159 --> 00:46:36,440
He's been pretty awful, and Dan Campbell said it quote

941
00:46:36,519 --> 00:46:38,679
right now. I would trust Kyle Moore, but we're still

942
00:46:38,679 --> 00:46:40,719
gonna coach Hooker up. I'm going to try to get

943
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:44,480
him more reps against this week. You know, Allen, we

944
00:46:44,559 --> 00:46:46,920
got a really good, really complete offense. I know I

945
00:46:46,920 --> 00:46:49,199
have optioned on every play. I'm confiding to know where

946
00:46:49,239 --> 00:46:52,440
to go on every call. That's a nice feeling. Detroit

947
00:46:52,440 --> 00:46:55,440
against Miami one to twelve on third downs, thirteen penalties.

948
00:46:55,440 --> 00:46:57,840
They go three to three on four downs. Damn Campbell

949
00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:00,920
football already. I expect to see a lot of Hooker

950
00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:03,039
this week. He's the guy who needs to work and

951
00:47:03,239 --> 00:47:06,679
it's a meaningful game for him. But Campbell doesn't care

952
00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:08,719
about winning at this time of year, and I don't

953
00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:11,000
see a ton of money coming to the Lions.

954
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:15,760
Speaker 1: It's Teddy Covers WT Buzz slash TC is where you

955
00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:17,679
can find them. We talked about earlier. Check out that

956
00:47:17,800 --> 00:47:22,239
seven seven seven deal Teddy. We got five games left

957
00:47:22,360 --> 00:47:24,280
to go here, four o'clock kick.

958
00:47:24,360 --> 00:47:26,199
Speaker 3: We got Seattle taking on.

959
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:30,400
Speaker 1: The Green Bay Ackers, looking like another road favorite. That's

960
00:47:30,440 --> 00:47:32,480
kind of a customary thing. You see a lot here

961
00:47:32,599 --> 00:47:35,199
in the preseason. Thirty eight and a half, we'll call

962
00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:38,239
the total. How are you looking to break down this one, Teddy, Yeah,

963
00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:39,159
I'm calling Seattle.

964
00:47:39,159 --> 00:47:40,599
Speaker 2: That was ones at the open and one and a

965
00:47:40,639 --> 00:47:43,880
half thirty eight and a half the total. Haven't seen

966
00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:45,719
a whole lot of movement at all. Still one and

967
00:47:45,760 --> 00:47:47,119
a half out there, thirty eight and a half For

968
00:47:47,159 --> 00:47:49,599
most of these games on Saturday, I'm not expecting to

969
00:47:49,599 --> 00:47:51,119
see a whole lot of movement on Monday morning. The

970
00:47:51,480 --> 00:47:54,400
action is more likely to come in on the Thursday's

971
00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:58,079
last Friday games. This coming right at the open, then

972
00:47:58,119 --> 00:48:00,840
we'll see for the Saturday games. More time and less

973
00:48:00,840 --> 00:48:04,960
info available for most of these contests. But Seattle's a

974
00:48:04,960 --> 00:48:08,440
little bit of road shock. Sam Donald was good against

975
00:48:08,559 --> 00:48:11,199
Kansas City. The Seahawks have really met put in all

976
00:48:11,239 --> 00:48:14,559
the emphasis on running the football this August. Well I

977
00:48:14,599 --> 00:48:18,000
had another big running gay against Kansas City. Forty eight carries,

978
00:48:18,039 --> 00:48:19,920
two hund and sixty eight rushing yard. It's five different

979
00:48:19,920 --> 00:48:23,880
players rushed for at least thirty yard. Mike MacDonald. The

980
00:48:23,960 --> 00:48:26,199
backs ran really hard every back today. I thought rand

981
00:48:26,239 --> 00:48:28,719
the ball hard going forward, how we finished plays. I

982
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:31,679
can't wait to watch it and again that game thirty

983
00:48:31,719 --> 00:48:34,119
three to sixteen. It was thirty to nine before they

984
00:48:34,119 --> 00:48:36,840
give up the punt return touchdown. Seattle going bet on

985
00:48:37,079 --> 00:48:40,000
signs this August, and the ability to run the football

986
00:48:40,039 --> 00:48:41,960
in August is a positive sign for a team, that is,

987
00:48:42,039 --> 00:48:46,039
if he has had had ifiostav line play of late.

