1
00:00:00,600 --> 00:00:04,080
Speaker 1: Love, Welcome in to last call here on Wager Talk.

2
00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:07,719
It is college Football Week twelve. I'm Joe Madden. Kelly

3
00:00:07,719 --> 00:00:09,919
Ster will be back next week filling in for her

4
00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:13,199
today as she is on a plane taken off somewhere.

5
00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:15,880
But we've got a lot to go over today. Art

6
00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:18,800
to Caesar unfortunately is unable to make it you guys.

7
00:00:18,800 --> 00:00:21,399
But I do have what he's needing where the sharp

8
00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:24,120
money is going, So we're gonna go over that first.

9
00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:25,719
But before we do, make sure you hit that like

10
00:00:25,719 --> 00:00:29,079
button over here on YouTube. Also open your own logic

11
00:00:29,199 --> 00:00:31,719
page so you can look at these lines across the board.

12
00:00:31,719 --> 00:00:34,359
We always want to shop for our best lines for sure,

13
00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:37,679
so looking at what Art is needing you guys. Also

14
00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:40,600
before we do, I want to note Gianny the Greek

15
00:00:40,759 --> 00:00:43,280
Teddy covers and Ralph Michael's in the show today, so

16
00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:47,399
absolutely loaded for you guys. Art is needing us s.

17
00:00:47,719 --> 00:00:50,840
That is the number one need for the books, needing

18
00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:53,520
Texas as well, which is kind of surprising. I thought

19
00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:56,200
money would be on the other side of that. We're

20
00:00:56,240 --> 00:01:01,600
needing Navy, Michigan State South, othern myths and Old miss

21
00:01:01,640 --> 00:01:04,280
Those are all the needs for Westgate now. When we

22
00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:07,840
look at where the sharp money is, Iowa plus the

23
00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:11,040
seven has the sharp money u n l V minus

24
00:01:11,079 --> 00:01:13,799
four and minus five and a half. Sharp money has

25
00:01:13,879 --> 00:01:16,640
come in on San Jose State minus the eight and

26
00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:19,959
a half, TCU plus four and a half and plus

27
00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,519
three and a half, Texas State plus the six and

28
00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:25,400
a half and plus the four and a half UVA

29
00:01:25,439 --> 00:01:28,159
plus six and a half and plus five. Now where

30
00:01:28,159 --> 00:01:31,159
the public really has come in. Publics come in on

31
00:01:31,439 --> 00:01:36,400
ukon uga A and M and ls U LSU after

32
00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:38,959
that last game, can't pley. Public money has come there.

33
00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:44,599
Art's favorite play Udsu Udsu minus the two and a

34
00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:48,159
half is Art's favorite place. You guys, that's where Art

35
00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:50,560
is going. Like I said, we got a whole bunch

36
00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:53,879
of people in there. I'm seeing comment that I need

37
00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,359
a mic. If my mic isn't at the right levels,

38
00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:58,640
let me know it could be my voice today, you guys.

39
00:01:58,719 --> 00:02:01,239
I was yelling at my TV live last night quite

40
00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:03,879
a bit. But we've got Johnny the Greek in Teddy Covers,

41
00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:07,120
Ralph Michaels in the live chat here. You guys, drop

42
00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:09,960
what you want to ask these guys where you have

43
00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:12,120
questions before you get these bets in. It is a

44
00:02:12,159 --> 00:02:14,639
week twelve, so much on the line for a lot

45
00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:17,520
of these games, some really big games on the deck.

46
00:02:17,719 --> 00:02:20,479
So we'll see what we're gonna have. I think we've

47
00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:22,960
got some upsets maybe in the making. Let me know

48
00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:26,680
who your favorite upset is. And again, all those questions

49
00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:28,479
in that chat, we're going to get to them. So

50
00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:31,080
let's bring Johnny the Greek in see where the steam

51
00:02:31,159 --> 00:02:32,120
is at all.

52
00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:34,360
Speaker 2: Right, good morning, good morning, busy morning.

53
00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:38,879
Speaker 3: We got college football, college basketball, NFL tomorrow, UFC pay

54
00:02:38,879 --> 00:02:41,680
per view, So I'll start where do you want to start?

55
00:02:41,719 --> 00:02:43,840
Speaker 2: I'll guess share some of the steam moves.

56
00:02:43,879 --> 00:02:46,080
Speaker 3: I mean there's like three hundred when you add sides

57
00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:50,240
in totals and college basketball, college football. But here's some

58
00:02:50,319 --> 00:02:52,879
of the sides I probably tell from the line moves.

59
00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:58,319
Three twenty eight James Madison minus twenty Notre Dame talked

60
00:02:58,319 --> 00:03:00,120
about them earlier in the week at three fifth, the

61
00:03:00,199 --> 00:03:02,120
one they're up at about twelve and a half thirteen

62
00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:06,840
right now. Georgia got steamed earlier in the week. Opposite

63
00:03:06,879 --> 00:03:10,919
money came in later in the week. Iowa touched on

64
00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:17,039
that as well. Michigan, Michigan early Northwestern late. We did

65
00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:21,000
see some Northwestern money come in late. What else do

66
00:03:21,039 --> 00:03:26,159
I have for you? Sharnt oh, Memphis plus three, Memphis

67
00:03:26,199 --> 00:03:32,919
plus three over fifty in Georgia and Texas, and yeah

68
00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:35,560
the rest I gave out a bunch on bed on it.

69
00:03:36,080 --> 00:03:38,680
But that's some of the college football that's still sitting

70
00:03:38,719 --> 00:03:40,360
around and didn't get much.

71
00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:42,680
Speaker 2: Resistance.

72
00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:46,560
Speaker 1: Let's say now we're seeing art does need Texas out there.

73
00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:49,080
Are you surprised by that that money is coming in

74
00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:49,639
on Georgia?

75
00:03:51,919 --> 00:03:53,840
Speaker 2: No, no, no, no, no, not at all.

76
00:03:55,159 --> 00:03:58,280
Speaker 3: In fact, Texas has been one of those teams that

77
00:03:58,439 --> 00:04:01,719
early on people drew that narrative that their phony that

78
00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:04,159
you know, Manning just has the name. If you remember,

79
00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:08,639
they had some problems early on and everyone was fading

80
00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:11,199
them against Oklahoma that was a huge game. They turned

81
00:04:11,199 --> 00:04:16,279
it around, got the W and power rating wise, what's

82
00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:21,439
it called? Texas has been slowly but surely climbing. Georgia's

83
00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:25,920
same thing. I'm not surprised to see the sharps on

84
00:04:26,079 --> 00:04:29,079
the dog and the public on Georgia. They've been getting

85
00:04:29,079 --> 00:04:33,240
money pretty much every week. I haven't touched that game personally,

86
00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:34,319
and we're.

87
00:04:34,199 --> 00:04:36,639
Speaker 1: Seeing movement in that line there's a four and a

88
00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:38,920
half even right now at hard Rock because there is

89
00:04:38,959 --> 00:04:41,480
some money coming in on Texas, So gonna be an

90
00:04:41,600 --> 00:04:44,439
interesting one there to see if arch Manning can play

91
00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:46,720
up in this big game, if he can expose the

92
00:04:46,759 --> 00:04:49,759
secondary a little bit there. Of Georgia, Johnny, you think

93
00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:51,839
maybe it's a good day. He had two great days

94
00:04:51,879 --> 00:04:52,240
before that.

95
00:04:52,439 --> 00:04:52,720
Speaker 4: Ye.

96
00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:56,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean listen, like, there was no way he

97
00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:58,639
was going to live up the expectations. He would have

98
00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:01,439
had to come in and own five touchdowns every game,

99
00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:05,120
four hundred yards no interceptions to live up to those expectations.

100
00:05:05,399 --> 00:05:09,439
So obviously, like when you set that kind of standard

101
00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:12,680
and then you have that last name, it's always going

102
00:05:12,759 --> 00:05:14,720
to be hard to live up to it. If anything,

103
00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:16,199
I think you were able to take advantage of it

104
00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,040
when he did come out not looking all that great,

105
00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:21,759
living up to it. But I see no reason why

106
00:05:21,759 --> 00:05:24,160
he's not going to continue to improve in this system,

107
00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:27,160
if anything, And I think as he gets more minutes

108
00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,839
under him, you're just going to see better and better results.

109
00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:36,120
So yeah, I don't think that was abnormal. I think

110
00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:38,920
if anything, that's him progressing towards the mean. He's going

111
00:05:38,959 --> 00:05:41,839
to be a stub that's the bottom line, but they

112
00:05:41,879 --> 00:05:44,759
just can't cover the number because they do attract money

113
00:05:44,759 --> 00:05:48,000
at the window. Again, they've won four straight games, but

114
00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:51,000
they've only covered one of those because they've just been

115
00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:55,000
priced high because of that that name, I guess. But yeah,

116
00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:57,399
they're getting faded today by the Sharps, that's for sure.

117
00:05:57,480 --> 00:06:00,160
But I don't really have an opinion. Gun the head,

118
00:06:00,639 --> 00:06:03,439
I don't know. I'd pass, I'd say shoot me. I

119
00:06:03,439 --> 00:06:04,240
don't want this game.

120
00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:07,800
Speaker 1: I got one more question than arch Manning. If he

121
00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:09,800
comes out and it's a big in this one, is

122
00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:13,040
able to carry Texas to a win here over Georgia,

123
00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:15,240
will he be in Heisman conversation in.

124
00:06:15,199 --> 00:06:17,399
Speaker 3: Your No, no, no, no, it's too late for that.

125
00:06:17,439 --> 00:06:19,519
It's way too late for that. There's there's other guys

126
00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:24,160
that surpassed him. Yeah, I just don't think that he'll he'll.

