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Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to props and Parlays today. I am Andy Lang,

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being joined as always by my fellow prop betting expert

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Andrew McGinnis. It's the first Monday night football show of

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the year. Andrew, welcome. Let's get into it. We're just

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gonna be breaking down bears and vikings. We're gonna go

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through all the different categories. Then Andrew and I are

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gonna build a same game parlay. We each get to

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pick two legs. Look We'll go over anytime touchdowns, and

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then we'll do look ahead. So Andrew takeaways from week

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one real.

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Speaker 2: Quick takeaways from week one variance? How about that?

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Speaker 3: I mean everyone talks about it, Everyone talks about going

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into the year. Hey, be careful with this team, Be

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careful with that. We saw a lot of turnovers. We

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saw a lot of missed field goals, missed extra points.

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We saw some guys get heavily targeted, some guys not

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get it much. I think we talked about it in

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the against the spread world and in the totals world,

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but we might not mention it as much in the

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prop betting world. But I would say that it's definitely

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a take a step back and breathe, as a lot

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of handicappers would say, because you know what, it's just

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one week. So looking at some teams that struggled offensively,

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er some teams that did really well offensively, doesn't mean

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you shouldn't go back to that guy from a prop perspective.

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Or this one player that went off for one hundred

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yards in the air doesn't mean you need to go

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back to them either. So I would just say, overall, Andy,

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week one is still week one for prop betters, and

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doesn't mean these players are going to replicate that in

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week two.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, look at teams like the Bengals. They

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were a stats disaster. The Lions were stats disasters. So yeah,

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don't panic. And maybe this is hopefully the books overreact.

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You know, we always talk about the public overreacting, Andrew,

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hopefully the books overreact to week one and we get

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some really good lines. So all right, let's break down

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Monday and Night football. While we're doing this, guys, please

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hit the like button. It really really helps us out.

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Post in the comment section below your favorite prop for tonight.

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Give us the same game, parlay, Just give us something

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actually did that give us the same game? Parlay? Go crazy?

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Give me ten to one same game, parlay in the coup.

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Let's let's let's let's en a banger tonight. So all right, angel,

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let's start with passing props. We got Caleb Williams and

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we got JJ McCarthy. I'll go first here and just

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tell you I'm gonna take under two hundred and twenty

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three and a half from JJ McCarthy. This seems like

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a dangerous spot for a guy making his first start

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Monday night football. I would expect them to try and

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run the ball and try and keep this guy out

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of harm's way. This is a Bears and Vikings both

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are ranked in the top ten in offensive line from PFF.

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The Vikings secondary ranks twenty seventh. So if I'm the Vikings,

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I'm given a heavy dose of Jordan Mason and Aaron

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Jones tonight. So I'm taking unders on JJ McCarthy. Not

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because I'm going all in on saying I don't think

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he's very good, but I'm not sure the opportunities are

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going to be there. And we saw we saw some

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bad quarterback play yesterday. So what do you think about

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passing props?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's I'm right there. With you on

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that one.

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Speaker 3: Probably look towards some unders with McCarthy as well, and

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again looking at the unders for him, it's not just

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for him being young, it's also what you just mentioned

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Andy playing to their strengths. You know, I think they're

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going to protect him well. I think it's gonna be

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a lot of tight end play, a lot of running

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backs potentially catching balls, and a lot of short passes. So,

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you know, sometimes we talk about, you know, do we

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look at receptions or yards for receivers. We look at

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completions or attempts for quarterbacks. From where I'm sitting, I

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think if we were looking towards an under and we

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were picking completions or attempts tonight, I'd probably be looking

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more towards the completions former cards, because I do think

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the attempts numbers are Sorry. I was looking for the

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attempts because I do think that there's gonna be just

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so much running going on that he could complete his

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passes because it's going to be a lot more safer

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passes and short passes and connect to that. So probably

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look towards the under there. I agree with you on

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that one, but I my main one that I like

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as far as the passing today here, and this has

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a lot to do with Ben Johnson, new guy in

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town for Chicago here, and a lot of pressure aro

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on Caleb Williams coming into this second season. I liked

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what I saw in the preseason. I know we're not

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allowed to say that because it's the preseason, but all

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the quotes, everything I'm seeing, I feel like they're gonna

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open things up a bit.

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Speaker 2: They're not gonna be sha here.

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Speaker 3: So what I like is over thirty five and a

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half for the longest pass completion for Caleb Williams.

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Speaker 2: There's going to be a time they're gonna.

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Speaker 3: Air it out, whether it's a play that gives them

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the lead, whether they're down in the game and they

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need to make up for it. He's going to air

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it out a little bit here. And last year his

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farthest was forty seven yards. But I think we're gonna

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see a lot more excitement, a lot more kind of

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plays on maybe third and long they catch us off

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guard a little bit, don't just go for that first down,

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but they go deep. So Caleb Williams' longest pass completion over.

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Speaker 1: I'm with you that I think this offense is going

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to be much much better. I think Caleb is gonna

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play with a lot more confidence. I actually have him

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noted for over twenty and a half completions. I went

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back and look at Jared Goff last year because that's

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you know, that's where Ben Johnson was, and boy, the

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last eight games of the season, he flew over this

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completion and he had Uh. Caleb Williams had eighteen and

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thirty two completions in two games against Minnesota last year.

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So if I think Caleb Williams is gonna take a

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step up, if I think, and also this running game

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of the Bears, which we'll get to in rushing props.

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I like swift, but it's not the Lions. You know,

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last year, Jared Goff had these two amazing running backs

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that could and the ball too, and he was still

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completing a lot of passes. So I'm going with Caleb

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Williams over his completions. And I'll just spoiler. I'm gonna

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throw Kayleb Williams to not throw an interception in our

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same game parlay because it's minus one oh six. We

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hit two props this weekend on not to throw interceptions,

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and these are your rints and repeat every week. We're

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gonna play Jordan Love to not throw an interception, and

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we're gonna play Justin Herbert to not throw an interception.

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Caleb Williams he only threw an inner perception like four

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games last year. He doesn't he throws it away or

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he takes a sack. He just doesn't really force the

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ball in a whole lot. And I don't think he

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had any against Minnesota. So I think we're in agreement here.

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We like Caleb a little bit and we're a little

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bit nervous for JJ McCarthy.

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Speaker 3: Yes, I'm curious to see Andy how fast they do

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kind of let him loose a little bit, Like we're

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pretty we're essentially saying that we expect one guy to

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be handheld tonight and one guy we expect to absolutely

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come flying out of the gates.

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Speaker 2: We'll see how true that ends up being.

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Speaker 3: But I'm curious to see how exactly loose they let

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him get right away.

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Speaker 1: Well, it could be a situation where like if the

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vikings are down, it could get fun because then McCarthy

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has to you know, we see him in a hurry

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up offense, We have to see him open it up

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so that would be Uh, this could turn out to

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be a very entertaining game. Let's move to the rushing props.

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Andrew Jordan Mason's rushing total is thirty nine and a half. Boy,

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that doesn't sound like a backup. That sounds like a

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time share. What's your take on these rushing prop numbers?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so I agree with that one as well.