988
00:48:46,360 --> 00:48:49,320
There's a joint practice between these two teams on Thursday

989
00:48:49,679 --> 00:48:52,960
that will probably affect how the player rotations are in

990
00:48:53,000 --> 00:48:57,159
this game. We're not gonna see obviously, Jordan Love, who's

991
00:48:57,159 --> 00:49:00,639
still recovering from surgery. Malik Willis is not a bet

992
00:49:00,719 --> 00:49:03,800
on QB at the NFL level. Taylor AIGERSMA had a

993
00:49:03,840 --> 00:49:05,960
better game this week. Sean Clifford just one of four

994
00:49:06,320 --> 00:49:08,760
for eleven yards on the final drive, But Clifford the

995
00:49:08,800 --> 00:49:11,760
type of backup I don't mind having my money on

996
00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:13,360
in August. That being said, I wouldn't be surprised at

997
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:17,320
all if it's AIGERSMA and Willis for the majority of

998
00:49:17,400 --> 00:49:20,400
this contest. No player rotation announced just yet.

999
00:49:21,599 --> 00:49:24,719
Speaker 1: Over two thousand of you watching us live here, we

1000
00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:27,840
greatly appreciate it. This is the opening line report wage

1001
00:49:27,840 --> 00:49:30,159
to Talk TV. And if you're just joining us now, folks,

1002
00:49:30,280 --> 00:49:33,280
you already missed three emergency betting alerts, so make sure

1003
00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:35,360
you get notified when we go live. But if you're

1004
00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:37,519
joining us now, just watch there. Watch It'll be on

1005
00:49:37,599 --> 00:49:40,960
Teddy's Twitter, Kelly's Twitter, or head on over to YouTube.

1006
00:49:40,960 --> 00:49:42,559
Speaker 3: That's where we would appreciate you watching.

1007
00:49:42,599 --> 00:49:45,119
Speaker 1: Get those views up, get those likes coming, and hit

1008
00:49:45,199 --> 00:49:47,280
that little bell and you'll never miss when we go

1009
00:49:47,360 --> 00:49:50,559
live here, Teddy, what we got four games left here

1010
00:49:50,599 --> 00:49:54,039
on the slate Jacksonville and Miami is the next one

1011
00:49:54,280 --> 00:49:58,440
up here? And what are we seeing again? This was

1012
00:49:58,519 --> 00:50:01,039
one that when I was making up graphics, the line

1013
00:50:01,119 --> 00:50:03,840
was one thing, and I'm looking at something different here, Teddy.

1014
00:50:03,920 --> 00:50:06,440
Speaker 3: So what are you seeing? Jags and Dolphins?

1015
00:50:06,519 --> 00:50:08,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, me and you both. We've seen a whole lot

1016
00:50:08,719 --> 00:50:11,039
of money for Miami over the course of the last

1017
00:50:11,199 --> 00:50:14,840
couple of hours. Jacksonville was a favorite at the open,

1018
00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:19,519
and that one got popped early and significantly with the

1019
00:50:19,639 --> 00:50:21,800
Jaggs opened one and a half thirty eight and a half.

1020
00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:26,320
And now I'm seeing Miami minus three with Juice even

1021
00:50:26,360 --> 00:50:28,239
at some place, three minus a quarter at a handful

1022
00:50:28,239 --> 00:50:33,440
of books for the Dolphins. Yeah, three minus fifteen, three

1023
00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:37,159
minus twenty. So we've seen a lot of Miami money

1024
00:50:37,599 --> 00:50:44,119
so far for this one. The Dolphins with you know,

1025
00:50:44,159 --> 00:50:47,159
we saw Zach Wilson look pretty good this past week

1026
00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:50,440
and quinn Ewers, who I wanted to bet against week one,

1027
00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:52,800
and he was pretty bet against week one. It didn't matter.

1028
00:50:53,400 --> 00:50:56,599
Yours was much better this past week. McDaniel did not

1029
00:50:56,800 --> 00:51:00,039
say if the starters were going to play after the

1030
00:51:01,039 --> 00:51:03,800
Perhaps there's been an announcement there already this morning. Perhaps they're

1031
00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:07,280
just getting in front of a Jacksonville team that is

1032
00:51:07,320 --> 00:51:13,119
not likely to play starters. And again we've seen Trevor

1033
00:51:13,159 --> 00:51:16,679
Lawrence look good in a couple of preseason performances. They

1034
00:51:16,719 --> 00:51:21,800
were sloppy in the scrimmage on Thursday, and the starters

1035
00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:25,000
played much better both sides of the football on Saturday.

