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Speaker 1: The Sweet sixteen is upon us.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully you guys had a profitable opening round.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna see.

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Speaker 2: If the chalk keeps on chocking on this week's beat

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on it.

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Speaker 3: The comment section is gonna say.

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Speaker 2: Kelly's tired from Vegas, She's defeated from all the chalk,

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and they would be absolutely correct. Shout out to the

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Westgates super Book and everybody who came out and hung

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out with us that first opening round.

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Speaker 3: I am a little beat up, guys.

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Speaker 2: That was the second year in a row where a

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lot of the favorites came through, the second year in

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a row where no mid majors have made it to

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the Sweet sixteen. But do you know what that does mean?

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Makes for some good basketball. Kelly Stewart here, Yanni Corrales,

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Marco DiAngelo. I wanted to ask you guys' thoughts on

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that first round before we get into these Sweet sixteen matchups.

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Speaker 3: VR. I got to hang out with you and Little Jackpot.

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Speaker 2: On Thursday at the clubhouse at the Super Book, and

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we had a great time. Thursday was by far my

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best day of the weekend.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, honestly, it kind of went as expected. Granted, here's

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what here's what happened this year. That's a little bit

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different than I hear a lot of betters talking about,

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and it's the favorites. But historically we have to remember

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that when it comes to March Madness, favorites are usually

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who advances. Now, that doesn't mean they cover the spread.

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That's what the difference maker is, how are they doing ats?

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Because we're always searching for Cinderella each and every March Madness.

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We're always looking for that Who's Cinderella, Who's going to

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make it to the final four. That's not you know,

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one two or three ranked team and you're looking for

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that needle in the haystack. But we know that historically

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that just really doesn't happen. Like how many eight seeds,

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nine seeds, ten seeds have ever cut down the net

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on Monday of the National Championship Day? Pretty much none.

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So like the higher, better ranked team should advance, and

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that's usually what happens, but it's how do they do ats?

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Because the spread becomes the great equalizer and the difference

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maker I think was the favorites not just winning but

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covering because betters look for those dogs early in the tournament.

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We talked about that Thursday and Friday. Don't be afraid

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the bet favorites, because the mentality of the betters is

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the opposite. They're coming in there looking for that dog,

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looking for that money line score. But then that changes

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come Friday, and come Saturday and Sunday. After the first

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two days, then they start changing back looking towards the favorites,

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and that's when you start should start seeing some of

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the dogs get the money, and we kind of didn't

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see that, and I think that's where it's a little

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bit tough to navigate this year. But overall, I'm happy

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with how things have progressed. Again, not the talent, but

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I gave out twenty five bets in March madn and

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so far sixty one percent, close to a double digit ROI.

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So far, so good. Sticking to what I did in

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college basketball, up over seventy units for the year. Going

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to follow my power ratings till we get to the

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national championship and hopefully we give some winners for you

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guys today.

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Speaker 2: Even Marco came and hung out for just a tiny

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bit at the clubhouse. I know he was already gearing

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up for Luke Combs on Saturday, so he didn't want

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to overdo it. Plus it was hot in there. I

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was getting tired. I didn't blame him for not wanting

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to hang out. But Marco, what was your synopsis of

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the round of sixty four and of course the round

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of thirty two from this past weekend?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, you forgot the other part. Well, you guys were

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in your party and I was working at the West Gate.

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I was doing radio show for two hours prior to

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me stopping by and saying hello. So yeah, okay, I

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get a little bit of a pass there.

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Speaker 6: You look at it.

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Speaker 5: The first day, as you said, Kelly, was your best day,

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and we know why because the Dogs went either ten

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five and one or eleven and five depending when you

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bet that South Florida game on Thursday. But after that

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it was a nightmare and if you talk to the bookmakers,

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it was not good for them as far as what happens.

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Speaker 6: Everybody likes playing the money line parlays.

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Speaker 5: Okay when you get to this time of the year

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and all of the chalk was coming home and there

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was a tweet going into Sunday's games with the Dog

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with the favorite fest that we saw on Friday and

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Saturday Favorites of eight or more points were on a

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forty five and one straight up run. That's just, you know,

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absolutely insane. I know when I talked to you know,

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John Murray at the Westgate and Chuck Esposito over at

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Stations Properties. Last year was a night mare for them

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with all of the moneyline parlays, and it happened again

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this year. But they got saved with one team on Sunday.

