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<v Speaker 1>Hey, everybody, Welcome into the Thinking Crypto Podcasts. You're home

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<v Speaker 1>for cryptocurrency news and interviews. I'm your host, Tony Edward.

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<v Speaker 1>On your way in. Please sit that subscribe button as

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<v Speaker 1>well as the thumbs up button and leave a comment below.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're listening on a podcast platform such as Spotify

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<v Speaker 1>or Apple, please leave a five star rating and review. Folks.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's kick it off with some bitcoin metrics, so we

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<v Speaker 1>continue to see different bitcoin metrics are signaling that a

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<v Speaker 1>reversal in the market is coming soon. Now, I know

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<v Speaker 1>timing is the hard thing to predict, but we are

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<v Speaker 1>at least using the data and not using our feelings

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<v Speaker 1>or a gut feeling or emotions or whatever it may be.

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<v Speaker 1>We're using the data and that's how we want to

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<v Speaker 1>operate as educated, informed investors. So the Bitcoin MVRV two

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<v Speaker 1>year rolling score right now is at levels or it's

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<v Speaker 1>at the lowest level that has ever been and we've

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<v Speaker 1>seen when it has hit these levels that a major

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<v Speaker 1>reversal is coming soon. So with sentiment and the dumbs,

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<v Speaker 1>people are depressed, they've given up, many are very upset.

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<v Speaker 1>Right There's a lot of anger, depression, fear, and much

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<v Speaker 1>more it's pretty bad right. However, when we have these

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<v Speaker 1>type of conditions along with the data, it means that

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<v Speaker 1>reversal is coming. The big question, as I've been saying though,

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<v Speaker 1>is this just simply a relief rally that we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to see come possibly Q one twenty twenty six, or

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<v Speaker 1>the continuation of the bull market. Now. I've been leaning

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<v Speaker 1>more towards the continuation of the bull market from a

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<v Speaker 1>probability standpoint because of the macro factors. And I verify

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<v Speaker 1>this MVRV score using sentiment, which is a partner of

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<v Speaker 1>the channel. I usually have Brian from Sentiment on where

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<v Speaker 1>we go through the data. And right now, both the

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<v Speaker 1>short term and the long term MVRV ratios are in

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<v Speaker 1>a loss right now, so those traders, folks and long

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<v Speaker 1>term holders are in the loss to a reversal I

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<v Speaker 1>think is coming. Remember markets are cyclical, right, so we

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<v Speaker 1>should expect to see move upwards coming soon. We just

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<v Speaker 1>got to be patient. And one thing that's very different

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<v Speaker 1>this time around, guys. You know the common saying or

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<v Speaker 1>the cliche saying we always hear every cycle, is this

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<v Speaker 1>time is different. Well, it is for the first time ever,

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<v Speaker 1>we have a red candle in the third year after

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<v Speaker 1>they're having Usually it's three green candles and then a

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<v Speaker 1>red candle for the bear market. This time it's only

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<v Speaker 1>been two green candles, So twenty twenty three and twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty four and twenty twenty five is closing with a

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<v Speaker 1>red candle, So things are different. So the people who

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<v Speaker 1>are saying this time is not different, it is the

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<v Speaker 1>cyclical pattern here has been broken. But it goes back

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<v Speaker 1>to what I've been saying. I think it's more of

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<v Speaker 1>the bull market extending. I don't believe this is again

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<v Speaker 1>a deep bear market. I think that starts in twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty six. The timing We're going to have to wait

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<v Speaker 1>and see. But I do believe the terror off crash

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<v Speaker 1>that affected all markets at the beginning of the year

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<v Speaker 1>prolonged the liquidity cycle. In addition, we had a very

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<v Speaker 1>long period to recover. It took a while for markets

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<v Speaker 1>to recover, versus a usual cyclical pattern that after a

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<v Speaker 1>Q four rally we have a correction and then late

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<v Speaker 1>January things start to creep up again. But this time

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<v Speaker 1>around it took longer than that, and that's why we

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<v Speaker 1>saw bitcoin hitting numal time high in August when it's

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<v Speaker 1>usually sell and may go away. And again I believe

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<v Speaker 1>the timeline has been shifted. So I think we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to see this bull market continue into twenty twenty six.

