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Speaker 1: On your LA wait to talk today. It is Friday,

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August the fifteenth. We got two NFL preseason games tonight,

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a ton on Saturday tomorrow. Also Major League Baseball UFC

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three nineteen some WNBA. We're gonna talk about a lot

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of different sports here with multiple kappers, Yanni the Greek,

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Teddy Covers, and Marco D'Angel. It's a Vegas triple play.

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So I'm Steve Merrill coming in from the East Coast,

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filling in for Andy Lang, who is literally living life

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today at the Live Golf Tournament. Live Golf Tournament. However

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you want to pronounce it, but let's bring in Yanni,

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the Greek and Ace. I've always said, I say Johnny,

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some say Johnny's I asked you, and it's actually Yanni, Yes, sir, Yes,

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like the musical guy back in the day, Yanni.

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Speaker 2: Back when I was younger, everyone knew that name because

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of the musician, so that's what they called me. They

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would just they would just spell it wrong. They would

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spell it with a Y like.

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Speaker 1: I never thought it was Yanni. I've always said Jianny,

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but it's said Johnny, which I've never understood.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, the Greeks have it as Yanni. The Italians

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have it as Jianni Gianni, so that's what your Greek.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, came there we go. That makes more sense now

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because I know some Italians. Hey, nonetheless, you could do

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steam as well as any of them. Might. Ask you

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a little bit about bet bash too, Teddy and you

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were talking about that off the air. But let's get

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to the actionable info here for Friday, and then we'll

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run with it.

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Speaker 2: Yes, sir, it's a little a little slow, a little

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slow so far.

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Speaker 1: It's funny.

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Speaker 2: I was saying the last few days, I swear to you,

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have been a little slow, and I realized why they're

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all here. All most of those groups are here. I like,

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I met so many that I've actually worked with over

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the years that like I've never met in person, you

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know what I mean, But we do accounts and we've

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settled figures and stuff, but we just never actually met

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in person. But I see now there so many are

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here just trying to connect. They're trying to connect, you know,

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with with get more accounts from other betters, try to

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connect and see like are you working with them? If not,

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I have their stuff? Like so it was it was

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it was cool doing all of that, and I realized

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that's why it's so slow, because a lot of those

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guys are here for this event. So it's a little

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slow so far with movements. But here's what we got

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overnight WNBA. It's a little too late now. La got

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steamed at three and a half and four against Dallas.

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That's the only thing that sticks out in the WNBA

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early Major League Baseball again, a little slow that they

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should pick up for sure. Two sides, two totals that

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got hit already. The sides nine sixty nine the Angels

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and minus one ten nine seventy one Miami plus one

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forty five. The two totals nine to fifty five under

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eight and a half Philly, Washington nine sixty four under

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eight and eight under eight forgive me up to minus

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one twenty Baltimore and Houston. A couple other moves, but

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not multiple groups coming in on the same sign. And

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usually that's sometimes just picking off numbers. You know that

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we'll they'll see if it's one's off market. You know,

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some of my accounts that I have are are off screen,

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so some of these lines will be off market, and

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they'll they'll bet some lines like that. But these are

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the ones that I've seen multiple confirmation in looking at

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football really quick, let's pull up the football. What was

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sticking out? I know in tonight's game. Obviously Seattle got hit.

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I talked about that yesterday. We bet Seattle at a

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pick them. That moved very quickly, and because they had

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opened as the dog, I wasn't even all that confident.

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I didn't release that one to my subscribers. Kind of

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wish I did, because now we're looking at them getting three,

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I mean laying three to Kansas City. So that was

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definitely hit. And what else did I see? Did I

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see anything else?

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Speaker 1: Well, I'll tell you what we have seen. We've seen

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a reverse buyback on this Titans Falcons game at seventiestern

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night on NFL Network because I did a video two

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days ago, Yati, and I just said I didn't agree

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with the line move from three and a half up

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to five and a half, as I thought Atlanta was

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the better defensive team. Tennessee still struggling offensively even with

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cam Warden there and now lo and behold, it's back

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down to that key number of three here on Friday afternoon.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and I saw that getting hit and they were

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even hitting the game in the first half, and then

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like you said, you see the opposite movement start to

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come in.

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Speaker 1: Well, what do you make of something like that? Obviously

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maybe something's coming out with the Falcons saying they're playing

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guys more than whatnot. I haven't looked into it since.

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Speaker 2: And that talking to a guy down there that was

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one of the preseason originators, like he does a lot

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of the preseason work, and I told him where do

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you get to your comp like what do you confirm

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like your most confident positions? And he said it all

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has to do with information on who's playing, Like that's

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all my I'd say ninety plus percent, he said, of

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my bets are the product of finding out someone's not

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playing or someone is playing without feeling that the line

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has that actored into it. That's pretty much what they've

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been doing with the preseason. So I would assume it

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has to do something, you know, along those lines with

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players playing or not playing.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And this is why it's such a cat and

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mouse game, right because if you'd like Tennessee, you jumped

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on the three and a half and then at five

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and a half when I was doing the video two

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days ago, I said, I really don't think this line

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should have moved at all. I think it's equal, And

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now it looks like maybe that was right because it's

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back down to three. I really feel it's just for

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the average Joe's out there that aren't chasing the line moves,

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you know whatnot trying to get information for our moves.

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It's almost a new way to handicap the preseason. Just

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assume like it's like the stock market. All the information

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is now into the line. Is it correct or not?

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And this is a case where I didn't think it

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was and it has come back down. But it's a

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different world than it was ten to fifteen years ago

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with these preseason games, especially with them only having three

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now weeks two or you know, week two's a dress

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roussal for some guys this week. Week three is next

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week and you used to always week three.

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Speaker 2: Yep, yep, yeah, my pleasure, Paul. Sorry, just saw the comment. Man. Anytime,

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I'm glad you're able to use the information to hope

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you're able to do some damage. And yet real quickly

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in the NFL, like here's what. Let me share a

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couple of the things that are really sticking out in NFL,

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like tonight in the Seahawks Chiefs game. Looking in that

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back end right now, there are zero zero bets on

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Kansas City, and yet there are a lot of one

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sided bets on Seattle at minus three. Okay, so here's

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where you got to pay attention to. That shouldn't even

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be an option for most better Seattle minus three. You

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already know they opened as a two and a half

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three point dog. That line has now flipped. Any value

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has been extracted, like you're now not betting from any

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position to strength. Like to me, that just seems like

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the market is already giving you only a one option,

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and that's either you'd like the Chiefs at plus three

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or you move on to another game. I just it

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confuses me how so many betters can line up right

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now and Seattle could go out there and win by

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double digits. That's not what I'm saying. I just don't

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see how Seattle could could be a good bet. Why

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the confidence in laying three with Seattle? And that's coming

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from someone that has Seattle tonight at a pick home,

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Like I need Seattle to win because I bet it

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for the accounts and I take a percentage of them.

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But I would not urge anyone to bet Seattle now,

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or even worse, I get guys that DM me and

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say I missed the play. Should I money line? Could

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I money line them? Would that make it a good bet?

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Of course not, because the money line is a reflection

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of minus three. It's not a reflection anymore of a

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pick home. If you could get that money line at

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minus one tenth, absolutely blast it. But right now I'm

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sure that's not the case. You're being as to lay

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one sixty five or so to bet that money line.

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Once again, we do not have the same bet. I

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have the money line at minus one ten, you're gonna

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have the money line at minus one sixty one sixty five.

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We don't have the same bed. So, of course not

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I urge you not to do it. So I think

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with the preseason, that's where it makes it a lot easier.

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And I don't want to go along on this, but

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I'm tired of listening to all these influencers out there

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who have out no idea what they're talking about, and

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alls I've heard about them over and over. Whoever's beten

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the preseason? The degenerate, don't bet the preseason. Don't bet

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the pre What are you talking about when in the

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NFL are we going to see line moves like this

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without huge injuries. The only time you ever see line

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moves like this is if a quarterback goes down. So

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what does that mean? It means that the market's extremely

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inefficient compared to Sunday in Week four, where it the

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line's not going to move but at half a point unless,

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like I said, there's some injuries involved or you know,

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a line gets steamed, and even then that's how much

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is it going to move? Right now, we have proof

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by the opening line and the closing line that these

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are anyfficient as they come. You're not going to get

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NFL lines that are less efficient than the preseason. So

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how can you urge anyone to stay away from the preseason?

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If anything, tell them to stay away from the regular

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season and only bet the preseason because they ain't beat

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in the NFL. So forgive me. I just like I

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heard it again this morning from like an influencer. It's

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got almost a couple hundred thousand followers or something like

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that talking about whoever, if someone's giving you preseason, they're

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a degenerate. Nobody could get winning preseason like that's for

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you know, action junkies and stuff like that. And again nothing,

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nothing could be further from the truth preseasons where it's at.

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And more importantly, they make your job easy because if

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you didn't get out ahead of the line, then all

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you have to conclude is with this huge of a movement,

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should I now take the other side, like it's not

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rocket science? But for some reason, you know, they make

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it again. I'm sorry to go off. I just was

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so shocked to see one hundred per the bets and

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this dude sheet on Seattle.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's almost a fade the public situation

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for the NFL preseason, right. And how about the move

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in the Browns game? Should Ar Sanders is not playing

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and that moves like a whole field goal or more?

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You know it just there's some silly stuff that happens.

