1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:03,799 Speaker 1: Money coming in on the Chargers, money coming in on 2 00:00:03,879 --> 00:00:07,759 the under. That's right, the Philadelphia Eagles playing the LA 3 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:11,320 Chargers to end Week fourteen of the NFL. We're going 4 00:00:11,359 --> 00:00:13,640 to take that game apart. We're also going to give 5 00:00:13,679 --> 00:00:17,160 you bets on every single NBA game on the board, 6 00:00:17,519 --> 00:00:21,559 every single NHL game of the board, some college basketball, 7 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:25,600 and we're gonna reminisce about the good times known as 8 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:29,160 the Denver Bronco Las Vegas Raiders game. This just in 9 00:00:29,399 --> 00:00:31,960 Joe Ranaian Steve Merrill with me. 10 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 2: Joe. 11 00:00:33,560 --> 00:00:36,439 Speaker 1: I just saw Pete Carroll at the bank. He was 12 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:40,759 cashing his ticket, putting his money away. He's got to 13 00:00:40,759 --> 00:00:44,079 feel good about himself right now. Great win, Pete Carroll, 14 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:47,520 way to go, great cover, Pete cow way to go. Yes, 15 00:00:48,039 --> 00:00:51,280 win for him, Win for him because he's at the bank. 16 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:56,159 Speaker 2: Awful, absolutely awful on so many different levels for that game. 17 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:59,840 But I listen, like, got anything else. You drawn a 18 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:03,119 line saying half half the people with the Denver tickets 19 00:01:03,439 --> 00:01:05,319 are going you gotta be kidding me those and I 20 00:01:05,359 --> 00:01:08,719 had the Raiders say it was never in down press never. 21 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:12,319 Speaker 1: Never, and and and I was on the under guys, 22 00:01:12,359 --> 00:01:20,159 the real white guy is Steve Merrill translucent but not 23 00:01:20,159 --> 00:01:21,879 not at the Brian power level? 24 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,159 Speaker 3: No, No, nobody is at that level. 25 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:29,799 Speaker 1: Yes, Steve, have you ever seen the sun? 26 00:01:31,359 --> 00:01:34,079 Speaker 3: Yes? This is something we explained to Press every time, 27 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:36,760 is that it's the ring light. In fact, I cannot. 28 00:01:36,799 --> 00:01:38,719 I'll tell you what, Press, I'll make myself nice and 29 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:42,120 orange for you like it. 30 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:44,519 Speaker 2: There you go, that's dead. 31 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:52,079 Speaker 3: That's dead, Steve. Okay, there you go. Look look what 32 00:01:52,239 --> 00:01:54,519 that could be. Look I'll be as orange as everybody 33 00:01:54,519 --> 00:01:55,719 else for the rest of the show. 34 00:01:56,439 --> 00:02:01,239 Speaker 1: There you go. That's the spot, right, Joe. I feel 35 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:04,120 like the lighting in Steve Merrill's house is. 36 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:07,879 Speaker 3: I'm thinking Joe, I got him that quickly off of me, 37 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:11,039 onto the the lights. Now I've solved the problem. 38 00:02:11,159 --> 00:02:13,840 Speaker 2: Oh with squirrel. I love it fantast. 39 00:02:13,439 --> 00:02:19,960 Speaker 1: Okay, So we got a big game tonight. Yes, Eagles 40 00:02:20,039 --> 00:02:24,479 are in a bit of a free fall. Justin is injured. 41 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:29,919 He is going to play. Seventy four of the tickets 42 00:02:30,319 --> 00:02:33,919 have been written of the money is on the over 43 00:02:34,439 --> 00:02:37,919 yet it's coming down and the money is pretty even. 44 00:02:38,039 --> 00:02:40,960 Yet we're now seeing a minus two instead of a 45 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,759 two and a half. Steve Merrill, I'll start with you 46 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:45,560 my brother, who do you like in this game? 47 00:02:47,199 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 3: So I did a standalone video for this game, as 48 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:51,080 I do every week for the Monday night football games 49 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:53,000 on Wait to Talk TV, and one of the things 50 00:02:53,039 --> 00:02:56,280 I pointed out was, yes, the Eagles offense has been struggling, 51 00:02:56,319 --> 00:02:58,560 and it almost seems too easy to be present this 52 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:02,080 game to just say under, Eagles under. But then the 53 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:04,639 problem is we have so much uncertainty with the Chargers 54 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:08,120 and quarterback Justin Herbert, who is expected to play, but 55 00:03:08,159 --> 00:03:10,120 he has a broken left hand. He was limited in 56 00:03:10,159 --> 00:03:13,479 practice on Thursday and Friday. In fact, they're going more 57 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:15,520 shotgun formation because they don't want him have to take 58 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:17,719 that snap under center with that top hand getting the 59 00:03:17,719 --> 00:03:20,680 impact of the ball. But it's not his throwing hand, 60 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:22,840 So let's just take them out of the equation. When 61 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:25,000 I gave him the video, and I still like, is 62 00:03:25,039 --> 00:03:28,280 the Eagle team total under twenty one and a half? 63 00:03:28,719 --> 00:03:31,319 No question, twenty one is a key number we get 64 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:34,199 that working force in our favor. I'd have to pull up, 65 00:03:34,199 --> 00:03:35,919 but I think like six of the last eight games 66 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:38,719 the Eagles have scored twenty one or less. Seems a 67 00:03:38,719 --> 00:03:40,680 little obvious to me here, and it concerns me. But 68 00:03:40,719 --> 00:03:43,159 the other thing I'll point out is that the Chargers 69 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:45,360 defense is better than people realize if you look at 70 00:03:45,439 --> 00:03:48,159 him statistically this year, they've been pretty good when you 71 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:50,960 factor and opponents played, and I think they can hold 72 00:03:50,960 --> 00:03:53,360 the Eagles in check. I don't think Phillies necessary figured 73 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:55,439 anything out here. Chargers on the year getting up just 74 00:03:55,479 --> 00:03:57,599 twenty one points a game, by the way, and just 75 00:03:57,639 --> 00:04:00,520 five point two yards per play. And this the game 76 00:04:00,599 --> 00:04:03,080 last night with the other Super Bowl competitor from last season, 77 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:06,120 the Kansas City Chiefs, should just play that game under. 78 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:07,840 You know, I got sneaky in my free play video 79 00:04:07,879 --> 00:04:10,759 and I leaned Kansas City had a bad feeling about 80 00:04:10,759 --> 00:04:12,280 it because I just don't think they're any good. They 81 00:04:12,280 --> 00:04:14,680 were play against team for me all season, the offensive 82 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:16,519 line injuries, but I just didn't want to go under. 83 00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:19,079 Forty and a half should have gone under. That game 84 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:22,000 was never in doubt with the under, Kansas City's offensive struggling, 85 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:24,240 and I don't think you just fix a struggling offense 86 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:27,879 overnight until I see the Eagles do something otherwise, I 87 00:04:27,879 --> 00:04:29,480 think they're gonna struggle to score in this one. I 88 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:31,079 take the under twenty one and a half of their 89 00:04:31,079 --> 00:04:31,639 team total. 90 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:36,839 Speaker 1: Yeah, Joseph, what do you think of that breakdown? I'velt 91 00:04:36,879 --> 00:04:38,560 it was a bit wager talk today. 