Speaker 1: You're listening to Later with Moe Kelly on demand from
Speaker 1: KFI AM six forty JF.
Speaker 2: I'm mo' kelly here. We're live everywhere on the iHeartRadio app.
Speaker 2: And some of you out there needs to stop lying.
Speaker 2: Just stop lying. If you say that you're going to
Speaker 2: leave the country if so and so wins and becomes
Speaker 2: president tomorrow, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, whenever it is.
Speaker 3: You're lying, you're straight up lying. That's number one. Number two.
Speaker 3: Nobody gives a damn if Stephan says to me.
Speaker 2: I'm leaving the country of RFK Junior becomes president. You
Speaker 2: know what I would tell Stefan, and I like Stefan,
Speaker 2: bye bye. If you're willing to pick up your whole
Speaker 2: life because someone became president, you're a fool. You are
Speaker 2: a fool. And honestly, the people who say that they're
Speaker 2: full of it. And I'll give you two perfect examples
Speaker 2: on both sides of the coin. You may not have
Speaker 2: heard of Leveon Bell, but he is a former NFL
Speaker 2: running back pretty good. He was a pro bowler, and
Speaker 2: he hasn't been known for his political commentary. But we're
Speaker 2: in an age in which politics, entertainment, and sports almost
Speaker 2: run directly parallel, and you see more and more celebrity endorsements,
Speaker 2: which include athletes endorsements. And Le'Veon Bell who used to
Speaker 2: play with Tom Brady. That's relevant here used to play
Speaker 2: with Tom Brady. I think it was in Tampa Bay.
Speaker 2: He has threatened to leave the country if Kamala Harris
Speaker 2: becomes president.
Speaker 3: Number one.
Speaker 2: Leveon Bell probably doesn't have the money to leave the country, okay,
Speaker 2: even though he was a former NFL player. He has
Speaker 2: had serious troubles with child support, okay, trying to pay
Speaker 2: his child support. He has seven children with six different women,
Speaker 2: a lot of court cases, a lot of drama. But
Speaker 2: here's something else you may not know about Leveon Bell
Speaker 2: and Stephan I don't think you know this because you
Speaker 2: have like twenty five children, so I thought you know
Speaker 2: you big wanna pay attention here. If you owe more
Speaker 2: than twenty five hundred dollars of child support, you will
Speaker 2: not qualify for a passport, you will not get out
Speaker 2: of the country.
Speaker 3: So it's safe to say that.
Speaker 2: Leveon Bell owes more than twenty five hundred dollars in
Speaker 2: child's report.
Speaker 3: Even if he wanted to leave the.
Speaker 2: Country, he would not be able unless he's going to
Speaker 2: walk across the border in New Mexico or something. He's
Speaker 2: not getting out of the country even if you wanted to,
Speaker 2: if Kamala Harris were to become president.
Speaker 3: So Le'Veon Bell, you just need to.
Speaker 2: Shut the hell up because you're not going anywhere regardless
Speaker 2: of who becomes president.
Speaker 3: That's the first one.
Speaker 2: Now, the other person I want to tell you about,
Speaker 2: you've probably heard of him, Michael Cohen has said on
Speaker 2: a number of occasions, most recently about thirty days ago,
Speaker 2: he said that he's going to leave the country and
Speaker 2: even change his name if necessary, if Trump wins. He
Speaker 2: said it in a lot of different media outlets. He
Speaker 2: said it to Good Morning Britain. I'll play that for you,
Speaker 2: and he more recently said it on MSNBC. This is
Speaker 2: Michael Cohen on Good Morning Britain. Citizens, it's prosecutors, it's
Speaker 2: congress members.
Speaker 1: He will exact revenge on anyone and everyone that he's
Speaker 1: capable of.
Speaker 2: You would consider seeking asylum in a foreign country, absolutely, Okay,
Speaker 2: here's the problem and not unlike Le'Veon Bell, there is
Speaker 2: a legal component to this. And here's something else. He
Speaker 2: said on MSNBC to give you some more contexts. He
Speaker 2: said this with Nicole Wallace. He said, quote, I'm out
Speaker 2: of here. I mean, I'm already working on a foreign
Speaker 2: passport with a completely different name.
Speaker 3: Is that legal? I don't think that it is. I'm
Speaker 3: not so sure that it is.
Speaker 2: And also, he is a felon under supervised release, so
Speaker 2: I'm guessing he has to check in with a probation
Speaker 2: or parole officer consistently.
