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Speaker 1: Fu. You are.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to wager to Talk Today, the gold standard of

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sports betting shows, where we talk the talk, walk the walk.

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It's Monday, new week, new opportunities, new profits coming your way.

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We had NBA college hoops, We got a lot of

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free plays. We're gonna go over some Super Bowl passing

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props and Dan, do we have an inside scoop on

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a passing prop based on social media?

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Speaker 1: We may just have that coming your way.

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Speaker 3: And inside scoop that one point two million people have

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already seen on Twitter. So we're gonna have that coming

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your way here on wager Talk Today. Gonna be a

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great one here, as you know, if you join us

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on Mondays, is a great way to kick off the

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week because we begin with Yanni. That's right, the man,

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the myth, the legend is back. Yanni, the Greek Gambler.

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Are gonna break down his steamsheet, the steam report. What

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are we seeing in Super Bowl prop action?

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Speaker 1: Of course?

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Speaker 3: What are we seeing on the hardwood tonight? Maybe even

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some nh L. Bill Krakenberg also joining us. He's got

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a free NBA prop for you hit his last week,

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and then we're also going to get his thoughts on

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what he is using his brain for in Super Bowl Action? Yes,

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what a is using his brain for here in super

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Bowl Action. Steve Merrill's gonna wrap things up for us.

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He's got some doubleheader action tonight on ESPN. Ques is

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playing UNC and Kansas is playing Texas Tech, two great

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college basketball games. Steve Merrill is gonna have a best

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bet for both of them in this show right here,

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and Andy and I we're going to talk a little

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bit about the the NBA action that he has in

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all around the world. Maybe even a golf play coming

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your way. But Andy, let's kick off the show, Yanni,

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waiton and the wings. I wanted to give the folks

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a lacrosse play here for WTF or LFG. But although

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lacrosse plays are right this second, and the over that

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we have in the Duke game is already looking good

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because Duke is on the board a minute into the game. Andy,

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but what are you betting for WTFLFG follower fade in

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this bet?

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Speaker 2: Okay, this is a true WTF LFG. I have not

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bet this one. This is a literal I'm posing this

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to the world.

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Speaker 4: Okay, I like it.

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Speaker 2: We're going to that, We're going to the NHL. We're

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going to the Senators and the Penguins. The Penguins on

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fire Dan, they have won six in a row, seven

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out of the last eight. The Ottawa Senators they have

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won three in a row. It's basically a straight pick'em

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homie the Senators. Though the goalie Olmark has played the

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Penguins seven times, he has yet to lose to the

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Pittsburgh Penguins. The Ottawa Senators and ol Mark extend his

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winning streak against Senators to eight and oh it's minus

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one o eight on DraftKings WTF or LFG.

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Speaker 3: DAN minus one oh eight is intriguing. You know, I

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love ryding this streak here, Andy. You know I always

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worry someone's gonna comment he's won that many in a row.

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Speaker 1: He's due for a loss.

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Speaker 3: Due well, I think he's due Andy for a win LFG.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna reach out.

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Speaker 3: Maybe Karl will be watching the show live, Karen, what

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do you think the Ottawa LFG or WTF?

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Speaker 1: These people are loving it. People are loving it right here.

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Speaker 4: Let's go, man, Let's go LFG Senators.

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Speaker 2: Let's get Olmark to eight and oh uh, that's your

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WTF LFG and yes, uh listen, sports betting and sports investing.

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It's a lifestyle. We literally have two plays going live

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right now. It's noon on Monday. This is what we do, Dan,

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this is what we do.

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Speaker 4: This is our lives. Let's bring in Yanni. This is

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another one. Uh, Yanni, Happy Monday, Thank.

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Speaker 1: You, thank you.

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Speaker 5: I told you guys were talking NHL because Ottawa right

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now just came on my instant message in with the

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group that I move NHL for.

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Speaker 6: They just bet Ottawa right now.

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Speaker 4: You're kidding.

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Speaker 3: I swear they're watching the show Andy. They said, LFG,

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we gotta get this play in now. Andy's about to

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move the DAN market. So, Yanni, Ottawa just came across

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the stream bet right now.

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Speaker 6: Ottawa.

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Speaker 5: They won an Ottawa minus one oh six minus one

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oh eight minus one ten. That's what shows on the

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I m went away one six one awight minus one ten. Yeah,

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that is gonna be one twenty before you look up.

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Speaker 2: Just uh yeah, this is what we do. Move lines here,

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we move lines here on segments.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 7: Uh.

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Speaker 4: How was UFC this weekend? What'd you think? UFC three

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twenty five.

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Speaker 6: I loved it. I loved it.

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Speaker 5: I was one bet away from from having a perfect

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sweep and eight no. And it was the first fight

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of the night. That dude with the long ass name

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that lost the split decision. He cost me, honestly, like

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three or four parlays, which just goes to show you

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negative ev parlays all day. I mean, you can't go

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seven to one and lose money. But I managed to

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do that on the parlays. With that said, we straight

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at everything. So it was a great night. And with

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all the action, all the attention on the Super Bowl

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and football, don't overlook those other markets. And I'm not

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here to count because everybody that's watching this you already

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know the number with NFL and college football and how

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I've done. But college basketball right now for the last

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thirty days, sitting number two in profit, number one in

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NHL for twenty twenty five twenty twenty six season. UH

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number up over forty units in NBA this season. Like

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those other markets were, We're staying selective, but they're very,

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very beatable. And anytime I see any of the sharp

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stuff come in, I get really excited. And like I said,

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Ottawa just came in and they're hitting it now minus

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they're even minus one twelves. So we went for minus

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one oh six minus one to eight minus one ten

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minus one twelves. That thing's gonna be up to minus

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one twenty five pretty quickly.

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Speaker 6: I like Ottawa. I think I'm going to release them

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to my subscribers too.

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Speaker 2: Uh yeah that was a Solang grongbow who ye blew.

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Yeah you he killed it for me and he was terrible.

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And but I will say this to everyone out there,

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and Yanni, the guy that won, Lawrence Louis, uh, load up.

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Speaker 4: This man is going to get a UFC fight or two.

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Speaker 6: And yes, yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 4: He's awful. He's awful.

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Speaker 6: You know what I wanted to bring up.

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Speaker 5: I was almost made a five percent play, but I

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had lost the five percent in the UFC. Then I

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have the super Bowl coming off, so I said, you

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know what, let me stay selected with the five percent.

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It's just a little bit bigger than a four percent.

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And I've been doing really good with the Force, so

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let's stay selective and fire force. But I almost made

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Roofie a five percent. And here's what sucks. That Roofie

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won that fight and everyone that bought that package. Forget

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my subscribers, the guys that come into the steam room

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because I explained things to them. But the guys that

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would have seen that I have a big bet, so

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they would have bought the bet and they would have

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bet it, they would have been happy.

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Speaker 6: Ace crushed it for us. We cashed.

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Speaker 5: He went seven and one. We hit our five percent.

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But the truth of the matter was Ruffy ended up

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being a terrible bet for me. And this is what

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I try to explain the betters before they walk into

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the octagon, before they throw the ball up, you know,

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to start the game. More times than not, I know

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whether I've made a decent bet or not. And the

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line's going to.

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Speaker 6: Tell me that. The market's going to let me know.

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Speaker 5: And with the Roofie bet, I laid minus one fifteen

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minus one twenty. I could have got plus one fifteen

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plus one twenty the day of the fight. So it

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was a horrific bet. It was an awful bet, but

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he went out there and won. And I don't want

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betters to judge it by the result. Instead, I want

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to look at it as dude, I got lucky. That

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was the product of good luck. Now, granted, on the

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other seven fights, I'm sure we got closing line value

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in five of them at least, So you never talk

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about the ones that you get right. You always talk

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about the ones that you get wrong. But that's just

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that's gonna happen when you try to get out ahead

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of the market. But I just wanted it to make

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that note because we were celebrating the roof you win.

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But the truth is I timed it terribly when I

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got down. I thought he would have been going off

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to minus one fifty. And again, sometimes you're just gonna

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get it wrong when you try to get out ahead

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of the market. So great day in UFC, great day overall,

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and I'm expecting a good twenty twenty six coming off

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of losing twenty twenty five in MMA.

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Speaker 2: Well, Yanni, this is where Dan, this is where Yanni

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and I differ completely.

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Speaker 4: And you know what I'm gonna say about your Roofi bet.

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It was a great bet.

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Speaker 6: It won one. What do we not so bad?

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Speaker 2: I was watching that live and I was watching Physia

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for the first half of the round and something click

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with Rufy and I was.

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Speaker 4: Like, oh live bet RFI live bet.

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Speaker 2: He figured out the distance control and he ended up

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nuking Physium. I only had one play and UFC, and

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I will say this low volume is going to be

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the name of the game for me. I had one bet,

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one four percent bet. It won easy, Thank you very much.

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I'll take my winnings and see you guys at the window.

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And we talked about this, Yanni. I feel like my

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advantage is on the undercard. That's where we hit our

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best bet. I didn't have any action on the main

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card and I'm happy, clients are happy. I think it

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worked out great, and that's what I'm gonna continue to

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do so because you feel like.

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Speaker 5: You're betting from a position to strength, you feel confident,

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you don't you don't feel like you're guessing. Even when

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you lose a bet, you felt you placed a good bet,

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your handicap was on point. That's where that's the place

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you want to get to, even as a recreational better

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when you get to the window where you have conviction,

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where you have that confidence, where you're not feeling like

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you're guessing and you're just you know, trying to get

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action down because again, like that's.

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Speaker 6: When you're taking the worst of it.

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Speaker 5: But when you feel confident, like you're doing with the undercard,

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you fire away and who cares that you narrowed it

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down the one bet.

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Speaker 6: You narrowed it down the one winner. That's what it

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comes down to.

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Speaker 2: Man.

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Speaker 5: There's never be sad when you catch a ticket. And

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here I am, I was complaining about Rufie.

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Speaker 6: Doing the same thing. But that's what you have to do.

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Speaker 5: As a plus CV winning sports better, You're always going

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to have to review your work and you're gonna have

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to be your hardest critic.

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Speaker 6: So that's okay, that's all right, but you know, give

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yourself credit as well.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, two years ago, Yah, me and my team we

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just made a rule always fade a Tafa. If there's

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a fighter with the last name Tafa fighting, you just

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fade him.

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Speaker 4: And it's worked out great.

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Speaker 5: Taking that the Zebic shot, he looked like a different

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guy in there.

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Speaker 2: Well, the no, damn this This guy like fought at

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heavyweight once and now he keeps losing and so they

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just keep putting him in.

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Speaker 6: Different way away. Before you know it, he's.

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Speaker 1: Got like arm fat jangling off.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's so true. Uh, let's talk a little bit

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about steam.

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Speaker 2: There's not much going on with the Super Bowl props

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seem to be holding fairly strong at this point.

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Speaker 4: So I think we're moving.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you can talk about football a little bit

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if you see anything of note, but I think we're

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kind of moving towards basketball to talk about Steam report this.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, and I got hoops for you.

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Speaker 5: The one thing that sticks out with me for the

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Super Bowl, and this is what's going to be interesting.

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If you look at like MGM Caesars, they'll they'll put

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out their their betting information, and I like to look

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at it, see what they're putting out there, what everybody's reading,

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you know.

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Speaker 6: And here's what I'm seeing.

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Speaker 5: That the MGM put out that their most heavily bet props.

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Ninety nine percent of the money is on these Super

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Bowl props is what their post says. There's one, two, three, four, five, six, seven,

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eight nine props that they put that they say ninety

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nine percent plus of the money is on one side

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of these bets. All nine of them are on the overs.

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Not a single under is bet so.

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Speaker 6: They're all on the over. But here's the key. This

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is early action.

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Speaker 5: It's a lot of it's sharp, a lot of it's

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like winning betters that are placing these overs. And my

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interest is what's gonna happen come Sunday, are the recreational

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better is going to keep betting these over, pushing them

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up so high that then you're gonna see middles come in.

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You're gonna see the betting scene that's come in and

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start betting these under on Sunday.

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Speaker 6: Like that's what I'm interested in. This is what's gonna happen.

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Speaker 5: Because a perfect example is like that Drake May rushing

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yards over.

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Speaker 6: We bet that over like thirty two and.

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Speaker 5: A half, thirty three and a half. I couldn't even

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give that to subscribers because it was like thirty five

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and a half within minutes, it's now thirty seven and

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a half, thirty eight and a half. I've seen, Like

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how high is that going to keep going when the

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public gets involved before we see any kind of resistance,

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because so far it's been all one sided and most

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of those are on overs, and I've been selected trying

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to determine which of these are legit and which are

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actually middles, because there will be a lot of middles

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come Super Bowl Sunday, because you're talking about four or five, six,

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seven yards on a lot of these totals, So just

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pay attention to some of those late moves because they

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will tell you a lot about what the legit side is.

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So here, real quickly, it's go NBA college basketball. Just

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three dogs in the NBA jumped out real quickly, five

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poin fifty one New Orleans plus seven, five point fifty

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four Indiana plus seven and five point fifty six Memphis

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plus eight.

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Speaker 6: So three dogs there.

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Speaker 5: Then in college basketball eight seventy one Syracuse plus twelve,

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eight seventy five, Kansas plus four and a half.

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Speaker 6: But we also saw Texas Tech minus three and.

