WEBVTT 1 00:00:01.040 --> 00:00:08.519 Welcome to the Auction Brief. There's a joy in these 2 00:00:08.599 --> 00:00:12.919 games or not, taking you on a journey through fantasy football, 3 00:00:13.279 --> 00:00:18.640 the law, and life. These all your It depends on 4 00:00:18.679 --> 00:00:23.039 how much you want. And now you're legal analyst and 5 00:00:23.120 --> 00:00:26.800 auction draft expert here to help you dominate your fantasy drafts. 6 00:00:27.160 --> 00:00:36.520 Your host, Drew Davenport, there are full hearts. Hey, hey, everybody, 7 00:00:36.600 --> 00:00:39.880 welcome into the Auction Brief. As the lady said, I'm 8 00:00:39.920 --> 00:00:41.880 your host, Drew Davenport, and thank you so much for 9 00:00:42.000 --> 00:00:45.600 joining me for another episode solo on the mic of 10 00:00:45.640 --> 00:00:48.880 the Auction Brief podcast. I hope you listen to Tuesday's 11 00:00:48.880 --> 00:00:50.840 show with Matt Harmon. We're going to talk about that 12 00:00:50.880 --> 00:00:53.159 in just a second, just briefly to lead the show. 13 00:00:53.679 --> 00:00:56.479 But I am so pumped at you're back, because as 14 00:00:56.479 --> 00:01:00.000 you're listening to this, I am in root To can't 15 00:01:00.119 --> 00:01:03.359 in Ohio for the Fantasy Football Expo. I hope to 16 00:01:03.359 --> 00:01:06.120 see some of you out there, and I cannot wait 17 00:01:06.200 --> 00:01:09.439 for a fun weekend. The King's Classic will be held 18 00:01:09.519 --> 00:01:12.799 earlier than ever, so we're gonna get Scott Pianowski on 19 00:01:12.920 --> 00:01:16.000 the Monday after King's Classic to talk to him about 20 00:01:16.040 --> 00:01:17.480 what went down in the room. We are in the 21 00:01:17.480 --> 00:01:19.159 same room, but we've both been moved up to the 22 00:01:19.159 --> 00:01:20.560 brown division. It's going to be a bit of a 23 00:01:20.599 --> 00:01:23.599 crazy draft. You guys don't want to miss that episode 24 00:01:23.719 --> 00:01:27.200 of Discussions with Drew coming up after the auction the 25 00:01:27.280 --> 00:01:30.439 King's Classic Auction next week, So we'll do that next Tuesday. 26 00:01:31.120 --> 00:01:33.560 To start the show today, I wanted to just get 27 00:01:33.599 --> 00:01:35.640 some housekeeping out of the way. I have a couple 28 00:01:35.680 --> 00:01:38.480 things I need to apologize for. Number one is that 29 00:01:38.719 --> 00:01:41.879 we had some problems, some technical issues with the Matt 30 00:01:41.879 --> 00:01:45.040 Harmon Show on Tuesday. It is now up there. Unfortunately, 31 00:01:45.120 --> 00:01:48.480 there's a double up there. There's a duplicate because I 32 00:01:48.519 --> 00:01:50.439 got a little concerned when it didn't work, and I 33 00:01:50.519 --> 00:01:53.439 uploaded a second version of the show. I hope that 34 00:01:53.599 --> 00:01:56.400 you've listened to one of the versions. They're both the same. 35 00:01:56.719 --> 00:01:59.040 But we got screwed up. I don't know how, because 36 00:01:59.079 --> 00:02:01.959 my show released find a Spotify but didn't go to Apple. 37 00:02:02.200 --> 00:02:04.599 We weren't getting any help, we were getting the run around. Finally, 38 00:02:04.680 --> 00:02:07.359 it posted mid to late afternoon on Tuesday, and I 39 00:02:07.400 --> 00:02:09.520 hope that you were able to still listen to it 40 00:02:09.560 --> 00:02:12.240 because it's an excellent episode. Of Matt always does a 41 00:02:12.280 --> 00:02:15.159 great job, so that was really beyond my control. But 42 00:02:15.199 --> 00:02:18.800 I want to apologize for the technical problems. I hope, 43 00:02:18.840 --> 00:02:20.800 I hope that those are over and that was just 44 00:02:20.840 --> 00:02:24.919 a glitch, so we will see come Thursday. But the 45 00:02:24.960 --> 00:02:27.280 other thing I want to apologize for is that it 46 00:02:27.360 --> 00:02:31.120 really screwed up the stats on RJ. Harvey last week. 47 00:02:31.280 --> 00:02:32.879 I just got a little bit ahead of myself on 48 00:02:32.919 --> 00:02:35.840 a rant, and I really messed it up. And I 49 00:02:35.919 --> 00:02:37.960 messed it up on two levels, which is actually kind 50 00:02:37.960 --> 00:02:40.520 of funny. But I thought that he had scored six 51 00:02:40.599 --> 00:02:43.159 receiving touchdowns last year, and he had actually scored five, 52 00:02:43.759 --> 00:02:46.840 but he actually had twelve touchdowns overall. And I just 53 00:02:46.879 --> 00:02:49.759 got so far ahead of myself, like going crazy about 54 00:02:49.759 --> 00:02:53.840 why nobody cares about RJ Harvey, which, by the way, 55 00:02:53.840 --> 00:02:56.159 I don't even know why I care, But I just 56 00:02:56.199 --> 00:02:58.439 keep thinking to myself, what if he's good? You know, 57 00:02:58.479 --> 00:03:01.639 what if he's good, nobody's given him any chance. Like 58 00:03:01.800 --> 00:03:05.000 Jonah Coleman. It's just wild to me, Like everybody loved 59 00:03:05.120 --> 00:03:08.159 r J Harvey last year. Remember you gotta draft r 60 00:03:08.280 --> 00:03:12.039 J Harvey. Now it's Jonah Coleman. He's good at catching 61 00:03:12.120 --> 00:03:15.719 the ball, okay, whatever, Just every year it's the same thing. 62 00:03:16.120 --> 00:03:17.840 It reminds me of a couple of years ago when 63 00:03:18.120 --> 00:03:21.039 James Cook came into the league and everybody just wanted 64 00:03:21.039 --> 00:03:24.039 to push aside the starter immediately because James Cook was there. 65 00:03:24.319 --> 00:03:26.240 We do this every year. Then the next year he's 66 00:03:26.280 --> 00:03:28.199 actually going to be the starter, and people were like, eyah, 67 00:03:29.240 --> 00:03:34.680 you heard about Ray Davis, But have you heard about 68 00:03:34.879 --> 00:03:39.879 Ray Davis? Oh? Okay, hey, we're a little bit off 69 00:03:40.120 --> 00:03:42.919 off the track. So I'm apologizing because I completely butchered 70 00:03:42.960 --> 00:03:45.439 the stats. Not only did he have twelve touchdowns, not six. 71 00:03:45.599 --> 00:03:47.919 I should have clarified I was talking about receiving touchdowns, 72 00:03:47.960 --> 00:03:49.639 but I even screwed that up because he had five. 73 00:03:50.039 --> 00:03:52.759 So anyway, sorry about that. A lot of times I'm 74 00:03:52.759 --> 00:03:54.840 recording the show two three o'clock in the morning. That's 75 00:03:54.840 --> 00:03:58.280 no excuse. But I just wanted to own it because 76 00:03:58.280 --> 00:04:02.240 it was definitely a mistake. My opinion still stands on RJ. Harvey, 77 00:04:02.240 --> 00:04:04.439 but that was a mistake. All right. That's the nasty 78 00:04:04.439 --> 00:04:05.800 stuff that we got to head to get out of 79 00:04:05.840 --> 00:04:08.159 the way. Let me just do my plugs real quick, 80 00:04:08.199 --> 00:04:10.680 and we're gonna get right into it because boil Boy 81 00:04:10.919 --> 00:04:13.280 training camps are opening up and we have a lot 82 00:04:13.319 --> 00:04:16.720 to cover, so real quick, don't forget. You can find 83 00:04:16.720 --> 00:04:19.279 me on Twitter at Drew Davenport FF. You can find 84 00:04:19.279 --> 00:04:22.480 me on the Patreon network as the Fantasy Football Lawyer. 85 00:04:22.720 --> 00:04:24.879 That's just four bucks a month. We've got custom par 86 00:04:24.920 --> 00:04:27.319 sheet orders open right now. If you want a custom 87 00:04:27.360 --> 00:04:29.959 bar sheet, get over there and place your order. It's 88 00:04:30.000 --> 00:04:31.759 just four bucks a month. Though, for the best auction 89 00:04:31.879 --> 00:04:34.959 content in the business. We've had lots of conversations recently 90 00:04:35.000 --> 00:04:37.839 with people like Jared smoll and Ian Hardtz, Stacy Perez. 91 00:04:38.279 --> 00:04:41.759 We've got more on tap coming up. Look, we got 92 00:04:41.800 --> 00:04:43.439 a lot going on over there. Get over there. Just 93 00:04:43.480 --> 00:04:46.360 four bucks a month, and don't forget that. I am 94 00:04:46.399 --> 00:04:48.920 partnered up with FJA Fantasy draft Boards again. They are 95 00:04:48.959 --> 00:04:53.000 the best draft boards in the business, bar none. They 96 00:04:53.040 --> 00:04:56.720 are the best because they are corrugated cardboard that stands up. 97 00:04:57.120 --> 00:04:59.000 You don't need to post it on a wall, put 98 00:04:59.120 --> 00:05:02.199 pins into a wall, or tape it, or it can 99 00:05:02.240 --> 00:05:06.800 sit anywhere with its standalone corrugated cardboard. So give them 100 00:05:06.839 --> 00:05:10.360 a try. Use my code auction brief for ten percent 101 00:05:10.399 --> 00:05:12.839 off your order. Again, it's going to be a few 102 00:05:12.839 --> 00:05:14.800 more bucks than your normal draft board, but get ten 103 00:05:14.800 --> 00:05:17.079 percent off by using the code auction brief and it 104 00:05:17.120 --> 00:05:19.079 really works out to about four or five bucks a 105 00:05:19.160 --> 00:05:22.360 person for your draft. All right, that's it. We are 106 00:05:22.399 --> 00:05:25.120 done with the preliminary stuff. I want to get into 107 00:05:25.120 --> 00:05:28.079 the show quickly today because I want to walk you 108 00:05:28.199 --> 00:05:31.759 through an auction step by step. This is something I've 109 00:05:31.800 --> 00:05:34.120 tried to do before, but I'm trying to organize it 110 00:05:34.160 --> 00:05:37.079 a little bit better, and I realize this is going 111 00:05:37.120 --> 00:05:40.199 to be a little bit theory heavy today, and that's 112 00:05:40.199 --> 00:05:43.759 okay because that's on purpose, that's by design. We've only 113 00:05:43.759 --> 00:05:46.839 got a few episodes left. We've got three episodes left, 114 00:05:46.879 --> 00:05:49.600 but that's going to be while training camp and preseason 115 00:05:49.639 --> 00:05:52.639 games are going on, So it's going to be very 116 00:05:52.639 --> 00:05:55.720 player eval heavy in the next three episodes. Even the 117 00:05:55.720 --> 00:05:58.560 solo episodes are going to be player evaluation heavy as 118 00:05:58.560 --> 00:06:00.680 we try to sort out what we should be doing 119 00:06:00.920 --> 00:06:05.240 and using some of the mock results from recent mock drafts. 120 00:06:05.720 --> 00:06:08.399 So I want to throw one more theory heavy episode 121 00:06:08.439 --> 00:06:11.319 at you, and I want to really walk through an 122 00:06:11.399 --> 00:06:15.879 auction here in chronological order, and I wanted to basically 123 00:06:15.959 --> 00:06:19.959 be like walking through five different stages of an auction. 124 00:06:20.079 --> 00:06:23.240 So that's why I dubbed the episode that way, five 125 00:06:23.319 --> 00:06:25.920 stages of an auction, And I want you to think 126 00:06:25.959 --> 00:06:29.519 about what you should be doing at those various stages 127 00:06:29.519 --> 00:06:32.399 in the auction and how you should be approaching different things. 