Speaker 1: All right, guys, welcome in. It's Friday. It's time for
total basis. As Brian Leonard just reminded me, hit go Live.
I'm like over here talking about things we like, you know,
stopping the show without actually hit hitting go Live.
Speaker 2: But by the way, the same off camera as he
is on camera.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got my I got my Scranton wilts Berry
hat on.
Speaker 1: Right now, they've all but clinched the final playoff spot
for the Trip A Playoffs, so it looks like it's
going to be Scranton, Jacksonville, Tacoma, Las Vegas. I'm encouraging
Brian Leonard to go to the series in Vegas. Brian,
I can't remember if you've told you or not. Have
you ever been to the final? Have you ever been
to the championship game?
Speaker 4: I have not, and unfortunately I've got a a trip plan.
I won't be able to make the Championship game, but
I will be able to make the Pacific Coach Championship Series.
Speaker 3: We've talked off air.
Speaker 1: We think there's gonna be a very good betting opportunity
in that series, and you'll have to wait till next week.
We'll talk about it next week on the show. What
we're going to talk about for the next hour is
major League Baseball, like we do every day, and I
need I need your guys help because I knew it
would come to this at some point. So obviously, as
as all the viewers know, I'm very invested in the
Mariners and this is a very very big weekend for
me in terms of my Mariner's future. Bets Mariner's Astros tonight,
that's where we're going to start huge game. Both teams
now tied for first place in the AO West and
they get to play it out this weekend. This is
exactly what you want, you know, the schedule makers, this
is what they want.
Speaker 3: This is this is perfect.
Speaker 1: You're down to about ten days left in the regular season,
actually less, I think like eight days left in the
regular season. And it works out where we get Mariners
Astros head to head all weekend long. It's gonna be
a great series. Brian Leonard, I want to bet the
Mariners here too. And now I've got to ask myself,
are you are you know what I mean? Like it
is my head clear, right? Do I want to bet
it because I need the Mariners or is it actually
a good bet? I think it's kind of a good bet,
but I'm gonna give you two a chance to talk
me off of it. So let's go Mariners Astros minute
made Park Brian Wu Hunter Brown huge game tonight.
Speaker 4: Before we get to the games, congratulations to us. We
want to what second parlat days and we probably should
have won the game the other one, so if the
if Arizona doesn't win that game in the tenth innning,
we could have had three straight days of parlament winners.
We're now up if if my numbers are correct, eight
point one four us on the season. Yeah, so hey,
we're gonna end the sasnock knock on the wood. We're
gonna end the season here with a winning record. So
so good for us and thankfully some of the some
of you might have taken advantage of it. And as
we said before we even started that none of a
Parli players, we play him individually, so if you played
them individually, we have somebody in the in the uh
not in the in the in the chat and then
the the other one afterwards where they break it down
and tell you how we were overall, but it's been
a real successful season and thank everybody for tuning in
every day. I know, with football going on, it's it's
tough to do this. We got less people in here,
but hey, there's still hungry people that love baseball. Let's
get you some winners. Okay, Seattle and Houston. WU against
Brown should be a great game. The importance of the game.
I love both of these pitchers, and the line's basically
telling you it's a pick them all over. We're getting
We're getting to pick them number and a total is
seven and a half to the under, which is which
is pretty low. When you go into Houston, that's a
pretty good hitters ballpark, especially if you pull the baseball
Brian wu fourteen to seven record. He's just he's really good,
and he's one of the most unheralded pitchers of Major
League baseball. Go in with a three H two ERA
three wait expected zero point nine to four whip. His
whip in three seasons is less than one. Tells you
how good he is. He does give up a little
bit of barrel hard hit rate about league average, but
his walk rate doesn't walk anybody four point nine percent
walks last year two point eight uh so he's in
the ninety fifth percentile and he's a good strikeout pitcher,
and he throws five different pitches seven percent of the
time or more. His fort seem is at forty seven
percent right now, it's at ninety five point seven, which
is a little more than league average on the mouse
per hour. There Hunter Brown twelve and seven record two
point twenty seven e RA even as expected, Thera is
good three point one zero. He's got a one point
zero zero whip and his numbers are almost exactly the same.
My numbers might even be a little bit better on
this season than Wose. His weakness is probably walk grade
at fifty four percent TOL, that's still better than the
league average. He throws six different pitches and his fourth
saver thirty nine percent, so his is a little bit
more in that regard. But two guys that I would
never find any problems going against. I I'm going to
sit back and watch this game. I don't find enough
value in it to play. I think the number is right,
but it should be a hell of a game to watch.
I'm looking forward to it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, what's up everyone, I'm back in Phoenix. I'm back
to the bad lighting and the dark house. So regarding
this game, man, I have not had two teams that
match up like this all season. These two teams are
dead ringers. Almost every stat they are within zero point
one points of each other. They grade out in an
exact tie. So two teams that are hitting quite well
and two bullpens performing well and two great starting pitchers.
So where do you go? My first instinct was to
look at an under here, but taking a look at
at Brian Wu. Like Brian said, he's a great, great,
great pitcher, but if you look at his his numbers
against these astros, they're actually not very good. He's he's
been tagged pretty good by this by this team. How
how how bad has he been tagged? Well? A three
zero six average against and an eight thirty eight ops
against and that's in seventy two at bad. So that
kind of alarms me, kind of tells me that he
might get hit a little bit today. I mean, Brian,
Brian Wo is not the kind of guy who gets,
you know, tagged for an eight bomb or something in
one inning. But I do remember a game where I
was on him. He went to New York and played
the Yankees, and I think he gave up five runs
in that game, and that was kind of kind of
turned me off to Brian Wu, but not totally turned
me off, but it told me that he's not invincible.
If anything, I think that the Astros have a slight
advantage here, but these two teams are just so tight.
There's no way I'm going to play this game because
they're just I mean, seriously, every category that I rank,
they're within zero point one points of each other right
now in current forms. So I'm not touching this game.
Speaker 3: It's hard to disagree with that.
Speaker 1: When I look at these two it's it's very, very close.
I kind of feel like you could I thought, I
kind of feel like you can make the case for
either side.
Speaker 3: Both both teams are playing great.
Speaker 1: The Astras just sort of, you know, put put the
Rangers out of the mix, swept them. I believe the
Mariners have won like five of their last six. They
take two of three in Kansas City. So you have
two teams that are both playing as really as good
as they've played, you know, at least obviously they've had
stretches where they've been very good this season. They're both
fifteen games over five hundred. But you can argue that
these two teams right now. I think the Mariners. Mariners
have won like actually like nine of ten something like that.
Both teams are playing great ball, I guess the only
I guess that if I was going to make a
case for the Mariners, I do think Brian Wu maybe
doesn't get as much respect as some of the other
aces in the league, Like for whatever reason, I like
Hunter Brown has sort of been widely accepted as like this,
like legitimate, like ace caliber, like frontline stud and he
gets priced like that. But I feel like the masses
and so that obviously permeates into the market as well,
still sleeps on Brian Wu a little bit.
Speaker 3: I don't think either of those two are different.
