1
00:00:02,879 --> 00:00:05,679
Speaker 1: Welcome in to Wager talks. Last call, Kelly Vegas. I

2
00:00:05,679 --> 00:00:08,000
finally got my office back, just in time for a

3
00:00:08,279 --> 00:00:12,359
massive college basketball slay today, So excited to get into.

4
00:00:12,400 --> 00:00:14,800
We've got the Greek gambler, Yanni, the Greek who got

5
00:00:14,839 --> 00:00:16,920
hacked on X. I'm going to scold him about that

6
00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:20,399
live on air as well. Guys, do not ever click

7
00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:22,440
a message from a DM. I don't care if you

8
00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:25,600
know anybody or not. Well, DM, yes, but the link

9
00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:28,760
in the DM three and three on the short plays

10
00:00:28,839 --> 00:00:30,559
last night from Mark to Caesar. I have not gotten

11
00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:33,359
a text from him yet for today, but we know

12
00:00:33,439 --> 00:00:36,159
there's going to be at least fifteen or twenty plays

13
00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:38,280
coming in, and when they do, I will drop them

14
00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:40,560
in the chat. Let's bring in the Greek gambler. I

15
00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:42,600
know we've got some UFC today. We've got some other

16
00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:45,039
fun stuff today. VR. Thank you for always joining us

17
00:00:45,079 --> 00:00:48,079
so early out there on the West coast. All jokes aside,

18
00:00:48,119 --> 00:00:49,439
are we going to get your X back?

19
00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:50,320
Speaker 2: I don't know.

20
00:00:50,679 --> 00:00:55,359
Speaker 3: I about my personal assistant heavily working on it since yesterday.

21
00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:59,920
She's contacted back and forth, like sending picture of driver's life,

22
00:01:00,119 --> 00:01:03,039
saying showing the UFC stuff like this is his.

23
00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:05,439
Speaker 2: Account doing whatever she can.

24
00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:10,959
Speaker 3: They've sent back like robot responses, but after like she's

25
00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:13,760
contacted like doing a bunch of AI stuff and it's

26
00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:16,719
saying like that's the first couple of responses you get.

27
00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:20,840
It's robot. But if you keep persisting and can prove

28
00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:22,920
it to you, you'll get it back. So she's gonna

29
00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:26,599
keep trying and hopefully I get it back. But they

30
00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:28,480
sent me a thing to start a new one, and

31
00:01:28,519 --> 00:01:30,359
I'm like, I ain't doing it, absolutely not.

32
00:01:30,599 --> 00:01:33,000
Speaker 1: I had a contact over next for a very long time,

33
00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:36,879
who I'm going to bother today and say, somebody over

34
00:01:36,879 --> 00:01:38,359
there said I.

35
00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:41,519
Speaker 3: Haven't reached out to the UFC Social media department see

36
00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:44,079
if they can help yet. But I'm taping a show

37
00:01:44,159 --> 00:01:46,920
there next week, so I figured shakes till then I'll

38
00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:49,159
go into that department see if somebody can help me.

39
00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:52,640
Speaker 2: But yeah, it is what it is. I'm just hoping

40
00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:53,280
nobody else.

41
00:01:53,079 --> 00:01:57,040
Speaker 3: Gets burned from mint to someone else's. Yeah, that's all

42
00:01:57,079 --> 00:01:59,480
I care more about because I got burned because it

43
00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:03,719
came from A and yeah you know, yeah.

44
00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:06,040
Speaker 1: Yep, it is unfortunate, but that is how those A am.

45
00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:07,040
Speaker 4: And it's such a busy day.

46
00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:09,639
Speaker 3: The only good thing is it's it's taken away time

47
00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:13,400
that I would spend on social media, so like now

48
00:02:13,439 --> 00:02:16,280
I'm not checking at all at all at all, and

49
00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:19,560
daylight day today with so much college basketball, the added

50
00:02:19,599 --> 00:02:22,680
board is so huge now row and down this stuff

51
00:02:22,759 --> 00:02:24,400
is the hardest part.

52
00:02:25,439 --> 00:02:27,520
Speaker 2: So yeah, that's what I've been doing all morning.

53
00:02:27,599 --> 00:02:30,199
Speaker 3: So it's going to be a good, good busy weekend

54
00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:31,680
with or without my Twitter.

55
00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:35,000
Speaker 1: If you guys have a question for VR, drop it

56
00:02:35,039 --> 00:02:36,639
in the chat. Of course, the full court for US

57
00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:38,479
guys are going to join us in about fifteen minutes.

58
00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:41,240
Rob Vino Adam Trigger. Those guys do a daily college

59
00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:43,159
basketball show, so we'll get into the weeds of some

60
00:02:43,199 --> 00:02:45,639
of those college basketball games, including some of the extra

61
00:02:45,759 --> 00:02:48,800
games VR. Last week I wrote down your power ratings.

62
00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:54,039
I need to know if things have changed. Duke Houston, Michigan, Florida, Arizona.

63
00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:58,439
Michigan just smacked Illinois last night. I mentioned arts sharp

64
00:02:58,439 --> 00:03:00,680
plays went three and three. Illinois was on that list.

65
00:03:00,759 --> 00:03:03,360
I like Dillanois. I kind of wondered if it got

66
00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:05,479
a little too trendy of an underdog because they had

67
00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,479
owned Michigan as of late, at least like the last

68
00:03:08,479 --> 00:03:13,280
four seasons, Man, Michigan looks good. Are we am I

69
00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:15,919
overreacting to that one game sample side? Should we be

70
00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:18,000
moving them above Houston or Duke?

71
00:03:18,759 --> 00:03:21,080
Speaker 2: No, no, no, no, no, no, nobody above Duke.

72
00:03:21,159 --> 00:03:24,039
Speaker 3: Nobody's above the Duke's two points better than everybody else.

73
00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:29,960
Speaker 2: Call Duke. Duke is literally two points better than everyone else.

74
00:03:30,039 --> 00:03:34,000
Speaker 3: And finally the AP has gotten that right, and I

75
00:03:34,159 --> 00:03:38,080
now agree with them, with Arizona behind them, because Arizona's

76
00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:40,599
had a tougher strength of schedule than Duke, tougher strength

77
00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:43,240
of scheduled than Houston. The only one that's had a

78
00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:47,000
tougher strength of scheduled than Arizona is Michigan and Florida.

79
00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:49,800
That's why I give Michigan and Florida so much respect.

80
00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:54,919
So I have Arizona number two, and then I'll move

81
00:03:55,039 --> 00:04:02,120
Michigan above Houston, Florida above. That's the difference we're bringing.

82
00:04:02,479 --> 00:04:07,599
We're bringing Houston down. We're bringing Houston down. Great defense,

83
00:04:07,719 --> 00:04:11,240
number one defense, but that's against about the twentieth strength

84
00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,919
of schedule, and it's that offense that's just so far beyond.

85
00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:16,560
Speaker 2: They're barely top sixty.

86
00:04:17,079 --> 00:04:18,680
Speaker 3: And that's going to be a problem when you get

87
00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:21,800
the march madness because you got teams like Duke that's,

88
00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:24,800
you know, top three in defense. You have Purdue that's

89
00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:28,680
you know, a top ten defense. I Aloway State, Tennessee, Connecticut.

90
00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:31,879
Those are all top five, top ten defenses. But they

91
00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,680
have better offensive side of the ball. And that's the

92
00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:38,519
problem I'm seeing with Houston that the offense just isn't

93
00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:41,079
getting there. Like all season, I've been waiting for that

94
00:04:41,160 --> 00:04:44,560
offensive rating to improve, and it's just not. Like I said,

95
00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:47,120
they're barely in the top sixty in efficiency.

96
00:04:48,399 --> 00:04:50,600
Speaker 1: Okay, let's kind of get into some of this public

97
00:04:50,639 --> 00:04:52,759
sharp stuff. I know these guys love to hear it.

98
00:04:53,519 --> 00:04:56,560
John Ewing always posts the bet MGM split, so I

99
00:04:56,560 --> 00:04:59,560
always find those really interesting. Of course, the number one

100
00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:03,160
play from tickets and money is that Duke team today.

101
00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,240
Are you seeing the same thing on your side of

102
00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:07,079
the computer screen?

103
00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:10,839
Speaker 2: No, Wow, that Duke is the most one sided.

104
00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:14,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, the most tickets and money. No.

105
00:05:14,879 --> 00:05:16,839
Speaker 3: I see a lot of volume on that game called

106
00:05:16,879 --> 00:05:19,000
but that's not what I'm seeing. In fact, I'm seeing

107
00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:23,720
the opposite. I'm seeing Virginia getting bad. I'm seeing Virginia

108
00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:28,839
even on teasers like getting them up to fifteen or whatever,

109
00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:32,399
so I'm yeah, I'm not getting that. Again, It's not

110
00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:35,399
like totally one sided Virginia, but this is a spot

111
00:05:35,399 --> 00:05:37,120
where you would expect to see the number one team

112
00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:39,839
in the country getting the money, and it's just not

113
00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:42,439
the case. And I think that's why you're not seeing

114
00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:45,319
like any kind of huge line movement. It was sitting

115
00:05:45,319 --> 00:05:48,399
at like nine and a half ten this morning, still

116
00:05:48,399 --> 00:05:50,839
around there. I mean even nine and a half's are juiced,

117
00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:54,959
so it's kind of like tens. Yeah, not huge line movement,

118
00:05:55,399 --> 00:05:57,600
but yeah, I'm getting a little more Virginia, and I

119
00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:00,519
think like even the line reflects that little bit because

120
00:06:00,519 --> 00:06:03,560
the opener was like ten and a half. So yeah,

121
00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:06,240
and maybe their shop is getting that Duke money. Wow,

122
00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:09,040
that's interesting. I haven't bet that game myself. I actually

123
00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:13,240
my power rating made Duke kel a twelve, and it's

124
00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:16,480
the line move towards Virginia that's kept me off it.

125
00:06:17,439 --> 00:06:21,240
Otherwise I'd be looking the fire on Duke. But there's

126
00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:25,959
more than enough, like great spots with better I ev

127
00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:28,279
I thought than Duke at minus nine and a half,

128
00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:30,480
So I just passed on that.

129
00:06:31,199 --> 00:06:33,720
Speaker 1: I will say, I just got a text from Art

130
00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:35,720
to Caesar and I am trying to put in some

131
00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:37,600
of these plays right now. I forwarded to you that

132
00:06:37,759 --> 00:06:41,079
was the background there, so you've got it as well.

133
00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:45,120
And they did play Virginia plus ten. So Virginia plus

134
00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:49,600
ten was BET find that very very interesting as well.

135
00:06:49,639 --> 00:06:50,959
There is a mirror out of games.

136
00:06:50,959 --> 00:06:51,240
Speaker 4: Guys.

137
00:06:51,399 --> 00:06:53,160
Speaker 1: We're gonna finish up with VR. I'm gonna drop him

138
00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,279
in the chat. We're gonna go over some things with

139
00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:57,839
the full Court Press guys here in a minute. But

140
00:06:57,879 --> 00:07:01,079
I wanted to see what else VR. You're seeing one

141
00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:03,920
sided action on your side of the screen again. You

142
00:07:03,959 --> 00:07:07,519
know VR's got his books that he's able to look into.

143
00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:09,839
I'm bringing stuff from the West Gates Superbook. I mentioned

144
00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:12,639
John Ewing. He's over at bet MGM. So each shop

145
00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:15,160
is independent. And I know a lot of people are

146
00:07:15,959 --> 00:07:17,519
not going to agree with that, but it's true, right,

147
00:07:17,519 --> 00:07:19,439
and a lot of them right. If we've got a

148
00:07:19,519 --> 00:07:23,079
Vegas book, right, superbook is only in Vegas. They are

149
00:07:23,079 --> 00:07:26,439
taking sharp action, and they are taking tourist action, probably

150
00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:28,319
a little bit of local guys, right, But I would

151
00:07:28,319 --> 00:07:30,519
consider that to be a little bit of Sharp Action

152
00:07:30,600 --> 00:07:33,160
as well. Yeah, VR, how do you differentiate between a

153
00:07:33,199 --> 00:07:37,680
book like that versus a we'll call it a national book,

154
00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:40,399
a bet MGM, a Draft Kings, a fandel where they're

155
00:07:40,439 --> 00:07:44,079
getting this kind of information amongst multiple states.

156
00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:45,639
Speaker 2: Great, great question.

157
00:07:45,959 --> 00:07:48,759
Speaker 3: I'm going to respect Westgate and that's why I have

158
00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:52,279
them on my Odds Logic screen up near the top,

159
00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:55,560
because they have an opinion. It's one of the rare

160
00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:58,279
books in twenty twenty six, as sad as it sounds,

161
00:07:58,319 --> 00:08:02,720
that has their own opinion on different markets. And in

162
00:08:02,759 --> 00:08:04,639
that case, I'm going to pay attention because if they're

163
00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:06,759
shading a line, I'm trying to figure out why are.

164
00:08:06,639 --> 00:08:09,759
Speaker 2: They off market? What's the reason? Is it sharp?

165
00:08:10,199 --> 00:08:12,920
Speaker 3: Is it a crap player that just wanted to bet

166
00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:14,920
two hundred thousand on his alma mater?

167
00:08:15,319 --> 00:08:16,240
Speaker 2: Like what am I? You know?

168
00:08:16,319 --> 00:08:19,279
Speaker 3: What am I seeing? Why are they off market? So

169
00:08:19,279 --> 00:08:23,920
I'm going to pay attention to Westgate's super book adjustment

170
00:08:24,319 --> 00:08:30,759
more than I would MGM. Caesar's DraftKings, where I know

171
00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:36,120
they're pushing away Sharp Action and their line moves a

172
00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:39,200
lot of time is going to be shaded towards public sides.

173
00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:42,799
And that's why if you like a dog. You tend

174
00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:46,000
to get more value in those what we call square

175
00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:50,000
shops because they'll shade that bias towards what their betters like,

176
00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,720
and they like favorites, they like the overs, and guys

177
00:08:52,759 --> 00:08:54,840
like me would go in and find some value on

178
00:08:54,879 --> 00:08:57,080
some unders and some dogs. But it's so hard to

179
00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:00,240
bet into those places that it's just not, you know,

180
00:09:00,679 --> 00:09:01,559
really possible.