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And that's the thing about when you look to parlays.

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Speaker 6: They only need one.

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Speaker 5: To take out the majority of the parlays, and that

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happened when Florida went down to Iowa.

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Speaker 6: That's what you know. Saved the books for sure.

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Speaker 5: Off of a weekend that had parlays rolling over live

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to the games on Sunday. That saved them. And usually

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the books find a way to get saved. And that's

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why the books have all those big fancy neon lights

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out front. It's not because everybody's beating them. But it

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was a great weekend. We love watching March Madness, great scene.

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The two days that I was at the Westgate Thursday

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and Friday doing the radio there, it's just an atmosphere

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like none other. And I say it all the time,

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if you've never done March Madness. It's a guy's trip.

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It's one of those bucket lists. Come to Vegas. Throw

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it in there and is Kelly. We even had Luke

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Combe's throw in there for an added bonus, which, by

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the way, was a record at Allegiant Stadium. That was

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the biggest attendance since the Allegiant Stadium opened up. Was

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for the Luke Combs concert on Saturday. So, Kelly, you

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and I were part of history on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: It was loud in there, and I had some guy

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on Twitter It's like, oh my god, you're supposed to

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be giving out plays for college basketball and you went

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to a concert.

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Speaker 3: I'm like, WHOA.

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Speaker 2: I was in the suite sweating out High Point. I

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just needed to win for me and they couldn't get

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it done past Arkansas. That's okay, We're gonna get some

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wins this weekend.

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Speaker 6: VR.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna let you go first. We're gonna go in

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chronological order.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna give out a best bet for Thursday and

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a best bet for Friday, Purdue seven and a half

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point favorite here. And I kind of get where you're

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going in this one, but I want you to break it.

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Speaker 4: Down for me, all right, And again, this is a

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gambling show, and we got a lot of new viewers,

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a lot of new betters, so we owe them the

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bottom line, and you have to know results to date

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and so far, like I said, in college basketball, same

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thing like college football, following the power ratings when they

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align with what the bettingston because they're doing in its

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produced profit. Finishing number one in college football NFL, and

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now in college basketball, I've been in top three since

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the first week of the season. And with that said,

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I've only released four to five percent plays in college

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basketball this entire year. Three of them won.

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Speaker 6: The only loser was.

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Speaker 4: North Carolina up nineteen with six minutes left. That still

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hasn't gotten off the show. I'm still pissed about that,

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or else we'd be perfect. But another one's coming in

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the sweet sixteen. There's a line that's so off, and

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I'm bringing that up for this reason only. I haven't

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gotten to the window yet with perdue, but I'm going

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to share this with you. I have a future on

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Purdue at about twenty five to one the win national championship,

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and if you could get better than ten to one

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right now, which you can get to the window and

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bet them. You may not cash that ticket, but they're

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going to give you some equity because Perdue is one

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of the most balanced and dangerous teams now in this tournament.

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They're top fifteen offense, top fifteen defense, and that was

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against a top ten schedule. So not only are they

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one of the most balanced teams, but they've did done

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this against one of the toughest. In fact, it's the

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seventh toughest strength of schedule and produce just one of

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those non sexy teams that get overlooked. Now, speaking of

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those money lines, I would not overlook those because again,

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the spread becomes the great equaliser. But there's some value

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if you don't get too greedy, and we talked about

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that in last week's steam Room and tied up a

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bunch of moneyline parlays. You can't get into those six, seven,

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eighteen money lines. Don't get greedy. If you find those

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two or three money line winners on a day like Friday, Saturday,

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Sunday where there's sixteen twenty games, would have you instead

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of looking for three or four more games to add

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to it. So it pays more, just bet more on it.

