Speaker 1: Welcome to this week's ACA podcast sponsored by sky bet
Speaker 1: aka Freeze, Tom, Joe and Jimmy with you to run
Speaker 1: through the schedule coming up on this episode. Then we're
Speaker 1: with you a whole day earlier, but good reason. It's
Speaker 1: Easter weekend. There's a whole EFL slater fixtures on Friday,
Speaker 1: so we're building our fourfold from Friday's action. Don't let
Speaker 1: that catch you out. Please, if you haven't already, subscribed
Speaker 1: to the channel to ensure that you never miss an
Speaker 1: episode and remember to keep it fun. Never bet more
Speaker 1: you can afford. This podcast is eighteen plus, Please gam
Speaker 1: more responsibly. Last week, so close, but so far the
Speaker 1: two outsiders one, so they delivered and it was the
Speaker 1: short priced home side. On reflection, what we'll be doing
Speaker 1: back in the team that I believes at twenty third
Speaker 1: and the table to win a game.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought exactly the same in hindsight and a
Speaker 2: lot of the comments making that as a point, Pure
Speaker 2: Law said on reflectioning Luton was a baffling pick. You
Speaker 2: need to think about your actions. Laughing emoji. Sean's got
Speaker 2: den ness, Den's regular commenter, always seen him in there.
Speaker 2: Thank you for your input.
Speaker 3: Sean.
Speaker 2: He said, for fuck's sake, Luton are shit. The clue
Speaker 2: was when you mentioned their inability to score Despire despite
Speaker 2: I guess having a hatful of chances in midweek, they
Speaker 2: can't score rubbish. Excellent point.
Speaker 1: Well, Millwall were at two to one, burn album five
Speaker 1: to two. Yes, Burton have absolutely cruised in as well.
Speaker 1: They've won three nil and it was Luton at home
Speaker 1: to Blackburn ten man Blackburn as well man sent off.
Speaker 1: They were one in a lot but they went down
Speaker 1: to ten just before the album mark as well, So
Speaker 1: Luton had a decent bit of time to work with
Speaker 1: that had four times as many shots. But obviously game
Speaker 1: state comes into a factor then, none of which were
Speaker 1: significantly huge chances to score. Were they annoying because it
Speaker 1: was a nice little lame team to on trouble as well?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I know if she told me Blackburn got a
Speaker 2: mantled off and there were one goal in that game,
Speaker 2: I probably would have said get in. How much have
Speaker 2: we won? But the other thing I will say is
Speaker 2: we had a few teams that we left out and
Speaker 2: it seemed like it was an hard weekend because who
Speaker 2: did we leave out? Forrest yea he didn't let us
Speaker 2: have them in their loss.
Speaker 1: And over one nill late to core Golf Everton.
Speaker 2: We we mentioned Villa but they won three nil. But
Speaker 2: we were worried about how many changes Hemory would make.
Speaker 2: He only made four. Hindsight would have been good to
Speaker 2: know he was on it.
Speaker 1: Have not even laid a glove on them?
Speaker 3: Have they was? We've been relegating.
Speaker 1: Now, pressures off. Let's get some pride back at ourselves
Speaker 1: now now they were hammered.
Speaker 2: She'd have took a leaf out of its which in
Speaker 2: Leicester Shayer's book, shouldn't they?
Speaker 1: And then Brighton didn't bet less for either. On the
Speaker 1: other short priced one that we.
Speaker 2: Mentioned, he was like three to ten.
Speaker 1: Yeah, would we dodge that bull out?
Speaker 2: You're welcome.
Speaker 1: Well, I still want to talk.
Speaker 3: I can't.
Speaker 1: There's so much which has happened. What else are we
Speaker 1: reflecting on?
Speaker 3: Crazy? Crazy season?
Speaker 1: Isn't it in football at the moment that Luton one
Speaker 1: is not just for the Akka but that is a
Speaker 1: killer for them, So Luton for context, I'm sure, as
Speaker 1: you'll be aware, now we're forty two games into the season,
Speaker 1: you'll have a rough idea of how the table and
Speaker 1: the lay of the land is Luton are three points
Speaker 1: to drift of safety. That team, of course is Derby.
Speaker 1: The goal difference is significantly worse minus sixteen in terms
Speaker 1: of the difference between the two.
Speaker 3: So they play on the week.
Speaker 1: Saturday at twelve thirty over at Pride Park. It is
Speaker 1: Darby County versus Luton Town. So it is a significant
Speaker 1: game at the bottom end of the table and if
Speaker 1: that goes a home win, it's packed about relegations for
Speaker 1: a side who less than twelve months ago we're playing
Speaker 1: in the Premier League and in August will be lining
Speaker 1: up in League One. That result against Blackburn, I mean,
Speaker 1: do you know against that burned the team in the
Speaker 1: worst form in the EFL pretty much? Yeah, they had
Speaker 1: the they had, they came from behind. It they to
Speaker 1: get someone against Sheffiel Wenesay we turnal down in that
Speaker 1: game though managed to snatch a late equalizer. You don't
Speaker 1: you don't deserve to stay up, really do you? If
Speaker 1: you're going to lose that home game against ten men
Speaker 1: against if not the team that one of the worst
Speaker 1: teams you know.
Speaker 3: Form wise in the EFL, If.
Speaker 1: They don't, if they don't go to Derby and get
Speaker 1: something to make up for it. It's that result that
Speaker 1: has cost them. It's all over because yeah, lose to
Speaker 1: Derby and they are going to be a minimum of
Speaker 1: five points from safety with three games left.
Speaker 3: It's all over.
Speaker 1: They think it's and like Derby had been fantastic, haven't
Speaker 1: they under John Eustace. So it's very very hard to
Speaker 1: see that that wasn't close to the final nail in
Speaker 1: the coffin. But they win against Derby and suddenly it's
Speaker 1: all back on. It has been a crazy relegation battle
Speaker 1: so far. What else has happened? I was gonna say,
Speaker 1: wee other game? I was about to say, because we're
Speaker 1: of course building this for Friday, which is why it's
Speaker 1: out on Wednesday. The Premier League games they're normal like
Speaker 1: the AFL, you know, are the ones that do the
Speaker 1: Friday Monday games, So the Premier League will be on Saturday.
Speaker 1: We may briefly touch upon it at some point across
Speaker 1: the episode, but that means we probably won't talk a me,
Speaker 1: and we definitely won't because Aston Villa or a late
Speaker 1: kickoff on Saturday. Anyway, it also means we're halfway through
Speaker 1: the Champions League games, so we don't actually know if
Speaker 1: Real Madrid managed to summon some magical comeback as they
Speaker 1: always seemingly do against Arsenal, but aston Villa, good god,
Speaker 1: they were dead and buried in that tie. They were
Speaker 1: five one down on aggregate very early on as well,
Speaker 1: and in the space of what was it five second
Speaker 1: half minutes back into life fair me and just couldn't
Speaker 1: get the job done.
Speaker 2: Yeah, when you're talking about the big game last night,
Speaker 2: I thought you were in about a different game.
Speaker 1: It's all for Doncaster.
Speaker 2: Nope, Mormond, Oh my god, how did it go? I
Speaker 2: thought you were on about the Derbyship the win. Oh boy,
Speaker 2: just a bit.
Speaker 1: Oh my god, we'll talk us for it.
Speaker 2: Well, you you're familiar with often at you hurt tom
Speaker 2: So as of I guess what you think the score was?
Speaker 2: In ninety minutes Alfred and Neil Neil erect one for
Speaker 2: the purest best moment of the game for me five
Speaker 2: minutes one time. I think there was like one half
Speaker 2: chance in the whole game, and that's when Alfred and
Speaker 2: player sort of collided with the keeper. They were both
Speaker 2: in a heap on the floor and the ball would
Speaker 2: just slowly rolled towards the goal, but five minutes one
Speaker 2: time stadium announcer comes on, say, just to reminder, ladies
Speaker 2: and gentlemen at the game is level. At full time,
Speaker 2: we'll be going straight to a penalty shootout. And everyone
Speaker 2: went yeah, and then the one bought that billy game.
Speaker 1: There they are the lads there winning the winning team often.
Speaker 2: Giant periods a Derbyshire.
Speaker 3: Est field.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, supposed to be at Darby's ground, but he
Speaker 2: got moved. Thousand people in there packed to the rafters,
Speaker 2: well to the raft to a stand was full.
Speaker 3: How did Georgie boy play?
Speaker 2: He looked at times like you would tow in a caravan,
Speaker 2: but he got the job done.