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I really think what you have to do nowadays is

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decide are the line moves warranted or not? Just like

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going back to that Tennessee Falcons game tonight, you know,

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I never really felt like Tennessee should be a five

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and a half point favorite. Cam Ward scored on one

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of his two drives. They didn't score the rest of

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the game. They were the worst team in the NFL

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last year, that's why they got the number one draft pick,

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and they're all of a sudden five and a half

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point road favorite against a good, defensive minded coach. But yeah,

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I've always told people, if you don't think you can

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win in the preseason, then why isn't every game of

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pick them? If this is completely random, every game should

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be a pick them and it's not. You know, you

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got five six seven point favorites. That tells you all

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you need to know about the preseason.

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Speaker 2: Here's what's interesting about this week's preseason as well. There's

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only one game on this entire board that so far,

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and again, most recreational betters, even though the books that

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I have access to their credit shops, so recreational betters

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with credit can lock up bets earlier in the week,

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Like if you're betting with cash and you're posting, I

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understand not locking up games a week two weeks in advance,

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because you're using your bank for all night after night,

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So I get it, But I just can't understand how

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every single game except one doesn't have a single under

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bet on it, meaning as of right now, from recreational accounts.

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Not a single recreational account has bet one game under

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the only game they bet under that one Cardinals and

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Broncos is the only preseason game this week that I

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see an under bet booked. Every single other game on

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this sheet right now, and again most have been bet

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but this is probably you know, he's got a couple

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hundred players, maybe twenty percent of that haved bet so far,

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twenty five percent at most, and all.

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Speaker 1: Overs over over.

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Speaker 3: Over over over.

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Speaker 2: Now. You know, some got good numbers because the overs

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seem to be trending in that direction because of what

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we've seen so far in the preseason. But it's zero,

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Like I said, one game getting a little under money

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but still heavier to the over. It just happens to

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have a few under bets. No other game has a

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single under bet booked on it. It's the over or

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nothing at all.

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Speaker 1: So that's also the only game out of all sixteen

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here in Week two in which the opening line is

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higher than the current line. Every other game the other

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fifteen games are the same, if not higher than the

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opener right now. So that goes to exactly what you're saying.

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It's been all over money. And if I'm not mistaken.

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Last week, the overs were fourteen and two in Week

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one of the preseason. I've pointed out a stat that's

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very basic. Thirty seven is the key number. You know.

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You and I were coming up Teddy Marco in the nineties.

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We saw thirty sevens and forty one's all the time.

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We don't see him anymore in the regular season. Thirty

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seven is the most key total of all you see

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it in the preseason. Probably about a four to five

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percent chance of game lands on thirty seven in this

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ice range. If you've blindly played thirty seven or less

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over thirty seven and a halves are higher under. Over

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the last decade, you've hit like fifty seven percent of

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the blind Maybe things are changing here, you know. It

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goes back to Annie. Also what I said about three

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weeks of the preseason. Right, teams are playing more in

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Week one than they used to, and we saw a

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ton of overs. I think the betty market is anticipating that.

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I'm not gonna say we're gonna have more unders and

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overs this week, but if I'm a better I'm probably

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looking for some reasons of play some unders. At this point.

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Speaker 2: I think so too. That's how I feel I haven't

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bet Amy overs yet. I'm looking to see if I

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could take advantage of some unders heading into the weekend.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and obviously a lot of uncertainty with the quarterback rotations.

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We have a lot of free play videos here on

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the channel. We'll dig into that more as well. Last

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Call tomorrow on Saturday at eleven am Eastern, let me

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ask you about UFC three nineteen. We don't have a

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lot of talk about the MMA stuff, the rest of

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the show, big UFC event this week and anything.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to do a public service announcement right now, Oh,

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public service announcement. Be very cautious on Laren Murphy. For

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whatever reason, everyone I'm speaking to is at telling me

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that the wrong fighter is favored in that fight, and

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I understand why, because Laron Murphy has done absolutely nothing wrong.

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He had a drawn his first UFC fight, and I

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think he's won five or six since he has zero

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losses in the UFC. And he's fighting Aaron Pico, who

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is coming over from Bellator. And we have a small

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sample size of two fighters over the last few months

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that just came over from bellatour Patchie Mix and Pitbull.

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Both of those fighters looked awful in their UFC debut.

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So the narrative is, what's going to change with Aaron

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Pico coming over from Bellatore. I'll tell you this, Aaron

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Pico is a different a completely different situation than those

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other two fighters. He's in his prime still, like the

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UFC has wanted him for a very long time. McK

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maynard has been very high on Aaron Pico and everyone has.

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I mean, he was a phenom coming out of high school.

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He could have went to any college, top wrestling colleges

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the in the country, and instead he went straight to

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the Olympic Trials out of high school, which is like

311
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never happens. That's how good this kid was. And speaking

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this like Andrew Gambis, who's an originator of MMA, who

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wrestled in high school in college, speaking him yesterday, he said,

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you couldn't go to a tournament without hearing his name.

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Aaron Pico, Aaron Pico, Aaron Pico. So this kid, it's

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potential versus credentials, and sometimes it is worth going out

317
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on that risk curve and paying for potential because I

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think when we look back on this fight, we're going

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to come to the conclusion that it probably should have

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been a lot higher than Actually this line is. It

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opened at about minus one forty, got the one fifty,

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got his high as one almost two hundred. Since then,

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it's starting to come down because the Lauren Murphy money

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is starting to get to the window. Lauren Murphy, forgive me,

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I'm just throwing public service announcement. Be cautious with that dog.

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I know everyone thinks he's live. I know it seems

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like there's a ton of value, but be cautious. There's

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some sharp money opposite that that are very high on

329
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Aaron Peago And what else can I share real quickly?

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Main Event, It's no secret anyone that's been following anything

331
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I do knows I love CHAMAIAV. In that fight, a

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lot of DVP money is going to come in. So

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I think if you like Chamaiev and you don't want

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to lay the two forties two thirties, I think you

335
00:16:43,759 --> 00:16:46,399
may want to wait till tomorrow. You'll probably get a

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better price. I released that to subscribers at minus two hundred.

337
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I thought it should be a lot higher than that.

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So I do like Chamaiev in the main event, and

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like I said, cautious in the co main event with

340
00:17:00,159 --> 00:17:02,639
Go and Murphy love it.

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Speaker 1: It's almost a fade the public situation. We talk about that, right,

342
00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:07,759
you love it when everyone likes the dog in any

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00:17:07,799 --> 00:17:09,240
sport and all of a sudden, the sharp money is

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on the favorite. Got a little bit of UFC three

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to nineteen that happening there, And already I already told

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our social media team whenever you start with public service

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amount and that's gonna be a great social media clip.

348
00:17:18,839 --> 00:17:20,640
So I can see that one being up in the

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00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:24,680
near future here. Don't you dare call him Gianny the Italian.

350
00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:27,240
He's Janni the Greek. Yes, you also have the steam Room,

351
00:17:27,319 --> 00:17:29,079
I believe coming up here in the near future.

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00:17:29,039 --> 00:17:32,079
Speaker 2: Ten minutes, ten minutes away, ten minutes away, gonna knock

353
00:17:32,079 --> 00:17:34,400
it out Friday, because we've got a busy weekend. Oh,

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UFC three nineteen preseason football, Major League Baseball WNBA, a

355
00:17:40,079 --> 00:17:43,599
lot of stuff and really excited for the football season.

356
00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:46,359
If you watch the preview shows, you know we're ready

357
00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:49,680
to go. So yeah, join the steamer room that's in

358
00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:52,839
ten minutes and get ready for a big weekend. Five

359
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,400
percent off in UFC three nineteen.

360
00:17:55,319 --> 00:17:57,000
Speaker 1: And I know they had a special yesterday I think

361
00:17:57,039 --> 00:17:58,960
it expired like twenty minutes ago. But if you really

362
00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:00,599
would like to find out more about the steam room

363
00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:04,039
contact or award winning customer support team here at wager

364
00:18:04,119 --> 00:18:04,720
talk dot com.

365
00:18:04,839 --> 00:18:07,240
Speaker 2: It's sending those best bet videos out, Steve. I saw

366
00:18:07,319 --> 00:18:09,559
the you put out. Love them, bro Love.

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00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:12,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll keep excited for the football season, right, we

368
00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,559
got college football Top twenty five every week you fade

369
00:18:15,599 --> 00:18:18,440
the public. Got some other ideas floating in the head

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00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:19,799
to Yanni, So I'll let you know.

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Speaker 2: So OG's Marco and Teddy coming up from behind.

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Speaker 1: And yeah, this is the the Vegas triple play here.

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You know, we did this in last call last week,

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00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:28,960
and I joked that all of us had at least

375
00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:31,960
four decades of experience. Yeah, I didn't think about it

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00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:34,079
today because here we have over one hundred years.

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00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:36,519
Speaker 2: One hundred years of sports betting experience.

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00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:38,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, it was you, Teddy and Ross, Benjamin, but we

379
00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:40,799
got Marco in for Ross, and it's basically that's an

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00:18:40,839 --> 00:18:44,079
equal swap right there to old school guys. So yeah,

381
00:18:44,079 --> 00:18:48,599
once again, all of us nineties older experience pretty crazy.