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Speaker 3: I think I would probably look towards Aaron Jones rushing

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attempts under so I guess that kind of correlates a

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little bit as well. I think we're going to see

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a little bit of everything, so I would look towards

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Jordan Mason of course if I'm looking towards the under

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there on Aaron Jones. But one thing I wanted to

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mention is the fact that you know, looking at looking

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at a guy that I just said is not going

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to pass the ball a time, or when he is passing,

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he's going to be a little bit more safe. I

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love looking at quarterback rushing props. And I know this

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is a young man here, but I think the number

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is just way too low. It was sixteen and a

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half now it's eighteen and a half with JJ McCarthy Andy,

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But I'm still interested in it. You know, I think

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he's still going to face some pressure. I think that

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he's going to be smart hold onto the ball, and

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he's more athletic than you might think. You know, you

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look at some of his tape. This guy can move,

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he'll escape the pocket, and he's not going to blast

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out for twenty five five yard run. But if he

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gives me a few rushing attempts, I get bet you

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he gets over this number here and again, if we're

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thinking it's gonna be a lot of dink and dunk

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or over the top to tight ends, who's to say

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he's not gonna get over there a little bit? To me,

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this number should be more around twenty five and a half.

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So I'm happy to take JJ McCarthy over. But yeah,

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I think that Mason under on rushing attempts, or excuse me,

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that Aaron Jones under rushing attempts is good just because

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I do expect it to be a pretty shared load.

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Speaker 2: And that's gonna be one of those ones. I'll tell you.

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Speaker 3: I watched the game with somebody that was a fantasy

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owner of Kenneth Walker yesterday and I have a feeling

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this this type of situation might end up being the same.

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Speaker 2: As what you saw there yesterday.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Like it's on the goal line and you're wondering

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who's going to be the guy that ends up going

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in there to punch it in. That might be a

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problem if you have a fantasy running backs on this team.

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Speaker 1: I think more teams should do it from an NFL perspective,

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but god, from fantasy and props, it makes it an

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absolute nightmare to figure it out. I mean, but like

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you watched Seattle and it was like, hey, they were

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both good and healthy, and you know, none of them

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was neither of them were beaten down by the end

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of the game. So it works NFL wise.

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Speaker 3: But oh yeah, he was plus one Kenneth Walker first first.

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Speaker 2: Drive of the game, they're on the one yard line.

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He's not even out there.

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Speaker 1: I think this rushing prop on Caleb Williams is interesting.

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I'm looking at his attempts four and a half. This

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is a guy that rushed ten times against Minnesota last year,

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and when you look at his stat line, I mean,

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it is a lot of fours and fives and sixes.

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It's a little bit juiced. It's minus one forty. But again,

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Niel's kneel downs count. So if they're up and he

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happens to be out there and grabs a couple kneel downs,

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he is mobile. We've seen him run. I mean, this

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is a guy that's had long rushes of eleven, twenty four,

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twenty three, sixteen, so you know he can get out

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there and move. I expected this to be five and

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a half, not four and a half. So I'm gonna

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look at Kayleb Williams to go over that, and I

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I think DeAndre Swift could be really really utilized like

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the Jamir Gibbs type. Rowle is he Jamiir Gibbs? No,

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but could he be used like that? So I'm looking

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at this seventy five and a half rushing and receiving.

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He averaged nine point two yards per reception last year,

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so anytime he caught the ball bang, there's just nine

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yards for you. So there's not much depth in the

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Chicago back thought. Rosa On Johnson is the backup. He's questionable,

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but he went over this nine times last year, So

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I think I think Swift could get a lot of work.

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He was a guy I wanted in fantasy drafts and

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he was a guy I was interested in week one,

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and I don't know. I don't know how to dip

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my toe in the water because if he has a

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big game and it's like, oh yeah, he's gonna get

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eighteen carries and six catches every week, it's just like, uh,

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the cat's out of the bag here. But what do

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you think about DeAndre Swift here?

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Speaker 3: I like idea behind you know, guys that can can

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catch out and receive. I think when you and I

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have talked about it over the years in the show,

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like looking at look at Brece Hall this weekend, look

239
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at Travis Etn this weekend, I mean, if you can

240
00:11:11,919 --> 00:11:14,440
bring that to your team, I mean all kinds of guys,

241
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I mean even Derrick Henry like yesterday, I mean you

242
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and I feel like Derek Kenry's been the all star

243
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of the show since we started doing.

244
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Speaker 2: This, but he's hit.

245
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Speaker 3: He also hit his receiving yard prop Andy yesterday. Like

246
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imagine if you took his receiving prop and you're like,

247
00:11:28,639 --> 00:11:31,000
oh no, he's got like one hundred and fifty rushing yards.

248
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Oh no, he's got you. Like, he also hit the

249
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receiving So I think I would look towards that as well.

250
00:11:35,519 --> 00:11:38,639
I think he's gonna be utilized both ways. So I

251
00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:41,039
wouldn't talk anybody out of that rushing and receiving prop.

252
00:11:41,039 --> 00:11:44,320
I'm right there with you on that one. Do you

253
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think that when you look at at him though, if

254
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you look at the Caleb Williams rushing and just how

255
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mobile he can be, does that make us like the

256
00:11:54,519 --> 00:11:57,159
reception and receiving side of him more or if he's

257
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sitting there, you know, thinking about what the game plan is,

258
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do you think that that makes him think, all right, well,

259
00:12:01,879 --> 00:12:04,080
I'm probably gonna be catching short passes a lot more

260
00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:06,320
than a running because like, even look at I'm not

261
00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:08,960
saying like Josh Allen didn't run that much last night,

262
00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:12,440
but look at James Cook like he's like if you

263
00:12:12,559 --> 00:12:15,440
bet his rushing yards over like going back to last

264
00:12:15,519 --> 00:12:18,960
year as well, and you watch him catch a two

265
00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:22,240
yard pass and then run forty yards, like, how pissed

266
00:12:22,279 --> 00:12:24,639
are you? Because you're not getting any rushing yards out

267
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of that?

268
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Speaker 2: Right?

269
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Speaker 1: He's one. He's one guy in the league where you

270
00:12:29,159 --> 00:12:32,080
can't just bet one. He's a guy you have to

271
00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:35,440
bet bet both. And you bring up a great point

272
00:12:35,440 --> 00:12:37,600
with with it, because yeah, last night You're like, oh,

273
00:12:37,720 --> 00:12:39,200
how many yards did he have a ton? And it

274
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was like, but yeah, but hardly any rushing because you know,

275
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had that big screen bat. So yeah, he's He's one

276
00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:46,519
you and I talked about we really don't like the

277
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category of rushing plus receiving. It can be really hard.

278
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But he's one that that checks the box that I

279
00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:54,159
just have a feeling. Swift is going to be that guy,

280
00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:56,960
I guess. Jamiir Gibbs is probably another one that you're

281
00:12:57,000 --> 00:12:59,200
you're looking at taking the combo of.

282
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Speaker 2: So yeah, you know you can't take one of them,

283
00:13:01,879 --> 00:13:02,600
really you shouldn't.

284
00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:05,519
Speaker 1: No, no, no, So there's probably the only three guys

285
00:13:05,519 --> 00:13:09,960
that I would even say is an option at that point. So, Andrew,

286
00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:11,519
what do you have up for everyone to wait your

287
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talk today? On this Monday?

288
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Speaker 3: I'm excited I got a five percent play. I actually

289
00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:18,200
wasn't planning on it, didn't have it up for a while.

290
00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:20,679
The more I broke down this game, the more I

291
00:13:20,759 --> 00:13:23,279
found a prop that I just really really like. So

292
00:13:23,879 --> 00:13:27,799
eighty three percent run on NFL four percent and five

293
00:13:27,799 --> 00:13:30,720
percent bets combined, So best bets you can get that

294
00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:33,080
up right now? When I have a special going up

295
00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:36,399
this afternoon. So if you want to wait to buy

296
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that instead of the play, we're gonna do buy one

297
00:13:39,799 --> 00:13:42,559
month of NFL and we're gonna give the rest of

298
00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:46,279
the CFL season for free. So you're buy one full

299
00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:49,639
month of my team totals, sides, totals props in the NFL.

