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Speaker 1: All right, welcome when it's Wednesday to day time for

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total basis, it also means we've got day games all day,

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which is great. Spread the games out different look from

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the first couple of days of the week. I didn't

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have a single Major League Baseball play yesterday, but I

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have a feeling I'm gonna have a couple today, which

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we'll talk about on the show. So we'll welcome to

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my cowork co workers, co hosts Brian Leonard, Tokyo Brandon,

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and let's get right into it. One of the games

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that we did talk about yesterday I feel like we

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got right was the Yankees struggled again, found a way

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to lose Natiyavaldi was great. That being said Brian Leonard,

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this feels like a much better spot for the Yankees.

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Speaker 2: Is this where they finally get back in the wind calmn?

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Speaker 3: It sure looks like it when they've got run Don

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on the mound. Let's see what we've got for the

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line on this one. The lefty Rodona is the lefty

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and Jack Letter to the rookie going for Texas. Right now,

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the Yankees are about a maybe a one thirty two favorite,

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and with a total of eight to the over eight

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and a half to the under. My initial look at

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this is about his price right a little bit. We

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got to start worrying about laters pitches. They may pull

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him a little bit early here, but Rodd's a veteran,

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he's been around. He's going to pitch as long as

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he can. Overall, he's been pretty good this season. Three

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point three four ERA, a very good three point twenty

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four shows that it's accurate, and a one point zero

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six whip. His stat gas page shows him a little

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bit unfavorably if you ask me, Uh, he's got you know,

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some solid reds out there, which is very good expected

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adding average ninety first percentile with rate ninety first strikeouts

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eighty sixth but his walk rate, his barrel rate, his

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hard hit rate, his ground ball rate, and his extension

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are all below fifty percent. So it's it's just some

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of his numbers are good, some are bad. I think

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he's a pretty good pitcher, and he's got a three

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point eight oh career ERA, so that shows that he's

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very good. Basically, he's still a four seam four seemer

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throws the four singer forty one percent of the time,

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slider thirty percent. But I like him. He's usually a

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guy that I count on if the Yankees are not

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playing well or if they run a few losses here.

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I like him in that regard. Jack Leder four point

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one zero ERA, four point sixty nine expected one point

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three to two whip a little high, great extension despite

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only being six foot one, eighty eighth percentile basketball velocity

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of the eighty eighth percentile. But some of his hard

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hitting numbers bother me. His walk rates as ten percentile

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average eason velocity fifteenth barrel ray four. He can be hit,

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but as I've said throughout this entire series, this is

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basically one of the better pitching parks in the league

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this year, and it also helps the Texas' starting staff

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is excellent. So I don't see enough to make a

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bet on this one. So I like the Yankees, but

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I don't want to lay that number.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, is Boone brain dead? Why does he keep putting

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Williams out there? He's got a six plus DRA as

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a closer. That's ridiculous. I mean, does he just think

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eventually he'll come around? I mean we're almost halfway through

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August and he's still trotting out a six plus ERA

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guys his closer. This is the second worst manager in

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MLB and very little talent on this team aside from

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Judge and Freed. So Man, Yankees are in trouble, but

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I don't think they'll get swept. I think they have

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a shot of winning the game today. At least. Rodin's

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pretty good pitcher. I got him in the top one

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third of all MLB pictures, and I've got a lighter

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ranked twenty out of thirty on a curve of thirty.

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He walks, He's got a little bit of a walking problem.

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He had a really bad walking problem at the beginning

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of the season. He's he's corrected that a little bit.

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Not a terrible picture, not a great picture. I have

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the bullpens pretty equal as far as current form is concerned,

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and I have the hitting pretty equal. So too close

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for me, But I just have a feeling the Yankees

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are gonna win one game eventually, and you know, when

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they have a really good starting pitcher, advantage is probably

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gonna be today.

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Speaker 1: Tokyo, Brandon, I'm curious you said Boone is the second

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worst manager. Who is the worst manager in the league.

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Speaker 4: Oh, Dave Roberts, Dave Roberts is the Angel Hernandez of managers.

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Speaker 1: Eh, that's t I don't know if I can agree

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with that, because Dave Roberts just won a World Series

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and he's got the best team. But I do I

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do agree with you. They they do win sometimes in

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spite of him. I'll make the point again. I only

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ask you because I think Aaron Boone is the worst

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manager in the league.

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Speaker 2: And that's why I wanted to see.

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Speaker 1: I want to see who you thought was worse than that,

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because the Yankees won in spite of Boone last year.

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And it's something I brought up yesterday and I'll continue

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to hammer this point home. The Yankees were a better

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team last year. They had a better team, and they

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were able to sort of overcome some of the mistakes.

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Now this team's not as good, and they're just not

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as good as they were last year.

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Speaker 2: I don't care what anyone says.

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Speaker 1: You take Juan Soto off the team, That team last

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year that went to the World Series is better than

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this Yankees team.

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Speaker 2: And now suddenly the mistakes start to matter.

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Speaker 1: They're starting to turn wins in the losses and it's

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like they can't seem to get.

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Speaker 2: Out of their own way.

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Speaker 1: Now, I do think they get a little bit of

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a reprieve here having Radona on the mound opposing Jack Lighter,

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because Jack Lighter is a guy that you know, I mean,

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I've talked about him a few times. He's he hasn't

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really put it together at the big league level just yet.

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I think some of that has to do with how

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the Rangers have sort of managed him to this point.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 1: They they've they kind of threw him to the fire

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too early, killed his confidence, and now he's kind of

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had to start to work his way back in at

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the big league level. So no doubt Radon gives them

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an edge in the first you know, few innings of

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this game. At the end, I mean, the Yankees that

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their bullpen should be much better than this. Helped me out,

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Brian Leonard. They remade this bullpen at the trade downline.

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It should be great, so they should have a bullpen edge,

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but they just simply haven't. I'm kind of with you, TV.

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My gut tells me this is where the Yankees get

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it done. But I just I don't know if I

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want to like come to the dark side. I've been

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I've been playing against them on a daily basis, you know,

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at least either for a client player or on the show.

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But my gut tells me the Yankees are the side today.

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I just don't know if I can do it now.

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Brought Updavid Williams. He's been bad. But what are you

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supposed to do with your boon? They paid him, they

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have to.

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Speaker 2: Put him out there?

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Speaker 3: Is he in the last year of his contracted? Is

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he a free agent that?

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Speaker 4: I don't think you have to play play a guy

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just because you're paying him money.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I think you try to win the game no matter

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what who's making what.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, if he was, if he if he's going to

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be on the team next year, you can't do this.

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But if he's going to be a free agent, and

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at this point there's no way he's going to sign

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with the Yikes again because you just can't handle it. There.

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You signed him to the.

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Speaker 1: Miners, yeah, or you or you or you just use

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him in mop up, use him in the sixth inning,

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you use him when you're down.

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Speaker 4: Do you know they picked up a bunch of pirates,

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rockies and horrible, horrible?

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Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't I don't know what this

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comment is in space. It says Adam loves being a contrarian.

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I really don't. I don't know why, Like I've never

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once come on here, and I'm like, well, everyone likes this,

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so I'm gonna go the other way. I'm just saying, like, uh,

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everything to me is relative to market value. Okay, And

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two nights ago the Yankees brought Brian on Monday.

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Speaker 2: Was It's Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: So Monday night the Yankees were a pretty big favorite

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without Aaron Judge and it was Corbin against Why can't

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I remember the Yankee star? Oh Free right, So it's like,

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now you have now a clear edge at starting pitcher

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with Rodon Like that's not up for debate. Radon over

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Lighter is not even remotely close in terms of like

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caliber or starting pitcher. Theoretically the bullpen should be very good.

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Speaker 2: It just hasn't been.

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Speaker 1: So I think the market has swung too far the

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Yankees that they're gonna give you Redon at a dollar

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thirty here, Like it's just so much different than what

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the market was because remember how many senses Judge is

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always going to be ten to fifteen to twenty cents

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to the number, and he was out on Monday, So

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it has nothing to do with being a contrarian, and

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I don't consider myself a contrarian better when it comes

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to baseball. I'm just saying, like where the Yankees were

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priced four days ago to where they are now, it

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is a considerable change, and I think you have to

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at least consider backing them with the edge that you

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get out of for don't against lighters. So I want

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to like to comment on that because has nothing to

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do with being a contrarian. I still think the Yankees

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are not a very good baseball team, and I very

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much hope they missed the playoffs for all of our stake,

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because I think we've all betted in some capacity. But

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this is a pretty good spot for them, all things considered. Okay,

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fired up on a Wednesday, let's keep it going. What

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else do we got? Here's one? Duffel says Braves manager

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is awful. Yeah, this was an interesting one to me

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because the Braves are favored today. Brian Leonard, I kind

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of think they should be based on this matchup. But oh,

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I mean, man, this is another one. Do you want

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the Braves laying some money against the red hot Brewers

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at this point?

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Speaker 3: You thought the same thing as I did, And I

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am sort of a good Twarian handicaper. I'm an underdog handicapper,

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and I think you're a value handicapper. So when I'm

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looking at the car, I look for spots for underdogs,

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just because I know that I've had a lot of

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a lot of success over the years playing the dogs. Well,

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I looked at this and I said, why is it

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Atlanta favorite? Here? Atlanta's a team that's got nothing to

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play for. Milwaukee's sitting there battling it out with Chicago,

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and it's not like Maggie's not playing well. They're playing great.

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I know they've got Quatana on the mound, but Batina's

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a veteran. I think he can have success. Strider going

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for Atlanta. Strider's hasn't been back to where he was

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a couple of years ago. Is fastballs down. It's gonna

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take him a while. He's not there yet. And yet

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Atlanta is about a one thirty favorite right now with

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a total of eight. That's the first thing that popped

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out at me, and normally when that happens, that's a

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good thing. Quinana, as I mentioned, comes in with a

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three point five last year, last year three point seventy five,

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the year before three point five seven. Uh, he's he

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knows how to pitch. His stat past page is all blue,

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no doubt about it. But he's a guy who finds

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a way to win. And you're always going to find

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guys like this every year that just perform their peripherals.

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You look at his era against is expected this year

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one point three lower, last year point seven to five lower,

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the year before one lower the year before point nine

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and lower. He's the guy that knows how to pitch,

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so he's going to perform as peripherals, which means that

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he's a guy we wanted beat home. Those are the

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type of guys you make money off. Spencer Strider three

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point seven, a three point nine Jerah expected one point

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two two whip his average eggs of velocity Folks in

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the fourth percentile, he's only He's a ninety five point

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five on his fourth Steamer League averages ninety four point nine.

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He's been ninety eight in the past. He's really dropped off.

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He's only basically a two pitch pitcher as throw as

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a slider thirty six percent, four saving fifty four percent.

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I like Milwaukee here I think it's a terrific number,

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and I don't expect it to be there when the

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game goes.

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Speaker 4: Off, Guys, go to our pages and check out what

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00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:39,360
we got. We usually put up free plays almost every day.

241
00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:41,559
Takes you ten seconds to go check our pages. See

242
00:12:41,559 --> 00:12:44,360
that little scroller down there you can see the the

243
00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:47,960
the the addresses to go to our pages. Or just

244
00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:50,559
go to waygertalk dot com click experts and you'll find

245
00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:54,600
our pages right there. I have my MLB play out

246
00:12:54,639 --> 00:12:56,960
already today. I'm sure these guys will put something out

247
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as well onto this game. I've been riding the Brewers

248
00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:02,279
and I've been making a lot of money on them,

249
00:13:02,279 --> 00:13:04,840
but I'm not going to bet them today, not because

250
00:13:04,879 --> 00:13:07,600
I think they're going to lose or I think Atlanta's better.

