Speaker 1: This is the best betting show ever. I'm Lawrence, President,
Jove Niary and Art Caesar joining us. We got a
jam packed show of betting information coming your way. We're
going to attack how to bet all the two and
O teams in the NFL? Is Cincinnati a fade? Should
we bet on them? Same with say the Green Bay Packers.
We're going to go through that in great detail. We're
also going to give you one NFL best bet from
me and Joe, one college football best bet for me
and Joe. Art will give you a rundown on where
all the bets are at the Westgates Sportsbook will cover
every MLB game on the board, and we'll go through
the mail bag. Guys, let's get to it. Joven Aary,
welcome to the show. Good thing you're not wearing a
V neck? Art to Caesar, how many of those shirts?
How many of those shirts do you actually own?
Speaker 2: I'm like Superman, I wear the same outfit every day.
Speaker 3: Both.
Speaker 1: Yeah, there you go, Art Disese are how's the West
Gate brother? What's going on over there?
Speaker 2: It's good man. We got a lot of stuff going on,
obviously a lot of games to touch on. Let's start
on some college games. Huge game in the Big twelve.
This is an underrated game. You got Texas Tech at Utah.
We opened it two and a half. Utah quickly moved
to three with the market on the game. Didn't get
hit on the two and a half, but we did
get hit on the three. Moved us to three and
a half. Then there was buy on Texas Tech at
three and a half, settled the game back to three.
Believe this is where it's gonna stay. This is going
to see tremendous two way action, very big game. Underrated game.
Southern Myss coming off a nice win last week at
app State, they go to Louisiana Tech aka law Tech,
and we opened law Tech minus one and a half,
got all the way up to three and a half.
There was a little bit of nibble on three and
a half with Southern Miss. We're now back to three,
but because of all the initial Louisiana Tech money, we
will need Southern Miss in the game. And then you
got u Elmont Road traveling to utech Utep looked great
last week against Texas. They hung in the game. They
lost the game, but covered the enormous number and now
with them at home, now people are buying in on
the minors. Open that game at four and a half.
We're now up to six on the game. We will
need Monroe in that game.
Speaker 3: I gotta tell you, Art, It's funny some of these,
you know, a little smaller conference games and lines here.
It's not a ton of public money, right that's moving
these lines. It's you know, the public tends to go, oh,
Miami's playing Florida. Are they going UTEP playing uelman Roe?
Speaker 2: No, you're right, Joe. When it's the lower tier games
and the lower tier schools, it's always initial sharp money
that moves a number. Now.
Speaker 3: I'm not saying the.
Speaker 2: Public later on in the week can't get on these games,
but when they do, they normally get it at the
worst number. Like if they were to come in and
bet UTEP right now, they would take it at six,
lay the six, where they could have laid four and
a half earlier in the week. Obviously, those are the
sharp guys do on that Sunday night and Monday morning.
You're right, it's the marquee games that are always going
to get the appetite from the Publa.
Speaker 1: Art Caesar joining us guys Artworks at the Westgate one
of the most prestigious sportsbooks on the planet.
Speaker 4: They take some of the biggest bets in the world.
Speaker 1: Art comes on every day to tell us what some
of those bets are, and Art, I got a question
for you that's more conceptual before we get into the
NFL stuff. So we have a situation here where eighty
one percent, this is according to odds Logic, an incredible
odds screen, eighty one percent of the money being written
on the Miami Buffalo game is to the over, ninety
one percent to the over on the Indianapolis Tennessee game,
ninety two percent, ninety one percent on the LA Chargers. Now,
the reason I ask you this is none of those
lines have moved. So we have ninety two percent of
the ticket ninety one now percent of the tickets written
on the LA Chargers.
Speaker 4: It's it's held it to and a half.
Speaker 1: I know there's a minus one twenty one twenty five
out there, but can you explain to me, because we
saw this on Monday night and on Sunday night, so
much money is coming in on one particular side, yet
the line isn't moving.
Speaker 4: Could you explain.
Speaker 1: Why that happens and how betters can use that to
their advantage.