Speaker 3: And you can't just up and leave the country.
Speaker 2: And if you announce that you're going to fabricate official
Speaker 2: documents so you can get out of the country, that
Speaker 2: probably will be an issue. But he's going on. He says, quote,
Speaker 2: I don't know how it's going to work. As far
Speaker 2: as dealing with my wife and my children. I certainly
Speaker 2: don't want them moving to where I'm looking to go.
Speaker 2: So this fool is going to leave his wife and
Speaker 2: children if Donald Trump becomes president. He's going to fabricate
Speaker 2: or create some sort of foreign passport in a different name,
Speaker 2: in the hopes of leaving the country, probably illegally, because
Speaker 2: he's on supervised release, just in case Donald Trump becomes president.
Speaker 2: Now I understand why he would be concerned because they're
Speaker 2: not tight like that anymore.
Speaker 3: And Donald Trump does have an in for him.
Speaker 2: I'm just trying to figure out how he actually gets
Speaker 2: out of the country. How do you get out of
Speaker 2: the country if you're already on supervised release and you're
Speaker 2: saying publicly that you're going to have to just, I
Speaker 2: don't know, go to some CD shop in downtown LA
Speaker 2: and have someone create a passport, photo and book for you.
Speaker 4: Can you really do that anymore? It's not as easy
Speaker 4: as it was in the old day of the Jackal
Speaker 4: Days or what was the name of the movie I
Speaker 4: think was The Replacement Killers?
Speaker 2: Yes, Oh, yeah, tell you I'm fan. Yes, that was one.
Speaker 2: They had a good passport creation scene. That's all I
Speaker 2: can describe it. You can't just glue stuff together anymore.
Speaker 3: It's like now you.
Speaker 2: Can't bring out the exact knife and that's good enough.
Speaker 2: Now they're actually gonna scan the passport. How do I know,
Speaker 2: because I've traveled internationally and they scan it and it
Speaker 2: better come up with the right information or people with
Speaker 2: guns show up and they make sure that you don't
Speaker 2: get past at tsa point unless he has some sort
Speaker 2: of you know, money to fly on a private jet.
Speaker 2: And even still, I think it's probably gonna be an
Speaker 2: issue trying to get in the country.
Speaker 3: Where would you go?
Speaker 2: Oh no, no, no, no, Let me back up. Why would
Speaker 2: you leave your home? Not only is it cost prohibitive,
Speaker 2: what are you going to do?
Speaker 3: You're gonna come back in five years.
Speaker 2: You're gonna pick up your whole life, leave your family
Speaker 2: because some guy or some woman became president.
Speaker 3: They're lying they're not gonna do it. I wouldn't do it.
Speaker 2: I don't care who's president, because damn it, I got
Speaker 2: stuff to do here. Now would it be uncomfortable? Might
Speaker 2: it be unpleasant? Might it be suboptimal if you're non
Speaker 2: prefer choice became president? Sure, sure, But I don't think
Speaker 2: Mark Ronald's just gonna pick up and leave. I got
Speaker 2: too much stuff, too much stuff, and it costs too much.
Speaker 2: You know how much it costs to move, especially on
Speaker 2: a whim. Never mind internationally, they're lying. Le'Veon Bell's not
Speaker 2: going anywhere. Michael Cohen's not going anywhere either, partially for
Speaker 2: legal reasons preventing them and partially because they're just full
Speaker 2: of is ish. It sounds good, and I know your
Speaker 2: friends are probably saying if Kamala Harris wins, this country's
Speaker 2: going to hell.
Speaker 3: I gotta get out of here. Whatever.
Speaker 2: You're not going anywhere, You're staying right here with me.
Speaker 2: And if Donald Trump wins, You're not going anywhere. I'm
Speaker 2: not going anywhere. Mark Ronald's not going anywhere. Tawalla's gonna
Speaker 2: stay here, Stephan's not going anywhere. We're all gonna stay
Speaker 2: right here and write it out regardless of who becomes president.
Speaker 2: And and and since this is a travel discussion, if
Speaker 2: you are actually going to leave, it's not an airport,
Speaker 2: there is no need to announce your departure.
Speaker 3: Just go, just go.
Speaker 2: If Mark doesn't show up for work on Wednesday, I'll
Speaker 2: know he's just gone. He's not coming back. He didn't
Speaker 2: feel the need to tell me. And I'll be okay
Speaker 2: with that. I'm gonna be here regardless.