300
00:13:49,919 --> 00:13:54,240
We're throwing in CFL plus the playoffs at no additional cost.

301
00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:58,080
So super excited. Five percent play going tonight. I was

302
00:13:58,120 --> 00:14:01,559
researching the card super super high and found one. I

303
00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,200
really liked those five percent worthy so can't wait for that.

304
00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:05,960
How about yourself, Andy, what's going on with you?

305
00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:10,159
Speaker 1: I'm gonna sit out tonight's game. We went six and

306
00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:13,039
four yesterday. I'm extremely happy with that. If I can

307
00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:14,919
walk away with a six and four week every week,

308
00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:18,440
that's sixty percent For all you math nerds out there,

309
00:14:18,799 --> 00:14:20,639
I'm gonna be really happy. So there was a bunch

310
00:14:20,679 --> 00:14:23,879
I liked. I put that Caleb Williams over completions as

311
00:14:23,879 --> 00:14:26,480
a free play. But I'm just gonna take the winnings

312
00:14:26,519 --> 00:14:29,279
from this week and move on and just be happy

313
00:14:29,279 --> 00:14:31,559
to say, hey, we were profitable in week one. But

314
00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:33,879
if you want all sports, we're still running that special

315
00:14:33,879 --> 00:14:37,279
promo code Andy thirty a n D Y three zero.

316
00:14:37,399 --> 00:14:39,960
It gets you fifty percent off thirty days with a play,

317
00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:42,440
So you're getting all of our plays, MMA, you're getting

318
00:14:42,440 --> 00:14:46,679
our NFL, you're getting college football, cricket. Tennis has been

319
00:14:46,720 --> 00:14:49,200
a monster over the last few weeks, so any play

320
00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:51,799
and fifty percent off doesn't get much better than that,

321
00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:55,320
It really doesn't. Were number one last three years in profits.

322
00:14:55,399 --> 00:14:59,039
So just been a great run. And we always say, hey,

323
00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:02,000
you haven't tried for the first time. Give us seven days,

324
00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:03,840
give us a month. If you give me a month,

325
00:15:04,000 --> 00:15:05,759
I think you're gonna be happy with the results. And

326
00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:08,320
that way you can see get thirty days of what

327
00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:10,480
we do and how we approach this. These are plays

328
00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:12,639
that we bet with our own money. Every play that

329
00:15:12,679 --> 00:15:15,440
we put out we have our money on. So take

330
00:15:15,440 --> 00:15:18,600
advantage of that. Promo code Andy three zero gets fifty

331
00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:22,679
percent off thirty days. Let's move to let's take a

332
00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:27,879
look at receiving here, Andrew, I'll go first. I'm going

333
00:15:28,039 --> 00:15:31,799
under Justin Jefferson, but I'm looking at his receptions. If

334
00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:35,919
I don't trust JJ McCarthy here tonight, I don't think

335
00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:39,080
I'm gonna trust Jefferson right away. But I want his

336
00:15:39,159 --> 00:15:41,519
under receptions because I don't I don't want the yards

337
00:15:41,519 --> 00:15:44,840
in case he catches a long one. But to say

338
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McCarthy and Jefferson get on the same page seven times,

339
00:15:48,039 --> 00:15:50,360
I mean, isn't. I mean he's the one they're gonna

340
00:15:50,679 --> 00:15:53,399
put all of their all of their attention to in

341
00:15:53,440 --> 00:15:58,639
the secondary. So I'm going justin Jefferson under his receptions here.

342
00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:02,799
Seven is a lot in JJ McCarthy's first game. Could

343
00:16:02,799 --> 00:16:05,919
they get there? They're behind, yeah, but man, I just

344
00:16:06,519 --> 00:16:09,639
that seems like a lot. We saw Jamar Chase disappoint

345
00:16:09,759 --> 00:16:12,200
so not all. They're not all going to have great games.

346
00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:14,519
So Jefferson under six and a half is one thing

347
00:16:14,559 --> 00:16:15,679
that I'm looking at. What about you?

348
00:16:16,399 --> 00:16:17,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like that, Andy.

349
00:16:17,399 --> 00:16:18,720
Speaker 3: And you know what's funny is like there's a lot

350
00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:22,039
of teams out there that head success, but that main

351
00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:26,000
guy didn't have success, right, So it's not like you're

352
00:16:26,039 --> 00:16:29,759
saying that they can't win the game without him going

353
00:16:29,799 --> 00:16:31,639
over this number, right, And that's the thing is And

354
00:16:31,679 --> 00:16:35,279
we're looking at low volume potentially for the passing attempts

355
00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:37,879
overall with them. So I like that one quite a bit.

356
00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:40,600
I'll tell you one that I'm looking at here and

357
00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:43,639
this is an under is Adam feeling. And I was

358
00:16:43,679 --> 00:16:45,879
debating do I look at the receptions or do I

359
00:16:45,919 --> 00:16:47,879
look at the yards? And you know, two and a

360
00:16:47,919 --> 00:16:50,519
half receptions under plus money, And then I started to

361
00:16:50,559 --> 00:16:52,120
think more and more about it, and I was like,

362
00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:55,399
updated number thirty two and a half for the receiving yards.

363
00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:58,840
He very well could catch a couple of short balls,

364
00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:01,720
like shorter ish ball that keep him still under that

365
00:17:01,759 --> 00:17:02,840
thirty two and a half number.

366
00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:05,160
Speaker 2: So I'm going to look towards the under on him.

367
00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:06,680
You know, with the running game.

368
00:17:06,559 --> 00:17:09,640
Speaker 3: Expected with a couple guys, it's being expected to being

369
00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:13,160
utilized in the running game, with tight ends utilized, with

370
00:17:13,319 --> 00:17:16,519
running backs pass catching as well, There's only so much

371
00:17:16,599 --> 00:17:19,559
room for receivers. So I mean, justin Jefferson is still

372
00:17:19,559 --> 00:17:22,279
going to get a handful himself. I think I'll look

373
00:17:22,279 --> 00:17:25,960
towards the under on receiving guards for feeling. You know,

374
00:17:26,039 --> 00:17:28,759
he could very well surprise me and be that guy

375
00:17:28,799 --> 00:17:31,160
that slots right in and has himself a kind of

376
00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:34,039
a sleeper type of a day. But as of right now,

377
00:17:34,079 --> 00:17:35,799
I got to see it before I believe it. I'll

378
00:17:35,799 --> 00:17:39,160
take his under there and one guy that I like

379
00:17:39,319 --> 00:17:42,079
is t J. Hawkinson over. I think he's gonna be

380
00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:45,640
that safety blanket. He's going to be the second favorite

381
00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:48,000
target of the team. I think he's going to be

382
00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:51,759
someone that JJ McCarty's gonna find quite frequently, and it's

383
00:17:51,799 --> 00:17:53,359
gonna be one of those guys that he's not gonna

384
00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:55,880
find to make that big play. He's gonna find to

385
00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:58,799
move the chains, kind of get that flow going, and

386
00:17:59,039 --> 00:18:00,960
he'll make him feel very comfortable and be a guy

387
00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:01,960
that he can rely upon.

388
00:18:02,079 --> 00:18:05,079
Speaker 2: So his number is forty two and a half yards.

389
00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:06,640
T J. Hawkinson to the over.