Speaker 2: Well, I think when it comes to that, pres a
lot of the times you could take you know, let's
say you just take ten one hundred dollars bets from
just square general public people, and yeah, those might be
the first ten bets you take to a side, but
you don't necessarily need to make a move off of that.
Sometimes we move what we call quote unquote on air,
We move with the market and just don't want to
be the lowest number or the highest number, and we
do that. But you could even be in a situation
like that, but then you take a nickel or a
dime bet on the other side from a guy you
really respect, and you move the other way. So a
lot of the times we're looking for what the market's doing,
and then we're really waiting for those respected betters to
come in make bets. So a lot of the times
we can book to their sides. That happens for us
a lot, and that's something we look for, right, So let's.
Speaker 1: Talk about that from a betting perspective, how we can
use that to make money. So you have a situation
here in Miami Buffalo, eighty one percent of the tickets
written to the over as we're talking, it was fifty
last night, it's now forty nine and a half. So
very interesting that so much many tickets are written on
the over, and yet the line moved to the under.
Are we not supposed to recognize that the savvyest that
the books are saying, Hey, you guys want to bet
the over, bet it all day long.
Speaker 4: We're not worried.
Speaker 1: We got respected guys over there that are betting the
under and they know they're shitting you, don't. Should we
not be looking for those type of situations? So, for instance,
there's clearly smart money coming in on the Buffalo under, clearly, yeah.
Speaker 2: And I think this is something we've always touched on,
right pres Like the public and the square betters are
always going to bet overs, they want to bet overs,
they want to bet primetimeovers. And then the guy, you know,
the respected sharp guys, they kind of lay in the weeds,
wait for a number to maybe go up half a
point or a point, and then they pounce right on
the under. So I think a lot of the times
with those eighty percent of the money's on this, ninety
five percent of the tickets are on that. It can
be useful, but it's almost beware of that because you
don't know what type of action they are taking, if
it's square action, if it's sharp action. I think you
gotta be a little be aware of that stuff sometimes.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Joe, do you take any of that stuff into account?
Speaker 3: It depends on what day during the week too, Art Right,
when are the limits the highest? When are we going
to see the most money? You know, sometimes it's not
as easy, especially with the NFL, to figure out It
doesn't take a lot to move the line earlier in
the week, so it's kind of hard to figure out
where that money is necessar coming from. So it kind
of evens itself out once we get to when do
the limits go up at the West Gate? Aren't?
Speaker 2: Yeah, And that's a great point, Joe. Early in the week,
your limits are going to be a little bit lower,
and then basically once we get to Thursday we start
to expand limits, and then obviously Sunday we're at our
full capacity on limits. But I know, Joe, you've mentioned
this before, the pump fake. There's a lot of pump fakes.
Early in the week, you see a total go up,
especially in college, you see a total go up two
points and then and that's on Monday morning, and then
you look Thursday morning and it's back down to the
original line or maybe even lower. So there's a lot
of times you got to look for that, and listen.
Speaker 4: Guys, look for middles.
Speaker 2: There's plenty of people trying to play middles too, so
you always got to remember that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I thought we were going to see a
pump fake in the over in the Detroit game, and
it's clearly not the case. It's gone up to fifty
two of fifty two and a half out there. That
fifty one and a half is such a crucial number
in totals. I thought you were going to maybe take
some faky under if you will, we'll get it, get
it down a fifty one fifty.
Speaker 4: And a half pound, But that did not happen.
Speaker 1: Art Steelers Pats, Cowboys, Bears, Colts and Titans.
Speaker 4: Where's the money?
Speaker 2: Very interesting games. Steelers at New England. That look ahead
line was New England minus one and a half. Now
we're Pittsburgh minus one and a half. So you've seen
a flip there on kind of the way the teams
are power rated. You know, I understand New England's one
and one but they haven't looked that great. They really
struggled last week against Miami, even though they always played
bad in Miami and they still got to win. I
get that, but that's been a complete flip. We touched
on this game yesterday. You know the look aheadline on
this game with Chicago three, it reopened Chicago one, and
now it's Dallas minus one. So that's all you need
to know about the power rating early on for the
Bears in the first two weeks. You know, you've probably
missed your because you could have taken plus one oh
five even money money line on Dallas. You've probably missed that.
