1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,279 Speaker 1: All right, here we go, final day before the big 2 00:00:03,319 --> 00:00:07,080 game Friday on the best betting show ever. A lot 3 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:11,039 to go over here today, not just with the super Bowl, 4 00:00:11,080 --> 00:00:14,720 but of course we do have some NBA action now 5 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:19,519 we have college basketball, pretty big slate, well, pretty important game, 6 00:00:19,559 --> 00:00:21,839 I should say, rather at the garden here tonight with 7 00:00:21,879 --> 00:00:25,800 the Johnny's taking on Yukon of course, heading into a 8 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:29,559 monster Saturday in college hoops. And you put it all 9 00:00:29,559 --> 00:00:32,799 together and we got well, we got some edges to 10 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:34,759 talk about here, and who better to do it with 11 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:39,039 than these two guys who, apparently in the comments thought 12 00:00:39,119 --> 00:00:42,880 it was impossible for you two actually show up together. 13 00:00:43,439 --> 00:00:46,560 But here they are Art the Caesar and Double R 14 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,280 one Al Steve Merrill in the house. And I gotta 15 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:52,439 tell you a very good looking crew here. Thank goodness. 16 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:55,479 The pres is nowhere here to screw this thing up here, 17 00:00:55,520 --> 00:01:00,600 But always a pleasure Art to see you Merrill. But yes, Steve, 18 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:04,319 you read in the comments apparently there was some confusion 19 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:06,519 about whether or not you two are ever allowed to 20 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:07,719 be on screen together. 21 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:08,480 Speaker 2: Is that correct? 22 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:11,719 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll use a big word for the viewers, detunt. 23 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:13,640 They don't even know what that means. Probably, But like 24 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:16,920 like Joe had to separate us. We're slowly getting back together. 25 00:01:17,159 --> 00:01:19,799 Art and I are working out our differences. I will 26 00:01:19,799 --> 00:01:22,959 say this though, to enter the room, I guarantee I'll 27 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:24,280 be the one leaving the show today. 28 00:01:24,519 --> 00:01:25,640 Speaker 2: Yeah. 29 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:28,439 Speaker 3: I love it that Art is very busy. He's very busy. 30 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 1: That's why I say, yeah, Art, Art has got places 31 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:34,319 to go, people to see things that do so Art. 32 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:38,040 Let's kick it off you with the Super Bowl odds. 33 00:01:38,439 --> 00:01:42,439 The movement now you said yesterday that you know beginning 34 00:01:42,519 --> 00:01:45,159 then over the next forty eight hours is really when 35 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:47,640 the volume will start to hit in. What are we seeing, 36 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:50,120 if anything, in the market right now with this game. 37 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:53,560 Speaker 4: I mean we're still five and forty five and a half. 38 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,439 I sound like a broker record because I've been saying 39 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:57,280 it all week, But I think the thing that is 40 00:01:57,319 --> 00:01:58,959 tightened a little bit is we've seen a little bit 41 00:01:58,959 --> 00:02:02,079 more New England money in ticket wise. You know, earlier 42 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:04,120 in the week, early in the process, we were seeing 43 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:07,799 five to one, six to one Seattle tickets. Now it's 44 00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:10,400 like three to one. It's getting a lot tighter as 45 00:02:10,439 --> 00:02:12,560 far as that goes. We've seen a little bit of 46 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:15,439 nibble on our two to one plus two hundred on 47 00:02:15,479 --> 00:02:16,800 New England on the money line. 48 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:18,599 Speaker 5: So you start to see that money. 49 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:20,159 Speaker 4: Just trickle in a little bit, because like I said, 50 00:02:20,159 --> 00:02:22,039 we're pretty much the highest I've seen on the market 51 00:02:22,039 --> 00:02:24,120 on that and I've seen as as plus one eighty 52 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:28,360 plus one eighty five. So listen, we're doing about sixty 53 00:02:28,439 --> 00:02:31,400 percent of our business on props. You know, once again, 54 00:02:31,439 --> 00:02:33,840 when you're dealing almost five hundred props, you're going to 55 00:02:33,879 --> 00:02:35,439 be doing a lot of business with the props. So 56 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:38,520 obviously here over these next two days we will get 57 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,639 the bulk of our money and be interesting to see 58 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,319 what happens if you know, we start to see more 59 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:47,080 New England support because we start to see the New 60 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:50,680 England ticket count, you know rise, not that it's big bets, 61 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:53,199 but at least it's closing the gap from that five 62 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:53,759 to six. 63 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:54,159 Speaker 3: To one. 64 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 2: Marl. 65 00:02:58,439 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, so our you know, it stills a lot of 66 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:02,840 money's going to be coming in this week. And which 67 00:03:02,879 --> 00:03:04,120 way do you think this line is going to move? 68 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:06,000 Obviously you're seeing a lot of Seattle money. You're all 69 00:03:06,039 --> 00:03:08,120 so closer to the West Coast than maybe some of 70 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:11,360 the East coast books are. Do you see some new 71 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,960 England buyback coming at plus five. I don't think we're 72 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:16,639 going to get that key number of six. I've been 73 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,039 telling people all week. You know, if you like the Seahawks, 74 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:20,840 four and a half's probably the best line you're gonna 75 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:22,599 get because they do look public to me as well. 76 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,479 The over underline has hit forty five at some of 77 00:03:25,520 --> 00:03:28,479 your competitors. I don't see it going much lower than that. 78 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:30,159 I would think the public might come in on the over, 79 00:03:30,199 --> 00:03:32,400 although I'm seeing some consensus of the under because there 80 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:35,919 are two good defensive teams. What are your thoughts when 81 00:03:35,919 --> 00:03:38,039 this closes, when all is said and done. 82 00:03:38,280 --> 00:03:40,439 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think eventually we're going to see a little 83 00:03:40,439 --> 00:03:41,879 bit more in New England money. And like I said, 84 00:03:41,919 --> 00:03:44,000 we've already seen it. I think we're in the four 85 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:47,080 and a half five range basically until kick. Just depends 86 00:03:47,159 --> 00:03:49,919 what we do with the number when we finally get there. 87 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:52,080 You know, the total is something we've talked about all week. 88 00:03:52,159 --> 00:03:53,879 We were as high as forty six and a half, 89 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:56,680 got to as low as forty five. Now we're forty 90 00:03:56,680 --> 00:03:58,840 five and a half, and I expect the public to 91 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:00,759 bet the over. I mean that's normal what they do 92 00:04:00,919 --> 00:04:04,719 despite the two really good defensive teams. But you know 93 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:07,479 it's gonna be one of those things where despite the 94 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:09,879 sharp's always loving the under in the Super Bowl, you 95 00:04:09,919 --> 00:04:13,360 always get overwhelmed with over money anyway, So you know 96 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:15,759 it's fine. I think if you like the under, you're 97 00:04:15,759 --> 00:04:17,839 probably at this point. If you haven't bet it, you 98 00:04:17,879 --> 00:04:19,959 could probably wait because it's probably going to go back up. 99 00:04:20,879 --> 00:04:23,519 Speaker 1: Yeah, we've been saying that all week, No rush if 100 00:04:23,519 --> 00:04:26,439 you're looking for the under, but I think if you're 101 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:29,319 looking at the over, sooner rather than later. 