Speaker 1: Everybody to the best betting show ever. I'm Lawrence's presman.
Let's make some money together. What are we talking about
on this show? Where is the money going? In the
NFL College football? One game left? We got our parlay
of the day, Me, Joe and Art are going to
take apart the NFL Division Round. Give you some early
thoughts and our rundowns, Jove and Airy Art the Caesar.
It's Wednesday. I'm back. I did great and poker Cash.
Both tournaments made some money. How are you guys? Aren't
you first? You good?
Speaker 2: Good? Listen if it goes on behind the scenes here,
I'll tell you.
Speaker 1: Joe, Nary, Jovenary, Art and I noticed that Monday's show
received the most views. Uh, we've had in a long while.
Was that something to do with the fact that Art
and I was not on that show?
Speaker 3: I would like I think it's an anomaly. I'll tell
you what we'll do is, uh, why don't we on
Monday again? Skip you two guys and see if it
does the same thing. How's that we can do it
out again on Monday? Yeah?
Speaker 1: Sure, well skip Art every Monday. Okay, boy, let's get
into it. Where's the money going? Art. Let's start with
the NFL. We've clearly had some line moves. We've got
seven's coming down on Seattle. We have a minus one
on Denver, which is a switch from minus one on Buffalo.
What else is going on the Rams? There's a four
fill us in.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, just to update, and we touched on
all the games yesterday.
Speaker 4: RAM game for us has not moved. We've been four.
Speaker 2: We were four yesterday. We did open three and a half,
but we had already been at four. You mentioned the
Niner game. There was no movement on the Niner game
until late last night early this morning for us, so
we have moved off that seven and a half. We
are now minus seven on Seattle. We did take some
respected money on the Niners at that seven and a half.
When we had touched on this Buffalo game, we said, hey,
we opened Buffalo one minus one and then took respected
money on Denver, moved the game to Pick and we
took a little bit more respected money on Denver.
Speaker 4: Now we are minus one.
Speaker 2: So that is flipped. Joe had mentioned it before we
came on the show. That does have the feel of
the Jaguar game. I still do expect Buffalo to be
very public, and I think Buffalo will be in some
teasers as well now that they are getting a point,
maybe even a.
Speaker 4: Point and a half.
Speaker 2: And then, you know, we had talked about this Patriot
game where there were some threes out there. We had
opened two and a half and felt comfortable with the
two and a half as an opener and said, hey,
let's see if someone we respect lays the two and
a half and then we will get to three. That
did happen. Somebody did lay the two and a half
that we respect, and now we are, like most places
New England minus three.
Speaker 3: Well total wise, we're also starting to see little bit
of movement. It's been kind of stagnant. You and I
talked about it here yesterday, but obviously that the Chicago
weather seems to be concerning. We're seeing some movement with
that game. That total starting to move down here, and
I guess it's crazy because the weather in Denver is
supposed to be perfect. It's yeah, and yet we're you know,
we're still seeing some movement one way or the other
in these games. Forty six and a half so off
the open of forty seven. So but it looks like
that Bears Rams game, biggest total move so far.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know, Joe, I had mentioned that yesterday.
I thought, you know, I said that the only real
move for us sharp wise, total wise, wasn't that game.
We were at a high of fifty two on that
Ram Bear game. Now we're fifty one, so that was
really the only total that got hit so the pub yes.
Speaker 1: Sorry, sorry, so you're fifty one right now?
Speaker 3: No, it opened fifteen?
Speaker 2: No right, no, we well, we were as high as
fifty two right on.
Speaker 1: The Now there's forty eight and a halves all over
the place.
Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, so were we were as high as that?
And I think yesterday when we spoke, I think we
had moved to fifty fifty one, even fifty and a half.
And then, like you said, it's continued to go down
obviously whether a factor there. Listen, we know and the
public hasn't even really jumped in yet on these total
they're going to come in and bet all four of
them over blindly.
Speaker 4: We know that.
Speaker 2: So it usually happens where and I said this yesterday Press.
The deeper we get in these playoffs, the more public
money there is. Each round, we see more and more
public money so sometimes let.
Speaker 1: Me ask you about that. Let me ask you, let
me jump in quick and ask you about that. Is
is it more public money versus the wise guy money?
In other words, you know, as we approach the super Bowl,
for instance, you know my bets in the NFL aren't crazy.
I'm focused on other sports. Now, are you getting less
why money as well going forward in the NFL because
the opportunities are becoming more or less are becoming less.