1036
00:51:25,039 --> 00:51:27,239
Now it's in theory of bet on QB rotation for

1037
00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:31,480
the Jags Trevor Lawrence, Nick Mullins, John Wolford, Steth Hannigan late,

1038
00:51:31,559 --> 00:51:33,440
but I don't think Lawrence is gonna play here. We

1039
00:51:33,480 --> 00:51:35,119
may not see Mullins this week. It could be a

1040
00:51:35,119 --> 00:51:38,760
lot of Wolford and Hannigan, and Hannigan hasn't shown any

1041
00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:43,199
bet on thus far coming out of Memphis.

1042
00:51:44,280 --> 00:51:47,280
Speaker 1: Daddy next game up here, we got Buffalo and Tampa

1043
00:51:47,320 --> 00:51:51,840
Bay and after last night's shacking that the Bears had

1044
00:51:51,960 --> 00:51:55,119
at the at the against the Buffalo Bills. Here I

1045
00:51:55,159 --> 00:51:58,000
saw quotes from Sean McDermott and I said, well, I know, Teddy,

1046
00:51:58,039 --> 00:51:58,440
you'll have.

1047
00:51:58,360 --> 00:52:00,199
Speaker 3: Something to talk about with the Buffalo bill.

1048
00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:04,400
Speaker 1: Here they're taking on the Bucks and no surprise seeing

1049
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:07,199
Tampa Bay as a favorite. But that favorite number seems

1050
00:52:07,199 --> 00:52:09,199
to be shrinking, at least on my screen, ted are

1051
00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:10,000
you seeing the same.

1052
00:52:10,679 --> 00:52:12,800
Speaker 2: Let's get our final emergency betting alert of the show

1053
00:52:12,800 --> 00:52:22,079
on right here, right now, four of them Tampa opened

1054
00:52:22,119 --> 00:52:23,960
one and a half, thirty seven and a half. I'm

1055
00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:25,679
seeing one and a half is out there still. I'm

1056
00:52:25,679 --> 00:52:30,360
also seeing pick'ems right now. We've seen some of the

1057
00:52:30,519 --> 00:52:35,280
leading indicator books move towards Buffalo after that dismal showing

1058
00:52:35,400 --> 00:52:39,159
against Chicago yesterday. If you liked the Bills, I would not.

1059
00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:42,599
I would tet find a one and a half right

1060
00:52:42,639 --> 00:52:44,440
now and grab it because I'm not convinces going to

1061
00:52:44,519 --> 00:52:47,480
be there all that much longer. Both DKY and fandall

1062
00:52:47,559 --> 00:52:50,480
have that number available as we speak. But it's pretty

1063
00:52:50,480 --> 00:52:55,119
clear we're going to see some Buffalo money now. Trubisky

1064
00:52:55,199 --> 00:52:58,480
wasn't good yesterday. Mark White wasn't good yesterday. Josh Allen

1065
00:52:58,480 --> 00:53:00,480
hasn't played in either of the preseason game. It's worth

1066
00:53:00,519 --> 00:53:03,880
nony Allen's thrown at least three passes in every preseason

1067
00:53:04,280 --> 00:53:06,519
since he came in the league in twenty eighteen. The

1068
00:53:06,559 --> 00:53:08,800
market saying we could see a little bit of Josh Allen,

1069
00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:11,039
at least a cup of coffee with him this week.

1070
00:53:11,159 --> 00:53:14,400
So with the Bills off a complete no show, the

1071
00:53:14,440 --> 00:53:16,840
Bills off a disbel game, the Bills with a veteran

1072
00:53:16,880 --> 00:53:20,119
QB rotation, the Bills potentially playing Allen this week, that's

1073
00:53:20,159 --> 00:53:27,360
why we're seeing money for Buffalo right now. As for Tampa,

1074
00:53:27,360 --> 00:53:30,800
they got to win against Pittsburgh. Kyle Trask wasn't good

1075
00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:33,239
as a second stringer, only three compass completions of four

1076
00:53:33,599 --> 00:53:36,719
first half drive zero points. Connor Basilax not necessarily a

1077
00:53:36,760 --> 00:53:38,960
bet on QB in the second half, had a muff

1078
00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:41,159
punt set up the Steelers tying touchdown. But they couldn't

1079
00:53:41,239 --> 00:53:46,360
run at all against Pittsburgh's defense, and that's certainly concern here.

