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Speaker 1: Hi, Welcome to the NBA podcast. This is part two

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of my conversation with Keith Smith. We were discussing the

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New York Knicks winning the championship and the hiring of

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Chicago Splitter by the Chicago Bulls in the last podcast. Today,

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because it is Keith Smith who is a cap space

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officionado and expert, obviously we're going to go into the

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twenty twenty six free agency field. Keith, First and foremost,

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how are you doing, sir?

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Speaker 2: I'm doing good. I'm excited. This is a this is

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it man, This is my time to shine at least

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right so.

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Speaker 1: High expectations. So first and foremost, I want to get

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into just the players. We can see her and talk

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all day long about teams having cap space, but you

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and I Dan Well know often more often than not,

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teams that are projected to be under the cap they

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will act as being over the cab to make a

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lot of decisions. So cap space in many ways isn't

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necessarily I put this in quotation marks real uh. There

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are so many different ways you can spin it. And also,

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even if you have cap space, you don't necessarily have

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to sign someone. You can just trade guys into that

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cap space. So like, there are different a million different

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ways to apply this, but I want to get into

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the players here, and first and foremost, let's let's just

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start with the biggest name, Lebron James. Is he going

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to be returning to the Los Angeles Lakers? And like,

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in lieu of that that, let's just kind of loop

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in Austin Reeves because they have two of the best

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free agents on the market, Like the Lakers are in

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a weird potential summer here, Like what is your read

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on the Lakers so far?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure, And if you yeah, if you just

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started ranking free agents, those two guys are probably gonna

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be somewhere in the top five. I would imagine. It's

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you know, as I tell people all the time, even

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this version of Lebron is still better than ninety percent

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of the NBA, like, which it doesn't make sense, Like

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I'm done trying to even rationalize it. It is what

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it is. We all talk about Webbin Yama being an alien,

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it's Lebron. Who's the real alien cyborg that was delivered here?

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Like I you know, like I like, let's forget all

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the rest of it, but yeah, I Lebron, I you know,

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if we were having this conversation a month ago, probably

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would have said he's gone, Like he's it's all the

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stuff from earlier in the year and all the things

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that kind of came out and all the things that

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have happened throughout the course of the season. It's about

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like it's just leading to Lebron's going somewhere else. But

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now as we get closer to it and I look

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at it, it's like, it's gonna be really hard for

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him to go to the Calves, and it's gonna be

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really hard for him to go to the Warriors. None

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of those teams are gonna be able to give him

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a lot of money. Like it just feels like what

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we may be here for is I run it back

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for another year with Lebron and maybe it's another one

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of those like one or two year type of contracts,

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and that's that's where we're at with it, and and

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we go and then you know, with Austin Reeves, I

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think the Lakers have clearly made it a priority that

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they're gonna do everything they can to keep him. I

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think the big question there becomes what does the number

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land at? If the number lands north of forty million,

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which can only go a little bit over because he's

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only eligible for twenty five percent of.

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Speaker 1: The cap max.

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Speaker 2: But if it comes a little over forty million, or

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even to a full max, I think the Lakers might

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have a little bit of pause there and just saying

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I don't know, like that's a lot. If it's thirty

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five to thirty seven million, I realize that's almost the max.

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But if it was just that much less, I think

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they're like done, signed, get them, get them in, and

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we'll just go forward. So I've now kind of changed

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my tune a little where I think it's Lebron's much

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more fifty to fifty where I was probably like seventy

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five twenty five leaves, and then I think Reeves is there.

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And now I've changed my tune enough on Lebron too

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that I'm like, I don't know, we're having the conversation

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enough about what if Luca and Lebron's stay and Reeves

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is the one who goes, Like then, but what do

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the Lakers do? Like like like I know, I haven't

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really had that conversation.

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Speaker 1: Very much, right, It's overall, I think this is such

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an interesting the gear for the Lakers because of the

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fact that all three of them, Luca, Austin, and Lebron

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are you know ball handlers, Like not a lot of them,

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are you know, off ball gravity type of guys, So

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like there are a lot of mouths to feed, and

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I think occasionally there was a certain level of overlap.

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And what I'm wondering is whether they are interested in

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resigning Reeves with the mindset of flipping him later to

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get someone that's more appealing as a long term Luka

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Doncic sidekick.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that's certainly possible. I think, you know,

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the idea of all three of them together, it's been

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talked dead nauseum. Yeah, it's hard. You're gonna have enough

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shooting in defense around those guys. You still have to

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put a center on the floor. It just gets tough.

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If it's Luke and Reeves. It's like, can you build

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a good, good enough defense. I think you can, Like

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we talked in the episode we did earlier, but like

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the Knicks made it work with Townsend Brunson, and some

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of that was Towns like going to a whole different level.