127
00:06:25,319 --> 00:06:26,959
I don't even think the odds are going to be

128
00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:30,720
worth it because coming in he was just so overvalued.

129
00:06:31,399 --> 00:06:33,920
Then he dropped obviously in price. That was probably when

130
00:06:33,959 --> 00:06:35,920
they get him. But if anything, if he comes off

131
00:06:35,959 --> 00:06:38,680
a big game, it'll be once again like that, the

132
00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:40,240
price is jacked up.

133
00:06:40,439 --> 00:06:42,120
Speaker 2: So now I don't see any value there.

134
00:06:42,639 --> 00:06:45,639
Speaker 1: Okay, Richard Lockhart has a question here. He's got air

135
00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:48,040
Force plus the seven and a half. Any thoughts on

136
00:06:48,079 --> 00:06:48,600
that one.

137
00:06:49,319 --> 00:06:52,959
Speaker 3: No, I haven't seen anything actually on that game, so

138
00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:56,680
his opinions probably better than mine. I I haven't betted,

139
00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:00,519
I've seen I know they keep saying that all the

140
00:07:00,519 --> 00:07:03,639
public's on Connecticut all that. I'm sure the percentage sites

141
00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:06,759
say Connecticut, Connecticut, but I'm not seeing that the back

142
00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:09,560
end that I see most of the public accounts are

143
00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:13,759
actually on air Force a book that has really good

144
00:07:13,879 --> 00:07:17,600
balance of public players all across the country.

145
00:07:18,079 --> 00:07:20,199
Speaker 2: Same thing with him. He's got balanced action.

146
00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:24,680
Speaker 3: So I see that the one sided talk on Connecticut,

147
00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:27,240
but I just don't see it in the book. And

148
00:07:27,319 --> 00:07:30,279
that half point line movement through that key seven worries

149
00:07:30,319 --> 00:07:32,920
me a little bit. I don't like the game, gum

150
00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:36,600
the head. I'd probably lay the points with Connecticut, but

151
00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:37,800
now it's seven and a half.

152
00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,040
Speaker 2: No, it's a pass. Good luck. I hope his air

153
00:07:40,079 --> 00:07:41,600
Force bet because I don't have it.

154
00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:44,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's have comes to your head this morning? What Andrew?

155
00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:47,439
Speaker 2: Some ugly games?

156
00:07:47,839 --> 00:07:50,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, there's definitely some tough games out there across the board.

157
00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:52,720
Andrew's asking about Cincinnati and.

158
00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:57,759
Speaker 3: Duke Cincinnati Cincinnati, Well, we saw two sided action here.

159
00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:02,600
Cincinnati got early money. Today you're starting to see that

160
00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:07,439
Arizona money come in Cincinnati. So again, I don't mean

161
00:08:07,439 --> 00:08:09,959
that like not, I just don't have anything there. Like

162
00:08:10,199 --> 00:08:12,439
there's if I see both sides in the account, I

163
00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:15,120
can only tell you what I'm seeing, and that's exactly

164
00:08:15,199 --> 00:08:20,279
what I've seen. I've seen Arizona side and Cincinnati side

165
00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:23,480
gun the head one more time. It's another game that

166
00:08:23,639 --> 00:08:27,199
I just wouldn't bet again. You got to remember we're

167
00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:29,879
paying admission every bet we placed. You have to lay

168
00:08:29,879 --> 00:08:31,720
eleven to ten. Whether you like it or not, you're

169
00:08:31,759 --> 00:08:34,799
paying an admission, so you have to have conviction. And

170
00:08:34,919 --> 00:08:37,399
I just don't have that conviction. And I never want

171
00:08:37,399 --> 00:08:40,360
to steer the viewers away from their own opinion, Like

172
00:08:40,399 --> 00:08:44,159
if I don't have anything strong and no conviction, I

173
00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:47,039
don't want to shave them towards.

174
00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:47,639
Speaker 1: One side or another.

175
00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:49,559
Speaker 2: But that's all I'm seeing in that game.

176
00:08:49,799 --> 00:08:53,639
Speaker 3: I saw Cincinnati steam, I saw Arizona sharp money as well,

177
00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:57,600
And so far today line's just been sitting there at

178
00:08:57,639 --> 00:08:58,440
five and a half.

179
00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:01,039
Speaker 2: So I guess the books feel at minus one ten.

180
00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:03,519
Speaker 3: Neither side gives you the best of it because they

181
00:09:03,519 --> 00:09:05,000
seem comfortable at five and a half.

182
00:09:05,360 --> 00:09:08,320
Speaker 1: Are you seeing any love coming in for Clemson at all?

183
00:09:09,919 --> 00:09:13,279
Speaker 2: That was yesterday? That was yesterday. Yeah, they got day.

184
00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:17,519
Speaker 3: It's got there for some nice four plus the three Okay.

185
00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:19,559
Speaker 1: Nice, nice to see clembs a game on a Friday night.

186
00:09:20,639 --> 00:09:23,159
Let's see what else people are asking here for you.

187
00:09:23,279 --> 00:09:26,840
Thoughts on South Carolina plus seventeen. They have a lot

188
00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:27,360
of cover.

189
00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:30,480
Speaker 3: I like it over Texas A and M. There's a

190
00:09:30,519 --> 00:09:32,960
game I do like because Texas A and M has

191
00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,919
been overvalued. I've talked about it. People think I have

192
00:09:36,000 --> 00:09:38,480
something personal against Texas A and M. I promise you

193
00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:42,039
I do not. I've slowly been moving them up in

194
00:09:42,159 --> 00:09:45,399
my power ratings. They just cracked my top ten. But

195
00:09:45,519 --> 00:09:49,200
they've been overvalued. They've been exceeding expectations. Good for them,

196
00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:53,600
but I've been continuing expecting them to regress towards their

197
00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:55,960
mean and they're just not a top three team in

198
00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:59,559
the country. That's just not the case. So I like

199
00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:04,320
South Carolina here. I think they're a decent three and sixteen.

200
00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:08,200
The line shouldn't be more than I think eleven twelve.

201
00:10:08,320 --> 00:10:12,399
Probably again, South Carolina's had the third toughest schedule in

202
00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:15,159
all of college football, third toughest, and yet they have

203
00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:18,200
a top fifteen defense with that, and this is an

204
00:10:18,240 --> 00:10:21,879
offense that's barely top seventy. So it's an offense that's

205
00:10:21,919 --> 00:10:24,159
not giving the defense any help. And yet they're still

206
00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:28,000
top fifteen and they've had the third toughest schedule. If

207
00:10:28,039 --> 00:10:30,519
I'm catching points, I'm gonna look at a team like that,

208
00:10:31,039 --> 00:10:34,320
especially against a Texas A and M team, where I

209
00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:37,039
know I have the superior defense. You know, they're barely

210
00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:39,879
top twenty five. They've had a solid strength of schedule too,

211
00:10:39,879 --> 00:10:41,840
but not as tough as South Carolina's.

212
00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:42,240
Speaker 2: I think.

213
00:10:42,279 --> 00:10:46,960
Speaker 3: So Carolina keeps it within the number. Eventually Texas A

214
00:10:46,960 --> 00:10:49,639
and M does get exposed, we'll find time to make

215
00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:52,399
money off them. But at seventeen, that's a gift. I

216
00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:54,279
like say South Carolina a lot today.

217
00:10:54,639 --> 00:10:56,559
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm gonna throw out one here because I can't

218
00:10:56,600 --> 00:10:59,320
believe no one's talking about it, not tre Don versus Pit.

219
00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:02,200
What are your thoughts here on Pitt? They kind of

220
00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:04,799
been talking they're head coach that they don't care about

221
00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:08,320
this one. Johnny, do you think that's just maybe him

222
00:11:08,320 --> 00:11:10,840
thrown out an excuse early for a lot.

223
00:11:11,519 --> 00:11:14,639
Speaker 2: That's where the narrative got away from us. Like I.

224
00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:18,720
Speaker 3: Wish I could tell you to keep the bet Notre Dame,

225
00:11:19,039 --> 00:11:21,519
but I can't urge you to take a bad number.

226
00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:22,120
Speaker 5: I got down.

227
00:11:22,159 --> 00:11:25,200
Speaker 3: I'll tell you I becave a four percent best bet

228
00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:28,879
to my subscribers at minus ten. In fact, it qualified

229
00:11:28,919 --> 00:11:35,320
for a five percent big move because the power rating

230
00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:37,960
that I had showed Notre Dame should win this by

231
00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:42,720
a lot more than that spread. And more importantly, I

232
00:11:42,799 --> 00:11:45,039
knew I felt confident that the line was going to

233
00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:47,759
move in my favor. The only reason I didn't fire

234
00:11:47,840 --> 00:11:50,840
five percent is this that I knew the line was

235
00:11:50,879 --> 00:11:52,759
going to move. I was confident it was going to move,

236
00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:55,600
and I didn't want the Wager Talk girls to get

237
00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:57,639
a bunch of emails this morning.

238
00:11:57,360 --> 00:11:59,320
Speaker 2: Asking what do we do? What do we do? He

239
00:11:59,399 --> 00:12:01,879
gave it out eleven, and now it's at twelve and

240
00:12:01,919 --> 00:12:03,159
a half or thirteen. What do we do?

241
00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:03,720
Speaker 6: What do we do?

242
00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:05,919
Speaker 3: So instead I said, just put it out at four percent.

243
00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:08,600
Tell them it's a it's a four up until this number.

