Speaker 1: All right, here we go, final day before the big
game Friday on the best betting show ever. A lot
to go over here today, not just with the super Bowl,
but of course we do have some NBA action now
we have college basketball, pretty big slate, well, pretty important game,
I should say, rather at the garden here tonight with
the Johnny's taking on Yukon of course, heading into a
monster Saturday in college hoops. And you put it all
together and we got well, we got some edges to
talk about here, and who better to do it with
than these two guys who, apparently in the comments thought
it was impossible for you two actually show up together.
But here they are Art the Caesar and Double R
one Al Steve Merrill in the house. And I gotta
tell you a very good looking crew here. Thank goodness.
The pres is nowhere here to screw this thing up here,
But always a pleasure Art to see you Merrill. But yes, Steve,
you read in the comments apparently there was some confusion
about whether or not you two are ever allowed to
be on screen together.
Speaker 2: Is that correct?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll use a big word for the viewers, detunt.
They don't even know what that means. Probably, But like
like Joe had to separate us. We're slowly getting back together.
Art and I are working out our differences. I will
say this though, to enter the room, I guarantee I'll
be the one leaving the show today.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 3: I love it that Art is very busy. He's very busy.
Speaker 1: That's why I say, yeah, Art, Art has got places
to go, people to see things that do so Art.
Let's kick it off you with the Super Bowl odds.
The movement now you said yesterday that you know beginning
then over the next forty eight hours is really when
the volume will start to hit in. What are we seeing,
if anything, in the market right now with this game.
Speaker 4: I mean we're still five and forty five and a half.
I sound like a broker record because I've been saying
it all week, But I think the thing that is
tightened a little bit is we've seen a little bit
more New England money in ticket wise. You know, earlier
in the week, early in the process, we were seeing
five to one, six to one Seattle tickets. Now it's
like three to one. It's getting a lot tighter as
far as that goes. We've seen a little bit of
nibble on our two to one plus two hundred on
New England on the money line.
Speaker 5: So you start to see that money.
Speaker 4: Just trickle in a little bit, because like I said,
we're pretty much the highest I've seen on the market
on that and I've seen as as plus one eighty
plus one eighty five. So listen, we're doing about sixty
percent of our business on props. You know, once again,
when you're dealing almost five hundred props, you're going to
be doing a lot of business with the props. So
obviously here over these next two days we will get
the bulk of our money and be interesting to see
what happens if you know, we start to see more
New England support because we start to see the New
England ticket count, you know rise, not that it's big bets,
but at least it's closing the gap from that five
to six.
Speaker 3: To one.
Speaker 2: Marl.
Speaker 3: Yeah, so our you know, it stills a lot of
money's going to be coming in this week. And which
way do you think this line is going to move?
Obviously you're seeing a lot of Seattle money. You're all
so closer to the West Coast than maybe some of
the East coast books are. Do you see some new
England buyback coming at plus five. I don't think we're
going to get that key number of six. I've been
telling people all week. You know, if you like the Seahawks,
four and a half's probably the best line you're gonna
get because they do look public to me as well.
The over underline has hit forty five at some of
your competitors. I don't see it going much lower than that.
I would think the public might come in on the over,
although I'm seeing some consensus of the under because there
are two good defensive teams. What are your thoughts when
this closes, when all is said and done.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think eventually we're going to see a little
bit more in New England money. And like I said,
we've already seen it. I think we're in the four
and a half five range basically until kick. Just depends
what we do with the number when we finally get there.
You know, the total is something we've talked about all week.
We were as high as forty six and a half,
got to as low as forty five. Now we're forty
five and a half, and I expect the public to
bet the over. I mean that's normal what they do
despite the two really good defensive teams. But you know
it's gonna be one of those things where despite the
sharp's always loving the under in the Super Bowl, you
always get overwhelmed with over money anyway, So you know
it's fine. I think if you like the under, you're
probably at this point. If you haven't bet it, you
could probably wait because it's probably going to go back up.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we've been saying that all week, No rush if
you're looking for the under, but I think if you're
looking at the over, sooner rather than later.
Speaker 2: And we talked yesterday Art with the prop moves.