92 00:04:38,639 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 2: Ish ooh, all, well, I'll just throw this out of 93 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:45,920 It's seven of twelve games Steve this year, they have 94 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:48,839 not scored more than twenty one points. So they are 95 00:04:49,439 --> 00:04:53,399 you know, to your point, they are anemic to say 96 00:04:53,399 --> 00:04:56,480 the least. They also lead the league in three and outs. 97 00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:59,639 So nothing, you know, Lane Johnson, not in this game. 98 00:05:00,079 --> 00:05:03,480 It's amazing to me that a tackle can be that 99 00:05:03,639 --> 00:05:06,279 important to the success, not just this year. Like you 100 00:05:06,360 --> 00:05:09,399 go back to twenty twenty two, and I think sixty 101 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:12,879 five sixty six percent of the games that he hasn't 102 00:05:12,879 --> 00:05:16,879 played in they can't score. It's amazing to me how 103 00:05:16,959 --> 00:05:20,199 much he means to this team. And yet I'm not 104 00:05:20,240 --> 00:05:23,399 sure that the Chargers defense, who gives up the fewest 105 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:26,879 twenty or more yard plays explosive plays than any team 106 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:29,079 in the NFL. I don't know how to go in 107 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:32,439 there and expect to flip a switch and go can't 108 00:05:32,439 --> 00:05:36,160 look at the over I mean, defensive touchdowns and all, 109 00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:39,439 but this feels like a hardball game. Pez This is 110 00:05:39,519 --> 00:05:42,439 exactly the kind of game where Harbaugh is like hand left, 111 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:45,279 hand right, take the air out of the ball and 112 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:47,800 will beat you thirteen to seven and be very happy 113 00:05:47,800 --> 00:05:48,279 in doing so. 114 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'm confused at this number. I mean, this 115 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:58,519 reminds me of the Jacksonville, Indianapolis game here where you 116 00:05:58,600 --> 00:06:03,839 have you know that first impression lasts kind of concept. 117 00:06:04,079 --> 00:06:06,680 We had Philadelphia win the Super Bowl last year. We 118 00:06:06,759 --> 00:06:10,519 had Philadelphia go on a nice run to start the season, 119 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:14,319 and people just can't get out of their mind that 120 00:06:14,399 --> 00:06:17,279 this Philadelphia team is, you know, the super Bowl champs. 121 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,319 This is not the same Philadelphia team that we've seen. 122 00:06:20,759 --> 00:06:25,040 This team is lacking chemistry offensively at a very high level. 123 00:06:25,399 --> 00:06:28,839 They're really struggling to move the ball. Jesus man. They 124 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:33,240 even fumbled on their famous push push last week. I 125 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:37,920 don't understand why San Diego is the dog hare at 126 00:06:38,000 --> 00:06:40,879 San Diego, the Alley Chargers of the dog Hare. I 127 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:44,800 think the Chargers of the play Joe and Steve. I 128 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:48,680 think that I think that the Philly's a false favorite. 129 00:06:50,399 --> 00:06:53,279 Speaker 3: No arguments. I wouldn't disagree with the false favor narrative. 130 00:06:53,319 --> 00:06:54,600 I mean, if you look at what these teams have 131 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:57,439 done in recent weeks, the Chargers have played as well, 132 00:06:57,439 --> 00:06:59,839 if not better. They've won for their last five straight 133 00:06:59,920 --> 00:07:02,439 up up Eagles had dropped back to back games. I 134 00:07:02,439 --> 00:07:03,920 think part of it pres is like, well, it's a 135 00:07:03,959 --> 00:07:05,800 defending Super Bowl champs. The team that had won like 136 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:07,439 twenty four out of twenty eight up till a month 137 00:07:07,519 --> 00:07:11,519 ago is off back to back losses. But they're legitimate losses. 138 00:07:11,639 --> 00:07:14,199 Twenty one points, fifteen points against the Bears. Let's not 139 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:17,399 forget Chicago has a bad defense and the Packers put 140 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:20,079 up a good amount of points yesterday. One thing I 141 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:22,319 will point out, guys, is the Eagles had four turnovers 142 00:07:22,360 --> 00:07:25,800 the last two games. Turnovers do sometimes, you know, randomly 143 00:07:25,839 --> 00:07:28,800 turn around. But this is a tough trip. Also coast 144 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:30,920 to coast Monday night football. Not that LA has a 145 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:35,000 huge home contendency. Yeah, I don't disagree Press. I think 146 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:37,920 the Chargers are probably a live dog in this one. 147 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,519 But hey, look a teaser play taking them to plus 148 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:42,800 eight and a half is really attractive to me. Two 149 00:07:42,879 --> 00:07:44,160 two and a half up to eight eight and a 150 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:47,079 half excellent teaser. And it should be a low scoring 151 00:07:47,079 --> 00:07:48,759 game with a toble forty one and a half. And 152 00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:50,439 we just mentioned the reasons why we all kind of 153 00:07:50,519 --> 00:07:53,759 lean under Chargers. Teaser at plus eight eight and a 154 00:07:53,759 --> 00:07:55,240 half makes a lot of sense, And of course you 155 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:57,879 have to tie that up a game later next weekend. 156 00:07:58,199 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 1: We're going to need a second leg for that, guys. 157 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:04,959 So I will I'll throw out Cincinnati. They are plus 158 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:09,639 two and a half at home hosting a Baltimore team 159 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:13,480 that well just can't get out of their own way. 160 00:08:13,639 --> 00:08:18,800 So perhaps you want to parlay it with Cincinnati. I 161 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:19,600 would stay. 162 00:08:19,399 --> 00:08:25,240 Speaker 3: Away situation President Cleveland. Yes, I saw one and a 163 00:08:25,279 --> 00:08:27,600 half against Cleveland. I mean they can't lose that game. 164 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:33,879 Speaker 1: Right there, you go. I think there's there's some opportunity 165 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:40,240 right there for you guys. That's a nice catch. Steve Merrill. Okay, guys, 166 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:42,759 Steve Merrill, you haven't seen him on the show before. 167 00:08:42,799 --> 00:08:46,000 One of the best handicappers on the planet, having an 168 00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:49,399 outstanding NFL season right now, and you can find him 169 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:54,759 over at wagertalk dot com. An incredible handicapper and a 170 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:58,679 better dude, that's for sure. There's a picture of him 171 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:03,519 from nineteen eighty three. Uh, welcome to the show, Steve. Guys. 172 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:04,679 Hit that like button? 173 00:09:04,879 --> 00:09:11,519 Speaker 3: Yeah, that like me? That what looks like team called 174 00:09:11,519 --> 00:09:13,120 me Joe on Saturday and told me I had to 175 00:09:13,159 --> 00:09:16,159 do the show today. That was a live reaction when 176 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:17,840 I found out I was doing the show today, and 177 00:09:17,879 --> 00:09:20,720 I calmed down. I had about forty eight hours to 178 00:09:20,759 --> 00:09:22,759 regroup and realize I could put up with this for 179 00:09:22,799 --> 00:09:26,559 thirty minutes. Jovenary, my emotional support dog, joven Airey, would 180 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:28,559 be here here. Yeah, and it would be a buffer. 