244
00:12:08,679 --> 00:12:12,000
After that it's your own risk tolerance, But yeah, I

245
00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:15,879
like Notre Dame here. They've been an undervalued team because

246
00:12:15,919 --> 00:12:19,399
of their record, but it's one of those teams that's

247
00:12:19,399 --> 00:12:22,039
gonna get into college football playoffs once they win this game,

248
00:12:22,159 --> 00:12:24,000
and they're gonna be dangerous once they get into those

249
00:12:24,039 --> 00:12:26,679
college football playoffs because they are a top five power

250
00:12:26,759 --> 00:12:29,240
rated team, I can tell you that, and I think

251
00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:32,320
they blow Pitt away. In fact, I like the under

252
00:12:32,399 --> 00:12:34,960
also because I don't think Pitt's gonna do much scoring.

253
00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:37,720
Usually need two teams to score to get an over,

254
00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:40,919
and I just don't think Pitt's gonna have any success

255
00:12:41,200 --> 00:12:44,440
against Notre Dame's defense. The reason I haven't bet this

256
00:12:44,559 --> 00:12:47,360
over is one of the books I respect most right

257
00:12:47,399 --> 00:12:51,279
now in college football has shaded their line towards the over,

258
00:12:51,639 --> 00:12:55,480
meaning they're trying to book under money. Whenever they're enticing

259
00:12:55,519 --> 00:12:58,559
me to do something and it's someone I respect like that,

260
00:12:58,639 --> 00:13:01,360
I'm gonna let it go. Saw pass on the total,

261
00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:04,600
But I do like Notre Dame at thirteen. It would

262
00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:07,279
be a smaller bed obviously than a minus ten, But

263
00:13:07,639 --> 00:13:09,960
there's no reason for me to like the pit Sigdn.

264
00:13:10,799 --> 00:13:14,120
Speaker 1: Okay, we do have a little Jay asking about Oklahoma

265
00:13:14,159 --> 00:13:17,240
and Alabama. This is a big game between these two here.

266
00:13:17,519 --> 00:13:19,799
We did see that line open at seven. We're seeing

267
00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,919
six is basically across the board. Now, forty five and

268
00:13:22,919 --> 00:13:25,320
a half was the opening total. There is a couple

269
00:13:25,519 --> 00:13:27,559
there is a forty five at Pinnacle on a forty

270
00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:30,279
six at bet three six five, so that total kind

271
00:13:30,279 --> 00:13:31,840
of all over the place by that one point.

272
00:13:32,519 --> 00:13:36,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, and this is another game that you saw some

273
00:13:36,399 --> 00:13:39,840
short money come in on the dog, but there's more

274
00:13:39,919 --> 00:13:44,120
than enough public money on Alabama to offset that. Finally,

275
00:13:44,399 --> 00:13:47,919
the recreational betters are realizing just how good Alabama is.

276
00:13:48,039 --> 00:13:51,080
Remember they got that loss earlier in the season and

277
00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:53,960
people kind of forgot about them a little bit early on.

278
00:13:54,960 --> 00:13:58,200
They've shown they are an elite team top five power

279
00:13:58,279 --> 00:14:02,759
rating for sure. The seven I get it with Oklahoma.

280
00:14:03,879 --> 00:14:06,120
If I could get seven right now, I would probably

281
00:14:06,159 --> 00:14:09,440
take it, especially at like you know, minus one ten

282
00:14:10,519 --> 00:14:13,000
now where it sits. I don't think that's the case

283
00:14:13,039 --> 00:14:16,679
anymore power rating wise, I actually have Alabama winning this

284
00:14:16,799 --> 00:14:19,840
game by more than a touchdown, but I like the

285
00:14:19,879 --> 00:14:23,080
way it's set up for Oklahoma catching a touchdown. But

286
00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:25,720
I wouldn't fade Alabama right now, you got to remember

287
00:14:25,759 --> 00:14:28,320
we're at the end of the season. This is where

288
00:14:29,159 --> 00:14:34,360
factors that you can't quantify actually matter, meaning playoffs and

289
00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:36,879
bull seeding that's gonna matter.

290
00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:40,679
Speaker 2: Senior Day that's gonna matter. Style points.

291
00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:44,360
Speaker 3: Are you blowing teams away like James Madison has to do,

292
00:14:44,679 --> 00:14:48,000
That's going to matter. Those are factors that we have

293
00:14:48,159 --> 00:14:52,080
to try to figure out towards dand of college football season.

294
00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:55,559
That's very difficult to quantify for us and the books,

295
00:14:55,879 --> 00:14:58,960
and you could take advantage of it. But right now,

296
00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:01,320
like I said, I would not get out ahead of Alabama.

297
00:15:01,399 --> 00:15:05,720
I like Alabama, but I don't point spread wise. I

298
00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:09,480
just don't see value in betting it. Again, it's a

299
00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:11,519
game I want to watch, but I'm not betting that

300
00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:13,679
side or total. If I had to bet the total,

301
00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:15,960
i'd go over, but I'm not betting it.

302
00:15:16,399 --> 00:15:18,840
Speaker 1: Okay, Johnny, I know you've got an absolutely loaded day

303
00:15:18,879 --> 00:15:21,120
out there. We'll let the rest of the chat questions

304
00:15:21,159 --> 00:15:23,840
come for Teddy Covers and Ralph Michaels. I want to

305
00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:27,200
know one more play that you would jump on right now,

306
00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:28,759
and then what you got for sale for us over

307
00:15:28,799 --> 00:15:29,480
at wager Talk.

308
00:15:31,159 --> 00:15:33,279
Speaker 3: I like Memphis, I like Memphis plus three. They're the

309
00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:35,480
better team catching points. In fact, I think they should

310
00:15:35,519 --> 00:15:38,639
be the favorite in that matchup. So let's go with

311
00:15:38,759 --> 00:15:42,679
Memphis plus three because that should still be available. I

312
00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:45,279
think that number. I have my college football package up.

313
00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:47,240
I kept it like I said. I could upgrade it

314
00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:50,600
to a five percent play and bump it up ten bucks.

315
00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:52,159
Not going to do that because the four percents have

316
00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:55,240
been money. I've won ten of twelve weeks in college football.

317
00:15:55,519 --> 00:15:58,279
I'm coming off a losing week, So what should we do?

318
00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:01,000
Progress towards the mean and bounce. And That's exactly what

319
00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:04,159
I've done going into today. Five and zero this week

320
00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:06,360
in college football through these weekday games.

321
00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,200
Speaker 2: I love my card for Saturday.

322
00:16:08,559 --> 00:16:11,120
Speaker 3: Also have UFC. Don't overlook that because I have a

323
00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:13,279
five percent in there. I've been fired a five percent

324
00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:16,720
in a while in the UFC. Found a nice dog

325
00:16:16,799 --> 00:16:19,279
for us today. Think I got eight plays in there,

326
00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:21,840
so a big day. We're gonna roll that over into

327
00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:24,320
NFL on Sunday, and it's the end.

328
00:16:24,279 --> 00:16:24,639
Speaker 2: Of the year.

329
00:16:24,679 --> 00:16:27,440
Speaker 3: Best time to jump on board. Bowl games coming up,

330
00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:30,639
playoffs coming up. College basketball. I now have this set

331
00:16:30,639 --> 00:16:33,039
of power ratings to work with, just a good time

332
00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:35,519
to make some money, so jump on board and best

333
00:16:35,519 --> 00:16:36,720
of luck to all this weekend.

334
00:16:37,279 --> 00:16:40,639
Speaker 1: Absolutely, best of luck to you tomorrow, Johnny today and

335
00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:44,960
for the rest of the week. Take care. Okay, guys,

336
00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:46,600
that was Johnny the Greek. Make sure you do go

337
00:16:46,639 --> 00:16:49,000
on over to wagertalk dot com to get his best bets.

338
00:16:49,039 --> 00:16:51,759
Like you said, five percent UFC play tonight. You don't

339
00:16:51,759 --> 00:16:54,000
want to miss out on those UFC plays. But I

340
00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:56,039
wanted to go over one more time. I see guys

341
00:16:56,080 --> 00:16:59,919
in the chat asking what Art Deseizar was wanting out there.

342
00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:03,480
He needs what the sharp and what the public money

343
00:17:03,519 --> 00:17:06,960
is coming in on. So the needs for Westgate Super

344
00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:09,960
Book USC, that's the number one need out there. Then

345
00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:12,799
they're needing a Texas which again I'm kind of surprised

346
00:17:12,799 --> 00:17:15,720
by all of that money not coming in on Texas.

347
00:17:15,759 --> 00:17:20,480
They're needing Navy big house players on u SF and

348
00:17:20,519 --> 00:17:24,079
then Michigan State, Southern Miss, and Ole Miss. Now the

349
00:17:24,079 --> 00:17:27,720
sharp money coming in on Iowa plus the seven UNLV

350
00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:30,079
minus four and a half and at minus five and

351
00:17:30,079 --> 00:17:33,240
a half San Jose State minus the eight and a

352
00:17:33,279 --> 00:17:35,920
half TCU plus the four and a half and plus

353
00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:38,559
the three and a half Texas State up plus the

354
00:17:38,599 --> 00:17:40,359
six and a half and plus the four and a half,

355
00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:43,640
u v AT plus six and a half and plus five.

356
00:17:43,720 --> 00:17:47,680
Now where the public money is coming is Yukon SGA

357
00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:51,519
A and M and LSU. So his favorite play is

358
00:17:51,759 --> 00:17:55,599
SDSU minus the two and a half. So yeah, Art

359
00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:57,839
is a legend, that is for sure. J Dogg. But

360
00:17:58,119 --> 00:18:00,000
you guys were going to bring in a Teddy Covers.

