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Speaker 1: AI is something we're all going to have to deal with.

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I did an AI experiment this week, and I wanted

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to talk to Zach Abraham because Zach said something.

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Speaker 2: AI is going to be a job destroyer that isn't

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economically beneficial. AI is going to be a massive deflationary pressure,

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massive which ironically could help out quite a bit with

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the it's a product productivity surge, which will help out

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quite a bit with the inflation in its own right.

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But think about the amount of people that are going

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to be out of work now.

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Speaker 1: So that's just part of what Zach said. So AI

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job killer, inflation fixer, society changer. Do we really want

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to invest in this? Talk about this with the help

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of Bulwark Capital Management. That Know Your riskpodcast dot com

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ends God Almighty, but.

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Speaker 3: Todd Herman shows disapproved but big pharma technocrats and tyrants

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everywhere from the high and a free America. Here's the

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Emerald City Xie tied to her Man.

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Speaker 1: Today is the day the Lord has made, and these

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are the times to which God has decided we shall live.

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And the guy who spoke those words joins me. Zach Abraham,

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Chief Investments for Bulwart Capital Management's my brother.

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Speaker 2: Hello, Hello, sir, how are you?

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Speaker 1: How are you good? Yours right and high? We were

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chatting before the show about your Mariners and apparently they're

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good Christian men and a bunch of Christian Jesus lovers

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on the team, and yeah, and before we get to

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the AI stuff, that's really cool stuff.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's funny because my boys are both athletes,

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and my daughter doesn't she couldn't give a plug nickel

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about sports, but but she's a singer. But the boys

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are athletes. They both been baseball players, and I wasn't

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really a baseball player growing up. But you know, anytime

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you watch your kids do something, you get into it.

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Speaker 1: Yep.

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Speaker 2: And you know, I'm a sports fan in general.

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Speaker 1: Yep.

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Speaker 2: My wife loves to watch her son's play, but not

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into sports anyway. Obviously, the Mariners are doing really well,

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which if anybody knows anything about Seattle, it's a very

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complicated feeling because marin or fandom. I've equated it a

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lot to like the Stockholm syndrome.

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Speaker 1: So I was.

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Speaker 2: Kidnapped at birth and I've been mistreated and kept in

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a basement for forty three years. So when you're when

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you're let out, You're you're you're really enthusiastic, but you

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also don't fully believe it, like you're waiting for the

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other shoot to drop right. So no, but it's really

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just it's really captured, and I think the Jesus aspect

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of it, so many of the guys being Christians and

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being outspoken about their faith. It's just kind of captured

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our family's imagination. So my wife got on and got

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the whole family tickets and we're going to the game.

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We're gonna brave the belly of the Beast. Like I

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was joking with you, my kids are probably going to

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see their first fenty Lean explain.

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Speaker 1: That people know what that is. That's the people who

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look like zombies leaning over the middle that no human

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being can lean over head, just about touching the round,

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arms touching the ground, leanding back and forth, moaning.

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Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, or just not even making any sense. It's

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it's literally as if they've been folded in the half

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and there and and they're passed out but still standing

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up being folded in half. It's it's very bizarre. It's

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very dystopian. That's the best way I can describe it.

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Where you're walking around going people don't think this is

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a problem. It's it's it's it's bizarre. But anyway, I

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hope you have a fun time with the with the kids.

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And I've never been to a never been to a

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baseball playoff game, and I guess most people living in

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Seattle haven't, so it'll be a first for me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, for real. And you get this, uh, this little

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AI bit. I get the bart about jobs changing who works.

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Some jobs are good to fan of Vanish. I need

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you to explain to a degree the relationship between inflation

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and AI. And I got the productivity game part of that.

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I want you to do that in a second. And

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then I, I don't know, did you see the Walmart

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stock in what happened to it? With a did you

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see this bump? To me, this is insanity in itself.

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This is insanity in of itself. So we'll talk with

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Zach about this in a second. Hey, don't have this

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happen to you. Is this is the thing you never

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ever want to happen. Is you think you have something

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you don't have and you really really need it, such

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as driving through the desert. So let's say you're driving

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Los Angeles to Vegas, not a long drive, but it's

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two o'clock in the morning. It's flat tire, No big

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got the spare tire. But you don't. Don't do that.

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Do not arrive out of the country somewhere and get

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off the airplane and walk into customs and they say

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passport please you to go.

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Speaker 2: My what?

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Speaker 1: Don't let that happen. Do not get caught with that

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your corporate veil. If you've been in business five ten years,

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I'm here to tell you I don't care if an

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account set it up tax lawyer. You may not have

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that corporate veil to protect your personal assets from lawsuits

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or losses. You might have your bank not tell you

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the shay you don't actually have corporate credit. So here's

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how you find out. It's a website. It's gobvisible dot com,

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renew Obligation consultation. They'll tell you if you have the

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corporate veil. If you don't, in seven easy steps, they'll

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fix it for you. And the cost on that is

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negligible in comparison to the ROI of not getting caught

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with your pantalones down with no passports in a foreign

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country and no spare tire. Go visible dot com. So Zach,

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explain this to me. The AI get the job killer thing.

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But you talked about the relationship between AI and inflation

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productivity gain, So fill us in on this.

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Speaker 2: So if we think about inflation, so oftentimes we think

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about it from the monetary side, right, or the government side,

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the treasury right, government degradation of currency value too much

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to all that kind of stuff. But if you think

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about it, let's say we looked at the process of

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building a home, or refining oil, or any type of

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process that makes any type of good that we need

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on a regular basis. If we had some type of

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technological breakthrough that reduced the cost of production in that

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good by let's say thirty to fifty percent, that is

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the massive deflationary pressure, right, because while the currency may

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be being degraded because of this technological breakthrough, the cost

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of this good still went down thirty percent. That is

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a right There's because, like I said, we never think

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about that side of inflation. But if you can bring

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down through technological innovation, the cost of production faster than

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the currency right debasement, then you can actually have very

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large currency debasement and not have significant inflation. Does that

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make sense?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that does, right, So it's.

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Speaker 2: But you're you're addressing it. It's just odd because we

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don't usually have a lever to pull like that, right,

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there's not usually a lever that we can just pull

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in the economy and increase productivity by fifteen or twenty percent.