181 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:31,120 This is part of the deal. I could not be 182 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:35,240 next to Pres. Yeah, there's a buffer there, what we 183 00:09:35,279 --> 00:09:36,840 call cracked. 184 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:41,159 Speaker 1: I need Joe. Even though Steve is in Virginia, Jose 185 00:09:41,279 --> 00:09:44,960 in Florida, and Pres is in Toronto, I still need 186 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:48,120 Jovenary in between the two of us. 187 00:09:48,159 --> 00:09:50,840 Speaker 3: I go, Pres has a fluffer. I need a buffer, 188 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:52,919 and this is how Yeah that's very good. 189 00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:59,559 Speaker 1: Well at least Press isn't the fluffer. Yes, A smart 190 00:09:59,759 --> 00:10:03,480 told me, we got lots of show left to go. Guys, 191 00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:05,480 to stay with us, but I do have a public 192 00:10:05,519 --> 00:10:10,000 announcement to make sure. Yeah, so it turns out that 193 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:14,360 my ex wife does watch some of these shows. 194 00:10:14,399 --> 00:10:16,440 Speaker 3: So expensive. 195 00:10:16,799 --> 00:10:19,679 Speaker 1: Yeah, So just to reiterate, guys, because I'm going to 196 00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:23,000 make a public announcement so you all understand last week, 197 00:10:23,039 --> 00:10:26,399 there was a person who commented named Debbie Head, and 198 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:30,639 I pointed out that my ex wife's first name is Debbie, 199 00:10:30,879 --> 00:10:33,360 but her last name is definitely not. 200 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:35,639 Speaker 2: Well. 201 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,879 Speaker 1: She heard about this and was upset. So I would 202 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:50,559 like to look into the camera and Debbie, I'm sorry, 203 00:10:50,759 --> 00:10:53,120 you definitely do not suck. 204 00:10:56,440 --> 00:11:05,360 Speaker 3: Can This is where neither you know councils, payrolls clicking 205 00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:07,600 Joe for the rate wager talk council. 206 00:11:08,639 --> 00:11:11,440 Speaker 1: There you go. I've apologized to my asks. 207 00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:12,159 Speaker 2: We move on. 208 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:14,120 Speaker 1: Now do that. 209 00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:17,720 Speaker 3: Legal? Legal made you do that? 210 00:11:18,279 --> 00:11:20,679 Speaker 2: Yes, just to just to make sure everyone understood. 211 00:11:20,879 --> 00:11:23,639 Speaker 3: Like it's like in Talladega Knights when Ricky Ricky Bobby 212 00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:27,399 kept saying with all due respect, yes, suck with all 213 00:11:27,519 --> 00:11:29,480 due respect. It's in the Geneva Convention. 214 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:38,240 Speaker 1: Yes, Steve Merrill, we gotta go through what did we learn. 215 00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:42,120 I'll throw them teams out, but let's open it up 216 00:11:42,159 --> 00:11:45,039 to you. So anything you can talk college football, you 217 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:48,240 can talk NFL if anything stood out to you could 218 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:50,440 talk about the fact that Pete Carroll is clearly a 219 00:11:50,519 --> 00:11:55,000 better whatever you want, and then we'll go through some 220 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:57,080 teams afterwards. So the mic is yours. 221 00:11:58,080 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, Now I'm going to talk about fame. The public's 222 00:12:00,159 --> 00:12:02,960 extremely successful in a moment, but you said college football, 223 00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:05,120 so I got to jump into that. I'm watching the 224 00:12:05,159 --> 00:12:09,000 selection show a lod yesterday at noon Eastern, and ESPN 225 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:11,120 als these different metrics they use, and every one of 226 00:12:11,159 --> 00:12:14,759 them had Notre Dame stronger than Miami. Their football power Index, 227 00:12:14,799 --> 00:12:17,879 their quality games, their strength of schedule, their strength of 228 00:12:17,919 --> 00:12:20,679 opponent's schedule, all these things had Notre Dame that is 229 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:22,960 the better team than Miami. And of course they put 230 00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:25,000 Miami of Florida in and Joe Werenary and I talked 231 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:27,679 about this on Saturday evening and Joe got a big 232 00:12:27,759 --> 00:12:29,320 chuckle out of it, and I said, what could go 233 00:12:29,399 --> 00:12:31,840 wrong when you have thirteen anonymous voters who have no 234 00:12:31,879 --> 00:12:35,080 accountability in a room making selections, They can do whatever 235 00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:38,000 the hell they want. And Miami of Florida, coming in 236 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:40,080 this week in the All state playoff predictor had an 237 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:42,720 eleven percent chance of making the postseason. I kept thinking 238 00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:44,919 to myself, how do they have any chance of making 239 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:46,799 the postseason? They've been behind Notre Dame every year in 240 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:49,360 the polls, neither one of them is playing, and including 241 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:52,039 last week's playoff pole and then you have Duke Virginia. 242 00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:54,200 Virginia wins as a favorite. They get in. Of course 243 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:57,399 they don't win anyway. Long story short, Miami is in. 244 00:12:57,519 --> 00:12:59,799 And they do this stuff on purpose. They put Alabama 245 00:12:59,799 --> 00:13:01,679 in number nine when people thought they might not get 246 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:04,639 in at all. Don't fall for it. And I'm falling 247 00:13:04,639 --> 00:13:06,639 forward because I'm talking about it already. They do this 248 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:08,200 for you to talk about. It's the same reason we 249 00:13:08,240 --> 00:13:10,039 only had two teams and then only four teams for 250 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:11,600 a decade in the playoffs, when they could have been 251 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:13,679 doing this all along. And it's the same reason we 252 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:16,200 don't currently have sixteen teams like we should, and we 253 00:13:16,279 --> 00:13:20,000 probably will within the next few years. Also, it's ironic 254 00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:23,320 to me. The Tulane James Madisen, the two automatic qualifiers 255 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:26,279 are huge three four touch two and a half three 256 00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:29,200 touchdown dogs the oath. Their head coaches have already taken 257 00:13:29,279 --> 00:13:32,159 other jobs elsewhere, but they're going to stay and coach. 258 00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:35,120 And the JMU coach is going to UCLA. He can 259 00:13:35,159 --> 00:13:36,759 just stay out on the West coast. After they lose 260 00:13:36,759 --> 00:13:39,639 at Oregon. The Florida coach is coming into JMU, but 261 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:42,320 he won't coach this game. To Lane coach is leaving 262 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:45,519 for Florida. It's like the six Degrees of Kevin Bacon 263 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:47,919 with the college football playoffs. And the one thing I 264 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:49,879 will point out is George is sitting pretty right now. 265 00:13:49,879 --> 00:13:52,000 They're getting the winner of the old miss Tu Lane game, 266 00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:54,960 the two lane duck programs right now, but they will 267 00:13:54,960 --> 00:13:57,440 have to play Ohio State and the Semis probably be eliminated. 