Speaker 1: Fu. You are.
Speaker 2: Welcome to wager to Talk Today, the gold standard of
sports betting shows, where we talk the talk, walk the walk.
It's Monday, new week, new opportunities, new profits coming your way.
We had NBA college hoops, We got a lot of
free plays. We're gonna go over some Super Bowl passing
props and Dan, do we have an inside scoop on
a passing prop based on social media?
Speaker 1: We may just have that coming your way.
Speaker 3: And inside scoop that one point two million people have
already seen on Twitter. So we're gonna have that coming
your way here on wager Talk Today. Gonna be a
great one here, as you know, if you join us
on Mondays, is a great way to kick off the
week because we begin with Yanni. That's right, the man,
the myth, the legend is back. Yanni, the Greek Gambler.
Are gonna break down his steamsheet, the steam report. What
are we seeing in Super Bowl prop action?
Speaker 1: Of course?
Speaker 3: What are we seeing on the hardwood tonight? Maybe even
some nh L. Bill Krakenberg also joining us. He's got
a free NBA prop for you hit his last week,
and then we're also going to get his thoughts on
what he is using his brain for in Super Bowl Action? Yes,
what a is using his brain for here in super
Bowl Action. Steve Merrill's gonna wrap things up for us.
He's got some doubleheader action tonight on ESPN. Ques is
playing UNC and Kansas is playing Texas Tech, two great
college basketball games. Steve Merrill is gonna have a best
bet for both of them in this show right here,
and Andy and I we're going to talk a little
bit about the the NBA action that he has in
all around the world. Maybe even a golf play coming
your way. But Andy, let's kick off the show, Yanni,
waiton and the wings. I wanted to give the folks
a lacrosse play here for WTF or LFG. But although
lacrosse plays are right this second, and the over that
we have in the Duke game is already looking good
because Duke is on the board a minute into the game. Andy,
but what are you betting for WTFLFG follower fade in
this bet?
Speaker 2: Okay, this is a true WTF LFG. I have not
bet this one. This is a literal I'm posing this
to the world.
Speaker 4: Okay, I like it.
Speaker 2: We're going to that, We're going to the NHL. We're
going to the Senators and the Penguins. The Penguins on
fire Dan, they have won six in a row, seven
out of the last eight. The Ottawa Senators they have
won three in a row. It's basically a straight pick'em
homie the Senators. Though the goalie Olmark has played the
Penguins seven times, he has yet to lose to the
Pittsburgh Penguins. The Ottawa Senators and ol Mark extend his
winning streak against Senators to eight and oh it's minus
one o eight on DraftKings WTF or LFG.
Speaker 3: DAN minus one oh eight is intriguing. You know, I
love ryding this streak here, Andy. You know I always
worry someone's gonna comment he's won that many in a row.
Speaker 1: He's due for a loss.
Speaker 3: Due well, I think he's due Andy for a win LFG.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna reach out.
Speaker 3: Maybe Karl will be watching the show live, Karen, what
do you think the Ottawa LFG or WTF?
Speaker 1: These people are loving it. People are loving it right here.
Speaker 4: Let's go, man, Let's go LFG Senators.
Speaker 2: Let's get Olmark to eight and oh uh, that's your
WTF LFG and yes, uh listen, sports betting and sports investing.
It's a lifestyle. We literally have two plays going live
right now. It's noon on Monday. This is what we do, Dan,
this is what we do.
Speaker 4: This is our lives. Let's bring in Yanni. This is
another one. Uh, Yanni, Happy Monday, Thank.
Speaker 1: You, thank you.
Speaker 5: I told you guys were talking NHL because Ottawa right
now just came on my instant message in with the
group that I move NHL for.
Speaker 6: They just bet Ottawa right now.
Speaker 4: You're kidding.
Speaker 3: I swear they're watching the show Andy. They said, LFG,
we gotta get this play in now. Andy's about to
move the DAN market. So, Yanni, Ottawa just came across
the stream bet right now.
Speaker 6: Ottawa.
Speaker 5: They won an Ottawa minus one oh six minus one
oh eight minus one ten. That's what shows on the
I m went away one six one awight minus one ten. Yeah,
that is gonna be one twenty before you look up.
Speaker 2: Just uh yeah, this is what we do. Move lines here,
we move lines here on segments.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 7: Uh.
Speaker 4: How was UFC this weekend? What'd you think? UFC three
twenty five.
Speaker 6: I loved it. I loved it.
Speaker 5: I was one bet away from from having a perfect
sweep and eight no. And it was the first fight
of the night. That dude with the long ass name
that lost the split decision. He cost me, honestly, like
three or four parlays, which just goes to show you
negative ev parlays all day. I mean, you can't go
seven to one and lose money. But I managed to
do that on the parlays. With that said, we straight
at everything. So it was a great night. And with
all the action, all the attention on the Super Bowl
and football, don't overlook those other markets. And I'm not
here to count because everybody that's watching this you already
know the number with NFL and college football and how
I've done. But college basketball right now for the last
thirty days, sitting number two in profit, number one in
NHL for twenty twenty five twenty twenty six season. UH
number up over forty units in NBA this season. Like
those other markets were, We're staying selective, but they're very,
very beatable. And anytime I see any of the sharp
stuff come in, I get really excited. And like I said,
Ottawa just came in and they're hitting it now minus
they're even minus one twelves. So we went for minus
one oh six minus one to eight minus one ten
minus one twelves. That thing's gonna be up to minus
one twenty five pretty quickly.
Speaker 6: I like Ottawa. I think I'm going to release them
to my subscribers too.
Speaker 2: Uh yeah that was a Solang grongbow who ye blew.
Yeah you he killed it for me and he was terrible.
And but I will say this to everyone out there,
and Yanni, the guy that won, Lawrence Louis, uh, load up.
Speaker 4: This man is going to get a UFC fight or two.
Speaker 6: And yes, yeah, yeah.
Speaker 4: He's awful. He's awful.
Speaker 6: You know what I wanted to bring up.
Speaker 5: I was almost made a five percent play, but I
had lost the five percent in the UFC. Then I
have the super Bowl coming off, so I said, you
know what, let me stay selected with the five percent.
It's just a little bit bigger than a four percent.
And I've been doing really good with the Force, so
let's stay selective and fire force. But I almost made
Roofie a five percent. And here's what sucks. That Roofie
won that fight and everyone that bought that package. Forget
my subscribers, the guys that come into the steam room
because I explained things to them. But the guys that
would have seen that I have a big bet, so
they would have bought the bet and they would have
bet it, they would have been happy.
Speaker 6: Ace crushed it for us. We cashed.
Speaker 5: He went seven and one. We hit our five percent.
But the truth of the matter was Ruffy ended up
being a terrible bet for me. And this is what
I try to explain the betters before they walk into
the octagon, before they throw the ball up, you know,
to start the game. More times than not, I know
whether I've made a decent bet or not. And the
line's going to.
Speaker 6: Tell me that. The market's going to let me know.
Speaker 5: And with the Roofie bet, I laid minus one fifteen
minus one twenty. I could have got plus one fifteen
plus one twenty the day of the fight. So it
was a horrific bet. It was an awful bet, but
he went out there and won. And I don't want
betters to judge it by the result. Instead, I want
to look at it as dude, I got lucky. That
was the product of good luck. Now, granted, on the
other seven fights, I'm sure we got closing line value
in five of them at least, So you never talk
about the ones that you get right. You always talk
about the ones that you get wrong. But that's just
that's gonna happen when you try to get out ahead
of the market. But I just wanted it to make
that note because we were celebrating the roof you win.
But the truth is I timed it terribly when I
got down. I thought he would have been going off
to minus one fifty. And again, sometimes you're just gonna
get it wrong when you try to get out ahead
of the market. So great day in UFC, great day overall,
and I'm expecting a good twenty twenty six coming off
of losing twenty twenty five in MMA.
Speaker 2: Well, Yanni, this is where Dan, this is where Yanni
and I differ completely.