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But you can make it work as long as the

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other guys are really good and really committed, you can

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make it work. But yeah, it's it's it's getting harder

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and harder to find those three and D players, whether

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they're wings or guards or even a handful of three

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in D bigs we've had over the years, because when

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teams get them, they just don't let them go. Yeah,

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because it's such a you know, coveted archetype. So I yeah,

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it's it's it's certainly an interesting offseason for them, and

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it and it does start with those two guys, because

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you know, and I just there's part of me that

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also says, hey, if we run it back with better health,

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we probably want to handful more games and maybe we're

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like the three seed in the conference, so the you know,

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where we're you know, pushing, maybe if the Spurs are thunder,

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don't push quite as hard or have an injury, like,

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let's see, you know how we figure that out. So I,

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you know, I think there is a war where they

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do some version of run it back with more tweaks

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around the edges, versus this idea of like, all right,

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Lebron's gone, we have almost fifty million in cap space

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and where you know, building an entire new team around

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Reeves and Doncic.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and there's also the decision of DeAndre Aiden. That's

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his decision to make like an eight point one million

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player option, which is going to be interesting to see

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like what happens there. Like, there are a lot of

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components in play for the Lakers, which I think like

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flies a little bit under the radar, Like Lebron having

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been there for eight years, by the way, I was

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kind of surprised when I saw that. It's just like

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kind of crazy, right, yeah, like eight years, He's he

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has over twelve thousand points for the Lakers, like that,

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what like, what are we doing? This is this is wild?

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But but yeah, no, so the Lakers are in possibly

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the most potentially game changing type of situation because like,

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let's assume they actually do lose Reeves and Lebron, maybe

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even Aid and two, Like who do they even pivot to,

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like if that happens, Like that would be worst case

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scenario obviously, but it just feels like the Lakers to me,

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like that that's the team to monitor the most in

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this free agency period.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's it's hard to pick anybody else, right,

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It's it's the it's they are arguably the biggest team

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in the sport, and they are in a position where

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they have can have a ton of cap space. If

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they don't, they've still got super interesting players. They've got

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maybe the all time best player. It's it's it's hard

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for me to not pick MJ. But that's just the

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era I grew up in, right, But it's you know,

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one one A there. Then you've got Luca, who on

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any given year can be the best player in the league.

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So it's yeah, I mean, of course they're they're gonna

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be interesting. We take a lot of golf over on

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our show NBA for Ant Office show. It's like, you

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guys talk too much Lakers. They stop talking so much Lakers,

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and the reality is it's like, you're right, because this

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isn't just Lakers Nation Part two, which is Trevor's other show.

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But the reality is they're just super interesting this summer.

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So of course we're gonna spend a lot of time

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talking Lakers.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Another team that has my interest a fair bit

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after they lost the finals, the San Antonio Spurs, And

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not for the reason that everyone assuming all trying to

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get back to the finals. No, it's because they're in

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a very interesting situation salary cap wise, because they are

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obviously going to hand to women Yama Max extensions. He's

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going to get that and that is going to trigger

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in twenty twenty seven, meaning that the season we're looking

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ahead to will be the last year of his rookie

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scale contract. And that allows them this year, this off

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season to go out and swing big for another piece

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if they want to. Now, Daron Fox's extension thirty percent

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max kicks in starts at forty nine and a half million.

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Now I'm gonna give you free ring, sir, Like, if

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you're the Spurs, how do you play this? Do you

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try to pivot off Fox and see if you can

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pivot or at least squeeze some more funds out of this,

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or do you try to make him, you know, a

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piece of something bigger in a trade port example, like

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how do you use Wemby's last rookie scale year to

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get better?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's so important because he's gonna be making

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forty plus million next year, not next year is And

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let me just so anybody knows, when I say next year,

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that's twenty seven to twenty eight, I'm already it's twenty six,

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twenty seven, in my world and the NBA terms, like

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we're that's already the year. We're working with it. Right,

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we get about fifteen more days or so to go

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of this league year, but I'm already there for this year.

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So twenty seven to twenty eight Oneby's gonna be on

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forty million dollars plus and that is just assuming basic

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cap growth. So you're it's either this year or next

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year that you're moving Fox. I think Dylan Harper is

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ready to start. Yeah, you know, no problem if they

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start next year with him and Castle. I don't think

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he can start all three of them. I think that's

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just too I think you're too small, they ain't or

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too You're shooting is to Wax and Wayne with that group,

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like it's gonna come and go because Wemby's not a

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consistent shooter, get himself. So when I think about Fox,

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I I don't want to overreact to the finals because

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very clearly he was hurt. Yeah, and I think it's

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gone way too far now that like people are acting

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like he stinks and has the worst contract in the NBA.

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Like if you were okay with him on the Max

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Steel two months ago, nothing should have changed, Like he's still,

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you know, a really good player and one of the

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better point guards in the league. Like he was an

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All Star last year. I know some people feel like

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he shouldn't have been, but he was, so I think

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for for him it's I don't want to go too crazy,

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but on the flip side, like I want Harper to play,

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so you gotta, yeah, he just something has to give somewhere,

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and for me, if it is right, well by trading

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Fox we can get I think they need a couple

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more bigger forwards. Are guys who can be like four

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or fives alongside one Be just they I love Champagne,

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but he's not a power forward like they played with

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essentially a wing and three guards next to one bigiana

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and I really one Be's massive, but get one more

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big guy, especially somebody could play a little more bulk

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and a little more strength next and without having to

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be like a true center. So I think, yeah, if

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you could turn Fox into that and in a way

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like kind of fill your final holes. I guess knowing

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you're not creating too big of a hole at point

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guard because you're you've got heart ready to step in. Yeah,

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I'm okay with exploring the deal.

