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Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we do will always start this

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show by being transparent. It feels like forever since we

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did a show. So no show on the weekends. But

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I think I split one win on Saturday, a loss

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on Sunday. Nothing really crazy, but yeah, nothing really crazy.

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Last week was not the best. Hopefully this week can

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be better. You know. Good to be back with you.

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How's everything for you?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? College basketball things are wonderful, Ski another winning weekend.

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Three and oh yesterday. NBA was good on Saturday and

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a bit lucky because at the Laker Golden State game,

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over to twenty nine and I swear they had like

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two hundred and four minutes left, but the low end

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Scrubs came through and scored a whole bunch of points

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at the end of that game and got to two thirty,

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which was nice. Yesterday, though loser with the Denver team

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total over man. Denver looks sluggish yesterday against Minnesota, or

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maybe Minnesota just looked energetic and another I had too

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bad yesterday. The other one was trying to think off

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the top of my head. I don't know. I'd have

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to go back and check it. Oh it was uh

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it was the Bucks. Oh my god, the Bucks game over.

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I got a lot to say about the Bucks today

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and our good friend. Yeah, oh my god, I had

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that one in the bank and no such luck.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's see what we can get today. We have

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four games to talk about. Not the best games at all,

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but we'll see if we can find some money. And we'll

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start with Houston and Washington. This one opened up minus

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fifteen still fifteen total open two twenty four and a

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halfs and right around there injuries we have Smith, Javar

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Smith out, Tate out for Washington, Gills questionable, Black Davis

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d lo sare Trey Young all out, Keishawn George playing

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in this game? And for me, you know, I'm really

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considering the dirty, filthy Wizards in this game. I mean

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having Keyshawn George. I know he can least I can

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trust him to have some offense. I like Trey Johnson

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as well. I just don't think the Rocket's going to

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be that interested against Washington. The Rockets also haven't been

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great as a real favorite this year. I think I

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think it's a chance to trust the dirty Wizards at

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home here with all these points, what do you think?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and the points just kind of keep getting bigger

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and bigger, right Ski, So then that becomes a point

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where you can kind of trust in. Washington did cover

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their last game against Toronto in this price range, getting

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thirteen and a half lose by nine, high scoring game. Again.

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For ever since the post All Star breaking maybe before,

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we've talked about a handful of these teams, five or

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six especially, that just don't care to win games, so

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it makes them hard to handicap. Do they want to

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come close? Do they not want to win at all?

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Do they want to get blown out? But Washington at

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least showed a little bit of fortitude in the Toronto game,

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one thirty four to one to twenty five before Houston,

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it's the third of a three game road trip. They're

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going to get a couple of days off after this

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go home play Golden State, So I could see this

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being kind of a coach job for Houston, which does

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need to win. Standings would tell you that the Rockets

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would like to win this game. They're now in a

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tie with Minnesota. Actually tiebreaker gives it to Houston a

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three seed, but Minnesota is right there eight and a

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half back with them, So you want to separate yourselves

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a little. It doesn't mean you have to win by fifteen.

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Jabari Smith, you just mentioned I think they were just trying.

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They're just trying to save him and get him ready

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for Golden State on Friday. So that in itself kind

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of tells you that maybe a little lackadaisical effort, maybe

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a three quarter effort, maybe a first half effort out

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of Houston and ride that wave all the way home.

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So I could see a Washington play here. These dogs

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are filthy, but at some point fifteen and a half,

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it just becomes too much to ignore. So I see

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some action coming in on Houston a little bit here

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in a couple of places fourteen and a half. So

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I won't bet it, but I would be with you,

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and I would almost think he just alerted me.

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Speaker 1: I won't think Jaylen Brown, Yeah, there.

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Speaker 2: Was something funny about that line. All day long, somebody

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was going to be ruled out. He played thirty nine

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minutes last night, So yeah, my thoughts on why I

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was going to say something about the total, but I'll

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pull it back because I don't really want to play

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that total in particular, just based on Houston defense, so

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probably look toward Washington if anything.

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Speaker 1: How about this, I think that Houston has been on

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the road. It's their third straight road game, and then

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they have two days off and they get to go home. Right,

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This just feels like a spot where you don't get

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a really great effort from Houston. They just go through

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the motions we can beat the Wizards or whatever. You know,

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I got to beat the Wizards here today, Rob, you know,

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I feel like I have to.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I agree with that. Like I said, it

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seems like a leisure spot for Houston. You know, it's

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a third game, third road game in a row. You

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are you get the couple off after this. It's like

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they're probably looking forward to just getting on the plane

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and get them home. Don't have to play Golden State

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until Thursday, So I mean, you don't have to do

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much to beat the Wizards because they don't want to.

