Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is the best betting show ever.
And when I mean ever, I mean at least over
the last six minutes here, Joe and Airy longside. Well,
we don't want arts. First of all, I am sorry
Art that I disrespected you like that. Let me get
your name in there so we can we make sure
that we don't ever make that mistake again. So hold
on one second on, I promise we're going to get
you all squared away here, because nobody wants to be
known as Lawrence Presman, who, by the way, is trying
to convince me that he's not actually laying on the
beach right now, that he is somehow doing well in
his poker tournament. But I think you and I both
know that is not the case. But he is enjoying
the warm weather here in South Florida, Art, which I'm
guessing is half the battle. But there you go. Now
it's Art to see or not Lawrence President. So we
welcome you back in now, Art unfortunately mislabeling you there
as the press. But we got a lot going on
coming up this week. We got a lot going on
here today. We got plenty of college basketball, huge conference
games coming up today. We got NBA, you got NHL,
but of course we got divisional matchups We've got also, well,
we got one more game to crown a national champion
in college football. But let's start like we usually do
on a Tuesday with you, because I'm dying and now
feels like the public might have had themselves a halfway
decent weekend here in wild card weekend. How did the
books do after everything was said and done?
Speaker 2: Yeah, Joe, you know, putting my name as Lawrence Pressman,
it's like a as fantasy and having a punishment. I
think that's like my fantasy punishment is to be Lawrence Pressman.
Speaker 3: For the day.
Speaker 1: You know that's correct?
Speaker 3: All right? I paid my dues and I'm good. But
you know, yeah, yeah, Joe.
Speaker 2: As far as the weekend goes, you know, we'll just
start with Saturday and obviously the Rams. We had talked
earlier in the week where there was a lot of
Ram money. Hey listen, if the Rams would have lost
out ready, that would have been awesome because you would
have crushed all the parlays early. But the Rams covering
was a really good result, it really was. And then
we get to the sets the night game, and we
would have had a banner day if green Bay would
have won that game and held on. They didn't, so
it ended up being like just a wash of a
day for us. Green Bay really killed us blowing that
game that way, and then we get to Sunday, and
Sunday was awesome.
Speaker 3: You get to that Jacksonville game.
Speaker 2: Jacksonville closed what one and a half two in that game,
so obviously a ton of Jacksonville money.
Speaker 3: Buffalo winning outright was enormous.
Speaker 2: We had talked all week about San Francisco that that
was our biggest knee because it felt like it was
just one way traffic on Philly. That thing was three
and a half, got up to six. The sharps and
the publics were there, all the teasers, all the moneyline
parlays were on Philly. So San Francisco big outcome for us.
And then the night game, once you got to that,
it kind of was a wash as far as a
result for US. I mean, maybe a little bit of
money we made on New England, but San Francisco carried
the day for us. Sunday was a banner day for us,
and then last night a little bit of a loss
on Houston early in the week. We took a ton
and I mean a ton of sharp Pittsburgh money, but
the public and everyone else kind of overwhelmed that with
the Houston money and a lot of things that were
tied into Houston on Monday night as far as parlays
and teasers and parlay cards and all that. So a
little bit of a loss, but overall, because Sunday was
so good and that San Francisco win, it was a
winning weekend for us.
Speaker 1: We had I know, we talked about it on Friday Art.
We had Buffalo becoming very public, but that wasn't the
public running to the window flipping that line before kickoff there.
So that was a big, big move before. And we
had mentioned the only game all week where the pros
and the Joe's were aligned seemed to be that Philadelphia game.
You said you couldn't find anybody coming to the window
to bet the forty nine ers, uh, And it was
just one way money Pros and Joe's. And of course
that is the biggest head scratcher upset of the of
the weekend. But in hindsight, it probably should not have
been that big a surprise to a lot of people.
Speaker 3: I think, yeah, I would totally agree.
Speaker 2: You know, I think a lot of people in the
end when you actually watch that game and look at
that game, Yeah, Philly's offense is so challenged. It's like,
how are they gonna go and cover a six point game?
Despite all the San Francisco injuries and obviously they had
even more on Sunday with Kettle going down. It's like
a team every week. It's the you know, the wounded
Warriors just going through. But yeah, I mean, you're right
about that Jacksonville game. I thought a Buffalo would be
pretty public, and they were, but right, it's it's not
the public that's going to move an opening number of
Buffalo early from one to them being a two point
dog by kickoff. So clearly we took a ton of
sharp and then we started to see some public Jacksonville money.
Speaker 3: We really did.
Speaker 1: Yep. Yeah, And then of course most places I don't
know what you club, but most places where I think
fifty one hour, fifty two and a half somewhere in
that ballpark for that total and what at Land fifty one?
So yeah, yikes, that was that was very interesting as well.
But how about rewind it the friday we talked about
Oregon being also against Indiana. You had mentioned Indiana had
become the public darling, you were getting nothing but Indiana money.
If I remember quikly, it was a little bit of
a push for Oregon late, but for the most part,
it was over before it began. How did that? How
did the books do with Indiana and Oregon in Indiana
kill you?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean they did.
Speaker 2: Listen, there was a little bit of support for Oregon,
but I think the overwhelming Indiana money that has just
been coming through this whole tournament and then Indiana and
we'll talk about it too in the championship game. You know,
with them being the favorite that they are, they're very
popular in the moneyline favorite parlays. Indiana is always going
to be one of the two or three or four
legs in somebody's parlay because they just go out and
they beat everyone by forty. So, I mean people are
using Indiana like the free Bingos square now, so and
that's no different once we get to this championship game.
Speaker 3: You've already seen that.
Speaker 1: Yep, that is for sure, all right, Art, So let's
start there as we try to figure out where the
money is going this week and will we saw the
look ahead ART one five, five and a half for
an Indiana for Miami game. You and I talked about
that on Friday, and then you know, they absolutely steamrolled Oregon.
Then we saw seven and a half as an open
and unless it has been all Indiana ever since, correct,
I mean I saw maybe eight and a half's yesterday
pretty prevalent. I even saw nine in the market yesterday.
Steve and I talked about it and said, listen, if
you like Miami, there is no rush. It feels like
to have to bet Miami at this point because if
that money is coming, it is likely going to be
later in the week. Art They're going to see how
far this line gets pushed towards Indiana. But it feels
like that might be the only money you're just getting
so far in this one.
Speaker 3: No doubt about it. And you mentioned it.
Speaker 2: We opened seven and a half, we're now eight and
a half, and this is something we've talked about on
this show. Right we're starting to be around dead numbers,
So what's the difference. I mean, you know, eight, eight
and a half, nine, nine.
Speaker 3: And a half.
Speaker 2: You're right, I think we're going to see eventually how
high we could push this number. You've already seen the
money line stuff with Indiana. People are coming to the
window and lay in three thirty, lay in three forty
to win a coupleule of dimes because Indiana has just
been that team.