Speaker 1: It's mid April. If they're in a cup final, they've
Speaker 1: had the league to deal with, They've had cups to
Speaker 1: deal with. You know, it's getting tricky, old points, it's
Speaker 1: starting to you know, get into everyone and I was
Speaker 1: time to see.
Speaker 2: I mean Dad told me last night actually he's got
Speaker 2: seventeen bookings in the league. He thinks that's a record
Speaker 2: for the level.
Speaker 3: Has it been going.
Speaker 1: Yeah, do you have to have a meeting with the FA?
Speaker 2: I think so at fifteen Yeah, he's got two sins.
Speaker 1: Yeah, obviously obviously we're in front of a panel and
Speaker 1: they're going, what's wrong with you? Mate? Yellow cards at
Speaker 1: this point and see you.
Speaker 3: Have to have anger management.
Speaker 1: A remark us to that.
Speaker 2: It's not an angry guy.
Speaker 1: I know what I mean?
Speaker 3: You know, just is that rules?
Speaker 1: So you have if you have that meeting after fifteen
Speaker 1: and they're like, any more yellow cards and we think
Speaker 1: we have to send you to therapy.
Speaker 2: Maybe I'd love it if he went and got the
Speaker 2: nice round twenty.
Speaker 3: But yeah, something to ane for.
Speaker 1: Season has not done yet. It could be enough game.
Speaker 1: Shouldn't they to do it? Do you want to mention
Speaker 1: anything else? Or do you want to get into Friday's action.
Speaker 2: That village game? Sorry?
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that of a little game that he actually
Speaker 1: I now know the plans have done it in the Dubs,
Speaker 1: she could have got another goal.
Speaker 2: The chances they had after they should have got another turn.
Speaker 2: It could have easily that essential one on one and
Speaker 2: then Matt's in at the very depth that would nestling
Speaker 2: into the bottom corner.
Speaker 1: Weren't it every concert somehow? Actually just failing to he
Speaker 1: could have got if he got his nose on the ball,
Speaker 1: he would have scored what was he six yards out
Speaker 1: completely clear and he must have just taken his eyes
Speaker 1: off it for a split second, way way easier than
Speaker 1: the goalie actually scored. Oh yeah, it's hard to isn't
Speaker 1: it to think that a team has come from such
Speaker 1: a deficit and they actually should have bare minimum taken
Speaker 1: it to extra time.
Speaker 3: Yeah, they will be sick as parrots after that.
Speaker 1: It did bring, though, the night did bring my favorite
Speaker 1: part of one of my favorite parts of the season.
Speaker 1: It is the second leg winners not progressing, and inevitably
Speaker 1: one of their players gets given Man of the match
Speaker 1: because Garassi and the Dortmund game, I think got it,
Speaker 1: and he asked that thing where has.
Speaker 2: To hold the truth?
Speaker 1: Thing? Obviously I've played brilliantly against Barcelona and now I
Speaker 1: think top score in the Champions League. What a great
Speaker 1: time I'm having. But he's got to look sad because
Speaker 1: if he looks happy, people will be furious that he's
Speaker 1: happy after they've been eliminated with that stockball?
Speaker 2: Lad who did that? Do you remember when he got
Speaker 2: the player of the match with Jack Diamond? Oh yeah,
Speaker 2: after they got beat five one? Oh, just fons and
Speaker 2: he's no, he's prof That's why there you go.
Speaker 1: That's why they've taken the lesson from him. Let's get
Speaker 1: to Friday zaction then, as we said already, I think
Speaker 1: we're basically doing the same thing, aren't we three pm games?
Speaker 1: Because it's an entire slate of fixtures across Friday. Everyone's
Speaker 1: playing Friday, everyone is playing again on Monday. There won't
Speaker 1: be a podcast for Monday. Just because of the quick turnaround.
Speaker 1: I think we've somehow entrusted you to to do something
Speaker 1: for Monday right tom So we will be sending a
Speaker 1: very very short which barely think we can call it
Speaker 1: a podcast, be like a one minute video, just to
Speaker 1: give you all a reminder that me and Jimmy will
Speaker 1: be doing. We can do it like old school how
Speaker 1: we over the phone, and there won't be a podcast
Speaker 1: to listen to. But if you just go straight to
Speaker 1: Sporting Live dot com, then there will be a ACA
Speaker 1: and Acher on Sunday for the Easter Monday games. Just
Speaker 1: too much of a tight turnaround to get a podcast out,
Speaker 1: get recorded, get it out and get it priced.
Speaker 3: But yeah, it will be out.
Speaker 1: On Sunday, similar time around lunchtime on Sunday. So you know,
Speaker 1: explained that really badly but you know you don't seem
Speaker 1: too confident.
Speaker 2: You lunchtime's ambitious.
Speaker 1: Decided Friday afternoon, you know, Friday evening. Just get your
Speaker 1: teams and he'd have to worry about it. Let's go
Speaker 1: lead by league and let's start in the Championship, shall we,
Speaker 1: Because Jimmy, what's that? What's that reactional about? Then it's
Speaker 1: happened recently. Let's put you off championship football.
Speaker 2: Yeah, oh, Championship. I want to stay there forever.
Speaker 1: Well, well, the good news staying down, fat boy down,
Speaker 1: fat boy, as a unnamed Championship manager has recently proclaimed
Speaker 1: after a defeat on Saturday.
Speaker 3: I actually just can't get enough with it.
Speaker 1: I was going to say Sheffield ny in Leeds. They
Speaker 1: are at five thirty eight o'clock, so they won't feature
Speaker 1: in the act and they're also relatively short prices as well. Anyway,
Speaker 1: Burnley are at three at Watford. Maybe we'll mention them.
Speaker 1: A week is a hell of a long time in football,
Speaker 1: as the cliche goes, actually in the championship top end.
Speaker 1: If you said at two thirty last Saturday his favorite time, hey,
Speaker 1: that there would be a five point gap for two
Speaker 1: of them, and you go who's in third. I think
Speaker 1: you would have constantly gone well at is lead because
Speaker 1: they won one in six or something like that, and
Speaker 1: then out of absolutely no where Sheffield like to lose
Speaker 1: three in a row, Burnley Leeds keep winning and with
Speaker 1: Sheffield United playing Burnley on Easter Monday, it's just I
Speaker 1: just can't believe how it's turned out in such a
Speaker 1: short pace of time.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's incredible in it.
Speaker 2: Jimmy just remind him. Actually after we played Burnley, someone
Speaker 2: added me onto it, calling me nowhere with batter year
Speaker 2: how to played Burnley. They did a number on ers.
Speaker 2: I didn't reply. I book marked it forever. I'll come
Speaker 2: back in May, pal And now I'm just thinking, shit,
Speaker 2: we're going to lose to them on Monday. They're probably
Speaker 2: go top of the league and what eight points clear
Speaker 2: of us? I just made as well on book market.
Speaker 1: Now, congratulations, And I don't know if Joe wants to
Speaker 1: gloat a bit because we've ridiculed is Burnley to win
Speaker 1: the league? Suggestion at the start of the season, there's
Speaker 1: no chance Scott Parker is entertaining thrilling enough and he's
Speaker 1: actually bored his way to the top of defensive solidity, etc.
Speaker 1: Someone did share Burnley's team from the first two games
Speaker 1: of the season, you know before they kind of everyone left.
Speaker 1: Their squad they had for first two games is unbelievable
Speaker 1: because they won four one didn't they? I think they
Speaker 1: won five miler in those first two games. It was
Speaker 1: like incredible some of the players that they had that
Speaker 1: you forget that they had. They obviously had Wilson on a.
Speaker 1: Bear was still there, borro'she was in the back line.
Speaker 1: Veghorse was still there well, playing up front. So if
Speaker 1: you look at that team, it's like a it's not
Speaker 1: a completely different team, but it's significantly changed. And they
Speaker 1: had that kind of a lot of talent at that
Speaker 1: top end. And yes, the blessing is then, of course
Speaker 1: that you can then replace it with the finances that
Speaker 1: you've got with better players, But you kind of forget
Speaker 1: the turnaround that he had in season to then have
Speaker 1: to deal with to not only deal with that, to
Speaker 1: turn them around to a point where it's only goal
Speaker 1: difference that keeps them off top. And if you said
Speaker 1: goalkeep goldif would keep us off top, but we'd keep
Speaker 1: basically clean sheet every week. You'd consider yourself somewhat unlucky.
