Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Hockey Life, presented by fan Tracks.
Speaker 2: Here shits.
Speaker 1: Your source of information and analysis to help you win
your fantasy hockey league.
Speaker 2: Balk Off hot a step hit on stay Lock.
Speaker 1: Here's your hosts, Jesse Severer and Victor Nuno Fantasy.
Speaker 2: Hockey Live back once again to talk fantasy hockey. The
season is so close you can taste it and to
do that. Jesse Severe Fan Tracks and Victor Nuno up
ep ringside, Victor, how you do it today?
Speaker 1: I'm doing great, Jesse.
Speaker 3: I'm getting my bags ready to go to Germany to
watch the opening first couple of games.
Speaker 1: At least in my mind I'm getting ready. I'm not
actually going.
Speaker 2: How are you doing, I'm doing great. I'm doing great. Yes,
Deutsche Land, We've got a little bit of hockey going
on over there, So yeah, Victor, I am excited to
be going into this. I think, in fact, everybody should
be excited. And this is the time of year you
should be in our free discord where you can talk
fantasy hockey for free and do it with a whole
bunch few hundred of your crazy friends who we keep
it pretty moderate in there, so don't worry about it.
Being an unpleasant space like some other massive social network
spaces are. It's just people who want to talk fantasy hockey.
And you can get into our discord by getting the
link to it for free. Hit us up at Fanhockey
Life at Victor Nunio twelve on x or Fantasyhockeylife at
gmail dot com. And if you want to take your
relationship to the next level, Victor, what can you do?
Speaker 3: I'm sure there are a lot of things you could
do in your personal relationships, but for your fantasy Hockey
life relationship you can doin Thepatreon Patreon dot com slash
Fantasy Hockey Life has all kinds of bonus content. I
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Speaker 1: I want to know that.
Speaker 3: I want to know if they are going to be
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Speaker 1: That's important.
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Speaker 2: We'll be right back after this to give you our
wonderful shows in today, Victor. We are back you and
me talking some goalies. We love talking goalies. We've had
so much goodness. Kat Silverman, I'll tell you what. She's
a hero. She's an American hero, is what she is.
And we have been listening to her stuff all summer
as part of the previous If you're a patron and
in fact, you can get those interviews all rolled up
and try to enjoy some of that together. But today
we're going to talk about some of the goalies you
highlighted in the EP ringside Guide. Victor, how do you
feel about the goalie position?
Speaker 1: Victor?
Speaker 2: Is it time to start drafting goalies in the first round?
Speaker 3: Never the day I do. That is the data that
I need to retire.
Speaker 2: All right, we've started with messing with Victor, but now
we're going to talk about some of the guys that
he would draft when we get to a little bit
more reasonable round. And maybe these are the type of
values who can fall below the consensus that Victor will
be looking for. First of all, Jacob Markstrom of the
New Jersey Devils. Victor tell me about him.
Speaker 3: The Devils have been after Markstrom for a long time,
so that is also fun. And they pursued him, they
wanted him. He sure seems like he is a good fit.
And I don't know why they didn't just get him earlier,
especially the price they paid. They would have they could have,
they would have been in a better place to potentially
make the playoffs. So that was a little disappointing that
they waited so long. But he had an amazing season,
did mark Strum. He had his career best goalsave above
expected with twenty nine. That was amazing. And yeah, he's
thirty four years old. You have to remember the goalies.
The aging curve for goalies is different. You can still
be at the top of your game in your mid thirties.
We've seen it for some of the bigger goalies. Goalies
take longer and they age out of their prime at
a later time as well, So I wouldn't be too
worried that he's thirty five this year. I think he
still got another couple of years of being a good
goaltender and the Devils should be a good team. They
had an awful goalsave above expected to the Devils negative
eight point seven, So I'm not saying that Markstum is
going to be is going to turn that negative eight
point seven into plus thirty, but I think he can
turn it into a positive number and that's all they
need to be a playoff team. Quite frankly, they just
need a few stops. They need a little bit, and
I think that he should be there. As I was
writing this, I was looking at Stanley Cup winning odds
and they were The Devils were third, which is crazy.
I don't know that the third best team the third
most likely to win the Cup, but they were getting
good odds and Markstrum being there as a part of it.
He's the clear top dog. He's going to get all
the starts and the Devils at the very least should
be a very competitive team. Maybe they're not going to
be Stanley Cup champs, but they should be winning more
games in Calgary. I don't think that's hot to say,
and they should be in just about every game, and
I think that he's going to help them. They got
plenty of firepower to outscore their opponents and they don't
need to do that as much this year. So I
quite like mark Strum I ended up. I didn't end
up getting him anywhere. I think a couple other people
were a little bit more excited than I was, Jesse,
because I just tend to wait way too long for goalies.