382
00:18:48,599 --> 00:18:50,880
Two centuries. We each have two centuries of work. And

383
00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:52,559
you'll get that in the steam Room coming up here

384
00:18:52,559 --> 00:18:55,240
in nine minutes once again Yanni the Greek. Find him

385
00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:58,079
at wager talk dot com and all access subscribers get

386
00:18:58,079 --> 00:18:59,759
the steam room every week with him. If you'd like

387
00:18:59,799 --> 00:19:03,119
more information, a message customer support here at wager talk

388
00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:05,319
dot com. They'll get you set up. All right, let's

389
00:19:05,319 --> 00:19:09,039
bring in Teddy Covers No further Ado and Teddy, I

390
00:19:09,079 --> 00:19:12,960
got to ask you about the NFL preseason. We talked

391
00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:15,319
a lot about it last week. On last call, we

392
00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,759
saw those overs come in. Yanni just talked about all

393
00:19:17,799 --> 00:19:21,400
the money coming on the overs this week. Has something changed?

394
00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:23,799
Is in an overreaction one of your thoughts.

395
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:27,920
Speaker 4: So, with all due respect to you and Yanni, a

396
00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:31,319
couple of corrections. Overs went thirteen and two last week,

397
00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:34,200
not fourteen and two. The Lions Falcons game didn't get

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00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:37,759
to fifth minute, that didn't count, But they are fourteen

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00:19:37,799 --> 00:19:39,960
and two so far in the entirety of the preseason,

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00:19:40,279 --> 00:19:40,960
counting the Hall.

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00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:42,680
Speaker 3: Of Fame games. That's what I saw as we got

402
00:19:43,039 --> 00:19:44,200
into overall.

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00:19:45,039 --> 00:19:48,519
Speaker 4: Secondly, we have seen a big totals move towards the

404
00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:52,680
under on one game that got steamed up initially thirty

405
00:19:52,759 --> 00:19:54,440
nine and a half up to forty two and a half.

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Now back to thirty nine and a half. When you

407
00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:58,720
look at your odds logic live on screen, you might

408
00:19:58,759 --> 00:20:01,240
not notice that the line moved up three points that

409
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:04,079
total and then got beat backed down. That is it

410
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:06,720
in the Chiefs game that we're going to talk about

411
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:09,720
with the Seahawks in just a few minutes, when we

412
00:20:09,759 --> 00:20:13,000
talk about why the overs so far has the markets

413
00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:15,839
and then there are two schools of thought. There's a

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school of thought out there saying, look, the NFL changes

415
00:20:21,519 --> 00:20:24,680
from year to year, and the markets are lagging behind

416
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:28,880
where the NFL is when it comes to these preseason totals.

417
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:32,599
That is one of the two theories. The other theory,

418
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and that's the one that I subscribe to, is that

419
00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:39,680
last week and so far this preseason has been a

420
00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:42,960
lot of randomness that has related in a lot of overs.

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00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:46,119
We saw a bunch of big special teams plays last week.

422
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We saw most importantly, red zone efficiency be off the

423
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charts good and my team's just scoring touchdowns in the

424
00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:54,039
red zone is supposed to field goals. It's a huge

425
00:20:54,039 --> 00:20:57,000
difference for totals. Half the totals that have gone over

426
00:20:57,039 --> 00:20:59,279
this preseam gone over by a touchdown or less, and

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00:20:59,319 --> 00:21:02,400
that's you know, one or two defensive a special team

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scorer slash one or two touchdowns instead of field goals.

429
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It's not like every game is flown over the total.

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And when it comes to this week, there are betters

431
00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:12,720
out there they're like, I'm not playing any under until

432
00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:15,359
I see unders come in. I'm not one of those

433
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:18,319
better We'll talk about that again when we break down

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00:21:18,759 --> 00:21:21,519
the NFL game for tonight that we have schedule to do.

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Speaker 2: So.

436
00:21:22,759 --> 00:21:25,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, and like you just said, with that many squeaking over,

437
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,279
we saw a lot of totals below thirty seven last week.

438
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I don't see many at all on the board this week,

439
00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:32,279
you know. So once again these lines have been pumped

440
00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:34,640
up three, four or five points. So if you're talking

441
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about that narrow of a margin last week, then maybe

442
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:38,079
it is going to be fifty to fifty. I think

443
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the biggest difference is what I said earlier. Week one

444
00:21:41,519 --> 00:21:44,359
is not like Week one a decade ago. Starters are

445
00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:46,799
playing more. It's almost a week two now, and with

446
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the three preseason games, I think it's shifted everything. Totals

447
00:21:50,079 --> 00:21:52,039
are a lot higher this week than they were last week.

448
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Are the teams really taking that much of a different

449
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:55,480
approach this week than last week.

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Speaker 4: Started playing much last week, Steve. I mean they really

451
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:01,920
didn't compare that to it. I wouldn't compare a Week

452
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:04,519
one twenty twenty five to Week one twenty fifteen when

453
00:22:04,519 --> 00:22:07,559
it comes to starter playing time, I'd call it basically even.

454
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You know, what happened last week was the red zone

455
00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:12,039
offense was good, and we had a bunch of special

456
00:22:12,039 --> 00:22:15,319
teams and defensive scores, and the games snuck over. But

457
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:17,880
it had more, in my opinion, to do with red

458
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:21,000
zone efficiency than any other factor. Lots of touchdowns were

459
00:22:21,039 --> 00:22:24,359
kept on getting seven seven sevens instead of three threes threes.

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Speaker 1: Let me ask you this. We'll get some baseball and

461
00:22:26,599 --> 00:22:30,119
then tonight's NFL game with the three preseason games. Now

462
00:22:30,839 --> 00:22:33,759
this year, last couple of years, weeks two, weeks three.

463
00:22:33,799 --> 00:22:35,000
You know, do you used to always be week three

464
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:36,680
out of the four where that was the dress roussal

465
00:22:36,759 --> 00:22:40,119
almost for everybody. Nobody played in week four. Now some

466
00:22:40,279 --> 00:22:41,720
do it this week. Now some do it in the

467
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:43,359
final week because they're all for a couple of weeks

468
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:46,160
after Week three. What's your research showing on that?

469
00:22:46,839 --> 00:22:51,039
Speaker 4: So the Week three regular season walked through that was

470
00:22:51,079 --> 00:22:54,400
such a you know, and the lines reflected that very much,

471
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:56,720
you know, the good that was the one week where

472
00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:58,839
the good teams would actually be favored over the bad

473
00:22:58,839 --> 00:23:01,599
teams in August. I'm not sensing any of that this week.

474
00:23:01,799 --> 00:23:03,559
You know, I'm not hearing any coach saying, yeah, we're

475
00:23:03,559 --> 00:23:05,319
gonna walk through. We're looking for the regular season, not

476
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:09,200
a one. Maybe something will come up between now and

477
00:23:09,599 --> 00:23:12,640
the end of the weekend, but so far doing my work,

478
00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:14,839
I haven't seen anyone say, yeah, this is our regular

479
00:23:14,839 --> 00:23:17,000
season walk through week. Yeah, we're gonna play the starters

480
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:19,279
a full half, or we're gonna play the starters into

481
00:23:19,279 --> 00:23:23,240
the third quarter like you did in previous and you know,

482
00:23:23,279 --> 00:23:27,400
preseasons in olden times. So I haven't gotten that sense,

483
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,319
and not have the markets. But when you look at

484
00:23:30,319 --> 00:23:34,519
how the total the lines have moved this week, it's

485
00:23:34,559 --> 00:23:37,279
as much bet against for the big line moves. You know,

486
00:23:37,319 --> 00:23:40,599
they're betting against the Rams, they're betting against the Packers

487
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,240
for the teams that are laying you know, six seven points,

488
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,319
and most of the other games are in a much

489
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:47,799
narrower point spread range, which tells us that they're not

490
00:23:47,839 --> 00:23:50,720
expecting starters to be on the field for one team

491
00:23:50,839 --> 00:23:52,160
when they're not on the field for the other.

492
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:54,799
Speaker 1: And I'll say, we're gonna look at Padres Dodgers in

493
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,160
the moment. But let's finish off the football thoughts. I

494
00:23:57,200 --> 00:23:59,319
mentioned that I've got a full twelve minute video for

495
00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:01,359
that Titans fe Flkins game to night at seven Eastern

496
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:04,400
NFL Network, and now you're gonna give us some free

497
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:06,799
information for the late night NFL Network game at ten

498
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,839
Eastern to night, Chiefs and Seahawks. And we did see

499
00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:12,680
that money come in on Seattle. Yanni talked about it.

500
00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:14,519
It's one sided. They've gone from a two and a

501
00:24:14,519 --> 00:24:17,319
half point dog to now a solid three point home favorite.

502
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,319
Greed disagree looking at the total. How you attacking this

503
00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:22,200
one Kansas City at Seattle Friday night?

504
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,599
Speaker 4: Sure, let's talk some Friday night nfl A preseason action

505
00:24:25,759 --> 00:24:29,279
with the Seahawks and the Chiefs. And as you mentioned, Steve,

506
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:32,319
the money so far has come for Seattle, and it's

507
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:34,359
been significant money. Kansas City open minus two and a

508
00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:36,519
half now the Seahawks minus three. That has everything to

509
00:24:36,599 --> 00:24:42,039
do with the projected starting starters for these two teams

510
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:46,680
for tonight the total got open thirty nine and a half,

511
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:48,640
got bet up forty two to forty two and a half,

512
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,359
and has since come back down and sitting pretty much

513
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:52,960
right where it opened right now in the thirty nine

514
00:24:53,039 --> 00:24:56,480
and a half range. We saw Seattle last week. Drew

515
00:24:56,559 --> 00:24:58,359
Locke moved to football the whole first half. Then he

516
00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:00,839
threw a red zone interception. The only reason it wasn't

517
00:25:00,839 --> 00:25:02,880
a blowout. They were up sixteen to three at halftime.