181
00:09:01,759 --> 00:09:02,720
Speaker 2: So I'll look at.

182
00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:06,879
Speaker 3: Westgate and I'll pay attention when they shade and exactly

183
00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:07,360
try to.

184
00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:10,200
Speaker 2: Conclude why, Like I like the I love.

185
00:09:10,039 --> 00:09:13,919
Speaker 3: When I see kel Westgate off market, and then like

186
00:09:14,039 --> 00:09:17,759
my sharp book that I really respect off market, also

187
00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:20,039
like even a half a point if them tour have

188
00:09:20,159 --> 00:09:23,720
a point off everyone else, it matters to me, it

189
00:09:23,799 --> 00:09:26,360
matters they kind of like back in the day with Pinnacle,

190
00:09:26,639 --> 00:09:29,240
it mattered if they were even a half point off

191
00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:32,639
because of who they were booking. So yeah, pay attention

192
00:09:32,759 --> 00:09:35,840
to Westgate, especially when it comes to MMA. I know

193
00:09:35,879 --> 00:09:39,559
they barked, they booked sharp guys in MMA. I know

194
00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:43,000
they did so in college football and NFL as well,

195
00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:45,840
and I'm sure they got their college basketball sharps.

196
00:09:45,879 --> 00:09:50,759
Speaker 1: Also, all right, if you are really quickly as I

197
00:09:50,799 --> 00:09:53,159
look through some of this art stuff. Let everybody know

198
00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:56,639
what's going on over in the steam room today, we

199
00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:58,679
have a bunch of new insiders guys, if you want

200
00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:03,360
to join wager Talk Insiders, wt Dot Buzz Backslash Insiders

201
00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:05,919
two dollars ninety nine cents a month today. The steam

202
00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:09,039
room is for insiders and premium subscribers. Is that correct?

203
00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:09,200
Speaker 5: Help?

204
00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:10,399
Speaker 2: Yep, yep, yep.

205
00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:15,039
Speaker 3: Subscribers and insiders only today. So it's not going to

206
00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,840
be the huge room with a couple thousand people, which

207
00:10:17,879 --> 00:10:21,320
isn't a bad thing. So if that way a lot

208
00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:24,320
more intimate, meaning they could ask a lot more questions.

209
00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:25,120
Speaker 2: And this is what we do.

210
00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:27,639
Speaker 3: Kel we go over the last seven days, fortunately we've

211
00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:30,600
been profitable up about twelve units, will go over year

212
00:10:30,639 --> 00:10:34,039
to date profitable up around seventy units, and we'll talk

213
00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:37,399
about how we got there and the risk management to

214
00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:41,039
ensure that anyone that's partnered with me is also profitable,

215
00:10:41,039 --> 00:10:43,840
because I have one goal when December thirty first rolls around,

216
00:10:43,879 --> 00:10:45,879
to be one of the few people on the planet

217
00:10:45,879 --> 00:10:48,639
they could say we turned in a winning twenty twenty six.

218
00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:52,080
But it doesn't do me any good if my subscribers

219
00:10:52,120 --> 00:10:54,720
can't say the same. That's why the steam room's there,

220
00:10:54,879 --> 00:10:58,279
so that I can help guide them to profit to

221
00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:00,559
where I'm up seventy units for twenty time twenty six.

222
00:11:00,759 --> 00:11:04,200
There's no one that's joined with me since January first

223
00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:07,120
that should not be up. That's what we need to address.

224
00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,320
So if you're not up, there's nothing to be shy about.

225
00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:12,000
I'm there to answer questions and help get you on

226
00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:15,120
track so that you can be up with us. We'll

227
00:11:15,159 --> 00:11:17,559
get a lot of live information that comes in. As

228
00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:20,919
you can see, I've bet already probably twenty twenty five

229
00:11:21,039 --> 00:11:25,480
plus college basketball bets. You'll get all of that plus

230
00:11:25,639 --> 00:11:28,080
only three of those we're confirmed this premiums. Of course

231
00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:30,080
you're gonna get those. I have a five percent, only

232
00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:33,399
the second five percent of the college basketball season. I

233
00:11:33,440 --> 00:11:35,200
told you I was gonna wait till I was confident

234
00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:38,039
in those power ratings. That first one was last week.

235
00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:40,360
We won that one duke one out right for us,

236
00:11:40,399 --> 00:11:43,360
getting three points. I have another one that package isn't

237
00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:46,519
even up yet. That'll be up within probably like an

238
00:11:46,519 --> 00:11:48,519
hour before the steam room. And then, like I said,

239
00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:51,639
we'll go over all as many games as possible all

240
00:11:51,679 --> 00:11:55,399
the different markets. There's UFC as well. Today there's soccer,

241
00:11:55,799 --> 00:11:58,039
well that's in your Steam sheet. Like, there's so many

242
00:11:58,080 --> 00:12:01,279
different sports and I'll be in there to cover it

243
00:12:01,320 --> 00:12:04,039
all with subscribers, So make sure you're there one pm

244
00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:06,559
Eastern each and every Saturday.

245
00:12:06,799 --> 00:12:07,919
Speaker 2: As we move forward.

246
00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:12,039
Speaker 1: Yep, right here on the wager Talk YouTube channel. Everyone,

247
00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:13,840
if you always got a couple more minutes with you,

248
00:12:13,879 --> 00:12:16,080
Adam Trigger dislogged in, Rob Vina will be here in

249
00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:17,919
a minute. We're gonna get to some of these smaller

250
00:12:18,200 --> 00:12:19,919
market kind of stuff. So I want to go through

251
00:12:20,279 --> 00:12:22,840
some of the bigger games with UVR on this list

252
00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:26,600
from art. We already went over UVA. Duke you mentioned

253
00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:28,840
at nine and a half, you still even from a

254
00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:31,720
power ratings perspective, do like Duke. We can confirm that

255
00:12:31,759 --> 00:12:35,519
sharp Money was on UVA, and it seems like a

256
00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:39,279
lot of people are on Duke regardless. Sharp Square whatever

257
00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:41,440
kind of reminds me of that Michigan game a little

258
00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:43,879
bit last night. But here's a few other, I would

259
00:12:43,919 --> 00:12:47,879
say earlier games that are coming up. Cincinnati minus ten

260
00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:50,240
I thought was a real interesting one. That one moved

261
00:12:50,279 --> 00:12:52,679
up from nine and a half to ten. That one

262
00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:55,559
tips off here shortly let me get my odds logic

263
00:12:56,080 --> 00:12:59,720
off of the NBA. For whatever reason that I have

264
00:13:00,159 --> 00:13:02,799
on the arcad grief, I.

265
00:13:02,799 --> 00:13:06,279
Speaker 2: Like Cincinnati there kel I like Cincinnati. Power rating wise,

266
00:13:06,639 --> 00:13:10,159
I have they should be above of that double digit favorite,

267
00:13:10,159 --> 00:13:14,200
which they are, but up until it's not enough for

268
00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:15,200
me to pull the trigger.

269
00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:18,200
Speaker 3: Like power rating wise, I have them about eleven and

270
00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:21,200
I have twelve, So it would be Cincinnati or Pass,

271
00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:24,240
and I just don't have the conviction in Cincinnati looking

272
00:13:24,279 --> 00:13:27,600
at the matchup, digging into recency, how they're coming in

273
00:13:27,879 --> 00:13:29,879
to pull the trigger. Like I said, there's just so

274
00:13:30,000 --> 00:13:33,120
much options today where I'm looking in the lock in

275
00:13:33,159 --> 00:13:37,480
the very best positions. But yeah, I do like another

276
00:13:37,519 --> 00:13:40,320
spot where I like favorite or pass. I think Cincinnati

277
00:13:40,879 --> 00:13:43,240
should be a little bit higher favorite than they are here,

278
00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:44,840
and I think the record has a lot to do

279
00:13:44,919 --> 00:13:47,559
with it, just like the ap pole. You know, you

280
00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:50,679
look at these two teams record wise, you're surprised a

281
00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:55,440
team like Cincinnati's double digits, but power rating wise, it's warranted.

282
00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:58,440
Speaker 2: So I wasn't surprised to see it. I'd lay it

283
00:13:58,559 --> 00:13:59,360
or leave it alone.

284
00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:02,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I found a ten there are a minute ago. Now

285
00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:04,679
we're seeing ten and a halves and eleven. Make sure

286
00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:08,240
you guys shop around there. One of my big things

287
00:14:08,320 --> 00:14:11,639
is looking for teams that things that seem off right.

288
00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:13,639
So when I see a sharp group that agrees with

289
00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:14,840
me here and this was one of the games that

290
00:14:14,919 --> 00:14:17,960
was on my long list this morning. Was West Virginia

291
00:14:18,039 --> 00:14:20,159
catching just a couple of points there at home to

292
00:14:20,279 --> 00:14:23,799
BYU Right BYU's kind of had an interesting fall from

293
00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,679
grace over the last couple of weeks, but they're still

294
00:14:26,679 --> 00:14:29,000
a one and a half point favorite there at Morgantown

295
00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:32,120
tonight five thirty. That game takes off rotation number seven

296
00:14:32,159 --> 00:14:35,840
thirty one, seven thirty two. Any thoughts on this Big

297
00:14:35,840 --> 00:14:38,559
twelve matchup. I really like West Virginia was happy to

298
00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:40,519
see that the sharp group came on in it as well.

299
00:14:40,559 --> 00:14:43,159
From the Westgates Superbook.

300
00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:47,200
Speaker 3: I'm going to tell it to you, the wrong team's favored. Okay, again,

301
00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:51,240
I trust my numbers there, and I really do believe

302
00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:54,639
you have a spot where the wrong team is favored.

303
00:14:54,679 --> 00:14:59,399
And again not not surprising. It's so much narrative driven

304
00:14:59,519 --> 00:15:02,000
right now this time of the year, as we approach

305
00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:05,399
March madness. So I'm in total agreement with you. It's

306
00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:07,720
West Virginia or past. I think the points is a

307
00:15:07,759 --> 00:15:09,799
gift being able. If you could get it to two,

308
00:15:09,799 --> 00:15:12,080
it's worth buying a half a point up to minus

309
00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:12,759
one twenty two.

310
00:15:12,759 --> 00:15:13,840
Speaker 2: That's one of those half.

311
00:15:13,600 --> 00:15:16,240
Speaker 3: Points that's actually worth it where they let us buy

312
00:15:16,279 --> 00:15:18,519
it for ten cents and we should be paying eleven

313
00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:19,679
cents or twelve cents.

314
00:15:19,879 --> 00:15:20,720
Speaker 2: That's why for my.

315
00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:23,840
Speaker 3: Subscribers, whenever I see a spot where we could buy

316
00:15:23,919 --> 00:15:26,559
half a point where we're getting the discount, I do

317
00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:29,919
it just for that reason and so that they could

318
00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:33,679
start remembering it themselves. Oh wall, even in college basketball

319
00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:36,600
or NBA, this number actually matters, like taking it from

320
00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:39,440
three and a half to four actually matters. Where you know,

321
00:15:39,559 --> 00:15:42,240
we don't have key numbers in hoops like we do

322
00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:46,600
in the NFL and college football like we talk about them,

323
00:15:46,799 --> 00:15:49,120
but it does. There are some spots where buying a

324
00:15:49,159 --> 00:15:52,080
half point is advantageous, and taking it from one and

325
00:15:52,120 --> 00:15:52,559
a half to.

326
00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:54,960
Speaker 2: Two is one of those spots. So I'm with you, Air,

327
00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:56,879
Let's go West Virginia.

328
00:15:57,000 --> 00:15:58,639
Speaker 1: All right. There's a few more that we're going to

329
00:15:58,679 --> 00:16:00,840
go through on this list that I wanted your opinion

330
00:16:00,879 --> 00:16:04,960
on Texas catching three stood out to me as well.

331
00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,200
Here I have not been really that high on this

332
00:16:07,279 --> 00:16:09,600
Texas team. They've shown me some moments of greatness because

333
00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:13,159
they're Texas and they're loaded with talent per usual. Let

334
00:16:13,200 --> 00:16:16,960
me pull up that odds logic number there for you.

335
00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:21,600
They played it at three. Texas is currently two and

336
00:16:21,679 --> 00:16:24,879
a half two. They're at the super book even they

337
00:16:24,919 --> 00:16:27,000
moved off of that one at Texas A and M

338
00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:28,960
rotation number seven oh one, seven oh two.

339
00:16:29,759 --> 00:16:32,759
Speaker 3: All right, another game that I saw in the accounts,

340
00:16:32,799 --> 00:16:36,120
and that was Texas. I saw Texas at plus three

341
00:16:36,559 --> 00:16:38,679
in the accounts, and that's one of those spots as well.

342
00:16:38,679 --> 00:16:39,840
If you could take it up from two and a

343
00:16:39,879 --> 00:16:43,240
half to three at minus one twenty do it every time,

344
00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:47,960
even in college basketball. And also a note there, the

345
00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:51,799
public is on the A and M side, so the

346
00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:56,240
public's taken the short favorite there and the sharps are

347
00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:59,440
Texas plus three in the accounts. So yeah, that's one

348
00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:02,480
of those. Duke's about to get hit. If you look

349
00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:05,279
at your screen, Duke's gonna light up right now. Really

350
00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:08,240
I missed it. Yeah, it just came into my instant messaging.

351
00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:11,079
But sorry, that's one of the groups I work with.

352
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:14,839
They're betting it in my account right now. They're very

353
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:17,079
very see.

354
00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:18,519
Speaker 1: You, guys, is what we see live. This is this

355
00:17:18,599 --> 00:17:19,440
is how this works.

356
00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:21,599
Speaker 3: That's how the steamering right now, my guys would be

357
00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:23,559
getting that. And if you like Duke, you'd and you

358
00:17:23,599 --> 00:17:25,359
have your screen open, you'd be able to get down

359
00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:27,160
at nine and a half and you'd look up and

360
00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:30,000
it'd be eleven, probably within the next minute and a half.

361
00:17:30,319 --> 00:17:33,160
Speaker 1: All right, v are we relaunch sports memo? It is

362
00:17:33,319 --> 00:17:37,839
now any expert, any play just seven dollars over at sports.

363
00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:39,599
Speaker 2: Well learn today. Then I'm fed.

364
00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:41,359
Speaker 1: That's why I wanted to ask, what do you got

365
00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:42,400
going on in our sports memo?