Speaker 1: But what do you think about him Victory.
Speaker 2: I agree with your takes, and I think there is
some value with Markstrom, But let me make some of
the case against him and some of the concerns if
you want to be a Markstrom doubter. Not that it's
his fault, but his career as a starter in teams,
he's only been in the playoffs two out of seven years. Yes,
that's partly the team around him, but it hasn't necessarily
been teams that he's carried. He did have obviously a
very great year, and last year was his career year
by far in obscurity in Calgary, he's good, But if
you take out last year, he has been an aggregate
an average goalie through his time in Calgary. Goalies changing
systems and environments can also be a danger. I suppose
if New Jersey's been chasing him, they think that he'll
be a good fit for them, if they're looking at
things in an advanced way. I suppose you got to
pick some goalie. I could probably make it's against any
goalie in the NHL if I really wanted to. So
you have to temper that whole thing. But I worry
about the fact that he was the center of the
sexy goalie trade of the offseason is going to leave
him overrated in drafts. Goalie eight is too rich for
my blood. Actually, though, the defensive situations in Calgary and
New Jersey in terms of expected goals were very close
last year. Expected goals against was two point sixty nine
expected goals against p sixty for Jersey two point seven
for Calgary, so just point oh one difference. So he
was facing a similar level of shot danger. But yeah,
I like mark Strom. I worry he will end up
overrated in this year's draft. All right, Victor, we'll move
on to the next one. I know this is one
of your faves, Dustin Wolf of the Calgary Flames. What
makes him when of your picks, Victor.
Speaker 3: I don't know that there are too many goalies that
are going from relative unknown to the larger fantasy community.
Of course, prospect people know Dustin Wolf for a long
time now, but he's going from relative obscurity for a
lot of people to being the man. And that is
because they traded Jacob Markstrom and he's going to get
a run here. He didn't do so well at the
end of last season, but I think you can chalk
a lot of that up to Calgary, who had traded
a couple of their best players and they were a
mess and he was trying to find his foothold. He
played seventeen games, they mostly went poorly, and he was
really trying to hold it down when the team in
front of him was a mess. So I don't know
that you could hang too much on him. He has
training camp now to be the anointed starter. He has
time to get used to the structure to the team
in front of him, and I think that's going to
be huge for Wolf. And he's a guy who thrives
in that situation, So I think that he's going to
be He's going to get tons of opportunity. I think
he plays at least thirty to forty games. The other
thing is that Calgary needs to know what they have
in Dustin Wolf. He has been tearing it up in
the AHL for years now. He's been the best player
down there for a long time. And you can only
keep a guy like that down there such for so
long until it just becomes you know, what are you
doing down there? They need to figure out is he
really the goalie of the future. They have this year
and next year before they have to sign him as
an RFA, but they really only have Dan Vladar or
Vladash as the other goalie, and he's an UFA after
this season, and there really isn't anyone else, So they
have to figure out what's going on in net for them,
and they need to know if Ladash is more than
a backup, if Wolf can be the starter. So they're
gonna give him a run and they're gonna let him
roll with it, and they're gonna give him plenty of games.
So if you're in a league that really penalizes you
for goals against and for certain goalie stats. He may
not be the best play but in a points league
where you're not super penalized for some of those goals
against and low performances, then Wolf for the volume should
be incredible.
Speaker 1: Here.
Speaker 3: I see Cam has him pegged for thirty nine games.
I think he's going to be right around there. I
think he hits forty. I think he plays at least
half the season and maybe more so. I think you're
going to get a lot of games out of him,
and he's going I got him in the A couple
I think in like round fifteen or something like that, sixteen,
so you can get him very late and I think
he can return value.
Speaker 1: What do you think again?
Speaker 2: I like it. I like the idea if you can
get him outside the top twenty nine, which in EP ringside,
that's where you'll be getting him, according to those ranks,
basically outside the range of starting goalies in the NHL.
I love that, but make the case against him a
little bit. In that same environment you said Calgary is
a mess. Jacob Markstrom had a career year. He had
a twenty eight point nine three goal saved above expected
Dan Vladash and Dustin Wolf both had Validar had negative
ten point seven to six in twenty games. Wolf had
negative seven point seven to two in seventeen games, basically
a pretty similar rate for both of them, a pretty
similar rate of suck, whereas Markstrom had an outstanding rate.
Now again, Dustin Wolf just breaking into the NHL, so
we're we've got to give him a little bit of
a break. But I think that forty forty split is
a little bit more of what I'm agreeing with the
Calgary should be rolling out the tank commanders this year.