390
00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:11,759
Speaker 1: So I'm with you on this, Adam. The feeling I

391
00:18:11,759 --> 00:18:15,079
think you could get really really cute with this. So

392
00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:18,519
I'm messing around with this. So what if you did

393
00:18:18,799 --> 00:18:21,559
what if you did Adam Thielen under thirty two and

394
00:18:21,559 --> 00:18:24,720
a half but over two and a half, you can

395
00:18:24,759 --> 00:18:26,680
get four to one on that. So what if he

396
00:18:26,759 --> 00:18:29,680
catches three short passes and you know, just does as

397
00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:32,640
a safety blank it just doesn't get hardly any yards.

398
00:18:33,559 --> 00:18:36,640
His longest catch is sixteen and a half. That seems

399
00:18:37,559 --> 00:18:41,160
ambitious to say the least. So I don't know. I

400
00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:43,559
kind of like Adam feeling over receptions. I'm not betting it,

401
00:18:43,599 --> 00:18:46,799
but I like where you're going that the yards seems

402
00:18:46,839 --> 00:18:49,920
a little inflated. Here here's another guy I'm going under.

403
00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:53,680
I just I don't what if Roma Doonsay just never happens.

404
00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,599
What if he's just never a thing? So I'm going

405
00:18:57,759 --> 00:18:59,839
under fifty and a half receiving. This guy went under

406
00:18:59,880 --> 00:19:02,960
this in thirteen games. Whenever I watched him, it just

407
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:05,079
didn't seem like him and Cambleb Williams were on the

408
00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:09,599
same page like ever. So I just maybe I'm wrong,

409
00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:13,720
maybe new offense, but I this is Roma Duneesay, and

410
00:19:13,759 --> 00:19:16,240
if he's not good again tonight, this number is just

411
00:19:16,279 --> 00:19:18,559
gonna keep getting lower and lower and lower, and then

412
00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:20,680
he's gonna have one game where he catches a long

413
00:19:20,759 --> 00:19:22,720
one and then they'll they'll put it up. But I'm

414
00:19:22,799 --> 00:19:25,680
kind of out on the Roman Dunsay thing he didn't impress.

415
00:19:26,279 --> 00:19:28,759
Speaker 3: The only thing is with the new coach, it kind

416
00:19:28,759 --> 00:19:30,920
of he seems like a guy and just based on

417
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:33,039
some of the stuff I've read, like he seems like

418
00:19:33,079 --> 00:19:36,000
a guy that could just out of nowhere be a

419
00:19:36,039 --> 00:19:38,920
lot better and be more involved. So he's kind of

420
00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:40,920
like the ten foot poll prop for me, like, I

421
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:43,039
don't even want to go near anything he's involved in

422
00:19:43,079 --> 00:19:45,680
because he very well could have himself a game, or

423
00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:49,599
he could just minimally be involved. So curious, Like that number, Andy,

424
00:19:49,759 --> 00:19:51,519
that number is kind of weird to me as well,

425
00:19:51,599 --> 00:19:53,559
Like it's it's kind of setting a number where the

426
00:19:53,599 --> 00:19:56,359
expectations are like, Okay, he could do something. But then

427
00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:58,559
it's also like, based on what I've seen before, I

428
00:19:58,559 --> 00:20:01,400
don't really want to play anything with him. So, you know,

429
00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:04,400
we've got one new coach angle, and we've got a

430
00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:08,359
new quarterback angle. Obviously we know about Ben Johnson, but

431
00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:10,599
at the end of the day, it's still the Bears.

432
00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:12,480
You know, we can't forget who it is right now,

433
00:20:12,519 --> 00:20:13,519
We can't forget the team.

434
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:18,279
Speaker 1: It's true, It's true. Yeah, that rooman dune say number,

435
00:20:18,279 --> 00:20:20,480
how vanilla can you get? Fifty and a half? That

436
00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:23,880
just screams the books don't know that. The books don't

437
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:27,359
have an opinion on this one. So let's move to

438
00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:29,960
any time touchdown scores, And man, is it fun when

439
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:33,359
you have a game where everybody is plus money? Every

440
00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:38,279
person is plus money. I'm kicking myself. The James Cook

441
00:20:38,319 --> 00:20:40,480
touchdown prop was amazing last year and that was one

442
00:20:40,519 --> 00:20:43,359
that we completely forgot to stay away from. But we

443
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:47,440
hit the James Connor one on. I've thought that they'd

444
00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:49,279
score a lot more points against the Saints, but he

445
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:51,440
does get in there. So I mean, we're looking at

446
00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:55,319
Justin Jefferson plus one thirty five, DeAndre Swift plus one fifty,

447
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:58,480
Aaron Jones plus one seventy five. Which one sticks out

448
00:20:58,480 --> 00:20:58,680
to you?

449
00:21:00,079 --> 00:21:02,400
Speaker 3: I think DeAndre Swift is probably want to look at.

450
00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:04,920
I know it's not the biggest and most juicy odds,

451
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:06,799
but hey, it's still pretty good. And I think if

452
00:21:06,799 --> 00:21:08,799
we're going to talk about him being used as a

453
00:21:08,799 --> 00:21:12,279
pass catcher as well as running the ball, it just

454
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:14,319
opens up more opportunities. You know, if they're on the

455
00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:16,640
goal line, We're not just talking about him punching it

456
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:18,640
in from you know, two or three yards that they

457
00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:21,000
get close. We're talking about, you know, maybe them being

458
00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:23,279
ten yards out and him catching a couple of yard

459
00:21:23,319 --> 00:21:25,599
pass and being able to run into the end zone

460
00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:27,759
that way or break through. To me, there's just kind

461
00:21:27,799 --> 00:21:30,119
of the more opportunities and the more different ways he

462
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,240
can score, the more I'm interested in. So I do

463
00:21:32,319 --> 00:21:36,079
think that He's somebody I want to look at. And hey,

464
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:38,119
if I'm going to talk about a guy that I

465
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:39,880
like for receiving yards, a guy that's going to be

466
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:43,799
super comfortable for JJ McCarthy to throw to, then I

467
00:21:43,799 --> 00:21:45,559
got to look at my tight end. I love the

468
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,480
tight ends. I love betting these on primetime games. I'm

469
00:21:48,519 --> 00:21:53,559
looking at Hawkinson over or sorry to get his touchdown.

470
00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:55,839
Speaker 2: And when you look at the number.

471
00:21:55,559 --> 00:22:00,880
Speaker 3: Here twelve to one for first touchdown score and anytimes

472
00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:03,400
plus two fifty, I'll do a little sprinkle on that

473
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:04,240
first touchdown.

474
00:22:07,079 --> 00:22:09,559
Speaker 1: You kind of took the words right out of my mouth.

475
00:22:09,799 --> 00:22:12,279
I like. I like Loveland as well. I think if

476
00:22:12,319 --> 00:22:14,799
you played both of those tight ends, I think I

477
00:22:14,839 --> 00:22:19,079
think one of them hits. Obviously there's no history with Loveland.

478
00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:22,559
I just know that Bears like we're really really excited

479
00:22:22,599 --> 00:22:25,640
to draft him. They drafted him over Tyler, you know,

480
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:29,039
over Warren, and Warren falls to my colts, Holly, Louisah,

481
00:22:29,079 --> 00:22:31,200
thank you very much and take it. And he was

482
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:35,680
good yesterday. But yeah, if you're the Bears, don't you

483
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:38,680
want to roll out your new your new toy, like, okay, yeah,

484
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:40,559
we drafted him over More and watch what this guy

485
00:22:40,599 --> 00:22:43,400
can do. So, like, we have no numbers, I have

486
00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:45,240
no trends to really back this one up.