Speaker 1: Now.
Speaker 2: We have also mentioned we get murdered on Miami in
the futures, so we're rooting for Indiana, but we're also not,
you know, over here, just trying to give Indiana money away.
We're just gonna book the game the way we're.
Speaker 3: Gonna book it. And I think I'm with you, guys.
Speaker 2: I think this thing's gonna approach ten I think if
you like Miami, you like Miami on the money line,
I think you wait because the Indiana story is just overwhelming.
I haven't heard one person talk about Miami this week
or leading up to this game, and I think you're
just gonna continue with that. It's gonna continue to be
Indiana money here.
Speaker 1: It feels a lot like that forty nine Ers Eagles game.
You know, we just could not find anybody wanting to
back the can't find anybody wanted to back Miami except
this six son of a bitch right here, all right,
So plenty of time there. Interestingly enough, as much of
as a move that we've seen and continue to see. Uh.
On the side, are not a lot of movement in
the total forty eight and a half isn't open still
forty eight and a half. You tend to usually get
those kinds of moves on the total when the limits
are higher later in the week or before kick. When
do you usually see the push with the total?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you'll see some probably total money later
in the week. And I think this is one two
where you'll see the public coming and want to bet
the over. They're just gonna want to bet a championship
game over and maybe you know, the sharp guys are
waiting to see this is total get pushed up a
little bit and maybe we want to come in and
fire on the under.
Speaker 3: Just haven't seen that yet. Really, just for.
Speaker 2: Us, the main moves have been on the money line
and on the side. Because you said we haven't budgeted
off our forty eight and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, exactly, And that seems to be pretty steady here.
Not so much though, lack of movement in the divisional
rounds now that we know everything that is set up
here are and I think the one game that stuck
out to everybody was the Denver and Buffalo game where
Buffalo opens up as that small favorite right one, one
and a half and it's like deja vu all over
again because they just did that with Jacksonville. But Jacksonville
ended up going off as the favorite. We're starting to
see some movement in that direction already are but Denver
feels like maybe they're the public side here early on.
What are you seeing in this game for us?
Speaker 2: And we did open Buffalo as a small favorite minus one,
and our initial bets early bets, and I mean, this
is as public as it gets. A couple of you know,
money line stuff on Buffalo, you know, laying minus one, fifteen,
that type of stuff, and then one of our sharpest
NFL accounts did take Denver plus one, so we moved,
we moved to pick on the game. And I'm with
you on this. I think this is gonna be public's
gonna be all over Buffalo again. And I think the
sharp guys, and we've seen it early, are gonna look
to take Denver here. And this is a game, It
would not shock me if Denver closes as a one
to one and a half point favorite. It feels like
Denver is getting no respect. They haven't gotten a lot
of respect all year pretty much in the betting market.
It felt like, and I think buff Buffalo is going
to start to go on this you know ride here
with Josh Allen saying, Oh, he's going to make the
super Bowl and you're gonna really see And you gotta
remember too, the later we get in these playoffs, especially
super Bowl, you start to see way more public money. Yeah,
there's way more public money each round you go in
these playoffs. It always happens.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, big time here. And we've had a couple
of days we you know, a couple of those games
after Saturday, we knew what the matchups were gonna be.
We knew the forty nine ers winning were heading back
to a very familiar foe there in Seattle, and we
saw what look ahead there. Six and a half maybe seven,
saw a lot of seven and a half. So I
think we're still at seven and a half here art
with Seattle and the forty nine ers. Not a lot
of movement on your end either here.
Speaker 2: We opened seven, we moved to seven and a half,
and that was just a market move for us. It's
not like we took a bet on seven and pushed
us to the seven and a half. We didn't want
to be at seven. We said, you know what, we'll
go to seven and a half. We almost too, And listen,
when the market moves like that, then it's like, well
does someone want to come take seven in a half
And no one has bit yet on that. So now listen,
we know Seattle, when you sit at that seven seven
and a half gonna be very popular in moneyline parlays
and very popular and teasers.
Speaker 3: There's no doubt we will be rooting for San Francisco.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it feels like once again you're gonna need the
forty nine ers to make it a very profitable weekend
for the books there. And the Rams opened up three
and a half against Chicago. But I don't know, I'm
starting to see maybe a four or two pop up
in the market here, are you seeing any? And boys,
Chicago's becoming more and more public by the week here,
So what are we thinking the bears at home? Nobody
gives them a chance, and yet all they do is win.
Speaker 2: I keep hearing art, It's true, nobody gives them a chance.
We opened three and a half on La we are
now four once again, that is a market move as well.
We didn't necessarily take a bet that moved.
Speaker 1: Us to four.
Speaker 3: It's funny our total.
Speaker 2: I think we opened at fifty one, got as high
as fifty two, then we saw some sharp money bring
us back down to our opener fifty one. So for us,
really the total has been the big move in the game.
And let me say this on the futures, as we
talk about Miami killing us in college, the one team
we really need to avoid winning.
Speaker 3: The Super Bowl is the Rams.
Speaker 1: So we're gonna be root.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 2: Oh, many have not stuff betting the Rams all year.
And I'll say this too. The Rams are huge two
in those exacts, you know, like Rams beat Patriots, Rams
beat Bills. Like if the Rams getting to the super
Bowl is even bad for us. So we really want
to avoid the Rams. We hope we get they get
picked off here in the next couple of weeks.
Speaker 1: What we got, of course, after last night and CJ.
Stroud turning the ball over it can't hold on to
it three times and still somehow or other, the Steelers
couldn't take advantage. But now Houston passed to head to
Foxborough to take on New England. Look ahead, I saw
two and a half in some spots threes. It feels
like that's kind of what we're at right now. Still
a lot of threes, but it looks like we got
some tickets and money on Houston here. But boy, nigga,
are they gonna win another game strictly by defense? Aren't?
I don't know.
Speaker 2: Well, you know, their defense is good enough to win
a championship, now is their offense?
Speaker 3: I don't think so. That defense is phenomenal. I'll say this.
Speaker 2: We had had a debate on if Houston wins that
game last night, how do we open the game. If
it's a tight game, maybe they win in a last
second field goal. Maybe you open New England three. But
the way they dominated and the way that defense played,
and I get it, New England's way bet other than
Pittsburgh and Houston's gotta go on the road again and
win a playoff game. We decided, hey, let's open New
England two and a half. We feel comfortable there at
the two and a half. Nobody's wanted to lay us
two and a half. Now, you know, under a field
goal with a home favorite in a playoff game, nobody
has done it yet. Now, obviously that line has had
the least amount of shelf life because obviously just came
out late last night.
Speaker 3: We'll obviously be able to.
