Speaker 1: Welcome in to Wager talks. Last call, Kelly Vegas. I
finally got my office back, just in time for a
massive college basketball slay today, So excited to get into.
We've got the Greek gambler, Yanni, the Greek who got
hacked on X. I'm going to scold him about that
live on air as well. Guys, do not ever click
a message from a DM. I don't care if you
know anybody or not. Well, DM, yes, but the link
in the DM three and three on the short plays
last night from Mark to Caesar. I have not gotten
a text from him yet for today, but we know
there's going to be at least fifteen or twenty plays
coming in, and when they do, I will drop them
in the chat. Let's bring in the Greek gambler. I
know we've got some UFC today. We've got some other
fun stuff today. VR. Thank you for always joining us
so early out there on the West coast. All jokes aside,
are we going to get your X back?
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 3: I about my personal assistant heavily working on it since yesterday.
She's contacted back and forth, like sending picture of driver's life,
saying showing the UFC stuff like this is his.
Speaker 2: Account doing whatever she can.
Speaker 3: They've sent back like robot responses, but after like she's
contacted like doing a bunch of AI stuff and it's
saying like that's the first couple of responses you get.
It's robot. But if you keep persisting and can prove
it to you, you'll get it back. So she's gonna
keep trying and hopefully I get it back. But they
sent me a thing to start a new one, and
I'm like, I ain't doing it, absolutely not.
Speaker 1: I had a contact over next for a very long time,
who I'm going to bother today and say, somebody over
there said I.
Speaker 3: Haven't reached out to the UFC Social media department see
if they can help yet. But I'm taping a show
there next week, so I figured shakes till then I'll
go into that department see if somebody can help me.
Speaker 2: But yeah, it is what it is. I'm just hoping
nobody else.
Speaker 3: Gets burned from mint to someone else's. Yeah, that's all
I care more about because I got burned because it
came from A and yeah you know, yeah.
Speaker 1: Yep, it is unfortunate, but that is how those A am.
Speaker 4: And it's such a busy day.
Speaker 3: The only good thing is it's it's taken away time
that I would spend on social media, so like now
I'm not checking at all at all at all, and
daylight day today with so much college basketball, the added
board is so huge now row and down this stuff
is the hardest part.
Speaker 2: So yeah, that's what I've been doing all morning.
Speaker 3: So it's going to be a good, good busy weekend
with or without my Twitter.
Speaker 1: If you guys have a question for VR, drop it
in the chat. Of course, the full court for US
guys are going to join us in about fifteen minutes.
Rob Vino Adam Trigger. Those guys do a daily college
basketball show, so we'll get into the weeds of some
of those college basketball games, including some of the extra
games VR. Last week I wrote down your power ratings.
I need to know if things have changed. Duke Houston, Michigan, Florida, Arizona.
Michigan just smacked Illinois last night. I mentioned arts sharp
plays went three and three. Illinois was on that list.
I like Dillanois. I kind of wondered if it got
a little too trendy of an underdog because they had
owned Michigan as of late, at least like the last
four seasons, Man, Michigan looks good. Are we am I
overreacting to that one game sample side? Should we be
moving them above Houston or Duke?
Speaker 2: No, no, no, no, no, no, nobody above Duke.
Speaker 3: Nobody's above the Duke's two points better than everybody else.
Speaker 2: Call Duke. Duke is literally two points better than everyone else.
Speaker 3: And finally the AP has gotten that right, and I
now agree with them, with Arizona behind them, because Arizona's
had a tougher strength of schedule than Duke, tougher strength
of scheduled than Houston. The only one that's had a
tougher strength of scheduled than Arizona is Michigan and Florida.
That's why I give Michigan and Florida so much respect.
So I have Arizona number two, and then I'll move
Michigan above Houston, Florida above. That's the difference we're bringing.
We're bringing Houston down. We're bringing Houston down. Great defense,
number one defense, but that's against about the twentieth strength
of schedule, and it's that offense that's just so far beyond.
Speaker 2: They're barely top sixty.
Speaker 3: And that's going to be a problem when you get
the march madness because you got teams like Duke that's,
you know, top three in defense. You have Purdue that's
you know, a top ten defense. I Aloway State, Tennessee, Connecticut.
Those are all top five, top ten defenses. But they
have better offensive side of the ball. And that's the
problem I'm seeing with Houston that the offense just isn't
getting there. Like all season, I've been waiting for that
offensive rating to improve, and it's just not. Like I said,
they're barely in the top sixty in efficiency.
Speaker 1: Okay, let's kind of get into some of this public
sharp stuff. I know these guys love to hear it.
John Ewing always posts the bet MGM split, so I
always find those really interesting. Of course, the number one
play from tickets and money is that Duke team today.
Are you seeing the same thing on your side of
the computer screen?
Speaker 2: No, Wow, that Duke is the most one sided.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the most tickets and money. No.
Speaker 3: I see a lot of volume on that game called
but that's not what I'm seeing. In fact, I'm seeing
the opposite. I'm seeing Virginia getting bad. I'm seeing Virginia
even on teasers like getting them up to fifteen or whatever,
so I'm yeah, I'm not getting that. Again, It's not
like totally one sided Virginia, but this is a spot
where you would expect to see the number one team
in the country getting the money, and it's just not
the case. And I think that's why you're not seeing
like any kind of huge line movement. It was sitting
at like nine and a half ten this morning, still
around there. I mean even nine and a half's are juiced,
so it's kind of like tens. Yeah, not huge line movement,
but yeah, I'm getting a little more Virginia, and I
think like even the line reflects that little bit because
the opener was like ten and a half. So yeah,
and maybe their shop is getting that Duke money. Wow,
that's interesting. I haven't bet that game myself. I actually
my power rating made Duke kel a twelve, and it's
the line move towards Virginia that's kept me off it.
Otherwise I'd be looking the fire on Duke. But there's
more than enough, like great spots with better I ev
I thought than Duke at minus nine and a half,
So I just passed on that.
Speaker 1: I will say, I just got a text from Art
to Caesar and I am trying to put in some
of these plays right now. I forwarded to you that
was the background there, so you've got it as well.
And they did play Virginia plus ten. So Virginia plus
ten was BET find that very very interesting as well.
There is a mirror out of games.
Speaker 4: Guys.
Speaker 1: We're gonna finish up with VR. I'm gonna drop him
in the chat. We're gonna go over some things with
the full Court Press guys here in a minute. But
I wanted to see what else VR. You're seeing one
sided action on your side of the screen again. You
know VR's got his books that he's able to look into.
I'm bringing stuff from the West Gates Superbook. I mentioned
John Ewing. He's over at bet MGM. So each shop
is independent. And I know a lot of people are
not going to agree with that, but it's true, right,
and a lot of them right. If we've got a
Vegas book, right, superbook is only in Vegas. They are
taking sharp action, and they are taking tourist action, probably
a little bit of local guys, right, But I would
consider that to be a little bit of Sharp Action
as well. Yeah, VR, how do you differentiate between a
book like that versus a we'll call it a national book,
a bet MGM, a Draft Kings, a fandel where they're
getting this kind of information amongst multiple states.
Speaker 2: Great, great question.
Speaker 3: I'm going to respect Westgate and that's why I have
them on my Odds Logic screen up near the top,
because they have an opinion. It's one of the rare
books in twenty twenty six, as sad as it sounds,
that has their own opinion on different markets. And in
that case, I'm going to pay attention because if they're
shading a line, I'm trying to figure out why are.