366
00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:46,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm giving out a four percent at wager talk

367
00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:49,039
so to be a college football best bet that'll be

368
00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:51,119
over there for only seven dollars.

369
00:17:51,519 --> 00:17:53,359
Speaker 2: I have my UFC package up.

370
00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:58,279
Speaker 3: I have the steamsheet up, which has Soccer, MMA, NBA,

371
00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:02,359
college basketball and it and yesterday even had college baseball

372
00:18:02,359 --> 00:18:06,200
that I think went to and oh and also, like

373
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:09,480
I said, the five percents coming in college basketball. Subscribers

374
00:18:09,559 --> 00:18:13,680
don't email support asking where's that five percent? When confirmed?

375
00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:15,759
When I think it's time to fire, we will fire

376
00:18:16,039 --> 00:18:18,240
or maybe we won't. You'll know when it's out there.

377
00:18:18,319 --> 00:18:22,359
Package will be up as well, big Saturday steam rooms

378
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:23,799
at one pm Eastern.

379
00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:28,519
Speaker 2: Let's do some damage. And again what everybody else know what's.

380
00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:30,759
Speaker 1: Going on with that as well? There's a blackjack course.

381
00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:34,079
Speaker 3: They oh, you get the year. Yeah, you partner for

382
00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:36,680
the year. That's the way to go. Number one, your

383
00:18:36,759 --> 00:18:39,160
ROI is going to be the highest because your overhead's

384
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,000
the lowest. And as a business, that's what you want

385
00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:43,640
to have. That's what I've been urging everyone to do. Like,

386
00:18:43,839 --> 00:18:46,039
partner up for the year. You're gonna get it the cheapest.

387
00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,400
You don't have to guess when the jump in jump out.

388
00:18:48,559 --> 00:18:50,640
And more importantly, you get the steamer room each and

389
00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:54,680
every single week, and you get everything plus the blackjack course,

390
00:18:54,839 --> 00:18:57,680
which honestly, like I did it for a dime for

391
00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:01,039
one thousand dollars and that same course I took with

392
00:19:01,279 --> 00:19:04,240
less for five thousand. It cost me probably seven eight

393
00:19:04,279 --> 00:19:06,440
years ago that I took a course like that with

394
00:19:06,519 --> 00:19:08,759
an advanced group to see what was I missing and

395
00:19:09,519 --> 00:19:12,160
I wasn't missing too much. With all that said, you

396
00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:14,200
get that course, and even if you're not going to

397
00:19:14,279 --> 00:19:16,960
want to be an advanced at blackjat player. I promise

398
00:19:17,039 --> 00:19:20,519
you so much carries over in the sports betting because

399
00:19:20,559 --> 00:19:23,119
the edges are pretty much the same, so that the

400
00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:26,559
bet sizing and all of that translates so well. And

401
00:19:26,599 --> 00:19:29,039
you get that for free just for signing up for

402
00:19:29,079 --> 00:19:32,559
the year, and it's discounted right now. So again, we're

403
00:19:32,599 --> 00:19:36,039
having a good year where ahead of schedule we're trying

404
00:19:36,039 --> 00:19:38,519
to get the four hundred units. That's when we've doubled

405
00:19:38,599 --> 00:19:41,720
our bank roll for the year and then we've reassessed.

406
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:44,160
So so far, so good. We're about seventy so almost

407
00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:46,480
a quarter of the way there, a little a month

408
00:19:46,519 --> 00:19:47,839
ahead of schedule, so we're going.

409
00:19:47,839 --> 00:19:51,480
Speaker 2: To keep grinding, all right. Thank you VR, Thank you Kelly.

410
00:19:52,319 --> 00:19:54,279
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna plug your ex right now, but thank you.

411
00:19:54,559 --> 00:19:55,839
Let us know when you're back and all.

412
00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:57,839
Speaker 2: Thanks for letting everybody know. I appreciate.

413
00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:01,799
Speaker 1: Please do not ever here if it's me sending you

414
00:20:02,279 --> 00:20:04,440
some fake I don't want to know what kind of

415
00:20:04,519 --> 00:20:09,599
dare we'll taking that risk.

416
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:12,880
Speaker 2: Then everybody's taking that risk, all right.

417
00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:16,640
Speaker 1: We're resting this soon next week here on last call,

418
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,279
you guys can also catch him on a wager Talk

419
00:20:18,319 --> 00:20:20,400
today almost every single day here on the wager Talk

420
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:23,839
YouTube channel. Have a great time in the steam room.

421
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:26,799
Let's bring in the guys from Full Court Press. We've

422
00:20:26,839 --> 00:20:31,319
got Adam Trigger, Rob Vino. Adam, I think was is

423
00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:34,039
in Gainesville? Are you in Gainesville? Where are you now?

424
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:36,200
Speaker 4: I'm getting close.

425
00:20:36,519 --> 00:20:40,039
Speaker 6: I'm gonna be in the land in a few after

426
00:20:40,039 --> 00:20:42,759
the show, going to Stetson and then I'm going to

427
00:20:42,759 --> 00:20:44,960
Gainesville tonight, and they're pretty close, so I'll have some

428
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:48,920
I'll have some time to kill between games. Will probably

429
00:20:49,079 --> 00:20:51,680
just go watch games. It's all I do. Cal then

430
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:54,119
I try to come on here and make sense of it.

431
00:20:54,799 --> 00:20:58,119
Speaker 1: Okay, I love that. Rob Veno, welcome into the show.

432
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:00,759
Let's get into a lot of this stuff, guys. We've

433
00:21:00,759 --> 00:21:03,319
got a ton of questions here, and I've got the

434
00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:05,759
laundry list of games from Art to Caesar over at

435
00:21:05,759 --> 00:21:08,559
the west Gate tuberbook that I will drop. We got

436
00:21:08,559 --> 00:21:11,839
ten dollars from somebody Garth. Garth wants to know rotation

437
00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,799
number seven sixty nine seven seventy. Trig and Rob aready

438
00:21:14,839 --> 00:21:17,200
know where I'm going. But you and Casey team total

439
00:21:17,279 --> 00:21:19,079
under seventy one and a half played it two weeks

440
00:21:19,079 --> 00:21:22,000
ago and only scored sixty eight and two run on

441
00:21:22,039 --> 00:21:24,599
the full court press. Thank you, Garth. And by the way,

442
00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:27,000
if you guys didn't know, all of your donations go

443
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:30,559
to different charities. The last one went to one of

444
00:21:30,559 --> 00:21:35,079
my favorite charities out there in Las Vegas called Opportunity Village.

445
00:21:35,079 --> 00:21:38,640
So shout out to all of you guys for donating

446
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,519
your time as well as your money. Who wants to

447
00:21:41,519 --> 00:21:43,920
take this one?

448
00:21:44,799 --> 00:21:45,000
Speaker 4: Rob?

449
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:49,599
Speaker 7: Yeah, I'll go quick because we just yeah, And Garth

450
00:21:49,759 --> 00:21:51,480
was just on the show a couple of days ago

451
00:21:51,599 --> 00:21:55,240
with this same exact play and it did hit. Um

452
00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:59,440
Casey under obviously spent a disaster under Marvin Menzies all

453
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:02,559
season on UMKC, as he pointed out, has been under

454
00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:05,119
the total eight of last ten. There's no real upward

455
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:10,119
direction for this team offensively or defensively at this point,

456
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:11,559
so I won't disagree with it.

457
00:22:11,599 --> 00:22:13,039
Speaker 5: And the way I.

458
00:22:12,799 --> 00:22:17,319
Speaker 7: Responded to him in playing UMKC under the total the

459
00:22:17,319 --> 00:22:19,279
other day I believe was, you know, it just looks

460
00:22:19,319 --> 00:22:23,279
like a team Kelly that's thrown in the towel, thrown

461
00:22:23,319 --> 00:22:26,279
in the white flags. It's very hard to do anything

462
00:22:26,319 --> 00:22:28,039
but fade them again.

463
00:22:28,079 --> 00:22:29,240
Speaker 5: The numbers are the numbers.

464
00:22:29,279 --> 00:22:31,960
Speaker 7: They speak for themselves, and the team's been in disarray

465
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,640
all season long, so he hit it the other night.

466
00:22:34,839 --> 00:22:37,480
Speaker 5: It makes good sense. I can't argue him off of

467
00:22:37,519 --> 00:22:38,000
it today.

468
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:42,839
Speaker 1: All right, let's get into some more of these questions.

469
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:45,880
We're just gonna go rapid fire. Let's find a hole in.

470
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:46,559
Speaker 4: The wall game.

471
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:50,039
Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna call Triggs Games extra board if

472
00:22:50,039 --> 00:22:52,799
you will, or at least extra board adjacent. That makes

473
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:54,480
me feel like I have to look like some of

474
00:22:54,519 --> 00:22:56,359
these on arts List that I'm plugging in right now

475
00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:58,240
before I give to everybody else because I'm selfish like that.

476
00:22:58,759 --> 00:23:00,240
I'm like, is that on the extra ward? But I've

477
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,160
never even heard of this team and then turns out

478
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,279
that they're not, which means that I am a failure.

479
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:08,559
All jokes aside, thinking about Rob Vino. Someone's got to

480
00:23:08,599 --> 00:23:12,200
pay parlay. Oh, I love it, love it, love it.

481
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:15,799
All right, let's see what else we got here. I'm

482
00:23:15,799 --> 00:23:18,720
going through. All you guys have been very chatty today.

483
00:23:18,799 --> 00:23:21,640
I need to start starring some of these. Drop me

484
00:23:21,799 --> 00:23:25,440
a rotation number on the Odds logic screen if you

485
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:29,079
guys have it, and we will definitely get to your questions.

486
00:23:29,759 --> 00:23:33,960
Maybe our producer Louis can help me out from these questions.

487
00:23:33,839 --> 00:23:34,400
Speaker 4: If you want to.

488
00:23:34,599 --> 00:23:36,440
Speaker 6: If you want to get it rolling with an extra

489
00:23:36,519 --> 00:23:39,480
board play okay, let's do it. I'll go ahead and

490
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:42,240
give a client play out and just lock my parlay Legan.

491
00:23:42,319 --> 00:23:44,319
Let's just let's just get it going right off the

492
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:49,119
bat extra board America East Conference. I've had a kind

493
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,000
of a good run in this league, and this is

494
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:53,279
a league that's up in my neck of the woods,

495
00:23:53,519 --> 00:23:55,839
a lot of the Northeast. So it's when I follow

496
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:57,880
quite close on a year and a year out basis,

497
00:23:58,759 --> 00:24:03,319
I am going to play the UNBC Terrier Retriever.

498
00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:05,400
Speaker 4: Sorry, I was looking at Boston you a second ago.

499
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:08,200
Speaker 6: There are the UNBC Retrievers on the money line minus

500
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,720
one twenty five. It is a four percent play for me,

501
00:24:11,079 --> 00:24:12,880
and it'll go back to I mean, Rob and I

502
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:15,400
have covered this league a ton on our show this year,

503
00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:18,440
I said UNBC was the best team in this league

504
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:21,440
before the season started. A lot of people still like Vermont,

505
00:24:21,839 --> 00:24:24,039
and with a win today they would wrap up the

506
00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:27,119
league outright. They're probably gonna win the league outright anyway.

507
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:29,920
They have a two game lead on Vermont with two

508
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:33,440
games to play, but a win here they still have

509
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:36,640
to hold off NJI as well, So a win here

510
00:24:36,839 --> 00:24:38,599
or a win in one of their next two games

511
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:41,319
would wrap.

512
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:41,200
Speaker 4: Up the league.

513
00:24:41,559 --> 00:24:44,359
Speaker 6: Which is important kel because this is one of the

514
00:24:44,759 --> 00:24:48,160
only there's only three tournaments left in the country that

515
00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:52,119
still play a campus site tournament, meaning the higher seed

516
00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:55,920
host throughout the conference tournament. So getting that one season

517
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:58,799
imperative because it means you host a championship game. And

518
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:04,119
UNBC I don't believe even when they had that crazy

519
00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:07,079
year where they were the sixteen seed and knocked off Virginia,

520
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,079
becoming the first sixteen seed to ever do so, I

521
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:12,240
don't think they hosted the championship game that year. I

522
00:25:12,279 --> 00:25:14,400
don't know if they were the one. I'm going off memory.

523
00:25:14,519 --> 00:25:16,920
But the point is Vermont wins this league every single

524
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:20,240
year for the most part. Last year you had that really,

525
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:23,960
really good Bryant team with Phil Martelli Junior who's now

526
00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:28,079
at VCU. So just a massive opportunity here for UNBC.

527
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:32,039
As far as the game handicap is concerned, Listen Lowell

528
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:34,480
took a big step back last year to this year.

529
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,319
You mass Lowell was a team in this league that

530
00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:41,359
was very good for a few years, up near the top,

531
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:44,240
threatening to win the league. Big step back this year.

532
00:25:44,559 --> 00:25:48,039
Big golf and athleticism in this game. And I just

533
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:50,160
like you look at the first meeting, seventy nine to

534
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:53,559
fifty six UNBC. Yes it's at Lowell here. I just

535
00:25:53,599 --> 00:25:56,279
don't see how Lowell defends them at all. And UNBC

536
00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:59,039
the last couple times out has really started to sort

537
00:25:59,079 --> 00:26:00,960
of dig in onto the into then, something that they

538
00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:04,079
didn't do at all early in the season. With the

539
00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:06,480
league on the line and the chance to win the league,

540
00:26:06,519 --> 00:26:09,640
and you only need them to win the game. They're

541
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:13,440
playing a far inferior team here. I took the UNBC Retrievers.

542
00:26:13,599 --> 00:26:16,079
Got to get my dogs right Kelly minus won twenty

543
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:17,160
five on the money line.

544
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:19,599
Speaker 1: Always got to get the dogs right there, Trig. Let's

545
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:21,680
go into some of these questions now that I'm ready

546
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:24,640
to go five fifty one, five pin fifty two. Why

547
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,480
is Central Arkansas only minus one and a half at

548
00:26:27,519 --> 00:26:31,920
home to Queens Robino seems trappy. I went off about

549
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:34,640
this Queen's team the other day because Randy from the

550
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:37,200
Westgate super Book told me right for film and Kelly

551
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:39,279
and Murray said, oh, take Queen's minus two and then

552
00:26:39,279 --> 00:26:41,119
they got blown out at home. And I know you

553
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:44,480
guys have talked about this Queens team at nauseum on

554
00:26:44,599 --> 00:26:47,720
full court press. Is this a trap spot here for

555
00:26:47,799 --> 00:26:48,880
Central Arkansas?