Speaker 1: That's a situation absolutely, And just to slightly clear up
Speaker 1: a point that Jimmy was making about the points gap
Speaker 1: that could happen when Burnley plays Revy United on Monday,
Speaker 1: to make it even worse, sorry mate, is that it's
Speaker 1: highly likely that Bernie will be promoted if they beat
Speaker 1: Epigenited on Monday. But even that, depending on how the
Speaker 1: results go on Good Friday, just avoiding defeat, they could
Speaker 1: be promoted against Sheppigenited on Monday. So sorry, it's actually
Speaker 1: more bleak then you think. The loan Bernley as well.
Speaker 1: The way this is working out, if they win, I
Speaker 1: mean I'll say now they will be a pick that
Speaker 1: I'm going to put forward for the AKA because of
Speaker 1: the price they are at Watford. If they win, they
Speaker 1: go eight points ahead of then Sheffield United playing five
Speaker 1: point thirty. And while it's a home game, it's Cardiff,
Speaker 1: you go they should win that. We could have said
Speaker 1: that the home game it's Millwall they should have won.
Speaker 1: That should have really turned up at plymouthoot one. They
Speaker 1: should have won at Oxford and they didn't.
Speaker 3: Right.
Speaker 1: Pressure is then on and Burnley are massively benefiting across
Speaker 1: this weekend from just the schedule is so much of
Speaker 1: a benefit to play first because then you can put
Speaker 1: the pressure on rather than having this, oh, we know
Speaker 1: what we need to do well, everyone knows you need
Speaker 1: to win. It's irrelevant. But then it just suddenly if
Speaker 1: you're then looking going into a gain of there's eight
Speaker 1: points and there's only twelve left to play for, the
Speaker 1: pressure is significed. I totally agreement. I'll let you take
Speaker 1: the like the Burnley shout in a second. But I
Speaker 1: was chatting to Jimmy about all this having because I
Speaker 1: was off last week and just to try to catch
Speaker 1: up on what had been going on that I would
Speaker 1: actually be I know it's not one for the AKA,
Speaker 1: but I would be keen to get against Sheffield United
Speaker 1: this weekend. In some way, I think it would just
Speaker 1: be worth that anybody who's looking to have a bet
Speaker 1: this weekend, whether it is them to not win or
Speaker 1: looking at unders or anything like that, because historically, if
Speaker 1: you look at particularly Championship Promotion races, it does usually end.
Speaker 1: You know the game before you expect it to end.
Speaker 1: You look at Leeds last season, utter capitulation away at QPR.
Speaker 1: He doesn't go to the game where it should because
Speaker 1: the pressure ratchets up so much that they cannot afford
Speaker 1: for it to go wrong against a team who they're like, yeah,
Speaker 1: well if we get points here, it's a bonus, like
Speaker 1: we need to get our points elsewhere, and they just
Speaker 1: fold under the pressure. And yeah, I would be would
Speaker 1: be looking at that as a game to potentially get
Speaker 1: against them, especially when the manager has completely lost the
Speaker 1: plot in the in the previous match. But yeah, I would.
Speaker 1: I'll let you take it. Maybe Burnley definitely a team
Speaker 1: for me. I just don't think there needs to be
Speaker 1: anything said. Really, they've said there's seventeen to twenty to
Speaker 1: win the game. Points you've made their Fundamentally, they're a
Speaker 1: significantly better team than Watford. I mean, you know the
Speaker 1: table doesn't lie in that instance, but you look at
Speaker 1: the table difference currently as I try and quickly get
Speaker 1: it up, Watford's their season is nothing. I know mathematically
Speaker 1: they're still there that there's nothing to play for now.
Speaker 1: They are even though you're sitting at eleventh. You wouldn't
Speaker 1: think yourself relegation trouble, but they're mathematically saved from that.
Speaker 1: They're not going to make up a seven point gap
Speaker 1: between themselves and the top six at this point in
Speaker 1: the season, they're just there. They're just there. They're floating
Speaker 1: around that there's kind of they's seasons petered out into nothing,
Speaker 1: having shown potential to be what could have been a
Speaker 1: playoff campaign, and as I said, Burnley turning up full
Speaker 1: of confidence. I know, the clean sheets have started to
Speaker 1: disappear to be fair. Teams are starting to score, which
Speaker 1: now we're saying that just shows how solid that defense
Speaker 1: has been. But the price available on that, I mean,
Speaker 1: someone is going to tail off. But then in theory
Speaker 1: that all three of them could win out for the
Speaker 1: rest of the season, and that is that it's just
Speaker 1: the price. Again. We spoke about Sheffield and like the season,
Speaker 1: Burnley particularly constantly overpriced everywhere they're going, yeah, I'm for it.
Speaker 3: It was it was whether it had come in.
Speaker 1: I put a note down yesterday potentially a bit short
Speaker 1: because I thought it might come in shorter. But it
Speaker 1: hasn't done. It stayed pretty steady. And now you've described them,
Speaker 1: they're they're the most reliable team in the EFL this
Speaker 1: season other than Birmingham. No frills.
Speaker 3: You just know what you're going to get.
Speaker 1: Routine, they haven't They haven't had a shock result all season.
Speaker 1: They've had some mill nills, but they haven't at all.
Speaker 1: They are the most reliable selection that you're going to get.
Speaker 3: So if the price is.
Speaker 1: Right and we go anywhere else in the championship, we'd
Speaker 1: like to go and discussed because I said the Darby looting.
Speaker 1: A lot of attention on that game, but that's at
Speaker 1: twelve thirty. Well one other games that kind of jump out,
Speaker 1: But does anyone want to discuss any It's like make
Speaker 1: another suggestion.
Speaker 2: I didn't love a lot in the championship. But aside
Speaker 2: from Burnley, wore about Millwall.
Speaker 1: Black Blackburn have screwed USOVN twice. Yeah they always one,
Speaker 1: We had always one. Yeah, just just lose with dignity
Speaker 1: because we bat Sheffield Wednesday to beat them in the
Speaker 1: in the kind of midweek AKA that we put on site.
Speaker 1: They managed to pull that back with obviously bat looting
Speaker 1: to beat them and they have won with ten men.
Speaker 1: It just feels like signs of things slowly starting to
Speaker 1: not come together. But maybe the season is not going
Speaker 1: to collapse out in such bad fashion as you perhaps
Speaker 1: would have thought. So I've got the because I did
Speaker 1: suspect are they are these beginning to be fortunate or
Speaker 1: are there any signs? So Blackburn have got the four
Speaker 1: point in the last two after only getting one point
Speaker 1: for the previous seven matches, but if you look a
Speaker 1: little closer then there are like signs of clear defensive
Speaker 1: improvement under valarian Ishmael. So it's taken a little while,
Speaker 1: but they haven't conceded more than one ext year in
Speaker 1: the last five matches any of them, and before that
Speaker 1: they were just leaking chances, scoring none, So that is
Speaker 1: a clear change in them being able to be more solid.
Speaker 1: And I still like the price because Millwaller like one
Speaker 1: of the form teams in the division. Six wins three
Speaker 1: defeats and those were all against Sundland Leads and Bristol City.
Speaker 1: But I would be looking at this one as it's
Speaker 1: probably a nice price to have as a single. But
Speaker 1: there's just two The evidence is there that black Ben
Speaker 1: are improving defensively. It's a real potential draw or them
Speaker 1: just to eke out one mill win. I wouldn't be
Speaker 1: putting it in an acker because there's too much evidence
Speaker 1: that black Ben are improving. You just be kicking yourself afterwards.
Speaker 2: Do you know what Villai in Ishmael's set up is
Speaker 2: because I knew all about it at Barnsley, but that
Speaker 2: way ages ago at Watford he tried a few different things.
Speaker 2: Is he doing what he did at Barnsley?
Speaker 3: Honestly don't know.
Speaker 2: No, I don't know. Barnsley one high press when before
Speaker 2: it was cool it was unbelievable. Who came to oatwell
Speaker 2: Chelsea Manu Chelsea? Chelsea almost did them brilliant. Well if
Speaker 2: he does do the high press thing. Just thinking when
Speaker 2: you were talking, Mill was probably not one of the
Speaker 2: best teams, is it? Styles makes difference in styles make fights.
Speaker 2: But if they're both playing the same way, even more
Speaker 2: reason not to back them.
Speaker 1: Different what you said difference in styles makes and tried
Speaker 1: to say styles makes fights, you know, like in boxing.
Speaker 3: That nailed it.
Speaker 1: It's a good analogy saying they're both They're both going
Speaker 1: to be turgid teams, aren't they's got done it and
Speaker 1: all over it? Really, how about I pitched you at
Speaker 1: seven to five and I'm not sure if the price
Speaker 1: is a little bit too short, but Bristol City to
Speaker 1: beat Sunderlands in a home game. I Sunderland, I really
Speaker 1: haven't paid too much attention to for a while on
Speaker 1: the basis that you just knew they were going to
Speaker 1: finish in the top six. They are going to finish
Speaker 1: in the top six. They have guaranteed their spot in
Speaker 1: the in the in the that end of the table,
Speaker 1: but it's twelve points between them and the top two,
Speaker 1: so they will be in the playoffs. But across their
Speaker 1: last ten they've lost as many games as they've won.
