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Speaker 1: Welcome to wager Talk today, the gold stand of the

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sports betting shows where he talked the talk and walk

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the Walk. It's five dollar Tuesday at wager Talk. We're

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coming off a strong start to the week. We got

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another loaded slate, we got a lot of games to

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break down. Jesse's gonna give us his top college football

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teams to fade, and we're gonna talk the Knicks and

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the Celtics. Nice rivalry there in the NBA. Brian Power

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is gonna join us. We're gonna talk Thunder Warriors big game,

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and then Florida versus Duke college basketball. And then my

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good friend the pres is gonna join us. We're gonna

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break down Thursday Night Football, but he has a big

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play in that one. So instead we're just gonna go

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back and forth about a couple of other big games, Bears, Packers, Chiefs, Texans.

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So leaving the chat, what your guys' thoughts are were?

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This is a huge, huge weeks and weekend of NFL games,

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So Telsea, you like Bears, Packers, Chiefs, Texans. Then he's

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gonna talk Lightning and Islanders, and I'm gonna close out

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with breakdown on the Timberwolves. Pelicans and Grizzly Spurs, really

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good betable games, got some good information and some props

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in those games. So we're gonna break all that down.

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We got big names, we got big games. It's a big,

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big Tuesday. Let's get started. Just let everybody know. My

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flight got in way late last night. I landed in

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Indianapolis in the middle of a snowstorm. So been a

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little bit behind this morning. But let's bring in Jesse,

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a man that has never a little bit behind. Jesse,

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Happy Tuesday, How are you?

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Speaker 2: I'm all right, Andy, got some much needed winning last night.

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I certainly needed it after a pretty devastating holiday weekend.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's talk a little bit of winners. We got

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award a winner from our bet last week. You and

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I went head to head on Ole miss and Mississippi State,

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and I came out a winner. And I'm not sure

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there were a whole lot of winners out of the

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Lane Kiffin situation.

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Speaker 2: But Mississippi might have won the game, they lost the war.

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Speaker 1: Andy, that's true. So we do this when we go

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head to head. Everyone puts their username in the comment

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section along with which Hadi Kapper they wanted to go

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along with so anybody that put Andy in there was

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eligible for a winner, and the winner is our good

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friend Natural eight. Congratulations Naturally eight. You get a free

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three day pass. So all you have to do is

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email support at wager talk dot com. Just tell them

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that you were the big winner and you get a

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free three day pass. You can use it on myself,

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you can use it on Jesse. We got a lot

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of big plays, so congratulations. You've been with us for

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a long time, so congratulations, Naturally, you're the big winner.

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All right, Jesse, let's talk about a couple teams here

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to fade. You know, we're getting down to the end

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of the season here, let's start with UNLV. We're looking

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at fading them. Tell us why we're looking at them.

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We're not why we're not supporting them this week.

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Speaker 2: I love this game, Andy, I really do. I mean,

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this is a rematch of last year's Mountain West Final,

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and of course Boise State won that handily by a

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score of twenty one to seven. In fact, Boise State

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just owns UNLV. So you got to look at it, like,

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why are they only a four point favorite? In fact,

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I think they opened as a three point favorite. Well,

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you look for reasons. Why is this line so short?

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I guess Boise State eight wins, UNLV ten wins, So

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that's one reason right there. But if you look at

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strength of schedule going by Sagarin, it's not that that

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different to Boise State has the eighty third rank schedule

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and UNLV one hundred and ninth. But it feels like

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a bigger deal to me. Boise State, of course played

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Notre Dame and South Florida lost both those games. But

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UNLV hasn't played anybody. In fact, they've only got one

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win against a team with a winning record, and that

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was Hawaii at home. So you want to hang your

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hat on a win over Hawaii at home, I'm not

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sure you belong in the conference championship game they did play.

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These teams played in the regular season. Boise State won

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by a score of fifty to thirty one. Now, Boise

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State did lose their starting quarterback Maddox Madson a few

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like over a month ago. Max Cutworth, the backup, has

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come in. He threw for three hundred and forty one yards,

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two touchdowns, no picks on twenty six of forty four

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passing last week against Utah State. He's had four or

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five games to get familiar with the offense and get

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comfortable in this spot. And Maddox Madsen wasn't the star

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of this team anyways. This team is built on the

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running game, their offensive line, those guys are all still here.

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It should be more of the same. In my opinion,

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I think Boise State is far and away the better team,

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and on a neutral field, I think they win this

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by double digits. And getting them less than a touchdown

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to me, is a steal. UNLV has the eleventh ranked

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run defense in the Mountain West. They're giving up one

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hundred and seventy five yards per game, and keep in

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mind a really soft schedule. Their defense was just atrocious

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all season long. And Boise State has its shortcomings, but

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scoring points against soft defenses isn't one of them. Boise

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State big for me.

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Speaker 3: Andy.

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Speaker 1: When we get kind of towards the end of the year,

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are you looking more at teams that you want to

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bet against or teams that you want to bet on,

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or is it game by game situation? I mean, I

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know you're trying to figure out the transfer portal and

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the coaching situations on a lot of these games. So

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is there a particular angle that you're really looking to

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focus on. Because you talk all the time about teams defate,

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it really seems like this is a play against UNLV

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more than anything.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think, you know, we got off to a

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good start by fading teams and it felt like I

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found my niche Now I feel like we're we're just

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gonna roll with that, and we have. And last week,

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you know, it was really unfortunate. Ole Miss pulled away

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late and really dominated that game despite the distraction. I

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will say my analysis of what a distract that Lane

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Kiffen's situation would be was not far off. That turned

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into even a bigger shit show than I expected it

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to be. They're even releasing releasing audio tapes of him

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chatting up college girls, and I mean it, trust me,

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it's gonna get a lot uglier for Lane Kiffen.

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Speaker 1: You gotta admit, it's kind of a match made in heaven.

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LSU and Lane Kiffen, Like it's kind of a it's

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kind of a perfect little little matchup.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not I'm not a fan of either

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of these teams, but I'd love to see it blow

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up in LSU's face, just you know, for the sake

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of it.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you have two entities in Lane Kiffen and

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LSU where it always blows up. What's what's the most

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logical outcome a ten year symbiotic relationship. No chance?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's how I see it as well.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's move to another team that you're looking to fade.

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We're looking at by you interesting team to fade here.

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Why are you off them this week?

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Speaker 2: Well, this is less of a fade of BYU and

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more of the fact that Texas Tech is just in

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a league of their own in the Big Twelve and

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really against most of college football. In fact, if you

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look at who spent the money in NIL, Texas Tech

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spent twenty five million, which is exactly how much they

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promised Lane kiff and he gets dispend at LSU. But

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apparently only two teams spend twenty five million or more,

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and it was Texas and Texas Tech. So they've got

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the best roster money can buy, and they're far and

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away better than every other team in the Big Twelve.

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They ranked first in scoring defense, They're only allowing eleven

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points per game. They ranked first in total defense two

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hundred and fifty eight yards per game and they're eleven

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and one. Their only loss came on the road at

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Arizona State, who won the conference championship last year, and

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they had their backup quarterback in that game and it

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was kind of a shocking result. Aside from that, they've

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steamrolled the competition in the Big Twelve that includes BYU.

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They won twenty nine to seven. That game was only

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a few weeks ago. This a neutral site game, but

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it's in Texas. I think BYU is in big trouble.

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I think BYU is, you know, they're a solid team.

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They're solid on both sides of the ball. I like

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their coach, who may or may not be on the

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way to Penn State. By the way, but BYU won

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a few games that they had no business winning. I

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don't think they're as good as Utah, and they managed

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to beat Utah somehow, but I still think Utah is

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a far and away a better team than BYU. And yeah,

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the big news is now Penn State is offering Sataki,

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probably big. I don't know. I haven't heard the numbers,

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but I have to assume the Penn State has been

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thoroughly embarrassed and they're ready to unload the kitchen sink

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and do whatever it takes to get Sataki to leave BYU.

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And I'm not going to go with the same angle

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I went with with Lane Kiffen last week, because I'm

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going to go out on a limandy and say, however

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Kali's attack, he handles this, it's gonna be with a

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lot more class than Lane kiffin.

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Speaker 1: Low bar bar just that, but I mean a picture

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like clothes. I'm sorry, I just kicking it off this

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this laid Kivin thing Texas Tech. So we do have

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a kind of a revenge factor here. They they dropped

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BYU twenty nine to seven. It looks like is that

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factor in at all? Or is this completely new game? Doesn't?

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Speaker 2: Doesn't sounds like you're brewing up a bet there, and

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he sounds like you're you're thinking about back in the Mormons.

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Speaker 1: Care to make things interesting, I'll do it.

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Speaker 4: I'll do it.

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Speaker 1: Give me a little bit back, Yeah, let's run it back.

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Let's do it. I'll take I'll take the revenge factor here.

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So if you're on Texas Tech, I'll be on. I'll

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be on BYU. So let's do it again. This is

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our our weekly tradition here. So all right, comment section,

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you know what to do after the show is over.

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Put in the comments section whether you agree with Jesse

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on Texas Tech or Andy on b YU. Make sure

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you put your wager talk use your name. Whoever wins,

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we'll pick aside and you're gonna win a free three

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day pass. Natural eight was the big winner. And it

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looks like there's gonna be a lot of Jesse's in

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the comments section here.

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Speaker 2: Jesse's, Well, the chat's also gonna have the benefit of

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knowing whether It'sataki got the Penn State job or not,

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so that line could move. A lot could change between

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now and next week.

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Speaker 1: That's all right. I got faith in my Mormons, I

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got friends out, I got friends out there. Come on

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bringing home BYU. So, all right, Jesse and I going

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head to head again. You guys can benefit. Put in

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the comment section. It's gotta be after the show is over.

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We checked the comments, not the live check, not the

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live chat, So comments section below, Yeah, Jeff, make sure

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you put that in the comments right after the show

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is over. That way we can we can keep track

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of everything. All right, Jesse, Let's move on to the

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NBA Knicks Celtics. Nice rivalry obviously, you know, don't have

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Jason Tatum here, But Celtics team that not completely giving

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up on the season. What are the surprises to me?