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Speaker 1: Win the game.

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Speaker 2: So it's not like you have to go all out.

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They're going to allow you to win. But that's not

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to say you have to win by sixteen. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Meanwhile, the Wizards did not have to travel anywhere. You

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got some guys who can still score. Yeah, the Wizards.

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Wizards are to play in this.

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Speaker 2: One, and they showed some fight against Toronto. I mean

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they played them under ten and I think Toronto, for

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what it's worth, I think Toronto's ski I'm thinking back,

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just from my own handicapping that Toronto has been one

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of the better defenses in the NBA post All Star breaks.

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So if you get one twenty five against them, you're

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doing something.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, speaking of that, I mean, what's the Wizards

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team total tonight. Let's see Wizards team total one oh

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four and one o five. I mean, if Rockets are

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not really even interested, I mean, that's definitely doable. They

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do have good defense, but definitely doable. I'll think about that.

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But I like I think I like the Wizards a

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little bit more. Any last thoughts or we can keep

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it going.

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Speaker 2: No, I think for somebody who came here with no

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play on that game, I might have talked myself into something.

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There's a couple of ways to look at that one.

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Speaker 1: We could move on, all right, Celtics and Bucks. This

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game continues to be on the move. Sorry excuse me.

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Opened up minus seven for Boston is down to two

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or two and a half and toldal one from two

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fifteen and a half to two sixteen and a half

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or two seventeen and a half. I mean, it's all

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over the place, it's moving, and it's really the injury report, right.

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So Giannis was upgraded to probably expected to play today,

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and then the line went up to I think like

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two nineteen. Now Janon Brown has rode out line comes

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crashed back down, you know, So that's kind of what

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we're seeing here. Both teams are on the back to back, right,

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Rob Vino, So did expect to see some injury news

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throughout the day? I mean, I think I think this

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is an undergame. You have one Boston plays that way

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on back to backs anyway. I think eight out of

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ten and all six on the road have gone to

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the under on back to backs. Neither team playing with pace.

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I mean, if you're honest, plays yes, that will increase

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the pace and it helped the offense, but it has

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been out for so long, he'll very likely be on

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a minute limit and very likely be resty. I think

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this is an undergame. I'm not sure what to do

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with the sun anymore, since the number has moved so

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much and the injury purt just keeps going crazy, but

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I think under what do you think?

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Speaker 2: You know? It just yeah, came down again to two sixteen. Listen,

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my thoughts here are just a shade different, not regards

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to the full game total, but in regards to the

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Milwaukee team total, which is one six and a half.

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Especially off of what happened yesterday. You could almost predict

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where I would go with this. That second half and

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that fourth quarter were abysmal. I don't know, they go

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two for twenty one, Milwaukee does in the fourth quarter

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two for twenty one, one of thirteen from three, they

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get out rebounded nineteen to five. Now, if you take

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nineteen to five Ski and just add it up for

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four quarters, that's being out rebounded seventy six to twenty. Well,

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what are we doing here with Milwaukee? It was such

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a and it was such a great first half, sixty

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six points eighty nine after three, averaging thirty ath quarter,

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and then the fourth quarter complete fall apart. It was

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kind of weird watching doc rivers like Kyle Kuzma play

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point guards. They just bricked and bricked and turned it over.

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Kyle Kuzma's not your point guard. I don't know if

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he was eating his lunch Glen or or if he

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was watching the game, but it was kind of weird.

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I just those types of things, and I've been playing

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Milwaukee overs anyway. If Jannis is on a military restriction,

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that's fine. One of the bigger keys for me now

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especially would be Jalen Brown out, which takes away a

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lot of Boston wing defense. I know Derek White is

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still pretty good. They played a pretty tough game last

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night against Philadelphia. Philadelphia was in that thing, I think

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eight points down with like five to play, and Boston

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broke it open again one final time with a couple

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of threes. So I wouldn't be surprised. I guess you

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have to play Derek White, and he's one guy who

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plays every single game anyway, but he did play thirty

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eight minutes last night. Cada played out of his mind

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in that game last night, doubled double in the first

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half of the He's out too, So it's kind of

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helpful from a Milwaukee offensive standpoint to have Jalen Brown

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and Cada out of there. Really weakens the Boston defense

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in rebounding. So for me, in fact, I just missed

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the number because now the number went from one oh

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six and a half to one oh seven and a

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half for their team total. But I do think Milwaukee

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probably could find their way to one o eight. They've

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been trending over for the most part as a team

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since post All Star Break, and I would think even

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if Fiannis goes twenty minutes now, he's probably gonna be like,

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just give me the ball and let me get to

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the rim for my twenty minutes. So I'm gonna try

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Milwaukee team total over one oh seven and a half.