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I always say that the betters like they're always looking

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for that fifth bet. You know they have four and

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they're looking for that fifth. So there's could be a

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five team parlay. What's wrong with a fourteen parlay that

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you just bet more on that you were gonna bet

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that was gonna pay for the five. So again I

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don't I don't promote parlays. I say stay away from

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parlays their negative ev But with that said, if you're

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gonna do it, because I know a lot of viewers

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a bet for action, they do it for entertainment. They're

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not using sports betting as investment. Just don't find a

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lot of them off. That's the key. Don't get too

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greedy and put up six to seventy eighteen parlays. Now

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getting back to Perdue, why they're better than Texas or

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better in Texas on both sides of the ball. Texas

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is barely top fifty defensively, so that means Purdue is

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gonna be able to score on them. Texas is also

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barely top thirty offensively, so they're gonna have trouble against

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this top fifteen defense in Purdue. And when I look

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at the strength of schedule, respectable at twenty but not

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like as tough as Purdues. And then looking at how

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they come in, Purdue's running hot man. I mean, it's

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a team that's now won six straight. Some thought there

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would be that letdown after beaten Michigan. That didn't happen.

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In fact, they went out there and beat Queens by

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thirty plus points, covering that spread and then beating the

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hot Miami team that everyone was on lookout for. Purdue again,

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I like them as the future. I liked them on

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the money line a lot at anything less than minus

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three hundred third gift because they easily win this game

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three out of four times for sure. And I haven't

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gotten to the window, but I think at seven I'll

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get there because my power rating has this about minus

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eight and a half for Perdue.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, VR, that was the one favorite I bet. The

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other night was against the University of Texas. I had

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the Zags. Was not a fun one, but by my fault,

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I think in the clubhouse at some point time, I

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sold my soul to the gambling gods for VCU to

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come back and win that for me, and then I

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just wasn't allowed to win another game for the rest

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of eternity.

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Speaker 1: We have a big promotion right.

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Speaker 2: Now for not only VR, but all so Marco right now,

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one year all access.

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Speaker 3: Pass is nineteen ninety nine.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna give you guys five hundred and fifty dollars

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off fourteen fifty nine using ACE twenty five or Marco

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twenty five. That's gonna get you another twenty five percent off.

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That makes it under eleven hundred dollars for the year,

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less than one hundred dollars per month. And of course,

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if you are going to get on board with VR,

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you're gonna get his blackjack course and four steam rooms

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a month. And of course if you get on board

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with Marco, you're gonna get a free months of odds

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logic ACE twenty five Marco twenty five.

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Speaker 1: Now let's get in to some more madness.

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Speaker 2: And uh man, I was kicking myself for not betting

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Nebraska against Vanderbilt. I had the double TV in the

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sweet one, back and forth, back and forth. Obviously I

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cared about high Point, but I I wanted Vandy to

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go down for my futures bet on Iowa State. Now

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that the team showed a lot of resilience, then we

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get to the airport on Sunday, and here comes Iowa

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as a double digit underdog, knocking out the one seed

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in all the money line parlays.

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Speaker 3: And I'm going, I didn't get I didn't bet Iowa.

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Why didn't I bet Iowa? What was I thinking?

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Speaker 2: Well, let's be honest what I was thinking. I wasn't

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sold on this Iowa team. They play so slow, they're

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so methodical. They got knocked out early in the Big

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Ten tournament. There wasn't anything they did against Clemson that

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necessarily impressed me. And there they go knocking down Florida

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in a lower scoring game. And that is actually how

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you beat a team like Florida. And that's also how

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you beat a team like Nebraska like Iowa did back

249
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on February seventeenth. They played that slow game in the fifties,

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they took away that three point shooting from Nebraska and

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were able to keep them contained. And then on the

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flip side, right after that Michigan game, Iowa maybe plays

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for a letdown, as Marco likes to say, maybe they

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lose that game twice. Iowa takes Nebraska overtime and then

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doesn't cover and loses by nine.

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Speaker 1: That is the Iowa team that is in the back

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of my mind here.

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Speaker 2: Yes they can shoot the basketball, but their defense is

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not as good as advertised.

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Speaker 1: I think they can easily be exploited here.

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Speaker 2: And I like the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus one and a

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half on Thursday to get the job done for us.

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Marco DiAngelo, there's another.

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Speaker 3: One seed that I need.

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Speaker 2: To go down, and that would be the Arizona Wildcats.

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Break down that game for us. Do we have a

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shot at maybe an outright underdog winner taking down a

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one seed?

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Speaker 5: I don't think so, Kelly. And hopefully we can duplicate

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last week's show. We went four and oh with the

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plays last week here on bed on It, So tune in.

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Hopefully we get this done again Thursday and Friday this weekend,

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just like last week.