Speaker 1: I think they're they're both really like just below the
Schools and the Crochets in terms of caliber or starting
pitcher in the American League or in the entire league.
And you have two bullpens that have both, you know,
both been solid TV. I'm gonna keep coming back to this.
It's it would be like splitting hairs to find much
of a difference between these two teams. So for me personally,
I'm going to just kind of stick with what I've
said for a few months that I thought I think
the Mariners are just a little bit better that they
are going to overcome the Astros and win this division
at some point. But I think for me to sort
of bet that in this game might be, you know,
might be flipping a coin. To an extent, the games
in Houston playoff baseball. It's what we're gonna when we
get two weeks from now when we're talking about these games.
I feel like this is going to be the conversation
in a lot of these games where it's like you
have the best teams playing the best teams, their best
pitchers are on the mound.
Speaker 3: How do you find value there?
Speaker 1: Well, it's really tough and you'll you'll see that when
we start talking about the playoffs in a couple of weeks.
It's just a playoff game. This week, All all of
these games are going to be playoff games.
Speaker 2: For me.
Speaker 1: I'll be looking at ways into this series for the Mariners,
but I'm not sure it's going to be in this
spot where you just have these two stud starting pitchers.
So yeah, but I will be rooting for the Mariners
without a doubt. I've got those futures and I need
them to have a good weekend. Okay, let's go to
more playoff implications. I think I'll have a stronger opinion
in this one. Jose Martinez says, let's talk d Backs baseball. Yeah,
let's do that. They're out in the desert again tonight,
Brian Leonard day, you talked about ruining our parlay the
day you and I did the show together and they
lost in the eleventh inning, squandering really a golden opportunity
to really kind of be in the mix.
Speaker 3: I mean, there's still very much in the mix. Two
games back of a wild card spot coming into tonight,
but man, if they had that win, which I feel
like they should have had, they would be really be
right there on the Mets Heels. Now two games back,
do or die tonight for the d Backs, they've got
the Phillies coming into town, who's a very good team,
but they don't have us as nearly as much to
play for. Are you getting involved d Backs Phillies in
the desert tonight?
Speaker 4: Yeah. Tonn Walker is going to start for Philadelphia and
he's going to be piggybacked by Walker Wheeler. If you
trust them, I'm not sure I do. Philadelphia is the
one team that basically is everything locked up big lead
in the division. But they're playing good ball. There's no
doubt about it. Ryan Nelson going for Arizona. Nelson's about
a one twenty favorite total of about nine and a
half to the under a little bit. Looking at Timon Walker,
he's he's on the season four point one seven RA
four point five zero expected at one point three to
nine whip. His whip's been really bad the last few years,
and that's what's been concerning. He got on the streak
when they put him back into the rotation in which
he pitched very well, starting to get back to normal.
Taiwan Walker time Walker. Of the last few years, he
has not been good. Keep in mind when he came
up in Seattle, he was the hot shot, big strikeout numbers.
I remember going spring training. Marko and I would go
to spring training. I remember the first game that I
saw him, I said, this is the hotshot guy in Peoria.
Beautiful ballpark by the way, the padres and the and
also the Seattle play there if you ever get a chance.
The food down there is great for a ballpark anyway.
Tyron Walker fourth percentle on the whift six percent, talle
struck out rate fifteenth an Extension not a guy I'm
looking to play at this point, but I'm not sure
I want to play Walker Buelber either. He looked good
last time out, but where has that been all season long?
Ryan Nelson three point three four ERA, three point nine
to zero expected one point zero six whip. He's a
guy that've been waiting on for a long time and
he's showing some signs this year. Is Extension the eighty
seventh percentel basketball velocity seventy second second, but he still
does get hit hard hit rate fourteenth percentle average, Jackson
Vilas the fifth percent TEL whiff rate twenty second, throws
five pitches, but his fourth sam are basically sixty two
percent of the time overall. If you've watched, I'm not
a big fan of guys that don't have enough quality
stuff behind it. That's his probable. If he does have
quality stuff, he's just don't thrown enough. His fastballs at
ninety five point seven same as same as his opponent.
And it's a situation for me. Where as much as
I like Ryan Nelson, I don't know if I trust
him either. So we've got two teams here that I
think the offenses should be having a pretty decent day here.
Obviously from a need standpoint, the host needs it a
lot more than Philadelphia does. But you know Grandford, the
Phillies they're playing, they're playing some pretty good ball here.
Prefer the Arizona side. Maybe maybe I'll play Philadelphia team
total under, which would be at this point four and
a half under one twenty. That's a little risky in
this ballpark is a pretty good hitters ballpark, So I
will root for Arizona for obviously for for TV, but
it's also the closest local stadium in Las Vegas, so
I kind of got a solid spot for Arizona, and
I love the city a Phoenix, so I'll root for them.
I'm leaning that way, but probably not enough to get
me involved into the game betting wise.
Speaker 2: Head over to waysertalk dot com to see what we
have available. I've already put my MLB plays out and
I have a free play up as well. I'm sure
these gentlemen will also have something available today, So go
to wayjer talk dot com, go to the free picks
page and go to our pages and see what we
have available. It's funny because people say that the teams
that are already in the playoffs are fades. But that's
actually not true because some of these guys are out
there just keeping themselves warm, getting ready for the playoffs,
and it's called the grip it and rip it. These
guys have no stress, no nothing, They're just out there
free swinging, and those are sometimes the teams that you
want to bet on. But in this case, Taiwan Walker
is definitely the worst rotation picture in the Phillies rotation.
That's kind of like say that it's the number four
contestant in a beauty pageant, because they have really good pictures.
So if he's the worst of the top four beauties
in the world, that's not so bad. But my numbers
do not like him at all. His expected numbers very bad.
As a matter of fact, I have him ranked twenty
seven out on a curve of thirty of all starting pitchers.
Very bad. And if you look at his numbers against
these Diamondbacks, only ten at bats against but a three
hundred average in a one thousand and sixty four ops
but ten at bats I don't think we can make
too much out of that. Diamondbacks are hitting quite well.
I have them ranked in current form number four in MLB,
but I got the Phillies ranked number two. My numbers
say Ryan Nelson is a pretty average picture. But if
you look at his numbers, they don't look average because
he's got a one oh six whip in all those
innings that he's pitched this season, so that's not bad
at all. His history against these Philly batters pretty average,
two sixty average against the seven forty ops, which is
can't really glean anything off of those stats. It's pretty average.
I think I'm kind of along the lines of Brian
going with a team total but I think I think
a Diamondbacks team total over would be a way to
go here. Philly's bullpen is performing dreadfully right now, and
they're not going to be too eager to use their
best arms here.
Speaker 3: I don't think.
Speaker 2: They might put some of their best guys in for
an inning or two, but it's not going to be
high pressure, leverage spots or anything like that. So Phillies
don't really care if they win this game or not.