128 00:06:32.680 --> 00:06:35.480 So I've sort of broken it down as to how 129 00:06:35.519 --> 00:06:39.319 your nomination should look, how your bidding should look, and 130 00:06:39.360 --> 00:06:42.439 what your goals should be for those five stages. So 131 00:06:42.480 --> 00:06:45.839 I want to try to keep this super crispy. As 132 00:06:45.920 --> 00:06:47.920 my friend would say, we don't want this episode to 133 00:06:47.959 --> 00:06:51.560 get all squishy. We want to be super crispy. And 134 00:06:51.720 --> 00:06:54.160 I want to do those three things for the five 135 00:06:54.360 --> 00:06:56.720 different stages of an auction. Now, I know some of 136 00:06:56.759 --> 00:06:58.720 you are going to say, well, how'd you make these stages? 137 00:06:58.959 --> 00:07:02.600 They roughly quote to when you're going to see an 138 00:07:02.600 --> 00:07:05.560 inflection point. Now we're not going to talk specifically about 139 00:07:05.600 --> 00:07:09.639 inflection points, but when a draft starts to change. And 140 00:07:09.839 --> 00:07:13.360 so I've named these five stages kind of to coincide 141 00:07:13.360 --> 00:07:18.079 with the rounds of nominations in the auction, but just 142 00:07:18.199 --> 00:07:21.560 basically for ease of use here. These are not hard 143 00:07:21.560 --> 00:07:23.040 and fast rules, and I want you to keep that 144 00:07:23.120 --> 00:07:25.079 in mind. One of the fun things but also one 145 00:07:25.079 --> 00:07:28.480 of the challenging things about doing this job is that 146 00:07:28.519 --> 00:07:32.000 we often can't speak in absolutes about what's going to 147 00:07:32.000 --> 00:07:34.879 happen at each stage in the draft. And these stages 148 00:07:34.879 --> 00:07:37.600 may last a lot longer or a lot shorter than 149 00:07:37.639 --> 00:07:40.279 I'm telling you they're going to last, because that's just 150 00:07:40.279 --> 00:07:43.120 how auctions go, and you can't nail that stuff down, 151 00:07:43.120 --> 00:07:45.519 and trying to nail it down would be doing a 152 00:07:45.519 --> 00:07:49.160 disservice to you. But I can make some general comments 153 00:07:49.160 --> 00:07:51.160 in each one of these stages that I think are 154 00:07:51.160 --> 00:07:53.360 going to be very helpful, and that's why I want 155 00:07:53.360 --> 00:07:56.879 to do this today. I go back to a quote 156 00:07:56.879 --> 00:07:59.600 that I used a couple of years ago, and I 157 00:07:59.600 --> 00:08:02.279 think that you guys who have been longtime listeners of 158 00:08:02.319 --> 00:08:06.000 the show will remember the Henry David Threau quote. And 159 00:08:06.040 --> 00:08:09.319 the quote is this, as a single footstep will not 160 00:08:09.439 --> 00:08:12.319 make a path on the earth, so a single thought 161 00:08:12.360 --> 00:08:15.240 will not make a pathway in the mind. To make 162 00:08:15.240 --> 00:08:20.040 a deep physical path, we walk again and again. To 163 00:08:20.120 --> 00:08:23.279 make a deep mental path, we must think over and 164 00:08:23.319 --> 00:08:28.480 over the kind of thoughts we wish to dominate our lives. Now, boy, 165 00:08:28.519 --> 00:08:31.120 oh boy, I love that last sentence, and I'm not 166 00:08:31.160 --> 00:08:34.080 going to spend a bunch of time here dwelling on 167 00:08:34.120 --> 00:08:36.360 that last sentence, because I think if it were mid June, 168 00:08:36.679 --> 00:08:39.519 I'd want to have a conversation about that, about what 169 00:08:40.080 --> 00:08:44.600 it means to make our lives better by thinking thoughts 170 00:08:45.279 --> 00:08:49.879 and participating in activities that wear pathways in your brain 171 00:08:49.919 --> 00:08:52.759 that are positive for the future of your life. But 172 00:08:53.799 --> 00:08:56.360 it's not mid June. It's late July, and we need 173 00:08:56.360 --> 00:08:58.759 to get down to business. So I want you to 174 00:08:58.799 --> 00:09:01.240 remember that quote. The reason I brought it back up 175 00:09:01.279 --> 00:09:05.720 today is that I believe the more you hear these techniques, 176 00:09:05.799 --> 00:09:07.960 and the more you hear me talk about how to 177 00:09:08.000 --> 00:09:10.799 walk through your auction, the easier it gets for you, 178 00:09:11.320 --> 00:09:13.320 and the less you have to go back and say, oh, yeah, 179 00:09:13.320 --> 00:09:15.840 I forgot I need to be doing this, the more 180 00:09:15.879 --> 00:09:19.039 it becomes second nature, because the more we wear these 181 00:09:19.080 --> 00:09:22.120 pathways in your brain, the easier it becomes when you 182 00:09:22.159 --> 00:09:25.360 get into the auction draft room. Folks, I know it's 183 00:09:25.399 --> 00:09:27.679 hard because you're listening to me over the summer, and 184 00:09:27.720 --> 00:09:29.960 if you watch the salary Cap Summit, Oh yeah, don't 185 00:09:29.960 --> 00:09:32.399 forget the salary Cap Summit. I completely forgotten the intro 186 00:09:32.639 --> 00:09:35.679 August second, third, and fourth drafts on the second and 187 00:09:35.720 --> 00:09:38.639 third panel on the fourth. Anyway, you know, if you 188 00:09:38.759 --> 00:09:40.840 listening to the Summit, you're listening to my show. You're 189 00:09:40.840 --> 00:09:43.279 listening to me on JJ Zach Reeson or on the 190 00:09:43.840 --> 00:09:47.600 Fantasy Point Show. You're reading my articles, you're reading my Patreon, 191 00:09:47.600 --> 00:09:49.879 you're watching my videos on Patreon. I am thrown a 192 00:09:49.879 --> 00:09:52.720 lot of content at you, and it can get very confusing. 193 00:09:52.759 --> 00:09:54.720 You can be like, wait a minute, now, I'm supposed 194 00:09:54.759 --> 00:09:57.080 to do what at what time? So that's what I 195 00:09:57.120 --> 00:09:59.399 want to do. I want to really crystallize this for you. 196 00:09:59.440 --> 00:10:02.240 Want to make it crispy today, okay, because I want 197 00:10:02.240 --> 00:10:04.120 you to walk through this and just say, yeah, that 198 00:10:04.159 --> 00:10:05.559 makes a lot of sense. Early, I need to be 199 00:10:05.559 --> 00:10:08.440 doing this, Okay, Now what about after early? Now, what 200 00:10:08.440 --> 00:10:10.840 do I do? And that's what we're gonna do. Knoms, 201 00:10:11.120 --> 00:10:14.840 bidding and goals for each stage of the auction. There's 202 00:10:15.000 --> 00:10:17.919 five different stages we're going to walk through. Let's hit 203 00:10:17.960 --> 00:10:23.879 it right now, auction talk. We all know that the 204 00:10:23.919 --> 00:10:27.840 foundation of a good auction drafter is the preparation. This 205 00:10:27.879 --> 00:10:30.240 episode is not about the preparation. Okay, we're not going 206 00:10:30.320 --> 00:10:32.320 to talk about that today, but I want to just 207 00:10:32.360 --> 00:10:35.720 give my quick preamble that the concept I've been hammering 208 00:10:35.720 --> 00:10:40.200 this summer is that rigidity and preparation leads to flexibility 209 00:10:40.200 --> 00:10:44.720 in the draft room. Okay, rigidity breeds flexibility. I know 210 00:10:44.759 --> 00:10:47.519 that sounds a little bit weird, but I believe that 211 00:10:47.559 --> 00:10:50.960 the more rigid you are in your ideas and preparation, 212 00:10:51.600 --> 00:10:55.080 the easier it is to weave around and get what 213 00:10:55.159 --> 00:10:58.000 you need to get done while you're in the draft room. 214 00:10:58.240 --> 00:11:01.000 So preparation, preparation, preparation, And I can't say it enough. 215 00:11:01.039 --> 00:11:03.799 You just have to work hard leading up to the 216 00:11:03.799 --> 00:11:07.320 auction and it becomes so much easier. And don't forget 217 00:11:07.399 --> 00:11:09.960 that rigidity goes back to the quote I just gave you, 218 00:11:10.480 --> 00:11:13.240 which is that you have to do this stuff over 219 00:11:13.279 --> 00:11:16.240 and over in your prep or else you don't wear 220 00:11:16.240 --> 00:11:19.279 that pathway in the brain. And you walk into an auction, 221 00:11:19.399 --> 00:11:21.759 you go, now, what am I supposed to be doing here? Oh? Boy? 222 00:11:21.799 --> 00:11:24.200 I like that guy forty seven. That's not how we 223 00:11:24.240 --> 00:11:26.279 do things, right, That is not how we do things. 224 00:11:26.840 --> 00:11:29.320 So we have the preparation out of the way. Let's 225 00:11:29.360 --> 00:11:32.080 talk a little bit more about the stages of the auction. 226 00:11:32.200 --> 00:11:41.879 I've got five of them for you, all right. I'm 227 00:11:41.879 --> 00:11:45.200 putting the stages together like this, and you don't have 228 00:11:45.240 --> 00:11:47.919 to agree with them one hundred percent, and in fact, 229 00:11:48.000 --> 00:11:51.919 if you did, you'd probably be doing yourself a disservice. 230 00:11:52.039 --> 00:11:55.039 Like I said in the open, I would call the 231 00:11:55.159 --> 00:11:59.679 early stage rounds one and two. The second stage, I'll 232 00:11:59.679 --> 00:12:04.039 call early to mid stage that roughly rounds three to six. 233 00:12:05.159 --> 00:12:07.279 These are nominations. I'm not talking about a snake draft. 234 00:12:07.320 --> 00:12:10.399 These are nominations. So early to mid is rounds three 235 00:12:10.440 --> 00:12:13.320 to six. Middle of the draft, smackdab in the middle. 236 00:12:13.360 --> 00:12:17.960 We're talking rounds seven to ten, late middle, or we 237 00:12:18.000 --> 00:12:21.320 can just call it getting late rounds eleven to thirteen. 238 00:12:21.840 --> 00:12:23.720 And then we've got our end game, which is round 239 00:12:23.799 --> 00:12:28.480 fourteen and on endgame is usually rounds fourteen and beyond, 240 00:12:28.600 --> 00:12:31.600 where money is really slim. So those are the five 241 00:12:31.639 --> 00:12:35.159 stages we're going to talk about, and each stage changes 242 00:12:35.279 --> 00:12:37.840 as you go through the draft. Now again, I'm gonna 243 00:12:37.840 --> 00:12:40.600 put this caveat out there because i know people tend 244 00:12:40.600 --> 00:12:42.519 to skip around on podcasts, and I'm gonna say it 245 00:12:42.600 --> 00:12:45.879 once again, these are not hard and fast rules. You 246 00:12:45.960 --> 00:12:48.200 cannot be in your auction and get to the end 247 00:12:47.799 --> 00:12:50.600 of round two and say that's the twenty fourth pick. 248 00:12:50.799 --> 00:12:54.279 Now things will change. No, that is not how it works. 249 00:12:54.279 --> 00:12:56.240 We are not robots when we are in the draft. 250 00:12:56.440 --> 00:13:00.960 We're paying attention to when these various stages and begin, 251 00:13:01.960 --> 00:13:03.639 and then you'll know what you need to do in 252 00:13:03.679 --> 00:13:06.720 each of those stages. So we're going to attack each 253 00:13:06.720 --> 00:13:09.720 of these stages by talking about our nominations, our bidding, 254 00:13:10.039 --> 00:13:12.639 and what goals, what things are we trying to do 255 00:13:12.799 --> 00:13:16.200 during that stage. All right, We're going to lead off 256 00:13:16.240 --> 00:13:18.879 by talking a little bit about nominations in the early stage. 