361
00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,759
After Teddy comes in, Ralph Michaels is gonna come in,

362
00:18:02,839 --> 00:18:05,720
So drop your questions, drop your comments for these guys,

363
00:18:05,759 --> 00:18:07,039
We're going to try to get to some of the

364
00:18:07,079 --> 00:18:11,920
ones still up above before. So let's bring Teddy Covers

365
00:18:11,920 --> 00:18:14,920
into the show. Teddy, good morning, Happy Saturday.

366
00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:17,640
Speaker 6: Good morning. And I'm proud to be the one who

367
00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:20,279
brought Art to Caesar into the Wager Talk family. You know,

368
00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:21,759
Art and I were talking down at the West Gate.

369
00:18:21,799 --> 00:18:23,359
He's like, I want to start doing some shows. I'm like,

370
00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:25,839
come on with us, and he started. He started with

371
00:18:25,839 --> 00:18:29,319
Wager Talk today with President I and it has become

372
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,799
a thing. Obviously, what's it five six years later and

373
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:34,640
Art is a legend by now, so uh, you know,

374
00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,119
we love having them on or whenever we can get it.

375
00:18:37,319 --> 00:18:39,079
How are you this morning, Joe Andrew?

376
00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:42,759
Speaker 1: Pretty good? I'm excited for this week twelve slate. Are

377
00:18:42,839 --> 00:18:45,440
you looking at this day like there are some big

378
00:18:45,519 --> 00:18:48,799
meaningful games. You got some big dogs coming out with

379
00:18:48,839 --> 00:18:50,319
any wins here, Teddy.

380
00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:52,880
Speaker 6: There's big meetings. So that's the whole thing. Like, oh,

381
00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:55,599
this college football card is better than that college football card.

382
00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:59,160
Every week there's fifty sixty games to choose from. Every

383
00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:01,279
week there's games we're interested. It doesn't matter if it's

384
00:19:01,279 --> 00:19:03,200
Week one or what is it Week twelve? Now, whatever

385
00:19:03,279 --> 00:19:08,519
week it is, I'm always interested in the college football card, dude,

386
00:19:08,559 --> 00:19:10,279
Like this is a great week, all right, sure you know,

387
00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:13,640
but when it comes to it's always the top twenty

388
00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:17,160
five showdowns that attract my attention. They're often smaller conference

389
00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:18,640
games that pique my interest.

390
00:19:18,839 --> 00:19:21,519
Speaker 1: Okay with you saying that, before we get into the

391
00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:24,880
live chat convo here, what smaller schools should we be

392
00:19:24,960 --> 00:19:27,359
looking at? Like? Who should we have circled out there?

393
00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:29,359
Because I want to hear this. This is where we

394
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:32,160
know those lines may be not as sharp on these

395
00:19:32,839 --> 00:19:33,640
smaller schools.

396
00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,680
Speaker 6: Study art to Caesar just gave you San Diego State,

397
00:19:36,799 --> 00:19:39,759
and I'm with him one thousand percent. Again. I want

398
00:19:39,799 --> 00:19:43,319
a good team off a bad showing, and that's exactly

399
00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:45,880
what we have here, especially in a statement game at

400
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:49,599
home against a squad like Boise I'm an Aztecs believer tonight.

401
00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:53,319
Gim me Sean Lewis and company minus two right now

402
00:19:53,559 --> 00:19:54,480
against Boise State.

403
00:19:54,759 --> 00:19:57,400
Speaker 1: It's a good line, just laying the two there. Okay,

404
00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:59,519
let's jump into some of these bigger games. I want

405
00:19:59,559 --> 00:20:02,400
to hear your thoughts on Texas versus Georgia. There's been

406
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:04,519
a lot of talk in the chat here. What are

407
00:20:04,559 --> 00:20:07,480
you thinking with Texas versus Georgia. We're seeing Georgia now,

408
00:20:07,559 --> 00:20:10,000
these lines will be moving when we've been talking you guys,

409
00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:12,000
there was only one four and a half. They're popping

410
00:20:12,039 --> 00:20:13,920
across the board for Georgia. Lay in the four and

411
00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:17,119
a half. That wasn't six and a half. Texas now

412
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:18,640
coming in with some late money.

413
00:20:19,319 --> 00:20:21,279
Speaker 6: Sure, So let me just answer a couple of from

414
00:20:21,279 --> 00:20:22,880
the chat that I'm just popping right here that I want,

415
00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:26,279
and I'll talk about Texas and Georgia. Block Beta ASCID.

416
00:20:26,319 --> 00:20:31,440
Did I say SDSU Yes, San Diego State SDSU, John McGuire,

417
00:20:31,519 --> 00:20:34,079
Memphis might come out flat after a crushing defeat, and

418
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:37,799
they might. That was my biggest concern about Memphis this week.

419
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:40,160
I had no interest in that side of East Carolina

420
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:45,000
or past for this better. When it comes to arch Manning,

421
00:20:46,519 --> 00:20:49,160
I heard Gianni talking early saying, look, arch Manning is

422
00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:52,000
better than what we thought he was. I'm not convinced

423
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:55,079
that arch Manning is any better than what we thought

424
00:20:55,079 --> 00:20:56,759
he was. What arch Maning has done over the last

425
00:20:56,799 --> 00:20:59,240
two weeks or the last two games is take on

426
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:02,119
two of the weaker defenses in the SEC and put

427
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:04,680
up decent numbers against him. I do not trust him

428
00:21:04,799 --> 00:21:08,119
against this level of defense, not even close, not even maybe.

429
00:21:08,599 --> 00:21:13,680
So it's a kind of scenario where I understand where

430
00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:16,839
the sharp money has come. Sharp money took different numbers

431
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:18,279
than what we're looking at right now. Again on the

432
00:21:18,319 --> 00:21:23,680
Odds Logic Live odd screen right now four and a half,

433
00:21:24,079 --> 00:21:28,359
that's cheap. George is real, and I understand Texas has

434
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:31,640
an elite defense all right, But between the hedges is

435
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:33,920
not a place I'm looking at. Step I need a

436
00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:37,240
good reason and a good quarterback to step in front

437
00:21:37,279 --> 00:21:40,640
of Georgia in this venue. I'm not a manly believer,

438
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:45,160
not yet. Anyway, So maybe bulldogs are passed for this

439
00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:47,079
better And I have a free play video on my

440
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,839
page at w dot buzz backslash TC talking about this

441
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:52,160
very game. And of course we did a free play

442
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:54,440
video on YouTube the Way. If you have a subscribed

443
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:56,880
to the Way You Talk YouTube channel, do it right now.

444
00:21:57,240 --> 00:21:59,000
We're approaching what a quarter of a million of you

445
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:01,119
who have subscribed to the channel. Why do we have

446
00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:03,000
so many? Because the content is good. We put out

447
00:22:03,039 --> 00:22:05,799
a ton of it every day, so we appreciate the likes,

448
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,640
we appreciate the comments, but subscribe to the channels. We

449
00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:10,359
get ins alerts every time this tough goes live.

450
00:22:11,079 --> 00:22:14,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, tons of great free content you guys, and that notification.

451
00:22:14,079 --> 00:22:15,680
But I'll turn it on. You'll know. As soon as

452
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:19,559
these videos do draw another big game Oklahoma versus Alabama

453
00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:22,400
out there. We've seen this line drop from seven to

454
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:25,000
a couple of sixes out there across the books for

455
00:22:25,279 --> 00:22:29,599
Alabama Oklahoma. The total coming in in this one at

456
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:31,960
forty five and a half. Forty six is on a

457
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,559
couple of the books. Anything on this one, Teddy, you.

458
00:22:34,519 --> 00:22:36,519
Speaker 6: Look so bright over there. I feel like I'm washed

459
00:22:36,559 --> 00:22:38,720
out here. You know, it's like a it's a rainy.

460
00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:41,000
It's been beautiful in Vegas for literally, this has been

461
00:22:41,039 --> 00:22:43,000
as nice a fall. I've been in Vegas since ninety eight,

462
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:44,759
and this has been as nice a fall as I

463
00:22:44,799 --> 00:22:47,160
can ever. A member just been gorgeous every single day.

464
00:22:47,319 --> 00:22:49,160
And today's day they're like, yeah, yeah, it's gonna rain,

465
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:53,440
so it's all cloudy. You look all bright, yeah, and shiny.

466
00:22:53,799 --> 00:22:56,599
Speaker 1: Showing outside though, Teddy, Teddy, I've got snow here, So

467
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:59,519
it's all a facade. It's the lights.

468
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,960
Speaker 6: Well, you have excellent lighting. It's working well. When it

469
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,519
comes to Alabama and Oklahoma from Okay, I get that

470
00:23:07,599 --> 00:23:09,599
there's a sharp square divide on this game, and I'm

471
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:11,559
on the square side. But I'm on the square side,

472
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,119
all right, I'm on the Alabama side. I'm not stepping

473
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:16,640
in front of the Crimson Tide. I don't believe in

474
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:20,880
John Matterier against against elite TVA more than any other factor.

475
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,440
And it's not just it's not just a quarterback play

476
00:23:23,519 --> 00:23:28,319
for the Sooners. They don't have the game breaker at receiver.

477
00:23:28,799 --> 00:23:31,960
If you're gonna beat Alabama, you need someone. If you're

478
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:34,319
gonna go and give Alabama game, you need someone that

479
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:37,960
can create a quick strike offense, and I just haven't

480
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:40,640
seen that from the Sooners all year. I need playmakers

481
00:23:41,039 --> 00:23:43,519
for teams that are stepping in front of Alabama, you know,

482
00:23:43,599 --> 00:23:45,559
to step front of Alabama, and I don't see it

483
00:23:46,599 --> 00:23:52,039
on the Oklahoma side. So whether it happens early or late,

484
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:54,640
I think at some point Alabama pulls away. I mean under,

485
00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:57,359
I know I'm kind of against John. Johnny liked the

486
00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:00,160
dog and over, like the favorite and under, and there's

487
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,880
some correlation there. I believe between dog and over and

488
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:06,400
favorite and under. If you think Oklahoma can score on Alabama,

489
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:08,759
then you're going to play DOGG and over. I don't

490
00:24:08,759 --> 00:24:11,440
think Oklahoma can score in Alabama. Therefore I look to

491
00:24:11,519 --> 00:24:12,640
favorite and under.

