Speaker 1: To give America back on track.
Speaker 2: That's what this whole thing is about.
Speaker 1: The conversation both boa is happening here.
Speaker 2: Every vote's gonna matter more than ever.
Speaker 1: Fifty five KRC the talk station eight o five, the
Speaker 1: fifty five KRC DE talk station. I'm very happy Tuesday
Speaker 1: always made it happier because this time for the inside
Speaker 1: scoop with Breitbart News. I always start by recommending your
Speaker 1: book mark Breitbart b R E I T B A
Speaker 1: r T dot com. You'd be happy you did great
Speaker 1: reporting there and way outside the mainstream media which is
Speaker 1: going to tell you the truth. Breitbart always speaking truth
Speaker 1: to power and one of the persons who does that
Speaker 1: joining the program this morning, Capitol Hill reporter Nick Gilbertson.
Speaker 1: Great to have you on the program this morning, Nick,
Speaker 1: to go over the well latest on the election as
Speaker 1: we fast approach November.
Speaker 2: Hey, thanks for having me, Brian, and thanks for the
Speaker 2: kind words about Breitbart.
Speaker 1: Always love to put in good words for Breitbart. I
Speaker 1: regularly log into your site for in preparation for the
Speaker 1: morning show, and there's some really interesting things there. Your
Speaker 1: local story that on the situation going on locally here
Speaker 1: in Lachland, Ohio, just outside of Cincinnati about the Ouritanian population.
Speaker 1: Thirty five hundred of them got that at bright Bart.
Speaker 1: Fortunately we had at least one local outlet mentioned that
Speaker 1: back in September, but not a whole lot of press,
Speaker 1: but things of that nature. So it is worthwhile my
Speaker 1: listener friends get to Breitbart dot com. Let me just
Speaker 1: say ask it cuding to the chase directly. I you know,
Speaker 1: the fog, it's like the fog of war Nick, the
Speaker 1: fog of polling information.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I can look on one site, you know, like if
Speaker 1: I go to a left leaning site like Politico, maybe
Speaker 1: The Hill, it'll have you know, Kamala Harris ahead and
Speaker 1: all the swing states. And I flip over to a
Speaker 1: Fox News poll or one of the other sites and
Speaker 1: it'll say, you know, Donald Trump's ahead and all the
Speaker 1: swing states. Like, what in the hell are we supposed
Speaker 1: to believe? We can't believe our eyes? Is there any
Speaker 1: really reliable polling data out there? I keep hearing that
Speaker 1: internal polling data is always the most accurate, and let
Speaker 1: except we normally normally don't even get that. It's like
Speaker 1: kept internally for reasons unknown, And how is it that
Speaker 1: that internal polling data is allegedly so much more accurate
Speaker 1: than anything else we read. Can you cut through this
Speaker 1: fog for us?
Speaker 2: Yeah, so a big part of is, yes, those internals,
Speaker 2: you know, we hear all the time that they're the
Speaker 2: most accurate and generally they're the most comprehensive polls because
Speaker 2: these are you know, these private campaigns and private super
Speaker 2: PACs and such, you know, commissioning them, and they can
Speaker 2: do they spend more money probably than these public outlets
Speaker 2: and polling agencies, so they can get a clear snapshot
Speaker 2: and deeper demographics, deeper dives on trends of where voters
Speaker 2: are moving. And of course, yeah, unfortunately we don't typically
Speaker 2: get those. We get them sometimes through leaks, and we
Speaker 2: get the memos and the top lines, but we don't
Speaker 2: really see that deeper data. But what I find is
Speaker 2: fairly reliable right now is the if you know, one
Speaker 2: single poll is just a snapshot and things, but to
Speaker 2: really kind of look at trends, one one source I
Speaker 2: really rely on as real clear politics polling average, right
Speaker 2: they aggregate all these polls and they kind of give
Speaker 2: you a snapshot of the race, you know, based off
Speaker 2: of that average. And right now, last I saw yesterday
Speaker 2: Trump was up, you know, up up to a point
Speaker 2: or a point one point two percent in every single
Speaker 2: swing state and the Real Clear Politics polling average. So
Speaker 2: I think that gives a good snapshot of the race
Speaker 2: in my opinion, you know, in substitute for these deep,
Speaker 2: you know, internal polls that that we would love to
Speaker 2: get our hands on. But that's that's kind of how
Speaker 2: I would describe describe things right now, and I think
Speaker 2: Real Clear Politics is a great source for for where
Speaker 2: things you know, a gauge or an average of where
Speaker 2: things stand right now, all.