Speaker 2: They off market? What's the reason? Is it sharp?
Speaker 3: Is it a crap player that just wanted to bet
two hundred thousand on his alma mater?
Speaker 2: Like what am I? You know?
Speaker 3: What am I seeing? Why are they off market? So
I'm going to pay attention to Westgate's super book adjustment
more than I would MGM. Caesar's DraftKings, where I know
they're pushing away Sharp Action and their line moves a
lot of time is going to be shaded towards public sides.
And that's why if you like a dog. You tend
to get more value in those what we call square
shops because they'll shade that bias towards what their betters like,
and they like favorites, they like the overs, and guys
like me would go in and find some value on
some unders and some dogs. But it's so hard to
bet into those places that it's just not, you know,
really possible.
Speaker 2: So I'll look at.
Speaker 3: Westgate and I'll pay attention when they shade and exactly
try to.
Speaker 2: Conclude why, Like I like the I love.
Speaker 3: When I see kel Westgate off market, and then like
my sharp book that I really respect off market, also
like even a half a point if them tour have
a point off everyone else, it matters to me, it
matters they kind of like back in the day with Pinnacle,
it mattered if they were even a half point off
because of who they were booking. So yeah, pay attention
to Westgate, especially when it comes to MMA. I know
they barked, they booked sharp guys in MMA. I know
they did so in college football and NFL as well,
and I'm sure they got their college basketball sharps.
Speaker 1: Also, all right, if you are really quickly as I
look through some of this art stuff. Let everybody know
what's going on over in the steam room today, we
have a bunch of new insiders guys, if you want
to join wager Talk Insiders, wt Dot Buzz Backslash Insiders
two dollars ninety nine cents a month today. The steam
room is for insiders and premium subscribers. Is that correct?
Speaker 5: Help?
Speaker 2: Yep, yep, yep.
Speaker 3: Subscribers and insiders only today. So it's not going to
be the huge room with a couple thousand people, which
isn't a bad thing. So if that way a lot
more intimate, meaning they could ask a lot more questions.
Speaker 2: And this is what we do.
Speaker 3: Kel we go over the last seven days, fortunately we've
been profitable up about twelve units, will go over year
to date profitable up around seventy units, and we'll talk
about how we got there and the risk management to
ensure that anyone that's partnered with me is also profitable,
because I have one goal when December thirty first rolls around,
to be one of the few people on the planet
they could say we turned in a winning twenty twenty six.
But it doesn't do me any good if my subscribers
can't say the same. That's why the steam room's there,
so that I can help guide them to profit to
where I'm up seventy units for twenty time twenty six.
There's no one that's joined with me since January first
that should not be up. That's what we need to address.
So if you're not up, there's nothing to be shy about.
I'm there to answer questions and help get you on
track so that you can be up with us. We'll
get a lot of live information that comes in. As
you can see, I've bet already probably twenty twenty five
plus college basketball bets. You'll get all of that plus
only three of those we're confirmed this premiums. Of course
you're gonna get those. I have a five percent, only
the second five percent of the college basketball season. I
told you I was gonna wait till I was confident
in those power ratings. That first one was last week.
We won that one duke one out right for us,
getting three points. I have another one that package isn't
even up yet. That'll be up within probably like an
hour before the steam room. And then, like I said,
we'll go over all as many games as possible all
the different markets. There's UFC as well. Today there's soccer,
well that's in your Steam sheet. Like, there's so many
different sports and I'll be in there to cover it
all with subscribers, So make sure you're there one pm
Eastern each and every Saturday.
Speaker 2: As we move forward.
Speaker 1: Yep, right here on the wager Talk YouTube channel. Everyone,
if you always got a couple more minutes with you,
Adam Trigger dislogged in, Rob Vina will be here in
a minute. We're gonna get to some of these smaller
market kind of stuff. So I want to go through
some of the bigger games with UVR on this list
from art. We already went over UVA. Duke you mentioned
at nine and a half, you still even from a
power ratings perspective, do like Duke. We can confirm that
sharp Money was on UVA, and it seems like a
lot of people are on Duke regardless. Sharp Square whatever
kind of reminds me of that Michigan game a little
bit last night. But here's a few other, I would
say earlier games that are coming up. Cincinnati minus ten
I thought was a real interesting one. That one moved
up from nine and a half to ten. That one
tips off here shortly let me get my odds logic
off of the NBA. For whatever reason that I have
on the arcad grief, I.
Speaker 2: Like Cincinnati there kel I like Cincinnati. Power rating wise,
I have they should be above of that double digit favorite,
which they are, but up until it's not enough for
me to pull the trigger.
Speaker 3: Like power rating wise, I have them about eleven and
I have twelve, So it would be Cincinnati or Pass,
and I just don't have the conviction in Cincinnati looking
at the matchup, digging into recency, how they're coming in
to pull the trigger. Like I said, there's just so
much options today where I'm looking in the lock in
the very best positions. But yeah, I do like another
spot where I like favorite or pass. I think Cincinnati
should be a little bit higher favorite than they are here,
and I think the record has a lot to do
with it, just like the ap pole. You know, you
look at these two teams record wise, you're surprised a
team like Cincinnati's double digits, but power rating wise, it's warranted.
Speaker 2: So I wasn't surprised to see it. I'd lay it
or leave it alone.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I found a ten there are a minute ago. Now
we're seeing ten and a halves and eleven. Make sure
you guys shop around there. One of my big things
is looking for teams that things that seem off right.
So when I see a sharp group that agrees with
me here and this was one of the games that
was on my long list this morning. Was West Virginia
catching just a couple of points there at home to
BYU Right BYU's kind of had an interesting fall from
grace over the last couple of weeks, but they're still
a one and a half point favorite there at Morgantown
tonight five thirty. That game takes off rotation number seven
thirty one, seven thirty two. Any thoughts on this Big
twelve matchup. I really like West Virginia was happy to
see that the sharp group came on in it as well.
From the Westgates Superbook.
Speaker 3: I'm going to tell it to you, the wrong team's favored. Okay, again,
I trust my numbers there, and I really do believe
you have a spot where the wrong team is favored.
And again not not surprising. It's so much narrative driven
right now this time of the year, as we approach
March madness. So I'm in total agreement with you. It's
West Virginia or past. I think the points is a
gift being able. If you could get it to two,
it's worth buying a half a point up to minus
one twenty two.
Speaker 2: That's one of those half.
Speaker 3: Points that's actually worth it where they let us buy
it for ten cents and we should be paying eleven
cents or twelve cents.
Speaker 2: That's why for my.
Speaker 3: Subscribers, whenever I see a spot where we could buy
half a point where we're getting the discount, I do
it just for that reason and so that they could
start remembering it themselves. Oh wall, even in college basketball
or NBA, this number actually matters, like taking it from
three and a half to four actually matters. Where you know,
we don't have key numbers in hoops like we do
in the NFL and college football like we talk about them,
but it does. There are some spots where buying a
half point is advantageous, and taking it from one and
a half to.
Speaker 2: Two is one of those spots. So I'm with you, Air,
Let's go West Virginia.
Speaker 1: All right. There's a few more that we're going to
go through on this list that I wanted your opinion
on Texas catching three stood out to me as well.
Here I have not been really that high on this
Texas team. They've shown me some moments of greatness because
they're Texas and they're loaded with talent per usual. Let
me pull up that odds logic number there for you.
They played it at three. Texas is currently two and
a half two. They're at the super book even they
moved off of that one at Texas A and M
rotation number seven oh one, seven oh two.