102 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,800 Speaker 2: And we talked yesterday Art with the prop moves. 103 00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:35,879 Speaker 1: You've been giving them out each day here during the 104 00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:38,720 week on some of the some of the sharper moves 105 00:04:38,759 --> 00:04:43,240 that you have seen in the betting market. You said yesterday, 106 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:47,519 shockingly enough, Cooper Cup anytime touchdown was one of your 107 00:04:47,959 --> 00:04:51,839 big public prop bets that everyone seems to be betting 108 00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:55,000 still at plus money. I noticed this morning at some 109 00:04:55,199 --> 00:05:00,120 places there. But it just appears everybody seems to think 110 00:05:00,399 --> 00:05:03,680 that Kenny Walker is gonna get into the end zone. 111 00:05:03,839 --> 00:05:06,120 What else are you seeing here so far over the 112 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:07,439 last twenty four hours. 113 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:11,879 Speaker 4: Yeah, sharp stuff defensive props, which a little bit more 114 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:15,240 of a sharp market. I would say the public really 115 00:05:15,319 --> 00:05:17,639 doesn't bet that as much, but I mean, listen, it's 116 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:19,800 the props. We'll probably get some public money on it. 117 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:23,519 But we have four guys that they bet over solo 118 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:27,480 plus assists tackles, Woodson over five and a half, Hawkins 119 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,079 over four and a half, Ls over three and a half, 120 00:05:30,319 --> 00:05:33,639 and Williams over three and a half. That's all sharp stuff. 121 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,879 To get back to the Cup stuff, Joe. Anytime touchdowns, now, 122 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:40,120 this could change. We have forty you know, plenty of 123 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:41,639 time before we get there. But speaking to you on 124 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:44,839 a Friday morning, Cooper Cup is third. Now ticket count 125 00:05:45,079 --> 00:05:49,600 for anytime touchdowns Drake may second number one. This is 126 00:05:49,639 --> 00:05:54,879 gonna shock you a little bit. Seattle's defense, whoa right now? Yeah, really, 127 00:05:54,959 --> 00:05:59,399 Seattle's defense. We've taken a ton of bets on Seattle's 128 00:05:59,399 --> 00:06:02,480 defense to score at any point in the game. You know, 129 00:06:02,519 --> 00:06:04,680 obviously you're getting five to one plus five point fifty. 130 00:06:05,079 --> 00:06:05,959 Speaker 5: You're in that rage. 131 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:10,639 Speaker 4: The two big long shot MVP for each team, Gonzales 132 00:06:10,680 --> 00:06:14,199 for New England, Williams for Seattle. As I mentioned earlier 133 00:06:14,199 --> 00:06:16,120 in the week, they love to take the long shots 134 00:06:16,519 --> 00:06:18,560 on the defensive side of the ball. So you have 135 00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:21,759 one from each team and then the first touchdown scorer 136 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:24,720 of the game, which is probably the most popular index 137 00:06:24,759 --> 00:06:27,680 prop we put up because it it just receives a 138 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:33,319 ton of action. The top three ticket counts in that 139 00:06:33,399 --> 00:06:38,439 market are all Seattle guys. It's Walker, It's Cup, and 140 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:39,879 it's Jake Bobo. 141 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:41,120 Speaker 2: Wow. 142 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:45,519 Speaker 1: Yeah, have that on your Bengo card. Meral little Jake Bobo? 143 00:06:45,759 --> 00:06:48,199 Did you have him in there? Ron taking the money? 144 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:50,639 Speaker 3: See, this is why, this is why Arden I cannot 145 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:53,240 work together on a consistent basis all week long. He's 146 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:55,519 thrown out stuff like that. I don't believe any of 147 00:06:55,519 --> 00:06:58,240 the My favorite art isn't the conspiracy that you and 148 00:06:58,319 --> 00:07:00,399 I can't work to get my favorite conspiracy. That art 149 00:07:00,439 --> 00:07:02,439 comes on here to give everyone the wrong side. And 150 00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:06,560 of course for all of us in the other forty 151 00:07:06,639 --> 00:07:09,360 nine states that cannot bet at the super book if 152 00:07:09,439 --> 00:07:11,439 they're benefiting from that, right, So we're all going to 153 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:14,279 fly over to Vegas to take the wrong side. So 154 00:07:14,319 --> 00:07:16,000 I got to ask you. I'm doing my public video 155 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,199 this afternoon for the weekend. Everyone's been asking when that'll 156 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:19,800 be out. It'll be out on Saturday. I do think, 157 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:22,720 by the way, Joe members. First option might be available 158 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:25,040 Friday night for that two dollars ninety nine cents a month. 159 00:07:25,519 --> 00:07:27,839 Another reason to get that here wait your talk, insider. 160 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:30,160 I want to give out as much of a public 161 00:07:30,199 --> 00:07:31,839 you know, fade the public tilt in the game. I 162 00:07:31,839 --> 00:07:33,879 think Seattle is the public side, So we kind of 163 00:07:33,879 --> 00:07:36,600 covered that already. I don't know where I'm going to 164 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:38,439 the total. I do see more sentiment for the under 165 00:07:38,439 --> 00:07:40,360 than you normally see in a given games. The public 166 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:43,600 normally likes the over, but prop wise, it's tricky for 167 00:07:43,639 --> 00:07:45,360 me because I don't do a lot of public information 168 00:07:45,399 --> 00:07:46,839 on props. So I wanted to ask you some of 169 00:07:46,839 --> 00:07:49,639 the more I don't want to say sucker props, but 170 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:51,759 the props in which the public likes him every year. 171 00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:54,120 Maybe we kind of touched on the will there be 172 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:57,959 a safety or overtime? By the way I pulled it up, guys, 173 00:07:58,759 --> 00:08:01,959 seven percent of NFL games have a safety art That 174 00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:05,040 would equate to minus thirteen fifty is the true odds? 175 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:07,399 You know? And you guys are dealing. You said we 176 00:08:07,519 --> 00:08:09,959 like eight to one. I think what's the other side 177 00:08:09,959 --> 00:08:11,639 of that? Was a twelve to one, one to fourteen, 178 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:14,800 one to twelve on the on the safety if you 179 00:08:14,839 --> 00:08:15,839 recall the on the. 180 00:08:15,759 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 5: No yeah fourteen yeah. 181 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 3: So see there. You know, Prez was saying that's a 182 00:08:19,399 --> 00:08:20,879 great bet, and I didn't want to count them the 183 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:23,199 other day. And one thing we didn't touch upon last 184 00:08:23,199 --> 00:08:26,399 week is that maybe neither side is a great bet 185 00:08:26,439 --> 00:08:30,319 because the true odds are minus thirteen fifty. Because yes, 186 00:08:30,399 --> 00:08:33,080 eight to one is a bad bet, but minus fourteen 187 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:35,279 hundred isn't a great bet either, because it's a six 188 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:39,759 six hundred difference overtime. Trying to pull that up, I 189 00:08:39,799 --> 00:08:41,960 saw twenty twenty four to five percent of games went 190 00:08:42,000 --> 00:08:43,919 to overtime, so less games went to overtime than had 191 00:08:43,919 --> 00:08:47,919 a safety on average. What are some other kind of 192 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:49,600 like maybe I don't want to say sucker props, but 193 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:52,360 very public props that you see every year, including this season. 