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Speaker 1: Welcome in to the Opening Line Report.

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Speaker 2: Kelly Stewart here on this beautiful Monday morning, joined by

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Teddy covers Teddy the bright spots of my day Yesterday,

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we're named the Dolphins and the Panthers.

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Speaker 1: That is not something I thought I would say.

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Speaker 2: But we're gonna get into the other games from week

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six in the NFL. We're also gonna hit on some

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Monday Night football and maybe we've got a couple emergency

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betting alerts.

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Speaker 1: For you guys.

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Speaker 2: So come hang out with us here on the Opening

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Line Report. Jump in the comments section, tell us who

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you like, as well as anything else you would like

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to see from Teddy and I, and we're gonna have

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a great show.

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Speaker 1: Teddy, should we start off with Monday Night Football?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, but of course it's week seven. We're breaking down

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Week seven on the show. We'll touch on what just

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happened in Week six, but it's all about on the

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Wager Talk NFL Opening Line Report, it's all about the

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upcoming week. We're always trying to look forward and help

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you guys. He really understand what's happened and what the

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nuances of these teams are. A and B. Get ahead

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of some of these line moves, which has been working

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pretty well so far this season. I've been pleased. You know,

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last year I was annoyed with the results of the

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of the emergency betting alerts because I wasn't I didn't

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trust my own numbers enough. And this year I'm trusting

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my number. My numbers are better than some of these

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market numbers to open they are.

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Speaker 1: I love it.

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Speaker 3: It's been that way all year, and we're.

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Speaker 2: Gonna get into why some of the market numbers are

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what they are. Maybe don't be overreacting to what you see,

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or hey, some of these teams are in free fall.

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So let's get right into Monday Night Football. The first

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one up is Bills Falcons. This is a game that

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we've seen come down from the opening number. Buffalo off

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that loss to the Patriots kind of break down this game,

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at least the first game here on Monday Night Football.

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Speaker 3: Sure, in terms of where the money's come, it's been

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all Atlanta money. There's a school of thought out there

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that the Bills and when really, when you look at

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their schedule, their schedule has not been tough. All right,

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Buffalo has had it pretty easy thus far. I guess

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the Ravens Week one. You know, New England, you know

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who they beat by a point, and New England, who

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they lost to, are the only two teams that they

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face that are any good. So there's not as much

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market support for the Bills as you might think. And

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that's why we've seen Atlanta money. That total's been sitting

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pretty steady forty nine and a half fifty. I haven't

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seen a whole lot of action there for the late game.

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And again, the games are kicking off only an hour apart.

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Is not a true you know, a week one game

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and then the next game one of those Monday Night

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double leaders. It's a two games going on at the

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same time, Monday Night Double Leaders. In that one, we

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saw early money for Washington and it's just helded. You know,

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it's been sitting five and a half pretty much all

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week total forty nine and a half the prevailing number.

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There's rain expected in the DC this evening, so be

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aware that that could affect gameplay in this one. Chicago

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some pretty ugly defensive numbers full season at the very

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bottom of the NFL and a number of different defensive categories,

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and yet Washington missing their top two receivers this evening

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so I guess those two have neutralized each other when

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it comes to how it's affected the vetting markets thus far.

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So again, right now, that's sitting sitting steady five and

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a half. With this. I thought that we might see

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a little bit of Bears money earlier this morning. It

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doesn't look like it's materializing. Five and a half is

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a number that it's been holding it for quite some time,

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and I'm not anticipating a move right away.

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Speaker 2: Okay, let's get right into Thursday night football. We've got

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the Steelers at the Bengals. And hey, I was one

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of the people that did not take the bait with

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the Browns last week, and I thought, hey, this is

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kind of a weird game. Steelers looked good. Aaron Rodgers

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played pretty flawlessly.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, he sure did. And of course, you know, for

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it wasn't a bad weekend for bad beats. Let me

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just start the you know, I mean, I had the Ravens.

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The Ravens were no fun. They went all three in

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the red zone, had three turnovers, there were two to

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six on fourth downs. They had more first downs and

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more yards the Rams scoring a touchdown on fourth down.

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The Rams might have played five minutes of good football.

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But Baltimore is so bad it didn't matter by two touchdowns,

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So Baltimore was wasn't a bad beat. The Packers Browns

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under was probably a bad beat. You know. That game

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was ten to nothing with less than five minutes left

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in the third quarter, and then all of a sudden,

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Flacco lights up the Packers defense and Green Bay can't

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get that last first down to kneel, so they end

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up having to kick a field goal to go up nine,

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and it landed right on forty five. There were lots

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of forty four and a halfs out there that were

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even forty four, So tough push, tougher loss they had

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that under. When it comes to Pittsburgh and Cincinnati again,

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I give you guys four sets of lines for every game.

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I'll give you the look ahead line from last week.

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These are the betable numbers, so we see how much

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this past week's game influenced the numbers. When you see

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a big change between the lookheadline and the opener and

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the current numbers, it tells you that the markets have

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finally crashed or finally bought out a particular team after

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the results. So I'll give you a look ahead line,

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I'll give you my power rating number. I'll give you

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the opening numbers, and this is where the little markets open.

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I usually write it down last night. I wrote it

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down in the first half of Sunday Night Football, in

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the second quarter of that game, when I was writ

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in the open numbers down, and then I'll give you

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where the numbers are for today. So in this one

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look ahead, Pittsburgh minus four total of forty three. My

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power ring is Pittsburgh minus five and a half opened

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last night, five and a half, forty two and a half.

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And what are we see in today? Five and a

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half forty two and a half. My power rating, the

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opening number, the current number, all the same. The look

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ahead with Pittsburgh only four a week ago, is telling

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us that the markets suddenly respect the Steelers after what

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they did yesterday. And again, Pittsburgh look pretty good. Aaron Rodgers, no,

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no sex. You know this is Steelers team. Remember they

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spent first round picks. I think it was three years

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in a row, three out of four years on their

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offensive line. All of a sudden, Broderick Jones is beaten.

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Miles Garrett all day. You know, you know Pat Fryermouth

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Proderick was dropped, drafted to block guys like Miles He

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balled out today. You know Jack Frasier the center. The

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game plan going in is we wanted to keep airing

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up right. We know when we do that, he does

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great things. Aaron Rodgers talking about it at Pittsburgh's hot start.

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That's where we want to be. We put ourselves in

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a position to start entering the conversation. A lot can

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happen though, you know, Mike Tomlin, why is it starting

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to look like the way we desire. We got a

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full confluent of talent. We put this band together. We

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feel like we can do the things you saw today.

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Defense allowed only three point three yards per play in

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that ball game. Again it's Cleveland, but three point three

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yards were plays impressive offense five point eight yards of play,

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so they outgained their opponent by two and a half

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yards per play. Markets like that, Pittsburgh three in the

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red zone. So basically they didn't score perhaps as much

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as they could have. Nonetheless, we're seeing Pittsburgh support and

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by the way, their full strength on defense. Now theyve

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got Alex Heismith back from an ankle injury and Jalen Ramsey,

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though not one hundred percent, was on the field yesterday

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as well, So these are all positive signs for Pittsburgh Cincinnati.

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There are sixteen rushes and forty six Flacco dropbacks, welcome

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to a new team. In three practices that being said,

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flackoed and zero interceptions, one sack and since he moved

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to the football in the second half of that ball

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surely the last twenty minutes they did. Jamar Chase. There

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were concerns about his health. He was healthy enough ten

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catches after being direted or questionable. And I'm gonna talk

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about this. This happened a couple times, Zach Taylor. Smart.

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We like the coaches that are smart enough to know

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that when you're down fourteen points in the fourth quarter

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and you score a touchdown, you go for two. That's

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what Since he did gets a check mark by smart

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coach when the only coach did that yesterday. But that

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gives you a chance to win if you make it,

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and it gives you another chance to get the two

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point diversion if you don't. So I mean big concern

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and big injury for Cincinnati. Trey Hendrickson, who they paid

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a defensive end well he hurt his back and may

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not be able to play on Thursday night. That is

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something that could affect you know, you don't talk about

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defensive players affecting the points bread this one could from

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a market supports standpointing and everything's at five and a half.

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Public will probably be on Pittsburgh here. Thursday night football

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can be a little bit weird.

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Speaker 1: And I don't blame them.

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Speaker 2: I don't think a lot of us want anything to

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do with the Cincinnati Bengals right now, Teddy, Let's go

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to London. I mean, are you sick of getting up

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at six thirty am yet? Are we having too much

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fun with the London games yet?

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Speaker 1: Teddy?

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Speaker 3: So I'm up. I'm up most mornings between six and

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six thirty anyway. You know, I think I missed the

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opening kickoff on Sunday, so it is what you know Sundays.

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Speaker 2: So I'm not gonna lie to say that I even

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watched the first half of the Denver New York game

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last week. But let's go to this week's game in London.

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The Rams are taken on the Jags. As you mentioned,

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the La Rams got to play the Ravens last week,

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so kind of a nice change of pace for them.

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Jacksonville was in an absolute utter dog fight break down

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this early morning start on Sunday.

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Speaker 3: Sure look aheadline here the Rams minus three and forty

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seven against the Jaggs. My powering number LA minus two

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and a half. Last night the markets open three and

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forty six. This morning, the markets are at three and

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we're seeing under money, significant under money. And actually, Dan,

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I'm sorry I didn't warn you, but we got to

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talk about it right here, right now. It is time

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for the first emergency betting alert this show. If you

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like the under LA Jacksonville, bet it right now. Forty

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five five and a half still available. And again I'm

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not saying I like the under I'm saying, if you

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want this bet, you will get the best of the number.

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At this moment, Why Poka just announces out, you know,

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or I think was the outer or he's not expected

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to play. It looks like a significant injury for a

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significant enough to have him miss a game. And it's

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not like this offense worked. Yesterday in Baltimore, the Rams

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had fifteen first downs, two hundred and forty one total

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yards four point seven yards per play. The offense wasn't

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particularly good, you know, Matthew Stafford talked about and everyone

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talks about complimentary football. The Rams played complimentary football yesterday.

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They really did. The offense struggled most of the game.

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The defense stepped up. That's complimentary football. You know, when

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they're both struggling, the special team's got to make a play.

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That's complimentary football. The Ram's been pretty good at that

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so far this season. Matthew Stafford quote, I feel like

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he moved up in the ball, up and down the

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field last week for Susan fran and had four hundred

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and something yards of offense and lost the game and

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felt pretty bad about it. I felt good about this one.

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Nice job getting the w. So they're not that worried.

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You know, found a way to win. But the Pooka

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and Akooy injury is a factor, a major factor for

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this offense. And you know, defense is awesome. Forced three

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turnover stuff Baltimore four times and the first and goal

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spot from inside the fire. That was the key to

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the game was that the stuff in the Ravens inside

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the five yard line four times. Four halftime Baltimore was

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oh three in the red zone and Devonte Adams. You know,

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the defense carried us all day. Liam Cohen, another guy

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who knows the right move. Down fourteen in the fourth quarter,

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score a touchdown, go for two. That's the right move

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just about always two point coversion failed. They never scored again,

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But we know that the coach understands math and understands

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advanced metrics. Was not a good game for the Jags. Yes,

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they really wasn't. They played in London, I think every year,

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and that could give them an edge in this one.