Speaker 1: You're listening to Later with Moe Kelly on demand from
Speaker 1: KFI AM six forty.
Speaker 2: KFI mo' kelly, We're live everywhere on the iHeartRadio app
Speaker 2: as we continue through music to celebrate the life and
Speaker 2: the legacy of Quincy Jones, who passed away at the
Speaker 2: age of ninety one yesterday. And I'll have my own
Speaker 2: personal anecdotes before the show is over. Also, as we
Speaker 2: continue this pre election coverage, I want to go over
Speaker 2: these propositions. If you haven't already voted, like Mark Roner,
Speaker 2: who turned in his ballot because he is a dutiful,
Speaker 2: dutiful citizen, and you're still considering, let me just run
Speaker 2: am down for you very quickly. What they are and
Speaker 2: what they might mean. How you choose to vote is
Speaker 2: up to you. There's Proposition two and the bond measure
Speaker 2: would authorize the state to borrow ten billion dollars to
Speaker 2: modernize K through twelve schools and community colleges. The funding
Speaker 2: could be used to repair outdated school buildings and to
Speaker 2: upgrade libraries, heating and cooling systems, and broadband internet. But
Speaker 2: you know, you know how we are in California about education.
Speaker 2: We don't care about that. Proposition three. This measure would
Speaker 2: remove outdated language in the state competition excuse me a
Speaker 2: state constitution that still defines marriage as between a man
Speaker 2: and woman, and instead replace it with a broader phrase
Speaker 2: right to marry. While the constitutional clause is unenforceable and
Speaker 2: same sex marriage remains federal protected, Proponents of the measure
Speaker 2: say it's necessary and a precaution in case of potential
Speaker 2: rulings from the Supreme Court, and.
Speaker 3: That's Proposition three.
Speaker 2: Proposition four, the bond measure would authorize the state to
Speaker 2: borrow ten billion to help fund the response to climate
Speaker 2: related disasters such as drought, flooding, and extreme heat. It
Speaker 2: would also help to ensure clean drinking water. If approved,
Speaker 2: it will be the largest investment in combating climate change
Speaker 2: in California history. There's Proposition five, and the measure would
Speaker 2: make it easier for local governments to approve bonds and
Speaker 2: tax measures that fund affordable housing and some public infrastructure.
Speaker 2: Prop five would lower the required volte threshold to approve
Speaker 2: those measures from two thirds supermajority to just fifty five percent.
Speaker 2: That's going to be interesting to follow because that has
Speaker 2: all sorts of implications going down the road for future measures.
Speaker 2: There's Proposition six and prop six would ban involuntary servitude
Speaker 2: and end mandatory work requirements for state prisoners. The proposed
Speaker 2: constitutional amendment is part of a reparations package for descendants
Speaker 2: of African Americans enslaved in the US. There's Proposition thirty two,
Speaker 2: and that measure would increase California's hourly minimum wage from
Speaker 2: sixteen to eighteen dollars and adjust it annually for inflation.
Speaker 2: This is something I talked about years ago. I said,
Speaker 2: if you're not going to tie the hourly minimum wage
Speaker 2: to the rate of inflation, you're going to have to
Speaker 2: keep fighting for a rate increase every single year, as
Speaker 2: opposed to.
Speaker 3: Tying it to the rate of inflation.
Speaker 2: The proposal comes after the state's politically powerful union secured
Speaker 2: twenty five dollars an hour for healthcare workers and twenty
Speaker 2: dollars an hour for fast food workers, and as cities
Speaker 2: including West Hollywood, have moved ahead of the state minimum
Speaker 2: to nineteen dollars and eight cents an hour. I honestly,
Speaker 2: I am curious to see if this will pass. I
Speaker 2: have a feeling that it's not going to pass. I'd
Speaker 2: be surprised that it is. I don't have any inside
Speaker 2: information as to whether it would. I just think that
Speaker 2: certain propositions at this time, in the mood of the
Speaker 2: state and also nationally, on the heels of the recent
Speaker 2: rate hike for fast food workers, I don't know if
Speaker 2: this is going.
Speaker 3: To be as well received.
Speaker 2: Could be wrong, but that's something I'm watching this Proposition
Speaker 2: thirty three, and this measure would allow cities and counties
Speaker 2: to enact rent control, and you know I'm watching this
Speaker 2: one closely. Proposition thirty three would repeal a nineteen ninety
Speaker 2: five law called the Cost to Hawkins Rental Housing Act,
Speaker 2: which generally prohibits local governments from limiting rental rates as
Speaker 2: issued by landlords. Don't know if it's going to pass,
Speaker 2: but it's going to be really interesting to see if California,
Speaker 2: as as an aggregate will.