Speaker 1: Right, and over last you know, several weeks, six weeks
Speaker 1: or so, the trend has been at least as I've
Speaker 1: observed it, correct me if you believe I'm wrong, has
Speaker 1: been improving for Trump. He's advanced in mostly the swing states,
Speaker 1: but even on a national polling level, which we always
Speaker 1: tend to discount because it includes so many blue states
Speaker 1: and obviously you're going to get a trend toward you know,
Speaker 1: Amala Harris in a blue state, but he's even closed
Speaker 1: the gap on a national level, which to me is
Speaker 1: I want to say, almost hard to believe.
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, it is almost hard to believe because generally
Speaker 2: you know, even in twenty sixteen, Trump didn't win the
Speaker 2: win the popular book, but he you know, he took
Speaker 2: the electoral College and I think he got the second
Speaker 2: most votes of all time in twenty twenty, but still
Speaker 2: lost to Biden, didn't win the college. But you know,
Speaker 2: I think we're really seeing Trump really start making you know,
Speaker 2: significant games on the on the national top line too.
Speaker 2: There was an Atlas polling poll and I think they
Speaker 2: were the most accurate, you know, I maybe fairly starting
Speaker 2: on this, they're the most accurate pollster in twenty twenty.
Speaker 2: They showed Trump up three on Harris I believe over
Speaker 2: the weekend, and he was over fifty percent nationally.
Speaker 1: Wow.
Speaker 2: So Trump's get if he can. So that means his
Speaker 2: ceiling is above a majority of the country right now,
Speaker 2: which is it's pretty unbelievable consider everything he's been put
Speaker 2: through and everything that's been done to you know, drag
Speaker 2: him down to whether it be the loft there, you know,
Speaker 2: and you go back to all the various you know,
Speaker 2: Russia Gate and everything even going back eight years. It's
Speaker 2: it's amazing that he's, uh, he's really above fifty fifty
Speaker 2: in that Atlas poll, which people put a lot of
Speaker 2: stock in and Harris is down three, that's that's horrific
Speaker 2: news for Democrats nationally. You know James Carvel, the rage
Speaker 2: in Cajun who helped put Bill Clinton in the White House,
Speaker 2: and he's revered as one of the most you know,
Speaker 2: veteran Democrats strategists. He's even said if if Democrats are
Speaker 2: up up one, that really means they're down to nationally. Right,
Speaker 2: if they're up one in the national polls, that really
Speaker 2: needs they're down too, because Trump typically under poles. So
Speaker 2: I think this is screaming five alarm fire for Democrats
Speaker 2: if Trump, If that poll is accurate and Trump's at fifty,
Speaker 2: that's extremely dangerous, dangerous territory for Democrats right now.
Speaker 1: Well, and they're in dangerous territory based upon the lack
Speaker 1: of articulation of where even Kamala Harris stands relative to
Speaker 1: the current administration. She seems to be doing nothing but
Speaker 1: running away from what she was previously standing on firm
Speaker 1: ground on I'm against fracking, I'm in favor of woke ideology.
Speaker 1: I'm in favor of transgender you know, a mixed bathrooms.
Speaker 1: I'm in favor of men competing against women. In sports,
Speaker 1: you know, the once people start paying attention to where
Speaker 1: she truly is, it seems that's when they start moving
Speaker 1: over and putting aside. They're built in Pavlovian hatred for
Speaker 1: evil Orange man. And I'll just let you know real
Speaker 1: quick here I hit a conversation over the weekend. I
Speaker 1: think this is contextually important. So bear with me. Great
Speaker 1: friend of mine, lifelong friend, one of my very best friends.
Speaker 1: He's pretty much apolitical, but he says, I just can't
Speaker 1: vote for Trump. And so he started having a conversation
Speaker 1: with him, and what a boiled down to the reason
Speaker 1: he says he can't vote for Trump is because of
Speaker 1: that Pavlovian evil Orange man. And I said, well, wait
Speaker 1: a second, So let's assume for the sake of discussion,
Speaker 1: he is this goofy guy. He says, what's on his mind,
Speaker 1: he's not very presidential like blah blah blah blah blah. Fine,
Speaker 1: you don't like him. You bought into this whole racist, homophobe,
Speaker 1: misogynistic thing. Do you have any opinion on his policies,
Speaker 1: what he did during his four years versus what Kamala
Speaker 1: Harris stands on. He didn't know he has no idea
Speaker 1: about policies. He couldn't name a single policy that Kamala Harris.