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Just a familiarity with the venue. Coming off that lost

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Jerl Lawrence had the yips, felt like he missed multiple

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open receivers. He was sacked seven times. The running game

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didn't get going. Travis at the end of twelve to

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twenty seven. You know, we had drop passes. Brian Thomas

246
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dropped a third down pass with no defenders on him.

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They had a fifty four yard touchdown pass from Lawrence

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to Thomas NULLI five because Travis Hunter lined up off sides.

249
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You know Liam Cohen quote, it's an undisciplined operation at

250
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the moment, which is standing in our rag in our

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way right now, it's us, Trevor Lawrence. We obviously didn't

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play our best ball. A lot of mistakes a lot

253
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of self and fifty the wounds. Like we talked about

254
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in the past, We've got to clean it up. You know.

255
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The end season trade between the jackson and the Browns,

256
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they traded cornerbacks. Both cornerbacks got absolutely burned, though Jacksonville

257
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did get I mean really burned. Newsom was on Smith

258
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and jigbud Right a huge day and they actually got

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a sixty one yard touchdown on his very first snap.

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Welcome to Jacksonville, Newsom. Cheevon Walker, the defensive end, the

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impact defensive end, former number overall one overall pick active

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less than two weeks after having a wrist surgery of

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benefit for Jacksonville's defense.

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Speaker 2: All right, we're gonna go to the Raiders at Kansas City, Teddy.

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I was on the titanside a nice CLV trophy there

266
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with cam Ward. I thought maybe Gino might throw a

267
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couple of picks. He only threw one. No, brock Boers.

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Now they're a double digit underdog at the Chiefs, who

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I will admit, are starting to do what Chiefs have

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been doing every year. They're picking up that pace. Quick question.

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Speaker 1: I saw on X this morning.

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Speaker 2: I think it was Mitch Moss over a Beeson said,

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took seven to one on the Chiefs, or maybe it was.

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Speaker 1: Nine to one.

275
00:13:30,279 --> 00:13:32,279
Speaker 2: Now it's down to seven to one to win the

276
00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:35,720
Super Bowl. Is that just a little bit over an overreaction.

277
00:13:35,759 --> 00:13:38,679
Should we pump the brakes? Or is this the Chiefs

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team that's gonna make it deep into the playoffs already?

279
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Speaker 3: So they're live, you know, Casey's live. You know, we

280
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know they have the pedigree, we know they have the

281
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coaching and the quarterback play and all of that Kansas City.

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You know, there's dumber bets to make then the Chiefs

283
00:13:56,399 --> 00:13:58,120
to win it all. It's not a bet that I

284
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personally would make or even consider, not those numbers and

285
00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:03,600
number at the price isn't right. You talked about the

286
00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:06,679
crappy teams you won with yesterday. I won with the Raiders.

287
00:14:07,039 --> 00:14:09,120
My clients and I won with the Raiders in that ballgame.

288
00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:13,600
And you talk about Gino. Gino threw a really bad

289
00:14:13,639 --> 00:14:16,639
interception deep in tightened territory. He's got to pull it

290
00:14:16,639 --> 00:14:18,440
down and just take the sack, Just don't chuck it

291
00:14:18,519 --> 00:14:20,840
up there. I didn't think I thought that Gino would

292
00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:23,080
have a little bit more ball security in that. And again,

293
00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:25,360
the only game four yards per play against a bad defense.

294
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This offensive line for Pete Carroll Company really is a disaster.

295
00:14:29,399 --> 00:14:32,559
Look aheadline Kansas City ten and a half forty six

296
00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:36,799
my powering number Chiefs twelve and a half for this ballgame.

297
00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:40,279
Now for the teams that played last night, there were

298
00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:42,440
multiple lines up there. I wasn't sure what's real, So

299
00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:45,120
we talked about what happened this morning. This morning, Kansas

300
00:14:45,159 --> 00:14:48,039
City was twelve and a half for this ballgame. Still

301
00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:49,799
sitting pretty much twelve and a half forty five and

302
00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:52,399
a half. There was a thirteen out there at Circa.

303
00:14:52,639 --> 00:14:54,840
There's an eleven a half out there right now at FanDuel.

304
00:14:54,919 --> 00:14:57,480
So there is some line variants right now, if you

305
00:14:57,519 --> 00:14:59,960
want to get on board. I'm not sensing the market

306
00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:02,559
is going to move on this game significantly. I don't

307
00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:04,600
think Kansas City can get up to two touchdowns in

308
00:15:04,639 --> 00:15:06,840
a division game. They just haven't had They just haven't

309
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won by margin. And I don't think we're going to

310
00:15:09,919 --> 00:15:12,279
see Raiders support. You know, again, the game four yeards

311
00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:15,320
per play last week, even though they won. And of

312
00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:17,279
course now you have a bad team, the Raiders coming

313
00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:20,000
off a win. Now the defense may play it against

314
00:15:20,000 --> 00:15:22,440
that caliber of offense. For Vegas, they held Tennessee to

315
00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:24,559
three point eight yards per play, They forced three turnovers,

316
00:15:24,559 --> 00:15:27,840
They sat game wards six times. You can't compare Tennessee

317
00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:30,320
the worst team in the league, and Tennessee, by the way,

318
00:15:30,399 --> 00:15:32,519
is the worst team by my powertings. It's not close

319
00:15:32,559 --> 00:15:34,679
at this stage. There are a couple points worse even

320
00:15:34,679 --> 00:15:37,600
than the Jets, which tells you where Tennessee is right now,

321
00:15:37,759 --> 00:15:39,600
which tells you why I took the Raiders yesterday, even

322
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though they are not a team that I really believe

323
00:15:41,039 --> 00:15:43,960
it worth noting this quote. I like quotes from opposing

324
00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:46,559
coaches and opposing teams about the team they just faced.

325
00:15:47,159 --> 00:15:50,600
Brian Callahan quote, did a good job mixing up coverages.

326
00:15:50,679 --> 00:15:52,200
They pressured us a lot more of this game than

327
00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:54,360
they had going into it. The zero blitzed us a

328
00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,039
few times, which is not something they've done a lot of.

329
00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:58,559
So at least the Raiders doing things that they haven't

330
00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:03,360
seen on film. Pete Carroll, who we're talking it like,

331
00:16:03,399 --> 00:16:05,120
we want to play good football for a long time,

332
00:16:05,279 --> 00:16:07,279
just hadn't come together yet. The last time we won

333
00:16:07,399 --> 00:16:09,360
was such a long time ago we can't even remember it.

334
00:16:09,519 --> 00:16:11,360
But This victory is very important to us. The guys

335
00:16:11,399 --> 00:16:14,279
deserved to feel like they feel right now. That's not

336
00:16:14,279 --> 00:16:17,679
necessarily a bet unquote for the next week. Detroit last

337
00:16:17,759 --> 00:16:19,480
night came in with Dan Campbell saying they're going to

338
00:16:19,559 --> 00:16:21,799
run the football down the chief's throat, run it til

339
00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:24,840
Kansas City stopped them. Well, guess what, Casey stopped them.

340
00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:27,519
Only five rushing first downs for Detroit, less than a

341
00:16:27,559 --> 00:16:30,480
hundredrushing yards in the ball game. Jamir Gibbs and David

342
00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:33,759
Montgomery both hold out of the end zone. Mahomes three touchdowns,

343
00:16:33,799 --> 00:16:36,559
no picks, no ninety nine yard interception from return touchdown. Here,

344
00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:39,039
they ran the ball well. They went four to six

345
00:16:39,039 --> 00:16:40,480
in the red zone. It was really four or five

346
00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:42,080
the last drive. They were just trying to kill clock

347
00:16:42,559 --> 00:16:45,080
with a two score lead and settle for three. But

348
00:16:45,159 --> 00:16:48,200
they were very comfortable in the red zone. And note this,

349
00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,759
I'm going to talk about a clean game Kansas City,

350
00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:56,120
zero turnovers, zero penalties. How often do we say that.

351
00:16:56,120 --> 00:16:58,360
That's certainly a positive sign moving forward. But at the

352
00:16:58,399 --> 00:17:01,159
same time, it's not something we expect two games in

353
00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:04,119
a row from any NFL team, So there could be

354
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:08,400
some regression for both the turnout and the penalties for

355
00:17:08,559 --> 00:17:12,519
Kansas City in a divisional rivalry, but a team that

356
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they beat every time.

357
00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:18,640
Speaker 2: All right, Dolphins Browns. I mentioned the Browns to start

358
00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:22,359
the show versus the Steelers. I was not impressed with

359
00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:26,640
that team. Dylan Gabriel got sacked into oblivion. Basically every

360
00:17:26,680 --> 00:17:29,799
time I flipped the channel, he was on his back

361
00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:32,160
and we already touched on the Dolphins. I was very

362
00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:34,920
happy to get the cover because they were down late,

363
00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:37,359
but they had opportunities to win that game and could

364
00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:38,119
not get it done.

365
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Speaker 1: They're a very frustrating, undisciplined football team.

366
00:17:40,839 --> 00:17:45,160
Speaker 3: Teddy, Yeah, I mean Miami snatched defeat from the jaws

367
00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:50,920
of victory again. You know, look ahead line Cleveland minus

368
00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:53,000
two and a half. Note, look what I'm saying here,

369
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:56,200
Cleveland minus two and a half out of line do you

370
00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:58,599
expect to see very often this year with the Browns.

371
00:17:58,640 --> 00:18:00,319
I was a look head line forty one and my

372
00:18:00,440 --> 00:18:03,279
powering number Cleveland minus two and a half opened last

373
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:05,759
night Cleveland minus two and a half, forty one. What

374
00:18:05,799 --> 00:18:08,359
have we got today, Cleveland minus two and a half,

375
00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:10,960
forty and a half for this ball game. We've seen

376
00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:14,039
some under money we could see some more under money.

377
00:18:14,599 --> 00:18:18,079
And I was impressed with Miami's resolve yesterday. I really was.

378
00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:20,319
You know, they fought hard, they had the two touches,

379
00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:21,720
they had that little meltdown at the start of the

380
00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,680
third quarter, and they fought to you know, really both

381
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:27,119
sides of the ball to overcome that two touchdown deficit.

382
00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:33,599
And then they had fricking they had Justin Herbert sacked.