Speaker 2: Talk about that game a little bit further as we
go down here on the weekend. Listen, a lot of
these games have barely had move in. We're gonna see
a lot more moving here in the next couple of days.
But we felt comfortable with you with Houston and New England,
New England being a two and a half point favorite.
Speaker 1: What's the biggest handled game you think this weekend? All right,
what's gonna what's gonna garner the most, the most handled?
You think?
Speaker 2: It's a great question. I think the Rams and Bears
are gonna be great there. Yeah, I could see that
because we're talking.
Speaker 3: I mean the Rams.
Speaker 2: You know, you gotta remember for us who we have,
the California influx that comes into town.
Speaker 3: So we get that. The Bears are the Bears, and
they're very.
Speaker 1: The late game on Sunday.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's the late game on Sunday. I think that
really helps you know.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and now listen, once you get to this stage,
you're gonna get tremendous handle. Yeah, You're gonna get tremendous handled.
But I would say, right now, I think the Bears
Rams gonna get your highest hand.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's gonna be your Sunday night game. Houston,
New England will be the three o'clock game on Sunday.
So a lot still gonna happen between now and then,
though Art certainly from the book perspective and the lines
will keep an eye on it all week long. But
you know, as we get ready to wrap up the
football season here, let's not forget we got plenty of
NBA and of course college basketball action. It is a
loaded slate here today of conference games in college hoops.
What are you seeing on the hardwood? NBA, college basketball, NHL?
Anything crazy as well here so far this morning.
Speaker 2: Absolutely give us some stuff in all three Let's start
with the NHL saw some overnight money on the Islanders,
and we also saw some overnight money on Utah the Mammoth.
They've been pretty good at home. They are at home tonight.
When you go to the NBA in the big game,
okay See in the Spurs, I mean it feels like,
okay See really needs to win this game and prove
themselves that they can actually beat the Spurs. Okay, see,
we opened seven, we're now eight on the game. They're
going to be super popular as well in all the
money line parlays for the daily stuff. So obviously if
we can get the Spurs to win outright, that'd be
great because we'll knock all those thunder money lines out.
We've seen the over creep up two from two twenty
eight and a half to two thirty. And then in
College A and M took some money. Believe they're at
Tennessee they took plus money or took money at plus
nine and a half. U console really good over money
on the road at newly ranked Seat and Hall over
one thirty one now one thirty four, so.
Speaker 3: You've seen a three point move to the over there.
Speaker 2: And Oklahoma at home against Flow Oklahoma took money at
plus six.
Speaker 1: Wow, so there you go. Oh you at home against
Florid who just destroyed Tennessee. Who's home against Texas A
and M there, and yeah, Seaton Hall and Yukon, interesting right,
I mean Yukon hasn't fared very well there against Seaton Hall,
especially at Seaton Hall over the last couple of seasons here,
so that should be a good still feels like one
thirty three is a ridiculously low number, and now it's
up to one thirty four, like it's been. They keep
betting the over there doesn't shock me. Art, So we
got a little sub for everyone here. Moving forward, NBA
and you know, college hoops NHL certainly going to be
front and center moving forward. Do you usually see the
transition art from right around now we're less football, now
we start to see a little more interest, a little
more handled towards the college basketball realm here or does
it stay pretty pretty steady from here moving forward?
Speaker 3: I always say it like this.
Speaker 2: You know what the college basketball season, let's say starts
November sixth. The guys who bet college basketball the whole year,
they're betting on November sixth. The public and the people
who just realize, oh wait, there's a college basketball season
going on.
Speaker 3: They get involved the week after.
Speaker 4: The Super Bowl.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, it's.
Speaker 2: Like they start remembering, oh wait, there's other sports, and
then you know, you're really deep in a conference play.
Then you're gonna get close to your conference tournaments. Then
you really start to see the public start to creep
in on the other sports. But the guys who bet
NHL NBA College Basketball. They're there from day one, you
know that. I mean, you know, they don't even care
about the football games, most of them. You know, we
have some accounts we see on November sixth, and then
we see to the end what April first second, whenever
the championship game is, and then we don't see in
the rest of the year. They are strictly college basketball accounts.
We have plenty of people like them.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, it's certainly there are some huge games coming up.
How else the time to get back into the swing
of things here. And if you're just watching college basketball,
you're going wait a minute, Kansas is at fog Allen
and they're an underdog. Like, what in the world has
happened here? Yeah, it's been that kind of season so far.
Welcome to the new nil in college Hoop's gonna make
things very interesting. Moving forward to art, all right, so
we've got everyone caught up. Of course, we'll have more
as the week progresses here, but it is time for
our Parlay of the Day art. So before we get
everyone else's picks here, Parlay of the Day can be
in any sport here today and you got a little
something for everyone. So what direction are you heading here tonight?
Speaker 2: I always love the fired coach angle, and someone did
that in the NHL yesterday the Columbus Bluejackets fired their coach.
They're at home tonight against the Flames, who are no good.
I gotta lay one thirty, but I'm gonna do it.
Give me Columbus at home minus one thirty against the Flames.
Speaker 1: Got to love it, all right, Art, this Caesar. If
it ain't bron don't fix it, min Man. That's what
we say here. Fired coaches system has been money. Let's
get it to cash again here tonight. All right, Art,
we'll talk to you again tomorrow. We'll have more updates
across the board. What's going on though? I imagine pretty interesting
time here at the book leading up to, of course
the Super Bowl, and then not a lot of time
to waste because March Madness will be just a month
away after that, and then all hell breaks loose. So
it's a little crazy for you now over at the
West Gate.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, listen, playoff football mode is huge, and
you know, we really get into.
Speaker 3: You know, longer I listen. The football season's always that way,
and we.
Speaker 2: Recognize there's only a handful of games left, but we
start putting up a lot more content, a lot more props,
a lot more you know, index props, general game props.
Try to start to book all these NFL playoff games
like mini super Bowls with more options. So it's a
really fun time for us. A busy time, but a
fun time.
Speaker 1: Yeah. About two and a half weeks away from pitchers
and catchers to Art. So I'll just remind you of
that that's around the corn World Baseball Classic should be
a whole lot of fun coming up, Man, Art, this
sees enjoyed the day. Man, we appreciate the time. As always.
We'll talk to you again, Omar. All right, Merril, So
Art is going with his usual fired coaches system. There
the Columbus Blue Jackets tonight in the NHL. Now it
is up to you and I not to screw this
three leg parlay of the day up. And we got
plenty of games to look at it too, a lot
of NBA, a lot of college basketball here. So which
side or which league are you looking to go with
for your end of the parlay of the day.
Speaker 4: A little bit of a sharp money move, but I
think there's still some value at seven o'clock Eastern tonight
in the ACC College Hoops, Mimia Florida opened is about
a two and a half point favorite over Notre Dame.
