Speaker 1: What's up, y'all. Welcome back to another episode of Profit Picks.
You are new. We do always start the show by
being transparent. Didn't do a show yesterday, mostly because I
planned to travel and you know, I have some stuff
going on, so I didn't end up traveling yesterday. I
traveled this morning and made it in time for the show,
So didn't do anything in the NBA yesterday. I did
lose on those Cougars though, Rob, but they kind of
stung me the past two times. But things have been
good outside of that. I think I won. Yeah, won
five of my last seven games. So good to be
back with you. You know, how's everything with you?
Speaker 2: We're good, Ski, I too got stuck by the Houston
Cougars last night. I tried the first half, and to
tell you the truth, I turned that channel to go
check out another game really quick. There's like seven and
a half left in the first half and Houston was
in complete control, and I thought, Okay, we're laying half
a point here, We're gonna make it the halftime. When
I came back, they lost the first half by four points.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: Something about this team, Ski, I don't know. We won't
waste too much time because this is college troop and
this is an NBA show. But there's something about the
Houston team that just feels a little bit different than
the ones he's had the past few years. Can't put
my finger on it, but they just don't have that
killer instinct that the other ones did.
Speaker 1: For some reason, they struggle a little bit more to score,
and I don't know, Yeah, something is a little off,
but we'll see. First time they've lost three in a
row since I've been paying close attention. We'll see how
they respond. Seeing people rolling in the chat, but I
did see a message. I don't think the show got
twooted out, just double checking here, like so, I don't know,
I don't know what I have to do, but we'll
figure it out regardless. We'll go through the games like
we usually do. We'll start at the top. Here come
some people coming into the chest, so they must have
got their notification, all right, Sixers and pacers. And by
the way, like I said before, you know, I'm doing
a lot of capping as we go today. That's what
today's show will be. I do have a play that
I've made, but doing a lot of capping as we go.
Seventy six Yers and Pacers opened up minus eight and
a half for the six Yers now as high as
ten and a half mostly ten. So so to open
two thirty five as low as two thirty three for
the six Ers, you have Nb questionable Room out, Paul
George out. For the Pacers, you have Jones Potter both probable,
McConnell nim Hart both questionable, Sea Coome doubtful, Nie Smith
topping Zubloc out. This is this is not a game
that I have the most interest bending off the top.
But second, look at the schedule here. We do have
third game in four nights for the six Ers, fourth
and six for both six Years coming off with winn
it's an underdog so versus TiO Wolves. Actually yeah, I
was on them actually one thirty five to one oh eight.
They were plus nine and a half. They smoked them,
so it could be a spot for them to let down.
But do we trust the Pacers to do anything. It
seems like the Pacers not the most interested in really
winning games. You know what do you think about this one?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I think that injury list tells us all we
need to know about their interest in winning games. I
understand there's a lot of questionables and whatnot in there.
But Indiana, I forget if they're one of the two
teams that got fined. I know Utah was one of them.
They feel like Indiana was the other one that got
fined for not trying to win these games. I will
say one thing. The Sixers are trying to win games,
and they had to do it the first three times
post All Star Break without Joel Embiid, who it looks
like all indications, at least from my area ski it
looks like he's going to be back tonight, which would
be helpful to the cause here for Philly because there
was the game prior to the Minnesota game that you
just referred to. The game before that they had like
sixty eight at halftime and then just thoroughly ran out
of gas in the second half. Because I remember having
their team total over and thinking this is easy, and
they only scored like forty six second half. But they
did bounce back against Minnesota. You could see with MB
tonight how they could you know their scoring should be there,
no question, you know, will they play enough defense to
get over this number? And this number is kind of
telling me it's a reaction to MB. Probably going in
this game up to ten ten and a half. Right now,
I'm not so sure I trust Philly to lay it,
even though I think they could cover it. But the
potential there for them to get over one twenty one
and a half sure is there, especially if Indiana loses
some of the players that were on that injury list,
I think, most notably TJ McConnell, who liked a fire
under the second team and keeps Indiana playing with pace.
If you pair that with a questionable status of Nemhart,
I have to believe one of those will go. Siakam
just came back for one game, I think, and now
he's on the doubt, on the doubtful side of playing
tonight again. So that's more offense missing for Indiana. I
don't know. The more I look at what Indiana is
going to put on the floor, the more I'd be
inclined to say that Philly can play enough defense to
win by ten plus, especially if them be plays, because
the advantage at center will be huge. Maybe a small
look toward Philly here's ski probably even more than that, though,
I think them getting to one twenty two shouldn't be
much of an issue unless they're up so big that
they just take the foot off the pedal in the
fourth quarter. And I just don't like Indiana right now
as a team, like you said the start with, is
a team trying to win games.