194 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:55,399 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean obviously you touched on those two. The 195 00:08:55,399 --> 00:08:58,080 octopus is a very popular prop. You get that at 196 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:00,960 sixteen to one, life a lot of people like the bet. 197 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:03,840 That that's a problem that's pretty much been introduced here 198 00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:06,879 in the last decade. That's always you got to remember too, 199 00:09:06,879 --> 00:09:09,960 the public likes to take chances with some you know, numbers, 200 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:11,919 they want some value. They want to be able to 201 00:09:11,919 --> 00:09:15,759 bet ten, fifteen to twenty dollars and maybe get you know, 202 00:09:15,799 --> 00:09:17,799 a six to one, eight to one, ten to one 203 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:21,360 return on their dollars. So you see a lot of that. 204 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:23,840 I mean the public, you know, no shock, they're going 205 00:09:23,919 --> 00:09:25,960 to come in and bet all the overs on all 206 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:28,320 the players and just the normal stuff. You know, like 207 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:32,000 Sam Donald over passing yards, over one and a half touchdowns. 208 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:35,360 You know they're gonna bet the popular players over. That's 209 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:37,519 why we're always pretty much rooting for a low scoring 210 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:40,240 game with not a lot of touchdowns because then you know, 211 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:42,080 probably most of the props will go under. 212 00:09:42,399 --> 00:09:43,960 Speaker 5: So we're always in that range. 213 00:09:44,039 --> 00:09:46,960 Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean as far as do longer shock 214 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:52,320 stuff with the public, it's those three overtime octopus and 215 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:53,559 a safety. 216 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:56,840 Speaker 3: Aren't explained the octopus real quick joke for people that 217 00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:59,919 aren't familiar with that one. It's not a hatch track. 218 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:02,960 In Detroit when they scored three, goalsh, no, it should 219 00:10:03,039 --> 00:10:03,799 be no. 220 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 4: So they would be like Kenny Walker scores a touchdown 221 00:10:08,200 --> 00:10:12,559 that gives him six points. Then on that touchdown they 222 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:15,559 go for two and he gets the two point conversion, 223 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:19,480 giving him eight points in that little touchdown. 224 00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:25,039 Speaker 3: Drive interesting and we at like sixteen to one. I 225 00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:27,039 don't have the I don't have the numbers on how 226 00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:29,080 often that happens, but I can't imagine. 227 00:10:28,720 --> 00:10:32,120 Speaker 1: That it's too often. No, no, it doesn't. But you know, 228 00:10:32,159 --> 00:10:34,759 there are lottery tickets. Some of those are all lottery tickets. 229 00:10:34,759 --> 00:10:35,600 Speaker 5: There are why not? 230 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:39,080 Speaker 2: I mean it's uh, it's Ezza money. We talked about 231 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:40,240 it earlier in the week two. 232 00:10:40,639 --> 00:10:44,519 Speaker 1: Another one of these popular ones, right, is the longest 233 00:10:44,600 --> 00:10:46,799 or what the shortest touchdown? Right? 234 00:10:46,879 --> 00:10:48,159 Speaker 2: We said a yard and a half. 235 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:51,039 Speaker 1: That seems to me that used to be I mean, 236 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:53,279 remember we used to actually get a pretty decent price. 237 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,440 But now it feels like that's the first bet the 238 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:59,039 public makes every year. Are and it's like, oh, give 239 00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:01,879 me the give me the under a yard and a half. 240 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:04,039 Are you still seeing the action on that as well? 241 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:05,840 Speaker 5: One hundred percent? 242 00:11:05,879 --> 00:11:07,840 Speaker 4: You know, you deal it at minus one forty, it 243 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:10,519 gets bet, and it goes to minus one sixty that 244 00:11:10,639 --> 00:11:12,480 time they gets to cook it. Yeah, by the time 245 00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:14,399 that gets a kickoff, that could be under two dollars. 246 00:11:14,639 --> 00:11:16,759 I mean, you know, and then some people could some 247 00:11:16,799 --> 00:11:19,159 people can come back and you know, take the over 248 00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:21,159 and just you know, get a little arbitrage there and 249 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:24,679 take both. But I mean it's just one of those 250 00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:27,960 things where, yeah, you can't make that under price high 251 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:29,120 enough because they're going to bet it. 252 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:31,879 Speaker 3: And Joe I will say, I don't think that was 253 00:11:31,919 --> 00:11:34,000 always a very public prop. I used that for years 254 00:11:34,039 --> 00:11:36,759 for my clients. Oh and most people's kickback, as you know, 255 00:11:36,919 --> 00:11:39,360 it would be like how could you lay minus money 256 00:11:39,399 --> 00:11:42,159 on a one yard touchdown? But it happened a lot 257 00:11:42,679 --> 00:11:44,240 And then the other one I'll point out too in 258 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:46,559 that regard, which hasn't worked as much recently. I think 259 00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:48,559 Teddy did a little YouTube clip on this, and it's 260 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:50,600 only won five of the last ten years. And I 261 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:52,720 don't use it anymore, but I used to use it 262 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:55,879 for decades. Was three consecutive scores and that would be 263 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:59,360 minus one seventy minus two hundred. But I also think 264 00:11:59,399 --> 00:12:01,159 you got to remember how the Super Bowl era has 265 00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:03,799 changed since we were growing up in the eighties and nineties, 266 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:06,279 when we had blowouts and you had dominant teams, double 267 00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:09,600 digit favorites, yep, and what should be a competitive game 268 00:12:09,639 --> 00:12:12,039 once again with a short price range, a low total 269 00:12:12,399 --> 00:12:15,039 forty fives are fairly low total. It's probably a little 270 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:16,840 less likely as well. What kind of action do you 271 00:12:16,879 --> 00:12:18,200 see on that. I mean, I think back of the 272 00:12:18,279 --> 00:12:20,919 day that was also a sharp prop to lay the 273 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:23,279 juice with the three straight scores, but it hasn't worked 274 00:12:23,279 --> 00:12:24,039 as well recently. 275 00:12:25,039 --> 00:12:27,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, and you know, Steve, it is still a sharp 276 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:30,200 prop and the number is actually shorter now. You know, 277 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:32,799 we open that number a lot lower than probably we 278 00:12:32,879 --> 00:12:34,559 have in years past. You know, you can open it 279 00:12:34,639 --> 00:12:36,720 now at a dollar fifty and you take a little 280 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:38,919 bit of money on it early sharp eyes, and then 281 00:12:38,960 --> 00:12:41,240 you move it very aggressively. You go to minus one 282 00:12:41,279 --> 00:12:43,840 seventy five minus one eighty, and then that's kind of 283 00:12:43,879 --> 00:12:46,399 where your number is. But yeah, you're right with how 284 00:12:46,519 --> 00:12:49,960 competitive the games have been here recently, that isn't what, 285 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:52,759 you know, the value of what it was back in 286 00:12:52,759 --> 00:12:54,840 the day, like you said, with all the blowouts. 287 00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:57,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, and how about the kicking props through Aret we 288 00:12:57,919 --> 00:13:00,480 talked about last week early on we started to say 289 00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:04,440 longest field goal props be bet. That seems to be 290 00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:08,000 a big one. The amount of field goals in the game. 291 00:13:08,080 --> 00:13:11,120 Are we still seeing some public support for the kicking 292 00:13:11,159 --> 00:13:13,159 game and the kicking props. 