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If Boston is playing with a much slower pace than

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I thought they were going to. I figured they'd be

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you know, running gun, shoot as many threes as possible.

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Not so much. It's pretty short line here, Knicks minus

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two over under two point thirty. How do you break

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down the Knicks and the Celtics.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think this is the wrong team favorite situation, Andy.

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The Knicks appear to be the better team. They're sitting

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in first place in the Atlantic. Two and a half

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cames up on Boston. They won four straight, but look

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at their home away splits. They're three and five on

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the road. They're ten and one at home. Let's look

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at their road wins. How about at Charlotte, at Dallas,

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at Brooklyn that those are the teams you've beat on

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the road so far this season. Now you're gonna lay

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points at Boston. Count me out and og and an

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Obi is out, and I know all the talk will

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be on Tatum being out and people probably overlook and

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an Obi being out. You got to keep in mind,

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when Annanobi first came over from Toronto, the Knicks went

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on some kind of incredible winning streak, like eighteen of

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nineteen games with Annobi in the lineup. Then he got

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hurt and they started to suck again or not suck,

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but you know they weren't quite as good. I mean,

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he's an excellent defender, an excellent all round player, and

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they certainly do miss him. Boston, they've won six of

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their last eight, five of their last six at home.

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They did win one seventeen to one point fifteen at

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Cleveland in their last game. Peyton Pritchard forty two points

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in that game. And you mentioned Jason Tatum. In my mind,

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Jalen Brown is the MVP. You remember, he won the

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finals MVP. And here's a little bit about how you

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can trust AI Andy, because I wanted to look at

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some quotes what Jason Tatum was saying after Jalen Brown

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won MVP, because I remember he was quite salty about that.

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I think we all remember Tatum being salty about Brown

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winning MVP. But AI quote says Tatum was not angry

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about Brown winning MVP. He was actually very happy and

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congratulated him. So be careful what you get from the

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AI search engines. Tatum is still salty. Brown is still

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the more valuable player, more dependable. Tatum might be the

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guy the flashy score more points, more athletic, more talented,

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but Brown delivers on a nightly basis. The Celtics still

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have some dudes. They're still the better team on their

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home court in my opinion, wrong team favored go Boston.

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Speaker 1: Looking up AI to see if Jason Tatum was indeed

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mad at Brown. That's a new use for AI.

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Speaker 2: I thought it was funny that AI conclusively he determined

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that he wasn't salty at all.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, so funny. Oh, really really good stuff. Jesse,

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all right, it's five dollars Tuesday. Tell everyone, what do

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you have up?

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Speaker 2: I do have a college basketball total up for five

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dollars Tuesday, coming off a three and oh sweep on Monday,

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and as far as Thanksgiving weekend and all that, that's

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in the past. We're not going to talk about that.

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For those of you who saw my performance, you know

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we're not talking about that. We're moving forward, Andy.

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Speaker 1: Very Well said, Jesse very Well said, Hey, listen, we

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all go on winning streaks. We're all going losing streaks

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perfectly fine. It's five dollars Tuesday. Grab Jesse's best bet

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and if you like Jesse's take on Texas Tech, put

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that in the comment section Texas Tech covers and we

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pick you. You win a free three day pass. Jesse

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great segment is always great. Talking to you every Tuesday.

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Best of luck, my friend.

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Speaker 2: Thanks Andy, Jesse Shule.

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Speaker 1: Everyone one always doing a great job to get us

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kicked off on Tuesday. It is five dollars Tuesday. Every

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handicapper can put up a five dollars play every Tuesday.

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I do an NBA player prop. That best bet is up.

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I've attached another one to it, so you get two

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plays for that one and being up been great the

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last few days. Props are just a big up and

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down throughout the course of the season. But the last

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few days haven't been my best work, so really looking

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to turn that around. Just want to be honest with

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you guys that NBA Player Props hasn't been my best

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sport the last three days. But looking to get a

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winner tonight. So if you want to join me, do that,

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and I will also tell you this. We have a

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cricket play that is in the middle of playing right now.

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As soon as that game is over, a four percent

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best bet is going to go up. It's half price.

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As soon as it goes up, it will be half price.

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Do what you want with it. It's very juicy. I will

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just tell you. After the show's over, I will be

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going around to the kiosks at various casinos around me,

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and I will be playing it as much as I

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can do with that, with with what you want. That

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will be up later today. Let's bring on Brian Power. Brian.

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Happy Tuesday. How are you sir?

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Speaker 4: Good?

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Speaker 3: Sorry to miss you last week, Andy, I was traveling,

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but happy to be back here talking to Oklahoma City

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Thunder as I think I do every Tuesday on this spot.

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Speaker 1: We could give you worse teams. You have to break

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down the Sacramento Kings or Charlotte.

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Speaker 3: There's twenty nine worst teams in the NBA and the

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Oklahoma City Thunder. I think we can all agree on that.

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Not much we can agree on life, but I think

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that is something we can agree on.

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Speaker 1: Every time I log in and I think, I was like,

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you know what, I should take the Oklahoma City Thunder

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over their season win total. I'm just like, no, they're

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gonna regress and then you know what, you know, it

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doesn't happen. They regress. Ye, they're like they're like crazy regressed. Yeah,

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it really is. So well, let's break this one down.

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We're gonna start you off with the Thunder and the Warriors.

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This is what's amazing about the Thunder. Bartenstein's out for

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a couple of weeks, dort is going to be out,

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Crusoe is going to be out, and they're minus eleven

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and a half. There's just no other team where you

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can just be missing these key players and they're just

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gonna be these big favorites. They just next man up

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over under his two to twenty four and a half.

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How do you break down this game?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, there's a key injury on the other side too,

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obviously that we'll address here in just a minute. But

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let's start by reminding everyone what they already know. Thunder

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are by far the best team in this league. They're

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won of four teams in league history to have opened

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a season by winning twenty of their first twenty one games.

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They've won twelve in a row now by an average

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of fifteen and a half points per game. Their defensive

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rating per Hollinger is by so far and away the

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best in the league, and I feel comfortable saying right

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now on December twod ok see pardon me, for the

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second straight season is going to finish number one in

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defensive rating by a wide margin. Now. As great as

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Oklahoma City is, the points spread canon usually is the

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great equalizer worth noting Thunder have failed to cover the

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spread straight coming tonight. They've also failed to cover six

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of their last eight over all. Here. As you mentioned,

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they're being asked to lay double digits on the road

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against a Golden State team that will not have Steph Curry.

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These teams last met on November eleventh. That was a Tuesday.

352
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And yes, I did go back in the archives because

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I thought I broke that game down here on wager

354
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Talk today, I did. I said to back, okay see

355
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three weeks ago they were at home for that particular matchup.

356
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Sure enough, they ended up winning one twenty six to

357
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one O two and easily covered the eight and a

358
00:18:32,079 --> 00:18:34,920
half point spread. Bigger number here, and they're on the road,

359
00:18:35,759 --> 00:18:38,400
but I see OKAC covering again. Golden State has been

360
00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:40,640
no great shakes themselves at the betting window as of

361
00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:43,319
late one and five against the number their last six

362
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,359
and no Curry is obviously huge. No Al Horford either

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for the words he missed the last meeting. I just

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don't see how the Warriors score andy here. I remember

365
00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:55,920
I talked about the thunders outstanding defensive rating earlier. They

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did not have Jalen Williams for first nineteen games, including

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the first meeting with the Warriors. And I'm gonna add

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00:19:01,039 --> 00:19:03,920
one more angle for you if you if you look

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at the number and say I don't want to lay

370
00:19:05,559 --> 00:19:06,960
that many points on the road, I don't care that

371
00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:10,039
curries out. Well, consider betting Golden State under its team

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00:19:10,079 --> 00:19:12,160
total of one O five and a half. Guys I

373
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already mentioned earlier with Curry. The Warriors were held at

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one O two by okayc three weeks ago against New

375
00:19:18,279 --> 00:19:20,920
Orleans on Saturday. The Runds is a very bad basketball team.

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00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:23,160
Golden State won that game. It was their first game

377
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without Curry. The Warriors did win, but scored only one

378
00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:30,119
O four. Honestly, as I kind of speak those words

379
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:34,200
into existence, that team total Unders probably best would have

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played this.

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Speaker 1: I have to agree with you on that one.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

383
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Speaker 1: There is some chat in the live chat about line

384
00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:44,839
moves in the NBA, and guys, you gotta be careful

385
00:19:44,839 --> 00:19:47,599
about these line moves. They're they're very easy to move

386
00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:50,599
lines before you get to the finalized lineups later on

387
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in the day. Like Teddy has talked about numerous times,

388
00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:56,559
you'll drive yourself crazy trying to chase line movement NBA.

389
00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:58,799
These lines just move up and down. It's really easy

390
00:19:58,799 --> 00:20:01,759
to move it a couple point, So don't worry about

391
00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:03,240
a line move early in the day.

392
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:05,759
Speaker 3: Rob Veno on Full Court Press this morning had a

393
00:20:05,799 --> 00:20:07,960
really good point that he had been talking to someone

394
00:20:08,039 --> 00:20:09,920
years ago that you know, if you're just if you

395
00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:13,240
get so preoccupied with line movement, you're going to become

396
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:14,880
a fifty to fifty batter and lose on the big

397
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so and I thought that was well stated by Rob.

398
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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, it doesn't take a lot to move lines

399
00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:23,720
this early in the day. So yeah, it's just be

400
00:20:23,799 --> 00:20:26,400
really careful if you're concentrating that much on it. So

401
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:30,960
all right, let's move to college basketball here Florida versus Duke.

402
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:33,599
I don't know much about these teams, but looks like

403
00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:35,400
Duke is going to come in here at the favorite

404
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:38,039
eight and a half over under one fifty six and

405
00:20:38,039 --> 00:20:40,799
a half. How do you break down Florida and Duke. Yeah.