Speaker 4: And you know what I'm gonna say about your Roofi bet.
It was a great bet.
Speaker 6: It won one. What do we not so bad?
Speaker 2: I was watching that live and I was watching Physia
for the first half of the round and something click
with Rufy and I was.
Speaker 4: Like, oh live bet RFI live bet.
Speaker 2: He figured out the distance control and he ended up
nuking Physium. I only had one play and UFC, and
I will say this low volume is going to be
the name of the game for me. I had one bet,
one four percent bet. It won easy, Thank you very much.
I'll take my winnings and see you guys at the window.
And we talked about this, Yanni. I feel like my
advantage is on the undercard. That's where we hit our
best bet. I didn't have any action on the main
card and I'm happy, clients are happy. I think it
worked out great, and that's what I'm gonna continue to
do so because you feel like.
Speaker 5: You're betting from a position to strength, you feel confident,
you don't you don't feel like you're guessing. Even when
you lose a bet, you felt you placed a good bet,
your handicap was on point. That's where that's the place
you want to get to, even as a recreational better
when you get to the window where you have conviction,
where you have that confidence, where you're not feeling like
you're guessing and you're just you know, trying to get
action down because again, like that's.
Speaker 6: When you're taking the worst of it.
Speaker 5: But when you feel confident, like you're doing with the undercard,
you fire away and who cares that you narrowed it
down the one bet.
Speaker 6: You narrowed it down the one winner. That's what it
comes down to.
Speaker 2: Man.
Speaker 5: There's never be sad when you catch a ticket. And
here I am, I was complaining about Rufie.
Speaker 6: Doing the same thing. But that's what you have to do.
Speaker 5: As a plus CV winning sports better, You're always going
to have to review your work and you're gonna have
to be your hardest critic.
Speaker 6: So that's okay, that's all right, but you know, give
yourself credit as well.
Speaker 2: Yeah, two years ago, Yah, me and my team we
just made a rule always fade a Tafa. If there's
a fighter with the last name Tafa fighting, you just
fade him.
Speaker 4: And it's worked out great.
Speaker 5: Taking that the Zebic shot, he looked like a different
guy in there.
Speaker 2: Well, the no, damn this This guy like fought at
heavyweight once and now he keeps losing and so they
just keep putting him in.
Speaker 6: Different way away. Before you know it, he's.
Speaker 1: Got like arm fat jangling off.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's so true. Uh, let's talk a little bit
about steam.
Speaker 2: There's not much going on with the Super Bowl props
seem to be holding fairly strong at this point.
Speaker 4: So I think we're moving.
Speaker 2: I mean, you can talk about football a little bit
if you see anything of note, but I think we're
kind of moving towards basketball to talk about Steam report this.
Speaker 6: Yeah, and I got hoops for you.
Speaker 5: The one thing that sticks out with me for the
Super Bowl, and this is what's going to be interesting.
If you look at like MGM Caesars, they'll they'll put
out their their betting information, and I like to look
at it, see what they're putting out there, what everybody's reading,
you know.
Speaker 6: And here's what I'm seeing.
Speaker 5: That the MGM put out that their most heavily bet props.
Ninety nine percent of the money is on these Super
Bowl props is what their post says. There's one, two, three, four, five, six, seven,
eight nine props that they put that they say ninety
nine percent plus of the money is on one side
of these bets. All nine of them are on the overs.
Not a single under is bet so.
Speaker 6: They're all on the over. But here's the key. This
is early action.
Speaker 5: It's a lot of it's sharp, a lot of it's
like winning betters that are placing these overs. And my
interest is what's gonna happen come Sunday, are the recreational
better is going to keep betting these over, pushing them
up so high that then you're gonna see middles come in.
You're gonna see the betting scene that's come in and
start betting these under on Sunday.
Speaker 6: Like that's what I'm interested in. This is what's gonna happen.
Speaker 5: Because a perfect example is like that Drake May rushing
yards over.
Speaker 6: We bet that over like thirty two and.
Speaker 5: A half, thirty three and a half. I couldn't even
give that to subscribers because it was like thirty five
and a half within minutes, it's now thirty seven and
a half, thirty eight and a half. I've seen, Like
how high is that going to keep going when the
public gets involved before we see any kind of resistance,
because so far it's been all one sided and most
of those are on overs, and I've been selected trying
to determine which of these are legit and which are
actually middles, because there will be a lot of middles
come Super Bowl Sunday, because you're talking about four or five, six,
seven yards on a lot of these totals, So just
pay attention to some of those late moves because they
will tell you a lot about what the legit side is.
So here, real quickly, it's go NBA college basketball. Just
three dogs in the NBA jumped out real quickly, five
poin fifty one New Orleans plus seven, five point fifty
four Indiana plus seven and five point fifty six Memphis
plus eight.
Speaker 6: So three dogs there.
Speaker 5: Then in college basketball eight seventy one Syracuse plus twelve,
eight seventy five, Kansas plus four and a half.
Speaker 6: But we also saw Texas Tech minus three and.
Speaker 5: A half, So a difference of opinion there between the
minus three and a half, so onto Texas Tech and
the plus fives four and a half on the Kansas side.
Eight seventy four Tennessee State, Texas, Tennessee Tech over fifty
one and fifty two, eight seventy seven Idaho State plus seven,
eight eighty six State at a pick them. And then
they were betting that where to go that first game
over that Syracuse, North Carolina over. They just keep betting
that over. It opened at like one fifty two. I
saw the overnight get hit. I saw it get hit
early this morning, and probably about thirty minutes ago got
hit again at over one fifty seven and a half
one fifty eight, So a lot it over and that
was sharp early and the public's betting it over as well.
So don't be surprised if you see a lot of
under money coming late on Syracuse North Carolina, because that
line's moved so significantly.
Speaker 2: Kevin Durant looks like he's going to be out for
the rockets. Be careful about chasing the pacers plus points,
like you say, Yanni, like it's early, don't really know confirmation,
what's the what's the exact value in the line, So
just be careful, don't don't just look at the lamps
goo durance out, gotta blindly bet the pacers probably already, yeah.
Speaker 4: Probably baked into the line there.
Speaker 2: So Power rankings, we talked a lot about your power
Yeah you see danger see his face light.
Speaker 3: Up, says oh, I love these power rings, especially because
everyone gets so pissed at me when I yea, let
him know, let him know.
Speaker 5: I want to start doing a Monday video, Andy where
I go over. We like top three over value, top
three undervalue. Just talk rankings. They finally got it right.
They have Arizona at the top. I have Arizona at
the top. My new adjusted power ratings. I had Duke
number one. I talked about that. I now have Arizona
number one. U uh, as far as the rating goes,
But power when when I when I'm talking straight power rating,
who would be favored? Duke is still at the top.
So Duke is still the number one team. I understand
that Arizona's moving off. I understand they're what number one
in the AP, But I'm telling you now, power rating wise,
I still have Duke number one, and I would make Duke.
Speaker 6: You're hearing it right here.
Speaker 5: I would make Duke about a one and a half
point favorite, maybe a two point favorite over Arizona. In fact,
that one of the teams that I think should be
higher Houston. I don't see why Houston isn't a top
three team. Houston should be a top three team. They're
barely in the top ten in the a pre poll
that sticks out a lot. And then another team I
want to talk about, Nebraska, Nebraska, What are you doing Nebraska?
When I scroll to see where my Nebraska is, Nebraska
is barely in my top twenty five.
Speaker 6: They're a top five team.
Speaker 5: They're number five in the country right now because they're
twenty to zero, and I'm telling you right now, they
will get exposed. They barely have a top fifty offense.
This team will be exposed undervalue team real quickly. Teams
that are better than their record indicate none better than Alabama.
I've talked about it before, I'll talk about it again.
Alabama has the number one offense against the number one
strength of schedule. If this defense could pick it up
because they're out of the top one hundred inefficiency, this
team's extremely dangerous because power rating wise, they're still in
the top ten. Then, oh, Florida, who wears Florida in
the rankings? Is Florida's nineteenth in the rankings? Okay, Florida's nineteenth.
