WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>To give America back on track.

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<v Speaker 2>That's what this whole thing is about.

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<v Speaker 1>The conversation both boa is happening here.

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<v Speaker 2>Every vote's gonna matter more than ever.

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<v Speaker 1>Fifty five KRC the talk station eight o five, the

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<v Speaker 1>fifty five KRC DE talk station. I'm very happy Tuesday

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<v Speaker 1>always made it happier because this time for the inside

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<v Speaker 1>scoop with Breitbart News. I always start by recommending your

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<v Speaker 1>book mark Breitbart b R E I T B A

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<v Speaker 1>r T dot com. You'd be happy you did great

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<v Speaker 1>reporting there and way outside the mainstream media which is

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<v Speaker 1>going to tell you the truth. Breitbart always speaking truth

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<v Speaker 1>to power and one of the persons who does that

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<v Speaker 1>joining the program this morning, Capitol Hill reporter Nick Gilbertson.

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<v Speaker 1>Great to have you on the program this morning, Nick,

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<v Speaker 1>to go over the well latest on the election as

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<v Speaker 1>we fast approach November.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, thanks for having me, Brian, and thanks for the

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<v Speaker 2>kind words about Breitbart.

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<v Speaker 1>Always love to put in good words for Breitbart. I

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<v Speaker 1>regularly log into your site for in preparation for the

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<v Speaker 1>morning show, and there's some really interesting things there. Your

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<v Speaker 1>local story that on the situation going on locally here

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<v Speaker 1>in Lachland, Ohio, just outside of Cincinnati about the Ouritanian population.

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<v Speaker 1>Thirty five hundred of them got that at bright Bart.

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<v Speaker 1>Fortunately we had at least one local outlet mentioned that

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<v Speaker 1>back in September, but not a whole lot of press,

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<v Speaker 1>but things of that nature. So it is worthwhile my

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<v Speaker 1>listener friends get to Breitbart dot com. Let me just

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<v Speaker 1>say ask it cuding to the chase directly. I you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the fog, it's like the fog of war Nick, the

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<v Speaker 1>fog of polling information.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I can look on one site, you know, like if

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<v Speaker 1>I go to a left leaning site like Politico, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>The Hill, it'll have you know, Kamala Harris ahead and

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<v Speaker 1>all the swing states. And I flip over to a

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<v Speaker 1>Fox News poll or one of the other sites and

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<v Speaker 1>it'll say, you know, Donald Trump's ahead and all the

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<v Speaker 1>swing states. Like, what in the hell are we supposed

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<v Speaker 1>to believe? We can't believe our eyes? Is there any

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<v Speaker 1>really reliable polling data out there? I keep hearing that

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<v Speaker 1>internal polling data is always the most accurate, and let

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<v Speaker 1>except we normally normally don't even get that. It's like

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<v Speaker 1>kept internally for reasons unknown, And how is it that

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<v Speaker 1>that internal polling data is allegedly so much more accurate

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<v Speaker 1>than anything else we read. Can you cut through this

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<v Speaker 1>fog for us?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so a big part of is, yes, those internals,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, we hear all the time that they're the

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<v Speaker 2>most accurate and generally they're the most comprehensive polls because

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<v Speaker 2>these are you know, these private campaigns and private super

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<v Speaker 2>PACs and such, you know, commissioning them, and they can

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<v Speaker 2>do they spend more money probably than these public outlets

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<v Speaker 2>and polling agencies, so they can get a clear snapshot

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<v Speaker 2>and deeper demographics, deeper dives on trends of where voters

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<v Speaker 2>are moving. And of course, yeah, unfortunately we don't typically

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<v Speaker 2>get those. We get them sometimes through leaks, and we

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<v Speaker 2>get the memos and the top lines, but we don't

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<v Speaker 2>really see that deeper data. But what I find is

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<v Speaker 2>fairly reliable right now is the if you know, one

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<v Speaker 2>single poll is just a snapshot and things, but to