Isn't it a appro pro that they're playing Notre Dame
in college hoops? And you got to figure that's a
huge spot for Notre Dame, right, the team that kept
them out of the college football playoffs. Well, the sharp
mightey doesn't feel that way. They're back in Miami of
Florida open two and a half. It's now up to
four and a half, even five at some of the
sharper allshore books, and I agree with that move tonight.
I think Miamia Florida is the better team in this game,
and if you're going to play it, I would lay
it with the Hurricanes. It would have been a great
college football game we saw the opening week of the season.
But now we're getting in college hoops tonight, and one
thing that jumps out to me, but Miami of Florida
a really good offensive team this season and get it
done really at both ends of the court. Off to
a three to zero starting the ACC. You look at
this matchup tonight as well against Notre Dame. I think
One of the edges Miami's going to have is not
only the offensive edge, but also with the tempo. Notre
Dame likes to play slow half court basketball, Miami's gonna
speed it up. And normally I side with the slower
half court team at home, but I just don't think
that matchup's gonna work tonight. Also, Miami does not rely
on the three point shot much. They're an excellent two
point shooting team scoring down low, and Notre Dame does
not force turnovers, So short money's on Miamia, Florida. I
would agree with that move tonight.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And it's funny. I've been watching Steve all day long.
What a battle in the marketplace on the total. In
that game, it opened up one forty four and a half,
and at about nine thirty this morning, it got steamed
down to as low as one forty one and a half.
And we know, listen, Notre Dame and Shrewsbury's not gonna
be running up and down the court in any way,
shape or form here. But about an hour and a
half later it got jacked all the way back up,
steams all the way back up to one forty four,
one forty four and a half only to get hit
a game to go back the other way, and now
once again, sure enough the over money has come in.
So it's funny watching how that happened different hours during
the day. You can see the different steam moves across
the board multiple books. But we got two competing groups.
One thinks the unders to play in that game and
one thinks the over is, which likely means it's somewhere
in the middle. There isn't it, Steve.
Speaker 4: Well, I think you could definitely make a case the
side and total or codependent. Right, So we saw that
early money coming to Miamia, Florida from two and a
half up to four and a half five That would
probably coincide with money coming on the over as well,
because Miami likes to play fast and Notre Dame plays slow,
and whichever team dictates the tempo side total probably correlated.
So a two team parlay with Miami over or Notre
Dame under probably would not be a bad investment tonight.
Speaker 1: Like it all right, I am gonna go in the
NBA then, and I am going to I am going
to look at the Houston Rockets at home, who have
not played a home game. It feels like in a
very very very long time. But this starts a five
game homestand that they will be on and boil. It's
gotta be a little embarrassing right coming off a loss
to Sacramento. You couldn't beat Portland not once, but twice,
So I think they're gonna be glad to get home.
They're taking on a Chicago team who will have no Josh,
getting old Colby White very hard. I think for Chicago
to be competitive without them. This will be Sangoon's second
game back. I believe now from the injury. I would
look for Houston to light up Chicago in this one here.
I know it's thirteen, but it's thirteen for a reason.
I think Chicago's got a game tomorrow night against Utah
in which they'll probably get everybody back. But it feels
like this is one of those scheduled losses here Maryland.
It feels like Houston has a little frustration they might
want to get out tonight. So I'll take Houston for
my end of the of the parlay of the day.
So there you got it. We've got one NBA one
college and of course Art and the n h L guys.
Don't forget hit that light button, hit the subscribe button.
We do have a surprise for you, though, Prez.
Speaker 4: Even though he.
Speaker 1: Still claims to be at the poker table, Meryl is
apparently gonna drop in with a big announcement. He's got
a big play here tonight. He also has a couple
of plays in the NHL that he wants to give out,
so we'll hear from him shortly. But that does remind
me that, you know, it's now that I get the pres.
I can't get that picture out of my head here Meryl,
because now it is time for some business here. And
yet when it comes to the PRES, he's all about business. Apparently,
how about you tonight doing a loaded slate? What do
you got rolling over at wager Talk?
Speaker 4: I like Eli wears that suit in more than one location.
It went from the Halloween party to the football stadium
where he's now apparently the halftime entertainment. He doesn't realize
that the outfit is the entertainment, not what he thinks.
But hey, leisure suit, whatever floats your boat, my man,
Time for some business. I've got one NBA best bet tonight,
one College Hoops best bet, both on my page. Steve
merrillwager talk dot com. And also we always post bonus
free plays on a daily basis. The last cut just
a bit outside goes up as a bonus free play.
So go get the free play and check out the
best bets. Oh because Joe I Bury the lead. Yeah,
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Speaker 1: Sm love it, Meryl. All right, yeah lockloaded you mentioned,
and I got to find dollar play college basketball. I
have actually a couple of games I really like a
lot on this loaded slate, all of it in packages
right now, including two in the NBA that you can
go get over on my page at wager talk dot com.
Take advantage of the five dollars Tuesday guys, customer appreciation
both at Steve's page and my page, and go grab
those five dollar plays and let's make it a profitable
night here, Steve. Just like well, the Houston Texans did
last night. Now that we know what the divisional round
is going to look like here Houston on its way
to New England, and we talked to Art earlier and
Art said, listen, whatever we see right now, we're likely
going to see maybe some different moves in different numbers
as the week and of course the limits rise. But
he also showed that looks like Denver in some spots
is already starting to get a little bit of love
in the marketplace because they were a dog to open.
We talked about that yesterday, Steve, and now it looks
like in a lot of spots Denver minus one here,
and it wouldn't shock me if this continent used to
go in that direction. How about you.
Speaker 4: It's tricky because I think the situational setup, as we
talked about yesterday, definitely favored the Broncos and they were
a home dog. They were a one one and a
half point home dog Monday yesterday and we first started
talking about it. Now they're a pick them to one
point favorite in most spots, and historically speaking, having to
buy having home field has been worth four to five points.
It's a strong situational set up. Buffalo also last second
win come from behind when on the road now, traveling
cross country, playing in the thin air and altitude on
a short week against arrested team, huge situational edge for Denver.
The problem is, I'm not a believer in Denver. I
want to fade them. I think they're a phony one seed.
They won the majority of their games by less than
a score this season, and that does mean something. But
then again, they're the better defensive team as well, So
we get the situational set up the better defense with Denver,
I can understand why there has been some money coming
on the Broncos and why they're a slight favored now.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and also I mean, now that we know it's
Houston and New England, two and a half is what
the Westgate all with a couple of spots opened up
at two and a half late last night. But we
wake up here today and it looks like three across
the board here, and I think that it feels like
Houston could get a little bit public as the week progresses,
because that defense is what everybody focuses on. But if
we're being honest, Meryl, you know both offenses. I think
we question, right New England, who the hell have you played?
This will be the best defense they have played in
Houston all year long. And Houston, I mean three turnovers.