257 00:13:19.320 --> 00:13:23.759 And I think that nominations become one of those things 258 00:13:23.759 --> 00:13:26.799 that I hammer at so much that sometimes people kind 259 00:13:26.799 --> 00:13:29.200 of their brain kind of turns off when I start 260 00:13:29.200 --> 00:13:32.919 talking about nominations. And I get that, but I do 261 00:13:32.960 --> 00:13:35.120 it so much because I think it's one of those 262 00:13:35.159 --> 00:13:40.039 things that's extremely overlooked that people in the business do 263 00:13:40.080 --> 00:13:43.840 not talk about nominations and how important they are nearly enough, 264 00:13:44.559 --> 00:13:48.639 so early in a draft, I think we have to 265 00:13:48.720 --> 00:13:52.759 bisect the first round and say that there is a 266 00:13:52.799 --> 00:13:55.679 big difference between drawing a nomination spot that's in the 267 00:13:55.799 --> 00:13:58.879 top four to six nominations and drawing one that's at 268 00:13:58.879 --> 00:14:02.559 the back half of the league. You know by now 269 00:14:02.639 --> 00:14:05.279 about the sitting down bonus, and I want to reference 270 00:14:05.320 --> 00:14:07.919 that here and talk to you how about how it 271 00:14:08.039 --> 00:14:10.879 changes in the first part to the second part of 272 00:14:10.919 --> 00:14:14.360 the first round. The sitting down bonus is a phrase 273 00:14:14.399 --> 00:14:16.080 that I coined a couple of years ago. It's just 274 00:14:16.120 --> 00:14:18.360 a dumb phrase off an old episode of Friends. But 275 00:14:18.360 --> 00:14:20.039 what it means is that when you get into a 276 00:14:20.080 --> 00:14:24.240 draft room, or when you follow a prolonged break like 277 00:14:24.279 --> 00:14:27.279 a dinner break or whatever that you're doing, you're doing 278 00:14:27.279 --> 00:14:30.480 your combine at your draft or whatever the case may be, 279 00:14:30.879 --> 00:14:33.519 you have a long break. The sitting down bonus can 280 00:14:33.600 --> 00:14:35.559 come back after a long break in the middle of 281 00:14:35.559 --> 00:14:39.000 the auction, but generally it's at the beginning. Okay, the 282 00:14:39.039 --> 00:14:41.399 sitting down bonus. I just call it that because basically, 283 00:14:41.480 --> 00:14:43.480 it's like, Hey, I'm going to get a deal because 284 00:14:43.559 --> 00:14:46.679 everybody is cold, everybody's sitting down. They love having a 285 00:14:46.720 --> 00:14:50.320 full cap. Psychologically, people like having that two hundred dollars. 286 00:14:50.480 --> 00:14:52.600 They like having the whole player pool in front of them, Like, 287 00:14:52.840 --> 00:14:55.480 who am I going to get today? And that's fun 288 00:14:55.679 --> 00:14:57.000 and you don't want to just sit down and be 289 00:14:57.000 --> 00:15:01.039 like sixty five on Jamar Chase, like that's okay, now 290 00:15:01.080 --> 00:15:03.759 I've got one thirty five. I understand that. I understand 291 00:15:03.799 --> 00:15:05.720 the psychology of it. But you need to understand the 292 00:15:05.720 --> 00:15:08.480 psychology of it because you can use it all right, 293 00:15:08.919 --> 00:15:11.679 But there is a big difference between the beginning of 294 00:15:11.679 --> 00:15:13.639 the first round and the end of the first round. 295 00:15:13.840 --> 00:15:16.039 You're not probably going to get a sitting down bonus 296 00:15:16.080 --> 00:15:18.759 if you have the sixth or seventh nomination. It's probably 297 00:15:18.759 --> 00:15:21.639 not going to happen. Your nomination is going to look 298 00:15:21.679 --> 00:15:24.200 different if you're in the first third to half of 299 00:15:24.240 --> 00:15:26.600 that first round or if you're in the second half. 300 00:15:27.159 --> 00:15:29.519 Now I've seen the sitting down bonus come as late 301 00:15:29.559 --> 00:15:31.720 as the end of the first round. Okay, you could 302 00:15:31.720 --> 00:15:33.639 be in a really green room, a room with a 303 00:15:33.639 --> 00:15:37.200 bunch of inexperienced drafters. That sitting down bonus might last 304 00:15:37.240 --> 00:15:40.000 the entire first round, who knows, But in most rooms 305 00:15:40.000 --> 00:15:43.679 it's going to last two to four nominations. Okay, most rooms, 306 00:15:43.720 --> 00:15:45.919 it's only going to last two to four nominations. So 307 00:15:46.000 --> 00:15:47.879 you've got to be on alert right away for the 308 00:15:47.879 --> 00:15:51.039 sitting down bonus. If you're one of those nominations at 309 00:15:51.039 --> 00:15:53.600 the beginning of the first round, you need to think 310 00:15:53.639 --> 00:15:56.240 about how you can take advantage of the sitting down bonus. 311 00:15:56.519 --> 00:15:58.840 And what I want you to consider is two things. 312 00:15:59.240 --> 00:16:00.879 If you want a guy like Jumior Gibbs or b 313 00:16:01.000 --> 00:16:03.799 Jeon Robinson, just call him out there right away and 314 00:16:03.840 --> 00:16:05.639 try to get a little bit of a discount. You're 315 00:16:05.679 --> 00:16:07.360 not gonna get much of one, but you may end 316 00:16:07.440 --> 00:16:10.879 up getting Gibbs for sixty two instead of sixty eight. 317 00:16:10.960 --> 00:16:13.080 Later when people warm up and get hot, they don't 318 00:16:13.080 --> 00:16:15.039 want to spend seventy bucks right away, even if it 319 00:16:15.080 --> 00:16:19.120 is Gibbs, So consider that. But my favorite play, the 320 00:16:19.159 --> 00:16:21.679 one I want to do, is I want to magnify 321 00:16:21.720 --> 00:16:24.600 the sitting down bonus by nominating a second or third 322 00:16:24.639 --> 00:16:27.240 tier guy. And I'll refer you back to the conversation 323 00:16:27.279 --> 00:16:29.039 we've already had this summer. We don't need to do 324 00:16:29.039 --> 00:16:33.480 it again about my original nomination in The King's Classic, 325 00:16:33.840 --> 00:16:36.759 I nominated Chase Brown early because I thought that I 326 00:16:36.799 --> 00:16:38.840 could get him cheaper than he would go later in 327 00:16:38.879 --> 00:16:41.080 the draft. That did turn out to be the case. 328 00:16:41.440 --> 00:16:43.759 But I want to put forward here that you need 329 00:16:43.799 --> 00:16:46.320 to just pick a second or third tier guy and 330 00:16:46.360 --> 00:16:49.279 see if you can magnify the sitting down bonus, because 331 00:16:49.279 --> 00:16:51.759 people are gonna care even less about those guys when 332 00:16:51.840 --> 00:16:54.080 all the top guys are on the board, they're gonna 333 00:16:54.120 --> 00:16:56.480 care less about a James Cook or heck even a 334 00:16:56.519 --> 00:16:59.960 Breis Hall or somebody like that, a devon a chance, 335 00:17:00.440 --> 00:17:03.159 you're going to get people that are nervous early in 336 00:17:03.200 --> 00:17:05.640 the draft. That's when you want to try to magnify 337 00:17:05.680 --> 00:17:09.119 the sitting down bonus. Now you need to be on 338 00:17:09.279 --> 00:17:12.359 alert after you see the sitting down bonus start to 339 00:17:12.400 --> 00:17:15.960 wear off, that your nomination then needs to change. So 340 00:17:16.039 --> 00:17:18.440 let's say you're the fourth nomination in the first round. 341 00:17:19.119 --> 00:17:24.200 You have to think to yourself the SDB hashtag SDB 342 00:17:25.079 --> 00:17:27.240 the sitting down bonus might not get to you at 343 00:17:27.319 --> 00:17:29.759 the fourth nomination. Okay, So if you have an id 344 00:17:29.920 --> 00:17:31.839 in your head, I'm going to nominate this guy and 345 00:17:31.880 --> 00:17:34.359 try to get the bonus, you might not get it. 346 00:17:34.359 --> 00:17:36.359 It might only last two players and the third player 347 00:17:36.400 --> 00:17:37.920 goes for a bunch of money and you go, whoops, 348 00:17:38.000 --> 00:17:41.039 that's gone. It's over. And you really need to pay 349 00:17:41.039 --> 00:17:44.359 attention to this and really like picks four to seven 350 00:17:44.400 --> 00:17:46.240 to eight, like you're going to be on top of 351 00:17:46.279 --> 00:17:47.960 whether or not that bonus is still there, and if 352 00:17:48.000 --> 00:17:52.279 it's not, it should change your nomination strategy. Remember we 353 00:17:52.319 --> 00:17:55.960 talk about that, don't ever get anchored in who you're 354 00:17:55.960 --> 00:17:59.799 going to nominate, all right, in general in the first round. 355 00:17:59.839 --> 00:18:02.559 If if you're not nominating for that sitting down bonus, 356 00:18:02.880 --> 00:18:05.319 I still think you need to nominate players you want. 357 00:18:06.079 --> 00:18:08.079 We've talked about that at nauseum. I'm not going to 358 00:18:08.079 --> 00:18:10.880 go into that, but you're trying to look here early 359 00:18:10.920 --> 00:18:12.839 in the first round or in the first round in general, 360 00:18:12.880 --> 00:18:15.519 for an early deal. An early deal is all we're 361 00:18:15.519 --> 00:18:17.440 looking for. It doesn't have to be this sitting down bonus. 362 00:18:17.440 --> 00:18:19.720 It can just be a couple bucks because you're not 363 00:18:19.720 --> 00:18:21.799 going to get big deals on top players. Don't ever 364 00:18:21.839 --> 00:18:24.319 forget that you're not going to get big deals on 365 00:18:24.359 --> 00:18:27.240 top players. So if there's a couple buck discount on 366 00:18:27.279 --> 00:18:30.759 a guy, then just take it. Just take it all right. 367 00:18:30.799 --> 00:18:33.960 If A'man Ross Brown goes for forty nine, just take it. 368 00:18:34.240 --> 00:18:36.680 If Jamar Chase goes for fifty two, take it all right. 369 00:18:36.799 --> 00:18:39.000 Just take the early deal. The other thing you want 370 00:18:39.000 --> 00:18:40.759 to be doing with your nomination is you want to 371 00:18:40.759 --> 00:18:45.799 be shooting for your par sheet. Cornerstone players, those cornerstone 372 00:18:45.799 --> 00:18:48.839 players that are going to help you determine where your 373 00:18:48.880 --> 00:18:51.519 par sheet goes. So what you want to be doing 374 00:18:51.599 --> 00:18:55.119 in this early part of the draft, especially in the 375 00:18:55.119 --> 00:19:00.359 first round, you're going to see top players exclusively be nominated. Now, 376 00:19:00.440 --> 00:19:02.640 there might be a weird one here there somebody is 377 00:19:02.640 --> 00:19:05.200 going to get whacky and call out their kicker, or 378 00:19:05.240 --> 00:19:07.200 I saw the other night somebody called out Garrett Wilson 379 00:19:07.200 --> 00:19:09.759 in the second round, Like that's going to happen. But generally, 380 00:19:09.759 --> 00:19:12.119 you're going to get the top twenty four players nominated. 