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AI appears like it's going to do just that. Now.

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Where I think that there's a lot of conflating going

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on is right now the markets. Now, I think the

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guys we've got to look at AI in kind of

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two different lenses. Right, there are investors that are buying

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the stocks. Then there are the hyperscalers and the tech

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companies that are making the hard investments. Okay, they're two

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different worlds. The tech companies and the investors making the

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hard investments. They don't really care what they're paying. They

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know they're overpaying for a lot of these assets, and

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you know the VC model. They're like, hey, we're going

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to make nine, we're going to make one hundred bets.

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If ninety four of them don't pay off, that's fine.

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We can't afford not to be involved in the four

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the do right, right, So that's the way they're playing it.

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So what they're doing makes sense to me. I think

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investors are really making a mistake because a they don't

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realize that is going on. And I think that's proof.

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And you hear Jeff Bezos say that, yes, AI is

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a bubble, but the tech is real. But yes, he

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said it's a bubble. Okay, then you hear talking heads

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like Kramer on CNBC saying it's not a bubble. I'm

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going to take Bethos's word a lot more. I'm going

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to listen to bethos opinion on that far more before

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I listen to the nit twit. You know, Kramer and

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his ilk on CNBC and why he said it's a

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bubble is, of course it's a bubble. These guys know

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they're paying way too much for these assets. It's the

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endgame that they're concerned about, right. I don't think investors

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realize that. Meaning. I think investors are looking at this

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like this is the Internet where it's going to be

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Because if you think about the Internet, the Internet was

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probably only bad for a very small fraction of businesses.

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One that comes to mind would be travel agencies, right,

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but if you look at virtually every other business, it

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immediately opened up that business to sell its product to

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everybody in the world at one time. So it really

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was this all benefit virtually no cost. Development. AI is

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completely different. AI is going to benefit as many tech

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companies as the REX. Probably less companies will benefit from

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AI than at REX. It's going to erode motes around

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companies because all of a sudden, this great technological innovation

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and these great programmers, right, we now will have access

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all of us will have access to a programmer that

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far exceeds the capability of the best programmers of Microsoft. Yep. Right,

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So that is that is not a competitive advantage for Microsoft.

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Speaker 1: Right, And that's crazy because it was Alex put up

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a video of a bomber back in ninety nine or

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two thousand, I think it was, and he was on

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stage addressing with peoples.

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Speaker 4: What's a what's let's sick you growlt of Microsoft?

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Speaker 1: How do we turn it around?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's just a developers, developers, develop person.

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Speaker 1: He's just stomping around the stage, just sweat trip from

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developed person.

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Speaker 2: You like.

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Speaker 1: People are shattered because they're afraid he's gonna hit him

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in the front developers.

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Speaker 3: And that was.

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Speaker 1: He's he's a nice guy. He's a nice guy, but dude,

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he is he gets wacky gorilla?

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Speaker 2: Is he is so okay? So that was all I

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was going to ask you. I look at him, and

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I'm like, you're weird me out, man, Like you're weird

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me out? He is? You worked for him though, you

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think he's a you think he was a good boss.

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Speaker 1: I mean I worked some levels down from him. But yeah, yeah,

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I was in more than one bomber meeting and yeah,

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good boss.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: And by the way, really cool guy. Uh. He came

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up to me once and they presented some data that

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a research team I had to do on on television

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viewing habits, and one of the execs at MSN said, Hey, Steve,

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this is Todd Herman much you mean him? Because you

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know what Juliane told me.

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Speaker 4: You're thinking about leaving the company. You're not going anywhere, man,

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You'll love having you here. This is good, this good

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stuff you're doing over an emision video.

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Speaker 1: You're not going anywhere. Shaking me by the shoulders. Good

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to meet you, Todd Herman. And I'm like, damn, he's

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so that's not an act, No, that's real. And then

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later he's like, what's the guy's name again? This because

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and but he's a very exerbertant dude, I'll tell you this,

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and then we got to get back on track.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 1: Now, this came to me from a very senior executive

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who worked next door to him and did deals with

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him that he at one point took a unopened can

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of diet coke and and threw it full force boom,

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smacked this guy upside the noggin. And this was a

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deal over AOL And Steve, to his credit, said oh,

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I'm so sorry. I can't believe I did that. And Yo, man,

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I'm sorry. I was like, what are I And then

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there was one big senior lawyer in the room, and

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the senior lawyer said, I think actually, what you meant,

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Steve is you now have a job for life and

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as much equity as you'll ever want in anything.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, So that exuberance apparently could go the other way.

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Speaker 2: The guy who told me that, and that gentleman's name

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was Sati Nadala.

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Speaker 1: Nope, nope, nope, nope. Okay, So now that's interesting because

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Yeahbamba was screaming, developer, developer, developer, no longer competitive advantage.

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I saw this thing with Walmart, and I had to

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I almost called you, because I almost felt like you

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because I was giggling and laughing about this. So let

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me bring this up in just a second. I once

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asked Tim Krukshank about Walmart. I asked him, Hey, Tim,

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if Walmart came and said, hey, we'll sell your coffee,

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but you got to remove the God part of the

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God Country team, what would you say? And Tim said

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non negotiable. Nope, that is a no. We'll never do that. Now.

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Would he like to be in Walmart? Sure, he thinks,

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until Walmart comes along and says, is, so, you know what,

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we need you to sell the coffee for ten cents

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a bag, and he can't do that because it's such

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high quality coffee. Tim's team is mentored by a coffee

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legend named Dave Stewart, who started Seattle's Best Coffee. That's

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why it's such which camera huge hike dis quant okay,

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huge high quality. Hey, look it's as this is my

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ninth cup of coffee today, A right, so give me

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a break. That's why it's such high quality. He mentors

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the team. On the other roasts. Here's a little secret

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for you. I am all into the Golden Age roast.

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That is a creamier roast to me, I think my

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wife loves it too. We're visiting on this. But if

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you want to get juiced, full on juiced like in

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your let's say that you choose caffeinated gum or something

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that's like really high energy gum. Because I have a

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friend of mine who choose gum like that.