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Speaker 5: A half, So a difference of opinion there between the

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minus three and a half, so onto Texas Tech and

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the plus fives four and a half on the Kansas side.

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Eight seventy four Tennessee State, Texas, Tennessee Tech over fifty

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one and fifty two, eight seventy seven Idaho State plus seven,

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eight eighty six State at a pick them. And then

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they were betting that where to go that first game

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over that Syracuse, North Carolina over. They just keep betting

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that over. It opened at like one fifty two. I

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saw the overnight get hit. I saw it get hit

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early this morning, and probably about thirty minutes ago got

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hit again at over one fifty seven and a half

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one fifty eight, So a lot it over and that

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was sharp early and the public's betting it over as well.

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So don't be surprised if you see a lot of

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under money coming late on Syracuse North Carolina, because that

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line's moved so significantly.

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Speaker 2: Kevin Durant looks like he's going to be out for

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the rockets. Be careful about chasing the pacers plus points,

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like you say, Yanni, like it's early, don't really know confirmation,

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what's the what's the exact value in the line, So

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just be careful, don't don't just look at the lamps

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goo durance out, gotta blindly bet the pacers probably already, yeah.

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Speaker 4: Probably baked into the line there.

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Speaker 2: So Power rankings, we talked a lot about your power

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Yeah you see danger see his face light.

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Speaker 3: Up, says oh, I love these power rings, especially because

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everyone gets so pissed at me when I yea, let

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him know, let him know.

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Speaker 5: I want to start doing a Monday video, Andy where

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I go over. We like top three over value, top

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three undervalue. Just talk rankings. They finally got it right.

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They have Arizona at the top. I have Arizona at

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the top. My new adjusted power ratings. I had Duke

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number one. I talked about that. I now have Arizona

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number one. U uh, as far as the rating goes,

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But power when when I when I'm talking straight power rating,

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who would be favored? Duke is still at the top.

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So Duke is still the number one team. I understand

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that Arizona's moving off. I understand they're what number one

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in the AP, But I'm telling you now, power rating wise,

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I still have Duke number one, and I would make Duke.

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Speaker 6: You're hearing it right here.

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Speaker 5: I would make Duke about a one and a half

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point favorite, maybe a two point favorite over Arizona. In fact,

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that one of the teams that I think should be

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higher Houston. I don't see why Houston isn't a top

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three team. Houston should be a top three team. They're

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barely in the top ten in the a pre poll

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that sticks out a lot. And then another team I

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want to talk about, Nebraska, Nebraska, What are you doing Nebraska?

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When I scroll to see where my Nebraska is, Nebraska

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is barely in my top twenty five.

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Speaker 6: They're a top five team.

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Speaker 5: They're number five in the country right now because they're

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twenty to zero, and I'm telling you right now, they

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will get exposed. They barely have a top fifty offense.

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This team will be exposed undervalue team real quickly. Teams

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that are better than their record indicate none better than Alabama.

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I've talked about it before, I'll talk about it again.

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Alabama has the number one offense against the number one

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strength of schedule. If this defense could pick it up

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because they're out of the top one hundred inefficiency, this

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team's extremely dangerous because power rating wise, they're still in

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the top ten. Then, oh, Florida, who wears Florida in

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the rankings? Is Florida's nineteenth in the rankings? Okay, Florida's nineteenth.

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I have Florida as the sixth best team in the

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country right now. Only five teams.

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Speaker 6: Would be favored over Florida.

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Speaker 5: So yeah, there's a lot of differences between the power

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ratings and the AP and the Kempom ratings. Those are

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the three that I put up, and Kempoms look a

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little more like mine, but some are still off. And

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I'll tell you the truth. The numbers don't lie. Again,

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They're not going to be right all the time. But

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I'll put up my man's power. I won't take the

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credit for him. My guy's power ratings. I'll put them

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up against a minus one ten line all day. He's

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just been on point because he has no opinion. He

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could care less. He couldn't name you anything.

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Speaker 6: You don't care about these teams or anything like that.

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It's all data to him.

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Speaker 5: And yeah, I look at some of these teams and

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I can't believe how well like they're ranked and where

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I have them. Like I think Virginia is Virginia ranked

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Virginia seventeenth. That's what Virginia seventeenth. And they're just out

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of my top forty, just out of my top forty.

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So yeah, a lot of differences in college basketball reality

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and rankings.

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Speaker 4: All right, there's your college basket, all right.

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Speaker 2: Well, so basically what you're saying is, Johny, we need

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a graphic, we need an intro. Yeah, you need to

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do college basketball rankings every Monday.

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Speaker 4: I love college basketball power rank.

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Speaker 5: And I'll be more prepared. I'll be more prepared for

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it now. I know see how excited I got. Where

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I will tell you these are the top five undervalued

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and why, and these are the top five overvalued and

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why or top three way that way that the viewers

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can jot those downs and look for spots to follow

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or fade over the next few games of these teams.

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Speaker 2: Love it, love it. It's a great Monday, Jannie. It's

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been ice cold where where I live, and it's warming

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up today.

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Speaker 4: We're almost a thirty.

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Speaker 1: Degree heat wave.

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Speaker 4: Heat wave thirty degrees. Let's go. What do you have

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up for everyone on Monday? Yannie?

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Speaker 5: All right, the super Bowl package is up. I think

401
00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:35,680
there's ten plays in there already.

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Speaker 6: Do not wait. The steam sheet'll be up within the

403
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next thirty minutes.

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Speaker 5: It has the NFL signed, NFL total, NFL player props

405
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will be added throughout the entire week, NBA, college basketball,

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NHL saw a busy steam sheet'll be in there for today,

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and if able to confirm any premium package, I'll do

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that as well. Like I said, with the results I've

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shared doing good in all those sports. But unless I could,

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you know, box together something with the best bet I

411
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don't sell daily packages. I'm looking for the long term partners.

412
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So best of luck this week. Let's do some damage

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heading into Sunday Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: Joanni, thanks so much. Get the Monday started off on

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the right foot. Thank you very much, brother, appreciate it.

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Speaker 1: Thank you. Good luck.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, God, Dan and I love when we have new segments.

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So we have college basketb No, that's.

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Speaker 1: What I was as he was talking.

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Speaker 3: As he was talking, I was like, man, I think

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I know the head of the live video department, so

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I think we.

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Speaker 1: Can make that happen for you, Yanni.

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Speaker 3: So so yeah, starting next Monday, more reason to tune in.

425
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Yanni's going to be giving you his updated at college

426
00:19:33,799 --> 00:19:37,720
basketball power rankings each and every Monday live right here,

427
00:19:37,759 --> 00:19:40,759
so you can cash in. Andy, we got Bill Krackenberger

428
00:19:40,799 --> 00:19:42,440
waiting in the wings. We'll bring him on in just

429
00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:44,440
a second. I just wanted to pick your brain. You

430
00:19:44,519 --> 00:19:46,640
heard Yanni talk about he's already got his super Bowl

431
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:50,160
stuff loaded, ready to go. It's rocking. We have some

432
00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:53,599
insane deals that are going this week. People love that.

433
00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:56,279
You know, pay for three days, get seven days, So

434
00:19:56,279 --> 00:19:57,880
we upped it. You know, let's get him through the

435
00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:01,079
super Bowl and beyond seven days is what you pay

436
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:03,359
for and you get ten days of all access. You're

437
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:07,079
saving nearly seventy dollars. So Andy, I mean, hell of

438
00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:09,119
a deal right there. If people like the long term stuff.

439
00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:10,960
We're also doing nine to nine bucks a months get

440
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,440
your super Bowl the super Bowl access. So that's all

441
00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:16,519
the way through next year. Talking about a year of plays.

442
00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:18,279
What kind of stuff are they going to be getting

443
00:20:18,319 --> 00:20:20,039
if they look at this short term deal or long

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term deal.

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Speaker 1: Over at your page, Andy.

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00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:25,920
Speaker 2: Well, just because football is almost over doesn't mean there's

447
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:29,039
not great ways to make money in the markets. Like, yeah,

448
00:20:29,079 --> 00:20:31,039
we have a tennis Yeah, we have a tennis doubles

449
00:20:31,039 --> 00:20:32,839
play that is up. We have two lacrosse plays that

450
00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:35,519
are literally going live right now. We have a golf

451
00:20:35,559 --> 00:20:40,000
play tonight for the TGL And by the way, on

452
00:20:40,039 --> 00:20:41,960
the Winning in the Shadows YouTube channel, Yan and I

453
00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:45,000
will be doing a live watch along, so I'll go

454
00:20:45,079 --> 00:20:47,000
over what the play is, but you can join us

455
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,799
and watch live and hang out with us. I just

456
00:20:49,839 --> 00:20:52,599
want to say this, Dan, the twelve the super Bowl,

457
00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:54,599
the super Bowl twelve months, it's a big investment.

458
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Speaker 4: I get it. Yeah.

459
00:20:56,799 --> 00:20:59,759
Speaker 2: I do video and phone calls with people if they're

460
00:20:59,799 --> 00:21:01,720
in at in that and they have questions. It's a

461
00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:04,720
big investment, don't I don't take it lightly. So if

462
00:21:04,759 --> 00:21:06,960
you're thinking about doing it, you're on the fence and

463
00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,240
you just want to talk to me. I do phone

464
00:21:09,279 --> 00:21:11,680
calls and video calls with people to talk about that.

465
00:21:11,799 --> 00:21:14,480
So I'm pretty open and honest about what you can expect.

466
00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:16,680
I go over what your bank roll is, like, what

467
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:19,400
books you have? Is this right for you? Because you

468
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:21,079
know a lot of the plays that we have, they're

469
00:21:21,079 --> 00:21:23,279
a little bit more obscure. You got to have drafting,

470
00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:26,119
FanDuel bet, MGM all that. Like, if you live in Vegas,

471
00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:28,759
we're not for you, but you live in any of

472
00:21:28,799 --> 00:21:31,559
these other states. Yeah, for today, we got two lacrosse,

473
00:21:31,599 --> 00:21:35,000
we got an NBA, we have golf, and it's the

474
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:38,640
Waste Management Phoenix open this week and so ten days

475
00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:40,839
for the price of seven is fantastic.

476
00:21:40,839 --> 00:21:41,720
Speaker 4: You're gonna get everything.

477
00:21:41,759 --> 00:21:43,640
Speaker 2: We have our five percent Super Bowl best bet that

478
00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:46,079
is up, and we will have a five percent UFC

479
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:47,759
play that is up. We're coming off a two straight

480
00:21:47,759 --> 00:21:50,839
best bet winner. So a lot of really really good stuff. Again,

481
00:21:50,839 --> 00:21:52,279
if you want to talk to me, just leave a

482
00:21:52,279 --> 00:21:55,000
comment in the comment section after the show and I'll

483
00:21:55,039 --> 00:21:56,039
be happy to reach out to you.

484
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:59,480
Speaker 4: So let's bring in Bill. Yeah, let's talk NBA. Let's

485
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:00,640
talk any there.

486
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,519
Speaker 1: He is, well, how are we doing? Brother? If I

487
00:22:03,559 --> 00:22:06,039
tell you what I'm doing, you won't believe it. So

488
00:22:07,599 --> 00:22:10,319
what do we got? Betting? Betting? Betting?

489
00:22:09,559 --> 00:22:12,160
Speaker 8: Oh no, no, not.

490
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:15,279
Speaker 1: Batt this is gonna be I'm not scalping.

491
00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:17,039
Speaker 7: This will be a scout. I'm giving you guys a

492
00:22:17,039 --> 00:22:20,960
play right now. This will be a scalp by game time.

493
00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:23,079
But I don't scalp props. I can't get done enough.

494
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:27,200
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm.

495
00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:30,839
Speaker 7: Betting some drake May props over as we speak.

496
00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:34,000
Speaker 1: It's over. Yeah.

497
00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:38,359
Speaker 7: Now, it doesn't take the amazing question to know that

498
00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,240
this is going to be a public bet.

499
00:22:40,599 --> 00:22:42,279
Speaker 1: Everyone's going to be betting over on.

500
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:46,920
Speaker 7: But I just Westgate has minus one ten on props

501
00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:49,079
both ways, which I give them a lot of credit

502
00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:53,240
for doing. And I've been betting props all morning because

503
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:57,039
two sports books I know comes up with they come

504
00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:00,920
up with full limits today. So I have been betting

505
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:04,640
props all morning. Uh sending out a couple to clients.

506
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,519
But like what I won't do to client. It's just funny,

507
00:23:08,519 --> 00:23:10,359
you guys are catching me live here. I was hoping

508
00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:12,559
I was gonna have a couple of more minutes. That's

509
00:23:12,559 --> 00:23:15,720
all right, though, It's all right, Like to give an example,

510
00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:22,400
like I won't send my clients a prop just because

511
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:27,599
one sports book has minus one ten, like like they

512
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:32,920
have literally minus won ten attempts by Drake mayover six

513
00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:36,680
and a half. I won't Fandoel and DraftKings. Is I

514
00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:39,319
asked my assistant Fandoel and DraftKings over six and a

515
00:23:39,319 --> 00:23:40,200
half minus thirty five?

516
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:43,680
Speaker 1: Yuck? I said, yuck. I won't give the clients that.

517
00:23:44,079 --> 00:23:45,079
I don't think it's fair.

518
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:50,359
Speaker 7: Put it this way, at one thirty five, this twenty,

519
00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:53,279
it's twenty five cents more at one thirty.