251
00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:12,519
But Quintana. I agree with Brian that he's a veteran

252
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and he knows how to he knows how to stand

253
00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:18,399
in there and keep his team in the game. But

254
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I don't like his stats against the Braves. In his career,

255
00:13:21,879 --> 00:13:25,120
He's been tagged for a three twenty seven average against

256
00:13:25,159 --> 00:13:28,279
in a nine to eighty three ops against. And that's

257
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a pretty good sample size as well. That kind of

258
00:13:30,440 --> 00:13:37,320
scares me off. The Brewers today. Streider hasn't been great.

259
00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:40,120
Let's see where do I have him ranked. I got

260
00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:43,120
Strider ranked fourteen. I got Kintana ranked eighteen on a

261
00:13:43,159 --> 00:13:47,399
curve of thirty. So neither bullpen is playing well either,

262
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So I in this instead of taking a side, I

263
00:13:53,279 --> 00:13:55,919
think either the Brewers team total over or the game

264
00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:58,639
over might be a better bet than a side. Because

265
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I just got a feeling. Then I don't that I

266
00:14:02,879 --> 00:14:06,279
shouldn't bet the Brewers today. That's all not a strong feeling,

267
00:14:06,399 --> 00:14:06,960
just a feeling.

268
00:14:09,039 --> 00:14:12,480
Speaker 2: Trevor says, the Milwaukee Bee squad can smoke Atlanta with

269
00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:15,679
their injuries. So I'm glad we did these two games

270
00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,399
back to back because it's a very similar handicap for

271
00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:23,360
me and both essentially very very similar handicap. You have

272
00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:26,919
the Braves, who I like their starting pitcher far more.

273
00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:29,159
And I agree with a lot of what TV said

274
00:14:29,399 --> 00:14:32,559
about Quintana about the sample side. A lot of these

275
00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:36,639
Braves guys that have large samples against him, and they've

276
00:14:36,639 --> 00:14:39,879
had some success. But I also think that the ceiling

277
00:14:39,919 --> 00:14:42,799
for Strider is much higher. If he comes out and

278
00:14:42,879 --> 00:14:45,840
throws the game, he's capable of he should put Atlanta

279
00:14:45,919 --> 00:14:48,279
in position to win. The other thing I'll point out

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with the Braves, for as as poor as they've been

281
00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:52,399
in a lot of a lot of ways this year,

282
00:14:53,039 --> 00:14:56,200
they've got decent bullpen depth and the pen hasn't been

283
00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:58,840
that bad for them. So it's not a scenario where

284
00:14:58,840 --> 00:14:59,840
I think they're going to get to the end of

285
00:14:59,840 --> 00:15:04,200
the game and necessarily lose. They've choked games away in

286
00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:07,399
the leverage spot, so that's certainly a concern, But don't

287
00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,919
I wouldn't. It's not something that would totally keep me

288
00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:12,720
off the Braves here, similar to the Yankees. What's keeping

289
00:15:12,759 --> 00:15:14,840
me off at this point is the feeling that I

290
00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:18,159
shouldn't have to lay minus one thirty or minus one

291
00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:20,720
thirty five. So going back to what Brian says, I'm

292
00:15:20,799 --> 00:15:22,159
kind of hoping he's right.

293
00:15:22,200 --> 00:15:24,840
Speaker 1: I'm kind of hoping the Brewers take money throughout the

294
00:15:24,919 --> 00:15:27,840
day that people, even the sharp maybe the sharp crowd,

295
00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:30,200
sees that plus money with the Brewers and says, how

296
00:15:30,200 --> 00:15:33,120
can you pass the Brewers up at this price? Because

297
00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:35,159
if this comes, you know, ten to fifteen cents in

298
00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:37,200
the other direction, it's going to make me like the

299
00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:40,960
Braves even more. But again very similar handicapped in both games.

300
00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:44,679
You've got a considerable edge in my opinion, at the

301
00:15:44,679 --> 00:15:46,480
front of the game with the starting pitcher, with both

302
00:15:46,519 --> 00:15:49,600
Radon for the Yankees and Strider for the Braves, And

303
00:15:49,799 --> 00:15:52,519
if both of those moved maybe ten to fifteen cents,

304
00:15:52,799 --> 00:15:54,960
they're going to be their plays that I consider on

305
00:15:55,039 --> 00:15:57,600
my card today right now. It's making it easy to

306
00:15:57,600 --> 00:15:59,720
sort of pass on them because I'm not getting the

307
00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:02,600
price that I want exactly. But again, I think you

308
00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:05,960
have an edge here with Strider and TV. I'm kind

309
00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:07,960
of with you on the fact that I do think

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00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:10,639
they could get to Cantana today. So a couple interesting

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00:16:10,639 --> 00:16:14,200
games to start it off, and it'll be interesting to

312
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see how those lines move over the next couple hours,

313
00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:18,840
because I do think you're gonna see some line movement

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00:16:18,879 --> 00:16:22,840
in those games. Rob McMahon's in the chat. He says,

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00:16:22,879 --> 00:16:26,639
smash the like button, absolutely what we need, the likes,

316
00:16:26,679 --> 00:16:29,039
we need the subscribes. We're in the dog days of August,

317
00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:32,399
you know, we're trudging through it. This is how it

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goes for Major League Baseball. You see some of the

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effort on some of these teams. This is not quite

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what it was a couple of months ago, but we

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were here every day and we need the likes, we

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00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:45,360
need the subscribes. We really appreciate it. It's helping us

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00:16:45,679 --> 00:16:48,159
grow this show. We want to be able to come

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back and do this show five days a week next

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year two. So we're very appreciative of all the interaction

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00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:57,159
and all the likes and subscribes on a daily basis.

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All right, let's grab another one here from the chat,

328
00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:05,920
mar Knsen says, I think O Tommy's still gambling on

329
00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:07,839
his unders, which is a funny copy.

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Speaker 4: All right, here's four less innings.

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00:17:13,079 --> 00:17:16,079
Speaker 2: Right, here's a good one.

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00:17:16,079 --> 00:17:20,119
Speaker 1: Because someone Nate the Great DM me about this game,

333
00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:23,920
and I didn't really give him the response that that

334
00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:27,279
he probably deserved via DM. And now I see Nance

335
00:17:27,279 --> 00:17:29,400
bringing it up. So let's talk about it here. How

336
00:17:29,400 --> 00:17:32,720
many innings will Errogetty go today? He's a strikeout machine,

337
00:17:33,799 --> 00:17:35,480
but he is coming back off the il.

338
00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:38,319
Speaker 2: They did push him back a day. Not sure that matters.

339
00:17:38,599 --> 00:17:41,640
Speaker 1: He was supposed to pitch yesterday, got pushed back to today.

340
00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:44,359
Speaker 2: The Astros have shown some life in Brian Leonard.

341
00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:47,359
Speaker 1: The Marlins are doing what I kind of thought they

342
00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:50,359
might do once they finally lost the game where it's

343
00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:53,160
just a young team ebbs and flows. When they're hot,

344
00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:55,000
they're going to be hot. When they're losing, they're going

345
00:17:55,079 --> 00:17:57,759
to struggle. How are you seeing Astros Marlins today?

346
00:17:58,279 --> 00:18:00,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, you called that a few days ago. A good

347
00:18:00,599 --> 00:18:05,359
call on that, Astros Marlins. We're looking at Araghady as

348
00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:11,079
you mentioned, he looks to be about a it's basically

349
00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:14,440
a pick him now maybe one o eight, one ten,

350
00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:20,079
one ten favorite for Houston. Arragety at Jason Junk in Miami.

351
00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:23,480
Total on that is eight to the over, eight and

352
00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:25,359
a half to the unders right in the middle of there,

353
00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:32,799
eight point two five. If you were Steve Zick, that's

354
00:18:32,799 --> 00:18:35,960
a that's a little joke between Trigger and I uh Spencer.

355
00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:39,559
Araghaty ons on the season he's only gotten in those

356
00:18:39,599 --> 00:18:42,920
two games. Started nine innings last year, one hundred and

357
00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:45,599
forty five innings and seventy one strikeouts. Very very good.

358
00:18:45,599 --> 00:18:47,359
But his whip was really high one point four to

359
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:51,119
one in his career. Short career four point six so

360
00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:55,759
era a one point three eight whip, great extension, six

361
00:18:55,839 --> 00:19:00,200
to two continuos had greats type in ninety seven percent. Well,

362
00:19:00,839 --> 00:19:04,079
he's very good with whiffing, the getting of their team

363
00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:07,200
to swing and mets and his expected batting average has

364
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:10,599
always been very good. But he has he has been

365
00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:12,759
hitting the past, as you can tell by his era

366
00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:15,960
is four point five to three last year five point

367
00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:19,599
five nine and a small, very small sympathize. This year,

368
00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:23,359
Jason Junk was the guy who came out and he

369
00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:27,240
pitched very well early on. He's backed up a little

370
00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:29,599
bit and you could tell that it's three point eight

371
00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:32,160
six c RA three point eight two expected, so he's

372
00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:34,400
about where he should be one point one. Our whip

373
00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:37,480
still pretty good, though I only walks two point three

374
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:41,599
percent of the batter's faced, which is excellent. Uh so

375
00:19:41,799 --> 00:19:44,440
you have to take a look when that happens. Say, well,

376
00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:46,880
he's in he's in the zone a lot. How does

377
00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:49,559
he do in the zone? Well, he gets people to

378
00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:52,279
chase outside of the zone a little bit. But uh

379
00:19:52,759 --> 00:19:55,680
that's that's a good thing. But his fifth percentage is

380
00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:59,119
in the eighth percentile hard hit rate fifth average eggs

381
00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:02,279
veloci and the percentile when he gets hit he gets

382
00:20:02,319 --> 00:20:06,319
hit hard is for Seamer at ninety three point eight

383
00:20:07,279 --> 00:20:09,559
miles per hour. He uses thirty eight percent of the

384
00:20:09,599 --> 00:20:13,000
time which is too much. Probably he's only got four

385
00:20:13,039 --> 00:20:15,960
other pictures, none of them years as much as the foreseamer.

386
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:19,480
So I could see him getting hit hair arroganty, I

387
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:22,720
could see getting hit. So I would look at the

388
00:20:22,759 --> 00:20:24,839
over if I was looking at this one, and like

389
00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:27,680
I said, it's right now between eight and eight and

390
00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:32,039
a half, your choice, And I think the Miami batch

391
00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:33,880
is going to wake up a little bit here. I

392
00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:35,359
like it. I like the over in this game.

393
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:40,640
Speaker 4: Guys, if you're curious what a Japanese Buddhist temple looks like,

394
00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:42,599
go to my Twitter and check it out. I went

395
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:45,359
there today and I put a bunch of shots up there.

396
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:49,079
Really beautiful. And today in Japan, in Tokyo, it was

397
00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:52,119
one hundred and one degrees in eighty one percent humidity.