492
00:24:13,279 --> 00:24:15,279
Speaker 1: I love that. Okay, So looking at some of these

493
00:24:15,319 --> 00:24:17,920
totals out there, are you thinking there's any totals that

494
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,880
are just too high that you're expecting more defense in

495
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,440
these games that maybe people want to jump on a total?

496
00:24:24,319 --> 00:24:27,440
Speaker 6: Any totals that are too high that stand out? So

497
00:24:28,559 --> 00:24:30,200
I'm not sure how much score in Maryland's going to

498
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:32,240
do against Illinois today. Fifty one and a half. You

499
00:24:32,279 --> 00:24:33,720
know that one, to me was one that I I

500
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:39,559
was looking potentially at an under. In that being said,

501
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:41,839
those side of the equation, if you're playing Florida Atlantic overs,

502
00:24:41,839 --> 00:24:44,480
you just keep playing Forida Atlantic overs. They're sixty two

503
00:24:44,519 --> 00:24:46,799
and a half sixty three against too lane sins. There's

504
00:24:46,799 --> 00:24:48,799
a couple that are you know, off the top of

505
00:24:48,799 --> 00:24:50,960
my head, I can give you my I can go

506
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:52,240
back and look at some notes and give you more

507
00:24:52,279 --> 00:24:53,200
if you like it. That's two that I was.

508
00:24:53,319 --> 00:24:56,319
Speaker 1: Oh, that's okay. Chase Turner though ask in Texas supposed

509
00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:58,599
to six and a half in the under for the game.

510
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:00,000
Any thoughts on that one.

511
00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 6: I don't trust arch Manning against this defense. I do

512
00:25:03,839 --> 00:25:06,240
not want the Longhorns. They be Georgia or pass I

513
00:25:06,279 --> 00:25:08,680
you know, I'm looking at some favorite today. I want Georgia.

514
00:25:09,079 --> 00:25:13,319
I want Alabama in the Marquee matchups. So it's not

515
00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:14,920
about taking the points.

516
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:18,720
Speaker 1: Okay, what about the over? LSU and Arkansas were getting

517
00:25:18,759 --> 00:25:21,640
asked in the chat. Any thoughts on that one?

518
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,480
Speaker 6: So I'm gonna play on the side for that ballgame.

519
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,480
Visit my home page buzz backslash TC to get on board. Right, guys,

520
00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:33,119
From a total standpoint, I LSU is not a team

521
00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:34,720
I want to play overs with right now. You know

522
00:25:34,759 --> 00:25:39,119
their quarterback issues with nuss Meyer. There's at another receiving

523
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,880
corps that we haven't seen the playmaking ability that we

524
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:44,279
thought we might see coming into the season. But at

525
00:25:44,319 --> 00:25:46,680
the same time, a Tiger's defense is tough as nails.

526
00:25:47,319 --> 00:25:49,400
So they're not a team that I'm gonna rush to

527
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:53,839
play overs with my ARKANSI is, but lsu is it?

528
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:58,640
Speaker 1: Okay? And then one more question here for you. We

529
00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:01,039
do have a question about UCLA.

530
00:26:01,319 --> 00:26:03,279
Speaker 6: Can they sush fires officially out? Now?

531
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:05,839
Speaker 1: Okay? So do you think they can score? Do you

532
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:08,400
think they're going to be able to get anything done? Not?

533
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:09,960
Speaker 6: Enough enough?

534
00:26:10,079 --> 00:26:13,559
Speaker 1: Not enough in that one. Okay. I think we've gone

535
00:26:13,559 --> 00:26:16,319
through all these questions for you, Teddy. Teddy, I appreciate

536
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:18,759
your time today joining us here on last call. I

537
00:26:18,839 --> 00:26:20,759
know you're going to crush the books. You've been crushing

538
00:26:20,799 --> 00:26:23,200
the books across the board. What do you have up

539
00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:25,079
for sale over on wadgertalk dot com.

540
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:27,119
Speaker 6: Oh, my NFL was good last week. My college football

541
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:29,640
stunk last week. So we got a little bouncing back

542
00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:31,799
through Johnny's five and oh this week I'm not We'll

543
00:26:31,839 --> 00:26:34,440
give him credit and we'll leave me in the hungry

544
00:26:34,519 --> 00:26:37,920
and focused category. But yeah, we got a three three

545
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,680
pack up in college football for today. We have NBA

546
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,119
for tonight, we have NFL lock andloaded for tomorrow. We

547
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,359
did sweep the board in NFL last Sunday. But don't

548
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:48,200
buy plays. Get on board with that. I mean, the

549
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:51,640
Weekend Warrior package is what to do. It's forty nine bucks.

550
00:26:51,839 --> 00:26:54,359
It's every football play right through Monday night. If we're

551
00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:59,279
in action on Monday night, it legitimately vale there's legitimate

552
00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:02,519
value in that. It's very reasonably priced. It's a good

553
00:27:02,519 --> 00:27:04,599
opportunity to get on board for a couple of days.

554
00:27:04,759 --> 00:27:06,960
Let's see, we're cann make some money together. So forty

555
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:09,640
nine dollars all access pass available on my home page,

556
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:12,119
available on all of our own pages at Wayer talk

557
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:13,559
dot com.

558
00:27:13,759 --> 00:27:15,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, you guys, head on over there. And Teddy, you

559
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:19,279
crushed the end zone hosting it, yes, or last week

560
00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:22,079
you absolutely did a fantastic job. Will people see you

561
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:23,000
back on it tomorrow?

562
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 6: Yeah, I've been on pretty much every week. I'm not

563
00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:27,279
hosting tomorrow. We have unfortunately Press coming back, so that

564
00:27:27,319 --> 00:27:29,759
should make the show a lot worse. But it'll be

565
00:27:29,799 --> 00:27:32,759
fun for us to make fun of him, and hopefully

566
00:27:32,759 --> 00:27:34,839
I can get My favorite thing to do on that

567
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:36,839
show is just get steam coming out of Press's ears.

568
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:38,680
And if I can actually see the steam coming out

569
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:40,519
of his ears, that means I've done my job. So

570
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:42,599
we'll see if we can we can flick flick him

571
00:27:42,599 --> 00:27:44,160
in the year and then push his buttons tomorrow and

572
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:47,519
have you know that show it's fun. You know, we're

573
00:27:47,559 --> 00:27:50,680
all watching games together, and the concept is you get

574
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:52,720
it's a way you talk unplugged. You know, it's way

575
00:27:52,799 --> 00:27:54,880
you talk off the record. You get a little bit more.

576
00:27:55,079 --> 00:27:56,720
You know. I try to be on business when I'm

577
00:27:56,759 --> 00:27:59,400
on air, and and that show is not designed to

578
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:01,519
be all business. Designed it for us to have fun

579
00:28:01,559 --> 00:28:04,000
with each other and in the process give you guys

580
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,119
a bunch of good betting nuggets. So I encourage you.

581
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:10,160
Haven't watched it yet. End Zone Live every Sunday right here,

582
00:28:10,279 --> 00:28:11,319
I wait to talk TV.

583
00:28:11,599 --> 00:28:14,519
Speaker 1: Teddy absolutely crushed the books for this week twelve slate

584
00:28:14,599 --> 00:28:17,359
as well as tomorrow. We'll see you next time here

585
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:18,519
on last call. Thank you.

586
00:28:18,799 --> 00:28:20,200
Speaker 6: I look forward to and have fun. Say hi to

587
00:28:20,279 --> 00:28:22,039
Ralph obvious see Ralph in forever, So say hi to

588
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:22,519
Ralph for me.

589
00:28:22,599 --> 00:28:24,920
Speaker 1: Okay, we'll say hi to Ralph for you you guys.

590
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:27,119
That was Teddycovers. Make sure you do head on over

591
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:29,319
to wager talk dot com to grab all of his

592
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:32,079
best bets that he does have over there. Great to

593
00:28:32,079 --> 00:28:33,759
have him on the show this morning. And yeah, if

594
00:28:33,799 --> 00:28:36,799
you guys haven't checked out the End Zone, pres is

595
00:28:36,839 --> 00:28:39,839
back hosting it tomorrow. But Teddycovers always jumps on. I'll

596
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:43,119
be jumping on for the first quarter tomorrow morning, so

597
00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:45,160
it should be a good one. There's so much to

598
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:48,079
go over, you guys, we have gone over everything that

599
00:28:48,359 --> 00:28:52,599
Art was looking for. What he needs SDSU is what

600
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:55,119
he needs San Diego State or is what he likes

601
00:28:55,119 --> 00:28:56,599
for his best playlane in the two and a half.

