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Speaker 1: All right, guys, welcome in. It's Friday. It's time for

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total basis. As Brian Leonard just reminded me, hit go Live.

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I'm like over here talking about things we like, you know,

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stopping the show without actually hit hitting go Live.

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Speaker 2: But by the way, the same off camera as he

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is on camera.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I got my I got my Scranton wilts Berry

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hat on.

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Speaker 1: Right now, they've all but clinched the final playoff spot

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for the Trip A Playoffs, so it looks like it's

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going to be Scranton, Jacksonville, Tacoma, Las Vegas. I'm encouraging

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Brian Leonard to go to the series in Vegas. Brian,

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I can't remember if you've told you or not. Have

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you ever been to the final? Have you ever been

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to the championship game?

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Speaker 4: I have not, and unfortunately I've got a a trip plan.

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I won't be able to make the Championship game, but

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I will be able to make the Pacific Coach Championship Series.

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Speaker 3: We've talked off air.

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Speaker 1: We think there's gonna be a very good betting opportunity

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in that series, and you'll have to wait till next week.

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We'll talk about it next week on the show. What

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we're going to talk about for the next hour is

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major League Baseball, like we do every day, and I

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need I need your guys help because I knew it

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would come to this at some point. So obviously, as

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as all the viewers know, I'm very invested in the

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Mariners and this is a very very big weekend for

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me in terms of my Mariner's future. Bets Mariner's Astros tonight,

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that's where we're going to start huge game. Both teams

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now tied for first place in the AO West and

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they get to play it out this weekend. This is

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exactly what you want, you know, the schedule makers, this

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is what they want.

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Speaker 3: This is this is perfect.

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Speaker 1: You're down to about ten days left in the regular season,

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actually less, I think like eight days left in the

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regular season. And it works out where we get Mariners

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Astros head to head all weekend long. It's gonna be

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a great series. Brian Leonard, I want to bet the

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Mariners here too. And now I've got to ask myself,

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are you are you know what I mean? Like it

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is my head clear, right? Do I want to bet

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it because I need the Mariners or is it actually

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a good bet? I think it's kind of a good bet,

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but I'm gonna give you two a chance to talk

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me off of it. So let's go Mariners Astros minute

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made Park Brian Wu Hunter Brown huge game tonight.

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Speaker 4: Before we get to the games, congratulations to us. We

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want to what second parlat days and we probably should

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have won the game the other one, so if the

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if Arizona doesn't win that game in the tenth innning,

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we could have had three straight days of parlament winners.

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We're now up if if my numbers are correct, eight

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point one four us on the season. Yeah, so hey,

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we're gonna end the sasnock knock on the wood. We're

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gonna end the season here with a winning record. So

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so good for us and thankfully some of the some

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of you might have taken advantage of it. And as

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we said before we even started that none of a

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Parli players, we play him individually, so if you played

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them individually, we have somebody in the in the uh

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not in the in the in the chat and then

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the the other one afterwards where they break it down

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and tell you how we were overall, but it's been

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a real successful season and thank everybody for tuning in

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every day. I know, with football going on, it's it's

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tough to do this. We got less people in here,

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but hey, there's still hungry people that love baseball. Let's

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get you some winners. Okay, Seattle and Houston. WU against

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Brown should be a great game. The importance of the game.

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I love both of these pitchers, and the line's basically

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telling you it's a pick them all over. We're getting

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We're getting to pick them number and a total is

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seven and a half to the under, which is which

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is pretty low. When you go into Houston, that's a

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pretty good hitters ballpark, especially if you pull the baseball

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Brian wu fourteen to seven record. He's just he's really good,

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and he's one of the most unheralded pitchers of Major

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League baseball. Go in with a three H two ERA

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three wait expected zero point nine to four whip. His

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whip in three seasons is less than one. Tells you

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how good he is. He does give up a little

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bit of barrel hard hit rate about league average, but

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his walk rate doesn't walk anybody four point nine percent

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walks last year two point eight uh so he's in

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the ninety fifth percentile and he's a good strikeout pitcher,

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and he throws five different pitches seven percent of the

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time or more. His fort seem is at forty seven

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percent right now, it's at ninety five point seven, which

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is a little more than league average on the mouse

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per hour. There Hunter Brown twelve and seven record two

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point twenty seven e RA even as expected, Thera is

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good three point one zero. He's got a one point

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zero zero whip and his numbers are almost exactly the same.

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My numbers might even be a little bit better on

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this season than Wose. His weakness is probably walk grade

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at fifty four percent TOL, that's still better than the

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league average. He throws six different pitches and his fourth

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saver thirty nine percent, so his is a little bit

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more in that regard. But two guys that I would

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never find any problems going against. I I'm going to

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sit back and watch this game. I don't find enough

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value in it to play. I think the number is right,

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but it should be a hell of a game to watch.

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I'm looking forward to it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, what's up everyone, I'm back in Phoenix. I'm back

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to the bad lighting and the dark house. So regarding

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this game, man, I have not had two teams that

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match up like this all season. These two teams are

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dead ringers. Almost every stat they are within zero point

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one points of each other. They grade out in an

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exact tie. So two teams that are hitting quite well

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and two bullpens performing well and two great starting pitchers.

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So where do you go? My first instinct was to

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look at an under here, but taking a look at

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at Brian Wu. Like Brian said, he's a great, great,

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great pitcher, but if you look at his his numbers

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against these astros, they're actually not very good. He's he's

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been tagged pretty good by this by this team. How

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how how bad has he been tagged? Well? A three

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zero six average against and an eight thirty eight ops

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against and that's in seventy two at bad. So that

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kind of alarms me, kind of tells me that he

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might get hit a little bit today. I mean, Brian,

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Brian Wo is not the kind of guy who gets,

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you know, tagged for an eight bomb or something in

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one inning. But I do remember a game where I

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was on him. He went to New York and played

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the Yankees, and I think he gave up five runs

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in that game, and that was kind of kind of

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turned me off to Brian Wu, but not totally turned

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me off, but it told me that he's not invincible.

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If anything, I think that the Astros have a slight

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advantage here, but these two teams are just so tight.

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There's no way I'm going to play this game because

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they're just I mean, seriously, every category that I rank,

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they're within zero point one points of each other right

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now in current forms. So I'm not touching this game.

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Speaker 3: It's hard to disagree with that.

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Speaker 1: When I look at these two it's it's very, very close.

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I kind of feel like you could I thought, I

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kind of feel like you can make the case for

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either side.

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Speaker 3: Both both teams are playing great.

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Speaker 1: The Astras just sort of, you know, put put the

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Rangers out of the mix, swept them. I believe the

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Mariners have won like five of their last six. They

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take two of three in Kansas City. So you have

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two teams that are both playing as really as good

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as they've played, you know, at least obviously they've had

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stretches where they've been very good this season. They're both

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fifteen games over five hundred. But you can argue that

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these two teams right now. I think the Mariners. Mariners

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have won like actually like nine of ten something like that.

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Both teams are playing great ball, I guess the only

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I guess that if I was going to make a

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case for the Mariners, I do think Brian Wu maybe

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doesn't get as much respect as some of the other

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aces in the league, Like for whatever reason, I like

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Hunter Brown has sort of been widely accepted as like this,

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like legitimate, like ace caliber, like frontline stud and he

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gets priced like that. But I feel like the masses

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and so that obviously permeates into the market as well,

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still sleeps on Brian Wu a little bit.

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Speaker 3: I don't think either of those two are different.

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Speaker 1: I think they're they're both really like just below the

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Schools and the Crochets in terms of caliber or starting

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pitcher in the American League or in the entire league.

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And you have two bullpens that have both, you know,

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both been solid TV. I'm gonna keep coming back to this.

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It's it would be like splitting hairs to find much

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of a difference between these two teams. So for me personally,

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I'm going to just kind of stick with what I've

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said for a few months that I thought I think

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the Mariners are just a little bit better that they

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are going to overcome the Astros and win this division

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at some point. But I think for me to sort

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of bet that in this game might be, you know,

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might be flipping a coin. To an extent, the games

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in Houston playoff baseball. It's what we're gonna when we

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get two weeks from now when we're talking about these games.

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I feel like this is going to be the conversation

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in a lot of these games where it's like you

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have the best teams playing the best teams, their best

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pitchers are on the mound.

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Speaker 3: How do you find value there?

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Speaker 1: Well, it's really tough and you'll you'll see that when

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we start talking about the playoffs in a couple of weeks.

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It's just a playoff game. This week, All all of

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these games are going to be playoff games.

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Speaker 2: For me.

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Speaker 1: I'll be looking at ways into this series for the Mariners,

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but I'm not sure it's going to be in this

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spot where you just have these two stud starting pitchers.

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So yeah, but I will be rooting for the Mariners

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without a doubt. I've got those futures and I need

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them to have a good weekend. Okay, let's go to

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more playoff implications. I think I'll have a stronger opinion

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in this one. Jose Martinez says, let's talk d Backs baseball. Yeah,

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let's do that. They're out in the desert again tonight,

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Brian Leonard day, you talked about ruining our parlay the

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day you and I did the show together and they

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lost in the eleventh inning, squandering really a golden opportunity

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to really kind of be in the mix.

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Speaker 3: I mean, there's still very much in the mix. Two

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games back of a wild card spot coming into tonight,

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but man, if they had that win, which I feel

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like they should have had, they would be really be

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right there on the Mets Heels. Now two games back,

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do or die tonight for the d Backs, they've got

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the Phillies coming into town, who's a very good team,

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but they don't have us as nearly as much to

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play for. Are you getting involved d Backs Phillies in

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the desert tonight?

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Speaker 4: Yeah. Tonn Walker is going to start for Philadelphia and

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he's going to be piggybacked by Walker Wheeler. If you

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trust them, I'm not sure I do. Philadelphia is the

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one team that basically is everything locked up big lead

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in the division. But they're playing good ball. There's no

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doubt about it. Ryan Nelson going for Arizona. Nelson's about

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a one twenty favorite total of about nine and a

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half to the under a little bit. Looking at Timon Walker,

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he's he's on the season four point one seven RA

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four point five zero expected at one point three to

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nine whip. His whip's been really bad the last few years,

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and that's what's been concerning. He got on the streak

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when they put him back into the rotation in which

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he pitched very well, starting to get back to normal.

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Taiwan Walker time Walker. Of the last few years, he

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has not been good. Keep in mind when he came

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up in Seattle, he was the hot shot, big strikeout numbers.

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I remember going spring training. Marko and I would go

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to spring training. I remember the first game that I

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saw him, I said, this is the hotshot guy in Peoria.

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Beautiful ballpark by the way, the padres and the and

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also the Seattle play there if you ever get a chance.

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The food down there is great for a ballpark anyway.

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Tyron Walker fourth percentle on the whift six percent, talle

240
00:12:15,159 --> 00:12:18,080
struck out rate fifteenth an Extension not a guy I'm

241
00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:20,080
looking to play at this point, but I'm not sure

242
00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:22,639
I want to play Walker Buelber either. He looked good

243
00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:25,000
last time out, but where has that been all season long?

244
00:12:25,759 --> 00:12:28,440
Ryan Nelson three point three four ERA, three point nine

245
00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:31,720
to zero expected one point zero six whip. He's a

246
00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:33,840
guy that've been waiting on for a long time and

247
00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:37,080
he's showing some signs this year. Is Extension the eighty

248
00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:42,159
seventh percentel basketball velocity seventy second second, but he still

249
00:12:42,159 --> 00:12:44,840
does get hit hard hit rate fourteenth percentle average, Jackson

250
00:12:44,919 --> 00:12:49,399
Vilas the fifth percent TEL whiff rate twenty second, throws

251
00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:52,440
five pitches, but his fourth sam are basically sixty two

252
00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:55,519
percent of the time overall. If you've watched, I'm not

253
00:12:55,600 --> 00:12:57,919
a big fan of guys that don't have enough quality

254
00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:00,720
stuff behind it. That's his probable. If he does have

255
00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:03,639
quality stuff, he's just don't thrown enough. His fastballs at

256
00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:07,600
ninety five point seven same as same as his opponent.

257
00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:11,679
And it's a situation for me. Where as much as

258
00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:14,159
I like Ryan Nelson, I don't know if I trust

259
00:13:14,279 --> 00:13:16,519
him either. So we've got two teams here that I

260
00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:20,159
think the offenses should be having a pretty decent day here.