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<v Speaker 2>really kind of look at trends, one one source I

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<v Speaker 2>really rely on as real clear politics polling average, right

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<v Speaker 2>they aggregate all these polls and they kind of give

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<v Speaker 2>you a snapshot of the race, you know, based off

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<v Speaker 2>of that average. And right now, last I saw yesterday

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<v Speaker 2>Trump was up, you know, up up to a point

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<v Speaker 2>or a point one point two percent in every single

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<v Speaker 2>swing state and the Real Clear Politics polling average. So

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<v Speaker 2>I think that gives a good snapshot of the race

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<v Speaker 2>in my opinion, you know, in substitute for these deep,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, internal polls that that we would love to

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<v Speaker 2>get our hands on. But that's that's kind of how

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<v Speaker 2>I would describe describe things right now, and I think

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<v Speaker 2>Real Clear Politics is a great source for for where

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<v Speaker 2>things you know, a gauge or an average of where

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<v Speaker 2>things stand right now, all.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, and over last you know, several weeks, six weeks

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<v Speaker 1>or so, the trend has been at least as I've

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<v Speaker 1>observed it, correct me if you believe I'm wrong, has

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<v Speaker 1>been improving for Trump. He's advanced in mostly the swing states,

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<v Speaker 1>but even on a national polling level, which we always

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<v Speaker 1>tend to discount because it includes so many blue states

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<v Speaker 1>and obviously you're going to get a trend toward you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Amala Harris in a blue state, but he's even closed

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<v Speaker 1>the gap on a national level, which to me is

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<v Speaker 1>I want to say, almost hard to believe.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, no, it is almost hard to believe because generally

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<v Speaker 2>you know, even in twenty sixteen, Trump didn't win the

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<v Speaker 2>win the popular book, but he you know, he took

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<v Speaker 2>the electoral College and I think he got the second

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<v Speaker 2>most votes of all time in twenty twenty, but still

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<v Speaker 2>lost to Biden, didn't win the college. But you know,

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<v Speaker 2>I think we're really seeing Trump really start making you know,

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<v Speaker 2>significant games on the on the national top line too.

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<v Speaker 2>There was an Atlas polling poll and I think they

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<v Speaker 2>were the most accurate, you know, I maybe fairly starting

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<v Speaker 2>on this, they're the most accurate pollster in twenty twenty.

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<v Speaker 2>They showed Trump up three on Harris I believe over

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<v Speaker 2>the weekend, and he was over fifty percent nationally.

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<v Speaker 1>Wow.

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<v Speaker 2>So Trump's get if he can. So that means his

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<v Speaker 2>ceiling is above a majority of the country right now,

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<v Speaker 2>which is it's pretty unbelievable consider everything he's been put

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<v Speaker 2>through and everything that's been done to you know, drag

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<v Speaker 2>him down to whether it be the loft there, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>and you go back to all the various you know,

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<v Speaker 2>Russia Gate and everything even going back eight years. It's

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<v Speaker 2>it's amazing that he's, uh, he's really above fifty fifty

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<v Speaker 2>in that Atlas poll, which people put a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>stock in and Harris is down three, that's that's horrific

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<v Speaker 2>news for Democrats nationally. You know James Carvel, the rage

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<v Speaker 2>in Cajun who helped put Bill Clinton in the White House,

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<v Speaker 2>and he's revered as one of the most you know,

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<v Speaker 2>veteran Democrats strategists. He's even said if if Democrats are

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<v Speaker 2>up up one, that really means they're down to nationally. Right,

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<v Speaker 2>if they're up one in the national polls, that really

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<v Speaker 2>needs they're down too, because Trump typically under poles. So

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<v Speaker 2>I think this is screaming five alarm fire for Democrats

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<v Speaker 2>if Trump, If that poll is accurate and Trump's at fifty,

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<v Speaker 2>that's extremely dangerous, dangerous territory for Democrats right now.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, and they're in dangerous territory based upon the lack