Speaker 1: These are the rows. Both teams have been good in
late on the season nine and three as a row
favorite for the six Ers, fourteen nine as a home
dog for the Pacers. Interesting, But I do like what
you're saying there. I mean, I'm looking at the schedule
for the Pacers. Two is to ask for tonight for Philly.
I mean, it looks like they're really giving it up.
Only the teams who are like bottom of the barrel
are the only ones who are not getting it, like
the Wizards, the Nets, the Bucks, you know, those those
tiers of teams. Everybody else is just going kind of
at will here. Maybe Philly team total. You know, I'll
all write down a Philly Philly team total my short list.
It's probably going to be a long list today. We're
gonna have to make some decisions, but I'll add it
because that is if I'm playing my preferred side. All right,
let's keep going here. You have MAVs and Nets, and
get away from these team totals open up minus one
and a half. For the MAVs, still sitting right there.
Total open two twenty four and it's still right around there.
For Dallas you have Cooper flag out, Dafford questionable, Martin probable.
I don't see anybody on the injury part. For Brooklyn,
Let's see what they have going on here schedule wise,
I don't think it's anything crazy for this game. But oh,
for the MAVs, well, we do have a little bit
of I mean, MAVs have been on the road, so
let me just double check here, one, two, three, four, five.
This will be their six straight road game, so maybe
the mass have a little bit of travel fatigue. We
shall see about that. For the Nets, it's their first
game home after a road trip, fourth and six nights.
And it wasn't that long of a road trip, it
was just three games. But Nets aren't a team I
really trust to score in the first place. MAVs offense
could suffer this last game of the trip. I don't
know they can a little bit of an under here.
What do you think about this one? You know your muted,
your muted.
Speaker 2: You know I thought I unmuted myself and I muted myself.
I'll tell you what I did notice on Sunday, Ski
was that Atlanta Brooklyn game where Brooklyn led in the
fourth quarter and not by one or two points, by
like seven or eight points, and then the next thing
you know, they're down by ten. It's almost as if
they were like, oh, we're winning, we got to make
sure we lose. Because that thing turned bun. Atlanta scored
like seventeen in a row or something to close that game.
It was crazy, but it showed me exactly what we
just said about Indiana that Brooklyn really doesn't care about
winning games. Dallas came out in a small favorite fashion
the other night and did win and cover. I forget
who it was against, but I think they were laying
like in this same exact price range and they wound
up winning that game. The problem with betting Dallas, which
is what I would want to do, is I think
exactly what you just said. You know, six games straight
on the road goes back before the All Star break.
It means they have been home in ages, so perhaps
there's some fatigue here. But you know, if you want
to bet against that, you're betting into the nets, not
even wanting to win. Like, if the Nets are ahead
by four with four minutes left, who's to say they
don't allow Dallas nine straight and Dallas covers the game.
So that's what we're up against here, trying to handicap
these with these teams at the bottom of the barrel,
who are all trying to get one of these six
or seven prize freshmen coming out of college this year.
I'm going to stay off of this one, Ski. I
can't argue you off of the total being under because
the potential for Dallas fatigue combined with the potential of
the Nets not wanting to win, would just tell you
that scoring could be a little bit limit, especially in
the fourth quarter, Like it could go great for three
quarters and in the fourth quarter could go bone dry
and it becomes a graveyard where those overs go to die.
So I could see potentially an underplay in this particular
contest is Dallas wraps up that long. That's a long
time on the road before the All Star breakakes.
Speaker 1: All right, let's keep moving. This next game is more
interesting than this one to me, I think this is
one might be willing to bet right now. Thunder and
Raptors opened up minus one for the Thunder. We've seen
a flip favorites now minus one for the Raptors. Totals
come down from two eighteen to two seventeen or two seventeen.
Speaker 2: And a half.
Speaker 1: As far as the injuries are concerned, Pardo will be
out have burnout for Toronto. For ok C, you have
Caruso and Check both questionable. No s g A, No A. J. Mitchell,
no J DUP. Thunder, we're just able to you know
who they handle the calves. Uh, you know, just like this.
But this is the first step of back to back
for both of these teams. The Thunder play the Pistons tomorrow.
The Raptors play the Spurs. Now, you know, both opponents
are pretty good as far as the next next opponents,
they're both pretty good. But I would, I would. I'll
put my money that it's more of a look ahead
spot for ok see like to look more towards sending
a message towards the Pistons, like I don't think they
really care about the Raptors. The Raptors also are going
to be at home for tonight's game in tomorrow, the
Thunder saving energy for another travel tomorrow. I think you
get a really good effort from the Rappers tonight, and
I think that could be good enough to win the game.
Do you agree, Ravino or how are you seeing this one?