381 00:19:12.279 --> 00:19:14.440 And it's if it's not top twenty four, it's top 382 00:19:14.480 --> 00:19:16.519 twenty two or twenty all right. So it's going to 383 00:19:16.519 --> 00:19:19.559 be top players. And your goal here is to aggressively 384 00:19:19.640 --> 00:19:22.799 pursue which par sheet you're going to follow. So your 385 00:19:22.839 --> 00:19:25.599 nominations in the first two rounds need to be all 386 00:19:25.720 --> 00:19:29.160 about your cornerstones on your par sheet. You want brock 387 00:19:29.240 --> 00:19:31.920 Bowers this year, nominate them right away, folks. You ain't 388 00:19:31.920 --> 00:19:33.880 getting a deal on brock Bowers. It doesn't matter if 389 00:19:33.920 --> 00:19:36.720 it's earli or late or mid, all right, you ain't 390 00:19:36.720 --> 00:19:40.039 getting a deal. Just nominate them. Stop with the nonsense 391 00:19:40.039 --> 00:19:45.119 that waiting equals deals. That's not how auctions work, all right, 392 00:19:45.200 --> 00:19:47.640 So aggressively pursue which par sheet you're going to follow. 393 00:19:48.279 --> 00:19:50.960 And so your ultimate goal here is you have to 394 00:19:51.000 --> 00:19:53.519 have one guy through the first two rounds. Now, again 395 00:19:53.559 --> 00:19:56.279 we're talking in absolutes here, but keep in mind this 396 00:19:56.359 --> 00:19:58.200 is you got to play your draft room. You gotta 397 00:19:58.200 --> 00:20:00.519 play your room. But you really you need to get 398 00:20:00.519 --> 00:20:03.480 a round one around or a couple Round two talents 399 00:20:03.480 --> 00:20:06.720 in that first two rounds. If you don't, the top 400 00:20:06.759 --> 00:20:08.839 twenty to twenty four guys are gonna come off the board. 401 00:20:08.920 --> 00:20:10.240 If you don't have any of them, that means you 402 00:20:10.279 --> 00:20:12.559 don't have a round one or two pick. Would you 403 00:20:12.680 --> 00:20:16.079 trade your round one or two pick for four third rounders? No, 404 00:20:16.160 --> 00:20:18.799 of course not. That's not how fantasy football works. You've 405 00:20:18.799 --> 00:20:21.599 got to get those X factor players. Your goal in 406 00:20:21.640 --> 00:20:24.599 the early rounds, the first two rounds is to have 407 00:20:24.640 --> 00:20:27.119 at least one guy or maybe two. But you don't 408 00:20:27.119 --> 00:20:29.400 want to go over that. Don't go over that, because 409 00:20:29.400 --> 00:20:32.240 if you nail three guys in the first two rounds, 410 00:20:32.720 --> 00:20:35.039 you're probably gonna be spending one hundred bucks or one 411 00:20:35.079 --> 00:20:37.480 hundred and twenty bucks. You're taking yourself out way too quick. 412 00:20:38.039 --> 00:20:40.680 So your goal here is one or two guys that's 413 00:20:40.720 --> 00:20:42.920 going to set up your par sheet for the rest 414 00:20:42.960 --> 00:20:46.839 of the rounds. Now bidding. Bidding is very simple here. 415 00:20:47.039 --> 00:20:50.640 Bidding will be hot and heavy because all of these 416 00:20:50.680 --> 00:20:54.079 players that are nominated are top players. And for you, 417 00:20:54.119 --> 00:20:57.759 just dub it the fast and furious. Okay, fast and 418 00:20:57.759 --> 00:21:03.039 furious ten auction drafting style. I'm going to lean out 419 00:21:03.039 --> 00:21:06.079 of my car and control a missile with my hand. 420 00:21:09.640 --> 00:21:12.000 Bidding in the first two rounds should be fast and 421 00:21:12.039 --> 00:21:14.519 furious on your part. All right, I'm not talking about 422 00:21:14.559 --> 00:21:17.640 other people. For you, your strategy should be I'm bidding fast 423 00:21:17.680 --> 00:21:22.319 and furious. Why all right, let's take the fast part first. 424 00:21:22.559 --> 00:21:25.519 We know that my strategy is very simple. When it 425 00:21:25.559 --> 00:21:28.920 comes to early nominations. You need to be pushing those 426 00:21:29.000 --> 00:21:32.480 numbers up as quickly as you're comfortable pushing them. If 427 00:21:32.519 --> 00:21:35.880 somebody calls out Bjeon Robinson, do not allow people in 428 00:21:35.920 --> 00:21:42.839 the room to go eleven, twelve, thirteen, fifteen, sixty. We 429 00:21:42.960 --> 00:21:45.480 know it's not going for less than sixty bucks, right 430 00:21:45.680 --> 00:21:47.920 or less than fifty, So what should you do? You 431 00:21:47.960 --> 00:21:50.839 should call off forty five. Okay, just call off forty five. 432 00:21:51.720 --> 00:21:54.480 Do not let people get comfortable, because if you let 433 00:21:54.480 --> 00:21:56.039 them walk it up there, they get more and more 434 00:21:56.039 --> 00:21:58.759 comfortable about do I want him or not? What am 435 00:21:58.759 --> 00:22:01.000 I willing to pay? How does it fit my build? 436 00:22:01.240 --> 00:22:03.240 This isn't just about the top players. This is about 437 00:22:03.240 --> 00:22:04.839 all of them. And I'm going to tell you when 438 00:22:04.880 --> 00:22:06.920 you can scale back your bidding here as we go on. 439 00:22:08.000 --> 00:22:10.079 But at first you should be fast and furious. You 440 00:22:10.119 --> 00:22:13.039 should be always bidding, and you should always be pushing 441 00:22:13.119 --> 00:22:16.119 the pace as well. Because there's a ten or fifteen 442 00:22:16.200 --> 00:22:20.799 or thirty second nomination clock. Excuse me, bidding clock. Don't 443 00:22:20.839 --> 00:22:23.920 let that thing countdown. Don't let it countdown. That's giving 444 00:22:23.960 --> 00:22:27.359 somebody an extra eight or ten seconds every time. Bid immediately. 445 00:22:27.400 --> 00:22:29.799 If you know you're gonna bid, somebody calls out Robinson 446 00:22:29.799 --> 00:22:33.519 and it goes one two three forty five, one two, three, 447 00:22:33.640 --> 00:22:39.119 thirty nine forty nine. Get that money going quickly. It 448 00:22:39.200 --> 00:22:41.880 makes other people off balance and it makes them have 449 00:22:41.920 --> 00:22:45.880 to move quicker. Okay, So to recap the first two rounds, 450 00:22:46.039 --> 00:22:48.200 we're looking for that sitting down bonus. If we can't 451 00:22:48.200 --> 00:22:50.920 get it, that's all right, we're still looking for early deals, 452 00:22:51.279 --> 00:22:54.839 and we're nominating players that are cornerstone players for our 453 00:22:54.880 --> 00:22:57.519 par sheets. We're aggressively pursuing which par sheet we're going 454 00:22:57.519 --> 00:23:00.480 to follow, and we're locking down one or two people, 455 00:23:01.000 --> 00:23:04.519 and we're bidding like crazy and pushing the pace and 456 00:23:04.559 --> 00:23:07.799 pushing the pressure on everyone else in the room. That's 457 00:23:07.839 --> 00:23:10.720 my first two rounds. Let's talk about the early to 458 00:23:10.759 --> 00:23:21.119 mid stages, Rounds three to six. Okay, in the early 459 00:23:21.160 --> 00:23:23.599 to mid stages, I call it rounds three to six, 460 00:23:23.599 --> 00:23:27.359 we're going roughly through pick seventy two, that would be 461 00:23:27.400 --> 00:23:30.880 nomination seventy two. Keep in mind, in this area of 462 00:23:30.960 --> 00:23:34.440 the draft, we're still seeing all of the top players. 463 00:23:35.279 --> 00:23:37.960 So of the top seventy two nominations through six rounds, 464 00:23:38.119 --> 00:23:40.359 we're probably going to get at least the top fifty 465 00:23:40.400 --> 00:23:44.160 or sixty players off the board. That is pretty deep. 466 00:23:44.759 --> 00:23:47.039 We're starting to get really deep into the talent pool 467 00:23:47.039 --> 00:23:48.799 at this point. So that should tell you what you 468 00:23:48.880 --> 00:23:51.319 need to be doing. So what are we doing with 469 00:23:51.440 --> 00:23:54.680 nominations in these rounds? Well, the one thing I want 470 00:23:54.680 --> 00:23:56.880 to talk about specifically is it might be time for 471 00:23:56.920 --> 00:23:59.759 a quarterback in this range. What I've seen in these 472 00:23:59.759 --> 00:24:01.960 mock drafts is that when people have a lot of 473 00:24:02.000 --> 00:24:04.319 money and there's a lot of quarterbacks on the board, 474 00:24:04.400 --> 00:24:07.000 they don't really want to focus on the quarterback or 475 00:24:07.359 --> 00:24:11.079 spending that money right then, because they're really more interested 476 00:24:11.160 --> 00:24:13.839 in the top level wide receivers and running backs that 477 00:24:13.880 --> 00:24:16.640 are still on the board. People just subconsciously have a 478 00:24:16.640 --> 00:24:18.920 thing like, hey, if I spend that on quarterback, I 479 00:24:18.920 --> 00:24:21.440 can't spend it elsewhere. Well that's kind of true, but 480 00:24:21.440 --> 00:24:23.119 if you're working off a par sheet, you know what 481 00:24:23.200 --> 00:24:25.960 you can spend. And that's the advantage of a par sheet, 482 00:24:25.960 --> 00:24:28.799 and that's why we're using them right because other people 483 00:24:28.920 --> 00:24:31.480 kind of go, eh, I don't really want to spend 484 00:24:31.519 --> 00:24:33.960 twelve bucks on Lamar Jackson right now, Like I still 485 00:24:33.960 --> 00:24:36.240 need my RB two, I still need my wide receiver one, 486 00:24:36.279 --> 00:24:38.359 like they don't want to spend it. But you know 487 00:24:38.400 --> 00:24:40.319 in your party what you can spend. So I think 488 00:24:40.319 --> 00:24:42.480 it's time to look for a QB in rounds three 489 00:24:42.480 --> 00:24:45.039 to six. That should be your nomination if you can. 490 00:24:45.759 --> 00:24:48.680 At this point, we're mostly still nominating people that we 491 00:24:48.799 --> 00:24:51.440 want and I don't want you to become predictable. So 492 00:24:51.720 --> 00:24:53.440 if you're listening to this and you're with me in 493 00:24:53.480 --> 00:24:55.799 my home leagues. I'm not always going to be nominating 494 00:24:56.039 --> 00:24:57.920 people I want early in the draft, but I'm going 495 00:24:57.960 --> 00:25:00.519 to try to. For the most part, you're mostly nominating 496 00:25:00.599 --> 00:25:03.440 players you want. Still, it's okay to do either. You 497 00:25:03.480 --> 00:25:05.480 want to read your room, it's okay to do either. 