Speaker 3: Pass.
Speaker 2: Aside a third opportunity to try rent control, there's proposition
Speaker 2: thirty four, and between thirty three and thirty four, I've
Speaker 2: heard and seen the most ads. There's a lot of
Speaker 2: money spent on thirty three, thirty four, and thirty six,
Speaker 2: but thirty three and thirty four, especially Proposition thirty four,
Speaker 2: would require that healthcare providers spend most of the revenue
Speaker 2: they get from federal prescription drug discount programs on direct
Speaker 2: patient care. It would apply only to a very specific
Speaker 2: subset of doctors who have spent more than one hundred
Speaker 2: million dollars over a decade on anything other than direct
Speaker 2: patient care and anything connected to i'll say big pharma
Speaker 2: there's a lot of money behind the scenes trying to
Speaker 2: impact the result of that proposition vote.
Speaker 3: There's Prop.
Speaker 2: Thirty five, and that measure would provide permanent funding for
Speaker 2: medical California's version of Medicaid, of course, which pays for
Speaker 2: health services for low income residents right now attacks on
Speaker 2: managed health insurance plans. That funds the program is set
Speaker 2: to expire in twenty twenty six. And there's Proposition thirty six.
Speaker 2: We've all heard plenty about that, and the measure, backed
Speaker 2: by law enforcement, would impose harsher sentences for drug possession
Speaker 2: and retail theft. It would turn some crimes involving fentanyl
Speaker 2: and repeated shoplifting that are currently misdemeters into felonies. And
Speaker 2: also Proposition thirty six aims to roll back parts of Prop.
Speaker 2: Forty seven, which, if you're old enough to remember, recategorize
Speaker 2: some low level offenses about a decade ago. And those
Speaker 2: are the propositions which are on the ballot. If you
Speaker 2: haven't all already voted, you will be considering them tomorrow,
Speaker 2: I should say, by tomorrow if you're gonna drop off
Speaker 2: your ballot like me, or actually go to the polls,
Speaker 2: and we will be commenting them and we're giving you
Speaker 2: analysis all day tomorrow. John Cobelt will be in from
Speaker 2: one to four by himself at then four to six
Speaker 2: pm with Tim Conway Junior, and then I will join
Speaker 2: Tim Conway Junior from six to eight pm, and then
Speaker 2: I will take it over from eight to eleven pm.
Speaker 2: We will most likely get the results of the projected
Speaker 2: results of all these propositions. I'm suspecting tomorrow night, maybe
Speaker 2: some into early Wednesday. But if you keep it right
Speaker 2: here on KFI, we'll have all the information as it
Speaker 2: breaks between a KFI twenty four, our newsroom and also
Speaker 2: our on air personalities, you won't have to go anywhere.
Speaker 1: You're listening to Later with Moe Kelly on demand from
Speaker 1: KFI AM six forty.
Speaker 2: KFI mo Kelly. We're live everywhere on the iHeartRadio app.
Speaker 2: And even though election Day is not a national holiday,
Speaker 2: there are those who've argued, and I would agree with
Speaker 2: him that it should be a national holiday so people
Speaker 2: don't have the impediment of work or other responsibilities getting
Speaker 2: in the way of possibly casting their vote. But presently
Speaker 2: it's not a national holiday. But there are a lot
Speaker 2: of rewards and freebies out there just in case you
Speaker 2: want to take advantage of them. There are ride share
Speaker 2: election day deals. In fact, Uber will have a bunch
Speaker 2: of promotions. All you have to do is click on
Speaker 2: the go vote tile in the Uber app, and Uber
Speaker 2: is offering riders fifty percent off trips to their polling
Speaker 2: place up to a value of ten dollars, and the
Speaker 2: app also will help users find the nearest polling place.
Speaker 2: Uber eats is offering twenty five percent off orders up
Speaker 2: to fifteen dollars, but the twenty five dollars minimum. At minute,
Speaker 2: that doesn't make sense, Mark, Did I read that right?
Speaker 2: Uber eats is offering twenty five percent off of orders
Speaker 2: up to fifteen dollars, right, that's the first part I
Speaker 2: got it. Got that, But it says a twenty five
Speaker 2: dollars minimum.
Speaker 3: Uh.