Speaker 3: All right, another game that I saw in the accounts,
and that was Texas. I saw Texas at plus three
in the accounts, and that's one of those spots as well.
If you could take it up from two and a
half to three at minus one twenty do it every time,
even in college basketball. And also a note there, the
public is on the A and M side, so the
public's taken the short favorite there and the sharps are
Texas plus three in the accounts. So yeah, that's one
of those. Duke's about to get hit. If you look
at your screen, Duke's gonna light up right now. Really
I missed it. Yeah, it just came into my instant messaging.
But sorry, that's one of the groups I work with.
They're betting it in my account right now. They're very
very see.
Speaker 1: You, guys, is what we see live. This is this
is how this works.
Speaker 3: That's how the steamering right now, my guys would be
getting that. And if you like Duke, you'd and you
have your screen open, you'd be able to get down
at nine and a half and you'd look up and
it'd be eleven, probably within the next minute and a half.
Speaker 1: All right, v are we relaunch sports memo? It is
now any expert, any play just seven dollars over at sports.
Speaker 2: Well learn today. Then I'm fed.
Speaker 1: That's why I wanted to ask, what do you got
going on in our sports memo?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm giving out a four percent at wager talk
so to be a college football best bet that'll be
over there for only seven dollars.
Speaker 2: I have my UFC package up.
Speaker 3: I have the steamsheet up, which has Soccer, MMA, NBA,
college basketball and it and yesterday even had college baseball
that I think went to and oh and also, like
I said, the five percents coming in college basketball. Subscribers
don't email support asking where's that five percent? When confirmed?
When I think it's time to fire, we will fire
or maybe we won't. You'll know when it's out there.
Package will be up as well, big Saturday steam rooms
at one pm Eastern.
Speaker 2: Let's do some damage. And again what everybody else know what's.
Speaker 1: Going on with that as well? There's a blackjack course.
Speaker 3: They oh, you get the year. Yeah, you partner for
the year. That's the way to go. Number one, your
ROI is going to be the highest because your overhead's
the lowest. And as a business, that's what you want
to have. That's what I've been urging everyone to do. Like,
partner up for the year. You're gonna get it the cheapest.
You don't have to guess when the jump in jump out.
And more importantly, you get the steamer room each and
every single week, and you get everything plus the blackjack course,
which honestly, like I did it for a dime for
one thousand dollars and that same course I took with
less for five thousand. It cost me probably seven eight
years ago that I took a course like that with
an advanced group to see what was I missing and
I wasn't missing too much. With all that said, you
get that course, and even if you're not going to
want to be an advanced at blackjat player. I promise
you so much carries over in the sports betting because
the edges are pretty much the same, so that the
bet sizing and all of that translates so well. And
you get that for free just for signing up for
the year, and it's discounted right now. So again, we're
having a good year where ahead of schedule we're trying
to get the four hundred units. That's when we've doubled
our bank roll for the year and then we've reassessed.
So so far, so good. We're about seventy so almost
a quarter of the way there, a little a month
ahead of schedule, so we're going.
Speaker 2: To keep grinding, all right. Thank you VR, Thank you Kelly.
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna plug your ex right now, but thank you.
Let us know when you're back and all.
Speaker 2: Thanks for letting everybody know. I appreciate.
Speaker 1: Please do not ever here if it's me sending you
some fake I don't want to know what kind of
dare we'll taking that risk.
Speaker 2: Then everybody's taking that risk, all right.
Speaker 1: We're resting this soon next week here on last call,
you guys can also catch him on a wager Talk
today almost every single day here on the wager Talk
YouTube channel. Have a great time in the steam room.
Let's bring in the guys from Full Court Press. We've
got Adam Trigger, Rob Vino. Adam, I think was is
in Gainesville? Are you in Gainesville? Where are you now?
Speaker 4: I'm getting close.
Speaker 6: I'm gonna be in the land in a few after
the show, going to Stetson and then I'm going to
Gainesville tonight, and they're pretty close, so I'll have some
I'll have some time to kill between games. Will probably
just go watch games. It's all I do. Cal then
I try to come on here and make sense of it.
Speaker 1: Okay, I love that. Rob Veno, welcome into the show.
Let's get into a lot of this stuff, guys. We've
got a ton of questions here, and I've got the
laundry list of games from Art to Caesar over at
the west Gate tuberbook that I will drop. We got
ten dollars from somebody Garth. Garth wants to know rotation
number seven sixty nine seven seventy. Trig and Rob aready
know where I'm going. But you and Casey team total
under seventy one and a half played it two weeks
ago and only scored sixty eight and two run on
the full court press. Thank you, Garth. And by the way,
if you guys didn't know, all of your donations go
to different charities. The last one went to one of
my favorite charities out there in Las Vegas called Opportunity Village.
So shout out to all of you guys for donating
your time as well as your money. Who wants to
take this one?
Speaker 4: Rob?
Speaker 7: Yeah, I'll go quick because we just yeah, And Garth
was just on the show a couple of days ago
with this same exact play and it did hit. Um
Casey under obviously spent a disaster under Marvin Menzies all
season on UMKC, as he pointed out, has been under
the total eight of last ten. There's no real upward
direction for this team offensively or defensively at this point,
so I won't disagree with it.
Speaker 5: And the way I.
Speaker 7: Responded to him in playing UMKC under the total the
other day I believe was, you know, it just looks
like a team Kelly that's thrown in the towel, thrown
in the white flags. It's very hard to do anything
but fade them again.
Speaker 5: The numbers are the numbers.
Speaker 7: They speak for themselves, and the team's been in disarray
all season long, so he hit it the other night.
Speaker 5: It makes good sense. I can't argue him off of
it today.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get into some more of these questions.
We're just gonna go rapid fire. Let's find a hole in.
Speaker 4: The wall game.
Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna call Triggs Games extra board if
you will, or at least extra board adjacent. That makes
me feel like I have to look like some of
these on arts List that I'm plugging in right now
before I give to everybody else because I'm selfish like that.
I'm like, is that on the extra ward? But I've
never even heard of this team and then turns out
that they're not, which means that I am a failure.
All jokes aside, thinking about Rob Vino. Someone's got to
pay parlay. Oh, I love it, love it, love it.
All right, let's see what else we got here. I'm
going through. All you guys have been very chatty today.
I need to start starring some of these. Drop me
a rotation number on the Odds logic screen if you
guys have it, and we will definitely get to your questions.
Maybe our producer Louis can help me out from these questions.
Speaker 4: If you want to.
Speaker 6: If you want to get it rolling with an extra
board play okay, let's do it. I'll go ahead and
give a client play out and just lock my parlay Legan.
Let's just let's just get it going right off the
bat extra board America East Conference. I've had a kind
of a good run in this league, and this is
a league that's up in my neck of the woods,
a lot of the Northeast. So it's when I follow
quite close on a year and a year out basis,
I am going to play the UNBC Terrier Retriever.
Speaker 4: Sorry, I was looking at Boston you a second ago.
Speaker 6: There are the UNBC Retrievers on the money line minus
one twenty five. It is a four percent play for me,
and it'll go back to I mean, Rob and I
have covered this league a ton on our show this year,
I said UNBC was the best team in this league
before the season started. A lot of people still like Vermont,
and with a win today they would wrap up the
league outright. They're probably gonna win the league outright anyway.
They have a two game lead on Vermont with two
games to play, but a win here they still have
to hold off NJI as well, So a win here
or a win in one of their next two games
would wrap.
Speaker 4: Up the league.