Speaker 2: Well, obviously the opportunities are less than the lines are
the sharpest they're going to be, right, I mean right,
these numbers, barring some sort of injury or crazy weather
thing with the total, these numbers are as tight as
they can be. And then, like I said, you start
seeing the people who really haven't played a lot of
NFL all year come in and say, you know, I'm
ready to.
Speaker 4: Bet a little bit of NFL. It's the playoffs. Let
me put a couple bucks down on some of these
playoff games. So you start to see the influx of
more public money.
Speaker 1: Sorry, Joe, go ahead.
Speaker 3: No, I'm just curious here because I also looked at
the weather for New England and Houston and it doesn't
look like it's outside of it being a you know,
a cold day in Boston. It doesn't look like there's
anything happening there at least at kickoff. Any chances thing
forty thirty nine and a half. Art you see this
game going lower.
Speaker 2: I think it will just because of the two defense,
especially the Houston defense. I think anytime you have the
Houston defense in a game, people are gonna want to bet. Well,
the educated guys are gonna want to bet unders on
Houston games, first quarter, first half, team totals. They're gonna
look to get that even some in game opportunities. You know,
if there's a score in the first drive, maybe they'll
come back and say, oh, you know, it bumped up
a point or whatever the case may be. They're gonna
want to come in and bet the under on the game.
You saw that in the Steeler game, and I get
at the Steelers offense is challenged, but that game was
a dead under and it was booked that way.
Speaker 1: Ye yeah, last week left. Let me just let everyone
know what happened with me, because I haven't been around
for the last few days. So last we left, I
had a four to two wild card weekend. I had
the under in that Houston game. Art was talking about
I lost my five percent play. I had over fifty
one and a half in the Buffalo Bills game. I
missed that by half a point would have been a
five to one NFL weekend and the over was almost
got there. Another missed kick scenario. But I had a
great winning weekend for my clients. I have a promo
code coming up later on in the show. I just
wanted to shout that out. And I'm also rolling in
the NHL. Joe, I did win that big play yesterday, Sar.
He woke up yesterday. I'm like, Joe, I've got one
of those plays that happens. I mean, it's like, I
think it's happened sixty times since twenty twenty two, and
I am forty two and seventeen, so fifty times forty
two and seventeen in these plays. I woke up yesterday.
I'm like, Joe, we got to do a tape. I
gotta let everybody no. I found the play Winnipeg Jets.
It got there, but boy was in a nail bider, guys,
Real Quick Natty Championship Game eight and a half in
some areas forty seven and a half forty eight is
the total nine in some places. So what is what's happening?
Your art money pouring in on the on Indiana?
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know, there's really no update from yesterday
when Joe and I talked it was eight and a
half we had seen. We had talked about the total too,
that there was really no move there. Forty seven and
a half and you know we're in these dead number
spaces eight eight and a half nine, what's the difference.
I think eventually we're going to approach ten on the game.
The republic is all yeah, I do. The public's all
over Indiana. You know, as Joe said yesterday, if you
like Miami, you should wait.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so let me, Joe, let me throw this at you.
I mean, we're gonna see a ten and a forty seven.
Those are correlated. Any any early thoughts on the total.
Speaker 3: Here, Well, we're seeing a lot of ticket again. The
public is betting the over in Indiana, and it appears
that they think is not only you know, they're expecting
more points and a lot of them coming from Indiana
in this spot. But you know, we've seen this total
go down, so you know, even though the tickets are
all coming in on the over, which makes sense hard
because if I got a public team like Indiana, I
could very well get to nine and a half ten,
But they got to be scratching ahead, going why is
this total coming down? That kind of kind of defeats
the purpose here because you can't have a double digit
favorite and the total cratering. That's what you gotta ask yourself. Hmm,
what's going on there?
Speaker 1: Well?
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, I mean listen, obviously, you know we always
talk about you know, the public day. They worry about
the sides first, trust me, right, unless it's just something
you know that's an outlier, they normally focus on the
sides first. They have loaded up on Indiana, and then
you know, by the time we get to Monday or
Sunday and we're through with these NFL games, maybe they'll
start thinking about the total. But you know, I just think,
I don't know, I you know, is Indiana going to
be a team, like you said, with these dead numbers
that we reached nine, nine and a half, I think
that's gonna happen. Now do we get to the app
ten that feels aggressive, But like I said, once we're
in these dead numbers, we're gonna play with that.
Speaker 4: You know, the nine nine and a half. What's the difference?