Speaker 1: You've been giving them out each day here during the
week on some of the some of the sharper moves
that you have seen in the betting market. You said yesterday,
shockingly enough, Cooper Cup anytime touchdown was one of your
big public prop bets that everyone seems to be betting
still at plus money. I noticed this morning at some
places there. But it just appears everybody seems to think
that Kenny Walker is gonna get into the end zone.
What else are you seeing here so far over the
last twenty four hours.
Speaker 4: Yeah, sharp stuff defensive props, which a little bit more
of a sharp market. I would say the public really
doesn't bet that as much, but I mean, listen, it's
the props. We'll probably get some public money on it.
But we have four guys that they bet over solo
plus assists tackles, Woodson over five and a half, Hawkins
over four and a half, Ls over three and a half,
and Williams over three and a half. That's all sharp stuff.
To get back to the Cup stuff, Joe. Anytime touchdowns, now,
this could change. We have forty you know, plenty of
time before we get there. But speaking to you on
a Friday morning, Cooper Cup is third. Now ticket count
for anytime touchdowns Drake may second number one. This is
gonna shock you a little bit. Seattle's defense, whoa right now? Yeah, really,
Seattle's defense. We've taken a ton of bets on Seattle's
defense to score at any point in the game. You know,
obviously you're getting five to one plus five point fifty.
Speaker 5: You're in that rage.
Speaker 4: The two big long shot MVP for each team, Gonzales
for New England, Williams for Seattle. As I mentioned earlier
in the week, they love to take the long shots
on the defensive side of the ball. So you have
one from each team and then the first touchdown scorer
of the game, which is probably the most popular index
prop we put up because it it just receives a
ton of action. The top three ticket counts in that
market are all Seattle guys. It's Walker, It's Cup, and
it's Jake Bobo.
Speaker 2: Wow.
Speaker 1: Yeah, have that on your Bengo card. Meral little Jake Bobo?
Did you have him in there? Ron taking the money?
Speaker 3: See, this is why, this is why Arden I cannot
work together on a consistent basis all week long. He's
thrown out stuff like that. I don't believe any of
the My favorite art isn't the conspiracy that you and
I can't work to get my favorite conspiracy. That art
comes on here to give everyone the wrong side. And
of course for all of us in the other forty
nine states that cannot bet at the super book if
they're benefiting from that, right, So we're all going to
fly over to Vegas to take the wrong side. So
I got to ask you. I'm doing my public video
this afternoon for the weekend. Everyone's been asking when that'll
be out. It'll be out on Saturday. I do think,
by the way, Joe members. First option might be available
Friday night for that two dollars ninety nine cents a month.
Another reason to get that here wait your talk, insider.
I want to give out as much of a public
you know, fade the public tilt in the game. I
think Seattle is the public side, So we kind of
covered that already. I don't know where I'm going to
the total. I do see more sentiment for the under
than you normally see in a given games. The public
normally likes the over, but prop wise, it's tricky for
me because I don't do a lot of public information
on props. So I wanted to ask you some of
the more I don't want to say sucker props, but
the props in which the public likes him every year.
Maybe we kind of touched on the will there be
a safety or overtime? By the way I pulled it up, guys,
seven percent of NFL games have a safety art That
would equate to minus thirteen fifty is the true odds?
You know? And you guys are dealing. You said we
like eight to one. I think what's the other side
of that? Was a twelve to one, one to fourteen,
one to twelve on the on the safety if you
recall the on the.
Speaker 5: No yeah fourteen yeah.
Speaker 3: So see there. You know, Prez was saying that's a
great bet, and I didn't want to count them the
other day. And one thing we didn't touch upon last
week is that maybe neither side is a great bet
because the true odds are minus thirteen fifty. Because yes,
eight to one is a bad bet, but minus fourteen
hundred isn't a great bet either, because it's a six
six hundred difference overtime. Trying to pull that up, I
saw twenty twenty four to five percent of games went
to overtime, so less games went to overtime than had
a safety on average. What are some other kind of
like maybe I don't want to say sucker props, but
very public props that you see every year, including this season.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean obviously you touched on those two. The
octopus is a very popular prop. You get that at
sixteen to one, life a lot of people like the bet.