293 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:14,120 Speaker 5: Always the kicking game. 294 00:13:14,159 --> 00:13:16,120 Speaker 4: I told you yesterday one of the sharper props we 295 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:19,039 have is Myers to have a fifty plus yard field goal. 296 00:13:19,440 --> 00:13:22,320 That was as highest plus two fifty. Now we're under 297 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:26,720 two dollars on that. The punting stuff is interesting. You'll 298 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:28,840 see a lot of you know, we deal will each 299 00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:31,120 of the punters have a touchback? 300 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:33,919 Speaker 5: You know, will they kick a touchback? 301 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:36,399 Speaker 4: So you see that with the punters, and you see 302 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:39,279 the wise guys want to come in and lay a 303 00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:42,720 minus three thirty, a minus three forty, minus three fifty 304 00:13:42,759 --> 00:13:45,720 on the no they feel comfortable doing that. You see 305 00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:49,720 a lot of public support for each kicker to miss 306 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:51,559 a field goal, you get a price on that. You 307 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:55,039 get almost three to one depending on which kicker you 308 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:57,440 take to miss one field goal in the game. So 309 00:13:57,759 --> 00:14:01,960 the kicking props have completely, you know, they've exploded obviously 310 00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:04,000 here over these last handful of years. I told you 311 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:06,039 every year one of the kickers get support in the 312 00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:09,360 MVP market. This year it's Myers. I remember when the 313 00:14:09,399 --> 00:14:12,200 Bengals played in the game, it was it eMac. He 314 00:14:12,279 --> 00:14:14,480 got a tremendous amount of support. 315 00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:15,399 Speaker 5: To be the MVP in the game. 316 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:17,879 Speaker 4: And the Bengals played the Rams, so the kicking stuff 317 00:14:17,879 --> 00:14:18,799 has really exploded. 318 00:14:19,159 --> 00:14:22,519 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll ask you real quick. First of all, I 319 00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:24,639 just looked it up. He had seven kicks of fifty 320 00:14:24,679 --> 00:14:27,360 or more this year, only seven. So you're saying it's 321 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:29,320 all what we say, minus two hundred is what it. 322 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:33,039 Speaker 4: Is well to get no, to get it, we were 323 00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:35,519 get Yeah, plus two to fifty was a yes. 324 00:14:35,799 --> 00:14:37,799 Speaker 3: Oh play. I was gonna say, ye howl yeah, because 325 00:14:37,799 --> 00:14:39,600 it should be less than fifty fifty. 326 00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:41,399 Speaker 5: Under Yeah, now it's under two dollars. 327 00:14:41,759 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 3: So now, oh, yeah, that makes sense. So he had Yeah, 328 00:14:44,039 --> 00:14:45,639 he had seven of them though, So yeah, plus two 329 00:14:45,679 --> 00:14:47,519 to fifty was a nice price probably for that one. 330 00:14:47,559 --> 00:14:49,840 I can understand that. I'll ask you real quick. You 331 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:52,279 mentioned the MVP, and this is something Gabe Mcy, Joe 332 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:54,200 gam Marency and I talked about this for decades on 333 00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:56,679 his show. Is That And I think everyone's onto it 334 00:14:56,759 --> 00:14:59,159 now that you kind of correlate the Super Bowl MVP 335 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:02,600 quarterback with the team you like. You mentioned kickers getting it. 336 00:15:02,639 --> 00:15:04,799 I think that would be awful for the game. If 337 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:06,320 a kicker wins it, this is not going to be 338 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:09,200 a fun game to watch. That's all. I know, what 339 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:11,399 are your thoughts on that? I mean, obviously you're paying 340 00:15:11,399 --> 00:15:13,440 a premium because you as were onto that as well. 341 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:15,080 But what else are you looking at of the MVP 342 00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:18,159 market other than the quarterbacks? Do you get sharp bets 343 00:15:18,159 --> 00:15:20,600 on the MVP? Did people still hammer the quarterbacks or 344 00:15:21,039 --> 00:15:22,799 some as it more of a kind of a lottery 345 00:15:22,799 --> 00:15:24,399 ticket type thing with some of the outliers. 346 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean the quarterback is going to get the 347 00:15:27,799 --> 00:15:30,000 quarterbacks are going to get a ton of action, of course. 348 00:15:30,039 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 5: And you know, it was the old thing. 349 00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:34,639 Speaker 4: Why take mahomes, you know, take mahomes and even money 350 00:15:34,679 --> 00:15:36,399 to be the MVP when the Chiefs are minus one 351 00:15:36,519 --> 00:15:37,440 thirty to win the game. 352 00:15:37,799 --> 00:15:40,159 Speaker 5: There was a bunch of that. But you know, this year, 353 00:15:40,399 --> 00:15:40,600 and I. 354 00:15:40,879 --> 00:15:43,600 Speaker 4: Always talk about it, the defensive guys in the long 355 00:15:43,639 --> 00:15:46,240 shot range got a lot of love because some defensive 356 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:48,519 guys have won here in the last ten, fifteen to 357 00:15:48,519 --> 00:15:51,039 twenty years. The thing, and I mentioned this to Joe, 358 00:15:51,759 --> 00:15:54,200 is the running backs never win anymore. It's been since 359 00:15:54,279 --> 00:15:57,840 Terrell Davis. So the running back just never wins the 360 00:15:57,960 --> 00:16:01,120 MVP anymore. So despite money that comes in on the 361 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,039 running backs, like we feel comfortable taking as much money 362 00:16:04,039 --> 00:16:06,440 on the running backs and barely even moving the price 363 00:16:06,519 --> 00:16:09,279 because they just don't give it to the running backs anymore. 364 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:11,440 Of Course, you know, a guy like JSN is going 365 00:16:11,519 --> 00:16:13,240 to get a lot of love. You even see some 366 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:15,639 love for like a you know, Stefang Diggs. You know, 367 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:20,559 receivers have won this award as well. So yeah, of course, 368 00:16:20,639 --> 00:16:23,360 you know, for the most part, if the winning team's 369 00:16:23,879 --> 00:16:26,360 quarterback wins the MVP, you might lose a little bit, 370 00:16:26,399 --> 00:16:27,440 but it's nothing crazy. 371 00:16:27,919 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 1: I would almost rather Art, just bet the position to 372 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:33,960 win it, give me the quarterback to be the MVP, 373 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:37,679 and and save yourself the hedget that way, and just 374 00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:39,679 as long as one of them wins, and who gives 375 00:16:39,679 --> 00:16:41,799 a crap, we're good to go along those lines. So 376 00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:45,679 not a bad way to approach that one either, So 377 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:47,320 a lot of prop bets. 378 00:16:47,679 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 2: Obviously, you got a busy. 379 00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:53,279 Speaker 1: Weekend coming up here, Art, but it's not the only 380 00:16:53,320 --> 00:16:55,960 sport going on. We've been talking about it here. We've 381 00:16:55,960 --> 00:17:01,279 got college basketball NBA. Obviously, the Olympics get underway now. 382 00:17:01,799 --> 00:17:04,720 But let's not forget you promised a little baseball talk 383 00:17:04,799 --> 00:17:08,079 for us as well as pitchers and catchers getting ready 384 00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:10,640 to report here within the week. So what do you 385 00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:13,000 got for a cre As far as the sharp action. 