But I think eventually we will get some Bear money.
Just haven't seen it yet. And Colts are surprising too.
And oh team they go on the road in the division,
their first road game to Tennessee. That open three, it's
now four. We've seen Colt money, so that is now
a four, which to me is shocking. I think it's
a good spot for Tennessee. I think we will get
Tennessee money, just have not seen it yet.
Speaker 3: So we've heard, are at the stats and history tells us.
In the NFL, right teams that start oh and two
if you think in any way, shape or form that
why I didn't see them start oh and two? Those
are tend to be the teams you want to run
to the window in bet because they understand their season's
over and all likely if they go oh in three. Right,
are we seeing any sort of push to back some
of those oh and two teams that maybe we all
didn't see them starting oh and two?
Speaker 2: Well, we know the biggest one is going to be
Kansas City. That's the team that especially to you got
to keep this in mind, the Chiefs being the Sunday
night game, everything is going to run into Kansas City
Sunday Night. Teasers and parlays on the money line and
even when people like to do teeser cards and parlay
cards and the numbers five and a half on those cards,
especially the side parlay cards, everything's going to run to
the Chiefs Sunday Night. That's the biggest zero and two
team that we'll be hoping loses on Sunday because of
all the stuff we'll be fighting against with parlays and teezers.
Speaker 1: All right, the season joining us guys, if you've ever
watched the show, we got the parlay of the Day
next then we're going to discuss whether to fade or
bet the two and O teams. After that, Art leaves
us and Joe and I go on the clock two
minute segments each NFL Best Bets, College Football best Bets
every game on the MLB board. In our mailbag segment, also, guys,
hit that like button. Please subscribe to our channel. The
word of the day is art.
Speaker 4: What's the word of the day?
Speaker 2: Word of the day? Patience?
Speaker 3: Patience?
Speaker 2: Yes, patient, little guns and roses patients?
Speaker 4: How does that end to go?
Speaker 2: Yea, so good?
Speaker 3: So good?
Speaker 4: Don't do that? Press?
Speaker 3: Yes?
Speaker 1: I like the purple, Joe. It really brings out, really
brings out the tan in you.
Speaker 3: I really want you to know the way you you
comment on my attire itch and every day. It really
warms me to know that you care like that. It
really does well.
Speaker 1: You are a single man now, Joe, So somebody's got
to help you.
Speaker 4: How much gel do you actually put in that air?
Speaker 1: Oh?
Speaker 3: It's not gel? Press?
Speaker 1: Does it ever move in a wind tunnel? What about
in a wind tunnel?
Speaker 3: I don't know. Do those those earmuffs you're wearing move
a lot?
Speaker 4: When we tried We tried one yesterday we tried.
Speaker 3: That, just kind of curious.
Speaker 4: I will say this.
Speaker 3: Is that what happened?
Speaker 1: You got a lot of props on the trucker hat
comeback yesterday.
Speaker 4: When I say a lot on one guy, one guy
gave you props parlay of the day.
Speaker 1: Every day we give out a parlay of the day.
Yesterday to not win. We're gonna win today though. I'm
starting Kansas City Royals first half money line bet?
Speaker 4: What's your leg? Joe Ranii?
Speaker 3: Oh wow? All right, Cole Reagan's you're back and I
like that. There pez, I am gonna go first five,
Boston Red Sox here with Giolito on the mound taking
on the rookie for the Athletics. Red Sox need to
win this game here tonight. How about you arek Yeah.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go to a team that also needs to win,
and I'm gonna back their good picture looking to avoid
a sweep. And I'll just keep with the theme. If
we're all gonna go first five, I'm gonna take the
gram and I'm gonna take the Rangers first five.
Speaker 3: Like that one too.
Speaker 4: There we go. That's our par lay of the day. Boys.
Speaker 1: Let's get straight into to fade or not to fade.