406
00:20:40,799 --> 00:20:42,920
Speaker 3: On a more positive note, I like Mark Martin's comments

407
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:44,559
and the chat. Thank you, Mark, that was very nice

408
00:20:44,559 --> 00:20:46,799
of you to say, let's talk about Florida and Duke

409
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:50,880
here real quick plug I mentioned Full Court Press submitted ago.

410
00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:53,839
Every Monday through Friday, we are live here on the

411
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:57,039
wage you Talk YouTube channel ten a m Eastern, myself

412
00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:00,640
Adam trigger Rob Veno breaking down the entire college basketball

413
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,079
card for the day. We touch on all the big

414
00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:04,920
games such as this one Duke in Florida, some out

415
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,559
of the radar matchups as well. Dare I say you

416
00:21:07,599 --> 00:21:09,759
will not find another show on the entire Internet that

417
00:21:09,799 --> 00:21:12,200
goes as deep into college hoops on a daily basis

418
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than Full Court Press. And those of you who have

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been watching Full Court Press regularly already know I have

420
00:21:18,039 --> 00:21:20,359
not been that high on this Florida team this year.

421
00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:23,319
Defending national champs are just one and six against the number.

422
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They've suffered two straight up losses as well, season opener

423
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versus Arizona, and then, more surprising, they lose as an

424
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eleven and a half point favorite to TCU and an

425
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:35,400
MTE last week. Gators have since bounced back. They did

426
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:38,319
beat Providence to close out that MT in San Diego.

427
00:21:38,759 --> 00:21:41,240
That's multi team event for those keeping square home. But

428
00:21:41,319 --> 00:21:43,799
I still question this new backcourt mix for the Gators.

429
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:48,000
You got two transfers, Lee from Princeton, Flann from Arkansas,

430
00:21:48,599 --> 00:21:51,319
and we talked about this on the first week of

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00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:54,640
Full Court Press. We thought those two would not mesh

432
00:21:54,759 --> 00:21:57,759
all that well. Okay, Florida could rely on Walter Clayton

433
00:21:57,799 --> 00:22:00,799
in their backcourt this year. This backcourt right now on

434
00:22:00,839 --> 00:22:03,519
December two has not been that good. It's let the

435
00:22:03,519 --> 00:22:06,920
team down. On The Florida front court is outstanding. Ken

436
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:10,160
Palm has done with the eighth highest offensive rebounding rate

437
00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:12,640
in the country. It's a clear strength there. But where

438
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,559
the Gators do struggle guys is from behind the arc.

439
00:22:15,559 --> 00:22:18,559
They're shooting is twenty seven point seven percent from three.

440
00:22:19,079 --> 00:22:22,039
Is that number going to improve in their first true

441
00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:26,839
road game at Cameron Indoor, of all places? Probably not so.

442
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:28,960
I think the key to this game is whether or

443
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:33,319
not Florida's size on the interior can contain contain Duke's

444
00:22:33,319 --> 00:22:36,559
stand up freshman Cameron Boozer will foul trouble be an

445
00:22:36,599 --> 00:22:38,359
issue for the Gators here. I think that's another question.

446
00:22:38,599 --> 00:22:41,599
We've got to consinder spreads update and a half. My

447
00:22:41,759 --> 00:22:44,000
view is what you're gonna see here we talk about

448
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:47,519
line movement. The line may continue to go up. I

449
00:22:47,559 --> 00:22:49,519
think some sharper groups are gonna wait and see how

450
00:22:49,599 --> 00:22:53,440
high this number gets and take the points. I'm going

451
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:56,119
to advise you to not do that. My power ratings

452
00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:57,640
say the current spread is a few points short of

453
00:22:57,680 --> 00:22:59,920
where the numbers should be, So I would bet do

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00:23:00,039 --> 00:23:03,480
Duke sooner rather than later. Duke is just a much

455
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:08,920
better basketball team than Florida right here in early December

456
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:11,200
college basketball.

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Speaker 1: I know it's early this season. Any teams that are surprising,

458
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:17,680
teams that are look way above everybody else, teams that

459
00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:20,079
are disappointing. What are you seeing so far earlier in

460
00:23:20,079 --> 00:23:21,240
the season, if anything.

461
00:23:21,599 --> 00:23:24,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I'm kind of you know, early on,

462
00:23:24,319 --> 00:23:28,200
there were some teams that, you know, we're just fine.

463
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,519
I think things have kind of even Outlook my top

464
00:23:30,599 --> 00:23:33,839
sixteen the order changes a little bit, but my top

465
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:35,880
sixteen in the power rings are the same top sixteen

466
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:38,720
in the Ken Palm ratings. You know, teams that have

467
00:23:38,759 --> 00:23:40,920
fallen way short of the mark. We actually talked about

468
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,839
Bilo Sell High spots today and Full Court Press. You've

469
00:23:43,839 --> 00:23:45,799
got a loyal the Chicago team that's oh and eight

470
00:23:45,839 --> 00:23:48,759
against the number no team. I've not downgraded any team

471
00:23:48,799 --> 00:23:51,920
in the country more than the Ramblers. Rip Sister Gene.

472
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,079
I think I don't know they just I guess they're

473
00:23:54,079 --> 00:23:57,119
still in morning in loyal of Chicago. It's not gone well.

474
00:23:57,440 --> 00:24:00,319
Oregon has been a disaster at Owen seven again to

475
00:24:00,319 --> 00:24:03,920
spread the one team that continues to impress from a

476
00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:06,119
points spread perspective. As you see San Diego, they're an

477
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:09,119
actually and there's they're undefeated six and all against the

478
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:13,119
spread and a dog tonight at Nevada. That's an interesting spot.

479
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:15,200
So if you guys want to check out what we

480
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:18,000
did a whole segment actually on Bilo sell High on

481
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:19,680
Full Court Press today. People can check that on the

482
00:24:19,759 --> 00:24:21,680
archives if you missed it live.

483
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:26,000
Speaker 1: That's like the most valuable information you're gonna get. Like

484
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:28,319
free picks and breakdowns is great, but when you can

485
00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,880
give people their own information about Hey, these are the

486
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:33,759
teams that are underachieving, look for regression. These are the

487
00:24:33,799 --> 00:24:36,359
teams that are overachieving. Look for aggression. That's the most

488
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,400
valuable things that we can do on these videos. So

489
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:41,519
make sure you guys are checking out Full Court Press

490
00:24:41,519 --> 00:24:43,240
that what you get all that information. It helps it

491
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:45,960
helps out with with your own bets as well. So

492
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:49,039
when is that show again, Brian and A.

493
00:24:49,319 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 3: And Eastern Monday through Friday. So yeah, every every ten

494
00:24:54,039 --> 00:24:56,599
day on Eastern Monday. I will be off on Thursday

495
00:24:56,599 --> 00:24:59,160
because I am doing the Blitz on Thursday, and I

496
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:02,240
pleaded with Tray. I said, treg two hours of live

497
00:25:02,519 --> 00:25:04,519
stuff is it's kind of taken a little bit on

498
00:25:04,599 --> 00:25:07,720
me during this time during the holidays, So I apologize.

499
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:09,599
I will be af Full Court Press on Thursdays week.

500
00:25:09,599 --> 00:25:12,440
But we've got the Blitz Ross Benjamin, Ralph Michaels, and

501
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:16,559
myself that is live immediately following you Andy on Thursday,

502
00:25:17,759 --> 00:25:21,920
we're gonna be breaking out Conference championship Saturday. What a

503
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:25,920
odd conference championship Saturday as some of these some of

504
00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:30,319
these conferences need to redo how they do tie breakers.

505
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:33,440
Speaker 1: In my opinion, well, it's going to be a party

506
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,960
here where I live. Man. I you versus Ohio.

507
00:25:35,759 --> 00:25:38,319
Speaker 3: State, I know, number one, I know, the only thing

508
00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:40,279
that sucks is it's like I feel for a number

509
00:25:40,279 --> 00:25:42,359
one versus number two game, the stakes are kind of

510
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:45,640
low because unless if it's a blowout, both of them

511
00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:47,079
are getting buys into the playoff.

512
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:50,200
Speaker 1: But yeah, let me ask you about this because so,

513
00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:53,680
first off, one of my best friends, he's diehard Ohio State.

514
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:56,920
So I and I have been friends for like decades

515
00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:59,680
since since we got out of college. We've never had

516
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,319
a football rivalry. I went to IU, he went to

517
00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:05,279
Ohio State. Now all of a sudden, it's serious. And

518
00:26:05,319 --> 00:26:08,079
now he's al sudden, really stand offish and doesn't want

519
00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:11,519
at all buddy buddy about football. Yeah, oh yeah, he

520
00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:16,000
is very defensive about football now. But we were trying

521
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:17,839
to figure out is this gonna be a great game

522
00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:19,680
or is this gonna be You got two teams that

523
00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:21,720
are going to the playoffs? Do they want to show anything?

524
00:26:22,079 --> 00:26:24,839
Do they just run very vanilla schemes? And this turns

525
00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:27,559
out to be not that great of a game. What

526
00:26:27,559 --> 00:26:30,079
do you do if you're if you're these two I'm fascinating.

527
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:32,559
Speaker 3: I'm trying to figure that out myself. Yeah, I'm trying

528
00:26:32,599 --> 00:26:35,079
to figure out myself. I'll be honest, I actually show

529
00:26:35,079 --> 00:26:36,920
a little bit of value. I did at the opening

530
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:40,319
number on the dog there on Indiana, we've seen some

531
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:43,440
money come in on the Hoosiers as well. Look, Ohio State,

532
00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:45,160
we all understand this, and I don't think anyone can

533
00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:47,720
fault Ryan Day. He understands college football. It's not a

534
00:26:47,759 --> 00:26:50,119
twelve game season anymore. It's a sixteen game season. They

535
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:52,759
won the national championship last year, so they played the

536
00:26:52,759 --> 00:26:56,279
full sixteen games. There's been load management and I don't

537
00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:58,799
and for the it's funny, everyone's like, oh Ohio State

538
00:26:58,799 --> 00:27:00,920
hasn't really shown me much at They cover the spread

539
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:03,400
in every game except the one against Perdue where they

540
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:07,200
are favored by you know, ten billion points, so the

541
00:27:07,319 --> 00:27:08,960
number was a little lower than ten billion, but you

542
00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:10,839
get you get the drift. There was a large number

543
00:27:10,839 --> 00:27:13,759
against Purdue, so you know, Ohios, you really can't complain

544
00:27:13,799 --> 00:27:15,920
what they do. And then Indiana Andy yrsaid I can't

545
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:18,079
fall you know. At the same time, Signetty should be

546
00:27:18,079 --> 00:27:20,279
loud the other new kid on the block. It's funny

547
00:27:20,279 --> 00:27:22,119
you talk about how this has not been a rivalry

548
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:26,400
Ohio State in Indiana. I can't remember how long. I don't know.