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Speaker 1: This offseason, right, So, Dan fa Valley of the Hardwoodknox

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and Eye, we have just gone into this biblical mantra

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of trade Trey Murphy that he's the guy because he's

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just what he would fit. That seems so well, especially

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coming in as an off ball shooter, just playing off

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of the attention given to the jumpbo guards and Wemby,

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And I think he sort of fits your mold a

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little bit. Like he's not a four to five, but

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he is a legit wing right, Like he can play

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the four, he can play the three, he can play

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both of those positions. He defensively, you know, he's not

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a world beater, but he's good. He's you know, he

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does have good moments defensively, but he like even if

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you get him in and you use the Fox contract

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to get out of or just as a salary matching component,

250
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like Murphy earns so much less and the Spurs would

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also have to give up additional assets to make the

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value alignment. But that might even allow you to have

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more flexibility financially to go out and actually get that

254
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four or five guy, Like I'm not sure who it is.

255
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Like a year ago, I would have said I say

256
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a Steward, but the Pistons are just too good now.

257
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I don't think they're going to give him up. But

258
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and it's tough to say, and I say a Stuart

259
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type of guy, because like, let's be real, there's only

260
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one Beef stew in the league, Like there isn't anyone

261
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exactly like him. But then I would have to go

262
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look for a lesser version because I do agree with you,

263
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Like they played Luke Cornett like eight minutes in the finals.

264
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He wasn't playable. He was also he was sick I

265
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think in the last two games or something along those lines.

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But they do need someone else who's a little bit

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more bulky, who's a little bit more just physical at

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the four and the five. So like, is it even

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a realistic outcome to go out and get someone, you know,

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off the ilk of a Trey Murphy while also upgrading

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the four or five spot.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think it's certainly possible because because

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of the flexibility, they're miles from the luxury tax line,

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and with Fox's contract, it's going to be very hard

275
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to take on a lot more money right in a deal.

276
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So yeah, I think you could certainly move him I

277
00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:05,039
think would be really good for them. It's John Collins. Like,

278
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I'm a huge John Collins fan, so I like, I'll

279
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start with that. Like, there's very few teams I don't

280
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think he'd be really good on, but just another guy

281
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can rebound, doesn't need to be this super rim protector

282
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because you already have that. He can be fairly physical

283
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on that end of the floor, and he can space

284
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the floor. Yeah, it's really good. It's funny I find

285
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all the time I mentioned his name, people like, yeah,

286
00:15:30,759 --> 00:15:32,879
I don't know about and then they're like, oh, John

287
00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:35,279
Collins shoots better than I thought like, and it's like, yeah,

288
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this guy is really really good. I think I think

289
00:15:39,759 --> 00:15:42,240
we all mentioned this kind of team up and it

290
00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:46,600
takes it to the national team, Like that would be

291
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a super you know, cost effective edition. I think that's

292
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somebody they could go with. I think Ruiyama would be

293
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really good for them. Again, another guy can really shoot

294
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the ball, excuse you, a little bit of bulk at

295
00:15:58,440 --> 00:16:00,679
the forward position. Then if they wanted to go with

296
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a center who gives you a little bit of a

297
00:16:03,679 --> 00:16:06,120
different like let's say they were like, we're gonna move

298
00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:09,519
Wenby more towards the foe line. This would be a

299
00:16:09,519 --> 00:16:12,960
team where I think like Nick Vucovich would fit pretty good.

300
00:16:13,039 --> 00:16:16,360
And after the way he finished with Boston, probably gonna

301
00:16:16,399 --> 00:16:20,720
put you in a better like situation salary wise, it's

302
00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:23,679
not gonna be twenty million dollars a year. Might be

303
00:16:23,759 --> 00:16:26,879
a mid level type guy. And I think because Wemby

304
00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:31,519
is so good at oh Wemby, like we're gonna isolate Vucevic,

305
00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,120
We're gonna go at him inside. Wemby was at the

306
00:16:34,279 --> 00:16:36,279
ARC a second ago, but now here he is in

307
00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,039
weak side help position, like you know, so good and

308
00:16:39,559 --> 00:16:42,600
is such a good shooter that he can again space

309
00:16:42,679 --> 00:16:45,279
the floor. Good rebounder guy. You could just when you're

310
00:16:45,279 --> 00:16:48,039
playing Joel Embiid, you throw him on Joel Embiid, you

311
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:51,399
throw him on Nikola Jokic because he's not gonna shut

312
00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:53,639
those guys down. But he's also not gonna get bodied

313
00:16:53,679 --> 00:16:56,440
into oblivion by those guys when they would just want

314
00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:58,960
to play super physical. So those are some of the

315
00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:01,519
guys I think, just kind of more off the top

316
00:17:01,559 --> 00:17:02,799
of my head, that I think could fit.

317
00:17:04,039 --> 00:17:05,920
Speaker 1: We'll take a quick commercial break and then we'll be

318
00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:11,440
back with another portion of free agents. All right, Keith

319
00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:16,839
the Tray Young conundrum. He's got a player option with

320
00:17:16,920 --> 00:17:21,680
the Washington Wizards for forty nine million, and he's extension eligible.

321
00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:26,559
Is there a way for the Wizards to offer him

322
00:17:26,599 --> 00:17:29,720
something that makes sense for him in order for him

323
00:17:29,759 --> 00:17:32,000
to turn down the player option and just go straight

324
00:17:32,039 --> 00:17:32,880
into an extension.