Speaker 2: Yeah, it depends how much stock you put into Oklahoma
City trying to get revenge on Toronto. They lost by
two points to Toronto a month ago, and if that
sits in the back of their minds, then maybe they
do go after this win. They went after pretty strong
against Cleveland the other day. However, the point you make
about them probably one thing. You know, Detroit's more meaningful
right beating Detroit like san Antonio did last night. You
could see what it meant to san Antonio. Detroit's becoming
the king of the East. We need to see how
we stack up against them, So I could understand both
sides here. Oklahoma City generally of the mindset that they're
going to play forty eight minutes no matter what because
of the depth. But the injuries of taking their toll
a little bit didn't show up on on Sunday, mainly
because they played such good deep the beginning of that game.
Ski it was like steel layup, steel layup, turnover layup,
and Oklahoma City had Toto had Cleveland calling time out
in a hurry. My first thought on this game was
I feel like Toronto's defense has been really good as
of late, and so I was gonna try and look
toward an under in this game. I've tried to play.
Speaker 1: All five last opponents one thirteen or less.
Speaker 2: Pretty good number, right. And I know for a fact
because I had a small play in Toronto Chicago over
didn't get close because Chicago couldn't score on them. Then
I followed it up with a play on Toronto Milwaukee
over and it didn't get there because Milwaukee couldn't score
in Milwaukee. For what it's worth, we'll get to this
game later. Since they got Tim Thomas, they've been scoring.
So Toronto's defense, to me is a big factor in
this game. Let me just check and see what the
current number is total wise, so we get it right
for people, I'm showing two sixteen and a half bet
down from two eighteen. I will say this, the guys
who got it early and took this number down, I
think you were right in this instance switch of favorites
here to Toronto. I'm not sure I have any interest
in the game Ski. I'd rather counter punch with the
two back to back matchups tomorrow for these two teams.
But I still think there there might be a little
wiggle room in that total under. I don't know if
I have enough enough, have enough guts to play it
though at two sixteen and a half you're talking about
a one to ten one seven. That's very possible. So
Oddsmaker seem to have this one right.
Speaker 1: That's appealing to me that under, I mean both teams
bottom ten and paced last five games, Raptors actually the
number one defense. We know that Thunder more Cape and
Thunder missing so much scoring. I mean, I can understand
it under here. I definitely definitely can get with an
under here Toronto. I'm sorry, Okay, see team total get
what one eight and a half when seven and a half?
Maybe I just maybe the full game under is to
play here under or Raptors. I think I do want
to get involved. I was thinking just Raptors before you know,
we broke it down more. But this is a game
I do think I want to bet here. Take a
look at the chat. See what you guys we do have.
Brian like in the under, Mark likes it as well.
Shout out to Faractos with the five dollars Donald says,
love this show. I learned the hard way that can
always put a minus singer betting winning instead of worsening
minus once in bet and lose it by a very
small march. Appreciate you for the five dollars. Don't know
all or anything else before we move on here, Ven
know we push any buttons.
Speaker 2: No, but you might be talking me back into my
original thought, because, like I said first glance, I want
it under just because of Toronto's defense it's been so
good as of late. And then I because of the number,
I talked myself off of it a little bit. But
maybe you guys are swaying me a little back to
my original thought. Well we'll see. I have it written
down as well, full game under. I don't want to
isolate anybody here because one defense may could possibly hold
the others in ninety five or less. And then you
get yourself a full game under.
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, well I got to think about that
one a little bit more. But good stuff on that game,
Wizard than Hawks. I want nothing to do with this game.
You know, if I'm betting, I think I'm laying. I'm
not betting with the Wizards. The Wizards. Yeah, this is
just I mean, it's the last year are going to
allow all this tanking, right, and you know these teams
are taking advantage there. They're showing they don't they don't care.
Or maybe the Wizards. You know, the Wizards do play
a little bit better for the first half, but those
second halfs have not been good. Hawks are nothing, probably nothing?
What do he dam?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not having any part of the Hawks. I thought,
and I think we were both on the same wavelength
here at the trade deadline. We actually thought that Atlanta
had built some depth and would play well. They're like
two and six, two and five against the spread last
seven and like I say, if not for a complete
disappearance of the Brooklyn Nets. The other day, Atlanta's losing
that game to Brooklyn at home in the fourth quarter.
I'm like, what are they doing here? They just haven't
played well. I have read a couple of quotes from
Atlanta which says that they are still trying to get
used to their new roles, the new rotations the players
brought in, et cetera, et cetera. So maybe that's part
of it. But for me, I'll wait until they are
playing a little more cohesive and just staring at numbers
here really quick ski for those watching the show, Atlanta's
last four games all four to the under and well
to the under. How about this last four games Atlanta's
played eighteen and a half points under, the closing number
seventeen and a half points under, the closing number eighteen
and a half points under, and the Nets game eight
and a half points under. With that, all four Hawks
team totals have gone under. However, if you expect me
to bet a Hawks team total under against the Wizards defense,
I can't do it. These two teams are going to
play right back against one another in the same building
in two days. We'll see what goes on here. But
I don't want any part of the Hawks right now.