602
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,720
So that was jumping up in the questions. So we're

603
00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:03,200
gonna bring in Ralph Michaels see what he's like. And also,

604
00:29:03,279 --> 00:29:05,319
you guys jump in the live chat here, get your

605
00:29:05,359 --> 00:29:08,000
questions out there for Ralph. I'm gonna try to go

606
00:29:08,079 --> 00:29:10,079
back through make sure we've answered all of the ones

607
00:29:10,119 --> 00:29:12,880
thus far, but if you've got new questions for Ralph,

608
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,079
make sure you do jump in that chat. Also, open

609
00:29:15,119 --> 00:29:17,960
your own flag drink page. We're talking these lines. Lines

610
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:20,680
are moving on a couple of these games. So really

611
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,519
interesting to see that Texas one. It has bounced back

612
00:29:23,599 --> 00:29:25,960
up to a five on some of those books. Money

613
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:29,319
coming in on both sides of that. So Texas Georgia

614
00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:32,599
four and a half's now basically across the board. We

615
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:35,000
did see the flashes of the fives. There's still a

616
00:29:35,039 --> 00:29:38,680
five sitting at Sports four one one if you like Texas,

617
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:40,799
but I'm seeing five and a half or four and

618
00:29:40,839 --> 00:29:43,680
a half across the board except for Bette Rivers does

619
00:29:43,839 --> 00:29:47,640
have a six for Georgia. So interesting line movement in

620
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:51,279
that one. Is this These games kicking off pretty quick.

621
00:29:51,359 --> 00:29:54,519
That is a seven p thirty Eastern one though tonight

622
00:29:54,759 --> 00:29:56,960
later game tonight, so let's bring in Ralph Michaels.

623
00:29:59,359 --> 00:30:02,279
Speaker 6: Maybe not, he's a couple of minutes late, but we're

624
00:30:02,279 --> 00:30:02,880
working on it.

625
00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:06,160
Speaker 1: That is okay, guys, we need a couple more minutes

626
00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:08,920
before Ralph comes in. So you're stuck with me for

627
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:11,640
the next couple and what I'm like and out here,

628
00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:13,960
you know, I'm looking at these games. And I did

629
00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:17,039
grab Texas plus the points I just thought and I

630
00:30:17,079 --> 00:30:19,000
got Texas plus the six and a half. I got

631
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:21,680
them early here, you guys, at four and a half,

632
00:30:21,839 --> 00:30:24,000
I would stay off if you're looking to jump into

633
00:30:24,039 --> 00:30:26,880
a game right now. I think if this one goes

634
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:30,440
the way where Texas can cover, we need arch Manning

635
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:32,400
to be the man. And that's kind of scary in

636
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:35,720
situations because we know how arch looked to start the season.

637
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,440
He had those struggles out there on the field and

638
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:40,920
he turned the ball over. But you're looking at him

639
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:43,759
over the last two games before that, boy, he was

640
00:30:43,799 --> 00:30:46,680
able to throw for three hundred plus yards, three touchdowns

641
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,799
and only one interception back to back games, you guys,

642
00:30:49,839 --> 00:30:53,200
So it was him being the man. He needs to

643
00:30:53,240 --> 00:30:55,559
do it again. If he can come out and do

644
00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:58,559
that and then we can see Texas's defense shut down

645
00:30:58,559 --> 00:31:01,759
Georgia's ground game, then they have every ability to keep

646
00:31:01,759 --> 00:31:05,920
this one tight. We know Kirby Smart's defense should be

647
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:08,799
able to get things done, but I'm looking at this

648
00:31:08,839 --> 00:31:11,960
one being one where Texas needs us. They need to

649
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:13,720
come out, they need to get things done. So a

650
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:16,000
couple of things I took because I believe in Arch.

651
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:18,880
I took Arch Manning for over the two hundred and

652
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:21,480
twenty and a half passing yards in this game, I

653
00:31:21,519 --> 00:31:23,839
think he has to be able to throw down the

654
00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:26,519
field into those type pockets. I also took him over

655
00:31:26,559 --> 00:31:28,599
one and a half passing touchdowns. Now you risk with

656
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,039
him over one and a half passing touchdowns him running

657
00:31:31,039 --> 00:31:33,079
one in with his legs. But I think he's going

658
00:31:33,119 --> 00:31:35,839
to be put in the situations where he will throw

659
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:38,440
the ball in the end zone. It's coming in up

660
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:40,559
plus one fifty four. I also like the plus money

661
00:31:40,559 --> 00:31:42,880
we were able to get on that. So the over

662
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:46,200
one a half passing touchdowns for Arch and then over

663
00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:49,519
the two hundred and twenty and a half passing touchdowns. Now,

664
00:31:49,720 --> 00:31:53,240
Gunner Stockton will be put to the test in this game. Absolutely,

665
00:31:53,599 --> 00:31:57,160
his ability from a clean pocket is there, but if

666
00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:00,000
he gets that pressure, the pocket starts to collapse around.

667
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:03,279
I do think he's going to have some struggles out there,

668
00:32:03,359 --> 00:32:06,720
so he needs protection in front of him. I'm leaning

669
00:32:06,759 --> 00:32:09,200
towards this game staying under the total. You guys, we're

670
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,160
looking at a total open up forty seven and a half.

671
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:14,720
We're seeing a fifty and a half over on Sports

672
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:17,599
for one one. I think that is just too high.

673
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:19,440
I would look at the under fifty and a half,

674
00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:22,079
even though I think Arch Manning is able to throw

675
00:32:22,359 --> 00:32:26,440
those over one and half passing touchdowns, those two passing touchdowns.

676
00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:28,960
But we've got Ralph in let's hear what he's liking.

677
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:33,440
Speaker 4: Hey, that's a pretty brave statement there, joke saying you

678
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:36,480
like Manning. I've not heard many people say that. So

679
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:39,640
congrats to you. That's a strong statement. Good luck to

680
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:40,279
you on their play.

681
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:43,279
Speaker 1: Thank you so much. Yeah, if I'm going down, I

682
00:32:43,279 --> 00:32:46,519
guess I'm going down with ourch hopefully not in that one.

683
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:49,359
So Ralph, we got some great games Week twelve. I

684
00:32:49,359 --> 00:32:52,240
don't know how this college football season has gone so quick,

685
00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:55,359
but it seems like every college football season's gone so quick.

686
00:32:55,359 --> 00:33:00,000
There's teams that need the win today, they need statement wins.

687
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,359
There are teams that maybe just looking at some title

688
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:05,119
games they want to win, like Pitt, but they're saying,

689
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:07,480
we don't need the win here. So what are you

690
00:33:07,519 --> 00:33:08,599
thinking across the board?

691
00:33:09,279 --> 00:33:13,119
Speaker 4: Well, you know, one thing is I think people when

692
00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:16,039
people say they must win, they have need. I could

693
00:33:16,119 --> 00:33:18,359
perceive that as a negative, and some people perceive that

694
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:21,079
as a positive. When you have pressure like Texas, I'll

695
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:23,720
use Texas as example, because you just broke that game down.

696
00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:26,559
You know, for them to have to go on the road,

697
00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:29,960
perform well or basically be out of the college football

698
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:31,400
playoffs puts.

699
00:33:31,119 --> 00:33:32,039
Speaker 5: A lot of pressure on you.

700
00:33:32,119 --> 00:33:34,319
Speaker 4: And remember they did have three hundred and thirty six

701
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:37,160
yards against Ohio State, which looks damn good now, but

702
00:33:37,319 --> 00:33:39,880
at Florida they only had three hundred and forty one yards.

703
00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:43,240
At Kentucky they only had one hundred and seventy nine yards.

704
00:33:43,319 --> 00:33:45,920
So that does concern me. Another thing I want to

705
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:48,119
bring up now that we get too late in the season.

706
00:33:48,559 --> 00:33:51,519
Remember when you get in the summer and you're practicing

707
00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:54,200
every team's goal. I don't care if you're Acron, I

708
00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:57,440
don't care if you're Massachusetts, I don't care if you're

709
00:33:57,559 --> 00:34:00,400
the worst Sunbell team. Your goal is still to get

710
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:04,200
to a bowl. So when you reach a seventh loss,

711
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:07,240
that makes you bowl ineligible. And we see a lot

712
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:10,400
of bad teams when they reach seven losses, start to

713
00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:12,920
play more young players as they look to next year,

714
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:16,199
or are just disappointed, and they tend to finish the

715
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:17,000
season poorly.

716
00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely they do. So getting to some of these

717
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:26,320
questions here leaning towards the points with air Force against Yukon,

718
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:27,559
any advice on that one.

719
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:29,920
Speaker 5: Well, I'll tell you what.

720
00:34:30,639 --> 00:34:35,079
Speaker 4: Yukon to me is probably the most impressive team this

721
00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:37,000
season based on what they.

722
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:37,639
Speaker 5: Were a year ago.

723
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:41,599
Speaker 4: Jim Mora has done a fantastic job, and to me,

724
00:34:42,639 --> 00:34:46,000
I'm gonna say the obvious, this is an incredibly high total,

725
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:50,159
but it is for a reason. Yukon's offense the last

726
00:34:50,199 --> 00:34:53,320
few weeks, let's see fifty one points thirty eight thirty

727
00:34:53,320 --> 00:34:57,000
four to thirty eight thirty seven. Air Force with this

728
00:34:57,159 --> 00:35:01,440
incredible offense and a very poor defense, has really pressed

729
00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:03,960
the tempo in the game. I like the over in

730
00:35:04,039 --> 00:35:07,320
this one, and if I had to pick a side,

731
00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:09,239
I would lean air Force.

732
00:35:09,519 --> 00:35:10,440
Speaker 5: It's very tough for.

733
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:13,679
Speaker 4: A team like Connecticut that doesn't play the option to

734
00:35:13,719 --> 00:35:17,320
get prepared late in the season for this type of offense.

735
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,440
Speaker 5: Air Force Lane like the over a little bit.

736
00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:24,480
Speaker 1: More, okay, so lean into the over as well, Boss Moves.

737
00:35:24,599 --> 00:35:27,440
Asking about ECU.