They're just very talented. I think the Diamondbacks team total
over would be the way to go because betting aside
for Arizona, as we've seen in the last few days
can be bad for your ulcer, so that would be
how I would go.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so something tells me this is like maybe the weekend,
like some of these Phillies players get to like blow
off some steam, hang out a little bit. If you
kind of look at the schedule. They just played the Dodgers,
so they were always going to take that Dodgers series. Seriously,
that's like, you know, that was like they kind of
made a statement in my opinion by going in and
taking two of three from the Dodgers. Now they're in
Phoenix for the weekend. They really don't have I mean,
they've had the division wrapped up for a while. They
really don't have any way to like improve their you know,
they're gonna be one of the top teams in the NL, so,
you know, their last road series of the season, then
they go home for six and it's like I feel
like once, once they get back home, it's gonna be
like focus, Okay, Now, like this is the playoff run.
They've got off days on piggybacking this series. So they
had yesterday off, they have Monday off. Like again, I'm
trying to just put myself in the mentality of a
team that's been playing all season.
Speaker 3: This feels like the weekend where it's like.
Speaker 1: Eh, maybe show up to the ballpark a little bit late,
Like maybe it's not like so of the utmost importance
that they are like so focused on this series. It
just it feels like a little bit of a throwaway series.
This is a Phillies team that on the road this
year is only forty and thirty eight. Right Like, we've
talked about Phillies at Citizens Bank Park being one of
the best home teams of the last like three years.
I believe they have the best record in baseball at
home if you go back to the beginning of the
season that the Dbacks actually knocked them out, which would
have been I believe was twenty twenty three. I think
they have the best home record in baseball since then.
This year on the road forty and thirty eight. So clearly,
you know, lack a little bit in relative to what
they are, right Like, they're a ninety one and sixty
two team this year, but the majority of that has
been accumulated at home, so that you know, there's that.
The other thing I really found interesting and I kind
of love this, and I love Tory Leavelo, So like,
I think he's a great coach. I know I complained
after he didn't like squeeze bunt or find a way
to get one of those speedy guys home the other day.
But all things considered, Lavello is an awesome coach. The
fact that he even has this team with the pitching
that he's had this year and the injuries that he's
had in the bullpen, the fact that he has this
team two games out of a wildcard spot is very,
very impressive. Big reason for that Diamondbacks can hit top
ten team WRC plus pretty much all season. They haven't
really dropped off a ton since Naylor and Sores got traded,
so they've just kind of plugged other guys in.
Speaker 3: And I don't think they're going to have.
Speaker 1: Much of an issue handling Tawan Walker and then Walker Bueller,
who they've seen a ton right Like Buehler might have
been good last time out, They've had a ton of
exposure to Bueller over the year, so they're going to
have a good sort of sample size against him.
Speaker 3: The final thing that kind of puts me on the
diamondback side here is.
Speaker 1: Lavello before before Wednesday's game, came out and said we're
going four man rotation. Fought Nelson, Gallon, Eduardo Rodriguez. That's it,
rest of the season, four man rotation. They're taking the
ball every you know, we've got enough off days, so
they're gonna pitch every fifth day or we're gonna go
four a man rotation. You can't tell me that that
doesn't get those four guys a little fired up. I
think it's part of the reason Fought pitched so good
the other day, where it's like, you know, like every
one of those guys has had some you know, ups
and downs over the course of the season, and now
your manager's coming out and saying, here you go, you're
two games out of a playoff spot, You've got eight
games to go, you could probably are going to have
a chance to play yourself into it, and we're gonna
put the trust in you four guys to take the
ball every whatever how you know, every fourth day or
fifth day and try to get us to the playoffs.
I think it's why Fought pitched so well on Wednesday.
I wouldn't be surprised if Brian Nelson through a great
game here, and he's someone that i've I've personally been
higher on than most. I think he's got a great fastball,
you know, really point zero six whip this season ere
in the mid threes. You know, he's he's got some
underlying stuff that suggests he could get hit at some point.
But we've been saying that for three months and no
one's really hit him yet. You know, he's still been very,
very good. So I almost think Ryan Nelson has had
a breakout season to an extent that he hasn't gotten,
like fully gotten credit for because it's Arizona and they
just don't get as much hype as some of the
other teams.
Speaker 3: So yeah, I do like the Diamondbacks quite a bit here.
This is one I'll be.
Speaker 1: Looking at today for my clients and maybe I'll throw
it in the parlay. But I want to see what
else pops up throughout the show. So yeah, Dbacks. I
think it's a great spot for them, and it's also
a good spot to fade the Phillies. So any d
Back correlated Phillies, fade correlated stuff in this game and
probably all weekend is.
Speaker 3: Going to be a good look.
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go to Colin says, I like the Orioles
money line the Yankees today, good price on one of
the best pitchers since the All Star Break. Not a
fan of Will Warren, so TV closed out of parlay
yesterday with an easy Yankees win. The crooked numbers came
as we expected. Now you pull up the odds today,
Brian Leonard and very competitively priced game, probably for the
reason that Colin is bringing up. Trevor Rodgers has been
as good as it gets since the really since they
called him back up in maybe like mid to late June,
he has been awesome. He's been one of the best
pitchers really in the league to that point. He's certainly
a better pitcher than Will Warren. I don't think there's
an argument about that. But the Yankees playing good ball
right now. So this is an interesting one. Do you
want the better pitcher or do you want the better team?
Because that's what the that's what Vegas is kind of
asking you here. Do you want the better pitcher in
Rogers or the better team? It's pretty competitively priced. How
are you seeing this one?
Speaker 4: A lot of very interesting handicaps today. We talked about
that a couple of days ago about I went it.
I think it was might been yesterday or whatever. Because
there was less amount of games we were able to
go into a little bit more. I was talking about
the Mets pitcher and he did very well, so yeah,
it worked out well for both of us in our parleague.
I talked about Walker Bueller being the piggyback to uh
in his game today. I just wanted to point out
the Angels are throwing out Mitch Ferris, so it's a
Paris Bueller day in Major League Baseball. Too bad. This
sounds like something the Angels would do. Too bad they
don't trade him to Philadelphia for Walker, for for for Buehler,
and then they would have the or for for Walker,
then they would have the Ferris Bueller combination today in Philadelphia.
But yeah, just interesting things like that. I'm sort of
like that UH one baseball guy, the older gentlemen that
looks a lot of these things and finds amazement and
but yeah, we've got this. This was an interesting game
because Warren, even though his numbers are not terrific on
the season, he's got a four point four four e R,
a four point five to zho expected one point three
to eight whip. He's at times really been good. The
problem is he walks too many and he gets hit
a little bit, and that's the only concern. But when
he's on, he's very good, and unfortunately hasn't been on
enough for the Yankees, and they've had to use him.
They've got a lot of injuries from the pitchers where
we still don't have some of their guys back that
they expected to be back this year. But average X
velocity eighth percentile case ra eight tenth part hit thirteenth,
barrel a fourteen, So that tells you Warren can get hit.
Just throw those five pitches four seemer ninety three point
three for a right hander. Not the greatest, but he's
a guy that can be hit. And this is when
they moved defences back in a little bit. It's pretty good,
much more better hitting ballpark here in Baltimore. Trevor Rodgers,
I mean I said this last time he pitched. I
think that we all owe him an apology because we
you didn't understand that trade with thought Baltimore was crazy.