Speaker 2: I can see how people might be confused by that
Speaker 2: twenty five percent of orders up to fifteen dollars, But
Speaker 2: you have to spend at least twenty five dollars. So
Speaker 2: I don't know if you get the twenty five dollars
Speaker 2: twenty five percent off. Maybe you get twenty five percent
Speaker 2: off the first fifteen dollars, but you have to spend
Speaker 2: twenty five.
Speaker 4: Also, doesn't everybody hate story problems? Oh God's grade school?
Speaker 4: Come on, I know I was not good with the
Speaker 4: math problems. The word math problems?
Speaker 3: Now what do you think? In Uber eats and the
Speaker 3: offer is.
Speaker 2: Available from six pm local time tomorrow to seven am
Speaker 2: local time on November sixth, so wherever you are six
Speaker 2: pm to seven.
Speaker 3: Am the next day.
Speaker 2: Lift also said that it's offering a fifty percent discount
Speaker 2: up to ten dollars on election day rides to the
Speaker 2: polls and users can pre load the ride code Vote
Speaker 2: twenty four Honor before November fifth. And car rental company
Speaker 2: Hurts is offering one free day when customers rent two
Speaker 2: or more days from October twenty first to November fifth
Speaker 2: as part of its Drive the Vote deal. So if
Speaker 2: you haven't already a major reservation, you're ready out of time,
Speaker 2: so you get one free day if you rent two
Speaker 2: or more days. Krispy Kreme and I love me some
Speaker 2: Krispy Kreme. I haven't had it in quite some time.
Speaker 2: But if you put Krispy Kremes in front of me,
Speaker 2: kind of like pizza, it's going to get eaten. Krispy
Speaker 2: Kremes will give away a free original glaze donut, the
Speaker 2: best in the world. No proof of purchase or vote necessary.
Speaker 2: Wait what, you don't have to prove that you voted,
Speaker 2: or you don't have to buy anything either. They'll just
Speaker 2: say here, here's a free original glaze donut, just because
Speaker 2: it's a lecture day. But the chain will also be
Speaker 2: handing out the I Voted stickers for those who did
Speaker 2: vote early or sent in their absentee ballot, just to
Speaker 2: guess you want the sticker.
Speaker 3: Hopefully you actually voted and got the sticker. But but
Speaker 3: this next one.
Speaker 2: Twala, I might have to do. Johnny Rockets. You remember
Speaker 2: Johnny Rockets was on the Wooze. The crewis I had
Speaker 2: about twelve of their cookies and cream milkshakes. I hadn't
Speaker 2: had milkshaken I don't know how many years. And they
Speaker 2: said they had a cookies and cream one as well.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna try it. And I tried it. It was
Speaker 2: heavenly with booze in it. You could get it with booze.
Speaker 2: I didn't get it with booze. What's the best booze
Speaker 2: to mix with?
Speaker 4: That?
Speaker 3: Probably wrong, not Bailey's. That's what a mix the cream
Speaker 3: and the milk.
Speaker 2: I don't know. Think of it more like a pina colada.
Speaker 2: So I'm thinking rum would work. Intriguing I try that. Yeah, Well,
Speaker 2: Johnny Rocketts is offering customers one free shake with an
Speaker 2: in store purchase on election day. Guests must prove they
Speaker 2: cast a vote, such as an eye voted sticker. That
Speaker 2: doesn't prove anything. It's just a sticker you put on you.
Speaker 2: Just right, I'm gonna go to Krispy Kreme, get my
Speaker 2: free donut and my free sticker, and then go over
Speaker 2: to Johnny Rockets and then buy something and get a
Speaker 2: free milkshake.
Speaker 4: Yeah, but Johnny Rocketts is the one playing hardball. Yeah
Speaker 4: they are, did they do? They have a way of
Speaker 4: checking this.
Speaker 2: It just says guests must prove that they cast a vote.
Speaker 2: You have to take a polygraph to get to get
Speaker 2: your shake. But they're they're accepting an eye voted sticker,
Speaker 2: which proves nothing. Look, if you have a mail in ballot,
Speaker 2: there's an eye voted sticker in the mail in ballot.
Speaker 2: I could throw away the ballot and just stick the
Speaker 2: sticker on me and to Johnny Rockets, give me my
Speaker 2: cookies and cream milkshake. On our system, this roundtable pizza,
Speaker 2: and they're offering six dollars off a large or extra
Speaker 2: large pizza for dining and carry out or delivery.