Speaker 2: See if someone wants to come take it and if
they continue to lay it, well, we have no problem
bumping it up.
Speaker 1: Crazy guys. Let's let's move our attention to the par
lay of the day. It was one of my favorite segments.
I will happily go first. There is a six and
a half out there in the Autowa New York Rangers game.
Most of it's like eighty percent six, but hey, we're
pro betters and we're taking the best line available. I'm
going with under six and a half in the Autawa
New York Rangers game.
Speaker 4: Art, Well, you know I love that press.
Speaker 2: I think all Ranger games you should bet under blindly,
especially when they're six and a half. I'm gonna stay
in the NHL as well. I know they're on the road,
but the Knights have been hot. Give me the Knights
minus one fifteen at the Kings.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I love that pick art. I think the
Knights are about on team moving forward.
Speaker 3: Joe. It's gross, but I will take the Brooklyn Nets
tonight against the New Orleans Pelicans on the second of
a back to back. I will take the Brooklyn Nets
here on a bounced backspot.
Speaker 1: There we go, guys. My dad is standing next to me.
I want you to know. We did it brackets for
the playoffs, and I was just sitting there and I'm like, Dad,
why don't you fill out one of these brackets? Dad,
You're in first place? Up high Boom okay, text text
me go, I'm live on air. Thank you. Okay. Divisional
round art. Now we're talking about what we like in
the divisional round. There are four games. You go first.
Speaker 2: I think if I had to make a bet on
any of the games and I just had to pick
one spot, I think, if there are still seven and
a half's out there, which there are, I think Francisco's
to move here, I think. And I love Seattle, and
I'm not gonna even you know, shock me at Seattle
goes and wins the super Bowl, but this is a
divisional game. I feel like San Francisco's got some mojo
despite all the injuries. Seven and a half is a
thick number for Seattle to lay. I think San Francisco
is going to be in the game all the way.
Speaker 1: Joe, H, Joe. It's tough for you and I to
give out our one favorite pick. Look, I have a
one favorite pick.
Speaker 3: It's up.
Speaker 1: It's I sell it. That's how I make a living.
It's how I pay for my children to eat and sleep.
That's how I put clothes on my kids back, get
their dental done, get their you know, health care taken
care of. So it's tough for both Joe and I
to give out our best pick art. But I can
tell you that I like the under in that San
Franz Seattle game, and I like it a lot, and
it might be a client play. They played each other recently.
They went under. Sant Franz defense looked stout last week,
and I know they're injured as hell, but it feels
like they're quite galvanized as a bunch, and with Seala
leading the way, and I think Seattle's gonna play close
to the chest chair ard. I think they're gonna be
one of those like remember Baltimore, Who what Trent dilt Or.
This's gonna be one of those Trent dilt Or like
teams where it's just gonna be run, run, run, run,
eight yard out, run run run eight yard out. I
like the under, Joe, Yeah, I.
Speaker 3: Mean I'm looking at some of these totals too. I
think I'm really thinking about pulling a trigger on the
first half under wit New England and Houston, because after
you fumble the ball nine times in the cold weather
in Pittsburgh and you lose to it and plus you's
on interception, I'm guessing Houston's gonna be let's just say,
at least early in the first half, which by the way,
Den New England has been money all year in the
first half. They very rarely trail going into the second half.
I'm not giving them extra possessions. These are two defensive
minded head coaches. Both are gonna want to run the
ball and run it well. With two young quarterbacks here,
I just think it's gonna be a very run heavy
script early in the game. Given Houston's defense, I don't
think they're gonna ask Drake May to drop it back
fifteen times in the first half, so I think it's
gonna be back in for twenty twenty and a half
I think is the first half total. I'm really thinking
about pulling the trigger on the under in that one.
Hard What do you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, well, I think the Houston game all
unders are in play game first quarter, first half, team
totals anything. Like I said, in game possibilities, I think
even player prop unders. I think there are a lot
of opportunities to bet under in that game, because that
feels very similar to the Pittsburgh game. I mean, you know,
I get it New England possesses a little bit more
on offense, but that game is gonna be a slub fesh,
you mentioned.
Speaker 4: A little bit more. Well, you know what, I'm trying
to be nicer, Prez.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the guys, I tell you, I'm worried
about the under in this game. You know, New England
eleven and seven to the over. You know, you go
down and you look at Houston here and thirty points.