261
00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:24,720
Obviously from a need standpoint, the host needs it a

262
00:13:24,759 --> 00:13:27,919
lot more than Philadelphia does. But you know Grandford, the

263
00:13:27,919 --> 00:13:29,879
Phillies they're playing, they're playing some pretty good ball here.

264
00:13:31,279 --> 00:13:36,440
Prefer the Arizona side. Maybe maybe I'll play Philadelphia team

265
00:13:36,519 --> 00:13:41,039
total under, which would be at this point four and

266
00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:43,679
a half under one twenty. That's a little risky in

267
00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:47,639
this ballpark is a pretty good hitters ballpark, So I

268
00:13:47,799 --> 00:13:52,519
will root for Arizona for obviously for for TV, but

269
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it's also the closest local stadium in Las Vegas, so

270
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I kind of got a solid spot for Arizona, and

271
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I love the city a Phoenix, so I'll root for them.

272
00:14:02,159 --> 00:14:04,480
I'm leaning that way, but probably not enough to get

273
00:14:04,519 --> 00:14:06,440
me involved into the game betting wise.

274
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Speaker 2: Head over to waysertalk dot com to see what we

275
00:14:10,919 --> 00:14:15,080
have available. I've already put my MLB plays out and

276
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I have a free play up as well. I'm sure

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00:14:17,360 --> 00:14:20,519
these gentlemen will also have something available today, So go

278
00:14:20,600 --> 00:14:22,759
to wayjer talk dot com, go to the free picks

279
00:14:22,799 --> 00:14:24,759
page and go to our pages and see what we

280
00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:31,159
have available. It's funny because people say that the teams

281
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that are already in the playoffs are fades. But that's

282
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actually not true because some of these guys are out

283
00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:40,840
there just keeping themselves warm, getting ready for the playoffs,

284
00:14:40,879 --> 00:14:44,039
and it's called the grip it and rip it. These

285
00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:48,200
guys have no stress, no nothing, They're just out there

286
00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:50,720
free swinging, and those are sometimes the teams that you

287
00:14:50,799 --> 00:14:53,639
want to bet on. But in this case, Taiwan Walker

288
00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:57,720
is definitely the worst rotation picture in the Phillies rotation.

289
00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:03,240
That's kind of like say that it's the number four

290
00:15:04,279 --> 00:15:07,480
contestant in a beauty pageant, because they have really good pictures.

291
00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:12,360
So if he's the worst of the top four beauties

292
00:15:12,399 --> 00:15:15,879
in the world, that's not so bad. But my numbers

293
00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:21,159
do not like him at all. His expected numbers very bad.

294
00:15:21,519 --> 00:15:23,360
As a matter of fact, I have him ranked twenty

295
00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:28,240
seven out on a curve of thirty of all starting pitchers.

296
00:15:29,279 --> 00:15:31,360
Very bad. And if you look at his numbers against

297
00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:36,080
these Diamondbacks, only ten at bats against but a three

298
00:15:36,159 --> 00:15:39,399
hundred average in a one thousand and sixty four ops

299
00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:41,320
but ten at bats I don't think we can make

300
00:15:41,399 --> 00:15:44,879
too much out of that. Diamondbacks are hitting quite well.

301
00:15:45,039 --> 00:15:48,080
I have them ranked in current form number four in MLB,

302
00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:51,799
but I got the Phillies ranked number two. My numbers

303
00:15:52,639 --> 00:15:56,360
say Ryan Nelson is a pretty average picture. But if

304
00:15:56,399 --> 00:15:58,440
you look at his numbers, they don't look average because

305
00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:01,279
he's got a one oh six whip in all those

306
00:16:01,320 --> 00:16:04,200
innings that he's pitched this season, so that's not bad

307
00:16:04,240 --> 00:16:08,559
at all. His history against these Philly batters pretty average,

308
00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:12,200
two sixty average against the seven forty ops, which is

309
00:16:13,159 --> 00:16:16,000
can't really glean anything off of those stats. It's pretty average.

310
00:16:16,879 --> 00:16:19,200
I think I'm kind of along the lines of Brian

311
00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:21,039
going with a team total but I think I think

312
00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:23,240
a Diamondbacks team total over would be a way to

313
00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:27,840
go here. Philly's bullpen is performing dreadfully right now, and

314
00:16:28,639 --> 00:16:31,720
they're not going to be too eager to use their

315
00:16:31,759 --> 00:16:32,480
best arms here.

316
00:16:32,519 --> 00:16:33,279
Speaker 3: I don't think.

317
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:38,440
Speaker 2: They might put some of their best guys in for

318
00:16:38,519 --> 00:16:40,120
an inning or two, but it's not going to be

319
00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:43,759
high pressure, leverage spots or anything like that. So Phillies

320
00:16:43,799 --> 00:16:45,399
don't really care if they win this game or not.

321
00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:49,399
They're just very talented. I think the Diamondbacks team total

322
00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:51,919
over would be the way to go because betting aside

323
00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:54,200
for Arizona, as we've seen in the last few days

324
00:16:54,279 --> 00:16:58,600
can be bad for your ulcer, so that would be

325
00:16:58,679 --> 00:16:59,240
how I would go.

326
00:17:01,279 --> 00:17:06,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, so something tells me this is like maybe the weekend,

327
00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:08,480
like some of these Phillies players get to like blow

328
00:17:08,519 --> 00:17:10,480
off some steam, hang out a little bit. If you

329
00:17:10,599 --> 00:17:14,440
kind of look at the schedule. They just played the Dodgers,

330
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:17,640
so they were always going to take that Dodgers series. Seriously,

331
00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:20,319
that's like, you know, that was like they kind of

332
00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:22,880
made a statement in my opinion by going in and

333
00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:25,680
taking two of three from the Dodgers. Now they're in

334
00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:29,240
Phoenix for the weekend. They really don't have I mean,

335
00:17:29,279 --> 00:17:31,319
they've had the division wrapped up for a while. They

336
00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:35,440
really don't have any way to like improve their you know,

337
00:17:35,519 --> 00:17:37,799
they're gonna be one of the top teams in the NL, so,

338
00:17:38,519 --> 00:17:41,640
you know, their last road series of the season, then

339
00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:44,240
they go home for six and it's like I feel

340
00:17:44,279 --> 00:17:46,039
like once, once they get back home, it's gonna be

341
00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:48,640
like focus, Okay, Now, like this is the playoff run.

342
00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:52,920
They've got off days on piggybacking this series. So they

343
00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:57,160
had yesterday off, they have Monday off. Like again, I'm

344
00:17:57,200 --> 00:17:59,119
trying to just put myself in the mentality of a

345
00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:00,839
team that's been playing all season.

346
00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:03,079
Speaker 3: This feels like the weekend where it's like.

347
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:05,759
Speaker 1: Eh, maybe show up to the ballpark a little bit late,

348
00:18:05,839 --> 00:18:09,240
Like maybe it's not like so of the utmost importance

349
00:18:09,319 --> 00:18:13,160
that they are like so focused on this series. It

350
00:18:13,279 --> 00:18:15,240
just it feels like a little bit of a throwaway series.

351
00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:18,079
This is a Phillies team that on the road this

352
00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:20,359
year is only forty and thirty eight. Right Like, we've

353
00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:23,039
talked about Phillies at Citizens Bank Park being one of

354
00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:25,839
the best home teams of the last like three years.

355
00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:28,119
I believe they have the best record in baseball at

356
00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,839
home if you go back to the beginning of the

357
00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:34,920
season that the Dbacks actually knocked them out, which would

358
00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:37,880
have been I believe was twenty twenty three. I think

359
00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:39,880
they have the best home record in baseball since then.

360
00:18:40,279 --> 00:18:43,160
This year on the road forty and thirty eight. So clearly,

361
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,240
you know, lack a little bit in relative to what

362
00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,000
they are, right Like, they're a ninety one and sixty

363
00:18:49,039 --> 00:18:51,680
two team this year, but the majority of that has

364
00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:54,680
been accumulated at home, so that you know, there's that.

365
00:18:55,319 --> 00:18:57,599
The other thing I really found interesting and I kind

366
00:18:57,640 --> 00:19:00,200
of love this, and I love Tory Leavelo, So like,

367
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:03,359
I think he's a great coach. I know I complained

368
00:19:03,519 --> 00:19:05,960
after he didn't like squeeze bunt or find a way

369
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:07,839
to get one of those speedy guys home the other day.

370
00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:11,680
But all things considered, Lavello is an awesome coach. The

371
00:19:11,799 --> 00:19:15,680
fact that he even has this team with the pitching

372
00:19:15,799 --> 00:19:17,839
that he's had this year and the injuries that he's

373
00:19:17,839 --> 00:19:19,759
had in the bullpen, the fact that he has this

374
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,880
team two games out of a wildcard spot is very,

375
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:27,039
very impressive. Big reason for that Diamondbacks can hit top

376
00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:30,880
ten team WRC plus pretty much all season. They haven't

377
00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:34,960
really dropped off a ton since Naylor and Sores got traded,

378
00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:36,599
so they've just kind of plugged other guys in.

379
00:19:37,319 --> 00:19:38,480
Speaker 3: And I don't think they're going to have.

380
00:19:38,559 --> 00:19:41,599
Speaker 1: Much of an issue handling Tawan Walker and then Walker Bueller,

381
00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:44,359
who they've seen a ton right Like Buehler might have

382
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:46,319
been good last time out, They've had a ton of

383
00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:48,440
exposure to Bueller over the year, so they're going to

384
00:19:48,519 --> 00:19:51,000
have a good sort of sample size against him.

385
00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 3: The final thing that kind of puts me on the

386
00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:54,799
diamondback side here is.

387
00:19:55,359 --> 00:20:01,039
Speaker 1: Lavello before before Wednesday's game, came out and said we're

388
00:20:01,079 --> 00:20:06,279
going four man rotation. Fought Nelson, Gallon, Eduardo Rodriguez. That's it,

389
00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:09,119
rest of the season, four man rotation. They're taking the

390
00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:12,480
ball every you know, we've got enough off days, so

391
00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:14,599
they're gonna pitch every fifth day or we're gonna go

392
00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:16,759
four a man rotation. You can't tell me that that

393
00:20:16,839 --> 00:20:19,359
doesn't get those four guys a little fired up. I

394
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:21,759
think it's part of the reason Fought pitched so good

395
00:20:21,799 --> 00:20:24,240
the other day, where it's like, you know, like every

396
00:20:24,279 --> 00:20:27,119
one of those guys has had some you know, ups

397
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:30,079
and downs over the course of the season, and now

398
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:32,240
your manager's coming out and saying, here you go, you're

399
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,200
two games out of a playoff spot, You've got eight

400
00:20:34,319 --> 00:20:37,039
games to go, you could probably are going to have

401
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:40,000
a chance to play yourself into it, and we're gonna

402
00:20:40,039 --> 00:20:41,640
put the trust in you four guys to take the

403
00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:45,039
ball every whatever how you know, every fourth day or

404
00:20:45,119 --> 00:20:47,240
fifth day and try to get us to the playoffs.

405
00:20:47,559 --> 00:20:49,960
I think it's why Fought pitched so well on Wednesday.

406
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,640
I wouldn't be surprised if Brian Nelson through a great

407
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:55,240
game here, and he's someone that i've I've personally been

408
00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:58,519
higher on than most. I think he's got a great fastball,

409
00:20:59,039 --> 00:21:01,920
you know, really point zero six whip this season ere

410
00:21:02,039 --> 00:21:05,079
in the mid threes. You know, he's he's got some

411
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:07,920
underlying stuff that suggests he could get hit at some point.

412
00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:09,920
But we've been saying that for three months and no

413
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:12,319
one's really hit him yet. You know, he's still been very,

414
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:14,880
very good. So I almost think Ryan Nelson has had

415
00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:18,079
a breakout season to an extent that he hasn't gotten,

416
00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:21,559
like fully gotten credit for because it's Arizona and they

417
00:21:21,599 --> 00:21:23,680
just don't get as much hype as some of the

418
00:21:23,759 --> 00:21:24,319
other teams.

419
00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:26,920
Speaker 3: So yeah, I do like the Diamondbacks quite a bit here.