And we're gonna start with the Cincinnati Bengals and we
can talk conceptually and this week. So from this week's perspective,
this is a fade team for me. From the entire
years perspective, this is a fade team for me. Now
things might change, obviously, but moving forward, I think Cincinnati
is going to struggle in Minnesota this week and just
struggle for the foreseeable future.
Speaker 3: Joe, you're talking about Cincinnati now, right, correctly? Yeah.
Speaker 4: No, the Bengals two and zero on the year.
Speaker 3: Yeah, two and oh on the year here, And I
gotta tell you, I think because of the borrow news,
I think week to week we're gonna have plenty of
value backing this. This is not an inexperienced backup quarterback here.
This is a guy that's been in the system now
for a while Browning and uh yeah, who's got more
offensive weapons as a backup quarterback to utilize than he does.
I just think there's gonna be a lot of value
on a week to week basis with Cincinnati. So I'm
not looking to fade him yet.
Speaker 1: Art, Yeah, Art, before you jump in, I just want
to correct Joe. The answer the answer to who has
more weapons as a backup quarterback is the guy on
the other side of the field Art that that would
be Carson Wentz Art to Caesar Cincinnati Fate or not.
Speaker 2: Hm, that's bold. With Higgins and Chase and brown that's
pretty good.
Speaker 1: Weapons as opposed to Justin Jefferson and.
Speaker 3: And their one running back Aaron Johnson. Yeah, okay, okay.
Speaker 2: Okay, Jefferson, come on, yeah, exactly, probably is better. I'm
with Joe here. I think this is a wait and
see approach because I don't think Browning if you just
look at backups in the league, he's probably towards the
top of what you'd want for a backup. So you
might want to wait week to week on this. Obviously
long term in them winning anything, losing Burrow kills them.
But you know Browning could be serviceable.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, we only care about bets, not the future
of any of these teams. Indianapolis Colts, Joe, I know
you think they're eight team this week. I'm gonna go
with the wait and see approach. I mean, look, Daniel
Jones had a good twenty twenty two. He started off great.
I'm gonna go with wait and see Joe.
Speaker 3: Listen, I just I am not buying into Danny dives
and Steiken's done an amazing job, don't get me wrong,
but no, they should have gotten destroyed last week against Denver.
Had they actually not shot themselves in a foot, we'd
be having a totally different conversation about him. I mean, kudos,
love to see it, but I'm not buying that at
last are They're a fade for me moving forward?
Speaker 2: Definitely a fade they should have. They should be one
and one and they played Miami, so I don't know
what to really make of them being two and out.
That's this going on the road in the division. I
really like Dennessee.
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're gonna take a lot of bets Tennessee for sure.
Arizona Cardinals. A lot was expected out of this team
coming into the season. People thought they could win the
division and look here they are too. And oh but
I gotta tell you, Joe, they look horrible. I think
they I think I'm looking at bet against this team.
With that said, I ain't touching San fran It's a
pass for me Sunday, but I am looking to bet
against the Cardinals.
Speaker 3: The Cardinals, and to me, it's a wait and see
because I don't know what they are. They have slept
walked through both of the games that they had with
New Orleans, yes, and you know, you know, having to
take on Carolina there. They didn't. They were never in
jeopardy of losing either of those games, but they just
kind of went through the motions in the second half.
So it's wait and see for me with the team,
all right.
Speaker 2: I think it's definitely wait and see. They slept walk
through those first two games. Like you mentioned, two bad
opponents as well. I don't know. I'm not a car
Kyler Murray guy, so I want to fade Kyler Murray
if I don't.
Speaker 4: San Francisco too and Zero. I don't know what to do.
Speaker 1: I'm just staying away from all San fran games right now, Joe,
But I have them to win the division.
Speaker 4: For my clients at plus one point fifty.
Speaker 3: Listen to me, as long as McCaffrey is healthy on
that side of the ball, Matt Jones in that system again,
this is a system that took mister irrelevant and just
got him a two hundred million dollar contract, and he
got hurt. Coaching matters, Shanahan's one of the best, and
that's the easiest schedule in the NFL. There is no
way I'm looking to fade the forty nine ers because
I think until Party gets back, we're probably gonna get
some value on them on a week to week basis. Art.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't disagree in Press. I was with you
when we did our NFL preview. I had the Niners
to the division. I still like them. I don't want
them to be so injured every week, but I think
Mac Jones, a former first round pick, showed some signs.