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<v Speaker 1>That's not a guarantee, that's not a certainty. I know

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<v Speaker 1>many if you want certainties, but no one has a

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<v Speaker 1>crystal ball. So we want to at least use the data.

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<v Speaker 1>And we've been seeing macro factors like what the FED

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<v Speaker 1>and the central banks are doing, returning to quantitative easing

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<v Speaker 1>in addition to rate cuts and liquidity continuing to rise.

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<v Speaker 1>I think all of these things will drive asset prices higher.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm not the only one who believes that. Here

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<v Speaker 1>here's the headline, Massive liquidity injections to boost bitcoin price

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty six, crypto executive says so Bill Barheight,

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<v Speaker 1>who is these CEO of Crypto Exchange and wallet Abra.

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<v Speaker 1>He said he expects a ton of liquidity injections from

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<v Speaker 1>the US Federal Reserve next year as policy makers continue

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<v Speaker 1>cutting interest rates, potentially reviving quantitative easing and boosting risk

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<v Speaker 1>assets such as bitcoin. Here's a quote. We are seeing

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<v Speaker 1>quantitative easing light right now, so we all know the

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<v Speaker 1>FED start a Q again on December twelfth, right, and

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<v Speaker 1>he says here, the FED is starting to buy its

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<v Speaker 1>own bonds. I think demand for government debt is going

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<v Speaker 1>to fall significantly next year along with lower rates. All

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<v Speaker 1>of this bodes well for assets, including bitcoin. So I

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely agree with this thesis. Now this is fact, right,

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<v Speaker 1>this is what the Fed and the central banks are doing.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's why I'm anticipating it. And the other major

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<v Speaker 1>factor is the Crypto Market Structure Bill is expected to

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<v Speaker 1>pass in early twenty twenty six, and that's a major

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<v Speaker 1>catalyst that will unlock a lot of liquidity and innovation.

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<v Speaker 1>So here's the headline. US lawmakers expect to address market

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<v Speaker 1>structure markup in January. So there's multiple phases to getting

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<v Speaker 1>this bill passed and eventually you know, going to Donald

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<v Speaker 1>Trump for signatures. It has to go through the markup

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<v Speaker 1>and approvals for discussion, and you know the government process essentially.

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<v Speaker 1>But according to reports and people familiar with the matter,

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<v Speaker 1>the Banking Committee could hold a markup for the Responsible

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<v Speaker 1>Financial Innovation Act during the second week of January. The

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<v Speaker 1>event would mark progress on advancing legislation that has been

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<v Speaker 1>slowed by Democratic lawmakers' concerns over decentralized finance and the

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<v Speaker 1>longest US government shut down in history. So let's see,

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<v Speaker 1>let's see what happens. We got quite a few bills here, obviously,

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<v Speaker 1>the major one being the market structure. But I do

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<v Speaker 1>believe that they're going to try to get this done.

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<v Speaker 1>So this would be a major catalyst. And I've been

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<v Speaker 1>saying it NonStop. I don't believe the market makers are

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<v Speaker 1>going to leave this type of event on the table,

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<v Speaker 1>which would be a major bider rumor sell the news event. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>you have a massive run up. People are talking about

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<v Speaker 1>how great this bill is going to be, and it

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<v Speaker 1>will be great, but again it's it's kind of the

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<v Speaker 1>information for the masses, not the financially educated, as we've

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<v Speaker 1>seen in the stock market and much more. Plus you

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<v Speaker 1>got crypto companies and AI companies and much we are

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<v Speaker 1>looking to go public. So I don't believe we're sliding

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<v Speaker 1>down into the depths of a bear market. And that

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<v Speaker 1>does not mean, by the way, that we won't see

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<v Speaker 1>further corrections. So bitquin could dump literally the beginning of January.