383
00:18:33,599 --> 00:18:36,319
They had him sacked, and then he escaped and found McConkie,

384
00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:38,240
and then McConkie broke a couple of tackles and the

385
00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:40,039
next thing you know, it's a forty three yard completion

386
00:18:40,319 --> 00:18:43,799
into easy field goal range. In Miami's losing another game,

387
00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:45,960
you know, two of through three picks, and they were

388
00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:48,200
still live to win. They still covered you know eight

389
00:18:48,279 --> 00:18:49,839
chaan with the big game on the ground, one hundred

390
00:18:49,839 --> 00:18:51,839
and twenty eight rushing yards, and yet they got booed

391
00:18:51,839 --> 00:18:56,960
off the field. The postgame quotes were very concerning, you know,

392
00:18:57,559 --> 00:19:02,039
TUA shocked, shocked. This is something we've talked about collectively

393
00:19:02,079 --> 00:19:04,799
as a team, about being able to finish games like this.

394
00:19:05,039 --> 00:19:06,799
We have the opportunity to win the game, and it's

395
00:19:06,839 --> 00:19:08,920
not just one side of the ball. It's every phase

396
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,960
I contributed on the turnovers. It's frustrating to stay the

397
00:19:12,079 --> 00:19:14,920
least more to it. We have guys showing up to

398
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:17,720
player only meetings late, guys not showing up to player

399
00:19:17,759 --> 00:19:19,599
on the meetings. There's a lot that goes into that.

400
00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:21,720
It's a lot of that nature. We have to get

401
00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:24,880
cleaned up. It starts with little things like that, you know,

402
00:19:25,799 --> 00:19:28,240
a chane after the change, after the game. To lose

403
00:19:28,279 --> 00:19:31,240
like that, it's like, what more could we have done?

404
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:35,880
And it's worth noting Tyreek Hills out Wattle and a

405
00:19:36,079 --> 00:19:39,519
chain combined forty Sorry, they had forty two total touches

406
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:42,359
for the skill pets and players. Those two had twenty

407
00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:46,000
six of them. So they're really rhyme and relying heavily

408
00:19:46,079 --> 00:19:49,240
on two guys right now. They just went all in

409
00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:52,119
in this ball game and lost. And oh they have

410
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:53,880
the worst run defense. And if there's one thing the

411
00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:56,160
Browns need to do, they need to run the football.

412
00:19:56,759 --> 00:20:00,119
Bizarre game plan. You know, you have Dylan gabriel As

413
00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,480
attempt sack six times, so that's fifty eight times he

414
00:20:03,599 --> 00:20:06,680
dropped back to pass and they had seventeen combined carries.

415
00:20:06,839 --> 00:20:10,279
That's not gonna work, all right. They've scored seventeen points

416
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:12,759
or less in every game this season. In fact, the

417
00:20:12,799 --> 00:20:14,599
Browns have now scored seven. You're gonna lay two and

418
00:20:14,599 --> 00:20:16,519
a half of the team that scored seventeen points or

419
00:20:16,599 --> 00:20:23,119
less in each of their last eleven games. Miles Garrett quote.

420
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:27,839
Losing the same way is frustrating as hell, basically saying

421
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:32,359
to the offense, get your shit together. They can't. You know,

422
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:35,519
it's just not the talent. The talent isn't there. You know,

423
00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,279
they had one play longer than fourteen yards all Dinky

424
00:20:38,319 --> 00:20:40,680
Donkey from that offense three point three yards per play,

425
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,880
gained zero three in the red zone. You know, Kevin Stefanski,

426
00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:47,119
we know Gabriel's tough, He's gonna keep fighting. We just

427
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:49,279
around him. Got to make some plays. Hard to do

428
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:51,160
with that roster, hard to do with the injuries that

429
00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:54,319
they've had. And of course the Browns they got a

430
00:20:54,319 --> 00:20:57,279
fair few teams, you know, veterans on expiring contacts, whether

431
00:20:57,319 --> 00:21:00,359
it's the tight end and Djuku or the defensive Linemans Shelby,

432
00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:04,319
Harris Cleveland's team, it's probably gonna trade away some talent

433
00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:06,759
in the next week or two. Be aware of that.

434
00:21:06,799 --> 00:21:09,200
When it comes to team chemistry, hard for me to

435
00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:13,160
make a case for either one of these squads. Not

436
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:14,960
surprised we're seeing under money already.

437
00:21:16,079 --> 00:21:16,440
Speaker 1: All right.

438
00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 2: A team that Hey put back to back wins together.

439
00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 1: That would be the Patriots.

440
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:25,960
Speaker 2: I had the Saints yesterday, but the Patriots looked fairly solid.

441
00:21:26,079 --> 00:21:29,960
Drake may not turning the ball over, had some really

442
00:21:30,039 --> 00:21:31,079
nice pass plays.

443
00:21:31,279 --> 00:21:35,279
Speaker 1: Do you think Rabel has righted the ship there in

444
00:21:35,319 --> 00:21:36,000
New England?

445
00:21:36,799 --> 00:21:39,119
Speaker 2: I mean now they're over a touchdown favor on the

446
00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:41,720
road versus that Titans team we just talked about that.

447
00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:44,759
I backed yesterday all the CLV in the world, and

448
00:21:44,799 --> 00:21:45,720
it was not going to matter.

449
00:21:45,799 --> 00:21:47,240
Speaker 1: They were not covering that football game.

450
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:50,240
Speaker 3: Yeah. So, by the way, the first emergency betting alert

451
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:54,519
and a half's already gone. So I feel I'm very

452
00:21:54,519 --> 00:21:57,839
happy with that particular. There were the immediate results of

453
00:21:57,839 --> 00:22:01,920
that particular EBA. I got that one right four New

454
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:03,640
England and Tennessee. And when you see it, when I

455
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:05,880
see it like that, you know, boom, I'm gonna grab it.

456
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,680
And by the way, the Raiders getting hit right now,

457
00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:11,759
twelve and a half's mostly gone. There's still some out there.

458
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:14,799
I don't know if that'll hold. We'll see Kansas City

459
00:22:14,839 --> 00:22:17,039
money later in the week when it comes to New

460
00:22:17,039 --> 00:22:21,319
England and Tennessee. Look head line Patriots minus six and so.

461
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:23,680
I used the Westgate super book numbers for the Look

462
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:26,559
head line. When the Westgate numbers are different from what

463
00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:29,839
i'll call the market numbers, I note the difference. There

464
00:22:29,839 --> 00:22:32,000
were forty two and a halfs and forty three and

465
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,000
a half for this total. I don't know which one

466
00:22:34,039 --> 00:22:35,680
The west Gate doesn't matter there, but there was some

467
00:22:35,759 --> 00:22:38,599
variance on the total for this. My Powery number is

468
00:22:38,599 --> 00:22:40,200
the Patriots minus seven and a half. Again, I got

469
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:42,400
the Titan as the worst team in the league. Markets

470
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:44,799
opened six and a half and forty two last night.

471
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,799
Six and a half did not last. There's still I

472
00:22:47,839 --> 00:22:50,680
think there's still one at FanDuel, but really it's mostly sevens.

473
00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:52,400
And they're even seven and a half out there at

474
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:56,559
leading indicator books for this one. But there's not enough

475
00:22:56,599 --> 00:22:58,640
six and a half for me to say emergency betting alert.

476
00:22:59,079 --> 00:23:03,359
It's not. That's not the line anymore the page. I mean,

477
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,319
Drake may threw for ten yards per past ten with

478
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,559
no interceptions. Big plays in the passing game all day

479
00:23:08,599 --> 00:23:10,599
against New Orleans. They only reached the red zone once

480
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:12,680
in a game where they you know, put up points.

481
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:16,599
Drake May quote, it feels good getting in the willing

482
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:19,839
win column consistently. Was good to hit some deep shots

483
00:23:19,839 --> 00:23:23,200
and these guys they made some great play plays. Linebacker

484
00:23:23,279 --> 00:23:26,240
Christian Hellis with a nice quote about his quarterback quote,

485
00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:28,920
his instincts are crazy. Sometimes he flicks the ball out

486
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:30,519
there and he just moves in the pockets. So well,

487
00:23:30,559 --> 00:23:32,640
now he knows where to be, he knows where the

488
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:34,640
ball needs to be. He's playing great, and Drake May

489
00:23:34,759 --> 00:23:37,559
is playing great. That being said, Drake May also led

490
00:23:37,559 --> 00:23:40,200
the team in rushing with twenty eight rushing yards. You know,

491
00:23:40,519 --> 00:23:44,559
the Trevion Ramandre Combo twenty two of forty five versus

492
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:50,039
New Orleans. That's not good. You know, defense played well

493
00:23:50,079 --> 00:23:51,559
as well. They only allowed a field goal in the

494
00:23:51,599 --> 00:23:53,839
second half. They forced a fumble on the saint second

495
00:23:53,839 --> 00:23:57,039
to last drive and then force the Saints to punt

496
00:23:57,119 --> 00:23:59,480
with what led four minutes to go, and then the

497
00:23:59,519 --> 00:24:01,440
offense never gave them the ball back. So there's surely some

498
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:05,240
positive signs for New England and they're faith but you know,

499
00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:09,480
can this team anile success. You know, we Southern beat Buffalo,

500
00:24:09,559 --> 00:24:12,759
now we sell them beat New Orleans. We talk about Rabel.

501
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:19,119
I don't think Rabel's gonna get the credit. Rabel's live

502
00:24:19,279 --> 00:24:21,160
live in this coach of the Year type of stuff.

503
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:26,799
But it's personnel more than coaching in my opinion. For

504
00:24:27,039 --> 00:24:29,240
New England Rabel at least. But when you have the

505
00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:33,480
veteran coach, you're seeing the you know, the first time

506
00:24:33,519 --> 00:24:36,880
head coach is the Aaron Glens of the world. There's

507
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:38,759
you know, the Oj Mayos of the world last year

508
00:24:38,799 --> 00:24:42,279
for New England, those coaches will take more criticism and

509
00:24:42,319 --> 00:24:44,880
they have. There's a learning curve there really is, you know,

510
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,920
just ask Ben Johnson. As for Tennessee again, you talk

511
00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:50,119
about a wrong game plan forty you have you have

512
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,960
a rookie quarterback and you drop back the past forty

513
00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:55,839
four times and you have fifteen rushing attempts on the road,

514
00:24:55,960 --> 00:24:58,240
by the way, you know, three point eight yards per play.

515
00:24:58,319 --> 00:25:00,559
I know. By the way, Calvin Ridley got hurt in

516
00:25:00,599 --> 00:25:02,359
that ball. Again, We'll have to see what his status is.

517
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:04,519
He left in the second quarter with a hamstring injury.

518
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:08,440
This team hasn't won consecutive game since twenty twenty two,

519
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:11,119
worst team in the league. My part ratings again not

520
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:12,960
even close.

521
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:17,759
Speaker 2: Not even close, Teddy, We've got close to twenty three

522
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,759
hundred people watching this show live. Shout out to all

523
00:25:20,799 --> 00:25:23,319
of you guys in the comments section, YouTube, Ax, Instagram,

524
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:26,960
wherever you guys are watching us live from Teddy, What

525
00:25:27,079 --> 00:25:29,599
do you have live over at wager talk dot com

526
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:32,079
right now for this upcoming NFL week?

