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Speaker 1: What's up, y'all. Welcome back to another episode of Profit Picks.

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You are new. We do always start the show by

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being transparent. Didn't do a show yesterday, mostly because I

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planned to travel and you know, I have some stuff

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going on, so I didn't end up traveling yesterday. I

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traveled this morning and made it in time for the show,

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So didn't do anything in the NBA yesterday. I did

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lose on those Cougars though, Rob, but they kind of

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stung me the past two times. But things have been

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good outside of that. I think I won. Yeah, won

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five of my last seven games. So good to be

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back with you. You know, how's everything with you?

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Speaker 2: We're good, Ski, I too got stuck by the Houston

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Cougars last night. I tried the first half, and to

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tell you the truth, I turned that channel to go

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check out another game really quick. There's like seven and

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a half left in the first half and Houston was

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in complete control, and I thought, Okay, we're laying half

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a point here, We're gonna make it the halftime. When

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I came back, they lost the first half by four points.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Something about this team, Ski, I don't know. We won't

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waste too much time because this is college troop and

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this is an NBA show. But there's something about the

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Houston team that just feels a little bit different than

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the ones he's had the past few years. Can't put

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my finger on it, but they just don't have that

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killer instinct that the other ones did.

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Speaker 1: For some reason, they struggle a little bit more to score,

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and I don't know, Yeah, something is a little off,

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but we'll see. First time they've lost three in a

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row since I've been paying close attention. We'll see how

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they respond. Seeing people rolling in the chat, but I

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did see a message. I don't think the show got

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twooted out, just double checking here, like so, I don't know,

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I don't know what I have to do, but we'll

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figure it out regardless. We'll go through the games like

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we usually do. We'll start at the top. Here come

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some people coming into the chest, so they must have

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got their notification, all right, Sixers and pacers. And by

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the way, like I said before, you know, I'm doing

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a lot of capping as we go today. That's what

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today's show will be. I do have a play that

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I've made, but doing a lot of capping as we go.

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Seventy six Yers and Pacers opened up minus eight and

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a half for the six Yers now as high as

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ten and a half mostly ten. So so to open

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two thirty five as low as two thirty three for

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the six Ers, you have Nb questionable Room out, Paul

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George out. For the Pacers, you have Jones Potter both probable,

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McConnell nim Hart both questionable, Sea Coome doubtful, Nie Smith

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topping Zubloc out. This is this is not a game

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that I have the most interest bending off the top.

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But second, look at the schedule here. We do have

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third game in four nights for the six Ers, fourth

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and six for both six Years coming off with winn

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it's an underdog so versus TiO Wolves. Actually yeah, I

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was on them actually one thirty five to one oh eight.

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They were plus nine and a half. They smoked them,

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so it could be a spot for them to let down.

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But do we trust the Pacers to do anything. It

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seems like the Pacers not the most interested in really

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winning games. You know what do you think about this one?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I think that injury list tells us all we

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need to know about their interest in winning games. I

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understand there's a lot of questionables and whatnot in there.

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But Indiana, I forget if they're one of the two

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teams that got fined. I know Utah was one of them.

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They feel like Indiana was the other one that got

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fined for not trying to win these games. I will

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say one thing. The Sixers are trying to win games,

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and they had to do it the first three times

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post All Star Break without Joel Embiid, who it looks

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like all indications, at least from my area ski it

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looks like he's going to be back tonight, which would

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be helpful to the cause here for Philly because there

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was the game prior to the Minnesota game that you

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just referred to. The game before that they had like

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sixty eight at halftime and then just thoroughly ran out

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of gas in the second half. Because I remember having

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their team total over and thinking this is easy, and

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they only scored like forty six second half. But they

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did bounce back against Minnesota. You could see with MB

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tonight how they could you know their scoring should be there,

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no question, you know, will they play enough defense to

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get over this number? And this number is kind of

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telling me it's a reaction to MB. Probably going in

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this game up to ten ten and a half. Right now,

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I'm not so sure I trust Philly to lay it,

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even though I think they could cover it. But the

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potential there for them to get over one twenty one

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and a half sure is there, especially if Indiana loses

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some of the players that were on that injury list,

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I think, most notably TJ McConnell, who liked a fire

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under the second team and keeps Indiana playing with pace.

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If you pair that with a questionable status of Nemhart,

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I have to believe one of those will go. Siakam

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just came back for one game, I think, and now

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he's on the doubt, on the doubtful side of playing

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tonight again. So that's more offense missing for Indiana. I

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don't know. The more I look at what Indiana is

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going to put on the floor, the more I'd be

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inclined to say that Philly can play enough defense to

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win by ten plus, especially if them be plays, because

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the advantage at center will be huge. Maybe a small

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look toward Philly here's ski probably even more than that, though,

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I think them getting to one twenty two shouldn't be

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much of an issue unless they're up so big that

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they just take the foot off the pedal in the

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fourth quarter. And I just don't like Indiana right now

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as a team, like you said the start with, is

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a team trying to win games.

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Speaker 1: These are the rows. Both teams have been good in

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late on the season nine and three as a row

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favorite for the six Ers, fourteen nine as a home

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dog for the Pacers. Interesting, But I do like what

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you're saying there. I mean, I'm looking at the schedule

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for the Pacers. Two is to ask for tonight for Philly.

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I mean, it looks like they're really giving it up.

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Only the teams who are like bottom of the barrel

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are the only ones who are not getting it, like

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the Wizards, the Nets, the Bucks, you know, those those

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tiers of teams. Everybody else is just going kind of

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at will here. Maybe Philly team total. You know, I'll

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all write down a Philly Philly team total my short list.

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It's probably going to be a long list today. We're

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gonna have to make some decisions, but I'll add it

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because that is if I'm playing my preferred side. All right,

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let's keep going here. You have MAVs and Nets, and

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get away from these team totals open up minus one

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and a half. For the MAVs, still sitting right there.

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Total open two twenty four and it's still right around there.

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For Dallas you have Cooper flag out, Dafford questionable, Martin probable.

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I don't see anybody on the injury part. For Brooklyn,

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Let's see what they have going on here schedule wise,

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I don't think it's anything crazy for this game. But oh,

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for the MAVs, well, we do have a little bit

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of I mean, MAVs have been on the road, so

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let me just double check here, one, two, three, four, five.

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This will be their six straight road game, so maybe

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the mass have a little bit of travel fatigue. We

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shall see about that. For the Nets, it's their first

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game home after a road trip, fourth and six nights.

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And it wasn't that long of a road trip, it

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was just three games. But Nets aren't a team I

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really trust to score in the first place. MAVs offense

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could suffer this last game of the trip. I don't

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know they can a little bit of an under here.

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What do you think about this one? You know your muted,

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your muted.

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Speaker 2: You know I thought I unmuted myself and I muted myself.

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I'll tell you what I did notice on Sunday, Ski

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was that Atlanta Brooklyn game where Brooklyn led in the

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fourth quarter and not by one or two points, by

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like seven or eight points, and then the next thing

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you know, they're down by ten. It's almost as if

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they were like, oh, we're winning, we got to make

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sure we lose. Because that thing turned bun. Atlanta scored

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like seventeen in a row or something to close that game.

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It was crazy, but it showed me exactly what we

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just said about Indiana that Brooklyn really doesn't care about

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winning games. Dallas came out in a small favorite fashion

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the other night and did win and cover. I forget

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who it was against, but I think they were laying

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like in this same exact price range and they wound

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up winning that game. The problem with betting Dallas, which

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is what I would want to do, is I think

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exactly what you just said. You know, six games straight

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on the road goes back before the All Star break.

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It means they have been home in ages, so perhaps

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there's some fatigue here. But you know, if you want

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to bet against that, you're betting into the nets, not

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even wanting to win. Like, if the Nets are ahead

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by four with four minutes left, who's to say they

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don't allow Dallas nine straight and Dallas covers the game.