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<v Speaker 1>It could literally dump down to seventy something thousand dollars, right,

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<v Speaker 1>so just be prepared for that. But still be structurally

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<v Speaker 1>sound to continue upwards. Now, folks, big news from Donald Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>So Trump Media plans a one to one blockchain token

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<v Speaker 1>rewards for shareholders. So Donald Trump continues his crypto endeavors here.

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<v Speaker 1>Trump Media and Technology Group, operator of US President Donald

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<v Speaker 1>Trump's Truth Social said Wednesday it plans to roll out

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<v Speaker 1>a blockchain token for shareholders that entire them to perks

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<v Speaker 1>and rewards. This is interesting. The DJT token will be

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<v Speaker 1>launched in collaboration with Cryptoexchangecrypto dot com and the distribution

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<v Speaker 1>to existing shareholders set at a one to one ratio

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<v Speaker 1>or one token per share owned, according to announcement from

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<v Speaker 1>the company, The token may include rewards and perks for

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<v Speaker 1>DJT shareholders, including discounts on the Truth Social platform, the

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<v Speaker 1>Truth Plus media streaming platform, and prediction market truth Predict. However,

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<v Speaker 1>the token is not a tokenized stock and does not

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<v Speaker 1>entitle holders to shareholder rights or acclaim on the company's

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<v Speaker 1>future earnings. Trump Media confirmed to coin Telegraph. So the

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<v Speaker 1>token showcases how blockchain technology can be paired with traditional

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<v Speaker 1>acid classes to provide benefits to holders, but also highlights

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<v Speaker 1>how tokenized equity products do not necessarily grant the same

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<v Speaker 1>rights as ownership of the underlying asset. So, folks, let's

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<v Speaker 1>peel back the onion here. There's many layers to it.

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<v Speaker 1>On one hand, this is great. It shows adoption, It

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<v Speaker 1>shows the power up blockchain and how that can be

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<v Speaker 1>used in different ways and reward people for different activities

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<v Speaker 1>as part of different ecosystems and so on and so forth.

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<v Speaker 1>Right network effects playing out here. On the other hand,

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<v Speaker 1>this is something I wish Donald Trump would stay away from.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying his kids can't be involved in crypto

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<v Speaker 1>and do all these things, but the problem is it

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<v Speaker 1>just muddies the water, especially as we're trying to get

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<v Speaker 1>market structure pass and we know that Democrats are looking

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<v Speaker 1>for anything to say, hey, we don't want to do

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<v Speaker 1>this because it's gonna benefit Trump. So I wish Trump

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<v Speaker 1>would hold off on these things. And you know, many

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<v Speaker 1>of you know I'm not a fan of the meme coin,

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<v Speaker 1>and you know I tell it like it is, guys.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't hold back. I don't have a secret agenda.

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<v Speaker 1>Just I'm gonna be real with you, guys. I wish

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<v Speaker 1>even if it was a Democrat president or whoever, don't

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<v Speaker 1>do stuff like this. This is not helpful, so I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's just bad optics. But again, there's two sides

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<v Speaker 1>to the coin. Again, I'm looking at it, it's like, wow,

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<v Speaker 1>this is pretty amazing from an adoption standpoint. But on

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<v Speaker 1>the other hand, come on, man, you're the president. We're

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<v Speaker 1>trying to get crypto market structure passed here. We don't

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<v Speaker 1>need further roadblocks and hiccups in the system. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>my take on it. I don't know if you guys

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<v Speaker 1>agree with me, but it just a lot of this

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<v Speaker 1>is just bad optics. I don't think they're trying to

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<v Speaker 1>do anything bad, but just the perception and the optics

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<v Speaker 1>is just horrible. Right, So let's see hopefully this does

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<v Speaker 1>not delay us further with that crypto market structure built.