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Speaker 2: I do.

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Speaker 1: I have a friend who does that. Then get door Kicker,

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the door Kicker brand, Light Roast, Huge Kickbonefrog Cooffee dot

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com slash tide. These Pumo code tied to get ten

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percent off your first purchase, fifteen percent of subscription coffee

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Bonefrog Coffee dot Com slash Todd so Zach, I almost

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called you because I was giggling. Walmart stock hits all

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time high after announcing partnership with open Ai. And here's

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here's the big plug. Walmart stock rows nearly five percent

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on Tuesday in an all the time closing high of

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one hundred and seven dollars twenty one cents. Every of

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the company we can the latest to announce a partnership

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with open Ai. Walmart said customers be able to shop

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and purchase items directly on the chat GPT platform using

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instant checkouts Additionally, on the flagship Walmart website and Sam's

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Club's website, customers be able to interact with chet GPT

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conversationally the search bar. I'm grim Milestone. There's stock rows

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because people can chat with the chatbot.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and I don't I'd have to look at the

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market cap. But to put that in perspective, their stock rows,

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let's see five six hundred thirty to forty billion dollars

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because they did a deal with open Ai. Now, remember Walmart.

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Walmart sells things.

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Speaker 1: Cheap, right, that's what they do, right, So.

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Speaker 2: AI will probably help them squeeze a little more margin

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out of places at some point. But yeah, I and

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and this is Look the flip side of this is

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and you know I've been talking about this for quite

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some time, but look what's going on in gold and

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silver right now. Silver just crossed over the fifty dollars

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level for the first time since nineteen eighty, So it's

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making a new altime I since nineteen eighty, gold over

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four thousand dollars now it's forty two hundred actually as

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of today. What I think the greatest challenge at this

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point right now is separating wheat from chas, meaning you're

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at this point now, and I think that it could

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get it could it could get substantially more crazy. You

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could also be at a breaking point right now because

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when you see retailers adding thirty to forty billion in

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market cap based on an announcement that they're doing something

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with an AI company like thirty to four Walmart, I

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don't think generates thirty to forty billion dollars in profit

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a year, So you know these are just ludicrous moves.

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It also points to how expensive these corporations have gotten.

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Meaning think about it, So if Walmart's stock goes up

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five percent, that's like greater than the equivalent of profit

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they generate in a year.

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Speaker 1: I mean, think make sense from a press release? These

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a press release profits on the stock, ye wouldn't you ever?

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I know that there's rules. We all know this. You

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work for a public company. This rules is how you

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can buy and sell if you're senior executive. I was

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sold everything that came from the bump on this because

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you talk about vapor this. I mean, okay, well, they

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may be sell now three for one versus two for

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one on some paper tonnels. I'll take the three for

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one chet GPT says that's the best deal.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And and look here here's the I would rather

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buy anything else too, And I agree with you. Here's

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here's the pernicious problem with bubbles. Bubbles always last long

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enough to convince virtually everybody, or via desperation, compel everybody

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to get in. Once everybody is in, the door gets shut,

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the lock gets flipped, and then it's carnage.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So this is a question I have. Those institutional investors,

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those vcs people don't understand the scope of what it's

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like to have a three billion dollar portfolio play with.

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So hey, you know, four hundred million here, four million there,

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buy some you know, smaller investments, and we know we're

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overpaying for ninety percent of this stuff, but we get

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the five percent bump, we pay ourselves back, and we

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get a hundred banger okayndred time return, so we're good.

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Do they close the door purposely? Did they say, okay,

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that's it, this is now full on bubble. Everybody who's

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going to get in gets in. Is Do they come

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back and say, okay, time to get out.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they say time to get out now. A lot

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of times though that, you know, a lot of times

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it'll keep spinning right, so the upward momentum will carry it,

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and so they'll get out before the penultimate top. But yeah,

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I mean they And this is common play in investing,

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especially in late stage investing when you get institutional investors,

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because this market is very easy to front run in

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the sense that if I know that any type of

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transaction is coming and that transaction could be correlated to

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AI in any way, I know to go along that

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stock because the idiocy in this market will bid it up,

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just like it bid up anything with dot Com in

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nineteen ninety nine.

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Speaker 3: Right yep.

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Speaker 2: And look, just like in ninety nine, some of these

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things will be real and will reach incredible heights. It's

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just it's going to be much more of am expegged

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than nineteen nine. The nineteen ninety nine The technology is

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substantially different. But my point in saying this is I

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think that this is going to be one of the

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most pernicious and perhaps the most pernicious asset bubble of

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all time, because I think that the head fake is tech,

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meaning in previous bubbles you just had to avoid what

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was the bubble. In this bubble, not only do you

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need to avoid what the bubble is, but you need

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to avoid what the bubble is going to cause. And

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I think what the bubble is going to eventually cause

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when all of this money and all this nonsensical stuff

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starts heading for the exits, it's, in my opinion, it's

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going to flow into real assets, and I think it

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could make the rises you've seen in gold and silver

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look elementary.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I think that when I look at the US stock

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market and I start looking at farmland, I start looking

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at acreage up against you know, with rivers going through it,

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or up against national forests. I start looking at those

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things that I'm like, you know, what's really undervalued in

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this mark? Real assets. So here we are, now, what

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about nine months into this year, nine and a half

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months into this year, gold mining stocks are up one

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hundred and thirty percent year to date. Right, you know

384
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that we've been talking about this for a long time. Right,

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they're saying, hey, guys, eventually the play is going to

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be gold and silver because central banks are going to

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have to sterilize their US dollars denominated risk and it's

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kind of a mechanical need. How high that's going to

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push gold we don't know, but the point or the

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00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:27,119
opportunity here is these gold mining stocks are priced as

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if they are dead and they are about to get

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sold for scrap. Nothing could be further for the truth,

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the sector is in better financial health than at any

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point in the last forty years. We think there's tremendous

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upside here. I still think that you're probably in the

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first two innings of the move in those stocks, because

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they're still despite the factor up one hundred and thirty

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percent year to date. They're cheaper than when they came

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in the year because of the rise in gold. So

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you know, these stocks are people like, oh, it's run

401
00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:55,519
too much. On a fundamental basis, these stocks are dirt

402
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cheap at twenty eight hundred dollars gold, let alone four thousand. Hey,

403
00:20:58,400 --> 00:20:58,559
this is.