738
00:35:27,639 --> 00:35:31,440
Speaker 4: You know, I will say this East Carolina was one

739
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:34,480
of my top plays this week. It's a game I

740
00:35:34,639 --> 00:35:37,719
very much like. I think this Memphis team is a

741
00:35:37,960 --> 00:35:42,280
very fake team. When you look at Memphis defense, they've

742
00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:45,920
allowed over four hundred and sixty yards four times. This

743
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:50,599
East Carolina offense absolutely rolling. They have over fifteen hundred

744
00:35:50,639 --> 00:35:55,079
yards their last three games, they've scored over one hundred

745
00:35:55,119 --> 00:36:00,119
and thirty points. East Carolina wins this game going away.

746
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:02,840
Speaker 1: Lots of questions coming in right now, Ralph, love to

747
00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:05,280
see you guys. Keep dropping those questions that we'll try

748
00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:08,280
to get to all of them. Duke or Southern miss

749
00:36:08,639 --> 00:36:10,800
What are you like in Uncle Ralph? I love you.

750
00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:15,719
Speaker 4: Well. You know in the Duke game, I would lean

751
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:19,159
Duke because of you know, Virginia's quarterback is not likely

752
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:22,519
to play and even though Duke's offense has been exposed

753
00:36:22,519 --> 00:36:25,559
the last couple of weeks, those are passing yards they

754
00:36:25,599 --> 00:36:28,000
gave up. They gave up five hundred and sixty yards

755
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:31,320
to Clemson three eighty five passing. They gave up four

756
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:35,679
to sixty seven to Connecticut last game three hundred and

757
00:36:35,679 --> 00:36:38,360
eleven passing. They also gave up five hundred and thirty

758
00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:41,119
five yards earlier in the year to NC State three

759
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:44,760
hundred and sixty four yards passing. Since Virginia is not

760
00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:46,800
going to be able to put type of pass numbers,

761
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:48,440
that has me leaning with the Duke.

762
00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:49,360
Speaker 5: Blue Devils.

763
00:36:49,559 --> 00:36:51,679
Speaker 1: Okay, we have a new member to the way to

764
00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:54,280
Talk Family here on YouTube. Shout out to Mark Things

765
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:57,679
for joining a couple more questions for you. We've got

766
00:36:57,679 --> 00:37:00,559
a question on what dogs that your look. Is there

767
00:37:00,599 --> 00:37:03,400
anyone that you think is barking out their routh for us?

768
00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:06,840
Speaker 4: Well, you know that's sort of a bizarre question. So

769
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:08,960
let me go through and try to pull out couple

770
00:37:09,039 --> 00:37:15,440
that I lean with. I lean Arizona over Cincinnati. I lean.

771
00:37:17,639 --> 00:37:22,559
Speaker 5: I like Navy plus the points against South Florida, Michigan,

772
00:37:22,599 --> 00:37:23,039
Penn State.

773
00:37:23,159 --> 00:37:25,880
Speaker 4: Let me mention this, Michigan State is five and zero

774
00:37:25,880 --> 00:37:28,559
as a dog this year. Penn State oh and six

775
00:37:28,679 --> 00:37:31,320
is a favorite that by itself is not a reason

776
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:33,400
to play this game. But I don't have faith that

777
00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:35,000
Penn State's going to be able to pull that out.

778
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:37,000
So Michigan State is in that list as well.

779
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:40,599
Speaker 1: Okay, Brandon is asking about another dog here, Arkansas plus

780
00:37:40,639 --> 00:37:44,639
the five versus LSU Any love for Arkansas?

781
00:37:45,039 --> 00:37:48,360
Speaker 4: Yeah? I actually do like Arkansas. They were in my

782
00:37:48,519 --> 00:37:51,960
mix too to be a play. And you know, it's

783
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:54,719
tough to back a team that has lost seven straight games.

784
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:57,639
I believe that they have, but they are still continuing

785
00:37:57,679 --> 00:38:01,400
to play hard. You look at the last four they

786
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:04,079
had a yard to judge at Tennessee but lost by three.

787
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:06,800
They had a yarda judge against Texas A and M

788
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:10,280
by thirty yards and lost by three. They had a

789
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:13,280
yard to judge against Mississippi State and lost by three.

790
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:16,159
What's the theme, Well, they were minus three turnovers against

791
00:38:16,199 --> 00:38:20,480
Auburn and minus three turnovers against Tennessee. If they don't

792
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:23,400
turn the ball over, you know they are going to

793
00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:26,719
win this game handily. Taylor Green a nineteen to eight ratio,

794
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:30,039
But it's been the fumbles that have been surprising. But

795
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:33,239
I do think Arkansas gets it done and snaps at

796
00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:33,840
losing streak.

797
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:36,360
Speaker 1: Okay, one more question on a late game out here

798
00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:39,559
TCU versus BYU. We know this one opened at six.

799
00:38:39,639 --> 00:38:42,079
Those lines dropped to there's a two and a half

800
00:38:42,119 --> 00:38:45,519
for BYU right now on hard rock total fifty two

801
00:38:45,519 --> 00:38:47,280
and a half still sitting right around fifty one to

802
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:50,199
fifty one and a half. Any thoughts on that one?

803
00:38:50,519 --> 00:38:53,079
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, it's a game I threw out pretty early,

804
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:55,679
but you know, let me just run through the stats

805
00:38:55,679 --> 00:38:59,679
that I do. I like comparing conference stats because you're

806
00:38:59,719 --> 00:39:02,920
comition is much tougher or much closer.

807
00:39:03,400 --> 00:39:05,559
Speaker 5: But tc US played a very weak schedule.

808
00:39:05,599 --> 00:39:07,639
Speaker 4: If you look at the teams in the Big twelve

809
00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:11,760
they've played, it's a very week and they're actually very

810
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:15,599
close stat wise the BYU on the season. BYUS played

811
00:39:15,599 --> 00:39:18,079
a tougher schedule and they're number twenty nine in the

812
00:39:18,119 --> 00:39:22,800
country plus one point three yards per play, where TCU

813
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:27,440
is under one point zero yards per play. Lightlying, but

814
00:39:27,559 --> 00:39:28,239
Cougar's for me.

815
00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:31,960
Speaker 1: Now, there is a question about Old Miss here from

816
00:39:32,199 --> 00:39:35,360
Rin versus Florida. We know Art needs Old Miss to

817
00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:37,360
come in and get the win. What are your thoughts

818
00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:37,880
on this game?

819
00:39:39,039 --> 00:39:42,079
Speaker 4: You know, I have not read Florida well all season,

820
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:44,480
and there are times when we get this late in

821
00:39:44,519 --> 00:39:46,599
the season when you cannot read a team well, you

822
00:39:46,639 --> 00:39:49,199
don't really look at the game. You know, Old Miss,

823
00:39:49,199 --> 00:39:51,079
we know what we're gonna get. We know we're gonna

824
00:39:51,079 --> 00:39:53,239
have a fast paced team. We know we have a

825
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:55,880
team that's gonna run and pass just about the same.

826
00:39:56,719 --> 00:39:59,679
My concern is the Florida defense, which was stellar early

827
00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:03,159
in the but we've seen them wear down down the

828
00:40:03,199 --> 00:40:06,079
stretch four hundred and sixty eight yards against Mississippi State

829
00:40:06,119 --> 00:40:09,039
four hundred and one yards. Obviously, you have a fast

830
00:40:09,039 --> 00:40:12,480
paced team against a disappointed team losing late in the year.

831
00:40:12,679 --> 00:40:15,639
I like those fast paced offenses to cover. But again

832
00:40:16,119 --> 00:40:18,079
a game I did throw out early in the week,

833
00:40:18,199 --> 00:40:21,119
so not much in depth work put in in the

834
00:40:21,159 --> 00:40:22,079
second half of the week.

835
00:40:22,639 --> 00:40:24,800
Speaker 1: Now we know Utah needs to come out and get

836
00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:27,559
a big win versus Baylor. That line shot all the

837
00:40:27,599 --> 00:40:30,239
way up to ten on Sports for one. One, do

838
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:33,159
you think Baylor has the possibility of playing an upset

839
00:40:33,199 --> 00:40:35,039
role today?

840
00:40:35,559 --> 00:40:39,159
Speaker 4: You know, I don't know if they'll pull the upset,

841
00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:42,320
but I'm certainly not a fan of laying ten points

842
00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:45,199
with Kyle Whittingham, so that does have me on the

843
00:40:45,199 --> 00:40:49,159
Baylor side. You know, they beat Cincinnati by thirty one

844
00:40:49,199 --> 00:40:51,199
points last week, so you can say, well, look they

845
00:40:51,199 --> 00:40:53,840
do win and cover. They beat Colorado by forty six

846
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:57,920
points the week before. But you look at that Cincinnati game,

847
00:40:58,039 --> 00:40:59,920
they only had a fifty three yard edge. It was

848
00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:02,159
just a bunch of bad things that happened to him.

849
00:41:02,519 --> 00:41:05,480
Baylor off a thirty three win against UCF, a very

850
00:41:05,519 --> 00:41:08,719
solid win. They had almost a two hundred yard edge.

851
00:41:09,239 --> 00:41:12,719
They are at home their road losses this year. Again,

852
00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:15,400
they lost to Aubert at home. They lost Arizona State

853
00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:18,280
at home. Both were close. I do lean the Baylor

854
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:22,960
Bears plus the points because Utah each of the last

855
00:41:23,039 --> 00:41:25,599
two weeks they've run the ball for fifty plus times.

856
00:41:26,039 --> 00:41:28,079
Tough to cover double digits if you're gonna slow the

857
00:41:28,119 --> 00:41:31,719
game down by running that ball Arkansas's excuse me. Baylor's

858
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:34,920
rush defense on the season not the best along one

859
00:41:35,000 --> 00:41:37,920
seventy eighty four point five, but I think they get

860
00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:39,880
enough done to keep it close and cover the number.