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<v Speaker 1>In addition, speaking of Trump, wallets tied to the Trump

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<v Speaker 1>meme coin once again, which I'm not a fan of,

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<v Speaker 1>the meme coin team pulled ninety four million dollars in

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<v Speaker 1>us DC stable coin to coinbase in December, so some

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<v Speaker 1>on chain data is showing some movement here. So on

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<v Speaker 1>chain analysts tracking the official Trump meme coin on Solona

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<v Speaker 1>have flagged large transfers from wallets labeled as parts of

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<v Speaker 1>the official Trump Meme cluster, moving about ninety four million

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<v Speaker 1>in USDC from the Trump Meme coin liquidity pools over

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<v Speaker 1>the past month. The most recent movement, highlighted by blockchain

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<v Speaker 1>data platform Arkham, involved thirty three million usd C being

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<v Speaker 1>withdrawn from liquidity on Tuesday and sent to an entity

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<v Speaker 1>labeled fire Blocks, which then routed funds to wallets labeled

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<v Speaker 1>as belonging to coinbase. Public Salona records on soul Scan

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<v Speaker 1>collaborate or corroborate the large USDC outflows from Trump link wallets.

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<v Speaker 1>So again bad optics here. But again, you know, as

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<v Speaker 1>I've said before, I believe Trump is a net positive. Right.

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<v Speaker 1>Things have completely changed with the regulatory agencies, the SEC,

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<v Speaker 1>specifically the CFDC as well and ending some of Operation

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<v Speaker 1>Choke point two point zero, even though the banks are

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<v Speaker 1>trying to do another version of it. But overall we

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<v Speaker 1>are in a better environment. But you know, I'm hoping

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<v Speaker 1>eventually all that leads in twenty twenty six to a

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<v Speaker 1>massive bull market, because if it doesn't, then, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>despite the clarity and the movement of legislation and the

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<v Speaker 1>attack being you know, put to bed from a regulatory

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<v Speaker 1>agencies the price is not there, and that would really suck.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's hope, guys, things turn the corner in twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty six. And I believe they will because markets are cyclical,

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<v Speaker 1>and I believe that, you know, the liquidity cycle again

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<v Speaker 1>disrupted by the terriff situation as well as even the

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<v Speaker 1>government shut down, right, but I believe liquidity will start

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<v Speaker 1>to flow back in and markets will start to move,

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<v Speaker 1>And again I'm leading towards the probability of new all

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<v Speaker 1>time highs in twenty twenty six. Okay, quick word from

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<v Speaker 1>our sponsor, and that is Proppy. Propy is leading to

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<v Speaker 1>charge with putting real estate on chain. Folks. You can

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<v Speaker 1>buy and sell real estate on Propy's platform using cryptos.

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<v Speaker 1>If you want to sell your house or bitcoin, or

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<v Speaker 1>buy a house or a bigcoin, you can do that

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<v Speaker 1>with Propy, and the platform is powered by blockchain and AI.

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<v Speaker 1>So I've been an investor in the property token since

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<v Speaker 1>twenty eighteen. I discovered them around that time, and I'm like,

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<v Speaker 1>wait a minute. If blockchain is going to be adopted

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<v Speaker 1>by different industries, real estate is primed to be disrupted

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<v Speaker 1>by blockchain technology. So they've been putting deeds on chain.

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<v Speaker 1>They've created NFTs for properties. They've been around since twenty seventeen.