1080
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:48,960
Against the Buffalo defense, that's far better than what we

1081
00:53:49,000 --> 00:53:51,280
saw yesterday against Chicago.

1082
00:53:52,039 --> 00:53:55,880
Speaker 1: Man four emergency betting alerts. I cannot wait for the

1083
00:53:55,920 --> 00:53:59,039
regular season to be here. But this is scratching the itch, Teddy,

1084
00:53:59,079 --> 00:54:00,840
I will tell you, and it's a fun time.

1085
00:54:01,039 --> 00:54:01,480
Speaker 3: Go ahead.

1086
00:54:01,599 --> 00:54:04,199
Speaker 2: Well, I expect fewer emergency bettlers than regular season. You know,

1087
00:54:04,239 --> 00:54:08,320
we see early on, but you might see a couple

1088
00:54:08,320 --> 00:54:10,559
of Week two, Week three, we'll see a handle. Week one.

1089
00:54:10,559 --> 00:54:12,159
We're not gonna see any I'll tell you that right now,

1090
00:54:12,159 --> 00:54:12,960
because the market.

1091
00:54:13,119 --> 00:54:16,239
Speaker 1: I mean they've been out, they've been out for our

1092
00:54:16,400 --> 00:54:19,719
damn long borring anything crazy. Yeah, we would be shocked

1093
00:54:19,719 --> 00:54:22,719
to see an emergency betting alert. All right, two games

1094
00:54:22,840 --> 00:54:26,480
left here on our final preseason audition and then it's

1095
00:54:26,519 --> 00:54:29,400
all regular season, folks, exciting stuff. So to make sure

1096
00:54:29,719 --> 00:54:33,639
you're subscribed here, let's talk the Battle of California Los

1097
00:54:33,679 --> 00:54:36,000
Angeles Chargers, even though they just had the Battle of

1098
00:54:36,079 --> 00:54:38,880
Los Angeles at least last weekend. They're taking on the

1099
00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:41,760
San Francisco forty nine ers, this one taking place in

1100
00:54:41,800 --> 00:54:44,519
the Bay Area. Teddy, what are you seeing in this one?

1101
00:54:44,760 --> 00:54:47,639
I'm seeing pretty much painted three and thirty sevens and

1102
00:54:47,679 --> 00:54:48,000
a half.

1103
00:54:48,480 --> 00:54:50,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, the early money's come for San France. There were

1104
00:54:50,239 --> 00:54:51,840
two and a half's out there this morning. I call

1105
00:54:51,880 --> 00:54:53,559
it a split line two and a half three thirty

1106
00:54:53,599 --> 00:54:55,320
seven and a half. We've seen the two and a

1107
00:54:55,320 --> 00:54:58,360
halfs get eaten up and the Chargers don't care. You know,

1108
00:55:00,199 --> 00:55:02,360
the QB rote we had justin Herbert this past week,

1109
00:55:02,400 --> 00:55:05,599
I would not expect to see Herbert playing this week.

1110
00:55:05,719 --> 00:55:07,320
They got steamed to High Heaven minus two and a

1111
00:55:07,320 --> 00:55:09,320
half minus eight and a half against the Rams Tyler

1112
00:55:09,320 --> 00:55:13,559
Heineke then Trey Lance. That's certainly a bet on QB duo.

1113
00:55:13,719 --> 00:55:17,039
They had a punt return touchdown and still lost to

1114
00:55:17,119 --> 00:55:21,480
the Rams. Carball quote. I was happy with the action

1115
00:55:21,559 --> 00:55:23,719
that both our first team defense and first team offense

1116
00:55:23,719 --> 00:55:26,360
got in this game. We needed it. It helped us.