Speaker 1: Four wins, two draws, four defeats. I wonder if it's
Speaker 1: down to Enzo Lafee's injury and him being out for
Speaker 1: the last six weeks or something. And then I saw
Speaker 1: that Regu Larbrie said or strongly hinted, I think they'll
Speaker 1: start on the bench again this weekend. Why would you
Speaker 1: risk him? You know that you're not going to move
Speaker 1: positions in the table, are you really? There's no point
Speaker 1: making the risk there. And you've got a Bristol City
Speaker 1: side who I think have lost three games at home
Speaker 1: all season, two of those to Burnley and Sheffield United,
Speaker 1: and that was in the first half of the season.
Speaker 1: I think the other was Swansea in a bit of
Speaker 1: a surprise result a couple of months ago. Maybe they're
Speaker 1: absolutely flying at the moment. They have a comfortable enough
Speaker 1: buffer zone at the you know at this current time
Speaker 1: you won to finish fifth because then you avoid whichever
Speaker 1: of those top three who have been so far clear
Speaker 1: of everyone for a while now you avoid them in
Speaker 1: the playoffs. You then if he gets to the final,
Speaker 1: it's a one game shootout and you kind of see
Speaker 1: where we go from there. It's just for me at
Speaker 1: the price available Sunland's own form, players who are available
Speaker 1: and players who aren't, and Bristol City being a very
Speaker 1: solid home team, are very solid out foot all season
Speaker 1: and aside who nerves are kicking in a little bit,
Speaker 1: and I know there's a few rumors flying around it
Speaker 1: if who's available for them and who isn't, But it
Speaker 1: just kind of is one price at this point in
Speaker 1: the season that does jump out a little bit to me.
Speaker 3: So I had it.
Speaker 1: Down because I thought the price is really enticing for
Speaker 1: Bristol City, giving the respective forms of the teams, and
Speaker 1: when I because you were off watching the snooky yesterday,
Speaker 1: how was it good?
Speaker 3: So good?
Speaker 1: Set up twelve pounds in to watch the final round
Speaker 1: of qualifiers for the World Championships. Significantly cheaper than going
Speaker 1: to the Crew Geoftica Dean Listening Stitute of Sport. But
Speaker 1: nice set up. I'll call free zone. That's the only thing,
Speaker 1: isn't it. Yeah? You can't, you know, crack open the cans.
Speaker 2: That's a game.
Speaker 1: Good day help, which meant I would have found you anyway, Jimmy,
Speaker 1: because I really respect your opinion. I was left with
Speaker 1: only with only Jimmy that I could ring and because
Speaker 1: if you know, if you've been off for a week,
Speaker 1: there's always bits of that are happening to wasn't it
Speaker 1: Yeah it might have been. No, No, it went a
Speaker 1: week and a half week. Chairs anyway, good time that
Speaker 1: Jimmy has got a real good point about Sunderland and
Speaker 1: why it's worth getting against him.
Speaker 2: Well, do you remember last season Southampton? I was furious
Speaker 2: with Russell Martin because they were five hundred to one
Speaker 2: to get promoted at one point and they still had
Speaker 2: Leeds Burnley and who was the other big dog that
Speaker 2: lifting in the league last year Leicester? Last year Leicester
Speaker 2: leads Leicester at chich and Leeds, they still had three
Speaker 2: of them to play and there was in with a
Speaker 2: shot of getting the top two, even though there was
Speaker 2: like six points behind. They went on in a brilliant run,
Speaker 2: didn't they. Yeah, But Russell Martin it got to about
Speaker 2: four games before the end of the season and he
Speaker 2: just started preparing for the playoffs. And I think regular
Speaker 2: Brie is doing something similar at Sunderland, you know, with
Speaker 2: his rotation. You mentioned then Zel Lafee is probably going
Speaker 2: to get rested, so you're doing it with a few
Speaker 2: other big hitters, and I think that's why the Fums
Speaker 2: tailed off.
Speaker 1: It feels like with Lafee as well, that they'll probably
Speaker 1: bring him on maybe the hour mark, give them half
Speaker 1: an hour and just kind of easing back into action
Speaker 1: because it is that why would you risk it at
Speaker 1: this point? Why would you risk it? You then maybe
Speaker 1: want to win the last couple to build some momentum
Speaker 1: going into the playoffs, but it does feel like that
Speaker 1: surely at this point. It is a bit of management
Speaker 1: as well, And there is one of the kind of
Speaker 1: critical things you could say about LaBrie is his in
Speaker 1: game management at a time, much like the Sundler squad
Speaker 1: being quite young, the inexperienced Dave struggled a little bit
Speaker 1: with that. So the strategy and how they approach it
Speaker 1: is really really key at this time and with a
Speaker 1: quick turnaround as well. In games, do you just kind
Speaker 1: of accept that obviously you're always going to turn up
Speaker 1: and win, You're not just gonna we're not going to
Speaker 1: try and win. But in terms of the management of
Speaker 1: kind of players and stuff like that, you turn up
Speaker 1: Friday at Bristol City, who were in great form anyway,
Speaker 1: and I think at this moment in time, whoever they
Speaker 1: were playing at home, I'd have some interest in backing
Speaker 1: them to do so. I like this feel a bit
Speaker 1: like that. I like the extra factor here that it's
Speaker 1: obviously a lot to happen in the final four games
Speaker 1: for the fifth and sixth spot, But do you know,
Speaker 1: just on the balance of probability, is highly likely that
Speaker 1: these two are.
Speaker 3: Going to be playing each other in the playoffs?
Speaker 1: Yeah, because of the form that Bristol City have been
Speaker 1: in consistently for a while, the bun fight for the
Speaker 1: sixth place is probably more likely to between the teams
Speaker 1: beneath them. So if Sunderland are rotating players and they've
Speaker 1: got players coming back from injury, how much are they
Speaker 1: going to want.
Speaker 3: To give away about what they're going to do in
Speaker 3: the playoffs?
Speaker 1: He just continues to play this rotated weekend team because
Speaker 1: he doesn't want it to be a practice match, a
Speaker 1: rehearsal for their opponents who are having to play at
Speaker 1: full tilt, because then he can just write it off
Speaker 1: for his plays for you don't worry that we lost
Speaker 1: that game, because remember we played only alfter you played.
Speaker 1: Our season was already done. Whereas he plays a full
Speaker 1: strength team and really it's not important for them they lose.
Speaker 1: That's mental baggage. He's got to try and get rid
Speaker 1: of the ahead of the playoffs.
Speaker 3: So I was.
Speaker 1: Almost wanted it before being given the context about Sunderland.
Speaker 3: I really like it.
Speaker 1: I didn't. I didn't realize they are actually stuck Sndon.
Speaker 1: They're just twelve points basically. I know Sheffield zeider there,
Speaker 1: but they're not going to catch Sheffield right at this point.
Speaker 2: Maybe maybe maybe.
Speaker 1: Jackie, they check out you said it there. Would you
Speaker 1: do that as a manager? Would you check out a
Speaker 1: little like duff tactic or just try something a bit
Speaker 1: different to kind of throw them a little bit so
Speaker 1: then when you play them, knowing you're going to play
Speaker 1: them twice and smart.
Speaker 3: And did it?
Speaker 2: Didn't?
Speaker 1: He? Yeah, he did. Do it against Leeds the last
Speaker 1: game of the last season was a bit but he
Speaker 1: is mental is going off for the back of what's
Speaker 1: going on here, like okay, this is interesting and jacking
Speaker 1: there is that a little bit because then in all
Speaker 1: your preyer there's a little bit of dark gum. But
Speaker 1: then they did try that against us tonight. That part worked.
Speaker 1: I wonder if they'll do that, and then it just
Speaker 1: completely throws a bit of a spanner on the works
Speaker 1: and it's like the fixture list has massively benefited you,
Speaker 1: because I'd be very tempted as a manager to do so.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, I would.
Speaker 1: I think we're seldom Burnley went.
Speaker 3: We were definitely on that.