You can get away with that against Pittsburgh. I don't
know even get away with that with New England. So
this is a tricky game, and I think the market
I don't know that we get back over a field
goal here. I don't think we get to three and
a half at any point. We might get back down
to two and a half.
Speaker 4: Though, Oh we're geting to three and a half. Selth
point is dealing it right now. I'm looking at the
Ossite screen, Yeah, on Tuesday afternoon, and so I mean
this is we're seeing three a halbs. Even money, by
the way, in your defense, has happened about twenty five
minutes ago, so when you last look before the show,
it was three. But yeah, about one thirty eastern south
Point and some other books went to three and a half.
So we're definitely seeing it now. Total has not moved
and it's hovering on that key number of forty one one. Yeah,
about a three to four percent chance of game lands
exactly forty one points twenty one to twenty twenty four
to seventeen thirty one ten there's so many margins that
get you there. I will say last night, when I
was watching the game, thought that New England would be
at least a field goal favorite. So, you know, I
think two and a half was a bad opener. I
don't feel like Houston's necessarily a public team still. You know,
the Texans have been a fade the public team for years,
and they've gotten good the last few seasons. New England's
still a big name franchise. And I also watched the
game last night was thinking, how could you not play
the under? I mean, we just saw them play a
good Chargers defense. Texans statistically are the best d in
the NFL this year points allowed, nan yards allowed, and
LA held the Patriot offense and check. You know, the
big knock on New England this year was that they
didn't play anybody, and when they did step up against
good defensive teams, they were held in check at times.
With that said, though, you know, Joe, when you have
two teams coming off low scoring games, it seems a
little too obvious, right, So yeah, we'll see the under.
It seems like the play and at forty one there
is probably some value DraftKings has a forty and a
half already out there, but it's juice to the over.
Fan too has a forty one and a half Juice
to the under. Everybody else is a forty one. Yeah,
so you could definitely shop around right now in that total,
it's been moving a little bit depending on what book
you look at.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's funny. I have my Odds Logic page open, Maryland.
I don't have any books that'd see three and a half.
I got all books that say three circa said three.
But everything is getting juiced right now here on that side.
Now if we do go I'm looking.
Speaker 4: At Odds Logic. You don't have self point at three
half point?
Speaker 1: No, I don't have that as one of the books
that's on my page that oh I got you.
Speaker 4: Okay, Yeah, that's right, and that's one of the more
square books. To put it nicely out there. In Vegas,
they kind of limited winners at times, so that's interesting
as well that it's going up there. We'll see where
the public comes in. You know, all more data on
that hitting towards the week, and I'm gonna do videos
for all these games on Thursday and Friday, so we'll see,
you know, we'll see if Houston becomes a public team
or not. They just didn't look very impressive last night,
so I'm just not so sure the public's gonna be
jumping on board with them this week.
Speaker 1: Hey, I am showing fifty one percent of the ticket,
sixty three percent of the early money towards Houston. But
it's it's clear this might be one of those situations
where it might get split down the middle before it's
all said and done. But even all the books, the
Circus of the World, the even DraftKings, Bet MGM, superb
all are juiced big time here at minus three, So
that could be if you, I would say, if you
like New England, get the three, because it certainly seems
to be heading in that direction, doesn't it.
Speaker 4: Dave, Yes, Yes, and three and a half flat at Southway.
But there are some other books that have minus three
and a half even so you're exactly right. It's being
juiced on three juice the other way on three and
a half. You're not getting two and a half again,
that number's gone. I guess the only you know, little
point would be how much juice do you lay on three?
But yeah, minus three with New England, I'm pretty sure
it's gonna be the best number you get with the Patriots,
just depends on maybe how much juice you have to pay.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and it's that's gonna be an interesting one to
follow because it's still pretty new and early in the week.
We'll see what happens once the limits get jacked up there.
But we have seen a little bit of movement in
the total market with Chicago and the Rams as well. Merrill.
We're seeing forty nine and a half's now opened at
fifty one. It was kind of stagnant twenty four hours ago,
but it appears we've got we've got some under money
hitting the market with the Rams in Chicago, and I'm
that weather report gets a little bit closer. I'm sure
that's gonna flucch Awight as well.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and the Rams are a tricky team with totals
because they're as explosive offensively as anybody in the league,
but they're actually one of the best defenses. Also bears
good offense, not a good defense. And you know, I said,
Denver's kind of a phony number one seed. I think
it's because their offense is no good. Chicago, my opinion,
is a phony number two seed because I think their
defense is no good, so you could always, you know,
take some of that out of the equation by looking
at team totals Rams team totals twenty seven and a half,
Bears twenty two and a half. So you could just play,
you know, if you like the over in the game,
just play the RAM team total over twenty seven and
a half, because they do have a good defense that
could maybe hold Chicago and check. We saw Green Bay
hold them in check at times in the game a
few weeks ago, and even for the majority of the
game the other night. And let's not forget Jo. You know,
we talked about first quarter unders, first half unders. Yeah,
those did extremely well this week, even though some of
those games opened up in the second half. It's probably
another strategy of they'll need to work, especially on Saturday
when you have two teams at home that have been
laid off for a couple of weeks. You know, first
quarter under his first half hundreds if you like unders
and games, might be a better way to attack. In fact,
that New England game, let's look at what the first
half under is. First half under there is twenty and
a half. It's kind of an ugly number. Yeah, and
then first first quarter under in that New England Houston game,
it's seven and a half juiced under, well seven over.
I mean, it just shows they've caught onto that concept.
We got nine and a half's under in both games
on Saturday. Every good concept. I have the odds makers
priced me up. They do it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, job, the market jumps all over it. But listen,
we told you yesterday it was ugly. I mean it
was eighteen and a half nineteen I think in that
Pittsburgh and Us again, and it was sorry, it's uh.
I can't see us getting to twenty points in the
first half of that game, and they barely got to
nine last night, So that was that was a definitely
disgusting game last night. It looks like we've got some
bigger totals coming up this week, but those are the
big line moves early. But it's only Tuesday. Wait until
those limits start opening up and there's only four games
on the board, which means there's gonna be a lot
more public money flowing in at some point here during
the week, and we'll get you covered there, all right. NBA,
merrill back at it here tonight, boyt. That was some
ugly games. Last night in the Association, I had Dallas
and I almost couldn't watch it without trying to throw
up here, But they ended up getting you done for
us last night. Nothing worse than betting bad teams and
hoping for good things. But we got a couple of
those games on the board here tonight. So talk to
me here, give us an idea of some of these
games here, and give us a breakdown on what you're
looking at.