268 00:13:57,480 --> 00:13:57,679 Speaker 1: Then. 269 00:13:58,120 --> 00:13:59,639 Speaker 3: As far as the NFL do, I want to point 270 00:13:59,639 --> 00:14:01,759 out how fame the Public continues to work. I mentioned 271 00:14:01,759 --> 00:14:03,639 this in my video every week. It's been over sixty 272 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:07,399 percent consistently all season. And the four official public plays 273 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:10,360 last night or yesterday afternoon, rather you went four to oh, 274 00:14:10,360 --> 00:14:12,600 fad in them. I got my list right here. Brown's 275 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:16,480 lost out right, Buccaneers lost out right, Ronco's failed to 276 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:19,279 cover by half a point, and the Bears failed to 277 00:14:19,279 --> 00:14:22,200 cover by half a point. You know, last week fad 278 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,120 in the Public went three to one and all four 279 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,320 teams won straight up, but only one of the four covered. 280 00:14:26,639 --> 00:14:28,639 Yesterday two of them missed by half a point. This 281 00:14:28,679 --> 00:14:30,840 is why fade the Public works long term, because you 282 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:34,600 get extra line value, especially later in the season in December, 283 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:37,039 the official public plays if you fade them this year 284 00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:40,480 my video now thirty nine and twenty three, it's really 285 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:42,200 worked well and I think it'll continue to work here 286 00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:43,279 guys in the month of December. 287 00:14:45,759 --> 00:14:51,039 Speaker 1: Joe, let's talk about Theffalo Bills. Let's talk about Houston. 288 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:55,080 I'll start with those two teams. How good are the 289 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:58,080 Bills moving forward? And this is a team that could 290 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:01,039 have lost easily to Cincinnati. They really didn't have it 291 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:06,720 together and the game turned on two interceptions. What did 292 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:08,840 you learn about the low Bills yesterday? 293 00:15:09,799 --> 00:15:12,799 Speaker 2: Bet him at home? Josh Allen is very dangerous at 294 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:16,399 home in Orchard Park, and we saw it again yesterday. 295 00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:20,440 That's what makes this team very difficult to bet against 296 00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:23,440 this time of year, and moving forward, it's what makes 297 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:27,919 them dangerous in the postseason, although they haven't exactly been 298 00:15:27,960 --> 00:15:32,120 great on the road, even though Kansas City kind of 299 00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:34,080 blew any chance they got of getting back to the 300 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:37,879 playoffs last night. And you know, Buffalo is still going 301 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:39,919 to have a long road ahead of them. But Josh 302 00:15:39,919 --> 00:15:42,679 Allen showed you why he was the MVP last year 303 00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:45,399 and why it is you just can't count the guy out. 304 00:15:45,519 --> 00:15:47,080 It would be great if he could play a first 305 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:49,320 half would love him if he played the first half 306 00:15:49,360 --> 00:15:52,240 Marrow because Josh Allen apparently the Bills they only want 307 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:54,399 to play in the second They literally need to be 308 00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:56,879 punched into face first, and then they come out in 309 00:15:56,879 --> 00:15:59,440 the second half like all right, we're just screwing around, 310 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,759 ready to go. And as far as Houston goes, who 311 00:16:02,799 --> 00:16:06,799 are you beating with that offense? Exactly? Like, who are 312 00:16:06,799 --> 00:16:10,000 you beating? That was a tie game going into the 313 00:16:10,039 --> 00:16:14,360 fourth quarter ten ten, when everybody watching that game last 314 00:16:14,440 --> 00:16:16,720 night should have been like, this should be like twenty 315 00:16:16,759 --> 00:16:19,639 four to nothing right now, and it was ten to ten. 316 00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:22,720 And if Andy Reid did and all of a sudden, 317 00:16:23,039 --> 00:16:26,000 channel is entered Dan Campbell and let's go for it 318 00:16:26,120 --> 00:16:29,039 on fourth down and four from her own thirty yard line. 319 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:32,120 I don't know why you're making a short field for 320 00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:34,200 an offense that can't get out of its own way, 321 00:16:34,879 --> 00:16:37,159 but they ended up coming back and biting them. But 322 00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:41,879 I just congrats on the five game winning streak. Good defense. 323 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:46,039 I wouldn't exactly say it's the what the Ravens defense 324 00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:48,799 of to like, at some point they're gonna have to score. 325 00:16:48,919 --> 00:16:49,240 Speaker 3: Meryl. 326 00:16:49,519 --> 00:16:50,799 Speaker 2: I'm not buying Houston. 327 00:16:50,879 --> 00:16:53,799 Speaker 3: I really am not well, I was gonna say, guys. 328 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:55,960 I mean, if you're Buffalo, and I know a lot 329 00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:58,360 of Buffalo bill fans, you got to be pretty excited 330 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:00,679 about Kansas City, even though Kansas City good this year 331 00:17:00,759 --> 00:17:03,120 yet out of the picture. Who do you worry about now? 332 00:17:03,159 --> 00:17:05,640 The Denver Broncos who win every game by three or less. 333 00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:10,200 All defense, no offense. The Houston Texans, all defense, no offense, corre. 334 00:17:10,319 --> 00:17:13,680 I mean, I think Buffalo's offense is better than those defenses. 335 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:16,519 Even though Buffalo has some severe defensive problems, I'm not 336 00:17:16,519 --> 00:17:19,440 sure those teams can exploit it. And you're worried about Jacksonville, 337 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:22,119 who's now a sixty eight percent favorite to win their division. Ye, 338 00:17:22,279 --> 00:17:24,079 I mean, and the Colts they're out of the picture 339 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:27,279 now with the quarterback injuries. I think they got them 340 00:17:27,319 --> 00:17:30,319 pretty good for a Buffalo team. Agree, yes, And keep 341 00:17:30,319 --> 00:17:32,240 in mind, guys, Buffalo had a one percent chance of 342 00:17:32,279 --> 00:17:33,960 winning that opener with four and a half minutes ago 343 00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:36,440 against Baltimore, and the Ravens played their way out of 344 00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:38,559 the playoffs yesterday. They've got about a twenty eight percent 345 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:41,400 chance they controlled their own destiny. But I think they 346 00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:43,640 play what is it Detroit, New England. They play tough 347 00:17:43,839 --> 00:17:46,400 all too. They do get Pittsburgh at the end. But 348 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:48,200 I got I know a lot of Raven fans obviously 349 00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:50,680 as well, and they were pretty depressed yesterday by the 350 00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:52,519 way that game turned out, and they should be. 351 00:17:52,839 --> 00:17:56,079 Speaker 1: I mean, Steve, you did not mention the Patriots, which 352 00:17:56,119 --> 00:18:01,160 I think are gonna be Buffalo's real key challenger moving forward. 