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Speaker 6: I want to promote.

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Speaker 5: I'll be back on Friday with Marco's Delhi. I'll take

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a look at the Saturday games for you after we

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get the results from Thursday, so I'll be able to

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help you out some on Saturday as well. This one, Kelly,

279
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Arkansas and Arizona. When you look at it first glance,

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you're gonna see an Arkansas team that has scored ninety

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seven and ninety four points in its two tournament games

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so far, and that's nothing new to Arkansas. This is

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a team that loves to go up and down the floor.

284
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And most people are gonna look at this and the

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knee jerk reaction is gonna be Wow, I got a

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00:14:38,399 --> 00:14:41,200
team that likes to score in the nineties. They're getting

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eight points. They're from the SEC, and they're gonna remember

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Arizona and all the past failures of Arizona teams in

289
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the tournament. But here's the deal. First of all, this

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is not the same Arizona team that we've seen in

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the past. This is a team that is solid on

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00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:03,679
both sides of the floor, defensively and offensively. And the

293
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problem with Arkansas is they don't play defense. Okay, what

294
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John Calipari has done there in two years at Arkansas

295
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is nothing short or remarkable, and he pulled off winning

296
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the SEC tournament and that really had to make him

297
00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:22,960
happy a little, you know, fu to the alumni of

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Kentucky that kind of forced him out of town. But

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this is a spot where they don't make stops. And

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I'm looking at Arizona. They've held fifteen of their last

301
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nineteen opponents to forty one and a half percent shooting

302
00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:43,480
or less. They've held no one in the last twelve

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games is top eighty points on them, and seven of

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those last twelve they've held the opponent to under seventy points.

305
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This is contrasting styles. Arkansas is going to be frustrated

306
00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:59,480
when Arizona slows them down. And as far as Arizona

307
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goes after facing the slower, deliberate style of Utah State

308
00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:07,039
in their last matchup in Utah State, I know they're

309
00:16:07,039 --> 00:16:09,240
from the Mountain West, but they do play good defense

310
00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:11,840
and they can slow it down. This is gonna be

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00:16:11,879 --> 00:16:15,600
a welcome site for Arizona to see Arkansas wanting to

312
00:16:15,639 --> 00:16:17,960
go up and down the floor. When you're better than

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00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:23,120
your opponent on both sides of the basketball offensively and defensively,

314
00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:26,440
and the other team wants to play fast, that's great.

315
00:16:26,559 --> 00:16:29,960
Why because that gives you more possessions. And when you

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00:16:30,039 --> 00:16:32,440
have an edge on both sides of the ball and

317
00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:35,799
you're getting more possessions, what's that mean. That's gonna be

318
00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:39,840
mean you're gonna have more successful trips. More successful trips

319
00:16:40,399 --> 00:16:45,639
mean extending leads. I'm laying it here with Arizona and

320
00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:50,360
I see them winning this one double digit comfortably. The Cinderella.

321
00:16:50,559 --> 00:16:52,440
I don't want to call them a Cinderella, but nobody

322
00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:56,600
saw this coming from Arkansas in year two with John Callapari.

323
00:16:57,840 --> 00:16:59,919
Speaker 6: The run ends here, Arizona moves on.

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00:17:01,159 --> 00:17:04,480
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the Friday slate VR.

325
00:17:04,960 --> 00:17:06,640
Speaker 2: This is a game that kind of has my head

326
00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:09,480
in a pretzel. I've seen sharp guys on both sides

327
00:17:09,559 --> 00:17:10,519
of Saint John's.

328
00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:12,440
Speaker 3: Duke, this numbers come down.

329
00:17:12,519 --> 00:17:14,119
Speaker 2: Duke opened a seven and a half point favorite, down

330
00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:16,599
to six and a half. Now I need Duke to

331
00:17:16,640 --> 00:17:18,440
go down. I know I'm engineers under and I need

332
00:17:18,559 --> 00:17:21,160
Duke to go down to if I have any shot

333
00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:23,880
at cashing this future is ticket or at least being

334
00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:27,519
able to guarantee myself a profit. Saint John's has been

335
00:17:27,599 --> 00:17:29,880
really exciting, But do you think they can hang with

336
00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:30,799
the Blue Devils?