Speaker 1: Bristol City seems quite comfortable.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but I I finished auditing. Yeah, but potential to
Speaker 2: take it out because it's there's loads more options that
Speaker 2: everybody loves. It makes sense, but it's similar to the
Speaker 2: loot and one made a lot of sense when we
Speaker 2: were doing it, but then you get out they don't
Speaker 2: get the result and you think, oh, yes, they've been shy,
Speaker 2: oh vius easy and then you think, oh yes, Sundlon,
Speaker 2: we're in the running for the top two. Actually, but
Speaker 2: I do really like it and on the price Bristol
Speaker 2: went off similar prices against West brom and BORI. You
Speaker 2: probably pegged them a little bit worse than Sunderland, but
Speaker 2: they won both of those games.
Speaker 1: So provisional aca then should we take it before on
Speaker 1: them Provisionally so far we are taking Burnley to beat Watford,
Speaker 1: We're taking Bristol City to beat Sunlon. The price on
Speaker 1: that double just above three point three to one. So
Speaker 1: we spoke Championship promotion race a lot there. We didn't
Speaker 1: really focus on relegation, but takes us into League One
Speaker 1: where we actually have our only confirmed promoted team so far,
Speaker 1: and not just that the champions of League One a
Speaker 1: surprise to us all. Birmingham City have one League One
Speaker 1: and they've won it at an absolute canter easy for them.
Speaker 1: Throughout the season. They're on ninety five points is it
Speaker 1: after forty games? Ninety five points after forty games? They
Speaker 1: are on for a hell of a lot more. I
Speaker 1: think on a points per game average, on for about
Speaker 1: one hundred and nine. One hundred and ten will smash
Speaker 1: the previous tally, which I think is one hundred and three.
Speaker 1: At this level, they have eased in and we're denied
Speaker 1: the double, the League one double of the title and
Speaker 1: the EFL try if you're by Peterborough.
Speaker 2: But a.
Speaker 1: Just what you said about this campaign that hasn't been
Speaker 1: said already. It's been absolutely remarkable. I can't say anything
Speaker 1: that hasn't already been said. I tell you who has
Speaker 1: been talking though. What's his name? Backing owner bloke Tom Wagner.
Speaker 1: Oh my god, utter yank nonsense. What the hell was
Speaker 1: that at?
Speaker 2: Wait, we don't do that over here, mate, we don't
Speaker 2: do that.
Speaker 1: Listen, Booker Rue. I don't know if that's sort of hume. Yeah, listen, pal.
Speaker 1: It's embarrassing, isn't it.
Speaker 2: It's shiss. I would be really interested to see what
Speaker 2: sort of reaction that gets from the Birmingham squad this weekend.
Speaker 1: I love how they're all just stare, like they just
Speaker 1: blokestle they Yeah. I mean, I'm happy to start with
Speaker 1: that game because I mean they're two to seven to
Speaker 1: beat Crawley personally, I mean it's it'd be too short
Speaker 1: for me in most situations, but just too much going
Speaker 1: on there where.
Speaker 3: They've already won the league.
Speaker 1: How much of the players really care about whether going
Speaker 1: to get one hundred and ten points or what. Crawley
Speaker 1: have already shown a bit of a reaction to getting
Speaker 1: some mad results since Scott Lindsay went back, and then
Speaker 1: the players are getting absolutely roasted, utterly unfairly after an
Speaker 1: incredible season by a spoilt billionaire owner. Was crazy Crawley are.
Speaker 1: I will be back in Crawley this weekend because they
Speaker 1: had such such an enormous price ten to one, maybe
Speaker 1: on the handicap, because it's it's such a such a
Speaker 1: big price. I'd love it if the Birmingham players have
Speaker 1: just been on the piss all week they turn up,
Speaker 1: they're just so like it. In the first thay forty
Speaker 1: minutes already two nil down. If to drag it back,
Speaker 1: get to Lad's put that bottle down because big man
Speaker 1: upstairs is not happy everyone. Let's stop celebrating.
Speaker 3: He's not happy with us.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yes, that's where I would start with a with
Speaker 1: an avoid, but he was. It's just it's embarrassing. I
Speaker 1: don't lie these big spoil billionaire owners. A word on
Speaker 1: from Chancerri. I just opened the beliefs and of the podcast.
Speaker 1: To be fair to Peterborough, I know a lot of
Speaker 1: the talk and the only reason the American kind of
Speaker 1: coverage was there because Birmingham was there. They've also got
Speaker 1: a documentary out, which I'm sure we're all gripped by
Speaker 1: and how interesting that's going to be. Stop making football documentaries.
Speaker 1: There's just nothing that has been done that hasn't been
Speaker 1: done already. The needs doing. Nobody needs these documentaries. Stop
Speaker 1: making them and it'll be this whole dramatic kind of
Speaker 1: storytelling and all that, and it won't be dramatic, it
Speaker 1: won't be a good watch. Please stop making them. Kind
Speaker 1: of remember the point Peterborough. On that note, not a
Speaker 1: lot to talk about them, but they are I saw
Speaker 1: someone tweet that they are basically the Seville of this tournament,
Speaker 1: aren't they? Because they seemingly win it every single year,
Speaker 1: and not only to win it, to score two thunder
Speaker 1: bastards of goals to win it, which I believe is
Speaker 1: the second year in a row they're left backers scoreding
Speaker 1: absolute worldy to win this trophy. Because Harrison Burrows did
Speaker 1: it last year, I think as well. Yeah, their season's
Speaker 1: been salvaged somewhat, isn't it, because it was looking quite bad,
Speaker 1: having had quite a significant amount of change in the
Speaker 1: summer that they are going to finish in decent, strong
Speaker 1: form seem to watch for next season for sure that
Speaker 1: I can remember Gab saying very early on that there's
Speaker 1: no way that they would be in contention this year
Speaker 1: because of the level of upheaval was so much great
Speaker 1: because I think we get we almost get desensitized to
Speaker 1: players leaving Peterborough because it happens every year they sell
Speaker 1: players for big money, they bring others in, but this
Speaker 1: year it was to such a greater extent than it
Speaker 1: previously has been. Wei the back four or for the
Speaker 1: bout four, something left basically over the sum and then
Speaker 1: it's taken about half a season for them to get
Speaker 1: to grips with it. And now they I mean, what
Speaker 1: is it about twelve about twelve games that they've put
Speaker 1: together a significant league.
Speaker 2: Good run of form.
Speaker 3: So they they.
Speaker 1: Are definitely a team to keep an eye on for
Speaker 1: next year because they just look like they're probably now
Speaker 1: a top ten League One team. They just happened to
Speaker 1: be down in the in the lower to mid table area.
Speaker 2: So yeah, it was a bold move from Ferguson to
Speaker 2: call them the softiest bunch of players he's ever worked with.
Speaker 2: About what were it two months ago, it could have
Speaker 2: gone either way.
Speaker 1: And now look at him trophy again for a million
Speaker 1: time and his managerial career. He's lifting whatever the iteration
Speaker 1: of the AFL trophy is this time around. Jimmy League
Speaker 1: one taught to us what he got for us and
Speaker 1: he can.
Speaker 2: Funny you should say, because I was actually looking to
Speaker 2: get against Peterborough this weekend potentially the stop Port with
Speaker 2: the night after the Lord Merge, day after the Lord
Speaker 2: May Sound.
Speaker 1: Nailing these things time you'd killed it there, Yeah, after
Speaker 1: the Lord Mays show exactly.
Speaker 2: You go and Stockport just a brilliant team, love everything
Speaker 2: about and I don't know if they are compatible com
Speaker 2: lately out of the automatic base.
Speaker 1: No, no, they really not deaf points. They need one
Speaker 1: win to basically confirm their top six. I mean they're
Speaker 1: definitely finishing top six, let's be honest. Not confirmed yet,
Speaker 1: but yeah, like you say, you know, dependent on our
Speaker 1: game's going. You know, Wrexham probably do win this weekend
Speaker 1: if we're honest. Wickham go to Bolton tricky one potential
Speaker 1: they're to keep keep the pressure on.
Speaker 2: Yeah. Thing is with Wrexham is it's similar to what
Speaker 2: was in about United a few weeks ago. They just
Speaker 2: keep winning. They just keep doing it. They just keep
Speaker 2: winning one two nil specialists. But how sustainable is that,
Speaker 2: especially as we approach the business and they've got a
Speaker 2: lot of experience. Wickm need to get the whip out.
Speaker 2: I know they've won through the last five to the
Speaker 2: last two, but they look like they're just grind into
Speaker 2: a hole even the manner of the lictory so stop
Speaker 2: portal fancy fancy a late run. And I just think
Speaker 2: they're really consistent. They've got so much quality. And yeah,
Speaker 2: I kind of was drawn to the prize partly because
Speaker 2: of Peterborough winning the Cup in their last game, improbably
Speaker 2: because of it puts form and the importance of a
Speaker 2: win for them.