386 00:17:13,799 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll start with the college basketball in the NBA, 387 00:17:15,799 --> 00:17:18,920 and then I'll hop into those wind totals NBA. Really, 388 00:17:19,079 --> 00:17:21,000 the only thing we saw this morning was Blazers took 389 00:17:21,039 --> 00:17:23,200 money at minus seven and a half now up to 390 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:25,880 eight and a half. In college Brown took money at 391 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:30,039 plus fifteen. Valpo took money at minus nine and a half, 392 00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:33,440 and Loyola Chicago also took money at plus ten and 393 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:36,599 a half. Obviously, no NHL for about three weeks here 394 00:17:36,799 --> 00:17:38,720 and now. As far as our baseball win totals, now, 395 00:17:38,799 --> 00:17:42,559 we put those up on Tuesday, and this is no shock. 396 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:45,559 The public's already on the Dodgers over one one hundred 397 00:17:45,599 --> 00:17:47,440 and a half. We're already at one oh one and 398 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:49,839 a half. Listen, does someone want to come and bet 399 00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:52,519 the under with us? Hasn't happened yet, but we figure 400 00:17:52,559 --> 00:17:56,079 it probably will at some point, depending how high we 401 00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:58,519 get on that number. Sharp money did come in on 402 00:17:58,559 --> 00:18:01,000 the Rangers over eighty two and a half half and 403 00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:03,599 the Brewers eighty three and a half, and a couple 404 00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:05,720 of teams that we had maybe a little bit higher 405 00:18:06,279 --> 00:18:08,160 on the market because we want to book to those 406 00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:10,480 teams because we think they're going to be really good 407 00:18:10,519 --> 00:18:12,680 and they're going to go over their win totals. We 408 00:18:12,759 --> 00:18:15,160 took under money on the Braves at ninety one and 409 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:17,440 a half because we were a little bit higher than 410 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:19,880 most places, and the same thing with the White Sox 411 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:22,079 at sixty nine and a half. So a lot of 412 00:18:22,079 --> 00:18:24,680 people coming and saying, oh, that's maybe a higher number 413 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:28,240 than we've seen out there, so we've taken under money there. 414 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:29,680 And listen, there are plenty people who are going to 415 00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:32,079 look for middles on these wind totals, so we know 416 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:33,319 that's part of the process. 417 00:18:34,279 --> 00:18:36,279 Speaker 3: Joe, let me ask Art real quick, because I appreciate 418 00:18:36,319 --> 00:18:38,000 all the time and we know you got to run here. 419 00:18:38,079 --> 00:18:40,960 We've taken enough of your time here on Super Bowl Friday. 420 00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:43,400 But on the baseball I thought of this when Joe said, 421 00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:46,279 you guys had numbers coming out. What's the thought process? 422 00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:48,160 I mean, I don't want to say it's a lost leader, 423 00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:50,400 but you guys are obviously hanging yourselves out there, putting 424 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:52,400 them out earlier than everyone else for the most part. 425 00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:55,319 And you ever, as risk management, have you ever run 426 00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:57,720 the numbers over the years, Like do you come out 427 00:18:57,759 --> 00:18:59,720 ahead any given year in the first week of action. 428 00:19:00,039 --> 00:19:01,400 I don't even if you break it down like that. 429 00:19:01,519 --> 00:19:03,960 And just what's the thought process of getting them out 430 00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:06,240 of ahead of everybody else, you. 431 00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:07,839 Speaker 5: Know, I mean, Steve, it's as simple as this. 432 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:09,960 Speaker 4: It's Super Bowl weekend, right, This is going to be 433 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:13,079 the busiest weekend of the year outside of that first 434 00:19:13,079 --> 00:19:15,400 weekend of March madness. So we want to have as 435 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:19,000 much content out for people to make bets. So, you know, 436 00:19:19,039 --> 00:19:21,799 if people came here Super Bowl and they were like, oh, 437 00:19:21,839 --> 00:19:23,319 I want to bet some baseball stuff, and they can 438 00:19:23,319 --> 00:19:25,440 only bet the Yankees to win the World Series and 439 00:19:25,519 --> 00:19:28,720 you can't bet divisions or make the playoffs or win totals. 440 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,680 We feel comfortable putting them out so we can take 441 00:19:31,759 --> 00:19:33,720 more money in our pool. I mean, it's a pool 442 00:19:33,759 --> 00:19:36,359 that obviously we're going to book from now up until 443 00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:39,400 you know, first pitch whatever that is, you know, March thirtieth, 444 00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:42,200 March thirty first, whatever that date is. So we feel 445 00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:45,240 comfortable getting them out and having people have a little 446 00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:48,240 bit more shelf life to bet with us. And you know, 447 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:49,920 that's just the way we approach it. 448 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,599 Speaker 1: Awesome one hundred and sixty two games in a season, 449 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:55,440 the variants for a win total. 450 00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:57,759 Speaker 2: It's just over the top. 451 00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:01,039 Speaker 1: So it should be a far one though, because as 452 00:20:01,039 --> 00:20:04,640 soon as football is gone, baseball will be back, and 453 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:07,559 I am all for it, all right, Art, it is time, 454 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:10,359 of course, for our parlay of the day. Now, if 455 00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:14,559 I'm not mistaken, guys, did we not sweep this thing yesterday? 456 00:20:14,759 --> 00:20:16,000 Speaker 2: I believe we did. 457 00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:20,480 Speaker 1: In fact, all three of us nailed our parlay of 458 00:20:20,559 --> 00:20:24,559 the day. All legs hit, So Art, start us off here, 459 00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:27,880 my man, what's gonna be today's winning leg? 460 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:29,559 Speaker 5: Now? 461 00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:32,720 Speaker 4: I want to say we're gonna stick with the Super Bowl? 462 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:34,240 Is that what we're gonna do? 463 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:37,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's fine, go shoot. I like it, yep, all right. 464 00:20:37,559 --> 00:20:40,559 Speaker 4: I'm gonna get out Stevenson from New England to having 465 00:20:40,559 --> 00:20:43,160 any time touchdown. I've seen it as low as plus 466 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:45,319 one thirty. I've seen it as highest plus one fifty. 467 00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:47,519 So he gets some plus money on him. I think 468 00:20:47,559 --> 00:20:48,119 he will score. 469 00:20:48,839 --> 00:20:51,119 Speaker 2: Oh I like that one, all right. 470 00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:54,599 Speaker 1: I'll go here, Merrill, because I'm gonna go with the 471 00:20:54,720 --> 00:21:00,519 other RB there for New England and traveon Henderson over 472 00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:04,599 is rushing prop I think which is up to maybe 473 00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:08,079 eighteen and a half. Now, he is your home run hitter. 474 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:11,400 He is the guy that in one run will be 475 00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:15,759 able to eclipse that anybody thinking that what you got 476 00:21:15,759 --> 00:21:18,359 in the snowstorm is what you're gonna get in a 477 00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:21,759 fast track right now in Santa Clara. I think he's 478 00:21:21,799 --> 00:21:24,240 gonna have the attempts, and I think he is gonna 479 00:21:24,279 --> 00:21:27,640 have over the eighteen and a half nineteen and a half. 480 00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:30,200 I'd even bet it up to twenty and a half 481 00:21:30,319 --> 00:21:33,400 yards there, how about you, Steve, I'm. 482 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:34,920 Speaker 3: Gonna give a little sneak peek on what I'm gonna 483 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:36,640 use in my fade. The public video I mentioned El 484 00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:39,960 Seattle is a public side here, so obviously we look 485 00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:41,720 to fade the public. Then we don't do it blindly. 