398
00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:57,119
Talk about dying. Almost dropped head on the street today

399
00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:01,160
it was so bad. But anyways, regarding this game, I

400
00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,960
don't have enough innings on Areng Getty in the last

401
00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,480
thirty days for him to register in my stats. But

402
00:21:07,319 --> 00:21:11,400
I took a look at how he's been doing such

403
00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:14,839
a weird dichotomy in his stats. I mean, he's given

404
00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:17,759
up thirteen earned runs in his last three starts and

405
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:22,119
yet his whip is still one point one. How is

406
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:25,119
he doing this? It's amazing. Maybe you guys can clue

407
00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:30,039
me in, but to me, that guy, that's just I

408
00:21:30,079 --> 00:21:32,720
can't explain it. So I'm gonna stay away from that.

409
00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:35,880
To me, that's an X factor. He's a good picture.

410
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:38,640
I've watched him and he passes the eye test for sure.

411
00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:43,319
Both of these teams are hitting right about in the

412
00:21:43,359 --> 00:21:47,839
mediocre range in Current Form. One's fifteen one sixteen. I

413
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:50,319
have Miami's bullpen rank just a little bit higher on

414
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:56,079
Current Form, and I got Miami. I got John rated

415
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:58,519
twelve out of thirty pictures on a curve at thirty.

416
00:21:58,519 --> 00:22:00,400
But he's given up thirteen earn runs in his last

417
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:03,519
three starts. So how is he how? How how do

418
00:22:03,599 --> 00:22:06,720
the numbers like him so much when he's been tagged

419
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,960
his last three starts. So I'm just just I'm gonna

420
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:12,279
stay away from it. But I wouldn't argue with Brian's

421
00:22:12,279 --> 00:22:15,279
over though, not at all.

422
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,759
Speaker 1: So what I've noticed like Jansen, JOHNK even the last

423
00:22:18,759 --> 00:22:22,039
couple of starts where he's been knocked around, is fantastic

424
00:22:22,079 --> 00:22:24,319
the first time through the order. And it goes back

425
00:22:24,319 --> 00:22:26,759
to what I was talking about with the Marlins sort

426
00:22:26,759 --> 00:22:30,799
of like they're they're they're sort of building this this

427
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:33,440
stable of pitchers and you can go down to Jacksonville

428
00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:36,319
and find more of them where they're like, you know,

429
00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:39,039
they're all good long relievers and and honestly, that's what

430
00:22:39,079 --> 00:22:40,720
I thought Junk was gonna be when they when they

431
00:22:40,759 --> 00:22:42,920
grabbed him from Milwaukee. This was not a guy that

432
00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:45,680
had any real success in the big league level.

433
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:47,240
Speaker 2: At the big league level prior to this year.

434
00:22:47,279 --> 00:22:50,000
Speaker 1: He actually had a pretty poor season even down in

435
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:52,559
Nashville last year, so to see him pitch the way

436
00:22:52,599 --> 00:22:56,759
he did was surprising. That being said, I still think

437
00:22:56,839 --> 00:22:59,599
that he is that very solid three to four arny guy.

438
00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:01,440
Speaker 2: Look at Loo when he's gotten hit.

439
00:23:01,839 --> 00:23:04,920
Speaker 1: The Royals game, he finally got hit in the fourth

440
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:07,920
inning first time through, was fantastic. Last time out against

441
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:10,880
the Yankees, he was quite unlucky. I actually so I

442
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:12,839
won that game. I was on the Marlins. It was

443
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:16,640
the crazy thirteen to twelve comeback win. And in that

444
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:20,720
game they really shouldn't have let him pitched. I think

445
00:23:20,759 --> 00:23:23,279
it was either Stanton someone took him deep and it

446
00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:26,039
was like that you could the writing was on the wall.

447
00:23:26,079 --> 00:23:27,640
That that was about to happen, I felt like they

448
00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:30,279
should have went to the bullpen in that spot. But again,

449
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:33,160
even in that game against the Yankees on Friday, lights out,

450
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:35,920
first time through the order, no problem. So I think

451
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:39,079
for Junkets really just I think that's something that Marlins

452
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:41,279
have to to sort of make the adjustment and say, hey,

453
00:23:41,839 --> 00:23:43,759
second time through, we got to get this guy out

454
00:23:43,759 --> 00:23:45,880
of there. We can't leave him in to give up

455
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:48,279
the three run homer or the four run inning.

456
00:23:48,559 --> 00:23:50,000
Speaker 2: Other than that, he's been very good.

457
00:23:50,039 --> 00:23:53,599
Speaker 1: Now, I if the Marlins had if this was any

458
00:23:53,599 --> 00:23:56,640
other spot in the schedule where it didn't just go

459
00:23:56,799 --> 00:23:59,039
Marlins winning a bunch of games followed by back to

460
00:23:59,079 --> 00:24:01,640
back losses, I probably roll the dice and take a

461
00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:04,519
shot with Jansen junk here because I did not think

462
00:24:04,599 --> 00:24:07,880
Arraghetty was ready to come up and start, yet didn't

463
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:10,079
think he looked. So he pitched against Takoma last week,

464
00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:13,119
didn't look good, and it was only his first rehab

465
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:15,400
outing at Triple A, So you know, this is a

466
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:19,319
guy that missed considerable time this year, was hurt back

467
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:22,920
in early April, and he had two sort of shorter

468
00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:26,279
rehab outings at Double A. And then last week pitched

469
00:24:26,319 --> 00:24:28,960
against a decent Tacoma lineup and just got knocked around

470
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:31,960
for like the length was there. He went four and

471
00:24:32,039 --> 00:24:34,839
two thirds, like it was a pretty normal start, but

472
00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,240
he got kind of roughed up, So I thought they

473
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:39,200
were going to probably give him one more. It looks

474
00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:42,559
like out of necessity, maybe because they traded away Gusto

475
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:44,599
and a couple of other guys, that maybe they just

476
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:46,720
want to get him back in the rotation.

477
00:24:47,079 --> 00:24:51,599
Speaker 2: But that was concerning to me, So maybe I'm with Brian.

478
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:53,119
Did you say like the over in this game?

479
00:24:53,559 --> 00:24:56,880
Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, it makes sense because if the Marlins are

480
00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:59,319
going to try to force length out of junk, he's

481
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:01,880
probably going to get hit second or third time through

482
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,519
the order. And I just don't trust Arraghetti right now.

483
00:25:04,519 --> 00:25:07,079
He got he two was too all over the place,

484
00:25:07,079 --> 00:25:11,799
and that started against Tacoma, and typically the longer rehab

485
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:14,720
stints are like like two sometimes.

486
00:25:14,279 --> 00:25:15,319
Speaker 2: Three starts at Triple A.

487
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:17,480
Speaker 1: So the fact that he's only made one at Triple

488
00:25:17,519 --> 00:25:19,799
A and now he's coming up to face a Marlins

489
00:25:19,799 --> 00:25:21,519
team that we know can get hot in the plate

490
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:24,640
concerning on both ends. So I think I'm with Brian.

491
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:26,640
I think I think I see some runs in this one.

492
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:32,880
All right, let's go to uh station Play says number

493
00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:35,799
one morning show is that of all morning shows? If so,

494
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:39,839
we'll I mean, we'll take that all day. We we

495
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:44,839
very much appreciate that. And yeah, that's uh that, that's

496
00:25:44,839 --> 00:25:47,799
that's great. You know, we appreciate it.

497
00:25:47,799 --> 00:25:50,359
Speaker 4: It's all about the personalities.

498
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:54,839
Speaker 1: And hey, we we have we have him for sure. Okay,

499
00:25:54,880 --> 00:26:00,000
the chat is is talking about the Cubbies. Mister Finn said,

500
00:26:00,079 --> 00:26:04,319
Cubs literally sold by Parlay the last two days. Can't

501
00:26:04,319 --> 00:26:08,640
do it three days in a row. Wolf says, Cubs

502
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:11,000
way better offense than Reds. Five better is better than

503
00:26:11,039 --> 00:26:13,720
the Reds ever had. Guys, we talked about this game

504
00:26:13,839 --> 00:26:18,519
yesterday and I sort of threw the question out, do

505
00:26:18,599 --> 00:26:20,759
you guys have any concerns about this Cubs team?

506
00:26:20,799 --> 00:26:23,319
Speaker 2: I credited. I still haven't figured out who it was

507
00:26:23,319 --> 00:26:23,799
in the chat.

508
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:27,920
Speaker 1: If you're in the chat, someone asked, if I'm slamming

509
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:30,440
a twisted tea, No, this is a minute made zero

510
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:34,440
sugar Lemonie. I haven't had a twisted tea in like

511
00:26:34,559 --> 00:26:38,680
fifteen years. I actually didn't know that still existed. But anyway,

512
00:26:39,839 --> 00:26:42,559
back to when I was talking about Oh, Cubs Cubs Reds.

513
00:26:42,599 --> 00:26:44,720
We talked about it yesterday. I said I would want

514
00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:46,759
no part of the Cubs at that price point, and

515
00:26:46,799 --> 00:26:48,759
I felt like, I really want to remember who in

516
00:26:48,799 --> 00:26:52,599
the chat pointed out this potential Cubs swoon that has

517
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:56,640
now fully come to life. Another day yesterday, Brian Leonard,

518
00:26:56,680 --> 00:27:00,680
the Cubs lose five to one. Are you getting more

519
00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:03,160
concerned and are you getting involved?

520
00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:05,559
Speaker 2: Today? It's Kate Horton and Andrew Rabbit. How are you

521
00:27:05,599 --> 00:27:06,279
seeing this one?

522
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:06,839
Speaker 4: Yeah?

523
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:10,880
Speaker 3: Abbit, the lefty going for Cincinnati. Horton, the rookie with

524
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:13,680
the Cubs. We're looking at about a one twenty nine

525
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,559
favorite for the Cubs total of seven and a half,

526
00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:21,559
lightly to the under or it's it's right there. Uh yeah.

527
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:26,039
Andrew Arabbitt, He's the guys perplexed us all season long.

528
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:29,839
I talked about the Brewers pitcher having more success than

529
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:33,200
his expected numbers. Andrew Abbot's been that way his entire career.

530
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:37,119
Two point one five, Yeah, r this year three point

531
00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:41,480
three two expected one point one point one whip ground

532
00:27:41,559 --> 00:27:44,359
ball right eighth percentile. But yet he pitches in Cincinnati.

533
00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:46,640
He doesn't give up home runs. Hell knows you know

534
00:27:46,799 --> 00:27:50,319
what's going on. Fastball velocity only twenty six or twenty

535
00:27:50,319 --> 00:27:56,920
second percentile, Yet in his career he slightly under want

536
00:27:56,960 --> 00:28:00,240
to strike out in any His struck out my walk

537
00:28:00,279 --> 00:28:03,119
right this year is fourteen point two, which would not

538
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:06,960
show that he deserves these numbers. He's eight and one

539
00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:09,079
other season. If you like to look at win losses,

540
00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:13,519
Kate Horton three point four two ERA four point six

541
00:28:13,559 --> 00:28:17,480
to five expected. I've watched him pitches. He's got some

542
00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,799
some negative regression coming up one point two for a whip.

543
00:28:21,799 --> 00:28:24,599
You look at his statcast page more more, a little

544
00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:26,920
more blue than red. He's about an average major league

545
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:30,000
pitcher at this point. So you're paying for him with

546
00:28:30,079 --> 00:28:33,599
a three point four two ERA one. Really it should

547
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:36,960
be about a full run higher than that. So I

548
00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:40,559
don't want Kate Horton here. Abbot's a guy who perfects

549
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:43,079
me all year, So I am going to sit this

550
00:28:43,119 --> 00:28:43,519
one out.