Speaker 3: Is eleven to ten a bit short.
Speaker 1: That's what I would be, Yeah, that's what I would
Speaker 1: be would be thinking, because you know, if we're if
Speaker 1: we're looking as like the bare bones of the table,
Speaker 1: and I get I get the you know, after the
Speaker 1: the fl Trophy final and the context of that. But
Speaker 1: if we were saying lower mid table team against a
Speaker 1: team still with an outside chance of the top two,
Speaker 1: then it's understandable. But Peterborough aren't that that team they've
Speaker 1: just beat in Birmingham. They're like a high class team
Speaker 1: and at the at the worst they are now really
Speaker 1: a top ten League One team and to me just
Speaker 1: that just feels a bit short for an away win.
Speaker 1: Eleven to ten, so that would be the only thing
Speaker 1: I'm not saying. I don't think stop Port have got
Speaker 1: a very good chance of going there and getting a win.
Speaker 1: It just feels a little bit potentially on the short side.
Speaker 2: We took Jort and a very similar price when they
Speaker 2: went to Peterborough and that went well.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well you mentioned Charlton. They're at home to Northampton. Yeah,
Speaker 1: like that one as well.
Speaker 2: Six.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're talking kind of playoff contenders. Charlton are there again,
Speaker 1: it's well will not confirmed. You look at their sport
Speaker 1: ten points the gap between themselves and later and or
Speaker 1: and in seventh six points between themselves and the top two.
Speaker 1: So again that an of one that not mathematically out
Speaker 1: of it. But you can find a six games six
Speaker 1: point swing at some point across the next four games,
Speaker 1: which is incredibly difficult to do, particularly with a whole
Speaker 1: different situation as well. But you're kind of vying for
Speaker 1: positions as well.
Speaker 3: I think.
Speaker 1: Kind of the fourth fifth. I think there is some
Speaker 1: significance in that as well because of when you get
Speaker 1: the home leg coming second, so there's still a little
Speaker 1: bit to play for them as well, and even then
Speaker 1: they'll they'll still be thinking, well, we're not out of
Speaker 1: the top two, to keep wanting to win because you
Speaker 1: never know what happens elsewhere. I do prefer that the
Speaker 1: child and seven to ten to beat Northampton and rex
Speaker 1: and fortnite to beat Bristol Rovers as like the two
Speaker 1: picks in League One, because we've got two consistently good
Speaker 1: teams against two consistently bad teams and there's not actually
Speaker 1: that many matchups this weekend.
Speaker 3: I expect Rexham.
Speaker 2: To go offway shorter than that by kickoff.
Speaker 1: Bristol Rovers are horrifically bad and those home wins that
Speaker 1: they picked up in a short flurry of time gave
Speaker 1: them a chance of staying up and now they're looking
Speaker 1: like the almost certainly going down, but they cannot buy
Speaker 1: points away from home, and now they're going to the
Speaker 1: the best home team in you know that if we're
Speaker 1: including the National League, you know, over the last three
Speaker 1: years in all divisions, Yeah, that it just feels like
Speaker 1: it will be criminal to not have that in the
Speaker 1: in the act of this week and I get the
Speaker 1: child one. I just concur completely. Northampton. Kevin Old's done
Speaker 1: a good job, but I just don't see an outcome
Speaker 1: where they go there and get anything.
Speaker 3: I think they're.
Speaker 1: They're not mathematically safe, but there's a five point gap
Speaker 1: between Bristol Rovers, who were obviously backing to lose Wrexham,
Speaker 1: so worst case scenario is well, obviously it could be
Speaker 1: short than that two point gap, but the realistic potential
Speaker 1: of this weekend is that the gap is still five
Speaker 1: points with nine left to play for. It's a huge ask,
Speaker 1: even though it doesn't look like it at a first
Speaker 1: glance at the table for a team who are on
Speaker 1: a ridiculous losing run at the moment, having been picking
Speaker 1: up points all season, to then suddenly kind of gain
Speaker 1: two extra wins when it's not really been the case
Speaker 1: for Northampton, one eye over the shoulder, but this should
Speaker 1: be okay. Same with Mansfield, same with Wiggan and of
Speaker 1: course Peterborough as well. Those are the two in League One.
Speaker 1: I did want to mention so were thirteen to ten
Speaker 1: to beat Lincoln was particularly interesting reading despite all the
Speaker 1: off pitch kind of noise and obviously more than noise,
Speaker 1: but all the kind of off pitch talk that there's
Speaker 1: been going on, you barely kind of have spoken about
Speaker 1: Reading on the pitch, and on the pitch they have
Speaker 1: a three point gap over Late and Orient. The goal
Speaker 1: difference isn't in their favor, but they are continuing to
Speaker 1: pick up results and they take on a Lincoln side
Speaker 1: who I think haven't hit the expectations. Would be fair
Speaker 1: to say they're sat in mid table again. A few
Speaker 1: we know, a fair few people were looking at them
Speaker 1: as top six candidates. It hasn't really been the case
Speaker 1: at all, and particularly away from home as well. Very
Speaker 1: very ordinary Reading need to keep winning and this is
Speaker 1: a perfect opportunity to do so.
Speaker 2: I like it. I do like it already. Don't make
Speaker 2: any sense to me. But they're really, really pretty consistent,
Speaker 2: aren't they. What you saying about Lincoln nothing to play for.
Speaker 1: Thinking of just they're flown around mid table. They are
Speaker 1: sat in twelfth, they are banged mid table then for
Speaker 1: a spot on the upper the top tier, the top
Speaker 1: half of the table. Now Rotherham have turned it round,
Speaker 1: but away from home sixteenth in the waist standings five
Speaker 1: wins from twenty one all season, it just feels, yeah,
Speaker 1: I don't know at this time of season if playing
Speaker 1: teams are nothing to play for is good or bad.
Speaker 2: I can't make sense of it.
Speaker 1: But then I went to Leeds Preston on Saturday and
Speaker 1: Preston with nothing to play for at two one, which
Speaker 1: I can strikers on and really having a go. So
Speaker 1: I don't know if that benefits you if you need
Speaker 1: a result, because the opportunities there are there to kind
Speaker 1: of end, the gaps are there to exploit, but it's
Speaker 1: a price thing for me. Thirteen to ten a little
Speaker 1: bit bigg. I thought they might be odds on given
Speaker 1: the situation that the both clubs are in.
Speaker 2: Yeah, of the options there, so we've got read in
Speaker 2: Wrexham and Charle and I think Rexhim is a must.
Speaker 2: But i'd been leaning much towards reading. We could have
Speaker 2: them both, of course, but I was just looking at
Speaker 2: Northampton since Nolan came in twenty one games. They picked
Speaker 2: up results in fourteen during eight of those, Charlton at
Speaker 2: four to six. I think there's more reason not to
Speaker 2: have them than just price wise. Then I think i'd
Speaker 2: be more inclined to sway we've ready and I think,
Speaker 2: but I don't know if I'm putting too much on
Speaker 2: price there.
Speaker 1: Goland have lost two all season at home, yeah six
Speaker 1: very strong home outfit of which though the last time
Speaker 1: they traw was funny enough Lincoln who were talking about there,
Speaker 1: which is probably thrown dout on both of the picks.
Speaker 1: But I do get Jimmy's point about North Hampon.
Speaker 3: There's a lot of draws.
Speaker 2: They drew at Wickham, that was back in January. I
Speaker 2: know Wickham had just lost their manager, just lost a
Speaker 2: saw striker rex and beat him at home. They drew
Speaker 2: at home against Stockport, they drew at home against Birmingham.
Speaker 2: It's a lot of draws. But then Charlton are brilliant
Speaker 2: at home.
Speaker 1: Yes, I could take Wrexham, explore League two and potentially come.
Speaker 2: Back, Oh god not league do.
Speaker 1: Do baby like?
Speaker 3: I like the sound of that.
Speaker 1: The Lincoln and I I think that they're just in
Speaker 1: in pretty good form. That's why I steered away from
Speaker 1: it in the end. So Northampton, I like that point
Speaker 1: from Jimmy. He is a heck of a lot of drawers.
Speaker 3: Lincoln.