I have Florida as the sixth best team in the
country right now. Only five teams.
Speaker 6: Would be favored over Florida.
Speaker 5: So yeah, there's a lot of differences between the power
ratings and the AP and the Kempom ratings. Those are
the three that I put up, and Kempoms look a
little more like mine, but some are still off. And
I'll tell you the truth. The numbers don't lie. Again,
They're not going to be right all the time. But
I'll put up my man's power. I won't take the
credit for him. My guy's power ratings. I'll put them
up against a minus one ten line all day. He's
just been on point because he has no opinion. He
could care less. He couldn't name you anything.
Speaker 6: You don't care about these teams or anything like that.
It's all data to him.
Speaker 5: And yeah, I look at some of these teams and
I can't believe how well like they're ranked and where
I have them. Like I think Virginia is Virginia ranked
Virginia seventeenth. That's what Virginia seventeenth. And they're just out
of my top forty, just out of my top forty.
So yeah, a lot of differences in college basketball reality
and rankings.
Speaker 4: All right, there's your college basket, all right.
Speaker 2: Well, so basically what you're saying is, Johny, we need
a graphic, we need an intro. Yeah, you need to
do college basketball rankings every Monday.
Speaker 4: I love college basketball power rank.
Speaker 5: And I'll be more prepared. I'll be more prepared for
it now. I know see how excited I got. Where
I will tell you these are the top five undervalued
and why, and these are the top five overvalued and
why or top three way that way that the viewers
can jot those downs and look for spots to follow
or fade over the next few games of these teams.
Speaker 2: Love it, love it. It's a great Monday, Jannie. It's
been ice cold where where I live, and it's warming
up today.
Speaker 4: We're almost a thirty.
Speaker 1: Degree heat wave.
Speaker 4: Heat wave thirty degrees. Let's go. What do you have
up for everyone on Monday? Yannie?
Speaker 5: All right, the super Bowl package is up. I think
there's ten plays in there already.
Speaker 6: Do not wait. The steam sheet'll be up within the
next thirty minutes.
Speaker 5: It has the NFL signed, NFL total, NFL player props
will be added throughout the entire week, NBA, college basketball,
NHL saw a busy steam sheet'll be in there for today,
and if able to confirm any premium package, I'll do
that as well. Like I said, with the results I've
shared doing good in all those sports. But unless I could,
you know, box together something with the best bet I
don't sell daily packages. I'm looking for the long term partners.
So best of luck this week. Let's do some damage
heading into Sunday Super Bowl.
Speaker 2: Joanni, thanks so much. Get the Monday started off on
the right foot. Thank you very much, brother, appreciate it.
Speaker 1: Thank you. Good luck.
Speaker 2: Yeah, God, Dan and I love when we have new segments.
So we have college basketb No, that's.
Speaker 1: What I was as he was talking.
Speaker 3: As he was talking, I was like, man, I think
I know the head of the live video department, so
I think we.
Speaker 1: Can make that happen for you, Yanni.
Speaker 3: So so yeah, starting next Monday, more reason to tune in.
Yanni's going to be giving you his updated at college
basketball power rankings each and every Monday live right here,
so you can cash in. Andy, we got Bill Krackenberger
waiting in the wings. We'll bring him on in just
a second. I just wanted to pick your brain. You
heard Yanni talk about he's already got his super Bowl
stuff loaded, ready to go. It's rocking. We have some
insane deals that are going this week. People love that.
You know, pay for three days, get seven days, So
we upped it. You know, let's get him through the
super Bowl and beyond seven days is what you pay
for and you get ten days of all access. You're
saving nearly seventy dollars. So Andy, I mean, hell of
a deal right there. If people like the long term stuff.
We're also doing nine to nine bucks a months get
your super Bowl the super Bowl access. So that's all
the way through next year. Talking about a year of plays.
What kind of stuff are they going to be getting
if they look at this short term deal or long
term deal.
Speaker 1: Over at your page, Andy.
Speaker 2: Well, just because football is almost over doesn't mean there's
not great ways to make money in the markets. Like, yeah,
we have a tennis Yeah, we have a tennis doubles
play that is up. We have two lacrosse plays that
are literally going live right now. We have a golf
play tonight for the TGL And by the way, on
the Winning in the Shadows YouTube channel, Yan and I
will be doing a live watch along, so I'll go
over what the play is, but you can join us
and watch live and hang out with us. I just
want to say this, Dan, the twelve the super Bowl,
the super Bowl twelve months, it's a big investment.
Speaker 4: I get it. Yeah.
Speaker 2: I do video and phone calls with people if they're
in at in that and they have questions. It's a
big investment, don't I don't take it lightly. So if
you're thinking about doing it, you're on the fence and
you just want to talk to me. I do phone
calls and video calls with people to talk about that.
So I'm pretty open and honest about what you can expect.
I go over what your bank roll is, like, what
books you have? Is this right for you? Because you
know a lot of the plays that we have, they're
a little bit more obscure. You got to have drafting,
FanDuel bet, MGM all that. Like, if you live in Vegas,
we're not for you, but you live in any of
these other states. Yeah, for today, we got two lacrosse,
we got an NBA, we have golf, and it's the
Waste Management Phoenix open this week and so ten days
for the price of seven is fantastic.
Speaker 4: You're gonna get everything.
Speaker 2: We have our five percent Super Bowl best bet that
is up, and we will have a five percent UFC
play that is up. We're coming off a two straight
best bet winner. So a lot of really really good stuff. Again,
if you want to talk to me, just leave a
comment in the comment section after the show and I'll
be happy to reach out to you.
Speaker 4: So let's bring in Bill. Yeah, let's talk NBA. Let's
talk any there.
Speaker 1: He is, well, how are we doing? Brother? If I
tell you what I'm doing, you won't believe it. So
what do we got? Betting? Betting? Betting?
Speaker 8: Oh no, no, not.
Speaker 1: Batt this is gonna be I'm not scalping.
Speaker 7: This will be a scout. I'm giving you guys a
play right now. This will be a scalp by game time.
But I don't scalp props. I can't get done enough.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm.
Speaker 7: Betting some drake May props over as we speak.
Speaker 1: It's over. Yeah.
Speaker 7: Now, it doesn't take the amazing question to know that
this is going to be a public bet.
Speaker 1: Everyone's going to be betting over on.
Speaker 7: But I just Westgate has minus one ten on props
both ways, which I give them a lot of credit
for doing. And I've been betting props all morning because
two sports books I know comes up with they come
up with full limits today. So I have been betting
props all morning. Uh sending out a couple to clients.
But like what I won't do to client. It's just funny,
you guys are catching me live here. I was hoping
I was gonna have a couple of more minutes. That's
all right, though, It's all right, Like to give an example,
like I won't send my clients a prop just because
one sports book has minus one ten, like like they
have literally minus won ten attempts by Drake mayover six
and a half. I won't Fandoel and DraftKings. Is I
asked my assistant Fandoel and DraftKings over six and a
half minus thirty five?
Speaker 1: Yuck? I said, yuck. I won't give the clients that.
I don't think it's fair.
Speaker 7: Put it this way, at one thirty five, this twenty,
it's twenty five cents more at one thirty.
Speaker 9: Five, at won thirty five, it's not it's not a bet.
I'm not laying. I'm not gonna. I'm not I would
not betting minus one thirty five. I'm not going to
give it out minus one thirty five to clients, but
minus one ten as you could see, yes, it's a
max two thousand dollars bet for me. So it's just uh,
and I apologize guys.
Speaker 7: I wasn't prepared. I was in the middle of doing this,
and I'm also betting. I'm also trying to find his
best rushing yards too, because that's going to go up
once to see I had the director of bet MGM
on yesterday and on my Fox show he said, he said,
I got a staff for your crack because you want.
Speaker 1: Of other stuff.
Speaker 7: Eight point four percent of our projected handle on the
super Bowl has been bet ninety two percent, let's call it,
will be coming in this week. Fifty percent of that
will be coming in Sunday.
