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<v Speaker 1>Hey, it's Alex with the Token Metrics daily Pulse for

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<v Speaker 1>March twentieth, twenty twenty six. Wall Street is watching a

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<v Speaker 1>D five perpse exchange. That's actually the sentence that starts today.

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<v Speaker 1>But first a quick word from our sponsor. Okay, so

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<v Speaker 1>here's what's happening. So JP Morgan, the bank that once

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<v Speaker 1>called Bitcoin of fraud publicly on the record, just put

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<v Speaker 1>hyper Liquid in a client research memo, not as a curiosity,

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<v Speaker 1>as a serious venue where oil traders are going to

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<v Speaker 1>get round the clock exposure during the Iran conflict. Because

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<v Speaker 1>when missiles fly at two in the morning, traditional commodity

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<v Speaker 1>exchanges are closed. Hyper Liquid isn't. Bitcoin's back near seventy thousand,

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<v Speaker 1>and Morgan Stanley just filed an amended Bitcoin ETFs one.

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<v Speaker 1>The institutions aren't coming, They're already here. So where does

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<v Speaker 1>that leave the broader market? Pretty calm, honestly, Bitcoins sitting

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<v Speaker 1>just under seventy thousand, up a couple percent on the day.

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<v Speaker 1>Nothing explosive. Ethereum's basically flat, Solana's up a touch. Total

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<v Speaker 1>market cap is around two and a half trillion. Nothing

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<v Speaker 1>here is screaming. But here's the thing worth noticing Bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>dominance is sitting at about fifty six percent. That's high.

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<v Speaker 1>Alts aren't leading. Bitcoin is in the narrative sectors that

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<v Speaker 1>are moving, data availability, AI tokens, and deepen all up

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<v Speaker 1>more than twenty percent over the past seven days. The

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<v Speaker 1>rotation is away from speculation and toward infrastructure. That's a

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<v Speaker 1>different kind of market than what we had six months ago.

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<v Speaker 1>Prediction markets are telling a similar story, cautious but not panicked.

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<v Speaker 1>The odds of a fed rate cup by June are

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<v Speaker 1>priced at just thirteen and a half percent. That macrociling

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<v Speaker 1>isn't going anywhere soon, and smart money knows it. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>So let's get into what's actually driving all this. The

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<v Speaker 1>hyper liquid story is the one I can't stop thinking about.

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<v Speaker 1>JP Morgan, says Iran war volatility is sending oil traders

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<v Speaker 1>to a DeFi perpetuals exchange for exposure they literally cannot

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<v Speaker 1>get anywhere else. Overnight, hyper Liquid's total value locked is

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<v Speaker 1>sitting at one point seven to seven billion dollars, and

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<v Speaker 1>that was before JP Morgan put it in a client memo.

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<v Speaker 1>Think about what that memo does. It's not a crypto newsletter,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a note going at institutional desks and major banks.

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<v Speaker 1>The framing matters. This isn't DeFi winning on ideology or

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<v Speaker 1>decentralization talking points, it's winning on uptime. That's a completely

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<v Speaker 1>different argument, and it's one that Trapfi actually understands. Now

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<v Speaker 1>here's the second order question. Nobody's really asking if geopolitical

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<v Speaker 1>volatility is the catalyst that proves defis utility to Wall Street?

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<v Speaker 1>What happens when the Iran situation cools? Does the volume

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<v Speaker 1>stick or does it evaporate with the ceasefire? Watch open

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<v Speaker 1>interest on hyper Liquid's oil purpse over the next week.

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<v Speaker 1>That number will tell you whether this is a structural

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<v Speaker 1>shift or a temporary trade. Next up, Coinbase just launched

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<v Speaker 1>twenty four to seven stock perpetual futures for non US

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<v Speaker 1>traders cash settled in USDC, up to ten times leverage

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<v Speaker 1>on single stocks, twenty times on ETF products. We're talking Apple, Tesla, Nvidia,

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<v Speaker 1>the magnificent seven names available at midnight on a Saturday.

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<v Speaker 1>On a crypto exchange settled in stable coins. The everything

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<v Speaker 1>exchange thesis is no longer a pitch deck, It's a product.