420
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:27,640
This is one I'll be.

421
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:31,240
Speaker 1: Looking at today for my clients and maybe I'll throw

422
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:32,400
it in the parlay. But I want to see what

423
00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:35,480
else pops up throughout the show. So yeah, Dbacks. I

424
00:21:35,519 --> 00:21:37,839
think it's a great spot for them, and it's also

425
00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:40,400
a good spot to fade the Phillies. So any d

426
00:21:40,599 --> 00:21:44,400
Back correlated Phillies, fade correlated stuff in this game and

427
00:21:44,519 --> 00:21:45,640
probably all weekend is.

428
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:46,680
Speaker 3: Going to be a good look.

429
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:53,279
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go to Colin says, I like the Orioles

430
00:21:53,319 --> 00:21:55,960
money line the Yankees today, good price on one of

431
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,319
the best pitchers since the All Star Break. Not a

432
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:01,319
fan of Will Warren, so TV closed out of parlay

433
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:04,960
yesterday with an easy Yankees win. The crooked numbers came

434
00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:07,880
as we expected. Now you pull up the odds today,

435
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:12,279
Brian Leonard and very competitively priced game, probably for the

436
00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:15,559
reason that Colin is bringing up. Trevor Rodgers has been

437
00:22:15,599 --> 00:22:18,160
as good as it gets since the really since they

438
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:21,400
called him back up in maybe like mid to late June,

439
00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:23,799
he has been awesome. He's been one of the best

440
00:22:23,839 --> 00:22:27,480
pitchers really in the league to that point. He's certainly

441
00:22:27,559 --> 00:22:29,400
a better pitcher than Will Warren. I don't think there's

442
00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:32,759
an argument about that. But the Yankees playing good ball

443
00:22:32,839 --> 00:22:35,039
right now. So this is an interesting one. Do you

444
00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:37,160
want the better pitcher or do you want the better team?

445
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:39,759
Because that's what the that's what Vegas is kind of

446
00:22:40,079 --> 00:22:41,799
asking you here. Do you want the better pitcher in

447
00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:45,359
Rogers or the better team? It's pretty competitively priced. How

448
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:46,200
are you seeing this one?

449
00:22:47,039 --> 00:22:50,039
Speaker 4: A lot of very interesting handicaps today. We talked about

450
00:22:50,079 --> 00:22:52,759
that a couple of days ago about I went it.

451
00:22:53,079 --> 00:22:55,680
I think it was might been yesterday or whatever. Because

452
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:57,480
there was less amount of games we were able to

453
00:22:57,519 --> 00:22:59,200
go into a little bit more. I was talking about

454
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,480
the Mets pitcher and he did very well, so yeah,

455
00:23:02,519 --> 00:23:04,279
it worked out well for both of us in our parleague.

456
00:23:05,759 --> 00:23:10,720
I talked about Walker Bueller being the piggyback to uh

457
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:14,519
in his game today. I just wanted to point out

458
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:17,920
the Angels are throwing out Mitch Ferris, so it's a

459
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:22,400
Paris Bueller day in Major League Baseball. Too bad. This

460
00:23:22,519 --> 00:23:24,759
sounds like something the Angels would do. Too bad they

461
00:23:24,759 --> 00:23:29,880
don't trade him to Philadelphia for Walker, for for for Buehler,

462
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:33,599
and then they would have the or for for Walker,

463
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,960
then they would have the Ferris Bueller combination today in Philadelphia.

464
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:41,319
But yeah, just interesting things like that. I'm sort of

465
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:45,319
like that UH one baseball guy, the older gentlemen that

466
00:23:46,079 --> 00:23:48,119
looks a lot of these things and finds amazement and

467
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:52,440
but yeah, we've got this. This was an interesting game

468
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:57,079
because Warren, even though his numbers are not terrific on

469
00:23:57,240 --> 00:23:59,559
the season, he's got a four point four four e R,

470
00:23:59,599 --> 00:24:03,640
a four point five to zho expected one point three

471
00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:08,359
to eight whip. He's at times really been good. The

472
00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:11,359
problem is he walks too many and he gets hit

473
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:15,319
a little bit, and that's the only concern. But when

474
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:18,079
he's on, he's very good, and unfortunately hasn't been on

475
00:24:18,279 --> 00:24:20,319
enough for the Yankees, and they've had to use him.

476
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:22,759
They've got a lot of injuries from the pitchers where

477
00:24:23,279 --> 00:24:25,079
we still don't have some of their guys back that

478
00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:27,680
they expected to be back this year. But average X

479
00:24:27,839 --> 00:24:32,240
velocity eighth percentile case ra eight tenth part hit thirteenth,

480
00:24:32,559 --> 00:24:35,000
barrel a fourteen, So that tells you Warren can get hit.

481
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:40,279
Just throw those five pitches four seemer ninety three point

482
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:45,000
three for a right hander. Not the greatest, but he's

483
00:24:45,039 --> 00:24:47,640
a guy that can be hit. And this is when

484
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:49,920
they moved defences back in a little bit. It's pretty good,

485
00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:54,759
much more better hitting ballpark here in Baltimore. Trevor Rodgers,

486
00:24:54,799 --> 00:24:57,240
I mean I said this last time he pitched. I

487
00:24:57,319 --> 00:24:59,880
think that we all owe him an apology because we

488
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,480
you didn't understand that trade with thought Baltimore was crazy.

489
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:06,039
Out of all the needs they had, he has been fantastic,

490
00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:09,039
and unfortunately he's only thrown one hundred innings. He would

491
00:25:09,079 --> 00:25:11,359
be in the sal Young if he threw fifty more

492
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:13,519
innings this year, he would be in the Sally Young

493
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:17,960
consideration one point four to three ERA three point zero three, expected,

494
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:22,119
zero point eight to nine. The guy's been terrific. But

495
00:25:22,839 --> 00:25:25,119
as hard as rate is in the seventh percentile and

496
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:29,079
the Yankees it's ball pretty hard, so that's something to

497
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:31,759
be concerned about. But that's for the most part his

498
00:25:31,839 --> 00:25:34,160
past ball. Velosti's in the twenty eighth percent tole He's

499
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:36,559
only at ninety three point one. He's a lefty that's

500
00:25:36,559 --> 00:25:40,839
the league average, but everything else looks really good. He's

501
00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:45,640
had an upstanding season, and if you're betting on starting pitchers,

502
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:49,599
that would be decided that you would want maybe Baltimore

503
00:25:49,599 --> 00:25:52,319
in the first five innings, something to that effect. If

504
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:54,839
we take a look at the first half in this game,

505
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:58,160
you're not paying much more. It's like Baltimore is about

506
00:25:58,160 --> 00:26:00,440
a one to ten favorite in the first half, and

507
00:26:00,599 --> 00:26:03,079
if you like it for the full game, they're about

508
00:26:03,599 --> 00:26:06,839
so it's about fifteen cent differential plus one on five

509
00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:09,160
or stone. So it's something to take a look at.

510
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:12,480
And the Yankees bullpen starting to pitch a little bit better. Obviously,

511
00:26:12,519 --> 00:26:14,519
with the talent they have, they're still trying to find

512
00:26:14,519 --> 00:26:17,359
their ways. You get so many guys that were closers

513
00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:21,559
and no longer have that closure mentality, and the Yankees

514
00:26:21,599 --> 00:26:23,720
have a whole bunch of guys that have closed baseball games.

515
00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:27,160
That's the differential. We talked about this in the past.

516
00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:29,279
The guy comes in in the eighth inning that brings

517
00:26:29,319 --> 00:26:32,880
somebody in without a save opportunity. How many times do

518
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,240
they get hit? So that's the problem the Yankees are having.

519
00:26:35,279 --> 00:26:38,119
They got guys adjusting to the new roles. Hopefully by

520
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,279
the time the playoffs come they'll have it all figured out.

521
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:43,279
But that's one of the reasons why they've struggled. But

522
00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:48,359
from a hitter standpoint, the Yankees have the clearly better

523
00:26:48,559 --> 00:26:51,759
hitters Baltimore. I like the talent on the team, but

524
00:26:52,039 --> 00:26:54,599
there's no doubt that you're getting the better team in

525
00:26:54,599 --> 00:26:58,000
the Yankees with the better hitters, and you're laying on

526
00:26:58,079 --> 00:27:00,799
one twenty, which is really cheap if you like to

527
00:27:00,839 --> 00:27:03,400
bet the Yankees. So I'm a little torn here. If

528
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:05,240
you like the first five, I think Baltimore is not

529
00:27:05,279 --> 00:27:07,000
a bad bet. If you want the whole game, I

530
00:27:07,039 --> 00:27:10,000
think the Yankees aren't a bad bet. So that's enough.

531
00:27:10,039 --> 00:27:11,519
To keep me away from it at this point. But

532
00:27:11,599 --> 00:27:13,079
I'll take a look at this as the day goes

533
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:16,519
on here as opposed to yesterday, and I believe the

534
00:27:16,599 --> 00:27:18,759
day before with their day games, everything is on the

535
00:27:18,799 --> 00:27:22,160
evening card today. And this sad part is we have

536
00:27:22,279 --> 00:27:24,279
to wait longer to see it. The best part is

537
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:27,200
we got more time to HANDCAF these games, figure out

538
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,400
who's actually going to be in the lineups today, coaches quotes,

539
00:27:31,079 --> 00:27:33,400
which gains reporting the rest of the season. And that

540
00:27:33,559 --> 00:27:35,880
was a great breakdown of Arizona Trigg.

541
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:36,319
Speaker 2: You did it.

542
00:27:36,559 --> 00:27:38,440
Speaker 4: You talked me into that one. I think I think

543
00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,240
that might be worth a wager. So this one I'm

544
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:43,839
going to sit back and read a little bit more.

545
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:46,160
But it should be a lot of fun, good game.

546
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 2: Everyone do us a favor and support the show. We

547
00:27:49,799 --> 00:27:52,200
don't get a producer, we don't have a graphics guy.

548
00:27:52,319 --> 00:27:55,880
We do everything ourselves. So show your appreciation by going

549
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:59,160
to the replay leaving a comment, because we do read

550
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:02,359
them all in bond to almost all of them if

551
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:06,880
they're thoughtful. So I have an MLB play up today

552
00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,079
at wager talk dot com. I'm sure these guys will

553
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:12,359
to go to wager talk dot com and see what

554
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:17,039
we got, especially on the free play page. Regarding this one,

555
00:28:17,079 --> 00:28:19,400
there's just a couple of stats that really jump out

556
00:28:19,440 --> 00:28:22,119
to me. Will Warren as a five ADRA on the road,

557
00:28:23,079 --> 00:28:28,720
uh and Trevor Rodgers against these New York Yankees. He's

558
00:28:28,759 --> 00:28:31,079
got a pretty good sample size thirty four AT that's

559
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:34,359
one seventy six average against in a five ninety four

560
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:39,319
OPS against. He has absolutely dominated these Yankees. So how

561
00:28:39,359 --> 00:28:42,279
does he do at home? This season? Even better, He's

562
00:28:42,319 --> 00:28:44,759
got a one to one ERA in forty one innings,

563
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:49,200
So if anyone's going to quiet these Yankee bats, it's

564
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:51,799
going to be him. Looking at those stats, the first

565
00:28:51,839 --> 00:28:54,960
thing that jumped to me is oh Orioles. But now

566
00:28:55,039 --> 00:28:57,519
we compare the teams, how they compare against each other.

567
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:03,480
Bullpens even in current form, pitching huge Oriel advantage, but

568
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:05,920
hitting the Orioles. I have them ranked in current form

569
00:29:06,039 --> 00:29:08,599
twenty five out of thirty teams. There's no way I

570
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:13,119
can bet that team on a side. So looking at

571
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:15,000
the Yankees team total, four and a half looks a

572
00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:17,279
little high to me. So if I'm going to bet

573
00:29:17,319 --> 00:29:20,160
this game, probably be under on the Yankees team total

574
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:24,359
because Trevor Rodgers has just dominated them. He's dominated at home,

575
00:29:25,599 --> 00:29:28,319
and it's about time for the Yankee bats to get cold.

576
00:29:28,359 --> 00:29:31,920
I think, so maybe a Yankees under here would be

577
00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:32,759
a way to go for me.