404
00:21:00,079 --> 00:21:03,079
Speaker 1: Explain something on your Twitter accounts that I wanted to

405
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have you explain further. I'll get to that in a second.

406
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Because you don't often go around calling people. I don't

407
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:09,720
know if you know this guy, but this man is

408
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:10,319
an idiot.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, he's a dangerous guy.

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00:21:12,799 --> 00:21:15,400
Speaker 1: Okay, I'll explained that. Then I want to touch on

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00:21:16,039 --> 00:21:21,319
in point of comparison gold gold mining gold miners. The

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00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,519
people who sell the pick axes to the gold miners.

413
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To something that happened in crypto that the Wall Journal reported,

414
00:21:26,799 --> 00:21:29,799
and we'll talk about this with Zach Abraham. I was

415
00:21:29,799 --> 00:21:32,319
just telling Zach, we're going back down. We got our

416
00:21:32,319 --> 00:21:35,359
house secured, got the house sitter. One of our guys,

417
00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:36,839
one of our friends, is gonna come over and do

418
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,640
some fishing, et cetera. One of our military buddies I

419
00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:41,000
didn't serve, but he did it is going to come

420
00:21:41,039 --> 00:21:43,039
and take over the house for a little while. And

421
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:47,440
we're headed down to renew Healthcare December twelfth through the seventeenth.

422
00:21:48,079 --> 00:21:50,480
And I think I chat the other day. I was

423
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:53,680
thinking about doing something aesthetic, Zach. I'm gonna take my

424
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,759
headphones off. Do you think my ears? I get the

425
00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,480
stem cells in my ears to get rid of the wrinkles. No,

426
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:04,039
it really works. Like just take a look at my ear, Zach.

427
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:08,119
Speaker 2: I want to I'd rather have I like him doing

428
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:09,319
jack them straight into my brain.

429
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:14,599
Speaker 1: I mean, just grow the brain the wrinkles, because I'm

430
00:22:14,599 --> 00:22:16,880
not going to get the cow tosin in my face,

431
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:19,319
the both tox and I see, I like my wrinkles.

432
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:21,599
But I was thinking about for the people Zach, it's

433
00:22:21,599 --> 00:22:24,799
for the people. I want the people to see the change.

434
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:28,640
I'm going to get a bookmark MRI so you can see.

435
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:30,680
You will literally see the change in my back since

436
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:32,839
it went down. The new tissue that's grown. I know

437
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:36,079
it has because my back is insanely better. So if

438
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:38,119
you can make it down there for treatment, come down

439
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,200
with us. We did this live free webinar and there

440
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:44,200
were like forty five people in that call, and there

441
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,759
were eighty people who scheduled to go there. Now respond

442
00:22:46,799 --> 00:22:49,000
they want a second webinar because they didn't make the

443
00:22:49,039 --> 00:22:51,680
first one. So there's gonna be a lot of listeners

444
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:54,559
dash viewers down there. So if it's ed, you don't

445
00:22:54,559 --> 00:22:56,759
need to tell us. That stuff is embarrassing for people.

446
00:22:56,799 --> 00:22:59,000
But simpsos are fantastic and that getting the use of

447
00:22:59,039 --> 00:23:03,759
your hands back arthritis. They've reset people's entire immune systems.

448
00:23:04,279 --> 00:23:07,319
It works on myocarditis and paracarditis because stem cells are

449
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,759
that amazing. Go to renew r e n ue dot Healthcare.

450
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:12,920
That's renew dot Healthcare. It's support. You're telling me you're

451
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,519
part of the Todd Hermershell family. So, Zach, we got this.

452
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:22,920
Anthony Popliano Anthony Populiano says gold has been a disastrous

453
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:26,559
investment since twenty twenty, It's lost eighty four percent of

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00:23:26,559 --> 00:23:29,480
its purchasing power compared to a finite sound money asset

455
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like bitcoin. Gold has collapsed eighty four percent in bitcoin

456
00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:36,160
term since twenty twenty. And Zach Abram, chief and best

457
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,720
of boer Kapa watchment my friend and brother wrote back,

458
00:23:38,799 --> 00:23:41,880
this man is an idiot. Follow at your own risk,

459
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:46,559
too stupid to be embarrassed. So I'm going to talk

460
00:23:46,599 --> 00:23:50,640
about bitcoin here and excepter at least crypto help unfold

461
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:51,880
that little bit his idiocy.

462
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 2: Well, so, first of all, that guy has been saying

463
00:23:58,079 --> 00:24:00,880
ridiculous stuff that I believe that he knows to be

464
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:04,400
not true for a really long time. I don't usually

465
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,079
interact with people like that, but when it comes to

466
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:11,240
people that are todd and I know you're right there

467
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:16,160
with me, I have a deep anger, resentment, and distrust

468
00:24:16,319 --> 00:24:24,240
and vitriolic dislike for Charlatan's anybody that is knowingly peddling

469
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:29,480
nonsense to people to benefit themselves. I just my spirit

470
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:35,359
rages at them. Right, and what he said there is

471
00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:38,160
just a crime on so many levels. First of all,

472
00:24:38,839 --> 00:24:45,079
talking about any asset in bitcoin terms is disgustingly irresponsible.

473
00:24:45,319 --> 00:24:49,200
Bitcoin hasn't been around for more than fifteen years, so

474
00:24:49,279 --> 00:24:52,720
to talk about price appreciation and other assets in it

475
00:24:52,839 --> 00:24:58,920
turns its terms is it's a ridiculous It's just it's

476
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:02,759
just ridiculous. It is the height of your responsibility. It's

477
00:25:02,799 --> 00:25:07,000
a horrible comp And the reason it's a horrible comp

478
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:11,920
is because it's central banks that are driving the price

479
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:16,640
of gold, and central banks purchases of gold have absolutely

480
00:25:16,759 --> 00:25:20,599
nothing to do with the value of bitcoin or the right.