556
00:26:50,279 --> 00:26:50,759
Speaker 5: Possibly?

557
00:26:50,839 --> 00:26:53,480
Speaker 7: Kel, But again I don't look at it from side perspective.

558
00:26:53,519 --> 00:26:55,839
I look at it from total perspectives. So for me,

559
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,039
the Central Arkansas Queen's game was a look earlier this

560
00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:01,920
morning at possibly playing over the total.

561
00:27:01,599 --> 00:27:02,119
Speaker 5: In this one.

562
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:04,519
Speaker 7: I still think, you know, although it won't make a

563
00:27:04,559 --> 00:27:07,240
client list, I still believe that this is probably the

564
00:27:07,319 --> 00:27:10,559
right way to go in this particular game. Queen's a

565
00:27:10,599 --> 00:27:14,119
little better at home offensively then on the road. But

566
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:16,200
still you've got two teams that are going to play

567
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:19,079
with pace. It'd be impossible to play this thing under

568
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:23,680
the number. Central Arkansas, even in this season where they're

569
00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:27,680
not necessarily the offensive force that they've been in the past,

570
00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:31,039
they're still constantly putting up points. We see some side

571
00:27:31,079 --> 00:27:35,160
movement towards the Queen's side here. So as far as

572
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:39,400
the comment about it being a trap is concerned, Money

573
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,119
didn't think so, but I wouldn't, you know, For me,

574
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:44,720
it's not really a play where I would be interested inside.

575
00:27:44,759 --> 00:27:47,440
I'd be much more interested in total here, which as

576
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:50,079
we look is about one sixty four in that range

577
00:27:50,079 --> 00:27:53,480
where this has the capabilities to be one sixty six plus.

578
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:54,960
Not a ton of wiggle room, but it's the way

579
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:55,400
i'd look.

580
00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:00,039
Speaker 1: All right, guys, if you have a question for the

581
00:28:00,079 --> 00:28:03,599
full court press, guys, drop them here in the chat.

582
00:28:04,079 --> 00:28:05,680
We've got some of these are up there. We go

583
00:28:05,759 --> 00:28:08,880
two bucks from our ah seven three four three Saint

584
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:11,799
Joe's Rhode Island. I would love a rotation number, but

585
00:28:11,839 --> 00:28:13,880
I've got my Odds logic screen back open and now

586
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,720
I'm back in my office, so it makes it lots

587
00:28:16,759 --> 00:28:19,640
easier for me. If I could spell Saint Joseph, that

588
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:23,799
would also help the cause. Rotation number six eleven, six twelve.

589
00:28:23,839 --> 00:28:27,279
This one starts right here at noon eastern trig Rhode Island.

590
00:28:27,319 --> 00:28:28,920
Open as a four and a half point favorite, now

591
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:32,279
down to two forty one and a half. This one

592
00:28:32,319 --> 00:28:34,319
has taken some definite over money.

593
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, this is this is injury concerns for Rhode Island.

594
00:28:38,759 --> 00:28:42,279
Speaker 6: You got people getting ruled out as we speak, and

595
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:47,480
those injuries were I believe unknown. At least I was

596
00:28:47,519 --> 00:28:50,079
like trying to follow this a second a second ago,

597
00:28:50,119 --> 00:28:52,079
because it's it's being tweeted out and that's why the

598
00:28:52,119 --> 00:28:55,559
number is crashing. I can't disagree with that. I don't

599
00:28:55,599 --> 00:28:58,599
like this Rhode Island team. I still don't. If you remember, Kelly,

600
00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:01,240
last week, I came on played LaSalle as a best

601
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:04,000
bet plus four and a half. They won the game easily.

602
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:07,519
We talked about sort of Rhode Island maybe that was

603
00:29:07,559 --> 00:29:10,319
more of a Saint Louis hiccup than it was a

604
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:13,880
Rhode Island like great performance when they won that game.

605
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,279
We played Lasal, who's a worst team than Saint Joe's

606
00:29:17,279 --> 00:29:19,920
this year, and they had no problem with Rhode Island

607
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,319
in that game. So obviously would have liked to have it.

608
00:29:22,559 --> 00:29:24,400
I would have liked to be in on that news

609
00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:24,839
and had.

610
00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:27,480
Speaker 4: It before the move. But I want no part of

611
00:29:27,559 --> 00:29:28,039
Rhode Island.

612
00:29:28,039 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 6: Did what's probably a pretty even game all things considered,

613
00:29:32,039 --> 00:29:33,559
But you take a couple of key guys out for

614
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:36,240
Rhode Island and that would be you know, that would

615
00:29:36,279 --> 00:29:36,720
that would be.

616
00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:39,359
Speaker 4: Concerning for me. So I leaned toward the Hawks in

617
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:39,920
this one.

618
00:29:40,839 --> 00:29:43,039
Speaker 1: Robbin, you know, I'm a handicapping question for you. I'm

619
00:29:43,039 --> 00:29:44,880
going to get to my parlay here in a minute,

620
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:47,279
my leg of the parlay. Excuse me, and I'm gonna

621
00:29:47,279 --> 00:29:49,160
go to the Big twelve. But one of the things

622
00:29:49,279 --> 00:29:52,839
that I think is really interesting is a last about

623
00:29:52,839 --> 00:29:54,480
a week and a half ago, I played Kansas State

624
00:29:54,559 --> 00:29:57,839
versus Baylor. Head coach from tang gets fired, all this

625
00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:02,519
drama nsus Matt Drisco comes in and I'm like, hell yeah,

626
00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:07,000
great game by Case State, easypasy walk away. Ever since

627
00:30:07,039 --> 00:30:10,720
then they have seemed not to care about playing basketball.

628
00:30:10,759 --> 00:30:14,480
Once again, here we are February twenty eighth, March madness

629
00:30:14,519 --> 00:30:17,559
is on the horizon. Conference championships are coming up. How

630
00:30:17,559 --> 00:30:20,440
do we start to sift through these teams that albeit

631
00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,119
might have quit on their season. How do you start

632
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:24,920
to look at Do you just have a list of, like,

633
00:30:24,920 --> 00:30:28,160
you know what, these teams we can fade, but we

634
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:30,319
are not putting our hard earned money on Akay. We

635
00:30:30,319 --> 00:30:33,319
could bet against. They did cover against Colorado. I thought

636
00:30:33,359 --> 00:30:35,839
was really interesting by the hook, So it's not like

637
00:30:37,319 --> 00:30:42,519
they're being undervalued by any means in the quitting. If

638
00:30:42,519 --> 00:30:45,039
they are quitting allegedly, we'll leave it at that. I

639
00:30:45,039 --> 00:30:46,720
don't want a bunch of kse save fans being mad

640
00:30:46,759 --> 00:30:49,039
at me, How do we kind of start to again

641
00:30:49,079 --> 00:30:51,480
sift through through some of these teams and say, all right,

642
00:30:51,599 --> 00:30:53,039
these are just teams I want no part of, or

643
00:30:53,079 --> 00:30:54,920
these are teams that want to play hard, or even

644
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,440
as we get into conference championships, they don't care about

645
00:30:57,440 --> 00:30:59,799
winning the ACC or Big twelve. They already have their

646
00:31:00,039 --> 00:31:01,599
fights on March.

647
00:31:03,119 --> 00:31:08,480
Speaker 7: Yeah, very situational, Kelly, for teams that have if you

648
00:31:08,519 --> 00:31:10,839
wanted to, and I always hate to use the word quit,

649
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:12,759
and I you know, I dance around it by saying

650
00:31:12,799 --> 00:31:14,599
wave the white flag or whatever. It's the same thing.

651
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:20,799
But even with those teams, there's always the random senior

652
00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:24,400
night at home where those teams will show up for.

653
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:26,519
Speaker 5: One last cause.

654
00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 7: And then the one last cause beyond that, if they're

655
00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:33,000
a qualifier, is their conference tournament. So for a lot

656
00:31:33,039 --> 00:31:35,000
of those teams that are bottom of the barrel that

657
00:31:35,039 --> 00:31:38,200
can't make their way up the standings, you know, the

658
00:31:38,279 --> 00:31:42,960
case State example is a little bit situational because it

659
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:46,240
involves a head coach firing and maybe the team learning,

660
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:50,640
perhaps metriscal installing some new stuff or trying to instill

661
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:54,039
a new attitude whatever, And it might take a little

662
00:31:54,079 --> 00:31:56,960
bit of time to get everybody on board or get

663
00:31:57,000 --> 00:32:00,599
cohesive with that, But it really isn't from the bottom

664
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:04,559
of the barrel perspective. Again, the Senior Night thing is

665
00:32:04,559 --> 00:32:06,960
always something I would look at to maybe play a

666
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:09,079
team that you wouldn't normally want to play at the

667
00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:11,920
end of the year. And then of course conference tournament

668
00:32:12,039 --> 00:32:15,880
is for everybody to have an opportunity the top of

669
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:20,000
the heap. Interesting because I spent I don't know five

670
00:32:20,039 --> 00:32:23,000
and a half hours this morning between four am and

671
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:28,160
nine thirty just sorting out each individual conference what these

672
00:32:28,279 --> 00:32:30,960
tiebreakers are in the conference. You run into things like

673
00:32:31,039 --> 00:32:32,640
last night where we had the Sun Belt. You run

674
00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:36,319
into things like today with the IVY where they all

675
00:32:36,519 --> 00:32:40,480
become situational spot games. Some teams, even at the top,

676
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:44,200
have a huge amount to play for today, i e.

677
00:32:44,279 --> 00:32:47,799
Yale and Harvard inside the IVY. So again you really

678
00:32:47,839 --> 00:32:50,000
have to look at each one and break it down

679
00:32:50,079 --> 00:32:52,759
from that perspective. Like just about everything in sports, betting

680
00:32:53,079 --> 00:32:59,039
becomes individualized, becomes situational. There's no really one net theory

681
00:32:59,359 --> 00:33:01,880
that I have on, you know, just throwing everything in

682
00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:03,480
one basket and saying this is the way I'm going

683
00:33:03,559 --> 00:33:04,359
to go No.

684
00:33:04,640 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 1: I would agree with that too, but let's use this

685
00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:10,160
for example now with the transfer portal. These guys are

686
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:10,599
looking for.

687
00:33:10,599 --> 00:33:12,319
Speaker 2: New team side, so.

688
00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:14,079
Speaker 1: To say that they would quit, Like I said, I

689
00:33:14,119 --> 00:33:16,039
keep putting in quotations myself because I don't want to

690
00:33:16,039 --> 00:33:18,640
say they quit. Maybe they're just not a cohesive team.

691
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:21,079
And that's been the problem all season because Kansas State,

692
00:33:21,119 --> 00:33:23,960
for example, is loaded with talent. They're a twelve million

693
00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:27,759
dollars roster, Yet there just doesn't seem to be that

694
00:33:27,839 --> 00:33:30,039
gusto that want to go out there and win, even

695
00:33:30,119 --> 00:33:33,799
though they may be playing for a chance to play

696
00:33:33,839 --> 00:33:37,319
on another team next year. It's a very it's a

697
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:39,720
very interesting dynamic and I just wanted to get your

698
00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:41,079
thoughts on it really quickly.

699
00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:41,680
Speaker 3: Scott.

700
00:33:42,119 --> 00:33:45,039
Speaker 1: We do have the Westgate. It says super Bowl right

701
00:33:45,079 --> 00:33:49,039
there in the middle of the uh wager Talk Live

702
00:33:49,319 --> 00:33:53,119
Free Odds, SCREENWT Dot Buzz Backslash odds. If you are

703
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:56,559
not willing shell off the money for the magnificent product,

704
00:33:56,559 --> 00:33:58,599
that is odd logic. Adam Trigger, do you have your

705
00:33:58,599 --> 00:33:59,039
TV on?

706
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:06,240
Speaker 4: No, I am the lobby right now, So whoever you're in.

707
00:34:06,119 --> 00:34:08,000
Speaker 1: A lobby of your hotel.

708
00:34:08,119 --> 00:34:09,840
Speaker 4: Except I have no live audience.

709
00:34:09,880 --> 00:34:12,480
Speaker 6: Although I did meet a couple of Full Court Press

710
00:34:12,599 --> 00:34:16,920
viewers in Jacksonville on Thursday night. So we're out here,

711
00:34:17,199 --> 00:34:21,280
you know, meeting people that watch our show. Shout out

712
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:23,679
Stan for coming to the game. Great care that is,

713
00:34:24,039 --> 00:34:26,400
he says he watches Full Court Press every day. Hopefully

714
00:34:26,519 --> 00:34:27,800
watch his last call as well.

715
00:34:28,039 --> 00:34:30,519
Speaker 1: All Right, I posted arts plays. Everybody asking me about it,

716
00:34:30,559 --> 00:34:33,239
But here we are. Let's go one of our wager

717
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:37,199
talking insiders. Anyone on New Orleans plus eight and a half.

718
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:39,719
Let me get this one pulled up on the odd screen,

719
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:46,159
New Orleans rotation number extra board McNee State headed to

720
00:34:46,199 --> 00:34:50,039
New Orleans eight and a half. There's some eights popping

721
00:34:50,119 --> 00:34:51,840
up there seven and a half. There on a couple

722
00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:56,599
of prominent offshores rotation number three zero six six one three.

723
00:34:56,840 --> 00:35:01,239
Trig talk to me about this very deep extra board game.