551
00:28:46,359 --> 00:28:48,920
Speaker 4: So a lot of people are saying Cubs are much

552
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:52,440
better than the Reds. Not so fast. My friend, as

553
00:28:52,519 --> 00:28:56,559
Leak Corso, would say Reds are pretty good and Abbot's

554
00:28:56,559 --> 00:28:59,880
pretty good too. Who would have thought coming in on

555
00:29:00,039 --> 00:29:02,960
in August sixth that Abbot would be eight wins in

556
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:05,119
one loss. I don't think anyone could have predicted that

557
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:09,480
at the beginning of the season. But he's been performing well,

558
00:29:09,519 --> 00:29:12,519
and he performs well against these batters throughout his career.

559
00:29:13,039 --> 00:29:15,079
What do I have him at. I got him a

560
00:29:15,119 --> 00:29:18,200
two twenty four average against with the six eighty nine ops.

561
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:20,359
Not bad numbers against this team, and it's a good

562
00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:25,920
sample size too. Currently I have both of the of

563
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,799
all the matchups that I that I ran the numbers

564
00:29:28,799 --> 00:29:30,799
on today, this is the closest one of the day.

565
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:34,400
These teams are one point apart, so Cubs have a

566
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:39,079
slight advantage in bullpen and current form starting pictures dead

567
00:29:39,119 --> 00:29:42,839
equal and Reds. I have them one point better in

568
00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:47,039
batting right now, so I mean dead even if anything,

569
00:29:47,079 --> 00:29:49,240
I think I trust Abbot a little more than Horton.

570
00:29:49,319 --> 00:29:52,000
But my numbers really like Horton, even though I haven't

571
00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:55,000
really checked. I haven't really watched him closely, so I

572
00:29:55,039 --> 00:29:57,640
don't have a good read on him. My numbers love him.

573
00:29:58,079 --> 00:30:03,960
So two really good pictures and uh, two mediocre bullpins

574
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:07,440
and two hitters that aren't two lineups that aren't producing well.

575
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:10,440
Might think about an under Might think about the Reds,

576
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:14,839
haven't haven't, haven't done anything on it yet.

577
00:30:15,279 --> 00:30:18,640
Speaker 1: The body language has been so bad the last couple

578
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:21,599
of days for the Cubs. They like it's just been

579
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:24,920
like they look like a team that's like I said

580
00:30:24,920 --> 00:30:28,039
this yesterday before the game. I felt like at times

581
00:30:28,039 --> 00:30:30,680
they looked like a team yesterday that that already like

582
00:30:30,839 --> 00:30:33,759
knew they were going to lose, or like almost counted

583
00:30:33,759 --> 00:30:36,880
the loss, like long before the game what was over.

584
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:40,000
It's just been if you look in that dugout when

585
00:30:40,039 --> 00:30:43,440
they panned the dugout, the body language is horrible and

586
00:30:44,119 --> 00:30:47,960
they are they are playing like a defeated team right now.

587
00:30:48,279 --> 00:30:51,519
I don't know how you could possibly lay a dollar

588
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:55,519
thirty under those circumstances against Abbott with Horton on the now,

589
00:30:55,599 --> 00:30:58,599
because I do agree with Brian, there's probably Horton's going

590
00:30:58,640 --> 00:30:59,599
to be a very good pitcher.

591
00:30:59,839 --> 00:31:02,359
Speaker 2: He came up with a ton of hype and a

592
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:04,279
lot of it was deservedly.

593
00:31:03,759 --> 00:31:06,519
Speaker 1: So, and he's actually got off to a very good

594
00:31:06,559 --> 00:31:07,799
start to his big league career.

595
00:31:08,359 --> 00:31:10,400
Speaker 2: But I do think that there's likely some.

596
00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:14,440
Speaker 1: Regression, especially this year, especially in his rookie season, whereas

597
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:16,960
Andrew Rabbit's just been lights out. I mean, he's just

598
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:20,480
been awesome start to finish this year. I have no

599
00:31:20,519 --> 00:31:23,480
real reason to want to bet against him, and so

600
00:31:23,519 --> 00:31:27,400
they're gonna give you plus one twenty with Abbot against

601
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:29,839
a Cubs team that every time I turn on the

602
00:31:29,839 --> 00:31:33,759
Cubs game the last literally the last three four days,

603
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,920
the body language is terrible, you know, bad, like bad

604
00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:40,039
at that and then sort of like going back to

605
00:31:40,039 --> 00:31:42,160
the dugout almost looks like reminds me of when I

606
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:45,319
was coaching, you know, fifteen six year old kids. They're

607
00:31:45,319 --> 00:31:47,519
coming back pouting. I'm like, I don't care if we

608
00:31:47,599 --> 00:31:49,400
struck out. Let's let's get you know, let's get in

609
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:51,200
the game here. I don't need to like see you

610
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:54,480
pout in the dugout. It's been terrible body language. I noticed,

611
00:31:54,519 --> 00:31:57,799
like Kyle Tucker like looks like his girlfriend broke up

612
00:31:57,839 --> 00:32:01,319
with him. He's just miserable. It's just like it's just bad.

613
00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:04,920
It just doesn't look like a team. They need to

614
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:07,279
wake up. And until that happens, I don't know how

615
00:32:07,319 --> 00:32:10,039
you can lay prices with them. So it have to

616
00:32:10,079 --> 00:32:12,960
be reds are passed here for me with what's easily

617
00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:15,759
the better pitcher in abbot and they didn't even use

618
00:32:16,119 --> 00:32:19,519
all of their top leverage guys yesterday, so the bullpen's

619
00:32:19,559 --> 00:32:23,440
not a huge difference either. Reds plus money makes a

620
00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:25,559
lot of sense here to me. God, I got to

621
00:32:25,559 --> 00:32:27,279
see the Cubs wake up before I can bet on

622
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:30,359
them going forward. I want to bring up this comment.

623
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:32,839
This is going back through the last game, but just

624
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,440
real quick, Nan says, you said last week pitchers had

625
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:38,599
to get knocked around, and rehab starts coming up are

626
00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:42,319
coming up bait when brought up, it is always a

627
00:32:42,359 --> 00:32:44,279
case by case basis, and I do think I have

628
00:32:44,359 --> 00:32:46,279
a little bit of an edge on the books because

629
00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:49,400
I'm watching a lot of these minor league games, and

630
00:32:49,759 --> 00:32:52,680
you have to understand that every human being is different,

631
00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:58,200
every player is different, every rehab start length is different.

632
00:32:58,279 --> 00:32:59,559
Speaker 2: It's all tailored to the player.

633
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:03,880
Speaker 1: In relation to Raghetti, I was just saying, like when

634
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:05,880
a guy gets kind of slapped around, I'm like a

635
00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:08,480
full start like that at Triple A and he's only

636
00:33:08,519 --> 00:33:09,839
had one Triple A start.

637
00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 2: They tend to give him another one.

638
00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,079
Speaker 1: So the fact that he's coming back up tells me

639
00:33:14,119 --> 00:33:15,519
they might be jumping the gun a little bit.

640
00:33:15,519 --> 00:33:15,839
Speaker 2: Go ahead.

641
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:18,960
Speaker 3: Ran just wanted to point out, not that people are

642
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:22,720
watching this video, but right after we started talking about it,

643
00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:26,200
Juhnk has taken a lot of money across the board.

644
00:33:26,319 --> 00:33:29,839
So somebody out there who bets professionally likes Miami in

645
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:30,359
this game.

646
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:38,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I don't blame him, Like I said, the

647
00:33:38,279 --> 00:33:42,000
only thing that's probably I'm not even like fully off

648
00:33:42,039 --> 00:33:44,319
of Miami yet. It's just I really wish they like

649
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:47,359
won yesterday. I don't like the fact that they've lost

650
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:49,680
two in a row now because we've seen it go

651
00:33:49,759 --> 00:33:53,079
in the other direction for them, but it definitely makes sense.

652
00:33:53,119 --> 00:33:55,960
I can't disagree with that. All right, Gee Hurt, ge

653
00:33:56,119 --> 00:33:58,559
Hurt wants to know. That's our guy, g Hurt. He's

654
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:01,559
always here, so shout out to ge Hurt. He is

655
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:04,519
a Tigers fan, and I think he lives in Michigan.

656
00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,960
But he's asking about a different game today, which is

657
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:09,719
one of the last games on the board and a

658
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:11,239
game that I wanted to talk about because I have

659
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:14,159
an opinion here. He's saying, well, first of all, what

660
00:34:14,679 --> 00:34:17,840
a pitching matchup we have here of like, you know,

661
00:34:18,039 --> 00:34:20,079
veteran guys that have missed some time.

662
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 2: Anthony D.

663
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:24,920
Speaker 1: Scalfini for the Diamondbacks who missed almost a year and

664
00:34:25,639 --> 00:34:27,239
I didn't think we'd ever see him back in the

665
00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:29,639
big leagues. And then, of course the one g Hurt

666
00:34:29,639 --> 00:34:33,800
wants to know about is Nestor Cortez, who's now on

667
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:37,119
his new team. One of the slew of moves that

668
00:34:37,159 --> 00:34:39,159
the Padres made, and he's going to get the start

669
00:34:39,199 --> 00:34:39,719
here today.

670
00:34:40,559 --> 00:34:41,000
Speaker 2: I got it.

671
00:34:41,519 --> 00:34:42,960
Speaker 1: I didn't know if he was going to be in

672
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:45,360
their starting rotation. Brian, does this surprise you at all?

673
00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:48,239
And how do you get involved with Diamondbacks Padres here?

674
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:55,000
Speaker 3: Nestor the molester Cortes. He's going to be running for president,

675
00:34:55,039 --> 00:34:58,480
by the way, once he finishes as major league duties

676
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:05,199
were looking at. That's my political rant of the day. Yeah,

677
00:35:05,239 --> 00:35:08,719
we're we're looking at two veterans that have not as

678
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:14,719
you mentioned, have have not played in a while. Nestra

679
00:35:15,039 --> 00:35:22,159
went over to Milwaukee. They let him go and get Testefani,

680
00:35:22,199 --> 00:35:25,960
who you were smart enough to recognize last week that

681
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:28,639
he was a guy you wanted to fade both the ride's.

682
00:35:28,679 --> 00:35:32,840
By the way, Arizona is an underdog in this game

683
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:37,000
to San Diego about a one thirty eight forty favorite

684
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:41,920
nester is against dscafani total nine and a half to

685
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,599
the under. And this is a good hitting ballpark. So

686
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:48,159
if you think either one of these guys are going

687
00:35:48,199 --> 00:35:51,719
to struggle, that to get even money on a on

688
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:53,679
an over nine and a half may not be a bad,

689
00:35:54,679 --> 00:35:58,239
bad bet. That's the first thing I look at here. Cortes.