353 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:05,039 But Alow is minus won against New England this week, 354 00:18:05,079 --> 00:18:07,799 a total of forty nine. I want to talk about 355 00:18:07,839 --> 00:18:10,759 the Kansas City Chiefs here, guys, and green Bay and 356 00:18:10,839 --> 00:18:15,240 Denver really quick, because green Bay is favored in Denver 357 00:18:15,559 --> 00:18:19,400 and Kansas City is minus four and a half on 358 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:21,799 the look ahead, I mean not technically a look ahead, 359 00:18:21,839 --> 00:18:24,880 but the Chargers haven't played yet. Steve, I'll go to 360 00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:28,839 you first. Why the hell is Kansas City favored here? 361 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:30,160 What am I missing? 362 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:34,440 Speaker 3: Yeah? No, I totally agree with you. So this is 363 00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:37,839 saying that the Chiefs are even the Chiefs are worse 364 00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:39,400 than we thought they were last week. I think after 365 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:41,519 last night we'd agree they have like a sixteen percent 366 00:18:41,599 --> 00:18:44,200 chance of making the postseason now. Yet the line is 367 00:18:44,279 --> 00:18:46,359 going to be higher against the Chargers than it was 368 00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,240 against the Texans. The Texas do are the best defense 369 00:18:49,279 --> 00:18:51,119 in the NFL. But I just mentioned that Chargers give 370 00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:53,079 up on twenty one points a game. It's over five 371 00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,400 yards of play. They probably have the better offense. Yes, 372 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:58,720 there's some uncertainty with Herbert. I guess maybe a points 373 00:18:58,759 --> 00:19:00,839 factor and if he breaks his hand worse tonight, I 374 00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:03,359 don't know. But yeah, no, like Kansas City was in 375 00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:06,039 a really good spot last night, as you know, Prez, 376 00:19:06,279 --> 00:19:08,839 and they still lost out right. Yeah, I would say 377 00:19:08,839 --> 00:19:11,599 they're on the do not touch list right now. Joe. 378 00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:15,160 Speaker 2: I think, well, first of all, Chargers win tonight, you're 379 00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:16,880 gonna wake up tomorrow and that line is going to 380 00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:20,759 be totally different. And also I think they are counting 381 00:19:20,799 --> 00:19:24,000 on getting two of the three offensive linemen back next week, 382 00:19:24,079 --> 00:19:27,799 so I think that's probably factoring into it. But that 383 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:30,200 whole line is I mean, I'm seeing nothing but tickets 384 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,079 and money on the Chargers, and it hasn't moved all 385 00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:34,400 four and a half, which is what it was overnight. 386 00:19:34,519 --> 00:19:37,119 So I think once the Chargers, if they win this 387 00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:40,559 game here tonight, I think we'll wake up. This thing 388 00:19:40,559 --> 00:19:42,759 will be much closer to a field goal than anything else. 389 00:19:42,799 --> 00:19:46,680 Speaker 1: Tomorrow, guys, you're watching the best betting show ever. I'm 390 00:19:46,759 --> 00:19:51,000 Lawrence Presban Jordeniary with us Steve Merrill sitting in Brian 391 00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:55,240 Power's seat. Hit that like button, subscribe to channel and 392 00:19:55,319 --> 00:19:56,519 make sure to comment. 393 00:19:57,119 --> 00:19:57,400 Speaker 3: Steve. 394 00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:00,599 Speaker 1: We're gonna get into our parlay of the today. I 395 00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:05,880 will go first. My leg is on under six and 396 00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:11,480 a half goals in the Tampa Bay Toronto Maple Leaf game. Yes, 397 00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:14,079 I know there's a backup to a backup in that, 398 00:20:14,279 --> 00:20:19,000 but Toronto, I don't care. We're taking under six and 399 00:20:19,079 --> 00:20:20,920 a half in the Leaf game. Steve, you do not 400 00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:24,000 need to explain your bet, just tell us what it is. 401 00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:27,519 Speaker 3: So I'm still finalizing my NBA card. It looks like 402 00:20:27,559 --> 00:20:29,279 I might have a couple best bets tonight, but I'm 403 00:20:29,279 --> 00:20:31,359 gonna give you a little sneaky parlay here. We talked 404 00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:33,200 about it earlier and it was a two team teaser 405 00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:36,039 because technically a two team teaser is a parlay. And 406 00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,400 I do think the Chargers tonight make an excellent teaser 407 00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:39,960 at plus eight eight and a half. And of course 408 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:41,759 you've got to tie that up with something this weekend 409 00:20:42,079 --> 00:20:45,119 now from football, and I referenced it earlier Chicago Bears 410 00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,119 minus seven and a half at home against Cleveland. Get 411 00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:49,440 them down to minus one and a half. Basic straight 412 00:20:49,519 --> 00:20:52,079 up win situation, which one of the best points spread 413 00:20:52,079 --> 00:20:54,599 teams in the league coming off a loss. I like 414 00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:58,599 a Chargers Bears six point teaser slash parlay tonight and 415 00:20:58,680 --> 00:20:59,279 next Sunday. 416 00:21:00,279 --> 00:21:04,759 Speaker 1: So Joe, Joe, Joe, Joe. I will forgive Steve for 417 00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:11,119 not understanding the segment. So guys, you're getting two picks. 418 00:21:10,799 --> 00:21:12,240 Speaker 2: In the Yes. 419 00:21:13,599 --> 00:21:20,039 Speaker 1: Steve's personal teaser of the day. Separate and you're getting 420 00:21:20,039 --> 00:21:23,359 the parlay of the day, which we're going to start again. Steve, 421 00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:28,279 we need one leg one leg in a parlay, and 422 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:31,279 I know you go, Joe goes and then we have 423 00:21:31,559 --> 00:21:32,319 a three team. 424 00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:36,519 Speaker 3: I didn't so President gave one picks. You know. My 425 00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:39,640 part of the contract is, like you know, like they 426 00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:41,920 do in the jury room, they automatically mute res in 427 00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:44,039 the in the audio. So I thought he gave two picks. 428 00:21:44,079 --> 00:21:49,519 So that's my bad. Come to the. 429 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:52,880 Speaker 1: Best cutting show ever. You're getting a bonus teaser today. 430 00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:54,839 Everybody that was that was. 431 00:21:54,799 --> 00:21:56,680 Speaker 3: I always give more than the people deserve, and I 432 00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:58,839 did it there and I once again he was muted. 433 00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:00,960 This whole time. But I'm able to eat lips. Yes, 434 00:22:01,039 --> 00:22:04,279 So he said I need to give one leg. I'm 435 00:22:04,319 --> 00:22:04,839 gonna give. 436 00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:08,920 Speaker 2: Let me start this whole thing. Well done, Here we go, 437 00:22:09,039 --> 00:22:11,359 pres parlay the Houston because I don't Reven remember what 438 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:13,920 the hell you chose, Prez. So you started, and then 439 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:14,680 we'll go to Meryl. 440 00:22:14,759 --> 00:22:18,079 Speaker 1: Go ahead, ladies and gentlemen, our parlay of the day. 441 00:22:18,279 --> 00:22:21,000 Just to let you although we won our NML Parlay 442 00:22:21,039 --> 00:22:26,119 of the Day yesterday. I'm going with leg one the 443 00:22:26,519 --> 00:22:30,960 under in the Toronto Tampa Bay game, Steve Merrill, let's 444 00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:32,000 try that again. 