Coaching is good, some weapons, especially McCaffrey. I think they
could be serviceable, and the schedule is easy. I think
I buy in on the Niners.
Speaker 1: Rams are two and zero to start the season. So's Arizona,
so San fran That division is looking good, I do.
I'm not buying into this Rams team. I think this
is a team I'm going to be looking to bet
against moving forward.
Speaker 4: Now.
Speaker 1: They played Philadelphia on Sunday, revenge matchup situation for them,
But I just don't think they have the talent. I
think I like the fact that this team has jumped
out to a to nothing, two to zero start.
Speaker 4: I'm going to fade them Joe.
Speaker 3: You're out of your mind. Yeah, well yeah they were.
And Philadelphia was supposed to run them over in the
playoffs last year too, and boy that that didn't happen. Listen,
this is one of the best young defenses in the NFL. Here,
you got one of the more experienced and accomplished quarterbacks.
The offensive line has been rebuilt this year, weapons all
over to play. This Rams team, to me, is an
absolute bet on moving forward, mostly because of that defense.
Are that is a real defense here the Rams have.
Speaker 2: They're definitely a bet on because they are a really
good team and well coached. But we're gonna learn a
lot about them this week going to Philadelphia. You know,
they played Houston, they played Tennessee, they won those games.
We will learn a lot about them. But I think
moving forward, I do like them as a buy on team.
Speaker 4: There we go.
Speaker 1: We have a little bit of a disagreement on the
La Rams, but yes, they are bloody well coached. Joe,
I mean, McVeigh is incredible. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, I think
this team is a wait and see. I struggle to
bet on or against Tampa Bay and Baker. I just
find them to be a little bit too inconsistent. So
I'm not going anywhere near this team, Joe.
Speaker 3: The division is right, they got the right quarterback. I
think Todd Bowles is one of the more underrated coaches
in the NFL. He's done nothing but win games there,
go to playoffs. Health is an issue. They just lost
their their big guy in the defensive front. There their
nose tackle, not great tire, But that wide receiving crew,
I mean, they're gonna be. They're gonna be. They're gonna
put up a lot of points this year. I think
a lot of overs in Tampa games is what I'm
looking at. Hard.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and that that you throw Bucky Irving in there.
Baker has kind of read you know, Baker's good again.
I just have to say it. They do have obviously
injuries on the offensive line, which scare you, but the
division is easy enough where moving forward, that is a
team who should go win that division. I like Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1: The LA Chargers are two to zero, and I'll tell
you right now, this is a bet on team for me.
I think this is the most underrated team in the league.
I think this team could win it all.
Speaker 3: Joe. They're wait and see for me here that defense
that showed up against the Raiders with a great But
am I buying they can do down on a consistent
basis because we've never seen it with Jesse Minter here
and the Chargers. So as long as they can protect
Harbert and that defense shows up like they did, sure,
but I got to see it to believe it.
Speaker 2: Art Yeah, and that was probably more about the Raiders
because Gino and that offense did not look good. But
Prays you mentioned something very interesting. They are probably the
team who has seen the most money on to win
the Super Bowl. It feels like if you like them,
you better bet them now because their number is just
going to continue to plummet, especially with how bad the
Chiefs have been and Denver hasn't gotten off to a
great start, so it looks like they might run away
with that division.
Speaker 1: Well, I did give them out yesterday at our Kelshay
segment to win the West at plus one oh one,
and I'd love that bet Green Bay Packers. This is
one of the best teams football, but I'm going to
look to fade them this week.
Speaker 4: This is one of those scenarios.
Speaker 1: I was talking to Vivian, my wife, last night, because
she wants to take Green Bay and survivor. And I'm like,
this is one of those situations where Green Bay ends
the year fifteen and two. But they got slaughtered in
Cleveland on week three. Now, obviously I don't think that's
gonna happen, but it feels like it could to me.