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<v Speaker 1>They've facilitated over five billion dollars in deals, and they

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<v Speaker 1>use coinbase for the escrow service, the crypto escor service

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<v Speaker 1>for the buying and selling and billionaire investor Tim Draper

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<v Speaker 1>is an investor in his company. He's very bullish, he

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<v Speaker 1>has been for a long time. So once again Propy

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<v Speaker 1>is doing some amazing things. They are ahead of the

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<v Speaker 1>curve here, and we know the world's largest asset class,

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<v Speaker 1>real estate, is going on chain, folks, all assets will

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<v Speaker 1>and even the buying and selling process and all the

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<v Speaker 1>intricacies of real estate and mortgages and so forth. It's

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<v Speaker 1>going to be on the blockchain and probably is the

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<v Speaker 1>leader here. So folks, if you'd like to learn more

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<v Speaker 1>about Propy, go to property dot com. Link would be

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<v Speaker 1>in the description. Okay, look at this news. Digital id

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<v Speaker 1>cbdc's risk turning us into a surveillance state, according to

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<v Speaker 1>US representative Warren Davidson. Now, Warren Davidson has been a

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<v Speaker 1>big champion for crypto for many years, going back to

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<v Speaker 1>like twenty seventeen. Guys and I interviewed him. Even Ron

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<v Speaker 1>Hammond who used to be a frequent guest on this

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<v Speaker 1>podcast when he was at the Blockchain Association, was working

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<v Speaker 1>with him to put legislation through. I remember they crafted

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<v Speaker 1>the Token Taxonomy Act. That's how early they were, right

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<v Speaker 1>before all of these things that are we're seeing this year.

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<v Speaker 1>So I absolutely value his perspective on the markets. And

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<v Speaker 1>you know he's highlighting that potentially the Genius Act, the

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<v Speaker 1>Stable Cooint Bill, it could enable a wholesale version of

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<v Speaker 1>a US dollars central back digital currency or a CBDC

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<v Speaker 1>that could be used for surveillance, coercion, and control. He

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<v Speaker 1>also fears a digital ID system will be rolled out

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<v Speaker 1>that forces Americans to get government permission to use your

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<v Speaker 1>own money. He says, do not be deceived. We need

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<v Speaker 1>to reject this globalist surveillance state and return to the

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<v Speaker 1>first principles. He added, reminding his followers that Bitcoin's original

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<v Speaker 1>promise was less than about being an illiquid inflation hedge

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<v Speaker 1>asset and more about being permissionless, peer to peer payment system. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>one of the things I highlighted to you guys, I

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<v Speaker 1>think within the past four weeks is that the anti

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<v Speaker 1>CBDC bill, which was supposed to be passed with the

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<v Speaker 1>Defense Act did not get included. That news is not

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<v Speaker 1>making as much headlines as they should have. So, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>that bill was put forth by guys like Tom emer

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<v Speaker 1>and others. It didn't make it through, guys, doesn't mean

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<v Speaker 1>it won't ever be passed, but that is a roadblock,

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<v Speaker 1>and it looks like someone is trying to roadblock that.

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<v Speaker 1>And it could be people that the Fed, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the banks and so forth. They want this, they want

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<v Speaker 1>that wholesale CBDC. One of the things I've been highlighting

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<v Speaker 1>to you guys, and is that what Chris John Carlow,

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<v Speaker 1>who was you know, founder of the Digital Dollar Project,

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<v Speaker 1>was telling us for years, and that is the same

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<v Speaker 1>concerns people have about CBDCs they should also have about

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<v Speaker 1>stable coins, because if the stable coins are being plugged

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<v Speaker 1>in or owned by the banks, are plugged into the treasury,

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<v Speaker 1>the same type of thing can be done, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>with programmability and surveillance and so forth. So we got

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<v Speaker 1>some work to do here, and we're gonna have to

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<v Speaker 1>see how things develop. You know, could the anti CBDC

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<v Speaker 1>bills still get passed in twenty twenty six, That's I'm

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be asking people in DC. I'm going to be

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<v Speaker 1>bringing more members of Congress on the podcasts to talk

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<v Speaker 1>to them about this. I'll probably bring back Warren Davidson

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about what the hell is going on here.