498 00:25:06.079 --> 00:25:10.640 But our goals here become a little bit different. But 499 00:25:10.680 --> 00:25:15.000 there's still really important visa VI the elite players in 500 00:25:15.039 --> 00:25:17.240 the draft, because, like I said, when you get to 501 00:25:17.279 --> 00:25:20.000 the end of round six, you're talking about the top 502 00:25:20.039 --> 00:25:22.759 fifty or sixty or more players that have come off 503 00:25:22.799 --> 00:25:27.680 the board. These are really important pieces to your squad, right, 504 00:25:27.799 --> 00:25:31.240 These are really important pieces. So what you're paying attention 505 00:25:31.319 --> 00:25:34.079 to in round three to six, you're looking for tiers 506 00:25:34.200 --> 00:25:36.640 starting to dry up, and you want to get ahead 507 00:25:36.680 --> 00:25:39.480 of them, and that ties back to your nominations. You 508 00:25:39.519 --> 00:25:41.200 want to get ahead of the tiers drying up by 509 00:25:41.319 --> 00:25:44.119 using your nom to get somebody out there that you 510 00:25:44.200 --> 00:25:47.279 may need before the tier gets really dry and prices 511 00:25:47.319 --> 00:25:49.839 go up. The other thing I want to talk about 512 00:25:49.920 --> 00:25:54.839 is look for your tear sheet plans that are slipping away. 513 00:25:55.440 --> 00:25:57.640 And what do I mean by that. Well, let's say 514 00:25:57.640 --> 00:25:59.960 that you've already locked down your RB one and your 515 00:26:00.039 --> 00:26:02.599 wide receiver one, and you had planned to spend just 516 00:26:02.640 --> 00:26:05.000 a little bit more on tight end, not a lot, 517 00:26:05.039 --> 00:26:06.519 but a little bit more. And you have the money 518 00:26:06.519 --> 00:26:09.799 in your par sheet, but you notice that the inventory 519 00:26:09.839 --> 00:26:12.200 of tight ends is a little bit more scarce than 520 00:26:12.240 --> 00:26:14.279 you want it to be. What that means is that 521 00:26:14.319 --> 00:26:16.720 your plans to have a little bit better tight end 522 00:26:16.720 --> 00:26:18.960 is spend a little bit money there. They're slipping away. 523 00:26:19.599 --> 00:26:22.000 Your plans are slipping away, and that's going to happen 524 00:26:22.039 --> 00:26:24.319 in rounds three to six, and that early to mid 525 00:26:24.359 --> 00:26:26.519 part of the draft, you're going to notice that your 526 00:26:26.559 --> 00:26:29.039 par sheet is a little bit wonky, like your plans 527 00:26:29.039 --> 00:26:31.200 are slipping a little bit because things aren't developing the 528 00:26:31.200 --> 00:26:33.599 way you want them to. I want you to take 529 00:26:33.640 --> 00:26:37.160 comfort in the fact that that's okay, that that's okay 530 00:26:37.160 --> 00:26:39.640 that those plans are starting to slip away, because A 531 00:26:40.119 --> 00:26:43.279 you're noticing it and that's the first battle, and B 532 00:26:44.079 --> 00:26:46.839 you can do something about it, because if you notice 533 00:26:46.839 --> 00:26:49.240 that that tier is getting dry, that the tight ends 534 00:26:49.240 --> 00:26:51.839 are slipping away, get your guy out there next. That's 535 00:26:51.880 --> 00:26:55.519 your next nomination. Okay. So your goal is to be 536 00:26:55.559 --> 00:26:57.519 watching the tiers that are starting to dry up. For 537 00:26:57.519 --> 00:27:00.960 the elite players, watch your tiers, your par sheet for 538 00:27:01.039 --> 00:27:04.119 plans that are starting to slip away, and don't forget 539 00:27:04.480 --> 00:27:06.720 that in the early and then the early to mid 540 00:27:06.720 --> 00:27:10.519 tier rounds. So rounds one through six, don't forget that. 541 00:27:10.559 --> 00:27:13.240 A lot of times you're going to find yourself behind 542 00:27:13.319 --> 00:27:16.960 your par sheet at this moment. Okay, that's all right, 543 00:27:17.440 --> 00:27:19.039 and I want you to be aware that that is 544 00:27:19.079 --> 00:27:22.599 a common problem early in the draft. You might have 545 00:27:22.680 --> 00:27:25.640 to overspend on a couple guys because the room's so 546 00:27:25.799 --> 00:27:29.240 hot and you just can't wait. Because we've talked about 547 00:27:29.279 --> 00:27:31.160 that balancing act, and this goes back to the early 548 00:27:32.400 --> 00:27:34.559 rounds one and two. Sometimes things are so hot you 549 00:27:34.599 --> 00:27:36.680 just have to overpay. A lot of times you're going 550 00:27:36.720 --> 00:27:39.279 to be behind your par sheet. That's okay, because you're 551 00:27:39.319 --> 00:27:40.960 going to try to make it up a little bit later. 552 00:27:41.240 --> 00:27:43.440 Don't freak out about that, all right. So we've talked 553 00:27:43.440 --> 00:27:46.480 about our nums our goals a little bit here. The 554 00:27:46.519 --> 00:27:49.640 last thing is our bidding, and I'm going to maintain 555 00:27:49.880 --> 00:27:52.519 that we're going at about eighty percent pace from the 556 00:27:52.519 --> 00:27:56.400 first two rounds. We're still pushing. Okay, we're still pushing. 557 00:27:56.799 --> 00:27:58.680 I want you to be careful that you don't overbid 558 00:27:58.720 --> 00:28:01.200 here because you're still trying to say yourself up to 559 00:28:01.279 --> 00:28:04.599 succeed in the rest of the draft. But I still 560 00:28:04.640 --> 00:28:08.880 want you pushing. Okay. The idea here is still push push, push, 561 00:28:09.359 --> 00:28:11.680 and something that Scott Pianowski likes to talk about. It's 562 00:28:11.720 --> 00:28:14.640 called the price line bid. I love this idea, and 563 00:28:14.680 --> 00:28:17.839 this is a good time to use it. The price 564 00:28:17.880 --> 00:28:20.680 line bid is a player comes up. Let's say it's 565 00:28:20.799 --> 00:28:23.640 Terry McLaurin, and you know that you can spend up 566 00:28:23.680 --> 00:28:26.759 to twenty nine dollars for your wide receiver two and 567 00:28:26.799 --> 00:28:30.079 he's kind of like stalling out fourteen fifteen, sixteen. People 568 00:28:30.119 --> 00:28:33.799 don't see that interested. Just say twenty one, say twenty one, 569 00:28:33.799 --> 00:28:36.119 and see what happens. You'd be really happy to get 570 00:28:36.200 --> 00:28:39.039 Terry McLaurin for twenty one. And if people are not 571 00:28:39.160 --> 00:28:41.960 that interested and you jump up from fourteen to twenty one, 572 00:28:42.039 --> 00:28:44.359 you may get him. And if not, guess what, you 573 00:28:44.400 --> 00:28:45.960 can just sit back and let him go for whatever 574 00:28:46.000 --> 00:28:48.880 he's going to go for. But using that price line 575 00:28:48.920 --> 00:28:51.799 bid in the early mid stages, I kind of like 576 00:28:51.920 --> 00:28:54.839 that play the most. In that part of the draft, 577 00:28:55.599 --> 00:28:57.960 but just remember you're bidding in rounds three to six. 578 00:28:58.039 --> 00:29:03.160 Still needs to be push push, push, push, pressure, pressure, pressure. Again, 579 00:29:03.240 --> 00:29:06.359 don't overbid. If somebody calls out Terry McLaurin, don't yell 580 00:29:06.359 --> 00:29:09.200 out twenty eight. That's not the goal here. The goal 581 00:29:09.240 --> 00:29:11.440 is to go from one to fifteen quick, or the 582 00:29:11.480 --> 00:29:13.920 one to twelve quick. We're still trying to put the 583 00:29:13.920 --> 00:29:16.240 pressure on it. We're being just a little bit more cautious. 584 00:29:16.359 --> 00:29:19.920 We're pulling a back. We're pulling back by about twenty percent. 585 00:29:20.240 --> 00:29:22.839 So in the early mid stage that's rounds three to six. 586 00:29:22.960 --> 00:29:25.920 Remember we're looking maybe at a quarterback. We're still mostly 587 00:29:25.960 --> 00:29:29.160 dominating players we want. Our goals are to avoid the 588 00:29:29.359 --> 00:29:33.279 tears drying up, avoid our plans slipping away on our 589 00:29:33.279 --> 00:29:36.480 par sheet, and continue to push the bidding and continue 590 00:29:36.519 --> 00:29:40.200 to push the pace. All right, let's dive into the 591 00:29:40.240 --> 00:29:51.160 middle rounds rounds seven to ten. So round seven to 592 00:29:51.200 --> 00:29:54.880 ten really begin to change, because rounds one to six 593 00:29:54.960 --> 00:29:58.559 are about securing the cornerstones for your roster. And I 594 00:29:58.599 --> 00:30:00.519 want you to come out of those first six by 595 00:30:00.519 --> 00:30:03.839 having probably three to five players, and these are really 596 00:30:03.880 --> 00:30:06.920 going to be the most important pieces of your auction. 597 00:30:07.400 --> 00:30:10.359 But in the middle rounds, rounds seven to ten, you're 598 00:30:10.400 --> 00:30:15.160 still putting together important, important players because there are still 599 00:30:15.240 --> 00:30:18.240 really good players left. This is what I refer to 600 00:30:18.440 --> 00:30:21.480 sometimes as the get your guy zone. This is that 601 00:30:21.599 --> 00:30:24.480 area of the draft where people stop paying attentions so 602 00:30:24.599 --> 00:30:27.240 much to the rankings in front of them, and they 603 00:30:27.279 --> 00:30:29.960 start paying more attention to what money can I say 604 00:30:30.039 --> 00:30:32.720 for that favorite player that I want? And why am 605 00:30:32.720 --> 00:30:35.240 I telling you that? Because it's going to lead to 606 00:30:35.319 --> 00:30:38.640 weird pricing. It's going to lead to somebody trying to 607 00:30:38.680 --> 00:30:41.480 force it and getting sticky on somebody and paying too 608 00:30:41.519 --> 00:30:43.799 much money, and it's going to lead to the other 609 00:30:43.960 --> 00:30:46.000 end of that, which is that you might get a 610 00:30:46.039 --> 00:30:48.039 deal that you never expected to get on a player. 611 00:30:48.240 --> 00:30:51.559 So you need to be constantly monitoring what's happening right 612 00:30:51.599 --> 00:30:53.480 in front of you so that you don't miss either 613 00:30:53.519 --> 00:30:55.519 one of those. And sometimes you're going to have your 614 00:30:55.559 --> 00:30:58.000 heart set. I'm one of those guys that somebody else does, 615 00:30:58.480 --> 00:31:00.400 and we'll talk about that a little bit in just 616 00:31:00.440 --> 00:31:04.359 a minute. But sometimes that's unavoidable. So my nomination strategy 617 00:31:04.359 --> 00:31:06.880 in these rounds changes a little bit. Okay, I want 618 00:31:06.880 --> 00:31:08.720 you to play this by year. Still, it's still something 619 00:31:08.759 --> 00:31:11.480 that's going to be room specific, don't get me wrong, 620 00:31:11.720 --> 00:31:15.599 But in general, most of the time in this range, 621 00:31:15.799 --> 00:31:17.799 this is where I'm starting to try to waste other 622 00:31:17.799 --> 00:31:20.359 people's money on players I don't want. We've heard the 623 00:31:20.400 --> 00:31:22.359 myth about that at the beginning of the draft. We 624 00:31:22.400 --> 00:31:24.839 don't need to beat that to death, but this is 625 00:31:24.839 --> 00:31:27.799 when I'm starting to try to get rid of some 626 00:31:27.920 --> 00:31:31.559 players and start trying to fill people's rosters a little bit. 627 00:31:32.039 --> 00:31:34.359 You can still call out people that you want, just 628 00:31:34.400 --> 00:31:36.759 be very careful about how you're setting it up. There's 629 00:31:36.799 --> 00:31:39.119 a lot of nuance to the nominations in the middle 630 00:31:39.119 --> 00:31:42.160 of the middle rounds because there's a lot more going 631 00:31:42.200 --> 00:31:44.559 on here that you can win the game a little 632 00:31:44.599 --> 00:31:47.200 bit more. Here in the first six rounds of the 633 00:31:47.240 --> 00:31:50.400 players are players that everyone wants, it's a lot harder 634 00:31:50.440 --> 00:31:53.079 to gain the system. But in the middle rounds and 635 00:31:53.119 --> 00:31:55.039 as we get later in the draft, there's a lot 636 00:31:55.039 --> 00:31:57.720 more nuance. One of the things I talk about a 637 00:31:57.720 --> 00:32:00.440 lot that I really like is start to learn how 638 00:32:00.440 --> 00:32:03.359 to aim your nominations at players that you want to 639 00:32:03.359 --> 00:32:08.119 spend money. Do they have similar vacancies on their roster 640 00:32:08.240 --> 00:32:10.440 that you can target. Hey, I really want this wide 641 00:32:10.480 --> 00:32:13.240 receiver too. I'm really waiting on this guy, but this 642 00:32:13.359 --> 00:32:15.480 other guy needs all of his wide receivers and he 643 00:32:15.519 --> 00:32:17.839 has more money than me. Aim a nomination at him. 644 00:32:18.079 --> 00:32:22.160 Pick a popular receiver. My favorite play in this area 645 00:32:22.200 --> 00:32:24.880 of the draft is to pick the most hyped up 646 00:32:24.960 --> 00:32:28.160 guys that everyone loves that I don't care about and 647 00:32:28.160 --> 00:32:30.680 get him out there. Now. I like Luther Burden, but 648 00:32:30.720 --> 00:32:34.039 he's the perfect guy that you call him out and 649 00:32:34.119 --> 00:32:36.079 you let other people fight over him in the middle 650 00:32:36.160 --> 00:32:39.720 rounds if he's still there. I'm trying to pick players 651 00:32:39.720 --> 00:32:43.160 that people really want, and even if they don't end 652 00:32:43.240 --> 00:32:45.400 up spending a lot of money, at this point, I'm 653 00:32:45.440 --> 00:32:49.480 also trying to lock up their roster spots. I'm starting 654 00:32:49.519 --> 00:32:52.599 to think about their roster spots and really what my 655 00:32:52.680 --> 00:32:56.559 nominations are aimed at doing. They're aimed at ruining people's plans. 