337
00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:34,000
Speaker 4: I really don't, cal And you're right, there are sharps

338
00:17:34,039 --> 00:17:38,759
on both sides of this matchup. I have not released

339
00:17:38,759 --> 00:17:41,279
the premium yet, so just want to make that disclaimer.

340
00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:45,119
So I haven't gotten to the window. But the blueprint

341
00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:48,079
is being drawn up as we speak, and I'm already

342
00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:50,799
leaning hard towards the Duke's side, I can give you

343
00:17:51,319 --> 00:17:53,880
three one right here. I have Duke as a future,

344
00:17:54,039 --> 00:17:56,839
A fine percent on Duke to win at all. Just

345
00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:58,599
bottom line, they're the best team. Now, we know in

346
00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,559
sports that we don't have five seven game series. The

347
00:18:02,599 --> 00:18:05,960
cream doesn't always rise to the top. But still, after

348
00:18:06,079 --> 00:18:11,160
Duke got that scared by Sienna and they weren't no

349
00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:14,119
longer the favorite, I had to step in and take

350
00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:17,759
advantage and release a future to my subscriber. So I

351
00:18:17,799 --> 00:18:20,440
am on Duke on a future. So I do like

352
00:18:20,559 --> 00:18:23,640
Duke here, not hedging it at all. I will not

353
00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:26,000
be taking the points with Saint John's. It's going to

354
00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,000
be either Duke or pass. And the bottom line is this.

355
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:30,720
We saw Saint John's play a really tough defense in

356
00:18:30,799 --> 00:18:33,519
Connecticut and get the best of them like that. That's

357
00:18:33,559 --> 00:18:35,000
going to be comparable of what they're going to be

358
00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:40,079
facing against Duke. The difference is Duke's not going to

359
00:18:40,079 --> 00:18:43,559
be held to thirty percent shooting like Connecticut was. Saint

360
00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:45,839
John's just doesn't have the defense to shut Duke down

361
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:50,160
like that. And I don't think Saint John's going to

362
00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:53,799
have the success they did again, like being able to

363
00:18:53,799 --> 00:18:57,000
shoot coast to fifty percent from the field and have

364
00:18:57,119 --> 00:19:01,920
that many fifty six possessions against Connecticut. It is difficult, difficult,

365
00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:05,920
difficult to do. I expected a regression from this team.

366
00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:08,799
We didn't see it in that last game. But they're

367
00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:11,559
so due, like they're playing above their heads right now,

368
00:19:11,839 --> 00:19:14,599
and it's a team like Duke standing in front of

369
00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:18,319
you that that brings the brings them back down to reality.

370
00:19:18,839 --> 00:19:21,720
Duke is just that much better. Again, you're looking at

371
00:19:21,759 --> 00:19:24,000
one of the best defenses in all of college basketball

372
00:19:24,319 --> 00:19:26,319
and an offense that could score from the inside from

373
00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,960
the outside. Again, the strength of schedule for Duke that

374
00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:36,799
that gets the negativity, but they've offset that by only

375
00:19:36,839 --> 00:19:40,000
losing two games this entire season. So again, Duke's still

376
00:19:40,039 --> 00:19:44,440
the best team in college basketball. They should be favored

377
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:48,599
over everyone over on a neutral court, and they're better

378
00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:50,960
on both sides of the ball, veter on offense, veter

379
00:19:51,079 --> 00:19:56,000
on defense, at least on paper, tougher strengths of schedules comparable,

380
00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:59,279
not the tougher strengths of schedule very comparable. And I

381
00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:03,559
do think we're getting a discount on Duke because of

382
00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:06,880
the scares early, like they didn't go in there and dominate.

383
00:20:07,039 --> 00:20:09,400
They didn't beat Siana by forty, they didn't win their

384
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:12,759
second game by thirty, and because of that, they look vulnerable.

385
00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:15,000
And that's exactly what you want from the best team

386
00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:16,839
in the country, where you're gonna get value.

387
00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:17,839
Speaker 6: Usually you wouldn't.

388
00:20:18,079 --> 00:20:19,759
Speaker 4: You would have to be laying eight and a half

389
00:20:19,799 --> 00:20:22,240
in this spot with Duke. Instead, we may get them

390
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:25,000
at minus six before this one tips off, and that

391
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:27,839
at that point I will be at the window with Duke.