1117
00:55:26,599 --> 00:55:30,760
So I'm not expecting first stringers for the Chargers this game,

1118
00:55:30,840 --> 00:55:34,639
hence the San Fran money. That being said, the forty

1119
00:55:34,719 --> 00:55:38,079
nine Ers were missing twenty players due to injury going

1120
00:55:38,079 --> 00:55:41,880
into the game and they still beat Vegas, but they

1121
00:55:41,920 --> 00:55:44,199
lost three more offensive players injuries and the first half

1122
00:55:44,239 --> 00:55:48,480
starting guard got hurt. The defense didn't even have enough.

1123
00:55:48,599 --> 00:55:51,280
The first dring defense had too many injured guys to

1124
00:55:51,280 --> 00:55:57,840
play the first ring unit on was it Saturday. I'm

1125
00:55:57,840 --> 00:55:59,760
not laying that we all go with the forty nine Ers.

1126
00:56:00,079 --> 00:56:02,800
They're banged up team right now, and the week three

1127
00:56:02,800 --> 00:56:07,960
preseason game isn't making a difference, but isn't. I don't

1128
00:56:08,039 --> 00:56:12,480
think Shanahan's gonna worry about making getting guys ready as

1129
00:56:12,559 --> 00:56:16,559
much as he's worry about keeping this veterans healthy. The

1130
00:56:16,599 --> 00:56:18,719
Ford nine or after the last year's injury real disaster

1131
00:56:19,039 --> 00:56:21,719
cannot be an injury reddal disaster going into the season,

1132
00:56:21,760 --> 00:56:24,000
So Jenny has not playing anyone. I'm surprised this line

1133
00:56:24,039 --> 00:56:25,400
is still at three, but the Chargers are not a

1134
00:56:25,440 --> 00:56:27,159
team that the betters want this week.

1135
00:56:28,199 --> 00:56:29,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, spot on there, Teddy.

1136
00:56:29,679 --> 00:56:33,400
Speaker 1: All right, final game, this one going at ten o'clock

1137
00:56:33,559 --> 00:56:38,639
Eastern late night special for you to end the NFL preseason,

1138
00:56:39,039 --> 00:56:42,440
and that's the aforementioned Las Vegas Raiders taking on the

1139
00:56:42,519 --> 00:56:46,320
Arizona Cardinals. Ashton gent finally showed a little bit of flashes,

1140
00:56:46,920 --> 00:56:50,280
so something to be excited about for Raiders fans outside

1141
00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:53,039
of not much last week. Teddy, how are you looking

1142
00:56:53,079 --> 00:56:54,440
to break down this final one?

1143
00:56:54,679 --> 00:56:56,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, Arizona opened one and a half, thirty seven and

1144
00:56:56,920 --> 00:56:58,480
a half. The still people we're looking at right now.

1145
00:56:58,480 --> 00:57:01,159
The markets haven't done anything on this game just yet.

1146
00:57:02,159 --> 00:57:04,519
I mean the Raiders. Their run defense was really good

1147
00:57:04,519 --> 00:57:07,440
against the Niners. The pass defense wasn't good, and that's

1148
00:57:07,440 --> 00:57:08,920
been the reports coming out of camps. You got to

1149
00:57:08,960 --> 00:57:11,719
worry about this secondary. It's not necessarily a bet on

1150
00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:15,320
QB rotation depend how much Cam Miller plays. Miller's been

1151
00:57:15,400 --> 00:57:17,519
rough in both preseason games. He was rough again this

1152
00:57:17,559 --> 00:57:19,960
past week, two of six, stopped in the red zone,

1153
00:57:20,119 --> 00:57:21,760
down six, they settled for three and then through a

1154
00:57:21,760 --> 00:57:25,239
pick l eight to allow the game field goal against them. Yeah,

1155
00:57:25,360 --> 00:57:30,199
Aston Gent was really good, but you know, wow, a

1156
00:57:30,280 --> 00:57:32,719
running back got a couple of carries in August. Yay.

1157
00:57:34,800 --> 00:57:37,760
From a points spread standpoint, asking Gent, he's much more

1158
00:57:37,800 --> 00:57:40,719
interesting from a fantasy standpoint or a problem stamp in

1159
00:57:40,800 --> 00:57:43,119
any of that than he is from a points spread standpoint.