I'm worried about this week moving forward, green Bay's bet
on team for me, Joe.
Speaker 3: Green Bay is the best team right now in the
NFL bar non they you saw it in two weeks.
They look like they're playing football in October as opposed
to early in the year. And why is that? Nat Lafleur.
Here's a couple of numbers for you. Seventeen and six
against the number in September, eight and one against the
number in road games in September. This is a guy
that coached that has his teams ready from the get go,
and to me, there is more speed on this team
offensively in defensive in September. They look like they're running
pass guys like they're just not used to seeing what
they're seeing. I think they're bet on in a big way.
Here are Joe.
Speaker 2: I think you hit it. I think after two weeks
they look like the best team in the NFL. But
what's gonna happen with them? And you're even seeing it
this week with that inflated road line, you're gonna start
paying a premium and a tax on green Bay. Their
numbers are going to be a point and a half
higher than what they should be. So I think week
in and week out, you kind of have to pick
your spots with them, because you're going to really start
seeing them being priced as the best team in the league.
Speaker 1: Speaking about the best team in the league potentially the
Bills to and oh, this is a bet on team
for me all the way through, Joe.
Speaker 3: Oh, not this week, I mean, wait until my please.
They are again. They're not even healthy right now that
you know that defense has still got some issues. So
it's gonna be interesting to see once they can get
their full compliment back there in that second. But they're
doing it differently this year. They're a power running team.
They are running through defenses here too, defenses by the
way that we thought would I don't know, be pretty
good against the run, and they're making them look silly here.
This is an interesting Bills team that, much like Green Bay,
aren't though You're you're gonna be paying a tacks a
lot this year.
Speaker 2: You certainly are, and you hit on them running that
was there. We They haven't been able to run the
ball in the Josh Allen error unless it's him running.
So I think moving forward, them playing January football with
a power running game is good to look at. But
you're right, these top top teams always going to pay
a tax on but obviously Buffalo one of the two
best teams in the league.
Speaker 1: What I love about the Eagles sitting at two and
zero is that running games travel, and running games don't
go into these like emotionally bad spot situations. I think
the Eagles are the best team in football. I think
their defense is insane that it is almost impossible to
stop them. I am looking to bet on them. I
am very high. If the Eagles were a drug, I'd
be smoking them right now.
Speaker 3: Joe, I wouldn't advise that Eagles are a fade for me.
They're fortunate to have to start of the year two
and now. They have not looked good. That Super Bowl
hangover is a real thing to me. Art, I'm not
buying them here. I think the schedule is going to
get a little more difficult once we start getting the
end of October and November. I don't see them running
the table or anything along those lines. I think they
lose this week.
Speaker 2: In fact, yeah, I'm more of a wait and see,
but probably more towards a fade on the Eagles. They've
looked blackluster at least first two weeks. I would not
want to lay three and a half four this week.
Speaker 1: Yes, lackluster going to case anyway, We'll move on, all right,
this Caesar, that was awesome, Bro, I'm not even gonna respond.
Speaker 3: Should have been I'm wearing an Eagles jersey. Otherwise we
wouldn't be having this conversation right now.
Speaker 1: Travis Kelcey should call it a career art this Caesar,
Thanks my brother, love doing this with you. We'll see
you tomorrow. Awesome segment. We got lots more to come
on the best betting show ever, Joe. We got our
NFL best bets. Our college football best bets are MLB
rundown and our mail bag. Let's get into our NFL
best bets. Queue that clock, Joe. Wait before we put
the clock on and get into our NFL bets. Let's
take care of some business guys. If you have never
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Speaker 4: That's what we do.
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now you're ready?
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, here we go, ready, all right, go. Oh.
Speaker 1: Joe's a little bit ordinary today everyone. My apologies. It
must because he's wearing a crew.
Speaker 4: Neck a love story.
Speaker 1: Short NFL Beast bet Minnesota Vikings minus three against the
Cincinnati Bengals, and here's the bottom line. I get it,
Browning decent backup quarterback. I understand one thing about Kevin O'Connell.