656 00:32:57.119 --> 00:32:59.079 You know, my brother's not in my home league anymore, 657 00:32:59.079 --> 00:33:01.079 but he was a guy that I could count on 658 00:33:01.200 --> 00:33:03.599 every year, knowing a couple players that he was really 659 00:33:03.880 --> 00:33:06.400 interested in, and he would sit back and wait and 660 00:33:06.480 --> 00:33:09.519 hoard his money until those players were called out. And 661 00:33:09.559 --> 00:33:12.119 it was my job to figure out which guys those 662 00:33:12.240 --> 00:33:15.119 were that he was interested in and ruin his plans, 663 00:33:15.559 --> 00:33:18.079 completely ruin what he's trying to do. Now. I love 664 00:33:18.119 --> 00:33:20.799 my brother, and outside of the auction draft room, I 665 00:33:20.839 --> 00:33:22.640 would never do anything like that to him. But that's 666 00:33:22.680 --> 00:33:24.960 what we're trying to do here, right, So our goal 667 00:33:25.079 --> 00:33:28.680 in this area of the draft try to punt our nominations, 668 00:33:28.920 --> 00:33:32.279 let the draft come back to you. But what you're 669 00:33:32.279 --> 00:33:35.440 doing is you're trolling for deals at this point, all right, 670 00:33:36.119 --> 00:33:38.680 because you want to be set up in rounds one 671 00:33:38.720 --> 00:33:41.279 to six. You want to set yourself up for this 672 00:33:41.440 --> 00:33:45.480 middle part that rounds seven to ten to start smashing deals. 673 00:33:45.839 --> 00:33:47.599 And if you aren't set up for it, you'll have 674 00:33:47.640 --> 00:33:49.119 to force it him. What do I mean by being 675 00:33:49.119 --> 00:33:51.359 set up for Well, you can't have come out of 676 00:33:51.400 --> 00:33:54.960 the first six rounds with two guys or one guy. Really, 677 00:33:54.960 --> 00:33:58.640 three guys isn't enough, Like you need to have minimum three, 678 00:33:58.880 --> 00:34:01.279 maybe four or five. That sets you up to be 679 00:34:01.359 --> 00:34:04.400 able to hang back and do nothing unless you see 680 00:34:04.400 --> 00:34:07.640 the deal that you want. You can either nominate somebody 681 00:34:07.640 --> 00:34:09.639 you want and jump on them, or you can waste 682 00:34:09.639 --> 00:34:13.039 your nominations, let people spend money, let them start filling 683 00:34:13.079 --> 00:34:15.760 up their rosters and feeling good about it, and just 684 00:34:15.800 --> 00:34:18.440 take any deal that you see that strikes you as 685 00:34:18.440 --> 00:34:21.400 the right deal for your roster. At this point in 686 00:34:21.440 --> 00:34:23.280 the draft, it is the most I think it's the 687 00:34:23.320 --> 00:34:26.800 easiest part of the draft, the middle rounds, because you 688 00:34:26.800 --> 00:34:28.800 can call out players you don't want. You can just 689 00:34:28.800 --> 00:34:30.960 sit back and hang out, and if you've done your 690 00:34:31.000 --> 00:34:32.840 job in the first six rounds, you're set up to 691 00:34:32.840 --> 00:34:35.480 start smashing deals. Now, how do we want to be 692 00:34:35.519 --> 00:34:37.800 bidding in this round, in these rounds, in this area 693 00:34:37.800 --> 00:34:40.400 of the draft, Well, I want to start to be 694 00:34:40.440 --> 00:34:43.719 more cautious. Think of it like a sliding scale. In 695 00:34:43.800 --> 00:34:46.239 rounds one and two, three to six, you're kind of 696 00:34:46.280 --> 00:34:48.360 sliding down the scale. You're backing off a little by 697 00:34:48.360 --> 00:34:51.840 a little. Price enforcing at this point gets more dangerous. 698 00:34:52.400 --> 00:34:54.079 I still think you need to be doing it, and 699 00:34:54.119 --> 00:34:57.039 sometimes that's how you find your deals. But you want 700 00:34:57.079 --> 00:34:59.960 to be more cautious. Here. You're still bidding and you 701 00:35:00.119 --> 00:35:03.079 still want to be active, but the raw dollars that 702 00:35:03.119 --> 00:35:05.679 people are spending on players gets lower and lower, and 703 00:35:05.719 --> 00:35:09.480 as the raw dollars slip, the less active you want 704 00:35:09.480 --> 00:35:11.960 to be in your bidding Okay, let me say that again. 705 00:35:12.320 --> 00:35:16.360 As the raw dollars go down, the less active you 706 00:35:16.440 --> 00:35:18.480 want to be bidding. All right, So in the middle 707 00:35:18.559 --> 00:35:20.159 rounds is when you have to start to be more 708 00:35:20.199 --> 00:35:23.800 cautious because it paid. It was a bigger benefit in 709 00:35:23.840 --> 00:35:25.800 the first six rounds to start pushing that stuff a 710 00:35:25.800 --> 00:35:30.400 lot harder because you didn't have the downside risk. The 711 00:35:30.480 --> 00:35:34.199 downside risk starts to amp up significantly as we go 712 00:35:34.280 --> 00:35:36.840 further into the draft, so the bidding is going to 713 00:35:36.880 --> 00:35:39.760 be just a little bit more cautious, all right. So 714 00:35:39.800 --> 00:35:42.159 in the middle rounds, we want to be set up 715 00:35:42.159 --> 00:35:44.079 at this point to start smashing deals so that we 716 00:35:44.079 --> 00:35:46.480 can just sit back and just pick off the deals. 717 00:35:47.239 --> 00:35:49.440 We want to try to ruin other people's plans and 718 00:35:49.519 --> 00:35:52.639 get hyped players out there, and we want to start 719 00:35:52.639 --> 00:35:54.960 to back off on the bidding even a little bit 720 00:35:54.960 --> 00:35:57.760 more from that eighty percent we talked about. Don't forget 721 00:35:57.760 --> 00:36:00.280 about get your guy area. What we're going to see 722 00:36:00.320 --> 00:36:03.960 wonky pricing. Pay attention to that stuff. The inflection points 723 00:36:04.000 --> 00:36:07.400 are there if you're looking for them. All right. Let's 724 00:36:07.400 --> 00:36:09.360 talk about the mid to late stage of the draft, 725 00:36:09.480 --> 00:36:20.400 rounds eleven to thirteen. In rounds eleven to thirteen. It 726 00:36:20.639 --> 00:36:25.239 is getting late in the auction when I'm talking about nominations. 727 00:36:25.519 --> 00:36:28.440 At this stage in the draft, I'm wasting almost all 728 00:36:28.480 --> 00:36:31.519 of my nominations here. In the middle rounds, it could 729 00:36:31.519 --> 00:36:35.239 go either way, but right now, in rounds eleven to thirteen, 730 00:36:35.599 --> 00:36:38.199 I'm really trying to not call out a player that 731 00:36:38.239 --> 00:36:40.400 I want. There are too many players left at this 732 00:36:40.440 --> 00:36:42.320 point that I want. I do not want to be 733 00:36:42.440 --> 00:36:45.199 nominating them. This is not a hard and fast rule, 734 00:36:45.800 --> 00:36:47.519 but what I like to do is I like to 735 00:36:47.519 --> 00:36:50.480 have my kicker and d nominations saved up for this spot. 736 00:36:51.239 --> 00:36:53.000 I don't want you to wait till the end game 737 00:36:53.480 --> 00:36:56.360 because the good kickers and d's will probably be gone. 738 00:36:57.239 --> 00:36:59.880 You want to do it ahead of everyone else, but 739 00:37:00.119 --> 00:37:03.159 late enough that it's still helpful. So your nominations here 740 00:37:03.199 --> 00:37:06.480 should be mostly wasteful nominations. And when I say wasteful, 741 00:37:06.719 --> 00:37:09.079 I want you to aim nominations at people that need 742 00:37:09.119 --> 00:37:11.960 to have roster spots filled and that have money. So 743 00:37:12.159 --> 00:37:14.840 your kicker de nomination really comes in a handy here. 744 00:37:15.199 --> 00:37:17.840 Call out the top kicker or the top defense. It 745 00:37:18.000 --> 00:37:20.159 buys you around and if you get that player, great, 746 00:37:20.199 --> 00:37:22.400 and if you don't that means somebody else spent two 747 00:37:22.480 --> 00:37:25.599 or three bucks. Your goals in this area of the 748 00:37:25.679 --> 00:37:28.920 draft are really to have an eye towards your end game. 749 00:37:29.400 --> 00:37:30.920 I know you don't want to hear this, but in 750 00:37:30.960 --> 00:37:33.159 this stage of the draft you're doing a lot more 751 00:37:33.239 --> 00:37:37.599 reacting to people than you are setting the pace. That's okay, 752 00:37:37.639 --> 00:37:41.360 because we did our hard work already, right. We pushed 753 00:37:41.679 --> 00:37:45.079 everyone relentlessly for the first six rounds, and then for 754 00:37:45.159 --> 00:37:47.719 the last stage here round seven to ten, we backed 755 00:37:47.719 --> 00:37:50.039 off a little bit, but we set ourselves up well, 756 00:37:50.199 --> 00:37:52.440 and now all we have to do is react. And 757 00:37:52.480 --> 00:37:55.039 that's okay because a lot of times I say to people, 758 00:37:55.039 --> 00:37:57.000 if you're not pushing the pace and you're just reacting, 759 00:37:57.000 --> 00:37:59.599 you're losing. I don't think that's the case near the 760 00:37:59.719 --> 00:38:03.239 end of these auctions. I think reacting is totally fine, 761 00:38:03.559 --> 00:38:05.280 and that's what we want to be doing for the 762 00:38:05.280 --> 00:38:08.000 most part here. Now, at the end game, I want 763 00:38:08.079 --> 00:38:10.920 us to ramp back up into pushing our own agenda. 764 00:38:11.440 --> 00:38:13.880 But in this spot, it's a little bit like the 765 00:38:13.920 --> 00:38:16.119 middle stage, the seven to ten stage. The eleven to 766 00:38:16.199 --> 00:38:18.840 thirteen is a little bit similar because you're doing a 767 00:38:18.840 --> 00:38:21.559 lot more reacting you're wasting a lot of nominations. You're 768 00:38:21.599 --> 00:38:25.159 pushing off the decisions because you want to hold the hammer. 