445 00:22:33,079 --> 00:22:36,039 Speaker 3: Pres best of luck with your MLS pick. I love soccer. 446 00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:38,240 I'm gonna go with the under twenty one and a 447 00:22:38,279 --> 00:22:41,720 half team total with the Eagles tonight. They've scored twenty 448 00:22:41,759 --> 00:22:43,559 one or less than six of their last eight games. 449 00:22:43,559 --> 00:22:44,880 I think it happens again tonight. 450 00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:52,880 Speaker 2: I like it. Boom, give me University of Pennsylvania to 451 00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:56,880 get it done against La Fayette here six o'clock Eastern 452 00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:59,279 time tonight. You can even lay to six and a half. 453 00:22:59,319 --> 00:23:00,279 Speaker 3: I think you'll be good to go. 454 00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:06,519 Speaker 1: There you go, everybody, a three team multi sport parlay. Steve, 455 00:23:06,599 --> 00:23:08,519 you want to hang out with a bad beat segment. 456 00:23:08,559 --> 00:23:10,279 If not, you can leave. It's your choice. 457 00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:12,599 Speaker 3: I'll hang out. Hey, I'm doing wager talk today in 458 00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:14,359 like a couple of minutes. I got nothing else to do. 459 00:23:14,599 --> 00:23:20,319 Speaker 1: Bo okay, So bad beats bad bets. Look, I spoke 460 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,160 about the fact that I was on the under in 461 00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:25,680 the Denver game, and I mean, I was just so horrible. 462 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,200 I don't understand how I lost that under, but I 463 00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:33,640 watched it go down. It was painful, but it's over 464 00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:37,839 and done with. I don't think I'll and Joe correct 465 00:23:37,839 --> 00:23:41,240 me I'm wrong here. I think it might be one 466 00:23:41,279 --> 00:23:45,680 of a historical bad beat. That's what I think. I think. Look, 467 00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:47,839 I didn't have much money on it, so it wasn't 468 00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:51,079 like a bad beat that cost me a lot. But 469 00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,039 as far as everything that could possibly go wrong in 470 00:23:54,039 --> 00:23:57,279 a final three minutes of a football game, between the 471 00:23:57,359 --> 00:24:00,799 fact that you know, had Vegas have scored the touchdown 472 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:05,720 one play later, Denver could take the knee, Denver then 473 00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:13,119 get sacked, they miss on the fourth down, the idiots 474 00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:16,119 or Tan lying on top of the other guy grinding 475 00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:19,799 him because he was horny. I don't know. Pete Carroll 476 00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:24,319 needing extra money. I mean I would say that was 477 00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:26,839 one of the most historical bad beats I've ever seen 478 00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:29,240 in my life. And that's all I'm gonna talk about 479 00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:32,039 other than that. I needed Tampa Bay on the money 480 00:24:32,079 --> 00:24:35,920 line made up two pass interference calls cost me. But 481 00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:38,720 what that said Tampa did not deserve to win that 482 00:24:38,799 --> 00:24:40,160 game anyway, Joe. 483 00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:43,599 Speaker 3: That really was epic. 484 00:24:44,279 --> 00:24:47,079 Speaker 2: Well, there were a couple of very close calls here. 485 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:51,519 I mean, I, for one, Meryll m ecstatic that Duke 486 00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:55,720 ended up pulling that game out against Virginia to throw 487 00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:59,920 the committee into total chaos, which is exactly what needed 488 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:03,039 happened there. But that could have gone either way that game. 489 00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:05,319 Duke was doing a really good job right up until 490 00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:09,480 Virginia tied it late and then Virginia depending on where 491 00:25:09,519 --> 00:25:12,480 you got them two and a half three, you know, 492 00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:15,240 going to overtime, they had a chance to pull that out. 493 00:25:15,279 --> 00:25:18,920 But interception on that first play in overtime was the 494 00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:21,559 end of was the end of that. And for the 495 00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:27,359 love of God, well Tennessee and New Orleans and will 496 00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:30,960 you guys stop winning games like there is a number 497 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:34,960 one draft pick coming up in real soon here, guys, 498 00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:38,920 that could really change the franchises. And you guys continuing 499 00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:42,160 to win games as if it matters, like, please stop 500 00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:45,960 winning games if you're New Orleans, if you're Tennessee. And 501 00:25:46,039 --> 00:25:49,079 the Jets finally figured that out yesterday. By the way, Meryl, 502 00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:53,319 they finally figured out that. Yeah, let Miami keep winning games. 503 00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:56,640 We're good to go here. Yeah, I get that. 504 00:25:56,759 --> 00:26:00,359 Speaker 3: Actually, this is one of the best good beats ever 505 00:26:00,599 --> 00:26:03,000 in a draft pick history. Was two years ago. We 506 00:26:03,000 --> 00:26:05,359 saw a playout last night. The Houston Texans had the 507 00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:07,559 number one pick a couple of seasons ago. They decided 508 00:26:07,599 --> 00:26:11,440 to win their final meaningless game followed the number two spots, 509 00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:13,920 get the Carolina Panthers the number one pick to take 510 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:17,519 Bryce Young, Young talented Bryce Young out of Alabama and 511 00:26:17,559 --> 00:26:20,319 who the Texans fall at number two and get CJ. Stroud. 512 00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:23,160 As he said numerous times in the pregame and postgame 513 00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:25,200 interview last night, we just want to get a dub. 514 00:26:25,519 --> 00:26:27,079 I just want to get a dub. Thank god we 515 00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:32,599 got a dub. But Betty, it is something important to 516 00:26:32,599 --> 00:26:34,599 point out. Teams don't quit, right, And we saw the 517 00:26:34,599 --> 00:26:37,279 Saints win yesterday. Like Joe said, teams don't quit in 518 00:26:37,319 --> 00:26:40,920 December and playing ugly underdogs in December is a really 519 00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:42,200 good strategy long term. 520 00:26:42,279 --> 00:26:46,720 Speaker 1: Yep, Yes, agreed, Steve. That was excellent, man. I really 521 00:26:46,759 --> 00:26:49,160 thank you for doing this with us today, brother, And 522 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:53,400 if Brian Power decides to miss more shows, I'm happy 523 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:55,720 to call you and have you fill in. 524 00:26:58,279 --> 00:27:00,359 Speaker 3: It's always fun to sit in Brian Powers. It's a 525 00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:02,759 little na pointy. I'm not sure what's going on in 526 00:27:02,799 --> 00:27:04,920 this seat. Yes, so it's probably a good thing I'm 527 00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:08,279 leaving sooner than later, but hey, otherwise, very enjoyable. 528 00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:10,119 Speaker 1: What do you got to promote, Steve? 