Speaker 6: Which is important kel because this is one of the
only there's only three tournaments left in the country that
still play a campus site tournament, meaning the higher seed
host throughout the conference tournament. So getting that one season
imperative because it means you host a championship game. And
UNBC I don't believe even when they had that crazy
year where they were the sixteen seed and knocked off Virginia,
becoming the first sixteen seed to ever do so, I
don't think they hosted the championship game that year. I
don't know if they were the one. I'm going off memory.
But the point is Vermont wins this league every single
year for the most part. Last year you had that really,
really good Bryant team with Phil Martelli Junior who's now
at VCU. So just a massive opportunity here for UNBC.
As far as the game handicap is concerned, Listen Lowell
took a big step back last year to this year.
You mass Lowell was a team in this league that
was very good for a few years, up near the top,
threatening to win the league. Big step back this year.
Big golf and athleticism in this game. And I just
like you look at the first meeting, seventy nine to
fifty six UNBC. Yes it's at Lowell here. I just
don't see how Lowell defends them at all. And UNBC
the last couple times out has really started to sort
of dig in onto the into then, something that they
didn't do at all early in the season. With the
league on the line and the chance to win the league,
and you only need them to win the game. They're
playing a far inferior team here. I took the UNBC Retrievers.
Got to get my dogs right Kelly minus won twenty
five on the money line.
Speaker 1: Always got to get the dogs right there, Trig. Let's
go into some of these questions now that I'm ready
to go five fifty one, five pin fifty two. Why
is Central Arkansas only minus one and a half at
home to Queens Robino seems trappy. I went off about
this Queen's team the other day because Randy from the
Westgate super Book told me right for film and Kelly
and Murray said, oh, take Queen's minus two and then
they got blown out at home. And I know you
guys have talked about this Queens team at nauseum on
full court press. Is this a trap spot here for
Central Arkansas?
Speaker 5: Possibly?
Speaker 7: Kel, But again I don't look at it from side perspective.
I look at it from total perspectives. So for me,
the Central Arkansas Queen's game was a look earlier this
morning at possibly playing over the total.
Speaker 5: In this one.
Speaker 7: I still think, you know, although it won't make a
client list, I still believe that this is probably the
right way to go in this particular game. Queen's a
little better at home offensively then on the road. But
still you've got two teams that are going to play
with pace. It'd be impossible to play this thing under
the number. Central Arkansas, even in this season where they're
not necessarily the offensive force that they've been in the past,
they're still constantly putting up points. We see some side
movement towards the Queen's side here. So as far as
the comment about it being a trap is concerned, Money
didn't think so, but I wouldn't, you know, For me,
it's not really a play where I would be interested inside.
I'd be much more interested in total here, which as
we look is about one sixty four in that range
where this has the capabilities to be one sixty six plus.
Not a ton of wiggle room, but it's the way
i'd look.
Speaker 1: All right, guys, if you have a question for the
full court press, guys, drop them here in the chat.
We've got some of these are up there. We go
two bucks from our ah seven three four three Saint
Joe's Rhode Island. I would love a rotation number, but
I've got my Odds logic screen back open and now
I'm back in my office, so it makes it lots
easier for me. If I could spell Saint Joseph, that
would also help the cause. Rotation number six eleven, six twelve.
This one starts right here at noon eastern trig Rhode Island.
Open as a four and a half point favorite, now
down to two forty one and a half. This one
has taken some definite over money.
Speaker 4: Yeah, this is this is injury concerns for Rhode Island.
Speaker 6: You got people getting ruled out as we speak, and
those injuries were I believe unknown. At least I was
like trying to follow this a second a second ago,
because it's it's being tweeted out and that's why the
number is crashing. I can't disagree with that. I don't
like this Rhode Island team. I still don't. If you remember, Kelly,
last week, I came on played LaSalle as a best
bet plus four and a half. They won the game easily.
We talked about sort of Rhode Island maybe that was
more of a Saint Louis hiccup than it was a
Rhode Island like great performance when they won that game.
We played Lasal, who's a worst team than Saint Joe's
this year, and they had no problem with Rhode Island
in that game. So obviously would have liked to have it.
I would have liked to be in on that news
and had.
Speaker 4: It before the move. But I want no part of
Rhode Island.
Speaker 6: Did what's probably a pretty even game all things considered,
But you take a couple of key guys out for
Rhode Island and that would be you know, that would
that would be.
Speaker 4: Concerning for me. So I leaned toward the Hawks in
this one.
Speaker 1: Robbin, you know, I'm a handicapping question for you. I'm
going to get to my parlay here in a minute,
my leg of the parlay. Excuse me, and I'm gonna
go to the Big twelve. But one of the things
that I think is really interesting is a last about
a week and a half ago, I played Kansas State
versus Baylor. Head coach from tang gets fired, all this
drama nsus Matt Drisco comes in and I'm like, hell yeah,
great game by Case State, easypasy walk away. Ever since
then they have seemed not to care about playing basketball.
Once again, here we are February twenty eighth, March madness
is on the horizon. Conference championships are coming up. How
do we start to sift through these teams that albeit
might have quit on their season. How do you start
to look at Do you just have a list of, like,
you know what, these teams we can fade, but we
are not putting our hard earned money on Akay. We
could bet against. They did cover against Colorado. I thought
was really interesting by the hook, So it's not like
they're being undervalued by any means in the quitting. If
they are quitting allegedly, we'll leave it at that. I
don't want a bunch of kse save fans being mad
at me, How do we kind of start to again
sift through through some of these teams and say, all right,
these are just teams I want no part of, or
these are teams that want to play hard, or even
as we get into conference championships, they don't care about
winning the ACC or Big twelve. They already have their
fights on March.
Speaker 7: Yeah, very situational, Kelly, for teams that have if you
wanted to, and I always hate to use the word quit,
and I you know, I dance around it by saying
wave the white flag or whatever. It's the same thing.
But even with those teams, there's always the random senior
night at home where those teams will show up for.
Speaker 5: One last cause.
Speaker 7: And then the one last cause beyond that, if they're
a qualifier, is their conference tournament. So for a lot
of those teams that are bottom of the barrel that
can't make their way up the standings, you know, the
case State example is a little bit situational because it
involves a head coach firing and maybe the team learning,
perhaps metriscal installing some new stuff or trying to instill
a new attitude whatever, And it might take a little
bit of time to get everybody on board or get
cohesive with that, But it really isn't from the bottom
of the barrel perspective. Again, the Senior Night thing is
always something I would look at to maybe play a
team that you wouldn't normally want to play at the
end of the year. And then of course conference tournament
is for everybody to have an opportunity the top of
the heap. Interesting because I spent I don't know five
and a half hours this morning between four am and
nine thirty just sorting out each individual conference what these
tiebreakers are in the conference. You run into things like
last night where we had the Sun Belt. You run
into things like today with the IVY where they all
become situational spot games. Some teams, even at the top,
have a huge amount to play for today, i e.
Yale and Harvard inside the IVY. So again you really
have to look at each one and break it down
from that perspective. Like just about everything in sports, betting
becomes individualized, becomes situational. There's no really one net theory
that I have on, you know, just throwing everything in
one basket and saying this is the way I'm going
to go No.
Speaker 1: I would agree with that too, but let's use this
for example now with the transfer portal. These guys are
looking for.
Speaker 2: New team side, so.
Speaker 1: To say that they would quit, Like I said, I
keep putting in quotations myself because I don't want to
say they quit. Maybe they're just not a cohesive team.