520
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,599
Speaker 9: Five, at won thirty five, it's not it's not a bet.

521
00:23:56,039 --> 00:23:58,279
I'm not laying. I'm not gonna. I'm not I would

522
00:23:58,599 --> 00:24:00,480
not betting minus one thirty five. I'm not going to

523
00:24:00,519 --> 00:24:03,440
give it out minus one thirty five to clients, but

524
00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:07,359
minus one ten as you could see, yes, it's a

525
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:11,480
max two thousand dollars bet for me. So it's just uh,

526
00:24:11,519 --> 00:24:13,200
and I apologize guys.

527
00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:15,200
Speaker 7: I wasn't prepared. I was in the middle of doing this,

528
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:17,440
and I'm also betting. I'm also trying to find his

529
00:24:17,519 --> 00:24:20,640
best rushing yards too, because that's going to go up

530
00:24:20,839 --> 00:24:23,720
once to see I had the director of bet MGM

531
00:24:23,799 --> 00:24:28,240
on yesterday and on my Fox show he said, he said,

532
00:24:28,279 --> 00:24:30,359
I got a staff for your crack because you want.

533
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:30,839
Speaker 1: Of other stuff.

534
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:35,880
Speaker 7: Eight point four percent of our projected handle on the

535
00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:39,960
super Bowl has been bet ninety two percent, let's call it,

536
00:24:40,079 --> 00:24:44,079
will be coming in this week. Fifty percent of that

537
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:45,480
will be coming in Sunday.

538
00:24:45,839 --> 00:24:47,079
Speaker 1: So wow.

539
00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:50,079
Speaker 7: I just think about that and think about the numbers

540
00:24:50,079 --> 00:24:52,839
that they do, and uh, that's.

541
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:55,279
Speaker 1: The ree boy. I don't want to make fun of that.

542
00:24:55,279 --> 00:24:57,000
That's the major of this game, right Bill.

543
00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:00,400
Speaker 3: Like with the super Bowl, it's like, yeah, okay, guys

544
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:02,200
have been betting it since it open. You know, they

545
00:25:02,279 --> 00:25:04,279
like Seahawks here out of the gate and then all

546
00:25:04,319 --> 00:25:06,079
the props you were out there at the West Gate.

547
00:25:06,079 --> 00:25:08,079
We have some great videos up on the YouTube page

548
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:10,880
right now with Bill over at the Westgate shooting some

549
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:11,599
live content.

550
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:13,440
Speaker 6: I highly suggest checking those out.

551
00:25:13,599 --> 00:25:14,960
Speaker 1: But that's the nature of this game.

552
00:25:15,039 --> 00:25:18,920
Speaker 3: Like Joe, Harry Mo, all of them are waiting till

553
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,079
Sunday morning to throw all these bets, and while they're

554
00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:23,640
bullshitting with their buddies at the party, right, I gotta

555
00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:24,079
be blunted.

556
00:25:24,079 --> 00:25:27,480
Speaker 7: I'm not making fun of anybody that's why the public loses.

557
00:25:28,079 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, you have to get ahead of these kind of props.

558
00:25:33,039 --> 00:25:35,799
Speaker 7: Like I'm saying here now, you have to get ahead

559
00:25:35,839 --> 00:25:41,400
of these type of props. And because I know that

560
00:25:41,519 --> 00:25:45,359
public money is gonna come in. And let's me blunt.

561
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,119
If you don't have a gambling bank roll and you're

562
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:51,200
just waiting until you get paid, this is not for you.

563
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:53,920
This is not for your betting too much money. This

564
00:25:54,759 --> 00:25:58,279
entire network is not for you. This entire landscape of

565
00:25:58,319 --> 00:26:01,839
sports betting is not for you. And you know, by

566
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,559
the way, I was that person. I was that person

567
00:26:04,599 --> 00:26:07,200
as a teenager. I was a little Djen running around

568
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,759
betting everything I had it didn't matter, and just saying, oh,

569
00:26:09,799 --> 00:26:11,119
I'm going to make it right. I'm going to make

570
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:12,640
a big score and I'm going to make it right.

571
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:13,119
Speaker 1: You know.

572
00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:17,839
Speaker 7: So I'm going off of a playbook of forty years

573
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,440
that has turned around my life, specially especially the last

574
00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:25,240
thirty years, really has turned around my life and and

575
00:26:25,599 --> 00:26:29,960
it's made me a factor with all sportsbooks. This morning,

576
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:32,160
I went after the station sportsbooks. My last tweet, I

577
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:35,480
put out the balls on them to throw this kid

578
00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:37,799
out that came to me and said, hey, crack.

579
00:26:37,839 --> 00:26:38,240
Speaker 1: Look at this.

580
00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 7: He said, I was betting your player props that you

581
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,119
put out on wager Talk. By the way, oh, I

582
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:44,839
didn't say that part. I gotta start saying that part

583
00:26:44,839 --> 00:26:47,519
in other shows. So he said, because I'm going to

584
00:26:47,599 --> 00:26:49,599
do that this week. My goal is to bury stations.

585
00:26:49,599 --> 00:26:52,559
Are what they did to this kid? He said, I

586
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,079
bet your props And he said, I want to show

587
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:56,839
this to you. And he met me at the Vson

588
00:26:57,160 --> 00:26:59,799
My Vson show at Circum. He met me at the

589
00:26:59,799 --> 00:27:03,920
show right before I went on. So before I went

590
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:06,200
on the show, I had this in my mind and

591
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:08,000
I couldn't help it. I came in with a head

592
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:09,480
full of steam. I have a head full.

593
00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:11,519
Speaker 1: Steam every morning about bullshit like this.

594
00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:16,039
Speaker 7: So he he was betting fifty to one hundred dollars

595
00:27:16,279 --> 00:27:18,200
on all his stuff. He showed me over the last

596
00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:21,839
year bet fifty to one hundred bucks. And now he said,

597
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:23,960
you know, I talked. This is what he said, but

598
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:25,680
I don't want to embarrass him. But I'm not trying

599
00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:27,839
to embarrass him. He said, Hey, I talked my dad

600
00:27:27,839 --> 00:27:29,599
and did it and involved with me. We put five

601
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:33,640
thousand dollars in the stations app and I bet three

602
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:38,440
hundred on all your props and he said, after the

603
00:27:38,519 --> 00:27:41,920
first weekend, we won. You know, I don't know. He

604
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,079
didn't win that much. He won like fifteen hundred that's

605
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:46,240
a lot, fifteen hundred bucks a lot. Oh, it was

606
00:27:46,279 --> 00:27:48,400
over two weekends. It was over two weekends. But they

607
00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:50,960
frozen the count that Sunday night. So they frozen the

608
00:27:51,079 --> 00:27:54,920
count last Sunday night. And he said, uh, look at this,

609
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:58,119
I can't get on. He showed passwords, he showed emails,

610
00:27:58,559 --> 00:28:01,839
and they made him go in and they said, this

611
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:05,000
is not your betting pattern. This is a betting you

612
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:07,160
usually bet fifty to one hundred dollars. You don't bet

613
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:10,079
prop bets, and we don't. The guy talk to him,

614
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:12,839
very nastily, said, we don't like this. We don't like

615
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:15,039
what you're doing. Here, take your money, and you're not

616
00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:17,039
allowed to play in the app for six months. You're

617
00:28:17,079 --> 00:28:20,000
six months suspended, and you're allowed to come to the

618
00:28:20,039 --> 00:28:21,960
window once per day because we don't like what you've

619
00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:26,000
been doing. What he was doing was winning. He was

620
00:28:26,039 --> 00:28:29,440
fucking winning.

621
00:28:30,839 --> 00:28:31,160
Speaker 1: Yeah.

622
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:34,039
Speaker 7: So they're big signs they have all over town. They're

623
00:28:34,079 --> 00:28:37,720
big bullshit signs. We love our winners. Yeah, Okay, take

624
00:28:37,759 --> 00:28:41,720
that stations and you know what, I know, I am

625
00:28:41,839 --> 00:28:45,440
saying that stuff at the risk of not being allowed

626
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:49,599
in a station's property or them suspending me. That will

627
00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:53,200
just make me go after them more. The bane of

628
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:55,200
my existence will be to go after them. I have

629
00:28:55,319 --> 00:28:57,440
nothing to do. Yeah, sure, that's what I'll do all

630
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:01,759
basketball seasons. So you know, I just don't like that.

631
00:29:01,799 --> 00:29:04,519
They treat everyone like a sucker. They treat every guy,

632
00:29:04,839 --> 00:29:07,440
every person to come in like, hey, how you doing, Hi,

633
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:08,279
how you doing?

634
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:09,359
Speaker 1: You want to drink ticket?

635
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:09,559
Speaker 3: Oh?

636
00:29:09,599 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 7: Yeah, here you go. Just don't win if you win.

637
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:14,440
And by the way, they're not the only place that

638
00:29:14,519 --> 00:29:17,759
does that. There's other places that do that. You know,

639
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:21,039
Caesars is I'm thrown out of Caesars Sportsbook for winning.

640
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:24,279
Now listen. I like going to the restaurants. I like

641
00:29:24,359 --> 00:29:28,559
going to the shows. I love stations properties, their casinos

642
00:29:28,559 --> 00:29:33,920
at the Rango Station, Florida, ceiling windows, beautiful restaurants, entertainment,

643
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:36,079
they give the they give the gambler good value on

644
00:29:36,119 --> 00:29:40,079
the video poker machines. But like I said, I do

645
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:43,319
that at the risk of being thrown out. But I don't,

646
00:29:43,759 --> 00:29:44,880
to be honest with you, I'm good.

647
00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 1: I don't care. I don't care.

648
00:29:46,359 --> 00:29:48,559
Speaker 7: I'm gonna stick up for people. I'm gonna tell people

649
00:29:48,559 --> 00:29:50,200
like it is. I'm gonna tell you where to spend

650
00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:53,279
your gambling dollar. That's just the way it is. So

651
00:29:53,599 --> 00:29:56,200
I appreciate the comments, guys, thank you very much. I

652
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:57,559
don't do that for that. I just do that to

653
00:29:57,559 --> 00:30:00,720
help you guys and tell you what's going on. So

654
00:30:00,759 --> 00:30:03,720
if you're allowed to go in, you're right, David, that's

655
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:05,920
all they care about. They care about your money. And

656
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:08,440
like I said, it's a lot of bs there. How

657
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:09,720
did I even get on? I don't know where I'm

658
00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:12,559
even going with these subjects. So anyway, guys, let's go Bell.

659
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:15,480
But the people, the people love a fired up crack.

660
00:30:15,519 --> 00:30:16,519
But what do you got for in Bell?

661
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:16,960
Speaker 3: All right?

662
00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:18,599
Speaker 7: Hold on, I got some other stuff too though. Here,

663
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:21,079
hold on, relax, relax. You get me going ahead of myself.

664
00:30:21,119 --> 00:30:26,680
Speaker 1: I'm joking. I'm joking. So that's by the way. Frank

665
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:27,599
Sinatra in the background.

666
00:30:27,599 --> 00:30:29,720
Speaker 7: People keep keep on asking that I gotta listen to

667
00:30:29,759 --> 00:30:31,640
a little Sinatra and calm down a little bit.

668
00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:36,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, get an even yeah yeah. But anyway, uh,

669
00:30:36,519 --> 00:30:37,559
I won't give out props.

670
00:30:37,559 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 7: Like I said, it's a bad line, and but I

671
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:42,240
bet my own stuff with Yuci for Max Bets Westgate.

672
00:30:42,279 --> 00:30:43,400
Speaker 1: The other night I was.

673
00:30:43,359 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 7: Online there, I bet ten props. I bet two of

674
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:52,079
them over and over again. You're allowed to bet two

675
00:30:52,079 --> 00:30:54,319
props go to the back of the line. Two props,

676
00:30:54,359 --> 00:30:56,480
go to the back of the line. And it was fun.

677
00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:58,119
There was about twenty five people over there. It was

678
00:30:58,119 --> 00:30:59,759
actually a fun time. A lot of old faces you

679
00:30:59,839 --> 00:31:02,440
only see once a year, a lot of very sharp

680
00:31:02,519 --> 00:31:05,640
guys in that line. I met a doctor that flies

681
00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:08,119
in from Dallas. Hello, my friend, I know you listen

682
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:10,359
and watch. Also, sorry I don't remember your name. I'll

683
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:11,039
give you a shout out.

684
00:31:11,079 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 1: Doc.

685
00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:15,039
Speaker 7: I met a pharmacist that beat me in line. He

686
00:31:15,079 --> 00:31:16,119
was the first person online.

687
00:31:16,119 --> 00:31:16,839
Speaker 1: I was the second.

688
00:31:17,119 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 7: The pharmacists from Las Vegas very nice, very vary, astute.

689
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:23,559
You could just see talking to them, the intelligence level

690
00:31:23,599 --> 00:31:28,440
coming out of their pores. Randy McKay, Frank b. Lots

691
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:30,519
of really really sharp guys. I don't know if they

692
00:31:30,559 --> 00:31:33,119
want their names mentioned. Those guys are okay. But there

693
00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:37,559
was another guy that's a genius, absolute genius. I've only

694
00:31:37,559 --> 00:31:39,680
seen him like once or twice a year and he

695
00:31:39,759 --> 00:31:42,119
comes out and is online. So but then you have

696
00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:45,920
the whole section in the back. They're all the different

697
00:31:46,119 --> 00:31:48,920
people that were on different networks and stuff coming in

698
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:49,920
looking for interviews.