549
00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:27,720
You guys don't want to wait for me. To leave

550
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:29,599
through the Phil Steel book. I'm sure it has the answer.

551
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:33,079
But the last ten times these teams have met Ohio

552
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:36,119
State and Indiana, Ohio State's been a double digit favorite every time,

553
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:39,000
including last year. That was Indiana's kind of first big

554
00:27:39,039 --> 00:27:41,480
test on the national scene, right, they started out strong,

555
00:27:41,519 --> 00:27:44,559
they failed. We'll see. This is a better Indiana team

556
00:27:44,559 --> 00:27:48,880
this year with Mendoza, so we shall see about what happens.

557
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:50,319
I have not made up my mind yet how I'm

558
00:27:50,319 --> 00:27:53,200
betting that game. I'm assuming I am going to have

559
00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:54,000
a play on it though.

560
00:27:54,839 --> 00:27:58,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, they playing the opposing team of Ohio State, just

561
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:01,279
playing their team total under it's just been it's just

562
00:28:01,319 --> 00:28:04,279
been printing tickets. This is just one of the best defenses.

563
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:06,920
Speaker 3: They play slow. That's the other thing with the loadmatgement

564
00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:09,480
in terms of in terms of you know, how long

565
00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:11,799
they're taking to snap the ball. No team in the

566
00:28:11,839 --> 00:28:15,720
country was playing slower in terms of pace than the Buckeyes.

567
00:28:16,519 --> 00:28:19,359
Speaker 1: I wonder if that's a big thing that happens this weekend,

568
00:28:19,519 --> 00:28:22,319
like let's not let's not kill our guys, let's not

569
00:28:22,519 --> 00:28:24,880
run them into the ground, Let's let's take some time

570
00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:27,119
off the clock. So it should be a great game, Brian.

571
00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:28,599
What do you have up for five dollars Tuesday?

572
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:31,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, five dollars. I will be joining the five dollars

573
00:28:31,759 --> 00:28:33,440
parade as soon as I am done here, So in

574
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:34,839
just a matter of minutes, I'll be putting up a

575
00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:37,319
basketball play for five dollars. I do already have up

576
00:28:37,319 --> 00:28:40,359
a five percent play on my page wt dot Buzz

577
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:43,119
slash VP that is for the Thursday night game in

578
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:45,400
the NFL. We're coming off a nice five percent winner

579
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:48,599
on Sunday Andy the NFL Rams Panthers over. I think

580
00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:50,279
that was one of my probably better bets of the

581
00:28:50,319 --> 00:28:54,759
whole season. Uh. I'm notoriously pessimistic watching games, but even

582
00:28:54,799 --> 00:28:58,119
I was struggling to find reasons to be pat then there.

583
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:00,559
We just needed one touchdown in the second half, and

584
00:29:00,599 --> 00:29:02,319
I said, guys, I think we're going to do that.

585
00:29:02,359 --> 00:29:04,920
Said we did cash early in the second half. Very

586
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,519
happy about that. At the Commanders on Sunday night as well,

587
00:29:07,599 --> 00:29:10,400
that was a sweet guy. It was convulsed, convulsing in bed,

588
00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:12,400
try to not wake up my wife as I'm like

589
00:29:13,079 --> 00:29:15,839
I would have. I wanted to bet my life savings

590
00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:17,640
that Denver was going to score a touchdown on that

591
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:20,240
first possession in overtime. I've never been so sure of

592
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:23,400
anything in my life then, and I'm like, God, please

593
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:26,200
just go just come down, score, go for to and

594
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:27,759
miss it and then let's let's go home.

595
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:29,359
Speaker 4: So did lose.

596
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:31,240
Speaker 3: Let's mention this. I know someone in the show's, oh, well,

597
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:33,160
why don't you mention I did have the Giants last night.

598
00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:35,680
That what an abysmal start to the game.

599
00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:36,720
Speaker 1: That was for the g men.

600
00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:39,720
Speaker 3: But did get a little bit back andy in the NBA,

601
00:29:39,759 --> 00:29:41,680
where we're on a fourteen and two run, going back

602
00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:45,640
to last year, last year's epic playoff run Utah Jazz

603
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:48,079
first half plus the points did not need the points

604
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:51,480
in what was an outright upset of the Houston Rockets.

605
00:29:51,559 --> 00:29:53,599
So I think that covers a lot. We're seven to

606
00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:55,799
and one in the NFL. Oh, by the way, sides

607
00:29:55,839 --> 00:29:57,000
and totals last three weeks.

608
00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:02,599
Speaker 1: Nice. Nice. The first possession of overtime is so unfair

609
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:07,039
to the defense. It's so unfair. They're tired and now

610
00:30:07,039 --> 00:30:08,599
all of a sudd they're gonna go right back out

611
00:30:08,599 --> 00:30:09,319
on the field to play.

612
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:09,519
Speaker 4: Well.

613
00:30:09,519 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 3: Well, there was an argument the announcement Collinsworth and right,

614
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,400
that's the game that. Yeah, Collinsworth and Tarrico, Uh, we're

615
00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:17,759
bringing up point that if you were Washington, that Denver

616
00:30:17,839 --> 00:30:20,759
defense was so gassed after that last drive to tie

617
00:30:20,839 --> 00:30:25,240
the game, there was probably an art while strategically there's

618
00:30:25,279 --> 00:30:26,920
the argument, all wait to see what you have to do.

619
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:30,440
Your offense needs to do that that's a strategic advantage.

620
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:32,960
But they were making the case and I didn't disagree

621
00:30:33,119 --> 00:30:36,039
that Denver's defense was so gassed Washington probably should have

622
00:30:36,079 --> 00:30:36,920
taken the ball first.

623
00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:41,279
Speaker 1: Absolutely, I agree agree, just just try to ride that

624
00:30:41,319 --> 00:30:44,440
tired defense out. So all right, Brian, great stuff. Five

625
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:46,160
dollars plays going up in just a bit, Thank you

626
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:48,960
very much. Great segments, and Brian breaks down all of

627
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:52,200
these college basketball games on Full Court Press and the

628
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:54,480
Blitz on Thursday. Brian, thank you very much. Good luck

629
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:56,079
on five dollars Tuesday. We'll see you next week.

630
00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:56,759
Speaker 4: See and.

631
00:30:59,039 --> 00:31:00,839
Speaker 1: All right, guys, we are going to do all around

632
00:31:00,839 --> 00:31:05,039
the world and the double NBA games breakdown. After we

633
00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:07,559
talked to Lawrence, but we got to bring in pres,

634
00:31:08,079 --> 00:31:10,480
we got to talk some NFL, we got to talk

635
00:31:10,559 --> 00:31:14,440
some NHL. Happy Tuesday, How are you.

636
00:31:15,319 --> 00:31:18,039
Speaker 4: I'm awesome, many thanks for having me. Man listening to

637
00:31:18,119 --> 00:31:22,440
the show. Brian so good, really, you know, over and

638
00:31:22,519 --> 00:31:28,680
under on how many plaid shirts? Brian actually odes, Oh

639
00:31:28,759 --> 00:31:30,599
what a great twelve and a half.

640
00:31:31,079 --> 00:31:33,119
Speaker 1: Oh, you were going way high. I was gonna say,

641
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:34,079
like six and a half.

642
00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:37,759
Speaker 4: I'll take the over, take the over, six and a half,

643
00:31:37,759 --> 00:31:38,240
I'll take.

644
00:31:38,119 --> 00:31:44,359
Speaker 1: The I gotta tell you, Lawrence, your beard looking great? Yeah,

645
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:46,160
so really good.

646
00:31:46,599 --> 00:31:54,799
Speaker 4: So I was noticing my beard. And Jeff Ulbridge is

647
00:31:54,839 --> 00:32:00,480
that his name? Defensive coordinator for the Atlanta Falcons, an

648
00:32:00,519 --> 00:32:03,240
ex in turn head coach for the New York Jeff's

649
00:32:03,279 --> 00:32:08,480
from last year? Remember him? Okay, that's I feel like

650
00:32:08,559 --> 00:32:11,400
I look like him. And he's pretty ugly, so that

651
00:32:11,559 --> 00:32:16,880
kind of sucks. But I think I look like him. Dude.

652
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 1: I've been told if I put on a headset and

653
00:32:21,039 --> 00:32:23,960
a hat an Ohio State shirt, I basically look like

654
00:32:24,039 --> 00:32:24,880
Ryan Day.

655
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:28,759
Speaker 4: I basically couldn't you know who you look like?

656
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:29,200
Speaker 1: Coach?

657
00:32:29,319 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 4: And I'm not allowed to tell anyone. I've been banned

658
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,000
from telling people who you look like.

659
00:32:35,759 --> 00:32:38,319
Speaker 1: It's getting I get more the older I get, the

660
00:32:38,359 --> 00:32:41,599
more and more people apparently I look like it's Jeff Saturday, It's.

661
00:32:41,559 --> 00:32:44,119
Speaker 4: Ryan Day, it's Jeff Saturday.

662
00:32:44,319 --> 00:32:45,319
Speaker 1: It's Jeff Saturday.

663
00:32:45,599 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, we know what. Everybody knows it. Yeah, everybody knows it.