518
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:04,839
If locked in throw that red zone pick, they could

519
00:25:04,839 --> 00:25:07,240
have easily been up by three scores at the break.

520
00:25:07,759 --> 00:25:10,440
Jalen Milroe played most of the second half. He was

521
00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,160
able to move the football on the ground fairly officially

522
00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:16,119
thirty eight rushing yards, which is you like a QB

523
00:25:16,279 --> 00:25:19,400
as a third stringer who can make plays with his

524
00:25:19,519 --> 00:25:23,440
legs as much as his feet. And Seattle's a team

525
00:25:24,079 --> 00:25:27,480
that is really emphasizing running the football. They want to

526
00:25:27,519 --> 00:25:29,200
run the football in August, they want to run the

527
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:33,200
football in September. There's been a significant amount of mess

528
00:25:33,319 --> 00:25:35,319
on putting the offsive line together, and there's still questions

529
00:25:35,319 --> 00:25:38,000
who's going to start at guard and center for Seattle.

530
00:25:38,039 --> 00:25:40,319
To this urgency there for the lineman and last week,

531
00:25:40,319 --> 00:25:42,519
they thirty two carries for one hundred and seventy yards.

532
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:43,960
Speaker 3: Ten rushing first downs.

533
00:25:44,079 --> 00:25:47,839
Speaker 4: I would expect a comparable game plan this week. The

534
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:51,200
quote from the Beat writer Mike McDonald's indicated plans to

535
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:53,519
have his first team offense out there. We only have

536
00:25:53,519 --> 00:25:55,279
one year of evidence about how as he has head

537
00:25:55,319 --> 00:25:58,839
coach handles having his starters in. Last year, Gino and

538
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:02,519
the number ones played only one in one game Week three.

539
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:04,960
With Sam Darnold being brand new to the team and

540
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,319
a new system with Clint qbc oh see, I expect

541
00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:10,640
we'll see the starters for at least for longer than

542
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:12,480
what we saw them last year.

543
00:26:12,799 --> 00:26:13,880
Speaker 3: McDonald's quote.

544
00:26:14,039 --> 00:26:15,880
Speaker 4: There might be a couple of guys that will sit

545
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:17,680
based on whether they get out there or not. We're

546
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:19,599
still working through it now, but our guys are going

547
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:22,160
to start the game out. We'll see how long it goes.

548
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:26,680
So we have clearly Seahawks starters playing in this ballgame.

549
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:29,079
And when you see the starters in the field, generally

550
00:26:29,519 --> 00:26:31,680
the coach leaves them in until they score at least

551
00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:36,880
once and oftentimes twice. Now, Kansas City played their starters in.

552
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:39,440
We won for one series, a series that started on

553
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,079
the thirteen yard of Arizona's thirteen yard line after a turnover,

554
00:26:43,039 --> 00:26:46,559
and they scored a touchdown and then moved on to

555
00:26:46,599 --> 00:26:50,039
Gardner Minshewing company Minchew you know I'm homestead a thirteen

556
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,960
yard touchdown drive. Minshew had two drives, one touchdown. Then

557
00:26:54,079 --> 00:26:58,279
Bailey Zappi and Chris Aladucan and that duo not good.

558
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:01,400
They didn't score a point after Minchew left the games.

559
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:04,599
Zappy threw two picks. I'll have to come through what

560
00:27:05,279 --> 00:27:07,440
I had two chances to drive to win the game.

561
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:10,359
Couldn't move the football either time. Thirty nine passing yards

562
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:14,880
on thirteen attempts. It's worth noting Andy Reid is now

563
00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:17,400
zero to four his last four preseason games, a guy

564
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:22,640
that had a decent track record. Haven't seen that in

565
00:27:23,279 --> 00:27:26,920
last year or this year when it comes to success

566
00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:31,160
for Kansas City and typically in years past. Reid gives

567
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,640
his offense a serious and preseason week one, and they

568
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:35,279
worked their way up to like a full quarter in

569
00:27:35,319 --> 00:27:39,079
Week two. From the indications, again, looking at Kansas City's

570
00:27:39,079 --> 00:27:42,680
beat rider and looking at Andy Reid's quote, I'm still

571
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:45,000
figuring out who's gonna play not play the whole deal.

572
00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:47,440
So the chance, I said, a couple of starters, or

573
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:49,000
at least be sure with them. We want to make

574
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:51,359
sure we here the key part of the quote. We

575
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:53,000
want to make sure we get a good look at

576
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:55,519
these young guys and just see how it rolls all

577
00:27:55,559 --> 00:27:59,319
going forward. And of course Reid said there's a good chance,

578
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:01,960
but homes to to play. We'll see how it goes.

579
00:28:02,039 --> 00:28:03,920
So there's a chance my homes can still play, and

580
00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:05,880
the starters could still play for Kansas City. And if so,

581
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:08,160
we'll see a bunch of Chiefs money over the next

582
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:10,359
twenty four hours or then over the next I should

583
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,519
say twelve hours or eight hours, whatever it is till

584
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:17,279
they'll kick off. We'll see some money tonight. But the

585
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:20,680
markets haven't shown any indication that's going to come. And

586
00:28:20,759 --> 00:28:23,880
certainly there appears to be more of an urgency for

587
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,279
Seattle than Kansas City right now, Rizo, and for a

588
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:29,799
track record, and in my mind, the under is the

589
00:28:29,839 --> 00:28:31,680
best way to bet this bag. And even at the

590
00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:33,559
current number, you're not get any worse than the opening number.

591
00:28:33,799 --> 00:28:36,079
We expect Seattle to try to run the football. We

592
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:40,000
have a Kansas City the second half that's not likely

593
00:28:40,079 --> 00:28:42,960
to move the football, and I think there's some value

594
00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:44,880
in unders. We've seen the sharp money pour in on

595
00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:46,319
the under from the forty two and a half that

596
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:48,839
it was or in the week, if I'm playing this game,

597
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:50,799
Lean Seattle, lean under.

598
00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:54,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, this open brief, like you said thirty nine and

599
00:28:54,559 --> 00:28:56,240
a half, and if you look, it's still says thirty

600
00:28:56,279 --> 00:28:58,160
nine and a half. But yes, earlier this week it

601
00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:00,319
was assize forty two and a half if you the

602
00:29:00,319 --> 00:29:03,759
Odds logic archive line. So we have a little reverse

603
00:29:03,839 --> 00:29:05,599
line movement on this one, just like we do in

604
00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:08,839
the first game Tennessee Atlanta. Tennessee went from three and

605
00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:10,279
a half up to five and a half, now down

606
00:29:10,279 --> 00:29:13,599
to three and once again reverse line movement in both games.

607
00:29:13,599 --> 00:29:16,680
Tonight who wears short shorts? Minshew wears short shorts he'll

608
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:18,200
be doing in the Kansas City and the cold of

609
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:21,200
the winner. How dare he all serious? And so he's

610
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:23,200
a capable backup. And you know we talk about season

611
00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:25,319
win totals. I always say you gotta worry about those injuries,

612
00:29:25,359 --> 00:29:27,519
and obviously Mahomes, you know, has been injury prone in

613
00:29:27,519 --> 00:29:30,279
recent years. I think that's huge for Kansas City to

614
00:29:30,319 --> 00:29:33,640
have Minshew. I'm not saying he's Patrick Mahomes, but he's

615
00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:37,039
serviceable if something is to happen this year in Kansas City.

616
00:29:37,799 --> 00:29:40,039
I like Minshew. Of course, Teddy used to see him

617
00:29:40,039 --> 00:29:41,799
on the Vega Strip in the short shorts when he

618
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:44,920
was with the Raiders, not as much so.

619
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:48,319
Speaker 4: So Minshew had his chances earlier in his career, and

620
00:29:48,359 --> 00:29:51,359
he had again a chance again last year, and he's basically.

621
00:29:51,359 --> 00:29:54,519
Speaker 3: Barfed them all up. Minshew's not a starting NFL quarterback.

622
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:58,000
Speaker 4: If Kansas City goes to Minshew for any reason this year,

623
00:29:58,079 --> 00:30:00,640
I don't see him being great any higher than.

624
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:02,640
Speaker 3: Chad Henny was, which is, you know, at least a

625
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:04,160
touchdown drop off for the Chiefs.

626
00:30:04,319 --> 00:30:06,839
Speaker 1: I would agree we're higher on Minchew than I am. Well,

627
00:30:06,839 --> 00:30:09,440
I think Henny's probably an accurate comparison. So that's a

628
00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:11,480
huge drop off. And that's what always people forget it.

629
00:30:11,519 --> 00:30:13,119
And you know this, Teddy, It's not how much is

630
00:30:13,119 --> 00:30:15,880
Mahomes worth, it's how much is the difference between Mahomes

631
00:30:16,359 --> 00:30:19,000
and the backup quarterback worth? And it very well might

632
00:30:19,039 --> 00:30:21,480
be a touchdout. I wouldn't disagree, although I am a

633
00:30:21,519 --> 00:30:24,000
gardner Minshew fan and I've enjoyed doing my favorite public

634
00:30:24,079 --> 00:30:25,559
videos with him over the years because he's been on

635
00:30:25,599 --> 00:30:29,400
some bad teams. Must be public offen fades, which is

636
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:32,200
something I've just come to realize Jacksonville Raiders. It's like

637
00:30:32,359 --> 00:30:33,799
he was in the videos a lot. He was on

638
00:30:33,839 --> 00:30:36,640
some bad teams. Teddy will talk some baseball.

639
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:36,799
Speaker 3: You know.