Speaker 1: Will you know what I pointed out to him. He's against,
Speaker 1: for example, men participating in against women in sports. He's
Speaker 1: against the whole gender pronoun thing. I could go on.
Speaker 1: So I said, so you're in favor of everything Trump
Speaker 1: is campaigning on. He didn't even realize it. He just
Speaker 1: has that I hate Trump ergo, I can't vote for him.
Speaker 1: So I'd vote for a woman whose policies are the
Speaker 1: exact opposite of what he really likes. That's really what
Speaker 1: this race is all about, isn't it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, No, that's exactly what this race is all about.
Speaker 2: And it's so clear right now that Democrats and the
Speaker 2: mainstream media they've given up on policy. Policy has been there.
Speaker 2: They have not put any legitimate, you know, you know,
Speaker 2: worthwhile policy platforms out that would stand. And she's waffled
Speaker 2: on so many issues. Can voters actually see her as genuine?
Speaker 2: And to your point, but your your friend who you know,
Speaker 2: she still supports her, even though you know he aligns
Speaker 2: with Trump on all the issues. It shows and then
Speaker 2: you combine that with their closing argument here, which is
Speaker 2: Trump is a horrible person, and I think it just
Speaker 2: reads a desperation to me that they're doing that. And
Speaker 2: we'll see how effective effective they are, you know, come
Speaker 2: November fifth with this closing argument. But it's it's it's
Speaker 2: been tried. It was tried by Hillary Clinton in twenty sixteen.
Speaker 2: I don't pay it works so well for her. So
Speaker 2: again they're trying to make this all a referendum on
Speaker 2: Trump's character. Americans are I don't think they. I think
Speaker 2: they more so care about But I think the media
Speaker 2: and Democrats are doing their best cloak and dagger work
Speaker 2: here to make this about everything else but policy and
Speaker 2: what Americans, what would actually make Americans lives better? A
Speaker 2: conversation about that, well.
Speaker 1: And every person who goes grocery shopping, or fills their
Speaker 1: gas tank, or has to pay rent, or is endeavoring
Speaker 1: to purchase a home, it's all becoming out of reach.
Speaker 1: Inflation is a real thing, hitting the most vulnerable among us,
Speaker 1: which typically are lower income voters. Of course, the middle
Speaker 1: class has been wallet, but those are the folks that
Speaker 1: the Democrats could typically count on. The Democrats haven't done
Speaker 1: them a wits worth of service. Over the past several years.
Speaker 1: In fact, our lives are collectively that much more miserable.
Speaker 1: That's something they cannot run from because you cannot tell
Speaker 1: people and convince people they're better off now when they're
Speaker 1: the ones that go grocery shopping and fill their tank
Speaker 1: and pay their rent.
Speaker 2: No, And I'll tell you right now, Brian's that seems
Speaker 2: to be undoing their coalition because you know, you look,
Speaker 2: for decades, it was unions always supported Democrats, right, and
Speaker 2: you know, the Team Stairs would come out and endorse
Speaker 2: the Democrat every election cycle. And then they released those
Speaker 2: poll numbers that show all their members are not all
Speaker 2: of them, but sixty percent of them are for Trump,
Speaker 2: and you know, and they did a non endorsement because
Speaker 2: of that. And then you look. I covered a New
Speaker 2: York Times story a couple of months ago where they
Speaker 2: were in Philadelphia and talking to black voters and black voters.
Speaker 2: They were saying things you would hear it that Trump rally.
Speaker 2: They were going, why are we sending money to Ukraine
Speaker 2: when my neighborhood's in trouble. So it's it's, you know,
Speaker 2: there's it seems that the Democrats and the economic you know,
Speaker 2: impact of these radical spending policies this administration are actually
Speaker 2: you know, driving their voters they've depended on so for
Speaker 2: so long away from them. And I think right now,
Speaker 2: I think we're seeing a realignment that could you know,
Speaker 2: potentially break what had been the standard mo for American
Speaker 2: politics and the Democrat coalition. And I think that's something
Speaker 2: that could just totally alter the political landscape going forward
Speaker 2: from years for years to come.
Speaker 1: Well, and I just saw in bright part the Today
Speaker 1: Warner Todd Houston reporting on this one about this bipartisan group.
Speaker 1: You got five Republicans in New York and four Democrats
Speaker 1: both sending a letter to Mayor Eric Adams worried about
Speaker 1: these Venezuelan and street gangs taking over. And they have.
Speaker 1: And this is impacting people of you know, all races, ethnicities, creeds.