I know they don't do that in hockey quite the
way they do in basketball, but I think it would
be wise for them to tank a little bit for
next year. I don't know whether that means playing more
Wolf or less Wolf. But that all said, Okay, that
all said. Everybody who looks at goalie prospects drools over
this guy. He has been tearing up the HL for
a reason. He's very talented. If there's one goalie who
could debut this year as a Thatcher Demco type young
star who just shows up and suddenly the thing turns around,
it would have to be Dustin Wolf. That would have
to be the guy I think who comes in and
does that. There's a case for and against here. I
like him at the value you are talking about getting him.
I just I don't know how hyped he's going to
be in some leagues. Obviously, we play so much Dynasty,
and I think Dustin Wolf has got a crazy price
in dynasty right now. He has to compare to so
many old goalies in the NHL, which, and again that
might not be inappropriate, But yeah, I think there's a
case for and against Wolf being successful this season.
Speaker 3: The only thing I would caveat to that with what
you said is that it's true that the total environment
that you described, but most of Wolf's starts came after
the trade deadline. And I know Markstrom was still there
and but I but comparing him hundreds of games into
the NHL versus Wolf, it's a bit it's a bit harder. So, yes,
he was able to manage that chaos a little bit better,
which I don't think is terribly surprising. But I think
for a new goalie doing that after the trade deadline,
it was just a lot harder for him. And he
is a very technical goalie and he needs to be
able to predict his environment. I think Markstrom is a
little bit better at just being able to read and react,
which is something Wolf needs to improve on, and he
definitely did not handle that part very well.
Speaker 2: All right, next up, Victor, we're going to go to
the state of Utah, where hockey exists now and talk
about Connor Ingram. What makes him a pick of yours? Oh?
Speaker 1: Man, I love this guy.
Speaker 3: I have loved Connor Ingram since he was with Tampa
and he's always been one of my guys. And people
always criticize me and say, why do you like this guy.
He's he's on a team, but the goaliet he's never
going to play, and I always point out, you never know,
he can get traded, and that's what happened, and he
ended up being pretty good, and he really showed out
last year. He took the net fifty games and was amazing.
His expected numbers were way better than Villemelka's. He was
third behind Hellabuck and Markstrum and ahead of Swaymen in
terms of goalsave above expected in those appearances. I think
if he played in a prominent market, he would have
gotten VESNA votes. As it was, he was the comeback
Player of the Year, and I think that he's the man.
I'm really proud that I have him in a lot
of leagues because I believe in him, and especially in
KAP leagues. He's a gem because he's not making too much,
so for a starter, you're getting massive value for Connor Ingram.
I think the big question obviously is how good is
Utah going to be And we don't know the answer
to that obviously, but at under two million for a starter,
and yes he makes less than but I am still
confident that he's going to be the starter. He's outplayed
Will Melka, and I think that Utah gets a little
bump from being their first season in Utah, right. I
think being in a new building, the owners seem to
be treating them a little bit better, giving them better facilities, resources,
all that kind of stuff. I think they're going to
feed off of that, and I think they're going to
be a bubble playoff team. And I think Vill Melka
is going to be a bit or not Vill Melka
Ingram's going to be a big part of that. Vill
Milk is going to be a good, good bench boss
there just to sit in with the hat on the
bench tracking shots. But yeah, I really like Ingram. I
think that he's going to be amazing value. I don't
I'm not saying he's going to be like top five
or maybe even top ten in terms of raw goalie stats,
but the opportunity is there, and the team could really
rally around him and rally around each other and end
up being one of the best stories this season. And
in terms of where you can get him in redraft
leagues way later and for contract leagues.
Speaker 1: Yeah, people, it's fun.
Speaker 3: Now. People come sniffing around for Connor Ingram and they're
offering me these like garbage trades and I'm like, no way, man,
You'd have to pay way more to get Ingram off
of me now, because everyone knows that he's great and
he's exceptional value for the dollar.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm pretty high on Ingram. Jesse, here are you?
Speaker 2: Last year, it seemed like everybody was coming to the
season saying it was going to be Vy Melka as
the starter in Arizona. It was Arizona then, but Ingram's
seventeen point sixty eight goals save above expected was thirteenth
in the league. Just wildness and Utah is so buzzy,
not only with the new ownership, the new place, that
double defense draft deal of Sergacheff and Marino that caused
triggered you at the draft when all the Horns were
going off right in a row there. As I recall,
Ingram is fifteenth amongst seventy five qualifying goalies in goal
save above expected if you go over the last four
years combined cumulatively, which is crazy to me. He led
the league in shutouts last year. Wins may not be
there yet this year. I don't know that you taught
is going to really rack up wins that are going
to help you in that category or accumulating those points.
But this is a shrewd one because if youp Ringside
ranks him at goalie twenty four, I think that that
is too low. That is too low for Connor Ingram.