He doesn't have backup quarterbacks. He literally takes quarterbacks and
makes them stars.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 1: I understand that JJ McCarthy situation has not happened yet.
The guys have two games, but man, this dude is
the quarterback whisperer. I think we got a much better
defense in Minnesota. They're at home. I think they have
a better quarterback. I think they have a better coach.
I'm gonna take the points here, Joe. I think Minnesota wins.
I think this is going to be a tight game.
Don't get me wrong, but I think they might have
upgraded their quarterback and I love their defense.
Speaker 4: Give me the Vikings minus three. What do you got?
Speaker 3: Oh? All right, I'm going to head to Jacksonville where
one of those zero to two teams Prez needs to
figure it out in a big way, and that is
the Houston Texans. He are getting a point and a half.
And listen, Jacksonville is awful and they are How in
the world Browning throws three interceptions and you still lose
the game is hysterical. But this is a very desperate
Texans team with a better defense. They're getting that point
and a half. I like not only do I like
Houston to win outright, I love them in teasers. This week,
praz I'll be using the Houston Texans and getting up
and over a touchdown against a Jacksonville team whose wide
receivers can't hold on to the ball and the defense
is yet to stand up and make a big play
when they need it. So the Texans just desperate enough
for me to jump on them here this week.
Speaker 1: Joe, let's get to the college football best bets real
quick on my part. One of our listeners yesterday asked
us how we find games for teasers. We're gonna be
discussing that in the mail bag section. Joe, my college
football best bet is Indiana minus four against Illinois, and
I get it, man, This Illinois team, it's a really
good football team. They're three and oho their experience. They
have a great road wing win under their belt, I understand,
but none of that matters going into this week. They're
going to run into an absolute buzzle. This Indiana team
might be the most dominant team in the country that
nobody is talking about. Well, I am you want numbers.
They have the number one offense in the nation, the
number one rushing attack in the country, and their quarterback
Fernando for Nando Mendoza, eleven touchdowns and zero interceptions. This
team is stacked, It's loaded. I understand Illinois's three and
oh they're three and one on Sunday, take Indiana and
take a minus the points. Show love it, Mendoza, former
cow quarterback. If I'm not mistaken there.
Speaker 3: Pres I am going to head to Miami of Ohio
as they are going to be home taking on UNLV
And listen, Miami of Ohio returned just five starters from
that team a year ago, and also the offense they
haven't returned to start. There is nobody returning on that
side of the ball and it shows here. They lost
seventeen and not in the Wisconsin they got blown out
at Rutgers forty five to seventeen. Da Kwan finn there
looked promising early on in his college career. Not so
much now. He hasn't thrown a touchdown, but he does
have three picks. I like UNLV here they're averaging about
four hundred and twenty nine yards of offense. Dan Mullen
love him too as well, but I think Miami Ohio
their first home game, not enough offense to back. I
like the price with UNLV here this weekend, Joe and.
Speaker 1: Airy mlb rundown every game on the board. Two minutes, meditate,
get ready, go all right.
Speaker 3: I just want to say thank you so very much
last night there to Paul Skeins are having the worst
start that I have seen in quite a wild game,
still landed under amazing. Having said that at the Cobbs
early afternoon here today taking on those Pirates looking for
the sweep Bloyd versus Ovido, and I think the Cubs
get the sweep and look to clinch that spot in
the postseason. The Reds taken on the Cardinals also afternoon
game here. How do you go from scoring eleven runs
to no runs? Reds, Well, that's who you are. That
means you're due for another eleven run game here. I'm
backing the Reds with Singer on the mound here, the
Orioles have dominated the White Sox. I think they've won
eleven of their last twelve. They haven't lost the game
in Chicago since twenty twenty two. With Wells on the
mound against Martin Perez, I think that winning streak continues. Also,
the Dimings Giants rather in the Diamondbacks Verland are on
the mound. Yeah, he gonna need some oxygen in this one.
And I love the over and I love the Diamondbacks.