664
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:52,920
So you want to talk you want to talk some

665
00:32:53,079 --> 00:32:54,599
bear packers with me?

666
00:32:54,759 --> 00:32:57,599
Speaker 1: Hey, well yeah here, Well little promo. We were going

667
00:32:57,640 --> 00:32:59,400
to talk about the Thursday night game, but you have

668
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,599
a big best bet up in that game.

669
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:07,119
Speaker 4: So yeah, so I have. Yeah, you see Panda twice

670
00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:09,359
in about an hour. We can make it a triple

671
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:11,359
if you want to watch the best betting show ever.

672
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:15,039
It'll be up very very soon, and we do have

673
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:19,279
we're working on a live one day every blue Moon

674
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:21,960
live version of that. We'll talk about it later. But yeah,

675
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:26,559
I got I got my first ever five percent NFL

676
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:31,640
parlay ever. I have never released a five percent parlay

677
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:34,839
bet in my entire life. Uh, this is my favorite

678
00:33:34,839 --> 00:33:41,240
parlay ever and it's plus money. The first leg is

679
00:33:41,519 --> 00:33:46,839
on Thursday. This is a plus money parlay. You guys

680
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:50,599
can get it for a half price. Andy, what do

681
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:56,160
you think the promo code is for my hal price?

682
00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:01,359
Speaker 1: I hope it's h af fIF or something I should

683
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:01,680
have done.

684
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:07,160
Speaker 4: It's half price, ah, j ol Alf Remember there is

685
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:14,320
in al hal price is the promo code. So head

686
00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:17,559
over and grab that. It's my first ever five percent

687
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:21,400
NFL parlay. I have over sixty fur percent in parlay

688
00:34:21,519 --> 00:34:27,440
bets since January of twenty twenty four. I am eleven

689
00:34:27,559 --> 00:34:30,920
and seven in NFL is here and it is a

690
00:34:31,159 --> 00:34:34,599
plus money parlay. Thank you for asking.

691
00:34:34,679 --> 00:34:38,079
Speaker 1: Bro. All Right, well, let's since we're not going to

692
00:34:38,119 --> 00:34:39,880
talk about that game. We don't want you to uh

693
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:42,119
to spoil your your best bet. But it's a great

694
00:34:42,119 --> 00:34:44,880
weekend of games. I mean, this is make or break weekend. Here.

695
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:49,039
Let's talk Bears, Packers, Chiefs, Texans. Let's start with Bears

696
00:34:49,079 --> 00:34:53,920
Packers here. Listen, you can only play who they put

697
00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:56,280
in front of you. And Chicago has done their job,

698
00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:58,559
which is beat the teams that everyone in the front.

699
00:34:59,159 --> 00:35:02,400
I think this has been a really spectacular coaching season

700
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:05,760
where you're kind of rebuilding, but you're getting the most

701
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:07,400
out of it. And I got to tell you, don't

702
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:12,639
look now. This Chicago Bears running offense is terrifying going

703
00:35:12,639 --> 00:35:16,079
into the playoffs. They have two legit running backs, their

704
00:35:16,159 --> 00:35:19,519
offensive line has improved a lot. Caleb Williams isn't making

705
00:35:19,559 --> 00:35:21,840
the big mistakes. This is the team that has kind

706
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:25,000
of the recipe for playoff success. I've enjoyed watching them

707
00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:27,320
get better. You got green Bay still is a minus

708
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:29,960
six and a half point favorite to me, Give me

709
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:31,840
those Bears points all day long. What do you think

710
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:32,840
about this one? Yeah?

711
00:35:33,199 --> 00:35:36,000
Speaker 4: And I agree with you, Andy, So let's start there. Firstly,

712
00:35:36,119 --> 00:35:39,039
seventy nine percent of the tickets written right now are

713
00:35:39,199 --> 00:35:42,920
on the Chicago Bears, and sixty nine percent of the

714
00:35:43,079 --> 00:35:47,119
money is on the Chicago Bears. Yet the line hasn't changed,

715
00:35:47,159 --> 00:35:51,719
so we do need to be careful because obviously there's

716
00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:56,440
some substantial and I don't want to say money, but

717
00:35:56,760 --> 00:36:01,039
just some well respected individual rules that are bet in

718
00:36:01,119 --> 00:36:04,199
green Bay right now. I'm with you, Andy, I think

719
00:36:04,199 --> 00:36:06,840
the play is the Bears. And this is a very

720
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:12,119
interesting spot for the green Bay Packers because one would say, well,

721
00:36:12,199 --> 00:36:14,880
is this a bad spot for them? They just played

722
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:20,000
Detroit on Thanksgiving in what was an absolute must win

723
00:36:20,159 --> 00:36:23,599
game of green Bay and now they're in a must

724
00:36:23,599 --> 00:36:27,320
win game the next week against the Chicago Bears. I

725
00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:30,519
think it's a better spot for Chicago than it is

726
00:36:30,559 --> 00:36:33,400
for green Bay. And what I gotta look at this

727
00:36:33,760 --> 00:36:36,320
look how I look at this game is can the

728
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:37,840
Bears win this game?

729
00:36:38,199 --> 00:36:38,440
Speaker 1: Well?

730
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:42,039
Speaker 4: Why the hell not. They went into Philadelphia and beat

731
00:36:42,119 --> 00:36:47,119
Philadelphia handly, Andy, I mean handily. They ended up winning

732
00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:52,320
twenty four fifteen. And it's not like green Bay has

733
00:36:52,599 --> 00:36:55,800
been lights out this year. Yeah, three game win streak.

734
00:36:56,079 --> 00:36:59,000
Two of those games were against Minnesota and the New

735
00:36:59,079 --> 00:37:03,159
York Giants, and the last game against Detroit basically came

736
00:37:03,199 --> 00:37:07,159
down to who converted fourth downs. Green Bay converted to

737
00:37:07,719 --> 00:37:10,920
Detroit missed two. That was the difference of the game.

738
00:37:11,519 --> 00:37:16,280
This green Bay Packers team has lost at home to Carolina,

739
00:37:16,679 --> 00:37:20,480
has lost on the road to Cleveland. Now, I do

740
00:37:20,559 --> 00:37:23,920
think they're a better team than Chicago, and I think

741
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:26,719
that there is a fair chance they win both of

742
00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:32,400
these games against Chicago. With that said, it's just too

743
00:37:32,559 --> 00:37:36,480
many points. I mean, this game has field goal written

744
00:37:36,519 --> 00:37:39,159
all over it. I would not be blown away if

745
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:43,079
Chicago won. And the other thing, Andy, is what you said.

746
00:37:43,480 --> 00:37:47,199
The run game coming out of Chicago right now has

747
00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:51,400
changed everything. And not only that, but it's helped the

748
00:37:51,480 --> 00:37:56,400
passing game. It's created space. It also slows the game down.

749
00:37:56,760 --> 00:38:00,360
It keeps their defense off the field and nice and fresh.

750
00:38:00,760 --> 00:38:05,039
It keeps their opponents offense from getting into sync. I

751
00:38:05,119 --> 00:38:07,480
agree with you, Andy, I will take the nine and

752
00:38:07,599 --> 00:38:11,639
three Chicago Bears plus the six and a half, and

753
00:38:12,199 --> 00:38:15,519
I think this game is a field goal game. Also,

754
00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:20,880
I want to shout out Whitney Murray. Whitney, lots of

755
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:25,639
love to you. I don't know who you are, but

756
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:29,280
I love you and I appreciate you. Shout out to

757
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:31,079
Whitney Murray. Everybody.

758
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:35,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean this is a Bears team number two

759
00:38:35,159 --> 00:38:37,519
on the season now, one hundred and fifty three point

760
00:38:37,559 --> 00:38:40,039
eight yards rushing per game, last three games, one hundred

761
00:38:40,039 --> 00:38:41,639
and seventy three. They're just getting better.

762
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:44,719
Speaker 4: They're just getting Yeah, and Andy, you mentioned the coaching.

763
00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:48,960
Ben Johnson is outstanding. I was talking to a hardcore

764
00:38:49,039 --> 00:38:53,960
Detroit Lions fan on Saturday night and I asked them,

765
00:38:54,440 --> 00:38:58,880
did you keep the wrong coach? And that is how

766
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:02,920
good Ben Johnson it is. I think they might have

767
00:39:03,119 --> 00:39:04,360
mocked up in Detroit.

768
00:39:04,440 --> 00:39:08,880
Speaker 1: Brother, they they could have those those coordinators were going

769
00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:11,559
to go somewhere, but there wasn't a whole lot you

770
00:39:11,599 --> 00:39:11,920
could do.

771
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:14,199
Speaker 4: But yeah, no, you could just get rid of Dan

772
00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:20,360
Campbell and fat Up. I mean impossible to do there.

773
00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:22,920
Speaker 1: Impossible, Yeah, yeah, impossible.

774
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:26,800
Speaker 4: Colin Gregory writes, Bears playing with house money at this point, Andy,

775
00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:28,960
let's let can we can we hijack the show and

776
00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:32,599
talk about house money or quick second, there's no such thing.

777
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:37,920
What the hell is house money? So Andy, if if

778
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:43,360
I win one hundred dollars spatting sports, is that one

779
00:39:43,440 --> 00:39:46,840
hundred dollars house money or is it my money? That I.

780
00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:52,440
Speaker 1: Know where you're going with this, I it's I'm on

781
00:39:52,480 --> 00:39:54,519
the fence about this whether it's house But when does

782
00:39:54,559 --> 00:39:57,559
it not? When does it start becoming your money and not.

783
00:39:57,679 --> 00:40:00,639
Speaker 4: The second they give it to you. This is the

784
00:40:00,639 --> 00:40:03,400
most black and white thing in the whole world. The

785
00:40:03,559 --> 00:40:08,119
minute you're handed money, it's yours and no longer theirs.