Out of all the needs they had, he has been fantastic,
and unfortunately he's only thrown one hundred innings. He would
be in the sal Young if he threw fifty more
innings this year, he would be in the Sally Young
consideration one point four to three ERA three point zero three, expected,
zero point eight to nine. The guy's been terrific. But
as hard as rate is in the seventh percentile and
the Yankees it's ball pretty hard, so that's something to
be concerned about. But that's for the most part his
past ball. Velosti's in the twenty eighth percent tole He's
only at ninety three point one. He's a lefty that's
the league average, but everything else looks really good. He's
had an upstanding season, and if you're betting on starting pitchers,
that would be decided that you would want maybe Baltimore
in the first five innings, something to that effect. If
we take a look at the first half in this game,
you're not paying much more. It's like Baltimore is about
a one to ten favorite in the first half, and
if you like it for the full game, they're about
so it's about fifteen cent differential plus one on five
or stone. So it's something to take a look at.
And the Yankees bullpen starting to pitch a little bit better. Obviously,
with the talent they have, they're still trying to find
their ways. You get so many guys that were closers
and no longer have that closure mentality, and the Yankees
have a whole bunch of guys that have closed baseball games.
That's the differential. We talked about this in the past.
The guy comes in in the eighth inning that brings
somebody in without a save opportunity. How many times do
they get hit? So that's the problem the Yankees are having.
They got guys adjusting to the new roles. Hopefully by
the time the playoffs come they'll have it all figured out.
But that's one of the reasons why they've struggled. But
from a hitter standpoint, the Yankees have the clearly better
hitters Baltimore. I like the talent on the team, but
there's no doubt that you're getting the better team in
the Yankees with the better hitters, and you're laying on
one twenty, which is really cheap if you like to
bet the Yankees. So I'm a little torn here. If
you like the first five, I think Baltimore is not
a bad bet. If you want the whole game, I
think the Yankees aren't a bad bet. So that's enough.
To keep me away from it at this point. But
I'll take a look at this as the day goes
on here as opposed to yesterday, and I believe the
day before with their day games, everything is on the
evening card today. And this sad part is we have
to wait longer to see it. The best part is
we got more time to HANDCAF these games, figure out
who's actually going to be in the lineups today, coaches quotes,
which gains reporting the rest of the season. And that
was a great breakdown of Arizona Trigg.
Speaker 2: You did it.
Speaker 4: You talked me into that one. I think I think
that might be worth a wager. So this one I'm
going to sit back and read a little bit more.
But it should be a lot of fun, good game.
Speaker 2: Everyone do us a favor and support the show. We
don't get a producer, we don't have a graphics guy.
We do everything ourselves. So show your appreciation by going
to the replay leaving a comment, because we do read
them all in bond to almost all of them if
they're thoughtful. So I have an MLB play up today
at wager talk dot com. I'm sure these guys will
to go to wager talk dot com and see what
we got, especially on the free play page. Regarding this one,
there's just a couple of stats that really jump out
to me. Will Warren as a five ADRA on the road,
uh and Trevor Rodgers against these New York Yankees. He's
got a pretty good sample size thirty four AT that's
one seventy six average against in a five ninety four
OPS against. He has absolutely dominated these Yankees. So how
does he do at home? This season? Even better, He's
got a one to one ERA in forty one innings,
So if anyone's going to quiet these Yankee bats, it's
going to be him. Looking at those stats, the first
thing that jumped to me is oh Orioles. But now
we compare the teams, how they compare against each other.
Bullpens even in current form, pitching huge Oriel advantage, but
hitting the Orioles. I have them ranked in current form
twenty five out of thirty teams. There's no way I
can bet that team on a side. So looking at
the Yankees team total, four and a half looks a
little high to me. So if I'm going to bet
this game, probably be under on the Yankees team total
because Trevor Rodgers has just dominated them. He's dominated at home,
and it's about time for the Yankee bats to get cold.
I think, so maybe a Yankees under here would be
a way to go for me.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't just like that. Markins is like, do
you own a room full of hats? I wish I
was that organized. They're kind of just all over the place.
I just I'll usually grab one when I go to
a game, and so that's kind of how I've accumulated
them over the years. But back to this game, TV,
I agree with you. I could see Rogers being, you know,
kind of throwing a good game here.
Speaker 3: That that really is.
Speaker 1: So this one was an easy pass for me, and
it's kind of because of like how I teed it
up for Brian, where it's like, over the course of
the full game, you're gonna want to have the Yankees
if you can get into this Orioles bullpen. There's just
not not as many good arms in the bullpen. Yesterday
we talked about a Yankees team total, and my handicap was, well,
it's probably gonna get there at some point, and that's
kind of exactly what happened. I think it was like
three to nothing and then there was the crooked number
in the in the seventh inning. I believe it was
like I think they brought in McDermott or something like that,
Like it's any gave up four runs. That is always
going to be a concern with the Orioles right now.
They just don't have much in the way of like
bullpen arms that aren't like a candidate to get blown up.
And then you talk about a lineup like the Yankees,
they will blow up anyone in that Oriols bullpen. So
I think maybe, like going back to a point that
was already made, if you like Rogers and you like
the Orioles, you may want to isolate the first five
because that at least you know that Rogers is going
to give you five, and you're betting on Rogers against
the Yankees, and you're betting on Will Warren. It's not
going to get to the end of the game where
suddenly you have a good bet and then things go
off the rails. So I think it would be Orioles
first five for me Yankees full game. I know we've
already kind of made that point. Do I like either, No,
So I won't have any action in this game. But
if you were, I could see you making a case
if you're just like, hey, I'm getting the Yankees here
minus one fifteen. They're three games back of the Blue Jays.
Is still have a lot to play for. I love
the way they're swinging the bats. I'm not going to
argue with you. If you're like Rogers is a big
edge over Will Warren. I want to isolate that and
take the Ools first five. Not gonna argue with you either,
So kind of a couple different ways to look at it.
I will be looking at it none of those ways.
So I doubt I helped anyone right there. But hey,
sometimes you got a strong opinion, like the d Backs.
Sometimes you got no opinion, like the other two games.
And yeah, Brian, I think the boys are gonna be
out in Scottsdale somewhere today, maybe getting a few. Maybe,
maybe they're gonna maybe Harper there, Maybe they're gonna sneak
off and golf a little bit or something.
Speaker 3: I don't know. There's a lot to do out there.
It's a good week. And like Chill TV, you've ever
been over to Scottsdale probably right.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Scottsdale, Tempe Mesa, Peoria. Yeah, I've been all over
I'm from here.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I was raised. That's what I'm saying.
Speaker 1: It's a it's a perfect place a long season, blow
off some steam, maybe stroll into the ballpark a little
bit late and get blown out by the by the
home team tonight.
Speaker 3: That's all I'm saying.
Speaker 2: All Right, here we go, here are awesome. It's a
wonderful city. And uh yeah, shout out to Thunderbird High
School in Phoenix, Arizona.
Speaker 3: Love that, all right?
Speaker 1: Markinson says Mets Nats, two rookie pitchers, Mets hitting nice
over here? Uh yeah, I mean this is one that
I have a very I have an opinion on, and
I like, I saw this matchup and then I saw
the number and Brian Leonard, my gut said, boy, are
they making you pay a tax to bat the Mats here?