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Like I said, I just missed a better number one

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oh six and a half, all right.

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Speaker 1: Me and Veno seeing this game a little bit differently,

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That's all right. We'll go to Nuggets and Jazz opened

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up ten looks like eleven and a half or twelve

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total open two forty one and a half like two

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forty two and a half or two forty three. Injuries,

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Kevin Love and Marketing out for Utah or Denvery, Jones questionable,

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Gore and Johnson, Dalfo, Bates and Watson out. It looks

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like Denver is shorthanded here once again, but show is

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so is Utah. You know, Denver has been trying to

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play a little bit more defense. Lately, But I don't know,

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I feel like they've been playing so many games at

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some point it just wears on you. You know, they're

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going to revert back to scoring and trying to just

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outscore their opponent to win the game. And the Jazz

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home game, you know, you can absolutely like the scoreboard up.

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I lean towards over here, maybe even ke Kante George

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over his point prop that's kind of a pilling something

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like that. What do you think he'll be now?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that. You know, the last couple of games,

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we saw Denver hold Boston to one oh three or

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be a eighty four excuse me, they scored one oh

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three and and you know it was kind of a mirage.

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Thought maybe Denver's trying, and in fact, the head coach

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keeps saying that they're trying to play defense, David Adelman,

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and he keeps telling them defense is going to carry us.

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But again, yesterday Minnesota kind of had their way offense.

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It's really simple with Denver. I mean, I watched them

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yesterday and I wondered, if you know, if they were

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offended that we're keeping them awake by having to play

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an afternoon game because they were so sluggish in all aspects.

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And again, like I said earlier, maybe it's because Minnesota

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was energetic. In Minnesota, Minnesota had the game plan, We're

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just gonna run every chance we can get. We're gonna

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run at you. We've never used walkers with tennis balls

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with Denver like we did with the Clippers. But they

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kind of looked like and Jokic had a big scoring

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game but still didn't look all that engaged. Jamal Murray

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especially looked asleep in that game. So I think they

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bounced back here. They've lost their hold on a top

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four spot in the West with that loss. Yesterday they

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faulted number five. You can't lose these types of games.

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They probably won't lose it. I don't trust them to

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cover it no matter who Utah has on them for

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because Denver, I don't think is going to go you know,

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balls out, so to speak, defensively in this game. And

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like you say at home, these Utah games just wind

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up getting over the total. So the options here for

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me were to try and play Denver team total over

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or play full game over. They set Denver team totals

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so hot you almost need one hundred and thirty to

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get there, they're asking for one above one twenty seven

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and a half. So in that instance, I'd rather not

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exclude Utah from the equation, especially at home, and knowing

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that Utah's got the younger legs, they're not going to

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try to win SKI. So if this thing is close

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in the fourth, I could see Utah just missing some shots,

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but I still think the better plays to play full

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game over.

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Speaker 1: We agree on that. One last game on slate, Clippers

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and Warriors opened up minus one for the Warriors flip

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of favorite here and down from two twenty one as

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low as two point fifteen and a half GP two questionable,

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Seth and Steph Curt out well, Richard out, Worzingis out,

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Collins questionable, done questionable for the Clippers. Honestly, you know,

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I don't have very much interest in this game at all.

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I'll ask you, I'll pass this one of you, but

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this is a complete pass for me.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this one's going to be interesting because Darius Garland

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makes his debut here, so I have to watch. Obviously,

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you don't expect Darius Garland to light it up. He could,

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but he's been out for so long you don't expect it.

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But I go back to what Tylu said when they

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acquired him, that they acquired him because they want to

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be a faster tempo team. For that reason, I need

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to watch tonight and just see if LA does pick

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up the tempo with him, whether or not they go

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over the number or stay under the number or whatever.

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I'm just interested to see if they get extra possessions

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in the time when Garland's on the floor, if they

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grab defensive rebounds and get out and run the way

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Tylo indicated they would. That's why they made this trade.

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So that's really where my interest level lies, not so

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much embedding the game, but just seeing because I think

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we could use it down the road here for a

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couple of weeks before others would catch on to LA

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just totally switching philosophies, but it's what Tyler said they

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wanted to do when they acquired him, So for now,

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until I see differently, I'm gonna believe him and see

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if that's what we get tonight. If we don't get that,

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if we get slow paced Clippers, then obviously it might

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take time for them to work that and implement that

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into their system. But I'm gonna watch it for that reason.