640
00:30:36,799 --> 00:30:40,160
Speaker 1: It's always tricky when a team doesn't have their starter

641
00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:42,200
decide it yet, and that's the case with San Diego.

642
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,400
Tonight they're at the LA Dodgers. So I'll ask you

643
00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:45,759
if you have any thoughts in this game, but just

644
00:30:45,839 --> 00:30:48,359
big picture, I definitely want to get your take on

645
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:52,160
these LA Dodgers. The unbeatable LA Dodgers coming into the season,

646
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:55,920
just got swept by the Angels. They've dropped four to row.

647
00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:58,480
Now if you look back over their last like thirty

648
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,599
two games, thirty five games, I think they're twelve and

649
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:05,839
twenty one now over the last thirty three or so.

650
00:31:06,359 --> 00:31:08,480
Yet there's still sixty eight and fifty three on the season.

651
00:31:08,559 --> 00:31:10,440
What's your take on the Dodgers And you see anything

652
00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:12,240
in this game to night San Diego at LA.

653
00:31:12,799 --> 00:31:15,160
Speaker 3: I certainly do, but let's talk just real quick.

654
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:17,960
Speaker 4: I want to close out NFL saying I came on

655
00:31:18,039 --> 00:31:20,000
and I was like, oh, you guys got the It

656
00:31:20,039 --> 00:31:21,799
was thirteen and two of the over last week, not

657
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:23,559
fourteen and two, and this total moved up and not

658
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:25,799
down and all this stuff. I do a show every

659
00:31:25,799 --> 00:31:29,400
Monday morning with Kelly Kelly's Kelly Stewart Kelly in Vegas,

660
00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:32,160
the NFL Opening Line Report. If you've never watched it,

661
00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:34,400
come watch it this week. Although I think Kelly's gonna

662
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:36,559
be off well, Kelly's a maybe because he's in Ireland.

663
00:31:36,759 --> 00:31:38,720
We may have Dan Alexander, who we'd love to have

664
00:31:39,799 --> 00:31:42,920
on the show as a host with us. But if

665
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:47,519
you want a strong NFL report on Monday morning, first

666
00:31:47,599 --> 00:31:51,240
thing before these lines start to go crazy with emergency

667
00:31:51,279 --> 00:31:53,400
betting alerts in the process, say hey, this line's about

668
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:55,160
to move. That line's about to move. You know it

669
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:58,079
has a little steam report in there. Check it out

670
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:01,119
again right here on the wager Talk YouTube channel live

671
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:04,519
every Monday, eight am Pacific time, right and early eleven

672
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:07,079
am for you back East.

673
00:32:07,759 --> 00:32:10,319
Speaker 1: And Ted, I was gonna say, you almost were a lawyer.

674
00:32:10,359 --> 00:32:12,119
You would have been a decent lawyer, because I can

675
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:14,720
also be a lawyer at times, had I just changed

676
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:16,920
the term this season to fourteen and two instead of

677
00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:19,359
last week, I would have been correct. Yeah, and I

678
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:21,519
also believe we'll go back and check the videotape. I

679
00:32:21,599 --> 00:32:23,200
might have said only one game has had money coming

680
00:32:23,240 --> 00:32:25,640
in the under, that that line is still the same

681
00:32:26,039 --> 00:32:27,359
in the Kansas City. It was Yanni.

682
00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 3: It was Yanni who said that you haven't seen any

683
00:32:29,279 --> 00:32:29,799
bets on the arner.

684
00:32:29,799 --> 00:32:31,519
Speaker 1: I'm like, no, this is well, yeah, bets on the end.

685
00:32:31,519 --> 00:32:33,240
You're right about that. There's definitely been some bets coming

686
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,319
down the under because that way I went down several points,

687
00:32:35,319 --> 00:32:37,839
but only one line is lower than the opener. I

688
00:32:37,839 --> 00:32:41,480
guess would be technically correct still, but nonetheless, yeah, you

689
00:32:41,519 --> 00:32:44,039
got something down the Padres Dodgers. But I'm really curious

690
00:32:44,079 --> 00:32:46,319
in your take on the Dodgers in general, because I mean,

691
00:32:46,359 --> 00:32:48,640
you know, something's on meshy here. They're fifteen games above

692
00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:51,480
for the season, but they're like ten games below over

693
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:53,920
the last thirty or so, So what happens in this one?

694
00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:57,400
Speaker 3: So let's start by talking about Clayton Kershaw.

695
00:32:57,720 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 4: All right, I'm looking right now at the odd Logic

696
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:03,079
live od screen, and if you haven't tried it, guys. Really,

697
00:33:03,759 --> 00:33:06,000
I'm a big fan, all right of having a live

698
00:33:06,079 --> 00:33:09,400
odds screen open pretty much twenty four to seven on

699
00:33:09,519 --> 00:33:12,400
my other monitor. I just keep it rolling and it

700
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:14,759
gives you a good sense of what the markets are doing,

701
00:33:14,759 --> 00:33:16,839
tells you when you have to get down. It speaks

702
00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:18,480
to where the sharp money's going. He speaks to where

703
00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:21,160
the public's money is going. It really is a valuable tool.

704
00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:24,440
Oslogic dot Com backslash Teddy will get you a free

705
00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:27,519
seven day all access for the odds Logic product. I

706
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:30,839
encourage you check it out again os logic dot com

707
00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:32,000
backslash Teddy.

708
00:33:32,359 --> 00:33:34,400
Speaker 3: But looking at that os logic.

709
00:33:34,119 --> 00:33:37,240
Speaker 4: Live o screen, I'm seeing la anywhere from minus one

710
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:40,880
seventy to minus one eighty five at some books total

711
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:42,759
sitting nine and a half. There are a couple of

712
00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:45,240
books that are in nine Juice to the over, and

713
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:47,279
I want to start talking about Clayton Kershock. We've got

714
00:33:47,359 --> 00:33:52,119
Kershaw versus Pitcher X for San Diego Tonight. Kershaw obviously

715
00:33:52,119 --> 00:33:54,559
a first ballot Hall of Famer, but he's thirty seven

716
00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:56,960
years old. He's coming off a season ending injury last year.

717
00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:59,480
He's got fourteen starts, he hasn't missed a single turn

718
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:02,839
in the rotation and since getting back off the il

719
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:06,319
in May, and he's thrown two gems in August twelve

720
00:34:06,319 --> 00:34:08,719
innings pitched against the Rays and the Blue Jays. Only

721
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:11,760
one run alowed in those two games combined. But the

722
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:15,679
advanced metrics for Kershaw are concerning. They're real concerning. His

723
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:19,039
strikeouts are way down seventeen over his last thirty three

724
00:34:19,079 --> 00:34:21,800
innings pitched in his last six starts since July first.

725
00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:25,199
You know, he's got a rough track record versus current

726
00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:28,199
padres eight twenty eight ops, a decent one forty four

727
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:31,119
at bat stample size, multiple padres. I've had great success

728
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:35,480
against him, including Manny Machado in company. The bullpen behind

729
00:34:35,599 --> 00:34:37,920
Kershaw is an absolute train wreck right now.

730
00:34:38,159 --> 00:34:38,519
Speaker 3: All right.

731
00:34:39,559 --> 00:34:41,960
Speaker 4: They made one acquisition at the trade deadline. They brought

732
00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:44,079
in Brock Stewart, and he's got a shore right shoulder.

733
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:46,960
Got Michael Kopek and Tanner Scott and Kirby Yates all

734
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:50,239
on the injured list. Still, this team's ten and fourteen

735
00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:52,639
since the All Star break. They've allowed to go ahead

736
00:34:52,679 --> 00:34:54,199
run and the eighth in or later in four of

737
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:57,559
their last five losses. They're twelve and twenty one, their

738
00:34:57,639 --> 00:35:00,639
last thirty three, two and seven skin going to the break.

739
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:05,599
So it's not a little slump for LA. They stink

740
00:35:05,679 --> 00:35:07,920
right now. And this is the team with nothing to

741
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:10,239
prove in August. The bottom of the order is you know,

742
00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:12,079
a months he's back on the d l They're getting

743
00:35:12,159 --> 00:35:14,639
nothing from six, seven, eight, nine in order. That was,

744
00:35:14,679 --> 00:35:16,320
you know, they were getting great production from the bottom

745
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:18,840
of the order for extensive portion of this season. That hasn't

746
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:22,320
happened of late. And then the quotes, here's Mookie Betts.

747
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:24,599
It's not like these guys aren't going out there and

748
00:35:24,599 --> 00:35:27,360
giving it. They're all sometimes you just don't get it done.

749
00:35:27,519 --> 00:35:29,320
I think it's encouraging to know that we're giving ourselves

750
00:35:29,320 --> 00:35:30,800
a chance to win every night. So I thought that

751
00:35:30,840 --> 00:35:35,480
we were going out there and just laying an egg. Sorry,

752
00:35:35,519 --> 00:35:37,280
that's not the quote I want. I want the quote

753
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:40,400
of we're freaking pissed, we're freaking hungry, we've gotten our

754
00:35:40,440 --> 00:35:43,760
asses kicks for weeks, let's step up. I'm not getting

755
00:35:43,760 --> 00:35:45,800
that sense. This team has nothing to prove right now.

756
00:35:46,199 --> 00:35:48,440
The Dodgers five and two against the Padres this year,

757
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:50,239
they knocked the potteris out of the playoffs last year

758
00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:52,159
on the way to winning the World Series. The San

759
00:35:52,159 --> 00:35:54,920
Diego team has a lot to prove in August. And oh,

760
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:57,440
by the way, there's the hottest team in baseball right now,

761
00:35:57,480 --> 00:35:59,840
fourteen and three of their last seventeen games, just like

762
00:36:00,079 --> 00:36:03,199
last year, surging after the All Star break.