So I like him as win your picks. Victor Darcy Kemper,
you've talked about him already on this show a couple times,
and why you like him, But why don't you recapitulate
and expound.
Speaker 3: I like Kemper, and it's funny talking to Kat about Kemper,
who knew him really well in Arizona when he was there,
and how he's just one of the best goalies of
just not thinking about it. He doesn't get in his head.
He just reacts, and sometimes that's the best thing you
can do, obviously, if you have the physical tools, which
he most certainly does being a large goalie and having
good enough technical skills. He just rolls with what's in
front of him and what's going to be in front
of him. In LA, I think is going to be
way better than what he has seen for many years.
I think probably dating back to his time in Minnesota
is probably the last time he had a great goalie environment.
He was in LA for a hot minute there several
years ago, but I don't know that was enough to
really learn much about. But this environment, the Kings are
a really good defensive environment. Now. Of course, losing Dowdy
for a bit might hurt that a little bit, and
they did lose was it Matt Roy right, So they
have a little bit weaker defense, but there's still a
strong team. I know they're moving away from the one
to three one, so maybe that won't be quite as good,
But I just think that it's not going to be
as bad as it was in Washington. They were not
a good defensive team and they led in a lot
of high danger shots, and he struggled with that because
he's someone who just wants to react to play and
all of a sudden, if you're falling, the falling the
play and then someone's on your back door tapping a
puck behind you, what are you supposed to do about that?
So it's going to be much better for him. He is,
to me, clearly the guy there in LA. He's going
to get all the starts, and I think that he
could be, you know, pretty good. I wouldn't want him
as my number one d per se unless I'm truly
waiting until the very end for goalies. Then I think
it could be okay because he's getting good god amount
of money. The Kings should be a playoff team and
he should play fifty games, and so if that's all
the case, then he's going to return value. And I
think that they're in terms of guys that you could
get really late in your draft. I'm not sure that
there are too many better options in Kemper. I know
that a lot of people are skeptical about this one,
but why don't you tell me what you think, Jesse.
You've gotten to see him up close in personal last
couple of years, and I know he's going to be
thirty five this year, so he's slowed down a bit.
But we just talked about with Mark Strum, goalies can
be pretty elite into their later years.
Speaker 1: So what's your thoughts on.
Speaker 2: Kemper victor for Darcy Kemper. I dope deep into the
stats and did myself a little scientific study, and my
conclusion is Kemper is better the further west he plays,
because he has played in Washington, and I actually, patrons
who look at the show notes, I have created a
map in here that shows nine o two save percentage
in Washington, nine ten in Minnesota, Denver and Phoenix. Trying
to mess me up a little bit, nine to twenty,
nine to twenty one, and then you get to La.
He's got a nine to thirty two save percentage career.
I think that means obviously, correlation equals causation, he will
have a crazy good save percentage this year. But also,
more seriously, if you put together the last five years.
I did this a couple times at EP Ringside. I
combined players the goalies over larger samples than one year
and looked at some of these stats and the old
Delta Fenwick say percentage that I know Brian Kahm is
real into this, and it kind of it makes a
lot of sense. How much better is your save percentage
than average if you take into account everything that wasn't blocked,
because the goalie could influence where the shot is coming in.
So even if it doesn't necessarily you know, if it
hits the net or something like that, it just misses,
it might have been because the goalie did something good.
He comes out as eighteenth out of eighty five qualifying
goalies in Delta Fenwick save percentage and eleventh in gold
saves above expected. Out of those eighty five, that's really
good if you consider how bad the years went in DC,
that's really good. Yeah, Darcy Kemper is still a high
quality goalie and I think that LA in the kind
of mutual mass salary dump of Dubois for Kemper, it
might end up being a win. And I think that
with LA this is very likely a win for them
and very likely to be their starting goalie this year.
Speaker 3: This is the kind of detailed analysis that our listeners
come to expect. Jesse, I very much appreciate you pulling
out a map and looking at where he did better.
Speaker 1: That was that's good stuff.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, it's graft Victor. I went to a website.
It's got pins on it. It's wonderful. Yeah, this is
deep scientific analysis. You're not going to get anywhere else. Okay,
while everybody recovers from my dazzling science, we're going to
take a break.
Speaker 1: That's a weapon.
Speaker 2: If we're going to talk about Omar Uly. Oh, the
Ottawa Senators, what makes him? What are your goali texts?
Speaker 3: Wasn't Elliott Friedman who said the Autawa Senators are making
the playoffs? That was a big that happened well after
I made this choice, but it did. Omark is a
really good goalie. I don't think that's too controversial. I
know some people might have just said he played behind
the Bruins and that's not so hard. But he's been
a good goalie for a lot longer than that. His
goal save above expected is Delta Fenwick, as you were
just talking about in the previous segment with respect to Kemper.