The Braves taking on the Gnats Waldrop versus Oh good Lord,
No Lord is really his name? And maybe, just maybe
the Gnats will have enough to be able to get
this game in the W column. I like them. The
Guardians and the Tigers. Don't look now. Guardians five and
a half games back of the Tigers. Who cares Flowerty's
on the mound. I'll be backing them. Also, the Athletics
and the Red Sox. Gotta get that Red Sox here
with gi Alito. I like him to get it done
against the the A's and the Blue Jayson Rays, Gousman
versus Seymour. Who Seymour? I need to see more runs.
I don't think we're gonna get him in this game.
It's an under for me. The Padres will bounce back
against the Mets. The Brewers will run over the Angels,
while the Yankees will get it done against the Twins,
Mariners and the Royals. Looks like a good under there.
The Rangers will bounce back against the Strows, the Rockies
Orleans have already scored runs, and the Dodgers bounce back
against the Phillies.
Speaker 1: Joe, I cannot wait till college basketball.
Speaker 4: Every game on the board.
Speaker 1: That is going to be amazing to watch you do
that in two minutes time for our mailbag section of
the show, Tom Roper writes, can you explain how you
choose teaser teams?
Speaker 3: Tom?
Speaker 1: The answer is really simple. I want to cross three
and seven. Joe did that with the Texans plus one
and a half. Take it on a six pointer that
gets you to seven and a half. You pass three,
you pass seven, worst case past seven past ten. Next
worst case, go down seven and a half to one
and a half past seven past three. On the way down,
always look to pass the key numbers and never.
Speaker 4: Ever ever pass zero.
Speaker 1: Prez quick quick question a bank role management?
Speaker 4: How do you do it?
Speaker 1: I'll tell you real quick. I bet around two to
three percent of my bank role on every play, about
ninety percent of my plays.
Speaker 4: Are two to three percent.
Speaker 1: Joey also asks how many bets.
Speaker 4: Do you do in a day? I don't know what
a day is. Dates of no relevance to me in betting.
What about you?
Speaker 3: No, it's just whatever, whichever games I feel that we
have the biggest edge and the best shot at winning
is what I'll love bet and that's it. So And
by the way, if there are none best sometimes the
best bet you can make is not making the bet
if you don't feel confident enough or the edge just
isn't there.
Speaker 1: Well, said Tim writes, this press guy's wearing a trucker hat.
How can you take advice from him? This hat cost
me one hundred dollars?
Speaker 4: Bite me.
Speaker 1: Love the fast and furious nature of this show.
Speaker 3: So do I thank you?
Speaker 4: Solutions.
Speaker 1: I think it's super fun. Out of the Westgate Doo
and Canella Crawford, Joe said they.
Speaker 4: Did really, really well.
Speaker 1: And then we had Gark Garrig's say called us a
tedious presentation. That's an interesting word joke, edious presentation that
would suggest it's slow, methodical, boring. I don't understand the
use of that adjective. Listen, I understand if you don't
like the presentation. But I don't think that's the right
adjectives and me next are not passe, says Jack Lugar.
Speaker 3: Thank you, Jo.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yes, and that's why Joe's wearing a crew neck today.
Speaker 3: Ah, that's what that's what was playing. Press Jesus.
Speaker 4: Is that a true Is that a True Classic?
Speaker 3: Yes? No, this is a Travis Matthew. This is more
than your hat.
Speaker 1: Okay, yes, okay, Well I suggest you buy True Classic.
It's like thirty bucks and it looks the same.
Speaker 4: Fun show, Joe.
Speaker 1: Make sure, Joe, you haven't heeled your hair in at
least an hour, so head over to the bathroom and
get that gel in done. Awesome, what a show. Thank
you for watching.
Speaker 3: Everyone.
Speaker 1: Make sure to hit the like button to make sure
to take advantage of that insane offer. Five percent play
is thirty five bucks. It's a dollar to you if
you've never purchased from wager Talk.
Speaker 4: Use the promo code new pres Joe. Thanks for doing this.
We'll see you tomorrow. Guys. Let's all win together.
Speaker 3: Tedious