Speaker 1: So wow.
Speaker 7: I just think about that and think about the numbers
that they do, and uh, that's.
Speaker 1: The ree boy. I don't want to make fun of that.
That's the major of this game, right Bill.
Speaker 3: Like with the super Bowl, it's like, yeah, okay, guys
have been betting it since it open. You know, they
like Seahawks here out of the gate and then all
the props you were out there at the West Gate.
We have some great videos up on the YouTube page
right now with Bill over at the Westgate shooting some
live content.
Speaker 6: I highly suggest checking those out.
Speaker 1: But that's the nature of this game.
Speaker 3: Like Joe, Harry Mo, all of them are waiting till
Sunday morning to throw all these bets, and while they're
bullshitting with their buddies at the party, right, I gotta
be blunted.
Speaker 7: I'm not making fun of anybody that's why the public loses.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you have to get ahead of these kind of props.
Speaker 7: Like I'm saying here now, you have to get ahead
of these type of props. And because I know that
public money is gonna come in. And let's me blunt.
If you don't have a gambling bank roll and you're
just waiting until you get paid, this is not for you.
This is not for your betting too much money. This
entire network is not for you. This entire landscape of
sports betting is not for you. And you know, by
the way, I was that person. I was that person
as a teenager. I was a little Djen running around
betting everything I had it didn't matter, and just saying, oh,
I'm going to make it right. I'm going to make
a big score and I'm going to make it right.
Speaker 1: You know.
Speaker 7: So I'm going off of a playbook of forty years
that has turned around my life, specially especially the last
thirty years, really has turned around my life and and
it's made me a factor with all sportsbooks. This morning,
I went after the station sportsbooks. My last tweet, I
put out the balls on them to throw this kid
out that came to me and said, hey, crack.
Speaker 1: Look at this.
Speaker 7: He said, I was betting your player props that you
put out on wager Talk. By the way, oh, I
didn't say that part. I gotta start saying that part
in other shows. So he said, because I'm going to
do that this week. My goal is to bury stations.
Are what they did to this kid? He said, I
bet your props And he said, I want to show
this to you. And he met me at the Vson
My Vson show at Circum. He met me at the
show right before I went on. So before I went
on the show, I had this in my mind and
I couldn't help it. I came in with a head
full of steam. I have a head full.
Speaker 1: Steam every morning about bullshit like this.
Speaker 7: So he he was betting fifty to one hundred dollars
on all his stuff. He showed me over the last
year bet fifty to one hundred bucks. And now he said,
you know, I talked. This is what he said, but
I don't want to embarrass him. But I'm not trying
to embarrass him. He said, Hey, I talked my dad
and did it and involved with me. We put five
thousand dollars in the stations app and I bet three
hundred on all your props and he said, after the
first weekend, we won. You know, I don't know. He
didn't win that much. He won like fifteen hundred that's
a lot, fifteen hundred bucks a lot. Oh, it was
over two weekends. It was over two weekends. But they
frozen the count that Sunday night. So they frozen the
count last Sunday night. And he said, uh, look at this,
I can't get on. He showed passwords, he showed emails,
and they made him go in and they said, this
is not your betting pattern. This is a betting you
usually bet fifty to one hundred dollars. You don't bet
prop bets, and we don't. The guy talk to him,
very nastily, said, we don't like this. We don't like
what you're doing. Here, take your money, and you're not
allowed to play in the app for six months. You're
six months suspended, and you're allowed to come to the
window once per day because we don't like what you've
been doing. What he was doing was winning. He was
fucking winning.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 7: So they're big signs they have all over town. They're
big bullshit signs. We love our winners. Yeah, Okay, take
that stations and you know what, I know, I am
saying that stuff at the risk of not being allowed
in a station's property or them suspending me. That will
just make me go after them more. The bane of
my existence will be to go after them. I have
nothing to do. Yeah, sure, that's what I'll do all
basketball seasons. So you know, I just don't like that.
They treat everyone like a sucker. They treat every guy,
every person to come in like, hey, how you doing, Hi,
how you doing?
Speaker 1: You want to drink ticket?
Speaker 3: Oh?
Speaker 7: Yeah, here you go. Just don't win if you win.
And by the way, they're not the only place that
does that. There's other places that do that. You know,
Caesars is I'm thrown out of Caesars Sportsbook for winning.
Now listen. I like going to the restaurants. I like
going to the shows. I love stations properties, their casinos
at the Rango Station, Florida, ceiling windows, beautiful restaurants, entertainment,
they give the they give the gambler good value on
the video poker machines. But like I said, I do
that at the risk of being thrown out. But I don't,
to be honest with you, I'm good.
Speaker 1: I don't care. I don't care.
Speaker 7: I'm gonna stick up for people. I'm gonna tell people
like it is. I'm gonna tell you where to spend
your gambling dollar. That's just the way it is. So
I appreciate the comments, guys, thank you very much. I
don't do that for that. I just do that to
help you guys and tell you what's going on. So
if you're allowed to go in, you're right, David, that's
all they care about. They care about your money. And
like I said, it's a lot of bs there. How
did I even get on? I don't know where I'm
even going with these subjects. So anyway, guys, let's go Bell.
But the people, the people love a fired up crack.
But what do you got for in Bell?
Speaker 3: All right?
Speaker 7: Hold on, I got some other stuff too though. Here,
hold on, relax, relax. You get me going ahead of myself.
Speaker 1: I'm joking. I'm joking. So that's by the way. Frank
Sinatra in the background.
Speaker 7: People keep keep on asking that I gotta listen to
a little Sinatra and calm down a little bit.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, get an even yeah yeah. But anyway, uh,
I won't give out props.
Speaker 7: Like I said, it's a bad line, and but I
bet my own stuff with Yuci for Max Bets Westgate.
Speaker 1: The other night I was.
Speaker 7: Online there, I bet ten props. I bet two of
them over and over again. You're allowed to bet two
props go to the back of the line. Two props,
go to the back of the line. And it was fun.
There was about twenty five people over there. It was
actually a fun time. A lot of old faces you
only see once a year, a lot of very sharp
guys in that line. I met a doctor that flies
in from Dallas. Hello, my friend, I know you listen
and watch. Also, sorry I don't remember your name. I'll
give you a shout out.
Speaker 1: Doc.
Speaker 7: I met a pharmacist that beat me in line. He
was the first person online.
Speaker 1: I was the second.
Speaker 7: The pharmacists from Las Vegas very nice, very vary, astute.
You could just see talking to them, the intelligence level
coming out of their pores. Randy McKay, Frank b. Lots
of really really sharp guys. I don't know if they
want their names mentioned. Those guys are okay. But there
was another guy that's a genius, absolute genius. I've only
seen him like once or twice a year and he
comes out and is online. So but then you have
the whole section in the back. They're all the different
people that were on different networks and stuff coming in
looking for interviews.
Speaker 1: They act like they bet. They don't bet at all.
Speaker 7: They just come in and say help a camera, or
I get my name out there, or they bet.
Speaker 1: You know, it was always they bet something. I don't care.
Speaker 7: You don't have to bet. I bet you could bet
fifty one hundred bucks, doesn't matter. But it was a
good time. Westgate puts that up, putting it up a
day earlier. They're forced to do that because of the
DraftKings and the fan duels and the different sports books
of the world. But I found it quite interesting yesterday
interviewing my buddy, who's the head of risk I at
MGM BETMGM, I found it interesting. I would I would
have thought a lot of people are betting the game already.
Speaker 1: He said, no, a little over eight percent.
Speaker 7: And he said he has seventy percent of the public,
seventy percent of his clientele betting on Seattle minus the points.
Speaker 1: Now, why does that scare me a little bit?
Speaker 7: Because he said that's what he expects to happen anyway.
Speaker 1: They were just getting ready to move with the five
from four and a half.
Speaker 7: He said, they're expecting a lot of Seattle money and
they're probably going to be rooting for New England for
the Super Bowl. Now why I say that is I
can't find anybody on New England. I just can't find anybody.