486 00:21:41,799 --> 00:21:44,079 But if you're gonna play New England, here's a sneaky 487 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:47,160 way to play them. The first quarter line is basically 488 00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:50,559 they're plus a half minus money. The full game there 489 00:21:50,559 --> 00:21:52,319 plus four and a half plus five, but for the 490 00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:56,640 first half, including at the Westgate, they're plus three. And 491 00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:59,319 if anything, that we see slow starts in championship games, 492 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:01,960 first quarters, all those playoff college football games, and in 493 00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,240 the Super Bowl in general. So even if you don't 494 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,440 think they're gonna win the game or hang. Plus three 495 00:22:06,519 --> 00:22:09,359 would equate to like plus six full game. I just 496 00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:11,720 don't understand why this first half line is plus three. 497 00:22:11,759 --> 00:22:13,559 I don't see one team having an edge over the other, 498 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:16,680 especially since both have no experience in the big game. 499 00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:18,319 I look for them both to be conservative out of 500 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:20,640 the gate. I think if you're looking to back the Patriots, 501 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:22,599 plus three first half is a sneaky way to do it. 502 00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:23,680 We'll use that for the parlay. 503 00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:27,720 Speaker 1: Boom, there you go, a little Super Bowl parlay art 504 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:31,240 this season, my man. Always a pleasure. Brother, you got 505 00:22:31,279 --> 00:22:34,160 a hell of a weekend going. We'll have more baseball 506 00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:37,480 talk of course next week, maybe even dive in to 507 00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:41,480 some of the Olympic bets that you're seeing. So enjoy Art. 508 00:22:41,519 --> 00:22:44,880 We appreciate the time as always, brother. We'll see you 509 00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:45,720 next week. 510 00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:47,599 Speaker 4: All right, boys, always a pleasure, and Steve, we can 511 00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:48,359 put the bed. 512 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:49,279 Speaker 3: All these rumors. 513 00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:52,359 Speaker 5: Always good to see you and Jose on Tuesday. 514 00:22:52,599 --> 00:22:56,839 Speaker 1: Boom, go get it, love it Art. This Caesar cannot 515 00:22:57,039 --> 00:22:59,000 go wrong there live at the West Gate. If you're 516 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:01,279 gonna happen to be in vague, guys, make sure you 517 00:23:01,319 --> 00:23:04,279 stop by and see Art at the book at the 518 00:23:04,319 --> 00:23:05,440 Westgate over the. 519 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:07,319 Speaker 3: Way, telling me you saw him on the best betting show 520 00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:08,680 ever a wager Talk TV. 521 00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:10,839 Speaker 2: Correct. That's right, absolutely, yes. 522 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,519 Speaker 3: I used to say, Joe, it's like the louder you yell, 523 00:23:14,599 --> 00:23:16,440 he doesn't come out quicker. That was the joke back 524 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:18,319 in the day on wager Talk Today with the Pres. 525 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:20,440 Is that because one time, apparently he did do that. 526 00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:22,119 That's why it was a funny joke, because he came 527 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:25,920 in yelling where's art, Where's art? And Art is crouching 528 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:27,920 under his desk. I can only imagine what the back 529 00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:29,359 room looking. It's like, I'm not here. 530 00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:30,200 Speaker 2: I'm not here. 531 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 3: East Coast meeting on the East Coast. I'm back in Pittsburgh. 532 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:38,359 Speaker 2: I love it all right. Speaking of the Pres. Oh no, 533 00:23:38,839 --> 00:23:39,640 it is time. 534 00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:41,240 Speaker 1: What is this? 535 00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:44,559 Speaker 3: Oh no, boy, there's business. 536 00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:48,440 Speaker 1: Him meryld business time for some business minus that alphit 537 00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:51,839 my man. So tell us what you got rolling heading 538 00:23:51,839 --> 00:23:54,200 into Super Bowl weekend here at wager. 539 00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:55,599 Speaker 2: Talk dot com. 540 00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:58,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, the quiet before the storm. Right, We got one 541 00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:01,039 basketball best bet tonight on front. It's a college hoops 542 00:24:01,079 --> 00:24:02,720 best bet, which I have not given out here on 543 00:24:02,759 --> 00:24:04,480 the show. So go get that on my page along 544 00:24:04,519 --> 00:24:06,640 with my Super Bowl sixty best bet. It is locked 545 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:09,039 and loaded right now as well for Sunday and a 546 00:24:09,079 --> 00:24:12,160 bonus free NBA play number one in the NBA all 547 00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:14,319 time at wager Talking. Then give you my top NBA 548 00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:17,319 opinion for free too night on my page, Steve merrillwager 549 00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:19,759 Talk dot com and get there quicker WT dot buzz 550 00:24:19,839 --> 00:24:21,319 slash sm. 551 00:24:21,319 --> 00:24:22,880 Speaker 2: I gotta love that, Meryl. A right. 552 00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:26,440 Speaker 1: I am also locked and loaded five percent Matt's bet 553 00:24:26,519 --> 00:24:30,200 available or Sunday, along with a whole bunch of props 554 00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:33,559 that are gonna be posted later today there. So get 555 00:24:33,559 --> 00:24:35,960 the play and you'll get all the props that I'm 556 00:24:36,039 --> 00:24:40,440 also playing there at wager talk dot com. We had 557 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:44,039 a big night last night. Swept College, ended up getting 558 00:24:44,039 --> 00:24:46,759 it done two and a night in the NBA. So 559 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:50,200 rushing it across the board, I'll have one college and 560 00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:52,119 one NBA play up today. 561 00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:55,680 Speaker 2: Go get it at wager talk dot com. 562 00:24:55,759 --> 00:25:00,119 Speaker 1: All right, Meryl, here we go today's best bets. 563 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,000 Speaker 2: Here. We got college, we got NBA. 564 00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,799 Speaker 1: I mean, heck, we even have you know the NFL 565 00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:09,319 coming up here. One final time, What is the one 566 00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:11,640 game that interests you the most here tonight. 567 00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:15,079 Speaker 3: Yeah, we used a NFL play for the parlay. We 568 00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:17,440 did that little three pack of parlay. So we'll go 569 00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,799 something Friday night here in the Association, and I'll talk 570 00:25:20,839 --> 00:25:22,119 about a game which has had a little bit of 571 00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:24,440 a money move here. The New York Knicks now a 572 00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:26,759 slight favorite against the Pistons, which on the surface might 573 00:25:26,799 --> 00:25:28,480 look a little strange, but I think the betty markets 574 00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:30,519 are telling it's something there. I'll take a look at 575 00:25:30,519 --> 00:25:32,000 the New York Knicks minus the one one and a 576 00:25:32,039 --> 00:25:34,200 half as the road favorite Detroit. It's been great this year, 577 00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,000 but I still think the Knicks might be the team 578 00:25:36,039 --> 00:25:38,839 to beat in the Eastern Conference. Anthony Towns Listen is questionable, 579 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,079 so we'll keep an eye on him. I like the 580 00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:43,640 Knicks here in a focus spot tonight, liking. 