325
00:17:34,279 --> 00:17:37,759
Speaker 2: Well, what I think is probably gonna happen is the

326
00:17:37,799 --> 00:17:41,000
Wizards are gonna have him pick up that player option.

327
00:17:41,559 --> 00:17:43,599
Let's just call it fifty million, just for the sake

328
00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:46,519
of my simple brain. Yes, I realize I'm a cap guy,

329
00:17:46,599 --> 00:17:48,920
but I like to keep math simple when I can.

330
00:17:49,599 --> 00:17:52,240
And then I think, what you do if you're the Wizards,

331
00:17:52,279 --> 00:17:55,440
is you get your fifty million on your final year

332
00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:58,640
of your current deal, then a two year, seventy million

333
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:02,880
dollars extension, so roughly thirty five million a pop. One

334
00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:05,920
hundred and twenty million total one hundred and forty or

335
00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:10,240
forty million average annual value. But your numbers in years

336
00:18:10,319 --> 00:18:14,160
two and three are a lot more reasonable with that, Like,

337
00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,400
that's what makes sense to me if I'm the Wizards,

338
00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:20,400
Because one, we don't even know how this is really

339
00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:22,559
gonna work. What do we see them ten minutes with

340
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:26,200
the Wizards, like we like, I think it's gonna be okay,

341
00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:28,319
but like, hey, you don't have to commit to us

342
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:30,359
super long term. We don't need to commit to you

343
00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:34,000
super long term. If it's gonna be anything beyond that

344
00:18:34,079 --> 00:18:37,519
stretches beyond the upcoming season and then the next two

345
00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:41,359
I want that fourth year to be team protected, either

346
00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:44,920
it's a team option or it's very lightly guaranteed something

347
00:18:45,039 --> 00:18:47,839
like that, where then all right, if it's let's say,

348
00:18:48,039 --> 00:18:51,640
was we're gonna do one more year at another thirty

349
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:54,519
five million, all right, we'll out of that thirty five million,

350
00:18:54,599 --> 00:18:57,640
let's only guarantee ten or fifteen million of it. So

351
00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:00,680
that way, if everything goes sideways, we can get out

352
00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:02,400
of it and ideally just be let's make it a

353
00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:05,839
team option straight up and just go. So that's where

354
00:19:05,839 --> 00:19:07,799
I think think you go with with Treyon.

355
00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:11,519
Speaker 1: I look, I agree with that that that's also been

356
00:19:11,519 --> 00:19:13,680
the number, the forty five million a year number that

357
00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:17,640
I've been throwing around because it just I don't know why,

358
00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:20,119
Like I don't think I can I can contextualize this.

359
00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:22,400
It just feels fitting in a way. I think that's

360
00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:26,039
the right number for him because of the injury this year.

361
00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:29,200
The fact that you know, we just know that him

362
00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:34,960
as a heliocentric point guard has just not worked forty

363
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:37,920
five million seems like a fair compromise as someone who

364
00:19:38,799 --> 00:19:41,119
is going to be playing a large part for your

365
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:44,359
team but just cannot in any way, shape or form,

366
00:19:44,519 --> 00:19:46,599
be your primary superstar.

367
00:19:50,279 --> 00:19:53,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I think that's fair. I think we've

368
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:58,920
also seen his teams have had ceilings, right but before

369
00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:03,039
where it's been if he is your guy, like that

370
00:20:03,279 --> 00:20:08,359
is your ceiling? Is there now? If on this Wizard's team,

371
00:20:09,039 --> 00:20:13,559
if it's him and Anthony Davis whoever they draft, then

372
00:20:13,599 --> 00:20:16,559
you've got like galax sar there. I think there's a

373
00:20:16,559 --> 00:20:19,240
world where it starts to turn into all right, Yeah,

374
00:20:19,279 --> 00:20:22,640
Trey Young is really good playmaker, good scorer, but he

375
00:20:22,839 --> 00:20:27,240
is he's like really kind of our third best player.

376
00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:29,720
By the time a couple of those guys age up,

377
00:20:29,759 --> 00:20:31,799
all of a sudden, I'm like, ar, let's go. I'm

378
00:20:31,799 --> 00:20:34,240
a lot more interested than the team where it is like,

379
00:20:34,319 --> 00:20:36,440
let's build everything around him. That's where it gets a

380
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:38,160
little sideways.

381
00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:41,920
Speaker 1: Right right, and changing gears a little bit because we're

382
00:20:41,920 --> 00:20:44,200
still gonna stay in like the league guard market James

383
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:48,160
Harden player option for forty two point three million. I

384
00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:50,640
think his situation is a little bit more tough because

385
00:20:50,759 --> 00:20:54,039
you know, he's he's almost ten years older than Trey Young.

386
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:58,000
Like now h is becoming a real factor here. Like

387
00:20:58,039 --> 00:21:00,440
if you're going to try to extend James hard what

388
00:21:00,519 --> 00:21:02,799
is the number there? Or do you just let him

389
00:21:03,079 --> 00:21:05,359
pick up the player option, play out that one year

390
00:21:05,559 --> 00:21:09,799
and then go into his what h thirty eight season

391
00:21:11,039 --> 00:21:13,799
and kind of decided off of that year.