Everyone's on Seattle. Everyone everyone I know. I don't really
know of anybody that said, hey, I like the New
England Cracker.
Speaker 1: I like New England in this game. I think they're Yeah,
so that's scary. Just be careful.
Speaker 7: I know you guys won't want to side in the game.
I don't have a side. If I lean to anything,
I have to go. I want to be on the
sports book side, because we all know God protects the bookmaker.
Speaker 1: So it is what it is.
Speaker 7: I have to be on on their on their side.
But uh, some great places around town here to watch
the game. One oh five juice at the south Point,
one oh five juice at the Westgate the day.
Speaker 1: Of the game. That's great. One o five Juice. You
can go right in person to the Southpoint.
Speaker 7: Like I said, one oh five, you know, if you're
gonna bet the game, anyway, I don't recommend even betting
the game. Why would you bet the game when you
have an efficient line uh A side, when you have
so many props.
Speaker 1: I think I have six or seven up already.
Speaker 7: I was only going to put up about ten for
wager talk, and I I think I'm gonna put up more.
But here's the reason why I'm I'm scared to put
up more. I don't want people to over bet their bankroll.
So if you if you're betting, you know, one hundred
dollars a prop, now you're and your bank roll is
only you know, two grand, which I have no problem with.
By the way, usually I say one to two percent.
I have no problem with you betting five percent of
your bank roll and a prop. But I yeah, if
I have thirteen props for some reason, I think I'm
gonna put out around thirteen. And if it's too much,
I would like people to tell me with it, because
I won't put out that many. I for wad your talk,
but I want to put it out there probably and
give you guys your chances. There's no really, the ones
I sent earlier were the ones you probably should have
got down on.
Speaker 1: Right away. But there's no rush to get down on
these guys.
Speaker 7: You want to know why, I Am going to be
making these bets Friday and Saturday and even Sunday morning
after my Fox show, I'll be making bets, running around,
making bets on my apps, making bets hoping that they
pushed these numbers up even more because I'm gonna be
taking a lot of unders the day of the game.
A matter of fact, I'll probably be downtown running around
with Randy McKay, who's a very sharp prop guy. Also
found some really good value downtown last year. But yeah,
so anyway, guys, what else was I doing for you?
So I don't even know was I was supposed to
give you something else?
Speaker 4: And I got?
Speaker 1: I got. I mean you've did. You've given us a
lot here, Bill, and I'm loving it.
Speaker 3: And Bill mentioned there he's gonna be betting through the weekend,
folks that ten days of all access for the price
of seven is good over at his page at well
w T Dot buzz backslash crack Man. But but you know,
the folks, even though you gave us that nice drake
may prop at the top, they're still asking we got
anything at n B A any NBA any hardwood props
that you got today.
Speaker 7: I bet an NBA prop. I bet what do we got?
Let me see what did I bet? Let me see.
I have to get on the right line though here. Okay,
over twelve and a half, make sure MGM still has
that Kelly Obery?
Speaker 1: Is that any say his name? As a matter of fact,
isn't that funny? I don't have to know how to
say their name. I don't care.
Speaker 4: Tell you, Brad, I got o Brad.
Speaker 7: I was on action on showtime and someone said to me,
what do you mean you can't pronounce his name? I
don't have to all I have to know what is
it says, what his number says on the screen. I
know it's this is all analytics, it's all you know.
It's it's more than just knowing the guy's name and
his family member's name and where he lives. And I
don't I don't care about that matter of fact, will
be real blunt. I don't care about these guys off
the court, off the I don't care what they do,
trouble they get in nothing. I just care they don't
care about me. I don't care about them, but I
do care about betting them okay, so let's go.
Speaker 1: It's points over twelve.
Speaker 7: And a half at MGM and is minus one thirty.
Also for thirteen and a half minus one ten two
on that Paul George, Paul George's servant. As we know,
the twenty five games suspensive for violating the anti drug policy.
Speaker 1: So this gives this gives him some more minutes.
Speaker 7: There play thirty if thirty thirty and thirty seven minutes
in his last two A good matchup tonight against the Clippers.
So let's go over his points twelve and a half
minus thirty. You're gonna laugh now, I gave. I just
text Johnny Detroit and said, this is how much it's terrible.
Speaker 1: It's terrible. I'm a terrible self promoter.
Speaker 7: Like I know that we have Super Bowl, a super
Bowl package, and if it's fifty nine dollars, that's a steal,
I said him. I selling fifty nine dollars packages over
on wager Talk, and yes, I think I am.
Speaker 1: So get over to wager talk and buy that package.
Speaker 7: Fifty nine bucks, you get the super Bowl, you get,
You're gonna get all these props. Like I said, I
gave out a few and they're even still obtainable. However,
I'm gonna give out a lot more that I have
not done yet. Uh so get that Super Bowl prop package.
Speaker 1: Listen.
Speaker 7: I've been telling you this all season in college basketball.
You want to you want to come on for.
Speaker 1: Longer than that.
Speaker 7: You want to come on, come on till March Madness, WT,
buzz backslash crack Man.
Speaker 1: There it is. I asked them all the time.
Speaker 7: They must think I'm crazy Kelly and Vegas, and I said,
give me that code again.
Speaker 1: I need to give it out. But twenty two I'm sorry.
Twenty four point four.
Speaker 7: Units last week plus in college basketball. NBA also went
six until great week last week. Thanks guys for coming along.
You guys that are my clients here, appreciated that they're watching.
Speaker 1: You see what we did the college basketball I was
actually met.
Speaker 7: We didn't goo nine and no on satur one on Saturday,
and the ninth one I lost in overtime. I was like, God, Jesus,
so I hate to lose any games in overtime that
you would have won a regulation. So I think I've
said enough. Let the other guys share their time. I
apologize and thank you guys for listening to my rants.
Speaker 1: My raves and we'll see you next week.
Speaker 3: Thank you, Bill, appreciate it man. Good luck on Super
Bowl week, brother, Bill Rackenberger.
Speaker 4: He does his own like intro and outro.
Speaker 3: You can you can tell Andy that he's done this
once or twice in his life.
Speaker 1: Right.
Speaker 3: It's uh that the man who needs no introduction or
outroduction is our friend here, Bill Krackenberger and Kelly Oubray
was the was the proper correct Andy?
Speaker 1: Yeah?
Speaker 4: Yeah, Kelly Ubray over twelve and a half.
Speaker 2: Paul George got it was so funny, was Paul George
Brittle the last couple of years, and this year it
was like it's playing pretty good, okay, staying healthy, load
management with rugs.
Speaker 1: Oh okay, that makes perfect sense.
Speaker 4: It makes it makes oh sense of the world.
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, let's bring in Steve Marrow.
Speaker 4: It's kind of like you'll see this. You'll see this
in m M A uh, Like there'll be a guy
who has.
Speaker 2: Like cardio issues and then all of a sudden he'll
just have this three three round banger and you're like.
Speaker 4: Wow, he must have been putting a lot of work
in the gym. In Three weeks later, suspended steroid it's like.
Speaker 3: Oh that makes sense, makes sense.
Speaker 2: There's been like three or four bets that I have
lost two guys that have tested positive for steroids like
six months later, and it's the most infuriating thing ever,
where you're like I was, my guy was fighting a
juiced up gorilla.
Speaker 1: So yeah, well, you know, Steve needs no performance enhancers.
Steve is ready to.
Speaker 3: Go at all time, at all time. How are you
doing on a Monday, Steve?
Speaker 1: Do well?
Speaker 8: So Andy, I had both sweatshirts literally in each hand
today and the gray one was very close to coming.
I had the identical shirt. It was fifty to fifty.
I was gonna wear that one. This one I find
a little bit green. The black one, that is one
that's my favor. The one you have on is my
favorite though it's it's a little thinner, it's it's it's
a fantastic material, it's overtime, but yeah, it's it's a
very unique sweatshirt.