763
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:05,920
Speaker 3: I don't care. They don't have a starting pitcher tonight.

764
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:06,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah.

765
00:36:06,519 --> 00:36:09,960
Speaker 4: Originally it was gonna be Michael King. They just called

766
00:36:10,039 --> 00:36:13,719
up Randy Vasquez from Triple al Passo. Who's again, He's

767
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:15,239
not an ace, He's not anyone the markets are gonna

768
00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:18,960
be excited about. It's still undecided whether he's gonna go

769
00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:21,400
tonight or somebody else. I don't care who goes for

770
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:23,920
San Diego. I could only look at the Podres at

771
00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:28,320
the plus price right now, right now, regardless of starting pitching.

772
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:32,199
Their concerns about Kershaw, and even if Kershaw pitch as well,

773
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:34,599
the bullpen behind him is not trustworthy, a line up

774
00:36:34,639 --> 00:36:35,840
behind him not trustworthy.

775
00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:38,599
Speaker 3: Padres are pass.

776
00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:42,920
Speaker 1: For this better. Teddy quotes some baseball locker room quotes

777
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:45,039
from my man Mookie, one of my favorite players. I

778
00:36:45,079 --> 00:36:47,760
love it. And yeah, that Padre offense was hot this

779
00:36:47,800 --> 00:36:50,159
past three games in San Francisco. They put up twenty

780
00:36:50,199 --> 00:36:54,480
runs on thirty four hits in those three wins, outscored

781
00:36:54,519 --> 00:36:58,280
the Padres twenty to three. Hottest team in Baseball's Teddy

782
00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:00,400
just said the Padres a big dog tonight because they're

783
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:02,679
undecided against the future Hall of Famer. But the Dodgers

784
00:37:02,679 --> 00:37:04,840
have definitely been struggling. And of course you can get

785
00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:08,119
Teddy's Baseball best bets at wager talk dot com. Teddy

786
00:37:08,159 --> 00:37:10,639
talk about opening line report every Monday. It's must see TV.

787
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:13,880
But also you've got your NFL season wins package still

788
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:16,039
available as well. Tell us about that at Wayer Talk.

789
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:18,159
Speaker 4: Yeah, I have a five percent big ticket play up

790
00:37:18,159 --> 00:37:22,239
in NFL preseason action for tomorrow. And this is one

791
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:24,119
where I really I do not know where the line

792
00:37:24,159 --> 00:37:26,840
is gonna move. I couldn't figure out where the line's

793
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:28,480
being moving. Like, I'm just putting it out right now

794
00:37:28,639 --> 00:37:30,119
and we'll lock in at the current number and you

795
00:37:30,119 --> 00:37:31,519
can still get the same number that I put it

796
00:37:31,559 --> 00:37:35,760
out at. Visit my home page, wt dot Buzz, backslash TC.

797
00:37:36,159 --> 00:37:38,840
You talked about the season wins one, three and fifty

798
00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:42,440
two Lifetime seventeen and four with the five percent big tickets, and.

799
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:45,679
Speaker 3: The lines are still available some years they're not this year.

800
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:48,480
Speaker 4: The wise guys the sharp money said, yeah, well we

801
00:37:48,559 --> 00:37:51,079
don't love Teddy's plays as much as perhaps we did

802
00:37:51,079 --> 00:37:53,840
other year. Good that means the lines are still out

803
00:37:53,840 --> 00:37:56,320
there for my clients to get, so I would encourage

804
00:37:56,360 --> 00:37:58,039
if you haven't done so already get on board with

805
00:37:58,079 --> 00:37:59,960
the season win package, and of course check out the

806
00:38:00,159 --> 00:38:03,360
opening line report every Monday eight am Pacific time eleven

807
00:38:03,400 --> 00:38:04,239
am Eastern.

808
00:38:04,599 --> 00:38:07,239
Speaker 3: And of course, for this video, be sure to like it.

809
00:38:07,559 --> 00:38:09,519
That's all we asked. Just hit that like button.

810
00:38:09,519 --> 00:38:12,920
Speaker 4: If you like this type analysis, comment below, tell us

811
00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:15,480
what you think and of course what we're We're approaching

812
00:38:15,679 --> 00:38:19,719
two hundred and ten thousand subscribers on the wager Talking

813
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:22,079
YouTube channel. It's a huge number. If you haven't done so,

814
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:24,840
do it now. Subscribe and you'll get an instant alerts

815
00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:27,000
every time these videos go live.

816
00:38:27,920 --> 00:38:30,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, and Teddy's also got daily free plays, check those out.

817
00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:32,480
He's got some NFL free plays up there at College

818
00:38:32,519 --> 00:38:36,519
Football Free Play for the regular season free plays galore

819
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:39,559
at wager talk dot com. That's Teddy covers and you

820
00:38:39,599 --> 00:38:41,679
will see him next to this Monday on opening line

821
00:38:41,679 --> 00:38:45,119
report right here on wager Talk TV, and I'm going

822
00:38:45,159 --> 00:38:48,079
to finish off our Vegas triple play with another original

823
00:38:48,199 --> 00:38:52,239
og Marco DiAngelo and Teddy corrected us. Marco, I got

824
00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:55,159
to correct him. We're over two hundred and ten thousand subscribers.

825
00:38:55,199 --> 00:38:56,880
I think we're over two hundred and eleven now if

826
00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:59,000
I'm not mistaken. So now it's two hundred and twelve.

827
00:38:59,079 --> 00:39:01,960
Is next? The key number of two hundred and twelve

828
00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:05,400
thousand subscribers to make everything work, Mark, I want to

829
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:07,559
get to your NFL preseason thoughts in a moment. We talked

830
00:39:07,599 --> 00:39:09,039
a lot about it. Definitely want to get you to

831
00:39:09,039 --> 00:39:11,199
weigh in on the way out. But let's we'll stick

832
00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:13,239
with the baseball theme here. What's up a you're looking

833
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:15,159
at tonight in Major League Baseball?

834
00:39:15,320 --> 00:39:18,079
Speaker 5: Well, we're taking a look at the Texas Rangers Toronto

835
00:39:18,159 --> 00:39:21,960
Blue Jays game, and you've got two teams honestly going

836
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:24,840
opposite directions. Texas just won and six in their last

837
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:28,320
seven games. What's more concerning about only being one in

838
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:31,559
six is that they've scored two runs or less than

839
00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:35,039
six of their last eight games. Toronto six and three

840
00:39:35,159 --> 00:39:37,559
their last nine. But if you look at them over

841
00:39:37,599 --> 00:39:40,920
the last six games, four of those six games they've

842
00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:43,559
been held to two runs or less. So you might

843
00:39:43,599 --> 00:39:46,360
see a little theme here where I'm looking. In this game,

844
00:39:46,679 --> 00:39:50,599
you got Jacob Debrom on the mound. He had a

845
00:39:50,639 --> 00:39:55,039
stretch prior to his last three starts where he had

846
00:39:55,239 --> 00:39:58,760
fifteen of sixteen starts where he allowed two runs or less.

847
00:39:59,039 --> 00:40:02,599
Then he had back to back bad games he gave

848
00:40:02,679 --> 00:40:06,440
up five runs. But then in his last start, good

849
00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:10,199
signs back and forth, went into the seventh inning, allowed

850
00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:14,559
three runs in that game. More importantly, strikeout to walk

851
00:40:14,679 --> 00:40:17,880
ratio was eight to one, So it tells me he

852
00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:20,760
had command of his pitches. And I looked to see

853
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:24,159
the Jacob deGrom that we saw for almost the entire season,

854
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:26,400
so I look for a good outing out of him.

855
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:29,639
And then here's a crazy number with Chris Bassett.

856
00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:30,920
Speaker 1: He has.

857
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:34,599
Speaker 5: Lost two of his last three starts. I should say

858
00:40:34,599 --> 00:40:36,960
he's got roughed up in two of his last three starts.

859
00:40:37,159 --> 00:40:39,480
The two that he got roughed up in were both

860
00:40:39,559 --> 00:40:42,920
on the road. The Toronto Blue Jays are eight to

861
00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:46,960
no in his home starts. I'm gonna go ahead and

862
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:50,360
look at the under in this game, those eight starts,

863
00:40:51,119 --> 00:40:54,360
three runs to the opposition is what the average has been.

864
00:40:54,599 --> 00:40:58,079
I expect both pitchers to pitch well. And another crazy

865
00:40:58,119 --> 00:41:01,480
stat will throw at you with the Tech Rangers when

866
00:41:01,679 --> 00:41:04,400
they are playing a game where it doesn't matter who's

867
00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:06,960
the favorite, but it's minus one fifty or less, so

868
00:41:07,000 --> 00:41:10,440
we're talking about a more competitive type game. How about

869
00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:14,199
thirty four and thirteen to the under. Let's take under

870
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:17,559
seven and a half tonight Rangers blue Jays like it?

871
00:41:17,639 --> 00:41:20,159
Speaker 1: A little under action in Toronto between the Rangers and

872
00:41:20,159 --> 00:41:23,199
Blue Jays and Marco got to turn to the NFL preseason.