481
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:23,759
And the reason I can say that is, like, there's

482
00:25:23,839 --> 00:25:28,680
so many hurdles. First of all, you can't compare bitcoin

483
00:25:28,759 --> 00:25:33,160
to even money until bitcoin, until you are allowed to

484
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:37,440
pay your US federal income taxes in bitcoin, Okay, Like

485
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:41,079
it's silly to be an American living in America and

486
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,559
looking at bitcoin in dollar terms. If you can't pay

487
00:25:44,599 --> 00:25:47,359
your taxes in bitcoin now, you can still cash it

488
00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:48,960
in and get dollars. And I'm not saying that's a

489
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:51,640
bad idea to own bitcoin. We own it. We've owned

490
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:53,599
some very small amount and we've made a lot of

491
00:25:53,599 --> 00:25:56,559
money trading it. I'm not anti bitcoin. What I am

492
00:25:56,640 --> 00:26:00,559
anti is people making these types of statements. The other

493
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:04,079
thing he's not telling you is that what happened during

494
00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:08,279
bitcoin to bitcoin during twenty twenty, I can't remember how

495
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:10,000
much it went, but I believe it had a collapse

496
00:26:10,039 --> 00:26:14,200
of eighty five percent. Okay. Over that same period of time,

497
00:26:14,279 --> 00:26:17,279
gold went down like fifteen or twenty. So when you

498
00:26:17,319 --> 00:26:19,839
go to the bottom and you go, oh, it's outperformed

499
00:26:19,839 --> 00:26:22,279
it since then, and I'm like, well, yeah, but it

500
00:26:22,319 --> 00:26:26,559
lost eighty five percent right before. Right, So it's what

501
00:26:26,599 --> 00:26:29,880
we call a chart crime. Meaning there's this old joke

502
00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:33,400
in finance, which is you can pick the debate, right,

503
00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:36,200
you can pick the assets, meaning you can pick the

504
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,240
two stocks we're comparing, or you can pick the two

505
00:26:38,279 --> 00:26:40,720
assets that were comparing. So long as I get to

506
00:26:40,759 --> 00:26:44,599
pick the timeline, I win every time. Right, And that's

507
00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:48,400
what that's what I despise, because what do you own

508
00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:52,200
gold for? You own gold to be a safe haven asset? Right, Well,

509
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:55,160
if during a tremendous time of turmoil, your safe pat

510
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:58,359
haven asset loses eighty five percent of its value and

511
00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:00,359
mine loses ten, I in.

512
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:04,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, right. Plus if stuff gets really really bad and

513
00:27:04,079 --> 00:27:05,799
you onn physical gold, as you said before, you can

514
00:27:05,839 --> 00:27:06,480
throw it at people.

515
00:27:07,319 --> 00:27:09,680
Speaker 2: Yeah. Well here here's the other thing. Here's another big

516
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:12,880
part of and look, look, I do not think bitcoin

517
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:16,039
is a ponzi scheme. I think that owning it in

518
00:27:16,039 --> 00:27:19,720
a small amount it makes perfect sense. But for these

519
00:27:19,759 --> 00:27:21,880
people out there saying, oh, it's one of the same

520
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:26,359
and gold's not, you know, is bitcoin does all these

521
00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:30,400
things that gold doesn't. Okay, put all that aside, because

522
00:27:30,519 --> 00:27:33,200
that can be true or not. And the reason it

523
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,359
doesn't have to be true is you can have a

524
00:27:35,559 --> 00:27:39,240
hard gold backed cryptocurrency that trades on the blockchain, so

525
00:27:39,279 --> 00:27:41,160
you can get the advantages of both fully, right, So

526
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,240
I don't buy this one or the other thing. But

527
00:27:44,279 --> 00:27:48,039
more importantly, it's it's utility. What is the intrinsic value

528
00:27:48,079 --> 00:27:51,279
of bitcoin. It's zero. Now, there are people that will

529
00:27:51,319 --> 00:27:53,359
want to fight me for saying that, But what I

530
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:56,839
mean by the intrinsic value is bitcoin does not become

531
00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:59,480
any more useful to anybody using it. If it's trading

532
00:27:59,519 --> 00:28:02,359
at fifty thousand dollars a bitcoin or five hundred thousand

533
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:05,319
dollars a bitcoin, it doesn't matter. Okay, when you flip

534
00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:07,440
over and look at gold, if gold all of a

535
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:09,599
sudden started trading at one hundred and two hundred dollars

536
00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:12,960
an ounce. You would see it used all over the

537
00:28:13,039 --> 00:28:16,559
place for applications, yeah right. You'd see it used in electronics.

538
00:28:16,799 --> 00:28:20,079
You'd see it used in maritime things, right, to seal

539
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:22,680
things from corrosion and saltwater decay and all that kind

540
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:26,440
of stuff. So they now agreanted, that's a long ways

541
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,400
away from its price. So what it shows you is gold.

542
00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:32,480
Is it this whole idea that gold is valuable because

543
00:28:32,519 --> 00:28:34,759
a bunch of idiots stand around it and say it is.

544
00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:40,039
I mean, look, it takes some agreement in terms of price,

545
00:28:40,079 --> 00:28:42,440
and the fact that we all think it's valuable has

546
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:44,839
something to do with it. But if it wasn't a

547
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:48,440
monetary based value, if it wasn't gold, it would still

548
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:52,960
have substantial value. It doesn't corrode, it doesn't shrink, it

549
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:56,960
never goes anywhere, right, So there's tremendous value in something

550
00:28:57,039 --> 00:29:00,240
like that, and the applications could be endless. So it's

551
00:29:00,279 --> 00:29:06,839
just that guy is around enough people. I know a

552
00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:09,559
business partner of his, so I'm not speaking out of

553
00:29:09,559 --> 00:29:11,680
school out of turn. I know the guy pretty well.

554
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:15,240
He is around enough smart people that know better when

555
00:29:15,279 --> 00:29:18,079
he says something like that, he's a bad actor. He

556
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:22,079
knows it's nonsense, and he's saying it. He's talking his.

557
00:29:22,039 --> 00:29:26,359
Speaker 1: Own book, incredit and talking his own book meaning helping himself.