Speaker 1: Right and no, Kaminga is not looking like he's playing
tonight to the chat, Nicks and Cavaliers probably not gonna
spend too much time here. Open three and a half
looks like four total went out from two twenty nine
as I has two thirty two and a half injuries.
McBride's still out Strews, still out Calves. You know, like
I said, they're beating up on those weak teams. When
Harden first came over. You know, they still beat the Hornets.
They didn't cover Horners, played them tight, even though they
were short handed, short handed thunder team actually beat them.
I'm not as high on these Calves as a lot
of other people have been. The Knicks. They are coming
off back to back wins. They were you know, we're
on the back to back. So this is the third
game in four knights for them. But I just I
don't know. I feel like I would trust them a
little bit more than what I've seen from the Cavaliers lately.
So maybe Nicks, maybe, yeah, maybe Nicks is the only
way I can go here. What do you think?
Speaker 2: Well, you disposed of the Calves sit, so ill dispose
of the Knicks side. I don't want them. They should
have lost that. They should have lost that Houston game, right,
I mean, that comeback in the fourth quarter was crazy. Houston.
Let that would totally get away. And then the Knicks,
like you say, they had to go back the very
next night and play the Bulls, and you know, you
can go through the motions and beat the Bulls one
oh five ninety nine to final there. But they haven't
covered a game since the team's returned from All Star
break and against Detroit and Houston. I just didn't like it.
Doesn't look like the Knicks can step up in class.
This is a step up in class, but I'll say
this not on the defensive side the way Detroit and
Houston are. Detroit and Houston are far better defensive teams
in Cleveland. Is this James Harden effect with the Caves.
I'm not quite sure yet, but this game could result
in an over ski. I don't know. The Knicks didn't
look right to me, or I shouldn't say right. They
just didn't look good to me. When they were asked
to play Detroit and Houston back almost back to back.
Then the Chicago wouldn't take it with the green of
salt didn't cover the number, but it was a tough spot.
I don't know. I don't like the Knicks side the
cab side. Like I say, we'll see what happens with Harden.
But I could be talked into an over with these
two teams playing any anytime Cleveland's playing, including Sunday early
afternoon against OKC where I cashed an over ticket. The
Cavs are an over team right now.
Speaker 1: I think I can I can agree with that. I
don't like the pace, but I do think it still
could get there. Next we have and I think I
have messed this up here. We're supposed to have Warriors
and Pelicans. I don't think I have a banner for that.
So yeah, my bad on that one. Warriors and Pelicans.
This one opened to minus two for the Warriors, looks
like one and a half total open two twenty five
and a half looks like two twenty seven to twenty
eight for the Warriors. No porzingis Horford, Seth or Steph
Curry or L J. Crier. Draymond is probable for the Pelicans.
Murphy's out. Peep, He's out. Me He's out. You know,
I like to think that this is still an over game.
I feel like the Warriors without like the Warriors still
try to play fast. It's kind of how I feel.
And Warriors have been giving it up defensively. I mean,
let me just pull it up here in Repelicans. We
know their defense isn't great. Warriors are coming off of
a win. Still give up one to seventeen, give up
one twenty one, one twenty six, one thirteen. I mean
they can they can give it up in Repelicans. I
feel like they have enough offense to take advantage here.
Don't love Murphy out once again, but lean over if
you know what do you think here?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I could lean with you because not only are
the Warriors trying to play fast ski, but they throw
up more threes than any team in the NBA. And
I should let you talk to you because I saw
a Twitter post from you that said you left some
money on the table by not playing Golden State the
other day. They just fifty five threes against Boston, attempts
fifty two against Denver May twenty and twenty one. New
Orleans will kind of let you play that way. If
you're gonna make twenty threes, then the right way to
look is toward the over. Because the Golden State defense,
they can say they're very smallish, New Orleans should have
advantages on the interior. There's still a decent scoring team.
So to me, there's probably only one way to play
either of these sides. You know, if New Orleans was
getting a little bit more and you know, I guess
you could always alternate mind these games and pay a
bigger price. But if this had come out somewhere in
the four to four and a half price range, I
would have been on the home dog, but you can't
trust New Orleans to win games either. It's another one
of those teams you know you can't trust them, so
over is probably the right way to go here. We're
looking only at two twenty seven and a half. Honestly,
that's probably a pretty cheap number. Golden State's gonna throw
up fifty threes they make another twenty against this defense
to twenty seven and a half is going to look small. So,
like you said before the start of the show, and
we did talk off air a little bit that we
were going to talk these things through because both of
us were a little behind this morning, I didn't have
this one marked down, but I'm marking it down now
on a list. Golden State, New Orleans over to twenty
seven and a half. I think that's a pretty good side.