724
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:06,639
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, Rob and I pretty much discuss New

725
00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:10,320
Orleans McNeese Southland basketball. It's a it's a Monday theme

726
00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:13,079
on the Full Court Press show. We talked about New

727
00:35:13,199 --> 00:35:15,440
Orleans earlier this week. They went on the road, won

728
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:18,719
as a huge underdog at Steven F. Austin, and so

729
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:21,719
basically everything we said about mcneise this year has come

730
00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:25,639
true at this point, they just aren't the same caliber

731
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:28,880
of team that Will Wade had. Of course, Will Wade,

732
00:35:28,880 --> 00:35:30,960
now at NC State, took a couple of his best

733
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:34,000
players with him, so it's not surprising to me that

734
00:35:34,079 --> 00:35:37,760
mcneise did not win the league. However, because the league

735
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:41,440
is still the Southland and they still have resources and

736
00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:45,480
and you know, gave basically he gave Bill Armstrong the job,

737
00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:47,880
which was which is which was a guy that's kind

738
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:50,480
of playing the same way. They're still going to be

739
00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:53,880
a very good team. But all year we've cash playing

740
00:35:53,920 --> 00:36:00,559
against McNeice, they have been valued like last year's the

741
00:36:00,679 --> 00:36:04,519
majority of the season. The problem here with this number

742
00:36:04,639 --> 00:36:08,280
kel is I think I think we've beat the horse,

743
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:10,000
you know, horse till it's dead.

744
00:36:10,159 --> 00:36:11,440
Speaker 4: Really like, we've.

745
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:15,400
Speaker 6: Talked about McNee so many times being overvalued and cashed

746
00:36:15,639 --> 00:36:20,280
every time we've talked about them, that it almost feels

747
00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:21,760
like it feels like the number is a little bit

748
00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:24,880
short here. But then again, they're actually on the road

749
00:36:25,039 --> 00:36:28,119
at New Orleans and that's probably where they struggled the most.

750
00:36:28,159 --> 00:36:31,440
From it, against the spread perspective, a few weeks ago,

751
00:36:31,559 --> 00:36:33,719
this spread would have been on the other side of ten,

752
00:36:34,159 --> 00:36:36,400
and that would have been like a real spot to attack.

753
00:36:37,320 --> 00:36:40,840
But even at like eight eight and a half, I

754
00:36:41,199 --> 00:36:43,119
just don't think I would want to lay the points

755
00:36:43,119 --> 00:36:46,039
with McNeice on the road. That being said, New Orleans,

756
00:36:46,199 --> 00:36:49,320
who's been like a giant killer this year. They just

757
00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:52,639
came off a huge upset, and you know this is

758
00:36:52,639 --> 00:36:54,559
a league they are going to amp. You know, they'll

759
00:36:54,599 --> 00:36:56,639
go to a conference tournament, they'll play at neutral sites.

760
00:36:57,800 --> 00:37:00,360
New Orleans can still play. I guess they you kind

761
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:02,039
of need to win because they could still play their

762
00:37:02,039 --> 00:37:04,519
way to a three. But they've got Corpus Christie and

763
00:37:04,599 --> 00:37:08,519
Nichols right on their tail. So even though I don't

764
00:37:08,519 --> 00:37:10,639
think you're really getting the line value that you would

765
00:37:10,639 --> 00:37:13,079
have got a couple of weeks ago to fade McNeice,

766
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:15,599
New Orleans has been good as an underdog and it

767
00:37:15,639 --> 00:37:18,480
is a spot where they should be engaged. So I

768
00:37:18,559 --> 00:37:21,960
say a tentative lean toward New Orleans like the setup

769
00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:24,480
for them, just don't know that you're getting as much

770
00:37:24,559 --> 00:37:27,000
value as you maybe should be at this point in

771
00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:27,440
the season.

772
00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:29,639
Speaker 1: All Right, I'm going to the Big twelve for my

773
00:37:30,079 --> 00:37:33,199
leg of the parlay. We're gonna lay nine and a

774
00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:35,360
half here with Iowa State. I know it seems a

775
00:37:35,559 --> 00:37:39,159
little bit steep versus this Red Raiders team that has

776
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:42,480
a really prolific offense, but I'm excited to see what

777
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:46,320
this Iowa State defense can do in aimes as you know,

778
00:37:46,840 --> 00:37:50,599
they're completely dominant there. Yes, they've lost a few road

779
00:37:50,639 --> 00:37:52,719
games are in the Big twelve, but TJ has this

780
00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:56,519
team ready to go. This is eerily reminiscent of when

781
00:37:56,519 --> 00:37:59,599
I laid a massive amount of points with them in

782
00:37:59,760 --> 00:38:03,840
a just a few well not even about two weeks ago,

783
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:07,760
exactly to the date versus Kansas, and they just throttled

784
00:38:07,760 --> 00:38:10,039
that KU team at home. I expect more of the

785
00:38:10,079 --> 00:38:13,599
same here from the Cyclones minus nine and a half

786
00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:18,960
over Texas Tech, the most experienced team in the Big Twelve. Yes,

787
00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:20,880
I have a little bit of bias towards him because

788
00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:22,280
I have a thirty to one ticket for them to

789
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:25,079
win the whole thing. All right, let's get into some

790
00:38:25,119 --> 00:38:28,519
more of these questions, Rob Vino before we get to

791
00:38:28,559 --> 00:38:30,920
your leg of the parlay. We got twenty minutes left

792
00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:34,400
of the show right here, San Diego State, New Mexico.

793
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:37,639
If you guys saw arts lists. San Diego State was

794
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:42,280
a play, so make note of that as well. Sharp

795
00:38:43,079 --> 00:38:45,559
action from a respected group doesn't mean they aren't going

796
00:38:45,599 --> 00:38:48,559
to come back on the other side. Vino six forty seven,

797
00:38:48,599 --> 00:38:52,119
six forty eight. San Diego State down to a pick

798
00:38:52,199 --> 00:38:54,559
them at the Westgates super Book one and a half

799
00:38:54,599 --> 00:38:56,559
still available pretty much everywhere.

800
00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:59,480
Speaker 7: Else, though, Yeah, and I would come in on the

801
00:38:59,519 --> 00:39:02,159
other side that I would be on the New Mexico

802
00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:05,400
side here. Had San Diego State the other night in

803
00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:09,840
a very meaningful game at home, they came through with

804
00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:13,280
a huge win. It was rather easy against Utah State

805
00:39:13,320 --> 00:39:15,400
the other night for San Diego State, But now you're

806
00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:19,320
asking them to go on the road with this sporadic offense.

807
00:39:19,679 --> 00:39:21,679
Speaker 5: Eric Oland's team, Eric Oland.

808
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:24,360
Speaker 7: Of course, the head coach of you see San Diego

809
00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:27,760
last year, did a tremendous job, has done probably they've

810
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:33,320
probably exceeded expectations in most minds at New Mexico this season.

811
00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:35,719
But they're a team that's kind of in need of

812
00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:38,440
a victory here. So the tables are a little bit

813
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:40,719
reversed on San Diego State here, and this is coming

814
00:39:40,760 --> 00:39:44,159
solely from a situational angle. New Mexico goes up to

815
00:39:44,199 --> 00:39:46,320
Reno the other night loses by seven. So you have

816
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:49,480
the home team in this instance coming in off a loss,

817
00:39:49,519 --> 00:39:52,480
you have the road team coming in off a monster win.

818
00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:56,719
You know, Brian Dutcher and San Diego State are probably

819
00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:59,280
to the point as a program, He's been there long

820
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:04,199
enough where stuff like coming in on cloud nine, etc.

821
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:09,360
Huge letdown probably doesn't exist for San Diego State to

822
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:12,599
the max. But there's still some of that element here.

823
00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:14,880
They took a lot of pride in beating Utah State

824
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:18,159
the other night, and again, this is a team that's

825
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:20,639
far more capable of going into a six and a

826
00:40:20,679 --> 00:40:24,400
half minute scoring drought than they are going on a

827
00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:27,679
six minute scoring spree. So New Mexico's played really really

828
00:40:27,719 --> 00:40:30,360
good defense this year. We know how dangerous the pit

829
00:40:30,519 --> 00:40:33,079
can be for visitors. For me, I would like New

830
00:40:33,119 --> 00:40:35,119
Mexico at pick them here. I think they're the more

831
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:39,199
let's say, sense of urgency type team here in this situation,

832
00:40:39,519 --> 00:40:42,320
and they have athletically they can match up with the

833
00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:45,840
San Diego State side, So I would be on New Mexico.

834
00:40:46,199 --> 00:40:48,159
Speaker 1: I don't like that because I already played San Diego

835
00:40:48,159 --> 00:40:50,119
State from art short list. Maybe I need to be

836
00:40:50,199 --> 00:40:51,960
looking at this one see if I can come back.

837
00:40:52,159 --> 00:40:54,360
That one is a later game, and maybe that is

838
00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:56,000
some of the advice here, trying to middle some of

839
00:40:56,039 --> 00:40:58,320
these games. I did get one and a half there

840
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:02,559
with the Astacs and if yeh the line clips, we

841
00:41:02,599 --> 00:41:05,079
could see a very close game. Treg, you had something

842
00:41:05,119 --> 00:41:05,719
you were gonna say.

843
00:41:06,440 --> 00:41:08,679
Speaker 6: I mean, I'm sitting here in the Lobo, sure, but

844
00:41:09,599 --> 00:41:12,440
you know, like it's all good though, you know what,

845
00:41:12,519 --> 00:41:14,639
I would have deferred to Rob anyway, because he's had

846
00:41:14,679 --> 00:41:18,760
a great beat on San Diego State this year. He's

847
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:21,559
Rob's the reason I cashed with San Diego State on Wednesday.

848
00:41:23,159 --> 00:41:25,800
That's a team that I off camera, I said, Rob,

849
00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:27,760
I wanted that San Diego State so bad.

850
00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:31,519
Speaker 4: But they they do the opposite of what I need

851
00:41:31,559 --> 00:41:32,480
them to do. If I fade that.

852
00:41:32,599 --> 00:41:34,519
Speaker 6: You know, Kel, you have you have your teams where

853
00:41:34,519 --> 00:41:38,320
if you play against them, it's the Monstars right from

854
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:41,360
Space Jamming. When you play them, they just can't even

855
00:41:41,639 --> 00:41:42,719
they can't even function.

856
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:44,320
Speaker 4: And that's San Diego State for me.

857
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:46,800
Speaker 6: But Rob made such a compelling case on the show

858
00:41:46,840 --> 00:41:49,800
for them on Wednesday that I followed his lead. And

859
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:52,679
so even though I did rock the New Mexico Polo.

860
00:41:53,159 --> 00:41:55,320
I'm out on this one because I don't think. I

861
00:41:55,360 --> 00:41:57,840
don't think I'm gonna you know, I don't want to

862
00:41:57,880 --> 00:41:59,559
get greedy. I don't know if I can get San

863
00:41:59,599 --> 00:42:03,079
Diego right twice. But I you know, I had to

864
00:42:03,079 --> 00:42:04,280
point out that I'm wearing the shirt.

865
00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:08,400
Speaker 1: Okay, So here's a good question for Trig or for whomever.

866
00:42:08,559 --> 00:42:12,599
This has always been an interesting one ranked versus unranked favorites. Right,

867
00:42:12,639 --> 00:42:15,800
so when the unranked team is favored over the ranked team,

868
00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:19,599
which Kentucky was, let me look at this current line

869
00:42:19,679 --> 00:42:25,639
right now, Vanderbilt pick them, pick them minus Kentucky. So

870
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:30,440
minus one Vanderbilt was favored here over Kentucky. And I

871
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:33,840
do believe Vanderbilt was on our long list. Yes they were.

872
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:38,000
Vandy plus one did get some sharp action there at

873
00:42:38,039 --> 00:42:40,360
the Westgate Super Book. Doesn't mean that it's gonna win,

874
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:43,000
but it means that someone they respected did play it.

875
00:42:43,440 --> 00:42:43,719
Speaker 5: Trig.

876
00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:45,679
Speaker 1: This year, this has gone back and forth to start

877
00:42:45,679 --> 00:42:47,400
the season. It wasn't very good. At one point time

878
00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:49,960
it was seven and four. My buddy Clint was keeping

879
00:42:50,000 --> 00:42:51,559
track of it, So I'm gonna have to ask him

880
00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:54,920
how it's been doing. Since I've tried to just throw

881
00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:58,199
out some of these old handicapping things like that just

882
00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:01,159
out the window, not let it really affect my style

883
00:43:01,199 --> 00:43:03,360
because I don't think that there's really much advantage to

884
00:43:03,400 --> 00:43:03,920
it anymore.

885
00:43:05,880 --> 00:43:09,159
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean I've thrown a lot out over the years,

886
00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:11,760
kel and now I just want to Someone asked me

887
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:14,320
that the other day, like where are you? Like, someone

888
00:43:14,440 --> 00:43:16,320
was like, hey, you're on a really good run. Someone

889
00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:19,440
I know that's not like doesn't really watch wager Talk

890
00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:21,239
that much, but he follows me on Twitter and he's

891
00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:24,199
very like, you know, tuned in sports better. He's like,

892
00:43:24,280 --> 00:43:25,639
he's like, you're on a really good run, Like where

893
00:43:25,679 --> 00:43:27,760
are you getting your plays? And I'm just like, I

894
00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:29,840
just go to a lot of games kind of you know,

895
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:34,360
accumulate info and target like the the opinions that I

896
00:43:34,360 --> 00:43:37,400
think are stronger than the market. And like the point is,

897
00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:42,239
like I just don't think following me just following an

898
00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:45,679
odd screen or trying to like chase steam really works

899
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:48,119
rob And I always joke like that the sharp places

900
00:43:48,159 --> 00:43:50,719
hit fifty percent of the time, right, So it's like

901
00:43:51,079 --> 00:43:54,320
they're kind of, in my opinion, a little bit coin flippy. However,

902
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:58,199
it's more important that you beat a sharp or you're

903
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:01,199
on the side of a sharp move, meaning like if like,

904
00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:05,599
for example, Saint Joe's that was probably a sharp move

905
00:44:06,119 --> 00:44:10,199
from four to two. Now we know that it means

906
00:44:10,679 --> 00:44:13,519
Johnson is out for Rhode Island, and I think like

907
00:44:13,639 --> 00:44:16,360
Cochrane might play, but he might play hurt. So it

908
00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:19,000
doesn't necessarily mean that's gonna win, and it doesn't mean

909
00:44:19,039 --> 00:44:21,519
that you should go better at a bad number, but

910
00:44:21,639 --> 00:44:23,280
like that would be a good if you got ahead

911
00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:25,400
of that on Saint Joe's, that would be a good

912
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:27,719
bet that that's the type that's the type of sharp

913
00:44:28,039 --> 00:44:31,159
move in my opinion, that that you want. Other than that,

914
00:44:31,280 --> 00:44:33,360
I could, I could care. Let Like, here's the thing.