699
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 1: They act like they bet. They don't bet at all.

700
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:53,799
Speaker 7: They just come in and say help a camera, or

701
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:57,039
I get my name out there, or they bet.

702
00:31:57,119 --> 00:31:59,079
Speaker 1: You know, it was always they bet something. I don't care.

703
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:00,839
Speaker 7: You don't have to bet. I bet you could bet

704
00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:03,680
fifty one hundred bucks, doesn't matter. But it was a

705
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:06,400
good time. Westgate puts that up, putting it up a

706
00:32:06,480 --> 00:32:08,880
day earlier. They're forced to do that because of the

707
00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:11,920
DraftKings and the fan duels and the different sports books

708
00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:14,839
of the world. But I found it quite interesting yesterday

709
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:20,200
interviewing my buddy, who's the head of risk I at

710
00:32:20,279 --> 00:32:23,839
MGM BETMGM, I found it interesting. I would I would

711
00:32:23,839 --> 00:32:28,200
have thought a lot of people are betting the game already.

712
00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:30,039
Speaker 1: He said, no, a little over eight percent.

713
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:34,240
Speaker 7: And he said he has seventy percent of the public,

714
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:38,720
seventy percent of his clientele betting on Seattle minus the points.

715
00:32:38,759 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 1: Now, why does that scare me a little bit?

716
00:32:41,519 --> 00:32:45,119
Speaker 7: Because he said that's what he expects to happen anyway.

717
00:32:45,359 --> 00:32:47,079
Speaker 1: They were just getting ready to move with the five

718
00:32:47,119 --> 00:32:48,039
from four and a half.

719
00:32:48,359 --> 00:32:50,319
Speaker 7: He said, they're expecting a lot of Seattle money and

720
00:32:50,319 --> 00:32:52,279
they're probably going to be rooting for New England for

721
00:32:52,359 --> 00:32:55,680
the Super Bowl. Now why I say that is I

722
00:32:55,720 --> 00:33:00,279
can't find anybody on New England. I just can't find anybody.

723
00:33:00,799 --> 00:33:04,039
Everyone's on Seattle. Everyone everyone I know. I don't really

724
00:33:04,079 --> 00:33:05,880
know of anybody that said, hey, I like the New

725
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:06,480
England Cracker.

726
00:33:06,519 --> 00:33:09,000
Speaker 1: I like New England in this game. I think they're Yeah,

727
00:33:09,279 --> 00:33:11,000
so that's scary. Just be careful.

728
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:13,079
Speaker 7: I know you guys won't want to side in the game.

729
00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:16,079
I don't have a side. If I lean to anything,

730
00:33:16,079 --> 00:33:17,839
I have to go. I want to be on the

731
00:33:17,839 --> 00:33:21,160
sports book side, because we all know God protects the bookmaker.

732
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:22,880
Speaker 1: So it is what it is.

733
00:33:23,119 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 7: I have to be on on their on their side.

734
00:33:26,039 --> 00:33:29,359
But uh, some great places around town here to watch

735
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:32,920
the game. One oh five juice at the south Point,

736
00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:36,079
one oh five juice at the Westgate the day.

737
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:38,680
Speaker 1: Of the game. That's great. One o five Juice. You

738
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:40,160
can go right in person to the Southpoint.

739
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:43,279
Speaker 7: Like I said, one oh five, you know, if you're

740
00:33:43,279 --> 00:33:45,799
gonna bet the game, anyway, I don't recommend even betting

741
00:33:45,799 --> 00:33:47,359
the game. Why would you bet the game when you

742
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:50,160
have an efficient line uh A side, when you have

743
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:50,880
so many props.

744
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 1: I think I have six or seven up already.

745
00:33:53,079 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 7: I was only going to put up about ten for

746
00:33:56,279 --> 00:34:00,680
wager talk, and I I think I'm gonna put up more.

747
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:03,160
But here's the reason why I'm I'm scared to put

748
00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:06,359
up more. I don't want people to over bet their bankroll.

749
00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:10,880
So if you if you're betting, you know, one hundred

750
00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:13,400
dollars a prop, now you're and your bank roll is

751
00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:17,840
only you know, two grand, which I have no problem with.

752
00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:19,599
By the way, usually I say one to two percent.

753
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:21,239
I have no problem with you betting five percent of

754
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:24,840
your bank roll and a prop. But I yeah, if

755
00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:26,960
I have thirteen props for some reason, I think I'm

756
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:29,559
gonna put out around thirteen. And if it's too much,

757
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:32,079
I would like people to tell me with it, because

758
00:34:32,119 --> 00:34:34,400
I won't put out that many. I for wad your talk,

759
00:34:34,679 --> 00:34:37,039
but I want to put it out there probably and

760
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:40,480
give you guys your chances. There's no really, the ones

761
00:34:40,519 --> 00:34:42,880
I sent earlier were the ones you probably should have

762
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:43,679
got down on.

763
00:34:45,039 --> 00:34:47,079
Speaker 1: Right away. But there's no rush to get down on

764
00:34:47,119 --> 00:34:47,519
these guys.

765
00:34:47,559 --> 00:34:49,599
Speaker 7: You want to know why, I Am going to be

766
00:34:49,639 --> 00:34:53,079
making these bets Friday and Saturday and even Sunday morning

767
00:34:53,119 --> 00:34:55,840
after my Fox show, I'll be making bets, running around,

768
00:34:55,920 --> 00:35:00,320
making bets on my apps, making bets hoping that they

769
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:03,360
pushed these numbers up even more because I'm gonna be

770
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:05,159
taking a lot of unders the day of the game.

771
00:35:05,239 --> 00:35:07,480
A matter of fact, I'll probably be downtown running around

772
00:35:07,519 --> 00:35:10,760
with Randy McKay, who's a very sharp prop guy. Also

773
00:35:11,079 --> 00:35:15,760
found some really good value downtown last year. But yeah,

774
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:18,119
so anyway, guys, what else was I doing for you?

775
00:35:18,159 --> 00:35:19,559
So I don't even know was I was supposed to

776
00:35:19,559 --> 00:35:20,280
give you something else?

777
00:35:20,519 --> 00:35:21,039
Speaker 4: And I got?

778
00:35:21,079 --> 00:35:23,119
Speaker 1: I got. I mean you've did. You've given us a

779
00:35:23,199 --> 00:35:24,920
lot here, Bill, and I'm loving it.

780
00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:27,360
Speaker 3: And Bill mentioned there he's gonna be betting through the weekend,

781
00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:29,440
folks that ten days of all access for the price

782
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:31,239
of seven is good over at his page at well

783
00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:35,480
w T Dot buzz backslash crack Man. But but you know,

784
00:35:35,519 --> 00:35:37,320
the folks, even though you gave us that nice drake

785
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,719
may prop at the top, they're still asking we got

786
00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:42,800
anything at n B A any NBA any hardwood props

787
00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:43,559
that you got today.

788
00:35:44,079 --> 00:35:46,480
Speaker 7: I bet an NBA prop. I bet what do we got?

789
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:48,760
Let me see what did I bet? Let me see.

790
00:35:49,039 --> 00:35:51,000
I have to get on the right line though here. Okay,

791
00:35:51,039 --> 00:35:53,639
over twelve and a half, make sure MGM still has

792
00:35:53,679 --> 00:35:56,519
that Kelly Obery?

793
00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:58,559
Speaker 1: Is that any say his name? As a matter of fact,

794
00:35:58,679 --> 00:36:00,639
isn't that funny? I don't have to know how to

795
00:36:00,679 --> 00:36:02,000
say their name. I don't care.

796
00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:04,840
Speaker 4: Tell you, Brad, I got o Brad.

797
00:36:05,159 --> 00:36:07,360
Speaker 7: I was on action on showtime and someone said to me,

798
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:09,639
what do you mean you can't pronounce his name? I

799
00:36:09,679 --> 00:36:11,400
don't have to all I have to know what is

800
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:13,719
it says, what his number says on the screen. I

801
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:17,159
know it's this is all analytics, it's all you know.

802
00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:19,800
It's it's more than just knowing the guy's name and

803
00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:22,159
his family member's name and where he lives. And I

804
00:36:22,199 --> 00:36:24,079
don't I don't care about that matter of fact, will

805
00:36:24,079 --> 00:36:26,159
be real blunt. I don't care about these guys off

806
00:36:26,159 --> 00:36:28,320
the court, off the I don't care what they do,

807
00:36:29,119 --> 00:36:31,719
trouble they get in nothing. I just care they don't

808
00:36:31,719 --> 00:36:33,599
care about me. I don't care about them, but I

809
00:36:33,639 --> 00:36:36,079
do care about betting them okay, so let's go.

810
00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:38,199
Speaker 1: It's points over twelve.

811
00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:40,280
Speaker 7: And a half at MGM and is minus one thirty.

812
00:36:40,559 --> 00:36:43,599
Also for thirteen and a half minus one ten two

813
00:36:45,280 --> 00:36:48,920
on that Paul George, Paul George's servant. As we know,

814
00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:53,360
the twenty five games suspensive for violating the anti drug policy.

815
00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,760
Speaker 1: So this gives this gives him some more minutes.

816
00:36:56,480 --> 00:37:00,800
Speaker 7: There play thirty if thirty thirty and thirty seven minutes

817
00:37:01,119 --> 00:37:04,239
in his last two A good matchup tonight against the Clippers.

818
00:37:04,280 --> 00:37:06,159
So let's go over his points twelve and a half

819
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:10,280
minus thirty. You're gonna laugh now, I gave. I just

820
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:14,679
text Johnny Detroit and said, this is how much it's terrible.

821
00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:16,880
Speaker 1: It's terrible. I'm a terrible self promoter.

822
00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:21,239
Speaker 7: Like I know that we have Super Bowl, a super

823
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:25,199
Bowl package, and if it's fifty nine dollars, that's a steal,

824
00:37:25,559 --> 00:37:29,360
I said him. I selling fifty nine dollars packages over

825
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:32,320
on wager Talk, and yes, I think I am.

826
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:34,920
Speaker 1: So get over to wager talk and buy that package.

827
00:37:35,599 --> 00:37:37,360
Speaker 7: Fifty nine bucks, you get the super Bowl, you get,

828
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:39,599
You're gonna get all these props. Like I said, I

829
00:37:39,679 --> 00:37:43,639
gave out a few and they're even still obtainable. However,

830
00:37:44,159 --> 00:37:46,079
I'm gonna give out a lot more that I have

831
00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:50,320
not done yet. Uh so get that Super Bowl prop package.

832
00:37:50,559 --> 00:37:50,920
Speaker 1: Listen.

833
00:37:51,159 --> 00:37:54,400
Speaker 7: I've been telling you this all season in college basketball.

834
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:55,920
You want to you want to come on for.

835
00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:56,519
Speaker 1: Longer than that.

836
00:37:56,519 --> 00:38:00,159
Speaker 7: You want to come on, come on till March Madness, WT,

837
00:38:00,199 --> 00:38:01,679
buzz backslash crack Man.

838
00:38:01,679 --> 00:38:03,440
Speaker 1: There it is. I asked them all the time.

839
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:05,519
Speaker 7: They must think I'm crazy Kelly and Vegas, and I said,

840
00:38:05,519 --> 00:38:06,440
give me that code again.

841
00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:10,320
Speaker 1: I need to give it out. But twenty two I'm sorry.

842
00:38:10,679 --> 00:38:12,440
Twenty four point four.

843
00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:16,679
Speaker 7: Units last week plus in college basketball. NBA also went

844
00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:19,320
six until great week last week. Thanks guys for coming along.

845
00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:22,440
You guys that are my clients here, appreciated that they're watching.

846
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:25,599
Speaker 1: You see what we did the college basketball I was

847
00:38:25,639 --> 00:38:26,159
actually met.

848
00:38:26,199 --> 00:38:29,679
Speaker 7: We didn't goo nine and no on satur one on Saturday,

849
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:34,199
and the ninth one I lost in overtime. I was like, God, Jesus,

850
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:36,800
so I hate to lose any games in overtime that

851
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:39,280
you would have won a regulation. So I think I've

852
00:38:39,280 --> 00:38:41,719
said enough. Let the other guys share their time. I

853
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:45,440
apologize and thank you guys for listening to my rants.

854
00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:47,440
Speaker 1: My raves and we'll see you next week.

855
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,599
Speaker 3: Thank you, Bill, appreciate it man. Good luck on Super

856
00:38:50,639 --> 00:38:54,480
Bowl week, brother, Bill Rackenberger.

857
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:56,840
Speaker 4: He does his own like intro and outro.

858
00:38:59,599 --> 00:39:01,639
Speaker 3: You can you can tell Andy that he's done this

859
00:39:01,679 --> 00:39:02,920
once or twice in his life.

860
00:39:03,039 --> 00:39:03,199
Speaker 1: Right.

861
00:39:03,519 --> 00:39:06,719
Speaker 3: It's uh that the man who needs no introduction or

862
00:39:07,119 --> 00:39:12,360
outroduction is our friend here, Bill Krackenberger and Kelly Oubray

863
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:15,360
was the was the proper correct Andy?

864
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:16,199
Speaker 1: Yeah?