Speaker 3: That's my that was my.
Speaker 1: Initial thought this matchup, these two pitchers, and yet the
Mets are a two dollars favorite with how they've been
playing right now.
Speaker 3: I know they came through for us yesterday, but that
looks a little bit high. What do you think about
Mets Nets?
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm in agreement. If there was one game, maybe
two games on today's card, that something popped out that
was it is. We've got Alvarez, Lefty gone for Washington's
and Brandes Spruger looks so good his major league debut
going for the Mets. You know, the Mets are about him,
you know. Two dollars two oh five favorite here total
of eight and a half, slightly to the under. And
when I look at this game, Andrew Alvarez is getting
the start for Washington, he said, three starts on the season,
fifteen innings. He's got some really nice numbers, zero point
eight three r A two point four to seven expected.
His whip is zero point or is whip a zero
pointing three? Is era is one point one nine excuse me,
one point one point five two point four to seven
and with a zero point eight three. It's still six
o'clock in the morning in Vegas, and I was out
with the Aces playoff game last night, so let's start
for me. But fastball velocity, No, he's not a guy
who's going to blow you away. He's twenty six years old,
came out of cal Polly. He throws five pitches as
four seemer thirty four percent. He's not a guy who
blows you aways forty one points a ninety one point
four Jesus ninety one point four for semer miles per hour.
But you know, take a look at it. But he's
done so far. His barreler, it's been great, hard hit
percentage is great, ground ball pitcher. Those are all things
that I like. And he's only averaged five innings. Yeah,
maybe you only did him for five innings, but that
may be enough here against the Mets. Obviously, the Mets
are the team that obviously needs the game a lot more.
But you know, they have not played well under pressure
all season. One sprot so far, two point twenty five
era in two starts, three point twenty nine expected, one
point h eight whip. Yeah, his numbers looked really good too.
He's only got the extension of forty ninth. He's six'.
Three you should have a little bit better than. That
but his whiff rate has been very low so. Far
struck out rate nothing. Impressive he throws six different, pitches
which is something that means a lot for a young.
Guy something doesn't. WORK i was opposed to another pitcher
that's on the card. Today he only has three. Pitches,
yeah he's got more of a chance to get out
of it and look better in that. Regard but for,
myself how can you lay that number with The. Mets
let's let's say it look at the first half, here
because The mets bullpen is. Great so you're looking at
the first half of the. Game you could Get alvarez
And washington upwards of plus there's plus one seventies out
there In Las, vegas plus one fifty seven's one sixty
three other, places as opposed to the full game when
you're getting you, know one eighty or. So but you
got to deal with The washington bullpen against The New York.
Mets so that's What i'm going to take a look at.
Here i'm going to. Play this will be my parley.
Piece i'm going to Play washington in the first, half
and let's look at one. Fifty let's go win fifty
five at this. Point so we'll Go washington first half
plus one fifty five against A mets team that continues
to struggle despite all the talent on the. Team don't
want The mets bullpen to go against The mets, bullpen
so we're making a first. Five we'll go With washington
at first half plus one fifty five is my parlor.
Speaker 2: PIECE i don't have a good enough read on these,
pictures not a good enough sample, size and NOT i
don't grasp how well these pictures are. Doing So i'm
going to first on the hitting and the. BULLPENS i
have both of these teams hitting Horribly met's twenty one
And washington twenty two out of, thirty and Bullpens washington
twenty nine out of thirty And met's twenty one out of.
Speaker 3: Thirty so neither.
Speaker 2: Team is playing inspiring baseball right. Now so if you
like one of the, starters Take brian Or adam's analysis
and go with the better, starter BECAUSE i have both
teams trash as far as bullpen and hitting our. Concern
that's that's ALL i can say for this one. THING
a little bit of betting advice is sometimes not betting
something can save you some. Money i'm not betting this.
Speaker 3: One jake was, like is the hoodie hinting you are
Backing Air force this? Weekend, NO i slept in this.
Speaker 1: HOODIE i had to get my in law's dog to
doggy daycare this morning because they're like on.
Speaker 3: Vacation so, no it has nothing to do with. It
it's just WHAT i had. On BUT i have been
To Colorado.
Speaker 1: SPRINGS i did get this at the Air Force academy
a couple of years ago WHEN i went out to
college basketball GAME i. DID i did Air force And
Colorado state in the same, Day, brian and THEN i flew.
Home SO i flew out To denver in the, morning
drove To Colorado springs for a day, game went To
New Mexico Colorado state at, night drove back to the,
airport slept in the airport for like two, hours and
drove back To. Syracuse that was a heck of a,
day great day right.
Speaker 4: There never mind it To, Boulder, No i'll.
Speaker 3: TRY i will get To boulder at some.
Speaker 1: Point but that was like it just kind of worked
out WHERE i could get out two games a one,
day go back.
Speaker 3: Home but it was a good. DAY I SO i
very much agree with your. Parlay. LAKE i Like nationals
plus one and a half. Here if you didn't put
The gnats.
Speaker 1: In the parlay in that, CAPACITY i probably would have
put the plus one and a half into. Parlay Andrew,
Alvarez Brandon sprote two guys THAT i have watched a
ton At TRIPLE. A i've had them about dead even
in My TRIPLE a. Ratings SO i don't have them
in my Current TRIPLE a ratings anymore because they're no longer.
There but they both got called up within the last
what maybe three four. WEEKS i Think alvarez was a
little bit before Sprot prior to them making it. UP
i had them almost like WHEN i rank out the
starting pitching In TRIPLE, a which was a, big a
big component of My TRIPLE a. Handicap they were almost
always right next to each. Other AND i will say
this about these two. Guys Andrew alvarez is someone that's
been climbing my rankings from last year to this. Year
Brandon sprote is someone THAT'S i don't think he's got
quite the luster that he had last, year if you.
Speaker 2: Know.
Speaker 1: So he's someone THAT i got to watch a ton In.
Syracuse when he came up last, year it was, Like,
oh this is this is kind of the next. Guy
and he's he sort of got passed by Tong Anne
McLean over the course of like a. YEAR i think
he could still be pretty. GOOD i just don't think
he's got the upside as the other two AND i
think what the books are doing right now is pricing
him as if he has the upside of the McClain Or,
tong WHEN i just don't think that's the.
Speaker 3: Case.
Speaker 1: Now the nice thing about these two, pitchers their Respective
TRIPLE a, Teams syracuse And rochester.
Speaker 3: Play all the.
Speaker 1: Time At TRIPLE, a you have, this you have your
kind of, rival and you play them more than you
play any other. Team and so For syracuse And rochester's
that's the rival ninety minutes apart THE i Ninety series
they call it or something like. That they play, constantly
and they've had big time exposure to each other at
The TRIPLE a. Level all of that is an equalizer,
here in my, opinion The, nationals they've been better against
right handed pitching all.
Speaker 3: Year they're going to get a right handed.
