Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody?
Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of Prophet Picks. If you are new,
we do always start the show by being transparent. Yesterday
I took a step backwards. I had the Houston Cougars
first half, and I didn't I mean, you know, I
didn't consider Senior night and then we would have, you know,
two starters that were not usual and they got out
the gate very slow. They were down like close to
ten points right out the gate, and we're not able
to recover fast enough.
Speaker 1: So that was a loser.
Speaker 2: One. I was frustrated with the Bucks did end up
taking the Bucks that went up by seventeen ended up
losing by eighteen, Like.
Speaker 1: What the hell happened? There?
Speaker 3: So two losers.
Speaker 2: The one winner I took was the Pacers and Clippers
over two twenty seven and a half. You know, hopefully
we did a little bit better than my one and
two day yesterday.
Speaker 4: Yeah, yesterday was good. It could have been five and one,
but it wound up four four in two. College was
two and zero. Boy, Florida State gave me a little
bit of concern at the end, but we won't get
into that. But the NBA and the reason why I
say it could have been five and one because I
had Portland team total over one twenty two and a
half and they got to one twenty two, So we
got hooked in. The Portland game came close, but we
did get the Atlanta Milwaukee game ski. I had full
game over, so I included the Atlanta side, and we
got their full game over pretty easy. Where Milwaukee's concerned,
real quick. I will say this because the other day
I had their team total or maybe at full game
total against Toronto.
Speaker 3: It was over the weekend.
Speaker 4: They scored sixty six in the first half and didn't
get to one hundred for the game. Last night they
had seventy one at half and barely scored in the
second half. So there's something going. I mean, I don't
know what Glenn's halftime adjustments are, but they must be. Hey, listen,
don't score in the second half, because that one kind
of got Milwaukee both team total wise and sidewise. The
other winner last night was the one I left here,
and it was my biggest play of the night. Clippers
team total over one twenty got the one thirty forty
two point first quarter, never in doubt had Okac. As
a matter of fact, last night they got beat. Now
that I think about it, I had them laying four.
They won by three.
Speaker 3: That one made me mad.
Speaker 4: See, I don't want to ramble too much here. We
got a lot to talk about, but that one made
me mad. Plus seven with a minute nineteen left. SGA
never sees the ball again on three possessions. It's either
lou Dort running people over and fouling out or chet
half ass in a three pointer. That doesn't you know,
they don't get folded on anything. Only put the ball
in SGA's hands. For goodness sakes, he's the only guy
at the end of the game. I've said it before
about that team. I'll say it again. They do have
Jared McCain now, but Isaiah Joe only pure shooter on
that team. They don't have shooters. They got scores, but
they do not have shooters. And at the end of
that game, I was like, man, I don't want the
bail in anybody's hands. But Shay's didn't work out that way.
So let's get out to today.
Speaker 1: Enough of my ramp, all right, let's get it.
Speaker 2: We have a good amount of games. I don't even
know that we should start at this one. I mean
how much time do we want to waste on the
tankathon Jazz versus the Wizards. Wizards are now four and
a half point favorite. Yeah, I'm not wasting a whole
lot of time here. It's over or nothing for me,
and I'm pretty sure it's.
Speaker 1: Going to be nothing. You know what do you got?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 4: I would say over or nothing. Jazz scheduled pretty tough
at the Backs played Philly extreme. You want to know
how bad the Jazz want to lose. They're winning that
game with fifty seconds left to give up six straight
points to lose. So I mean like they looked up
at the scoreboard clock and said, hell, no, you guys
score So you don't want either side. Trey Young will
play on a minute restriction tonight. I think I saw
seventeen to twenty minutes. But it would be over or
nothing in that game for me too.
Speaker 2: All right, MAVs and the Magic, this one open mind
is eight and it's up to nine total right around
the opener. You have Anthony Black questionable, Window Carter questionable,
Isaac is questionable, Franz Wagner out for the MAVs. Clay
and Najie Marshall are both probable. Cooper Flag, Brandon Williams
both questionable and no Badley.
Speaker 1: I don't know. I feel like.
Speaker 2: I didn't make some money with the Magic the other day,
but I just I hesitate a little bit with them here.
And it's not like the MAVs have been great, but
the MAVs have also been very injured. You could get
Cooper Flag back out there amongst you know, they've been
getting guys back little by little. Could be the healthiest
Maths team we've seen in a while, and that could
be enough to stay within the number.
Speaker 1: That's my thought right now. What do you think here
of being on MAVs and Magic.
Speaker 3: Schedule has been hard? Right?