865
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:17,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, Kelly Ubray over twelve and a half.

866
00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:22,559
Speaker 2: Paul George got it was so funny, was Paul George

867
00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:25,519
Brittle the last couple of years, and this year it

868
00:39:25,599 --> 00:39:29,679
was like it's playing pretty good, okay, staying healthy, load

869
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:31,039
management with rugs.

870
00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:35,559
Speaker 1: Oh okay, that makes perfect sense.

871
00:39:36,159 --> 00:39:37,920
Speaker 4: It makes it makes oh sense of the world.

872
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:41,280
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, let's bring in Steve Marrow.

873
00:39:41,519 --> 00:39:44,639
Speaker 4: It's kind of like you'll see this. You'll see this

874
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:47,960
in m M A uh, Like there'll be a guy

875
00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:48,480
who has.

876
00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:51,119
Speaker 2: Like cardio issues and then all of a sudden he'll

877
00:39:51,159 --> 00:39:54,199
just have this three three round banger and you're like.

878
00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:56,880
Speaker 4: Wow, he must have been putting a lot of work

879
00:39:56,920 --> 00:40:00,440
in the gym. In Three weeks later, suspended steroid it's like.

880
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:04,239
Speaker 3: Oh that makes sense, makes sense.

881
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:07,159
Speaker 2: There's been like three or four bets that I have

882
00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:11,559
lost two guys that have tested positive for steroids like

883
00:40:11,679 --> 00:40:15,719
six months later, and it's the most infuriating thing ever,

884
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:18,239
where you're like I was, my guy was fighting a

885
00:40:18,440 --> 00:40:19,360
juiced up gorilla.

886
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:22,800
Speaker 1: So yeah, well, you know, Steve needs no performance enhancers.

887
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:23,880
Steve is ready to.

888
00:40:23,840 --> 00:40:26,679
Speaker 3: Go at all time, at all time. How are you

889
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:27,840
doing on a Monday, Steve?

890
00:40:28,199 --> 00:40:28,599
Speaker 1: Do well?

891
00:40:28,599 --> 00:40:31,239
Speaker 8: So Andy, I had both sweatshirts literally in each hand

892
00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:33,360
today and the gray one was very close to coming.

893
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:35,519
I had the identical shirt. It was fifty to fifty.

894
00:40:35,559 --> 00:40:37,159
I was gonna wear that one. This one I find

895
00:40:37,159 --> 00:40:40,239
a little bit green. The black one, that is one

896
00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:41,639
that's my favor. The one you have on is my

897
00:40:41,679 --> 00:40:43,880
favorite though it's it's a little thinner, it's it's it's

898
00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:47,519
a fantastic material, it's overtime, but yeah, it's it's a

899
00:40:47,599 --> 00:40:48,599
very unique sweatshirt.

900
00:40:48,760 --> 00:40:50,679
Speaker 3: I need to hit a couple more bets before they

901
00:40:50,719 --> 00:40:52,679
send me a wager talk hoodie. I haven't gotten to

902
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:55,960
that upper pan beyond that that Andy Lang Steve meryll Pan.

903
00:40:56,079 --> 00:40:57,519
Speaker 8: Yeah, and for those that are in the comments, are

904
00:40:57,519 --> 00:40:59,360
one of the merched department. This has been on the

905
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:01,599
to do list. Talked to some of the people and

906
00:41:01,639 --> 00:41:03,719
the staff there and it is on the to do list.

907
00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:06,280
But to put it in perspective, this all started when

908
00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:08,239
pres took the helm a couple of years ago, so

909
00:41:08,239 --> 00:41:09,960
you can imagine there's been a lot of undoing.

910
00:41:11,519 --> 00:41:14,679
Speaker 4: I remember this. I remember Lawrence was like, break.

911
00:41:14,639 --> 00:41:16,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, break down the merch department so that we could

912
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:19,599
build it back up. Because President like, don't worry, guys,

913
00:41:19,760 --> 00:41:21,599
I'm gonna get us some great T shirts.

914
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:23,440
Speaker 1: And now we are trying.

915
00:41:23,519 --> 00:41:25,239
Speaker 8: The good news is they got a two year head

916
00:41:25,239 --> 00:41:27,159
start in the merch department. The bad news is Press

917
00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:28,800
is the one that gave them the two year head start.

918
00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:31,559
Speaker 1: Well it's two steps forward.

919
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:35,199
Speaker 8: Oh yeah, this is one step back two steps forward normally,

920
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:38,079
but it's different. The conversion with Canadian steps is different.

921
00:41:38,119 --> 00:41:40,920
Speaker 4: Apparently, where's the merch department?

922
00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:45,480
Speaker 8: Meant department is going downhill as we speak.

923
00:41:45,920 --> 00:41:48,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're in They're in a chalet and whistler. Good luck.

924
00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:50,920
Speaker 8: It is literally going downhill as we speak.

925
00:41:53,079 --> 00:41:55,079
Speaker 2: Steve, we got some college basketball and then I want

926
00:41:55,079 --> 00:41:57,400
to run you you you coach basketball?

927
00:41:57,639 --> 00:41:57,960
Speaker 4: You?

928
00:41:58,079 --> 00:41:58,280
Speaker 1: Yes?

929
00:41:58,400 --> 00:41:58,599
Speaker 8: Yeah?

930
00:41:59,119 --> 00:42:01,719
Speaker 2: Off I want to run an idea about how to

931
00:42:01,719 --> 00:42:03,800
fix the NBA All Star Game, and I think you're

932
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:05,519
gonna absolutely love it. But I want to get to

933
00:42:05,559 --> 00:42:09,599
this college basketball at ESPN doubleheader. We got Kansas versus

934
00:42:09,639 --> 00:42:13,719
Texas Tech. But first let's break down Syracuse in North Carolina.

935
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:16,079
So give us both games. I'm not going to interrupt you.

936
00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:19,519
Let's just start with sarrahcuse North Carolina. North Carolina big

937
00:42:19,559 --> 00:42:20,119
favorites here.

938
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:24,880
Speaker 8: Yeah, it's a good card tonight. We've got two big

939
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:27,559
national TV games from Monday night on ESPN. And don't

940
00:42:27,559 --> 00:42:29,320
forget if you'd like a bonus free play, I've got

941
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:32,159
my top NBA play for free tonight on my page

942
00:42:32,239 --> 00:42:34,880
right now, Steve merrillwager Talk dot com. But let's look

943
00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:36,440
at some college hoops here. We'll start with the seven

944
00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:40,880
o'clock Eastern game on ESPN. A little acc action. North

945
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:42,960
Carolina opened is a nine and a half point favorites,

946
00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:45,480
now up to eleven. We've definitely seen some sharp money

947
00:42:45,519 --> 00:42:47,360
coming on the over in this game. Opened as low

948
00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:49,880
as one fifty two and a half. Now it's sitting

949
00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:52,039
one fifty eight, even seeing some one to fifty eight

950
00:42:52,079 --> 00:42:54,159
and a half start to hit the board here, So

951
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:56,199
this is definitely a game in which the sharp money

952
00:42:56,199 --> 00:42:58,039
is coming on the over, and it's hard to disagree

953
00:42:58,039 --> 00:43:01,159
with that. Too good offensive tea, especially North Carolina. They

954
00:43:01,199 --> 00:43:04,280
ranked top twenty five offensive efficiency this year, but neither

955
00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:07,199
defense ranks even in the top fifty this year in

956
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,519
defensive efficiency, and I do think both teams can score here.

957
00:43:10,519 --> 00:43:11,840
The other thing I'd like to look at when you're

958
00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:13,239
looking at over is just to make sure they can

959
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:16,239
get some easy baskets. Neither team relies heavily on the

960
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:19,800
three point shot this year. Syracuse actually does not allow

961
00:43:19,840 --> 00:43:21,400
a lot of threes, a lot different than the old

962
00:43:21,519 --> 00:43:24,360
zone defenses under Beheim in which you would beat them

963
00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:26,360
with the three. Syracuse does not give up many three

964
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:28,679
point shots, but North Carolina has never been much of

965
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:30,719
a three point shooting team, and once again, they're getting

966
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:33,000
a lot of points down load this season. And I

967
00:43:33,039 --> 00:43:35,320
do think Carolina and the over is the way to look.

968
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:37,960
They have the much better two point defense, So if

969
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:40,000
you want to look at maybe the North Carolina team

970
00:43:40,079 --> 00:43:43,119
total over instead, that might be the safer play. I

971
00:43:43,119 --> 00:43:45,760
would lean North Carolina would also lean the over in

972
00:43:45,800 --> 00:43:47,519
this one, but I'm just a little bit of afraid

973
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:50,440
if Syracuse can score down low consistently, So instead of

974
00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:52,400
over one fifty eight, you could look at over team

975
00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:55,280
total over eighty four and a half with the Carolina

976
00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:57,119
tar Heels. I don't I give out team totals because

977
00:43:57,119 --> 00:43:58,239
I think there's a lot of value there, but a

978
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:01,280
lot of sportsbooks still do not offer them in College Tube,

979
00:44:01,320 --> 00:44:02,800
so the full game over is fine, but if you

980
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:05,000
have access to team totals, I think the best way

981
00:44:05,039 --> 00:44:07,840
to attack this one is North Carolina team total over

982
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:10,440
eighty four and a half. That's your early ESPN game

983
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:12,800
at seven eastern to not on Monday, right, We'll look

984
00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:15,519
at your late game also in ESPN at nine o'clock eastern.

985
00:44:15,559 --> 00:44:18,639
In the Big twelve, we've got Kansas and Texas Tech,

986
00:44:19,159 --> 00:44:21,360
and boy, this is a good one here, two top

987
00:44:21,440 --> 00:44:24,719
fifteen ranked teams, Kansas coming off multiple wins in a row.

988
00:44:24,760 --> 00:44:27,599
Everybody written the Jayhawks off after the one and two start.

989
00:44:27,639 --> 00:44:30,039
In fact, I was doing the best betting show ever

990
00:44:30,119 --> 00:44:32,880
a few weeks ago with Joe Vernari. In fact, exactly

991
00:44:33,159 --> 00:44:36,440
three weeks ago. It was Tuesday, the thirteenth of January,

992
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:39,599
and I remember that Kansas was a home dog against

993
00:44:39,599 --> 00:44:42,320
Iowa State, and we both said, boy, how far have

994
00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:44,679
they fallen? How strange does it look to see Kansas

995
00:44:44,840 --> 00:44:46,639
as a home dog. Well, Kansas went out and won

996
00:44:46,679 --> 00:44:49,519
that game by twenty one points. They've won five straight

997
00:44:49,559 --> 00:44:52,039
games since that one and two start, including a big

998
00:44:52,079 --> 00:44:53,960
win against BYU. They were up big in that game,

999
00:44:54,039 --> 00:44:56,239
by you made the comeback in the second half, Kansas

1000
00:44:56,280 --> 00:44:58,880
held on to win by eight. So five straight wins.

1001
00:44:58,920 --> 00:45:01,079
Now they haven't to travel just one days of rest

1002
00:45:01,400 --> 00:45:03,760
to take on a Texas Tech team that should be

1003
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:06,079
in a very focused spot. Texas Tech off to a

1004
00:45:06,079 --> 00:45:08,760
six to one conference start until they lost on the

1005
00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:13,199
road against a feisty Central Farida team by eight on Saturday.

1006
00:45:13,519 --> 00:45:15,480
So we've got two good teams here, but the home

1007
00:45:15,519 --> 00:45:17,440
team coming in off the a loss on the road,

1008
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:19,559
Kansas coming off five straight wins. I like the set

1009
00:45:19,639 --> 00:45:21,880
up here for Texas Tech. So let's dig it a

1010
00:45:21,920 --> 00:45:24,159
little bit deeper into the box or to the statistics

1011
00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:26,320
and see if we have a matchup edge as well.

1012
00:45:26,679 --> 00:45:29,440
Two good offensive teams, two really good defensive teams. Although

1013
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:31,639
I do think Kansas is the better defensive team, I

1014
00:45:31,679 --> 00:45:34,119
think that's negated a little bit by having the tough

1015
00:45:34,199 --> 00:45:36,840
road spot here tonight. And this is the Texas Tech

1016
00:45:36,880 --> 00:45:39,719
team that's an excellent three point shooting squad thirty nine

1017
00:45:39,760 --> 00:45:42,480
percent of the season, top fifteen in the country, and

1018
00:45:42,599 --> 00:45:44,840
Kansas's real strength this year. They've had a good three

1019
00:45:44,880 --> 00:45:47,760
point defense, but their interior two point defense is the

1020
00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:49,719
real strength. In fact, Kansas gives up a lot of

1021
00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:52,639
three point shots. About forty four percent of the field

1022
00:45:52,679 --> 00:45:54,719
goal attempts they allow come from three point range. That

1023
00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:57,079
ranks three hundred and tenth in the country out of

1024
00:45:57,079 --> 00:45:59,960
three hundred and sixty five teams. Texas Tech will long

1025
00:46:00,199 --> 00:46:03,039
heavily on the three. Yes, it's always a random variable,

1026
00:46:03,039 --> 00:46:05,760
but bet at home focused spot against maybe a tired

1027
00:46:05,840 --> 00:46:08,239
Kansas team, I think those three points shots will be

1028
00:46:08,280 --> 00:46:11,039
falling tonight. So I do like Texas Tech and this

1029
00:46:11,079 --> 00:46:14,079
one minus the points. This line opened three and a half,

1030
00:46:14,199 --> 00:46:15,760
it's now up to four and a half. I agree

1031
00:46:15,800 --> 00:46:18,440
with that move total has also been hit in this game,

1032
00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:21,039
one fifty and a half up to one fifty five

1033
00:46:21,159 --> 00:46:23,880
now in a lot of spots, a same thing I

1034
00:46:23,880 --> 00:46:25,679
said earlier. I like the over in this game, but

1035
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:27,679
I think the team total with Texas Tech is the

1036
00:46:27,719 --> 00:46:30,559
better play Texas Tech over seventy nine and a half,

1037
00:46:30,599 --> 00:46:32,880
so you have access to team totals. I think both

1038
00:46:32,920 --> 00:46:34,559
home teams to night over their team total is the

1039
00:46:34,559 --> 00:46:37,119
best way to attack these games on ESPN. That's at

1040
00:46:37,119 --> 00:46:39,480
seven to nine Eastern to night pair of national TV

1041
00:46:39,519 --> 00:46:42,039
games where you're free here on wager Talk TV. And

1042
00:46:42,039 --> 00:46:43,920
don't forget if you want my personal best bets, they're

1043
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:47,239
available every day on my page Steve merrillwager Talk dot

1044
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com along with the daily free play. And yes, my

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top free play today is an NBA play. There's just

1046
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1049
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1050
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we are now in a monster sixty two percent NBA run.