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<v Speaker 1>So even Representative Marjorie Marjorie Taylor Green said she voted

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<v Speaker 1>no to the Genius Act, arguing it hands powers over

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<v Speaker 1>to the banks while up opening a backdoor for a CBDC.

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<v Speaker 1>So we're gonna have to see how things play out here, guys,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm gonna try to get some answers for you all.

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<v Speaker 1>But this is something to keep an eye on because

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<v Speaker 1>we know the banks are lobbying hard right now to

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<v Speaker 1>change things in the Genius Act. They don't like that

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<v Speaker 1>you're getting yield of course on crypto exchanges like uphold

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<v Speaker 1>and coinbase, and you can earn a higher rate of

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<v Speaker 1>return on staking stable con yield versus what they're giving

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<v Speaker 1>you in your checking or savings accounts. Right, So we

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<v Speaker 1>got to watch this closely. Now, speaking of cbdc's, look

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<v Speaker 1>at this. India's Central Bank urges countries to prioritize CBDCs

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<v Speaker 1>over stable coins. So we got to be vigilant here, folks.

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<v Speaker 1>We got to be vigilant. Look, I live in the US,

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<v Speaker 1>so I can only speak for the US. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>those of you listening across the world, you got to

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<v Speaker 1>watch out for this right. And some of you may

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<v Speaker 1>not care, but you know, personally, I do. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think about my daughter as well, you know, as she

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<v Speaker 1>grows up and what role she is going to be in.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think we've got to fight to make sure

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<v Speaker 1>our rights are not trampled on. So I think we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to see a lot of different central banks push

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<v Speaker 1>for CBDCs. It looks like the CBDC movement is building

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<v Speaker 1>momentum again. So the Reserve Bank of India has urged

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<v Speaker 1>countries to focus on central bank digital currencies over privately

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<v Speaker 1>issued stable coins, citing concerns about financial stability. In its

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<v Speaker 1>December Financial Stability Report release on Wednesday, the RBI argue

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<v Speaker 1>this that CBDCs preserved the single ness of money and

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<v Speaker 1>the integrity of the financial system and should remain as

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<v Speaker 1>the ultimate settlement asset and the anchor for trust in money.

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<v Speaker 1>And one of the things the article gives context on

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<v Speaker 1>is that so far, the CBDCs that have been successfully

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<v Speaker 1>launched around the world includes Nigeria, Bahamas, and Jamaica. But

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<v Speaker 1>China will argue China's CBDC, the digital Yuwan, that one

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<v Speaker 1>is pretty big and they're trying to you know, do

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<v Speaker 1>loans and interest on that now. So we got to

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<v Speaker 1>watch out, guys, the movement that was happening, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>years ago. If people like, yeah, that's it, we're not

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<v Speaker 1>going to have a CBDC here, and we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>put up this ebed starting to pop up again. So

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<v Speaker 1>I will continue to bring folks on the podcast to

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<v Speaker 1>talk to them about it, and we can monitor this accordingly.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, folks, that's the news. Let me know what

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<v Speaker 1>you think. Leave your thoughts and comments below, hit the

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<v Speaker 1>thumbs up button. Be sure to support the podcast by

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<v Speaker 1>subscribing to my free email newsletter. I'll be doing a

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<v Speaker 1>full write up on Friday, so you don't want to

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<v Speaker 1>miss that write up. Check out my book on Amazon's

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<v Speaker 1>available in paperback and digital. Grab a copy and check

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<v Speaker 1>out my course at Mycrypto course dot com. Folks, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you for tuning in, wishing you all a happy new year.

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<v Speaker 1>It's probably the new year already for many of you

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<v Speaker 1>watching and listening and wishing you a happy, healthy and

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<v Speaker 1>prosperous year for you and your family, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe you have good fortune, and then made the markets

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<v Speaker 1>bring us some new higher highs and higher prices and

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<v Speaker 1>a blow off top and we make some really nice returns.

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<v Speaker 1>Or folks, I'll catch you on the next one.