527
00:25:32,079 --> 00:25:33,599
Speaker 1: Do you have stub up for Monday night football?

528
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:36,200
Speaker 2: Kind of let the audience know how things have been

529
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,440
going for you and what's the game plan going forward.

530
00:25:38,799 --> 00:25:41,839
Speaker 3: Hey, hey, we appreciate all your support. We appreciate those likes,

531
00:25:41,839 --> 00:25:44,160
those comments, those follows. I apologized last week. I did

532
00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:46,400
not get into the comments section. I had a funeral

533
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:47,920
to go with to you on Monday, and then I

534
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,559
was way behind all day Tuesday, and by midweek it

535
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,240
was just it was one of those weeks that life

536
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:56,000
got in the way. So I apologize, But of course

537
00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:58,039
I'll get in the comments this week and reply to

538
00:25:58,160 --> 00:26:02,480
anyone in the comments, and liking and subscribing to the

539
00:26:02,559 --> 00:26:06,319
channel is great. On my page WT dot BUZZBACKSLASHTC at

540
00:26:06,319 --> 00:26:10,160
Wadyertalk dot com. We've got playoff baseball. We're running real.

541
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:13,000
We're on a seventy eight percent baseball run right now

542
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:16,519
dating back to last year sixteen and five in the

543
00:26:16,559 --> 00:26:19,880
postseason with my last twenty one postseason play. So we're

544
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:22,920
in action with Toronto and Seattle. I also have a

545
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:26,000
play on Monday Night football. And no, this weekend was

546
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:29,839
not a good weekend. Unfortunately, it wasn't disaster, but it

547
00:26:29,839 --> 00:26:32,160
certainly wasn't a good weekend. It wasn't a winning weekend.

548
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:36,119
And that being said, we are in action tonight for

549
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:38,680
a chance to get it back. So check out the

550
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:41,440
homepage WT dot buzz back and we're still you know,

551
00:26:41,519 --> 00:26:44,039
the run is pretty good. I think I'm sixty percent

552
00:26:44,079 --> 00:26:47,000
over the last three weeks across sports. I can't complain.

553
00:26:47,079 --> 00:26:49,359
The college football in particular has been pretty good, sixty

554
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:52,279
seven percent run during that span. So again, check out

555
00:26:52,319 --> 00:26:54,400
the page. Don't buy a play, get a package. If

556
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:56,519
you want to get on board, let's partner up. You know,

557
00:26:56,599 --> 00:26:58,359
we got these great deals right now. This is a

558
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:01,920
three month deal that I think is excitption. It's that

559
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:04,519
time of the year where there's a lot of stuff

560
00:27:04,559 --> 00:27:06,720
going on. You can get it all again. Just visit

561
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:08,720
my pagewt buzz backslash TC.

562
00:27:09,599 --> 00:27:13,160
Speaker 2: All right, Teddy, the Bears do play tonight on Monday

563
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:15,400
Night Football, but this week they are playing the New

564
00:27:15,559 --> 00:27:16,440
Orleans Saints.

565
00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 1: Again. I backed the Saints, thinking this team had maybe

566
00:27:19,559 --> 00:27:20,319
turned a quarter.

567
00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:24,000
Speaker 2: I thought, hey, Spencer Rattler gets that, you know, monkey

568
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:26,759
off his back. He gets his first win, Callen Morgets

569
00:27:26,759 --> 00:27:29,000
his first one as head coach. But as you mentioned,

570
00:27:29,039 --> 00:27:32,799
that Saints secondary just got worked and that is my

571
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:36,319
concern here versus the Bears. We know that Caleb Williams

572
00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:37,839
has that ability.

573
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,640
Speaker 3: Look aheadline Chicago minus six forty five and a half.

574
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:45,920
My powering number Chicago minus six. The markets have opened

575
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:48,000
five and a half forty five and a half with

576
00:27:48,079 --> 00:27:52,559
the Bears. Obviously, Chicago hasn't played yet this week. If

577
00:27:52,559 --> 00:27:55,640
they look good tonight, the number likely to reopen a

578
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:58,680
little bit higher. They're off the bye and then the

579
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:02,480
Monday night football game against Washington. There are things to

580
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:04,880
like about New Orleans. There's still one of the worst

581
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:06,640
teams in the league. You know, the defense, stuff to run.

582
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:09,200
I talked about the Patriots running back just twenty two

583
00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:13,039
or forty five. Spencer Rattler only threw six incomplete passes,

584
00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:18,119
no interceptions in that ballgame. And it wasn't like they

585
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:20,119
were far away. They're driving for the go ahead score

586
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:23,200
in the fourth quarter. And then Juwan Johnson was he down?

587
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:26,759
Did he fumble? Well, they decided that he fumbled Instead

588
00:28:26,759 --> 00:28:29,519
of a first down catch, it's a fumble, and then

589
00:28:29,559 --> 00:28:33,119
of course the Saints never got the ball back after that.

590
00:28:34,039 --> 00:28:36,119
Kellen Moore post game moon in the locker room is

591
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:39,680
quote just frustration. We had opportunities. Everyone can feel that

592
00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:41,759
I've got to figure out a way to get us there.

593
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:46,720
We're close, We're knocking on the door. Chase Young back

594
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:49,359
from a cafe injury. He made his season debut, which

595
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:52,519
is a big boost for the defense. He got in

596
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:57,920
Drake May's face a couple of times. The Saints' biggest

597
00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:00,720
issue this season probably the red zone execution. What you

598
00:29:00,759 --> 00:29:03,400
expect with a young QB and a passing game that's

599
00:29:03,440 --> 00:29:06,640
hit or miss. You know, I mean, a Lobby's a playmaker,

600
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:11,200
but he's the one. You know. They entered the game

601
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:15,240
ranked twenty ninth in red zone touchdown forty percent touchdowns

602
00:29:15,599 --> 00:29:19,319
and you know, against the Patriots, just one touchdown in

603
00:29:19,319 --> 00:29:22,440
that ball game. So New Orleans got to turn threes

604
00:29:22,599 --> 00:29:26,799
into sevens if they're going to start playing decent football,

605
00:29:26,839 --> 00:29:30,599
and certainly or start playing winning football. Playing decent football,

606
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:33,359
I guess. But if they're gonna start playing winning football,

607
00:29:33,359 --> 00:29:37,279
they have to improve that red zone efficiency. Chicago's defense

608
00:29:37,799 --> 00:29:41,759
going into Monday Night football is statistically a disaster, which

609
00:29:41,799 --> 00:29:43,640
perhaps could give them a chance to do so.

610
00:29:44,559 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 2: All right, Minnesota is also off of buy and they

611
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,359
are now playing the Philadelphia Eagles.

612
00:29:50,359 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 1: Who just got absolutely worked by the New York Giants.

613
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 2: That was basically the only upset that was like I

614
00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:02,759
would say exciting, right, that was wire to wire Giants

615
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:05,079
ass kicking. And yes, I'm rubbing some salts of the

616
00:30:05,079 --> 00:30:07,759
wounds for our producer, Dan and Teddy's gonna pour it

617
00:30:07,799 --> 00:30:10,039
on here because I can't wait to hear Teddy's teak

618
00:30:10,119 --> 00:30:12,440
versus this Minnesota Vikings team.

619
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:16,599
Speaker 3: Look aheadline here, Philadelphia minus three. There were forty two

620
00:30:16,599 --> 00:30:19,119
and a half slast forty three for the total. My

621
00:30:19,279 --> 00:30:22,960
powering number has the Eagles only minus one. The markets

622
00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,880
are at two and a half right now. I don't

623
00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:28,519
think it's going to three. I don't like anything I'm

624
00:30:28,519 --> 00:30:32,680
hearing out of Philadelphia, and while I'm not seeing signs

625
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:34,319
of it yet. Again, the look head line was three,

626
00:30:37,039 --> 00:30:39,720
if you want Minnesota, let's emergency. Benny alert did even

627
00:30:39,759 --> 00:30:43,480
though there's no sense you want Minnesota. Now we have

628
00:30:43,519 --> 00:30:45,559
them on the money line now grabbing plus the points.

629
00:30:45,599 --> 00:30:48,799
Now they're issues in Philadelphia. All right, there's six games

630
00:30:48,799 --> 00:30:50,519
for the Eagles. They've been out yarded in all six

631
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:53,640
back to back losses. Lots of chirping, only one to

632
00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:55,519
nine on third downs. They are allowed eleven third down

633
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:57,920
versions from the gm man the first time they suffered

634
00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:00,680
back to back losses since twenty twenty three. They allowed

635
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:03,799
three or three red zone defense four zero turnovers offense

636
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:08,279
had two see Kwon Berkley. Is he the MVP last year?

637
00:31:08,359 --> 00:31:09,880
He probably should have been. If he wasn't, I don't

638
00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:12,640
even know. I pay no attention to that award. But

639
00:31:12,799 --> 00:31:15,440
complete non factor. His most rushing yards this week two

640
00:31:15,519 --> 00:31:18,640
is fifty eight, right, that was twelve to fifty eight

641
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:21,200
this week. You know, last year two thousand yards at

642
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:23,240
five point eight yards per carry. This year he's on

643
00:31:23,319 --> 00:31:25,480
pace for nine hundred yards of three point four yards

644
00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:28,759
per carry. All right, Jalen hurts, He's not right He's

645
00:31:28,799 --> 00:31:32,279
overthrew DeVonta Smith on a wide open play would have

646
00:31:32,319 --> 00:31:35,759
been a touchdown. He's throwing interceptions, you know, first pick

647
00:31:35,799 --> 00:31:39,440
of this season. You know it's only two in the

648
00:31:39,519 --> 00:31:42,680
last fifteen games. Quote, I gotta be better. You know

649
00:31:42,759 --> 00:31:46,680
he's due, is what I'm saying. AJ Brown. We're still

650
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:51,480
trying to find our identity. Right tackle Lane Johnson quote,

651
00:31:51,839 --> 00:31:53,759
you know, it feels like we need to be less predictable.

652
00:31:53,759 --> 00:31:55,160
It seems a lot harder than it needs to be.

653
00:31:55,279 --> 00:31:57,599
Maybe moving forward, have just a bit more variety thing

654
00:31:57,640 --> 00:32:00,880
the perimeter zone. He said, Oh no, I'm not at

655
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:06,079
new Optic winner Kevin Battolo. But you know, a lot

656
00:32:06,079 --> 00:32:07,680
of it comes down to execution. We'll go back and

657
00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:09,200
look at the tape. Seet we got to fix. But

658
00:32:09,319 --> 00:32:13,720
moving forward, maybe be more efficient, less predictable. Yeah, more injuries.

659
00:32:13,839 --> 00:32:17,759
Jalen Carter's hurt, cornerback Kenyon Mitchell's hurt. And again, this

660
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:20,359
is not a great secondary. We knew that coming in.