1051
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In fact, NBA overall during the last couple of months

1052
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thirty nine and twenty four up over fifty units of profit.

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you better get it sooner than later. If you're watching

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get it right now, but I do put daily free

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those strong best bets, and don't forget right now buy

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Don't miss out. Get on board today on Monday, get

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on board tomorrow, Tuesday.

1071
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at Steve Merrillwager Talk dot com, WT dot Buzz, slash

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sm And once again, if you're liking these free play videos,

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them coming every day, and don't forget My Super Bowl

1079
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Player Props everything you need to know for the big game.

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So make sure you click subscribe, you click the bell

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here on wager Talk TV so you never miss out

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when a free play video is posted each and every

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day right here for you.

1085
00:48:26,320 --> 00:48:30,199
Speaker 2: Steve Merrill, we need to fix the NBA All Star Game.

1086
00:48:30,199 --> 00:48:35,000
It's it's on its last leg. It's it's wheezing, it's

1087
00:48:35,519 --> 00:48:36,599
it's it's awful.

1088
00:48:36,639 --> 00:48:37,800
Speaker 4: Nobody cares about it.

1089
00:48:38,159 --> 00:48:41,280
Speaker 2: So I have one swing for the fences here, and

1090
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,920
I wanted to run this by you because you coach, all.

1091
00:48:43,840 --> 00:48:49,239
Speaker 4: Right, scrap the game. Go back to when we were kids.

1092
00:48:49,800 --> 00:48:52,800
Speaker 2: Why not have these guys play the games that we

1093
00:48:52,880 --> 00:48:57,079
played with kids? And I'm sure your kids play, like who.

1094
00:48:56,960 --> 00:48:58,199
Speaker 4: Doesn't want to see Knockout?

1095
00:48:58,920 --> 00:48:59,440
Speaker 8: Yeah?

1096
00:49:00,039 --> 00:49:05,480
Speaker 2: Point Line with Steph Jannis Lebron, like One on one

1097
00:49:05,880 --> 00:49:06,440
twenty one?

1098
00:49:06,960 --> 00:49:08,079
Speaker 4: Yeah I would?

1099
00:49:08,199 --> 00:49:08,440
Speaker 1: I would.

1100
00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:10,360
Speaker 2: I want to see twenty one with four guys in

1101
00:49:10,400 --> 00:49:13,079
the Winter Advances, and I just want to see.

1102
00:49:13,039 --> 00:49:17,559
Speaker 4: A pig or I don't want to say horse, Yeah yeah, yeah,

1103
00:49:17,599 --> 00:49:21,239
that's a pig. Can you imagine what if it was like.

1104
00:49:21,199 --> 00:49:25,000
Speaker 2: Steph Versus Giannis and yeah dunking.

1105
00:49:25,679 --> 00:49:27,639
Speaker 8: That's the problem. Though, You're exactly right to say the

1106
00:49:27,639 --> 00:49:29,039
first thing I was to say is I'll take Curry

1107
00:49:29,159 --> 00:49:30,800
is like, I'm not sure he could dunk anymore at

1108
00:49:30,800 --> 00:49:33,599
like age forty whatever he is, so like, yeah, So

1109
00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:35,800
I'll say my counter to that, I like the idea

1110
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:37,559
because anything is better than the game itself. And I

1111
00:49:37,599 --> 00:49:39,760
would watch that because I don't watch the game anymore.

1112
00:49:40,159 --> 00:49:41,960
But I'll counter saying they kind of try to do

1113
00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:44,840
that already with the skills competition right on Saturday, So

1114
00:49:44,880 --> 00:49:46,440
that'd be a little bit of a hybrid of that.

1115
00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:49,199
How about a three on three? I mean, I actually

1116
00:49:49,239 --> 00:49:52,239
really enjoyed the three on three of the Olympics with

1117
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:54,079
with the FEBA rules, and I actually run that in

1118
00:49:54,119 --> 00:49:55,840
practice now when we do three on three a half

1119
00:49:55,840 --> 00:49:58,000
court when we don't have a full court. I tell

1120
00:49:58,039 --> 00:50:01,119
the guys we're playing FEBA rules man wasting time checking

1121
00:50:01,119 --> 00:50:03,760
the ball. The ball is always live, which I really

1122
00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:06,400
like that aspect of it. So I think that would

1123
00:50:06,400 --> 00:50:08,559
be pretty cool actually making maybe a three on three.

1124
00:50:08,559 --> 00:50:10,960
But you're right in they got to do something I happened.

1125
00:50:10,960 --> 00:50:12,119
I don't know why I saw it, but about a

1126
00:50:12,119 --> 00:50:14,280
month ago I was starting to research it, and I

1127
00:50:14,320 --> 00:50:16,840
see that there was when Lebron wasn't on the starting lineup.

1128
00:50:16,840 --> 00:50:18,320
It was the first time in like twenty years. I

1129
00:50:18,320 --> 00:50:20,400
was reading some stuff on that and I see that

1130
00:50:20,440 --> 00:50:22,159
they're going to three teams this year, and a lot

1131
00:50:22,159 --> 00:50:23,920
of viewers probably don't know this yet because it's not

1132
00:50:24,000 --> 00:50:26,280
up yet. But yeah, I mean three teams are doing

1133
00:50:26,280 --> 00:50:30,880
an America, two American teams, and an international team, and

1134
00:50:30,920 --> 00:50:32,599
then I guess they're all playing each other. I don't

1135
00:50:32,599 --> 00:50:33,920
even know how they're going to make that work. It's

1136
00:50:33,920 --> 00:50:36,360
getting worse before it gets better. I will say it's

1137
00:50:36,360 --> 00:50:38,079
still better than the NFL, though, the flight and I

1138
00:50:38,079 --> 00:50:39,840
get the flag football is kind of like a three

1139
00:50:39,840 --> 00:50:41,880
on three idea, and I don't have a problem with

1140
00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:43,840
that because the NFL Pro Ball was a mess also,

1141
00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:46,360
but I do miss the old days when all the

1142
00:50:46,360 --> 00:50:48,800
guys played in all the All Star games. But hey, look,

1143
00:50:48,800 --> 00:50:50,360
it's the reality we live and they're not going to

1144
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:52,760
do it right, so you got to fix it and

1145
00:50:53,039 --> 00:50:54,039
come up with something else.

1146
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:57,199
Speaker 4: Yeah, I just I think it'd be fun seeing.

1147
00:50:57,039 --> 00:50:59,159
Speaker 8: These knockout would be insane, super.

1148
00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:01,679
Speaker 4: That's what I mean. Who doesn't want to see knockout?

1149
00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:04,400
Speaker 8: Yeah? For the zero real quick you knockout. It's It's

1150
00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:06,960
a very simple concept. But you have everyone lines up

1151
00:51:06,960 --> 00:51:09,880
behind the free throw line. The first person shoots the

1152
00:51:09,880 --> 00:51:11,360
free throw. If they make it, they go to the

1153
00:51:11,400 --> 00:51:14,440
back of the line. If they miss it, the balls live.

1154
00:51:14,519 --> 00:51:16,559
The next person shoots their free throw, and if they

1155
00:51:16,559 --> 00:51:18,280
make it before the other person makes a lay up

1156
00:51:18,320 --> 00:51:21,679
of any kind of shot, they're knocked out. You would

1157
00:51:21,679 --> 00:51:23,360
have to do it. I guess the three point arc

1158
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:26,199
would be the way to deal with the prose. A

1159
00:51:26,239 --> 00:51:28,360
free free throw would be too easy for all those guys,

1160
00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:31,039
But that would actually be cool. And the funny thing

1161
00:51:31,079 --> 00:51:32,639
about knockout is I used to run it with seven

1162
00:51:32,719 --> 00:51:34,880
or eight year olds, and then I started running at

1163
00:51:34,880 --> 00:51:37,119
a higher level because, like, it's a great drill, because

1164
00:51:37,159 --> 00:51:40,159
it makes you make free throws under pressure. It also

1165
00:51:40,239 --> 00:51:42,639
makes you put the ball back up and get rebounds

1166
00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:45,400
under pressure, and it actually makes you run like you

1167
00:51:45,400 --> 00:51:47,360
get pretty winded. It's it's it's a pretty great It's

1168
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:49,840
a very basic drill, but it's a great drill. I

1169
00:51:49,920 --> 00:51:51,480
like that, Andy, I'm gonna run with that idea. I'm

1170
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:52,360
stealing your thoughts.

1171
00:51:52,719 --> 00:51:56,000
Speaker 3: I actually I was able to grab some exclusive behind

1172
00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:58,320
the scenes of the NBA trying to explain the All

1173
00:51:58,320 --> 00:52:01,519
Star Game this year. This is how they are laying

1174
00:52:01,559 --> 00:52:03,559
it out, is uh, there's.

1175
00:52:03,480 --> 00:52:06,679
Speaker 1: Disconnect to this. There's four teams. You're playing round robin version.

1176
00:52:06,760 --> 00:52:09,599
Speaker 3: So this is a live clip of the office the

1177
00:52:09,719 --> 00:52:12,440
NBA had office of them describing how this year's All

1178
00:52:12,480 --> 00:52:14,800
Star Game will go. So we can only go up, guys,

1179
00:52:14,800 --> 00:52:17,159
this is like pres running merchandise. What are we doing here?

1180
00:52:17,480 --> 00:52:19,039
Speaker 8: Yeah, I can you imagine they're gonna be setting odds

1181
00:52:19,079 --> 00:52:19,400
on this too.

1182
00:52:19,440 --> 00:52:19,719
Speaker 1: Andy.

1183
00:52:19,719 --> 00:52:21,079
Speaker 8: I mean, I know you're a prop guy and you

1184
00:52:21,159 --> 00:52:24,440
love the eccentric bets and stuff, but yeah, I mean,

1185
00:52:24,440 --> 00:52:26,559
how do you even start to handicap this stuff? It's

1186
00:52:26,559 --> 00:52:28,280
just I mean I used to always find edges in

1187
00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:30,559
the All Star Games, the NFL Pro Bowl. I used

1188
00:52:30,559 --> 00:52:34,159
best bets for clients for years. You can used to dominate.

1189
00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:35,639
They'd be a three to three and a half point favor

1190
00:52:35,719 --> 00:52:37,800
they'd still dominate. When Peyton Manning was at the Helm

1191
00:52:38,440 --> 00:52:40,559
the NBA All Star Game, I found edges the West

1192
00:52:40,599 --> 00:52:42,960
dominated for a while, especially when the ed Shaquillah and stuff.

1193
00:52:43,199 --> 00:52:45,400
And then, of course we've talked about this before the

1194
00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:47,519
Freshman Sophomore Game. It took me about a year or

1195
00:52:47,519 --> 00:52:49,880
two to catch on. But for about a four or

1196
00:52:49,920 --> 00:52:52,199
five year span, they couldn't set the line high enough

1197
00:52:52,199 --> 00:52:54,159
on the second year players because they would just rout

1198
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:57,719
the new guys and then that golden egg disappeared like

1199
00:52:57,719 --> 00:53:00,639
it always does. But yeah, this is a mess. And

1200
00:53:00,920 --> 00:53:03,079
I guess my final takeaway is I grew up at

1201
00:53:03,079 --> 00:53:05,199
a time when the AFC and NFC West East you

1202
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:08,400
had specific leagues and the best for meat would play

1203
00:53:08,400 --> 00:53:10,960
each other. And once they started mixing the leagues, I

1204
00:53:11,039 --> 00:53:12,800
kind of lost interest. And now that they're mixing the

1205
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:15,400
nations within the league, within the conferences, I mean, it's.

1206
00:53:15,280 --> 00:53:19,480
Speaker 4: Just it's totally insane. Yeah, I just think, play some

1207
00:53:19,559 --> 00:53:20,280
kids games with.