1160
00:57:43,440 --> 00:57:46,599
He's just a guy in that regard. Colonel's got bombed

1161
00:57:46,639 --> 00:57:48,960
by the Broncos. No kind of merrage Kobe Brissette than

1162
00:57:49,000 --> 00:57:51,199
Clayton Tune. Clayton Toon was rough. Twenty pass temps for

1163
00:57:51,239 --> 00:57:54,800
only fifty six net yards out first down to twenty

1164
00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:58,599
seven to eight total yards Denver five sixty two to

1165
00:57:58,679 --> 00:58:01,440
one thirty five. It could have been much worse. In

1166
00:58:01,519 --> 00:58:03,320
a game they lost twenty seven to seven. The Broncos

1167
00:58:03,360 --> 00:58:05,519
were only two to six in the red zone. Jonathan

1168
00:58:05,639 --> 00:58:08,480
gannon quote. We got out play tonight. That was obvious

1169
00:58:08,719 --> 00:58:14,679
by the score. You know, there's certainly issues in that

1170
00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:17,719
regard and urgency in that regard for Arizona. But week

1171
00:58:17,719 --> 00:58:20,280
three of the preseason, I'm not convinced either coach cares

1172
00:58:20,280 --> 00:58:21,760
too much. The markets have no idea what to do

1173
00:58:21,800 --> 00:58:23,920
with this game. That's why they haven't done anything just yet.

1174
00:58:25,039 --> 00:58:27,920
Speaker 1: Final week of the NFL preseason, folks. There it is

1175
00:58:28,079 --> 00:58:31,920
Opening Line Report in the books. Figures to see a

1176
00:58:31,920 --> 00:58:34,280
lot of backups this weekend, Teddy, just like we saw

1177
00:58:34,360 --> 00:58:37,079
on today's show with me as the backup to Kelly Stewart.

1178
00:58:37,119 --> 00:58:39,039
Speaker 3: She will be back next Monday.

1179
00:58:39,079 --> 00:58:41,960
Speaker 1: But Teddy, after producing this show for about four years,

1180
00:58:42,039 --> 00:58:45,280
it was a pleasure riding shotgun here with you, buddy,

1181
00:58:45,320 --> 00:58:46,719
and I'm excited. It's going to be a hell of

1182
00:58:46,760 --> 00:58:48,559
a year here on Opening the Line Report, it's going

1183
00:58:48,599 --> 00:58:51,280
to be the biggest year yet. So Teddy, before we

1184
00:58:51,280 --> 00:58:54,119
shut it down, any parting folks, for the over twenty

1185
00:58:54,119 --> 00:58:55,760
one hundred people watching live.

1186
00:58:56,280 --> 00:58:59,079
Speaker 2: So if you guys comment on YouTube, I answered every

1187
00:58:59,079 --> 00:59:01,880
single comment, going there everywhere. I'm going there today. I'll

1188
00:59:01,880 --> 00:59:03,800
go in there again, tomorrow, I'll go in there again Wednesdays.

1189
00:59:03,840 --> 00:59:05,840
I get in there three times. If you comment I

1190
00:59:05,880 --> 00:59:08,119
have a question, I'll answer it. You know you want

1191
00:59:08,159 --> 00:59:10,119
to make fun of me, that's fine, that's all good that.

1192
00:59:10,280 --> 00:59:13,679
I appreciate any interaction. The likes make all the difference.

1193
00:59:13,719 --> 00:59:16,599
If you like this analysis, please just hit that like button.

1194
00:59:17,000 --> 00:59:19,039
Best of luck with all your bets this week and again.

1195
00:59:19,119 --> 00:59:21,039
Check out wagertalk dot com.

1196
00:59:21,639 --> 00:59:24,000
Speaker 3: He's Teddy Covers. I'm Dan Alexander.

1197
00:59:24,039 --> 00:59:26,679
Speaker 1: Folks, if you want some more NFL betting advice, all

1198
00:59:26,679 --> 00:59:28,400
you got to do is click the video right here

1199
00:59:28,480 --> 00:59:30,519
on your screen. If you want some more of Teddy

1200
00:59:30,559 --> 00:59:33,639
Covers breakdowns, click right here and folks, we'll see you

1201
00:59:33,719 --> 00:59:35,360
next week on Opening line report.

1202
00:59:35,559 --> 00:59:36,840
Speaker 3: Best the luck with your wagers.