392
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:19,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would much rather he pick up the player

393
00:21:19,799 --> 00:21:24,920
option then get stupid with a contract, if I can

394
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:27,759
put it that way, because then at least it's just

395
00:21:27,759 --> 00:21:30,039
just let it play out, right, Like we don't need

396
00:21:30,079 --> 00:21:33,319
to get crazy with it. But I think it's in

397
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:38,440
a position with Harden where I think I think what

398
00:21:38,519 --> 00:21:41,559
you're gonna see is again ops out him and the

399
00:21:41,559 --> 00:21:44,599
Cavs probably and he's probably known for months now, and

400
00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,319
everybody can scream and cry about tampering, but I don't

401
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:50,200
really care. We're all grown ups in adult series already

402
00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:53,920
on the team. What difference does it make where since

403
00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:56,279
he was traded there? I think think it's probably in

404
00:21:56,319 --> 00:21:59,000
a situation where it is they know what the number

405
00:21:59,039 --> 00:22:01,240
needs to be and again, if you could take if

406
00:22:01,279 --> 00:22:05,160
you're James Harden, he picks up his option and I

407
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:07,680
know it. Then it becomes only partially guaranteed. But that's

408
00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:10,599
forty two million bucks, right if I'm James Harden, and

409
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:12,519
I'm like, all right, I opt out and I can

410
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:16,559
and I can get sixty million guaranteed over the next

411
00:22:16,599 --> 00:22:20,400
two seasons. Okay, Like that works for me. Like Dan,

412
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:22,799
I'm in a better place. And if I'm the Cavs,

413
00:22:22,839 --> 00:22:26,279
I'm like, that's much better because they need to start

414
00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:30,200
relieving pressure on those aprons for themselves because they've you know,

415
00:22:30,319 --> 00:22:33,079
especially if they want to make other moves in additions.

416
00:22:33,079 --> 00:22:35,799
And that's where where yeah, I think it's it's kind

417
00:22:35,799 --> 00:22:38,680
of similar to Trey Young, but slightly different in that

418
00:22:38,759 --> 00:22:41,599
it happens right now that the player off so but

419
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:44,119
he's also a decade older than Trey Young is. So

420
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,799
like we're we're in a spall where it's like we

421
00:22:47,079 --> 00:22:49,200
don't need to take it quite as you know far,

422
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:50,960
I'm in that position.

423
00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:54,240
Speaker 1: And of course the big piece and we're gonna spend

424
00:22:54,240 --> 00:23:00,799
the rest of the episode on this Keith Yannis. It's

425
00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:04,039
believed that he prefers the Miami Heat, and they are interested.

426
00:23:04,079 --> 00:23:06,240
Of course they like the Heat. I feel like have

427
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:09,880
just been waiting for years, years and years and years

428
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:12,839
to like get that Tier one guy. Like they've just

429
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:17,240
kind of gone through the motions waiting for some guide

430
00:23:17,279 --> 00:23:20,319
to look at land in their lap. Now they have

431
00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:24,119
some of the young guys as assets. Giannis is available.

432
00:23:25,559 --> 00:23:29,039
Prime win Horse of ESPN reports that the offer from

433
00:23:29,079 --> 00:23:31,799
Miami is believed to be built around Stylo Hero He'll

434
00:23:31,839 --> 00:23:35,680
whar Haimi Hakis Junior and the thirteenth overall selection in

435
00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:39,039
this month's draft. Like, what do you think about, like

436
00:23:39,079 --> 00:23:40,880
the value alignment of that trade.

437
00:23:43,039 --> 00:23:46,759
Speaker 2: It's it's interesting because we have a couple of components

438
00:23:46,759 --> 00:23:50,839
at play here. Is Jannis has as far as we know,

439
00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:55,839
not done the whole superstar thing of this is where

440
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:59,119
I want to be right Like it certainly hasn't done

441
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:03,440
it in any kind of public way. Also, the fact

442
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:06,960
that you talk to people around the league right now

443
00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:10,640
and they'll tell you the value of draft picks has

444
00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:15,400
never been a more uncertain than ever. I had a

445
00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:19,759
team tell me last week, we're good with trading our

446
00:24:19,799 --> 00:24:23,480
picks because there's never going to be a point where

447
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:26,359
we can bought them out for multiple years and try

448
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,680
to rebuild that way under the new lottery refour rules.

449
00:24:30,079 --> 00:24:32,920
So why not trade some picks? If you're close now,

450
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:35,720
you know it to yourselves, go for it. I had

451
00:24:35,759 --> 00:24:39,160
another team say I have no problem taking a bunch

452
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:41,599
of picks in trade, but I don't necessarily want them

453
00:24:41,599 --> 00:24:43,720
all from one team, and if I do, I want

454
00:24:43,759 --> 00:24:45,640
them kind of more spread out. I don't want the

455
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:49,559
next three years four years of picks and swaps all

456
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:53,039
in a row because that team gets really bad, we

457
00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:55,440
may not benefit from it the way we want to,

458
00:24:56,599 --> 00:24:59,680
so that that also factors in. I don't know. I

459
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:03,400
don't know that a Gyiannis trade needs to be four

460
00:25:03,519 --> 00:25:07,319
first round picks and swaps in the inter intervening years

461
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,680
and all that anymore. I think Tyler Hero's contract is

462
00:25:11,079 --> 00:25:14,599
far more palatable now. It's an expiring contract, so if

463
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,200
nothing else, you're out of it in a year. If

464
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:20,079
you're the Bucks and you're creating your own cap space.