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So that's what we're up against here, trying to handicap

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these with these teams at the bottom of the barrel,

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who are all trying to get one of these six

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or seven prize freshmen coming out of college this year.

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I'm going to stay off of this one, Ski. I

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can't argue you off of the total being under because

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the potential for Dallas fatigue combined with the potential of

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the Nets not wanting to win, would just tell you

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that scoring could be a little bit limit, especially in

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the fourth quarter, Like it could go great for three

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quarters and in the fourth quarter could go bone dry

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and it becomes a graveyard where those overs go to die.

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So I could see potentially an underplay in this particular

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contest is Dallas wraps up that long. That's a long

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time on the road before the All Star breakakes.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's keep moving. This next game is more

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interesting than this one to me, I think this is

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one might be willing to bet right now. Thunder and

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Raptors opened up minus one for the Thunder. We've seen

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a flip favorites now minus one for the Raptors. Totals

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come down from two eighteen to two seventeen or two seventeen.

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Speaker 2: And a half.

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Speaker 1: As far as the injuries are concerned, Pardo will be

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out have burnout for Toronto. For ok C, you have

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Caruso and Check both questionable. No s g A, No A. J. Mitchell,

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no J DUP. Thunder, we're just able to you know

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who they handle the calves. Uh, you know, just like this.

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But this is the first step of back to back

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for both of these teams. The Thunder play the Pistons tomorrow.

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The Raptors play the Spurs. Now, you know, both opponents

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are pretty good as far as the next next opponents,

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they're both pretty good. But I would, I would. I'll

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put my money that it's more of a look ahead

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spot for ok see like to look more towards sending

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a message towards the Pistons, like I don't think they

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really care about the Raptors. The Raptors also are going

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to be at home for tonight's game in tomorrow, the

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Thunder saving energy for another travel tomorrow. I think you

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get a really good effort from the Rappers tonight, and

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I think that could be good enough to win the game.

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Do you agree, Ravino or how are you seeing this one?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it depends how much stock you put into Oklahoma

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City trying to get revenge on Toronto. They lost by

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two points to Toronto a month ago, and if that

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sits in the back of their minds, then maybe they

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do go after this win. They went after pretty strong

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against Cleveland the other day. However, the point you make

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about them probably one thing. You know, Detroit's more meaningful

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right beating Detroit like san Antonio did last night. You

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could see what it meant to san Antonio. Detroit's becoming

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the king of the East. We need to see how

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we stack up against them, So I could understand both

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sides here. Oklahoma City generally of the mindset that they're

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going to play forty eight minutes no matter what because

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of the depth. But the injuries of taking their toll

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a little bit didn't show up on on Sunday, mainly

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because they played such good deep the beginning of that game.

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Ski it was like steel layup, steel layup, turnover layup,

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and Oklahoma City had Toto had Cleveland calling time out

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in a hurry. My first thought on this game was

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I feel like Toronto's defense has been really good as

237
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of late, and so I was gonna try and look

238
00:13:25,919 --> 00:13:28,879
toward an under in this game. I've tried to play.

239
00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:33,080
Speaker 1: All five last opponents one thirteen or less.

240
00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:36,639
Speaker 2: Pretty good number, right. And I know for a fact

241
00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:40,399
because I had a small play in Toronto Chicago over

242
00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:43,720
didn't get close because Chicago couldn't score on them. Then

243
00:13:43,759 --> 00:13:47,440
I followed it up with a play on Toronto Milwaukee

244
00:13:47,559 --> 00:13:51,440
over and it didn't get there because Milwaukee couldn't score

245
00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:53,759
in Milwaukee. For what it's worth, we'll get to this

246
00:13:53,799 --> 00:13:56,879
game later. Since they got Tim Thomas, they've been scoring.

247
00:13:57,360 --> 00:13:59,679
So Toronto's defense, to me is a big factor in

248
00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:02,240
this game. Let me just check and see what the

249
00:14:02,320 --> 00:14:05,559
current number is total wise, so we get it right

250
00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:09,840
for people, I'm showing two sixteen and a half bet

251
00:14:09,879 --> 00:14:11,679
down from two eighteen. I will say this, the guys

252
00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:14,440
who got it early and took this number down, I

253
00:14:14,519 --> 00:14:18,360
think you were right in this instance switch of favorites

254
00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:20,320
here to Toronto. I'm not sure I have any interest

255
00:14:20,360 --> 00:14:22,399
in the game Ski. I'd rather counter punch with the

256
00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:24,960
two back to back matchups tomorrow for these two teams.

257
00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:28,519
But I still think there there might be a little

258
00:14:28,519 --> 00:14:31,320
wiggle room in that total under. I don't know if

259
00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:35,240
I have enough enough, have enough guts to play it

260
00:14:35,279 --> 00:14:37,360
though at two sixteen and a half you're talking about

261
00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:40,720
a one to ten one seven. That's very possible. So

262
00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:42,240
Oddsmaker seem to have this one right.

263
00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:49,000
Speaker 1: That's appealing to me that under, I mean both teams

264
00:14:49,039 --> 00:14:52,240
bottom ten and paced last five games, Raptors actually the

265
00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:55,919
number one defense. We know that Thunder more Cape and

266
00:14:56,000 --> 00:15:02,159
Thunder missing so much scoring. I mean, I can understand

267
00:15:02,159 --> 00:15:04,919
it under here. I definitely definitely can get with an

268
00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:10,200
under here Toronto. I'm sorry, Okay, see team total get

269
00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:12,600
what one eight and a half when seven and a half?

270
00:15:13,799 --> 00:15:16,480
Maybe I just maybe the full game under is to

271
00:15:16,519 --> 00:15:20,720
play here under or Raptors. I think I do want

272
00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:24,679
to get involved. I was thinking just Raptors before you know,

273
00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:28,159
we broke it down more. But this is a game

274
00:15:28,639 --> 00:15:30,679
I do think I want to bet here. Take a

275
00:15:30,679 --> 00:15:36,200
look at the chat. See what you guys we do have.

276
00:15:36,279 --> 00:15:39,879
Brian like in the under, Mark likes it as well.

277
00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:45,159
Shout out to Faractos with the five dollars Donald says,

278
00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:47,399
love this show. I learned the hard way that can

279
00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:49,720
always put a minus singer betting winning instead of worsening

280
00:15:49,799 --> 00:15:51,960
minus once in bet and lose it by a very

281
00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:56,120
small march. Appreciate you for the five dollars. Don't know

282
00:15:57,600 --> 00:15:59,440
all or anything else before we move on here, Ven

283
00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:01,200
know we push any buttons.

284
00:16:02,799 --> 00:16:04,840
Speaker 2: No, but you might be talking me back into my

285
00:16:04,879 --> 00:16:07,320
original thought, because, like I said first glance, I want

286
00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:10,639
it under just because of Toronto's defense it's been so

287
00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:13,480
good as of late. And then I because of the number,

288
00:16:13,600 --> 00:16:15,799
I talked myself off of it a little bit. But

289
00:16:17,159 --> 00:16:19,159
maybe you guys are swaying me a little back to

290
00:16:19,159 --> 00:16:21,600
my original thought. Well we'll see. I have it written

291
00:16:21,639 --> 00:16:23,840
down as well, full game under. I don't want to

292
00:16:23,879 --> 00:16:28,320
isolate anybody here because one defense may could possibly hold

293
00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:30,639
the others in ninety five or less. And then you

294
00:16:30,679 --> 00:16:32,000
get yourself a full game under.

295
00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:37,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, well I got to think about that

296
00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:40,600
one a little bit more. But good stuff on that game,

297
00:16:40,639 --> 00:16:44,559
Wizard than Hawks. I want nothing to do with this game.