Speaker 4: Gonna look at two late night NBA games for Tonite
Hawks Lakers at ten forty Eastern also Portland. Golden stated
the eleven pm Eastern. We're going late night to say
the least here, and let's start with that Atlanta Lakers
game to ten forty eastern. Obviously some uncertainty with the
Hawks recent trades and whatnot. Porzingis has been ruled out
tonight with the achilles. Luke Canard is questionable to play.
But the big news here is that Doncic has on
the injury report and as of Tuesday afternoon, he is
questionable whether he's going to go tonight with the groin.
And that's why we see currently in this line is
Atlanta as a substantial road favorite here of a field
goal full field goal open minus one, it's now minus three.
Totals dropped a little bit from two thirty three and
a half down to two thirty one and a half.
Just not sure if I trust the Hawks yet to
be fully focused and ready to roll. With that said, though,
they are playing good basketball, three straight wins and covers
their last three. They've gone five and two straight up
and going back further, they're now seven and two against
the spread their last nine. But if you look at
the totals in these games, they've been staying under the total.
Six of their last seven have gone under, and it's
because their defense has started to show up here with
those three straight wins, it's been on the defensive side
of the ball. Lakers, meanwhile, zero and three straight up
in ats their last three, maybe don't have dontic tonight.
I would lean under in this game here between the
Hawks and Lakers. It's dropped a little bit, but still
some value under two thirty one and a half in
that game and then the late game at eleven PM
Eastern Portland and Golden State a similar situation here. Golden
State should be pretty focused after the loss in their
last game against Atlanta. That team the Hawks just beat
was Golden State. Warriors have still won three of their
last four straight up, though defense has been suspect, though
they've given up over fifty percent shooting in five of
their last seven games. But it might not matter tonight
because the Trailblazer is one of the worst offensive teams
in the league. They've shot forty three percent or worse
in three of their last five games, in five of
their last seven, and despite doing that, they have still
won five of their last six games straight up and
against the spread, a recent loss against New York. Not
a believer in Portland, though this line's gone from nine
and a half up to ten and a half. I
think they're a little bit of a phony team. Should
be a focused spot tonight for Golden State. I would
take a look at the Warriors and lay the ten
and a half in this one, so under Lakers Hawks
and a bounce backspot for Golden State minus the ten
and a half. Two late night games for Tuesday, and
don't forget it is five dollars Tuesday, I've got a
five dollar best bet in the NBA in a different game,
and also a five dollar college hoops best bet get
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great stop Meryll.
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about some college basketball games here tonight.
We'll start with one of them right off the bat
that you don't often see, and that is fog Allen
and Kansas being at home and being a dog, Meryll,
and that never ever happens, but that hows when Iowa State,
I guess comes to town right now. But this is
a pretty big road test for Iowa State here to
go to fog Allen. You know, Peterson Weathery plays long
enough for or doesn't play long enough. It feels like
he's you know, he's playing long enough in big twelve
games to get his twenty some points and then all
of a sudden his legs can't go and he's on
the bench when ice packs and everything else. So you
really got your moneys, weren't there, Bill self? My goodness?
But the question is do we trust in Iowa State team?
So win and win by you know, more than a
bucket is what it looks like. Now, this was as
high as four and a half before we started to
see some buyback. I think it's three now in a
lot of spots in the market. But man, you don't
get to see Kansas as a home dog very often here.
Speaker 4: Yeah, there is something to that, and obviously every team
is different every season, but when you have a historically
strong program, historically strong court like that, it does catch
your attention. And we talked about the NFL playoffs. You know,
blindly playing home underdogs for over forty some years now
has been a seventy percent playing in the NFL postseason.
We saw the Panthers almost win out as a double
digit dog, you know. We saw the Bears went out
as well, So I do put some credence in that.
It's very difficult to say lay the points here with that.
Iwa State, even though they are the better team on
paper this year also I was State sixteen, and oh
straight up, you know, we saw Michigan just lose recently.
I think Michigan's the best team in college basketball. When
you're undefeated and running like that, you almost start playing
tight at some point, Whereas I think Kansas has less
to lose here. They're off to a one and two
start in the conference. They're a home dog tonight, so
we'll dig into the matchup a little bit here. I
still have Kansas as a top twenty program, so it's
not like there are a much weaker squad this year.
There's still, you know, probably a four or five seed
in the NCAA Tournament. I was State, it's a one
or two seed. So this isn't a complete mismatch. And
then if you look at the pace of play, both
teams like an upper tempo pace of play. What it's
going to come down to, I think is really if
i Was State hits here at three pointers, the second
best three point shooting team in the country, yeah, forty
one percent. Kansas is the sixth best three point defense
in the country twenty eight percent. On the road, it's
tougher to shoot and make your shots. Hard to predict
three pointers, just like it's hard to predict turnovers and football,
and that's usually what decides both sports. But I get
a sneaking suspicion tonight, Joe that Iowa State might not
be quite as strong from three, and that could be
the difference in this game. So yeah, I think Kansas
definitely could pull the upset which is hard to believe.
We're saying it's an upset they beat I was stayed
at home.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well again, they're not going to shoot forty one
percent the entire season Iowa State from three, So this
could be this could be a little bit of a
regression coming here tonight at fog Allen. That place will
be rocking. Also, I can't figure out. One of the
other flips that we've seen here today is with my
boys in Stillwater in Oklahoma State and they opened up
as a two point dog with Baylor come into town.
But Baylor sucks. I don't care who they have in
the portal that came there at twenty eight years old
NBA player doesn't make a difference. I mean, they have
dropped three straight. Houston destroyed them seventy seven to fifty five.
They were two and a half point home dog there
and it wasn't even close. Oklahoma State. It's eleven and
zero back in gallagha Iva there. Now, they did cover
against Iowa State even though they got destroyed eighty three
to seventy one, but they were eighteen and a half
point road dogs in that one. The market is flipped it.
The market does not trust Baylor in this spot, so
they went from a two point favorite to now a
dog here. You know, Baylor zero and two in Big
Twelve road games so far. Oklahoma State much better at
home than they have been on the road. And I
gotta kind of agree with the market. I can't trust
Baylor offensively right now.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I rate these two teams almost dead equal, Joe
am I they're both barely top fifty teams. Like you said,
both off t the go. Oklahoma start off to the
Baylor off to the OZH and three starting conference. I
really don't think there's much of a difference between these squads.
So I think that's one of the reasons we've seen
some money coming to Oklahoma State. Is I just don't
as you said, I don't think Baylor should have been
a road favor. Minus two especially was a stranger. We're
a thought in this game, even at the Pickham price range. Now,
I think there's some value with Oklahoma State fifth fastest
tempo in the country. They like to get up and down.
Baylor likes that play at style of play as well,
so I don't think either team will be unhappy with it.