915
00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:36,960
I respect CT's opinion. Our buddy CT bets he likes

916
00:44:37,039 --> 00:44:40,280
Kentucky today. Now me, I look at this and say, man,

917
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:42,880
you know, I've got to bump Vandy back up because

918
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:45,079
I really like Duke Miles and I think they missed

919
00:44:45,119 --> 00:44:47,280
him quite a bit. And now Duke Miles has been

920
00:44:47,280 --> 00:44:50,039
back for two games and he's playing twenty minutes per game.

921
00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:52,519
I think that, you know, I think that really helps Vandy,

922
00:44:52,599 --> 00:44:55,800
especially on the defensive end. So now do I want

923
00:44:55,800 --> 00:44:58,039
to bet Bandy going into upp Arena in this spot

924
00:44:58,079 --> 00:45:01,760
when they you know, haven't been what they were sort of,

925
00:45:01,920 --> 00:45:03,679
you know, when they still had Frankie Collins and when

926
00:45:03,679 --> 00:45:05,559
they were still the team they were early in the season.

927
00:45:06,719 --> 00:45:10,159
Not really and I and so for me, that's enough

928
00:45:10,199 --> 00:45:12,840
to just get off this game, Like I see redeeming

929
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:14,639
qualities on both sides. And on a day like today,

930
00:45:14,679 --> 00:45:16,599
I've already got three plays. I'm probably gonna put another

931
00:45:16,599 --> 00:45:18,800
one in a minute. That's all it takes for me

932
00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:20,800
to like hit the road on a certain game. There's

933
00:45:20,840 --> 00:45:22,519
just so many on the board today.

934
00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:25,960
Speaker 1: There is. And I just had a buddy tell me

935
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:28,239
I was insane for playing all of the sharp plays,

936
00:45:28,280 --> 00:45:30,119
and I said, it's just how it works, Like I

937
00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:33,119
cannot pick and choose if I had enough time to

938
00:45:33,159 --> 00:45:35,480
sift through. Right, I've got my own plays that I like,

939
00:45:36,280 --> 00:45:39,119
and then there's just all of the rest, and I

940
00:45:39,119 --> 00:45:41,880
don't want to miss out. I have a fomo Robno,

941
00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:44,639
how would you play a sharp list like that? From

942
00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:47,400
the Westgate super from a look from behind the counter?

943
00:45:47,440 --> 00:45:49,480
If I send you, you say, Kelly, what do you got?

944
00:45:49,519 --> 00:45:52,400
And I give you twenty sharp plays. How much time

945
00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:54,679
would you be able to devote to it and say, Okay,

946
00:45:54,679 --> 00:45:56,639
I'm gonna sift through this. Would you just take the

947
00:45:56,679 --> 00:45:58,920
information and say, oh great, these are the ones I

948
00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:02,719
line up with. I can't help but just play them all.

949
00:46:04,679 --> 00:46:06,320
Speaker 7: Well, I'm not going to argue with the way you've

950
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:08,400
been doing it, kil because I see the post eleven

951
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:11,280
and six. If it's winning, he just go ahead and

952
00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:14,639
do it. To Adam's point, when I first came to

953
00:46:14,639 --> 00:46:16,480
town in Las Vegas nineteen ninety one, I'm a thirty

954
00:46:16,559 --> 00:46:18,079
year old kid, I bet a lot. I think I

955
00:46:18,119 --> 00:46:20,719
know a lot. I meet this stranger and start talking

956
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:23,400
to him, and he tells me. He goes, listen, if

957
00:46:23,440 --> 00:46:25,800
you follow all these line moves, you'll end up being

958
00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:28,159
a fifty to fifty better like everybody else who follows

959
00:46:28,159 --> 00:46:30,480
line moves. Because then he started explaining to me how

960
00:46:30,519 --> 00:46:32,480
you know they set up numbers and everything else.

961
00:46:32,519 --> 00:46:34,320
Speaker 5: So you learn a lot of lessons when you're younger.

962
00:46:34,760 --> 00:46:35,599
Now we know so.

963
00:46:35,519 --> 00:46:37,480
Speaker 7: Some of them, like you just said, there could be

964
00:46:37,519 --> 00:46:40,599
buy back on games. Just being handed a random list,

965
00:46:40,639 --> 00:46:41,920
the first thing I would do is look and see

966
00:46:41,920 --> 00:46:44,239
if there's anything I like, and if I like it

967
00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:46,280
it gets a double check, and I'll go ahead and play.

968
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:49,039
And if there's stuff I don't understand, you know, I

969
00:46:49,159 --> 00:46:51,239
just I have the time to investigate it. You and

970
00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:55,000
I sit in this office like a like a hermit

971
00:46:55,639 --> 00:46:57,719
and work all day. But that's how I would go

972
00:46:57,800 --> 00:47:00,840
about it. But who's to say what you're doing it

973
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:03,760
is wrong because it just keeps producing profits. So whatever

974
00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:06,559
you can do in exact science that produces profit is

975
00:47:06,599 --> 00:47:07,199
a good way to go.

976
00:47:07,719 --> 00:47:11,239
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I got no wrong way. That's the thing.

977
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:12,239
There's no wrong way.

978
00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:15,559
Speaker 6: If you have if you can make sense, like if

979
00:47:15,559 --> 00:47:18,159
you if you can sort of spell out like a

980
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:22,679
logical reason to back a certain side, it's not wrong.

981
00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:25,880
It doesn't matter some group played something, so none, none

982
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:29,280
of that matters. It's like, can I make a logical

983
00:47:29,320 --> 00:47:32,599
case for this? And did I get a playable number?

984
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:35,079
That's the only thing that matters, Saint Jose. You can

985
00:47:35,079 --> 00:47:38,199
make a very logical case that at but at two

986
00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:41,400
then you start to get into the territory of like, well,

987
00:47:41,440 --> 00:47:43,119
I could have had four and a half, and now

988
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:45,599
I want to do I want to put myself in

989
00:47:45,639 --> 00:47:50,679
this position to lose when the sharp bet, if you will,

990
00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:53,480
would have wont Saint Joe's the right side in that game.

991
00:47:53,519 --> 00:47:55,199
I keep using that as an example because it got

992
00:47:55,199 --> 00:47:57,840
asked us a question. But like that is the perfect

993
00:47:57,880 --> 00:47:59,880
example of that's a really good bet. If you could

994
00:47:59,880 --> 00:48:01,199
have got that at four and a half, that's a

995
00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:04,559
really good bet. I'm not saying that like you're wrong

996
00:48:04,599 --> 00:48:06,599
if you like play it at two and you hit,

997
00:48:06,639 --> 00:48:09,360
But just understand that that's not the same bet.

998
00:48:09,400 --> 00:48:11,280
Speaker 4: And at some point in time you're gonna get middle.

999
00:48:11,639 --> 00:48:14,079
Speaker 1: Absolutely and VR says it all the time, whether it's

1000
00:48:14,119 --> 00:48:17,239
on bet on it or on here. Do you want

1001
00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:20,679
to be a better who gets the best of the number?

1002
00:48:20,760 --> 00:48:22,199
Do you want to be the product of good luck?

1003
00:48:22,639 --> 00:48:25,559
And eventually, if you're not getting the best of the number,

1004
00:48:25,559 --> 00:48:27,760
you're gonna need some luck on your side. There was,

1005
00:48:28,079 --> 00:48:32,280
I think last week one or two pushes. There were

1006
00:48:32,360 --> 00:48:34,920
two losses that I had on Saturday that the sharp

1007
00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:36,079
group's actually won.

1008
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:37,119
Speaker 5: Right.

1009
00:48:37,199 --> 00:48:40,320
Speaker 1: There's a point where my buddy Sean in the comments

1010
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:42,320
said the other day when we went eleven six, he

1011
00:48:42,360 --> 00:48:45,119
went ten and three. He goes, why these these three

1012
00:48:45,199 --> 00:48:47,719
moved too much? So he kept himself off three losers.

1013
00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:48,239
Speaker 2: I would have.

1014
00:48:48,239 --> 00:48:51,119
Speaker 1: Loved to have been ten and three on Thursday, so

1015
00:48:51,599 --> 00:48:53,920
you got to kind of put in your parameters and

1016
00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:58,239
decide what's best for you. Let's let's answer a couple

1017
00:48:58,280 --> 00:49:00,960
more of these questions. Actually, let's have Rubo. Well, here

1018
00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:03,639
we go, aight oh five, eight oh six, Gonzaga, Saint

1019
00:49:03,679 --> 00:49:05,599
Mary's just wondering what they make of the short number

1020
00:49:05,599 --> 00:49:07,920
for the Gaels. I think a team that has second

1021
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:11,199
weekend potential. Now, I will say this, if you guys

1022
00:49:11,199 --> 00:49:13,480
saw the sharp list from the Westgate super book, Saint

1023
00:49:13,519 --> 00:49:16,880
Mary's plus three was a play. Somebody asks me about

1024
00:49:16,880 --> 00:49:19,559
Gonzaga the other night, and I said, ah, it's a

1025
00:49:19,599 --> 00:49:21,199
step number. I think they were laying twenty seven and

1026
00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:23,159
a half. I said, that's a step number. Didn't matter,

1027
00:49:23,400 --> 00:49:32,360
blowout city.

1028
00:49:28,159 --> 00:49:28,719
Speaker 5: Time to talk.

1029
00:49:29,079 --> 00:49:31,679
Speaker 1: I don't know, Greg. I was kind of letting see.

1030
00:49:31,480 --> 00:49:33,960
Speaker 4: Who wanted to take Well, you said Rob, So I

1031
00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:34,760
was giving it to Rob.

1032
00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:36,239
Speaker 5: Yeah.

1033
00:49:36,679 --> 00:49:38,239
Speaker 7: I think she wants me to get to my parlor

1034
00:49:38,320 --> 00:49:41,800
leg too, So I'll do that really quick after this, Kel,

1035
00:49:41,840 --> 00:49:43,800
I'm just going to backtrack for half a second here

1036
00:49:43,800 --> 00:49:47,320
to something you said earlier about your throwing things out

1037
00:49:47,639 --> 00:49:51,119
nowadays that we used to use as common theory general

1038
00:49:51,599 --> 00:49:53,599
concepts in sports handicap.

1039
00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:54,440
Speaker 5: And I couldn't agree more.

1040
00:49:54,559 --> 00:49:56,639
Speaker 7: And I think the reason why I've done so is

1041
00:49:56,679 --> 00:50:00,320
well trigged said he's done so, is because the odds

1042
00:50:00,320 --> 00:50:02,800
makers are so tuned into building all this stuff into

1043
00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:04,440
the line. You think you're smart because you know there's

1044
00:50:04,440 --> 00:50:07,239
an injury on the side and you don't realize they've

1045
00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:11,480
already got that and then some calculated in there for it.

1046
00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:14,880
It seems to be situational stuff, and you work a

1047
00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:18,559
lot with Marco who loves his sandwich spots, those types

1048
00:50:18,599 --> 00:50:21,719
of plays. Odds makers seem to build a little more

1049
00:50:21,760 --> 00:50:25,119
into those numbers nowadays because they know which way the

1050
00:50:25,159 --> 00:50:28,800
line is coming to the counter so interesting that we

1051
00:50:28,920 --> 00:50:33,119
have to still go ahead and evolve as handicappers here

1052
00:50:33,159 --> 00:50:35,679
as time goes on with this game really quick, I

1053
00:50:35,679 --> 00:50:37,719
would say at plus three I would have liked the.

1054
00:50:37,639 --> 00:50:38,880
Speaker 5: Saint Mary's side here.

1055
00:50:39,840 --> 00:50:42,199
Speaker 7: They do have the ability to slow Grammy K down

1056
00:50:42,239 --> 00:50:44,599
a little bit, which is huge when you're playing Gonzaga.

1057
00:50:44,599 --> 00:50:48,079
Saint Mary's always gives them difficulties here in this gym,

1058
00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:50,079
I know, for the most part, and Zaga has had

1059
00:50:50,079 --> 00:50:53,119
their number over the years, but Saint Mary's has risen

1060
00:50:53,199 --> 00:50:55,400
up over the past few years and gotten themselves some wins.

1061
00:50:55,599 --> 00:50:59,119
And they are a quality basketball team here, So you

1062
00:50:59,119 --> 00:51:01,840
know WC he needs a couple entrance into the Big Dan,

1063
00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:04,239
so I would be on the Saint Mary's side here.

1064
00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:06,079
I see a movement in the total too, a little

1065
00:51:06,079 --> 00:51:08,000
bit upward. I'll have to look into that a little bit.

1066
00:51:08,320 --> 00:51:10,360
It's a late game ten thirty tonight, but I'll get

1067
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:12,119
to the parlay leg here so we can get onto

1068
00:51:12,159 --> 00:51:15,480
other stuff, and I'll go to the Big Sky today.

1069
00:51:16,840 --> 00:51:19,440
And I just talked about injury information and how it's

1070
00:51:19,440 --> 00:51:21,559
built into the number and maybe not. When I looked

1071
00:51:21,559 --> 00:51:25,079
at this game, I'm thinking maybe not so much for Idaho,

1072
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:27,679
a team that's been a pretty good money maker where

1073
00:51:27,719 --> 00:51:29,679
overs are concerned. They left me at the doorstep the

1074
00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:31,400
other night. I had their team total over seventy eight

1075
00:51:31,440 --> 00:51:33,719
and a half. They only got this seventy eight. They

1076
00:51:33,800 --> 00:51:36,599
were without their starting point guard, Colton Mitchell, who means

1077
00:51:36,639 --> 00:51:39,800
a ton to this team. Number one in assistant steals,

1078
00:51:40,079 --> 00:51:42,480
number one in field goals attempted number one and three

1079
00:51:42,559 --> 00:51:45,440
foint field goals attempted number one, and free throws attempted

1080
00:51:45,719 --> 00:51:48,840
number two. Ad minutes played, et cetera. Number three in

1081
00:51:48,880 --> 00:51:51,719
points per game. You get the idea. He's the floor general.

1082
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:55,320
He does a lot for this team. Idaho is very

1083
00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:58,280
lucky that they have two good point guards. Raco Johnson

1084
00:51:58,360 --> 00:52:01,920
came in and played point ga Night's senior ball handlers,

1085
00:52:01,920 --> 00:52:04,760
so they didn't lose a ton. They still scored seventy

1086
00:52:04,760 --> 00:52:05,119
eight points.