That that's a problem that's pretty much been introduced here
in the last decade. That's always you got to remember too,
the public likes to take chances with some you know, numbers,
they want some value. They want to be able to
bet ten, fifteen to twenty dollars and maybe get you know,
a six to one, eight to one, ten to one
return on their dollars. So you see a lot of that.
I mean the public, you know, no shock, they're going
to come in and bet all the overs on all
the players and just the normal stuff. You know, like
Sam Donald over passing yards, over one and a half touchdowns.
You know they're gonna bet the popular players over. That's
why we're always pretty much rooting for a low scoring
game with not a lot of touchdowns because then you know,
probably most of the props will go under.
Speaker 5: So we're always in that range.
Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean as far as do longer shock
stuff with the public, it's those three overtime octopus and
a safety.
Speaker 3: Aren't explained the octopus real quick joke for people that
aren't familiar with that one. It's not a hatch track.
In Detroit when they scored three, goalsh, no, it should
be no.
Speaker 4: So they would be like Kenny Walker scores a touchdown
that gives him six points. Then on that touchdown they
go for two and he gets the two point conversion,
giving him eight points in that little touchdown.
Speaker 3: Drive interesting and we at like sixteen to one. I
don't have the I don't have the numbers on how
often that happens, but I can't imagine.
Speaker 1: That it's too often. No, no, it doesn't. But you know,
there are lottery tickets. Some of those are all lottery tickets.
Speaker 5: There are why not?
Speaker 2: I mean it's uh, it's Ezza money. We talked about
it earlier in the week two.
Speaker 1: Another one of these popular ones, right, is the longest
or what the shortest touchdown? Right?
Speaker 2: We said a yard and a half.
Speaker 1: That seems to me that used to be I mean,
remember we used to actually get a pretty decent price.
But now it feels like that's the first bet the
public makes every year. Are and it's like, oh, give
me the give me the under a yard and a half.
Are you still seeing the action on that as well?
Speaker 5: One hundred percent?
Speaker 4: You know, you deal it at minus one forty, it
gets bet, and it goes to minus one sixty that
time they gets to cook it. Yeah, by the time
that gets a kickoff, that could be under two dollars.
I mean, you know, and then some people could some
people can come back and you know, take the over
and just you know, get a little arbitrage there and
take both. But I mean it's just one of those
things where, yeah, you can't make that under price high
enough because they're going to bet it.
Speaker 3: And Joe I will say, I don't think that was
always a very public prop. I used that for years
for my clients. Oh and most people's kickback, as you know,
it would be like how could you lay minus money
on a one yard touchdown? But it happened a lot
And then the other one I'll point out too in
that regard, which hasn't worked as much recently. I think
Teddy did a little YouTube clip on this, and it's
only won five of the last ten years. And I
don't use it anymore, but I used to use it
for decades. Was three consecutive scores and that would be
minus one seventy minus two hundred. But I also think
you got to remember how the Super Bowl era has
changed since we were growing up in the eighties and nineties,
when we had blowouts and you had dominant teams, double
digit favorites, yep, and what should be a competitive game
once again with a short price range, a low total
forty fives are fairly low total. It's probably a little
less likely as well. What kind of action do you
see on that. I mean, I think back of the
day that was also a sharp prop to lay the
juice with the three straight scores, but it hasn't worked
as well recently.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and you know, Steve, it is still a sharp
prop and the number is actually shorter now. You know,
we open that number a lot lower than probably we
have in years past. You know, you can open it
now at a dollar fifty and you take a little
bit of money on it early sharp eyes, and then
you move it very aggressively. You go to minus one
seventy five minus one eighty, and then that's kind of
where your number is. But yeah, you're right with how
competitive the games have been here recently, that isn't what,
you know, the value of what it was back in
the day, like you said, with all the blowouts.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and how about the kicking props through Aret we
talked about last week early on we started to say
longest field goal props be bet. That seems to be
a big one. The amount of field goals in the game.
Are we still seeing some public support for the kicking
game and the kicking props.
Speaker 5: Always the kicking game.
Speaker 4: I told you yesterday one of the sharper props we
have is Myers to have a fifty plus yard field goal.
That was as highest plus two fifty. Now we're under
two dollars on that. The punting stuff is interesting. You'll
see a lot of you know, we deal will each
of the punters have a touchback?