Speaker 1: Either that or the Pelicans. For me at the house,
that would be my preferred looks all right, Next we
have heat and Bucks opened up minus five and a
half for Miami. Looks like six and a half total,
one from two twenty eight down as low as two
twenty six and a half out there injuries. Davion Mitchell
is probable. Yovich is out, Giannis is out, Turring Prince
is out. Yeah, I think I'm pretty out on this game.
I'm gonna pass this one of you first. You know,
if you have any interest here what I take it
a second look and see if I can I can
find something worth betting.
Speaker 2: All right, Yeah, I'm this is the only game I
bet so far. Ski. I bet this game over, and
I'm just I'm almost blindly at this point betting Milwaukee
Bucks games over right now. It's all offense and zero defense.
I got burnt a little bit the other night, not
by much, but by a little. I think the Toronto
Milwaukee total was two nineteen. They got the two sixteen
because the Bucks only put up ninety four points, which
is a little out of character. Ever since they acquired
Cam Thomas, they've been scoring KPJ Junior, Kevin Porter Junior,
excuse me, and Cam Thomas and all these guys rollins,
these guys that score but don't play any d So
in this one, I know I'm getting pace out of Miami. Man.
They've come out of the shoot on fire with three
straight team total overs. Playing with that pace again, I
don't know what it's ranked. Since they came out of
the break. But I know there's playing fast again and
Milwaukee's gonna go with it. I mean, there's no question
in my mind that this game should have been probably
to me priced at two thirty at least, and it
does it makes me scratch my head a little bit
ski that people would even play this game under But
this total open two twenty eight bet down to twenty seven.
A couple of two twenty six and a half's out there,
which could be just stale numbers. I'm not sure, but
I don't see any reason why you can't play this
game to go up in over two thirty. The way
Milwaukee's playing right now as an offensive team and not
a defensive team, and uh, the way Miami's playing right now,
we're gonna get plenty of opportunities. So I bet it.
I like it. I think we're getting a pretty good number.
I think I you know, I've played a Miami total
right after the break two team total or full game total.
We talked about it, but we often talk about what
baseline numbers should be for teams, and if you can
catch a Miami heat game, I really don't care. In
ninety nine percent of the NBA as an opponent. Let's
put it that way. If you can catch it under
two thirty, you just got to blindly play over with
the heat and add the bucks to it. I think
it's a pretty solid bit.
Speaker 1: That makes some sense there. You know, I definitely can
understand that one. The heat past three games eight, one
thirty six, they definitely been scoring. We'll see, maybe this
one is is too low there, Like you.
Speaker 2: Say, see, a couple of those two were back to backs.
I think the one twenty eight and one thirty six
they came right back and scored even more than next.
Now I'm not staring at it now, but I think
that was a back to back spot.
Speaker 1: Yeah, this one, uh sorry, sorry, I'm tired lot driving, man,
But yeah, I definitely get that one. All truth lies
with and says, first of all, thank you for the
five dollars doing it, says, let me get a five
way parlay lock. Keep doing what you're doing. I appreciate
you for that. Yeah, I don't know if we can
help you with a five way lock.
Speaker 2: People that tune in looking for him, though, skin that
they're mad they don't care about.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know, man, Especially today today's a little
bit tougher for both of us, but we appreciate you.
Hornets and bulls open minus seven and a half. It's
like eight and a half total, one from two thirty
and a half as high as two thirty three Injury
Report and on that note tube, you know before I
actually had on Injury Report BEFO, I forget ivy Ol,
Simon's out, Smith out for Chicago, McNeely out for Charlotte.
You know, there are some people in the comments that
want for one of our showers, are like, damn, have
some enthusiasm, blah blah blah blah blah blah blah. We
have like all winners on the show, no losers, Like
do you guys want to be entertained or do you
guys want to have winners? I mean I did. You
can have both, but aren'tly here to win money? Is
that what everybody's putting up for? I mean, you can
just go turn on the TV and click whatever other
show is your favorite show to go laugh at if
that's what you want. I don't know. I just had
a good, good laugh out of that.
Speaker 2: But yeah, I would say there's times when we're pretty
entertaining too, though we laugh at this show.
Speaker 1: There are, I mean, but sometimes they Sometimes it just
is what it is. Man. It might be a day
like today, Bro, I'm dead. I just drove ours all right,
this one. You have Bridges back, the Abie back in
the lineup. Hornets have been pretty good when everybody's been healthy.
For the Bulls, I don't know. One thing I would
say is I don't view the Hornets as a minus
eight and a half team, especially on the road, or
its little faith as I have in the Bulls, I
still would like to think that they can hang tough here.
Let me take a look at their schedule. First of all,
they just lost by six to the next sixteen to
the Pistons. Ninet Raptors haven't been looking good. I'm blown
out by the Celtics. I mean, they've been in the gutter.
Speaker 2: I get it.