465
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:24,240
I like Hakes. I like where. I don't know that

466
00:25:24,319 --> 00:25:26,880
I love them as much as like, oh my god,

467
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:30,680
what you know our new franchise centerpieces. I think they're

468
00:25:30,759 --> 00:25:33,119
good players. And I think they're good rotation players on

469
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:36,039
a good team. But the problem if you're the Bucks trade,

470
00:25:36,079 --> 00:25:38,000
be honest, you're not gonna be a good team. So

471
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:40,920
I don't know that. I just want just guys who

472
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:45,480
are just good players, especially knowing that they're not that

473
00:25:45,559 --> 00:25:49,079
far from needing new contracts too, So then that's where

474
00:25:49,079 --> 00:25:52,079
we're going with that. So I think it's a good package.

475
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:55,200
I think it's better than anything that it was when

476
00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:58,079
they were trying to get Dame a couple of years ago.

477
00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:01,359
I think it's more law. The fits make a lot

478
00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:04,000
more sense for the Bucks than any of the stuff

479
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:06,839
they were trying to send to Portland did. Portland already

480
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:08,640
had a ton of young shooting guards and I didn't

481
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:12,160
need Tyler Hero So that made sense to me why

482
00:26:12,559 --> 00:26:15,160
Portland was like no, like, we don't want any part

483
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:17,960
of having him for the next three or four seasons.

484
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:21,839
So I think that is that part is good. Do

485
00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:24,440
I think other teams can beat that? Yeah? I do.

486
00:26:24,519 --> 00:26:27,039
I think there's multiple other teams that, if they wanted

487
00:26:27,039 --> 00:26:29,359
to get involved, could say, hey, we can offer you

488
00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:34,720
better players now, better package of draft picks, better package

489
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:37,759
of young talent, whatever it is, you're looking for. I

490
00:26:37,799 --> 00:26:40,880
still haven't ruled out to that Miami. Everybody assumes, right

491
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:44,359
if excuse me, Milwaukee, but he assumes if Milwaukee gets

492
00:26:44,799 --> 00:26:47,960
Hero and Hakes and where keep the young guys, and

493
00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:51,359
they'll try to flip Hero and move them along. I'm

494
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:53,559
not sold that Milwaukee doesn't look at it and say,

495
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:57,400
you know what, like, why shouldn't we try to be okay,

496
00:26:57,640 --> 00:27:00,960
like we can be all right, maybe called well together

497
00:27:01,039 --> 00:27:03,799
a playoff team, because there's still some good talent on

498
00:27:03,839 --> 00:27:06,319
this team and maybe maybe it does all come together.

499
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:08,880
So yeah, well we'll we'll see. You know, I'm very

500
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,519
very curious. I have no doubt in my mind. I

501
00:27:11,519 --> 00:27:14,440
I get asked, as I'm sure you do every day,

502
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:18,079
where's Gianni's going? And I continue to say, think it's

503
00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:21,559
probably gonna be Miami, Like you, just everything seems to

504
00:27:21,599 --> 00:27:24,039
be lining up for this to finally be the time.

505
00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:26,119
But I'm not gonna be shocked if we get the

506
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:27,000
tweet and that's not.

507
00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:31,759
Speaker 1: Miami right that way, right, and and honestly it's I

508
00:27:31,799 --> 00:27:34,920
think the Bucks sat on this a little too long,

509
00:27:35,079 --> 00:27:37,359
because I would I would have been surprised if this

510
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:41,160
had been like the primary package a year ago. Perhaps

511
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:43,880
I think that the ship has just sailed a little

512
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:46,240
bit too long, like if it felt like everyone was

513
00:27:46,279 --> 00:27:49,519
just kind of waiting for this breaking point like last year.

514
00:27:49,599 --> 00:27:52,000
I wonder if they had traded him, I don't want

515
00:27:52,039 --> 00:27:55,559
to say preemptively, but close to it, whether that would

516
00:27:55,599 --> 00:27:57,680
have cashed in more than what they can get now.

517
00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:05,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think there's definitely something to that. You know,

518
00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:10,880
I am very like with the Yanni stuff. I just

519
00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:14,319
I think we're We're just in a world where it

520
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:20,799
is like it this is the first superstar trade in

521
00:28:20,839 --> 00:28:24,480
our new world, if you will, where we have both

522
00:28:24,559 --> 00:28:27,799
the combination of the aprons, which are as much as

523
00:28:27,799 --> 00:28:31,079
they pushed down on the super expensive teams, they forced

524
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:34,400
the bottom teams to come up you can't get the

525
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:36,680
Bucks can't trade them, and then sit on fifty million

526
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:39,400
in cap space just be like, well, we'll eat contracts

527
00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,079
for picks and everything else you can't through the end

528
00:28:42,079 --> 00:28:45,119
of free agency, but once season starts, that's over and

529
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:48,000
done with, and then new factor in this new lottery

530
00:28:48,039 --> 00:28:51,359
reform world where it's like there, I think the Bucks

531
00:28:51,519 --> 00:28:53,839
probably should have traded him a year ago, right, and

532
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:56,359
you you could have probably done even better. Then it's

533
00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:58,920
just now it's like, I don't know, you know, where

534
00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:01,400
are we going? So it's it's just you know. But

535
00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:03,119
the reality is they didn't trade him a year ago.