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Ski just to see if Garland is somebody who ignites

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a faster pace or the pace that the head coach wants. Yeah,

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you got yourself muted.

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Speaker 1: I bet I was saying he does like to play

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a pace. But you know, I'll probably just watch and

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learn on this one. Here that's the NBA car for today,

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so you know what it is my fault. I don't

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have the graphic for the promos, but I will mention

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before we do these best bets, they have what buy

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three days, get three days free, So I believe that's

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sixty nine dollars. You get six day all access every

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bet that you know, either Rob or myself makes, and

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on that note, I will pass it to you Robno,

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I'll ask you if there's anything else you like to promote,

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and if you have a best bet for the show,

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you know we love to hear it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I will say that is the top promotion out

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of Wager twelve four this week. I think there's another

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one that's a yearly subscription that they just sent out.

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But the three and get three three days, buy three days,

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get three free is pretty especially at this time of

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year SKI when the college basketball conference tournaments are coming.

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We had our first college basketball conference tournament ging tonight

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out of the Horizon League. Most of these leagues are

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either finished or winding down within the next four or

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five days, and we're gonna have just wall to wall action.

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So it's pretty nice package. Gets six days for the

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price of three. Best bet I didn't leave one on Friday.

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I hate doing that, but I do have one that

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I bet. We talked about it. We sort of disagreed

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on the outlook of the game, but I do think

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the Bucks find their way over one oh seven and

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a half. I scoured while we were talking SKI and

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I found myself a one oh six and a half.

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I won't mention where I found it, because we don't

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like to do this on this network, but I did

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find one oh six and a half. A couple of

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them out there still. If you can find it, play it.

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But I'm gonna use one o seven and a half

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to be fair to the chat here of Milwaukee Bucks

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team total over one oh seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: All right, good stuff from Vino and you know what, Oh,

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you know, I will mention. I will mention that they

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have the you can get to college basketball through the end,

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which I believe is April sixth for two nineteen and

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I'm fifty and thirty five so far on the season

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in college basketball. If you would like to be involved,

345
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all right, for my best bet, it's not many times,

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so we'll go ahead, and we'll go ahead and do this.

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Speaker 2: That's my dog, my dog.

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Speaker 1: That's my dog. And anybody gotta say anything, you let

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me know that's my dog.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Tonight, we are going with the dirty, stinking, filthy dog

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for our best bet, best bet of the day, and

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that's the Wizards plus fifteen and a half. I mean,

354
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we talked about it. This is an absolute look over

355
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sleepy spot, however you want to call it for the

356
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Rockets third straight road game, looking at the Washington Widges

357
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on the other side, knowing you have two days off

358
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and get to go home after this, they just want

359
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to go home. They know they can win this game.

360
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They don't necessarily care about winning it by fifteen and

361
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half points. And we have some offense on the other side.

362
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We've got Keyshawn George ruled in. You know, we have

363
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a couple other guys that we can trust to get

364
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some buckets. So in this spot, for my best bet,

365
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I'll go with the dirty Dog of the Day Wizards

366
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plus fifteen and a half. What do you think about that?

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Speaker 2: You know, I was when you put it up, I

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was just kind of holding my nose. I knew it

369
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was gonna smell. So I tell you and again, And

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We've done this a couple of times. Ski these plays,

371
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these spot plays, situational plays like the Wizards, they make

372
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so much sense. And all we're asking one of these

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filthy dogs to do is come through one time so

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we can have a little faith in you. But I

375
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don't see any reason why you would lay with the

376
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Rockets here to be the Wizards. And even as you

377
00:21:01,759 --> 00:21:05,240
pointed out, which would be more my style would be

378
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Wizard team total over one oh five and a half

379
00:21:07,759 --> 00:21:11,279
looks like that's a that's a pretty decent way to go.

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Speaker 1: To absolutely so that I'll wrap up the show quick

381
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and easy. Four games did in about twenty one minutes.

382
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So you know, I always appreciate you taking the time

383
00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:23,039
to cut the games break them down with me. Helps

384
00:21:23,039 --> 00:21:27,000
my process, you know. Sure we help everybody else out there,

385
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:32,799
at least a little bit. People in the chat, We

386
00:21:32,839 --> 00:21:35,240
do appreciate you all as well. I'm looking here, it

387
00:21:35,279 --> 00:21:37,480
looks like we do have a good amount of games

388
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for tomorrow, so we'll have a lot more to talk

389
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about till then. Best of luck everybody on all your action,

390
00:21:43,519 --> 00:21:45,079
and we will catch you guys tomorrow