Speaker 1: I just I think this is a little bit too
much for the Hornets here on the road. I don't
think the Bulls are in the same category as the Wizards.
Like the Hornets just laid ten and a half on
the road to the Wizards. I think the Bulls are
better than the Wizards. I want to try to say
the Bulls could be worth a look here, what do
you think you know?
Speaker 2: Well, I'm not the one that pulls you out of
burning buildings, so I won't try to pull you out
of a burning building, but I will say I would.
I can't look at the Bulls right now in all
honesty day, ever since that trade deadline. I remember coming
on after that and I think you said, what are
the Bulls doing? They have like ten guards out of
fifteen players. Now what are they doing? And you look
at what they've done since then. They haven't scored points
at all in their last four games. I guess one
does go back before the All Star break. It was
against Boston, but one on one against Toronto, one ten Detroit,
ninety nine against the Knicks, lose all three play the Knicks,
the tired Knicks off of a fourth quarter comeback against
Houston night before, it can still only get ninety nine.
So their offense, even though Giddy is back, it's kind
of been disrupted because if there was one thing we
could count on Chicago for before the break, it was
they would score. And now they're not even scoring four
straight team total under So until they get their assignments
correct here as far as who's gonna get the ball?
Where are you're gonna get the ball? How are we
going to handle these rotations? I don't know that I
could be on the balls. And to Charlotte's credit, I
mean against Washington, you don't have to go all out
to beat that team, but they've went out there and
beat him by fifteen. And now I saw Charles Lee
with a couple of quotes saying he's happy to be
getting players back. I guess that includes Miles Bridges tonight.
The team has done well without them, but they've been superior.
And I'll ask you this, I don't know if you've
got it up in front of you, I can probably
look it up. But I know, prior to the break,
Charlotte was trending really really good on the defensive end.
And if they're still playing really good on the defensive
end and the Bulls aren't scoring, I don't know. The
Bulls just don't thrill me at all. Maybe I could
get to a Bulls team total under in this game.
Speaker 1: Bulls team total under, all right, So just shitting on
the Bulls luck right there.
Speaker 2: I'm here. We took out the Knicks, we took out
the Calves. I'm taking out the bulls just here that.
Speaker 1: We got to narrow that list down. You know, a
couple of comments keep asking it for muta here, but
then there's other people who are following right along, like
we're not muted. So if you can hear us, let
the people in the comments know that we can hear fine,
because I'm pretty sure we're not. Nobody's muted right now.
Nobody's been muted. It must be something wrong with whatever
settings or whatever they have going on. Thank you, Joseph.
Jose Perez says he can hear us. All right, we
have a couple more we can go through here. You know,
we have Celtics and Sons open up minus six and
a half down to five. As far as Celtics as
a favorite total all the way down to two three
and a half from two ten and a half. Gotta
be some injuries. Jalen Brown out, Yeah, no, Devin Booker,
Dylan Brooks, Anthony got Grayson Allen questionable. I mean this
makes sense. The Sun's team just you know, without Brooks
and Booker they can't score. I mean you do have
Jalen Green tonight that should help out a little bit,
but it's just hard to trust him, you're missing a
lot of points with Jalen Brown as well as it's
gone too far down, you know, and you bucket and
go to the over or how are you feeling about
Celtics and Sons.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna skip it entirely Ski because the injury list,
but I do want to get you a couple of
at least a quote on the Phoenix side from their
head coach Jordan Not who was talking about what you
just said, a lot of scoring missing right, and he said,
it's not just a one night thing. I think this
has been a piece to us. The last handful of games.
We've struggled to score for an extended period of time.
Shot quality has not been good. We're going to continue
to try and figure it out. Maybe having green back
can help that. We'll see. But the head coaches say,
and they're struggling scoring, and then I really like Jalen
Brown's not gonna play. But it's not often that you
hear these guys go off extended on how good they
think they are. And Jalen Brown's a great player, don't
get me wrong, but generally these guys don't speak so
glowingly of themselves in public Interviews Jalen Brown. I feel
like I'm the best two way player in the world.
I play both ends of the court. Not every night
I'm available, that's hard to do. I'm a leader. I
help lead my team. I empower my team to come
out and play confidently, stuff that doesn't always sho up
in the analytics. And I'm a winner. I come out
and try to win every single night. So I'm grateful
Jalen Brown. Every single thing he said is true about
him as a player. He's been terrific this year. He's
an MVP conversation. Just surprised me that a guy like him,
who's generally quiet would come out and he must have
been ticked off at whatever reporter it was. And just
want to let him know that he's a good player.
I can't play this game too much. Missing Boston's been
great as of late. I'd really like to have gotten
to Boston in this game. But what they just hold
the Lakers to like eighty something the other night. The
defense has been really good. So if you if you
want to look towards Under, the value is probably gone.