Speaker 3: I need to hit a couple more bets before they
send me a wager talk hoodie. I haven't gotten to
that upper pan beyond that that Andy Lang Steve meryll Pan.
Speaker 8: Yeah, and for those that are in the comments, are
one of the merched department. This has been on the
to do list. Talked to some of the people and
the staff there and it is on the to do list.
But to put it in perspective, this all started when
pres took the helm a couple of years ago, so
you can imagine there's been a lot of undoing.
Speaker 4: I remember this. I remember Lawrence was like, break.
Speaker 3: Yeah, break down the merch department so that we could
build it back up. Because President like, don't worry, guys,
I'm gonna get us some great T shirts.
Speaker 1: And now we are trying.
Speaker 8: The good news is they got a two year head
start in the merch department. The bad news is Press
is the one that gave them the two year head start.
Speaker 1: Well it's two steps forward.
Speaker 8: Oh yeah, this is one step back two steps forward normally,
but it's different. The conversion with Canadian steps is different.
Speaker 4: Apparently, where's the merch department?
Speaker 8: Meant department is going downhill as we speak.
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're in They're in a chalet and whistler. Good luck.
Speaker 8: It is literally going downhill as we speak.
Speaker 2: Steve, we got some college basketball and then I want
to run you you you coach basketball?
Speaker 4: You?
Speaker 1: Yes?
Speaker 8: Yeah?
Speaker 2: Off I want to run an idea about how to
fix the NBA All Star Game, and I think you're
gonna absolutely love it. But I want to get to
this college basketball at ESPN doubleheader. We got Kansas versus
Texas Tech. But first let's break down Syracuse in North Carolina.
So give us both games. I'm not going to interrupt you.
Let's just start with sarrahcuse North Carolina. North Carolina big
favorites here.
Speaker 8: Yeah, it's a good card tonight. We've got two big
national TV games from Monday night on ESPN. And don't
forget if you'd like a bonus free play, I've got
my top NBA play for free tonight on my page
right now, Steve merrillwager Talk dot com. But let's look
at some college hoops here. We'll start with the seven
o'clock Eastern game on ESPN. A little acc action. North
Carolina opened is a nine and a half point favorites,
now up to eleven. We've definitely seen some sharp money
coming on the over in this game. Opened as low
as one fifty two and a half. Now it's sitting
one fifty eight, even seeing some one to fifty eight
and a half start to hit the board here, So
this is definitely a game in which the sharp money
is coming on the over, and it's hard to disagree
with that. Too good offensive tea, especially North Carolina. They
ranked top twenty five offensive efficiency this year, but neither
defense ranks even in the top fifty this year in
defensive efficiency, and I do think both teams can score here.
The other thing I'd like to look at when you're
looking at over is just to make sure they can
get some easy baskets. Neither team relies heavily on the
three point shot this year. Syracuse actually does not allow
a lot of threes, a lot different than the old
zone defenses under Beheim in which you would beat them
with the three. Syracuse does not give up many three
point shots, but North Carolina has never been much of
a three point shooting team, and once again, they're getting
a lot of points down load this season. And I
do think Carolina and the over is the way to look.
They have the much better two point defense, So if
you want to look at maybe the North Carolina team
total over instead, that might be the safer play. I
would lean North Carolina would also lean the over in
this one, but I'm just a little bit of afraid
if Syracuse can score down low consistently, So instead of
over one fifty eight, you could look at over team
total over eighty four and a half with the Carolina
tar Heels. I don't I give out team totals because
I think there's a lot of value there, but a
lot of sportsbooks still do not offer them in College Tube,
so the full game over is fine, but if you
have access to team totals, I think the best way
to attack this one is North Carolina team total over
eighty four and a half. That's your early ESPN game
at seven eastern to not on Monday, right, We'll look
at your late game also in ESPN at nine o'clock eastern.
In the Big twelve, we've got Kansas and Texas Tech,
and boy, this is a good one here, two top
fifteen ranked teams, Kansas coming off multiple wins in a row.
Everybody written the Jayhawks off after the one and two start.
In fact, I was doing the best betting show ever
a few weeks ago with Joe Vernari. In fact, exactly
three weeks ago. It was Tuesday, the thirteenth of January,
and I remember that Kansas was a home dog against
Iowa State, and we both said, boy, how far have
they fallen? How strange does it look to see Kansas
as a home dog. Well, Kansas went out and won
that game by twenty one points. They've won five straight
games since that one and two start, including a big
win against BYU. They were up big in that game,
by you made the comeback in the second half, Kansas
held on to win by eight. So five straight wins.
Now they haven't to travel just one days of rest
to take on a Texas Tech team that should be
in a very focused spot. Texas Tech off to a
six to one conference start until they lost on the
road against a feisty Central Farida team by eight on Saturday.
So we've got two good teams here, but the home
team coming in off the a loss on the road,
Kansas coming off five straight wins. I like the set
up here for Texas Tech. So let's dig it a
little bit deeper into the box or to the statistics
and see if we have a matchup edge as well.
Two good offensive teams, two really good defensive teams. Although
I do think Kansas is the better defensive team, I
think that's negated a little bit by having the tough
road spot here tonight. And this is the Texas Tech
team that's an excellent three point shooting squad thirty nine
percent of the season, top fifteen in the country, and
Kansas's real strength this year. They've had a good three
point defense, but their interior two point defense is the
real strength. In fact, Kansas gives up a lot of
three point shots. About forty four percent of the field
goal attempts they allow come from three point range. That
ranks three hundred and tenth in the country out of
three hundred and sixty five teams. Texas Tech will long
heavily on the three. Yes, it's always a random variable,
but bet at home focused spot against maybe a tired
Kansas team, I think those three points shots will be
falling tonight. So I do like Texas Tech and this
one minus the points. This line opened three and a half,
it's now up to four and a half. I agree
with that move total has also been hit in this game,
one fifty and a half up to one fifty five
now in a lot of spots, a same thing I
said earlier. I like the over in this game, but
I think the team total with Texas Tech is the
better play Texas Tech over seventy nine and a half,
so you have access to team totals. I think both
home teams to night over their team total is the
best way to attack these games on ESPN. That's at
seven to nine Eastern to night pair of national TV
games where you're free here on wager Talk TV. And
don't forget if you want my personal best bets, they're
available every day on my page Steve merrillwager Talk dot
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we are now in a monster sixty two percent NBA run.
In fact, NBA overall during the last couple of months
thirty nine and twenty four up over fifty units of profit.
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Speaker 1: But why wait?
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Speaker 2: Steve Merrill, we need to fix the NBA All Star Game.
It's it's on its last leg. It's it's wheezing, it's
it's it's awful.
Speaker 4: Nobody cares about it.
Speaker 2: So I have one swing for the fences here, and
I wanted to run this by you because you coach, all.
Speaker 4: Right, scrap the game. Go back to when we were kids.
Speaker 2: Why not have these guys play the games that we
played with kids? And I'm sure your kids play, like who.
Speaker 4: Doesn't want to see Knockout?
Speaker 8: Yeah?
Speaker 2: Point Line with Steph Jannis Lebron, like One on one
twenty one?
Speaker 4: Yeah I would?
Speaker 1: I would.
Speaker 2: I want to see twenty one with four guys in
the Winter Advances, and I just want to see.
Speaker 4: A pig or I don't want to say horse, Yeah yeah, yeah,
that's a pig. Can you imagine what if it was like.
Speaker 2: Steph Versus Giannis and yeah dunking.
Speaker 8: That's the problem. Though, You're exactly right to say the
first thing I was to say is I'll take Curry
is like, I'm not sure he could dunk anymore at
like age forty whatever he is, so like, yeah, So
I'll say my counter to that, I like the idea
because anything is better than the game itself. And I
would watch that because I don't watch the game anymore.
But I'll counter saying they kind of try to do
that already with the skills competition right on Saturday, So
that'd be a little bit of a hybrid of that.