578
00:29:35,519 --> 00:29:38,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't just like that. Markins is like, do

579
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:40,400
you own a room full of hats? I wish I

580
00:29:40,519 --> 00:29:42,720
was that organized. They're kind of just all over the place.

581
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:44,799
I just I'll usually grab one when I go to

582
00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:47,640
a game, and so that's kind of how I've accumulated

583
00:29:48,039 --> 00:29:52,119
them over the years. But back to this game, TV,

584
00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:55,880
I agree with you. I could see Rogers being, you know,

585
00:29:56,000 --> 00:29:57,720
kind of throwing a good game here.

586
00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:00,359
Speaker 3: That that really is.

587
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:03,119
Speaker 1: So this one was an easy pass for me, and

588
00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:05,119
it's kind of because of like how I teed it

589
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,599
up for Brian, where it's like, over the course of

590
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:09,480
the full game, you're gonna want to have the Yankees

591
00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:12,200
if you can get into this Orioles bullpen. There's just

592
00:30:12,319 --> 00:30:14,839
not not as many good arms in the bullpen. Yesterday

593
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:17,799
we talked about a Yankees team total, and my handicap was, well,

594
00:30:17,839 --> 00:30:19,759
it's probably gonna get there at some point, and that's

595
00:30:19,839 --> 00:30:21,559
kind of exactly what happened. I think it was like

596
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,079
three to nothing and then there was the crooked number

597
00:30:24,599 --> 00:30:27,880
in the in the seventh inning. I believe it was

598
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:30,920
like I think they brought in McDermott or something like that,

599
00:30:31,119 --> 00:30:34,920
Like it's any gave up four runs. That is always

600
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,799
going to be a concern with the Orioles right now.

601
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,079
They just don't have much in the way of like

602
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:45,039
bullpen arms that aren't like a candidate to get blown up.

603
00:30:45,319 --> 00:30:47,359
And then you talk about a lineup like the Yankees,

604
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,160
they will blow up anyone in that Oriols bullpen. So

605
00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:53,480
I think maybe, like going back to a point that

606
00:30:53,599 --> 00:30:55,519
was already made, if you like Rogers and you like

607
00:30:55,599 --> 00:30:57,720
the Orioles, you may want to isolate the first five

608
00:30:58,519 --> 00:31:01,000
because that at least you know that Rogers is going

609
00:31:01,079 --> 00:31:03,759
to give you five, and you're betting on Rogers against

610
00:31:03,799 --> 00:31:06,039
the Yankees, and you're betting on Will Warren. It's not

611
00:31:06,119 --> 00:31:08,039
going to get to the end of the game where

612
00:31:08,559 --> 00:31:10,720
suddenly you have a good bet and then things go

613
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:14,759
off the rails. So I think it would be Orioles

614
00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:18,079
first five for me Yankees full game. I know we've

615
00:31:18,079 --> 00:31:21,400
already kind of made that point. Do I like either, No,

616
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:24,279
So I won't have any action in this game. But

617
00:31:24,599 --> 00:31:28,079
if you were, I could see you making a case

618
00:31:28,119 --> 00:31:30,039
if you're just like, hey, I'm getting the Yankees here

619
00:31:30,119 --> 00:31:32,440
minus one fifteen. They're three games back of the Blue Jays.

620
00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:34,200
Is still have a lot to play for. I love

621
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,480
the way they're swinging the bats. I'm not going to

622
00:31:36,559 --> 00:31:39,160
argue with you. If you're like Rogers is a big

623
00:31:39,359 --> 00:31:41,920
edge over Will Warren. I want to isolate that and

624
00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:44,920
take the Ools first five. Not gonna argue with you either,

625
00:31:45,039 --> 00:31:47,839
So kind of a couple different ways to look at it.

626
00:31:48,319 --> 00:31:50,279
I will be looking at it none of those ways.

627
00:31:50,359 --> 00:31:53,160
So I doubt I helped anyone right there. But hey,

628
00:31:53,559 --> 00:31:56,240
sometimes you got a strong opinion, like the d Backs.

629
00:31:56,359 --> 00:31:58,799
Sometimes you got no opinion, like the other two games.

630
00:31:58,839 --> 00:32:00,880
And yeah, Brian, I think the boys are gonna be

631
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:03,559
out in Scottsdale somewhere today, maybe getting a few. Maybe,

632
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:05,920
maybe they're gonna maybe Harper there, Maybe they're gonna sneak

633
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:07,400
off and golf a little bit or something.

634
00:32:07,599 --> 00:32:09,200
Speaker 3: I don't know. There's a lot to do out there.

635
00:32:09,519 --> 00:32:12,440
It's a good week. And like Chill TV, you've ever

636
00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:14,240
been over to Scottsdale probably right.

637
00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:19,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, Scottsdale, Tempe Mesa, Peoria. Yeah, I've been all over

638
00:32:20,079 --> 00:32:20,759
I'm from here.

639
00:32:21,559 --> 00:32:22,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I was raised. That's what I'm saying.

640
00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:26,599
Speaker 1: It's a it's a perfect place a long season, blow

641
00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:29,400
off some steam, maybe stroll into the ballpark a little

642
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:31,119
bit late and get blown out by the by the

643
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:31,839
home team tonight.

644
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:32,599
Speaker 3: That's all I'm saying.

645
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 2: All Right, here we go, here are awesome. It's a

646
00:32:35,279 --> 00:32:39,519
wonderful city. And uh yeah, shout out to Thunderbird High

647
00:32:39,519 --> 00:32:40,680
School in Phoenix, Arizona.

648
00:32:41,839 --> 00:32:43,440
Speaker 3: Love that, all right?

649
00:32:43,519 --> 00:32:47,160
Speaker 1: Markinson says Mets Nats, two rookie pitchers, Mets hitting nice

650
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:51,079
over here? Uh yeah, I mean this is one that

651
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:54,720
I have a very I have an opinion on, and

652
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:59,440
I like, I saw this matchup and then I saw

653
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,559
the number and Brian Leonard, my gut said, boy, are

654
00:33:02,599 --> 00:33:04,839
they making you pay a tax to bat the Mats here?

655
00:33:05,599 --> 00:33:06,519
Speaker 3: That's my that was my.

656
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:11,200
Speaker 1: Initial thought this matchup, these two pitchers, and yet the

657
00:33:11,279 --> 00:33:13,039
Mets are a two dollars favorite with how they've been

658
00:33:13,039 --> 00:33:13,599
playing right now.

659
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,440
Speaker 3: I know they came through for us yesterday, but that

660
00:33:16,599 --> 00:33:18,400
looks a little bit high. What do you think about

661
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:19,039
Mets Nets?

662
00:33:19,599 --> 00:33:23,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm in agreement. If there was one game, maybe

663
00:33:23,279 --> 00:33:25,640
two games on today's card, that something popped out that

664
00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:30,480
was it is. We've got Alvarez, Lefty gone for Washington's

665
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:33,920
and Brandes Spruger looks so good his major league debut

666
00:33:34,039 --> 00:33:36,079
going for the Mets. You know, the Mets are about him,

667
00:33:36,599 --> 00:33:40,599
you know. Two dollars two oh five favorite here total

668
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:43,160
of eight and a half, slightly to the under. And

669
00:33:43,559 --> 00:33:47,039
when I look at this game, Andrew Alvarez is getting

670
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:52,400
the start for Washington, he said, three starts on the season,

671
00:33:52,880 --> 00:33:55,880
fifteen innings. He's got some really nice numbers, zero point

672
00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:58,200
eight three r A two point four to seven expected.

673
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:02,680
His whip is zero point or is whip a zero

674
00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:04,799
pointing three? Is era is one point one nine excuse me,

675
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:07,880
one point one point five two point four to seven

676
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:10,199
and with a zero point eight three. It's still six

677
00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:12,679
o'clock in the morning in Vegas, and I was out

678
00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:15,960
with the Aces playoff game last night, so let's start

679
00:34:16,039 --> 00:34:18,480
for me. But fastball velocity, No, he's not a guy

680
00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:20,880
who's going to blow you away. He's twenty six years old,

681
00:34:21,079 --> 00:34:24,559
came out of cal Polly. He throws five pitches as

682
00:34:24,599 --> 00:34:28,400
four seemer thirty four percent. He's not a guy who

683
00:34:28,599 --> 00:34:32,679
blows you aways forty one points a ninety one point

684
00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:37,000
four Jesus ninety one point four for semer miles per hour.

685
00:34:37,639 --> 00:34:39,079
But you know, take a look at it. But he's

686
00:34:39,079 --> 00:34:41,280
done so far. His barreler, it's been great, hard hit

687
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:44,719
percentage is great, ground ball pitcher. Those are all things

688
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:48,599
that I like. And he's only averaged five innings. Yeah,

689
00:34:48,679 --> 00:34:50,880
maybe you only did him for five innings, but that

690
00:34:51,039 --> 00:34:54,480
may be enough here against the Mets. Obviously, the Mets

691
00:34:54,559 --> 00:34:56,599
are the team that obviously needs the game a lot more.

692
00:34:56,719 --> 00:34:58,920
But you know, they have not played well under pressure

693
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,960
all season. One sprot so far, two point twenty five

694
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:05,679
era in two starts, three point twenty nine expected, one

695
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:08,719
point h eight whip. Yeah, his numbers looked really good too.

696
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:12,079
He's only got the extension of forty ninth. He's six'.

697
00:35:12,159 --> 00:35:13,480
Three you should have a little bit better than. That

698
00:35:13,599 --> 00:35:15,760
but his whiff rate has been very low so. Far

699
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:19,199
struck out rate nothing. Impressive he throws six different, pitches

700
00:35:19,199 --> 00:35:21,840
which is something that means a lot for a young.

701
00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:25,159
Guy something doesn't. WORK i was opposed to another pitcher

702
00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:27,119
that's on the card. Today he only has three. Pitches,

703
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:30,480
yeah he's got more of a chance to get out

704
00:35:30,519 --> 00:35:33,559
of it and look better in that. Regard but for,

705
00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:37,679
myself how can you lay that number with The. Mets

706
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:39,800
let's let's say it look at the first half, here

707
00:35:41,159 --> 00:35:44,320
because The mets bullpen is. Great so you're looking at

708
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:47,440
the first half of the. Game you could Get alvarez

709
00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:52,119
And washington upwards of plus there's plus one seventies out

710
00:35:52,119 --> 00:35:56,199
there In Las, vegas plus one fifty seven's one sixty

711
00:35:56,239 --> 00:36:00,320
three other, places as opposed to the full game when

712
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:03,280
you're getting you, know one eighty or. So but you

713
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,039
got to deal with The washington bullpen against The New York.

714
00:36:06,159 --> 00:36:08,760
Mets so that's What i'm going to take a look at.

715
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:11,199
Here i'm going to. Play this will be my parley.

716
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:15,159
Piece i'm going to Play washington in the first, half

717
00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:20,039
and let's look at one. Fifty let's go win fifty

718
00:36:20,119 --> 00:36:22,880
five at this. Point so we'll Go washington first half

719
00:36:23,559 --> 00:36:27,760
plus one fifty five against A mets team that continues

720
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:32,480
to struggle despite all the talent on the. Team don't

721
00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:35,559
want The mets bullpen to go against The mets, bullpen

722
00:36:35,599 --> 00:36:38,800
so we're making a first. Five we'll go With washington

723
00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:43,039
at first half plus one fifty five is my parlor.

724
00:36:43,159 --> 00:36:47,480
Speaker 2: PIECE i don't have a good enough read on these,

725
00:36:47,519 --> 00:36:50,760
pictures not a good enough sample, size and NOT i

726
00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:53,679
don't grasp how well these pictures are. Doing So i'm

727
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:59,280
going to first on the hitting and the. BULLPENS i

728
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:03,360
have both of these teams hitting Horribly met's twenty one

729
00:37:03,559 --> 00:37:07,639
And washington twenty two out of, thirty and Bullpens washington

730
00:37:07,679 --> 00:37:10,159
twenty nine out of thirty And met's twenty one out of.

731
00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:11,639
Speaker 3: Thirty so neither.