We'll move on to Orlando Lakers because I think I
got a better feel for that one.
Speaker 1: Before we move on. LJ likes Boston first half, says
they're fifteen and three ats in the first half versus
the West because look, dear Mark also likes that Boston
first half. You No, I don't think it's surprising. I
just want to talk about what you said. I don't
think it's surprising that Jayleen Brown talks like that. You know,
a lot of people will consider me a quiet guy,
or maybe they did consider me a quiet maybe not anymore.
But you know, Jaylen Brown is a guy who he
won a championship, he's been playing really well. He didn't
even he's not been getting acknowledged. He's not and getting
recognized as far as what was it the USA.
Speaker 2: Team the yeah, yeah, like you.
Speaker 1: Know, they don't. They don't put them up there with
those guys, and he's reminding them, like, hey, look at
what I'm doing every single night. Sometimes people got to
be reminded. And a lot of the reason I think
he gets overlooked is certain things, certain things that he
stands for. So I don't know, I like Jaysen Brown
and I can relate to Jayleen Brown. That's what I'm saying.
Speaker 2: And it's funny too. Like you Sayski, it's always been
Jason Tatum on that team, right It's like he lives
in Jason Tatum hasn't played a game and he still
kind of lives in that shadow with the Celtics. And
I know Lebron said the other day that and rightfully
so that Jalen Brown should be in conversation for MVP
UH this year for what he's done, because I don't
think we thought Boston would be where they are at
this point in time with that roster, and they're right
back contention to win the East. Tatum comes back in
any sort of any way near one hundred percent. Let's
say he's about eighty five or ninety. Boss ain't going
to be a handful for everybody. Talk about Detroit all
you want, but Celtics will be trouble. So we'll see.
Speaker 1: Sometimes people start to overlook or just take things for granted.
Sometimes people need a little bit of a reminder. Go
ahead and remind them, Jaylen Brown, on which you one
hundred percent t Wolves and Blazers opened up minus five
and a half for the Wolves. Looks like six and
a half or seven total went from two thirty six
and a half I'm sorry it didn't really move. As
far as the injury report you got, NAS read questionableth
for Minnesota. You have Denny Advia and Sharp both out
for Portland. I mean that seems like you're missing too
much for me to even consider Portland. But at the
same time, when I say that Timberwolves, I mean the
same thing I keep saying about them. I just I
can't lay with this thing. There is only they don't
show me they deserve to lay any night.
Speaker 2: Like.
Speaker 1: They still scrape away some winds, but there's no way
I did like comfortably with the Timberwolves versus anybody. So
I guess even with the injuries, that makes me lean
Blazers here for you know what do you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah, in the Timberwolves case, Ski, at least they're consistent
for you, right, you know what you're going to get
from them for the most part, You're going to get
a team that's going to score points and allow points
and not cover big numbers. It's been that way all
season long for the most part. I mean they've had
I think there's one situation that you described where they
just a couple of weeks ago where coming off a
loss or something, they come back and smash people. But
it's so random when they win big, so to trust
them to do it consistently is just not a smart
thing to do with your money. For Portland, the unsmart
thing that I've done with my money the last couple
of games. Just try and play their team total over
one oh three and ninety two aren't going to get
you over. You can't even alternate lines that low to
win those bets. So those were poor on my part.
Seventeen and a half below their team total two games ago,
twenty and a half behind under their team total against Phoenix,
even though they won by fifteen right ninety two to
seventy seven. They won that game decisively, but just didn't score.
Denny Abdia went out of that game the other night
with like only six minutes going in the first or
seven minutes going in the first, and he was in
the locker room. That hurts when you're playing they're over.
So I don't know that I agree with this number
getting all the way up to two thirty six, no
matter how much or how how much of a lack
of defense that Minnesota has played, I don't know that
Portmand right now can get there and do their share.
So to me, it's kind of a lower scoring game.
I think if I had to look sky, i'd be
looking under two thirty six in this particular game. That's
a lot to ask for out of these two teams
at this point in time.
Speaker 1: All right, Uh, probably probably won't get involved there really quick,
you know, before we moved to the last game. A
couple more comments. There's one other I forgot to mention,
but they said that Ski needs to be Come on,
they said Ski needs to be more like Press. Shall
leave that one alone.
Speaker 2: You know, I'll just say this, If you're waiting for
that to happen, you're never gonna get it. So you're
better off not even asking for that or waiting for
that to happen. That ain't gonna happen. And I speak
from knowledge on that that.
Speaker 1: I think we know got it covered on that one.
And then this this last one from Bobby says I'm
been twelve million, but I can't tell you who. He said, kid,
you guys are great, Thanks for a great show. Appreciate you, Bobby,
And uh, yeah, no, I got one play I've been
at the night. It's four hundred dollars twelve million. We'll
go over to We'll go over to Magic at Lakers,
and it looks like it opened minded six for the Lakers,
down to five and a half for five depending where
you shot, total going up from two twenty eight and
a half as high as two thirty one. Let's take
a look at the injury report. My bad here, let's good.