529 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:13,599 Speaker 3: So, I will be on wager Talk today around twelve 530 00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:16,240 thirty Eastern with Andy Lang, the Great Andy Lang, and 531 00:27:16,279 --> 00:27:18,000 I'll be talking more about the Monday night game. I've 532 00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:20,200 also got a free NBA play which I will give 533 00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:23,759 out in that wager Talk segment. And more importantly, check 534 00:27:23,799 --> 00:27:26,960 out the free play videos I do every Primetime game. 535 00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:30,599 The Amazon Prime games are eleven and three this year, 536 00:27:30,599 --> 00:27:33,119 we had the Lines on Thursday. Got a free video 537 00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:36,119 for tonight's game Eagles Chargers. I gave you every College 538 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:39,079 football conference championship game last week, all nine, and I 539 00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,519 gave you free plays in twelve to fourteen NFL games. 540 00:27:42,519 --> 00:27:44,759 That's twenty one of the twenty three football games we're 541 00:27:44,839 --> 00:27:47,440 free last week on wager Talk TV and on my 542 00:27:47,559 --> 00:27:50,359 page at wager talk dot com. And I'm going to 543 00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:53,680 give you every single Bowl game this season in video form. 544 00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:56,559 So click subscribe, click the bellfriends and alerts, thumbs up, 545 00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:59,920 like comments below, and we will keep the videos coming. 546 00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:02,119 And once can check out that daily free play along 547 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,599 with my best bets on my page Steve merrilwager talk 548 00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,319 dot com and get there quicker with that shortcut you 549 00:28:07,319 --> 00:28:13,440 see on the screen wt dot buzz slash sm. 550 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:13,640 Speaker 1: There we go, Steve meryland. 551 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,799 Speaker 3: It is amazing, twenty one of the twenty three games free. 552 00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:20,680 What am I doing? What am I doing? I've calmed 553 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:22,519 down though after I realized what I did. That was 554 00:28:22,559 --> 00:28:27,119 my reaction. But seriously, though, you know these TV leans 555 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:28,839 that we're talking about one percent of bank world right. 556 00:28:28,839 --> 00:28:30,640 If you want my strong best bets four percent of 557 00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:33,279 bank world, then go to wager talk dot com. But otherwise, uh, 558 00:28:33,599 --> 00:28:35,559 lots of great information here on wager Talk TV. 559 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:37,440 Speaker 1: Oh that's for sure. 560 00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:40,119 Speaker 3: Thank you, Steve Merril, appreciate it. 561 00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,839 Speaker 1: Got lots of shows still left. We got our NBA 562 00:28:43,039 --> 00:28:48,000 rundown coming up. NHL Rundown, College Basketball Rundown, no mailbox 563 00:28:48,039 --> 00:28:51,119 segment on Monday Job. Before we get into any of that. 564 00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:54,920 Speaker 2: Oh no, you're not. Are you doing the business? Is 565 00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:55,680 this the business? 566 00:28:55,759 --> 00:28:58,839 Speaker 1: This is the whole business stage? 567 00:28:59,000 --> 00:28:59,200 Speaker 3: Yeah? 568 00:28:59,240 --> 00:28:59,759 Speaker 2: That was all. 569 00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:03,400 Speaker 1: Oh that's quite the output, though, dude, it really is. 570 00:29:03,559 --> 00:29:06,599 Where's the that's so sick that outfit? 571 00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:09,519 Speaker 2: Man? I looked so good, guys. 572 00:29:09,559 --> 00:29:12,480 Speaker 1: I had a monster day yesterday bet in the NFL. 573 00:29:12,559 --> 00:29:15,559 I went five and two, but one of my losses 574 00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:19,599 was the under in the Denver game, which was handicapped perfectly. 575 00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:23,519 I've won my last four NFL betting cards. I'm on 576 00:29:23,599 --> 00:29:26,400 an eleven four run in the NFL, and I have 577 00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:31,000 two bets for you guys tonight in the NFL. I 578 00:29:31,039 --> 00:29:35,640 also have two NHL bets and one college basketball bet, 579 00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:39,160 so check me out over at wagerdork dot com. I 580 00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:40,960 feel like I'm going to have a big night, five 581 00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:44,319 plays altogether. Happy with a four and one. Let's all 582 00:29:44,359 --> 00:29:46,240 win together, Joe, what do you got going. 583 00:29:46,599 --> 00:29:51,839 Speaker 2: A Monday night football bet? Locked and loaded? And I 584 00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:55,279 do have one in college basketball as well, and I 585 00:29:55,319 --> 00:29:58,880 am about to fire what looks to be a five 586 00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:03,559 percent best bet in the NFL for Sunday, So working 587 00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:06,799 that out right now as we speak here prece there 588 00:30:06,839 --> 00:30:07,200 you go. 589 00:30:07,559 --> 00:30:12,359 Speaker 1: Okay, we got the three rundowns to go two minutes each. 590 00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:15,319 Put the clock on your first. Let's get to. 591 00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:17,480 Speaker 2: It all right, Pray, we're gonna start with the NBA 592 00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:20,480 rundown just three games on tap here as we get 593 00:30:20,519 --> 00:30:24,960 ready for the NBA Cup. Let's uh the knockout round 594 00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:28,519 tomorrow with two games. But the first game up here tonight, 595 00:30:28,559 --> 00:30:30,960 it's going to feature the Sacramento Kings on a road 596 00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:36,400 taking on the Indiana Pacers. And while Sacramento not getting 597 00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:37,960 a whole lot of love in the market here, they're 598 00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,400 getting three three and a half points and I believe 599 00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:46,079 they have only one back actually one time. I think 600 00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:48,480 the Kings have won back to back games this season. 601 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:52,960 They just came out of Miami shooting fifty three percent 602 00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:56,000 in that one twenty seven to one to eleven game 603 00:30:56,119 --> 00:31:00,039 on Saturday night. Zach Lavine dropping forty two versus this 604 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:03,240 is the heat. Yeah, Well, the good news is he's 605 00:31:03,279 --> 00:31:05,400 probably not gonna be a Sacramento game for very much 606 00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:08,640 longer anyway, as the trade deadline will approach and he'll 607 00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:12,319 be wearing a different uniform. But Indiana at home has 608 00:31:12,319 --> 00:31:16,839 been very, very competitive. Pascal Siakam is available from what 609 00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:20,119 I understand here in this game, and yeah, I think 610 00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:23,759 they are a shall we say a favorite for a 611 00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:26,720 reason in this game. I still like Indiana to get 612 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:30,559 it done against Sacramento. Then you have Minnesota looking to 613 00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:34,559 avenge an earlier loss to the Phoenix Suns. Phoenix, No, 614 00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:38,519 Devin Booker hasn't been going as well. They've kind of 615 00:31:38,559 --> 00:31:41,720 come back down to reality here a little bit. Minnesota 616 00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:44,119 was nine to nine and a half. There now a 617 00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:48,200 double digit favorite. I like Minnesota in the first half. 618 00:31:48,319 --> 00:31:50,519 They like to play with their food in the second half, 619 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,920 especially the fourth quarter. I think Minnesota comes out and 620 00:31:54,039 --> 00:31:57,240 boat races them early and then New Orleans getting nine 621 00:31:57,279 --> 00:32:00,359 and a half against San Antonio. This is now the 622 00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:05,079 six or seventh game now on the road for San Antonio. 