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<v Speaker 1>of articulation of where even Kamala Harris stands relative to

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<v Speaker 1>the current administration. She seems to be doing nothing but

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<v Speaker 1>running away from what she was previously standing on firm

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<v Speaker 1>ground on I'm against fracking, I'm in favor of woke ideology.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm in favor of transgender you know, a mixed bathrooms.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm in favor of men competing against women. In sports,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the once people start paying attention to where

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<v Speaker 1>she truly is, it seems that's when they start moving

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<v Speaker 1>over and putting aside. They're built in Pavlovian hatred for

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<v Speaker 1>evil Orange man. And I'll just let you know real

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<v Speaker 1>quick here I hit a conversation over the weekend. I

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<v Speaker 1>think this is contextually important. So bear with me. Great

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<v Speaker 1>friend of mine, lifelong friend, one of my very best friends.

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<v Speaker 1>He's pretty much apolitical, but he says, I just can't

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<v Speaker 1>vote for Trump. And so he started having a conversation

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<v Speaker 1>with him, and what a boiled down to the reason

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<v Speaker 1>he says he can't vote for Trump is because of

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<v Speaker 1>that Pavlovian evil Orange man. And I said, well, wait

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<v Speaker 1>a second, So let's assume for the sake of discussion,

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<v Speaker 1>he is this goofy guy. He says, what's on his mind,

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<v Speaker 1>he's not very presidential like blah blah blah blah blah. Fine,

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<v Speaker 1>you don't like him. You bought into this whole racist, homophobe,

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<v Speaker 1>misogynistic thing. Do you have any opinion on his policies,

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<v Speaker 1>what he did during his four years versus what Kamala

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<v Speaker 1>Harris stands on. He didn't know he has no idea

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<v Speaker 1>about policies. He couldn't name a single policy that Kamala Harris.

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<v Speaker 1>Will you know what I pointed out to him. He's against,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, men participating in against women in sports. He's

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<v Speaker 1>against the whole gender pronoun thing. I could go on.

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<v Speaker 1>So I said, so you're in favor of everything Trump

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<v Speaker 1>is campaigning on. He didn't even realize it. He just

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<v Speaker 1>has that I hate Trump ergo, I can't vote for him.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'd vote for a woman whose policies are the

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<v Speaker 1>exact opposite of what he really likes. That's really what

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<v Speaker 1>this race is all about, isn't it.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, No, that's exactly what this race is all about.

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<v Speaker 2>And it's so clear right now that Democrats and the

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<v Speaker 2>mainstream media they've given up on policy. Policy has been there.

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<v Speaker 2>They have not put any legitimate, you know, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>worthwhile policy platforms out that would stand. And she's waffled

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<v Speaker 2>on so many issues. Can voters actually see her as genuine?

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<v Speaker 2>And to your point, but your your friend who you know,

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<v Speaker 2>she still supports her, even though you know he aligns

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<v Speaker 2>with Trump on all the issues. It shows and then

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<v Speaker 2>you combine that with their closing argument here, which is

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<v Speaker 2>Trump is a horrible person, and I think it just

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<v Speaker 2>reads a desperation to me that they're doing that. And

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<v Speaker 2>we'll see how effective effective they are, you know, come

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<v Speaker 2>November fifth with this closing argument. But it's it's it's

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<v Speaker 2>been tried. It was tried by Hillary Clinton in twenty sixteen.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't pay it works so well for her. So

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<v Speaker 2>again they're trying to make this all a referendum on

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<v Speaker 2>Trump's character. Americans are I don't think they. I think

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<v Speaker 2>they more so care about But I think the media

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<v Speaker 2>and Democrats are doing their best cloak and dagger work

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<v Speaker 2>here to make this about everything else but policy and

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<v Speaker 2>what Americans, what would actually make Americans lives better? A

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<v Speaker 2>conversation about that, well.