1087
00:52:05,119 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 2: Here.

1088
00:52:05,239 --> 00:52:08,400
Speaker 7: They're gonna play Northern Colorado first time around. This game

1089
00:52:08,480 --> 00:52:12,000
was ninety one to eighty three, Northern Colorado the winner

1090
00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:14,239
a little bit. You know, the Big Sky is loaded

1091
00:52:14,280 --> 00:52:17,119
with revenge games today. This could be considered one of them.

1092
00:52:17,159 --> 00:52:20,559
Idaho now at home, seeking to redeem themselves for the

1093
00:52:20,599 --> 00:52:23,559
eight point lost. But I'm on the Northern Colorado team.

1094
00:52:23,639 --> 00:52:26,119
Total here guys seventy six and a half for a

1095
00:52:26,239 --> 00:52:29,599
team that has just racked up points over the course

1096
00:52:29,639 --> 00:52:32,280
of the last six weeks. They play a lot of offense,

1097
00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:35,559
very little defense. Went to Eastern Washington the other night,

1098
00:52:36,159 --> 00:52:38,800
lose by ten in a very important game eighty two

1099
00:52:38,800 --> 00:52:43,840
to seventy two. But Eastern Washington will pace themselves. They'll

1100
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:46,960
pace themselves offensively and Idaho won't. These are two of

1101
00:52:46,960 --> 00:52:48,880
the three fastest tempo teams in the league. So we're

1102
00:52:48,880 --> 00:52:54,519
gonna get our opportunities. Idaho without without Mitchell on the floor,

1103
00:52:54,559 --> 00:52:57,199
I think is a little less defensive minded because again

1104
00:52:57,239 --> 00:53:00,159
he leads this team in steals. Seventy six and a

1105
00:53:00,159 --> 00:53:02,559
half look like a very short number for a Northern

1106
00:53:02,599 --> 00:53:04,559
Colorado team that's going to get involved in what I

1107
00:53:04,559 --> 00:53:06,920
think will be a ninety four foot game up and down.

1108
00:53:07,480 --> 00:53:08,920
So my leg at the party is going to be

1109
00:53:08,960 --> 00:53:11,760
Northern Colorado. Some big sky action here, I think in

1110
00:53:11,800 --> 00:53:13,960
the middle of the day too, not even at nighttime.

1111
00:53:14,280 --> 00:53:17,159
But Northern Colorado team total over seventy six and a half.

1112
00:53:18,000 --> 00:53:20,880
Speaker 1: All right, I'm looking at a couple of these square bets. Yeah, yeah, yeah,

1113
00:53:20,920 --> 00:53:22,719
I like to see what other people are on. By

1114
00:53:22,760 --> 00:53:24,559
the way, if you go on the DK app onder socials,

1115
00:53:24,599 --> 00:53:27,039
there are some great fades. Just a little pro tip

1116
00:53:27,079 --> 00:53:29,400
that my buddy Jeff Schwartz told me on Radio Row

1117
00:53:29,599 --> 00:53:32,039
for a Super Bowl. All jokes aside, I do want

1118
00:53:32,079 --> 00:53:35,440
to talk about that game that is I think going

1119
00:53:35,480 --> 00:53:38,079
to be I think it's going to be a great game. Right,

1120
00:53:38,079 --> 00:53:41,119
So we got number seventeen Alabama headed to number twenty

1121
00:53:41,159 --> 00:53:43,519
two Tennessee. Tennessee is now up to a four and

1122
00:53:43,559 --> 00:53:46,480
a half point favorite there, Trigg, And this one does

1123
00:53:46,519 --> 00:53:48,880
not start till six pm Eastern, But I know a

1124
00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:50,920
lot of people with this being a top twenty five

1125
00:53:50,920 --> 00:53:53,559
matchup want to tune in. That means they want to

1126
00:53:53,599 --> 00:53:53,920
bet it.

1127
00:53:57,000 --> 00:53:59,880
Speaker 4: Sorry, I was being a good boy, muted myself.

1128
00:54:00,079 --> 00:54:05,119
Speaker 6: What I'm back listen Like ten My concern with Tennessee

1129
00:54:05,880 --> 00:54:10,480
is kind of what I think I figured out when

1130
00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:13,480
they played Syracuse earlier this year, and it's when you

1131
00:54:13,519 --> 00:54:19,280
get past Amn and Galetsky, they just don't have consistent

1132
00:54:19,320 --> 00:54:23,440
scoring options. Like so for me, that's a problem because

1133
00:54:23,639 --> 00:54:27,159
when you play a team like Alabama, who we know

1134
00:54:27,320 --> 00:54:29,960
can can score in volume and they will get shots

1135
00:54:30,039 --> 00:54:33,440
up in volume. Earlier this was like Rob, you know,

1136
00:54:33,559 --> 00:54:35,840
Rob and I talked about Bama. Made a case for

1137
00:54:35,920 --> 00:54:38,320
them earlier this week on the team total land the

1138
00:54:38,320 --> 00:54:41,000
side they dropped one hundred on Mississippi State right like

1139
00:54:41,039 --> 00:54:43,039
the game before that they even really played that well,

1140
00:54:43,079 --> 00:54:47,280
still put up ninety on LSU. That that's where like

1141
00:54:47,440 --> 00:54:49,719
I have a hard time back in Tennessee. Now you

1142
00:54:49,719 --> 00:54:54,119
can say, well, Trig, Tennessee won in Tuscaloosa earlier this year,

1143
00:54:54,920 --> 00:54:58,199
but that was like a bat if I remember correctly,

1144
00:54:58,199 --> 00:55:01,840
that was a difficult spot for Bama. They had someone

1145
00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:04,760
out and they went six for twenty six from three,

1146
00:55:05,159 --> 00:55:09,199
so it was a you know, Bama, NATO's is the

1147
00:55:09,320 --> 00:55:12,360
rim three guy that everyone everyone has tried to copy. Right,

1148
00:55:12,920 --> 00:55:14,480
They're either going to get to the rim or they're

1149
00:55:14,480 --> 00:55:16,440
going to try to get a three point shot. And yes,

1150
00:55:16,519 --> 00:55:20,199
there will be a game or two where they go

1151
00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:22,840
six for twenty six from three and they lose. Because

1152
00:55:23,119 --> 00:55:24,880
the thing is still Tennessee is still a very good

1153
00:55:24,920 --> 00:55:28,800
basketball team. Tennessee out rebounded them in that game. Tennessee

1154
00:55:29,079 --> 00:55:31,000
can dig in on defensive end and make life tough

1155
00:55:31,039 --> 00:55:35,119
for you. But in this scenario, with Alabama having that game,

1156
00:55:36,239 --> 00:55:39,360
having experienced that game, obviously they go into Knoxville and loose,

1157
00:55:39,440 --> 00:55:41,880
or go they lose at home to Tennessee in a

1158
00:55:41,920 --> 00:55:44,599
game they probably felt like they should win if they

1159
00:55:44,639 --> 00:55:47,039
make a couple of adjustments, like I don't know that

1160
00:55:47,440 --> 00:55:49,440
I don't know that Tennessee can keep up with them,

1161
00:55:50,079 --> 00:55:52,400
because again I'll just go back to the point like,

1162
00:55:52,440 --> 00:55:56,719
once you get outside of Gillespie and they ament Tennessee

1163
00:55:56,760 --> 00:55:59,639
has no consistent scoring options and so for me, I

1164
00:55:59,679 --> 00:56:03,400
would I would rather have the tide under those circumstances

1165
00:56:03,800 --> 00:56:07,440
than hope that Tennessee can can generate enough offense from

1166
00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:11,719
like three to six to win and cover against Alabama.

1167
00:56:12,199 --> 00:56:15,400
Speaker 1: All Right, treg really quickly recap our parlay, and then

1168
00:56:15,400 --> 00:56:19,400
I've got one more question for Rob. You know, maybe

1169
00:56:19,400 --> 00:56:20,239
we've got time for two.

1170
00:56:21,159 --> 00:56:23,639
Speaker 4: What were the lines that you guys had on your game?

1171
00:56:23,760 --> 00:56:25,800
Speaker 1: I lay nine and a half with Iowa State. It's

1172
00:56:25,840 --> 00:56:27,480
now ten and a half.

1173
00:56:28,079 --> 00:56:30,119
Speaker 4: We'll call it ten. Well, we'll call it ten, and

1174
00:56:30,159 --> 00:56:31,920
we'll put minus one twenty juice on it.

1175
00:56:31,960 --> 00:56:32,360
Speaker 5: That's fine.

1176
00:56:32,599 --> 00:56:34,679
Speaker 1: Well, let me look at the odd logic screen. Okay,

1177
00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:37,440
maybe maybe there are still plenty of tens available.

1178
00:56:37,840 --> 00:56:39,639
Speaker 5: Go find one kill, go find a nine, and.

1179
00:56:39,880 --> 00:56:44,199
Speaker 1: I will find me ten at circa. Okay, and ten

1180
00:56:44,280 --> 00:56:47,159
and a couple prominent offshores. And there is some ten

1181
00:56:47,159 --> 00:56:50,280
minus one fifteen, but ten ten minus one fifty ten

1182
00:56:50,320 --> 00:56:52,039
minuts minus one fifteen at circa.

1183
00:56:52,519 --> 00:56:53,119
Speaker 4: That's good.

1184
00:56:53,159 --> 00:56:55,239
Speaker 6: So what what Rob and I do is I typically

1185
00:56:55,320 --> 00:56:58,079
just add in like an extra ten cents juice, because

1186
00:56:58,159 --> 00:57:00,079
I know, you know, it's a parlay, so it's like

1187
00:57:00,400 --> 00:57:02,320
we're gonna get plus money anyway, So just make sure

1188
00:57:02,320 --> 00:57:05,719
you're getting yourself Iowa State minus ten. I've got UMBC

1189
00:57:05,960 --> 00:57:08,559
on the money line it for clients, it's a four

1190
00:57:08,559 --> 00:57:13,199
percent plate. For me, that's Maryland Baltimore County. Someplaces spell

1191
00:57:13,239 --> 00:57:15,679
it out. So if you if you don't have your

1192
00:57:15,760 --> 00:57:18,039
rotation number up, that's on the extra board UNBC.

1193
00:57:18,199 --> 00:57:20,400
Speaker 4: On the money line, we'll call it minus one thirty.

1194
00:57:20,599 --> 00:57:22,679
Speaker 6: Again, that should be just put the money you know,

1195
00:57:23,199 --> 00:57:25,039
minus one twenty five is what we got locked in.

1196
00:57:25,079 --> 00:57:26,960
For clients, it may be a little bit different at

1197
00:57:26,960 --> 00:57:29,159
this point, Rob, What was the total that you're seeing

1198
00:57:29,159 --> 00:57:30,280
for Northern Colorado?

1199
00:57:31,039 --> 00:57:36,760
Speaker 7: Yeah, over seventy six and a half, Adam.

1200
00:57:35,119 --> 00:57:37,440
Speaker 6: All right, So what we'll do and I'll calculate this,

1201
00:57:37,880 --> 00:57:40,000
you know, we'll go UNBC.

1202
00:57:40,119 --> 00:57:40,840
Speaker 4: I'll put in as.

1203
00:57:40,760 --> 00:57:44,400
Speaker 6: Minus one thirty Iowa State minus ten, minus one fifteen,

1204
00:57:44,800 --> 00:57:45,159
and then.

1205
00:57:45,079 --> 00:57:47,119
Speaker 4: Northern Colorado over seventy six and a half.

1206
00:57:47,159 --> 00:57:49,360
Speaker 6: I'll just go minus one twenty because some sites will

1207
00:57:49,400 --> 00:57:52,840
juice up the team totals and that will be what

1208
00:57:52,880 --> 00:57:55,239
we will grade the odds of the parlay at Now,

1209
00:57:55,280 --> 00:57:58,280
obviously shop around if you can get better numbers than that,

1210
00:57:58,320 --> 00:58:00,639
which you probably can, especially if you have your odds

1211
00:58:00,639 --> 00:58:04,599
logic screen up, which is uh kel. I'm I you know,

1212
00:58:04,719 --> 00:58:07,599
I'm a brand loyal guy and I don't like endorse

1213
00:58:07,880 --> 00:58:08,920
things very often.

1214
00:58:09,239 --> 00:58:11,519
Speaker 4: I do love Nike a lot of my a lot

1215
00:58:11,519 --> 00:58:12,320
of my clothes.

1216
00:58:12,599 --> 00:58:14,079
Speaker 6: When I get to a school and they have Nike

1217
00:58:14,199 --> 00:58:16,880
gear watch out, I'm definitely going to the team store.

1218
00:58:18,199 --> 00:58:20,000
Speaker 4: Odds Logic is the best screen I've used.

1219
00:58:20,280 --> 00:58:23,239
Speaker 6: I've used them all. It is my favorite one by far.

1220
00:58:23,800 --> 00:58:26,119
I can't say enough good things about Odds Logic, so.

1221
00:58:26,440 --> 00:58:27,519
Speaker 4: And I don't.

1222
00:58:27,639 --> 00:58:29,960
Speaker 6: I don't get paid to say that. I'm just I'm

1223
00:58:30,000 --> 00:58:32,199
just saying that. I know, I know we do.

1224
00:58:32,360 --> 00:58:34,880
Speaker 1: I give you. I give you a free Odds screen because.

1225
00:58:34,840 --> 00:58:36,400
Speaker 4: I get it for free.

1226
00:58:37,280 --> 00:58:41,639
Speaker 6: I get the log I get Odds Logic for free,

1227
00:58:41,679 --> 00:58:44,159
and I'm now I'm now working it off by promoting

1228
00:58:44,159 --> 00:58:44,440
it here.

1229
00:58:44,440 --> 00:58:45,199
Speaker 4: But no, I'm serious.

1230
00:58:45,239 --> 00:58:46,159
Speaker 5: I love it. It's great.