581 00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:45,839 Speaker 1: The Knicks to get it done there, Meryl, I can't 582 00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:49,119 argue with that. I think I like them as well. 583 00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:53,599 We did pretty well last night, I believe, with Northern 584 00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:57,559 Arizona winning outright there, Merrill in that game, and I 585 00:25:57,559 --> 00:25:59,880 think I'm going to go back to college hoops here 586 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,319 and I for the best bet only. I'm sorry it's 587 00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:08,640 known as stores South for a reason. That's because Yukon 588 00:26:08,759 --> 00:26:11,279 is playing at Madison Square Gardens and I taken on 589 00:26:11,559 --> 00:26:15,480 the Johnnies. Fun fact here, Yukon has a chance to 590 00:26:15,519 --> 00:26:18,119 do something that has never been done in the history 591 00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:22,400 of the Big East, run the table and go undefeated 592 00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:25,359 in the Big East. And the Johnny's pretty much at 593 00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:29,000 this point the only thing really standing in their way. 594 00:26:29,079 --> 00:26:31,440 The only game that I see where they won't be 595 00:26:31,599 --> 00:26:34,759 favored by at least eight point two more is going 596 00:26:34,799 --> 00:26:38,160 to be Nova, and that's coming up in a couple 597 00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:41,039 of weeks. But Yukon, to me, if it ain't broke, 598 00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:44,440 don't fix it. We've already seen Yukon win games at 599 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:48,960 Madison Square Garden this year against Illinois and Florida, not 600 00:26:49,079 --> 00:26:52,000 to mention that Hurley is eleven and two over his 601 00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:56,559 last thirteen games at Madison Square Garden. It will look 602 00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:59,680 like a home game for Yukon. Those fans show up 603 00:26:59,799 --> 00:27:03,480 and show out. Yes, even against the Johnnies. It's been 604 00:27:03,519 --> 00:27:06,640 a nice run for the Johnnies, but Yukon elevates its 605 00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:10,240 game when it matters the most. This game matters, Expect 606 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,079 Yukon to win it. At the best price you're gonna 607 00:27:13,079 --> 00:27:15,400 get him. The rest of the way through here, Meryl. 608 00:27:17,079 --> 00:27:18,640 Speaker 3: You know it's crazy, Joe. When you com went on 609 00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:20,519 that run a couple of years ago, they looked unbeatable, 610 00:27:20,519 --> 00:27:22,119 and then last year they kind of came back down 611 00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:24,200 to earth, and now like you forget how good they 612 00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:26,400 are again this year. A couple of years ago this 613 00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:28,440 they would have been underrated. This year right now, they 614 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:31,839 would have been a consensus undefeated number one. So yeah, 615 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:34,319 it really shocked me. They weren't better last year. It 616 00:27:34,319 --> 00:27:36,359 looks like they are for real this year. 617 00:27:36,559 --> 00:27:39,359 Speaker 1: Big time for real here, So that should be a 618 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:41,799 good one. That's the best game on the board here tonight. 619 00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:44,559 Meryl's gonna run down a couple of other games for 620 00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:47,960 you here in the college basketball run down. In the meantime, 621 00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:51,640 I'll run down the NBA for you here tonight. It's 622 00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:54,640 gonna start with the Heat taking on the Celtics, the 623 00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:58,240 new look Celtics, in fact five and a half right 624 00:27:58,279 --> 00:28:01,240 now is what they're laying is two twenty seven and 625 00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:04,559 a half. But the total is being bent down a 626 00:28:04,599 --> 00:28:07,079 lot here, originally to twenty nine and a half. 627 00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:09,440 Speaker 2: We've already seen it drop two points. 628 00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:12,400 Speaker 1: And I get it here, you know, kind of rolling 629 00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:15,319 into the break, the All Star break here. 630 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:17,000 Speaker 2: I don't you know. 631 00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:19,480 Speaker 1: Celtics love to shoot a ton of threes, but the 632 00:28:19,519 --> 00:28:22,680 pace not necessarily going to be there. Whoever controls pace 633 00:28:23,039 --> 00:28:26,000 will likely win this game. Looks like the Celtics got 634 00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:27,079 a pretty good chance. 635 00:28:26,839 --> 00:28:27,519 Speaker 2: Of doing that. 636 00:28:27,599 --> 00:28:30,240 Speaker 1: But I do like the under the Knicks at the 637 00:28:30,279 --> 00:28:32,480 Pistons listen to, Pistons are all banged up. 638 00:28:32,519 --> 00:28:34,400 Speaker 2: This line has flipped. 639 00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:38,720 Speaker 1: Kate Cunningham was questionable last night but played and they 640 00:28:38,839 --> 00:28:39,920 lost to the Wizards. 641 00:28:40,359 --> 00:28:42,839 Speaker 2: Now he's likely not going in this game tonight. 642 00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:47,759 Speaker 1: Jalen Dern also was removed from the game yesterday with 643 00:28:47,799 --> 00:28:51,039 a knee injury, so the chance of him going I 644 00:28:51,039 --> 00:28:53,920 don't like that either. Meanwhile, the Knicks keep it rolling, 645 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,440 even on the road. I think the Knicks will handle 646 00:28:56,519 --> 00:28:59,680 business here tonight. Not to mention, of course, we got 647 00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:02,880 a couple of other games that might interest folks, like 648 00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:06,319 the Pacers and Thees. Anybody really can't no Pelicans taken 649 00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:10,960 on the Timberwolves. Timberwolves play down to their competition, unfortunately 650 00:29:11,039 --> 00:29:14,039 they always have. They shouldn't be laying ten against anybody, 651 00:29:14,119 --> 00:29:16,839 especially a Pelicans team who won't win, but they will 652 00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:21,039 likely cover. We also have the Clippers who basically sold 653 00:29:21,079 --> 00:29:26,440 off everything there to get younger. Taken on the Sacramento Kings. Listen, 654 00:29:26,559 --> 00:29:29,039 just put Kawhi Leonard out there. He'll beat the Kings 655 00:29:29,079 --> 00:29:32,640 by himself there. I would lay it in Sacramento, and 656 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:35,039 then the Grizzlies taken on the Trailblazers. 657 00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:38,359 Speaker 2: How did you get stuck with John Morant Memphis? 658 00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,400 Speaker 1: My goodness, you can't even give him away in the meantime, 659 00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:45,079 Trail Blazers laying a big number tonight eight and a half. 660 00:29:45,119 --> 00:29:45,880 Speaker 2: And you know what. 661 00:29:46,359 --> 00:29:50,319 Speaker 1: Feels like the Trailblazers are gonna get this one here tonight, Meryl, 662 00:29:50,559 --> 00:29:51,039 What do you. 663 00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:54,400 Speaker 2: Got going on here? In college Hoopsteve. 