Speaker 4: I think this is fourth and six for Dallas as
they get on this road trip. But I think the
other day we talked about it was the first of
a six game road trip they got trounced by Charlotte.
I know you had a number the other day, or
maybe it was just a not a number, but something.
You remember that Orlando against sub five hundred competition has
been really good at covering numbers. Orlando's on rest here.
I could see them getting the best of Dallas here too.
Dallas obviously not allowed to play for a very a
ton to lose for if they do get flag back, maybe,
but I don't think the only way I could look
here is Orlando. I just want to go back really
quick to the Washington Utah game for half a second.
Since we came out of the break, Washington has done
nothing but play above five hundred teams. It's first time
they get to play a sub five hundre the team
since they played Indianna. And I think they beat Indiana
twice back to back. So maybe Washington does pick on
Mousi teams.
Speaker 3: We'll see.
Speaker 2: I have to say MAVs the Magic beat up on
the less stands. The MAVs could be better than the
lest stand tonight if everybody's available.
Speaker 1: That's just my thought.
Speaker 2: If they're available, there's no way I could lay with
the Magic here. And I really, I really prefer the Mask.
Speaker 1: The mass.
Speaker 2: What they play tomorrow is it? Yeah, they play tomorrow,
But MAVs aren't looking ahead branded games the Magic they do.
It's the last game of a homestand I don't know
if you know, I want to try to get there
with the Mavericks, but I guess I need I need
more time and I need the injury report to.
Speaker 1: Shore up all right.
Speaker 2: Next game of Warriors and Rockets opened up minus nine
and a half and it's down to eight and a
half total, open two fifteen and a half and it's
down as low as two thirteen. Injury report for the Warriors,
Gary Payton is questionable, No Seth, Steph Moody, Porzingis or
Will Richard. For Rockets, Shangoon is questionable. Jabari Smith Junior
is questionable. I mean Thompson's questionable. I mean, it's a
lot could be missing for this Rockets team. How the
hell are you laying close to double digits. We're gonna
be missing all these guys or potentially missing all these guys.
I mean, the Warriors are not our team that's gonna
give up. They're not a team that's gonna tank, regardless
if they're stretches where they don't play well or not.
You know, as far as where Steph curries out of
his career, it's no tanking seasons.
Speaker 1: And I just think you're.
Speaker 2: Gonna get a really good effort from the Warriors, and
both teams are arrested. The Rockets, I think play tomorrow
who they play, They play the Blazers, tomorrow. It's like
they really have a look ahead. But I just I
could only take the Warriors here.
Speaker 1: What do you think they know?
Speaker 4: It's so different than the first time they played this year,
which was so long ago it seems like another season.
But Houston was out for revenge from the playoffs. In
that one, they held Golden State to like a hundred
points I think, or maybe less than one hundred points
in that game.
Speaker 3: Everybody played the guys.
Speaker 4: That played in that game for Golden State. I mean
Steph and Jimmy, even reserves Will Richard and Moody played
in that game. They couldn't get to a hundred. But
this just has such a different feel like Houston thinks
that's ay. I'm sure they're just resting guys because of it.
It's the front end of a back to back, But
they don't have seem to have the killer instinct I
will say, or want to win, desire to win, or
approve a point like they did the first time around.
So yes, you could see the underdog.
Speaker 3: Here's what we know.
Speaker 4: Golden State's gonna shoot forty or more threes. If those
threes go in, you want to be on Golden State.
If they're not going in, then this game's an under,
which is where people have bet this thing already.
Speaker 3: I think I just saw SKI two thirty.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm looking right now too, thirteen and a half
off of the opener of two fifteen and a half,
little downward movement on the Houston side.
Speaker 3: I don't know.
Speaker 4: I could see either one of those thought processes here.
If you think Golden State's gonna shoot it well because
Houston's resting guys, I could see plus eight and a half.
If you think that they're just gonna chuck and Houston's
out there for the thrill of it, I could see
under as well.
Speaker 3: So I probably wouldn't play that game. There's too much
going on there for me.
Speaker 2: Rockets are ten and sixteen as a home favorite, and
they could be potentially without guys. I see Brian saying that.
I I don't know. If I say the guys are out,
they're not out yet. They're questionable. Three guys questionable, but
you know, intensally missing those guys and you're already not
getting this role really makes me want to look there.
There's one more thing I just wanted to check here.
That three you're talking about three point line, so I'm
just double checking some three point numbers. All right, I'm
not going to hold it up any longer. But I
like the Warriors here. I think the Warriors are the
right side in this game. Next one we have nets
and heat. Didn't we just have this game? It's and
I didn't want to look at it. Then I don't
want to look at it again. Now, I mean, I
got nothing to say here. I want nothing to do
with this game. You know, anything you got for him
on nets.