I understand a lot of those are phony against Pittsburgh,
I get that, But thirty eight against Indianapolis, twenty against
the Charges, twenty three, forty against Arizona. This team has
gotten over twenty almost every game this season, and I
can't announce the New England defense to be this vaunted defense.
They just played nobody, nobody, and nobody in a row.
So yeah, they allowed thirty five on Buffalo. I get
that Houston is going to play close to the vest,
but forty one. I mean I think we could. I
think we could see a twenty three twenty game. I'm
worried about that under, actually, and I was on the
under as a big play with them in Houston. But
I do like the under in the first half, Joe,
And what we're seeing in these football games are first
half unders. So that's a nice find.
Speaker 3: Art.
Speaker 1: What do you got to promote anything?
Speaker 2: Oh, listen all week man, we're going to be giving
out all the information. We're going to just update you
on all the football lines the next couple of days,
and you know, continue to give out as much stuff
as I can. And actually, PRIs, I got some daily
stuff I want to give out. Oh good, A lot
of Yeah, well, a lot of people are into the
daily stuff.
Speaker 4: They want more of that.
Speaker 2: So I'll give you a couple NBA couple of college
so they bet the Cavs under from two thirty eight
and a half to two thirty seven. They bet the
Nick under as well, two thirty two to two thirty
and then some college basketball perdue, they bet the over
there at home against Iowa.
Speaker 4: Over one forty one. We're now one forty four.
Speaker 2: They took under in the UCLA game that's at Penn
State under one fifty one, now one forty nine. They
laid seven with Cincinnati now up to eight at home
against Colorado, and UNC on the road on the West
Coast playing Stanford.
Speaker 4: They bet that total over one forty one and a half.
We're now one forty four and a half on that game.
There we go.
Speaker 1: Thanks for that info. Art to Caesar everyone, Art will
see you tomorrow. I won't Meryl doing tomorrow. I'm back Friday.
I'm traveling home. Thanks for being here, brother, Joe. Let's
get straight into some business.
Speaker 3: Oh we got business here too. By the way, Meryl
loves this photo. By the way, well.
Speaker 1: Of course he does.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yes, everybody.
Speaker 1: Does, Joe. Look, we spoke about the fact that I
had a great Divisional wild card weekend. I went four
and two of my clients, I should have gone five
and one. I did lose my big play on the
Buffalo over and I got to tell everybody, man, I
got the single strongest play I'll have in the entire
playoffs this coming weekend. It is a five percent play.
It is an ATS bet. And to give you guys perspective,
I was two and zero in my NFL ats bets
last week in wild Card week, I am fifteen and
four on the season in NFL ats bets. That's not
a typo. You didn't hear that wrong. That's not a joke.
I am literally fifteen and four in NFL ats bets
on the season in five years of nflats bets, I'm
over sixty percent. These are mount Rushmore bets. My strongest
one is this coming weekend. You can use the promo
code PRES ten that's pr Eazy ten pres ten and
you get ten dollars off of that as well. I
got an NHL play tonight that really is basically a
duplication of last night's NHL play, which one. I love it.
Check it out. I'm really excited. I'm on a seven
and three NHL run. I'm just I'm in the zone, guys,
I'm in the zone. Joe, what do you got going?
Speaker 3: Big barking dog in college basketball night? Ready to go?
Four percent play on my page at wager Talk. And
I've already fired on one of these NFL Divisional round games.
I've got another one that I'm going to be posting
a little later this afternoon. So all of it available
over at wager talk dot Com terrific.
Speaker 1: Brother, Let's get straight into your NBA rundown. I really
missed you, Joe. I'm glad to be back, brother. I
am missing tomorrow's show. I gotta travel. I got to
get on an aeroplane, so I walked back to the show.
Speaker 3: Yeah, let me.
Speaker 1: It didn't make me feel good that Steve Merrill and
you killed me in views like. I mean, I'm kind
of upset about it, to be honest.
Speaker 3: Don't be upset. You're leaving at the right time. We're
getting a cold front here in South Florida, so it's
about to be forty tomorrow. Good thing you're on.
Speaker 1: I don't know what that means, but enjoy it. I
am goldling today though in weather that is what? Like,
what's it today?
Speaker 3: Yes, it's yeah, seventy eight, but it's gonna be forty
here tomorrow, So get out of here, Prez. No nobody
wants any of that Canadian cold weather. All right, let's
head to the NBA because we do have a short
slate here tonight. But the Calves are trying to get
the stink off of that loss against the Utah Jazz
at home last game. Now they've got a double header
coming up against the seventy sixers. Sixers opened up three
and a half overnight. It's been all Calves money here
so far, the Sixers only laying a point in this one.