690
00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:01,519
I've liked him better than obviously Major League Baseball teams

691
00:36:01,559 --> 00:36:04,719
have because he's traveled a little bit lately. But his

692
00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:09,360
career record three point eight eighty RA and one point

693
00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:12,400
one seven whip. That's okay, but he's not guys gonna

694
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:15,000
blow you away. He just throws four Steamer forty two

695
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:19,519
to cut her thirty seven, and his fastball is like

696
00:36:19,519 --> 00:36:22,519
three miles below average for a lefty, so he's not

697
00:36:22,639 --> 00:36:25,079
gonna strike out a lot of guys. He does get

698
00:36:25,119 --> 00:36:28,760
you just just whip a little bit, but not the

699
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:32,079
greatest strikeout pitcher out there. And when you're playing in Arizona,

700
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:33,960
you really would like to have some guys that can

701
00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:37,079
get some strikeouts because that's less balls in play, and

702
00:36:37,079 --> 00:36:41,000
this is a good hitters ballpark. Descapani this year in

703
00:36:41,119 --> 00:36:44,760
twenty five innings four point nine to one ERA three

704
00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:48,239
point eight two expected one point twenty nine. Whip is

705
00:36:48,599 --> 00:36:52,000
era the last two years, four point eight eight two

706
00:36:52,119 --> 00:36:54,519
years ago, he set out last year and in twenty

707
00:36:54,559 --> 00:36:58,960
twenty two is six point six to three. Small sample size, no,

708
00:36:59,519 --> 00:37:03,440
not one grett pictures, but it shows you what Arizona

709
00:37:03,519 --> 00:37:06,599
has right now and they're desperate for it. I like

710
00:37:06,679 --> 00:37:11,079
the over here and it's pretty self explanatory. I think

711
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:15,280
both offenses have success and I don't see either one

712
00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:20,000
of these pictures going extremely long, especially Destefani, so you

713
00:37:20,079 --> 00:37:23,880
may get a good first half over Let me see

714
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:27,119
what that is right now, first half over five to

715
00:37:27,159 --> 00:37:30,280
the over twenty. Yeah, I like that also, so a

716
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:31,280
high scoring game here.

717
00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:37,280
Speaker 4: Guys like and subscribe wager Talk's YouTube channel because not

718
00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:39,480
only do we do total bases every day at the

719
00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:43,599
same time, but US Baseball cappers put up individual game videos.

720
00:37:43,639 --> 00:37:46,559
Adam had one yesterday and you'll get alerted when we

721
00:37:46,599 --> 00:37:49,119
put one out so you can get the line before

722
00:37:49,159 --> 00:37:54,320
it moves. In baseball, these lines move very quickly. So

723
00:37:54,519 --> 00:37:56,880
I don't really have a read on either one of

724
00:37:56,880 --> 00:37:59,480
these pictures because they don't have enough innings logged in

725
00:37:59,519 --> 00:38:05,119
the last days. But I do know that Disclofani has

726
00:38:05,159 --> 00:38:08,360
not pitched past the fourth inning the entire season, and

727
00:38:08,400 --> 00:38:11,199
I don't expect him to today either, And that means

728
00:38:12,039 --> 00:38:15,519
that this powerhouse of a lineup for San Diego will

729
00:38:15,559 --> 00:38:21,159
get to tag this horrible Arizona bullpen for five innings

730
00:38:21,159 --> 00:38:24,679
at least. So I go along Brian's lines there with

731
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:29,599
an over. I think san Diego's team total over or

732
00:38:29,639 --> 00:38:32,440
even the game over, or even san Diego on the

733
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:34,360
money line might be a decent day. I go any

734
00:38:34,360 --> 00:38:38,639
of those. I don't feel I don't feel enough conviction

735
00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:41,119
to actually make a bet on those, but if I

736
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:45,239
were to, that's the way I would go. Cortes is

737
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:48,519
a veteran, even if he has a bad game. These

738
00:38:48,639 --> 00:38:51,800
these veterans tend to limit the damage. You rarely see

739
00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:54,599
guys like Cortees get lit up for like eight runs

740
00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:56,920
or seven runs. Usually they can limit damage to like

741
00:38:57,000 --> 00:38:59,440
four runs and still keep their team in a game.

742
00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:02,280
So so for that reason, I think San Diego has

743
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:04,920
an advantage here, even at starting pitcher.

744
00:39:07,639 --> 00:39:08,360
Speaker 2: Yeah.

745
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:10,719
Speaker 1: I have so many thoughts about this game, and they're

746
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:13,679
like somewhat contradicting, but I want to just like lay

747
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:16,079
him out there. So first of all, Nester Cortes, Like

748
00:39:16,639 --> 00:39:19,199
you want to just an example of just the embarrassment

749
00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:20,239
of riches that is the.

750
00:39:20,159 --> 00:39:24,760
Speaker 2: Milwaukee Brewers right now. He was awesome for like a month.

751
00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:27,440
Speaker 1: I thought that they were gonna, like, I don't think

752
00:39:27,440 --> 00:39:30,480
they could find a spot for it. Like he's been

753
00:39:30,519 --> 00:39:32,920
at he's been in Triple A for the last month.

754
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:36,519
His numbers in July, uh in Triple A, which was

755
00:39:36,599 --> 00:39:39,199
mostly or I'm sorry in the minors, which is mostly

756
00:39:39,239 --> 00:39:42,039
Triple A. In July he has a one era, a

757
00:39:43,079 --> 00:39:45,119
zero point seven to two whip in a one point

758
00:39:45,119 --> 00:39:49,119
five to for batting average against. He's looked fantastic. He's

759
00:39:49,199 --> 00:39:52,519
looked like nasty nester at Triple A. And then suddenly

760
00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:54,880
I look up. He's not even on the team anymore.

761
00:39:55,239 --> 00:39:57,840
He's now in San Diego. So you gotta think San

762
00:39:57,840 --> 00:40:01,079
Diego maybe saw that or saw something where they were like, oh,

763
00:40:01,159 --> 00:40:03,639
like they're gonna either have to let him go because

764
00:40:03,679 --> 00:40:07,280
they don't want to let other guys go. So, you know, good,

765
00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:09,360
good for San Diego for being able to to sort

766
00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:11,239
of grab him. Now, can he come up and is

767
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:13,039
he gonna do that at the big league level? I

768
00:40:13,079 --> 00:40:16,360
don't know, but like that's certainly encouraging that for a

769
00:40:16,519 --> 00:40:19,800
month he's been just dealing at Triple A. Now on

770
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:23,440
the other side, De Scalfini, like was pitching very well

771
00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:24,800
out of the bullpen for the Diamondback.

772
00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:25,480
Speaker 2: So what did they do?

773
00:40:25,519 --> 00:40:28,119
Speaker 1: They made him a start, makes no sense and he

774
00:40:28,199 --> 00:40:30,239
comes out and get and gets rocked where he was

775
00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:32,360
getting rocked as a starter in Triple A.

776
00:40:32,559 --> 00:40:34,360
Speaker 2: But for a month prior to that, he was very

777
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:35,239
good out of the bullpen.

778
00:40:35,679 --> 00:40:39,519
Speaker 1: Now, if I'm Tory Labello, I'm just I'm gonna put

779
00:40:39,519 --> 00:40:41,199
an opener out there and let him come out of

780
00:40:41,199 --> 00:40:43,639
the bullpen. But I'm sure they won't do that, and

781
00:40:43,679 --> 00:40:45,679
so you know they'll probably leave him out there to

782
00:40:45,719 --> 00:40:47,000
get to get rocked again.

783
00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:48,360
Speaker 2: Where this one.

784
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:51,320
Speaker 1: What I'm gonna be looking for today is to see

785
00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:53,880
what Arizona does with roster moves. I'm gonna see if

786
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:56,880
they move anyone up. They suddenly have a couple of

787
00:40:56,920 --> 00:41:00,320
good arms at Triple A and arms and I would

788
00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:05,400
love to see get a chance. Dirk is one of

789
00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:08,039
them that that's looked good. And they just actually called

790
00:41:08,079 --> 00:41:10,320
Andrew Hoffman up the other day, who was someone they

791
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:13,679
acquired from the Royals. He's actually been great since getting

792
00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:16,079
up there, but I think he's now pitched back to back.

793
00:41:16,000 --> 00:41:17,760
Speaker 2: Days, so we might not see him again here.

794
00:41:18,519 --> 00:41:21,159
Speaker 1: The Padres are a team that I think I want

795
00:41:21,159 --> 00:41:24,840
to fade in the short term, reason being I don't

796
00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:27,079
like these teams that go out and try to remake

797
00:41:27,119 --> 00:41:29,920
their team at the trade deadline, and then with a

798
00:41:29,960 --> 00:41:32,360
team like the Padres, it's now where their position in

799
00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:34,119
the market. I can't tell you how many people have

800
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:36,199
asked me, should I bet the Padres to win the

801
00:41:36,199 --> 00:41:38,400
World Series? Oh, the Padres are winning the World Series.

802
00:41:38,440 --> 00:41:41,199
It's like, yes, they made a bunch of moves, maybe

803
00:41:41,199 --> 00:41:44,159
they improved their team, but I don't know if they're

804
00:41:44,199 --> 00:41:47,639
that much better at this point. So where the numbers are, Like,

805
00:41:47,639 --> 00:41:49,719
the fact that you could almost get Arizona plus one

806
00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:52,679
and a half here is definitely appealing. I'm just going

807
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:54,480
to be looking to see if the Padres take money

808
00:41:54,519 --> 00:41:57,559
throughout the day because I'm not really buying that they

809
00:41:57,599 --> 00:41:59,920
are so much better than they were a week ago.

810
00:42:00,199 --> 00:42:02,880
Yet the market seems to think that that's the case.

811
00:42:02,960 --> 00:42:06,360
So very interesting game. But to go circle all the

812
00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:09,960
way back to g Hurt's original question talk talking about Nestor,

813
00:42:10,039 --> 00:42:11,320
he looked really good.

814
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:13,960
Speaker 2: For the past month, and he's going to get a

815
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:14,440
shot today.

816
00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:16,320
Speaker 1: It'll be it'll be interesting to see how that one

817
00:42:16,639 --> 00:42:17,480
plays out.

818
00:42:18,599 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 2: Go ahead.

819
00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:22,360
Speaker 3: One quick comment. When I said Nester to the molester,

820
00:42:22,519 --> 00:42:24,400
I was just talking about the cartoon that was in

821
00:42:24,559 --> 00:42:27,760
a Hustler magazine when I was growing up. It was

822
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:31,039
a gross cartoon, but nothing. I don't want missus Cortez

823
00:42:31,079 --> 00:42:34,239
to call me up. And uh, that was that was

824
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:35,920
all a joke about the cartoon.

825
00:42:36,639 --> 00:42:38,800
Speaker 4: And let me make a quick point about the Padres.

826
00:42:39,079 --> 00:42:41,000
Don't bet them to win the World Series. Bet them

827
00:42:41,039 --> 00:42:43,760
to win their division because they're only three games out,

828
00:42:44,119 --> 00:42:46,280
they have a better bullpen than the Dodgers, and they're

829
00:42:46,280 --> 00:42:49,000
plus five hundred to win that division. I think it's

830
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:51,599
rather than the World Series. Take plus five hundred on

831
00:42:51,639 --> 00:42:52,159
the division.