536
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:05,759
So now now we're here and let's let's see. I mean,

537
00:29:05,839 --> 00:29:08,880
there's there's an awful lot of reporting in buzz that

538
00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:13,000
Boston's involved. I totally worlds where it makes sense to

539
00:29:13,039 --> 00:29:16,920
me and I if you start following the bread comes

540
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,039
maybe they were leading everybody to the s Brad Stevens

541
00:29:20,119 --> 00:29:24,519
was very direct multiple different times in his end of

542
00:29:24,519 --> 00:29:27,400
season press conference. We need to be able to pressure

543
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:29,759
the room more. We did want more dunks and layups

544
00:29:29,799 --> 00:29:32,359
and free throws. Well, even this version of the honest

545
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:34,640
nobody does it better than he does as far as

546
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:36,759
getting to the basket area over and over and over

547
00:29:36,759 --> 00:29:39,240
again in a game. So maybe they do get involved.

548
00:29:39,279 --> 00:29:39,920
We'll see.

549
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:43,480
Speaker 1: One final question before I let you go. It's kind

550
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:45,799
of a big one. So I'm gonna challenge you to

551
00:29:45,799 --> 00:29:48,119
see if you can sum it up somewhat quickly.

552
00:29:48,319 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 2: And good luck.

553
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I know, that's why. That's what it's called a challenge, sir.

554
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,680
So with the lottery reform and the fact that free

555
00:29:56,680 --> 00:30:01,559
agency has in its traditional sense kind of died and

556
00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:05,200
with the Aprons making trades all that more difficult if

557
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:08,359
you're above the first and second Apron. You know, those

558
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:11,599
are the three main pillars of roster construction that has

559
00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:16,200
been tingered with quite substantially over the past. I want

560
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:19,920
to say, four to five years. What is your rate

561
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:24,160
on this like going forward? Like? Because I'm getting the

562
00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:27,720
sense and I've also heard a few rumblings that there

563
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:31,519
are league sects who are very tired of getting handcuffed

564
00:30:31,559 --> 00:30:34,799
in terns just in terms of their flexibility. Could this

565
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:37,519
be a problem for the league moving forward, just in

566
00:30:37,599 --> 00:30:43,640
terms of like limiting the flexibility of these three roster pillars.

567
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:47,200
Speaker 2: Yes, and no hum, And I'll try to be quick

568
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:50,480
on this. I think the Aprons have done their jobs.

569
00:30:50,759 --> 00:30:53,440
The Aprons came in because they did not want teams

570
00:30:53,519 --> 00:30:58,880
spending five hundred million dollars in combined roster plus tax penalties.

571
00:30:59,039 --> 00:31:03,240
Like they just that's not where the league wanted to be. Now,

572
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:08,519
they made it extremely restrictive to be very expensive. There's

573
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:11,440
now I believe it's ten different things that trigger a

574
00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:14,799
hard cap. There used to be like three, so now

575
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:17,359
and there's a whole other layer to get hard cap at.

576
00:31:17,839 --> 00:31:20,039
I do think they have made it restrictive. That said,

577
00:31:20,119 --> 00:31:23,000
one of my favorite quotes from a movie, life will

578
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:26,759
find a way from Park Like where everybody was like,

579
00:31:26,839 --> 00:31:29,039
trades will never happen again, There's never going to be

580
00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:31,440
any more big trades. Well, there's still just as many

581
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:34,319
big trades because teams are smart. They hire really smart

582
00:31:34,319 --> 00:31:35,720
people and they pay them a lot of money to

583
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:39,759
figure these things out, and they do. So what I

584
00:31:40,039 --> 00:31:44,400
do think has changed is the cap is not growing

585
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:46,960
the way they thought it was going to. There was

586
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:49,559
a point there where, especially after the new TV deal,

587
00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:52,200
where it's like, man, we're going to grow to the

588
00:31:53,279 --> 00:31:57,200
capped ten percent growth and then that's going to spill

589
00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,319
over and spill over and spill over and we won't

590
00:31:59,359 --> 00:32:01,240
even catch up at the time the end of the

591
00:32:01,359 --> 00:32:03,799
YO CBA is done, like this is gonna be great.

592
00:32:03,839 --> 00:32:06,759
We're gonna all be swimming in money. That doesn't happened.

593
00:32:06,799 --> 00:32:09,960
It's not going to happen. And part of that is

594
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:14,240
that the fiasco death of local TV. So I think

595
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:17,119
we're in a spot where that's where I think teams

596
00:32:17,119 --> 00:32:20,359
are maybe feeling the squeeze a little bit more of like,

597
00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:24,759
it's just that much harder to get some things done,

598
00:32:25,039 --> 00:32:27,200
especially if we also want to factor in the fourth

599
00:32:27,519 --> 00:32:31,960
part of like the Rusterbil the extension. It's like, now

600
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,039
it's guys are like, all right, the money's there, I'll

601
00:32:34,079 --> 00:32:37,200
just extend. And we've seen a handful of teams like

602
00:32:37,279 --> 00:32:40,720
the Magic they great, they extended all their guys. Well,

603
00:32:40,759 --> 00:32:43,400
now they're like, and maybe we probably shouldn't extended this

604
00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:45,519
guy or this guy. Right, So those are all the

605
00:32:45,559 --> 00:32:47,160
things you got a kind of factor and it's a

606
00:32:47,519 --> 00:32:52,039
I'll say this, it's never been more complicated to put

607
00:32:52,039 --> 00:32:54,920
together your roster than it is right now because you

608
00:32:55,039 --> 00:32:57,279
no longer have the out of just I just pay

609
00:32:57,319 --> 00:32:58,519
everybody and we'll trade them later.