487
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:48,200
Speaker 3: But I was looking at that one plus two fifty

488
00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:51,039
and plus three ninety Andy, Yeah, yeah.

489
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,319
Speaker 1: One of them catches the touchdown. You're very, very happy.

490
00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:57,960
Can I interest you in a Bear's defensive touchdown? JJ

491
00:22:58,079 --> 00:23:02,440
McCarthy little behind on an out route that gets taken

492
00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:06,279
to the house five to one. That one cut five

493
00:23:06,319 --> 00:23:10,920
to ones. Not too I mean that's a complete ripoff.

494
00:23:11,519 --> 00:23:14,200
Like for a price, defensive touchdowns need to be ten

495
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:17,960
to one, Like having only five to one is criminal

496
00:23:18,039 --> 00:23:21,359
at that point. But I'm just saying, defensive touchdown might

497
00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:24,039
not be the worst the worst thing in the world here,

498
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:28,519
So yeah, I'm not. I don't know. Maybe we're overthinking

499
00:23:28,519 --> 00:23:30,920
it and it's just Justin Jefferson at plus one thirty five.

500
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:33,920
How many games are gonna get Justin Jefferson at plus

501
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,359
one thirty five to catch it, to catch a touchdown?

502
00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:40,400
But I think we've settled on on. We like DeAndre Swift,

503
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:42,039
we like the two tight ends there.

504
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,400
Speaker 3: I think, similarly to talking about DeAndre Swift cut pass

505
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:48,000
catching and rushing, I think Aaron Jones could be an option.

506
00:23:48,039 --> 00:23:49,759
I mean, like, hey, look, we're not getting a plus

507
00:23:49,799 --> 00:23:51,920
three hundred here, but plus one seventy five is what

508
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:53,799
I'm seeing in my book here. I mean, that's worth

509
00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:54,200
it to me.

510
00:23:54,839 --> 00:23:57,440
Speaker 1: He's the starter, you know. I mean, you know, he

511
00:23:57,559 --> 00:23:59,720
was here last year, so he's probably gonna get first

512
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:03,039
crack they get down to the goal line. So all right, Andrew,

513
00:24:03,079 --> 00:24:06,000
you're ready to build a same game parlay, let's do it?

514
00:24:06,519 --> 00:24:08,640
All right? All right, Well, I'll go first because I

515
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:12,400
already told you one of my legs, and that's gonna

516
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:16,759
be Caleb Williams to not throw an interception. I went

517
00:24:16,759 --> 00:24:19,559
over this before. This guy is a rinse and repeat

518
00:24:19,839 --> 00:24:24,200
just he doesn't throw these interceptions. And for some reason,

519
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:27,839
the books just keep giving us really really good numbers

520
00:24:27,839 --> 00:24:30,880
on the This is only minus one oh six, and

521
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:32,440
like I said, he only had I think it was

522
00:24:32,519 --> 00:24:35,359
four games last year where he threw an interception. So

523
00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:40,599
my very first piece is gonna be under half an

524
00:24:40,599 --> 00:24:44,880
interception for Caleb Williams. What's your next leg?

525
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:46,119
Speaker 2: Man?

526
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:47,839
Speaker 3: I love that one, And honestly, I think it's because

527
00:24:47,839 --> 00:24:49,559
he's so good at just throwing the ball away, even

528
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:50,920
like when he sees trouble.

529
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:53,000
Speaker 2: He just like tosses it away. So I like that

530
00:24:53,039 --> 00:24:53,640
one quite a bit.

531
00:24:53,759 --> 00:24:56,039
Speaker 3: I'll uh, I'll go back to the one I mentioned

532
00:24:56,079 --> 00:24:58,839
at the start of the show with that longest completion

533
00:24:59,279 --> 00:25:01,359
for Caleb Williams. So we're starting things up with the

534
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:04,440
same guy twice over thirty five and a half for

535
00:25:04,599 --> 00:25:08,000
the longest completion for Caleb Williams. I feel like he's

536
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:10,839
gonna be set free. I'm looking forward to the game.

537
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:13,160
You know, last night on social media, Andy, all you

538
00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:15,480
see are these tweets from people being like, hey, guys, like,

539
00:25:15,559 --> 00:25:17,640
hate to break it to you, but Vikings Bears isn't

540
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:20,160
gonna be as good as Bill's Ravens. Yeah, we all

541
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:22,240
know that, but I feel like this game is gonna

542
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,599
be fun. This game has potential to have some fun here.

543
00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:27,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, we get it, we get it. That was that

544
00:25:27,599 --> 00:25:29,200
was an all time game. We get it. Not every

545
00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:31,319
not every gaming is going to be that fun. Thank you.

546
00:25:33,559 --> 00:25:34,400
Speaker 2: Let's go to.

547
00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:40,079
Speaker 1: Let's you know, we've been talking about DeAndre Swift, so

548
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:43,559
I feel like we need to do something with DeAndre Swift.

549
00:25:43,599 --> 00:25:46,839
So I'm gonna take Swift to have a pretty good

550
00:25:47,039 --> 00:25:50,200
night receiving here. So I'm gonna take a look at

551
00:25:50,279 --> 00:25:54,480
his rushing and receiving. Give me eighty plus yards rushing

552
00:25:54,519 --> 00:25:57,680
and receiving at plus one thirteen. We get to throw

553
00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:00,519
throw a plus money leg in there to really up

554
00:26:00,559 --> 00:26:03,519
the price here. So I'll go Dean, I'll go, yeah,

555
00:26:03,559 --> 00:26:08,240
DeAndre Swift. There we go to have eighty plus rushing

556
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,559
and receiving. All right, finish us off.

557
00:26:11,799 --> 00:26:14,839
Speaker 3: All right, Andy, we're doing two each year, and I

558
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:18,519
think we talk about there could be a shared workload here,

559
00:26:18,759 --> 00:26:20,640
but this guy is still the guy we just talked

560
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,480
about touchdowns. I was had a few hours debating, let's

561
00:26:23,480 --> 00:26:26,759
get a touchdown one here, plus one seventy five Aaron Jones,

562
00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:29,319
Senior to get in the end zone.

563
00:26:30,039 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones of the senior. Al right, Aaron Jones, you

564
00:26:34,799 --> 00:26:38,720
go in there. Oh that that really helped us out.

565
00:26:38,759 --> 00:26:43,279
This is now a fourteen to one. Alright, same game,

566
00:26:43,319 --> 00:26:46,079
parlat Yeah, yeah, you throw a plus one seventy five

567
00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:49,079
in there to score a touchdown. Yeah, that that automatically

568
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:51,200
jumps it up. So all right, there we go. It's

569
00:26:51,519 --> 00:26:54,680
Kayleb Williams to not throw an interception. Kayla Williams over

570
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:58,720
his longest eighty plus rushing and receiving for DeAndre Swift

571
00:26:58,759 --> 00:27:02,279
and Aaron Jones time touchdown score. That's your fourteen to

572
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:06,200
one banger there. All right, we're going to do a

573
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:08,519
look ahead here. This is where this is to me,

574
00:27:08,559 --> 00:27:10,920
the most important part of the show, where Andrew and

575
00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:12,759
I go about, Hey, what are we looking for in

576
00:27:12,759 --> 00:27:15,079
week two? So that way when the prop numbers come out,

577
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:17,279
we know what we're looking for, and there's an expectation

578
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:21,039
of teams and defensive units we want to fade or support.