623 00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:07,759 I don't love them in the spot lane this kind 624 00:32:07,799 --> 00:32:11,039 of number. And yes, I know no Zion, but who cares? 625 00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:15,160 They have been competitive they are at home. Wouldn't shock 626 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:17,720 me if that game's a little bit closer than people 627 00:32:17,759 --> 00:32:19,319 think here Tonight, Press. 628 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:24,279 Speaker 1: Joe NHL brother Toronto's playing at Tampa Bay. I told 629 00:32:24,319 --> 00:32:26,599 you at the beginning of the show in the parlay 630 00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:28,640 of the Day segment, I really like the under in 631 00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:30,440 this game. This is a client player. You can get 632 00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:33,400 six and a half out there. I understand Toronto is 633 00:32:33,400 --> 00:32:36,279 playing a backup goaltender, actually a backup to a backup. 634 00:32:36,599 --> 00:32:39,720 That doesn't matter. I've been riding the Toronto under for 635 00:32:39,759 --> 00:32:43,359 two straight weeks now. This team has turned it around. 636 00:32:43,839 --> 00:32:46,160 I do lean on Toronto in this game. I just 637 00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:51,519 don't love it because Tampa Bay's lost three in a row. Also, 638 00:32:51,599 --> 00:32:54,799 we'll be looking towards the Tampa Bay Montreal game tomorrow. 639 00:32:55,079 --> 00:32:58,160 I think if Tampa Bay loses this game, they might 640 00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:02,079 be a really good bet tomorrow. Buffalo and Calgary, I'm 641 00:33:02,119 --> 00:33:04,880 looking for under in this game as well. There's a 642 00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,119 couple of six and a halfs on tap. They're also 643 00:33:07,359 --> 00:33:09,400 five and a half. Do not bet under five and 644 00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:12,480 a half here, but take under the six and a half. 645 00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:17,720 Take under six if you'd like Los Angeles playing Utah 646 00:33:17,519 --> 00:33:21,960 a great spot for the Kings tonight. They're roughly pick 647 00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:25,960 them plus one oh five. Utah is in a real bad, 648 00:33:26,119 --> 00:33:31,279 bad spot scheduling wise. I think Los Angeles gets it done. 649 00:33:32,039 --> 00:33:35,920 Detroit going into Vancouver here, and I'm gonna look at 650 00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:38,799 betting the under in this game. It's six and a 651 00:33:38,799 --> 00:33:46,039 half on tap. This Vancouver team, they're just struggling, and 652 00:33:46,079 --> 00:33:48,559 Detroit will play down to their opponents. I could see 653 00:33:48,599 --> 00:33:51,519 this being a three two three one hockey game, and 654 00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:55,599 anytime Minnesota is involved, look to take the under. They're 655 00:33:55,640 --> 00:33:57,880 playing Seattle. I know it's five and a half and 656 00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:00,720 I normally don't bet five and a half, but man, 657 00:34:00,799 --> 00:34:05,279 this Minnesota team from an under perspective, is free money, 658 00:34:05,359 --> 00:34:08,280 So let's not overthink it. Just take the under. Joe, 659 00:34:08,679 --> 00:34:10,760 what do you got going in college basketball? 660 00:34:11,039 --> 00:34:16,280 Speaker 2: Well, pres it is another light night there in college 661 00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,719 hoops as well, and one of those games I talked 662 00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:24,519 about for my part of the parlay of the day, 663 00:34:24,599 --> 00:34:27,119 and that is going to be a UPenn at home 664 00:34:27,159 --> 00:34:31,760 taking on the Lafayette Leopards here. And call me crazy here, Prez, 665 00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:34,880 but it feels like this line is continuing to rise. 666 00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:37,960 It was five five and a half, six now six 667 00:34:38,039 --> 00:34:40,599 and a half. Wouldn't shock me if this continues to 668 00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:45,639 rise here. And while Fran McCaffrey and his UPenn team 669 00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:49,679 they were a little outmatched by Hofstra and Villanova the 670 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:51,960 last couple of games. But I don't see how they're 671 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:55,440 going to be outmatched here. They have a legit three 672 00:34:55,559 --> 00:34:58,760 point shooter here in Ethan Roberts. I think he's hitting 673 00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:02,159 forty one percent on this season. He's actually the thirteenth 674 00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:06,679 ranked three point shooter nationally. Here. It feels like Penn's 675 00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:10,960 gonna get right in a hurry. Can't trust Lafayette in 676 00:35:11,079 --> 00:35:13,440 this spot, and I have no reason to believe that 677 00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:16,880 they're going to do anything here except getting away of UPenn. 678 00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:19,719 I like them to run away with this game, especially 679 00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:22,840 at home in the second half. I would be a 680 00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:27,840 little bit weary here about laying these monster numbers with 681 00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:32,480 teams like Texas and Kansas State right now here. Both 682 00:35:32,519 --> 00:35:37,039 these teams dealing with some issues and focus may not 683 00:35:37,199 --> 00:35:38,719 be the best thing. You know, We're getting to be 684 00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:42,000 that time of year in college oops pres where classes 685 00:35:42,039 --> 00:35:45,440 are about to be let out, you know, exams being taken. 686 00:35:46,159 --> 00:35:51,119 Not exactly focus driven or great crowds in college basketball 687 00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:53,599 this time of year, and I doubt very much the 688 00:35:53,679 --> 00:35:56,800 Southern Jags are going to bring a whole lot to 689 00:35:56,880 --> 00:36:00,000 the arena here at the Moody Center, with the tech 690 00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:04,199 Longhorns tonight. I would be careful laying twenty two to 691 00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:07,199 twenty three, and I certain wouldn't be laying nearly forty 692 00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:11,239 points with Kansas State here tonight. So tread carefully in 693 00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:15,519 the month of December when it comes to college basketball press. 694 00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:16,880 There we go. 695 00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:22,320 Speaker 1: Joe, great show man. Lots of show left this week. 696 00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:26,159 We got a Art Caeson coming for Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday 697 00:36:26,199 --> 00:36:29,760 and Friday. This show goes live every single day around 698 00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:34,000 twelve thirty Eastern time on wagtok dot TV. Please comment, 699 00:36:34,159 --> 00:36:38,800 please like, please subscribe. Really excited about my cart tonight. 700 00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:42,320 I know you are too, Joe. Let's all wait together, everybody, 701 00:36:42,320 --> 00:36:43,800 and we'll see you all tomorrow.