Both teams are very good offensive teams. Both offenses hold
the edge total, though has actually dropped one sixty eight
and a half down to one sixty six. We always
talk about how the highest totals go over, lowest totals
go under under. I think there's some value with the
over in this game, now over one sixty six and
at a Pickham range, I probably lean in Oklahoma State
is I favored them buy a couple of baskets here,
but the total might be the best way to attack this.
Two fast paced teams and two offenses that hold the edge.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I think that this should be a go.
And there's a lot of those across the board here
tonight in college basketball. It is a huge sleigh tier.
But we also have, of course, our mail bag that's
coming up here where some of the viewer question and
comments there from yesterday's show will highlight. But first, like promised,
we have a very special visitor, and I mean special
because the Pres is special. But Pres is here. He's
got a great opportunity for you guys tonight. Not to mention,
he's got an NHL rundown he's going to go through. So, Pres,
what do you got going for us here today?
Speaker 5: Joe and Airy thanks for doing this. It's time for
your NHL rundown, everybody, and I came on today's show
even though I made Day two of the poker tournament
and starting in an hour. I came on because I
have one of those must bet plays.
Speaker 1: Today.
Speaker 5: It's a customer appreciation Tuesday. It's five dollars and I
have one of my probably the single most consistently profitable
bet I ever make in my life, and it is today,
and it is.
Speaker 1: Very very rare.
Speaker 3: We only had one of these recently and we won it.
Speaker 5: Bottom line, guys, as I got a four percent NHL
play tonight. To give you perspective, this is a money
line bet. I am on an eight and two run
in these I am forty one and seventeen in these plays.
That's sixty seven percent since twenty twenty two.
Speaker 1: That is correct.
Speaker 5: Since the beginning of the twenty twenty two season. I
am forty one and seventeen in these plays. This is
as strong as it gets. It's only five dollars. Please
make sure make sure to bet this play, and make
sure to do it tonight. It also comes I have
an nfl ats five percent play. I got a promo
code inside there for you. Okay, guys, we've got our
NHL rundown coming your way. Let's get straight into it.
A whole lot of games tonight. We're going to start
right off the bat with Vancouver playing Ottawa. I like
the under in this game. It is six. Vancouver struggling
to score. We saw then put up a nothing against
the Leafs. Take under the total of six. Washington playing Montreal,
all I like this game to go under the total
of six as well. I also lean on Washington, but
I don't like the line. Tampa Bay playing Pittsburgh. I
like over the total of six here, guys, keep taking,
keep taking Pittsburgh games over. Keep looking to take Tampa
Bay games over. You should win on a regular basis.
Calgary playing Columbus. I look at Columbus here at minus
one forty against Calgary. Detroit hosting on the road playing
Boston tonight. I like under the total. You can get
a six and a half there, guys, so look to
take that. Carolina playing Saint Louis. Look, Carolina, this team
is going over, and Saint Louis they're struggling. I like
Carolina here, but I like them in regulation. I don't
want to lay minus one sixty five, especially with their
goaltending problems. Take Carolina in regulation. Take Edmonton and Nashville
to go over six and a half, and take Edmonton again.
I gave it out on my Instagram channel yesterday. Take
Edmonton again, New York Islanders playing Winnipeg. I like the
under in this game, and I like the under in
the Toronto Utah game. A great ever by Toronto last night.
Bad spot with Toronto as well. I do like Utah
and I take them in regulation, and I like Dallas
over Anaheim. Guys, thanks for listening, and please, if you
don't mind, five dollars head over grab my four percent
NHL money line bet. This is as big a play
as I give out, and they're very very rare.
Speaker 1: Thanks so much. Back to Joe and Steve. Always good
to see the press. Probably have to see him again tomorrow,
buts hopefully he gets through with that poker tournament wins
a few bucks. Either way, we're gonna call Shenanigans on
them when again. Back here tomorrow, Meryl, let's take a
look at the mail bag here, Steve. A lot of
folks love to see you here on the show at
the Best Betting Show ever, which is always great. Somebody
what I think it was ghost Win Sports wants to
know how much longer can the Bears continue to be
the cardiac kids and win games like they have done.
They can they run the table? Art said the Bears
would be devastating to the books in the future markets.
If the Bears actually get to the Super Bowl and
win it, that would be a That would be a
bad situation for the book. But I don't know that.
You feel like the rucket the luck is running out
here with the Bears. Meryl.
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're gonna be an underdog in every remaining game.
They'd have to win three more straight games, and underdogs,
they'd have to win four straight as a dog. Now,
it's not a coincidence that they make comebacks. They remind
me so much of not my Washington Commanders last season.
Young quarterback come from behind, wins questionable defense, and we
saw the Commanders come back down to earth. It was
my strongest season totals win play probably in several years,
under nine and a half. We've cashed it before their
bye week, and by the way, Dangles getting hurt it
was factored into that handicap because I thought he was
a ticking time bomb running the ball as much as
he does. Caleb Williams, bigger, stronger, doesn't run as much,
so that's not as likely. But you still win with
defense with championships. Now, I think Denver's a little phony
as well, because they don't have enough offense. And as
I pointed out yesterday, teams that win close games, margin
of victory matters, and that's how the points spread is said.
It's margin of victory and schedule strength. The Bears, the Broncos,
teams like that that keep having narrow wins, The Commanders
last year, the Chiefs last year fit that category, and
we saw how they regress this year. So yeah, I
don't think the Bears run the table here, and they're
definitely a regression candidate even next season, maybe if they
don't shore up that defense a little bit in the offseason.
Speaker 1: I agree there. Also, we've got Dennis Carter, ju says,
you know, John Elway used to be called the comeback kid. Meryll,
He says, he guess is Josh Allen has got to
be the new comeback kid. Listen, I could say Caleb
Williams is the new comeback kid. Would have spenny games
as they have done, but I think they've won in
the you know, in spite of him. But Josh Allen,
Now that's somebody that has not just been doing it
one season. He's all he does in December and January,
Steve is that when the game and the teams in
the competition is better, all he does is win games.
I mean, it's even against this defense of Denver, who,
by the way, over the last couple of weeks of
the season, is not the same suffocating defense that it
was earlier in the year. But he plays his best
against better defenses. He always has. That's just that's you know,
you don't come across that. But comeback, kid, I'm sure
he'd rather not have to comfort behind in the fourth
quarter of the second half, merrill of every game. But
it does feel a lot very But you know, John
Elway asked what we're getting from man.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's funny you mentioned that because that last question
I was about to say. You know another team that
comes to mind with all these comebacks and questionable defenses
the Buffalo Bills. Their run d gives up just like Chicago.
Both give up over five yards of carry that's half
a first down every time the team opponent runs the ball,
you can't. That's not sustainable normally. The difference, though, is
it's not a fluke. They come back because Caleboys was
playing great, Jayden Daniels played great last year and Josh
Allen's better than both of them. And what is it
I think now thirty six come from behind wins in
the fourth quarter or whatever that stat was they showed
last week it was thirty five as he was driving
down the field. I don't remember the exact qualifier. I
think maybe it was fourth quarter comeback in his career.