732
00:37:11,559 --> 00:37:16,119
Speaker 2: Team is playing inspiring baseball right. Now so if you

733
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:19,840
like one of the, starters Take brian Or adam's analysis

734
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:22,039
and go with the better, starter BECAUSE i have both

735
00:37:22,079 --> 00:37:25,239
teams trash as far as bullpen and hitting our. Concern

736
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:29,400
that's that's ALL i can say for this one. THING

737
00:37:30,519 --> 00:37:33,159
a little bit of betting advice is sometimes not betting

738
00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:35,920
something can save you some. Money i'm not betting this.

739
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:41,480
Speaker 3: One jake was, like is the hoodie hinting you are

740
00:37:41,599 --> 00:37:44,840
Backing Air force this? Weekend, NO i slept in this.

741
00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:48,480
Speaker 1: HOODIE i had to get my in law's dog to

742
00:37:48,599 --> 00:37:50,760
doggy daycare this morning because they're like on.

743
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:54,079
Speaker 3: Vacation so, no it has nothing to do with. It

744
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:57,159
it's just WHAT i had. On BUT i have been

745
00:37:57,199 --> 00:37:57,760
To Colorado.

746
00:37:57,800 --> 00:38:01,119
Speaker 1: SPRINGS i did get this at the Air Force academy

747
00:38:01,119 --> 00:38:02,880
a couple of years ago WHEN i went out to

748
00:38:04,159 --> 00:38:06,719
college basketball GAME i. DID i did Air force And

749
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:09,960
Colorado state in the same, Day, brian and THEN i flew.

750
00:38:10,039 --> 00:38:12,800
Home SO i flew out To denver in the, morning

751
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:16,760
drove To Colorado springs for a day, game went To

752
00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:21,440
New Mexico Colorado state at, night drove back to the,

753
00:38:21,559 --> 00:38:23,800
airport slept in the airport for like two, hours and

754
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:25,679
drove back To. Syracuse that was a heck of a,

755
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:27,000
day great day right.

756
00:38:27,079 --> 00:38:30,239
Speaker 4: There never mind it To, Boulder, No i'll.

757
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:31,840
Speaker 3: TRY i will get To boulder at some.

758
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:33,960
Speaker 1: Point but that was like it just kind of worked

759
00:38:33,960 --> 00:38:36,079
out WHERE i could get out two games a one,

760
00:38:36,159 --> 00:38:36,840
day go back.

761
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:41,440
Speaker 3: Home but it was a good. DAY I SO i

762
00:38:41,599 --> 00:38:44,559
very much agree with your. Parlay. LAKE i Like nationals

763
00:38:44,559 --> 00:38:46,599
plus one and a half. Here if you didn't put

764
00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:48,159
The gnats.

765
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:50,039
Speaker 1: In the parlay in that, CAPACITY i probably would have

766
00:38:50,119 --> 00:38:53,079
put the plus one and a half into. Parlay Andrew,

767
00:38:53,119 --> 00:38:57,400
Alvarez Brandon sprote two guys THAT i have watched a

768
00:38:57,480 --> 00:39:01,639
ton At TRIPLE. A i've had them about dead even

769
00:39:01,679 --> 00:39:04,280
in My TRIPLE a. Ratings SO i don't have them

770
00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:07,280
in my Current TRIPLE a ratings anymore because they're no longer.

771
00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:10,159
There but they both got called up within the last

772
00:39:10,199 --> 00:39:12,840
what maybe three four. WEEKS i Think alvarez was a

773
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:16,239
little bit before Sprot prior to them making it. UP

774
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:20,239
i had them almost like WHEN i rank out the

775
00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:22,440
starting pitching In TRIPLE, a which was a, big a

776
00:39:22,559 --> 00:39:26,079
big component of My TRIPLE a. Handicap they were almost

777
00:39:26,119 --> 00:39:29,559
always right next to each. Other AND i will say

778
00:39:29,599 --> 00:39:32,920
this about these two. Guys Andrew alvarez is someone that's

779
00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:35,599
been climbing my rankings from last year to this. Year

780
00:39:35,960 --> 00:39:40,159
Brandon sprote is someone THAT'S i don't think he's got

781
00:39:40,320 --> 00:39:42,559
quite the luster that he had last, year if you.

782
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:42,840
Speaker 2: Know.

783
00:39:43,039 --> 00:39:44,960
Speaker 1: So he's someone THAT i got to watch a ton In.

784
00:39:45,079 --> 00:39:47,519
Syracuse when he came up last, year it was, Like,

785
00:39:47,639 --> 00:39:50,320
oh this is this is kind of the next. Guy

786
00:39:50,519 --> 00:39:53,719
and he's he sort of got passed by Tong Anne

787
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:56,159
McLean over the course of like a. YEAR i think

788
00:39:56,199 --> 00:39:58,400
he could still be pretty. GOOD i just don't think

789
00:39:58,440 --> 00:40:01,039
he's got the upside as the other two AND i

790
00:40:01,119 --> 00:40:03,119
think what the books are doing right now is pricing

791
00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:05,719
him as if he has the upside of the McClain Or,

792
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:07,559
tong WHEN i just don't think that's the.

793
00:40:07,639 --> 00:40:07,880
Speaker 3: Case.

794
00:40:08,159 --> 00:40:11,480
Speaker 1: Now the nice thing about these two, pitchers their Respective

795
00:40:11,519 --> 00:40:13,679
TRIPLE a, Teams syracuse And rochester.

796
00:40:13,480 --> 00:40:14,360
Speaker 3: Play all the.

797
00:40:14,519 --> 00:40:18,239
Speaker 1: Time At TRIPLE, a you have, this you have your

798
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:20,280
kind of, rival and you play them more than you

799
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:23,400
play any other. Team and so For syracuse And rochester's

800
00:40:23,639 --> 00:40:27,599
that's the rival ninety minutes apart THE i Ninety series

801
00:40:27,679 --> 00:40:30,039
they call it or something like. That they play, constantly

802
00:40:30,119 --> 00:40:33,480
and they've had big time exposure to each other at

803
00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:36,239
The TRIPLE a. Level all of that is an equalizer,

804
00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:38,920
here in my, opinion The, nationals they've been better against

805
00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:39,840
right handed pitching all.

806
00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:41,320
Speaker 3: Year they're going to get a right handed.

807
00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 1: PITCHER a lot of These nationals have been At TRIPLE

808
00:40:44,039 --> 00:40:45,800
a most of this year and last. Year they're going

809
00:40:45,880 --> 00:40:48,679
to get a righty that they've seen a ton and

810
00:40:49,119 --> 00:40:51,840
a right handed pitcher That i'm not really sure is

811
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:55,400
belongs in a big league rotation just. Yet he's the

812
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:58,079
one where like if you were to give me, McLain

813
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:01,920
tong and spro and it was, like you, know we'll

814
00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:02,199
play a.

815
00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:04,800
Speaker 3: Game start, one kill, one put one in the.

816
00:41:04,800 --> 00:41:08,320
Speaker 1: BULLPEN i gotta be, Honest i'm killing off Spro i'm

817
00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:10,599
probably gonna start. McClain i'm gonna keep tong in the.

818
00:41:10,639 --> 00:41:13,599
Bullpen i'm gonna kill Off Brandon. Sproke just it's just

819
00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:16,440
WHERE i have those guys right now in my. Ratings

820
00:41:16,679 --> 00:41:18,400
yet the books are kind of telling you they're all

821
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:20,559
equal the way they're pricing these games.

822
00:41:20,599 --> 00:41:23,079
Speaker 3: Out SINCE i disagree with, that it would have to

823
00:41:23,119 --> 00:41:24,079
Be nats plus one and a.

824
00:41:24,119 --> 00:41:26,679
Speaker 1: Half AND i Like BRIAN'S i like the Where brian's

825
00:41:26,719 --> 00:41:29,039
going here with that plus money on the first five

826
00:41:29,599 --> 00:41:29,800
for the.

827
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:34,840
Speaker 3: Parlay well gaming sys trigger fix Your. MIKE i don't,

828
00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:36,239
know this is a pretty good mic right. HERE i

829
00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:36,840
think that might be.

830
00:41:38,559 --> 00:41:41,440
Speaker 4: There's some buzzling right. There, yeah sounded like somebody's.

831
00:41:41,519 --> 00:41:46,360
Speaker 3: SHAVING i don't think that's, fine BUT i Will, YEAH

832
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:48,679
i think it might BE. TVs but, hey he's he.

833
00:41:49,440 --> 00:41:52,920
Speaker 1: Is he is back In, arizona and he woke up

834
00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:55,360
at six am to do this. Show he typically this

835
00:41:55,559 --> 00:41:57,840
is this is usually a nighttime show for, Him so

836
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:03,639
we appreciate on vacation, Essentially still you, know waking up

837
00:42:03,639 --> 00:42:09,079
at six am to do this show. Dedication all, right let's.

838
00:42:09,199 --> 00:42:11,800
Go we got to talk about this. One Brian, leonard

839
00:42:13,199 --> 00:42:17,199
His guardians. DID i was gonna, say did the, unthinkable

840
00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:18,920
but we all kind of like thought that was going to.

841
00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:21,360
HAPPEN i feel like we really sort of gave Out

842
00:42:21,400 --> 00:42:25,119
guardians every day on this. SHOW i did two videos

843
00:42:25,159 --> 00:42:27,960
that gave The guardians out and plus money and.

844
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:28,679
Speaker 3: They pulled off the.

845
00:42:28,760 --> 00:42:31,840
Speaker 1: Suite, brian are you concerned at all that this is

846
00:42:31,840 --> 00:42:33,519
a little bit of a letdown spot for them? Tonight

847
00:42:33,599 --> 00:42:35,960
are you just riding the train with The guardians right?

848
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:37,480
Now Guardians? Twins how are you seeing this?

849
00:42:37,559 --> 00:42:41,239
Speaker 4: One? Yeah it's an interesting game because we've Got, massik the,

850
00:42:41,320 --> 00:42:46,079
lefty going Against, lopez great pitcher that unfortunately had an,

851
00:42:46,639 --> 00:42:48,719
injury but he's been back for a few. Starts now

852
00:42:50,000 --> 00:42:52,119
do we take The cleveland team that's hot with the young,

853
00:42:52,199 --> 00:42:54,760
guy or do you take the team In minnesota that

854
00:42:54,880 --> 00:42:58,320
has the more established starting. Pitcher minnesota right now is

855
00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:01,480
about a one ten favorite team favorite total of eight

856
00:43:01,599 --> 00:43:06,320
to the. Under you, know when you when you watch these,

857
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:10,960
games especially, NOW i watched as many games as. Possible

858
00:43:11,239 --> 00:43:14,159
some teams have clearly given up on the. Season i've

859
00:43:14,199 --> 00:43:17,239
been Watching colorado. Lately they have shown no effort at

860
00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:19,440
all in their. Games they can't wait for the, season

861
00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:23,119
And pittsburgh's playing as if they can't wait for the

862
00:43:23,159 --> 00:43:27,159
season to. End but you want to back these, Teams

863
00:43:27,199 --> 00:43:30,280
they're still give you a little bit of. Energy i'm

864
00:43:30,320 --> 00:43:36,960
not Sure minnesota Has minnesota has. HAD i think that

865
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:39,519
coaching change needs to happened To. MINNESOTA i just don't

866
00:43:39,519 --> 00:43:41,840
think they've got the management to do. It they, don't

867
00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:43,800
they don't have the money to do. It they've traded

868
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:47,079
away As brett as A tv with say forty of

869
00:43:47,159 --> 00:43:50,639
their pitching staff and the at the trade. Deadline but

870
00:43:50,719 --> 00:43:56,840
we're Getting cleveland here at a pretty decent. Price this

871
00:43:56,920 --> 00:43:58,400
is a team that continues to go out and. Play

872
00:43:58,559 --> 00:44:01,440
you Could they're doing the little things that need to be,

873
00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:03,599
done and they have. To they don't have as much

874
00:44:03,679 --> 00:44:06,239
power on that. Team they don't have a talent as

875
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:08,679
these other teams. Do but they've got to be able

876
00:44:08,719 --> 00:44:12,599
to play good, ball and defensively they seem to always do,

877
00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:16,360
that but they run the base as. Well it's a

878
00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:19,360
good baseball, team and they've gotten more out of their

879
00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:23,599
talent than anybody would. Expect parka messeg three And aino

880
00:44:23,599 --> 00:44:26,039
in the season one point, four three point one to

881
00:44:26,079 --> 00:44:28,760
three expected one point three to, three whip a little

882
00:44:28,840 --> 00:44:33,320
high fastball velocity only in the twentieth. Percentile doesn't get

883
00:44:33,320 --> 00:44:35,559
a lot Of chase doesn't get a lot of whiffs or,

884
00:44:35,679 --> 00:44:39,880
strikeouts which is. Fine it throws five different. Pitches its

885
00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:42,239
forts seem er thirty eight percent of the, time so

886
00:44:42,599 --> 00:44:44,280
everything he throws at least ten percent of the. Time

887
00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:48,039
you gotta like. That being a lefty also. Helps As

888
00:44:48,079 --> 00:44:51,320
i've said, before love playing. Lefties when they come into

889
00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:53,199
the league and you see the same thing out of

890
00:44:53,199 --> 00:44:57,840
the game THAT i just used in their previous, handicap

891
00:44:58,400 --> 00:45:00,960
the lefties got to like. That but he's been very

892
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:03,519
good to walk, rate barrel, rate hard hit, rate ground ball,

893
00:45:03,599 --> 00:45:06,840
rate all been. Excellent still small sample size at twenty

894
00:45:06,960 --> 00:45:10,360
nine point one. Innings Pablo lopez just one of those

895
00:45:10,400 --> 00:45:14,039
guys that has just been a. Warrior he used TO

896
00:45:14,239 --> 00:45:17,199
i would watch a lot of preseason information For chasing

897
00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:19,800
games and they and he was the big leader in

898
00:45:19,880 --> 00:45:23,360
the clubhouse For. Minnesota so to get him BACK i

899
00:45:23,440 --> 00:45:26,400
think really helps. Them he's been back for a little while.