832
00:42:54,039 --> 00:42:56,079
Speaker 1: And that was like, just to go back to Nance's

833
00:42:56,079 --> 00:43:00,400
original question, like, that's why it's so difficult to sort

834
00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:05,719
of evaluate like a rehab stint, because you're looking at

835
00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:08,159
a guy like Nester Cortez who's just been lights out

836
00:43:08,199 --> 00:43:10,360
at Triple A. It would not surprise me in the

837
00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:13,039
least it becomes up and gets hit today because it's

838
00:43:13,039 --> 00:43:16,039
it's it's just it's really tough, and that's why it

839
00:43:16,079 --> 00:43:18,760
really is a case by case basis, But you know,

840
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:21,519
it was it was I felt like it was worth

841
00:43:21,559 --> 00:43:24,320
pointing out that he was fantastic for the last month

842
00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:26,480
because someone else in the chat said, where's he been

843
00:43:26,519 --> 00:43:28,840
the last four months? And it's like, well, he was hurt,

844
00:43:29,039 --> 00:43:30,800
but for a month now he's been pitching in the

845
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:34,559
Brewers organization. So good discussion. There a very interesting game

846
00:43:34,599 --> 00:43:38,280
that'll be one that'll be one that I'm I'm very

847
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:41,119
interested to watch, even if I don't have action. All Right,

848
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:43,960
Jay Maine and like a whole bunch of people want

849
00:43:43,960 --> 00:43:48,679
to talk White Sox Mariners, and so Jay Maine says, says, Tokyo, Brandon,

850
00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:51,039
tell me something good on cannon please, But first I'm

851
00:43:51,039 --> 00:43:53,400
gonna go to Brian Leonard and let him open this

852
00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:56,280
one up. We talked about White Sox yesterday maybe not

853
00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:58,400
being the spot to do it, and they got crushed.

854
00:43:59,199 --> 00:44:01,519
So is today better spot for the White Sox? Are

855
00:44:01,559 --> 00:44:02,920
you going to stay out of this one again?

856
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:03,239
Speaker 4: Today?

857
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:07,719
Speaker 3: We'll have to see. It's early in the morning getting

858
00:44:07,760 --> 00:44:09,480
my first look at the game, so I didn't see

859
00:44:09,480 --> 00:44:12,079
anything overnight other than the Milwaukee that I thought was

860
00:44:12,480 --> 00:44:18,639
a bargain. Yeah, the White Sox cannon against Kirby. Kirby's

861
00:44:18,639 --> 00:44:21,800
been great lately. He looks like he's fully back, but

862
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:23,880
he's also about a two to fifty five favorite in

863
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:30,119
this game. Total seven and a half cannon comes in

864
00:44:30,159 --> 00:44:35,639
and one one of my lesser favorite White Sox pitchers,

865
00:44:35,679 --> 00:44:39,639
and it's unforce is that part of the rotation. He's

866
00:44:39,679 --> 00:44:41,880
four and eight down the season, four point seven seventy

867
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:45,559
r a five point four expected one point four to

868
00:44:45,559 --> 00:44:49,920
one whip. Everything on his Baseball Savant page is all blue,

869
00:44:49,960 --> 00:44:53,599
which isn't good. The best thing he does is his

870
00:44:53,599 --> 00:44:57,079
walk grate is seven point seven, which is slightly below

871
00:44:57,159 --> 00:44:59,480
the garage, but his strike out to walk ratio is

872
00:44:59,480 --> 00:45:02,559
only ten point three or excuse me, it's not racial.

873
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:09,280
Ten percentage ten point three not good. And George Kirby

874
00:45:09,519 --> 00:45:13,400
has been fantastic, as I mentioned late lately's down that

875
00:45:13,519 --> 00:45:17,559
era which was really high at one point down to

876
00:45:17,599 --> 00:45:20,679
four point one to three expected three point six y

877
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:24,639
one more in the area that his career has been

878
00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:28,400
one point one to three whip. A very good pitcher,

879
00:45:28,519 --> 00:45:31,559
like everything about him, but he is getting hit a

880
00:45:31,559 --> 00:45:34,639
little bit Avera Jaxson velocity twentieth percentile, heart hit rate

881
00:45:34,679 --> 00:45:37,360
twenty eighth. I think a lot of that went dated

882
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:39,760
back to when he was just getting back from injuries,

883
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:43,880
So I take that with a grain of salt. If

884
00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:47,679
there's every game in which one team looks like they're

885
00:45:47,719 --> 00:45:51,199
going to win, it would be Seattle. And I had

886
00:45:51,199 --> 00:45:54,199
done this long enough to know that any time I

887
00:45:54,360 --> 00:45:56,920
have looked at a team like this thinking there's no

888
00:45:56,960 --> 00:46:00,079
way they're going to lose, they lose, So that it

889
00:46:00,119 --> 00:46:02,000
seemed like a thing the Chicago White Sox have been

890
00:46:02,039 --> 00:46:04,000
able to do all season long. So I'm not gonna

891
00:46:04,039 --> 00:46:11,840
lay it with Seattle, but it's very timpted. I'll pass.

892
00:46:12,559 --> 00:46:14,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I was. I was a little off on this

893
00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:18,880
one yesterday. I kind of liked, Oh no, I wasn't.

894
00:46:18,960 --> 00:46:21,039
I won this one yesterday. Yeah, I had the first

895
00:46:21,079 --> 00:46:22,800
five under four and a half on this one and

896
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:25,960
I won it. Barely won it. It was three to

897
00:46:26,039 --> 00:46:30,159
one after five innings, but at least it's a win. Canon.

898
00:46:31,119 --> 00:46:32,920
I agree with Briani. He's not a great picture but

899
00:46:33,559 --> 00:46:36,119
and I've got him rank seventeen on a curve of thirty,

900
00:46:36,199 --> 00:46:40,519
but he has great stats against these batters. It's only

901
00:46:40,559 --> 00:46:42,719
twenty at bats against, but he's held him to a

902
00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:46,679
four hundred oh ps. And I think he I think

903
00:46:46,679 --> 00:46:50,800
he can do similar to what to what they did

904
00:46:50,920 --> 00:46:55,400
yesterday to Seattle. Now Seattle's lineup since they added Suarez,

905
00:46:55,400 --> 00:46:58,840
it's pretty scary. Actually, I really like I liked a

906
00:46:58,960 --> 00:47:02,000
Rosarania before this season, but this season, man, he just

907
00:47:02,039 --> 00:47:05,960
seems like he doesn't care. But they got some hitter.

908
00:47:06,039 --> 00:47:08,400
They got the best hitting catcher in all of MLB.

909
00:47:09,480 --> 00:47:13,280
They got he's the home run leader. Still they got

910
00:47:13,480 --> 00:47:18,679
they added Suarez. Suarez and Rally together probably the biggest

911
00:47:18,679 --> 00:47:22,000
home run duo in all of MLB as far as numbers,

912
00:47:22,039 --> 00:47:24,719
as far as number of home runs. So this lineup's

913
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:26,800
pretty scary. But I think Canon can hold them at

914
00:47:26,920 --> 00:47:29,880
least two times a round, which is the first five innings.

915
00:47:30,800 --> 00:47:32,599
I would if I were to bet this, I would

916
00:47:32,599 --> 00:47:36,599
take the under in the first five because I also think.

917
00:47:37,280 --> 00:47:39,679
I also like Kirby's numbers against the White Sox in

918
00:47:39,719 --> 00:47:43,199
his career, and Kirby is ranked quite quite a lot

919
00:47:43,280 --> 00:47:47,159
higher than Canon is. The White Sox are actually hitting

920
00:47:47,199 --> 00:47:50,400
better than Seattle right now, which is kind of surprising.

921
00:47:51,480 --> 00:47:53,400
But I think I think first five hunder would be

922
00:47:53,400 --> 00:47:55,400
the way to go in this one if I were to,

923
00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:57,199
if I were to bet it.

924
00:47:59,559 --> 00:48:02,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's almost the same handicap as it was yesterday

925
00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:05,239
for me. Where obviously I've been coming on, I've been

926
00:48:05,280 --> 00:48:08,800
high in the White Sox. That's been a very profitable

927
00:48:09,000 --> 00:48:11,639
read since we sort of like made that statement. I

928
00:48:11,679 --> 00:48:13,639
remember it was the ninety game mark because they were

929
00:48:13,679 --> 00:48:16,800
thirty and sixty, and my take was that they were

930
00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:19,519
going to play close to five hundred ball the rest

931
00:48:19,519 --> 00:48:22,159
of the way, and they've basically done that, even with

932
00:48:22,280 --> 00:48:26,079
last night's loss. Since then, they're twelve and eleven. So

933
00:48:26,920 --> 00:48:29,960
in every single game they've been like a plus money

934
00:48:30,199 --> 00:48:33,639
sometimes even a two dollars underdog, So you know, that's

935
00:48:33,679 --> 00:48:36,960
been profitable. That being said, like again I go back

936
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:41,199
to yesterday, everything sort of made sense except Davis Martin.

937
00:48:41,480 --> 00:48:43,280
That's kind of how I look at it here. Everything

938
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:46,760
sort of makes sense except Jonathan Cannon. And so it'll

939
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:49,239
likely be the reason that I stay off and maybe

940
00:48:49,280 --> 00:48:52,039
look toward tomorrow as the spot to get involved.

941
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:52,400
Speaker 2: With the White Sox.

942
00:48:53,119 --> 00:48:55,719
Speaker 1: The Mariners are a team that I think profile is

943
00:48:55,760 --> 00:48:57,920
to be a better bet on the road, not just

944
00:48:57,960 --> 00:49:00,639
because they hit home runs, although that is thing, but

945
00:49:00,719 --> 00:49:03,840
because the books really love to inflate this team at home,

946
00:49:04,159 --> 00:49:07,079
so you almost get like the double it's like the

947
00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:11,039
double positive when they go on the road, because the

948
00:49:11,039 --> 00:49:13,119
books don't give the Mariners, at least they didn't a

949
00:49:13,159 --> 00:49:13,920
couple months ago.

950
00:49:13,960 --> 00:49:15,199
Speaker 2: Now they do a little bit.

951
00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:17,480
Speaker 1: They don't give him nearly as much respect on the road,

952
00:49:17,679 --> 00:49:19,719
and yet they profile better on the road because they

953
00:49:19,840 --> 00:49:22,320
hit more home runs and typically they're in a ballpark

954
00:49:22,679 --> 00:49:25,440
that suits hitting home runs. At home, they tend to

955
00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:28,360
be a big favorite, which I'm not quite sure is,

956
00:49:29,239 --> 00:49:30,960
you know, based on what they've done the last couple

957
00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:32,599
of years at home, I'm not sure that they should

958
00:49:32,639 --> 00:49:35,480
just be like this big inflated favorite at home and

959
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:37,559
then they're in a ballpark that that's very tough to

960
00:49:37,639 --> 00:49:38,360
hit the ball out of.

961
00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:40,559
Speaker 2: But again, it's just.

962
00:49:40,679 --> 00:49:43,000
Speaker 1: It's Jonathan Cannon. There's a lot of blue on that

963
00:49:43,000 --> 00:49:46,159
stat cast page. He's not someone I really trust. And

964
00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:48,639
could you get the is the are the White Sox

965
00:49:48,679 --> 00:49:50,559
going cold a little bit? I mean, that's been a

966
00:49:50,599 --> 00:49:53,960
really impressive twenty three game stretch where.

967
00:49:53,760 --> 00:49:55,079
Speaker 2: They've gone twelve and eleven.

968
00:49:56,639 --> 00:49:59,440
Speaker 1: That's my gut says maybe that, you know, after yesterday,

969
00:49:59,440 --> 00:50:00,639
they didn't really play well.

970
00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:02,119
Speaker 2: So that's concerning to me.

971
00:50:02,239 --> 00:50:04,599
Speaker 1: So as much as i'd love to, you know, sort

972
00:50:04,639 --> 00:50:06,400
of take that white Sox plus one and a half

973
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:09,159
as someone's in the chats like that's the trigger special, Yeah,

974
00:50:09,239 --> 00:50:11,679
it definitely is. I just don't know if this is

975
00:50:11,679 --> 00:50:13,800
the spot, and I don't know if Cannon is the

976
00:50:13,840 --> 00:50:16,559
guy that I want to get involved with here, So

977
00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:20,440
likely a pass for me, all right, Sean, Tigers white so.