558
00:29:26,559 --> 00:29:29,160
Got it. Yes, So I want to compare this to

559
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:32,279
something the Walshirt Journal wrote, and this is very, very

560
00:29:32,279 --> 00:29:34,680
disturbing to me. You and I have made a habits

561
00:29:34,839 --> 00:29:38,839
and when we see frauds in the Trump administration, we're

562
00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:41,559
going to say something. I'm not saying this came from

563
00:29:41,559 --> 00:29:44,119
the Trump administration. I don't know that to be the case.

564
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:48,680
But you want to talk about controlling the timing of something. Wow,

565
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,720
something happened when President Trump announced one hundred percent tariffs

566
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:53,880
against China. If you believe those are going to last.

567
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,000
There are people who think, once again, this is carrot

568
00:29:56,039 --> 00:29:58,799
and stick Trump. But this requires a little bit of

569
00:29:58,839 --> 00:30:02,200
discussion around krip and what just happened. We'll do that

570
00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:04,960
with Zach Abrahamam just a second, and just a quick

571
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,240
discussion about how you, for the rest of your life

572
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,200
clean your body. It's not a sexy topic unless you're

573
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:12,079
a sexy person, and I guess it could be, but

574
00:30:12,119 --> 00:30:13,759
that's up to you because it's just you and your

575
00:30:13,799 --> 00:30:17,039
own heads, but Alansaps dot com slash Todds where you

576
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:20,240
purchase this soap made in America with a mission greater

577
00:30:20,359 --> 00:30:23,559
than cleansing your body, sexy or not. And it is

578
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:27,519
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579
00:30:27,559 --> 00:30:29,599
is far greater than the soap, which is the best

580
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:31,960
soap in the world. The mission is to continue to

581
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:35,240
employ people like Alan who's fourteen, he's been through eighteen

582
00:30:35,279 --> 00:30:38,599
operations and he is effectively nonverbal, but he works there

583
00:30:39,079 --> 00:30:41,240
and he invents soaps. That's why it's Alan Soaps. His

584
00:30:41,279 --> 00:30:44,680
brother Ian works there, also impacted by autism. We had

585
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:47,519
Amy there for a while working there and did a

586
00:30:47,559 --> 00:30:51,039
great job. And right now it's some tumults at Allan's

587
00:30:51,519 --> 00:30:55,720
because John, who is the patriarch of the family, is

588
00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:59,880
giving up his fight for against cancer and is eventually

589
00:31:00,039 --> 00:31:01,319
maybe in the next year, is so going to go

590
00:31:01,319 --> 00:31:03,559
to the Lord. So there's a change in management coming.

591
00:31:03,599 --> 00:31:05,480
John is training his wife to take over the company.

592
00:31:05,519 --> 00:31:08,720
The soap remained the stay. Alan and Ian will continue

593
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:10,559
to work there. What we're asking you to do is

594
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go get the world's very best soap with the very

595
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596
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597
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that will help with this transition. Alan soaps dot com

598
00:31:20,519 --> 00:31:23,839
slash todd, so Zach. This is the Wall Street Journal

599
00:31:23,839 --> 00:31:31,240
writing a historic crypto selloff erased nineteen billion dollars, but

600
00:31:31,319 --> 00:31:34,920
two accounts made one hundred and sixty million, and it's

601
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:38,400
comparing us to some big days in crypto previously. September seven,

602
00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:41,960
twenty twenty one, El Salvador makes Bitcoin national currency. You

603
00:31:42,039 --> 00:31:46,400
see that bump. November eight, twenty twenty two, ftx exchange collapses,

604
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:50,160
and now we see this bump. October ten, twenty twenty five,

605
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:53,759
Trump's surprise announcement of one hundred percent tariffs against China,

606
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:58,400
and we saw this massive bump, nineteen billion dollars erased.

607
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:01,480
And then the journal writes this, President Trump surprised announcedment

608
00:32:01,519 --> 00:32:03,640
one hundred percent tariffs against China, and Friday triggered a

609
00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:07,160
cryptocurrency selloff that wiped out more than nineteen billion in

610
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:11,400
leverage positions. Two accounts that placed bets against the market

611
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:14,720
minutes before the news broke scored a one hundred and

612
00:32:14,759 --> 00:32:19,279
sixty million dollar windfall. You talk about controlling the timing.

613
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:22,400
That makes me feel very very suspicious as to what

614
00:32:22,519 --> 00:32:24,440
Jared Kirshner, I'm sorry. I didn't mean to say that

615
00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:26,640
part out loud about what someone did, right.

616
00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:33,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I looked at so to be fair, yeah,

617
00:32:33,039 --> 00:32:37,400
we had been building a short position in our portfolio.

618
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:40,119
Oh it was you for the no no, no, no,

619
00:32:40,119 --> 00:32:42,640
not on crypto, not on crypto. We've been building a

620
00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:46,400
short position, actually long volatility. So we believed that for

621
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,480
a couple for a couple of different reasons, we believed

622
00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:50,839
that the market was about ready to go through a

623
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:53,720
volatility about We talked about it on our show quite

624
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:55,720
a bit so, so starting about two and a half

625
00:32:55,759 --> 00:32:58,839
weeks ago, we started building a volatility position and we

626
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:00,960
built it fairly large. It was six percent of the

627
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:04,319
portfolio by the time Friday hit, and that position in

628
00:33:04,359 --> 00:33:07,599
a single day for US was up fifteen percent. So

629
00:33:07,839 --> 00:33:12,240
to be fair to those guys, there were a significant

630
00:33:12,279 --> 00:33:18,319
amount of institutional investors, including ourselves, professional investors, dire for

631
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:21,079
a variety of different reasons, we're looking for some volatility

632
00:33:21,079 --> 00:33:24,920
to hit the market, and we were correct. It's the

633
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:28,119
timing of those trades, right. So if you go back

634
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:30,799
and look at our trades. We were building that short

635
00:33:30,799 --> 00:33:33,400
position over a two week period of time. We didn't

636
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:37,440
buy it fifteen minutes before it hit, right, So there

637
00:33:37,519 --> 00:33:39,359
is no way, and I will just tell you right now,

638
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:42,359
there's absolutely no way that trade happened without insider trading

639
00:33:42,839 --> 00:33:46,240
one hundred percent. It just you can look at the

640
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:47,839
size of it. You can look at the way they

641
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:51,880
get it, the aggressive nature. They knew something. There were

642
00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:55,160
also tons there were massive amounts of money made betting

643
00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:58,000
long volatility and just short the markets on Friday of

644
00:33:58,119 --> 00:34:01,960
trades that got entered fifteen minutes before the announcement got made.