579
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:23,839
So let's take a look at NFL Week two look

580
00:27:23,839 --> 00:27:25,920
ahead again, if you please hit the like button, it

581
00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:28,319
really helps the YouTube algorithm out. And put in the

582
00:27:28,319 --> 00:27:30,799
comments section below your best bet for tonight. Put another

583
00:27:30,839 --> 00:27:32,839
same game parlay that gives us a ten to one

584
00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:35,200
or something in there. And if you haven't subscribed to

585
00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:38,319
the YouTube channel, what are you doing? It's football season?

586
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:41,240
We say, how many breakdown videos we have? Hit the bell.

587
00:27:41,279 --> 00:27:43,680
You get notified when all of these videos are posted

588
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:45,880
and when we all go live, and don't forget to

589
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:49,519
catch We just talked today every single day at noon

590
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:52,079
Eastern time where we break down all the sports and

591
00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:54,960
it's a football season, so we're very heavy NFL in

592
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:58,680
college football. So Andrew, let's do a week two look aheads.

593
00:27:59,119 --> 00:28:01,519
This is kind of a commination of what do we

594
00:28:01,519 --> 00:28:03,759
see in week one and how does it apply to

595
00:28:03,839 --> 00:28:06,759
Week two? So what games are you looking for?

596
00:28:08,599 --> 00:28:09,599
Speaker 2: Look? Let me start with this.

597
00:28:09,759 --> 00:28:13,519
Speaker 3: I mean I was venting quite a bit, pretty much

598
00:28:13,559 --> 00:28:17,880
to everybody I know, because I in fact drafted not one,

599
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:21,079
but two Philadelphia Eagle receivers in a couple of different

600
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:23,680
leagues that I'm in. And then I remember that you

601
00:28:23,799 --> 00:28:26,599
don't even need to have receivers on the Eagles because

602
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:28,920
the running back and quarterback are so good at moving

603
00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:31,440
the ball. But this matchup is going to be a

604
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:34,799
bit different. And I think in this game against the Chiefs,

605
00:28:34,839 --> 00:28:36,759
which is going to be unbelievable, they're going to have

606
00:28:36,839 --> 00:28:38,039
to throw the ball a bit more.

607
00:28:38,119 --> 00:28:38,240
Speaker 2: So.

608
00:28:38,559 --> 00:28:40,759
Speaker 3: I think we're going to see Aj Brown not just

609
00:28:40,799 --> 00:28:43,640
reading books on the sideline, but actually getting balls thrown

610
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:45,680
in his direction. So there's gonna be a lot of

611
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:49,400
people overreacting similarly to how I was overreacting on my couch,

612
00:28:49,799 --> 00:28:52,359
and we could look towards some receiver props here for

613
00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:53,480
the Philadelphia Eagles.

614
00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:55,559
Speaker 2: It's gonna be a good one. I think that the Chiefs.

615
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:57,400
Speaker 3: I'm not really taking a shot at their defense, but

616
00:28:57,480 --> 00:28:59,319
I do think that they're going to be involved in

617
00:28:59,359 --> 00:29:01,759
a lot more back and forced and shootouts this year.

618
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,000
Very interested to see how this Chiefs team actually starts

619
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,240
out like their first four or five games. But I'll

620
00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:11,599
be looking towards some of those receivers for the Eagles, which.

621
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:13,440
Speaker 2: Also wasn't What else did I want to mention here?

622
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:14,079
There was one?

623
00:29:14,359 --> 00:29:16,599
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, when I look at Okay for the for

624
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:20,119
the Jags, I'm not impressed by some of the stuff

625
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:22,839
I saw from the Jags yesterday. Like I want to

626
00:29:22,839 --> 00:29:24,960
look towards Tee law I know this might be a

627
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:27,200
little bit shocking here because it's the Bengals. I want

628
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:29,960
to look towards Tee Law Under. I'll be looking towards

629
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:33,400
a couple of receivers under for the Jags. They're playing

630
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:36,920
the Bengals, I get it, but they just played the Panthers,

631
00:29:37,119 --> 00:29:39,039
and I think that we did see a lot of

632
00:29:39,119 --> 00:29:42,480
long drives from this Bengals team yesterday. I feel like

633
00:29:42,519 --> 00:29:43,920
that's going to be a new thing that they want

634
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:46,160
to do, is established possession, hold onto the ball a

635
00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:48,960
little bit, not be involved in these shootings. The fact is,

636
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:50,920
I know it was against the Browns, don't get me wrong,

637
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:55,000
but I think that I hear people talking about the

638
00:29:55,079 --> 00:29:57,599
Jags yesterday like they played a really good team. I'm

639
00:29:57,599 --> 00:29:59,759
sorry it was the Panthers, so I might look at

640
00:29:59,799 --> 00:30:02,799
face eating some of the player props there for the Jags,

641
00:30:03,799 --> 00:30:07,400
And overall, I want to ask you, like, did you

642
00:30:07,519 --> 00:30:10,759
notice there were more fumbles and picks yesterday than usual?

643
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:12,839
Or it was that just something that maybe the games

644
00:30:12,839 --> 00:30:15,599
that I happened to be watching, because it's kind of

645
00:30:15,599 --> 00:30:17,960
making me want to look at a lot more interceptions

646
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,279
props than I ever have in the pass.

647
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:24,720
Speaker 1: Well, I was betting quarterbacks and not throw interceptions, So

648
00:30:24,759 --> 00:30:27,000
I don't think I necessarily, but I think some of

649
00:30:27,039 --> 00:30:31,160
the fumbles and turnovers were so exaggerated, Like the Derrick

650
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,279
Henry fumble was just like out of nowhere and it

651
00:30:34,359 --> 00:30:39,200
literally cost them the game. That was just it. Well,

652
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:42,200
the Bravens had that game, By the way, the live

653
00:30:42,279 --> 00:30:45,519
lines on Derrick Henry like at some points were like

654
00:30:45,559 --> 00:30:48,519
one like seventy five and he got up to one

655
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:51,119
seventy seven rushing and then they dinged him nine yards

656
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:54,240
on that fumble. So you were winning your rushing bet,

657
00:30:54,319 --> 00:30:57,480
and then all of a sudden you weren't. I noticed

658
00:30:57,559 --> 00:31:02,920
kickoffs with these new rules, they're not blasting the ball

659
00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:05,160
out of the end zone, so you're getting some better

660
00:31:05,319 --> 00:31:08,160
starting field position. I don't know how that affects the props,

661
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:12,240
but I noticed whenever there's, you know whatever, there's a score,

662
00:31:12,279 --> 00:31:13,960
you can always be like, oh, I can go grab

663
00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:16,039
a snack or a drink or something, because they're just

664
00:31:16,039 --> 00:31:17,799
gonna do a kickoff and blast it out of the

665
00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,039
end zone. And now that's not really the case. I

666
00:31:20,119 --> 00:31:23,000
was watching to see, you know, where the where the

667
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:25,079
ball is gonna end up after the kickoff. So I'll

668
00:31:25,119 --> 00:31:26,440
have to go look at the stats and see if

669
00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:29,119
there were. There were more interceptions and fumbles this week,

670
00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:33,440
a couple of takeaways. The Bill's secondary is completely banged up.

671
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:36,480
They have basically no depth at this point. And I

672
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:40,200
should have done more with the Baltimore game with points

673
00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:42,759
and we had a Lamar Jackson prop that cashed, but

674
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:47,720
I I drafted justin Fields in both of my fantasy leagues,

675
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:50,359
and he did exactly what I thought he was gonna do.