661
00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:23,680
It's a rebuilt secondary. Minnesota's off of a London win

662
00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:26,319
and a bye week, not necessarily a bet on situation.

663
00:32:26,759 --> 00:32:28,640
Don't know yet who's going to be starting at QB

664
00:32:29,359 --> 00:32:33,839
for the Vikings, but really between JJ McCarthy and Carson Wentz.

665
00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:35,920
If it's a I don't think the market's gonna move

666
00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:39,240
a whole lot between those two guys two and a half.

667
00:32:39,319 --> 00:32:41,119
I don't think you'll get a better number than that

668
00:32:41,559 --> 00:32:45,000
with Minnesota this week or on the money line. I

669
00:32:45,039 --> 00:32:46,640
could be wrong. This is not one you know when

670
00:32:46,759 --> 00:32:48,680
you talk about the mercy betting alerts in the confidence

671
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:51,000
this is not my most confident one. I'm not convinced

672
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:53,240
this line is gonna move, but I don't think it

673
00:32:53,319 --> 00:32:56,200
gets to three. I haven't seen any signs of Philadelphia

674
00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:58,720
is about to take market support. And Minnesota's a team

675
00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:02,400
that team people seem to like and a coach you

676
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:05,079
people seem to like off a bye week, so I

677
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:06,519
do I would not be shocked at all if we

678
00:33:06,559 --> 00:33:07,880
see Minnesota money.

679
00:33:08,079 --> 00:33:11,680
Speaker 2: Teddy Minnesota and a teaser seems right up my alley.

680
00:33:11,759 --> 00:33:14,160
Speaker 1: Forty three right, Okay.

681
00:33:14,279 --> 00:33:14,799
Speaker 3: Lock it up?

682
00:33:15,319 --> 00:33:17,680
Speaker 2: Okay, all right, I'm gonna start looking for that once

683
00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:19,319
we get into this next game.

684
00:33:19,799 --> 00:33:21,200
Speaker 1: This one's a real thriller.

685
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:24,160
Speaker 2: Who've got the Jets coming off that London game loss

686
00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:27,440
at home and they get to play the Carolina Panthers,

687
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:30,680
but I will say as a Panthers backer yesterday.

688
00:33:30,599 --> 00:33:35,400
Speaker 1: Overall, I was pleased, we'll say the for betting on

689
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:37,160
the Panthers. I was pleased with the result.

690
00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:40,440
Speaker 3: I'm sure you were. They go on and covered, got

691
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:42,880
them on the money line. They catched. But we talked

692
00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:45,680
about the Browns being favored. Now the Jets are favored.

693
00:33:45,839 --> 00:33:49,079
You know, hey, hello, winless team and I don't have

694
00:33:49,119 --> 00:33:50,440
The Jets is the worst team in the league. I

695
00:33:50,519 --> 00:33:53,359
got them right with New Orleans. They're a couple points

696
00:33:53,359 --> 00:33:58,200
better than the Titans. Look aheadline Jets minus two and

697
00:33:58,279 --> 00:34:01,039
a half total forty four and ahead my powering numbers.

698
00:34:01,079 --> 00:34:04,400
Pick them. The markets are one in forty four last night,

699
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:07,359
and there's ones, there's one and a half. There's pick

700
00:34:07,359 --> 00:34:09,880
thems out there right now forty three, forty three and

701
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:12,880
a half the prevailing total. We've seen a little bit

702
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:18,199
of early under money for this one. Bryce Young when

703
00:34:18,199 --> 00:34:21,199
he's not being asked to carry the entire offensive load

704
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,840
is just fine, you know, seventeen to twenty five. I mean,

705
00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:27,519
when you have a young QB, you need a balanced

706
00:34:27,559 --> 00:34:29,920
game plan and he only you know, twenty five pass

707
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:34,440
attempts yesterday. That's right, You know, five touchdown passes over

708
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:36,079
the last two games from Bryce Young, by the way,

709
00:34:36,119 --> 00:34:38,679
who couldn't make it in the NFL, He's too small. No,

710
00:34:39,119 --> 00:34:41,559
what happened is they found a running game. Recodoutle another

711
00:34:41,559 --> 00:34:45,199
two hundred yard afternoon, the first underdrafted player in NFL history,

712
00:34:45,199 --> 00:34:47,079
alf two hundred yards and back to back weeks one

713
00:34:47,119 --> 00:34:49,400
hundred and eighty three on the ground. Offense six point

714
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:53,159
four yards per play, game defense five point five yards

715
00:34:53,199 --> 00:34:56,000
per play allowed against a pretty good Dallas offense. You know,

716
00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:58,559
they have four hundred and seventy three yards from scrimmage

717
00:34:58,559 --> 00:35:00,480
over the last two weeks for Dout. By the way,

718
00:35:01,159 --> 00:35:03,280
only the seventh NFL playing in the last twenty years

719
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:05,400
to post back to back two hundred yard games. The

720
00:35:05,480 --> 00:35:08,760
last one to do it. Oh, sorry, that broke the

721
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:12,960
franchise record. The last guy who had it was Christian McCaffrey.

722
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:18,199
You know, Brian Schottenheimer quote from the opposing coach. We

723
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:21,159
knew they were a physical football team, they were able

724
00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:24,519
to run it, and we weren't five and five. Sorry,

725
00:35:24,519 --> 00:35:28,320
they're playing five hundred, five hundred level football. They're three

726
00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:31,039
and three, five hundred for the first time since twenty

727
00:35:31,199 --> 00:35:34,159
twenty one back to back wins. Is this a team

728
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:39,000
Carolina that can handle success and play with intensity? Of course,

729
00:35:39,039 --> 00:35:40,800
the Jets are coming off. I mean, if you watched

730
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:43,559
the London game, it was a debacle. It was not

731
00:35:43,599 --> 00:35:46,039
a pretty football for either squad. It was also the

732
00:35:46,079 --> 00:35:48,920
worst passing performance in New York Jets history, a minus

733
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:53,559
ten net passing yards for the Jets. You know the

734
00:35:53,599 --> 00:35:56,400
last team, the team that was worse than that, Telly,

735
00:35:56,360 --> 00:36:02,719
You'll love this one. Ryan Leif game as a starter

736
00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:05,440
back in nineteen ninety eight, and whenever you're getting Ryan

737
00:36:05,519 --> 00:36:10,000
Leaf comparisons, that's not a good sign. Justin Peels, of course,

738
00:36:10,039 --> 00:36:12,000
was nine to seventeen for forty five yards. He lost

739
00:36:12,039 --> 00:36:15,280
fifty five yards on sex and Aaron Glenn is he's

740
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:18,400
struggling right now. You know, we had that issue before

741
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:22,079
halftime where the Jets did some pretty inexplicable Okay, you're

742
00:36:22,079 --> 00:36:24,599
gonna go forward on fourth down from your own territory

743
00:36:24,599 --> 00:36:26,639
and then let the clock run out. It didn't make

744
00:36:26,639 --> 00:36:29,280
a whole lot of sense, you know. Aaron Glenn, he

745
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:31,880
was asked me to consider a quarterback change after Fields

746
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:35,000
had the single worst performance in the history of the

747
00:36:35,039 --> 00:36:37,719
New York Jets and Aaron Glenna, what kind of question

748
00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:41,559
is that? You know, I understand where you guys are

749
00:36:41,559 --> 00:36:43,320
going to try to take this, but listen, there's a

750
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:45,039
number of other guys that have to pick their game

751
00:36:45,119 --> 00:36:46,599
up too. I don't want to sit there and pin

752
00:36:46,679 --> 00:36:49,519
it all on Justin. You can't just say sit there

753
00:36:49,519 --> 00:36:51,119
and say, oh, man, we're gonna bench him because I

754
00:36:51,159 --> 00:36:53,039
thought in some other games he's played well. So I'm

755
00:36:53,079 --> 00:36:54,599
not looking at this just like man, he played a

756
00:36:54,639 --> 00:37:00,440
bad game. I don't see it that way. Then again,

757
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:02,039
it was all time bad. It wasn't just a bad game.

758
00:37:02,079 --> 00:37:05,880
It was really really bad. You know. Garrett Wilson pretty frustrated.

759
00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:09,360
Three catches thirteen yards quote. I don't know exactly what

760
00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:14,679
the game plan is. I'll just say that Wilson quote.

761
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:16,679
I think we've got to truly have but we've got

762
00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:19,480
nothing to lose. Mentality. If that's how we feel, it's

763
00:37:19,519 --> 00:37:21,039
got to be obvious or out there as a players

764
00:37:21,039 --> 00:37:24,679
you feel like, oh, yeah, let's go. I think that's

765
00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:27,079
where we got to. We're owing six let it fly.

766
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:33,239
I'll say that. Of course, the Jets didn't get one

767
00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:36,320
hundred yards of offense in that Baggain. Now, Denver's defense

768
00:37:36,599 --> 00:37:39,440
heck a lot better than Carolina's defense. There's urgency for

769
00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:41,400
the Jets. There are also a team that doesn't get

770
00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:45,880
a bye week coming back from London, Worth noting just

771
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,679
managed one sack in that Baggain four sacks in the

772
00:37:48,679 --> 00:37:51,679
first five games. The Jets are doing the opposite of

773
00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:55,119
complimentary football. When the defense is stepped up, the offense stinks.

774
00:37:55,119 --> 00:37:57,360
When the offense is stepped up, the defense stinks. And

775
00:37:57,440 --> 00:37:58,840
that's why they're owing six right now.

776
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:01,360
Speaker 2: All Right, we're gonna see if they get to be

777
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:03,679
one and six, but I'm not so sure that will

778
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:05,800
be the case, Teddy, I think this is gonna be

779
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:08,559
the best game. Next weekend, the Colts are headed back

780
00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:12,920
to so Far to play the Chargers.

781
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,119
Speaker 1: Here. I almost called it the soccer stadium.

782
00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:16,639
Speaker 2: Because when I lived in Las Vegas, that is where

783
00:38:16,639 --> 00:38:18,559
we went to go see Chargers game was at the

784
00:38:18,599 --> 00:38:23,079
soccer stadium. Any let's just put this way. The Colts

785
00:38:23,119 --> 00:38:24,960
have already been there this year to play the Rams.

786
00:38:25,039 --> 00:38:28,320
Is there any points spread, a half, a point or

787
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:30,519
anything like that that you would give because they've already

788
00:38:30,559 --> 00:38:36,599
played and probably should have won in that stadium.

789
00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:40,519
Speaker 3: So on the one hand, this is the fatigue factory

790
00:38:40,599 --> 00:38:42,360
for flying to the West coast of flying back and

791
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:44,519
then flying back and then flying back. You know that's

792
00:38:45,159 --> 00:38:47,360
but the fact that they're familiar with the venue it

793
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:50,159
doesn't hurt. But am I adding anything to the points

794
00:38:50,159 --> 00:38:53,639
spread because of it? Now? You know we've already seen

795
00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:58,760
Chargers money this morning worth noting and giving the Colts

796
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:06,280
injury report. Dan, let's do one more of these, Dan,

797
00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:06,920
we would love.