392
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:30,680
Even with my future, I'll still have more risk on him.

393
00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:31,759
I like Duke a lot.

394
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:36,599
Speaker 2: All right, Marco DiAngelo, we're talking about teams that maybe

395
00:20:36,599 --> 00:20:37,240
are vulnerable.

396
00:20:37,319 --> 00:20:38,880
Speaker 3: We're going to get into this Michigan game.

397
00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:44,000
Speaker 2: Alabama just absolutely trounced Texas Tech. That was a bullet

398
00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,559
that I dodged, So things were looking up as I

399
00:20:46,599 --> 00:20:49,640
got to the Las Vegas Airport. I obviously had a

400
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:53,079
future on Texas Tech before JT.

401
00:20:53,279 --> 00:20:54,160
Speaker 3: Toppin got hurt.

402
00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:55,799
Speaker 2: If you guys saw that from the Kellan Murray Show,

403
00:20:55,799 --> 00:20:57,079
you guys can still make fun of me for the

404
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:58,279
rest of eternity.

405
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:01,000
Speaker 3: Marco, you like the favorite here.

406
00:21:01,279 --> 00:21:03,359
Speaker 2: We're a bunch of shocking weasels today on beat on

407
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:07,440
It tell me why you think Alabama is not going

408
00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:08,640
to cover against Michigan.

409
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,759
Speaker 5: Oh, Kelly, As you said, both teams are coming in

410
00:21:11,799 --> 00:21:14,400
this off of back to back blowouts in the first

411
00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:18,160
two rounds, but Alabama actually looks more impressive, and the

412
00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:22,039
reason being because, and I hate to say it, I

413
00:21:22,079 --> 00:21:24,920
didn't dodge at bullet with Texas Tech because of their

414
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:28,799
blowout of Texas Tech. Yes, Michigan blew out Saint Louis,

415
00:21:29,039 --> 00:21:33,039
but people don't look at the Atlantic Ten like they

416
00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:37,480
look at the Big Twelve Conference with Texas Tech. So

417
00:21:37,759 --> 00:21:40,960
that looked like a more impressive win for Alabama. And

418
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:44,720
then again, just like I said in my breakdown of

419
00:21:44,759 --> 00:21:47,519
the other game with Arizona and Arkansas, you got a

420
00:21:47,559 --> 00:21:50,039
team that scores a ton of points. Here's an SEC

421
00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:52,559
team that likes to go up and down the floor

422
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:56,920
in Alabama. Both of these teams are top ten teams

423
00:21:56,960 --> 00:22:00,839
in offensive efficiency. But that's where the com comarrison the

424
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:05,039
similarity stop. There's no comparison when you look at the

425
00:22:05,079 --> 00:22:10,440
two teams defensively. Michigan is also a top ten defensive team,

426
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:15,519
where Alabama they're like two twenty one. Okay, they're not

427
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:18,839
good there, and that's going to cost them in this game. Now,

428
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:21,920
I know what people look at Michigan and they can't

429
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,319
get it out of their head, even though they went

430
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:27,519
eight and one down the stretch to their last nine

431
00:22:27,559 --> 00:22:32,079
games straight up since they lost to do Remember that game.

432
00:22:32,319 --> 00:22:35,920
Speaker 6: It was a Saturday in late February. Big game.

433
00:22:36,039 --> 00:22:38,559
Speaker 5: You know, you generally don't get a matchup like that,

434
00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:43,359
two power conferences in two heavyweights playing an out of

435
00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:46,400
conference game at that time, a lot of build up.

436
00:22:46,519 --> 00:22:50,640
It was held on a neutral floor in Washington, and

437
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:53,839
Duke took it to them and got the win. They

438
00:22:53,839 --> 00:22:56,720
dominated them defensively in that game. And it was from

439
00:22:56,720 --> 00:23:01,119
that point on that Michigan, even though they were their games,

440
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:03,720
just didn't look like the same team. They were just

441
00:23:03,799 --> 00:23:06,559
doing enough to get by. They only went two and

442
00:23:06,839 --> 00:23:10,519
seven against the spread on an eight and one straight

443
00:23:10,599 --> 00:23:13,440
up record. But now that they got into the tournament,

444
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,440
to me, it looks like they hit that light switch,