900
00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:29,440
Now two point sixty FOUR, era three point seventy nine

901
00:45:29,480 --> 00:45:32,760
expected one point one oh. Whip he is a flatball.

902
00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:35,760
Pitcher he's only the thirtieth percentile of the ground ball,

903
00:45:35,840 --> 00:45:39,320
rate but everything else is league, averager better extension ninety third,

904
00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:43,719
percentile our hit rate eighty, eighth chase rate. Ninetieth throws

905
00:45:43,760 --> 00:45:46,360
five different pitches the four seamer forty one percent of the.

906
00:45:46,400 --> 00:45:50,559
Time two GUYS i really like from a pitching. Standpoint

907
00:45:50,599 --> 00:45:55,920
here from a hitting, Standpoint cleveland is getting timely. HITTING

908
00:45:56,679 --> 00:45:58,559
i still don't think they're a very good hitting Team.

909
00:45:59,559 --> 00:46:03,960
Minnesota they've had a hard time getting everybody together all

910
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:06,199
season long with a lot of their. Injuries IF i

911
00:46:06,280 --> 00:46:09,119
play this, Game i'm maybe looking at the Under granted

912
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:11,880
it is. Eight in, fact i've seen some seven and

913
00:46:11,920 --> 00:46:13,800
a half to the overs out there right, now BUT

914
00:46:14,519 --> 00:46:15,920
i think this is going to be one of those

915
00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:19,239
grind amount games For. Cleveland they probably get the, win

916
00:46:19,440 --> 00:46:22,039
find a way to get the. Win but that bullpen,

917
00:46:22,679 --> 00:46:25,159
is AS i mentioned the last few, days is really

918
00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:28,679
racked up that They've they've had to use guys that

919
00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:30,559
really shouldn't have to, use and they got away with

920
00:46:30,639 --> 00:46:34,039
it Against. Detroit they got to they got to get

921
00:46:34,079 --> 00:46:36,119
some extended endings out of some of the lesser guys

922
00:46:36,159 --> 00:46:39,440
in that. Bullpen so we'll see how that. Goes kind

923
00:46:39,480 --> 00:46:42,119
of like the under, here kind of Like. CLEVELAND i

924
00:46:42,239 --> 00:46:43,519
don't know If i'll get there for either.

925
00:46:43,599 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 2: Side so the buzzing culprit is. ME i just muted

926
00:46:49,119 --> 00:46:51,519
and someone said there was no more. Buzzing SO i

927
00:46:51,599 --> 00:46:55,519
have a. Laptop, YEAH i have my laptop on two,

928
00:46:55,639 --> 00:47:00,679
pillows so that could be the reason that's. Happening, NORMALLY

929
00:47:00,760 --> 00:47:02,639
i pay a lot of attention to my. SOUND i

930
00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:04,880
use a filter and all this, stuff so When i'm

931
00:47:04,920 --> 00:47:08,079
back In, JAPAN i will sound much. Better as for this,

932
00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:12,599
ONE i backed The tigers the other day And cleveland

933
00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:15,360
just knocked him. AROUND i was Expecting cleveland's bullpen to look,

934
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:18,199
bad but they actually look. Good my numbers like them

935
00:47:18,199 --> 00:47:22,480
a lot. Too thinking a look at the match, up

936
00:47:22,679 --> 00:47:25,800
my numbers Like massic a lot. TOO i know the

937
00:47:25,880 --> 00:47:31,000
sample size is fairly, small but with the better, bullpen solid.

938
00:47:31,079 --> 00:47:36,039
Starter look At Pablo lopez's numbers against these guys in his.

939
00:47:36,199 --> 00:47:38,760
Career he's got a three to eight average against versus

940
00:47:38,880 --> 00:47:41,800
these batters in seventy eight at. Bats that tells Me

941
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:44,880
cleveland has a possibility to put a couple of runs

942
00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:49,920
On Pablo lopez. HERE i would Lean cleveland, here But

943
00:47:50,239 --> 00:47:52,360
i'm not going to Get i'm not going to get.

944
00:47:52,360 --> 00:47:55,800
There but if, ANYTHING i certainly Think cleveland has a

945
00:47:55,880 --> 00:47:59,039
decent shot of winning this. GAME i don't think it

946
00:47:59,159 --> 00:48:02,960
really matters that one team was off and one team played.

947
00:48:03,039 --> 00:48:06,400
YESTERDAY i think playing yesterday might actually be an advantage

948
00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:08,440
because you're still in the groove of. Things SO.

949
00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:12,559
Speaker 4: I was gonna make one comment about.

950
00:48:12,559 --> 00:48:13,400
Speaker 2: THAT i.

951
00:48:13,559 --> 00:48:16,960
Speaker 4: Agree first, off they only travel From cleveland To. Minneapolis,

952
00:48:17,199 --> 00:48:21,039
minneapolis so it's not long of a. Flight, Also cleveland's

953
00:48:21,039 --> 00:48:23,480
been fully focused on the playoffs for this. LONG i

954
00:48:23,559 --> 00:48:28,719
can't see a letdown. Coming and, yeah if having the

955
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:30,719
day off does make a, difference no doubt about. It

956
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:34,559
but to The twins really concentrated on baseball activities the

957
00:48:34,599 --> 00:48:36,159
other day, Off, no they've been out the playoffs for

958
00:48:36,199 --> 00:48:38,960
a long. Time if it was a winning, TEAM i

959
00:48:39,039 --> 00:48:41,519
could see. That but it's a good point By memphis.

960
00:48:41,599 --> 00:48:43,159
Money but in this, GAME i don't think it's gonna.

961
00:48:43,199 --> 00:48:48,519
Speaker 1: Matter, Yeah so yesterday we talked about the game AND I,

962
00:48:48,639 --> 00:48:51,320
ACTUALLY i got my days confused a little. Bit The

963
00:48:52,519 --> 00:48:55,360
means And peterson had pitched On, sunday so they were

964
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:57,079
never candidates to get called up to pitch.

965
00:48:57,159 --> 00:48:59,519
Speaker 3: Yesterday it would have not been on their normal. REST

966
00:48:59,599 --> 00:48:59,880
i got that.

967
00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:01,920
Speaker 1: CONFUSED i thought they had Pitched. Saturday the REASON i

968
00:49:02,039 --> 00:49:04,280
bring that up IS i caught a little bit of

969
00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:08,920
The columbus game Yesterday TRIPLE, a and they they Announced

970
00:49:09,280 --> 00:49:12,559
peterson as their starter for today And means as their

971
00:49:12,599 --> 00:49:15,199
starter for. Tomorrow, now A TRIPLE a team announcing their

972
00:49:15,239 --> 00:49:18,360
starters is very irrelevant to the big league team because

973
00:49:18,360 --> 00:49:20,920
if the big league team wants, them they just grab

974
00:49:21,000 --> 00:49:23,320
them and say go throw someone else out, there because

975
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:26,880
it's just it's, me it's it doesn't mean anything At TRIPLE.

976
00:49:26,960 --> 00:49:30,679
A so it Is Austin peterson's day to, pitch, Okay,

977
00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:31,159
like AND.

978
00:49:32,679 --> 00:49:33,239
Speaker 3: I think he's.

979
00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:37,199
Speaker 1: READY i mean he is absolutely ready enough where you

980
00:49:37,320 --> 00:49:41,000
could go and, say, hey it's, time you're gonna Be

981
00:49:41,119 --> 00:49:43,280
you're gonna make your big league. Debut we're gonna put

982
00:49:43,320 --> 00:49:46,159
you Behind Parker. Messick and the reason that that is very,

983
00:49:46,239 --> 00:49:49,400
intriguing and ALSO i think still on the table for

984
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:53,000
The guardians here is messic is a. Lefty PETERSON i

985
00:49:53,119 --> 00:49:55,440
believe is a, righty and it would be like a

986
00:49:55,559 --> 00:49:59,239
totally different. Look peterson's sort of started to take a step.

987
00:49:59,320 --> 00:50:03,559
FORWARD i you, know he's in my, opinion most other

988
00:50:03,679 --> 00:50:06,840
organizations would have done that. ALREADY i feel, like so

989
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:09,679
they're kind of taking their time With peterson for whatever.

990
00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:10,679
Speaker 3: Reason that's and that's.

991
00:50:10,719 --> 00:50:13,280
Speaker 1: FINE i, LIKE i like when, organizations you, know give

992
00:50:13,360 --> 00:50:17,079
these guys like ample opportunity to to you, know sort

993
00:50:17,119 --> 00:50:19,840
of develop at the TRIPLE a. Level but just to

994
00:50:19,960 --> 00:50:22,039
go back, to like right, now The guardians in their,

995
00:50:22,079 --> 00:50:25,360
BULLPEN i think it would be an interesting time to do.

996
00:50:25,440 --> 00:50:28,280
It you've got you, know you'd have messic you could

997
00:50:28,280 --> 00:50:31,639
basically Go peterson in long relief and then not have

998
00:50:31,760 --> 00:50:34,239
to worry about a bullpen arm until the very very

999
00:50:34,480 --> 00:50:37,639
leverage spot late in the. Game who knows by that

1000
00:50:37,800 --> 00:50:41,199
point could be a. Blowout it's still The. Twins this team,

1001
00:50:41,280 --> 00:50:43,960
is As brian, said has really not been playing meaningful

1002
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:46,840
baseball for a couple of. Months and the later innings

1003
00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:48,599
for The twins are a. Mess they have they have

1004
00:50:48,719 --> 00:50:51,199
no bullpen. Arms they're traded every bullpen arm of note.

1005
00:50:51,320 --> 00:50:53,960
Away so, yeah you get a guy that comes in

1006
00:50:54,119 --> 00:50:57,119
late and maybe can throw an inning or. Two that's,

1007
00:50:57,199 --> 00:50:59,960
good but it's not. Consistent they don't have a consistently

1008
00:51:00,159 --> 00:51:03,280
good reliever on the, roster so that's Something i'll have

1009
00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:03,719
my eye.

1010
00:51:03,760 --> 00:51:04,920
Speaker 3: ON i think that they are.

1011
00:51:04,880 --> 00:51:07,440
Speaker 1: Going to Leave means at The TRIPLE a level because

1012
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:08,559
he's still coming back from.

1013
00:51:08,599 --> 00:51:10,519
Speaker 3: Injury expect him back next, week.

1014
00:51:10,559 --> 00:51:13,800
Speaker 1: Though they're gonna Let means pitch On, saturday AND i

1015
00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:17,639
guarantee you he's the if the Guard i'm, sorry there's

1016
00:51:17,679 --> 00:51:19,960
still a week, left so he's gonna Pitch saturday For.