Speaker 5: You know, will they kick a touchback?
Speaker 4: So you see that with the punters, and you see
the wise guys want to come in and lay a
minus three thirty, a minus three forty, minus three fifty
on the no they feel comfortable doing that. You see
a lot of public support for each kicker to miss
a field goal, you get a price on that. You
get almost three to one depending on which kicker you
take to miss one field goal in the game. So
the kicking props have completely, you know, they've exploded obviously
here over these last handful of years. I told you
every year one of the kickers get support in the
MVP market. This year it's Myers. I remember when the
Bengals played in the game, it was it eMac. He
got a tremendous amount of support.
Speaker 5: To be the MVP in the game.
Speaker 4: And the Bengals played the Rams, so the kicking stuff
has really exploded.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll ask you real quick. First of all, I
just looked it up. He had seven kicks of fifty
or more this year, only seven. So you're saying it's
all what we say, minus two hundred is what it.
Speaker 4: Is well to get no, to get it, we were
get Yeah, plus two to fifty was a yes.
Speaker 3: Oh play. I was gonna say, ye howl yeah, because
it should be less than fifty fifty.
Speaker 5: Under Yeah, now it's under two dollars.
Speaker 3: So now, oh, yeah, that makes sense. So he had Yeah,
he had seven of them though, So yeah, plus two
to fifty was a nice price probably for that one.
I can understand that. I'll ask you real quick. You
mentioned the MVP, and this is something Gabe Mcy, Joe
gam Marency and I talked about this for decades on
his show. Is That And I think everyone's onto it
now that you kind of correlate the Super Bowl MVP
quarterback with the team you like. You mentioned kickers getting it.
I think that would be awful for the game. If
a kicker wins it, this is not going to be
a fun game to watch. That's all. I know, what
are your thoughts on that? I mean, obviously you're paying
a premium because you as were onto that as well.
But what else are you looking at of the MVP
market other than the quarterbacks? Do you get sharp bets
on the MVP? Did people still hammer the quarterbacks or
some as it more of a kind of a lottery
ticket type thing with some of the outliers.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean the quarterback is going to get the
quarterbacks are going to get a ton of action, of course.
Speaker 5: And you know, it was the old thing.
Speaker 4: Why take mahomes, you know, take mahomes and even money
to be the MVP when the Chiefs are minus one
thirty to win the game.
Speaker 5: There was a bunch of that. But you know, this year,
and I.
Speaker 4: Always talk about it, the defensive guys in the long
shot range got a lot of love because some defensive
guys have won here in the last ten, fifteen to
twenty years. The thing, and I mentioned this to Joe,
is the running backs never win anymore. It's been since
Terrell Davis. So the running back just never wins the
MVP anymore. So despite money that comes in on the
running backs, like we feel comfortable taking as much money
on the running backs and barely even moving the price
because they just don't give it to the running backs anymore.
Of Course, you know, a guy like JSN is going
to get a lot of love. You even see some
love for like a you know, Stefang Diggs. You know,
receivers have won this award as well. So yeah, of course,
you know, for the most part, if the winning team's
quarterback wins the MVP, you might lose a little bit,
but it's nothing crazy.
Speaker 1: I would almost rather Art, just bet the position to
win it, give me the quarterback to be the MVP,
and and save yourself the hedget that way, and just
as long as one of them wins, and who gives
a crap, we're good to go along those lines. So
not a bad way to approach that one either, So
a lot of prop bets.
Speaker 2: Obviously, you got a busy.
Speaker 1: Weekend coming up here, Art, but it's not the only
sport going on. We've been talking about it here. We've
got college basketball NBA. Obviously, the Olympics get underway now.
But let's not forget you promised a little baseball talk
for us as well as pitchers and catchers getting ready
to report here within the week. So what do you
got for a cre As far as the sharp action.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll start with the college basketball in the NBA,
and then I'll hop into those wind totals NBA. Really,
the only thing we saw this morning was Blazers took
money at minus seven and a half now up to
eight and a half. In college Brown took money at
plus fifteen. Valpo took money at minus nine and a half,
and Loyola Chicago also took money at plus ten and
a half. Obviously, no NHL for about three weeks here
and now. As far as our baseball win totals, now,
we put those up on Tuesday, and this is no shock.