This is I think how you have to evaluate goalies.
You can't just look at the raw save percentage in
the team because so many of those things are so
team dependent, and you have to look at how they
did in terms of their individual numbers. And his goal
save above expected have been ridiculous in Boston, but he
also had some pretty promising numbers in Buffalo, which kudos
to Boston for seeing that and taking him away from Buffalo.
And actually his first year in Boston wasn't even that good.
So he had some up and down numbers. They weren't bad,
but they were a little bit less reassuring. The big
concern is going to a more hostile environment, I guess
you could say for goalies. And the funny thing is
we just saw this with Corpus Solo. But there were
many people me most prominently had my hand up saying
this is a terrible when they gave corpors Soolo a
giant bag of money and said you be our guy.
I have long been on the record saying I don't
think he's a very good goalie. And not only that,
but I also said the environment in Ottawa is not
one that.
Speaker 1: Is good for a goalie like corpor Soolo.
Speaker 3: He's a very loosey, goosey read and react very much,
slide around and make some high, high highlight reel type saves.
That's not who the save. Who the Senators need. They
need someone who's more structured, who can be more dependable,
who can operate within their system that's a little loosey
goosey at times, and that's Wholena Slmark is. He's someone
who's going to be more consistent for them. He's gonna
make the stops when he needs to. He's not going
to be all out of position because he's stretching across
the ice. He's gonna he's going to give them a
little bit more dependability. I think that he might be
the missing piece to help bring them back to the playoffs.
I'm not quite sure that the team is all the
way there, although I really like some of their defensemen.
I think a lot of their forwards have taken big steps.
I think they're going to be a much better team,
and I think Omark is clearly going to be the man.
So he's going to get a lot of play and
in terms of I don't think his run numbers are
going to necessarily be as good, but he's going to
get lots of starts and the team I think is
going to be better because of him. Primarily so what's
not to like, Jesse?
Speaker 2: What is not to like? Indeed, you remember, we know
Ollmark emerged in Boston. He was a vesan, a winner.
I recall because I've taken so few ws on this
show and sobody else. I remember one of my w's
was when I said he would hold off Swayman and
he ended up winning the zend of that year, Did
you know Boston was only fourteenth best and expected goals
against per sixty and at two point five nine, and
Senators were eighteenth best at two point sixty seven. I
tend to think of Boston as everything was a lot
easier for a goalie there and a lot harder. And
you're right, it didn't exactly happen the same way, but
they both were middle of the road in the types
of shots they were giving up on average. That was
scoring venue adjusted, by the way, when Boston got into
the lead, that could be a bit different. That said,
in Ottawa, chickern is gone. It's going to be a
step back to Nick Jensen, who I think is probably
a little past his prime. There a Shabbat should be back.
So that's good. Olmark's coming in with big expectations. The
curse of Friedman. Goalie fourteen might be a bit much
for me. I think a really good goalie coming into
a more troubled environment is going to be not necessarily
a recipe for immediate success. And it just seems like
everybody who goes into Ottawa it just tanks on them.
Things just go poorly. Matt Murray goes in there, it
goes in the tank. And Jonas Corpusalo, who was so
so but he went in the tank. It's just been
rough times up in Ottawa over the last few years
for goalies to go up there. So Goalie fourteen is
too rich for my blood. But I definitely Ohmark quite
a bit that your Demco Victor's another one of your picks.
And this one's a little bit tough because you wrote
him up for the EP ringside guy before the injury.
But still tell us about that your Demko.
Speaker 3: My final sentence was the major wildcard. If he's healthy,
he's great, but you never know, and that's unfortunately what's happening,
you know. I actually so people were asking me about
this because I do have some medical background, and it's
funny they came out with this. It's the pop ldias
as if This is some sort of Eureka moment, which
is hilarious to me because you know, I'm someone who
knows a lot of different random muscles in the body,
and that is one that I know about, and everyone
seems to be, you know, looking up a Wikipedia, like
what the heck gives this thing? So I'll just tell
everyone right now if you don't mind, But this muscle
is a very small muscle in the knee that is
protective and basically what happens is it helps unlock the knee.
There is a screw home mechanism between the femur and
tibia that helps lock it and keep it stable in place.
And in order to flex the knee, you need to
unhinge unlock that joint, and that's what the poplitius does.
So you can imagine you have this stiff knee that
doesn't flex unless you have this very important tiny muscle.