676
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:54,480
Ran for forty eight yards, scored a touchdown, only completed

677
00:31:54,559 --> 00:31:58,079
sixteen passes, but super efficient. I think he's gonna have

678
00:31:58,119 --> 00:32:01,039
another big game against this Bills team. This Bill's secondary,

679
00:32:01,079 --> 00:32:03,799
they are lacking weapons, They're not healthy right now. So

680
00:32:04,079 --> 00:32:07,400
I will absolutely take uh take some justin field props.

681
00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:10,680
I'm just going down these. I'm taking unders on this

682
00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:13,680
commander's team on Thursday night. That Packers defense look great. Andrew,

683
00:32:13,759 --> 00:32:17,279
your team is really good, man. You guys had it

684
00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:19,599
very You guys are very good this year.

685
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:20,319
Speaker 2: Do you see the.

686
00:32:20,359 --> 00:32:23,960
Speaker 3: Rushing guards for the ti the Tigers for the Lions

687
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:30,200
when when Michael Parsons was out there negative four, negative.

688
00:32:29,759 --> 00:32:34,799
Speaker 1: Four wild man wild, that's gonna be an overreaction game, like, oh,

689
00:32:34,839 --> 00:32:37,759
the Lions are done. They don't have their coordinators. I'm

690
00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:40,119
going back to the Lions props. I think I think

691
00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:43,039
your team's just that good. Uh, calm down on my Colts.

692
00:32:43,519 --> 00:32:45,640
They're not this good. They just happen to be playing

693
00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:48,880
the Dolphins. Uh So if we get an inflated number

694
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,880
on my boy d Jones, Uh, Daniel Jones, I'm taking

695
00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:57,480
the under on that one. Uh. Giants and Cowboys. I

696
00:32:57,599 --> 00:33:00,839
expect a little bit more from Pickens. But by the way,

697
00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:04,000
the Giants. Yeah, I would expect him to get the

698
00:33:04,039 --> 00:33:06,880
ball a little bit more. The Giants were great. What

699
00:33:07,359 --> 00:33:10,039
the coach say was like, this loss is absolutely not

700
00:33:10,119 --> 00:33:12,160
on Russell Wilson, and they were like, well, is he

701
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:14,079
gonna be the starter next week? Is like, I don't know.

702
00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:19,480
Speaker 2: I feel like what happened for a few years now.

703
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:24,279
Speaker 1: So okay, Bears and Lions. We'll see what the Bears

704
00:33:24,279 --> 00:33:26,119
defense looks like. To know, I'm not gonna be scared

705
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:28,559
of the Lions offense. They're gonna get back on track.

706
00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:33,440
Rams and Titans, I got nothing. Patriots and Dolphins. Wolf,

707
00:33:33,799 --> 00:33:34,880
that's a bad game.

708
00:33:36,839 --> 00:33:39,160
Speaker 3: Drake May, Like, you know, I used to always bet

709
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:41,839
the mac Jones over on completions on our show, and

710
00:33:41,839 --> 00:33:44,160
then Drake May, I didn't really do much with you know,

711
00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:48,640
they had thirteen points. Andy, he had forty six passing attempts,

712
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:53,200
thirty completions, two hundred and eighty seven yards like he

713
00:33:53,319 --> 00:33:55,440
was slinging it. He doesn't really sling it that far.

714
00:33:55,759 --> 00:33:58,240
But like I, unfortunately I was forced to watch this

715
00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:00,680
game because I had a teaser with the Raiders plus

716
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:04,160
eight and a half, like Hunter Henry and some of these.

717
00:34:04,039 --> 00:34:06,839
Speaker 2: Guys being wall forced to watch the game.

718
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:08,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I had a gun to my head to watch

719
00:34:08,519 --> 00:34:11,639
the Patriots game yesterday. But yeah, I feel like this

720
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:13,519
is I think. I feel like the Patriots are going

721
00:34:13,559 --> 00:34:16,360
to be a team where you could bet player props

722
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:19,079
to the over and they could hit their over and

723
00:34:19,119 --> 00:34:22,679
they still have a garbage game on the scoreboard, like

724
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:26,079
if you go through. Some guys did pretty well props

725
00:34:26,119 --> 00:34:29,599
wise for the for the Patriots yesterday, but they scored

726
00:34:29,679 --> 00:34:30,920
thirteen points.

727
00:34:32,559 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 1: There. They can't have Drake May throw it forty six times.

728
00:34:37,039 --> 00:34:40,360
I mean Travan Henderson had five carries. Romande I had seven.

729
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:43,119
I mean Drake May had four. They have to run

730
00:34:43,119 --> 00:34:44,559
the ball a little bit more. And this wasn't like

731
00:34:44,599 --> 00:34:46,880
a game where they were getting blown out. They were

732
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:48,880
they were in the lead at one point, and they

733
00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:51,119
just refused to run the ball. There's going to be

734
00:34:51,159 --> 00:34:56,000
an adjustment there. Yeah, forty nine Ers and Saints. My

735
00:34:56,039 --> 00:34:59,960
biggest regret was not not putting anything with pearsall in.

736
00:35:00,079 --> 00:35:03,320
And that's a guy that's gonna catch his longest reception

737
00:35:03,639 --> 00:35:06,400
a lot. He is not a guy that just comes

738
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:09,039
over the middle. They look for him deep and even

739
00:35:09,079 --> 00:35:11,239
though he only had four catches, he could have had

740
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:14,199
six seven long ones, but one hundred and eight yards.

741
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:19,239
So I'm looking over longest reception on piercel for sure. Seahawks, Steelers,

742
00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:23,119
I don't have much their Browns. Ravens Flacco over his

743
00:35:23,199 --> 00:35:27,199
attempts just keeps obliterating this number. Andrew, they cannot run

744
00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:29,400
the ball. They didn't even try to run the ball.

745
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:31,519
They've thrown in the towel on running the ball, and

746
00:35:31,519 --> 00:35:33,920
they're gonna be down. So if he starts again next week,

747
00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:36,440
it was thirty six and a half, it was an

748
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:38,960
easy cash for clients. I don't know what they're gonna

749
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:42,719
put this at nice if it's below forty, I think

750
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:46,400
I'm probably playing playing the over on his attempts, he

751
00:35:46,639 --> 00:35:48,400
just chucks it all over the place.

752
00:35:48,599 --> 00:35:51,360
Speaker 3: I had a loser in that game yesterday and Djoku

753
00:35:51,519 --> 00:35:55,800
over on receiving yards and man, he had the targets though.

754
00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:57,480
That's the thing, And you know how we always talk

755
00:35:57,519 --> 00:36:00,119
about and you did a good job over the years

756
00:36:00,119 --> 00:36:01,960
making me be like this, Like you lose on a

757
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:04,199
player once, don't be scared to go back to them.

758
00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:07,239
I actually won't be shy to go back to Endjoku again. Man,

759
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:09,239
I think that he's a guy that It's not like

760
00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:11,519
I watched that game, like there were actually I think

761
00:36:11,639 --> 00:36:15,760
two receptions that he had and then it was called back.

762
00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:17,960
They were like, oh, the flag is back at the

763
00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:19,360
offensive line' the scrimmage.

764
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:21,239
Speaker 2: I'm like, are you kidding me? Like he would have

765
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:21,920
gotten closer.

766
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,039
Speaker 3: So he's a guy that, if they're going to continue

767
00:36:24,079 --> 00:36:25,639
to throw the ball, I think, in joke, was a

768
00:36:25,639 --> 00:36:26,440
guy we could look to.

769
00:36:26,519 --> 00:36:28,880
Speaker 2: And it seemed like it was a popular play too.