298
00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:47,200
You know, if I'm betting, I think I'm laying. I'm

299
00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:50,480
not betting with the Wizards. The Wizards. Yeah, this is

300
00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:51,919
just I mean, it's the last year are going to

301
00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:54,639
allow all this tanking, right, and you know these teams

302
00:16:54,639 --> 00:16:57,240
are taking advantage there. They're showing they don't they don't care.

303
00:16:58,039 --> 00:16:59,960
Or maybe the Wizards. You know, the Wizards do play

304
00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:01,519
a little bit better for the first half, but those

305
00:17:01,559 --> 00:17:05,359
second halfs have not been good. Hawks are nothing, probably nothing?

306
00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:06,839
What do he dam?

307
00:17:07,559 --> 00:17:10,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not having any part of the Hawks. I thought,

308
00:17:10,519 --> 00:17:12,839
and I think we were both on the same wavelength

309
00:17:12,839 --> 00:17:15,519
here at the trade deadline. We actually thought that Atlanta

310
00:17:15,559 --> 00:17:19,680
had built some depth and would play well. They're like

311
00:17:19,799 --> 00:17:22,440
two and six, two and five against the spread last

312
00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:26,680
seven and like I say, if not for a complete

313
00:17:26,759 --> 00:17:29,799
disappearance of the Brooklyn Nets. The other day, Atlanta's losing

314
00:17:29,839 --> 00:17:33,200
that game to Brooklyn at home in the fourth quarter.

315
00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:35,039
I'm like, what are they doing here? They just haven't

316
00:17:35,079 --> 00:17:38,599
played well. I have read a couple of quotes from

317
00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:41,559
Atlanta which says that they are still trying to get

318
00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:44,599
used to their new roles, the new rotations the players

319
00:17:44,599 --> 00:17:47,240
brought in, et cetera, et cetera. So maybe that's part

320
00:17:47,279 --> 00:17:51,960
of it. But for me, I'll wait until they are

321
00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:54,640
playing a little more cohesive and just staring at numbers

322
00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:58,839
here really quick ski for those watching the show, Atlanta's

323
00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:02,880
last four games all four to the under and well

324
00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:05,720
to the under. How about this last four games Atlanta's

325
00:18:05,759 --> 00:18:08,880
played eighteen and a half points under, the closing number

326
00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:12,039
seventeen and a half points under, the closing number eighteen

327
00:18:12,039 --> 00:18:15,000
and a half points under, and the Nets game eight

328
00:18:15,039 --> 00:18:18,799
and a half points under. With that, all four Hawks

329
00:18:18,839 --> 00:18:24,200
team totals have gone under. However, if you expect me

330
00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:26,880
to bet a Hawks team total under against the Wizards defense,

331
00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:28,480
I can't do it. These two teams are going to

332
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:32,319
play right back against one another in the same building

333
00:18:32,559 --> 00:18:35,200
in two days. We'll see what goes on here. But

334
00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:37,079
I don't want any part of the Hawks right now.

335
00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:42,640
Speaker 1: Right and no, Kaminga is not looking like he's playing

336
00:18:42,680 --> 00:18:48,359
tonight to the chat, Nicks and Cavaliers probably not gonna

337
00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:50,440
spend too much time here. Open three and a half

338
00:18:50,519 --> 00:18:53,039
looks like four total went out from two twenty nine

339
00:18:53,079 --> 00:18:56,359
as I has two thirty two and a half injuries.

340
00:18:58,599 --> 00:19:04,519
McBride's still out Strews, still out Calves. You know, like

341
00:19:04,559 --> 00:19:06,960
I said, they're beating up on those weak teams. When

342
00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:10,279
Harden first came over. You know, they still beat the Hornets.

343
00:19:10,319 --> 00:19:12,599
They didn't cover Horners, played them tight, even though they

344
00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:16,000
were short handed, short handed thunder team actually beat them.

345
00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:20,960
I'm not as high on these Calves as a lot

346
00:19:21,039 --> 00:19:25,119
of other people have been. The Knicks. They are coming

347
00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:28,640
off back to back wins. They were you know, we're

348
00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:29,960
on the back to back. So this is the third

349
00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:32,200
game in four knights for them. But I just I

350
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:33,519
don't know. I feel like I would trust them a

351
00:19:33,559 --> 00:19:35,920
little bit more than what I've seen from the Cavaliers lately.

352
00:19:36,839 --> 00:19:43,079
So maybe Nicks, maybe, yeah, maybe Nicks is the only

353
00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:44,480
way I can go here. What do you think?

354
00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:49,799
Speaker 2: Well, you disposed of the Calves sit, so ill dispose

355
00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:52,599
of the Knicks side. I don't want them. They should

356
00:19:52,599 --> 00:19:56,119
have lost that. They should have lost that Houston game, right,

357
00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:59,559
I mean, that comeback in the fourth quarter was crazy. Houston.

358
00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:02,480
Let that would totally get away. And then the Knicks,

359
00:20:02,559 --> 00:20:04,200
like you say, they had to go back the very

360
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:06,880
next night and play the Bulls, and you know, you

361
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:08,599
can go through the motions and beat the Bulls one

362
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:10,440
oh five ninety nine to final there. But they haven't

363
00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:13,559
covered a game since the team's returned from All Star

364
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:18,359
break and against Detroit and Houston. I just didn't like it.

365
00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:20,680
Doesn't look like the Knicks can step up in class.

366
00:20:21,599 --> 00:20:26,400
This is a step up in class, but I'll say

367
00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:29,000
this not on the defensive side the way Detroit and

368
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,680
Houston are. Detroit and Houston are far better defensive teams

369
00:20:32,079 --> 00:20:35,640
in Cleveland. Is this James Harden effect with the Caves.

370
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,799
I'm not quite sure yet, but this game could result

371
00:20:39,799 --> 00:20:44,279
in an over ski. I don't know. The Knicks didn't

372
00:20:44,319 --> 00:20:46,680
look right to me, or I shouldn't say right. They

373
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,160
just didn't look good to me. When they were asked

374
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:52,160
to play Detroit and Houston back almost back to back.

375
00:20:52,799 --> 00:20:54,519
Then the Chicago wouldn't take it with the green of

376
00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:56,759
salt didn't cover the number, but it was a tough spot.

377
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,680
I don't know. I don't like the Knicks side the

378
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:02,079
cab side. Like I say, we'll see what happens with Harden.

379
00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:04,440
But I could be talked into an over with these

380
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:09,119
two teams playing any anytime Cleveland's playing, including Sunday early

381
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:12,880
afternoon against OKC where I cashed an over ticket. The

382
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:14,599
Cavs are an over team right now.

383
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:17,759
Speaker 1: I think I can I can agree with that. I

384
00:21:17,759 --> 00:21:20,359
don't like the pace, but I do think it still

385
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:25,400
could get there. Next we have and I think I

386
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:30,359
have messed this up here. We're supposed to have Warriors

387
00:21:30,599 --> 00:21:33,000
and Pelicans. I don't think I have a banner for that.

388
00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:40,599
So yeah, my bad on that one. Warriors and Pelicans.

389
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:43,599
This one opened to minus two for the Warriors, looks

390
00:21:43,599 --> 00:21:45,519
like one and a half total open two twenty five

391
00:21:45,559 --> 00:21:47,799
and a half looks like two twenty seven to twenty

392
00:21:47,839 --> 00:21:52,079
eight for the Warriors. No porzingis Horford, Seth or Steph

393
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:56,240
Curry or L J. Crier. Draymond is probable for the Pelicans.

394
00:21:56,319 --> 00:22:00,759
Murphy's out. Peep, He's out. Me He's out. You know,

395
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:06,440
I like to think that this is still an over game.

396
00:22:06,759 --> 00:22:09,759
I feel like the Warriors without like the Warriors still

397
00:22:09,799 --> 00:22:12,240
try to play fast. It's kind of how I feel.