Speaker 1: PITCHER a lot of These nationals have been At TRIPLE
a most of this year and last. Year they're going
to get a righty that they've seen a ton and
a right handed pitcher That i'm not really sure is
belongs in a big league rotation just. Yet he's the
one where like if you were to give me, McLain
tong and spro and it was, like you, know we'll
play a.
Speaker 3: Game start, one kill, one put one in the.
Speaker 1: BULLPEN i gotta be, Honest i'm killing off Spro i'm
probably gonna start. McClain i'm gonna keep tong in the.
Bullpen i'm gonna kill Off Brandon. Sproke just it's just
WHERE i have those guys right now in my. Ratings
yet the books are kind of telling you they're all
equal the way they're pricing these games.
Speaker 3: Out SINCE i disagree with, that it would have to
Be nats plus one and a.
Speaker 1: Half AND i Like BRIAN'S i like the Where brian's
going here with that plus money on the first five
for the.
Speaker 3: Parlay well gaming sys trigger fix Your. MIKE i don't,
know this is a pretty good mic right. HERE i
think that might be.
Speaker 4: There's some buzzling right. There, yeah sounded like somebody's.
Speaker 3: SHAVING i don't think that's, fine BUT i Will, YEAH
i think it might BE. TVs but, hey he's he.
Speaker 1: Is he is back In, arizona and he woke up
at six am to do this. Show he typically this
is this is usually a nighttime show for, Him so
we appreciate on vacation, Essentially still you, know waking up
at six am to do this show. Dedication all, right let's.
Go we got to talk about this. One Brian, leonard
His guardians. DID i was gonna, say did the, unthinkable
but we all kind of like thought that was going to.
HAPPEN i feel like we really sort of gave Out
guardians every day on this. SHOW i did two videos
that gave The guardians out and plus money and.
Speaker 3: They pulled off the.
Speaker 1: Suite, brian are you concerned at all that this is
a little bit of a letdown spot for them? Tonight
are you just riding the train with The guardians right?
Now Guardians? Twins how are you seeing this?
Speaker 4: One? Yeah it's an interesting game because we've Got, massik the,
lefty going Against, lopez great pitcher that unfortunately had an,
injury but he's been back for a few. Starts now
do we take The cleveland team that's hot with the young,
guy or do you take the team In minnesota that
has the more established starting. Pitcher minnesota right now is
about a one ten favorite team favorite total of eight
to the. Under you, know when you when you watch these,
games especially, NOW i watched as many games as. Possible
some teams have clearly given up on the. Season i've
been Watching colorado. Lately they have shown no effort at
all in their. Games they can't wait for the, season
And pittsburgh's playing as if they can't wait for the
season to. End but you want to back these, Teams
they're still give you a little bit of. Energy i'm
not Sure minnesota Has minnesota has. HAD i think that
coaching change needs to happened To. MINNESOTA i just don't
think they've got the management to do. It they, don't
they don't have the money to do. It they've traded
away As brett as A tv with say forty of
their pitching staff and the at the trade. Deadline but
we're Getting cleveland here at a pretty decent. Price this
is a team that continues to go out and. Play
you Could they're doing the little things that need to be,
done and they have. To they don't have as much
power on that. Team they don't have a talent as
these other teams. Do but they've got to be able
to play good, ball and defensively they seem to always do,
that but they run the base as. Well it's a
good baseball, team and they've gotten more out of their
talent than anybody would. Expect parka messeg three And aino
in the season one point, four three point one to
three expected one point three to, three whip a little
high fastball velocity only in the twentieth. Percentile doesn't get
a lot Of chase doesn't get a lot of whiffs or,
strikeouts which is. Fine it throws five different. Pitches its
forts seem er thirty eight percent of the, time so
everything he throws at least ten percent of the. Time
you gotta like. That being a lefty also. Helps As
i've said, before love playing. Lefties when they come into
the league and you see the same thing out of
the game THAT i just used in their previous, handicap
the lefties got to like. That but he's been very
good to walk, rate barrel, rate hard hit, rate ground ball,
rate all been. Excellent still small sample size at twenty
nine point one. Innings Pablo lopez just one of those
guys that has just been a. Warrior he used TO
i would watch a lot of preseason information For chasing
games and they and he was the big leader in
the clubhouse For. Minnesota so to get him BACK i
think really helps. Them he's been back for a little while.
Now two point sixty FOUR, era three point seventy nine
expected one point one oh. Whip he is a flatball.
Pitcher he's only the thirtieth percentile of the ground ball,
rate but everything else is league, averager better extension ninety third,
percentile our hit rate eighty, eighth chase rate. Ninetieth throws
five different pitches the four seamer forty one percent of the.
Time two GUYS i really like from a pitching. Standpoint
here from a hitting, Standpoint cleveland is getting timely. HITTING
i still don't think they're a very good hitting Team.
Minnesota they've had a hard time getting everybody together all
season long with a lot of their. Injuries IF i
play this, Game i'm maybe looking at the Under granted
it is. Eight in, fact i've seen some seven and
a half to the overs out there right, now BUT
i think this is going to be one of those
grind amount games For. Cleveland they probably get the, win
find a way to get the. Win but that bullpen,
is AS i mentioned the last few, days is really
racked up that They've they've had to use guys that
really shouldn't have to, use and they got away with
it Against. Detroit they got to they got to get
some extended endings out of some of the lesser guys
in that. Bullpen so we'll see how that. Goes kind
of like the under, here kind of Like. CLEVELAND i
don't know If i'll get there for either.
Speaker 2: Side so the buzzing culprit is. ME i just muted
and someone said there was no more. Buzzing SO i
have a. Laptop, YEAH i have my laptop on two,
pillows so that could be the reason that's. Happening, NORMALLY
i pay a lot of attention to my. SOUND i
use a filter and all this, stuff so When i'm
back In, JAPAN i will sound much. Better as for this,
ONE i backed The tigers the other day And cleveland
just knocked him. AROUND i was Expecting cleveland's bullpen to look,
bad but they actually look. Good my numbers like them
a lot. Too thinking a look at the match, up
my numbers Like massic a lot. TOO i know the
sample size is fairly, small but with the better, bullpen solid.
Starter look At Pablo lopez's numbers against these guys in his.
Career he's got a three to eight average against versus
these batters in seventy eight at. Bats that tells Me
cleveland has a possibility to put a couple of runs
On Pablo lopez. HERE i would Lean cleveland, here But
i'm not going to Get i'm not going to get.
There but if, ANYTHING i certainly Think cleveland has a
decent shot of winning this. GAME i don't think it
really matters that one team was off and one team played.
YESTERDAY i think playing yesterday might actually be an advantage
because you're still in the groove of. Things SO.
Speaker 4: I was gonna make one comment about.
Speaker 2: THAT i.
Speaker 4: Agree first, off they only travel From cleveland To. Minneapolis,
minneapolis so it's not long of a. Flight, Also cleveland's
been fully focused on the playoffs for this. LONG i
can't see a letdown. Coming and, yeah if having the
day off does make a, difference no doubt about. It
but to The twins really concentrated on baseball activities the
other day, Off, no they've been out the playoffs for
a long. Time if it was a winning, TEAM i
could see. That but it's a good point By memphis.