770
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:30,920
Speaker 3: I was like scrolling Twitter, I'm like, oh man, I'm

771
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:33,559
not the only one on this guy, and I end

772
00:36:33,599 --> 00:36:34,320
up going too well.

773
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:39,199
Speaker 1: Eagles and Chiefs just rinse and repeat. Jalen Hurts score

774
00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:42,599
a touchdown that was an easy cash just playing in

775
00:36:42,679 --> 00:36:45,639
every game. These are Baker Mayfield over one and a

776
00:36:45,679 --> 00:36:50,320
half touchdown passes, Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown, Herbert not to

777
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:52,679
throw an interception. These are players you just you just

778
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:58,320
play every single week. Boring is profitable, I promise you

779
00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:03,159
in the betting world, boring is profitable. So Falcons and Vikings,

780
00:37:03,159 --> 00:37:07,639
We'll see the Vikings night. Buccaneers and Texans. Whoa talk

781
00:37:07,679 --> 00:37:10,320
about a team that did not address their offensive line issues?

782
00:37:10,639 --> 00:37:14,840
The Texans. Yikes, that was a team I walked away

783
00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:18,519
from Week one a little bit horrified of going, what

784
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:21,880
props are you taking on this Houston Texans team with

785
00:37:22,039 --> 00:37:27,639
any confidence? I mean, like they're good offensive skill position players,

786
00:37:27,639 --> 00:37:30,280
but their offensive line can't protect. I don't know what

787
00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:34,079
to do on that team. And then Chargers and Raiders.

788
00:37:35,159 --> 00:37:37,559
What you think of the Chargers game plan? That was

789
00:37:37,599 --> 00:37:40,119
a lot of throwing. You think this continues? You think

790
00:37:40,159 --> 00:37:42,639
this is the twenty twenty five Chargers or was that

791
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:44,119
just game plan?

792
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:45,920
Speaker 2: You know?

793
00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:48,039
Speaker 3: Just trying to think back to the game, like what

794
00:37:48,119 --> 00:37:50,000
I thought about it, Like this is the first time

795
00:37:50,039 --> 00:37:52,400
I watched like justin Herbert though, and I said, like, man,

796
00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:55,800
this guy's actually making good decisions. I actually I was

797
00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:58,920
impressed by the decision making. Like I didn't see him

798
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:01,760
like look downfield, see a guy in like triple coverage

799
00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:04,920
and try and make that play. Like even the run

800
00:38:05,039 --> 00:38:06,880
he had to like solidify the game.

801
00:38:07,599 --> 00:38:12,199
Speaker 2: Did he used to do that? I don't know if he's.

802
00:38:11,119 --> 00:38:13,719
Speaker 1: Been but he got hurt there was he was hurt

803
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:16,599
last year, I remember, So he didn't run a lot.

804
00:38:16,679 --> 00:38:20,440
That's another guy that doesn't throw interceptions hardly, but I

805
00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:22,400
thought it was the best he's looked by far. That

806
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:24,760
was I thought. I thought easily that was the best

807
00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:27,639
game eye test that he's looked. And everyone remembers how

808
00:38:27,639 --> 00:38:28,639
bad he well protected.

809
00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:30,920
Speaker 2: I have to say, actually he was pretty protected.

810
00:38:31,559 --> 00:38:34,000
Speaker 1: It's a hardball coach team. They're going to have a

811
00:38:34,039 --> 00:38:36,840
good offensive line, Like they lose one of their best

812
00:38:36,840 --> 00:38:38,960
players on the offensive line and they just happened to

813
00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:43,920
have him. Like, meanwhile, the Texans can't find any Chargers,

814
00:38:43,920 --> 00:38:47,719
are just rough busting in starters from from other parts

815
00:38:47,719 --> 00:38:49,599
of the team and other parts of life.

816
00:38:49,679 --> 00:38:51,840
Speaker 3: So I had to say, I saw a clip of

817
00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:53,719
Joe Burrow my friend sent me, and he was like

818
00:38:54,039 --> 00:38:55,800
it was like an angle of like not like an

819
00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:57,320
outside view we watched on TV.

820
00:38:57,440 --> 00:38:57,840
Speaker 2: It was like.

821
00:38:57,840 --> 00:38:59,840
Speaker 3: Behind him from one of those cameras they have like

822
00:39:00,039 --> 00:39:02,480
on the field, and it was just like imagine being

823
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:05,079
a pro quarterback, and it was like he had like

824
00:39:05,119 --> 00:39:07,760
zero point eight seconds to like snap for the ball

825
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:09,519
to be snapped, get the ball off, and then he

826
00:39:09,599 --> 00:39:12,559
just got obliterated. So one thing I feel like I'm

827
00:39:12,559 --> 00:39:14,480
gonna take away more this year is not being as

828
00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:17,320
hard on quarterbacks and being harder on the offensive line.

829
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:19,719
Speaker 2: Yes, yes, man, he's not getting the ball out of

830
00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:20,519
there fast enough.

831
00:39:20,559 --> 00:39:23,239
Speaker 3: It's like, dude, he literally couldn't even think for a

832
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:27,239
second before he got smashed. So yeah, sometimes it's not

833
00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:29,800
quarterbacks fault, actually, even though we always think it is.

834
00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:33,280
Speaker 1: Last guy, I want to mention I didn't get to

835
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:35,599
draft him in any fantasy league, and I'm mad that

836
00:39:35,679 --> 00:39:38,039
I didn't. But Jacoby Myers is just going to be

837
00:39:38,079 --> 00:39:41,199
a real thing this year. Eight catches, ninety seven yards.

838
00:39:41,639 --> 00:39:45,760
That entire team has been upgraded this year. And brock

839
00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:49,239
Bauers may be the number one pass catcher, he's a

840
00:39:49,320 --> 00:39:52,119
number one wide receiver like he had. He had three

841
00:39:52,159 --> 00:39:57,639
more catches than brock Bauers did, so Jacoby Meyers over receptions,

842
00:39:57,639 --> 00:40:00,679
over yards is going to be something. I mean, eight

843
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:04,440
for ninety seven that is a that's that's that's that's

844
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:06,079
a line. I think we're gonna see a lot of

845
00:40:06,639 --> 00:40:08,800
in a game where Gino Smith only threw the ball

846
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:10,719
thirty four times, So I'm not too worried.

847
00:40:12,159 --> 00:40:12,800
Speaker 2: I might look at it.

848
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:15,159
Speaker 3: I mean, they played the Patriots, so I might be

849
00:40:15,199 --> 00:40:17,559
looking at some Chargers props just because hey, the Raiders

850
00:40:17,559 --> 00:40:20,159
didn't look that good. They still just played the Patriots,

851
00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:22,679
so I wasn't hot high on the Patriots at all.

852
00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:26,239
Speaker 1: So truth truth. So all right, guys, that's gonna do

853
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:28,599
it for us. Go get Andrew's five percent best bet

854
00:40:28,679 --> 00:40:31,519
for tonight, and Andrew, good luck on that one will

855
00:40:31,519 --> 00:40:34,199
be We'll be pulling for you, so don't forget hit

856
00:40:34,239 --> 00:40:35,719
the like button on our way out, don't forget to

857
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:37,760
leave a comment in the comment section. Thanks so much

858
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:40,320
for joining us. First episode of Props and Parlay today.

859
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:42,360
We will be here every Monday to get you ready

860
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:45,360
for Monday night football Props, Same Game Parlay, and then

861
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:47,079
we'll do the week to look ahead for props. Thanks

862
00:40:47,079 --> 00:40:49,360
for joining us. Good look on your best tonight. Take

863
00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:49,599
care