The public's already on the Dodgers over one one hundred
and a half. We're already at one oh one and
a half. Listen, does someone want to come and bet
the under with us? Hasn't happened yet, but we figure
it probably will at some point, depending how high we
get on that number. Sharp money did come in on
the Rangers over eighty two and a half half and
the Brewers eighty three and a half, and a couple
of teams that we had maybe a little bit higher
on the market because we want to book to those
teams because we think they're going to be really good
and they're going to go over their win totals. We
took under money on the Braves at ninety one and
a half because we were a little bit higher than
most places, and the same thing with the White Sox
at sixty nine and a half. So a lot of
people coming and saying, oh, that's maybe a higher number
than we've seen out there, so we've taken under money there.
And listen, there are plenty people who are going to
look for middles on these wind totals, so we know
that's part of the process.
Speaker 3: Joe, let me ask Art real quick, because I appreciate
all the time and we know you got to run here.
We've taken enough of your time here on Super Bowl Friday.
But on the baseball I thought of this when Joe said,
you guys had numbers coming out. What's the thought process?
I mean, I don't want to say it's a lost leader,
but you guys are obviously hanging yourselves out there, putting
them out earlier than everyone else for the most part.
And you ever, as risk management, have you ever run
the numbers over the years, Like do you come out
ahead any given year in the first week of action.
I don't even if you break it down like that.
And just what's the thought process of getting them out
of ahead of everybody else, you.
Speaker 5: Know, I mean, Steve, it's as simple as this.
Speaker 4: It's Super Bowl weekend, right, This is going to be
the busiest weekend of the year outside of that first
weekend of March madness. So we want to have as
much content out for people to make bets. So, you know,
if people came here Super Bowl and they were like, oh,
I want to bet some baseball stuff, and they can
only bet the Yankees to win the World Series and
you can't bet divisions or make the playoffs or win totals.
We feel comfortable putting them out so we can take
more money in our pool. I mean, it's a pool
that obviously we're going to book from now up until
you know, first pitch whatever that is, you know, March thirtieth,
March thirty first, whatever that date is. So we feel
comfortable getting them out and having people have a little
bit more shelf life to bet with us. And you know,
that's just the way we approach it.
Speaker 1: Awesome one hundred and sixty two games in a season,
the variants for a win total.
Speaker 2: It's just over the top.
Speaker 1: So it should be a far one though, because as
soon as football is gone, baseball will be back, and
I am all for it, all right, Art, it is time,
of course, for our parlay of the day. Now, if
I'm not mistaken, guys, did we not sweep this thing yesterday?
Speaker 2: I believe we did.
Speaker 1: In fact, all three of us nailed our parlay of
the day. All legs hit, So Art, start us off here,
my man, what's gonna be today's winning leg?
Speaker 5: Now?
Speaker 4: I want to say we're gonna stick with the Super Bowl?
Is that what we're gonna do?
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's fine, go shoot. I like it, yep, all right.
Speaker 4: I'm gonna get out Stevenson from New England to having
any time touchdown. I've seen it as low as plus
one thirty. I've seen it as highest plus one fifty.
So he gets some plus money on him. I think
he will score.
Speaker 2: Oh I like that one, all right.
Speaker 1: I'll go here, Merrill, because I'm gonna go with the
other RB there for New England and traveon Henderson over
is rushing prop I think which is up to maybe
eighteen and a half. Now, he is your home run hitter.
He is the guy that in one run will be
able to eclipse that anybody thinking that what you got
in the snowstorm is what you're gonna get in a
fast track right now in Santa Clara. I think he's
gonna have the attempts, and I think he is gonna
have over the eighteen and a half nineteen and a half.
I'd even bet it up to twenty and a half
yards there, how about you, Steve, I'm.
Speaker 3: Gonna give a little sneak peek on what I'm gonna
use in my fade. The public video I mentioned El
Seattle is a public side here, so obviously we look
to fade the public. Then we don't do it blindly.