798
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:08,280
Speaker 1: To do an emergency betting alert.

799
00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:11,159
Speaker 3: I haven't I told them before. I'm like, we might

800
00:39:11,159 --> 00:39:14,440
do one on this one. I don't get a heads up, Polly,

801
00:39:14,639 --> 00:39:16,719
I got, I gotta get. I thought this is what

802
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:18,400
I heads up to you on that it might come.

803
00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:22,920
So I don't know. I don't know what I said

804
00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:24,760
before the show. All I know is what's what I'm

805
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:27,480
saying live. Anyhow, we've already seen Chargers money right now,

806
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:30,880
look aheadline LA minus one. There were forty eight slash

807
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:32,599
forty eight and a half of the total. My powering

808
00:39:32,679 --> 00:39:34,880
number comes Chargers two, and I'm pretty high on the

809
00:39:34,880 --> 00:39:38,519
Colts markets opened one and forty eight last night. I'm

810
00:39:38,519 --> 00:39:41,199
seeing one and a half popping at Leading Indicator Books

811
00:39:41,239 --> 00:39:43,840
right now. I don't know. It's not getting a three,

812
00:39:43,920 --> 00:39:46,519
I don't think. But there are issues with the Colts

813
00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:50,079
injury report all right, most assuredly to various war The

814
00:39:50,119 --> 00:39:56,840
starting cornerback got hurt yesterday in h We had Kenny Moore,

815
00:39:56,840 --> 00:40:02,280
another starting cornerback who has issues in that contest. So

816
00:40:02,920 --> 00:40:06,559
when you have multiple injuries in the secondary for Indy,

817
00:40:06,679 --> 00:40:10,199
that's a concern. And in theory, the Chargers are gonna

818
00:40:10,199 --> 00:40:14,679
get healthier between now and what they played with yesterday.

819
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:18,039
And you know, we talked about MVP kid, Jonathan Taylor

820
00:40:18,119 --> 00:40:21,360
might be MVP right now. You know, the Colts offense again,

821
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:24,320
another game where they're not punting for extended stretches, no

822
00:40:24,400 --> 00:40:28,079
punts after halftime yesterday. Nine of nine red zone touchdowns

823
00:40:28,119 --> 00:40:30,800
the last two weeks Taylor twenty one carries one hundred

824
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:33,199
and twenty three yards. When you have that offensive balance,

825
00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:35,280
you score touchdowns in the red zone. When you have

826
00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:37,239
to run and you can't pass, or you have to

827
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:39,440
pass and you can't run, you don't score touchdowns in

828
00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:43,639
the red zone. You know, Colts faced adversity, battled through it.

829
00:40:44,079 --> 00:40:46,159
I'm a believer in Indy, but I still think the

830
00:40:46,159 --> 00:40:48,000
money is going to come for the Chargers here. You know,

831
00:40:48,639 --> 00:40:51,039
why are we talk about running backs? Don't matter? Come on,

832
00:40:51,119 --> 00:40:53,360
how many guys out there yesterday had come on e

833
00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:56,960
Vidal on your fantasy team? Nobody anyone ever heard of him?

834
00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:58,440
He went to Troy, one of these guys that you're

835
00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:00,679
paying attention to college football. I had heard of him.

836
00:41:01,119 --> 00:41:05,199
But who needs Najie Harris? Who needs a Marion Hampton?

837
00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:08,280
You know, your third string running back, your fourth string

838
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:10,199
whatever he was, the guy was on the practice squad.

839
00:41:10,800 --> 00:41:13,000
Eighteen carries, one hundred and twenty four yards is about

840
00:41:13,039 --> 00:41:16,800
the matchup, and it's about the defensive line that you know,

841
00:41:17,280 --> 00:41:19,039
a few the office lines making holes for you. And

842
00:41:19,079 --> 00:41:21,440
that's about if the passing game is working far more

843
00:41:21,519 --> 00:41:23,480
than how good any You know, the difference between the

844
00:41:23,559 --> 00:41:25,880
number twenty running back and the number or the number

845
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:29,079
the number fifty running back and the number five running

846
00:41:29,119 --> 00:41:32,559
back isn't that great? You know, seven red zone trips

847
00:41:32,559 --> 00:41:34,960
for the Chargers, only two touchdowns, but they got to

848
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:37,639
the red zone seven times. That's a positive sign. And

849
00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:40,599
of course, you know the play that Herbert made to

850
00:41:40,639 --> 00:41:45,679
win the game was impressive. Harball quote. He's just able

851
00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:47,519
to mighty man it and shake it off and hit

852
00:41:47,599 --> 00:41:50,159
lad McConkey. I'm gonna remember that play until they throw

853
00:41:50,199 --> 00:41:52,280
dirt over the top of me. That's how great I

854
00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:55,280
feel about that. Justin Herbert, I mean, he's like Hercules

855
00:41:55,320 --> 00:42:00,159
out there talking off his quarterback. Herbert looking more or

856
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:02,280
more like a quarterback who you'd want your money on

857
00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:06,599
than the so is Danny Dimes forty eight and a half.

858
00:42:08,639 --> 00:42:10,400
Maybe like the over in that ball game a little bit.

859
00:42:11,079 --> 00:42:13,880
Speaker 1: Okay, the over, that's interesting.

860
00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:16,280
Speaker 2: I could see that, and that concerns me about possibly

861
00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:22,079
teasing the Colts with that higher total. Teddy the Denver Broncos.

862
00:42:22,679 --> 00:42:25,280
Now it's taking on the Giants, who I mentioned probably

863
00:42:25,320 --> 00:42:28,320
looked the best of any team this weekend. Wire to

864
00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:33,400
wire underdog winner just absolutely dominated Jackson Dark Cam Skataboo

865
00:42:33,679 --> 00:42:34,559
I hand up.

866
00:42:35,159 --> 00:42:36,239
Speaker 1: I'm a fan.

867
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:39,920
Speaker 2: I normally don't care, but like those two are out

868
00:42:39,920 --> 00:42:42,119
there having fun and you don't.

869
00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:42,519
Speaker 1: Always see that.

870
00:42:42,559 --> 00:42:45,960
Speaker 2: You'll see a good touchdown celebration. I think it was

871
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:48,119
one of the Bucks players, Jester I did this crazy flip.

872
00:42:48,119 --> 00:42:48,800
Speaker 1: That kind of stuff is.

873
00:42:48,800 --> 00:42:51,400
Speaker 2: Fun, But like these two are like a dynamic duo,

874
00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:55,320
So my brain's going all right, fade fade the next week,

875
00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:58,360
all right, were we believers of this Giants team or not?

876
00:42:59,159 --> 00:43:00,880
Speaker 3: Ye know, last time Giant it's won. The next game

877
00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:02,679
they turned them ball over five because they get possessions

878
00:43:02,679 --> 00:43:06,400
and lost to New Orleans. So you know, look aad

879
00:43:06,440 --> 00:43:09,079
line here, Denver minus seven and a half total forty one.

880
00:43:09,119 --> 00:43:12,280
My powering number, Denver minus seven. The markets opened seven

881
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:15,039
slash seven and a half last night and that's exactly

882
00:43:15,119 --> 00:43:18,039
where they are this morning. Seven and seven is the

883
00:43:18,079 --> 00:43:22,679
prevailing number total sitting forty and a half as we speak.

884
00:43:22,679 --> 00:43:25,119
We've seen a little bit of under money the Broncos

885
00:43:25,159 --> 00:43:27,159
where it was ugly game in London. And of course,

886
00:43:27,199 --> 00:43:29,719
now this isn't an East Coast team trailing back from London.

887
00:43:29,719 --> 00:43:34,639
There's seven time zone differential between Mountain time and London time,

888
00:43:34,679 --> 00:43:37,400
for what it's worth, and there's no bye week in between,

889
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:42,519
so that's something a concern. I mean, Denver and Dever

890
00:43:42,639 --> 00:43:44,320
wasn't clean. You know, they had a fumble, they had

891
00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:47,840
a bunch of penalties, holding penalty in their own end zone.

892
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:50,679
They allowed two huge kick returns seventy two yarders that

893
00:43:50,760 --> 00:43:53,159
to kind of change the game in that ball game.

894
00:43:53,199 --> 00:43:56,440
But the one thing they did they played defense that's

895
00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:58,960
an elite that's a super Bowl caliber defense in Denver.

896
00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:02,440
You know, nine of Justin Field's in that ballgame. You

897
00:44:02,480 --> 00:44:05,159
know bone Nick's early touchdown passed Will Lux with the

898
00:44:05,159 --> 00:44:08,920
game winning field goal Sean Payton. You know, we had

899
00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:10,760
a number of errors. There will be a lot of

900
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:13,800
us that want to clean some stuff up, but from

901
00:44:13,840 --> 00:44:17,239
a spot standpoint, not necessarily the best spot for Denver

902
00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:19,920
given the travel circumstances. That being said, the Giants just

903
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:21,800
went eleven to sixteen on third downs against the team

904
00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:23,800
that's struggling defensively. Now they're going to play the pretty

905
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:26,559
elite defense allowed only one of nine Eagles convergence in

906
00:44:26,599 --> 00:44:28,559
that ball game. By the way, when three to three

907
00:44:28,559 --> 00:44:31,360
in the red zone, no turnovers, defense force two. We

908
00:44:31,400 --> 00:44:35,079
saw the rookies running wild in that contest. You know,

909
00:44:35,159 --> 00:44:37,199
Brian Davill, you go through some tough time. Sometimes you

910
00:44:37,199 --> 00:44:39,599
get stronger from it, sometimes you can fold. I like

911
00:44:39,639 --> 00:44:41,960
our guys, these young players. Have a lot of confidence

912
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,559
in these young players, the rookies, they have the right mindset.

913
00:44:44,960 --> 00:44:47,880
They're tough, so positive science for the g men, I

914
00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:50,400
don't know that they're's initially a great matchup for them

915
00:44:50,639 --> 00:44:54,199
against a Denver defense that's pretty darn good. But again,

916
00:44:54,199 --> 00:44:55,599
I don't love the spot for Denver either.

917
00:44:56,400 --> 00:44:59,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, Denver, that eight and zero against the spread is

918
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:02,239
a favorite line last year is not looking so good as.

919
00:45:02,079 --> 00:45:03,280
Speaker 1: A favorite this year.

920
00:45:03,400 --> 00:45:05,039
Speaker 2: If it does get to seven and a half, you

921
00:45:05,079 --> 00:45:07,639
guys already know I'm gonna take the chicken way out

922
00:45:07,679 --> 00:45:09,320
and tease it with one of these other teams.

923
00:45:09,480 --> 00:45:09,800
Speaker 1: All right.

924
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:15,719
Speaker 2: The Washington Football Commanders are playing tonight on Monday Night Football,

925
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:21,800
but they face Division rival Dallas Cowboys here on Sunday afternoon.