398
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,519
And Warriors have been giving it up defensively. I mean,

399
00:22:15,599 --> 00:22:17,480
let me just pull it up here in Repelicans. We

400
00:22:17,519 --> 00:22:21,200
know their defense isn't great. Warriors are coming off of

401
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:24,640
a win. Still give up one to seventeen, give up

402
00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:28,079
one twenty one, one twenty six, one thirteen. I mean

403
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,799
they can they can give it up in Repelicans. I

404
00:22:31,839 --> 00:22:34,279
feel like they have enough offense to take advantage here.

405
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:38,680
Don't love Murphy out once again, but lean over if

406
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:39,599
you know what do you think here?

407
00:22:41,599 --> 00:22:43,599
Speaker 2: Yeah? I could lean with you because not only are

408
00:22:43,599 --> 00:22:45,640
the Warriors trying to play fast ski, but they throw

409
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:48,319
up more threes than any team in the NBA. And

410
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:50,839
I should let you talk to you because I saw

411
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:54,640
a Twitter post from you that said you left some

412
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,000
money on the table by not playing Golden State the

413
00:22:57,039 --> 00:23:03,039
other day. They just fifty five threes against Boston, attempts

414
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:07,240
fifty two against Denver May twenty and twenty one. New

415
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:09,079
Orleans will kind of let you play that way. If

416
00:23:09,079 --> 00:23:12,640
you're gonna make twenty threes, then the right way to

417
00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:15,000
look is toward the over. Because the Golden State defense,

418
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:18,119
they can say they're very smallish, New Orleans should have

419
00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:21,640
advantages on the interior. There's still a decent scoring team.

420
00:23:21,759 --> 00:23:25,160
So to me, there's probably only one way to play

421
00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:26,960
either of these sides. You know, if New Orleans was

422
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:30,640
getting a little bit more and you know, I guess

423
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:33,000
you could always alternate mind these games and pay a

424
00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:35,720
bigger price. But if this had come out somewhere in

425
00:23:35,759 --> 00:23:37,359
the four to four and a half price range, I

426
00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:39,559
would have been on the home dog, but you can't

427
00:23:39,599 --> 00:23:42,079
trust New Orleans to win games either. It's another one

428
00:23:42,079 --> 00:23:44,279
of those teams you know you can't trust them, so

429
00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:49,240
over is probably the right way to go here. We're

430
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:51,759
looking only at two twenty seven and a half. Honestly,

431
00:23:52,799 --> 00:23:56,119
that's probably a pretty cheap number. Golden State's gonna throw

432
00:23:56,200 --> 00:24:00,440
up fifty threes they make another twenty against this defense

433
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:03,880
to twenty seven and a half is going to look small. So,

434
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:06,559
like you said before the start of the show, and

435
00:24:06,599 --> 00:24:08,480
we did talk off air a little bit that we

436
00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:10,359
were going to talk these things through because both of

437
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:12,440
us were a little behind this morning, I didn't have

438
00:24:12,519 --> 00:24:14,480
this one marked down, but I'm marking it down now

439
00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:18,880
on a list. Golden State, New Orleans over to twenty

440
00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:20,839
seven and a half. I think that's a pretty good side.

441
00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:24,279
Speaker 1: Either that or the Pelicans. For me at the house,

442
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:28,960
that would be my preferred looks all right, Next we

443
00:24:29,079 --> 00:24:33,960
have heat and Bucks opened up minus five and a

444
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,319
half for Miami. Looks like six and a half total,

445
00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:38,519
one from two twenty eight down as low as two

446
00:24:38,559 --> 00:24:45,200
twenty six and a half out there injuries. Davion Mitchell

447
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:49,640
is probable. Yovich is out, Giannis is out, Turring Prince

448
00:24:49,759 --> 00:24:55,119
is out. Yeah, I think I'm pretty out on this game.

449
00:24:55,799 --> 00:24:57,759
I'm gonna pass this one of you first. You know,

450
00:24:57,759 --> 00:25:00,319
if you have any interest here what I take it

451
00:25:00,279 --> 00:25:02,880
a second look and see if I can I can

452
00:25:02,880 --> 00:25:04,079
find something worth betting.

453
00:25:05,279 --> 00:25:07,319
Speaker 2: All right, Yeah, I'm this is the only game I

454
00:25:07,319 --> 00:25:09,359
bet so far. Ski. I bet this game over, and

455
00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:14,079
I'm just I'm almost blindly at this point betting Milwaukee

456
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:18,920
Bucks games over right now. It's all offense and zero defense.

457
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:20,839
I got burnt a little bit the other night, not

458
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:23,839
by much, but by a little. I think the Toronto

459
00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:26,559
Milwaukee total was two nineteen. They got the two sixteen

460
00:25:26,599 --> 00:25:29,400
because the Bucks only put up ninety four points, which

461
00:25:29,839 --> 00:25:33,000
is a little out of character. Ever since they acquired

462
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:38,000
Cam Thomas, they've been scoring KPJ Junior, Kevin Porter Junior,

463
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:42,839
excuse me, and Cam Thomas and all these guys rollins,

464
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,920
these guys that score but don't play any d So

465
00:25:47,759 --> 00:25:50,119
in this one, I know I'm getting pace out of Miami. Man.

466
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,000
They've come out of the shoot on fire with three

467
00:25:52,039 --> 00:25:55,680
straight team total overs. Playing with that pace again, I

468
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:58,279
don't know what it's ranked. Since they came out of

469
00:25:58,319 --> 00:26:02,200
the break. But I know there's playing fast again and

470
00:26:02,279 --> 00:26:04,759
Milwaukee's gonna go with it. I mean, there's no question

471
00:26:04,799 --> 00:26:07,680
in my mind that this game should have been probably

472
00:26:08,519 --> 00:26:11,640
to me priced at two thirty at least, and it

473
00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:15,559
does it makes me scratch my head a little bit

474
00:26:15,599 --> 00:26:18,000
ski that people would even play this game under But

475
00:26:18,079 --> 00:26:22,720
this total open two twenty eight bet down to twenty seven.

476
00:26:22,799 --> 00:26:24,640
A couple of two twenty six and a half's out there,

477
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:27,599
which could be just stale numbers. I'm not sure, but

478
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:30,440
I don't see any reason why you can't play this

479
00:26:30,519 --> 00:26:32,720
game to go up in over two thirty. The way

480
00:26:32,759 --> 00:26:36,960
Milwaukee's playing right now as an offensive team and not

481
00:26:37,039 --> 00:26:40,480
a defensive team, and uh, the way Miami's playing right now,

482
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:42,720
we're gonna get plenty of opportunities. So I bet it.

483
00:26:43,559 --> 00:26:46,039
I like it. I think we're getting a pretty good number.

484
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:48,480
I think I you know, I've played a Miami total

485
00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:51,599
right after the break two team total or full game total.

486
00:26:51,599 --> 00:26:55,880
We talked about it, but we often talk about what

487
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,000
baseline numbers should be for teams, and if you can

488
00:26:59,039 --> 00:27:02,680
catch a Miami heat game, I really don't care. In

489
00:27:02,759 --> 00:27:05,519
ninety nine percent of the NBA as an opponent. Let's

490
00:27:05,519 --> 00:27:08,079
put it that way. If you can catch it under

491
00:27:08,079 --> 00:27:10,400
two thirty, you just got to blindly play over with

492
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:12,519
the heat and add the bucks to it. I think

493
00:27:12,559 --> 00:27:13,680
it's a pretty solid bit.

494
00:27:16,839 --> 00:27:19,839
Speaker 1: That makes some sense there. You know, I definitely can

495
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:24,920
understand that one. The heat past three games eight, one

496
00:27:25,039 --> 00:27:30,039
thirty six, they definitely been scoring. We'll see, maybe this

497
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:31,720
one is is too low there, Like you.