Speaker 3: And you don't be so hasty. Now let me look.
I looked at it the other day.
Speaker 4: Cash for the Miami team total over the same exact price,
ski the same thing one nineteen and a half, one
nineteen and a half again again here tonight they got
to one twenty four the other day. Don't see why
that doesn't happen again. So I was involved early on
in this game playing Miami's team total over one nineteen
and a half for all the reasons that I said
the other day, Miami pace Brooklyn's not caring much. We
don't have to continue on. But I did play the
game so we can get onto Detroit, San Antonio.
Speaker 2: Now, yeah, that's enough with that garbage.
Speaker 3: I'm turning garbage into gold around here.
Speaker 2: Ski, Yeah, you can do that. I'll take my cat
to you. You Pistons and Spurs is so much better.
One here opened up three and a half, hasn't really
moved total right around the opener as well as far
as an injury report, and I.
Speaker 1: Should probably refresh.
Speaker 2: Actually, yeah, so as far as injury report, I don't
see anybody on there for the Pistons.
Speaker 1: For the Spurs, Harrison.
Speaker 2: Barnes, Ingram and Plumbley looked like they missed this game.
Speaker 1: Spurs.
Speaker 2: It's a tough spot for them coming They are coming
off a forty point win. Say that, but it's the
first game home off of a what I think a
five game road trip there, and it's the front of
a back to back for them. Pretty tough interesting spot
for the Spurs. Have been playing good basketball though. The Pistons,
I'm pretty sure they've covered. Yeah, they's seven and oh
as a road underdog so far.
Speaker 1: You know it?
Speaker 2: Is it just one plus win equals two? Is this
the Pistons covered the spread? Or what are you looking
at in this game?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 4: I thought the most important thing when I looked at it, Ski,
was the schedule for seeing Antonio. They had to close
that road trip out with a win. I think they
had lost the prior game. They also lost to the
Knicks on that road trip, and Philly didn't have him
be that night. They just ran Philly off the court.
Now we talk about it all the time. Again, first
home game after a long road trip. I don't want
san Antonio Detroit again. It's repetitive. They play hard against everybody.
They have the front behind the matchup, They have the
physicality to match up. They probably have the depth to
match up. One thing san Antonio usually has over other
teams is it's they're so deep with quality players coming
off the bench. Detroit's the same way. I think Detroit
might be right they you know, they have to test
the waters all season long. Where they're at right now,
especially against Western powers like san Antonio. I fully believe
Detroit will come ready to play. I'm tilted that direction.
Haven't played it yet, but I do have Detroit plus
the three and a half as a potential play here today.
Speaker 1: Detroit plus three and a half, yeah, I get it.
Speaker 4: Well.
Speaker 2: Two things are holding me up. One I hate betting
against the Spurs. Two I need Spurs wins still for futures,
and I really hate to root against that, and I'd
be really pissed off.
Speaker 1: I could make.
Speaker 2: Myself really upset tonight, but I'm betting aside that makes
me want to stay away. The total is pretty appealing though,
Like these are two of the number two and number
three defensive ready teams, right the spot that I talked
about for the Spurs.
Speaker 1: I like to think that that's gonna.
Speaker 2: You know, and then that forty point win that they had,
they shot forty percent from three, and I'll come back
home after that long road trip.
Speaker 1: I think the offense is gonna be flat.
Speaker 2: I think the defense can still show up, especially in
the top matchup like this, So regression on offense is
what I'm thinking here, and two really good defensive teams,
so I think under if I had to play the
side out play Pistons. Next, we have Raptors and t
Wolves opening up minus seven for the Wolves is we'll
call it four and a half, tot open two twenty
seven and a half down to two twenty five, and
we did get it ANT downgraded, right, so let's just.
Speaker 1: Where we can have that.
Speaker 2: I don't see there yet. ANT questionable Clark is questionable.
Ingles is out, Rhino, you have Ingram questionable cnb out.
I mean, I think that Ingram is more important to
me to the Raptors. If I want to cover a
point spread, then ANT with the Wolves. Like I've seen
this Wolves team play pretty pretty good and you know,
cover games without Ant. It would make me scared to
death to back the Raptors if Ingram is rolled out
in this game. And I was the guy who was
leaning the Raptors, you know, all day, but I told
you was holding me up. What do you think you're you.
Speaker 4: Know well, and you wanted to back the Raptors at
the opener of seven Minnesota second worst points per a
team in the league. You've gone over to a number
of times, especially when they're laying points in the seven
plus range, not necessarily four and a half. But they
don't cover spread twenty six and thirty six against the spread.