978
00:50:21,119 --> 00:50:24,000
Speaker 4: White Sox plus one and a half is synonymous with

979
00:50:24,079 --> 00:50:24,800
Adam trigger.

980
00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:27,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, and usually when I give it out, it wins.

981
00:50:27,719 --> 00:50:29,960
I mean you more often than not when I've talked

982
00:50:29,960 --> 00:50:31,719
about it on the show, it's it's been the right

983
00:50:31,760 --> 00:50:35,559
side that like as a play here, I want to

984
00:50:35,559 --> 00:50:37,280
make it clear here, I am not telling you to

985
00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:37,679
play that.

986
00:50:37,760 --> 00:50:40,599
Speaker 2: I don't think this is the spot to do that.

987
00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:43,599
Speaker 1: All right, Sean wants to talk Tiger's Twins. We've got

988
00:50:43,599 --> 00:50:45,519
about nine minutes left, so we're gonna do the title.

989
00:50:45,719 --> 00:50:48,000
We're gonna do this game. We'll break down this game.

990
00:50:48,079 --> 00:50:49,920
Then we'll each just throw out a parlay leg at

991
00:50:49,960 --> 00:50:51,920
the end. Because we really haven't talked about him yet

992
00:50:53,039 --> 00:50:54,960
and we'll and that's how we'll wrap up the show.

993
00:50:55,199 --> 00:50:57,840
But let's do let's give Tigers Twins the full rub first.

994
00:50:57,880 --> 00:51:00,960
So yesterday the Twins I finally did what I hope

995
00:51:01,000 --> 00:51:03,480
they would do a week ago, call Luke Keshell up.

996
00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:05,920
And that's what I want to see from them. I

997
00:51:05,920 --> 00:51:08,960
want to see them get these exciting players in the lineup.

998
00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:12,360
Brian Leonard, you back in April said Luke Keshall might

999
00:51:12,400 --> 00:51:14,679
be the best player in this organization right now, or

1000
00:51:14,719 --> 00:51:15,360
one of them.

1001
00:51:15,679 --> 00:51:16,840
Speaker 2: And then he got called up.

1002
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:18,760
Speaker 1: He was awesome, and I think he broke his arm

1003
00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:21,159
or had like an injury that kept him out for

1004
00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:24,840
some time. Yesterday he's up. What do you know, first

1005
00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:26,840
big league homer and he's the most exciting player on

1006
00:51:26,880 --> 00:51:29,639
the field. Does that give you any sort of you know,

1007
00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:32,320
reason to want to back the Twins here or going vote?

1008
00:51:32,599 --> 00:51:36,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, as a Twins fan, I'd love to see the

1009
00:51:36,920 --> 00:51:41,519
young guys come up. This is actually Nate Barghesi special.

1010
00:51:41,599 --> 00:51:44,559
If you follow the media, Nate Barghesy. He always talks

1011
00:51:44,599 --> 00:51:49,320
about his accent and he can't say the word oil. Well,

1012
00:51:49,360 --> 00:51:52,480
his ideal picture is going today for Minnesota is his

1013
00:51:52,559 --> 00:51:56,679
name is all all hl Christian relief in the series

1014
00:51:56,760 --> 00:52:01,679
against Cleveland, going up against Flaherty is about maybe a

1015
00:52:01,679 --> 00:52:04,800
one seventy favorite right now. It's bouncing all over with

1016
00:52:04,880 --> 00:52:06,880
an eight. You can get as low as one fifty

1017
00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:09,400
eight and you can get as high as like a

1018
00:52:09,400 --> 00:52:13,159
one fifty two on the comeback there. But Pearson all

1019
00:52:13,599 --> 00:52:18,519
six foot one, twenty five year old pitch relief. The

1020
00:52:18,559 --> 00:52:23,679
other day he started one game as a as an opener. Basically,

1021
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:26,360
he's only got six innings in total, so he's only

1022
00:52:26,360 --> 00:52:28,119
going to go probably three here if he goes that

1023
00:52:28,239 --> 00:52:30,880
long at all. I don't know that much about him.

1024
00:52:31,400 --> 00:52:38,000
He went to Grand Canyon University, that's Marley's University, and uh,

1025
00:52:38,320 --> 00:52:40,159
we'll see how it does. I thought he pitched pretty

1026
00:52:40,159 --> 00:52:45,239
well the other day against Cleveland. Jack Flaherty four point

1027
00:52:45,239 --> 00:52:50,320
three six ERA, three point nine to three expected one

1028
00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:53,599
point two five whip. When you look at Flaherty, you

1029
00:52:53,679 --> 00:52:56,679
got to look at his splits home games three point

1030
00:52:56,679 --> 00:52:59,199
three eight e RA on the road five point sixty nine,

1031
00:52:59,239 --> 00:53:01,880
and that comes out. He was awesome on the road

1032
00:53:01,960 --> 00:53:05,599
the other day. So he's still got over you know,

1033
00:53:05,639 --> 00:53:07,679
two and a half, about two and a half runs

1034
00:53:07,760 --> 00:53:11,800
higher on the road than at home. The question you

1035
00:53:11,920 --> 00:53:16,800
have to ask here is, first of all, you probably

1036
00:53:16,880 --> 00:53:19,840
want to fade Minnesota because of the bullpen. I talked

1037
00:53:19,840 --> 00:53:23,039
about that yesterday. He tried to fell behind like six

1038
00:53:23,079 --> 00:53:26,119
to one, and then Minnesota or Detroit ended up. I

1039
00:53:26,159 --> 00:53:27,719
was scoring them in the second half of the game,

1040
00:53:27,800 --> 00:53:32,719
which which was a good bet. But you've got a

1041
00:53:32,760 --> 00:53:36,159
team in Minnesota who has traded all the players away.

1042
00:53:36,559 --> 00:53:38,719
They're giving the kids a chance. I like that. I

1043
00:53:38,719 --> 00:53:40,320
don't want a lot of veterans on this team. If

1044
00:53:40,320 --> 00:53:43,280
I'm Minnesota, I want kids to care and want to

1045
00:53:43,320 --> 00:53:46,639
prove themselves. But you also have a Detroit team that's

1046
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:49,280
not playing well, haven't played well for the last month,

1047
00:53:51,159 --> 00:53:54,119
and you're laying a pretty good number here. So do

1048
00:53:54,199 --> 00:53:56,400
I think Detroy is gonna win? Yes? Am I willing

1049
00:53:56,400 --> 00:53:58,559
to lay this number? No, I'll pass.

1050
00:54:00,400 --> 00:54:03,880
Speaker 4: So. I was one of Flerity's best backers' biggest backers

1051
00:54:03,880 --> 00:54:07,599
when they played Philadelphia last week. He was facing Christopher Sanchez.

1052
00:54:08,119 --> 00:54:11,079
I made the bold statement Flarity is going to pitch

1053
00:54:11,159 --> 00:54:13,880
better than Sanchez, and he did, but they lost the game.

1054
00:54:15,559 --> 00:54:18,880
I've been backing Detroit since that Philly series. And I've

1055
00:54:18,920 --> 00:54:23,800
been making money with him more than back in Detroit.

1056
00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:26,559
I've been fading Minnesota since they traded forty percent of

1057
00:54:26,559 --> 00:54:31,800
their roster away at the trade deadline. However, Flarity's road

1058
00:54:31,920 --> 00:54:36,159
numbers really scare me here. I don't think. I don't

1059
00:54:36,639 --> 00:54:40,559
think Minnesota's going to win the game, but I do

1060
00:54:40,599 --> 00:54:43,960
think Minnesota's gonna score a lot today. So just for

1061
00:54:44,000 --> 00:54:46,079
that reason, it kind of scares me to lay this

1062
00:54:46,199 --> 00:54:49,679
number with Detroit. So I think Detroit's gonna win, but

1063
00:54:49,800 --> 00:54:50,960
I'm not gonna bet it.

1064
00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:57,559
Speaker 1: I will be a likely be a Twins backer going forward,

1065
00:54:57,599 --> 00:55:00,840
and as they make these moves, I'll be I'll be

1066
00:55:00,920 --> 00:55:04,400
using them more reason being last night Saint Paul Saints,

1067
00:55:04,480 --> 00:55:07,719
that's their Triple A team, fourteen hits. I mean, Peyton

1068
00:55:07,800 --> 00:55:09,559
El's is the guy that I wish they would give

1069
00:55:09,559 --> 00:55:11,800
a shot. The two guys that just came up from

1070
00:55:11,880 --> 00:55:15,039
Double A, Kyler Fedco, Gabriel Gonzalez both going to be

1071
00:55:15,119 --> 00:55:16,159
very very good players.

1072
00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:17,679
Speaker 2: Just bring them up. They did.

1073
00:55:17,760 --> 00:55:19,920
Speaker 1: They They made the right decision to bring Keshel up.

1074
00:55:20,480 --> 00:55:23,639
James Outman is now in the Twins organization. They got

1075
00:55:23,719 --> 00:55:25,559
him in and I think he was part of the

1076
00:55:25,559 --> 00:55:26,559
Brox Stewart trade.

1077
00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:30,199
Speaker 2: He's having a great year at Triple A. He should

1078
00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:32,000
like he was just chilling in.

1079
00:55:32,000 --> 00:55:34,320
Speaker 1: The Dodgers organization because they didn't ever have a room

1080
00:55:34,360 --> 00:55:36,079
for him, and then he wasn't great at the big

1081
00:55:36,159 --> 00:55:39,199
league level. But still, why what, like what are we doing? Like,

1082
00:55:39,320 --> 00:55:41,280
let's just get these guys up and play them all.

1083
00:55:41,679 --> 00:55:43,760
The more that they bring these guys up, the more

1084
00:55:43,760 --> 00:55:45,760
inclined I'm going to be willing to play on the

1085
00:55:45,800 --> 00:55:48,000
Twins because I think the books are going to look

1086
00:55:48,039 --> 00:55:50,000
and say, oh, it's all Triple A guys, when in

1087
00:55:50,039 --> 00:55:52,360
reality they're better than the guys that are in the

1088
00:55:52,360 --> 00:55:56,199
Twins lineup on a daily basis. Pearson Ole is Zebbie

1089
00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:58,519
Matthews two point zero? Uh, they this is what the

1090
00:55:58,559 --> 00:56:00,519
Twins like to do. He started the year a ball,

1091
00:56:01,239 --> 00:56:03,920
but he's a four year He's one of these like

1092
00:56:04,000 --> 00:56:06,679
four year mid major college guys, as Brian Leonard said,

1093
00:56:06,719 --> 00:56:10,079
Grand Canyon University. I think Zebi went to Western Carolina,

1094
00:56:10,239 --> 00:56:12,039
so they're already like twenty five years old. So the

1095
00:56:12,079 --> 00:56:13,800
Twins don't want to mess around. They just want to

1096
00:56:13,800 --> 00:56:16,360
get them up seeing what they can do. All is

1097
00:56:16,400 --> 00:56:18,840
a guy that's kind of bounced around from bullpen to starter.

1098
00:56:19,119 --> 00:56:20,639
I think he'll go three or four innings, but I

1099
00:56:20,639 --> 00:56:23,239
think he's gonna give you three or four good innings

1100
00:56:23,239 --> 00:56:26,440
here and then you know the bullpen. It's irrelevant who

1101
00:56:26,440 --> 00:56:28,760
comes in for the twins. Their price is a bottom

1102
00:56:28,800 --> 00:56:31,639
bullpen right now. I saw they grab Thomas Hatch, who's

1103
00:56:31,679 --> 00:56:34,880
been in the Royals organization. Maybe you see him today.