1208
00:53:20,280 --> 00:53:23,360
Speaker 2: These guys a great idea, and I bet the guys

1209
00:53:23,400 --> 00:53:25,639
would enjoy it, Like I bet the players would kind

1210
00:53:25,679 --> 00:53:28,440
of get into it a little bit because it's not

1211
00:53:28,599 --> 00:53:29,719
contact and it's.

1212
00:53:29,599 --> 00:53:31,039
Speaker 4: Not you know, you're not going to get hurt.

1213
00:53:31,079 --> 00:53:32,920
Speaker 8: Correct anyway, Good stuff.

1214
00:53:32,639 --> 00:53:34,840
Speaker 4: All right, Steve Merrill, Thank you very much, buddy.

1215
00:53:36,039 --> 00:53:39,239
Speaker 2: Good luck has always continue that awesome NBA run sixty

1216
00:53:39,280 --> 00:53:39,719
two percent.

1217
00:53:40,079 --> 00:53:42,480
Speaker 4: Congratulations on that. Good luck to you, Steve, Thanks.

1218
00:53:42,320 --> 00:53:44,320
Speaker 1: Matter, Thanks Steve.

1219
00:53:46,039 --> 00:53:46,599
Speaker 4: Uh blocked.

1220
00:53:46,639 --> 00:53:49,960
Speaker 2: Wild tax question is by Sports consulting packaging, and you're profitable,

1221
00:53:49,960 --> 00:53:51,599
can you write off the purchase of the package. This

1222
00:53:51,719 --> 00:53:54,440
is not financial advice. I am not a tax professional.

1223
00:53:54,920 --> 00:53:56,639
Consult your tax professional.

1224
00:53:57,119 --> 00:54:00,000
Speaker 4: Yes, all right, that's a good answer.

1225
00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:01,559
Speaker 1: That's the perfect way to say it.

1226
00:54:01,559 --> 00:54:05,079
Speaker 3: Andy, it's the perfect way to good disclaimer at the

1227
00:54:05,079 --> 00:54:07,719
front too, you've you've done that once or twice on video.

1228
00:54:07,840 --> 00:54:09,920
Speaker 4: You have to do that. Yeah, yeah, yeah, No, that's

1229
00:54:09,920 --> 00:54:10,400
that's moss.

1230
00:54:10,440 --> 00:54:11,719
Speaker 1: That's a moss. That's a moss.

1231
00:54:12,119 --> 00:54:14,920
Speaker 2: Yes, So all right, let's uh, you would do all

1232
00:54:14,960 --> 00:54:16,599
around the world and then talk super Bowl props.

1233
00:54:16,639 --> 00:54:17,239
Speaker 4: Let's do all around.

1234
00:54:17,320 --> 00:54:19,599
Speaker 2: Let's do it around the world, and then we'll talk

1235
00:54:19,679 --> 00:54:23,599
some super Bowl props here, all right, Uh, Rockets and pacers.

1236
00:54:23,639 --> 00:54:26,920
Tarry Eason over one and a half made three pointers.

1237
00:54:27,000 --> 00:54:29,000
He's gone over in four straight. He hit this in

1238
00:54:29,079 --> 00:54:31,800
sixty five percent of games this season. We mentioned Kevin

1239
00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:34,159
Durant is out. That should mean some more shot attempts

1240
00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:37,480
for other guys. So last ten games he's averaging four

1241
00:54:37,480 --> 00:54:39,519
point seven attempts, shooting forty eight percent.

1242
00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:40,840
Speaker 4: Really like that one.

1243
00:54:41,159 --> 00:54:44,360
Speaker 2: Matthewny's over one and a half shots on goal. We

1244
00:54:44,400 --> 00:54:48,280
talked about Matthew NY's as a regression candidate moving up,

1245
00:54:48,320 --> 00:54:51,599
he went ten games under one and a half shots

1246
00:54:51,599 --> 00:54:51,920
on goal.

1247
00:54:51,960 --> 00:54:54,239
Speaker 4: What's he done since then when we talked about it, Well, he's.

1248
00:54:54,079 --> 00:54:56,360
Speaker 2: Gone over and four out of the last five, averaging

1249
00:54:56,519 --> 00:54:59,920
five point two shots. He had five shots on goal

1250
00:55:00,079 --> 00:55:03,480
against Calgary, Calgary twenty first allowing shots on goals.

1251
00:55:03,480 --> 00:55:05,440
Speaker 4: So matthew and is over. And then this is a

1252
00:55:05,440 --> 00:55:06,000
client play.

1253
00:55:06,000 --> 00:55:07,199
Speaker 2: And again if you want to join us in the

1254
00:55:07,239 --> 00:55:09,639
Winning in the Shadows YouTube channel, we'll be live at

1255
00:55:09,679 --> 00:55:15,519
six o'clock pm Eastern watching TGL Atlanta over Jupiter Dan

1256
00:55:15,960 --> 00:55:20,679
Jupiter is the Florida team and they are terrible. They

1257
00:55:20,719 --> 00:55:23,960
have the worst player in the league, Kevin Kisner, that's

1258
00:55:24,000 --> 00:55:28,280
on there. He can't drive the ball very long. He

1259
00:55:28,320 --> 00:55:31,679
doesn't really take it that serious. And Atlanta has guys

1260
00:55:31,679 --> 00:55:34,239
that really do take it serious. Billy Horsehol's really good.

1261
00:55:34,239 --> 00:55:38,039
Glover understands it. Chris got her up. He's new this year,

1262
00:55:38,079 --> 00:55:41,360
but he obviously understood how to play the simulation golf.

1263
00:55:41,679 --> 00:55:47,360
And Jupiter has Kevin Kisner, who's won one point this year.

1264
00:55:48,199 --> 00:55:50,519
Atlanta has like three guys that have.

1265
00:55:50,480 --> 00:55:51,800
Speaker 4: All won more points than him.

1266
00:55:51,880 --> 00:55:53,719
Speaker 2: So you take the worst team with the worst player

1267
00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:56,599
and it fits. It fits the mold perfectly. It's minus

1268
00:55:56,639 --> 00:55:59,239
win sixty eight on DraftKings that thinks should be minus

1269
00:55:59,239 --> 00:56:02,320
two hundred. So Atlanta over Jupiter tonight in the TGL.

1270
00:56:02,559 --> 00:56:04,000
That is your all around the world.

1271
00:56:05,239 --> 00:56:06,480
Speaker 1: Boom.

1272
00:56:06,559 --> 00:56:09,159
Speaker 4: All right, Uh do you want to do? I do

1273
00:56:09,239 --> 00:56:11,320
passing props? You wanna do the Cooper Cup thing?

1274
00:56:11,960 --> 00:56:12,159
Speaker 1: Yeah?

1275
00:56:12,239 --> 00:56:13,920
Speaker 3: I mean they kind of tie together, Andy, So I

1276
00:56:13,920 --> 00:56:16,440
guess we'll kind here with with the Cooper Cup thing

1277
00:56:16,519 --> 00:56:19,880
because this was posted to Twitter. Here, I'll pull up

1278
00:56:19,920 --> 00:56:22,639
the tweet and I'll go full screen so you guys

1279
00:56:22,639 --> 00:56:25,159
can see it a little bit better here. But essentially

1280
00:56:25,199 --> 00:56:28,480
what the guy was saying here is that is that

1281
00:56:28,599 --> 00:56:32,360
Cooper Cup is basically telling everyone he will be attempting

1282
00:56:32,440 --> 00:56:34,599
a pass in the Super Bowl. So this picture was

1283
00:56:34,639 --> 00:56:38,559
posted to Cooper Cup's instagram of him throwing a pass.

1284
00:56:38,639 --> 00:56:39,039
Speaker 1: Andy.

1285
00:56:39,320 --> 00:56:43,960
Speaker 3: And since this was posted on Twitter alone or x alone,

1286
00:56:44,559 --> 00:56:47,440
one point two million views on this, So I would

1287
00:56:47,440 --> 00:56:49,840
assume there are many people who are betting that prop

1288
00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:53,119
over one and a half players to attempt to pass

1289
00:56:53,119 --> 00:56:56,079
in the Super Bowl solely based off of this picture

1290
00:56:56,119 --> 00:56:59,119
that was posted to the instagram of Cooper Cup.

1291
00:56:59,760 --> 00:57:03,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, Yeah, it's heavy juice to the under on DraftKings

1292
00:57:03,719 --> 00:57:04,840
at this point the two and a half.

1293
00:57:04,880 --> 00:57:06,599
Speaker 4: But let me pose this question to you.

1294
00:57:06,679 --> 00:57:06,800
Speaker 6: Dan.

1295
00:57:06,880 --> 00:57:09,639
Speaker 2: Let's say you and I are wide receivers for the

1296
00:57:09,639 --> 00:57:12,559
Seattle Seahawks and we've made it to the Super Bowl. Okay,

1297
00:57:12,800 --> 00:57:15,480
So it's the Monday of Super Bowl Week and I

1298
00:57:15,559 --> 00:57:17,159
go to you and I say, Dan, would you like

1299
00:57:17,199 --> 00:57:18,119
to go play catch?

1300
00:57:18,320 --> 00:57:19,519
Speaker 4: Because we're wide receivers.

1301
00:57:19,840 --> 00:57:21,519
Speaker 2: We play for the Seattle Seahawks, and we have a

1302
00:57:21,559 --> 00:57:23,079
Super Bowl coming up and we would like to get

1303
00:57:23,079 --> 00:57:23,639
some reps in.

1304
00:57:24,039 --> 00:57:26,400
Speaker 4: So you say, yes, I would like to play catch. Andy.

1305
00:57:26,480 --> 00:57:28,880
Speaker 2: So we put on our pads and our jerseys and

1306
00:57:28,920 --> 00:57:30,880
our helmets and we go out to the practice field

1307
00:57:30,880 --> 00:57:32,440
and I go to the equipment manager and I say,

1308
00:57:32,440 --> 00:57:33,920
could I have a ball please? I would like to

1309
00:57:33,920 --> 00:57:36,760
play catch with my teammate Dan. We're wide receivers for

1310
00:57:36,800 --> 00:57:38,599
the Seattle Seahawks. We're playing in the Super Bowl. We

1311
00:57:38,639 --> 00:57:40,599
would like to get some reps in. He gives me

1312
00:57:40,639 --> 00:57:41,000
the ball.

1313
00:57:41,679 --> 00:57:43,360
Speaker 4: I don't throw it really hard to you because I've

1314
00:57:43,360 --> 00:57:46,320
got a or shoulder, but I toss it to you.

1315
00:57:46,320 --> 00:57:48,239
You have now caught the ball because.

1316
00:57:47,960 --> 00:57:50,039
Speaker 2: You're a wide receiver for the Seattle Seahawks and we're

1317
00:57:50,039 --> 00:57:52,079
playing in the Super Bowl, what do you do with

1318
00:57:52,159 --> 00:57:52,639
the ball?

1319
00:57:52,880 --> 00:57:55,920
Speaker 4: If you and I have agreed to play catch.

1320
00:57:56,440 --> 00:57:59,760
Speaker 1: I'm probably going to throw the ball back to you.

1321
00:57:59,800 --> 00:58:01,960
And that's probably probably my move is going to be,

1322
00:58:02,000 --> 00:58:03,039
throw the ball back to you.

1323
00:58:03,159 --> 00:58:06,960
Speaker 2: Final answer, At that exact time someone takes a picture

1324
00:58:07,400 --> 00:58:08,000
of you.

1325
00:58:08,199 --> 00:58:10,199
Speaker 4: It does not mean you're throwing a pass in the

1326
00:58:10,239 --> 00:58:12,559
Super Bowl. It means you're throwing the ball back to me.

1327
00:58:13,280 --> 00:58:13,559
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1328
00:58:13,559 --> 00:58:16,639
Speaker 3: And also, Andy, if you're Mike McDonald, who let's give

1329
00:58:16,719 --> 00:58:18,480
credit where credit is due. You know, was I a

1330
00:58:18,519 --> 00:58:20,719
McDonald guy when he first got there? Not really, But

1331
00:58:20,800 --> 00:58:23,079
this guy has solidified himself as one of the best

1332
00:58:23,559 --> 00:58:27,599
or one of the better game day tacticians and leading

1333
00:58:27,679 --> 00:58:30,599
up preparation tacticians. Do you think there's any way in

1334
00:58:30,679 --> 00:58:33,239
hell that Mike McDonald is like, Yeah, don't worry about it, Coop,

1335
00:58:33,360 --> 00:58:36,159
just post that picture of you throwing a pass because

1336
00:58:36,159 --> 00:58:38,480
it's going to be part of our game plan, you

1337
00:58:38,519 --> 00:58:42,960
know what I mean. Like, it's just the social media craziness,

1338
00:58:43,039 --> 00:58:45,039
Like could that bet cash?

1339
00:58:45,119 --> 00:58:45,719
Speaker 1: Maybe?

1340
00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:48,039
Speaker 3: But if your sole handicap is I saw a picture

1341
00:58:48,039 --> 00:58:51,159
of Cooper Cup throwing a football What are we doing, Andy,

1342
00:58:51,519 --> 00:58:52,239
what are we doing?

1343
00:58:52,400 --> 00:58:54,519
Speaker 4: No, don't don't. Don't believe the hype.

1344
00:58:54,679 --> 00:58:57,519
Speaker 2: So all right, well let's go over some uh, let's

1345
00:58:57,519 --> 00:59:02,400
go over some passing props here, Dan, The big thing

1346
00:59:02,480 --> 00:59:07,320
I think is this Drake May situation, right, Yeah, the shoulder.