786
00:40:08,599 --> 00:40:13,920
And it is honestly one of the biggest problems in

787
00:40:14,000 --> 00:40:18,840
the world of sports betting. How many guys go to

788
00:40:18,880 --> 00:40:22,679
a blackjack table, turn one hundred into three hundred and

789
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:27,719
don't walk away. How many people make bets on Sunday

790
00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:32,199
at one pm, have a great first round of games,

791
00:40:32,519 --> 00:40:36,519
are now playing with house money, so they make extra

792
00:40:36,639 --> 00:40:41,760
bets at w and lose all their money. If I'm

793
00:40:41,760 --> 00:40:45,079
with you, Andy, I pay you. I pay you as

794
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:48,800
I pay you. I'm one of the owners of wager Talk.

795
00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:52,400
You're a worker I pay you, after I pay you,

796
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:53,639
is it my money?

797
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:57,800
Speaker 1: I gue what you're saying.

798
00:40:58,239 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 3: I do.

799
00:40:59,719 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 1: I give what you're saying.

800
00:41:00,559 --> 00:41:02,519
Speaker 4: This is the most black and white thing in the

801
00:41:02,519 --> 00:41:07,679
whole world. Do not ever assume that money that's yours

802
00:41:08,039 --> 00:41:09,400
is someone else's.

803
00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:12,920
Speaker 1: It's a great it's a great quote. I like that.

804
00:41:13,119 --> 00:41:15,679
Don't ever pretend that your money is somebody else's. All right,

805
00:41:16,000 --> 00:41:19,079
let's talk about Chiefs and Texans. Here's a Chiefs team

806
00:41:19,079 --> 00:41:21,039
that's not playing with house money. They may not be

807
00:41:21,039 --> 00:41:23,039
playing with very much money at this point if they

808
00:41:23,079 --> 00:41:26,800
lose this game six and six. Yet you know the

809
00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:29,360
line is still operating like this is the Kansas City

810
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:32,360
Chiefs team of old. They're minus three and a half

811
00:41:32,519 --> 00:41:37,320
over under a forty two. I mean, this Chief schedule

812
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:41,760
is it's so hard. It's just week after week, primetime game,

813
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:45,079
brutal matchup, and yet there's still favorites here even though

814
00:41:45,119 --> 00:41:48,400
there are five hundred. Do you think the Texans can

815
00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:50,480
put the nail on the coffin here on the Chief season?

816
00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:55,199
Speaker 4: Eddie Kowea, I'm gonna talk about this game and the

817
00:41:55,280 --> 00:41:58,599
Indianapolis Colts Jacksonville game all at the same time.

818
00:41:59,400 --> 00:42:00,920
Speaker 1: Okay, So.

819
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:06,239
Speaker 4: Jacksonville has won three in a row four or five.

820
00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:09,440
Indianapolis has lost a bunch in a row, three of

821
00:42:09,559 --> 00:42:16,719
four as well. Houston has won four straight games. Kansas

822
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:22,559
City has lost three of their last four. Both Houston

823
00:42:22,719 --> 00:42:27,159
and Jacksonville have basically been given to this by the

824
00:42:27,159 --> 00:42:30,360
bookmakers in general public. Yes, Andy, you saw that right

825
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:37,400
to this, to this, I mean, how insulting is it

826
00:42:37,519 --> 00:42:40,480
to both of those teams that they are coming into

827
00:42:40,519 --> 00:42:47,559
these games as dogs? So what that said? Bet both

828
00:42:47,599 --> 00:42:53,960
Houston and Jacksonville this coming Sunday. These are two extremely

829
00:42:54,119 --> 00:42:58,960
disrespected teams right now. And in regards to this KC team,

830
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:03,639
you can't lose to Dallas in a situation like that.

831
00:43:03,679 --> 00:43:06,760
This Dallas team is nowhere near as good as everybody

832
00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:09,079
thinks it is, and this team can't it out of

833
00:43:09,119 --> 00:43:11,840
its own way. They lost to Denver, they lost to Buffalo.

834
00:43:12,159 --> 00:43:15,000
I think Houston is coming and feeling good about themselves

835
00:43:15,000 --> 00:43:18,880
and Andy, like we saw with the New England Patriots dynasty,

836
00:43:20,480 --> 00:43:25,559
I think that teams want desperately to beat Kansas City.

837
00:43:26,039 --> 00:43:30,480
So when they are wounded and they are down, I

838
00:43:30,599 --> 00:43:34,559
think the teams playing against them are going to play

839
00:43:34,880 --> 00:43:38,360
the best games they can play. Kansas City's gonna be

840
00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:41,119
good for many years to come, just like what we

841
00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:44,880
saw with the New England Patriots. I think this is

842
00:43:44,920 --> 00:43:47,920
a field goal game. Brother. I don't think I'm gonna

843
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:51,679
get to the window on this game, but I really

844
00:43:52,000 --> 00:43:55,280
I gotta look to take the points here, and if

845
00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:59,199
you can get a hook Houston plus three and a half,

846
00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:02,880
this is sure a bet for me. I also like

847
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:05,119
the under in this game, Andy, and I know it's

848
00:44:05,199 --> 00:44:07,840
low at forty one and a half, but man, this

849
00:44:08,000 --> 00:44:12,519
Houston defense is just exceptional. They held Indianapolis to sixteen,

850
00:44:13,039 --> 00:44:17,079
Buffalo to nineteen, Tennessee to thirteen, Denver to eighteen, San

851
00:44:17,199 --> 00:44:23,000
frant to fifteen, Baltimore to ten, Tennessee to zero. I mean,

852
00:44:23,119 --> 00:44:31,440
look at these numbers, Andy, in their last nine games zero, ten, fifteen, eighteen, thirteen,

853
00:44:31,559 --> 00:44:36,480
nineteen sixteen. Two games went over twenty in their last seven.

854
00:44:36,960 --> 00:44:42,039
So let's take the dog and the under. What do

855
00:44:42,079 --> 00:44:45,119
you think about Indianapolis, Andy, I'm sorry to hijacked your

856
00:44:45,199 --> 00:44:49,880
show given that you're live in Indianapolis. How are the

857
00:44:49,920 --> 00:44:51,679
Colts favorite favored here?

858
00:44:52,519 --> 00:44:55,599
Speaker 1: Well, they shouldn't be. The fact is our quarterback is

859
00:44:55,599 --> 00:44:56,320
a broken leg.

860
00:44:56,719 --> 00:45:00,559
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, not only that they're still look Colts.

861
00:45:00,599 --> 00:45:04,320
It's not like they've changed their entire team from last year.

862
00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:07,519
Speaker 1: Well here's here's the thing. They started off strong, they

863
00:45:07,559 --> 00:45:12,159
were healthy, and on Thursday it turns out Daniel Jones

864
00:45:12,199 --> 00:45:15,199
is playing on a broken fibula, and then Saust Gardner

865
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:17,360
gets hurt on the first play of the game. So

866
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:20,440
you can make all the x's and o's arguments you want,

867
00:45:20,480 --> 00:45:22,440
but it's a league that comes down to health. And

868
00:45:22,480 --> 00:45:26,000
when your quarterback is cannot move laterally and he's a

869
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:28,760
mobile quarterback, it's a problem. And then when you have

870
00:45:28,840 --> 00:45:31,599
your best cover guy get hurt and now that's a cat.

871
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:33,880
Thank god it wasn't an achilles injury. I thought it

872
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:35,760
was Achilles right off the bat. It's a calf strain.

873
00:45:36,000 --> 00:45:39,880
But we know what those lead to. It's there. They're so.

874
00:45:41,519 --> 00:45:44,840
Speaker 4: So garden out for this game is a big deal.

875
00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:48,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, it's it's It's just it's bad timing for

876
00:45:48,960 --> 00:45:51,280
the Colts. The injury bug is going to get him

877
00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:52,840
and these are two injuries that just aren't going to

878
00:45:52,920 --> 00:45:55,639
heal in time for a playoff. Runt I fear so.

879
00:45:55,800 --> 00:45:57,920
I mean, you can't just rest a broken leg for

880
00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:00,920
one week and be fine. And Pardner's got this CAF

881
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:03,960
injury that's a month at least, So and you got

882
00:46:03,960 --> 00:46:05,280
to and then you got to decide do we really

883
00:46:05,320 --> 00:46:06,880
want to put him out there and risk what happened

884
00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:08,039
to Tyrese Haliburton.

885
00:46:08,199 --> 00:46:12,280
Speaker 4: So we talked a lot of NFL today, brother, of course.

886
00:46:12,039 --> 00:46:16,239
Speaker 1: Well let's talk a little NHL. You got Lightning versus Islanders.

887
00:46:16,679 --> 00:46:18,920
What do we know about these two teams? And where

888
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:19,880
are you going with this game?

889
00:46:20,559 --> 00:46:24,119
Speaker 4: Yeah? Well so, so I actually spoke about this game

890
00:46:24,159 --> 00:46:27,199
on the best betting show ever. I don't love the

891
00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:30,199
spot with Tampa Bay hare Andy. I mean, look, I

892
00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:32,119
think this is one of the best teams in hockey,

893
00:46:32,199 --> 00:46:34,599
and I've been saying that all year. This team has

894
00:46:34,679 --> 00:46:38,679
won six straight games, But they just beat the New

895
00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:44,199
York Rangers for to one, and they are holding teams down.

896
00:46:44,519 --> 00:46:47,320
The bottom line here is this is their third game

897
00:46:47,360 --> 00:46:51,360
on a road trip, which is not the best game

898
00:46:51,639 --> 00:46:54,679
or teams to win normally, and they're playing a New

899
00:46:54,760 --> 00:46:58,000
York Islanders team that has lost three straight. And I

900
00:46:58,039 --> 00:47:00,760
think this New York Islanders team is better than what

901
00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:05,119
we anticipated coming into the season. I think that at

902
00:47:05,239 --> 00:47:09,000
plus one twenty one, twenty five, one thirty. The value

903
00:47:09,119 --> 00:47:12,800
is on the New York Islanders here, Andy, and I

904
00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:16,480
do like the unders. So both the Islanders and the

905
00:47:16,599 --> 00:47:17,920
under me in this game.