861
00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:42,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm looking at Devin Dempierre to come out nie

862
00:41:42,599 --> 00:41:45,320
and strong and run with his legs. In that one.

863
00:41:45,639 --> 00:41:47,119
I took him over the fifty nine and a half

864
00:41:47,159 --> 00:41:50,199
rushing yards just for you guys, the quarterback there for Utah.

865
00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:54,079
There is a couple questions here on a Michigan versus Northwestern.

866
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:57,719
Michigan entering into Northwestern is a ten and a half

867
00:41:57,800 --> 00:42:00,760
point favorite. Now on the majority of the books, that

868
00:42:00,880 --> 00:42:03,320
total has gone out to forty two on.

869
00:42:03,480 --> 00:42:06,880
Speaker 4: Some Yeah, this is you know, another game. This is

870
00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:09,880
a at Wrigley Field. I remember watching the Buckeyes play

871
00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:11,519
at Wrigley Field a couple of weeks ago.

872
00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:13,760
Speaker 5: I do I am a Northwestern fan.

873
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:16,880
Speaker 4: This year, Yes, they got they got run over at

874
00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:19,519
usc allowing four hundred and eighty two yards and three

875
00:42:19,559 --> 00:42:23,400
hundred nine yards rush passing. But you look at him

876
00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:27,480
at home. The Purdue nineteen nothing shut out impressed me.

877
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:31,400
The UCLA win looks a lot better than it is now. Yes,

878
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:34,400
this is not quite home. It is Wrigly. It's much

879
00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:37,440
more exciting for the Chicago kids to be playing Wriggly

880
00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:41,079
than it is for Michigan. No real opinion on the total,

881
00:42:41,159 --> 00:42:43,920
but I think Northwestern does cover this game.

882
00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:46,840
Speaker 1: Okay, Now, Ralph, was it you or was it Jeohnny

883
00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:49,280
who did like East Carolina today?

884
00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:49,679
Speaker 5: That was me?

885
00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:52,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, that was you? I thought so so yeah, John,

886
00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:55,800
those questions on East Carolina. Ralph has already answered that

887
00:42:55,920 --> 00:42:59,519
he is liking them. Here one more from Rob. Should

888
00:42:59,519 --> 00:43:04,400
you have a over between North Texas and UAB Well?

889
00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:08,199
Speaker 4: I did not bet the total, but the only way

890
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:11,159
I would go is to bet that total over. You know,

891
00:43:11,239 --> 00:43:13,519
you look at North Texas. The temple they play with

892
00:43:13,639 --> 00:43:14,239
is amazing.

893
00:43:15,159 --> 00:43:15,800
Speaker 5: You have.

894
00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:20,519
Speaker 4: Let's see every game this year they've scored at least

895
00:43:20,559 --> 00:43:23,880
thirty one points, and the thirty one their lowest was

896
00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:26,719
against Navy last time because Navy ran the ball forty

897
00:43:26,719 --> 00:43:30,840
four times. To me, the only way to go is over.

898
00:43:31,000 --> 00:43:33,119
The number got a little too high for me though,

899
00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:37,840
because North North Texas defense, which was horrible the middle

900
00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:40,639
part of the year, has actually played very well the

901
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:43,239
last three games along about three hundred and seventy yards

902
00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:43,679
per game.

903
00:43:44,599 --> 00:43:48,119
Speaker 1: Okay, that's great information, Ralph. You're always coming with so

904
00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:51,000
many great facts out there. If people are headed over

905
00:43:51,159 --> 00:43:53,960
to asiatalk dot com to buy your Weekend Warrior package,

906
00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:55,760
which is just the best deal. If you're looking for

907
00:43:55,800 --> 00:43:59,480
football this weekend, what can people expect? How many plays

908
00:43:59,519 --> 00:44:00,599
do you have in today?

909
00:44:01,079 --> 00:44:03,599
Speaker 4: I have four college football plays. I still may throw

910
00:44:03,679 --> 00:44:06,119
up a college basketball again. If you get the Weekend Warrior,

911
00:44:06,159 --> 00:44:08,480
you're not gonna get hoops. But Joe, let me actually

912
00:44:08,559 --> 00:44:11,480
tell you this. This is probably the only time where

913
00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:14,440
the Weekend Warriors not the best feel. Okay, we have

914
00:44:14,679 --> 00:44:18,360
we have a ten day special for ninety nine dollars, right,

915
00:44:18,400 --> 00:44:21,400
so the Weekend Warriors forty nine and the ten day

916
00:44:21,440 --> 00:44:24,199
package would cover this weekend and next week in a

917
00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:28,119
football plus, you're gonna get Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday,

918
00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:34,599
and NBA, NHL and college basketball, so all sports. Any

919
00:44:34,679 --> 00:44:37,920
campera wager Talk, a seven day package is normally ninety

920
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:41,519
nine dollars. This week that package is now ten days

921
00:44:41,519 --> 00:44:44,679
for the same ninety nine dollars. So it's like getting

922
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:47,719
two weekend Warriors over the lat next two weekends and

923
00:44:48,079 --> 00:44:51,000
getting all those other sports plus midweek for free.

924
00:44:51,519 --> 00:44:53,559
Speaker 1: Ralph, I absolutely love it. You guys want to head

925
00:44:53,559 --> 00:44:55,599
on over to wager talk dot com get that ten

926
00:44:55,679 --> 00:44:59,159
day pass for just ninety nine dollars. Four plays already

927
00:44:59,199 --> 00:45:02,519
loaded a four college football today, maybe one more to come. Ralph,

928
00:45:02,559 --> 00:45:04,880
I hope you dominate crush the books today.

929
00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:07,280
Speaker 4: So best of luck, and hey, thanks to all the

930
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:10,519
new viewers today. It's always great seeing new people come

931
00:45:10,559 --> 00:45:12,159
in and join us for the weekend shows.

932
00:45:12,159 --> 00:45:15,760
Speaker 1: Appreciate it, absolutely all the best, Ralph. You guys head

933
00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:18,239
on over to wagertalk dot com. Like ral was saying,

934
00:45:18,320 --> 00:45:20,719
that ten day pass can't beat it. You're going to

935
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:23,480
get the next ten days for just ninety nine dollars.

936
00:45:23,559 --> 00:45:26,840
Ralph has already four plays loaded on the college football slate.

937
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:29,880
We know there's so much going on across all sports,

938
00:45:29,920 --> 00:45:31,679
so it's going to be a great day out there

939
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:34,440
for Week twelve. Let us know who you're liking if

940
00:45:34,480 --> 00:45:37,559
you got any touchdown props in any of these games.

941
00:45:37,679 --> 00:45:40,400
Four Week twelve, I think we're in for some exciting

942
00:45:40,440 --> 00:45:42,920
matchups out there. Like I told you guys, I am

943
00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:45,920
relying on Arch manning over one and a half passing

944
00:45:45,920 --> 00:45:48,119
touchdowns up plus one fifty four I got it, and

945
00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:50,960
over two hundred and twenty and a half passing yards.

946
00:45:51,039 --> 00:45:53,760
I know he's going up against the sound defense here

947
00:45:54,039 --> 00:45:56,239
in Georgia, but I think Arch has to be the

948
00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:58,679
man if Texas is going to cover that original six

949
00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:03,159
and a half. I'm all liking the utah Utes laying

950
00:46:03,199 --> 00:46:06,480
the points. I think Devin denpr comes out nice and strong.

951
00:46:06,559 --> 00:46:08,840
I do agree with Ralph that this should be a

952
00:46:08,880 --> 00:46:12,079
lower scoring game because you look at Utah, They're are

953
00:46:12,159 --> 00:46:15,159
gonna take their time. I don't trust Robinson on the

954
00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:19,280
other side. He's either firing and he's hitting his receivers

955
00:46:19,280 --> 00:46:21,360
out there, or he's turning that ball over. And I

956
00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:23,960
think the utah Utes have the ability to get those

957
00:46:24,039 --> 00:46:26,480
turnovers on the board. And that's the only thing that

958
00:46:26,519 --> 00:46:29,559
does worry me about that total is a pick six

959
00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:32,719
could result in this one going over that total. But

960
00:46:32,760 --> 00:46:35,159
I think Utah stays alive in the Big twelve race.

961
00:46:35,199 --> 00:46:37,719
We got a big game there. You guys all the

962
00:46:37,800 --> 00:46:40,440
best in all of your bets today. I appreciate each

963
00:46:40,480 --> 00:46:42,639
and every single one of you for being here. If

964
00:46:42,679 --> 00:46:45,159
you can hit that like button, I'd greatly appreciate and

965
00:46:45,239 --> 00:46:48,000
hit the notification about the subscribe button over here on

966
00:46:48,039 --> 00:46:50,639
YouTube if you're not already, because there's so much great

967
00:46:50,679 --> 00:46:53,519
free content dropping here on the daily now. Ariel will

968
00:46:53,559 --> 00:46:56,639
be in tomorrow for your last call talking NFL, and

969
00:46:56,719 --> 00:46:59,800
Kelly will be back here next Saturday, so i'll be

970
00:46:59,840 --> 00:47:03,119
like on Monday and Thursday night with your primetime preview

971
00:47:03,199 --> 00:47:06,199
last call going into those games at seven pm Eastern.

972
00:47:06,519 --> 00:47:08,719
I'll see you then. I appreciate each and every single

973
00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:10,840
one of you. Have a great day. Until next time,

974
00:47:11,039 --> 00:47:14,800
stay hot and let's make some freaking money.