Speaker 3: We may need to get some pizzamorrow night, that's what
Speaker 3: I'm hearing. No, we're definitely gonna get some food because
Speaker 3: this is gonna be a long lass night. Yeah.
Speaker 2: It starts for me tomorrow at seven thirty am. Ooh, well,
Speaker 2: I'll be on with Spectrum.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 2: I'll be doing Spectrum News tomorrow morning and Wednesday morning
Speaker 2: at seven thirty in the morning. That's about my hit time,
Speaker 2: so she'd be around seven thirty and then after that
Speaker 2: it just doesn't stop. I'll be doing hits and election
Speaker 2: stuff for the next forty eight hours.
Speaker 4: Oh why don't you help some Amish people raise a barn?
Speaker 4: As long as you're going to be up that early,
Speaker 4: what's wrong with you? I asked for this. You know
Speaker 4: you talk politics, someone may ask you to come on.
Speaker 4: I was true story. I was supposed to do commentary
Speaker 4: for NBC KTLA and seeing in number one can't.
Speaker 2: I'm exclusive to Spectrum and number two, I'm doing election
Speaker 2: coverage here from six to eleven PM. And there's no
Speaker 2: place I'd rather be right here.
Speaker 3: With us. You hear that, fooshy?
Speaker 2: How long are you working tomorrow night, Stefan, I'm my
Speaker 2: normal shift, but I'm here till eleven. Okay, Oh, we're
Speaker 2: definitely getting food tomorrow. I know Mark is gonna be
Speaker 2: normal shift, is not till eleven. Good sir, No, that's
Speaker 2: what I'm saying. It's not normally till eleven. But now
Speaker 2: tomorrow I'm gonna have to stay till eleven. Good job
Speaker 2: calling him out on that. Yeah, so we're all going
Speaker 2: to be here late and well fed. We're not gonna
Speaker 2: be hungry. We're definitely going to be getting some pizza.
Speaker 2: I think pizza is the right choice. Yes, so maybe
Speaker 2: we should call Roundtable and say, hey, give us our pizza.
Speaker 2: Is there a roundtable near here? I don't know if
Speaker 2: they're gonna say, I don't know if there's one near
Speaker 2: I think there's.
Speaker 3: One in Burbank. While you're going over these freebees, let
Speaker 3: me look it up. So we got to get that
Speaker 3: six dollars. Okay.
Speaker 2: I know there is an Ikea in Burbank and they
Speaker 2: will offer a free frozen yogurt tomorrow. No meatballs, come on,
Speaker 2: that's what I thought. That's the low hanging fruit. You
Speaker 2: would think they offer the meatballs because that's what the
Speaker 2: people want. Give the people what they want. We want meatballs.
Speaker 2: I've never gone to Akia for a frozen yogurt. I
Speaker 2: always want the Swedish meatballs. And there your election day
Speaker 2: freebies which are available to you from Uber and Lyft
Speaker 2: to Roundtable Pizza, to Johnny Rockets and Krispy Kreme and
Speaker 2: of course Akia. It's a letter with mo Kelly caf
Speaker 2: I AM six forty Live everywhere in the iHeartRadio app.
Speaker 2: And when we come back, we have to talk about polling,
Speaker 2: what it's meant to do, what it fails at doing,
Speaker 2: and why most people get it wrong when it comes
Speaker 2: to interpreting polling.
Speaker 1: You're listening to Later with Moe Kelly on demand from
Speaker 1: KFI AM six forty.
Speaker 2: KFI mo Kelly Live Everywhere on the iHeartRadio app. Polling, polling, polling.
Speaker 2: Everybody has some to say about polling. How it's right,
Speaker 2: how it's wrong, how it's accurate, how it's inaccurate, How
Speaker 2: is a predictor, how it's going to foretell? What is
Speaker 2: going to happen tomorrow? All of it's right, all it's wrong.
Speaker 2: What I mean by that is, polling does play a
Speaker 2: role in giving us a sense of what may be
Speaker 2: on some people's minds. But if you didn't take statistics
Speaker 2: back in college, if you may place more emphasis and
Speaker 2: importance on them than they really do.
Speaker 3: And what.
Speaker 2: I mean by that is they're only going to give
Speaker 2: you a step shot, and it's only for likely voters.
Speaker 2: You know what that is? They may or may not vote.
Speaker 2: They may or may not vote. It's almost like Twala
Speaker 2: asking me, Hey, what are you going to do this weekend?