How about a three on three? I mean, I actually
really enjoyed the three on three of the Olympics with
with the FEBA rules, and I actually run that in
practice now when we do three on three a half
court when we don't have a full court. I tell
the guys we're playing FEBA rules man wasting time checking
the ball. The ball is always live, which I really
like that aspect of it. So I think that would
be pretty cool actually making maybe a three on three.
But you're right in they got to do something I happened.
I don't know why I saw it, but about a
month ago I was starting to research it, and I
see that there was when Lebron wasn't on the starting lineup.
It was the first time in like twenty years. I
was reading some stuff on that and I see that
they're going to three teams this year, and a lot
of viewers probably don't know this yet because it's not
up yet. But yeah, I mean three teams are doing
an America, two American teams, and an international team, and
then I guess they're all playing each other. I don't
even know how they're going to make that work. It's
getting worse before it gets better. I will say it's
still better than the NFL, though, the flight and I
get the flag football is kind of like a three
on three idea, and I don't have a problem with
that because the NFL Pro Ball was a mess also,
but I do miss the old days when all the
guys played in all the All Star games. But hey, look,
it's the reality we live and they're not going to
do it right, so you got to fix it and
come up with something else.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I just I think it'd be fun seeing.
Speaker 8: These knockout would be insane, super.
Speaker 4: That's what I mean. Who doesn't want to see knockout?
Speaker 8: Yeah? For the zero real quick you knockout. It's It's
a very simple concept. But you have everyone lines up
behind the free throw line. The first person shoots the
free throw. If they make it, they go to the
back of the line. If they miss it, the balls live.
The next person shoots their free throw, and if they
make it before the other person makes a lay up
of any kind of shot, they're knocked out. You would
have to do it. I guess the three point arc
would be the way to deal with the prose. A
free free throw would be too easy for all those guys,
But that would actually be cool. And the funny thing
about knockout is I used to run it with seven
or eight year olds, and then I started running at
a higher level because, like, it's a great drill, because
it makes you make free throws under pressure. It also
makes you put the ball back up and get rebounds
under pressure, and it actually makes you run like you
get pretty winded. It's it's it's a pretty great It's
a very basic drill, but it's a great drill. I
like that, Andy, I'm gonna run with that idea. I'm
stealing your thoughts.
Speaker 3: I actually I was able to grab some exclusive behind
the scenes of the NBA trying to explain the All
Star Game this year. This is how they are laying
it out, is uh, there's.
Speaker 1: Disconnect to this. There's four teams. You're playing round robin version.
Speaker 3: So this is a live clip of the office the
NBA had office of them describing how this year's All
Star Game will go. So we can only go up, guys,
this is like pres running merchandise. What are we doing here?
Speaker 8: Yeah, I can you imagine they're gonna be setting odds
on this too.
Speaker 1: Andy.
Speaker 8: I mean, I know you're a prop guy and you
love the eccentric bets and stuff, but yeah, I mean,
how do you even start to handicap this stuff? It's
just I mean I used to always find edges in
the All Star Games, the NFL Pro Bowl. I used
best bets for clients for years. You can used to dominate.
They'd be a three to three and a half point favor
they'd still dominate. When Peyton Manning was at the Helm
the NBA All Star Game, I found edges the West
dominated for a while, especially when the ed Shaquillah and stuff.
And then, of course we've talked about this before the
Freshman Sophomore Game. It took me about a year or
two to catch on. But for about a four or
five year span, they couldn't set the line high enough
on the second year players because they would just rout
the new guys and then that golden egg disappeared like
it always does. But yeah, this is a mess. And
I guess my final takeaway is I grew up at
a time when the AFC and NFC West East you
had specific leagues and the best for meat would play
each other. And once they started mixing the leagues, I
kind of lost interest. And now that they're mixing the
nations within the league, within the conferences, I mean, it's.
Speaker 4: Just it's totally insane. Yeah, I just think, play some
kids games with.
Speaker 2: These guys a great idea, and I bet the guys
would enjoy it, Like I bet the players would kind
of get into it a little bit because it's not
contact and it's.
Speaker 4: Not you know, you're not going to get hurt.
Speaker 8: Correct anyway, Good stuff.
Speaker 4: All right, Steve Merrill, Thank you very much, buddy.
Speaker 2: Good luck has always continue that awesome NBA run sixty
two percent.
Speaker 4: Congratulations on that. Good luck to you, Steve, Thanks.
Speaker 1: Matter, Thanks Steve.
Speaker 4: Uh blocked.
Speaker 2: Wild tax question is by Sports consulting packaging, and you're profitable,
can you write off the purchase of the package. This
is not financial advice. I am not a tax professional.
Consult your tax professional.
Speaker 4: Yes, all right, that's a good answer.
Speaker 1: That's the perfect way to say it.
Speaker 3: Andy, it's the perfect way to good disclaimer at the
front too, you've you've done that once or twice on video.
Speaker 4: You have to do that. Yeah, yeah, yeah, No, that's
that's moss.
Speaker 1: That's a moss. That's a moss.
Speaker 2: Yes, So all right, let's uh, you would do all
around the world and then talk super Bowl props.
Speaker 4: Let's do all around.
Speaker 2: Let's do it around the world, and then we'll talk
some super Bowl props here, all right, Uh, Rockets and pacers.
Tarry Eason over one and a half made three pointers.
He's gone over in four straight. He hit this in
sixty five percent of games this season. We mentioned Kevin
Durant is out. That should mean some more shot attempts
for other guys. So last ten games he's averaging four
point seven attempts, shooting forty eight percent.
Speaker 4: Really like that one.
Speaker 2: Matthewny's over one and a half shots on goal. We
talked about Matthew NY's as a regression candidate moving up,
he went ten games under one and a half shots
on goal.
Speaker 4: What's he done since then when we talked about it, Well, he's.
Speaker 2: Gone over and four out of the last five, averaging
five point two shots. He had five shots on goal
against Calgary, Calgary twenty first allowing shots on goals.
Speaker 4: So matthew and is over. And then this is a
client play.
Speaker 2: And again if you want to join us in the
Winning in the Shadows YouTube channel, we'll be live at
six o'clock pm Eastern watching TGL Atlanta over Jupiter Dan
Jupiter is the Florida team and they are terrible. They
have the worst player in the league, Kevin Kisner, that's
on there. He can't drive the ball very long. He
doesn't really take it that serious. And Atlanta has guys
that really do take it serious. Billy Horsehol's really good.
Glover understands it. Chris got her up. He's new this year,
but he obviously understood how to play the simulation golf.
And Jupiter has Kevin Kisner, who's won one point this year.
Atlanta has like three guys that have.
Speaker 4: All won more points than him.
Speaker 2: So you take the worst team with the worst player
and it fits. It fits the mold perfectly. It's minus
win sixty eight on DraftKings that thinks should be minus
two hundred. So Atlanta over Jupiter tonight in the TGL.
That is your all around the world.
Speaker 1: Boom.
Speaker 4: All right, Uh do you want to do? I do
passing props? You wanna do the Cooper Cup thing?
Speaker 1: Yeah?
Speaker 3: I mean they kind of tie together, Andy, So I
guess we'll kind here with with the Cooper Cup thing
because this was posted to Twitter. Here, I'll pull up
the tweet and I'll go full screen so you guys
can see it a little bit better here. But essentially
what the guy was saying here is that is that
Cooper Cup is basically telling everyone he will be attempting
a pass in the Super Bowl. So this picture was
posted to Cooper Cup's instagram of him throwing a pass.
Speaker 1: Andy.
Speaker 3: And since this was posted on Twitter alone or x alone,
one point two million views on this, So I would
assume there are many people who are betting that prop
over one and a half players to attempt to pass
in the Super Bowl solely based off of this picture
that was posted to the instagram of Cooper Cup.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Yeah, it's heavy juice to the under on DraftKings
at this point the two and a half.
Speaker 4: But let me pose this question to you.
Speaker 6: Dan.
Speaker 2: Let's say you and I are wide receivers for the
Seattle Seahawks and we've made it to the Super Bowl. Okay,
So it's the Monday of Super Bowl Week and I
go to you and I say, Dan, would you like
to go play catch?