664 00:29:55,279 --> 00:29:58,440 Speaker 3: So two national TV games free for you tonight on 665 00:29:58,519 --> 00:30:01,559 Friday in college basketball, coming up with analysis here and 666 00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:04,319 just a moment quick reminder. My strongest college basketball best 667 00:30:04,319 --> 00:30:06,480 bet is also a national TV game tonight on Friday, 668 00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:08,920 and that's available for my clients at watertalk dot com. 669 00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:11,759 Also my advanced Super Bowl sixty best bet locked and 670 00:30:11,799 --> 00:30:14,559 loaded for this Sunday, and a free NBA play my 671 00:30:14,599 --> 00:30:17,359 top NBA opinion free to night. It's an over underslecs 672 00:30:17,359 --> 00:30:20,160 from the Association number one all time an NBA profit 673 00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:23,039 at waitress. You'll check that out, Steve Merrill wager talk 674 00:30:23,119 --> 00:30:26,079 dot com and get there quicker wt dot buzz slash 675 00:30:26,359 --> 00:30:28,519 sm all. Right, let's sart with your first game on 676 00:30:28,559 --> 00:30:32,039 the deuce ESPN two seven o'clock Eastern Friday night, My 677 00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:35,119 neck of the woods in the Richmond area. VCU Dayton 678 00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:38,200 Atlantic ten battle. VCU currently about a seven to seven 679 00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:40,359 and a half point home favorite total sitting around one 680 00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,119 forty nine. Not too much movement on this game and 681 00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:45,839 both teams. I don't want to say entering good current 682 00:30:45,839 --> 00:30:49,559 forum because VCU does not so sure about their opponent 683 00:30:49,559 --> 00:30:51,519 tonight though in Dayton. You know Dayton's always a Kernel 684 00:30:51,559 --> 00:30:53,400 mccalliber team and the s theyre had a nice win 685 00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:55,839 against Saint Bonaventure at home on Tuesday, but that snapped 686 00:30:55,839 --> 00:30:58,279 a four game losing streak, and they haven't stepped up 687 00:30:58,319 --> 00:31:00,200 a well in class. When they've played top one one 688 00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:03,440 hundred teams like VCU this season, they have struggled at times. 689 00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:06,480 They lost by thirty one points to a very good 690 00:31:06,519 --> 00:31:09,680 Saint Louis team last Friday a week ago, and they 691 00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:11,960 also lost to a Liberty team back in December that 692 00:31:12,119 --> 00:31:15,039 ranked top one hundred BC. You meanwhile, enters eight and 693 00:31:15,119 --> 00:31:18,200 two in the conference, six straight wins here, and it 694 00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:20,400 probably is a favorable matchup. Seagal Center is always one 695 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:22,880 of the toughest home courts in the Atlantic ten. Both 696 00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:25,799 teams get to the free throw line a lot, and 697 00:31:25,839 --> 00:31:28,640 that is a very interesting stat percentage of shots or 698 00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:30,799 a percentage of points from the free throw line. Both 699 00:31:30,839 --> 00:31:33,640 of these teams ranked top ten in the nation, which 700 00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:36,400 could lead to a sneaky over in this game tonight. 701 00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:40,039 Take a look at the over one ninety nine and 702 00:31:40,039 --> 00:31:41,279 a half. I think there'll be a lot of free 703 00:31:41,279 --> 00:31:43,720 throws in this game. Whenever we get free throws without 704 00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,039 the clock running, that can help scoring, and I think 705 00:31:46,039 --> 00:31:47,680 that'll be the case in this one tonight. Take a 706 00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:50,599 look at Over one forty nine VCU Dayton seven Eastern 707 00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:53,680 on ESPN two. Your other national TV game and I'll 708 00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:56,160 talk about is at eight o'clock eastern right next to 709 00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:59,839 it on the rotation Bradley Northern Iowa. This one on 710 00:32:00,079 --> 00:32:03,440 CBS Sports Network at eight eastern and Northern Iowa currently 711 00:32:03,440 --> 00:32:05,559 about a four to four and a half point home favorite. 712 00:32:05,599 --> 00:32:07,559 Hasn't moved too much. We have seen some money coming 713 00:32:07,599 --> 00:32:09,720 on the over opened around the one to thirty one 714 00:32:09,759 --> 00:32:11,720 to thirty one ranges up to one thirty three and 715 00:32:11,759 --> 00:32:14,039 a half. And that's all a surprising to me because 716 00:32:14,079 --> 00:32:16,319 Northern Iowa plays slow. If you want to watch paint 717 00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:18,319 dry tonight, that'll be at a faster pace in this 718 00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:21,720 basketball game, because Northern Iowa is the second slowest team 719 00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:24,079 in the country out of three hundred and sixty five 720 00:32:24,119 --> 00:32:27,079 Division one men's basketball teams this year. And I do 721 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:28,920 like their side in this game, so I'm a little 722 00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:31,359 surprised that total has risen higher. I'm going to stay 723 00:32:31,359 --> 00:32:33,160 away from the total though, and look at Northern Iowa 724 00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,440 minus the four four and a half. I think they 725 00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:38,680 can dictate tempo on their home court. Here also should 726 00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:40,480 be a focused spot for them, as it is a 727 00:32:40,519 --> 00:32:44,160 revenge game. They lost by six at Bradley in a 728 00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:46,119 game that was a little bit higher scoring than average 729 00:32:46,119 --> 00:32:48,119 one hundred and forty four. Maybe that's why we see 730 00:32:48,119 --> 00:32:51,119 the total bump up higher. But once again, home teams 731 00:32:51,119 --> 00:32:54,200 normally can dictate tempo, and being the revenge rematch, I 732 00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:56,319 look for a lower scoring game tonight. I think that 733 00:32:56,359 --> 00:32:59,039 favors Northern Iowa. And by the way, the six point 734 00:32:59,119 --> 00:33:02,079 loss that game was hype throughout until the very end. 735 00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:04,559 I think Northern Iowa was just as good, if not better, 736 00:33:04,759 --> 00:33:07,839 And it's a good situational spot here at home with revenge, 737 00:33:08,119 --> 00:33:10,519 and they had the second best three point defense in 738 00:33:10,559 --> 00:33:13,279 the country get up less than twenty seven percent from 739 00:33:13,279 --> 00:33:16,440 beyond the arc Bradley meanwhile, not even the top three hundred. 740 00:33:16,759 --> 00:33:19,319 Sometimes that's random variants and it can revert back to 741 00:33:19,359 --> 00:33:21,720 the mean. But once again, home teams normally shoot better 742 00:33:21,759 --> 00:33:25,000 from three, they usually dictate tempo, and they've got revenge. 743 00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,240 I like Northern Iowa minus the four four and a half. 744 00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:29,799 That's at eight o'clock Easter on CBS Sports Network. And 745 00:33:29,799 --> 00:33:32,720 don't forget. If you're liking these free play videos thumbs up, 746 00:33:32,839 --> 00:33:35,119 like positive comment below, let me know who you like 747 00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:38,119 tonight in college hoops on Friday and this Saturday as well, 748 00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:41,160 because I will have my college basketball Top twenty five 749 00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:43,599 video for this Saturday ready this weekend, and then of 750 00:33:43,599 --> 00:33:46,559 course my Super Bowl sixty deep dive side total player 751 00:33:46,599 --> 00:33:49,559 props fade the public information as well this weekend. So 752 00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:52,960 click subscribe click the bell so you don't miss out 753 00:33:53,119 --> 00:33:56,200 when Saturday's Top twenty five College Hoops video and Sunday's 754 00:33:56,279 --> 00:33:58,960 NFL Super Bowl sixty videos are posted right here on 755 00:33:59,039 --> 00:34:00,839 wager Talk TV each and every day. 756 00:34:02,839 --> 00:34:07,119 Speaker 1: All right, Meryl, outstanding stuff as always, and that's it. 757 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:10,119 That'll do it for us here on the best betting 758 00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:14,800 show ever NBA College Basketball. And again, don't forget our 759 00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:17,880 bets are locked and loaded over at wageytalk dot com, 760 00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:21,400 not for just tonight, but of course for Sunday as well. 761 00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:25,519 Head over there, visit Steve's page, visit my page, visit 762 00:34:25,599 --> 00:34:29,360 the pres page, and let's make it a very profitable 763 00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:33,559 weekend here, Merril. We'll see you again next week. Always 764 00:34:33,599 --> 00:34:36,880 a pleasure to hang with you, my man. Enjoy the game, 765 00:34:37,039 --> 00:34:39,840 Enjoy the weekend, guys. We'll be back Monday, and so 766 00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:43,880 will the press I think, unless he's Sonny Bono himself. 767 00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:48,639 Either way, we'll be back, just saying trees are out 768 00:34:48,639 --> 00:34:52,239 there and I don't trust the Pres on skis at all. 769 00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:55,119 Enjoy the weekend, guys. We'll see you again next week. 770 00:34:55,119 --> 00:34:56,599 Are on the best betting show ever.