498
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:35,559
Speaker 2: Say, see, a couple of those two were back to backs.

499
00:27:35,599 --> 00:27:37,720
I think the one twenty eight and one thirty six

500
00:27:37,759 --> 00:27:39,880
they came right back and scored even more than next.

501
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:41,519
Now I'm not staring at it now, but I think

502
00:27:41,519 --> 00:27:42,759
that was a back to back spot.

503
00:27:45,079 --> 00:27:52,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, this one, uh sorry, sorry, I'm tired lot driving, man,

504
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:56,480
But yeah, I definitely get that one. All truth lies

505
00:27:56,519 --> 00:27:59,240
with and says, first of all, thank you for the

506
00:27:59,319 --> 00:28:01,079
five dollars doing it, says, let me get a five

507
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:07,200
way parlay lock. Keep doing what you're doing. I appreciate

508
00:28:07,279 --> 00:28:10,000
you for that. Yeah, I don't know if we can

509
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:11,160
help you with a five way lock.

510
00:28:14,079 --> 00:28:16,279
Speaker 2: People that tune in looking for him, though, skin that

511
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,599
they're mad they don't care about.

512
00:28:19,799 --> 00:28:22,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know, man, Especially today today's a little

513
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:26,759
bit tougher for both of us, but we appreciate you.

514
00:28:27,599 --> 00:28:32,119
Hornets and bulls open minus seven and a half. It's

515
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:34,480
like eight and a half total, one from two thirty

516
00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:38,759
and a half as high as two thirty three Injury

517
00:28:38,759 --> 00:28:43,160
Report and on that note tube, you know before I

518
00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:46,559
actually had on Injury Report BEFO, I forget ivy Ol,

519
00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:50,720
Simon's out, Smith out for Chicago, McNeely out for Charlotte.

520
00:28:52,599 --> 00:28:54,319
You know, there are some people in the comments that

521
00:28:54,359 --> 00:28:56,880
want for one of our showers, are like, damn, have

522
00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:59,759
some enthusiasm, blah blah blah blah blah blah blah. We

523
00:28:59,839 --> 00:29:02,759
have like all winners on the show, no losers, Like

524
00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:06,359
do you guys want to be entertained or do you

525
00:29:06,359 --> 00:29:07,799
guys want to have winners? I mean I did. You

526
00:29:07,799 --> 00:29:10,400
can have both, but aren'tly here to win money? Is

527
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:12,319
that what everybody's putting up for? I mean, you can

528
00:29:12,359 --> 00:29:14,319
just go turn on the TV and click whatever other

529
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:16,279
show is your favorite show to go laugh at if

530
00:29:16,319 --> 00:29:18,880
that's what you want. I don't know. I just had

531
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:20,079
a good, good laugh out of that.

532
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:23,559
Speaker 2: But yeah, I would say there's times when we're pretty

533
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,039
entertaining too, though we laugh at this show.

534
00:29:26,119 --> 00:29:31,160
Speaker 1: There are, I mean, but sometimes they Sometimes it just

535
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:32,720
is what it is. Man. It might be a day

536
00:29:32,759 --> 00:29:39,160
like today, Bro, I'm dead. I just drove ours all right,

537
00:29:39,519 --> 00:29:43,519
this one. You have Bridges back, the Abie back in

538
00:29:43,559 --> 00:29:46,839
the lineup. Hornets have been pretty good when everybody's been healthy.

539
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:51,720
For the Bulls, I don't know. One thing I would

540
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:55,440
say is I don't view the Hornets as a minus

541
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:58,759
eight and a half team, especially on the road, or

542
00:29:58,759 --> 00:30:02,720
its little faith as I have in the Bulls, I

543
00:30:02,799 --> 00:30:05,039
still would like to think that they can hang tough here.

544
00:30:06,519 --> 00:30:08,799
Let me take a look at their schedule. First of all,

545
00:30:09,319 --> 00:30:12,759
they just lost by six to the next sixteen to

546
00:30:12,799 --> 00:30:16,640
the Pistons. Ninet Raptors haven't been looking good. I'm blown

547
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:20,599
out by the Celtics. I mean, they've been in the gutter.

548
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:21,720
Speaker 2: I get it.

549
00:30:25,359 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: I just I think this is a little bit too

550
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:29,960
much for the Hornets here on the road. I don't

551
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,240
think the Bulls are in the same category as the Wizards.

552
00:30:32,279 --> 00:30:33,839
Like the Hornets just laid ten and a half on

553
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:35,960
the road to the Wizards. I think the Bulls are

554
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,759
better than the Wizards. I want to try to say

555
00:30:38,799 --> 00:30:41,920
the Bulls could be worth a look here, what do

556
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:42,519
you think you know?

557
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:49,039
Speaker 2: Well, I'm not the one that pulls you out of

558
00:30:49,079 --> 00:30:51,119
burning buildings, so I won't try to pull you out

559
00:30:51,119 --> 00:30:56,599
of a burning building, but I will say I would.

560
00:30:56,960 --> 00:30:59,119
I can't look at the Bulls right now in all

561
00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:03,440
honesty day, ever since that trade deadline. I remember coming

562
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:05,599
on after that and I think you said, what are

563
00:31:05,599 --> 00:31:07,640
the Bulls doing? They have like ten guards out of

564
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:10,319
fifteen players. Now what are they doing? And you look

565
00:31:10,319 --> 00:31:13,720
at what they've done since then. They haven't scored points

566
00:31:14,279 --> 00:31:17,319
at all in their last four games. I guess one

567
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:19,759
does go back before the All Star break. It was

568
00:31:19,799 --> 00:31:23,920
against Boston, but one on one against Toronto, one ten Detroit,

569
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:26,680
ninety nine against the Knicks, lose all three play the Knicks,

570
00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:30,359
the tired Knicks off of a fourth quarter comeback against

571
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:32,759
Houston night before, it can still only get ninety nine.

572
00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:36,640
So their offense, even though Giddy is back, it's kind

573
00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:38,839
of been disrupted because if there was one thing we

574
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,319
could count on Chicago for before the break, it was

575
00:31:41,359 --> 00:31:44,839
they would score. And now they're not even scoring four

576
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:50,799
straight team total under So until they get their assignments

577
00:31:50,839 --> 00:31:53,359
correct here as far as who's gonna get the ball?

578
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:54,759
Where are you're gonna get the ball? How are we

579
00:31:54,759 --> 00:31:57,160
going to handle these rotations? I don't know that I

580
00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,759
could be on the balls. And to Charlotte's credit, I

581
00:31:59,799 --> 00:32:03,759
mean against Washington, you don't have to go all out

582
00:32:03,799 --> 00:32:06,039
to beat that team, but they've went out there and

583
00:32:06,480 --> 00:32:08,799
beat him by fifteen. And now I saw Charles Lee

584
00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:10,559
with a couple of quotes saying he's happy to be

585
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:14,839
getting players back. I guess that includes Miles Bridges tonight.

586
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:17,880
The team has done well without them, but they've been superior.

587
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:19,799
And I'll ask you this, I don't know if you've

588
00:32:19,799 --> 00:32:21,200
got it up in front of you, I can probably

589
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:23,160
look it up. But I know, prior to the break,

590
00:32:23,240 --> 00:32:27,119
Charlotte was trending really really good on the defensive end.

591
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:30,559
And if they're still playing really good on the defensive

592
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:34,319
end and the Bulls aren't scoring, I don't know. The

593
00:32:34,319 --> 00:32:36,279
Bulls just don't thrill me at all. Maybe I could

594
00:32:36,319 --> 00:32:38,519
get to a Bulls team total under in this game.

595
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:45,920
Speaker 1: Bulls team total under, all right, So just shitting on

596
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:47,279
the Bulls luck right there.