And that's been the problem all season because Kansas State,
for example, is loaded with talent. They're a twelve million
dollars roster, Yet there just doesn't seem to be that
gusto that want to go out there and win, even
though they may be playing for a chance to play
on another team next year. It's a very it's a
very interesting dynamic and I just wanted to get your
thoughts on it really quickly.
Speaker 3: Scott.
Speaker 1: We do have the Westgate. It says super Bowl right
there in the middle of the uh wager Talk Live
Free Odds, SCREENWT Dot Buzz Backslash odds. If you are
not willing shell off the money for the magnificent product,
that is odd logic. Adam Trigger, do you have your
TV on?
Speaker 4: No, I am the lobby right now, So whoever you're in.
Speaker 1: A lobby of your hotel.
Speaker 4: Except I have no live audience.
Speaker 6: Although I did meet a couple of Full Court Press
viewers in Jacksonville on Thursday night. So we're out here,
you know, meeting people that watch our show. Shout out
Stan for coming to the game. Great care that is,
he says he watches Full Court Press every day. Hopefully
watch his last call as well.
Speaker 1: All Right, I posted arts plays. Everybody asking me about it,
But here we are. Let's go one of our wager
talking insiders. Anyone on New Orleans plus eight and a half.
Let me get this one pulled up on the odd screen,
New Orleans rotation number extra board McNee State headed to
New Orleans eight and a half. There's some eights popping
up there seven and a half. There on a couple
of prominent offshores rotation number three zero six six one three.
Trig talk to me about this very deep extra board game.
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, Rob and I pretty much discuss New
Orleans McNeese Southland basketball. It's a it's a Monday theme
on the Full Court Press show. We talked about New
Orleans earlier this week. They went on the road, won
as a huge underdog at Steven F. Austin, and so
basically everything we said about mcneise this year has come
true at this point, they just aren't the same caliber
of team that Will Wade had. Of course, Will Wade,
now at NC State, took a couple of his best
players with him, so it's not surprising to me that
mcneise did not win the league. However, because the league
is still the Southland and they still have resources and
and you know, gave basically he gave Bill Armstrong the job,
which was which is which was a guy that's kind
of playing the same way. They're still going to be
a very good team. But all year we've cash playing
against McNeice, they have been valued like last year's the
majority of the season. The problem here with this number
kel is I think I think we've beat the horse,
you know, horse till it's dead.
Speaker 4: Really like, we've.
Speaker 6: Talked about McNee so many times being overvalued and cashed
every time we've talked about them, that it almost feels
like it feels like the number is a little bit
short here. But then again, they're actually on the road
at New Orleans and that's probably where they struggled the most.
From it, against the spread perspective, a few weeks ago,
this spread would have been on the other side of ten,
and that would have been like a real spot to attack.
But even at like eight eight and a half, I
just don't think I would want to lay the points
with McNeice on the road. That being said, New Orleans,
who's been like a giant killer this year. They just
came off a huge upset, and you know this is
a league they are going to amp. You know, they'll
go to a conference tournament, they'll play at neutral sites.
New Orleans can still play. I guess they you kind
of need to win because they could still play their
way to a three. But they've got Corpus Christie and
Nichols right on their tail. So even though I don't
think you're really getting the line value that you would
have got a couple of weeks ago to fade McNeice,
New Orleans has been good as an underdog and it
is a spot where they should be engaged. So I
say a tentative lean toward New Orleans like the setup
for them, just don't know that you're getting as much
value as you maybe should be at this point in
the season.
Speaker 1: All Right, I'm going to the Big twelve for my
leg of the parlay. We're gonna lay nine and a
half here with Iowa State. I know it seems a
little bit steep versus this Red Raiders team that has
a really prolific offense, but I'm excited to see what
this Iowa State defense can do in aimes as you know,
they're completely dominant there. Yes, they've lost a few road
games are in the Big twelve, but TJ has this
team ready to go. This is eerily reminiscent of when
I laid a massive amount of points with them in
a just a few well not even about two weeks ago,
exactly to the date versus Kansas, and they just throttled
that KU team at home. I expect more of the
same here from the Cyclones minus nine and a half
over Texas Tech, the most experienced team in the Big Twelve. Yes,
I have a little bit of bias towards him because
I have a thirty to one ticket for them to
win the whole thing. All right, let's get into some
more of these questions, Rob Vino before we get to
your leg of the parlay. We got twenty minutes left
of the show right here, San Diego State, New Mexico.
If you guys saw arts lists. San Diego State was
a play, so make note of that as well. Sharp
action from a respected group doesn't mean they aren't going
to come back on the other side. Vino six forty seven,
six forty eight. San Diego State down to a pick
them at the Westgates super Book one and a half
still available pretty much everywhere.
Speaker 7: Else, though, Yeah, and I would come in on the
other side that I would be on the New Mexico
side here. Had San Diego State the other night in
a very meaningful game at home, they came through with
a huge win. It was rather easy against Utah State
the other night for San Diego State, But now you're
asking them to go on the road with this sporadic offense.
Speaker 5: Eric Oland's team, Eric Oland.
Speaker 7: Of course, the head coach of you see San Diego
last year, did a tremendous job, has done probably they've
probably exceeded expectations in most minds at New Mexico this season.
But they're a team that's kind of in need of
a victory here. So the tables are a little bit
reversed on San Diego State here, and this is coming
solely from a situational angle. New Mexico goes up to
Reno the other night loses by seven. So you have
the home team in this instance coming in off a loss,
you have the road team coming in off a monster win.
You know, Brian Dutcher and San Diego State are probably
to the point as a program, He's been there long
enough where stuff like coming in on cloud nine, etc.
Huge letdown probably doesn't exist for San Diego State to
the max. But there's still some of that element here.
They took a lot of pride in beating Utah State
the other night, and again, this is a team that's
far more capable of going into a six and a
half minute scoring drought than they are going on a
six minute scoring spree. So New Mexico's played really really
good defense this year. We know how dangerous the pit
can be for visitors. For me, I would like New
Mexico at pick them here. I think they're the more
let's say, sense of urgency type team here in this situation,
and they have athletically they can match up with the
San Diego State side, So I would be on New Mexico.
Speaker 1: I don't like that because I already played San Diego
State from art short list. Maybe I need to be
looking at this one see if I can come back.
That one is a later game, and maybe that is
some of the advice here, trying to middle some of
these games. I did get one and a half there
with the Astacs and if yeh the line clips, we
could see a very close game. Treg, you had something
you were gonna say.
Speaker 6: I mean, I'm sitting here in the Lobo, sure, but
you know, like it's all good though, you know what,
I would have deferred to Rob anyway, because he's had
a great beat on San Diego State this year. He's
Rob's the reason I cashed with San Diego State on Wednesday.
That's a team that I off camera, I said, Rob,
I wanted that San Diego State so bad.
Speaker 4: But they they do the opposite of what I need
them to do. If I fade that.
Speaker 6: You know, Kel, you have you have your teams where
if you play against them, it's the Monstars right from
Space Jamming. When you play them, they just can't even
they can't even function.
Speaker 4: And that's San Diego State for me.
Speaker 6: But Rob made such a compelling case on the show
for them on Wednesday that I followed his lead. And
so even though I did rock the New Mexico Polo.
I'm out on this one because I don't think. I
don't think I'm gonna you know, I don't want to
get greedy. I don't know if I can get San
Diego right twice. But I you know, I had to
point out that I'm wearing the shirt.
Speaker 1: Okay, So here's a good question for Trig or for whomever.