926
00:45:21,800 --> 00:45:24,119
Speaker 3: Teddy, Yeah, we're short on time. I'm gonna leave this

927
00:45:24,159 --> 00:45:26,559
really quick. Look headline two and a half, fifty two

928
00:45:26,599 --> 00:45:28,880
and a half, my powering number two and a half.

929
00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:31,079
Market's open two and a half and fifty three and

930
00:45:31,119 --> 00:45:33,039
a half last night, and we're seeing two and a

931
00:45:33,039 --> 00:45:35,920
half and fifty three and a half this morning. Basically,

932
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:39,079
look aheadline, my powering the markets opening. The current market

933
00:45:39,159 --> 00:45:42,840
numbers are all exactly the same. Now if Washington, if

934
00:45:42,840 --> 00:45:47,239
you like Washington tonight, maybe you parlay them, or you

935
00:45:47,320 --> 00:45:50,360
make two bets instead of one and take Washington in

936
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:52,480
both games. If their commanders look really good tonight though

937
00:45:52,639 --> 00:45:55,320
they could well be laying three in this contest. But

938
00:45:57,119 --> 00:45:59,199
if you don't like Washington night, I don't think this

939
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:03,760
line's gonna move. And the Dallas defense again, they give

940
00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:05,800
up two hundred sixteen rushing yard six point four yard

941
00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:10,000
after play the offense nineteen of thirty one rushing George

942
00:46:10,039 --> 00:46:12,159
Pickens picked up the slack with no CD lamb, but

943
00:46:12,199 --> 00:46:16,119
the rest of the receiving corps just ninety three combined yards. Schottenheimer,

944
00:46:16,239 --> 00:46:18,760
you know, we knew they were a physical football team.

945
00:46:18,840 --> 00:46:21,840
They were able to run it and we weren't. That's

946
00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:25,320
not a poltive quote in my mind for Dallas against

947
00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:27,559
the Washington team that runs the football pretty well.

948
00:46:27,760 --> 00:46:31,239
Speaker 2: All right, Moving right along, the Green Bay Packers are

949
00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:36,559
headed to Arizona. Arizona looked decent with Jacoby Brissett not

950
00:46:36,639 --> 00:46:39,639
gonna lie. I had the Colts great number, didn't matter.

951
00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:41,280
Thank god I was smart enough to come back and

952
00:46:41,320 --> 00:46:44,039
try to take the middle, because Arizona probably should have won.

953
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:44,599
Speaker 1: That football game.

954
00:46:45,079 --> 00:46:46,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, they found a way to lose it, though they

955
00:46:46,400 --> 00:46:49,760
were another team that's finding ways to lose. A look

956
00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:52,519
at line. Packers five and a half forty five my

957
00:46:52,639 --> 00:46:56,639
powering number six. The markets opened six and I didn't right,

958
00:46:56,639 --> 00:46:58,519
didn't adjust much. I think I'm about a half point

959
00:46:58,599 --> 00:47:01,079
or a point from Kyler Murray to Jacobe Brissett. I

960
00:47:01,119 --> 00:47:02,920
don't even know what's worth that. The offense actually worked

961
00:47:02,920 --> 00:47:05,960
as well with Prissett than it did with Murray. He

962
00:47:06,039 --> 00:47:08,480
just doesn't bring that scramble ability element to the table.

963
00:47:09,000 --> 00:47:11,320
But again, five and a half, the look ahead six,

964
00:47:11,599 --> 00:47:13,800
my powereding six and a half forty four and a half.

965
00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:15,880
Last night they were it opened and that's exactly where

966
00:47:15,920 --> 00:47:18,960
it's sitting today. We've seen basically no movement on this one.

967
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:24,320
So I had Green Bay yesterday and I really thought

968
00:47:24,320 --> 00:47:26,119
that they would destroy that team, especially because they saw

969
00:47:26,159 --> 00:47:28,159
Flacco three weeks ago and its dead. Flacco picked him

970
00:47:28,159 --> 00:47:31,360
apart in the second half or down the stretch. This

971
00:47:31,519 --> 00:47:36,599
defense just isn't forcing turnovers, zero takeaways versus quarterback with

972
00:47:36,639 --> 00:47:38,840
the second most interception of the NFL this year, playing

973
00:47:38,840 --> 00:47:42,119
on a pass happy team with three practices under his belt.

974
00:47:42,559 --> 00:47:45,119
You know, last year this team forced thirty one turnovers.

975
00:47:45,599 --> 00:47:48,480
You know, they spent the offseason talking about taking more turnovers.

976
00:47:48,519 --> 00:47:53,159
They spent the bye week talking about more turnovers. And meanwhile,

977
00:47:53,199 --> 00:47:56,320
only the Jets, with their historic lack of turnover forced

978
00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:58,559
have fewer than the Packers two this year. They only

979
00:47:58,599 --> 00:48:01,159
sack Joe Flacco once in that ball game as well. Meanwhile,

980
00:48:01,199 --> 00:48:03,639
Jordan Love threw a red zone interception against the bad defense.

981
00:48:03,760 --> 00:48:06,280
They didn't average ten yards per pass attempt. Yeah, Green

982
00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:08,880
Bay six point eight yards per play, Cincinnati four point three.

983
00:48:09,119 --> 00:48:12,320
You're supposed to cover games where you win the yards

984
00:48:12,320 --> 00:48:15,039
per play by two and a half yards. But really,

985
00:48:15,039 --> 00:48:17,440
the Packers didn't sniffup points red cover. They allowed two

986
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:22,239
of two red zone touchdowns, both on fourth downs. But

987
00:48:22,519 --> 00:48:25,960
you read the quotes, it's not a let's lay touchdowns

988
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:27,960
with this team type of quotes. You know, last year

989
00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:30,400
you talked about Denver's strength is the favorite. Last year

990
00:48:30,760 --> 00:48:33,400
Packers won five games by sixteen or more. Last year

991
00:48:33,519 --> 00:48:35,480
there were number four, number five in the NFL and

992
00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:37,960
point of reshold. They were right there with the Lions, Eagles, Ravens,

993
00:48:37,960 --> 00:48:40,320
and Bills, the elites, the teams you will lay points

994
00:48:40,320 --> 00:48:44,280
with these quotes, you know, Jordan Love, I think the

995
00:48:44,320 --> 00:48:46,320
ultimate goal is just going one to zero. It's going

996
00:48:46,360 --> 00:48:48,400
to be some ugly games. Not everyone, not every game

997
00:48:48,440 --> 00:48:49,639
is going to be pretty. It's not going to be

998
00:48:49,679 --> 00:48:51,119
a blowout every time, so you just got to find

999
00:48:51,119 --> 00:48:54,159
a way to win these tight ones. Matt Lafleur quote,

1000
00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:58,679
I feel a sense of relief right now after beating Cincinnati.

1001
00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:00,639
We always try to take it one, even a time

1002
00:49:00,880 --> 00:49:03,119
coming off a buye. You know, the bottom line is

1003
00:49:03,119 --> 00:49:04,199
you got to find a way to win the game.

1004
00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:05,800
And you see each and every week around the league,

1005
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:08,440
a lot of these games are going down to the wire.

1006
00:49:08,519 --> 00:49:11,039
Those are not less laid points with them type of quotes.

1007
00:49:12,880 --> 00:49:15,679
You know. The Cardinals allowed to and need to score

1008
00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:19,519
on every defensive possession. They've lost four straight now. The

1009
00:49:19,599 --> 00:49:22,079
last two they've blown fourth quarter leads. The previous two

1010
00:49:22,239 --> 00:49:24,480
they lost time game winning field goals as time expired.

1011
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:28,679
In this game, look, that was a passing. I mean,

1012
00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:30,719
I'm not a guy that bitches about that kind of stuff,

1013
00:49:30,760 --> 00:49:33,119
but that was as obvious a passing inference callers are

1014
00:49:33,119 --> 00:49:35,159
gonna get on a fourth down where the receivers holding

1015
00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:38,880
him in the end zone. So now now they're not

1016
00:49:38,880 --> 00:49:42,079
getting the calls either. U and Marvin Harrison got hurt.

1017
00:49:43,000 --> 00:49:45,480
He had He's in concussion protocol and we'll have to

1018
00:49:45,519 --> 00:49:49,079
see how healthy he is, but it's not a dynamic

1019
00:49:49,079 --> 00:49:52,039
offense to begin with, and without Harrison it's even less dynamic.

1020
00:49:52,119 --> 00:49:55,239
So Green Bay saying don't lay points with us in

1021
00:49:55,280 --> 00:49:57,519
Arizona saying we're not that good.

1022
00:49:58,679 --> 00:49:58,960
Speaker 1: All right.

1023
00:49:59,000 --> 00:50:00,440
Speaker 2: I'm not sure if this team is any good, but

1024
00:50:00,480 --> 00:50:02,519
I did bet them to win the Super Bowl? How

1025
00:50:02,559 --> 00:50:05,519
would be the forty nine ers Atlanta Place tonight? But

1026
00:50:05,559 --> 00:50:09,280
they are headed to San Francisco after And that's a

1027
00:50:09,320 --> 00:50:11,719
funny graphic. Somebody forgot to change the wording. I love

1028
00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:15,519
live shows. Way to go, Dan takes it down. All right,

1029
00:50:15,599 --> 00:50:18,159
let's talk about the Falcons at the Niners?

1030
00:50:18,159 --> 00:50:18,480
Speaker 1: Please?

1031
00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:22,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, Sunday Night football next week? Look aheadline. There were

1032
00:50:22,360 --> 00:50:24,079
three and a half for San Fran. There were four

1033
00:50:24,079 --> 00:50:26,199
and a half for San Fran. Total forty five and

1034
00:50:26,199 --> 00:50:29,199
a half after the latest forty nine Ers rash of injuries.

1035
00:50:29,400 --> 00:50:31,480
I made the number one and a half last night.

1036
00:50:31,719 --> 00:50:34,880
I'm seeing threes at the open, forty four and a

1037
00:50:34,920 --> 00:50:38,000
half the total, and we've seen nothing but over money

1038
00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:40,519
for this one from the open, still three, but now

1039
00:50:40,519 --> 00:50:42,960
we're seeing forty five and a half, forty six even

1040
00:50:42,960 --> 00:50:46,320
forty six and a half out there for this total.

1041
00:50:46,679 --> 00:50:49,199
Mac Jones. He's not Brock Party. He's playing, and he's

1042
00:50:49,199 --> 00:50:52,360
playing through kni and oblique injuries. His two interceptions yesterday

1043
00:50:52,679 --> 00:50:54,599
essentially cost San Fran the game. They'd be only two

1044
00:50:54,599 --> 00:50:57,440
turnovers in the game. And he's not healthy. Party's out,

1045
00:50:57,480 --> 00:51:00,239
Ricky Piersol's out, brand Aaek's out, Johann Jay and he's

1046
00:51:00,239 --> 00:51:02,719
played with an ankle spring and five broken ribs, and

1047
00:51:02,760 --> 00:51:05,960
George Kittle's out, and Jordan Watkins and Jacob Cowans the backups.