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<v Speaker 1>And every person who goes grocery shopping, or fills their

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<v Speaker 1>gas tank, or has to pay rent, or is endeavoring

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<v Speaker 1>to purchase a home, it's all becoming out of reach.

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<v Speaker 1>Inflation is a real thing, hitting the most vulnerable among us,

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<v Speaker 1>which typically are lower income voters. Of course, the middle

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<v Speaker 1>class has been wallet, but those are the folks that

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<v Speaker 1>the Democrats could typically count on. The Democrats haven't done

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<v Speaker 1>them a wits worth of service. Over the past several years.

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<v Speaker 1>In fact, our lives are collectively that much more miserable.

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<v Speaker 1>That's something they cannot run from because you cannot tell

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<v Speaker 1>people and convince people they're better off now when they're

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<v Speaker 1>the ones that go grocery shopping and fill their tank

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<v Speaker 1>and pay their rent.

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<v Speaker 2>No, And I'll tell you right now, Brian's that seems

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<v Speaker 2>to be undoing their coalition because you know, you look,

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<v Speaker 2>for decades, it was unions always supported Democrats, right, and

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<v Speaker 2>you know, the Team Stairs would come out and endorse

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<v Speaker 2>the Democrat every election cycle. And then they released those

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<v Speaker 2>poll numbers that show all their members are not all

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<v Speaker 2>of them, but sixty percent of them are for Trump,

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<v Speaker 2>and you know, and they did a non endorsement because

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<v Speaker 2>of that. And then you look. I covered a New

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<v Speaker 2>York Times story a couple of months ago where they

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<v Speaker 2>were in Philadelphia and talking to black voters and black voters.

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<v Speaker 2>They were saying things you would hear it that Trump rally.

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<v Speaker 2>They were going, why are we sending money to Ukraine

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<v Speaker 2>when my neighborhood's in trouble. So it's it's, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>there's it seems that the Democrats and the economic you know,

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<v Speaker 2>impact of these radical spending policies this administration are actually

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<v Speaker 2>you know, driving their voters they've depended on so for

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<v Speaker 2>so long away from them. And I think right now,

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<v Speaker 2>I think we're seeing a realignment that could you know,

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<v Speaker 2>potentially break what had been the standard mo for American

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<v Speaker 2>politics and the Democrat coalition. And I think that's something

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<v Speaker 2>that could just totally alter the political landscape going forward

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<v Speaker 2>from years for years to come.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, and I just saw in bright part the Today

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<v Speaker 1>Warner Todd Houston reporting on this one about this bipartisan group.

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<v Speaker 1>You got five Republicans in New York and four Democrats

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<v Speaker 1>both sending a letter to Mayor Eric Adams worried about

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<v Speaker 1>these Venezuelan and street gangs taking over. And they have.

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<v Speaker 1>And this is impacting people of you know, all races, ethnicities, creeds.

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<v Speaker 1>It's hitting budgets, it's having problems in schools. And I

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<v Speaker 1>suppose many in lower income neighborhoods who have been overwhelmed

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<v Speaker 1>by this influx of illegal immigrants see them getting more

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<v Speaker 1>than they as constituents and US citizens are getting by

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<v Speaker 1>way of social benefits and others that they've devastated so

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<v Speaker 1>many communities with the immigrant policies they're trying to walk

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<v Speaker 1>it back. I mean, they waited until the last couple

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<v Speaker 1>of months to do any form of crackdown on the border.

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<v Speaker 1>I would call that a daylight a dollar short by far.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah. And then and then of course they you know,

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<v Speaker 2>they run around and claim the border crossings are lower

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<v Speaker 2>than under the Trump administration now, which is just absurd

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<v Speaker 2>because they close the border for strictly political purposes, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>in the spring into the summer. But we were absolutely

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<v Speaker 2>ravaged for three years, you know, by by like literally

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<v Speaker 2>unlimited illegal immigration. So yeah, it's just, uh, it's absolutely amazing.