This has always been an interesting one ranked versus unranked favorites. Right,
so when the unranked team is favored over the ranked team,
which Kentucky was, let me look at this current line
right now, Vanderbilt pick them, pick them minus Kentucky. So
minus one Vanderbilt was favored here over Kentucky. And I
do believe Vanderbilt was on our long list. Yes they were.
Vandy plus one did get some sharp action there at
the Westgate Super Book. Doesn't mean that it's gonna win,
but it means that someone they respected did play it.
Speaker 5: Trig.
Speaker 1: This year, this has gone back and forth to start
the season. It wasn't very good. At one point time
it was seven and four. My buddy Clint was keeping
track of it, So I'm gonna have to ask him
how it's been doing. Since I've tried to just throw
out some of these old handicapping things like that just
out the window, not let it really affect my style
because I don't think that there's really much advantage to
it anymore.
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean I've thrown a lot out over the years,
kel and now I just want to Someone asked me
that the other day, like where are you? Like, someone
was like, hey, you're on a really good run. Someone
I know that's not like doesn't really watch wager Talk
that much, but he follows me on Twitter and he's
very like, you know, tuned in sports better. He's like,
he's like, you're on a really good run, Like where
are you getting your plays? And I'm just like, I
just go to a lot of games kind of you know,
accumulate info and target like the the opinions that I
think are stronger than the market. And like the point is,
like I just don't think following me just following an
odd screen or trying to like chase steam really works
rob And I always joke like that the sharp places
hit fifty percent of the time, right, So it's like
they're kind of, in my opinion, a little bit coin flippy. However,
it's more important that you beat a sharp or you're
on the side of a sharp move, meaning like if like,
for example, Saint Joe's that was probably a sharp move
from four to two. Now we know that it means
Johnson is out for Rhode Island, and I think like
Cochrane might play, but he might play hurt. So it
doesn't necessarily mean that's gonna win, and it doesn't mean
that you should go better at a bad number, but
like that would be a good if you got ahead
of that on Saint Joe's, that would be a good
bet that that's the type that's the type of sharp
move in my opinion, that that you want. Other than that,
I could, I could care. Let Like, here's the thing.
I respect CT's opinion. Our buddy CT bets he likes
Kentucky today. Now me, I look at this and say, man,
you know, I've got to bump Vandy back up because
I really like Duke Miles and I think they missed
him quite a bit. And now Duke Miles has been
back for two games and he's playing twenty minutes per game.
I think that, you know, I think that really helps Vandy,
especially on the defensive end. So now do I want
to bet Bandy going into upp Arena in this spot
when they you know, haven't been what they were sort of,
you know, when they still had Frankie Collins and when
they were still the team they were early in the season.
Not really and I and so for me, that's enough
to just get off this game, Like I see redeeming
qualities on both sides. And on a day like today,
I've already got three plays. I'm probably gonna put another
one in a minute. That's all it takes for me
to like hit the road on a certain game. There's
just so many on the board today.
Speaker 1: There is. And I just had a buddy tell me
I was insane for playing all of the sharp plays,
and I said, it's just how it works, Like I
cannot pick and choose if I had enough time to
sift through. Right, I've got my own plays that I like,
and then there's just all of the rest, and I
don't want to miss out. I have a fomo Robno,
how would you play a sharp list like that? From
the Westgate super from a look from behind the counter?
If I send you, you say, Kelly, what do you got?
And I give you twenty sharp plays. How much time
would you be able to devote to it and say, Okay,
I'm gonna sift through this. Would you just take the
information and say, oh great, these are the ones I
line up with. I can't help but just play them all.
Speaker 7: Well, I'm not going to argue with the way you've
been doing it, kil because I see the post eleven
and six. If it's winning, he just go ahead and
do it. To Adam's point, when I first came to
town in Las Vegas nineteen ninety one, I'm a thirty
year old kid, I bet a lot. I think I
know a lot. I meet this stranger and start talking
to him, and he tells me. He goes, listen, if
you follow all these line moves, you'll end up being
a fifty to fifty better like everybody else who follows
line moves. Because then he started explaining to me how
you know they set up numbers and everything else.
Speaker 5: So you learn a lot of lessons when you're younger.
Now we know so.
Speaker 7: Some of them, like you just said, there could be
buy back on games. Just being handed a random list,
the first thing I would do is look and see
if there's anything I like, and if I like it
it gets a double check, and I'll go ahead and play.
And if there's stuff I don't understand, you know, I
just I have the time to investigate it. You and
I sit in this office like a like a hermit
and work all day. But that's how I would go
about it. But who's to say what you're doing it
is wrong because it just keeps producing profits. So whatever
you can do in exact science that produces profit is
a good way to go.
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I got no wrong way. That's the thing.
There's no wrong way.
Speaker 6: If you have if you can make sense, like if
you if you can sort of spell out like a
logical reason to back a certain side, it's not wrong.
It doesn't matter some group played something, so none, none
of that matters. It's like, can I make a logical
case for this? And did I get a playable number?
That's the only thing that matters, Saint Jose. You can
make a very logical case that at but at two
then you start to get into the territory of like, well,
I could have had four and a half, and now
I want to do I want to put myself in
this position to lose when the sharp bet, if you will,
would have wont Saint Joe's the right side in that game.
I keep using that as an example because it got
asked us a question. But like that is the perfect
example of that's a really good bet. If you could
have got that at four and a half, that's a
really good bet. I'm not saying that like you're wrong
if you like play it at two and you hit,
But just understand that that's not the same bet.
Speaker 4: And at some point in time you're gonna get middle.
Speaker 1: Absolutely and VR says it all the time, whether it's
on bet on it or on here. Do you want
to be a better who gets the best of the number?
Do you want to be the product of good luck?
And eventually, if you're not getting the best of the number,
you're gonna need some luck on your side. There was,
I think last week one or two pushes. There were
two losses that I had on Saturday that the sharp
group's actually won.
Speaker 5: Right.
Speaker 1: There's a point where my buddy Sean in the comments
said the other day when we went eleven six, he
went ten and three. He goes, why these these three
moved too much? So he kept himself off three losers.
Speaker 2: I would have.
Speaker 1: Loved to have been ten and three on Thursday, so
you got to kind of put in your parameters and
decide what's best for you. Let's let's answer a couple
more of these questions. Actually, let's have Rubo. Well, here
we go, aight oh five, eight oh six, Gonzaga, Saint
Mary's just wondering what they make of the short number
for the Gaels. I think a team that has second
weekend potential. Now, I will say this, if you guys
saw the sharp list from the Westgate super book, Saint
Mary's plus three was a play. Somebody asks me about
Gonzaga the other night, and I said, ah, it's a
step number. I think they were laying twenty seven and
a half. I said, that's a step number. Didn't matter,
blowout city.
Speaker 5: Time to talk.
Speaker 1: I don't know, Greg. I was kind of letting see.
Speaker 4: Who wanted to take Well, you said Rob, So I
was giving it to Rob.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 7: I think she wants me to get to my parlor
leg too, So I'll do that really quick after this, Kel,
I'm just going to backtrack for half a second here
to something you said earlier about your throwing things out
nowadays that we used to use as common theory general
concepts in sports handicap.
Speaker 5: And I couldn't agree more.
Speaker 7: And I think the reason why I've done so is
well trigged said he's done so, is because the odds
makers are so tuned into building all this stuff into
the line. You think you're smart because you know there's
an injury on the side and you don't realize they've
already got that and then some calculated in there for it.