Speaker 1: If you look of late, then going back to what
Speaker 1: was Boundley's last win under Daryl Clark. Then it was
Speaker 1: completely bizarre game. Bounds A basically scored with all their
Speaker 1: shots and one four to three. Lincoln nearly scraped a
Speaker 1: point after it. But then after that then Lincoln's only
Speaker 1: defeats have been narrow one nill losses away at Birmingham
Speaker 1: and Wickham and then that they haven't lost any other matches,
Speaker 1: so they've had a couple of like massive wins and
Speaker 1: then drew at Charlton. So they're actually in good and
Speaker 1: that's going back to the first of March, so I'd
Speaker 1: be hesitant to go against it. And they are a
Speaker 1: good team. It's disappointing the way their seasons played out
Speaker 1: because they just haven't managed to make as good a
Speaker 1: loan signings that they did last year. But they are
Speaker 1: a good team. So if they went to Reading and
Speaker 1: got a drawer, I don't think we'd all be sitting
Speaker 1: around thinking that was a Shock'd like, well, they are
Speaker 1: a good side, and yeah there might be stuffing league
Speaker 1: to where there's other do you know, good team playing
Speaker 1: rubbish team, So it's probably worth of them. Were locking
Speaker 1: Wrexham and take a look at Lee too, let's lock
Speaker 1: it in, let's lock it in. Well, we've got a
Speaker 1: provisional go, haven't we So so far then three teams
Speaker 1: that make up are aka we are just shy at
Speaker 1: five to one on a treble of Burnley to beat Watford.
Speaker 1: It's Bristol City to be Sunland. As we said there,
Speaker 1: I think we've settled on Wrexham to beat Bristol Rovers
Speaker 1: into the horrible hunting ground that is sky beet leagued. Then,
Speaker 1: as the season has progressed, we have not particularly enjoyed
Speaker 1: looking at England's fourth tier. But the reason is because
Speaker 1: it is so damn good if you don't support a
Speaker 1: team that is involved in it. Somehow, nobody's promotion has
Speaker 1: been confirmed, nobody's playoff status has been confirmed. Obviously, we
Speaker 1: have kind of a rough idea of who's going to
Speaker 1: finish roughly whereabouts in the table. Oh my god. Like
Speaker 1: port Vale are the only team that really have hit
Speaker 1: form at the right time at the moment, because everyone else,
Speaker 1: at the time where consistency is key, it is doing
Speaker 1: the absolute opposite of that. Nobody is capitalizing and really
Speaker 1: grabbing the opportunity. Apart from port Vale, I think at
Speaker 1: them now for now, Warsaw's collapse, which you have mentioned before,
Speaker 1: continues to get worse. They are now third only in
Speaker 1: it on goal difference. You wouldn't be backing them to
Speaker 1: finish in that top three. It is an incredible situation
Speaker 1: that we're finding ourselves in that top that is surely
Speaker 1: up there with worst bottle job ever. Yeah, side the
Speaker 1: Sheffield Wednesday one two years ago, and then all it
Speaker 1: gets remembered for is like rightly because of the incredible
Speaker 1: comeback against Peterbourg in the playoffs. Its salvaged it. But
Speaker 1: that was as bad as this Walsall one. So the
Speaker 1: only way that Walshall can save themselves is salvaging promotion
Speaker 1: by any means, whether it's playoffs or whatever. We spoke
Speaker 1: about Sundler doing it. Maybe warsawlargest preparing for the playoffs.
Speaker 1: We've made such a mess of this, so let's just
Speaker 1: try and finish in the top seven and rebuild doing it.
Speaker 1: Russell Martin from last year winding gymmy up four games
Speaker 1: to go and now prepared for the playoffs.
Speaker 3: You're in the top three.
Speaker 1: Maybe they think it's top two. Yeah, well it's not.
Speaker 2: A winning ten. I was just counting then they've only
Speaker 2: one too of the last seventeen.
Speaker 1: So in mid in mid January, I think it was
Speaker 1: maybe MK Dongs or someone they beating mid January, they
Speaker 1: went fifteen points clear at the top. Yes, the the
Speaker 1: asterix is that Nathan Lowe who was their top scorer
Speaker 1: and really flying not recalled by stoked in't they And
Speaker 1: then he's kind of had a little go and then
Speaker 1: is even making the squad at times now, which is
Speaker 1: obviously frustrating for them, But even then you'd expect to
Speaker 1: win more games than you had done. It was a
Speaker 1: weird period, wasn't it? Because was it roughly around the
Speaker 1: time they played Alfredton in that FA Cup game the
Speaker 1: season before last last season where the fans weren't convinced
Speaker 1: on Sadler at all? Two seasons there was kind of
Speaker 1: that period, weren't there. And then it's kind of been
Speaker 1: this weird redemption arc and now we're back on the
Speaker 1: other end of it. They play Harrigert Hope this week.
Speaker 1: Overlook at Harrigan have got nothing to play for. They're
Speaker 1: not going to go down the nine points clear with
Speaker 1: twelve to play for and not significantly but a comfortably
Speaker 1: better goal difference. Yeah, and the cardiacra for Jesus Christ
Speaker 1: should be half looking at that levered sewel Harrigan. I
Speaker 1: know it's the most extreme because they were top of
Speaker 1: the league. I mean it must have been the fifteen
Speaker 1: points clear, must have been close to twenty points to
Speaker 1: fourth place. Well, it's just not that out of the
Speaker 1: ordinary for that to happen in league too over the
Speaker 1: last few years. It's crazy because Barrow last season they
Speaker 1: did exactly the same, having that just massive fall, and
Speaker 1: then they carried it on this year and looked like
Speaker 1: they're going to get relegated and ended up changing manager.
Speaker 1: Donnie did it the other way around last year it
Speaker 1: looked like they're going to go out of the Football
Speaker 1: League and then managed to charge all the way up
Speaker 1: and should have probably got promoted. So it is a
Speaker 1: batshit crazy division, isn't it, Because basically everybody is shit.
Speaker 1: So if you can get on a good run, then
Speaker 1: you'll get promoted, and if you get on a ship run,
Speaker 1: you'll get relegated. Really much in between any games that
Speaker 1: we'd want to include it, the only one I kind
Speaker 1: of had noted down was Wimbledon thirteen to tend to
Speaker 1: beat Chesterfield. I know that's going to women are because
Speaker 1: form has been slightly contrasting in recent weeks. Wimbledon really
Speaker 1: strong at home for large parts of the campaign. I
Speaker 1: know they've kind of dropped off with a few draws, etc.
Speaker 1: Chesterfield have been winning away, although need to get slapped
Speaker 1: by rejuvenated Tranmere in that last away game. It was
Speaker 1: just that that the price for me jumped out a
Speaker 1: little bit compared to kind of the other fixtures. And
Speaker 1: Wimbledon are in that that group of teams who you know,
Speaker 1: one eye a little bit over your shoulder on the
Speaker 1: top seven, but then also one eye on the top three.
Speaker 1: They are three points away with a better goal difference
Speaker 1: than Walsall now as well, so they'll have one eye
Speaker 1: on the automatic promotion picture even though there are only
Speaker 1: four points inside the top seven. That's how kind of
Speaker 1: close in compact is at that end. I think it's
Speaker 1: just for me. I know, nobody's consist and maybe that's
Speaker 1: why we are largely trying to stick out of League two.
Speaker 1: But in home games, I'd got to be looking at
Speaker 1: these teams to kind of win those games. And Chesterfield
Speaker 1: only four points themselves in n Outside of that top seven. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I think if Wimbledon win this then it is there
Speaker 1: still to play for on the top three. But you
Speaker 1: can breathe a bit of a sigh of relief. Okay, well,
Speaker 1: we know we're going to be at least in the
Speaker 1: playoffs and we've got a shot a promotion.
Speaker 2: No.
Speaker 1: I knew it would be a tough sell this one,
Speaker 1: I think, to be honest, an occasion in the League
Speaker 1: two is going to be a tough sell. But in
Speaker 1: terms of the slate and what was there one that
Speaker 1: I kind of immediately drew my eyes. I think that
Speaker 1: everybody suggestions for this division are probably going to get
Speaker 1: a similar reaction. So I do have a I was
Speaker 1: shocked that I do have a couple that I like,
Speaker 1: not even don't hate. Really the first one I think
Speaker 1: is going to have mixed reviews because of yeah, because
Speaker 1: of Trammere and managing to have a bit of an
Speaker 1: upturning form and obviously they're quite ridiculously comeback to draw
Speaker 1: three all last week, but both that was incredible. By
Speaker 1: the way, if you've not seen it, go and see
Speaker 1: Calavin Lee Will. I'm not sure if we can show
Speaker 1: but the celebrations after the third goal we un believe
Speaker 1: they were so good because the accrington kind of open
Speaker 1: air away and that you've got and the cliched limbs
Speaker 1: around that gets kind of over. It was incredible though,
Speaker 1: Like I've not seen a goal celebrated that well in
Speaker 1: quite a while. Yeah, all three of the goals that
Speaker 1: go and seek that absolute world is as well there.