They're only eleven and seventeen at home against the spread
as a favorite, so it's not a good role for
them to begin with. And Toronto, if nothing else, has
been playing pretty solid defense. Did lose or not lose,
But we had Toronto, New York on the show the
other day and I was building a foundation for Toronto
which didn't come true. The Knicks just happened to own
that team this year. I thought there were a lot
of things going for Toronto in that game that didn't happen.
Now they take to the road. I always think that
the first game of road trip is the most important one,
so I would expect them to be motivated here. I
just I wish I was getting seven rather than four
and a half. Agree on Ingram his length to on
the defensive side is a little bit bothersome. I'm not
interested anymore Ski, but I can think of anti Minnesota
stuff all day long.
Speaker 2: In this case, yeah, the I mean obviously the opening number.
But you know, in the NBA nowadays, I'd rather have
certainty with the lineup, you know, than trying to, you know,
rush to go be the number. So if you know
I missed out and I missed out, I'm not betting
the Raptors without Inger. I'm telling you right now, I'm
not doing it. All right, Sons and Bulls, open up.
Mine's eleven and a half for the Suns down to
ten and a half total right around the opener for
this game. For injuries, I mean Dylan Brooks is out,
Good one is out, Williams is out for the Bulls.
Boozelli's Skiddy are both questionable. Smith and Williams are doubtful.
Ivy and Simon's are out. Seems like too much banged up,
too much. I mean, I can understand, I mean the
injury report why the Sons are just big of a favorite.
But it doesn't mean I'll bet them. So if I
have to play this game, maybe it's the Suns. I
would ask you this, you know, would you rather bet
on the Suns defense or offense for this game?
Speaker 4: Or is it just yeah, I did bet and I
bet on their offense. It's probably a little both. Ski
I faded Chicago's defense and bet on the Suns offense.
With Booker back, now, for a couple of games one
seventeen and a half, Bulls haven't played any defense. They
have since the last couple of games. Chicago's offense Scots
showed some life, but they were lifeless like the five prior.
That's what kept me off full game, especially potentially no
giddy kept me off full game total.
Speaker 3: Rather isolate Phoenix.
Speaker 4: I think they could get into the one twenties against
this defense. At home here tonight. So for me, it's
Phoenix over one seventeen and a half team total already
played it, so there's no getting out of it now.
Speaker 3: What was the number one's seventeen and a half?
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, it is very very doable. Dropping Dome seems
to agree with you in the chat, so seems like
a good player right there. Lakers and Nuggets opened up five.
Still looks like five. Total did go up a little
bit from two thirty eight and a half to two
forty one to forty one and a half. As far
as the injuries, Cam Johnson's questionable, Aaron Gordon is out,
Jones Watson both out as well. For the Lakers, Maxi
Pleiba is questionable. You know, I had to talk about,
you know, Adamman, you know, saying the Nuggets need to
play some defense, and they were doing it, and maybe
he got to a spot where, you know, it was
just too much fatigue built up and they gave up
one to twenty five to the Jazz. I'd like to
think that after two days off, they get back to
trying to play some of that defense. Can't we trust
the Lakers to play any defense? Though the Lakers have
held their past three opponents under one oh five, although
they have been the best opponents. So I'm curious here,
you know, do you think it's more undergame overgame? The
market think's over? What do you how you see it?
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's still hard for me to get to anything
Denver underrelated. I mean the last three games, Okay, see
was over time. I get it, but they still gave
up one twenty seven, come back and give up one
seventeen to the to the Timberwolves, and then, like you say,
on the back to back situation with travel, they gave
up one twenty five to you. So I probably just
went through the motions. But until Aaron Gordon comes back,
and you know, we made this comment a while back.
With the injury list, it took a lot of defense
away from this team, a lot of energy away from
this team. They're good offensively, still not good defensively. It
is the front end of a back to back. They
have the Knicks coming in here tomorrow. I don't know
that one game is more important to Denver than the other.
You would assume that the Laker game would be more
important because it's Western Conference, but I think they're both
of pretty strong importance. We'll see if they rest anybody
tomorrow night. Denver hasn't been a team to rest players
in the second of back to backs, probably because they've
just been so depth shy that you can't. I couldn't
get to an under here in this game. I almost
I'd say I didn't play it, but I almost took
the Lakers plus the points, just thinking that I couldn't
trust Denver to stop anybody. But as soon as I
say that, on the other side of my brain says,
you can't trust the Lakers to stop anybody either, So
maybe I should be playing over here. We'll see if
Adaman's plea. His plea is definitely for them to go
anywhere in the playoffs, they need to play defense just
I don't know, maybe it was fatigue Ski, but they
don't show me except for one small spot against the
Celtics I think it was or whoever they the.