445
00:23:16,519 --> 00:23:19,240
so to speak. Okay, maybe they got bored during the

446
00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:22,480
regular season. This is the real deal now, and I

447
00:23:22,519 --> 00:23:25,920
think that defense of theirs is gonna be the difference

448
00:23:26,079 --> 00:23:29,279
in this game against Alabama. And again, when you got

449
00:23:29,279 --> 00:23:32,119
a team that likes to play fast, you're gonna get

450
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,880
more possessions in the game, and more possessions to the

451
00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:39,319
team that has a decided edge is a benefit. You

452
00:23:39,519 --> 00:23:42,480
benefit to me laying the points. And I know, I

453
00:23:42,559 --> 00:23:45,799
knew Kelly would throw the chockeys and talkie eating weasel

454
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,359
phrase out there, but you know what, I got to

455
00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:51,160
play the games as I see them, and I see

456
00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:55,680
Michigan advancing, and I see Michigan having a comfortable lead. Here,

457
00:23:56,079 --> 00:23:58,799
hit your file shots down the lane, down the stretch

458
00:23:59,079 --> 00:24:02,720
and this should be an easy fourteen to sixteen point

459
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:04,200
win and cover the spread.

460
00:24:04,559 --> 00:24:06,759
Speaker 2: Well, Marco, if you can't beat him, join them. I'm

461
00:24:06,759 --> 00:24:10,880
giving out all chalk two on today's show before I

462
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:13,799
get into my best bet for Friday Night, Ace twenty five,

463
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Marco twenty five. Right now, it's almost two thousand dollars

464
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for an all excess pass on sale for less than

465
00:24:20,079 --> 00:24:22,079
fifteen hundred dollars. We're gonna give you guys an additional

466
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:25,440
twenty five percent off less than eleven hundred dollars for

467
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468
00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:31,920
of course you're gonna get VRS blackjack course, steam rooms,

469
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and with both I'm Misspokerler.

470
00:24:34,519 --> 00:24:35,680
Speaker 3: Both guys, you're gonna.

471
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:38,599
Speaker 2: Get eight free month to odds Logic if you guys

472
00:24:38,599 --> 00:24:41,440
have not checked out odds Logic, oddslogic dot Com. Backslash

473
00:24:41,519 --> 00:24:45,319
Kelly in Vegas gets you a free week on me.

474
00:24:46,039 --> 00:24:48,279
Now let's get into this Friday night game, which I'm

475
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:53,240
really glad that Iowa State got Friday night, the last

476
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:57,359
night game of the Sweet sixteen, because there may be

477
00:24:57,359 --> 00:24:59,920
a shot they get Joshua Jefferson back. As you guys know,

478
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:04,640
so he got hurt against Tennessee State, was out the

479
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:09,359
game previously there against Kentucky, and it took him a

480
00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:11,319
little while in that first half to start to gel

481
00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:15,240
against the Wildcats, and then they just blew it open

482
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:18,759
in the second half. That is what Iowa State does.

483
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:24,440
They exploit their opponents's weaknesses and well balls weakness one

484
00:25:24,519 --> 00:25:29,119
hundred and fifty first and effective field goal percentage. I

485
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:32,359
don't know what the Cyclones have for weakness, not after

486
00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:36,440
seeing them over the last couple of weeks. Not much

487
00:25:36,559 --> 00:25:40,720
to exploit here outside of making their free throw. So

488
00:25:40,759 --> 00:25:42,880
I'm going to lay four and a half here with

489
00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:46,519
the Cyclones. Yes, little asterisk I do have a futures

490
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,400
bet on them, but I do love one of the

491
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:52,559
most experienced teams left in March. And how can we

492
00:25:52,559 --> 00:25:55,480
talk about Tennessee if we didn't talk about thirteen?

493
00:25:55,759 --> 00:25:56,839
Speaker 1: Excuse me fourteen?

494
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:58,440
Speaker 3: He did cover fourteen and.

495
00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:02,039
Speaker 2: Twenty five against the spread ats record of any coach

496
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:05,880
in the NCAA tournament. Mister Rick Barnes, give me the

497
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:09,599
Cyclones minus four and a half as in my best

498
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:10,920
bet for this week on.

499
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:15,079
Speaker 3: The show VR Marco, is this our last show? I

500
00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:16,759
didn't discuss with you guys. Are we coming back?