769 00:38:25.400 --> 00:38:27.239 You want to hold the money, and you want to 770 00:38:27.280 --> 00:38:29.800 be able to be the one who picks off the 771 00:38:29.840 --> 00:38:33.760 deals rather than having to force landing players that aren't 772 00:38:33.800 --> 00:38:35.880 worth it at that point in the draft. And believe 773 00:38:35.880 --> 00:38:38.000 it or not, I want you to have an eye 774 00:38:38.039 --> 00:38:40.320 on your end game. I want you to have an 775 00:38:40.320 --> 00:38:42.159 eye on how is this going to end for me? 776 00:38:42.800 --> 00:38:44.599 And if at this point you want to try to 777 00:38:44.639 --> 00:38:47.960 spend all your money, that's okay, because I want you 778 00:38:48.000 --> 00:38:49.760 to have an eye on how you're going to finish 779 00:38:49.840 --> 00:38:52.559 the draft. That's when you need to be thinking about 780 00:38:52.840 --> 00:38:55.400 how is this going to look when I'm done and 781 00:38:55.440 --> 00:38:58.039 what players will I be looking at to make sure 782 00:38:58.079 --> 00:39:00.239 it happens the way I want it to. And this 783 00:39:00.320 --> 00:39:03.239 is also one of the stages that I think this 784 00:39:03.280 --> 00:39:06.079 happens in the middle rounds as well. We get into 785 00:39:06.079 --> 00:39:08.639 situations where somebody else is going to like a player 786 00:39:08.679 --> 00:39:11.880 that you like. It's the It just takes one theory, 787 00:39:12.480 --> 00:39:14.440 because it only takes one person to be interested in 788 00:39:14.440 --> 00:39:16.559 the player you're in for you to have to be 789 00:39:16.599 --> 00:39:19.840 in a bidding war and to lose that player. So again, 790 00:39:20.000 --> 00:39:22.519 be player agnostic. We've talked about that before. That's not 791 00:39:22.559 --> 00:39:25.440 the point of today's topic. But understand that if you 792 00:39:25.599 --> 00:39:28.400 have a pet player that you're really after in these rounds, 793 00:39:28.760 --> 00:39:30.920 you it's it can only take one other person in 794 00:39:30.920 --> 00:39:33.079 the room to push that price past what you want. 795 00:39:33.239 --> 00:39:36.320 So have an alternative and be thinking about what your 796 00:39:36.400 --> 00:39:38.880 team should look like over the next three to four 797 00:39:39.000 --> 00:39:41.679 rounds before you hit that end game. You're bidding at 798 00:39:41.679 --> 00:39:45.440 this point, well, the bidding is fairly simple. I don't 799 00:39:45.440 --> 00:39:48.199 want to see you doing much price enforcing at all 800 00:39:48.360 --> 00:39:51.079 at this point in the draft. Now, if you really 801 00:39:51.119 --> 00:39:53.559 want a player and you think, hey, that players too cheap, 802 00:39:53.880 --> 00:39:56.840 that's okay, But I don't really consider that much price enforcing. 803 00:39:56.880 --> 00:40:00.280 That's more just hey, I need this player. Four saying 804 00:40:00.360 --> 00:40:03.199 is extremely dangerous at this point in the game because 805 00:40:03.199 --> 00:40:05.079 there's a lot of players that are going between four 806 00:40:05.079 --> 00:40:07.360 and eight dollars, and you're going to look up and 807 00:40:07.480 --> 00:40:09.440 at some point and you're gonna be like, that's too cheap, 808 00:40:10.039 --> 00:40:13.079 and then you bid. Refer back to my DK Metcalf 809 00:40:13.599 --> 00:40:17.840 comment from last week's show that yeah, DK Metcalf may 810 00:40:17.880 --> 00:40:20.400 be worth more than a dollar. But do we care 811 00:40:21.199 --> 00:40:24.199 and don't get caught price enforcing because oh that's too cheap. 812 00:40:24.719 --> 00:40:27.719 Oh well, we just called out Tyler Augier and he 813 00:40:27.760 --> 00:40:31.360 shouldn't be a one dollar player. Well okay, but who cares. 814 00:40:31.800 --> 00:40:34.599 You want to go for your guys, and you should 815 00:40:34.599 --> 00:40:36.840 not be price enforcing at this point. I want you 816 00:40:36.920 --> 00:40:40.840 to be doing almost no bidding. Okay, now you're down 817 00:40:40.880 --> 00:40:44.719 to almost no bidding. Do not get involved because there's 818 00:40:44.840 --> 00:40:47.840 too high of a likelihood that you'll get stuck, and 819 00:40:47.880 --> 00:40:50.719 we don't want to make decisions that screw up the 820 00:40:50.800 --> 00:40:53.679 end of our draft. The nominations are mostly going to 821 00:40:53.719 --> 00:40:56.320 be pushing off and kicking the can down the road, 822 00:40:57.159 --> 00:40:59.320 keeping your eye on the end game and reacting to 823 00:40:59.360 --> 00:41:02.920 whatever deals present themselves. And your bidding should be almost 824 00:41:02.960 --> 00:41:06.000 non existent. You should be pret silent with that bid 825 00:41:06.000 --> 00:41:09.320 button at this point. Let's move on to the endgame 826 00:41:09.480 --> 00:41:12.719 rounds fourteen and on to the finish of the auction. 827 00:41:20.360 --> 00:41:23.559 All right, what does the endgame look like? Well, boy, 828 00:41:23.599 --> 00:41:28.320 that's hard, because, like I said, this is an exercise 829 00:41:28.440 --> 00:41:31.519 that seems sometimes feudile. It seems kind of like, how 830 00:41:31.559 --> 00:41:34.000 can I possibly capture what happens in an auction by 831 00:41:34.000 --> 00:41:36.840 talking for forty five minutes. I still feel that way. 832 00:41:37.079 --> 00:41:40.360 It's hard, man, It's really hard. And I tell you what, 833 00:41:40.400 --> 00:41:42.119 this show took me like two days to write. And 834 00:41:42.159 --> 00:41:43.960 I don't mean like I worked for forty eight hours. 835 00:41:44.000 --> 00:41:46.559 I just mean that I was mulling this thing over 836 00:41:46.559 --> 00:41:49.400 in my head to come up with the right format. 837 00:41:49.400 --> 00:41:50.679 And I hope that I did. I hope this is 838 00:41:50.760 --> 00:41:53.639 nice and crispy today. But I know you don't love 839 00:41:53.679 --> 00:41:55.400 the answer that the endgame can look a lot of 840 00:41:55.400 --> 00:41:57.280 different ways. But here are some things that I want 841 00:41:57.320 --> 00:42:01.199 you to remember for your nominations. Generally, just again, you're 842 00:42:01.199 --> 00:42:03.360 gonna want to wait. You just want to push this 843 00:42:03.480 --> 00:42:05.800 off as much as possible. But when you get to 844 00:42:05.880 --> 00:42:07.960 the end game, a lot of times you can't avoid 845 00:42:08.480 --> 00:42:11.880 nominating somebody that you want. And why is that because 846 00:42:11.920 --> 00:42:13.760 you don't want to get stuck with somebody you don't. 847 00:42:14.440 --> 00:42:17.639 So if there's a player you really want, unfortunately you 848 00:42:17.800 --> 00:42:20.039 just have to nominate him and hope that you get him. 849 00:42:20.760 --> 00:42:22.679 And that's you know, that's really tough, and that's the 850 00:42:22.719 --> 00:42:25.840 tough part of auctions. It's why we can probably never 851 00:42:25.920 --> 00:42:29.440 tell ourselves we're going to have a perfect auction because 852 00:42:29.480 --> 00:42:32.400 stuff happens and somebody else is interested. You know, I 853 00:42:32.440 --> 00:42:34.320 was in one the other night and I really wanted 854 00:42:34.400 --> 00:42:36.719 Jonathan Brooks and I thought I was gonna get him, 855 00:42:37.119 --> 00:42:38.760 and the other guy in the room who had some money, 856 00:42:38.840 --> 00:42:40.880 he ends up taking him from me, and I just 857 00:42:40.920 --> 00:42:42.880 thought to myself, well, I didn't have a choice. We 858 00:42:42.880 --> 00:42:44.800 were getting so late. I had to call him out 859 00:42:45.239 --> 00:42:47.599 and I didn't have the money. That's just how it goes. 860 00:42:47.760 --> 00:42:50.440 I wasn't about to call out some yahoo that I 861 00:42:50.440 --> 00:42:53.400 didn't want. I had to call him out and I 862 00:42:53.440 --> 00:42:56.480 lost him. That's okay. Get used to that idea. You're 863 00:42:56.480 --> 00:42:59.440 gonna call out players you don't you know that you want, 864 00:42:59.519 --> 00:43:01.719 and you're not gonna win them. This is also the 865 00:43:01.760 --> 00:43:03.880 time when you can nominate your kicker or defense if 866 00:43:03.920 --> 00:43:07.000 you don't have them landed yet. You need to get 867 00:43:07.039 --> 00:43:08.960 those out there quickly to try to get a good 868 00:43:08.960 --> 00:43:11.519 one so that you're not taking the last one. Now, 869 00:43:11.559 --> 00:43:14.800 in this stage, we don't really need to talk about 870 00:43:14.840 --> 00:43:17.840 goals because we're finishing here, so we're already there. But 871 00:43:18.119 --> 00:43:20.719 here's a couple comments I want to make. Number one, 872 00:43:21.480 --> 00:43:24.519 if you believe a player is worth a couple bucks. 873 00:43:24.960 --> 00:43:28.199 Never nominate them for one dollar. Just nominate them for 874 00:43:28.239 --> 00:43:30.719 two bucks, because most of the time, when you get 875 00:43:30.760 --> 00:43:32.639 near the end of an auction, people do not want 876 00:43:32.679 --> 00:43:35.719 to pay three bucks. And if you don't want to 877 00:43:35.719 --> 00:43:39.039 pay three bucks, then don't say one because somebody's going 878 00:43:39.079 --> 00:43:41.400 to say two. Oh my gosh, I can't let them 879 00:43:41.400 --> 00:43:45.320 get them for one. Two, okay, just say two. Just 880 00:43:45.360 --> 00:43:47.400 start with two. And if you win it for two, great. 881 00:43:47.440 --> 00:43:49.760 If somebody says three, then don't worry about it. Who cares? 882 00:43:50.000 --> 00:43:51.559 And if you really want the player, then say four. 883 00:43:51.599 --> 00:43:54.960 That's great, but don't worry about them saying three. Just 884 00:43:55.000 --> 00:43:57.719 start it two. I like the two dollars bid to 885 00:43:57.840 --> 00:44:01.320 open in the endgame. Thing is to pay attention to 886 00:44:01.360 --> 00:44:04.280 people's max bids. And I know that we've talked about 887 00:44:04.280 --> 00:44:05.760 this so many times, but I have to say it again. 888 00:44:05.840 --> 00:44:08.519 I'm trying to wear that pathway in your brain. If 889 00:44:08.519 --> 00:44:10.400 you're in a bidding war with somebody and you don't 890 00:44:10.440 --> 00:44:13.199 know what their max is, you are losing expected value. 891 00:44:13.239 --> 00:44:16.119 That's a negative ev play because a lot of times 892 00:44:16.159 --> 00:44:17.880 you're gonna get down to a player, let's say it's 893 00:44:17.880 --> 00:44:20.480 a Jonathan Brooks, and you have a max bid of 894 00:44:20.559 --> 00:44:24.960 seven and the other player has a max bid of six, 895 00:44:25.519 --> 00:44:28.079 and the bidding goes up. You don't ever say five 896 00:44:28.199 --> 00:44:30.280 and let them say six, because then you have to 897 00:44:30.280 --> 00:44:34.559 pay seven and that's your max. Instead, you say six 898 00:44:35.280 --> 00:44:37.639 and they can't bid seven because that was their max, 899 00:44:38.000 --> 00:44:39.840 all right. So if their max is six and yours 900 00:44:39.840 --> 00:44:43.679 a seven, don't ever say five. Don't ever say five. 901 00:44:43.840 --> 00:44:46.360 You screwed yourself out of a dollar there, and that 902 00:44:46.440 --> 00:44:48.920 dollar could be critical to landing a player that you 903 00:44:48.960 --> 00:44:51.000 need at the end of the draft. Always pay attention 904 00:44:51.039 --> 00:44:53.800 to max bids. This is also the time where if 905 00:44:53.800 --> 00:44:56.960 there's a clear cut, standout player that's still on the board, 906 00:44:57.280 --> 00:44:58.679 and I don't mean that you're gonna be sitting there 907 00:44:58.679 --> 00:45:00.920 and Jamar Chase is going to be there. I'm seventeen. 