906
00:47:19,719 --> 00:47:22,719
Speaker 1: All right. I've been liking Brandon Hagel over shots on

907
00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:24,360
goal props. It's been priced well.

908
00:47:24,320 --> 00:47:28,960
Speaker 4: Keith, So Andy on that shots be careful, okay, because

909
00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:32,280
if you take a look, the New York Islanders allowed

910
00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:38,320
Washington eighteen shots on goal, Philadelphia twenty one, Boston put

911
00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:45,159
up fourteen shots on goal Seattle nineteen, Saint Louis twenty two.

912
00:47:46,000 --> 00:47:49,760
This is one of the lowest shots on goal teams

913
00:47:49,800 --> 00:47:54,039
in the league, the New York Islanders, So be careful here.

914
00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:57,920
And it's a bad spot for the Tampa Bay Lightning.

915
00:47:58,079 --> 00:48:00,000
I'm not loving your Hagel shots.

916
00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:04,280
Speaker 1: I was just saying it's been good up until this point.

917
00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:05,920
It's six in a row, which means it's due for

918
00:48:05,920 --> 00:48:08,719
an under. The under might be the way to play it,

919
00:48:08,760 --> 00:48:11,400
and then get back to it once it goes under. Lawrence,

920
00:48:11,440 --> 00:48:13,360
it's five dollars Tuesday. What do you have about for everyone?

921
00:48:14,039 --> 00:48:17,159
Speaker 4: I got one NHL play up five dollars. You guys

922
00:48:17,159 --> 00:48:18,800
can head over and get that that's a three p

923
00:48:19,280 --> 00:48:22,880
three percent play. I'm on a fifteen and six run

924
00:48:22,880 --> 00:48:26,039
of those. I'm a sixty three percent on the season

925
00:48:26,880 --> 00:48:30,480
in my three percent NHL plays, and literally since the

926
00:48:30,519 --> 00:48:33,880
third week of the NHL season, I have been rolling.

927
00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:37,519
I also have an NBA and college basketball play up

928
00:48:37,679 --> 00:48:42,159
for my clients. Don't tell anyone, Andy, but I illegally

929
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:46,159
combined them in a package for five bucks. I know

930
00:48:46,239 --> 00:48:49,199
I'm not supposed to do that, so I wrote it

931
00:48:49,239 --> 00:48:52,599
as buy an NBA play and get a bonus college

932
00:48:52,639 --> 00:48:57,360
basketball play. Don't tell anyone, So five dollars you can

933
00:48:57,400 --> 00:49:02,280
get both my basketball plays, and dude, I am destroying

934
00:49:02,960 --> 00:49:07,840
the books in both college and NBA. My NBA is

935
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:12,239
up profit. My College Hoops thirteen and I've run, and

936
00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:15,559
I'm up profit in college basketball twenty one and eleven

937
00:49:15,599 --> 00:49:20,360
hoops run. So yeah, crushing it in hoops. Speaking of

938
00:49:20,440 --> 00:49:23,559
crushing it, Jay Crush Rights pres no best betting show

939
00:49:23,559 --> 00:49:27,400
ever today. Of course, there's a best betting show ever today.

940
00:49:27,679 --> 00:49:31,239
It will be up live in about ten minutes. Not live,

941
00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:36,280
It'll be on our YouTube channel, WAGINGTV in about ten minutes.

942
00:49:36,679 --> 00:49:39,599
And although I do not have official word yet, I

943
00:49:39,639 --> 00:49:43,519
am hoping to have our first ever live show, the

944
00:49:43,559 --> 00:49:49,119
best betting show ever live at one pm following you Andy, Friday,

945
00:49:49,199 --> 00:49:53,199
December nineteenth. But I do not have full confirmation of

946
00:49:53,239 --> 00:49:53,960
that yet.

947
00:49:55,000 --> 00:49:57,840
Speaker 1: I love it, I love it excited. Let's try and

948
00:49:57,880 --> 00:49:59,639
make that happen. Anything I can do to help, let

949
00:49:59,679 --> 00:50:03,079
me know, Lawrence Presman five dollars Tuesday, grab his play.

950
00:50:03,119 --> 00:50:06,320
Speaker 4: Thank you Lawrence, Thanks brother big On. Everyone take care

951
00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:09,159
of yourselves all right, He's.

952
00:50:08,960 --> 00:50:10,679
Speaker 1: One of the best. If we get some more likes here,

953
00:50:10,760 --> 00:50:13,639
give us an algorithm boost here, we're gonna go into

954
00:50:13,639 --> 00:50:15,199
some free plays well all around the world, and then

955
00:50:15,199 --> 00:50:17,280
I'm gonna break down a couple of NBA games before

956
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:19,320
we get out here. But again, it's five dollars Tuesday.

957
00:50:19,559 --> 00:50:23,039
I have my NBA best prop of the day sneakily

958
00:50:23,079 --> 00:50:25,280
attached another one to there, so you get two plays

959
00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:28,199
for five bucks up there. And again we have a

960
00:50:28,199 --> 00:50:31,480
cricket play that's live. Right now, We're looking pretty good here.

961
00:50:31,559 --> 00:50:34,519
We're minus eight thousand to win it live. When that

962
00:50:34,519 --> 00:50:36,480
play is over, there will be a four percent best

963
00:50:36,519 --> 00:50:39,119
bet that is up. It's very juicy. You gotta have

964
00:50:39,159 --> 00:50:42,199
pretty big juice tolerance to play it. I will be

965
00:50:42,480 --> 00:50:45,559
going to a lot of kiosks today playing that play,

966
00:50:45,639 --> 00:50:48,280
So it take that for what it's worth. All right,

967
00:50:48,360 --> 00:50:50,599
let's do all around the world here. We've got a

968
00:50:50,599 --> 00:50:54,960
big NBA slate of free plays here. So we're going

969
00:50:55,119 --> 00:50:57,960
to start with the Celtics Nicks, and we're gonna go

970
00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:00,639
Derek White under eighteen and a half points. He's just

971
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:03,039
not been scoring a lot this season under and four

972
00:51:03,039 --> 00:51:06,079
out of the last five games sixty eight percent under

973
00:51:06,280 --> 00:51:08,760
this season, and he's dealing with a calf injury he

974
00:51:08,840 --> 00:51:11,480
sat out last game. I don't like these calf injuries.

975
00:51:11,480 --> 00:51:14,760
They're terrifying. And the Knicks are fifteen points allowed this season.

976
00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:17,639
So Derek White under eighteen and a half points, all right.

977
00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:21,039
This play comes from Jeff Michaels off of the wager

978
00:51:21,119 --> 00:51:26,079
Talk Free picks page. This is an insane stat. We're

979
00:51:26,119 --> 00:51:28,800
fading the seventy six ers. The seventy six ers are

980
00:51:28,880 --> 00:51:33,159
one in sixteen ATS is a home favorite. Their largest

981
00:51:33,199 --> 00:51:37,000
margin of victory is ten points. In these games. The

982
00:51:37,079 --> 00:51:40,119
Wizards have covered three straight games as underdogs of nine

983
00:51:40,199 --> 00:51:43,360
or more points. So Wizards plus thirteen and a half

984
00:51:43,440 --> 00:51:47,159
Is this terrifying? Yes, but that trend is absolutely insane.

985
00:51:47,239 --> 00:51:51,039
Seventy six ers one in sixteen ats is a home favorite. Again,

986
00:51:51,239 --> 00:51:53,639
that comes from Jeff Michaels off of the free picks

987
00:51:53,679 --> 00:51:56,760
page over at wager Talk. Then the gold sheet has

988
00:51:56,840 --> 00:51:59,840
a player prop on the Raptors Blazers. Emmanuel Quickly over

989
00:52:00,079 --> 00:52:02,960
seventeen and a half points. Portland allows most points to

990
00:52:03,000 --> 00:52:06,760
appoint posing point guards Quickly average seventeen points in November

991
00:52:06,800 --> 00:52:08,840
and at last two games with lar J Barrett out

992
00:52:08,840 --> 00:52:11,400
of the lineup, he scored twenty two and nineteen points.

993
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:14,280
So we're gonna look at Emmanuel Quickly over seventeen and

994
00:52:14,320 --> 00:52:18,239
a half points tonight. All right, we're gonna break down

995
00:52:18,400 --> 00:52:24,159
a couple of NBA games for tonight. We're gonna start

996
00:52:24,159 --> 00:52:26,800
with the Timberwolves and Pelicans, and then we're gonna break

997
00:52:26,840 --> 00:52:30,679
down the Grizzlies and the Spurs. We'll start with Timberwolves

998
00:52:30,760 --> 00:52:34,639
and Pelicans. Here, Timberwolves nine and a half point favorites.

999
00:52:34,679 --> 00:52:37,079
At the time of recording. This two thirty two and

1000
00:52:37,119 --> 00:52:40,199
a half is the total Timberwolves. They're only twelve and

1001
00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:43,360
eight this season, and they've lost three straight road games

1002
00:52:43,400 --> 00:52:46,719
the last ten games. They're sixteenth in offensive efficiency, but

1003
00:52:46,840 --> 00:52:51,639
third in defense, fifteenth in pace. My worry with Minnesota

1004
00:52:51,639 --> 00:52:53,519
a little bit long term is are they just too

1005
00:52:53,639 --> 00:52:58,119
Anthony Edwards dependent and reliant? He scored thirty one plus

1006
00:52:58,159 --> 00:53:00,400
in five straight games, and I know that's that's a

1007
00:53:00,440 --> 00:53:03,599
great thing, but too much weird tear? Is the ball

1008
00:53:03,679 --> 00:53:06,199
moving a lot? Do they need to get more guys involved?

1009
00:53:06,280 --> 00:53:09,480
It's my worry with the Timberwolves here. Meanwhile, the Pelicans,

1010
00:53:10,320 --> 00:53:12,639
Oh the Pelicans. They're three and eighteen this season. They

1011
00:53:12,679 --> 00:53:15,360
lost twelve out of thirteen games. The last ten games

1012
00:53:15,400 --> 00:53:18,119
are twenty sixth in offense and twenty fourth in defense.