Speaker 1: It's hitting budgets, it's having problems in schools. And I
Speaker 1: suppose many in lower income neighborhoods who have been overwhelmed
Speaker 1: by this influx of illegal immigrants see them getting more
Speaker 1: than they as constituents and US citizens are getting by
Speaker 1: way of social benefits and others that they've devastated so
Speaker 1: many communities with the immigrant policies they're trying to walk
Speaker 1: it back. I mean, they waited until the last couple
Speaker 1: of months to do any form of crackdown on the border.
Speaker 1: I would call that a daylight a dollar short by far.
Speaker 2: Yeah. And then and then of course they you know,
Speaker 2: they run around and claim the border crossings are lower
Speaker 2: than under the Trump administration now, which is just absurd
Speaker 2: because they close the border for strictly political purposes, you know,
Speaker 2: in the spring into the summer. But we were absolutely
Speaker 2: ravaged for three years, you know, by by like literally
Speaker 2: unlimited illegal immigration. So yeah, it's just, uh, it's absolutely amazing.
Speaker 2: And and to your point, yeah, it's and then they
Speaker 2: get put into sanctuary cities where you know, there's only
Speaker 2: so many resources, and it's it's it's truly amazing. How
Speaker 2: this is affecting the Democratic Coalition. I really think they're
Speaker 2: I really think they've hurt themselves with their own base,
Speaker 2: with their own policies over the past past few years.
Speaker 1: Well, the finite number of dollars and seemingly unlimited demands
Speaker 1: on government, and this has thrown a massive monkey wrench
Speaker 1: into anyone's designs in terms of where public dollars are going,
Speaker 1: either from the left or the right. I mean, you've
Speaker 1: got to deal with this immigrant crisis upfront, and it's
Speaker 1: just ruining most people's neighborhood so to the political benefit
Speaker 1: of Republicans who promised to crack down. Anyhow, Tea Lea
Speaker 1: for reading Nick before we part company here this morning.
Speaker 1: What's your take? Where do you think, how do you
Speaker 1: think it's going to end up? And how many days
Speaker 1: do you think it's going to be before we have
Speaker 1: a real definitive declaration of a winner after election day?
Speaker 2: Well, Brian, I think it could go a couple of ways.
Speaker 2: I think, just based off of the trends Trump's running
Speaker 2: in now. So if he has a big night on
Speaker 2: the East coast early, right, I think if he clearly
Speaker 2: takes North Carolina, Georgia, and Pennsylvania and he takes everything
Speaker 2: else he's expected to take, that puts him at two seventy.
Speaker 2: So we could have a call by midnight if Trump
Speaker 2: wins those three states comfortably, you know. If not, you know,
Speaker 2: we could get a call late in the night, or
Speaker 2: you know, there's also the twenty twenty scenario where you know,
Speaker 2: some states are too close to call, or you know,
Speaker 2: and it could it could be weeks before we have
Speaker 2: a definitive you know, days or weeks before we have
Speaker 2: a definitive winner. So I think any of those could
Speaker 2: play out. But looking at things from you know, a
Speaker 2: thousand feet above right now, I think things look good
Speaker 2: for Trump. I think things look good for down ballot
Speaker 2: Senate Republicans right now. A lot of swing state Democrats
Speaker 2: are actually, you know, Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin and Senator
Speaker 2: Bob Casey and Pennsylvania are putting out you know, ads
Speaker 2: where they're using that they're including positive video of Trump
Speaker 2: and you know, touting that they you know, stood up
Speaker 2: for some you know, the end of bath their trade
Speaker 2: deals or whatever. So I think that shows that the
Speaker 2: fact that they're leaning into Trump to try and help them,
Speaker 2: you know, save their seats.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that.
Speaker 2: I think that speaks to desperation, and I think it
Speaker 2: shows that they their internals. You know, we don't get
Speaker 2: to see those, but I think we get to see
Speaker 2: some of the results of them, and I think I
Speaker 2: think some of the results are being seen in those ads.
Speaker 2: YEA posing up to Trump.
Speaker 1: Do speak volumes Capital Hill reported Nick Gilbertson, It's a right,
Speaker 1: real pleasure having you on this morning. For the inside scoop.
Speaker 1: We'll keep pulling up brightbart dot com and getting some
Speaker 1: solid information there and I look forward to another conversation
Speaker 1: with you down the road. Keep up the great work,
Speaker 1: my friend.
Speaker 2: Thanks Brian. Great being here.
Speaker 1: Today, My pleasure. Folks to the ground, and we got
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