1231
00:58:46,840 --> 00:58:48,639
Speaker 1: I just dropped uh my link in the chat. You

1232
00:58:48,639 --> 00:58:51,239
guys can get a free week of Odds logicodds Logic

1233
00:58:51,280 --> 00:58:55,239
dot com backslash Kelly in Vegas. We've got forty five

1234
00:58:55,280 --> 00:58:57,000
seconds left. You know I'm gonna let you have the

1235
00:58:57,000 --> 00:58:59,159
floor to talk about any game that you want to

1236
00:58:59,159 --> 00:59:03,519
talk about. Is as a free play four percent or

1237
00:59:03,599 --> 00:59:05,360
higher over at wagers art dot com. Do you have

1238
00:59:05,400 --> 00:59:08,840
anything over on sports Memo where every play is just

1239
00:59:08,920 --> 00:59:10,159
seven bucks?

1240
00:59:10,800 --> 00:59:12,639
Speaker 7: We do have two plays up and available right now.

1241
00:59:12,719 --> 00:59:14,320
Cal I'll tech on during the day, but let me

1242
00:59:14,360 --> 00:59:16,320
just take what's left of the time here just to

1243
00:59:16,440 --> 00:59:20,159
promote myself. An Adam Monday through Friday Full Court Press

1244
00:59:20,159 --> 00:59:22,920
for those of you, this is college basketball Time. Tomorrow's

1245
00:59:22,920 --> 00:59:26,280
March ten am to eleven am. We start with one

1246
00:59:26,360 --> 00:59:28,840
game that's a featured game, and then we open it

1247
00:59:28,880 --> 00:59:30,239
up to you, guys. If you want to talk about

1248
00:59:30,280 --> 00:59:32,039
a game, we'll break it down and analyze it for

1249
00:59:32,079 --> 00:59:34,800
you at least our thoughts on the game and hopefully

1250
00:59:34,800 --> 00:59:37,039
we lead you to the winner circle there. But every

1251
00:59:37,079 --> 00:59:40,400
Monday through Friday, Full Court Press wager Talk TV ten

1252
00:59:40,440 --> 00:59:42,639
am to eleven am. And then of course, like today,

1253
00:59:42,639 --> 00:59:45,039
you can catch us with Kelly from eleven to fifteen

1254
00:59:45,159 --> 00:59:48,079
to noon on last call.

1255
00:59:48,199 --> 00:59:50,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, then Full Court Press show is great, guys. These

1256
00:59:50,599 --> 00:59:52,400
guys are also going to be joining me on Selection

1257
00:59:52,559 --> 00:59:55,800
Sunday with our friend Steve Merrill and Brian Power. We're

1258
00:59:55,800 --> 00:59:58,000
going to go over well, we're going to be watching

1259
00:59:58,000 --> 01:00:01,920
Selection Sunday live giving you some reaction as well as

1260
01:00:02,119 --> 01:00:05,679
live bets. Thank you guys for the other donation. Again,

1261
01:00:05,719 --> 01:00:07,519
you guys are the best. Thank you for hanging out

1262
01:00:07,519 --> 01:00:11,119
with us here every single Saturday. Adam Trigger wt on socials,

1263
01:00:11,239 --> 01:00:15,199
Rob Veino Sports on socials, Full Court Press Monday through Friday,

1264
01:00:15,199 --> 01:00:18,199
and of course here on Saturday. We'll be back next week.

1265
01:00:18,440 --> 01:00:21,280
Both of these guys have been actually fantastic.

1266
01:00:21,559 --> 01:00:24,880
Speaker 6: Yes they since we since we didn't get I'm just

1267
01:00:24,880 --> 01:00:26,119
gonna throw one thought out.

1268
01:00:26,119 --> 01:00:27,920
Speaker 4: This is not necessarily a pick, but do what you

1269
01:00:28,000 --> 01:00:30,199
will with that, Rob Veno.

1270
01:00:31,000 --> 01:00:33,599
Speaker 1: And now you know why pup time never starts on

1271
01:00:33,639 --> 01:00:34,599
time because.

1272
01:00:34,599 --> 01:00:36,760
Speaker 4: Listen his listen, give it. Give a second.

1273
01:00:36,760 --> 01:00:39,719
Speaker 6: For Rob Vino's New Haven Chargers, in their first year

1274
01:00:39,760 --> 01:00:43,599
in Division one, could finish the regular season with five

1275
01:00:43,639 --> 01:00:45,719
hundred record if they win today. Now they are not

1276
01:00:45,880 --> 01:00:50,280
eligible for the NYC Conference Tournament or obviously for the

1277
01:00:50,360 --> 01:00:52,400
NCAA tournament. They don't they're not even allowed to play

1278
01:00:52,440 --> 01:00:55,079
in the conference tournament in their first year transitioning to

1279
01:00:55,159 --> 01:00:57,679
D one. They're like plus one and a half at

1280
01:00:57,679 --> 01:00:59,800
home today, so this is their final game of the

1281
01:00:59,800 --> 01:01:03,360
sea and it would be they would they they would

1282
01:01:03,400 --> 01:01:07,119
view that as a huge success to win and be

1283
01:01:07,280 --> 01:01:09,480
five hundred in the league. I think they're like plus

1284
01:01:09,519 --> 01:01:12,719
one and a half against Lemoyne. Lamoyne's been shaky, so

1285
01:01:12,800 --> 01:01:16,440
again give you know. I think situationally, you gotta like

1286
01:01:16,519 --> 01:01:17,519
that spot for New Haven.

1287
01:01:17,599 --> 01:01:19,800
Speaker 4: I think a lot of people probably don't realize that.

1288
01:01:19,760 --> 01:01:22,000
Speaker 6: They're not going to their conference tournament, so this this

1289
01:01:22,039 --> 01:01:23,840
would be their little kind of a little bit of

1290
01:01:23,840 --> 01:01:26,320
a super Bowl for them today, last game of the season,

1291
01:01:26,440 --> 01:01:26,960
home game.

1292
01:01:27,239 --> 01:01:28,760
Speaker 4: We're finish off a really good year.

1293
01:01:29,360 --> 01:01:31,679
Speaker 1: Now that X Feeds are back and we can actually

1294
01:01:31,719 --> 01:01:33,599
go live on X. There's almost five thousand of you

1295
01:01:33,599 --> 01:01:36,480
guys watching, so I want to hit five thousand just

1296
01:01:36,480 --> 01:01:38,920
because that's what I like. I just want to. So

1297
01:01:38,920 --> 01:01:41,360
we're gonna take a couple more questions. Plus, Rob Christiansen

1298
01:01:41,440 --> 01:01:44,960
is a loyal list here at wager Talk, so I'm

1299
01:01:44,960 --> 01:01:48,559
gonna have Robino answer this one. Navy six and a half,

1300
01:01:48,599 --> 01:01:52,039
they're at Colgate rotation number three oh six, five eight four.

1301
01:01:52,239 --> 01:01:55,559
Does Coldgate get revenge here? Robbino?

1302
01:01:56,159 --> 01:02:00,119
Speaker 7: First of all, anything Coldgate related, I'd defer to Trig.

1303
01:01:59,880 --> 01:02:02,880
Speaker 5: But I will say my Howley quick on this, really quick.

1304
01:02:02,880 --> 01:02:05,400
Speaker 7: I'll just say Navy has been by far the class

1305
01:02:05,480 --> 01:02:07,719
of this league, and I would not step in front

1306
01:02:07,760 --> 01:02:10,880
of that free train. Adams explained to us all year

1307
01:02:10,880 --> 01:02:14,440
long that this is not the typical Colgate additions. So

1308
01:02:15,000 --> 01:02:17,719
go ahead, Trig, because I always passed Colgate onto you

1309
01:02:18,280 --> 01:02:19,840
up there in upstate New York.

1310
01:02:19,920 --> 01:02:22,519
Speaker 6: All right, So I'm I have more plays than I

1311
01:02:22,559 --> 01:02:24,760
typically do today, and I'll be adding others. So, and

1312
01:02:24,840 --> 01:02:26,440
I lost Yale last night, and I know a lot

1313
01:02:26,480 --> 01:02:29,760
of people bought it, So Trigg is feeling generous today.

1314
01:02:29,760 --> 01:02:33,000
I'm going to give out a second four percenter because

1315
01:02:33,039 --> 01:02:34,800
I have others and they will be up for sale.

1316
01:02:34,800 --> 01:02:36,559
They'll either be I'll have one at Wager Talk, will

1317
01:02:36,599 --> 01:02:40,679
have one at Sports Memos. So I played Colgate plus

1318
01:02:40,719 --> 01:02:42,920
six and a half. Here, Robin, here's the reason why

1319
01:02:43,559 --> 01:02:45,880
Navy has the league wrapped up. They've already got the

1320
01:02:45,880 --> 01:02:48,800
one seed in the Patriot League. But Colgate, if they

1321
01:02:48,880 --> 01:02:52,840
lose this game and Lehigh wins, would lose the two.

1322
01:02:53,119 --> 01:02:55,920
And again, why is that important? Because this the Patriot

1323
01:02:56,000 --> 01:03:00,320
League also hosts their tournament, So Patriot League game games

1324
01:03:00,880 --> 01:03:03,840
higher seed hosts getting the two against the three is

1325
01:03:03,880 --> 01:03:07,679
a huge deal because if everyone wins out. That's the

1326
01:03:07,719 --> 01:03:10,559
difference between hosting the semi final and having to go

1327
01:03:10,599 --> 01:03:13,320
on the road. Listen, I gave Colgate or I had

1328
01:03:13,400 --> 01:03:15,519
Colgate as a client player in the first meeting between

1329
01:03:15,519 --> 01:03:16,119
these two teams.

1330
01:03:16,119 --> 01:03:17,079
Speaker 4: It was up in Hamilton.

1331
01:03:17,719 --> 01:03:20,000
Speaker 6: If Colgate hits their free throws, they win that game.

1332
01:03:20,760 --> 01:03:22,920
Colgate probably sets up as good as any to beat

1333
01:03:23,000 --> 01:03:26,119
Navy in this league. And now they're getting six and

1334
01:03:26,159 --> 01:03:28,599
a half points. Yes, they have to go on the road. Yes,

1335
01:03:28,599 --> 01:03:31,119
I'm sure Navy will have a great crowd for Senior

1336
01:03:31,199 --> 01:03:33,639
Day and for the final game of the regular season.

1337
01:03:33,679 --> 01:03:36,360
But in the end, Navy is probably gonna play a

1338
01:03:36,400 --> 01:03:39,320
lot of guys. They might even play more guys than

1339
01:03:39,400 --> 01:03:42,599
usual because the game is essentially meaningless. They've already got

1340
01:03:42,639 --> 01:03:44,039
the league wrapped up and they need to make sure

1341
01:03:44,079 --> 01:03:46,440
they stay healthy for next year. You're giving me six

1342
01:03:46,480 --> 01:03:48,880
and a half points with Colgate in a game they

1343
01:03:49,000 --> 01:03:52,159
need to win to hold onto that two. And they

1344
01:03:52,199 --> 01:03:54,719
really do match up pretty even with Navy, and we

1345
01:03:54,840 --> 01:03:57,199
saw it was an even matchup. If Colgate goes to

1346
01:03:57,239 --> 01:03:59,480
the line and hits a few free throws, they win

1347
01:03:59,519 --> 01:04:01,679
that game. Earlier this year, they end up losing in

1348
01:04:01,719 --> 01:04:04,920
overtime to The Midshipman up in Hamilton. So that is

1349
01:04:04,960 --> 01:04:06,960
another client play for me. I wasn't going to give

1350
01:04:07,000 --> 01:04:09,320
it out, but someone brought it up. I can't hold

1351
01:04:09,360 --> 01:04:09,960
out on the people.

1352
01:04:10,039 --> 01:04:10,840
Speaker 4: Kel so cool.

1353
01:04:11,880 --> 01:04:15,719
Speaker 1: We are six people away.

1354
01:04:15,679 --> 01:04:19,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, okay, all right, just because you guys.

1355
01:04:19,239 --> 01:04:22,000
Speaker 1: Thank you, treg so I know we had Well, here's

1356
01:04:22,000 --> 01:04:24,000
your I screwed up. I started letting people drop off

1357
01:04:24,039 --> 01:04:25,599
and then it was like spirally and I was like, no, no,

1358
01:04:25,639 --> 01:04:27,639
we got to keep it going because I've been so

1359
01:04:27,840 --> 01:04:30,480
upset with our show numbers because of the X feed

1360
01:04:30,559 --> 01:04:33,480
and all this crazy stuff. Uh yes, Rex, this is

1361
01:04:33,519 --> 01:04:36,519
the best show on wager Talk Last Call edition of

1362
01:04:36,599 --> 01:04:41,239
Full Court Press. No, just just teasing a little bit.

1363
01:04:41,280 --> 01:04:42,840
These guys are great. They've helped me out a ton

1364
01:04:42,880 --> 01:04:46,199
with my college basketball handicapping. Again, both of them have

1365
01:04:46,320 --> 01:04:50,119
plays over at sports Memo seven dollars today. So if

1366
01:04:50,119 --> 01:04:52,880
you guys just want a one singular four percent best bet,

1367
01:04:52,920 --> 01:04:56,079
go over there and get it wrong one Louie. There

1368
01:04:56,119 --> 01:04:58,880
you go. There we go. He's had a rough morning

1369
01:04:58,960 --> 01:05:01,719
with his tech issues. I feel like I feel like

1370
01:05:01,719 --> 01:05:03,880
I should just run the show myself. Fire, the producer

1371
01:05:04,519 --> 01:05:06,000
shout out to all of you guys for hanging out

1372
01:05:06,000 --> 01:05:09,960
with us here on Full Court Press last coll edition

1373
01:05:10,000 --> 01:05:14,039
here on Saturday, I dropped art to Caesar. Stuff in there. Robbie,

1374
01:05:14,119 --> 01:05:16,800
know you are the best. Adam Trigger Fine, you can

1375
01:05:16,840 --> 01:05:19,920
be second best, third best. You got to be third best. Today.

1376
01:05:19,920 --> 01:05:22,679
I have a great time at all of your basketball games.

1377
01:05:23,079 --> 01:05:26,079
Shout out to the section. We're almost at fifty one hundred.

1378
01:05:26,199 --> 01:05:30,599
I love you guys. Let's cash him today. Let's have

1379
01:05:30,679 --> 01:05:35,559
a monster Monster Day and take this into March. We'll

1380
01:05:35,559 --> 01:05:37,360
see you guys next Saturday. Of course, these guys will

1381
01:05:37,400 --> 01:05:40,800
be back Monday morning, ten am, live right here on

1382
01:05:40,840 --> 01:05:42,199
the Wager Talking YouTube channel.