597
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:56,000
Speaker 2: I'm here. We took out the Knicks, we took out

598
00:32:56,039 --> 00:33:00,559
the Calves. I'm taking out the bulls just here that.

599
00:33:02,079 --> 00:33:06,839
Speaker 1: We got to narrow that list down. You know, a

600
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:09,480
couple of comments keep asking it for muta here, but

601
00:33:09,519 --> 00:33:11,480
then there's other people who are following right along, like

602
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:13,680
we're not muted. So if you can hear us, let

603
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:16,799
the people in the comments know that we can hear fine,

604
00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:19,559
because I'm pretty sure we're not. Nobody's muted right now.

605
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:22,279
Nobody's been muted. It must be something wrong with whatever

606
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:27,240
settings or whatever they have going on. Thank you, Joseph.

607
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:32,519
Jose Perez says he can hear us. All right, we

608
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:35,640
have a couple more we can go through here. You know,

609
00:33:36,039 --> 00:33:40,119
we have Celtics and Sons open up minus six and

610
00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:43,279
a half down to five. As far as Celtics as

611
00:33:43,319 --> 00:33:48,240
a favorite total all the way down to two three

612
00:33:48,279 --> 00:33:51,079
and a half from two ten and a half. Gotta

613
00:33:51,119 --> 00:33:55,759
be some injuries. Jalen Brown out, Yeah, no, Devin Booker,

614
00:33:56,000 --> 00:34:01,839
Dylan Brooks, Anthony got Grayson Allen questionable. I mean this

615
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:05,680
makes sense. The Sun's team just you know, without Brooks

616
00:34:05,839 --> 00:34:09,599
and Booker they can't score. I mean you do have

617
00:34:09,679 --> 00:34:11,679
Jalen Green tonight that should help out a little bit,

618
00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:14,639
but it's just hard to trust him, you're missing a

619
00:34:14,639 --> 00:34:17,239
lot of points with Jalen Brown as well as it's

620
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:19,639
gone too far down, you know, and you bucket and

621
00:34:19,639 --> 00:34:22,519
go to the over or how are you feeling about

622
00:34:22,559 --> 00:34:24,559
Celtics and Sons.

623
00:34:25,159 --> 00:34:28,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna skip it entirely Ski because the injury list,

624
00:34:28,119 --> 00:34:29,639
but I do want to get you a couple of

625
00:34:30,519 --> 00:34:33,119
at least a quote on the Phoenix side from their

626
00:34:33,159 --> 00:34:35,920
head coach Jordan Not who was talking about what you

627
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:39,039
just said, a lot of scoring missing right, and he said,

628
00:34:39,079 --> 00:34:41,920
it's not just a one night thing. I think this

629
00:34:42,039 --> 00:34:44,400
has been a piece to us. The last handful of games.

630
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:47,280
We've struggled to score for an extended period of time.

631
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:50,400
Shot quality has not been good. We're going to continue

632
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:53,599
to try and figure it out. Maybe having green back

633
00:34:55,039 --> 00:34:57,639
can help that. We'll see. But the head coaches say,

634
00:34:57,679 --> 00:35:01,320
and they're struggling scoring, and then I really like Jalen

635
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:04,800
Brown's not gonna play. But it's not often that you

636
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:09,079
hear these guys go off extended on how good they

637
00:35:09,119 --> 00:35:11,239
think they are. And Jalen Brown's a great player, don't

638
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:14,760
get me wrong, but generally these guys don't speak so

639
00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:18,760
glowingly of themselves in public Interviews Jalen Brown. I feel

640
00:35:18,800 --> 00:35:20,599
like I'm the best two way player in the world.

641
00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,199
I play both ends of the court. Not every night

642
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:26,400
I'm available, that's hard to do. I'm a leader. I

643
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:29,159
help lead my team. I empower my team to come

644
00:35:29,199 --> 00:35:31,960
out and play confidently, stuff that doesn't always sho up

645
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,639
in the analytics. And I'm a winner. I come out

646
00:35:34,679 --> 00:35:37,079
and try to win every single night. So I'm grateful

647
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,920
Jalen Brown. Every single thing he said is true about

648
00:35:40,039 --> 00:35:42,000
him as a player. He's been terrific this year. He's

649
00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:45,119
an MVP conversation. Just surprised me that a guy like him,

650
00:35:45,119 --> 00:35:48,719
who's generally quiet would come out and he must have

651
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:51,599
been ticked off at whatever reporter it was. And just

652
00:35:51,599 --> 00:35:53,760
want to let him know that he's a good player.

653
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:57,039
I can't play this game too much. Missing Boston's been

654
00:35:57,079 --> 00:35:59,199
great as of late. I'd really like to have gotten

655
00:35:59,199 --> 00:36:02,400
to Boston in this game. But what they just hold

656
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:06,000
the Lakers to like eighty something the other night. The

657
00:36:06,119 --> 00:36:08,360
defense has been really good. So if you if you

658
00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:11,079
want to look towards Under, the value is probably gone.

659
00:36:11,639 --> 00:36:13,599
We'll move on to Orlando Lakers because I think I

660
00:36:13,639 --> 00:36:15,000
got a better feel for that one.

661
00:36:19,079 --> 00:36:22,039
Speaker 1: Before we move on. LJ likes Boston first half, says

662
00:36:22,039 --> 00:36:24,039
they're fifteen and three ats in the first half versus

663
00:36:24,039 --> 00:36:27,079
the West because look, dear Mark also likes that Boston

664
00:36:27,119 --> 00:36:35,800
first half. You No, I don't think it's surprising. I

665
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:37,599
just want to talk about what you said. I don't

666
00:36:37,639 --> 00:36:43,679
think it's surprising that Jayleen Brown talks like that. You know,

667
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:46,800
a lot of people will consider me a quiet guy,

668
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:49,280
or maybe they did consider me a quiet maybe not anymore.

669
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:54,079
But you know, Jaylen Brown is a guy who he

670
00:36:54,119 --> 00:36:57,480
won a championship, he's been playing really well. He didn't

671
00:36:57,480 --> 00:37:00,400
even he's not been getting acknowledged. He's not and getting

672
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:05,079
recognized as far as what was it the USA.

673
00:37:04,840 --> 00:37:08,719
Speaker 2: Team the yeah, yeah, like you.

674
00:37:08,679 --> 00:37:10,719
Speaker 1: Know, they don't. They don't put them up there with

675
00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:14,440
those guys, and he's reminding them, like, hey, look at

676
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:17,280
what I'm doing every single night. Sometimes people got to

677
00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:20,199
be reminded. And a lot of the reason I think

678
00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:24,000
he gets overlooked is certain things, certain things that he

679
00:37:24,079 --> 00:37:29,440
stands for. So I don't know, I like Jaysen Brown

680
00:37:29,679 --> 00:37:31,840
and I can relate to Jayleen Brown. That's what I'm saying.

681
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:35,920
Speaker 2: And it's funny too. Like you Sayski, it's always been

682
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:38,679
Jason Tatum on that team, right It's like he lives

683
00:37:38,679 --> 00:37:41,559
in Jason Tatum hasn't played a game and he still

684
00:37:41,639 --> 00:37:44,760
kind of lives in that shadow with the Celtics. And

685
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:47,960
I know Lebron said the other day that and rightfully

686
00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:51,599
so that Jalen Brown should be in conversation for MVP

687
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:54,719
UH this year for what he's done, because I don't

688
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:57,480
think we thought Boston would be where they are at

689
00:37:57,480 --> 00:37:59,719
this point in time with that roster, and they're right

690
00:37:59,760 --> 00:38:04,760
back contention to win the East. Tatum comes back in

691
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:09,199
any sort of any way near one hundred percent. Let's

692
00:38:09,199 --> 00:38:11,079
say he's about eighty five or ninety. Boss ain't going

693
00:38:11,119 --> 00:38:13,480
to be a handful for everybody. Talk about Detroit all

694
00:38:13,519 --> 00:38:16,760
you want, but Celtics will be trouble. So we'll see.