Speaker 2: Defense in that game versus the Thunder that was. That
was a dead nuts under game. So it really was
like I had no clue how they even got to
the overtime and got all those points. It was a
dead under defensive game. And after that overtime, playing on
the back to back. You give it one to twenty
five to the Jazz. I can't fought you for that.
I like under I like Underveno. They neither team playing
with pace here last five games you got what. I'm sorry.
This is not last five games on the season. Either
team plays a pace, but last five games twenty second
and sixteenth. Last five games, like I said, Lakers, at
least the last three games have been playing better defense.
I think it's a defensive game. Yeah, I like, I
like the under right. Last game on a slate, another
disaster game, Pelicans and Kings. I guess it's better than
some of the other ones. Opened a four and a half,
up as high as six and a half. Now total
also up from two thirty one and a half to
two thirty five. Keeping it, I mean, Murphy and Zion
are questionable. Murray's out. So that makes me really not
want to play the game, because I was leaning Pelicans
and over before I saw that. For the Kings, Cartwell's out,
Murray's out. This is an easy, easy stay away Rob,
you know, but do you have anything you can recommend
in Pelicans and Kings?
Speaker 3: Not here? I don't ski. I'm with you.
Speaker 4: That's probably and plus this one would just keep me
up till one in the morning trying to cash. I
don't need to be up to one in the morning
watching this beg and for a winner. So I had
a couple other things I like better. Really nothing to
add here. I mean probably if somebody had the proverbial
gun to head, it would be total over or nothing.
And neither of these teams are good at the defensive end.
And for what it's worth, Sacramento did beat Dallas and
Memphis teams in the same category as as New Orleans
two thirty seven and two fifty one in those two games.
It's part of their last five. The other three in
those last five are Houston, Lakers and Phoenix, so no
shame in losing those. But the two times they got
a team and in this weight class New Orleans, they
did win them both and both did go over.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm done with that one.
Speaker 4: Be no.
Speaker 3: Close the book on that one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, best bedtime.
Speaker 2: But before we do, I was trying to just double
check some of these promos because I still still was slacking.
Speaker 1: But what was it the same? Right?
Speaker 2: The three buy a three day, you get three days
for free. So if you like to be involved with
Ralphie or myself. That is a good way to do it.
Other than that, you know, I'm going to pass it
to you and ask you if there's anything else you'd
like to promote, and if you have a best.
Speaker 1: Bet for the show, feel free.
Speaker 2: I mean, if you have the best bet for a show,
we'd love to hear it.
Speaker 1: If you have more promo, feel free.
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know we're coming up on it. It's more
appropriate for it tomorrow than it is for today. But
it continue to offer Weekend Warrior All Sports packaged so
you can get all the NBA and all the college
for just forty nine for a full Saturday and Sunday,
which will be loaded this Saturday and Sunday. As far
as College coopid NBA are concerned, so that we could
talk a little bit more about that tomorrow, but that
still is on the board offer from Wager Talk.
Speaker 3: Here's ski. I'm gonna make it simple. I won the
other night.
Speaker 4: I don't see why I wouldn't win tonight again. With
Miami team total over one nineteen and a half against Brooklyn,
Miami going.
Speaker 3: To do what they dout.
Speaker 4: Miami's still in a divisional battle here, not the division
means everything, conference standings mean more, but they still have
an opportunity here inside their division while Atlanta is on
a hot streak and Orlando stumbles around. So I like
the heat to take advantage of Brooklyn's defense here in
a big way. Team total over one nineteen and a half.
Speaker 2: Very good stuff, Ravino for myself. Yeah, if you I
mean basketball has been going pretty well, I think I'm up.
I'm around maybe fifty six or fifty seven units on basketball.
I did lose yesterday, but again I haven't made a play,
and then I have a lot that I'm looking at.
I just I've been doing pretty good taking my time.
Something stands out and I have to bet it right away.
Speaker 1: I will. I don't like giving out best that I.
Speaker 2: Haven't made, so broke down the games. I told you
what I'm looking at. I'm just gonna leave it like
that for today. You know, I appreciate you taking the
time to break the games down with me. That's my process.
I'm sure we help everybody else out there as well
and chat. We appreciate you all tuning in supporting the show,
bringing the winners that you know, you guys research as well.
A lot of great cappers and just great people, so
we appreciate you, the best of luck everybody on all
your action, and we'll be back again tomorrow