1347
00:59:07,000 --> 00:59:09,599
Speaker 1: Everyone talking about injury.

1348
00:59:09,679 --> 00:59:12,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it is Super Bowl week, So any little

1349
00:59:12,599 --> 00:59:13,960
inny bitty story we do.

1350
00:59:14,000 --> 00:59:15,639
Speaker 4: Have to to talk about.

1351
00:59:16,159 --> 00:59:18,000
Speaker 2: Uh, Drake May two hundred and twenty one and a

1352
00:59:18,039 --> 00:59:20,599
half at the time, recording with Sam Darnold two twenty

1353
00:59:20,679 --> 00:59:23,639
eight there and a half passing yards.

1354
00:59:23,679 --> 00:59:24,880
Speaker 4: Any thoughts on this one?

1355
00:59:25,480 --> 00:59:29,199
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I feel like the May injury may

1356
00:59:29,239 --> 00:59:31,000
get pretty well overblown.

1357
00:59:31,039 --> 00:59:32,360
Speaker 1: I mean, let's let's be real.

1358
00:59:32,639 --> 00:59:34,840
Speaker 3: Is this is also a team who sure they'll take

1359
00:59:34,880 --> 00:59:39,079
some shots downfield. May also was an MVP candidate for

1360
00:59:39,119 --> 00:59:42,960
a reason. But this is the point Andy, where let's

1361
00:59:43,000 --> 00:59:46,519
not ignore the fact of the competition that the Patriots

1362
00:59:46,519 --> 00:59:49,360
played to get there. Yeah, the reason why May was

1363
00:59:49,400 --> 00:59:53,320
blowing teams up offensively was because they weren't really playing

1364
00:59:53,360 --> 00:59:56,599
that great of defenses. Since they've played defensive they've gone

1365
00:59:56,639 --> 00:59:59,079
to this kind of run first approach. You have to,

1366
00:59:59,519 --> 01:00:02,840
you know, decent backs there in the backfield, Ramandre Stevenson

1367
01:00:02,880 --> 01:00:05,039
figures to get a lot of you know action here.

1368
01:00:05,119 --> 01:00:08,360
So for me, with all the Drake May injury talk,

1369
01:00:08,800 --> 01:00:11,199
it's enough for me to just cross the name off

1370
01:00:11,199 --> 01:00:12,880
of the list, you know what I mean. There's so

1371
01:00:12,960 --> 01:00:15,320
many different ways to bet this. Are you betting anything

1372
01:00:15,400 --> 01:00:17,400
Drake Makers? Probably the only thing that I would look

1373
01:00:17,440 --> 01:00:19,760
is what Crack was talking about earlier, looking at him

1374
01:00:19,760 --> 01:00:22,079
in the rushing side of the equation. As far as

1375
01:00:22,119 --> 01:00:25,639
passing Drake May props, even on it, even without the injury,

1376
01:00:25,679 --> 01:00:27,360
that wouldn't be something that I would be looking to

1377
01:00:27,360 --> 01:00:29,280
add into my portfolio for Sunday.

1378
01:00:30,440 --> 01:00:32,480
Speaker 2: I think it's a pretty easy pass on Drake May

1379
01:00:32,599 --> 01:00:36,239
passing props. Again, there's no need to force anything, uh

1380
01:00:36,280 --> 01:00:36,639
in there.

1381
01:00:37,039 --> 01:00:38,719
Speaker 4: Sam Darnold two.

1382
01:00:38,559 --> 01:00:40,480
Speaker 2: Twenty eight and a half, he had the monster game

1383
01:00:40,480 --> 01:00:44,920
against LA But yeah, way Unders, this is kind of

1384
01:00:44,960 --> 01:00:48,360
a of another one that I'm kind of not interested in.

1385
01:00:49,280 --> 01:00:52,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean again, same here for me, simply because

1386
01:00:53,679 --> 01:00:55,519
if you're the Seattle Seahawks, if you get a great

1387
01:00:55,559 --> 01:00:57,800
game at Andy Dalton, great, you know what I mean,

1388
01:00:57,800 --> 01:01:00,960
You're super pumped about it. However, woould you rather just

1389
01:01:01,039 --> 01:01:03,800
be able to ride Kenneth Walker. Would you rather just

1390
01:01:03,840 --> 01:01:05,719
be able to dink and duct down the field? Would

1391
01:01:05,719 --> 01:01:09,039
you rather have defensive scores being what stacks you up?

1392
01:01:09,239 --> 01:01:09,320
Speaker 1: Like?

1393
01:01:09,360 --> 01:01:11,079
Speaker 3: I hate to say it, but in the Super Bowl,

1394
01:01:11,119 --> 01:01:14,840
I'm not really interested in betting either of these either

1395
01:01:14,880 --> 01:01:18,440
of these quarterbacks towards their overprops simply because of good

1396
01:01:18,599 --> 01:01:22,440
past performances has really priced you out of it, especially

1397
01:01:22,760 --> 01:01:24,960
in the case of Sam Darnald. And I think the

1398
01:01:25,079 --> 01:01:27,199
jokes of Sam Donald's going to turn back into a

1399
01:01:27,239 --> 01:01:31,039
pumpkin like those can finally be laid to rest. However,

1400
01:01:31,679 --> 01:01:34,840
come the Super Bowl, the Seahawks are more than happy

1401
01:01:34,880 --> 01:01:37,599
than having a small game out of Donald if it

1402
01:01:37,639 --> 01:01:38,519
means that they get a win.

1403
01:01:38,679 --> 01:01:41,599
Speaker 1: And their defense has shown an ability that you.

1404
01:01:41,559 --> 01:01:43,920
Speaker 3: Know, let's not put the ball in Harm's way, Let's

1405
01:01:43,960 --> 01:01:46,360
not turn the ball over, let's not go for it

1406
01:01:46,400 --> 01:01:49,559
on fourth downs. Let's let our defense do what they've

1407
01:01:49,559 --> 01:01:51,639
done all year, and that's win football games for us.

1408
01:01:51,679 --> 01:01:54,199
And I don't see why that would change coming here

1409
01:01:54,199 --> 01:01:55,000
into the Super Bowl.

1410
01:01:56,679 --> 01:02:01,679
Speaker 2: Past completions, Drake May's completions have on under this is yeah,

1411
01:02:02,000 --> 01:02:03,360
not really a fluke.

1412
01:02:03,440 --> 01:02:05,239
Speaker 4: This might be something I could look at But then again.

1413
01:02:05,079 --> 01:02:07,199
Speaker 2: You gotta worry about like what if they're down, what

1414
01:02:07,239 --> 01:02:09,000
if they hurry up in the second half?

1415
01:02:09,000 --> 01:02:12,920
Speaker 4: What you know, Like I mean Denver, he was always

1416
01:02:12,920 --> 01:02:15,840
gonna go under against that. What Houston was awful. CJ.

1417
01:02:15,960 --> 01:02:18,119
Streu was awful. They just ran the ball quite a bit.

1418
01:02:18,159 --> 01:02:20,679
Speaker 2: And then you got the Chargers, Dolphins and Jets. Do

1419
01:02:20,719 --> 01:02:22,920
you really have to throw the ball that much? But again,

1420
01:02:23,760 --> 01:02:26,559
not really that interested in these.

1421
01:02:26,639 --> 01:02:30,400
Speaker 4: The passing props. I don't really know what to do

1422
01:02:30,480 --> 01:02:31,159
with these.

1423
01:02:31,159 --> 01:02:31,840
Speaker 1: Fought and.

1424
01:02:33,280 --> 01:02:34,840
Speaker 3: You I know, and I hate to be like, oh,

1425
01:02:34,840 --> 01:02:36,719
we're talking Super Bowl passing props and be like, we

1426
01:02:36,760 --> 01:02:39,639
don't want to bet them. But receiving props. We gave

1427
01:02:39,719 --> 01:02:41,719
him a great breakdown for rushing props. You can find

1428
01:02:41,760 --> 01:02:43,920
him here on the channel. We gave a great breakdown

1429
01:02:43,960 --> 01:02:46,400
for I would be remissive. We at least didn't talk

1430
01:02:46,440 --> 01:02:50,679
about it Andy any thoughts here on interceptions for either

1431
01:02:50,719 --> 01:02:53,280
of these guys. So the combined interceptions in the game,

1432
01:02:53,360 --> 01:02:55,199
you think both of them are gonna throw them, you

1433
01:02:55,239 --> 01:02:58,079
can bet the over one and a half at plus

1434
01:02:58,119 --> 01:03:03,679
one forty five the over for the combined quarterbacks passing interceptions,

1435
01:03:03,679 --> 01:03:05,639
And let's say one of them gets two, you know

1436
01:03:05,679 --> 01:03:07,400
it still is going to go over. It doesn't mean

1437
01:03:07,440 --> 01:03:10,199
one and one have to go. The over at this

1438
01:03:10,320 --> 01:03:13,599
number has cashed in, what would it be? One, two, three,

1439
01:03:13,920 --> 01:03:16,480
four out of the last six Super Bowls, so four

1440
01:03:16,519 --> 01:03:19,639
and two the over on combined interceptions. And where I'm

1441
01:03:19,639 --> 01:03:23,079
getting that information from is Ralph Michaels right now. He

1442
01:03:23,159 --> 01:03:26,960
has a Super Bowl prop overview at his page live

1443
01:03:27,159 --> 01:03:29,599
free to download. You can also just find it on

1444
01:03:29,599 --> 01:03:32,039
the wager Talk home page as well. But you know,

1445
01:03:32,119 --> 01:03:34,519
it breaks down what's happened in the last x amount

1446
01:03:34,559 --> 01:03:37,320
of years, games that go to overtime, games that get missed.

1447
01:03:37,320 --> 01:03:40,480
But if you're looking at interception props, you know, instead

1448
01:03:40,480 --> 01:03:43,360
of betting the guys individually, I would almost lean towards

1449
01:03:43,400 --> 01:03:45,760
taking that plus one forty five and if you have

1450
01:03:45,800 --> 01:03:49,159
pretty will be perceptions taking the over at one half

1451
01:03:49,360 --> 01:03:51,599
and maybe one guy throws two, maybe one throws one.

1452
01:03:51,480 --> 01:03:54,960
Speaker 4: Each, pretty good. Yeah, I mean longest pass I just

1453
01:03:55,000 --> 01:03:56,280
think the passing props are.

1454
01:03:56,679 --> 01:04:00,920
Speaker 2: Not not that great, not that great, yeah, so I'll

1455
01:04:00,920 --> 01:04:04,159
probably be be abstaining from that. So all right, those

1456
01:04:04,159 --> 01:04:07,800
are your vanilla bland, non helpful passing prop sure, welcome.

1457
01:04:07,800 --> 01:04:10,000
Speaker 1: We at least gave one lean.

1458
01:04:10,440 --> 01:04:13,119
Speaker 3: You know what, well, bet I'm going to bet over

1459
01:04:13,199 --> 01:04:16,840
one and a half interceptions for the game. Combine interceptions

1460
01:04:16,840 --> 01:04:19,119
at plus one forty five. You at least have a

1461
01:04:19,119 --> 01:04:21,639
free play for you and it's one that I'm betting myself.

1462
01:04:21,719 --> 01:04:23,880
I'll bet one and a half units on the over

1463
01:04:23,920 --> 01:04:24,960
one and a half at plus one.

1464
01:04:25,639 --> 01:04:28,239
Speaker 2: Lock it in, Andy, There you go, there you go,

1465
01:04:28,719 --> 01:04:30,199
All right, let's gonna do it for us. We got

1466
01:04:30,239 --> 01:04:34,800
the WTFLFG. I think we got some agreement with the senators.

1467
01:04:34,880 --> 01:04:36,800
I mean, what if we've done a play it Noney

1468
01:04:36,840 --> 01:04:38,360
comes in, It's like, oh, all the sharps are on

1469
01:04:38,360 --> 01:04:43,480
that one. That was fun, right, So yeah, we'll keep

1470
01:04:43,480 --> 01:04:45,760
an eye on that one. TGL goes off to night

1471
01:04:45,800 --> 01:04:48,559
at six o'clock and take a look at those specials pages.

1472
01:04:48,599 --> 01:04:48,760
Speaker 1: Guys.

1473
01:04:48,760 --> 01:04:50,960
Speaker 2: We've got some really good short term and long term

1474
01:04:51,000 --> 01:04:53,519
deals for all handicappers. And if you could please hit

1475
01:04:53,559 --> 01:04:55,519
the like button, really really appreciate it. Leave us a

1476
01:04:55,519 --> 01:04:58,199
comment blow in the comment section. We'll be back tomorrow

1477
01:04:58,280 --> 01:05:02,320
breaking down more Super Bowl props. Probably be NBA heavy tomorrow,

1478
01:05:02,400 --> 01:05:04,599
so a lot of a lot of good hoops action tomorrow.

1479
01:05:04,639 --> 01:05:06,960
Thank you very much everyone. You guys crush it in

1480
01:05:07,239 --> 01:05:09,760
the chat as always. Good luck on your bets and

1481
01:05:09,760 --> 01:05:10,599
we'll see them on tomorrow.

1482
01:05:10,639 --> 01:05:10,960
Speaker 4: Take care,