645
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:05,720
And so you know, there's grift all over the place.

646
00:34:05,759 --> 00:34:10,000
It's almost impossible to pend it on anybody because you know,

647
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:13,440
and and here's why. And this is one of the

648
00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:15,920
reasons that I wasn't like some people going off on

649
00:34:16,199 --> 00:34:19,400
the on Biden or Obama when this happens, just because

650
00:34:19,519 --> 00:34:25,079
understanding investing, right, Like, you know, maybe that maybe fifty

651
00:34:25,119 --> 00:34:27,039
people in the White House knew that that was going

652
00:34:27,119 --> 00:34:29,800
to happen, right, And maybe one of them is talking

653
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:31,360
on the phone to their sister in law or their

654
00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:34,000
brother in law when that news comes across, and they

655
00:34:34,119 --> 00:34:38,079
inadvertently just like, oh, no, we're ramping up trade trade tariffs.

656
00:34:38,280 --> 00:34:40,400
And then that person calls their husband that works on

657
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:42,519
a trading floor and they're do you know what I'm saying?

658
00:34:42,559 --> 00:34:47,320
Like it it it. It is nefarious and it's disgusting

659
00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:50,159
and it needs to get rooted out. But always be

660
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:52,280
careful when you point to you know, there will be

661
00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:55,119
people saying, oh, that's because the Trump administration is corrupt.

662
00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:56,679
There are people that would have said it about the

663
00:34:56,679 --> 00:35:03,159
Biden administration. Typically thin like that just get out and

664
00:35:03,559 --> 00:35:07,360
crooked people trade on them. You know what concerns me

665
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:10,920
more wish what I wish they'd look into is, you know,

666
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:13,519
the substantial trade short bets that went in on the

667
00:35:13,559 --> 00:35:17,440
airlines right before twenty eleven hit, Right, That's that's some

668
00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:22,440
stuff I'd really like to I'd like to see. But yeah,

669
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:26,320
I mean it's crooked, but you know, we see this

670
00:35:26,559 --> 00:35:29,199
all over the economy. There's one other thing too that

671
00:35:29,519 --> 00:35:31,880
I've heard and I love a lot of the work

672
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:34,039
that Tucker does, and I've heard him go off going

673
00:35:34,079 --> 00:35:36,320
off on short sellers and how short sellers are evil

674
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:38,840
and all that kind of stuff. I really wish that

675
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:41,000
he would talk to somebody because he couldn't be further

676
00:35:41,079 --> 00:35:43,719
off really, and let me yeah, let me just tell

677
00:35:43,760 --> 00:35:47,280
you there is nobody in the marketplace that is taking

678
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:50,960
more risk than short sellers. Okay, especially in this market.

679
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:52,920
I mean, go look what this market does to stocks.

680
00:35:53,039 --> 00:35:55,800
I mean it'll drive you know, it throws it tax

681
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:58,239
on thirty to forty billion market cap on Walmart just

682
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:00,800
because they say they're talking it, you know, chat GPT.

683
00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:06,840
I'll tell you what short sellers are. Short sellers are

684
00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:10,920
the equivalent of crawdads or lobsters in an aquarium. Right,

685
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:13,559
they keep it clean. They eat the dead bodies that

686
00:36:13,599 --> 00:36:16,239
float to the bottom. They keep it clean. If you

687
00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:19,159
go look at the vast majority of financial frauds in

688
00:36:19,159 --> 00:36:22,079
this country, they've never been uncovered by the SEC. They've

689
00:36:22,079 --> 00:36:25,199
been uncovered by short sellers. And the reason why is

690
00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:28,960
because it's so risky at which means what the best research.

691
00:36:29,079 --> 00:36:31,440
The guys that know the most out there are the

692
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:35,360
short sellers. So when your now, are there guys that

693
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:38,239
will go out there and make a short story against

694
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:40,920
the company just to drive the stock down in an

695
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:43,760
illegal fashion and make some money off it. Yes, but

696
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:48,400
they are the vast minority short selling is incredibly difficult

697
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:51,519
and it should be legal. It is part of a

698
00:36:51,679 --> 00:36:56,159
balanced ecosystem in the market, and it literally is how

699
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:02,199
every Enron got uncovered by uncovered by a short seller.

700
00:37:04,360 --> 00:37:08,519
The Harry Bark popolists, the analysts that had the banks

701
00:37:08,639 --> 00:37:10,760
dead to rights as early as two thousand and three

702
00:37:11,079 --> 00:37:13,440
that these collateralized dead obligations were going to go down.

703
00:37:13,639 --> 00:37:17,159
He uncovered Bernie madeoff his early as two thousand and two,

704
00:37:17,199 --> 00:37:18,960
two thousand and three, he was sending letters to the

705
00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:21,960
SEC telling them Bernie madeof was a fraud. You look

706
00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:24,960
at it. Had the had regulators listened to short sellers,

707
00:37:25,679 --> 00:37:27,719
eighty percent of the financial fraud that we've seen in

708
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:30,880
this country wouldn't have happened. So when you hear people

709
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:34,000
talking about whoever you hear out there that's in the know,

710
00:37:34,559 --> 00:37:37,840
right if they're in the industry, like he was interviewing

711
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:42,199
the head guy that Melton, the guy that Trump pardoned

712
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:45,079
that had the ev company that was running on hydrogen,

713
00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:47,719
the semi trucks. I'm forgetting what the name of it was.

714
00:37:48,039 --> 00:37:52,199
But there was some ways about the way they went

715
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:54,880
after him that I don't think was fair. But also

716
00:37:55,239 --> 00:37:58,039
like Tucker was not getting the straight story from this guy.