908 00:45:01.239 --> 00:45:03.559 But if there's a clear cut player that's still on 909 00:45:03.559 --> 00:45:05.159 the board, like a lot of times, a weird player 910 00:45:05.199 --> 00:45:09.320 like Ramandre Stevenson or Jordan Addison or somebody slips through 911 00:45:09.320 --> 00:45:12.840 the cracks, stop worrying about everything else and empty the clip. 912 00:45:13.599 --> 00:45:16.400 Stop worrying about everything else, and just land that player. 913 00:45:17.000 --> 00:45:20.079 Because the talent disparity is so big at that point 914 00:45:20.599 --> 00:45:23.800 that the positive ev blows any other play out of 915 00:45:23.840 --> 00:45:27.440 the water. So empty the clip on the clear best 916 00:45:27.440 --> 00:45:30.159 player left on the board. If it's obvious. Now, if 917 00:45:30.159 --> 00:45:31.440 there's just a bunch of guys and you're like, I 918 00:45:31.519 --> 00:45:33.000 like this guy better than the others, that's not what 919 00:45:33.039 --> 00:45:35.559 I'm talking about. I'm talking about a guy that sticks 920 00:45:35.599 --> 00:45:37.559 out like a sore thumb, a guy that you look 921 00:45:37.559 --> 00:45:39.800 at and you say, how is this guy still not nominated? 922 00:45:40.320 --> 00:45:42.440 You should empty the clip on that player. And when 923 00:45:42.440 --> 00:45:45.400 the player gets nominated and you have, like, say eleven 924 00:45:45.400 --> 00:45:48.719 bucks left as your max bid, and somebody nominates that player, 925 00:45:48.800 --> 00:45:51.719 just say eleven, Just say eleven. That happened to me 926 00:45:51.800 --> 00:45:53.599 last year, and I thought it was gonna cost me. 927 00:45:53.639 --> 00:45:56.920 In fact, it really did cost me, because Pianowski pulled 928 00:45:56.920 --> 00:46:00.800 that against me. The son of a gun. I thought 929 00:46:00.800 --> 00:46:03.079 I was getting Wandale Robinson near the end of that auction, 930 00:46:03.159 --> 00:46:05.159 and that would have been a huge benefit to my team. 931 00:46:05.239 --> 00:46:08.559 Last year. I had enough money left thinking I was 932 00:46:08.599 --> 00:46:10.800 going to get him for six, seven, eight bucks, and 933 00:46:10.840 --> 00:46:13.639 when somebody called him out, Pianowski just yelled out his 934 00:46:13.639 --> 00:46:15.320 max bit I think it was ten or eleven bucks, 935 00:46:15.440 --> 00:46:17.719 and he nailed. He got him because my max bid 936 00:46:17.800 --> 00:46:19.880 was just below that, and I was just kind of stunned. 937 00:46:19.920 --> 00:46:21.679 But I'm like, yeah, that's Pianowski. He's good. He knows 938 00:46:21.719 --> 00:46:23.719 what he's doing. You need to be that guy in 939 00:46:23.719 --> 00:46:25.519 the room. You need to be Pianowski in the room. 940 00:46:25.880 --> 00:46:28.360 You need to know exactly what people are doing and 941 00:46:28.440 --> 00:46:31.639 exactly what you're doing. And so when they call that 942 00:46:31.639 --> 00:46:33.400 player out, you go, oh, this is the guy. This 943 00:46:33.519 --> 00:46:35.639 is clearly the best guy left on the board. And 944 00:46:35.679 --> 00:46:38.079 Wandelle Robinson was clearly the best guy left on the board. 945 00:46:38.079 --> 00:46:40.760 Why was he there that late in the auction last year? 946 00:46:40.920 --> 00:46:44.159 He shouldn't have been. But that's an important lesson, okay, 947 00:46:44.480 --> 00:46:46.559 because he shouldn't have been there. And that's the kind 948 00:46:46.559 --> 00:46:48.159 of guy I'm talking about, the guy that sticks out 949 00:46:48.239 --> 00:46:51.760 like a sore thumb. Wandale Robinson was a monster value 950 00:46:52.199 --> 00:46:55.559 in the endgame of the auction last year, and you 951 00:46:55.679 --> 00:46:57.320 just have to empty your clip and just take that 952 00:46:57.360 --> 00:46:59.079 guy and just don't worry about it. Then everyone else 953 00:46:59.119 --> 00:47:01.159 is a dollar who cares because you got the best 954 00:47:01.159 --> 00:47:04.159 player on the board, and that positive ev blows any 955 00:47:04.199 --> 00:47:07.159 other play out of the water you're bidding. At this point, 956 00:47:07.320 --> 00:47:10.599 I would describe it as almost never. You're almost never 957 00:47:10.719 --> 00:47:13.559 going to be bidding at this point unless you intend 958 00:47:13.880 --> 00:47:16.960 to win the player or you're nominating a player. Just 959 00:47:17.000 --> 00:47:20.079 don't pid, don't bid in the end game. You cannot 960 00:47:20.119 --> 00:47:23.760 get cute here. Do not get cute in the end game. 961 00:47:24.159 --> 00:47:26.760 Don't bid. Don't bid unless you intend a roster. The 962 00:47:27.719 --> 00:47:29.559 other thing I want to make sure that you remember 963 00:47:29.719 --> 00:47:31.920 is Joe Dolan talks about this a lot, and I 964 00:47:31.960 --> 00:47:34.239 don't hammer it enough, but I've tried to this summer. 965 00:47:35.119 --> 00:47:38.599 Roster spots are currency late in an auction, so you 966 00:47:38.639 --> 00:47:41.599 need to start not only guarding your dollars, but guarding 967 00:47:41.599 --> 00:47:45.079 your spots more than anything, because you have certain players 968 00:47:45.079 --> 00:47:47.280 that you want, and if you put in an ill 969 00:47:47.320 --> 00:47:49.880 time bid, then you're gonna win a player that you 970 00:47:49.920 --> 00:47:52.639 didn't necessarily want, and that is not what we're after here. 971 00:47:53.519 --> 00:47:56.360 So save your roster spots. I'd argue that you need 972 00:47:56.400 --> 00:47:58.920 to guard your roster spots more than your dollars at 973 00:47:58.920 --> 00:48:01.880 the end of the auction, because nobody's expensive at the 974 00:48:01.960 --> 00:48:04.000 end of an auction, and if you have seven bucks, 975 00:48:04.039 --> 00:48:06.280 you probably have some of the most money left in 976 00:48:06.320 --> 00:48:09.239 the room when you get to the endgame. So money 977 00:48:09.320 --> 00:48:12.280 is not as important as roster spots. Guard those roster 978 00:48:12.360 --> 00:48:15.679 spots in the endgame. All right, So quick recap is 979 00:48:15.719 --> 00:48:18.760 your nominations are gonna be finishing up your kicker or 980 00:48:18.880 --> 00:48:22.920 d mostly punting your nominations, but making sure that if 981 00:48:22.960 --> 00:48:25.199 you nominate somebody and nobody has any money left, that 982 00:48:25.320 --> 00:48:29.239 you're fine keeping them. Don't nominate for one buck if 983 00:48:29.280 --> 00:48:32.519 two bucks will do it. Make sure you're paying attention 984 00:48:32.559 --> 00:48:35.519 to max bids, emptying the clip on the best player 985 00:48:35.559 --> 00:48:38.000 on the board, and keeping your trap shut when it 986 00:48:38.039 --> 00:48:40.960 comes to bidding, because you're guarding your roster spots and 987 00:48:41.000 --> 00:48:44.239 you're guarding that flexibility as you play out the end game. 988 00:48:45.000 --> 00:48:48.119 All right, folks, I hope you enjoyed today's episode. I 989 00:48:48.239 --> 00:48:53.000 know that this sometimes gets repetitive to my longtime listeners, 990 00:48:53.000 --> 00:48:55.639 and I understand that. But I'm adding new listeners all 991 00:48:55.679 --> 00:48:58.119 the time. I'm getting dms like, hey, I'm into your 992 00:48:58.119 --> 00:48:59.800 show and I'm just new and I'm listening to all 993 00:48:59.840 --> 00:49:02.880 the episodes. They haven't heard all this stuff before, and hey, 994 00:49:03.280 --> 00:49:06.119 once again, we're trying to wear the pathways in your brain. 995 00:49:06.400 --> 00:49:09.079 It never hurts to hear all this stuff. So go 996 00:49:09.199 --> 00:49:12.920 back and if you really want to be serious about 997 00:49:12.960 --> 00:49:15.920 crushing your auctions. I'd go back and start to write 998 00:49:15.920 --> 00:49:19.280 down a couple key points from each of these stages 999 00:49:19.480 --> 00:49:23.159 when we're talking about the nomination, bidding, and goals in 1000 00:49:23.239 --> 00:49:31.800 each of these stages of an auction. All right, that's 1001 00:49:31.840 --> 00:49:34.239 going to do it for today's episode of the Auction Brief. 1002 00:49:34.239 --> 00:49:36.119 Don't forget. You can find me on Twitter at Drew 1003 00:49:36.199 --> 00:49:39.480 Davenport FF on the Patreon network Fantasy Football Lawyer. Just 1004 00:49:39.519 --> 00:49:41.920 four bucks a month, use my code Auction Brief at 1005 00:49:42.079 --> 00:49:45.199 FJA Fantasy Sports to get ten percent off your draft 1006 00:49:45.239 --> 00:49:48.239 board order. And don't forget the Salary Cap Summit coming 1007 00:49:48.320 --> 00:49:52.239 up August second, third, and fourth. We're doing two live 1008 00:49:52.280 --> 00:49:55.199 auctions at seven Eastern on the second and third, and 1009 00:49:55.199 --> 00:49:58.159 then on the fourth we'll do a live auction panel 1010 00:49:58.199 --> 00:50:02.280 at seven pm with Scott Pianowski, Dave Richard, Jim Coventry 1011 00:50:02.400 --> 00:50:05.679 and a couple other surprise guests. I hope will pull through. 1012 00:50:06.159 --> 00:50:08.079 But no matter what, the hour Cap Summit is going 1013 00:50:08.119 --> 00:50:11.960 to be an awesome second iteration, and I hope that 1014 00:50:12.039 --> 00:50:14.400 you are there. All right, folks, that's going to do it. 1015 00:50:14.440 --> 00:50:16.280 The next time you talk to me. Training camps are 1016 00:50:16.360 --> 00:50:19.360 in full swing, and we'll be talking to Scott Pianoski 1017 00:50:19.400 --> 00:50:23.199 from The King's Classic and talking about real player news 1018 00:50:23.239 --> 00:50:25.719 and what we should be doing in our auction draft 1019 00:50:25.800 --> 00:50:30.639 rooms with actual information from players running around in shorts. 1020 00:50:30.679 --> 00:50:33.039 That's going to be awesome. Thank you so much for 1021 00:50:33.119 --> 00:50:35.239 being here as part of the Auction Brief. This is 1022 00:50:35.280 --> 00:50:37.039 my favorite time every week when I get to get 1023 00:50:37.079 --> 00:50:39.039 on the mic and talk to all of you, So 1024 00:50:39.079 --> 00:50:41.039 thank you for being here, Thank you for supporting me. 1025 00:50:41.440 --> 00:50:45.079 The Auction Brief is adjourned, and I am out. The 1026 00:50:45.119 --> 00:50:50.760 Auction Brief is adjourn that'll do it for this week's episode. 1027 00:50:51.000 --> 00:51:03.719 See you next time on the Auction Brief.