Speaker 3: Why I may go to the movies. I'll likely go
Speaker 3: to the movies.
Speaker 2: Does it mean know, well, I may get busy, I
Speaker 2: may end up having a better offer, you know what
Speaker 2: I mean?
Speaker 3: So I end up not going to the movies.
Speaker 2: There are a lot of people who will have the
Speaker 2: best of intentions, who will not vote tomorrow, who may
Speaker 2: tell all their friends that they plan to vote and
Speaker 2: they end up not voting, because why it's the right
Speaker 2: thing to tell people.
Speaker 3: If someone says to you.
Speaker 2: Hey, are you voting tomorrow, and I said no, I'm
Speaker 2: not going to vote, it's all rigged and everything. You're
Speaker 2: setting yourself up for a twenty five to thirty minute
Speaker 2: conversation that you maybe don't want to have. You don't
Speaker 2: want to have to explain or be shamed in the voting.
Speaker 2: I have a lot of friends who are like that
Speaker 2: a lot, and if they were polled, to give an example,
Speaker 2: they will tell the pollster what they think the pollster
Speaker 2: wants to hear. And with polls, it depends on how
Speaker 2: the questions are crafted, it depends on the sample, It
Speaker 2: depends on the sample. And yes, I know there's margin
Speaker 2: of air and all that. All I'm saying is I
Speaker 2: personally do not put any stock in polls, if only
Speaker 2: because you could have four polls of the same general area,
Speaker 2: depending on the organization, depending on their sampling method, depending
Speaker 2: on the questions in which they're asked, and you have
Speaker 2: a wide variety of results. And you can use the
Speaker 2: state of Iowa for an example. You may have three
Speaker 2: polls which show that among likely voters, Donald Trump will
Speaker 2: carry the state. And then you had a poll which
Speaker 2: came out over the weekend that showed Kamala Harris winning
Speaker 2: the support of forty seven percent of voters compared to
Speaker 2: forty four percent of Donald Trump.
Speaker 3: What does that mean? Who the hell knows? And I
Speaker 3: use this example, all the time.
Speaker 2: If you ask me at two o'clock today whether I
Speaker 2: was hungry, I would tell you yes. If you asked
Speaker 2: me at four point thirty, I would tell you no,
Speaker 2: because I've had some thing to eat in between time.
Speaker 2: It's kind of like that with polling. It depends on
Speaker 2: when you catch people, it depends on their mood, it
Speaker 2: depends on whether they're trying to be honest. Now, polling
Speaker 2: is so complicated and so important to the overall process,
Speaker 2: most people are savvy enough to know that they can
Speaker 2: influence a pole because you're not talking about tens of
Speaker 2: thousands of people who are being sampled.
Speaker 3: Let me talking about a few thousand.
Speaker 2: And if you have enough savvy people, then you can
Speaker 2: influence what that pole is going to ultimately reveal or
Speaker 2: say or put out there in the media cycle. And
Speaker 2: that impacts the perception of the race. But it's not real.
Speaker 2: It's not real, even exit polls, and you hear a
Speaker 2: lot about that tomorrow.
Speaker 3: What are exit polls? Was what they seem to be.
Speaker 2: Someone is leaving the voting booth and there's someone with
Speaker 2: a microphone from a news agency, local or cable, and
Speaker 2: they'll ask, so, who did you vote for. What did
Speaker 2: you vote on? They may or may not tell the truth.
Speaker 2: That's an exit pole and they will put all that
Speaker 2: information together and to say the exit poll, say that
Speaker 2: measure G passed in LA, and then you get the
Speaker 2: actual returns.
Speaker 3: It's like, whoh, what happened is completely different because people lie.
Speaker 2: People especially are more prone to lie when there's a
Speaker 2: microphone in their face, or they believe that they have
Speaker 2: an outsized level of importance that they just say what
Speaker 2: they think the pollster wants to hear. You have people
Speaker 2: now who are very, very savvy, and it's like, oh,
Speaker 2: this is Gallup, Okay, let me say this. Oh this
Speaker 2: is ras Musin. Oh they're right leading, so I know
Speaker 2: what they want.
Speaker 3: It happens all the time.
Speaker 2: I've worked on enough campaigns and been in political circles
Speaker 2: enough where polls can and are manipulated, maybe not on
Speaker 2: a huge level, but enough to swing a percentage point
Speaker 2: here or there and influence the media coverage. And polls
Speaker 2: directly impact donors. If they feel that you're gaining in
Speaker 2: the polls or doing better, then you're a better sell
Speaker 2: to potential donors, especially big ticket donors, and they use
Speaker 2: polls to court donors. It all is pretty incestuous and
Speaker 2: dirty when you think about it, but that's how it works.