717
00:37:58,119 --> 00:38:01,199
That guy engaged in a lot of shady stuff. Like

718
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:04,360
at the time, before it even made the news, I

719
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:07,039
was sitting there going, man, this thing smells like a fraud.

720
00:38:07,360 --> 00:38:10,079
So anyway, I didn't mean to derail as No.

721
00:38:10,280 --> 00:38:12,840
Speaker 1: You that's really interesting. I never thought about that, of

722
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:16,000
thinking of short feeders or short sellers as bad people.

723
00:38:16,039 --> 00:38:18,039
I never thought that way. I said, it was a

724
00:38:18,079 --> 00:38:21,039
technique that I still to this day intermittently understand really

725
00:38:21,079 --> 00:38:23,360
really well. And then sometimes I have to have explained

726
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:26,239
to me like I'm two again, because I think it's

727
00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:28,239
a I think it's an art and a science. So

728
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:31,119
it just it's interesting to know that, you know.

729
00:38:31,239 --> 00:38:34,639
Speaker 2: It's also it's also a tremendous it's also a tremendous tool.

730
00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:35,960
Like you know, one of the things that we talk

731
00:38:36,039 --> 00:38:39,039
to our clients about now, Thank goodness, we have years

732
00:38:39,039 --> 00:38:40,960
like you know, grabbing this year where you're up better

733
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:44,000
than thirty percent and you're beating the market. But you know,

734
00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:46,280
the vast majority of our clients are retired, So what

735
00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:48,559
do they need. They need good market gains and they

736
00:38:48,599 --> 00:38:50,960
need productivity, but they need to do it in such

737
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:53,119
a way that you're taking the worst case scenario off

738
00:38:53,119 --> 00:38:55,800
the table, right, Well, last week was a perfect example.

739
00:38:56,159 --> 00:38:59,800
Had the worst case scenario occurred, that's six percent position

740
00:39:00,079 --> 00:39:02,559
we made fifteen percent on in a day, that long

741
00:39:02,639 --> 00:39:06,400
volatility position. Like if you would have looked at that position,

742
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:10,159
like back during COVID, that position probably would have tripled

743
00:39:10,159 --> 00:39:15,119
in size. So what I mean is our accounts could

744
00:39:15,119 --> 00:39:18,400
have taken a hit, but that short position alone, had

745
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:21,639
the worst case scenario occurred, would have probably limited that

746
00:39:21,719 --> 00:39:24,440
hit to like a fifteen percent hit. And that would

747
00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:27,079
have been like if the market was down sixty five, right,

748
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:28,320
So the.

749
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:31,239
Speaker 1: Hedges you create, it just bowls my mind.

750
00:39:31,400 --> 00:39:35,400
Speaker 2: Hedge upon hedge, it's it's you got to be varied

751
00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:38,840
with them because and here's the other side of it, right,

752
00:39:39,679 --> 00:39:43,679
hedges are just like insurance, meaning most of them won't

753
00:39:43,719 --> 00:39:46,960
get used, right, So most of them will take small

754
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:50,039
losses on. And what you hope is that you're being

755
00:39:50,079 --> 00:39:52,199
productive enough in the other parts of the portfolio to

756
00:39:52,199 --> 00:39:54,199
make up for that. But when they come in handy,

757
00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:56,760
you know, like during COVID, right, market drops thirty six

758
00:39:56,800 --> 00:39:59,800
percent in five weeks, our portfolios were down seven So

759
00:40:00,519 --> 00:40:03,320
and that is purely due to our ability to shorten.

760
00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:07,440
So when you sit there and you throw this blanket

761
00:40:07,519 --> 00:40:11,159
over a section, I will tell you, generally speaking, if

762
00:40:11,199 --> 00:40:14,880
you show me investors that run a short fund or

763
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:19,280
a long short fund, but specifically a short fund, I

764
00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:22,519
will tell you that there is a higher percentage of

765
00:40:22,519 --> 00:40:26,320
investors who are good, upright guys running short only funds

766
00:40:26,519 --> 00:40:28,840
than guys that are running long only funds. That's fast, high,

767
00:40:29,360 --> 00:40:33,880
higher percentage of non crook, good honest guys. And so

768
00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:38,280
I just I've watched short short sellers get completely mischaracterized

769
00:40:38,599 --> 00:40:40,599
by a guy that I like in respect, like Tucker,

770
00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:43,559
like Tucker Carlson Night. I think he's getting fed bad

771
00:40:43,559 --> 00:40:44,840
information from bad people.

772
00:40:45,119 --> 00:40:47,559
Speaker 1: It happens, and there's something that happens when people get

773
00:40:47,599 --> 00:40:50,519
freed from the mockingbird media, they can do whatever they want.

774
00:40:50,599 --> 00:40:53,159
The mind opens and they just want to chat about everything.

775
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:55,760
I've seen that happen time and time and time again.

776
00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:58,400
I went through it early in my career when I

777
00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:01,000
wasn't doing talk radio more in the Internet was wild

778
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:03,159
and we were cursing and everything on the air, and

779
00:41:03,159 --> 00:41:06,000
that's what we did. So got that. Thank you, my brother,

780
00:41:06,440 --> 00:41:08,719
great to have wise counsel with you. God bless you

781
00:41:08,760 --> 00:41:11,000
and the Bypocks and the family and everybody back there.

782
00:41:11,039 --> 00:41:14,000
Be careful at the game. We do cow tipping and

783
00:41:14,039 --> 00:41:16,119
red neckline. You know, cow falls asleep and you knock

784
00:41:16,159 --> 00:41:17,960
it over and run away. Don't do that to the

785
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:19,199
fentanyl leaders.

786
00:41:19,559 --> 00:41:22,880
Speaker 2: Oh, we would never do it. Well, there goes my

787
00:41:22,960 --> 00:41:23,599
weekend plan.

788
00:41:24,880 --> 00:41:29,119
Speaker 1: That's the least the least it all right, brother Jo

789
00:41:29,239 --> 00:41:33,760
the game. God bless you. This is the Todd Hermitshew.

790
00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:36,840
Please go be well, be strong, be kind, please make

791
00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:38,960
every effort to walk in the light of Christ.