If you can't bend the knee when you need to,
then you're gonna have problems. And as a goalie, I
can only imagine you're flying around trying to make these
recovery saves and you're not sure if your knee is
gonna unlock and stay straight. That is gonna be a
massive problem, and so that could lead to greater injuries
and problems. So that's the big concern with me in
terms of moving forward. And yes, I wrote a lot
this before the injury news, but the thing is that
if you're and I have this opportunity in the cuple
right before this news came out, and I feel like
I regret it a little bit, Jesse, like maybe I
should have just picked him and stashed him in IR,
because I do feel like if he plays, he's going
to be amazing. But if he continues to be injured
and not have this, and there's a lot of uncertainty,
like he might miss the whole season or a large
part of the season, so you never really know what's
going to happen. But I do feel like if he
recovers from this and he gets better, he's going to
be great and the Canucks are great. And it's one
of those things that if you could just stash him
in IR and get him a little bit later, because
he was available to me, like in the thirteenth, fourteenth round,
I could have had a star starting goalie and as
long as I had someone else to buffer the time
when he's injured, and I think you could think about
it this way too, then it could be really good.
But I would be very worried about this moving forward.
Like in dynasty formats, I would be very concerned about him.
Speaker 1: And I actually have.
Speaker 3: Him in one of my main leagues as my main goalie,
so that's a bit concerning. I'm not really sure what
to do about that. I don't I think I'm gonna
trade him though, I think I'm just gonna write him out.
I think he's I don't think you can get good
value for that, Jesse. That's my worry. If I could
get more a reasonable goalie, then I would probably make
that swap that I wouldn't have to worry about injury history.
But where are you gonna Who's gonna give you fair
value for this off injured but great goalie. That's my
concern with them. COO, what are your thoughts on him?
Speaker 2: Yeah, and that is true. The other thing to look at.
You mentioned Vancouver's Pdo in our previous episode where we
talked about some regression candidates. Pdo at five on five
was a league high one on two point four last
year per Hockey Reference. And yeah, there's there are some
little things to worry about. But we know Demco is
an excellent goalie. I do worry once one of these
goalies gets that type of injury, are they ever really
the same? Now we've just seen guys, and it would
be unfortunate if somebody as young as Demco had a
debilitate an injury. But I don't know our two Shilobs.
As long as we're talking Demco, Silobs seems to be
maybe the guy who becomes of interest now in the
short term. I would think he would have enormous value
to somebody who is a Demco owner. But do you
think he showed some stuff in the playoffs last year?
I felt do you think that Chilovs would be a
guy who in whom you would have some interest?
Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely. And we also saw him internationally for Latvia.
That was an incredible story when we saw that. It
was interesting watching him in the playoffs. And I'm certainly
an a goalie expert, but to me, it seemed like
at times he was gripping the stick a.
Speaker 1: Little tight the pressure.
Speaker 3: It was a really intense situation, right he comes in,
all the pressures on him, the expectations that them being
a higher seed, all these things. I think if he has,
if Sheilobs has the beginning of the season and most
of the season to get a little bit more comfortable
and acclimated, I think he could be.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 3: I don't know that he's Demco level, but I think
his numbers could be similar, just because the team is
so good, and I think that he could be a
reliable steadying force there. So yeah, I would definitely have
a ton of interest in she Lobs if you're in
a redraft league that has an expiration date, because as
soon as Demko is healthy, I'm sure they're going back
to him, but she Lobs might prove himself. I would
have a lot of interest in him, definitely.
Speaker 2: Okay, Victor, I know you had some other goalies you
said you wanted to mention you had some guys who
you want to talk about to. What are some other
goalies you think we ought to have in our minds
at this point.
Speaker 3: I think there are a few guys Jesse that might
be interesting to talk about. The first one danil Terisov,
who plays for Columbus, And yeah, there's so much that's
been happening in Columbus, and last episode we talked about them.
And obviously the horrible tragedy with Goodrow the team. Hopefully
we'll be coming together and have some great camaraderie collaboration
from that, hopefully things go really well for them. Wishing
the best, but it's gonna be a tricky situation. And
we've seen that Mergelikan is someone who has struggled a
bit to be consistent in the past several years, and
so that's something that you have to think about. And
who else is there is obviously the big consideration, and
Tarasov is certainly one of them. And we've seen in
the past what merge Likans has been able to do,
and he's been really good. He's been he's been solid,
but he's also been really he's struggled at times. And
last season he was actually pretty good, playing forty one
games in his goal save above expected was actually pretty solid.
Tarasovs was too, though, and so that's and he's actually
been really good. His underlying numbers have been good the
last couple of seasons, and he played twenty four games
last season. I really think that in terms of the future,
that's probably.
Speaker 1: Who they're looking to.
Speaker 3: It'll be interesting to see if that's who they actually
give as much time to because there's certainly a team
that doesn't have to worry about.
Speaker 1: Wins or anything like that.
Speaker 3: Mrzlicans obviously is making a lot more money, and we
heard kick a line and talking about how that contract
was untradeable. I think that maybe they let him get
a good run and if they could retain some money
send him to someone who needs some goalie help. That
could be really good because I think that they have
some confidence in terosof who's an RFA at the end
of the season.