1013
00:53:19,159 --> 00:53:23,440
Zion I sadly I sadly am looking to be right

1014
00:53:23,480 --> 00:53:25,400
about this. I thought his NBA career was gonna be

1015
00:53:25,440 --> 00:53:28,079
a real struggle, and it's just not gone well this year.

1016
00:53:28,599 --> 00:53:31,679
Career low in points, career low, and rebounds career low,

1017
00:53:31,719 --> 00:53:34,559
and field goal percentage. They do not have their first

1018
00:53:34,599 --> 00:53:37,840
round pick next year. The good news long term is

1019
00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:40,320
it looks like they hit with Jeremiah Fears and Queen.

1020
00:53:40,599 --> 00:53:43,239
But that's for long term. So what do we expect

1021
00:53:43,280 --> 00:53:46,199
in tonight's game with this big total minus nine and

1022
00:53:46,239 --> 00:53:48,559
a half, minus ten and a half and the Pelicans

1023
00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:51,360
at home here with a total two thirty two and

1024
00:53:51,360 --> 00:53:53,559
a half. I'm actually gonna do a same game parlay

1025
00:53:53,599 --> 00:53:56,320
here for everybody plus money plus one thirty six. We're

1026
00:53:56,360 --> 00:53:58,559
gonna take the Timberwolves money line. I don't trust them

1027
00:53:58,559 --> 00:54:00,840
to win at margin, but I do think they're just

1028
00:54:00,920 --> 00:54:03,519
a much better team than this Pelicans team who's only

1029
00:54:03,519 --> 00:54:05,679
won three. So I'm gonna start with the Timberwolves money line.

1030
00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:09,519
I'm gonna take Anthony Edwards three plus made threes the

1031
00:54:09,599 --> 00:54:13,000
last five games. He's attempting ten threes per game, he's

1032
00:54:13,039 --> 00:54:15,800
shooting fifty percent, and the Pelicans give up the thirtieth

1033
00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:18,960
most threes this season. And then I'm gonna zigzag here

1034
00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:20,960
a little bit. I'm gonna take the Pelicans over one

1035
00:54:21,000 --> 00:54:24,400
oh eight and a half on their adjusted team total altline.

1036
00:54:24,599 --> 00:54:26,840
The last three road games the Wolves have given up

1037
00:54:26,840 --> 00:54:28,760
one hundred and thirteen, one hundred and seventeen, and one

1038
00:54:28,800 --> 00:54:32,039
hundred and fourteen, and home games that Zion has played

1039
00:54:32,079 --> 00:54:34,280
this season, the Pelicans have scored one hundred and twenty

1040
00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:37,760
eight in overtime, one forty three, one eighteen and one

1041
00:54:37,840 --> 00:54:41,559
twenty in overtime. So Timberwolves money line Anthony Edwards three

1042
00:54:41,599 --> 00:54:45,000
plus made threes, and the Pelicans over their alt team

1043
00:54:45,039 --> 00:54:48,400
total of one oh eight and a half. We move

1044
00:54:48,440 --> 00:54:53,119
on to the Spurs and the Grizzlies sneaky game. Here

1045
00:54:53,119 --> 00:54:55,400
we got the Spurs minus five, minus five and a

1046
00:54:55,440 --> 00:54:58,079
half with the over under at two thirty one and

1047
00:54:58,079 --> 00:55:01,480
a half. This game breakdown is pretty quick here. Grizzlies

1048
00:55:01,480 --> 00:55:03,480
are five and two the last seven games when John

1049
00:55:03,519 --> 00:55:06,760
Morant went out. We talked about this addition by subtraction. However,

1050
00:55:06,760 --> 00:55:09,079
it's not against great competition, but they are winning games

1051
00:55:09,119 --> 00:55:12,400
in those seven games, tenth in offense, sixth in defense.

1052
00:55:12,519 --> 00:55:14,960
The Spurs, they're five and two the last seven games

1053
00:55:15,159 --> 00:55:17,800
with Wemby out of the lineup. The Spurs are sixth

1054
00:55:17,840 --> 00:55:20,119
in offense. Now they're only twentieth in defense. But they

1055
00:55:20,119 --> 00:55:23,000
had to play the Wolves, Nuggets, Blazers, and Hawks. Those

1056
00:55:23,000 --> 00:55:25,440
are some high scoring teams. I'll tell you why I

1057
00:55:25,519 --> 00:55:27,519
like the under, I like the defense. These two teams

1058
00:55:27,519 --> 00:55:30,159
are playing the last five road games. The Grizzlies are

1059
00:55:30,159 --> 00:55:32,360
four and one to the under, and these teams played

1060
00:55:32,360 --> 00:55:35,360
without Wemby and John Morant in the lineups. On November eighteenth,

1061
00:55:35,559 --> 00:55:38,400
final score was one to eleven one oh one. I

1062
00:55:38,440 --> 00:55:41,679
watched that game and it was a very very slow

1063
00:55:41,719 --> 00:55:44,239
paced game on one side of the court, so when

1064
00:55:44,280 --> 00:55:46,039
they get into the half court, they run a lot

1065
00:55:46,079 --> 00:55:48,440
of clock on these possessions. So give me the under

1066
00:55:48,719 --> 00:55:50,400
on this one. If we're looking for a player prop,

1067
00:55:50,440 --> 00:55:52,599
take a look at Luke Cornett under seventeen and a

1068
00:55:52,639 --> 00:55:55,719
half points, rebounds and assists. He's not involved with Wemby

1069
00:55:55,719 --> 00:55:58,039
out of the lineup. He's gone under in five out

1070
00:55:58,039 --> 00:56:00,159
of the last six games. He only had seven p

1071
00:56:00,480 --> 00:56:03,519
against Memphis. I watched that game. He basically face guarded

1072
00:56:03,719 --> 00:56:06,639
Edie the entire game, and when Edie went out of

1073
00:56:06,679 --> 00:56:08,960
the lineup, so did Cornet. When Edie came in, Cornett

1074
00:56:09,000 --> 00:56:11,079
came in with him. That was his job to defend Edie.

1075
00:56:11,280 --> 00:56:13,039
He wasn't getting a whole lot of stats. So take

1076
00:56:13,079 --> 00:56:15,880
a look at Luke Cornette under seventeen and a half points,

1077
00:56:15,880 --> 00:56:18,840
rebounds and assists, and it is five dollars Tuesday up

1078
00:56:18,880 --> 00:56:21,639
at wager Talk. I have a five dollars NBA best

1079
00:56:21,679 --> 00:56:24,000
bet that is up attached another free play with that,

1080
00:56:24,079 --> 00:56:26,239
So if you want two NBA props for the price win,

1081
00:56:26,559 --> 00:56:28,599
go grab that. You can get there with the shortcut

1082
00:56:28,719 --> 00:56:33,159
WT Dot buzz slash al let's cash them five dollars Tuesday,

1083
00:56:33,400 --> 00:56:35,360
and remember you can get as many five dollars plays

1084
00:56:35,400 --> 00:56:38,000
as you feel comfortable with. We want you to bet responsibly.

1085
00:56:38,119 --> 00:56:41,079
Try out some new handicappers, try out your favorite handicapper.

1086
00:56:41,159 --> 00:56:43,679
For myself and for clients, we're in play for five

1087
00:56:43,719 --> 00:56:49,519
dollars on our NBA best prop on the board. All right, great, great,

1088
00:56:50,719 --> 00:56:54,000
great show. R J says they're using him different. New

1089
00:56:54,000 --> 00:56:56,320
location resign saves his career, They're gonna have to use

1090
00:56:56,360 --> 00:56:58,400
them different. Yeah, it's too much wear and tear on

1091
00:56:58,400 --> 00:57:01,639
his body. He's carrying too much. I like Zion, I

1092
00:57:01,639 --> 00:57:03,760
hate what's happened to him in his career. I hope

1093
00:57:03,800 --> 00:57:07,039
he's revitalized, but it's gonna take a big, big change.

1094
00:57:07,119 --> 00:57:09,400
I'm rooting for him, but he just went to a

1095
00:57:09,440 --> 00:57:12,280
bad organization who doesn't know how to develop him. And

1096
00:57:13,039 --> 00:57:15,320
so many times in these major sports, where you go

1097
00:57:15,800 --> 00:57:18,440
is almost as important as the talent. So hopefully they

1098
00:57:18,480 --> 00:57:21,360
develop him and he flourishes the older he gets. But

1099
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:24,360
it's definitely an an 'll pill battle. So all right, guys,

1100
00:57:24,360 --> 00:57:26,159
thank you so much for joining us. It's good to

1101
00:57:26,199 --> 00:57:28,039
be back in the studio. Good to be back with

1102
00:57:28,079 --> 00:57:31,159
you guys, and thank you so much. Congratungratulations Natural eight

1103
00:57:31,400 --> 00:57:33,639
for the free three day pass, and again, put in

1104
00:57:33,719 --> 00:57:36,079
the comments section right after the show whether you agree

1105
00:57:36,239 --> 00:57:38,679
with Jesse's take on Texas Tech will they cover? Or

1106
00:57:38,719 --> 00:57:41,159
whether you agree with me that by you will cover?

1107
00:57:41,519 --> 00:57:43,320
Put your wage or talk to user name in the

1108
00:57:43,360 --> 00:57:46,280
comments section with Andy or Jesse which side you agree on.

1109
00:57:46,519 --> 00:57:48,800
Whoever wins, we'll go and pick one of the winners

1110
00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:51,440
and you'll win a free three day pass. Really like

1111
00:57:51,480 --> 00:57:53,880
these bets that we're doing, and thank you so much, guys.

1112
00:57:53,920 --> 00:57:56,079
Let's have a big five dollars Tuesday. We'll be back

1113
00:57:56,079 --> 00:57:59,039
tomorrow's same time, same place, with another big show. Good

1114
00:57:59,119 --> 00:58:00,679
luck on your bets tonight. Take care