But if you're gonna play New England, here's a sneaky
way to play them. The first quarter line is basically
they're plus a half minus money. The full game there
plus four and a half plus five, but for the
first half, including at the Westgate, they're plus three. And
if anything, that we see slow starts in championship games,
first quarters, all those playoff college football games, and in
the Super Bowl in general. So even if you don't
think they're gonna win the game or hang. Plus three
would equate to like plus six full game. I just
don't understand why this first half line is plus three.
I don't see one team having an edge over the other,
especially since both have no experience in the big game.
I look for them both to be conservative out of
the gate. I think if you're looking to back the Patriots,
plus three first half is a sneaky way to do it.
We'll use that for the parlay.
Speaker 1: Boom, there you go, a little Super Bowl parlay art
this season, my man. Always a pleasure. Brother, you got
a hell of a weekend going. We'll have more baseball
talk of course next week, maybe even dive in to
some of the Olympic bets that you're seeing. So enjoy Art.
We appreciate the time as always, brother. We'll see you
next week.
Speaker 4: All right, boys, always a pleasure, and Steve, we can
put the bed.
Speaker 3: All these rumors.
Speaker 5: Always good to see you and Jose on Tuesday.
Speaker 1: Boom, go get it, love it Art. This Caesar cannot
go wrong there live at the West Gate. If you're
gonna happen to be in vague, guys, make sure you
stop by and see Art at the book at the
Westgate over the.
Speaker 3: Way, telling me you saw him on the best betting show
ever a wager Talk TV.
Speaker 2: Correct. That's right, absolutely, yes.
Speaker 3: I used to say, Joe, it's like the louder you yell,
he doesn't come out quicker. That was the joke back
in the day on wager Talk Today with the Pres.
Is that because one time, apparently he did do that.
That's why it was a funny joke, because he came
in yelling where's art, Where's art? And Art is crouching
under his desk. I can only imagine what the back
room looking. It's like, I'm not here.
Speaker 2: I'm not here.
Speaker 3: East Coast meeting on the East Coast. I'm back in Pittsburgh.
Speaker 2: I love it all right. Speaking of the Pres. Oh no,
it is time.
Speaker 1: What is this?
Speaker 3: Oh no, boy, there's business.
Speaker 1: Him meryld business time for some business minus that alphit
my man. So tell us what you got rolling heading
into Super Bowl weekend here at wager.
Speaker 2: Talk dot com.
Speaker 3: Yeah, the quiet before the storm. Right, We got one
basketball best bet tonight on front. It's a college hoops
best bet, which I have not given out here on
the show. So go get that on my page along
with my Super Bowl sixty best bet. It is locked
and loaded right now as well for Sunday and a
bonus free NBA play number one in the NBA all
time at wager Talking. Then give you my top NBA
opinion for free too night on my page, Steve merrillwager
Talk dot com and get there quicker WT dot buzz
slash sm.
Speaker 2: I gotta love that, Meryl. A right.
Speaker 1: I am also locked and loaded five percent Matt's bet
available or Sunday, along with a whole bunch of props
that are gonna be posted later today there. So get
the play and you'll get all the props that I'm
also playing there at wager talk dot com. We had
a big night last night. Swept College, ended up getting
it done two and a night in the NBA. So
rushing it across the board, I'll have one college and
one NBA play up today.
Speaker 2: Go get it at wager talk dot com.
Speaker 1: All right, Meryl, here we go today's best bets.
Speaker 2: Here. We got college, we got NBA.
Speaker 1: I mean, heck, we even have you know the NFL
coming up here. One final time, What is the one
game that interests you the most here tonight.
Speaker 3: Yeah, we used a NFL play for the parlay. We
did that little three pack of parlay. So we'll go
something Friday night here in the Association, and I'll talk
about a game which has had a little bit of
a money move here. The New York Knicks now a
slight favorite against the Pistons, which on the surface might
look a little strange, but I think the betty markets
are telling it's something there. I'll take a look at
the New York Knicks minus the one one and a
half as the road favorite Detroit. It's been great this year,
but I still think the Knicks might be the team
to beat in the Eastern Conference. Anthony Towns Listen is questionable,
so we'll keep an eye on him. I like the
Knicks here in a focus spot tonight, liking.
Speaker 1: The Knicks to get it done there, Meryl, I can't
argue with that. I think I like them as well.