873
00:41:23,199 --> 00:41:24,639
We've talked a lot about earlier in the show, but

874
00:41:24,679 --> 00:41:27,199
I want to get your opinion as well. How have

875
00:41:27,360 --> 00:41:29,719
things changed for you in recent years? Obviously for me,

876
00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:32,159
I think having the three NFL preseason games has really

877
00:41:32,599 --> 00:41:34,559
messed things up, if you want to say, it's just

878
00:41:34,679 --> 00:41:38,119
mixed up how everyone approaches it. Your thoughts so far

879
00:41:38,159 --> 00:41:41,000
in this year these line moves as well, more faster

880
00:41:41,079 --> 00:41:44,840
than ever and more extreme than ever. I know you

881
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:46,760
probably do things a little differently than when you started

882
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:50,079
back in the nineties as well. Now with the NFL preseason, well.

883
00:41:50,039 --> 00:41:53,760
Speaker 5: Go into the three week schedule definitely changes everything. The

884
00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:57,199
pattern that we have seen over the last couple seasons

885
00:41:57,719 --> 00:42:01,800
is these big moves that you see they're not winning, okay,

886
00:42:02,719 --> 00:42:06,159
the overreaction to the steam and then people piling onto

887
00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:09,639
the steam and driving the lines. You saw big moves

888
00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:11,719
last week and they all bit to dust. They talked

889
00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:15,159
to last Friday with John Murray at the Westgate when

890
00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:18,199
did the radio show. And this is a pattern that

891
00:42:18,360 --> 00:42:19,119
is alarming.

892
00:42:19,599 --> 00:42:19,840
Speaker 1: Now.

893
00:42:20,039 --> 00:42:22,679
Speaker 5: The other pattern that everybody's going to jump up and

894
00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:25,320
down about is because of all of the overs you

895
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:27,679
saw last week. And I have my theory on why

896
00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:29,800
you see the overs in the first week and why

897
00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:32,360
you won't see as many of the overs in the

898
00:42:32,400 --> 00:42:37,159
second week. To me, because we have the three week pattern,

899
00:42:37,559 --> 00:42:40,400
week one is still treated the same as it is

900
00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:43,840
from the old days to now. They really don't care,

901
00:42:44,039 --> 00:42:46,039
all right. This is where you're going to see a

902
00:42:46,159 --> 00:42:49,960
lot of backup players in there. The offenses are not

903
00:42:50,039 --> 00:42:52,960
going to have the starters in there. And where the

904
00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:56,000
advantage comes in and why you see more scoring, in

905
00:42:56,079 --> 00:43:01,000
my opinion, is because you don't have game planning in

906
00:43:01,039 --> 00:43:04,679
these games. You have the backups in much earlier on

907
00:43:04,800 --> 00:43:08,719
defense and when you get quarterbacks that are backups but

908
00:43:08,840 --> 00:43:14,039
have had experience, they've already started games, they're just not qualities.

909
00:43:14,159 --> 00:43:16,280
You know, they weren't good enough to keep their jobs

910
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:20,239
as starters, but they're their career backup. Guys we talked

911
00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:23,199
about Drew Locke had a big game last week. My

912
00:43:23,360 --> 00:43:27,440
guy in Pittsburgh, Mason Rudolph, he has done this every year,

913
00:43:27,599 --> 00:43:32,079
great preseasons. Why he knows the offense. He has started

914
00:43:32,159 --> 00:43:35,719
NFL games and he's going against third and fourth units

915
00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:38,559
a lot of times. And then you have guys that

916
00:43:38,639 --> 00:43:42,599
are mobile quarterbacks where the defense is break down, they're

917
00:43:42,599 --> 00:43:45,519
not scheming for him. You've got a mobile quarterback that

918
00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:48,760
can extend to play or make a big play on

919
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:51,760
a broken play. That's why you see that in week one.

920
00:43:52,119 --> 00:43:57,079
In week two, you're going to see more coaches play starters.

921
00:43:56,880 --> 00:44:00,679
It's a mix and match. Some coach will put more

922
00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:05,000
emphasis in week two, some will put more in week three.

923
00:44:05,440 --> 00:44:08,400
You would think that week two would be the dress rehearsal,

924
00:44:08,719 --> 00:44:12,320
but because they have that extra week after Week three,

925
00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:15,280
a lot of coaches will play them in week three,

926
00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:18,320
and then you have that extra week to prepare before

927
00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:22,599
the season starts. So look for a lot more unders

928
00:44:22,760 --> 00:44:25,880
in week two, in week three, especially week two, and

929
00:44:26,079 --> 00:44:27,760
we're going to talk about one of those ones that

930
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:28,960
I definitely like, the under.

931
00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:31,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, we talked about this earlier Teddy and

932
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:33,760
Yanni as well. I think you look for reasons to

933
00:44:33,760 --> 00:44:34,760
start playing some unders.

934
00:44:34,760 --> 00:44:34,920
Speaker 3: Now.

935
00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:37,039
Speaker 1: These lines are drastically higher, and I will point out

936
00:44:37,079 --> 00:44:39,000
once again we saw a lot of totals below the

937
00:44:39,039 --> 00:44:42,000
key number of thirty seven last week. We're not seeing

938
00:44:42,039 --> 00:44:44,360
that this week. So the lines have definitely been adjusted.

939
00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:48,440
Let's talk Eagles Browns. This is your one o'clock National

940
00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:51,679
TV game on NFL Network tomorrow on Saturday. By the way, Marco,

941
00:44:51,760 --> 00:44:54,480
not a coincidence that the Browns are on NFL Network

942
00:44:54,480 --> 00:44:56,519
every week. The Rams game next week is scheduled for

943
00:44:56,599 --> 00:44:59,360
NFL Network. But a little bit of a wrench thrown

944
00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:01,360
into the works here on the joint practice with the

945
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:05,760
Eagles on Wednesday two days ago, as rookie quarterback Sanders

946
00:45:06,119 --> 00:45:10,039
oblique injury. Uh oh, red flag alert, NFL Network your

947
00:45:10,880 --> 00:45:14,639
popcorn and I get her here views get her might

948
00:45:14,639 --> 00:45:16,400
took a blow and he might not play the rest

949
00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:19,280
of the preseason. On how you attacking this Eagles Browns

950
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:20,719
game on National TV Saturday.

951
00:45:21,360 --> 00:45:23,760
Speaker 5: Well, the Browns have problems at quarterback, There's no question

952
00:45:23,800 --> 00:45:26,760
about it. They had problems a quarterback before the season started,

953
00:45:26,960 --> 00:45:29,280
let's be honest about it. But what they had last

954
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:32,119
week was the situation that Sanders had to play because

955
00:45:32,159 --> 00:45:36,039
nobody else was available. They just signed Tyler Huntley. He

956
00:45:36,079 --> 00:45:38,760
didn't know the playbook, what was he gonna do and

957
00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:41,519
he ended up having a good game, and kudos to him,

958
00:45:41,559 --> 00:45:46,719
but again, you know, again against vanilla defenses. Now, enter

959
00:45:47,119 --> 00:45:51,719
week two, Dylan Gabriel is gonna most likely see the

960
00:45:51,719 --> 00:45:54,840
most of the majority of the snaps. He's not one

961
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:57,400
hundred percent either. He was one of the quarterbacks that

962
00:45:57,519 --> 00:46:00,880
missed last week, missed valuable playing time last week and

963
00:46:01,039 --> 00:46:05,039
so far this week and the joint practices, everything I've read,

964
00:46:05,840 --> 00:46:09,920
he's absolutely stumped. Okay, so you know you're not gonna

965
00:46:09,920 --> 00:46:11,920
get a lot of production out of him, and then

966
00:46:12,039 --> 00:46:15,280
you're gonna see Tyler Huntley and all right, he's you know,

967
00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:17,800
in his second week in camp. You know, he's not

968
00:46:18,159 --> 00:46:19,880
ready to do things. But he is one of those

969
00:46:19,920 --> 00:46:24,079
guys that did have experience. You know, he has started

970
00:46:24,079 --> 00:46:26,599
some games in the NFL when Lamar Jackson was hurt

971
00:46:26,639 --> 00:46:29,119
and so forth. So he has some experience, but he's

972
00:46:29,159 --> 00:46:33,519
still learning the offense. The flip side to Philadelphia, they

973
00:46:33,559 --> 00:46:36,480
put up a ton of points last week, and why well,

974
00:46:36,559 --> 00:46:40,000
you know once again they have you know, a quarterback

975
00:46:40,039 --> 00:46:43,960
there that's done well, Tanner McKee. You know, he got in,

976
00:46:44,119 --> 00:46:47,199
started a game last year, had a good preseason last year,

977
00:46:47,239 --> 00:46:50,119
had a good preseason again this year because he's working

978
00:46:50,159 --> 00:46:54,039
against backup units. And who did he play against last week?

979
00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:57,400
The Cincinnati Bengals. And we all know what the Cincinnati

980
00:46:57,400 --> 00:47:00,119
Bengals are this year. They're gonna be an offensive machine.