695
00:38:17,320 --> 00:38:21,159
Speaker 1: Sometimes people start to overlook or just take things for granted.

696
00:38:21,519 --> 00:38:23,920
Sometimes people need a little bit of a reminder. Go

697
00:38:23,960 --> 00:38:26,039
ahead and remind them, Jaylen Brown, on which you one

698
00:38:26,079 --> 00:38:33,400
hundred percent t Wolves and Blazers opened up minus five

699
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:35,199
and a half for the Wolves. Looks like six and

700
00:38:35,239 --> 00:38:38,920
a half or seven total went from two thirty six

701
00:38:39,039 --> 00:38:42,000
and a half I'm sorry it didn't really move. As

702
00:38:42,039 --> 00:38:44,559
far as the injury report you got, NAS read questionableth

703
00:38:44,559 --> 00:38:49,840
for Minnesota. You have Denny Advia and Sharp both out

704
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:52,559
for Portland. I mean that seems like you're missing too

705
00:38:52,599 --> 00:38:54,840
much for me to even consider Portland. But at the

706
00:38:54,840 --> 00:39:00,079
same time, when I say that Timberwolves, I mean the

707
00:39:00,079 --> 00:39:02,079
same thing I keep saying about them. I just I

708
00:39:02,119 --> 00:39:05,000
can't lay with this thing. There is only they don't

709
00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:07,719
show me they deserve to lay any night.

710
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:07,880
Speaker 2: Like.

711
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:12,280
Speaker 1: They still scrape away some winds, but there's no way

712
00:39:12,639 --> 00:39:16,679
I did like comfortably with the Timberwolves versus anybody. So

713
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:19,519
I guess even with the injuries, that makes me lean

714
00:39:19,559 --> 00:39:22,119
Blazers here for you know what do you think?

715
00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:27,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, in the Timberwolves case, Ski, at least they're consistent

716
00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:28,880
for you, right, you know what you're going to get

717
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:30,559
from them for the most part, You're going to get

718
00:39:30,559 --> 00:39:33,039
a team that's going to score points and allow points

719
00:39:33,079 --> 00:39:37,159
and not cover big numbers. It's been that way all

720
00:39:37,199 --> 00:39:39,119
season long for the most part. I mean they've had

721
00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:43,800
I think there's one situation that you described where they

722
00:39:44,840 --> 00:39:46,960
just a couple of weeks ago where coming off a

723
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:49,280
loss or something, they come back and smash people. But

724
00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:53,199
it's so random when they win big, so to trust

725
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:56,079
them to do it consistently is just not a smart

726
00:39:56,079 --> 00:39:59,280
thing to do with your money. For Portland, the unsmart

727
00:39:59,280 --> 00:40:01,440
thing that I've done with my money the last couple

728
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:03,440
of games. Just try and play their team total over

729
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:06,440
one oh three and ninety two aren't going to get

730
00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:10,199
you over. You can't even alternate lines that low to

731
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,480
win those bets. So those were poor on my part.

732
00:40:13,199 --> 00:40:17,360
Seventeen and a half below their team total two games ago,

733
00:40:17,480 --> 00:40:20,440
twenty and a half behind under their team total against Phoenix,

734
00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:22,440
even though they won by fifteen right ninety two to

735
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:26,199
seventy seven. They won that game decisively, but just didn't score.

736
00:40:27,199 --> 00:40:30,719
Denny Abdia went out of that game the other night

737
00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:33,280
with like only six minutes going in the first or

738
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:35,320
seven minutes going in the first, and he was in

739
00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:38,440
the locker room. That hurts when you're playing they're over.

740
00:40:38,639 --> 00:40:41,639
So I don't know that I agree with this number

741
00:40:41,679 --> 00:40:44,119
getting all the way up to two thirty six, no

742
00:40:44,159 --> 00:40:48,199
matter how much or how how much of a lack

743
00:40:48,199 --> 00:40:51,519
of defense that Minnesota has played, I don't know that

744
00:40:51,599 --> 00:40:55,480
Portmand right now can get there and do their share.

745
00:40:55,639 --> 00:40:57,239
So to me, it's kind of a lower scoring game.

746
00:40:57,280 --> 00:40:58,480
I think if I had to look sky, i'd be

747
00:40:58,559 --> 00:41:02,320
looking under two thirty six in this particular game. That's

748
00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:04,360
a lot to ask for out of these two teams

749
00:41:04,360 --> 00:41:05,159
at this point in time.

750
00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:14,360
Speaker 1: All right, Uh, probably probably won't get involved there really quick,

751
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:16,039
you know, before we moved to the last game. A

752
00:41:16,079 --> 00:41:18,800
couple more comments. There's one other I forgot to mention,

753
00:41:19,199 --> 00:41:27,840
but they said that Ski needs to be Come on,

754
00:41:29,079 --> 00:41:32,960
they said Ski needs to be more like Press. Shall

755
00:41:33,039 --> 00:41:33,639
leave that one alone.

756
00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:38,199
Speaker 2: You know, I'll just say this, If you're waiting for

757
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:43,599
that to happen, you're never gonna get it. So you're

758
00:41:43,639 --> 00:41:46,079
better off not even asking for that or waiting for

759
00:41:46,119 --> 00:41:48,639
that to happen. That ain't gonna happen. And I speak

760
00:41:48,639 --> 00:41:50,320
from knowledge on that that.

761
00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:52,360
Speaker 1: I think we know got it covered on that one.

762
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:56,000
And then this this last one from Bobby says I'm

763
00:41:56,000 --> 00:42:00,320
been twelve million, but I can't tell you who. He said, kid,

764
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:03,480
you guys are great, Thanks for a great show. Appreciate you, Bobby,

765
00:42:04,039 --> 00:42:06,880
And uh, yeah, no, I got one play I've been

766
00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:10,760
at the night. It's four hundred dollars twelve million. We'll

767
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:15,000
go over to We'll go over to Magic at Lakers,

768
00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:18,400
and it looks like it opened minded six for the Lakers,

769
00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:22,199
down to five and a half for five depending where

770
00:42:22,199 --> 00:42:25,800
you shot, total going up from two twenty eight and

771
00:42:25,800 --> 00:42:29,119
a half as high as two thirty one. Let's take

772
00:42:29,159 --> 00:42:31,880
a look at the injury report. My bad here, let's good.

773
00:42:33,079 --> 00:42:35,760
Let me actually just refresh just to make sure. So

774
00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:38,880
Jackson Hayes is now doubtful with his ankle sprain, which

775
00:42:38,960 --> 00:42:41,440
is a big deal. He's been much better than DeAndre

776
00:42:41,480 --> 00:42:46,719
Aiden for the Magic. No Franz Wagner, and then you

777
00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:52,559
have Jalen Sucks questionable here tonight. Let me get over

778
00:42:52,559 --> 00:42:57,119
here for the Magic. It is their third game in

779
00:42:57,199 --> 00:43:01,079
four nights, fourth game and six nights, and just looking here,

780
00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:04,679
all of these games that have been on the road,

781
00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:07,719
so it'd be a little bit of travel fatigue here.

782
00:43:07,840 --> 00:43:12,119
Every game four straight game on the road after the

783
00:43:12,119 --> 00:43:15,719
All Star break, and one of those games was a

784
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:20,360
double overtime game for the Lakers. They did just come

785
00:43:20,400 --> 00:43:25,199
off of a beatdown versus Celtics. They've been at home

786
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:29,480
every game since the break. Definite looked great, though, So

787
00:43:29,719 --> 00:43:31,679
you know, do you think it's a good chance for

788
00:43:31,679 --> 00:43:37,000
the Lakers to bounce back here or not really trusting them.