1017
00:51:20,039 --> 00:51:22,920
Columbus he'll be back for The guardians next week at some,

1018
00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:25,559
point probably a lefty out of the. Bullpen i'll have

1019
00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:27,800
my eye on if they call Out Boston peterson BECAUSE

1020
00:51:27,800 --> 00:51:30,199
i know they would put him Behind messick and just

1021
00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:32,559
to make the overall, point, NO i wouldn't go with

1022
00:51:32,639 --> 00:51:35,039
The twins. HERE i have no desire to bet against

1023
00:51:35,079 --> 00:51:38,039
This guardians team team right, now who's won seven straight.

1024
00:51:38,079 --> 00:51:40,000
Games they have all the momentum in the. World they

1025
00:51:40,000 --> 00:51:41,440
are a game and a half out of a playoff,

1026
00:51:41,440 --> 00:51:44,000
spot and they know they see the finish. Line so

1027
00:51:44,119 --> 00:51:45,599
there's this is kind of like WHAT i was talking

1028
00:51:45,599 --> 00:51:48,800
about with The diamondbacks earlier this, Week guys Like Andrew

1029
00:51:48,880 --> 00:51:51,440
South playing going out there with a sore shoulder and

1030
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:54,440
getting three outs like the season is over next. Week

1031
00:51:55,280 --> 00:51:58,960
they have something to play for right. Now it's, Coach i'm.

1032
00:51:59,000 --> 00:52:00,960
Ready i'll give you EVERY i have because IF i,

1033
00:52:01,039 --> 00:52:04,920
don't our season's. Over that's Why arizona's going to a

1034
00:52:05,000 --> 00:52:08,519
form and. Rotation that's why teams like The, guardians you

1035
00:52:08,559 --> 00:52:10,679
don't have to worry about their bullpen because these guys

1036
00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:14,000
are unless they physically cannot do, it and they most

1037
00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:16,719
pitchers at the big league level know their body's good

1038
00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:19,639
enough to go to their manager and SAY i physically

1039
00:52:19,719 --> 00:52:23,559
can't do, It they're gonna go and it's just gonna

1040
00:52:23,559 --> 00:52:25,960
be like empty the. Tank and so for that, REASON

1041
00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:28,519
i would not worry at all About guardians bullpen usage

1042
00:52:28,800 --> 00:52:31,559
or anything like. THAT i think you're seeing them come

1043
00:52:31,599 --> 00:52:34,480
together and it would Be guardians or pass here for,

1044
00:52:34,559 --> 00:52:35,960
Me i'll throw one other thing out.

1045
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:36,880
Speaker 3: There i'm just gonna throw.

1046
00:52:36,800 --> 00:52:39,440
Speaker 1: Gbacks in the parlay because that was kind of WHERE

1047
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:43,880
i was gonna go, earlier and for, that for kind

1048
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:46,880
of the same, REASON i Think lavello has sort of

1049
00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:51,039
got them together and it's like we're all out right,

1050
00:52:51,079 --> 00:52:53,000
now we're gonna give our best. Effort AND i just

1051
00:52:53,079 --> 00:52:56,519
can't say that about The phillies right, now who are

1052
00:52:56,599 --> 00:52:58,159
kind of on the road with not much to play.

1053
00:52:58,239 --> 00:52:59,280
Speaker 3: For so that's my.

1054
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:02,280
Speaker 1: Parlay and now with five minutes left from the, Show

1055
00:53:02,320 --> 00:53:04,679
i'm gonna throw it over To Tokyo, brandon see if

1056
00:53:04,719 --> 00:53:06,440
you can close out another three team for us.

1057
00:53:06,519 --> 00:53:09,320
Speaker 2: HERE i was just gonna, ask CAN i do the next?

1058
00:53:09,400 --> 00:53:12,000
Game because this is gonna be my. Parlay LEG i

1059
00:53:12,079 --> 00:53:15,360
am going to take The padres today over The White,

1060
00:53:15,440 --> 00:53:19,119
sox AND i will tell you. WHY i had The

1061
00:53:19,199 --> 00:53:24,199
padres yesterday very, disappointed how they, played perfect time for

1062
00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:27,519
them to bounce, back perfect team to bounce back. Against

1063
00:53:29,119 --> 00:53:31,719
Dylan sees is not a. GUY i, mean he's been

1064
00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:34,239
a little bit. INCONSISTENT i backed him a few. Times

1065
00:53:34,280 --> 00:53:36,840
he's disappointed me a few, times but the season's. Long

1066
00:53:37,199 --> 00:53:39,960
he's still a talented picture and my rankings have him

1067
00:53:40,039 --> 00:53:42,480
ranked twelve on a curb but thirty out of all starting,

1068
00:53:42,559 --> 00:53:44,960
pitchers SO i have him in the top one third

1069
00:53:45,000 --> 00:53:47,760
of all starting, pitchers WHERE i Have Davis martin ranked twenty.

1070
00:53:47,840 --> 00:53:53,639
Six Bullpen, Wise San diego still has a better bullpen ranked,

1071
00:53:53,719 --> 00:53:58,760
Three White sox ranked sixteen current form and hitting padres

1072
00:53:58,920 --> 00:54:03,039
kind of mediocre above mediocre ranked, thirteen AND i got

1073
00:54:03,079 --> 00:54:07,079
The White sox ranked twenty three and hittings so, OVERALL

1074
00:54:08,119 --> 00:54:10,679
i mean it's a good enough discrepancy to take them

1075
00:54:10,719 --> 00:54:13,840
on the. Side cease is a good enough picture to

1076
00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:16,400
back here in this, situation and The padres really need to.

1077
00:54:16,480 --> 00:54:23,199
Win they got really spanked yesterday pretty. BADLY i was quite.

1078
00:54:23,280 --> 00:54:27,360
Surprised But Randy, vasquez we all know he's not a great.

1079
00:54:27,440 --> 00:54:31,280
Picture he's very, lucky and yesterday his luck ran. Out

1080
00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:34,519
he got smacked around pretty. GOOD i don't Think Dylan

1081
00:54:34,559 --> 00:54:37,000
c's is gonna get smacked around. Here if The padres

1082
00:54:37,039 --> 00:54:39,719
can keep this a tight game going after the fifth,

1083
00:54:39,760 --> 00:54:42,599
inning their bullpens should be good enough to close this.

1084
00:54:42,679 --> 00:54:46,639
Out they're just too. TALENTED i like The padres. HERE

1085
00:54:46,639 --> 00:54:49,159
i think it's minus one ninety good enough for a parlay.

1086
00:54:49,199 --> 00:54:51,000
Piece Because brian's is plus, money.

1087
00:54:51,559 --> 00:54:54,079
Speaker 4: You're actually getting minus one, eighty so it's even better.

1088
00:54:54,519 --> 00:54:58,480
Speaker 2: Sure for a parlay Leg i'll do. That, YEAH i

1089
00:54:58,679 --> 00:54:59,360
like The padres.

1090
00:54:59,400 --> 00:55:03,960
Speaker 3: Here, brian anything for you on this, One, Yeah dylan.

1091
00:55:04,079 --> 00:55:05,679
Speaker 4: SEES i don't. KNOW i don't know IF i trust

1092
00:55:05,760 --> 00:55:08,639
him four point five ninety or eight three point four

1093
00:55:08,719 --> 00:55:12,599
eight expected great strikeout numbers one point three to two.

1094
00:55:12,639 --> 00:55:16,400
Whip if you take a look at the last three

1095
00:55:16,519 --> 00:55:19,320
Years i've talked about these guys being able to beat

1096
00:55:19,360 --> 00:55:23,400
their expected. Numbers this year he's one point one runs.

1097
00:55:23,480 --> 00:55:26,880
Higher last, year he was about point two runs. Higher

1098
00:55:26,880 --> 00:55:30,000
in the year before about point five runs. Higher so

1099
00:55:30,199 --> 00:55:32,960
he is just his numbers look. Great you take a

1100
00:55:33,000 --> 00:55:36,039
look at his way for eight ninety fifth percent hel strikeout, right,

1101
00:55:36,159 --> 00:55:39,519
ninetieth chase rate eight those are all, great but it's

1102
00:55:39,719 --> 00:55:44,280
walk rate twenty, first ground ball rate twenty. First he

1103
00:55:44,480 --> 00:55:46,400
gives up home runs and he can put people on.

1104
00:55:46,559 --> 00:55:49,800
Base that's my only. Concern he's basically a two pitch.

1105
00:55:49,880 --> 00:55:52,880
Pitcher he's got he's got six pitches that he, uses

1106
00:55:53,559 --> 00:55:55,760
but he throws his slider forty two percent and his

1107
00:55:55,840 --> 00:56:01,159
fourth forty one. Percent that's basically. It and, yeah, yeah

1108
00:56:01,320 --> 00:56:05,119
they're pretty. Good strike is uh seems ninety seven point

1109
00:56:05,159 --> 00:56:07,159
one miles an, hour which, is you, know two miles

1110
00:56:07,159 --> 00:56:09,719
an hour better than the, average and his sliders two

1111
00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:13,400
and a half better than the. Average but there's there's.

1112
00:56:13,440 --> 00:56:17,559
Something i've been a big fan of. His something's going.

1113
00:56:17,599 --> 00:56:19,360
ON i think it changes senior in the off, season

1114
00:56:19,440 --> 00:56:22,119
may help him because he just has not pitched as

1115
00:56:22,159 --> 00:56:25,039
well In San. Diego is what we all thought he would.

1116
00:56:25,039 --> 00:56:28,519
Be Davis martin four point zero, ONE era five point

1117
00:56:28,559 --> 00:56:31,320
three five expected at one point two eight. Whip just

1118
00:56:31,360 --> 00:56:33,079
about everything he does is in the. Blue if you

1119
00:56:33,119 --> 00:56:34,840
look at The sasquaz page is the best thing he

1120
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:37,679
does is sixty four percentile of the ground ball, rate

1121
00:56:38,440 --> 00:56:41,239
throws six different, pitches and he doesn't throw the fourth

1122
00:56:41,280 --> 00:56:47,360
seamer over overwhelmingly more thirty, two change twenty, four cut

1123
00:56:47,400 --> 00:56:50,519
her twenty. Three SO i like the pitch repertoire For,

1124
00:56:50,679 --> 00:56:55,199
martin but from a talent, standpoint it's Definitely San. Diego

1125
00:56:56,119 --> 00:56:58,920
and they're three games behind The dodgers right. Now, yes

1126
00:56:59,000 --> 00:57:01,199
they need they they would like to. Win it's not

1127
00:57:01,320 --> 00:57:06,039
a neat. Situation they're going to the playoffs. Regardless but

1128
00:57:07,360 --> 00:57:09,440
there's if you take a look at the teams right,

1129
00:57:09,519 --> 00:57:12,880
now the young teams that are seem to be giving

1130
00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:15,440
up The White sox for one of. Them The White

1131
00:57:15,440 --> 00:57:18,519
sox are three and seven their last ten lost six

1132
00:57:18,599 --> 00:57:22,119
in a. Row The angels two and, eight lost seven

1133
00:57:22,199 --> 00:57:25,039
in a. Row we're looking At pittsburgh won in, nine

1134
00:57:25,119 --> 00:57:27,000
lost four in a. Row In colorado won in, nine

1135
00:57:27,079 --> 00:57:29,079
lost five in a. Row these are teams that have

1136
00:57:29,119 --> 00:57:31,119
been out of it for quite some, time AND i

1137
00:57:31,159 --> 00:57:34,840
don't trust. Them that may be the situation with The

1138
00:57:34,880 --> 00:57:38,199
White sox at this. Point, yeah they brought up the younger,

1139
00:57:38,239 --> 00:57:41,039
guys so they're getting guys with the, chance but they're

1140
00:57:41,079 --> 00:57:44,559
not playing. Well And San diego from a town, standpoint

1141
00:57:44,880 --> 00:57:47,760
should easily win this. Game BUT i. DON'T i somewhat

1142
00:57:47,880 --> 00:57:51,360
just don't Trust. Cease maybe that's what it. Is But

1143
00:57:51,679 --> 00:57:53,840
i'm rooting for him in the parlay because it'd be

1144
00:57:53,840 --> 00:57:54,760
great to get another part of the.