981
00:47:00,519 --> 00:47:02,440
They're kind of be a defense is gonna give up

982
00:47:02,480 --> 00:47:05,679
a lot of points. And when you're playing the backups

983
00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:09,960
in preseason, the other teams are gonna have success. Cleveland

984
00:47:09,960 --> 00:47:13,159
has a much better defense than Cincinnati. Doesn't matter if

985
00:47:13,199 --> 00:47:16,320
it's first unit, second unit, or third unit, this is

986
00:47:16,519 --> 00:47:19,559
a big difference. I look for there to be less

987
00:47:19,599 --> 00:47:23,119
scoring tonight. And when you look at what Philadelphia has,

988
00:47:23,480 --> 00:47:26,960
I don't see them playing Tanner McKee too much. He

989
00:47:27,079 --> 00:47:29,840
is locked in as their number two quarterback. There are

990
00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:32,800
even a lot of people talking about that if Philadelphia

991
00:47:33,039 --> 00:47:35,440
wanted to go out and get some need. They could

992
00:47:35,519 --> 00:47:37,760
dangle him as a carrot to a team that might

993
00:47:37,880 --> 00:47:40,440
end up coming out of the preseason with an injury

994
00:47:40,639 --> 00:47:44,719
at quarterback and need a quarterback. So don't look for

995
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:48,920
him to play excessively in tonight's game. That leaves you

996
00:47:49,039 --> 00:47:53,320
with Dorian Thompson Robinson. He played for the Browns last

997
00:47:53,360 --> 00:47:56,360
year and couldn't make that team. Now he's here in Philadelphia.

998
00:47:56,599 --> 00:47:59,800
And then you've got Kyle McCord, you know, who wasn't

999
00:47:59,800 --> 00:48:03,079
good either in preseason. So those two guys are going

1000
00:48:03,119 --> 00:48:05,159
to get most of the snaps and they're battling for

1001
00:48:05,199 --> 00:48:08,360
the third position of what quarterback is going to be

1002
00:48:08,480 --> 00:48:11,719
that number three QB in Philadelphia. I don't see a

1003
00:48:11,760 --> 00:48:13,719
lot of points here. I'll go ahead and take the

1004
00:48:13,960 --> 00:48:17,880
under in tonight's game between Philly and Cleveland.

1005
00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:21,239
Speaker 1: And once again that's on the NFL Network, a little

1006
00:48:21,239 --> 00:48:23,960
early action on Saturday afternoon one Eastern the Browns and

1007
00:48:24,039 --> 00:48:27,280
the Eagles. Cleveland is the NFL Networks darling this preseason,

1008
00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:30,159
putting them on national TV every week because of the

1009
00:48:30,199 --> 00:48:34,239
injured quarterback, shdar Sanders, Marco Kylie Reynolds, one of our

1010
00:48:34,280 --> 00:48:37,159
loyal viewers as if you having WNBA tonight, and I'll

1011
00:48:37,199 --> 00:48:40,199
let you promote. Marco's actually got a strong four percent

1012
00:48:40,320 --> 00:48:43,719
NBA WNBA Game of the Week going. I believe that's

1013
00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:45,480
on the Friday Night card if I'm not mistaken. And

1014
00:48:45,519 --> 00:48:48,159
your number two the last couple of years a mere

1015
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:51,079
forty seven and twenty four net profit of over five

1016
00:48:51,159 --> 00:48:54,400
thousand dollars. That's over fifty units of profit. So number

1017
00:48:54,400 --> 00:48:57,400
two rankings pretty impressive still when you're forty seven and

1018
00:48:57,480 --> 00:48:59,639
twenty four Marco on the WNBA.

1019
00:49:00,079 --> 00:49:03,199
Speaker 5: Sixty six percent lifetime in the WNBA. I'll take that,

1020
00:49:03,320 --> 00:49:06,039
and you know I love Steve. When I hear guys

1021
00:49:06,079 --> 00:49:08,280
that you'll chime in, you know, I'll do a free

1022
00:49:08,360 --> 00:49:11,559
video on WNBA and they'll actually put into comments. You

1023
00:49:11,679 --> 00:49:15,039
lost me as soon as you said WNBA. Why okay,

1024
00:49:15,119 --> 00:49:18,159
do you'd not like money? What does it matter? Because

1025
00:49:18,159 --> 00:49:21,519
somebody says I don't want to watch it? If you're

1026
00:49:21,679 --> 00:49:25,960
betting only games you're watching, you're not going to be profitable.

1027
00:49:26,079 --> 00:49:27,159
Speaker 1: Trust me. Okay.

1028
00:49:28,199 --> 00:49:31,159
Speaker 5: The WNBA is a very beatable sport and I've done

1029
00:49:31,159 --> 00:49:33,599
well with it. I've got a big four percent play tonight.

1030
00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:36,679
The play is my WNBA Game of the week. You

1031
00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:38,519
can pick that up. You can get the game by

1032
00:49:38,559 --> 00:49:42,079
itself for twenty five dollars, or do the smart thing,

1033
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:45,400
grab a seven day all access package for sixty nine

1034
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:48,320
dollars normally ninety nine dollars. That's the best deal going

1035
00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:51,039
right now, and you'll get every play I have. We're

1036
00:49:51,039 --> 00:49:53,119
on a four and one run the last two days.

1037
00:49:53,559 --> 00:49:55,760
Let's keep it rolling. Tonight got a big weekend. I've

1038
00:49:55,760 --> 00:49:58,639
got a couple of baseball plays to go along with

1039
00:49:58,800 --> 00:50:02,000
tonight's percent. So if you grab the all access you'll

1040
00:50:02,039 --> 00:50:04,519
get everything, and then a big Saturday card and we

1041
00:50:04,559 --> 00:50:07,039
may even slip in a horse race on Saturday as

1042
00:50:07,079 --> 00:50:09,480
well as there's a couple of big stake races on

1043
00:50:10,559 --> 00:50:11,800
around the country tomorrow.

1044
00:50:12,320 --> 00:50:15,280
Speaker 1: And that's all access. You're gonna get Marco's Baseball, NFL

1045
00:50:15,360 --> 00:50:19,880
preseason WNBA horse racing if it comes up. All access

1046
00:50:19,920 --> 00:50:22,360
seven day special that he mentioned is just sixty nine dollars,

1047
00:50:22,360 --> 00:50:24,800
no promo code needed. Check it out right now, Marco

1048
00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:28,159
D'Angelo at wager talk dot com and that'll do it.

1049
00:50:28,760 --> 00:50:31,559
Action Pack show here on Friday. I'm once again Steve

1050
00:50:31,599 --> 00:50:33,800
Merril filling in for Andy Lang he'll be back on Monday.

1051
00:50:33,840 --> 00:50:36,119
He is at the live golf tournament living life as

1052
00:50:36,159 --> 00:50:38,400
we speak. I'm sure I'll have some stories from that,

1053
00:50:38,880 --> 00:50:41,199
and don't forget we do appreciate you watching, and we

1054
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:43,559
also really appreciate a thumbs up like it takes two

1055
00:50:43,639 --> 00:50:47,440
seconds and positive comments below. We do read the comments

1056
00:50:47,440 --> 00:50:49,800
and reply back. If you haven't subscribed, click subscribed to

1057
00:50:49,800 --> 00:50:52,760
wager Talk TV for free and consider hitting that bell

1058
00:50:52,880 --> 00:50:55,159
as well so you get an instant alert when free

1059
00:50:55,159 --> 00:50:57,199
plays are posted. Each and every day shows go live

1060
00:50:57,239 --> 00:50:59,000
free play videos are posted. I will have a free

1061
00:50:59,039 --> 00:51:02,840
baseball video for tonight, also some free NFL preseason videos

1062
00:51:02,840 --> 00:51:05,199
for this weekend, so make sure you click subscribe and

1063
00:51:05,199 --> 00:51:07,440
click that bell for an instant a learning. Speaking of

1064
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:10,400
free plays, I've got a free selection between Dan Alexander's

1065
00:51:10,440 --> 00:51:13,840
Philadelphia Phillies and my Washington Nationals tonight on Friday. But

1066
00:51:13,840 --> 00:51:15,320
I didn't dare pick the side. I didn't want to

1067
00:51:15,360 --> 00:51:17,400
upset either one of us. I went with the total

1068
00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:20,360
free over underplaying That Phillies Nationals game is posted on

1069
00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:22,199
my page right now with the nalysis along with a

1070
00:51:22,239 --> 00:51:24,920
strong best bet tonight for Friday. Check that out. Steve

1071
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:28,400
merrilwager Talk dot com and once again, seven days for

1072
00:51:28,519 --> 00:51:31,239
sixty nine. Dude, it's normally ninety nine. You can get

1073
00:51:31,239 --> 00:51:34,360
any capper unlimited cappers, get multiple cappers seven day all

1074
00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:37,360
access for sixty nine, or make a flex pass. You

1075
00:51:37,400 --> 00:51:41,079
can flex for sixty nine and choose different cappers each

1076
00:51:41,119 --> 00:51:43,440
and every day with that seven day flex pass. But

1077
00:51:43,480 --> 00:51:45,119
this is a great time to try out a sampler

1078
00:51:45,559 --> 00:51:48,559
seven days for sixty nine normally ninety nine. No promo code,

1079
00:51:48,599 --> 00:51:50,679
need it. Check it out on every capper's page right now,

1080
00:51:50,679 --> 00:51:53,519
including mine. Steve merrillwager talk dot com. You can get

1081
00:51:53,559 --> 00:51:57,519
to my page quicker WT dot buzz, slash sm that'll

1082
00:51:57,559 --> 00:51:59,480
do it. Great week of wager Talk today. We'll be

1083
00:51:59,519 --> 00:52:01,159
back on Monday. The new needs from don't forget there

1084
00:52:01,199 --> 00:52:04,800
is live programming tomorrow on Saturday wager Talk Last Call

1085
00:52:05,000 --> 00:52:08,400
aeron Epstein back in the seat eleven am Eastern here

1086
00:52:08,480 --> 00:52:11,320
on the network. Have a great weekend, enjoy the games tonight,

1087
00:52:11,559 --> 00:52:13,320
and we'll talk to you and soon here on wager

1088
00:52:13,400 --> 00:52:13,840
Talk TV.