1048
00:51:06,159 --> 00:51:09,280
Nick Bosa on IR Now Fred Warner is going to

1049
00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:12,159
join him, join him, and Fred Warner is as big

1050
00:51:12,199 --> 00:51:15,800
a leader as that team has. You know, you know,

1051
00:51:16,159 --> 00:51:18,360
Jennings said he had to take nause of medicine after

1052
00:51:18,400 --> 00:51:20,760
Warner got hurt. Losing Fred. He's one of the guys

1053
00:51:20,760 --> 00:51:22,480
I look up to. Again, it's an offensive player talking

1054
00:51:22,480 --> 00:51:24,400
about a defensive player. He was one of the guys

1055
00:51:24,400 --> 00:51:26,440
who's led this team year in, year out, and his

1056
00:51:26,559 --> 00:51:28,840
words of encouragement for every game. Man, we just know

1057
00:51:28,840 --> 00:51:30,360
how much he left the game. It was very sad.

1058
00:51:30,360 --> 00:51:34,840
It makes me sick to my stomach. Offense five point

1059
00:51:34,880 --> 00:51:38,000
your yards per play, defense seven point zero yards per

1060
00:51:38,039 --> 00:51:41,760
play allowed. Those are not good numbers. Atlanta plays tonight,

1061
00:51:42,039 --> 00:51:44,559
and again, if you like the Falcons tonight, I wouldn't

1062
00:51:44,599 --> 00:51:47,559
argue with the concept of taking making that a parlay.

1063
00:51:47,760 --> 00:51:49,960
Take Atlanta plus the points tonight, Take Atlanta plus the

1064
00:51:49,960 --> 00:51:52,639
points in San Francisco. You could well end up being

1065
00:51:52,719 --> 00:51:53,880
getting the best of the number.

1066
00:51:54,280 --> 00:51:57,199
Speaker 2: All right, We've got a pair of Monday night football games.

1067
00:51:57,480 --> 00:52:00,800
The first one is the Buccaneers. It's not a steam

1068
00:52:00,840 --> 00:52:04,400
in football. Baker Mayfield might be arguably in that MVP

1069
00:52:04,639 --> 00:52:07,320
race headed to take on the Detroit Lions.

1070
00:52:07,920 --> 00:52:08,920
Speaker 1: Dan Campbell off.

1071
00:52:08,920 --> 00:52:11,719
Speaker 2: A loss is always worth a look, Teddy, talk to

1072
00:52:11,760 --> 00:52:13,320
me about this game.

1073
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:16,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, look aheadline here, Detroit four and a half, fifty

1074
00:52:16,440 --> 00:52:18,599
three and a half. My powering number Detroit four and

1075
00:52:18,639 --> 00:52:20,719
a half. The market's open four and a half, fifty

1076
00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:23,039
three and a half last night, and they're sitting four

1077
00:52:23,039 --> 00:52:25,119
and a half. There are some fives out there, There

1078
00:52:25,159 --> 00:52:27,679
is even a five and a half, but I'll call

1079
00:52:27,760 --> 00:52:29,719
it four and a half as the prevailing number right now,

1080
00:52:29,719 --> 00:52:33,000
still fifty three and a half. There are some fifty

1081
00:52:33,000 --> 00:52:36,239
three slash fifty two and a half out there as well.

1082
00:52:36,880 --> 00:52:38,800
Some of the leading indicator books say, look at the

1083
00:52:38,880 --> 00:52:40,880
under if you want the under grab a fifty three

1084
00:52:40,880 --> 00:52:44,679
and a half as we speak, but of course by

1085
00:52:44,679 --> 00:52:50,039
next Monday night there could be over money pouring in anyway.

1086
00:52:50,320 --> 00:52:55,320
Tampa has injury problems everywhere, and I understand they've been

1087
00:52:55,320 --> 00:53:00,239
winning games, but they're extraordinarily banged up. You know, talk

1088
00:53:00,280 --> 00:53:03,800
about Mike Evans and how herd he Eg Buka got

1089
00:53:03,840 --> 00:53:07,960
hurt yesterday, Jayley Millan's been hurt, Bucky Irvings hurt, you know,

1090
00:53:08,159 --> 00:53:15,159
ed Godwin's not playing. They have, they've got concerns and

1091
00:53:15,239 --> 00:53:16,880
of course coming off another win, and yesterday's win a

1092
00:53:16,920 --> 00:53:20,360
little bit more comfortable than what they've had. Cluster injuries

1093
00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:23,199
in the secondary for Tampa Baye and Morrison is Zion

1094
00:53:23,280 --> 00:53:27,840
McCollum both hurt. So they have an extra day to

1095
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:30,480
get some of these guys healthy. But Tampa Bay's injury

1096
00:53:30,519 --> 00:53:33,000
reports pretty ugly. And you talked about Dan Campbell's track

1097
00:53:33,039 --> 00:53:36,840
record off a loss line has been pretty good bet

1098
00:53:36,920 --> 00:53:39,320
on in these spots. They did not play good football

1099
00:53:39,840 --> 00:53:40,320
last night.

1100
00:53:41,400 --> 00:53:44,199
Speaker 2: All right, over three thousand people watching live that hopefully

1101
00:53:44,280 --> 00:53:47,440
stick around for wager talk today up next. But we've

1102
00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:51,400
got this last Monday night football game, Teddy, We've got

1103
00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:54,199
the Houston Texans taking on the Seattle Seahawks.

1104
00:53:55,519 --> 00:53:59,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, look aadline here, Seattle minus three total of forty two.

1105
00:53:59,519 --> 00:54:02,360
My power numbers, Seattle minus two and a half. The

1106
00:54:02,400 --> 00:54:05,639
markets opened three and forty two last night. We're seeing

1107
00:54:05,679 --> 00:54:09,760
three and forty one in the market this morning, and

1108
00:54:10,159 --> 00:54:13,199
I'm sensing we're gonna get some more under money here.

1109
00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:17,079
I don't know if it's emergency a bet worthy ish,

1110
00:54:17,519 --> 00:54:20,320
but we're the leading indegrative books are down to you know,

1111
00:54:20,480 --> 00:54:22,719
are telling us that we could easily get more under

1112
00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:25,360
money here. The Texans off a blow with the Ravens

1113
00:54:25,360 --> 00:54:28,400
and then a bye week. They still have really much

1114
00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:30,599
time as you ever get. You get fifteen days I

1115
00:54:30,719 --> 00:54:32,159
get ready for your next game. I don't know. That's

1116
00:54:32,159 --> 00:54:35,199
a good thing in the NFL. And the Sea Bags

1117
00:54:35,199 --> 00:54:38,039
officially getting some love from the betting markets right now.

1118
00:54:38,639 --> 00:54:40,719
Sam Donald, I guess he's good now. Ten point nine

1119
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:44,320
yards per play, no interceptions, only one sec. The office

1120
00:54:44,400 --> 00:54:46,760
of line for Seattle has been night and day better

1121
00:54:46,760 --> 00:54:48,639
this year. They still didn't run the ball particularly well

1122
00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:53,840
in yesterday's win, but you know thirteen first downs one

1123
00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:56,639
to twelve on third downs that were issues. It's not seamless.

1124
00:54:57,159 --> 00:54:59,599
But when you talk about Smith the Jigma, he's just

1125
00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:01,840
scary as any receiver in the game right now, as

1126
00:55:01,840 --> 00:55:04,360
scary as you know Jefferson or whoever you want to

1127
00:55:04,360 --> 00:55:06,159
tell me he's the best receiver in the NFL. I'll say,

1128
00:55:07,079 --> 00:55:09,800
maybe looking Seattle for that guy. He's got four hundred

1129
00:55:09,880 --> 00:55:11,519
yard games. In a ninety six yard game the first

1130
00:55:11,519 --> 00:55:13,800
six weeks, the defense had seven sacks, control the line

1131
00:55:13,800 --> 00:55:16,000
of scrimmage on both sides of the football. The Jags

1132
00:55:16,039 --> 00:55:20,039
never reached the red zone in that game, and the

1133
00:55:20,119 --> 00:55:23,159
defense basically you know, fourth quarter, one score game, defense

1134
00:55:23,159 --> 00:55:26,159
force three punts in the fourth quarter. That being said,

1135
00:55:26,360 --> 00:55:30,239
they're playing without three starting defensive backs this past week

1136
00:55:30,239 --> 00:55:32,400
in Wreek woll And Devin Willis going to Julian Love.

1137
00:55:32,639 --> 00:55:37,079
Those guys get healthy, this total will go down and

1138
00:55:37,400 --> 00:55:40,000
that could be a part of why this number has

1139
00:55:40,000 --> 00:55:46,280
already come down. They're expecting some Seattle secondary players to

1140
00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:49,599
get back in the lineup. Jaron Reid got hurt yesterday

1141
00:55:49,760 --> 00:55:52,719
on the defensive line. He too, is an injury worth

1142
00:55:52,719 --> 00:55:53,880
paying attention to. If you like that.

1143
00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:56,920
Speaker 2: Under all, right, Teddy covers anything you would like to

1144
00:55:57,000 --> 00:55:59,280
leave our audience with before we get out of here.

1145
00:56:00,000 --> 00:56:01,920
Speaker 3: Thank you, thanks, thanks for taking time out of your

1146
00:56:01,960 --> 00:56:04,119
day to watch Kelly and I. We really appreciate it.

1147
00:56:04,199 --> 00:56:06,159
Hit that like button. If you like this type of content,

1148
00:56:06,599 --> 00:56:09,400
visit the website wadertalk dot com. Check out my pagew

1149
00:56:09,719 --> 00:56:11,719
buzz if you want to partner Look, I understand pick

1150
00:56:11,760 --> 00:56:13,760
buying is not for everyone, no one's gonna get mad

1151
00:56:13,800 --> 00:56:16,199
at you. But if you want to partner up, check

1152
00:56:16,239 --> 00:56:18,920
it out. You know we're running all right. See we

1153
00:56:18,920 --> 00:56:22,239
can make some money together WT dot Buzz, backslash TC

1154
00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:25,360
and of course wagertalk dot com and take advantage of

1155
00:56:25,440 --> 00:56:28,840
anyone's packages right now. And good luck tonight, have a

1156
00:56:28,840 --> 00:56:29,199
great week.

1157
00:56:29,280 --> 00:56:31,639
Speaker 2: Cheers, Yeah, absolutely, good luck tonight, Good luck this week.

1158
00:56:31,679 --> 00:56:33,280
Thank you guys for hanging out with us here on

1159
00:56:33,320 --> 00:56:35,119
the wager Talk YouTube channel.

1160
00:56:35,400 --> 00:56:37,519
Speaker 1: Andy Lang and wager Talk Today are up next