Speaker 1: I like Tarasov.
Speaker 3: I think he can He played four seventeen and then
twenty four games. I think he could increase this next
season by another seven to ten games. I think he
can get close to thirty five. And I think he's
in that split starter situation, and I think that he's
someone that I certainly would be interested in. I don't
know that he's someone who's probably more of a streamer
or spots starter in redraft, but he's definitely someone in
your dynasty leagues you probably want to go grab, and
you might not think that looking at Orge Lilkins's contract,
but he's not their long term plan. It's definitely tarasof
don't you think, Jesse.
Speaker 2: I think that's a very reasonable guy to be grabbing.
I think he's rated, He's well regarded in our dynasty
leagues at this point. But maybe a target for redraped
streaming that makes a lot of sense. He'll definitely face
a volume of shots when he's out there. So I
think there could be something good to be said about
Daniel Tarasov in Columbus. Who knows what Columbus will be
this year. We don't think they're going to be much,
but somebody always surprises us, it seems. Anybody else or
any other situations, Victor.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think there's a couple that I think are interesting.
I wanted to mention the Washington situation. I can't remember
the last time we had two lefties in the same
crease sharing the crease. And both of these guys, Logan
Thompson and Charlie Lnren are guys who have never really
had a significant starting role, and they're both guys that
certainly seem capable. They had Lingren basically won the job
last year, and Kemper ended up playing a lot fewer
games than everyone expected because of how good he was,
and I think he really showed that he's someone he's
never really had the full opportunity has lingerin and I
think that he has shown he showed basically he got
them in the playoffs, even though maybe a lot of
us thought that maybe they didn't deserve that, but at
any rate, he got them in and he was awesome
for them, did all he could to help, and his
goal save above expected numbers were incredible this season. So
I think that both these guys are interesting. It's one
of those situations though, where I absolutely would not take
one of these guys early, but later on. I'm looking
at this situation in particular because either could end up
playing more games than the other, you never know, and
that neither has ever been a real volume, full time starter,
so it could either one could emerge. I would imagine
it's Lingren, I think he's the incumbent there, but it
could be Thompson. So I'd be very interested in grabbing
either of these guys and a zero G strategy later on.
And I think that Washington looks a little bit better
than they have in the past, even and both have
shown that they can outperform their expected numbers. So this
is definitely a place that I'm looking for not early
in my draft, but later for value, don't you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I think so, And I do think that Lingren
will be the man now again. Sometimes the most popular
guy in town is the backup goalie, and the fact
that Lingren won that it may look Logan Thompson the
most popular guy in town. Who knows. But I also
like about Charlie Lingren that his nickname is the outlaw
and he actually his glove has a name. Josie is
the name of Charlie Lingren's club, because that is such
just the kind of character that he has been over there.
We will see what is able to happen there in
terms of the mix. But I do think that the Capitals,
I really thought that they probably were not a playoff
team anymore, but after some of the signings and some
of the trades that they've pulled, they might be. And
I think Lingering is a good to at least average goalie.
Logan Thompson. It's just weird that the Vegas Golden Knights
with a I think almost below minimum contract. It was
below the minimum that's in our Dynasty Hockey salary league
traded Logan Thompson. I know they've got other folks there.
But still that almost tells me something in Vegas is
such an advantageous situation. So we'll see what Logan Thompson
can do. But I do think that there is probably
sneaky value to be found here. Almost good if you're
in a deep enough league that you can have both
so that you can so that you can do that,
and you better be able to have access to your
computer at about five thirty at night to find out
which goalie is starting so that you can get the
right one in, because there's gonna be a lot of
nights when you will have the wrong one if you don't.
Speaker 3: That's a reason to hate that situation. I definitely am
someone who likes to just know that my guy is starting,
because I hate having to wait till the last second.
And I've had that situation and I've definitely missed getting
my guy in, and it really sucks when that is
the reason you lose your matchup or struggle. So that's
the reason. But if you're in a situation where that
isn't such a big a deal and you can manage that,
then it could be good value. Another situation I wanted
to mention Lucas Dostal in Anaheim. It looks like Gibson
had an emergency app.
Speaker 1: In decom Me. Who knows how long he'd be out.
Speaker 3: He may not actually miss much, if any time, but
I do think there'll be a little There's no reason
to not be a little more cautious with him now,
and Dostal has been great and we've been saying one
of these days, Dostala is going to play more games
than Gibbson and it almost happened last year he had
forty four to Gibson's forty six appearances and it didn't
quite happen. But I think this might be the year
and this might be what pushes him over the top.