We did pretty well last night, I believe, with Northern
Arizona winning outright there, Merrill in that game, and I
think I'm going to go back to college hoops here
and I for the best bet only. I'm sorry it's
known as stores South for a reason. That's because Yukon
is playing at Madison Square Gardens and I taken on
the Johnnies. Fun fact here, Yukon has a chance to
do something that has never been done in the history
of the Big East, run the table and go undefeated
in the Big East. And the Johnny's pretty much at
this point the only thing really standing in their way.
The only game that I see where they won't be
favored by at least eight point two more is going
to be Nova, and that's coming up in a couple
of weeks. But Yukon, to me, if it ain't broke,
don't fix it. We've already seen Yukon win games at
Madison Square Garden this year against Illinois and Florida, not
to mention that Hurley is eleven and two over his
last thirteen games at Madison Square Garden. It will look
like a home game for Yukon. Those fans show up
and show out. Yes, even against the Johnnies. It's been
a nice run for the Johnnies, but Yukon elevates its
game when it matters the most. This game matters, Expect
Yukon to win it. At the best price you're gonna
get him. The rest of the way through here, Meryl.
Speaker 3: You know it's crazy, Joe. When you com went on
that run a couple of years ago, they looked unbeatable,
and then last year they kind of came back down
to earth, and now like you forget how good they
are again this year. A couple of years ago this
they would have been underrated. This year right now, they
would have been a consensus undefeated number one. So yeah,
it really shocked me. They weren't better last year. It
looks like they are for real this year.
Speaker 1: Big time for real here, So that should be a
good one. That's the best game on the board here tonight.
Meryl's gonna run down a couple of other games for
you here in the college basketball run down. In the meantime,
I'll run down the NBA for you here tonight. It's
gonna start with the Heat taking on the Celtics, the
new look Celtics, in fact five and a half right
now is what they're laying is two twenty seven and
a half. But the total is being bent down a
lot here, originally to twenty nine and a half.
Speaker 2: We've already seen it drop two points.
Speaker 1: And I get it here, you know, kind of rolling
into the break, the All Star break here.
Speaker 2: I don't you know.
Speaker 1: Celtics love to shoot a ton of threes, but the
pace not necessarily going to be there. Whoever controls pace
will likely win this game. Looks like the Celtics got
a pretty good chance.
Speaker 2: Of doing that.
Speaker 1: But I do like the under the Knicks at the
Pistons listen to, Pistons are all banged up.
Speaker 2: This line has flipped.
Speaker 1: Kate Cunningham was questionable last night but played and they
lost to the Wizards.
Speaker 2: Now he's likely not going in this game tonight.
Speaker 1: Jalen Dern also was removed from the game yesterday with
a knee injury, so the chance of him going I
don't like that either. Meanwhile, the Knicks keep it rolling,
even on the road. I think the Knicks will handle
business here tonight. Not to mention, of course, we got
a couple of other games that might interest folks, like
the Pacers and Thees. Anybody really can't no Pelicans taken
on the Timberwolves. Timberwolves play down to their competition, unfortunately
they always have. They shouldn't be laying ten against anybody,
especially a Pelicans team who won't win, but they will
likely cover. We also have the Clippers who basically sold
off everything there to get younger. Taken on the Sacramento Kings. Listen,
just put Kawhi Leonard out there. He'll beat the Kings
by himself there. I would lay it in Sacramento, and
then the Grizzlies taken on the Trailblazers.
Speaker 2: How did you get stuck with John Morant Memphis?
Speaker 1: My goodness, you can't even give him away in the meantime,
Trail Blazers laying a big number tonight eight and a half.
Speaker 2: And you know what.
Speaker 1: Feels like the Trailblazers are gonna get this one here tonight, Meryl,
What do you.
Speaker 2: Got going on here? In college Hoopsteve.
Speaker 3: So two national TV games free for you tonight on
Friday in college basketball, coming up with analysis here and
just a moment quick reminder. My strongest college basketball best
bet is also a national TV game tonight on Friday,
and that's available for my clients at watertalk dot com.