1104
00:56:35,599 --> 00:56:37,119
Twins plus one and a half is the way I

1105
00:56:37,119 --> 00:56:39,280
want to go. That's gonna be my parlay leg and

1106
00:56:39,559 --> 00:56:41,480
if I can get like ten to fifteen more cents

1107
00:56:41,480 --> 00:56:43,639
of value as the day goes on, that might actually

1108
00:56:43,679 --> 00:56:44,639
be a client play for me.

1109
00:56:44,719 --> 00:56:46,559
Speaker 2: But Brian Leonard, what are we looking at for?

1110
00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:49,480
Speaker 4: Let me let me let me correct myself real quick flirt.

1111
00:56:49,480 --> 00:56:51,679
He's at home today, not on the road. My mistake,

1112
00:56:51,760 --> 00:56:54,840
Sorry about that. So in that case, in that case,

1113
00:56:54,880 --> 00:56:59,960
I might consider backing Detroit take a minus one roads.

1114
00:57:00,119 --> 00:57:03,159
That's kind of scared me. But but he's at home, so.

1115
00:57:04,119 --> 00:57:07,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, And he's been really good, Like, don't get me wrong,

1116
00:57:07,039 --> 00:57:08,239
Flarity has been very good.

1117
00:57:09,519 --> 00:57:10,519
Speaker 2: But I just he's not.

1118
00:57:10,559 --> 00:57:14,480
Speaker 1: Someone that I'm like that, you know, unwilling to oppose

1119
00:57:14,480 --> 00:57:16,440
if I'm getting a run in a half, So I

1120
00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:18,880
wanted to make sure that I touched on flarity because

1121
00:57:18,880 --> 00:57:23,039
he's he has solid but I don't know that he's

1122
00:57:23,079 --> 00:57:24,519
going to continue to pitch like.

1123
00:57:24,519 --> 00:57:25,320
Speaker 3: This going forward.

1124
00:57:25,599 --> 00:57:27,519
Speaker 2: So Brian, what are we looking at for twins plus

1125
00:57:27,519 --> 00:57:28,039
one and a half?

1126
00:57:28,320 --> 00:57:30,480
Speaker 3: I met Minnesota plus one and a half is one

1127
00:57:30,559 --> 00:57:33,480
forty five and I did hear you say that, but

1128
00:57:33,519 --> 00:57:37,039
I just greg we're sorry to be but I just

1129
00:57:37,039 --> 00:57:39,000
thought it was slipping the tongue, so I didn't say anything.

1130
00:57:40,360 --> 00:57:43,679
Speaker 4: No problem, my mistake. I'm sorry about that.

1131
00:57:44,239 --> 00:57:47,400
Speaker 2: All right. So that'll be my leg of the parlay again.

1132
00:57:47,440 --> 00:57:49,840
Speaker 1: I'm hoping the Tigers take money throughout the day, as

1133
00:57:49,880 --> 00:57:52,639
I may add that to the client car, but at

1134
00:57:52,719 --> 00:57:55,159
worst it'll just end up being a parlay leg because

1135
00:57:55,199 --> 00:57:58,360
I can justify putting minus one forty five juice in

1136
00:57:58,599 --> 00:57:59,159
the parlay.

1137
00:58:00,079 --> 00:58:02,239
Speaker 2: Either of you know what parlay lead you're gonna use

1138
00:58:02,320 --> 00:58:04,400
at this point, I do.

1139
00:58:04,679 --> 00:58:08,199
Speaker 3: I have a let Brandon go first, all right?

1140
00:58:09,320 --> 00:58:11,519
Speaker 4: Is that all right? Okay? Sorry about that, Brian, didn't

1141
00:58:11,559 --> 00:58:12,280
mean to step on you.

1142
00:58:12,320 --> 00:58:19,119
Speaker 5: Other I like I like the the Angels team total

1143
00:58:19,360 --> 00:58:22,760
under four and a half today, and the reason I

1144
00:58:22,880 --> 00:58:25,440
like it is because I really like how Baz is

1145
00:58:25,480 --> 00:58:26,360
pitched against them.

1146
00:58:27,400 --> 00:58:31,079
Speaker 4: Their bats are cooling off a little bit little cold, uh,

1147
00:58:31,119 --> 00:58:33,360
and the Baz has a one to twenty five average

1148
00:58:33,400 --> 00:58:36,079
against in a three eighty eight ops against him. He's

1149
00:58:36,119 --> 00:58:39,480
the best performing pitcher against the batters today. Although the

1150
00:58:39,519 --> 00:58:44,039
sample size is a little small, but I think four

1151
00:58:44,079 --> 00:58:46,440
and a half is a little bit high. I like

1152
00:58:46,519 --> 00:58:50,280
the Rays bullpen, and I think the Angels have been

1153
00:58:50,320 --> 00:58:52,760
in a little bit of a quagmire here, so I

1154
00:58:52,760 --> 00:58:55,079
don't think they're gonna get to five today. This looks

1155
00:58:55,079 --> 00:58:58,960
like a looks like an undergame to me overall. But

1156
00:58:59,159 --> 00:59:01,719
the four and a half really stood out. I you know,

1157
00:59:01,840 --> 00:59:04,599
before I open the lines up, I have in my

1158
00:59:04,679 --> 00:59:06,519
mind what I think it's gonna be. And I had

1159
00:59:06,519 --> 00:59:07,960
three and a half in my mind. Now was like

1160
00:59:08,000 --> 00:59:11,079
four and a half. Wow, So that'll be my leg.

1161
00:59:11,920 --> 00:59:13,280
Speaker 3: It's minus one forty five.

1162
00:59:13,360 --> 00:59:20,039
Speaker 1: Also, yeah, I want it real real quick, Like I Sean,

1163
00:59:20,159 --> 00:59:23,239
I Sean says it's Woods Richardson for the Twins.

1164
00:59:23,280 --> 00:59:23,800
Speaker 2: I don't think so.

1165
00:59:23,800 --> 00:59:26,119
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure they're gonna use Pierson Old to start

1166
00:59:26,880 --> 00:59:29,480
and if it's if they don't. But the other thing is,

1167
00:59:29,519 --> 00:59:31,960
like all will pitch today So even if they were

1168
00:59:31,960 --> 00:59:35,159
to change that, not a big deal because he's gonna

1169
00:59:35,159 --> 00:59:37,239
be He's gonna give you three or four innings regardless

1170
00:59:37,280 --> 00:59:39,239
of where he comes into the game. So even if

1171
00:59:39,280 --> 00:59:41,599
they decided to switch that around, I still think you

1172
00:59:41,599 --> 00:59:43,079
see him for three to four innings.

1173
00:59:42,840 --> 00:59:44,559
Speaker 2: Today doesn't change my handicap.

1174
00:59:45,039 --> 00:59:47,199
Speaker 3: Yeah, and it makes sense that way the second guy

1175
00:59:47,239 --> 00:59:50,000
and can get the victory. A lot of teams do that.

1176
00:59:51,159 --> 00:59:54,000
But uh, yeah, So since you both took favorites, I'll

1177
00:59:54,039 --> 00:59:59,239
take an underdog, and uh I'll go Cincinnati with Abbott

1178
00:59:59,280 --> 01:00:07,599
here going against the Cubs. Cincinnati currently plus let's anywhere

1179
01:00:07,639 --> 01:00:11,559
from one ten to one twenty three. So let's just

1180
01:00:11,599 --> 01:00:15,840
go about one sixteen, one seventeen on Cincinnati.

1181
01:00:17,280 --> 01:00:21,039
Speaker 2: All right, And what was the juice for TV's play.

1182
01:00:20,920 --> 01:00:23,280
Speaker 3: Also the one forty five minus one forty five same

1183
01:00:23,280 --> 01:00:23,679
as yours.

1184
01:00:24,400 --> 01:00:30,039
Speaker 1: All right, all right, so we are let me just

1185
01:00:30,119 --> 01:00:33,719
punch this in. And yeah, I did see Sean. I

1186
01:00:33,800 --> 01:00:36,159
did see Woods richardson the other day get pushed back.

1187
01:00:36,199 --> 01:00:38,920
But he was also sick, so like I think it

1188
01:00:38,960 --> 01:00:41,719
was an illness type thing. He may just be scratched altogether.

1189
01:00:41,960 --> 01:00:44,039
I wouldn't be surprised if you didn't see him today

1190
01:00:44,039 --> 01:00:46,119
because I'm pretty sure when he was pushed back for

1191
01:00:46,199 --> 01:00:49,639
Monday to Wednday Wednesday, it was illness and they might

1192
01:00:49,719 --> 01:00:51,679
just say you're not feeling good, you're gonna get skipped

1193
01:00:51,719 --> 01:00:55,840
this time around. So I h he's either I don't

1194
01:00:55,880 --> 01:00:57,760
know if you're going to see him today, but I

1195
01:00:57,800 --> 01:01:00,840
do believe it's pearsonal to start and that's been posted

1196
01:01:00,840 --> 01:01:05,639
by a couple of different sites now. So anyway, parlay

1197
01:01:06,119 --> 01:01:09,039
it's going to be plus five nineteen on the odds.

1198
01:01:09,639 --> 01:01:14,800
We've got Brian Leonard Reds plus one seventeen Tokyo, Brandon's

1199
01:01:14,840 --> 01:01:18,119
going Angels team total under four and a half, and

1200
01:01:18,159 --> 01:01:20,639
I'm gonna use the Twins plus one and a half

1201
01:01:21,320 --> 01:01:24,880
in their game against the Tigers. It's plus five nineteen. Hopefully,

1202
01:01:24,960 --> 01:01:27,239
hopefully we can get in the win column. Need about

1203
01:01:27,239 --> 01:01:29,440
one of these a week to stay afloat, and that's

1204
01:01:29,519 --> 01:01:31,079
kind of what we've done so far this year is

1205
01:01:31,079 --> 01:01:33,559
stay afloat. Now it's time to push this back into

1206
01:01:33,920 --> 01:01:36,719
you know, profit territory. Though we're still up five point

1207
01:01:36,760 --> 01:01:39,519
four units on these on the season. So that's our

1208
01:01:39,559 --> 01:01:42,960
parlay for today. My leg Twins plus one and a half,

1209
01:01:43,800 --> 01:01:46,480
Tokyo Brandon Angels team total under four and a half,

1210
01:01:46,840 --> 01:01:52,000
Brian Leonard Red's money line for the game plus five nineteen.

1211
01:01:53,119 --> 01:01:56,760
Appreciate you guys tuning in, give us the light and subscribes,

1212
01:01:57,960 --> 01:01:59,679
you know. Head on over to the wager talk YouTube

1213
01:01:59,719 --> 01:02:01,599
channel if you want to catch the replay.

1214
01:02:01,760 --> 01:02:02,719
Speaker 2: It is always up.

1215
01:02:03,320 --> 01:02:05,599
Speaker 1: We all have stuff up at wager talk dot com

1216
01:02:05,880 --> 01:02:08,440
and we'll see you guys in the morning for another

1217
01:02:08,440 --> 01:02:10,559
episode of Total Basis nine am tomorrow morning.

1218
01:02:10,599 --> 01:02:10,960
Speaker 2: Take care,