Money but in this, GAME i don't think it's gonna.
Speaker 1: Matter, Yeah so yesterday we talked about the game AND I,
ACTUALLY i got my days confused a little. Bit The
means And peterson had pitched On, sunday so they were
never candidates to get called up to pitch.
Speaker 3: Yesterday it would have not been on their normal. REST
i got that.
Speaker 1: CONFUSED i thought they had Pitched. Saturday the REASON i
bring that up IS i caught a little bit of
The columbus game Yesterday TRIPLE, a and they they Announced
peterson as their starter for today And means as their
starter for. Tomorrow, now A TRIPLE a team announcing their
starters is very irrelevant to the big league team because
if the big league team wants, them they just grab
them and say go throw someone else out, there because
it's just it's, me it's it doesn't mean anything At TRIPLE.
A so it Is Austin peterson's day to, pitch, Okay,
like AND.
Speaker 3: I think he's.
Speaker 1: READY i mean he is absolutely ready enough where you
could go and, say, hey it's, time you're gonna Be
you're gonna make your big league. Debut we're gonna put
you Behind Parker. Messick and the reason that that is very,
intriguing and ALSO i think still on the table for
The guardians here is messic is a. Lefty PETERSON i
believe is a, righty and it would be like a
totally different. Look peterson's sort of started to take a step.
FORWARD i you, know he's in my, opinion most other
organizations would have done that. ALREADY i feel, like so
they're kind of taking their time With peterson for whatever.
Speaker 3: Reason that's and that's.
Speaker 1: FINE i, LIKE i like when, organizations you, know give
these guys like ample opportunity to to you, know sort
of develop at the TRIPLE a. Level but just to
go back, to like right, now The guardians in their,
BULLPEN i think it would be an interesting time to do.
It you've got you, know you'd have messic you could
basically Go peterson in long relief and then not have
to worry about a bullpen arm until the very very
leverage spot late in the. Game who knows by that
point could be a. Blowout it's still The. Twins this team,
is As brian, said has really not been playing meaningful
baseball for a couple of. Months and the later innings
for The twins are a. Mess they have they have
no bullpen. Arms they're traded every bullpen arm of note.
Away so, yeah you get a guy that comes in
late and maybe can throw an inning or. Two that's,
good but it's not. Consistent they don't have a consistently
good reliever on the, roster so that's Something i'll have
my eye.
Speaker 3: ON i think that they are.
Speaker 1: Going to Leave means at The TRIPLE a level because
he's still coming back from.
Speaker 3: Injury expect him back next, week.
Speaker 1: Though they're gonna Let means pitch On, saturday AND i
guarantee you he's the if the Guard i'm, sorry there's
still a week, left so he's gonna Pitch saturday For.
Columbus he'll be back for The guardians next week at some,
point probably a lefty out of the. Bullpen i'll have
my eye on if they call Out Boston peterson BECAUSE
i know they would put him Behind messick and just
to make the overall, point, NO i wouldn't go with
The twins. HERE i have no desire to bet against
This guardians team team right, now who's won seven straight.
Games they have all the momentum in the. World they
are a game and a half out of a playoff,
spot and they know they see the finish. Line so
there's this is kind of like WHAT i was talking
about with The diamondbacks earlier this, Week guys Like Andrew
South playing going out there with a sore shoulder and
getting three outs like the season is over next. Week
they have something to play for right. Now it's, Coach i'm.
Ready i'll give you EVERY i have because IF i,
don't our season's. Over that's Why arizona's going to a
form and. Rotation that's why teams like The, guardians you
don't have to worry about their bullpen because these guys
are unless they physically cannot do, it and they most
pitchers at the big league level know their body's good
enough to go to their manager and SAY i physically
can't do, It they're gonna go and it's just gonna
be like empty the. Tank and so for that, REASON
i would not worry at all About guardians bullpen usage
or anything like. THAT i think you're seeing them come
together and it would Be guardians or pass here for,
Me i'll throw one other thing out.
Speaker 3: There i'm just gonna throw.
Speaker 1: Gbacks in the parlay because that was kind of WHERE
i was gonna go, earlier and for, that for kind
of the same, REASON i Think lavello has sort of
got them together and it's like we're all out right,
now we're gonna give our best. Effort AND i just
can't say that about The phillies right, now who are
kind of on the road with not much to play.
Speaker 3: For so that's my.
Speaker 1: Parlay and now with five minutes left from the, Show
i'm gonna throw it over To Tokyo, brandon see if
you can close out another three team for us.
Speaker 2: HERE i was just gonna, ask CAN i do the next?
Game because this is gonna be my. Parlay LEG i
am going to take The padres today over The White,
sox AND i will tell you. WHY i had The
padres yesterday very, disappointed how they, played perfect time for
them to bounce, back perfect team to bounce back. Against
Dylan sees is not a. GUY i, mean he's been
a little bit. INCONSISTENT i backed him a few. Times
he's disappointed me a few, times but the season's. Long
he's still a talented picture and my rankings have him
ranked twelve on a curb but thirty out of all starting,
pitchers SO i have him in the top one third
of all starting, pitchers WHERE i Have Davis martin ranked twenty.
Six Bullpen, Wise San diego still has a better bullpen ranked,
Three White sox ranked sixteen current form and hitting padres
kind of mediocre above mediocre ranked, thirteen AND i got
The White sox ranked twenty three and hittings so, OVERALL
i mean it's a good enough discrepancy to take them
on the. Side cease is a good enough picture to
back here in this, situation and The padres really need to.
Win they got really spanked yesterday pretty. BADLY i was quite.
Surprised But Randy, vasquez we all know he's not a great.
Picture he's very, lucky and yesterday his luck ran. Out
he got smacked around pretty. GOOD i don't Think Dylan
c's is gonna get smacked around. Here if The padres
can keep this a tight game going after the fifth,
inning their bullpens should be good enough to close this.
Out they're just too. TALENTED i like The padres. HERE
i think it's minus one ninety good enough for a parlay.
Piece Because brian's is plus, money.
Speaker 4: You're actually getting minus one, eighty so it's even better.
Speaker 2: Sure for a parlay Leg i'll do. That, YEAH i
like The padres.
Speaker 3: Here, brian anything for you on this, One, Yeah dylan.
Speaker 4: SEES i don't. KNOW i don't know IF i trust
him four point five ninety or eight three point four
eight expected great strikeout numbers one point three to two.
Whip if you take a look at the last three
Years i've talked about these guys being able to beat
their expected. Numbers this year he's one point one runs.
Higher last, year he was about point two runs. Higher
in the year before about point five runs. Higher so
he is just his numbers look. Great you take a
look at his way for eight ninety fifth percent hel strikeout, right,
ninetieth chase rate eight those are all, great but it's
walk rate twenty, first ground ball rate twenty. First he
gives up home runs and he can put people on.
Base that's my only. Concern he's basically a two pitch.
Pitcher he's got he's got six pitches that he, uses
but he throws his slider forty two percent and his
fourth forty one. Percent that's basically. It and, yeah, yeah
they're pretty. Good strike is uh seems ninety seven point
one miles an, hour which, is you, know two miles
an hour better than the, average and his sliders two
and a half better than the. Average but there's there's.