It seems to be situational stuff, and you work a
lot with Marco who loves his sandwich spots, those types
of plays. Odds makers seem to build a little more
into those numbers nowadays because they know which way the
line is coming to the counter so interesting that we
have to still go ahead and evolve as handicappers here
as time goes on with this game really quick, I
would say at plus three I would have liked the.
Speaker 5: Saint Mary's side here.
Speaker 7: They do have the ability to slow Grammy K down
a little bit, which is huge when you're playing Gonzaga.
Saint Mary's always gives them difficulties here in this gym,
I know, for the most part, and Zaga has had
their number over the years, but Saint Mary's has risen
up over the past few years and gotten themselves some wins.
And they are a quality basketball team here, So you
know WC he needs a couple entrance into the Big Dan,
so I would be on the Saint Mary's side here.
I see a movement in the total too, a little
bit upward. I'll have to look into that a little bit.
It's a late game ten thirty tonight, but I'll get
to the parlay leg here so we can get onto
other stuff, and I'll go to the Big Sky today.
And I just talked about injury information and how it's
built into the number and maybe not. When I looked
at this game, I'm thinking maybe not so much for Idaho,
a team that's been a pretty good money maker where
overs are concerned. They left me at the doorstep the
other night. I had their team total over seventy eight
and a half. They only got this seventy eight. They
were without their starting point guard, Colton Mitchell, who means
a ton to this team. Number one in assistant steals,
number one in field goals attempted number one and three
foint field goals attempted number one, and free throws attempted
number two. Ad minutes played, et cetera. Number three in
points per game. You get the idea. He's the floor general.
He does a lot for this team. Idaho is very
lucky that they have two good point guards. Raco Johnson
came in and played point ga Night's senior ball handlers,
so they didn't lose a ton. They still scored seventy
eight points.
Speaker 2: Here.
Speaker 7: They're gonna play Northern Colorado first time around. This game
was ninety one to eighty three, Northern Colorado the winner
a little bit. You know, the Big Sky is loaded
with revenge games today. This could be considered one of them.
Idaho now at home, seeking to redeem themselves for the
eight point lost. But I'm on the Northern Colorado team.
Total here guys seventy six and a half for a
team that has just racked up points over the course
of the last six weeks. They play a lot of offense,
very little defense. Went to Eastern Washington the other night,
lose by ten in a very important game eighty two
to seventy two. But Eastern Washington will pace themselves. They'll
pace themselves offensively and Idaho won't. These are two of
the three fastest tempo teams in the league. So we're
gonna get our opportunities. Idaho without without Mitchell on the floor,
I think is a little less defensive minded because again
he leads this team in steals. Seventy six and a
half look like a very short number for a Northern
Colorado team that's going to get involved in what I
think will be a ninety four foot game up and down.
So my leg at the party is going to be
Northern Colorado. Some big sky action here, I think in
the middle of the day too, not even at nighttime.
But Northern Colorado team total over seventy six and a half.
Speaker 1: All right, I'm looking at a couple of these square bets. Yeah, yeah, yeah,
I like to see what other people are on. By
the way, if you go on the DK app onder socials,
there are some great fades. Just a little pro tip
that my buddy Jeff Schwartz told me on Radio Row
for a Super Bowl. All jokes aside, I do want
to talk about that game that is I think going
to be I think it's going to be a great game. Right,
So we got number seventeen Alabama headed to number twenty
two Tennessee. Tennessee is now up to a four and
a half point favorite there, Trigg, And this one does
not start till six pm Eastern, But I know a
lot of people with this being a top twenty five
matchup want to tune in. That means they want to
bet it.
Speaker 4: Sorry, I was being a good boy, muted myself.
Speaker 6: What I'm back listen Like ten My concern with Tennessee
is kind of what I think I figured out when
they played Syracuse earlier this year, and it's when you
get past Amn and Galetsky, they just don't have consistent
scoring options. Like so for me, that's a problem because
when you play a team like Alabama, who we know
can can score in volume and they will get shots
up in volume. Earlier this was like Rob, you know,
Rob and I talked about Bama. Made a case for
them earlier this week on the team total land the
side they dropped one hundred on Mississippi State right like
the game before that they even really played that well,
still put up ninety on LSU. That that's where like
I have a hard time back in Tennessee. Now you
can say, well, Trig, Tennessee won in Tuscaloosa earlier this year,
but that was like a bat if I remember correctly,
that was a difficult spot for Bama. They had someone
out and they went six for twenty six from three,
so it was a you know, Bama, NATO's is the
rim three guy that everyone everyone has tried to copy. Right,
They're either going to get to the rim or they're
going to try to get a three point shot. And yes,
there will be a game or two where they go
six for twenty six from three and they lose. Because
the thing is still Tennessee is still a very good
basketball team. Tennessee out rebounded them in that game. Tennessee
can dig in on defensive end and make life tough
for you. But in this scenario, with Alabama having that game,
having experienced that game, obviously they go into Knoxville and loose,
or go they lose at home to Tennessee in a
game they probably felt like they should win if they
make a couple of adjustments, like I don't know that
I don't know that Tennessee can keep up with them,
because again I'll just go back to the point like,
once you get outside of Gillespie and they ament Tennessee
has no consistent scoring options and so for me, I
would I would rather have the tide under those circumstances
than hope that Tennessee can can generate enough offense from
like three to six to win and cover against Alabama.
Speaker 1: All Right, treg really quickly recap our parlay, and then
I've got one more question for Rob. You know, maybe
we've got time for two.
Speaker 4: What were the lines that you guys had on your game?
Speaker 1: I lay nine and a half with Iowa State. It's
now ten and a half.
Speaker 4: We'll call it ten. Well, we'll call it ten, and
we'll put minus one twenty juice on it.
Speaker 5: That's fine.
Speaker 1: Well, let me look at the odd logic screen. Okay,
maybe maybe there are still plenty of tens available.
Speaker 5: Go find one kill, go find a nine, and.
Speaker 1: I will find me ten at circa. Okay, and ten
and a couple prominent offshores. And there is some ten
minus one fifteen, but ten ten minus one fifty ten
minuts minus one fifteen at circa.
Speaker 4: That's good.
Speaker 6: So what what Rob and I do is I typically
just add in like an extra ten cents juice, because
I know, you know, it's a parlay, so it's like
we're gonna get plus money anyway, So just make sure
you're getting yourself Iowa State minus ten. I've got UMBC
on the money line it for clients, it's a four
percent plate. For me, that's Maryland Baltimore County. Someplaces spell
it out. So if you if you don't have your
rotation number up, that's on the extra board UNBC.
Speaker 4: On the money line, we'll call it minus one thirty.
Speaker 6: Again, that should be just put the money you know,
minus one twenty five is what we got locked in.
For clients, it may be a little bit different at
this point, Rob, What was the total that you're seeing
for Northern Colorado?
Speaker 7: Yeah, over seventy six and a half, Adam.
Speaker 6: All right, So what we'll do and I'll calculate this,
you know, we'll go UNBC.
Speaker 4: I'll put in as.
Speaker 6: Minus one thirty Iowa State minus ten, minus one fifteen,
and then.
Speaker 4: Northern Colorado over seventy six and a half.
Speaker 6: I'll just go minus one twenty because some sites will
juice up the team totals and that will be what
we will grade the odds of the parlay at Now,
obviously shop around if you can get better numbers than that,
which you probably can, especially if you have your odds
logic screen up, which is uh kel. I'm I you know,
I'm a brand loyal guy and I don't like endorse
things very often.