501
00:26:16,799 --> 00:26:20,200
Speaker 6: We're back next week. We're back next week. Preview Fire

502
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:21,960
and Flour and Kelly.

503
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,079
Speaker 5: One other thing to mention to the listeners if they

504
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:28,519
can't swing, which is the best deal that yearly package.

505
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:31,680
We've got a short term package that's a hell of

506
00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:32,079
a deal.

507
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:32,680
Speaker 6: Right now.

508
00:26:33,319 --> 00:26:36,119
Speaker 5: You want to buy three days for sixty nine dollars,

509
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:40,079
We'll give you three more days. That's six days for

510
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:43,680
sixty nine dollars. All plays includes a five percent play.

511
00:26:44,559 --> 00:26:47,319
Ace already told you he's got one. I'm gonna have

512
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:50,359
one as well, Thursday or Friday in the first round,

513
00:26:50,839 --> 00:26:53,720
and it will take you. Those six days will get

514
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:55,799
you all the way through this the rest of this week.

515
00:26:55,839 --> 00:26:58,400
Doesn't matter what day you buy. The six days is

516
00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:00,880
going to cover you all the way through the We've

517
00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:04,240
got the n I games, we've got NBA, we've got

518
00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:06,880
hockey and uh with a sheet.

519
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,759
Speaker 6: Who knows. You get to have college baseball.

520
00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:13,359
Speaker 5: You can have soccer, but you know MMA, you got everything,

521
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:16,319
So pick that up. If you can't afford the full year,

522
00:27:16,559 --> 00:27:18,039
that's another way to go.

523
00:27:18,799 --> 00:27:22,599
Speaker 2: Awesome stuff, Marco VR any parting thoughts before we leave

524
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:25,319
our audience into this sweet sixteen.

525
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:28,279
Speaker 4: Yeah again, if you're if you're betting that that the

526
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:33,000
tournament and you don't have a subscription or smaller bangirl,

527
00:27:33,039 --> 00:27:36,240
don't overlook the steam sheet every day. There's a ton

528
00:27:36,279 --> 00:27:38,880
of information, especially if you're up and coming to handicapper.

529
00:27:39,279 --> 00:27:42,640
Just using that sheet, looking at what games they're betting,

530
00:27:42,839 --> 00:27:45,200
are in the accounts, look at what the line was,

531
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:47,960
what happened to it afterward, what happens later on. You'll

532
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,799
learn so much about the market. And more importantly, if

533
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:54,519
someday steamsheet on it not only had the five percent

534
00:27:54,599 --> 00:27:56,480
in there for free because it was upgrade, I have

535
00:27:56,559 --> 00:27:58,720
to let it be known, and three other games that

536
00:27:58,759 --> 00:28:02,200
were upgraded the premium. So whoever bought that for fifteen

537
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:06,519
whatever was nineteen dollars, got the thirty five dollars five

538
00:28:06,559 --> 00:28:10,079
percent play and three four percent plays for free in

539
00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:12,799
there just because if I upgrade a Steam play or

540
00:28:12,839 --> 00:28:14,559
something that's in the accounts, because I put them in

541
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:17,160
right away early in the day, if later on I

542
00:28:17,279 --> 00:28:19,559
confirm it, then I just go back in and let

543
00:28:19,599 --> 00:28:21,880
them know. This went out to subscribers. So those guys

544
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:25,000
got all that information for just that nineteen bucks. So

545
00:28:25,039 --> 00:28:28,079
don't overlook that, especially again if you're looking to handicap

546
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:31,119
your own stuff. That's of luck. This weekend. Baseball's just

547
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:36,039
around the corner. I told you about college football college basketball,

548
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,599
and next is MLB that we'll be using these nice

549
00:28:38,599 --> 00:28:40,960
little ratings for. So that's the luck to you all

550
00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:43,200
this weekend, and go Duke, Go Duke.

551
00:28:43,799 --> 00:28:46,640
Speaker 2: All right, we will see you guys back here for

552
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:49,400
the Final four next Tuesday.

553
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:50,640
Speaker 3: Here on bat on it.

554
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:54,599
Speaker 1: Good luck until then, whoo Kelly needs it.

555
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:58,119
Speaker 3: I'm just gonna leave it at that, don't we all