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<v Speaker 1>But here's the real question. Does this pull volume away

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<v Speaker 1>from crypto native assets or does it pull tradfi users

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<v Speaker 1>into the ecosystem who then discover actual crypto. Second order

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<v Speaker 1>thinking says the on ramp matters more than the product itself.

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<v Speaker 1>Then there's the ripple survey, and look, surveys are easy

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<v Speaker 1>to dismiss. But seventy two percent of finance leaders now

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<v Speaker 1>saying digital assets are essential to their business. That's not

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<v Speaker 1>a fringe number, that's a super majority. And the priorities

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<v Speaker 1>are telling stable coins first, custody second, not speculation, not

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<v Speaker 1>yield infrastructure. The question has shifted from should we touch

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<v Speaker 1>crypto to how do we hold it safely and move

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<v Speaker 1>value with it? That shift from should we to how

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<v Speaker 1>do we is where institutional adoption actually lives. And then

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<v Speaker 1>there's the one that's personal. Google researchers flagged an exploit

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<v Speaker 1>chain called dark Sword targeting crypto apps on unpatched iOS

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<v Speaker 1>eighteen devices. It's not going after your seed phrase through

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<v Speaker 1>some elaborate smart contract trick. It's going after the apps

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<v Speaker 1>sitting on your phone right now, the ones you use

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<v Speaker 1>to check balances and send funds. If you haven't updated

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<v Speaker 1>your iPhone, you are the vulnerability. The timing is not accidental.

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<v Speaker 1>Security incidents spike during bull markets because more people are

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<v Speaker 1>moving more money. Update your phone today. All right, we

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<v Speaker 1>get into the risks. Quick word from our sponsor. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>we're back. Let's talk about what to watch for. So

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<v Speaker 1>what should you actually be worried about heading into the weekend.

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<v Speaker 1>Three things on my radar. First, derivatives are turning defensive

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<v Speaker 1>even as spot prices hold near seventy K. That combination

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<v Speaker 1>price holding but conviction not building historically means the price

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<v Speaker 1>bounce is borrowed. If longs aren't stepping in with size here,

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<v Speaker 1>the next leg down finds less support than people expect. Second,

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<v Speaker 1>the Iran conflict is a double edged catalyst. It's bullish

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<v Speaker 1>for DeFi adoption, we just talked about that, but it's

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<v Speaker 1>bearish for macro risk appetite broadly. If the situation escalates,

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<v Speaker 1>crypto gets sold alongside equities as a risk off move,

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<v Speaker 1>regardless of the structural narrative. Geopolitics doesn't care about your thesis. Third,

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<v Speaker 1>that dark sword exploit is live right now. The high

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<v Speaker 1>profile hack of a recognizable wallet or exchange app during

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<v Speaker 1>a period of rising retail engagement could spook sentiment fast.

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<v Speaker 1>The security risk isn't hypothetical. It's sitting on unpatched iPhones

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<v Speaker 1>across the world today. Looking ahead. Two things I'm watching closely. First,

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<v Speaker 1>the early adoption data on Coinbas's stock perpse volume and

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<v Speaker 1>open interest in the first two weeks will tell us

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<v Speaker 1>whether the Everything exchange model actually attracts trad FI users

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<v Speaker 1>or lands flat. If USDC settlement volume on stock perps

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<v Speaker 1>exceeds cryptoperpse volume within thirty days, that's a validated model

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<v Speaker 1>and competitors will move fast. If adoption is thin, it

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<v Speaker 1>was a product ahead of its market. Second, Apple's response

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<v Speaker 1>to the dark Sword disclosure. If they push an emergency

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<v Speaker 1>patch within forty eight hours, the risk window is contained.

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<v Speaker 1>If it takes longer than a week, expect copycat exploit kits.

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<v Speaker 1>Watch that one carefully. That's the pulse from March twentieth.

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<v Speaker 1>By the way, if you want the full written breakdown

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<v Speaker 1>with all the sources and charts, check out our newsletter

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<v Speaker 1>at tokenmetrics dot com. It's all there. This is educational content,

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<v Speaker 1>not investment advice. Always do your own research. I'm Alex,

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<v Speaker 1>See you next time.