Let me actually just refresh just to make sure. So
Jackson Hayes is now doubtful with his ankle sprain, which
is a big deal. He's been much better than DeAndre
Aiden for the Magic. No Franz Wagner, and then you
have Jalen Sucks questionable here tonight. Let me get over
here for the Magic. It is their third game in
four nights, fourth game and six nights, and just looking here,
all of these games that have been on the road,
so it'd be a little bit of travel fatigue here.
Every game four straight game on the road after the
All Star break, and one of those games was a
double overtime game for the Lakers. They did just come
off of a beatdown versus Celtics. They've been at home
every game since the break. Definite looked great, though, So
you know, do you think it's a good chance for
the Lakers to bounce back here or not really trusting them.
You know they do struggle a little bit defensively, could
struggle somewhere without Jackson Hayes. What do you think on
this one?
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's my initial inclination, Ski is to go ahead
and play it over with the way that Orlando is
capable of scoring. And if I look at their defensive side,
you hit on this fourth and six, but it's consecutive
road games like this is the end of a you
can see some defensive fatigue in this one. And if
I combine that with you know, I'm a big bounce
back guy. Good offenses that only score eighty seven should
bounce back to their norm. I think that's what the
Lakers will do. The big three scorers on the team
are still playing, no Jackson Hayes at the rim on
the other side to defend or to stop Orlando from
getting there. So there's a lot of things that add
up to playing this total over, including pace on the
Orlando side, which we know all season long. Jamal Mosley
has said we're not going to change. So I think
that two thirty might be might be doable here for
these two teams for a lot of reasons, some situational,
some fundamental, but I think it all adds up to
a game getting over two thirty.
Speaker 1: I would agree. I mean, Lakers defense is not the
most trustworthy. They do have a team as very capable
as going. I mean, all those guys over there can
get a bucket. So I do think there should be points.
And as far as the side is concerned, I think
is not a good spot for the Magic. I think
it's a very nice spot for the Lakers to bounce back.
I'm for getting destroyed as well. So Lakers were over
in this game would be the recommendations here. All right,
you know we made it through the entire card and
man it took us forty five minutes. But we have
to talk some stuff out today. Today's a little bit,
you know, we need we need to talk it out,
So move it over the best bets or before I'm sorry,
before we move to best bets. And you know what,
we're not going to do best best today because we
need more time to think and put push the button
on some of these games. If you listen, we know
you know I told you a game that he already
likes in bed and if you listen to me, you know,
maybe I gave you a nice hint. But what I
will put up on the screen here for today five
dollars Tuesday, So you guys do have you know, it's
a great day to go ahead and give it a shot.
Check out a pig for either Rob or myself over
at wagertalk dot com and you'll get the right up.
You get to see if you like it, if you
want to rock with us for a longer term, et cetera,
et cetera. If you do, I'm pretty sure they still
have this going on. Ten days of all access for
the price of seven well you'll say, sixty nine dollars,
so other good ways to get involved. And last but
not least, I'm gonna mention for myself, this is the
last day that I'm able to have that NBA through
the final special up for three forty nine, so le's
than one hundred dollars per month the rest of the way.
And NBA has been pretty good up thirty two close
to thirty three units so far this season over two
hundred the past few years of the NBA venom. I
want to ask you if there's anything else that you
would like to promote and anything else you want to
leave us with before we get out of here.
Speaker 2: Yeah, real quick, Ski, now that you said that, it
jogs my memory. It's also the last day for me
to have up a solo package that wager Talk created
for me for college basketball. Been in the top five
at waiser Talk all season long. I think I ranked
number three for the year, number two since December first,
so it's been a good year. But they are running
a promotion for me good through midnight Eastern time tonight
or midnight Pacific. I forget which it is, midnight wherever
you are one all the way through the National Championship game,
and you get every single one of those tournaments that
comes with it, the CBI, the NIT, the Crown Tournament
in Las Vegas, whatever it is, all five percenters, everything
through the National Championship. So it's everything from now until
then for one ninety nine and tonight is the last
or today is the last day that's available. So thanks
for jogging my memory on that one. I thought for
sure you're gonna throw that that's my dog music cup was.
Speaker 1: No, I love it. I love it. That's my dog
saving me. But not today. We'll get back into rhythm tomorrow.
So yeah, gotta wrap up the show. You know, I
always appreciate you taking time to break down the games
helps my process. I'm sure it helps everybody else as well.
Good to be back doing the show as well. People
in the chat, we appreciate you. Great cappers, great people,
and you know we're all just trying to help each
other get to the window. So best of luck everybody
on all your actions tonight, and we will catch you
all again tomorrow