Also my advanced Super Bowl sixty best bet locked and
loaded for this Sunday, and a free NBA play my
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at waitress. You'll check that out, Steve Merrill wager talk
dot com and get there quicker wt dot buzz slash
sm all. Right, let's sart with your first game on
the deuce ESPN two seven o'clock Eastern Friday night, My
neck of the woods in the Richmond area. VCU Dayton
Atlantic ten battle. VCU currently about a seven to seven
and a half point home favorite total sitting around one
forty nine. Not too much movement on this game and
both teams. I don't want to say entering good current
forum because VCU does not so sure about their opponent
tonight though in Dayton. You know Dayton's always a Kernel
mccalliber team and the s theyre had a nice win
against Saint Bonaventure at home on Tuesday, but that snapped
a four game losing streak, and they haven't stepped up
a well in class. When they've played top one one
hundred teams like VCU this season, they have struggled at times.
They lost by thirty one points to a very good
Saint Louis team last Friday a week ago, and they
also lost to a Liberty team back in December that
ranked top one hundred BC. You meanwhile, enters eight and
two in the conference, six straight wins here, and it
probably is a favorable matchup. Seagal Center is always one
of the toughest home courts in the Atlantic ten. Both
teams get to the free throw line a lot, and
that is a very interesting stat percentage of shots or
a percentage of points from the free throw line. Both
of these teams ranked top ten in the nation, which
could lead to a sneaky over in this game tonight.
Take a look at the over one ninety nine and
a half. I think there'll be a lot of free
throws in this game. Whenever we get free throws without
the clock running, that can help scoring, and I think
that'll be the case in this one tonight. Take a
look at Over one forty nine VCU Dayton seven Eastern
on ESPN two. Your other national TV game and I'll
talk about is at eight o'clock eastern right next to
it on the rotation Bradley Northern Iowa. This one on
CBS Sports Network at eight eastern and Northern Iowa currently
about a four to four and a half point home favorite.
Hasn't moved too much. We have seen some money coming
on the over opened around the one to thirty one
to thirty one ranges up to one thirty three and
a half. And that's all a surprising to me because
Northern Iowa plays slow. If you want to watch paint
dry tonight, that'll be at a faster pace in this
basketball game, because Northern Iowa is the second slowest team
in the country out of three hundred and sixty five
Division one men's basketball teams this year. And I do
like their side in this game, so I'm a little
surprised that total has risen higher. I'm going to stay
away from the total though, and look at Northern Iowa
minus the four four and a half. I think they
can dictate tempo on their home court. Here also should
be a focused spot for them, as it is a
revenge game. They lost by six at Bradley in a
game that was a little bit higher scoring than average
one hundred and forty four. Maybe that's why we see
the total bump up higher. But once again, home teams
normally can dictate tempo, and being the revenge rematch, I
look for a lower scoring game tonight. I think that
favors Northern Iowa. And by the way, the six point
loss that game was hype throughout until the very end.
I think Northern Iowa was just as good, if not better,
And it's a good situational spot here at home with revenge,
and they had the second best three point defense in
the country get up less than twenty seven percent from
beyond the arc Bradley meanwhile, not even the top three hundred.
Sometimes that's random variants and it can revert back to
the mean. But once again, home teams normally shoot better
from three, they usually dictate tempo, and they've got revenge.
I like Northern Iowa minus the four four and a half.
That's at eight o'clock Easter on CBS Sports Network. And
don't forget. If you're liking these free play videos thumbs up,
like positive comment below, let me know who you like
tonight in college hoops on Friday and this Saturday as well,
because I will have my college basketball Top twenty five
video for this Saturday ready this weekend, and then of
course my Super Bowl sixty deep dive side total player
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Speaker 1: All right, Meryl, outstanding stuff as always, and that's it.
That'll do it for us here on the best betting
show ever NBA College Basketball. And again, don't forget our
bets are locked and loaded over at wageytalk dot com,
not for just tonight, but of course for Sunday as well.
Head over there, visit Steve's page, visit my page, visit
the pres page, and let's make it a very profitable
weekend here, Merril. We'll see you again next week. Always
a pleasure to hang with you, my man. Enjoy the game,
Enjoy the weekend, guys. We'll be back Monday, and so
will the press I think, unless he's Sonny Bono himself.
Either way, we'll be back, just saying trees are out
there and I don't trust the Pres on skis at all.
Enjoy the weekend, guys. We'll see you again next week.
Are on the best betting show ever.