Speaker 2: That's why I don't personally, professionally politically put a lot
Speaker 2: of stock in polls. It's not really predictive. It's not determinative.
Speaker 2: For every poll that you show me that Kamala Harris
Speaker 2: is winning, I can show you a poll which shows
Speaker 2: that she's losing, and if you're not really paying attention,
Speaker 2: you may be looking at a national poll.
Speaker 3: MO, what's a national poll?
Speaker 2: A national poll is when you're basically just asking voters anywhere,
Speaker 2: just likely voters, and it's what I call a smooth distribution.
Speaker 3: It's across the United States.
Speaker 2: Well, we don't have a popular vote determination of presidents,
Speaker 2: so it doesn't matter if Kamala Harris is leading, and
Speaker 2: she is, and then national polls you can't see my
Speaker 2: air quotes because we vote state by state and it's
Speaker 2: an electoral college and those electoral college votes will be
Speaker 2: given out state by state, not a popular vote. So
Speaker 2: when you see a national poll, I just completely turned
Speaker 2: that off because it isn't mean thing.
Speaker 3: We don't have a national vote. We have a state
Speaker 3: by state vote.
Speaker 2: So you're almost tricking yourself into thinking, well, this poll,
Speaker 2: this national poll says this, so let's trending towards that result.
Speaker 3: No, it doesn't work that way. You know.
Speaker 2: That goes back to the whole statistics saying. And I
Speaker 2: was not very good at statistics. Hey, Mark, did you
Speaker 2: have to take stats in college?
Speaker 3: No?
Speaker 4: I was registered as a psych major, and when I
Speaker 4: found out all the math that was involved, I changed immediately.
Speaker 2: Let me tell you how hard statistics is. When I
Speaker 2: was in school, many many moons ago, our professor's plural said,
Speaker 2: it's an open book test. You can use whatever you
Speaker 2: can find in the book to answer the questions. And mother,
Speaker 2: fathers will failing left and right.
Speaker 4: Yeah, when they tell you can go ahead and look
Speaker 4: at whatever you want to, you know it's going to
Speaker 4: be hard.
Speaker 2: It was almost impossible to cheat, with the exception of
Speaker 2: working with someone in the class next to you. You
Speaker 2: could use a calculator back when, you know, because back
Speaker 2: then we had scientific calculators.
Speaker 3: Did not matter, no book whatever. That's how hard.
Speaker 2: If I'd never see another plus on or annava or
Speaker 2: standard dva M, what did you say, annova A n
Speaker 2: O v A, that's how little I know yeah, I'm
Speaker 2: the mean median whatever. All that stuff I don't. I
Speaker 2: still get nightmares from it. Oh yeah, that stuff's miserable.
Speaker 2: That's the kind the side of my brain that doesn't work. Yeah,
Speaker 2: and I'm not real big on math. That was like
Speaker 2: the last math class I actually took in life was statistics.
Speaker 2: A whole year Statistics and business calculus worst years of
Speaker 2: my life.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah.
Speaker 4: In high school I had to take like moron algebra
Speaker 4: for idiots because I just couldn't. I couldn't connect with
Speaker 4: any of that stuff.
Speaker 2: Now, I don't know if I'm an absolute genius or
Speaker 2: I'm an idiot. Because for my high school I know,
Speaker 2: we gotta go to break Trigonometry was not a requirement
Speaker 2: for graduation, so I never took trig in high school.
Speaker 2: I jumped straight from algebra to calculus in college with
Speaker 2: no Trigg in between. Now, either I'm one of the
Speaker 2: smartest mother fathers are alive, or I'm one of the
Speaker 2: dumbest ones of live.
Speaker 4: I'm going with that masochist That is the answer massacre.
Speaker 2: Because it's all like, just imagine you're skipping over a
Speaker 2: really important math portion to doing calculus, and I did it,
Speaker 2: and I suffered for it.
Speaker 3: You're making me suffer right now.
Speaker 2: It's later with mokellyk if I AM six forty. We're
Speaker 2: live everywhere in the iHeartRadio app.
Speaker 3: Full fandwidth stimulation. Kf I KOST HD two
Speaker 4: Los Angeles, Orange County, live everywhere on the Eggart radio
Speaker 4: app