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<v Speaker 2>And and to your point, yeah, it's and then they

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<v Speaker 2>get put into sanctuary cities where you know, there's only

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<v Speaker 2>so many resources, and it's it's it's truly amazing. How

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<v Speaker 2>this is affecting the Democratic Coalition. I really think they're

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<v Speaker 2>I really think they've hurt themselves with their own base,

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<v Speaker 2>with their own policies over the past past few years.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, the finite number of dollars and seemingly unlimited demands

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<v Speaker 1>on government, and this has thrown a massive monkey wrench

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<v Speaker 1>into anyone's designs in terms of where public dollars are going,

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<v Speaker 1>either from the left or the right. I mean, you've

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<v Speaker 1>got to deal with this immigrant crisis upfront, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>just ruining most people's neighborhood so to the political benefit

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<v Speaker 1>of Republicans who promised to crack down. Anyhow, Tea Lea

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<v Speaker 1>for reading Nick before we part company here this morning.

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<v Speaker 1>What's your take? Where do you think, how do you

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<v Speaker 1>think it's going to end up? And how many days

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<v Speaker 1>do you think it's going to be before we have

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<v Speaker 1>a real definitive declaration of a winner after election day?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, Brian, I think it could go a couple of ways.

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<v Speaker 2>I think, just based off of the trends Trump's running

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<v Speaker 2>in now. So if he has a big night on

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<v Speaker 2>the East coast early, right, I think if he clearly

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<v Speaker 2>takes North Carolina, Georgia, and Pennsylvania and he takes everything

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<v Speaker 2>else he's expected to take, that puts him at two seventy.

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<v Speaker 2>So we could have a call by midnight if Trump

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<v Speaker 2>wins those three states comfortably, you know. If not, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>we could get a call late in the night, or

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<v Speaker 2>you know, there's also the twenty twenty scenario where you know,

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<v Speaker 2>some states are too close to call, or you know,

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<v Speaker 2>and it could it could be weeks before we have

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<v Speaker 2>a definitive you know, days or weeks before we have

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<v Speaker 2>a definitive winner. So I think any of those could

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<v Speaker 2>play out. But looking at things from you know, a

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<v Speaker 2>thousand feet above right now, I think things look good

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<v Speaker 2>for Trump. I think things look good for down ballot

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<v Speaker 2>Senate Republicans right now. A lot of swing state Democrats

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<v Speaker 2>are actually, you know, Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin and Senator

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<v Speaker 2>Bob Casey and Pennsylvania are putting out you know, ads

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<v Speaker 2>where they're using that they're including positive video of Trump

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<v Speaker 2>and you know, touting that they you know, stood up

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<v Speaker 2>for some you know, the end of bath their trade

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<v Speaker 2>deals or whatever. So I think that shows that the

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<v Speaker 2>fact that they're leaning into Trump to try and help them,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, save their seats.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I think that.

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<v Speaker 2>I think that speaks to desperation, and I think it

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<v Speaker 2>shows that they their internals. You know, we don't get

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<v Speaker 2>to see those, but I think we get to see

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<v Speaker 2>some of the results of them, and I think I

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<v Speaker 2>think some of the results are being seen in those ads.

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<v Speaker 2>YEA posing up to Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>Do speak volumes Capital Hill reported Nick Gilbertson, It's a right,

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<v Speaker 1>real pleasure having you on this morning. For the inside scoop.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll keep pulling up brightbart dot com and getting some

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<v Speaker 1>solid information there and I look forward to another conversation

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<v Speaker 1>with you down the road. Keep up the great work,

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<v Speaker 1>my friend.

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<v Speaker 2>Thanks Brian. Great being here.

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<v Speaker 1>Today, My pleasure. Folks to the ground, and we got

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<v Speaker 1>did talk with her about it. She goes, well, they

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<v Speaker 1>didn't look like they were on my side of time.

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<v Speaker 2>Mom.

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