Not to mention the fact that he has been better
than Gibson and from a goal save above expected in
Delta Fenwick perspective. So I'm hoping that not for not
anything bad on Gibson, but since Gibson already has this injury,
there's no I'll hope here. But I'm hoping that do
Shtall takes this opportunity and kind of runs with it.
He's starting a little bit more in the preseason than
you would expect, and hopefully he runs into the season
and showing his stuff and getting a little bit more starts.
I'm hoping he can finally flip that script and be
the sixty forty starter and show everyone that he can
do and help improve Anaheim, who seems like they're a
team on the up and up. So I'm hoping that's
true for dos Shtall and I think it can be.
Speaker 1: I think he has the talent to do that.
Speaker 3: What do you think about Anaheim goaldies.
Speaker 2: Jesse Luke John Gibson kind of feels like the new
Jonathan Quick across town, the experienced goalie who we just
all come on man or cam Ward the guy who
just let's get the hot new guy in. And in
Jonathan Quick's case, it turned out to be Cal Peterson
and we all know how that ended. So maybe never mind.
But yeah, it would be great to see Lucas Doshall
get in. I've seen him play in person in the
HL when he came up to Milwaukee, and he's a
very good goalie. In fact, he was playing in the
preseason game I was watching last night. But yeah, I
think that he could be good for this team. I
think this is a team that could be on the
up and on the rise finally when as all these
prospects come together. So I think Doshall is great indefinitely
in your red raft, Leakes, I think he might be
a guy who hangs around the wire at parts of
the season and could take that goal. So I love
Lucas still style.
Speaker 3: Another guy who's going to be hanging out the wire.
And the last guy I want to talk about is
Yaroslav a scar Off. Obviously, the big trade over to
San Jose, and I'm sure baked into that, even though
he doesn't want to talk about it, is a plan
for him to play in the NHL this season more
than it was he was going to get in Nashville,
more than he was going to get from any of
the other places that were interested in acquiring him. And
I think that's a big deal. I don't know that he,
you know, starts forty five games for them. That seems
like it would be a bit unwise, quite frankly, But
I do think that he has the talent to play
in the NHL, and you know, the Sharks, the expectations
for him are going to be low, like he's he's
going to make some incredible saves and that's going to
endear him to the fans, and I don't think they
care too much whether they win or lose this season,
although they might want to win a little bit more
with some of the young talent that they have Vanichek
and they have Blackwood, and Blackwood seems like he's on
the up and up, and so that might be a
good situation to mentor him and to show some improvement.
The defense should be better. All in all, the Sharks
should be a more competitive team. They're still going to
lose a lot, but I think that's an interesting situation.
If you're not so worried, if you're in a league
that really penalizes you for those goalie scat stats, and
I would obviously stay away, But if you're in a
points league where it can be really value added, then
I think looking at Markstrom or not Marstrom, a scar Off,
and even Blackwood to some extent, could yield some pretty
good value.
Speaker 1: I don't really have any interest in Banacheck.
Speaker 3: I think one of those two, and certainly in a
dynasty league where you know you maybe didn't think a
scar offf was going to be playing anytime soon, I
think that the value added there should be quite a
bit because he seems like he's going to play, and
even in redraft leagues, might be more of a spot
start kind of thing, but he might go on a
roll and they might just let him run with it.
So I would not be drafting a Scarff, but I
would keep my finger on the pulse and be ready
to add him him when he seems he might play.
Speaker 1: And the Sharks are usually much better at.
Speaker 3: At announcing that kind of thing than even though they
have a new coach, it seems like they've been better
at that than some of the other teams.
Speaker 1: Jesse.
Speaker 2: Yeah, McKenzie. Blackwood is a guy who is not inexperienced
in rough circumstances like the Sharks will be in this year,
and he really was very good. I'm happy to have
him on my four sport team. I think he'll actually
play a role for me this year. And I think
we were hearing I forget if this was again another
name check to thirty two thoughts, but I think they
were talking about maybe Askarov not getting all the starts
in San Jose this year as they ease him in slowly,
and that they hope that Nabokov will be able to
talk him into not being not thinking that he has
to be the NHL starter. He knows he has a
road to it where he knew that he didn't in Nashville.
So I don't know that it means that he will
be upset, because obviously that was part of the reason
that he got out of Nashville. He wanted to be
in the NHL. But I do think that Mackenzie Blackwood
could have a big role here this year and could
be a sneaky good goalie for you. On the other hand,
just keep in mind that New Jersey got rid of
all their goalies for a reason. They had rough times
there for a long time, and there's a reason why
they've brought in now successively what's his bucket from Montreal
and Jake Allen and then Jacob Markstrom because things were
not necessarily going well there. All right, Victor, that is
a good tour through a few goalies that we have
on our minds coming into this season. Let's come right back.
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