610
00:32:58,599 --> 00:33:01,640
Speaker 1: It doesn't work that way anymore, right, And the fans too,

611
00:33:01,839 --> 00:33:05,519
are so much more confused now than there were just

612
00:33:05,599 --> 00:33:09,519
three or four years ago. It's extremely difficult for them

613
00:33:09,599 --> 00:33:11,759
to Like, if you're a casual fan, by the way,

614
00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,920
nothing wrong with that. It's that's completely fair to follow

615
00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:18,799
the league and not have like a complicated understanding of

616
00:33:19,079 --> 00:33:22,759
the intricacies of the salary cap. Completely fair. But for

617
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,759
a lot of people who are just like, so, what's

618
00:33:25,839 --> 00:33:28,640
going on with the league, and then you know, the

619
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:31,240
experts have to say, oh yeah, so in order to

620
00:33:31,319 --> 00:33:34,119
understand this, you need to understand this and this and

621
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:39,559
this' it's extremely difficult I think for fans to relate

622
00:33:39,799 --> 00:33:42,400
to roster construction at the NBA level with this and more.

623
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:46,279
Speaker 2: You made me laugh and unintentionally something we both also

624
00:33:46,319 --> 00:33:49,640
share a passion for. It's become like like Marvel or

625
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:52,359
it's like if you don't watch these five TV shows

626
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:54,880
and all the movies, you're not gonna understand what's going

627
00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:57,519
on and who is this guy? Where did he come from?

628
00:33:57,599 --> 00:34:00,200
And it's like, yeah, so just made me laugh because

629
00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:01,480
I was like, I'd never really kind of put those

630
00:34:01,519 --> 00:34:02,640
two things together before.

631
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:06,680
Speaker 1: Right, No, you're right, it's absolutely true, and it's something

632
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:09,360
I've just been thinking about a lot, and I know

633
00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:12,280
every single off season, I just get so many questions

634
00:34:12,679 --> 00:34:17,360
from from NBA fans just wondering how does this work now?

635
00:34:17,639 --> 00:34:19,360
Do like what do we need to be aware of?

636
00:34:19,599 --> 00:34:25,239
And it's the answers aren't short, like they are so multifaceted,

637
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:27,400
like you have to really dig into it for people

638
00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:30,199
to understand. So I think the league, it would behoove

639
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:35,599
the league overall to simplify certain processes moving forward. But yeah,

640
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:39,039
could you let our listeners know where they can find

641
00:34:39,039 --> 00:34:39,559
your work, sir?

642
00:34:40,559 --> 00:34:42,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, So if you like all this stuff and it

643
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:45,880
would not move for me because I like it being

644
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:48,440
complicated because then I get paid to explain all of it.

645
00:34:49,039 --> 00:34:51,760
But you can follow my workover at spot track dot

646
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:54,760
com in the middle of off season previews. Oh over

647
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:57,119
there where you get those coming fast and furious. Heres,

648
00:34:57,119 --> 00:35:00,159
the off season is fifteen days away. I mean it's here,

649
00:35:00,159 --> 00:35:04,360
but the true opening of free agencies only fifteen days away.

650
00:35:04,119 --> 00:35:07,239
So as we record this, so we're you know, cranking

651
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:09,559
those along. We've got all kinds of stuff coming out.

652
00:35:09,599 --> 00:35:13,360
And with that, we've got free agent previews and breakdowns

653
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:16,119
and everything. I'll be breaking down all the major moves

654
00:35:16,159 --> 00:35:18,559
that happen and all that. And then NBA Front Office

655
00:35:18,559 --> 00:35:21,559
Show Trevor Lane and I. If you like conversations that

656
00:35:21,679 --> 00:35:26,599
really revolve almost solely around roster construction and trade rumors

657
00:35:26,639 --> 00:35:28,760
and all that stuff, that's what we do over there.

658
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:30,719
We have a lot of fun out with dead Every

659
00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:34,679
friday's a live show Front Office Friday for the fans.

660
00:35:35,000 --> 00:35:37,480
It's your show. You program it by asking us whatever

661
00:35:37,599 --> 00:35:39,440
questions you have. We have a lot of fun with that.

662
00:35:39,559 --> 00:35:42,599
So again, NBA Front Office Show on YouTube or anywhere

663
00:35:42,599 --> 00:35:43,800
you listen to podcasts.

664
00:35:44,079 --> 00:35:46,480
Speaker 1: Sounds good. Ben, thank you for for coming on for

665
00:35:46,519 --> 00:35:50,000
two episodes, and thank you for everyone listening in until

666
00:35:50,039 --> 00:35:53,480
we talk again, have a good one and stay safe everyone,