Speaker 1: It's that not only have you come back to draw,
Speaker 1: you've scored three absolute screamers to do so, So definitely go
Speaker 1: and see that if you haven't already. Only nuts. So
Speaker 1: the two games that I lie the linked really so
Speaker 1: Donnie go to Trammere and you can get the odds
Speaker 1: against twenty one to twenty. Donnie are one of the
Speaker 1: few teams that are actually in good form League two.
Speaker 1: But more importantly, they beat shit teams. That's what they've
Speaker 1: consistently done this season. They beat the ship and then
Speaker 1: they drop points against decent teams, whether it be ones
Speaker 1: at the top of the league or even like upper
Speaker 1: mid table. So you even go back over Donnie's most
Speaker 1: recent results and the most recent wins. They've lost one
Speaker 1: game since the fifteenth of February, but the most recent
Speaker 1: wins they beat more can beat Acrington beat Newport, so
Speaker 1: two of those we are away, one at home, beat
Speaker 1: Carlyle at home, beat shelding them away, then the other
Speaker 1: games drawing with Wimbledon, Salford, Alsaw Crew, Swindon, all just
Speaker 1: solid teams and narrow defeat away at Bromley. It's just
Speaker 1: very black and white their season. They beat the shit.
Speaker 1: There's just that's the reason why they're not promoted is
Speaker 1: because they can't get results against anybody else consistently, So
Speaker 1: that's why I'd be really leaning towards it. The other
Speaker 1: one is Acrington. They play the other team that are
Speaker 1: actually in good form in the division away at Salford,
Speaker 1: and that's nine to ten those who played each other
Speaker 1: in the week back Salford, Salford and Donnie and Drew.
Speaker 1: And it's a simple one. Brilliant form Salford chasing the
Speaker 1: playoffs against Acrington who are in horrific form, surrendering a
Speaker 1: three nil home lead against the side directly against them
Speaker 1: in the relegation battle to draw three all relegation battler.
Speaker 1: It's a fairly straightforward one. So they're the two that
Speaker 1: I actually do like rather than don't even not hate
Speaker 1: any thoughts Jimmy.
Speaker 2: Yeah, no League two in it.
Speaker 1: Jesus, I suppose we just stay clear of League two? Yes, please, please, Well,
Speaker 1: the trouble we have so far is above five to one,
Speaker 1: so we need to add another team somewhere.
Speaker 2: I was just thinking where you were, Well, I was
Speaker 2: just toying over the both of youre waffling about league too.
Speaker 2: I'm not getting involved. Yeah, I thought you've got the
Speaker 2: two options in League one. I would just toying with them.
Speaker 2: And I think if when I get out of it
Speaker 2: and I think back, I think it's good. Needs to
Speaker 2: be Charlton to complete. It might get as close to ten.
Speaker 1: To one, just yeah, just a bit about nine, so
Speaker 1: hopefully we'll get tens on the boost if you wanted
Speaker 1: that other ready.
Speaker 2: And I just think it's more of a sensible play.
Speaker 2: Unless you want to talk some non league national league.
Speaker 1: I've got the one more so this would be in
Speaker 1: Do you know if I was building my own Achad
Speaker 1: no outside in put. I know that they bust an
Speaker 1: Acker two weeks ago. Maybe, well, I think you've got
Speaker 1: to stick with Tom with it ten to eleven to
Speaker 1: beat Soliel. It's one lost in ten, six winsday and
Speaker 1: eight and Solihull have gone to total pot since Andy
Speaker 1: Wing left for Barrow. Last sixteen games lost ten, drawn,
Speaker 1: four one two and Tamworth of the form team in
Speaker 1: that league. They clinched that massive acca that we had
Speaker 1: whenever it was three or four weeks ago as one
Speaker 1: of the additional picks forty to one we've been talking
Speaker 1: about in the office for the couple of weeks before
Speaker 1: that you could get an enormous price on them still
Speaker 1: to be promoted, and it's that there's one of the
Speaker 1: stories of the season. They not told us filled out
Speaker 1: of the FA Cup. They were fantastic against Tottenham, took
Speaker 1: them to extra time. It's not like this is ah,
Speaker 1: this is a team we know nothing about. We know
Speaker 1: that they are an incredibly well drilled team. This isn't
Speaker 1: a huge surprise that they're making this run for the
Speaker 1: playoffs having had an historically good FA Cup run. So
Speaker 1: of all the other ones where I feel like there's asterix,
Speaker 1: is this at that price would be one I would
Speaker 1: be more confident to have in. And you know, if
Speaker 1: they get chinned, they get chinned. But it's not down
Speaker 1: at seven to ten, four to nine and we're scraping
Speaker 1: around to try to fill the acher up. It's similar
Speaker 1: to the to the ones that are more around the
Speaker 1: evens line, and I feel very happy with it.
Speaker 2: Jimmy, Yeah, I like I like Tamworth. I like them.
Speaker 2: I like them.
Speaker 1: I'll be honest. I didn't leave a look at the
Speaker 1: National League fixtures this weekend, but as soon as you
Speaker 1: kind of said it, I went, yeah, I suppose. I
Speaker 1: think they're still in well in PLU contention right of
Speaker 1: the four points it's like three to five points. I haven't
Speaker 1: got the table in front of me, but they're still there. Cliche,
Speaker 1: they're or thereabouts. They're on sixty so four points to
Speaker 1: so they if they keep on the run they're wrong,
Speaker 1: they'll they'll sneak into the playoffs because there's teams you know,
Speaker 1: dropping like a stone are of the playoffs at the
Speaker 1: moment in the National League as well.
Speaker 2: That the thing about wing leaving Solihull and gunners Ship
Speaker 2: is really interesting and I'm just looking Tamworth at home
Speaker 2: against bottom half teams. They've not lost in the drone
Speaker 2: two of one of ten.
Speaker 1: Hen it's a nice price in at nineteen to twenty
Speaker 1: mm hm. And if we included that the ACHA would
Speaker 1: go to Eleven's instead of Charlton.
Speaker 2: Welse.
Speaker 1: I quite like it. There's three solid home picks there.
Speaker 3: I mean, so what would be the AKA then?
Speaker 1: Well, are we like, were we happy with that? We've
Speaker 1: got Burnley, Bristol City, Wrexham and Tamworth and then yeah
Speaker 1: around eleven to one.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I had nagging doubts about Reading and Charlett and
Speaker 2: Ready with a good price but don't mean they're gonna win.
Speaker 2: And then Charleton slightly shorter, but they're probably gonna win.
Speaker 2: But I think Town was a happy or.
Speaker 1: We could add a couple in on the longer list.
Speaker 1: As we said Tamworth like, do you know what I
Speaker 1: mean for you, Yes, because you've been very well behaved today,
Speaker 1: you can have a longer list.
Speaker 2: One.
Speaker 1: The only one that nags me in that in that
Speaker 1: fourfold is is Bristol City. Like Jimmy alluded to, do
Speaker 1: we come out and we're like, it's a good team
Speaker 1: against a good team. I just feel like at that
Speaker 1: price that that we've identified an edge, if you know
Speaker 1: what for gamble with it. I think it's one of
Speaker 1: those that you've got to accept that, yes, we're acknowledging
Speaker 1: the fact that it's a good team against a good team,
Speaker 1: but you've got to take the little edge when you
Speaker 1: spot it. I feel like that's better than going for
Speaker 1: a shorty. Yeah, should we take it?
Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah?
Speaker 1: Well out of here then this week aka for Easter Friday,
Speaker 1: don't let that catch you out. Friday games still taking
Speaker 1: place at three pm though we have two from the Championship.
Speaker 1: We're taking Burnley to beat Watford and Bristol City to
Speaker 1: beat Sundland Interleague one in his top two hopefuls looking
Speaker 1: to finish as runners up to Birmingham is Wrexham to
Speaker 1: beat Bristol Rovers and then from the National League another
Speaker 1: playoff side in Tamworth for home win over Solihull. That
Speaker 1: price around eleven to one. Remember to keep it fun
Speaker 1: never more you can afford, and please gamble responsibly. As
Speaker 1: I said, they're head over to spawn life dot com
Speaker 1: forward slash Football midday on Thursday. It's a different one obviously,
Speaker 1: we're moving everything ahead of day final link to back
Speaker 1: that and enhanced price. Will also have the longer list
Speaker 1: out as well. To get involved in and if you
Speaker 1: haven't already, please follow rates on Apple, podcast, Spotify or
Speaker 1: your chosen podcast provider. We will be back in our
Speaker 1: usual Thursday slots.
Speaker 2: I believe, yes, yeh next week