Speaker 4: I do love Nike a lot of my a lot
of my clothes.
Speaker 6: When I get to a school and they have Nike
gear watch out, I'm definitely going to the team store.
Speaker 4: Odds Logic is the best screen I've used.
Speaker 6: I've used them all. It is my favorite one by far.
I can't say enough good things about Odds Logic, so.
Speaker 4: And I don't.
Speaker 6: I don't get paid to say that. I'm just I'm
just saying that. I know, I know we do.
Speaker 1: I give you. I give you a free Odds screen because.
Speaker 4: I get it for free.
Speaker 6: I get the log I get Odds Logic for free,
and I'm now I'm now working it off by promoting
it here.
Speaker 4: But no, I'm serious.
Speaker 5: I love it. It's great.
Speaker 1: I just dropped uh my link in the chat. You
guys can get a free week of Odds logicodds Logic
dot com backslash Kelly in Vegas. We've got forty five
seconds left. You know I'm gonna let you have the
floor to talk about any game that you want to
talk about. Is as a free play four percent or
higher over at wagers art dot com. Do you have
anything over on sports Memo where every play is just
seven bucks?
Speaker 7: We do have two plays up and available right now.
Cal I'll tech on during the day, but let me
just take what's left of the time here just to
promote myself. An Adam Monday through Friday Full Court Press
for those of you, this is college basketball Time. Tomorrow's
March ten am to eleven am. We start with one
game that's a featured game, and then we open it
up to you, guys. If you want to talk about
a game, we'll break it down and analyze it for
you at least our thoughts on the game and hopefully
we lead you to the winner circle there. But every
Monday through Friday, Full Court Press wager Talk TV ten
am to eleven am. And then of course, like today,
you can catch us with Kelly from eleven to fifteen
to noon on last call.
Speaker 1: Yeah, then Full Court Press show is great, guys. These
guys are also going to be joining me on Selection
Sunday with our friend Steve Merrill and Brian Power. We're
going to go over well, we're going to be watching
Selection Sunday live giving you some reaction as well as
live bets. Thank you guys for the other donation. Again,
you guys are the best. Thank you for hanging out
with us here every single Saturday. Adam Trigger wt on socials,
Rob Veino Sports on socials, Full Court Press Monday through Friday,
and of course here on Saturday. We'll be back next week.
Both of these guys have been actually fantastic.
Speaker 6: Yes they since we since we didn't get I'm just
gonna throw one thought out.
Speaker 4: This is not necessarily a pick, but do what you
will with that, Rob Veno.
Speaker 1: And now you know why pup time never starts on
time because.
Speaker 4: Listen his listen, give it. Give a second.
Speaker 6: For Rob Vino's New Haven Chargers, in their first year
in Division one, could finish the regular season with five
hundred record if they win today. Now they are not
eligible for the NYC Conference Tournament or obviously for the
NCAA tournament. They don't they're not even allowed to play
in the conference tournament in their first year transitioning to
D one. They're like plus one and a half at
home today, so this is their final game of the
sea and it would be they would they they would
view that as a huge success to win and be
five hundred in the league. I think they're like plus
one and a half against Lemoyne. Lamoyne's been shaky, so
again give you know. I think situationally, you gotta like
that spot for New Haven.
Speaker 4: I think a lot of people probably don't realize that.
Speaker 6: They're not going to their conference tournament, so this this
would be their little kind of a little bit of
a super Bowl for them today, last game of the season,
home game.
Speaker 4: We're finish off a really good year.
Speaker 1: Now that X Feeds are back and we can actually
go live on X. There's almost five thousand of you
guys watching, so I want to hit five thousand just
because that's what I like. I just want to. So
we're gonna take a couple more questions. Plus, Rob Christiansen
is a loyal list here at wager Talk, so I'm
gonna have Robino answer this one. Navy six and a half,
they're at Colgate rotation number three oh six, five eight four.
Does Coldgate get revenge here? Robbino?
Speaker 7: First of all, anything Coldgate related, I'd defer to Trig.
Speaker 5: But I will say my Howley quick on this, really quick.
Speaker 7: I'll just say Navy has been by far the class
of this league, and I would not step in front
of that free train. Adams explained to us all year
long that this is not the typical Colgate additions. So
go ahead, Trig, because I always passed Colgate onto you
up there in upstate New York.
Speaker 6: All right, So I'm I have more plays than I
typically do today, and I'll be adding others. So, and
I lost Yale last night, and I know a lot
of people bought it, So Trigg is feeling generous today.
I'm going to give out a second four percenter because
I have others and they will be up for sale.
They'll either be I'll have one at Wager Talk, will
have one at Sports Memos. So I played Colgate plus
six and a half. Here, Robin, here's the reason why
Navy has the league wrapped up. They've already got the
one seed in the Patriot League. But Colgate, if they
lose this game and Lehigh wins, would lose the two.
And again, why is that important? Because this the Patriot
League also hosts their tournament, So Patriot League game games
higher seed hosts getting the two against the three is
a huge deal because if everyone wins out. That's the
difference between hosting the semi final and having to go
on the road. Listen, I gave Colgate or I had
Colgate as a client player in the first meeting between
these two teams.
Speaker 4: It was up in Hamilton.
Speaker 6: If Colgate hits their free throws, they win that game.
Colgate probably sets up as good as any to beat
Navy in this league. And now they're getting six and
a half points. Yes, they have to go on the road. Yes,
I'm sure Navy will have a great crowd for Senior
Day and for the final game of the regular season.
But in the end, Navy is probably gonna play a
lot of guys. They might even play more guys than
usual because the game is essentially meaningless. They've already got
the league wrapped up and they need to make sure
they stay healthy for next year. You're giving me six
and a half points with Colgate in a game they
need to win to hold onto that two. And they
really do match up pretty even with Navy, and we
saw it was an even matchup. If Colgate goes to
the line and hits a few free throws, they win
that game. Earlier this year, they end up losing in
overtime to The Midshipman up in Hamilton. So that is
another client play for me. I wasn't going to give
it out, but someone brought it up. I can't hold
out on the people.
Speaker 4: Kel so cool.
Speaker 1: We are six people away.
Speaker 4: Yeah, okay, all right, just because you guys.
Speaker 1: Thank you, treg so I know we had Well, here's
your I screwed up. I started letting people drop off
and then it was like spirally and I was like, no, no,
we got to keep it going because I've been so
upset with our show numbers because of the X feed
and all this crazy stuff. Uh yes, Rex, this is
the best show on wager Talk Last Call edition of
Full Court Press. No, just just teasing a little bit.
These guys are great. They've helped me out a ton
with my college basketball handicapping. Again, both of them have
plays over at sports Memo seven dollars today. So if
you guys just want a one singular four percent best bet,
go over there and get it wrong one Louie. There
you go. There we go. He's had a rough morning
with his tech issues. I feel like I feel like
I should just run the show myself. Fire, the producer
shout out to all of you guys for hanging out
with us here on Full Court Press last coll edition
here on Saturday, I dropped art to Caesar. Stuff in there. Robbie,
know you are the best. Adam Trigger Fine, you can
be second best, third best. You got to be third best. Today.
I have a great time at all of your basketball games.
Shout out to the section. We're almost at fifty one hundred.
I love you guys. Let's cash him today. Let's have
a monster Monster Day and take this into March. We'll
see you guys next Saturday. Of course, these guys will
be back Monday morning, ten am, live right here on
the Wager Talking YouTube channel.