Speaker 4: Because we're wide receivers.
Speaker 2: We play for the Seattle Seahawks, and we have a
Super Bowl coming up and we would like to get
some reps in.
Speaker 4: So you say, yes, I would like to play catch. Andy.
Speaker 2: So we put on our pads and our jerseys and
our helmets and we go out to the practice field
and I go to the equipment manager and I say,
could I have a ball please? I would like to
play catch with my teammate Dan. We're wide receivers for
the Seattle Seahawks. We're playing in the Super Bowl. We
would like to get some reps in. He gives me
the ball.
Speaker 4: I don't throw it really hard to you because I've
got a or shoulder, but I toss it to you.
You have now caught the ball because.
Speaker 2: You're a wide receiver for the Seattle Seahawks and we're
playing in the Super Bowl, what do you do with
the ball?
Speaker 4: If you and I have agreed to play catch.
Speaker 1: I'm probably going to throw the ball back to you.
And that's probably probably my move is going to be,
throw the ball back to you.
Speaker 2: Final answer, At that exact time someone takes a picture
of you.
Speaker 4: It does not mean you're throwing a pass in the
Super Bowl. It means you're throwing the ball back to me.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 3: And also, Andy, if you're Mike McDonald, who let's give
credit where credit is due. You know, was I a
McDonald guy when he first got there? Not really, But
this guy has solidified himself as one of the best
or one of the better game day tacticians and leading
up preparation tacticians. Do you think there's any way in
hell that Mike McDonald is like, Yeah, don't worry about it, Coop,
just post that picture of you throwing a pass because
it's going to be part of our game plan, you
know what I mean. Like, it's just the social media craziness,
Like could that bet cash?
Speaker 1: Maybe?
Speaker 3: But if your sole handicap is I saw a picture
of Cooper Cup throwing a football What are we doing, Andy,
what are we doing?
Speaker 4: No, don't don't. Don't believe the hype.
Speaker 2: So all right, well let's go over some uh, let's
go over some passing props here, Dan, The big thing
I think is this Drake May situation, right, Yeah, the shoulder.
Speaker 1: Everyone talking about injury.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it is Super Bowl week, So any little
inny bitty story we do.
Speaker 4: Have to to talk about.
Speaker 2: Uh, Drake May two hundred and twenty one and a
half at the time, recording with Sam Darnold two twenty
eight there and a half passing yards.
Speaker 4: Any thoughts on this one?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I feel like the May injury may
get pretty well overblown.
Speaker 1: I mean, let's let's be real.
Speaker 3: Is this is also a team who sure they'll take
some shots downfield. May also was an MVP candidate for
a reason. But this is the point Andy, where let's
not ignore the fact of the competition that the Patriots
played to get there. Yeah, the reason why May was
blowing teams up offensively was because they weren't really playing
that great of defenses. Since they've played defensive they've gone
to this kind of run first approach. You have to,
you know, decent backs there in the backfield, Ramandre Stevenson
figures to get a lot of you know action here.
So for me, with all the Drake May injury talk,
it's enough for me to just cross the name off
of the list, you know what I mean. There's so
many different ways to bet this. Are you betting anything
Drake Makers? Probably the only thing that I would look
is what Crack was talking about earlier, looking at him
in the rushing side of the equation. As far as
passing Drake May props, even on it, even without the injury,
that wouldn't be something that I would be looking to
add into my portfolio for Sunday.
Speaker 2: I think it's a pretty easy pass on Drake May
passing props. Again, there's no need to force anything, uh
in there.
Speaker 4: Sam Darnold two.
Speaker 2: Twenty eight and a half, he had the monster game
against LA But yeah, way Unders, this is kind of
a of another one that I'm kind of not interested in.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean again, same here for me, simply because
if you're the Seattle Seahawks, if you get a great
game at Andy Dalton, great, you know what I mean,
You're super pumped about it. However, woould you rather just
be able to ride Kenneth Walker. Would you rather just
be able to dink and duct down the field? Would
you rather have defensive scores being what stacks you up?
Speaker 1: Like?
Speaker 3: I hate to say it, but in the Super Bowl,
I'm not really interested in betting either of these either
of these quarterbacks towards their overprops simply because of good
past performances has really priced you out of it, especially
in the case of Sam Darnald. And I think the
jokes of Sam Donald's going to turn back into a
pumpkin like those can finally be laid to rest. However,
come the Super Bowl, the Seahawks are more than happy
than having a small game out of Donald if it
means that they get a win.
Speaker 1: And their defense has shown an ability that you.
Speaker 3: Know, let's not put the ball in Harm's way, Let's
not turn the ball over, let's not go for it
on fourth downs. Let's let our defense do what they've
done all year, and that's win football games for us.
And I don't see why that would change coming here
into the Super Bowl.
Speaker 2: Past completions, Drake May's completions have on under this is yeah,
not really a fluke.
Speaker 4: This might be something I could look at But then again.
Speaker 2: You gotta worry about like what if they're down, what
if they hurry up in the second half?
Speaker 4: What you know, Like I mean Denver, he was always
gonna go under against that. What Houston was awful. CJ.
Streu was awful. They just ran the ball quite a bit.
Speaker 2: And then you got the Chargers, Dolphins and Jets. Do
you really have to throw the ball that much? But again,
not really that interested in these.
Speaker 4: The passing props. I don't really know what to do
with these.
Speaker 1: Fought and.
Speaker 3: You I know, and I hate to be like, oh,
we're talking Super Bowl passing props and be like, we
don't want to bet them. But receiving props. We gave
him a great breakdown for rushing props. You can find
him here on the channel. We gave a great breakdown
for I would be remissive. We at least didn't talk
about it Andy any thoughts here on interceptions for either
of these guys. So the combined interceptions in the game,
you think both of them are gonna throw them, you
can bet the over one and a half at plus
one forty five the over for the combined quarterbacks passing interceptions,
And let's say one of them gets two, you know
it still is going to go over. It doesn't mean
one and one have to go. The over at this
number has cashed in, what would it be? One, two, three,
four out of the last six Super Bowls, so four
and two the over on combined interceptions. And where I'm
getting that information from is Ralph Michaels right now. He
has a Super Bowl prop overview at his page live
free to download. You can also just find it on
the wager Talk home page as well. But you know,
it breaks down what's happened in the last x amount
of years, games that go to overtime, games that get missed.
But if you're looking at interception props, you know, instead
of betting the guys individually, I would almost lean towards
taking that plus one forty five and if you have
pretty will be perceptions taking the over at one half
and maybe one guy throws two, maybe one throws one.
Speaker 4: Each, pretty good. Yeah, I mean longest pass I just
think the passing props are.
Speaker 2: Not not that great, not that great, yeah, so I'll
probably be be abstaining from that. So all right, those
are your vanilla bland, non helpful passing prop sure, welcome.
Speaker 1: We at least gave one lean.
Speaker 3: You know what, well, bet I'm going to bet over
one and a half interceptions for the game. Combine interceptions
at plus one forty five. You at least have a
free play for you and it's one that I'm betting myself.
I'll bet one and a half units on the over
one and a half at plus one.
Speaker 2: Lock it in, Andy, There you go, there you go,
All right, let's gonna do it for us. We got
the WTFLFG. I think we got some agreement with the senators.
I mean, what if we've done a play it Noney
comes in, It's like, oh, all the sharps are on
that one. That was fun, right, So yeah, we'll keep
an eye on that one. TGL goes off to night
at six o'clock and take a look at those specials pages.
Speaker 1: Guys.
Speaker 2: We've got some really good short term and long term
deals for all handicappers. And if you could please hit
the like button, really really appreciate it. Leave us a
comment blow in the comment section. We'll be back tomorrow
breaking down more Super Bowl props. Probably be NBA heavy tomorrow,
so a lot of a lot of good hoops action tomorrow.
Thank you very much everyone. You guys crush it in
the chat as always. Good luck on your bets and
we'll see them on tomorrow.
Speaker 4: Take care,