I kind of like the Sixers to handle business here. Also,
the Raptors and the red hot Indiana Pacers are getting
ready to go out it here tonight. Pacers getting two
and a half. They've rattled off a whole bunch of
wins in a row. Nobody saw that coming. They still suck,
by the way, nine to thirty one out of season.
Don't get it wrong here, but I think the Raptors
dealing with some injuries, but they should still have more
enough to be able to handle business in this game tonight.
I mentioned the Nets. I like them over the Pelicans
who threw up all over themselves in the fourth quarter
last night against Denver, the Bulls, by the way, second
of a back to back back home taking on the Jazz.
They did not have Josh Giddy and Colby White last night.
Both are likely going here tonight. Totals at two forty
three and a half and we've seen nothing but under
money here. I kind of like the Bulls to get
it done the Nuggets second of a back to back.
I can't imagine who the hell is playing on this
team here tonight. I'm pretty sure everyone's gonna sit, which
is why you're seeing the Mavericks at a point and
a half favorite. I do like Dallas there, and the
Knicks still shouldn't be laying double digits against anybody on
the road. That's what they're laying against the Kings, and
Kings have won a couple of games. Why not. I'll
take the points with the home dog and the Clippers
laying twelve and a half. Kawhi is questionable. Why no
Clippers for me. The Wizards still won't have Trey Young
available tonight, but they'll have whatever the hell's left on
that team two twenty five and a half likely to
go under in that one pres Joe Rniary.
Speaker 1: You know we got a listener name Celeste who crushes
on you. I want to I want to poem from
you about Celeste next week. You know her name lends
itself to a lot of rhymes. Celeste is the best,
better than the rest. She might have a good Let's
move on to the NHL rundown. Joe love it ah,
Oh there, my mom just walked past the screen. Look
at that. Look at that. Okay, so Joe, I don't
need two minutes here. I'll make this as easy as
humanly possible. I like three overs and one under. I
like the over. I like the under. I like three
unders and one over. I like the under in the Seattle,
New Jersey game. There is sixes out there. I love
that under. I like the under in the Philadelphia Buffalo game.
There are six and a halves out there. I like
the under in the Ottawa Ranger game. That's my favorite under.
And I like the over in the Vegas Golden Knights
La Kings game. Man, that's it. That's it. I'm not
giving you a side because I like those totals better.
Speaker 3: So you like the totals across the board here tonight,
press and kind of like that as well. All right,
we'll go through a couple of college basketball games here
that seem to be getting a whole lot of love here.
You heard or talk about the over getting steamed at
North Carolina and Stanford here tonight. The thing is, though,
they've also been getting some love in the spread department.
This was two two and a half. It's now up
to three and a half. And I am not a
big proponent of these acc East Coast teams flying across
the country to take on a Stanford team here for
a couple of games. I wouldn't be shocked if Stanford
keeps this game a little bit closer than North Carolina
is gonna want. But chisholm Akpara, their number one offensive
weapon for Stanford, still questionable. They're gonna need him to
go if they're gonna win that game. And what does
Michigan do? They are out against Washington tonight, They of
course ended up losing at home to Wisconsin. Kind of
scratching ahead trying to figure out where it went all wrong.
Washington is not bad, very very veteran laden team, but
there's a lot of question marks as far as who's
even playing for them anymore. But Michigan, that first big
trip out west, Yeah, this is this is gonna be interesting.
These two teams don't play each other very often, but
something tells me Michigan, Yeah, they they're gonna handle business
in a big, big way. And some big SEC matchups tonight,
pres and maybe none bigger than under I believe undefeated,
Rather Vanderbilt on the road taking on Sean Miller in Texas.
Here it has been nothing but Texas money in the
marketplace opened up minus six for Vandy is the road favorite.
It's now minus five here. Don't be shocked if we
get a few more points than the total is currently
leading us to believe. So maybe an over might be
in play there, pres.
Speaker 1: Joe, We're gonna get back to the mailbox segment of
our show. I actually love that segment, one of my
favorite and I always read all the comments, so guys,
please keep putting those comments up. Please subscribing, Please subscribe
to our channel. Please hit the like button. We're not
going to do mailbag today. We'll start it again next week.
Lots of love everybody, thanks for watching the show. Steve
Merrill hosting tomorrow, will see you then.
Speaker 3: Boom