Something i've been a big fan of. His something's going.
ON i think it changes senior in the off, season
may help him because he just has not pitched as
well In San. Diego is what we all thought he would.
Be Davis martin four point zero, ONE era five point
three five expected at one point two eight. Whip just
about everything he does is in the. Blue if you
look at The sasquaz page is the best thing he
does is sixty four percentile of the ground ball, rate
throws six different, pitches and he doesn't throw the fourth
seamer over overwhelmingly more thirty, two change twenty, four cut
her twenty. Three SO i like the pitch repertoire For,
martin but from a talent, standpoint it's Definitely San. Diego
and they're three games behind The dodgers right. Now, yes
they need they they would like to. Win it's not
a neat. Situation they're going to the playoffs. Regardless but
there's if you take a look at the teams right,
now the young teams that are seem to be giving
up The White sox for one of. Them The White
sox are three and seven their last ten lost six
in a. Row The angels two and, eight lost seven
in a. Row we're looking At pittsburgh won in, nine
lost four in a. Row In colorado won in, nine
lost five in a. Row these are teams that have
been out of it for quite some, time AND i
don't trust. Them that may be the situation with The
White sox at this. Point, yeah they brought up the younger,
guys so they're getting guys with the, chance but they're
not playing. Well And San diego from a town, standpoint
should easily win this. Game BUT i. DON'T i somewhat
just don't Trust. Cease maybe that's what it. Is But
i'm rooting for him in the parlay because it'd be
great to get another part of the.
Speaker 3: Win, yeah He's Davis.
Speaker 2: Martin do you Trust Davis?
Speaker 4: Martin is the? Question, no San diego is probably gonna,
Win But i'm just Saying I'm i'm a little worried
about cething something's going on.
Speaker 2: There YEAH i am, Too but.
Speaker 1: YEAH i MEAN i WOULD i would agree WITH i
would agree with both of. You LIKE i don't Trust,
CEASE i don't Like. Martin this actually has The this
actually has the biggest edge for me of any total.
Speaker 3: On the, Day like what? What what is this over?
Eight like?
Speaker 1: That that implies, that like these two are like frontline
pitchers right, now AND i don't see. THAT i, mean
Certainly Davis martin is not and right, Now like, Yes
cease has been at points in his, career but he
isn't right. Now so so where do we get off
having an over eight on this?
Speaker 3: Game like?
Speaker 1: That is that to me is off by at least a. Run,
Again i'm NOT i don't consider myself a great totals.
HANDICAPPER i, RARELY i don't really don't ever play them
as client. Plays but that has a considerable edge for
me on the. Number i've got this closer To i've got,
this LIKE i have to pull my numbers. UP i
think like nine point, one so like on the other
side of. Nine so the fact that you can still
get a juiced, eight like at eight minus one fifteen
or eight minus one, TWENTY i think it's a pretty
good bet on the on the. Total AND i think
it Go it speaks to kind of what both of
you guys are talking. About padre should get To Martin
White sox should get something off Of cease not gonna
take much to get to eight, run SO i like.
Speaker 3: The over in.
Speaker 2: That one.
Speaker 4: Couldn't argue with that at.
Speaker 3: All, brian what DO i have for A dbax money?
Line it's the only ONE i.
Speaker 4: Didn't Just i'll get you at minus one twenty.
Speaker 1: All, right that means we have the parlay at plus
six twenty. SEVEN i mean that would that would if
we can hit a third parlay this week at plus
six twenty, seven we pretty much guarantee, ourselves, say a winning,
year even if we, start even if we're doing the
still in the.
Speaker 3: Playoffs so let's.
Speaker 2: See it in the com people in the comments complaining
that my minus one ninety is killing the parlay. Odds
but obviously you don't do sports betting very often because
to win three legs of plus money would be nearly. Impossible.
Speaker 1: YEAH i mean you could even argue, that Like brian
could easily go And NAT's plus a half if you wanted,
To BUT i.
Speaker 3: DON'T i don't mind him juicing up the odds with
the money.
Speaker 1: LINE i think it's for as far as like a numerical,
edge probably a bigger edge on the money line there
anyway at that. Price so, yeah typically if you're gonna
do a three team. Er the WAY i always look
at it is you give your you, know because you're
parlaying it together to get plus, money you kind of
it's a good spot to give yourself a little bit
of an extra. Chance, so, LIKE i agree with you
going that WAY, tv as opposed to like laying the
run in. Half it's a, parlay why not just give
yourself a better chance to? Win go, Ahead, BRIAN i.
Speaker 4: Look at parlays. Differently i'm a numbers. Guy if it's
a bad bet, straight it's a bad bet in the.
Parlor that's the Way i've always treated. It you're still
laying the same number regardless it's true what the other
other legs. Are so if you're not willing to play it,
straight you shouldn't put it in a. Parlay that's just my.
Opinion i'm not a parlay, player BUT i don't know
anybody that does that kind of, thing that makes bets
for a living out here In, vegas that does.
Speaker 2: That kind of.
Speaker 1: Thing, yeah AND i don't THINK tv wouldn't be willing
to play the padres straight. HERE i just think that
maybe if he played it, straight he'd look at like minus.
One but, like why you don't get the right price
out of minus one, Anyway so why not just put
the money line in the.
Speaker 3: PARLAY i think it's kind of what he's sort of
getting at.
Speaker 2: Here.
Speaker 3: Anyway that makes our three.
Speaker 1: Teamer we've Got Tokyo brandon on The, Padres we've got Myself,
diamondbacks and Then Brian leonard first Five nationals plus one fifty,
five so that The nats first five money, line A
diamondbacks full game money, line and A padres full game money,
line and that comes to plus six twenty. Seven we've
already hit two parlays on the. Week can we make get?
Three DON'T i don't know if we had a week
where he hit we hit three, yet so that would
be A.
Speaker 4: U first week really. GOOD i don't think we hit
three that first.
Speaker 1: Week, no first, WEEK i think WE i think we
might hit, two and then we hit one early in
the following. Week that's about as close as we've got
to like. Three in this close.
Speaker 3: ONE i think we were.
Speaker 4: Plus at one.
Speaker 2: POINT i think we were plus thirteen or.
Speaker 1: Something we the high water mark for the year is
nineteen point two, UNITS i, believe and it was very
early in the.
Speaker 3: Season let's win this one plus six.
Speaker 1: Hundred if we hit this, one we will be back
as close as we've been in a long time to
that that high water. Mark so, anyway one more, time
let's close the weekend on a high. Note we've Got
padres Money, Line diamondbacks Money, Line NAT's first five Money
line three teamer plus six twenty.
Speaker 3: Seven another great week.
Speaker 1: Here we will be back On monday for the final
week of the regular, season and then we'll be riding
this show right into the, playoffs not going. Anywhere appreciate
you guys tuning in if you missed any part of
the live. Show as, always it's up on demand on
The way To talk YouTube. Channel while you're over, there
give us a, like give us a, subscribe and have
a great. Weekend everyone will see you guys On.
Speaker 3: Monday