So now it's thirty six. So yeah, there's something to that,
right and John Elloy there was, and they're both really good.
They're MVP caliber quarterbacks. And I will say, you know,
we talked about this yesterday, like if experience matters, it's
like the Rams, the forty nine ers and maybe the Bills, Theos,
like the only three teams left in the playoffs that
you could say have any kind of big game experience,
whether in the conference title game or even the Super Bowl.
And there again you start looking at the quarterbacks for
those teams. Matthew Stafford's the favorite to be MVP. Drake
May is the second favorite, but he doesn't have the experience.
But Josh Allen is up there as well. He has
the experience. And I'll even throw rock Party. I don't
know if he has all the experience, but he's been
clutched now, been there for a few years. And was
he in the super Bowl? He made the super Bowl
that first year, right, yeah, but he.
Speaker 1: Didn't play because that's where they had to go, like uh.
Speaker 4: He when they remember his rookie year. If they made
it or not.
Speaker 1: To the NFC Championship.
Speaker 4: I believe they lost it home. I think to they
maybe the Eagles or somebody.
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, Josh Johnson, yeah yeah, yeah.
Speaker 4: So we have two and a half qualifiers Stafford and
Allen and then maybe Party. And I will say this
too about the Niners. You look up Mac Jones's numbers,
they were five and three with them. I think they're
like eight or nine and one now with Party this year.
Whatever the record is, Mac Jones is like yards per
pass QB rating, We're almost identical in the games he played.
So could also make an argument maybe the San franc
system is just good and you know, Shanahan and whatnot.
But yeah, if you really break it down, simplistically, it's
gonna be Rams Bills, right, but I still don't trust
that Buffalo defense. But that's another reason I'm not big
on Chicago. They'd have to get through both the Rams
and Seattle, who I think are probably the two most
complete teams right now.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, he actually did. He actually made it to
the super Bowl. They lost to the Chiefs in twenty
twenty four. You're right, twenty three, twenty four, right, and
five and two in the playoffs, so.
Speaker 4: You know, Okay, Yeah, I thought he maybe made his
rookie season because that's where he came out of nowhere,
started the second half of the season and had the
monster run. Okay, so I throw him in the mix.
He's got super Bowl experience, yep. I'd say, if you
can win the conference championship, you have experienced at that point.
Speaker 1: We got there, I agree. Yeah, And now you know,
and they've pulled off some upsets his rookie year twenty
twenty two. They ended up beating the Seahawks in the
wild card. They beat the Cowboys in the Divisional, but
they lost to the Eagles. That's when they had the
go I think wildcat or whatever the hell that was.
It was Actually he was araz It's been that long.
Speaker 4: I thought two rookie Seaton, Yeah, yep, man ten years old.
I could tell you every score of every Super Bowl
for the first twenty years, and I can't even tell
you played in it two years ago. I didn't remember.
I knew they were in it recently. And that might
start irrelevant hewers out there, but it's just like you're
talking about twenty games every day and every sport. It
just starts to yep, overload.
Speaker 1: First rookie quarterback since Russell Wilson in twenty twelve to
win a playoff game. That's who he is, Mister irrelevant
kind of and nobody puts him in that category. It's
so funny nobody looks at him that. But I mean,
the guy is certainly when it comes to experience, you
have to take what he brings to the table pretty well.
And again to go on the road and do it
was pretty down impressive even against you know that Philadelphia offense.
But we'll the luck run out against Seattle this week.
I don't know, are we really banking on Sam Donald
if you had, I mean, just from a quarterback perspective,
who's got more experience? Brock Perty or Sam Donald in
his spot.
Speaker 4: Great, great point. I was just going to say there
was a name I did not mention during that whole conversation.
If you were calling it was on purpose. I did
not mention Sam Donald. He does not quit. He does
not fit any of those qualifiers. Now Drake May doesn't either,
but May's just like the second of the MVP odds
right now. So I think he's had a slightly better
season than Donald. Yep, strall, you know Strald that has
had some wins in the playoffs. But if you really
look at it, it's an interesting system to use as well.
In the NFL. During the regular season, we talked about
Kansas being a rare home dog.
Speaker 1: Yep.
Speaker 4: Getting the better quarterback as an underdog price in the
NFL is probably. I haven't back tested that. Probably should.
You'd have to put some quantifiers on it. You'd almost
have to do it by hand, because you know, I
don't know you quantify who was the better quarterback maybe
career QB rating or something, or for that season. You
could do something like that. But the eyeball test, I
think we would all agree that party has had the
better career consistently than Donald getting him as a dog
of a yep. And we also have the quick revenge spot,
you know, Bowl rematches. The team that lost the regular
season game is five and one. The only one that
buck that trim was all miss beating Tulane is like
a three touchdown favorite, and that's a quick rematch there
too with Seattle San fran YEP. I'll be interesting to
see what the public lines up on that one.
Speaker 1: Five and two in the postseason with Super Bowl experience,
you know, let me know when Sam Donald gets those
you know, five wins in the postseason, Let's see how
that rolls out there. But that's why I got to
play the game, and they'll do that on Sunday. Final game,
I believe, of the two on Saturday. San Francisco Seattle
is the late game on Saturday, Buffalo and Denver is
the four to thirty game, and then Houston and New
England kicks it off on Sunday at three. So that
final game is going to be Rams versus Chicago this week,
and that'll be Sunday night at six thirty. So a
lot can happen between now and then, but we will
certainly keep you posting art the season all week long.
Steve Merrill always a pleasure man. It's been a lot
of fun having you on the show. And you and
I both press well Thursday Thursday exact press confirmed. Yes
he's flying.
Speaker 4: Apparently he told me today I'm doing to day and Thursday,
so you have him tomorrow. Yes, he's your responsibility, and
then Thursday were okay, and then Friday he get him again.
I would assume yes.
Speaker 1: Really think this would be great if we can only
get Brian Power in, that would be really a homecoming.
All good stuff. Merrill enjoyed the damn games here tonight.
Reminded people it is five dollars Tuesday, right, everything up
over at wager talk dot com for us.
Speaker 4: That's right, it could be a simpler. Look at that
a blink and approved five dollars Tuesday, instant eighty percent
discount on every play. Normally it's twenty five for one.
Best bet, you're getting both plays of mine NBA and
college hoops night for his five dollars each five dollar Tuesday.
Self explanatory. As we say in the business.
Speaker 1: That's correct. Go get him. His is all locked and loaded.
I got one in college basketball ready to go, guys,
So make sure you hit that like subscribe button and
make plans to come back and join us again tomorrow
and merrill, we'll see you apparently on Thursday. Enjoy the games, guys,
we'll see you tomorrow