1145
00:57:54,840 --> 00:57:57,719
Speaker 3: Win, yeah He's Davis.

1146
00:57:57,800 --> 00:58:01,760
Speaker 2: Martin do you Trust Davis?

1147
00:58:01,840 --> 00:58:07,320
Speaker 4: Martin is the? Question, no San diego is probably gonna,

1148
00:58:07,320 --> 00:58:10,119
Win But i'm just Saying I'm i'm a little worried

1149
00:58:10,119 --> 00:58:11,599
about cething something's going on.

1150
00:58:11,719 --> 00:58:13,239
Speaker 2: There YEAH i am, Too but.

1151
00:58:14,880 --> 00:58:17,480
Speaker 1: YEAH i MEAN i WOULD i would agree WITH i

1152
00:58:17,519 --> 00:58:20,199
would agree with both of. You LIKE i don't Trust,

1153
00:58:20,519 --> 00:58:24,480
CEASE i don't Like. Martin this actually has The this

1154
00:58:24,639 --> 00:58:28,320
actually has the biggest edge for me of any total.

1155
00:58:28,079 --> 00:58:30,239
Speaker 3: On the, Day like what? What what is this over?

1156
00:58:30,360 --> 00:58:31,320
Eight like?

1157
00:58:31,440 --> 00:58:34,280
Speaker 1: That that implies, that like these two are like frontline

1158
00:58:34,320 --> 00:58:36,760
pitchers right, now AND i don't see. THAT i, mean

1159
00:58:36,960 --> 00:58:40,960
Certainly Davis martin is not and right, Now like, Yes

1160
00:58:41,079 --> 00:58:43,119
cease has been at points in his, career but he

1161
00:58:43,199 --> 00:58:45,559
isn't right. Now so so where do we get off

1162
00:58:45,639 --> 00:58:46,960
having an over eight on this?

1163
00:58:47,119 --> 00:58:47,440
Speaker 3: Game like?

1164
00:58:47,559 --> 00:58:51,360
Speaker 1: That is that to me is off by at least a. Run,

1165
00:58:51,760 --> 00:58:54,199
Again i'm NOT i don't consider myself a great totals.

1166
00:58:54,239 --> 00:58:57,159
HANDICAPPER i, RARELY i don't really don't ever play them

1167
00:58:57,199 --> 00:59:00,199
as client. Plays but that has a considerable edge for

1168
00:59:00,280 --> 00:59:03,280
me on the. Number i've got this closer To i've got,

1169
00:59:03,360 --> 00:59:06,480
this LIKE i have to pull my numbers. UP i

1170
00:59:06,519 --> 00:59:09,760
think like nine point, one so like on the other

1171
00:59:09,920 --> 00:59:12,000
side of. Nine so the fact that you can still

1172
00:59:12,039 --> 00:59:14,519
get a juiced, eight like at eight minus one fifteen

1173
00:59:14,599 --> 00:59:16,800
or eight minus one, TWENTY i think it's a pretty

1174
00:59:16,800 --> 00:59:18,840
good bet on the on the. Total AND i think

1175
00:59:19,119 --> 00:59:20,960
it Go it speaks to kind of what both of

1176
00:59:21,000 --> 00:59:23,719
you guys are talking. About padre should get To Martin

1177
00:59:23,960 --> 00:59:27,199
White sox should get something off Of cease not gonna

1178
00:59:27,199 --> 00:59:29,239
take much to get to eight, run SO i like.

1179
00:59:29,280 --> 00:59:29,760
Speaker 3: The over in.

1180
00:59:29,840 --> 00:59:30,320
Speaker 2: That one.

1181
00:59:31,920 --> 00:59:32,880
Speaker 4: Couldn't argue with that at.

1182
00:59:32,880 --> 00:59:36,519
Speaker 3: All, brian what DO i have for A dbax money?

1183
00:59:36,559 --> 00:59:37,400
Line it's the only ONE i.

1184
00:59:37,440 --> 00:59:41,199
Speaker 4: Didn't Just i'll get you at minus one twenty.

1185
00:59:42,400 --> 00:59:44,960
Speaker 1: All, right that means we have the parlay at plus

1186
00:59:45,239 --> 00:59:48,199
six twenty. SEVEN i mean that would that would if

1187
00:59:48,239 --> 00:59:50,800
we can hit a third parlay this week at plus

1188
00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:54,840
six twenty, seven we pretty much guarantee, ourselves, say a winning,

1189
00:59:55,360 --> 00:59:57,159
year even if we, start even if we're doing the

1190
00:59:57,199 --> 00:59:57,519
still in the.

1191
00:59:57,559 --> 00:59:59,199
Speaker 3: Playoffs so let's.

1192
00:59:59,000 --> 01:00:02,519
Speaker 2: See it in the com people in the comments complaining

1193
01:00:02,679 --> 01:00:06,079
that my minus one ninety is killing the parlay. Odds

1194
01:00:06,400 --> 01:00:10,480
but obviously you don't do sports betting very often because

1195
01:00:11,079 --> 01:00:14,599
to win three legs of plus money would be nearly. Impossible.

1196
01:00:14,800 --> 01:00:18,360
Speaker 1: YEAH i mean you could even argue, that Like brian

1197
01:00:18,400 --> 01:00:21,280
could easily go And NAT's plus a half if you wanted,

1198
01:00:21,360 --> 01:00:22,119
To BUT i.

1199
01:00:22,360 --> 01:00:24,280
Speaker 3: DON'T i don't mind him juicing up the odds with

1200
01:00:24,360 --> 01:00:24,679
the money.

1201
01:00:24,719 --> 01:00:27,880
Speaker 1: LINE i think it's for as far as like a numerical,

1202
01:00:28,000 --> 01:00:30,039
edge probably a bigger edge on the money line there

1203
01:00:30,239 --> 01:00:33,800
anyway at that. Price so, yeah typically if you're gonna

1204
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:35,960
do a three team. Er the WAY i always look

1205
01:00:35,960 --> 01:00:37,960
at it is you give your you, know because you're

1206
01:00:38,000 --> 01:00:40,440
parlaying it together to get plus, money you kind of

1207
01:00:40,880 --> 01:00:42,639
it's a good spot to give yourself a little bit

1208
01:00:42,639 --> 01:00:45,239
of an extra. Chance, so, LIKE i agree with you

1209
01:00:45,360 --> 01:00:47,719
going that WAY, tv as opposed to like laying the

1210
01:00:47,800 --> 01:00:50,320
run in. Half it's a, parlay why not just give

1211
01:00:50,320 --> 01:00:53,039
yourself a better chance to? Win go, Ahead, BRIAN i.

1212
01:00:53,079 --> 01:00:55,800
Speaker 4: Look at parlays. Differently i'm a numbers. Guy if it's

1213
01:00:55,840 --> 01:00:58,039
a bad bet, straight it's a bad bet in the.

1214
01:00:58,119 --> 01:01:01,719
Parlor that's the Way i've always treated. It you're still

1215
01:01:01,800 --> 01:01:04,760
laying the same number regardless it's true what the other

1216
01:01:05,039 --> 01:01:07,280
other legs. Are so if you're not willing to play it,

1217
01:01:07,320 --> 01:01:09,480
straight you shouldn't put it in a. Parlay that's just my.

1218
01:01:09,599 --> 01:01:12,760
Opinion i'm not a parlay, player BUT i don't know

1219
01:01:12,840 --> 01:01:16,400
anybody that does that kind of, thing that makes bets

1220
01:01:16,480 --> 01:01:18,119
for a living out here In, vegas that does.

1221
01:01:18,000 --> 01:01:18,280
Speaker 2: That kind of.

1222
01:01:18,320 --> 01:01:21,119
Speaker 1: Thing, yeah AND i don't THINK tv wouldn't be willing

1223
01:01:21,199 --> 01:01:23,079
to play the padres straight. HERE i just think that

1224
01:01:23,199 --> 01:01:25,599
maybe if he played it, straight he'd look at like minus.

1225
01:01:25,679 --> 01:01:28,239
One but, like why you don't get the right price

1226
01:01:28,280 --> 01:01:30,280
out of minus one, Anyway so why not just put

1227
01:01:30,320 --> 01:01:30,960
the money line in the.

1228
01:01:31,000 --> 01:01:32,960
Speaker 3: PARLAY i think it's kind of what he's sort of

1229
01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:33,440
getting at.

1230
01:01:33,519 --> 01:01:33,639
Speaker 2: Here.

1231
01:01:36,480 --> 01:01:38,039
Speaker 3: Anyway that makes our three.

1232
01:01:38,119 --> 01:01:42,239
Speaker 1: Teamer we've Got Tokyo brandon on The, Padres we've got Myself,

1233
01:01:42,440 --> 01:01:47,599
diamondbacks and Then Brian leonard first Five nationals plus one fifty,

1234
01:01:47,639 --> 01:01:51,159
five so that The nats first five money, line A

1235
01:01:51,280 --> 01:01:54,440
diamondbacks full game money, line and A padres full game money,

1236
01:01:54,519 --> 01:01:57,599
line and that comes to plus six twenty. Seven we've

1237
01:01:57,639 --> 01:02:00,239
already hit two parlays on the. Week can we make get?

1238
01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:02,119
Three DON'T i don't know if we had a week

1239
01:02:02,159 --> 01:02:04,000
where he hit we hit three, yet so that would

1240
01:02:04,039 --> 01:02:04,239
be A.

1241
01:02:04,360 --> 01:02:07,880
Speaker 4: U first week really. GOOD i don't think we hit

1242
01:02:07,920 --> 01:02:08,440
three that first.

1243
01:02:08,480 --> 01:02:11,840
Speaker 1: Week, no first, WEEK i think WE i think we

1244
01:02:12,000 --> 01:02:13,960
might hit, two and then we hit one early in

1245
01:02:14,000 --> 01:02:16,239
the following. Week that's about as close as we've got

1246
01:02:16,360 --> 01:02:18,599
to like. Three in this close.

1247
01:02:18,920 --> 01:02:20,119
Speaker 3: ONE i think we were.

1248
01:02:20,119 --> 01:02:20,920
Speaker 4: Plus at one.

1249
01:02:20,960 --> 01:02:22,719
Speaker 2: POINT i think we were plus thirteen or.

1250
01:02:22,760 --> 01:02:26,400
Speaker 1: Something we the high water mark for the year is

1251
01:02:26,639 --> 01:02:30,199
nineteen point two, UNITS i, believe and it was very

1252
01:02:30,320 --> 01:02:30,760
early in the.

1253
01:02:30,840 --> 01:02:33,159
Speaker 3: Season let's win this one plus six.

1254
01:02:33,280 --> 01:02:36,199
Speaker 1: Hundred if we hit this, one we will be back

1255
01:02:37,079 --> 01:02:39,239
as close as we've been in a long time to

1256
01:02:39,320 --> 01:02:42,159
that that high water. Mark so, anyway one more, time

1257
01:02:42,599 --> 01:02:44,719
let's close the weekend on a high. Note we've Got

1258
01:02:45,000 --> 01:02:48,679
padres Money, Line diamondbacks Money, Line NAT's first five Money

1259
01:02:48,719 --> 01:02:50,639
line three teamer plus six twenty.

1260
01:02:50,719 --> 01:02:52,960
Speaker 3: Seven another great week.

1261
01:02:53,039 --> 01:02:56,280
Speaker 1: Here we will be back On monday for the final

1262
01:02:56,320 --> 01:02:58,519
week of the regular, season and then we'll be riding

1263
01:02:58,559 --> 01:03:01,400
this show right into the, playoffs not going. Anywhere appreciate

1264
01:03:01,440 --> 01:03:03,719
you guys tuning in if you missed any part of

1265
01:03:03,840 --> 01:03:06,599
the live. Show as, always it's up on demand on

1266
01:03:06,599 --> 01:03:09,000
The way To talk YouTube. Channel while you're over, there

1267
01:03:09,280 --> 01:03:11,559
give us a, like give us a, subscribe and have

1268
01:03:11,639 --> 01:03:13,320
a great. Weekend everyone will see you guys On.

1269
01:03:13,519 --> 01:03:13,880
Speaker 3: Monday