789
00:43:37,199 --> 00:43:39,239
You know they do struggle a little bit defensively, could

790
00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:41,800
struggle somewhere without Jackson Hayes. What do you think on

791
00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:42,360
this one?

792
00:43:43,119 --> 00:43:45,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's my initial inclination, Ski is to go ahead

793
00:43:45,599 --> 00:43:48,119
and play it over with the way that Orlando is

794
00:43:48,159 --> 00:43:53,800
capable of scoring. And if I look at their defensive side,

795
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:58,159
you hit on this fourth and six, but it's consecutive

796
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:00,400
road games like this is the end of a you

797
00:44:00,400 --> 00:44:02,719
can see some defensive fatigue in this one. And if

798
00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:05,239
I combine that with you know, I'm a big bounce

799
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:09,000
back guy. Good offenses that only score eighty seven should

800
00:44:09,039 --> 00:44:11,639
bounce back to their norm. I think that's what the

801
00:44:11,719 --> 00:44:14,239
Lakers will do. The big three scorers on the team

802
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:16,760
are still playing, no Jackson Hayes at the rim on

803
00:44:16,800 --> 00:44:19,920
the other side to defend or to stop Orlando from

804
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:23,199
getting there. So there's a lot of things that add

805
00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:27,239
up to playing this total over, including pace on the

806
00:44:27,360 --> 00:44:30,840
Orlando side, which we know all season long. Jamal Mosley

807
00:44:30,880 --> 00:44:34,320
has said we're not going to change. So I think

808
00:44:34,320 --> 00:44:37,559
that two thirty might be might be doable here for

809
00:44:37,639 --> 00:44:40,239
these two teams for a lot of reasons, some situational,

810
00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:42,639
some fundamental, but I think it all adds up to

811
00:44:42,679 --> 00:44:43,920
a game getting over two thirty.

812
00:44:44,679 --> 00:44:47,880
Speaker 1: I would agree. I mean, Lakers defense is not the

813
00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:50,840
most trustworthy. They do have a team as very capable

814
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:53,320
as going. I mean, all those guys over there can

815
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:56,920
get a bucket. So I do think there should be points.

816
00:44:57,480 --> 00:44:59,599
And as far as the side is concerned, I think

817
00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:02,880
is not a good spot for the Magic. I think

818
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:05,320
it's a very nice spot for the Lakers to bounce back.

819
00:45:06,199 --> 00:45:09,840
I'm for getting destroyed as well. So Lakers were over

820
00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:13,960
in this game would be the recommendations here. All right,

821
00:45:14,039 --> 00:45:16,960
you know we made it through the entire card and

822
00:45:18,679 --> 00:45:21,800
man it took us forty five minutes. But we have

823
00:45:21,920 --> 00:45:23,800
to talk some stuff out today. Today's a little bit,

824
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:26,400
you know, we need we need to talk it out,

825
00:45:26,599 --> 00:45:31,119
So move it over the best bets or before I'm sorry,

826
00:45:31,239 --> 00:45:34,039
before we move to best bets. And you know what,

827
00:45:34,079 --> 00:45:36,199
we're not going to do best best today because we

828
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:39,000
need more time to think and put push the button

829
00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:42,079
on some of these games. If you listen, we know

830
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:44,079
you know I told you a game that he already

831
00:45:44,119 --> 00:45:47,239
likes in bed and if you listen to me, you know,

832
00:45:48,000 --> 00:45:50,480
maybe I gave you a nice hint. But what I

833
00:45:50,480 --> 00:45:53,159
will put up on the screen here for today five

834
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:56,559
dollars Tuesday, So you guys do have you know, it's

835
00:45:56,599 --> 00:45:58,920
a great day to go ahead and give it a shot.

836
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:02,599
Check out a pig for either Rob or myself over

837
00:46:02,639 --> 00:46:05,239
at wagertalk dot com and you'll get the right up.

838
00:46:05,280 --> 00:46:06,519
You get to see if you like it, if you

839
00:46:06,559 --> 00:46:08,360
want to rock with us for a longer term, et cetera,

840
00:46:08,360 --> 00:46:11,760
et cetera. If you do, I'm pretty sure they still

841
00:46:11,760 --> 00:46:15,480
have this going on. Ten days of all access for

842
00:46:15,599 --> 00:46:17,960
the price of seven well you'll say, sixty nine dollars,

843
00:46:17,960 --> 00:46:22,199
so other good ways to get involved. And last but

844
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:27,199
not least, I'm gonna mention for myself, this is the

845
00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:30,199
last day that I'm able to have that NBA through

846
00:46:30,199 --> 00:46:33,440
the final special up for three forty nine, so le's

847
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:36,000
than one hundred dollars per month the rest of the way.

848
00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:40,360
And NBA has been pretty good up thirty two close

849
00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:42,639
to thirty three units so far this season over two

850
00:46:42,719 --> 00:46:46,199
hundred the past few years of the NBA venom. I

851
00:46:46,199 --> 00:46:48,039
want to ask you if there's anything else that you

852
00:46:48,039 --> 00:46:50,960
would like to promote and anything else you want to

853
00:46:51,039 --> 00:46:52,559
leave us with before we get out of here.

854
00:46:54,159 --> 00:46:57,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, real quick, Ski, now that you said that, it

855
00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:01,480
jogs my memory. It's also the last day for me

856
00:47:01,679 --> 00:47:04,880
to have up a solo package that wager Talk created

857
00:47:04,920 --> 00:47:08,000
for me for college basketball. Been in the top five

858
00:47:08,039 --> 00:47:10,079
at waiser Talk all season long. I think I ranked

859
00:47:10,119 --> 00:47:13,679
number three for the year, number two since December first,

860
00:47:13,760 --> 00:47:16,719
so it's been a good year. But they are running

861
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:19,119
a promotion for me good through midnight Eastern time tonight

862
00:47:19,199 --> 00:47:21,559
or midnight Pacific. I forget which it is, midnight wherever

863
00:47:21,639 --> 00:47:26,559
you are one all the way through the National Championship game,

864
00:47:26,559 --> 00:47:28,440
and you get every single one of those tournaments that

865
00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:32,639
comes with it, the CBI, the NIT, the Crown Tournament

866
00:47:32,639 --> 00:47:36,239
in Las Vegas, whatever it is, all five percenters, everything

867
00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:39,480
through the National Championship. So it's everything from now until

868
00:47:39,480 --> 00:47:41,760
then for one ninety nine and tonight is the last

869
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:45,400
or today is the last day that's available. So thanks

870
00:47:45,400 --> 00:47:47,639
for jogging my memory on that one. I thought for

871
00:47:47,679 --> 00:47:50,679
sure you're gonna throw that that's my dog music cup was.

872
00:47:52,719 --> 00:47:54,400
Speaker 1: No, I love it. I love it. That's my dog

873
00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:58,199
saving me. But not today. We'll get back into rhythm tomorrow.

874
00:48:00,159 --> 00:48:03,480
So yeah, gotta wrap up the show. You know, I

875
00:48:03,480 --> 00:48:06,079
always appreciate you taking time to break down the games

876
00:48:07,039 --> 00:48:09,360
helps my process. I'm sure it helps everybody else as well.

877
00:48:09,639 --> 00:48:12,519
Good to be back doing the show as well. People

878
00:48:12,519 --> 00:48:15,480
in the chat, we appreciate you. Great cappers, great people,

879
00:48:15,559 --> 00:48:17,239
and you know we're all just trying to help each

880
00:48:17,239 --> 00:48:19,679
other get to the window. So best of luck everybody

881
00:48:19,679 --> 00:48:21,800
on all your actions tonight, and we will catch you

882
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:23,039
all again tomorrow