WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.480 --> 00:00:03.000 Welcome to the Big Blue and Cider and abbreviated edition 2 00:00:03.080 --> 00:00:06.000 of our program because coming up at seven o'clock is 3 00:00:06.080 --> 00:00:09.560 Kentucky Baseball. Darren Hendrick has pregame of the Cats and 4 00:00:09.640 --> 00:00:12.640 Mississippi State at six forty five, but we will be 5 00:00:12.759 --> 00:00:15.279 with you until then. Coming up in just a few minutes, 6 00:00:15.359 --> 00:00:18.000 we're going to visit with a new guest, Dubbs Anderson 7 00:00:18.559 --> 00:00:22.679 of fan Dual TVs to be TVG and he is 8 00:00:22.839 --> 00:00:27.760 from Australia and is quite passionate about horse racing and 9 00:00:27.839 --> 00:00:30.920 about the Kentucky Derby, and we will get his thoughts 10 00:00:31.320 --> 00:00:34.799 on this year's race. There could be more news, but 11 00:00:34.920 --> 00:00:39.359 right now we know this that Mike Roppoli, the guy 12 00:00:39.359 --> 00:00:42.840 who through the years has had some really tough luck. 13 00:00:43.039 --> 00:00:46.640 He had Uncle Moe back in twenty twenty twelve, had 14 00:00:46.640 --> 00:00:49.640 to scratch at Forte, the favorite a couple of years 15 00:00:49.679 --> 00:00:51.880 ago we did a one on one interview with him 16 00:00:51.880 --> 00:00:57.280 prior to the race, had to scratch. And now the veterinarians, 17 00:00:57.320 --> 00:01:03.000 the track veterinarians have scratched this year's Mike Ropoli horse 18 00:01:03.479 --> 00:01:08.200 Grande and Ripoli's stable released and this is through Rapoli 19 00:01:08.280 --> 00:01:12.359 obviously a statement saying the horse has been battling a 20 00:01:12.400 --> 00:01:16.920 slight cracked heel this week has been improving. Todd Pletcher 21 00:01:16.959 --> 00:01:21.040 had the horse x rayed on Monday, clean, they said. Wednesday, 22 00:01:21.120 --> 00:01:23.799 the state vets asked if they could do a pet 23 00:01:23.840 --> 00:01:28.200 scan and Grande had that yesterday. Apparently it was clean. 24 00:01:28.840 --> 00:01:31.920 Rapoli reports that the horse has been training and looking 25 00:01:31.959 --> 00:01:34.560 great on the track all week, said the heel has 26 00:01:34.599 --> 00:01:38.799 been improving and was improved again improved in this morning, 27 00:01:39.319 --> 00:01:42.719 but the vets came in and said they were scratching 28 00:01:42.760 --> 00:01:47.840 the horse despite the clean diagnostics, and Ripoli rites were 29 00:01:47.920 --> 00:01:52.040 very confused and all the clean diagnostics and improvement all 30 00:01:52.079 --> 00:01:55.400 week had them really optimistic. They calls it a rush 31 00:01:55.439 --> 00:01:59.079 to judgment. He said, with a race being tomorrow by Aza, 32 00:01:59.200 --> 00:02:02.319 already is drawn on into the race. And Rapoli said, 33 00:02:02.319 --> 00:02:06.159 we're shocked and confused why this decision was made now, 34 00:02:06.200 --> 00:02:10.719 And he says we were given no real explanation why 35 00:02:10.800 --> 00:02:13.719 the horse was scratched thirty six hours before the race. 36 00:02:13.960 --> 00:02:16.240 He goes on to say, we love these horses. Our 37 00:02:16.360 --> 00:02:19.680 number one concern is safety and welfare and that should 38 00:02:19.680 --> 00:02:23.919 always be the priority. But he said, you know, we've 39 00:02:23.960 --> 00:02:27.039 taken all these tests. We have a great Hall of 40 00:02:27.039 --> 00:02:30.719 Fame trainer and Todd Pletcher and Raapoli said, we're baffled 41 00:02:30.759 --> 00:02:34.400 and confused by what criteria the vets are using to 42 00:02:34.479 --> 00:02:39.520 determine who scratches. So Rapoli out of the race again 43 00:02:39.599 --> 00:02:42.680 and guess what that was the only Todd Pletcher horse. 44 00:02:43.520 --> 00:02:47.599 And that means Todd Pletcher will not be in the 45 00:02:47.680 --> 00:02:50.960 Kentucky Derby for the first time in twenty one years. 46 00:02:51.840 --> 00:02:54.840 Can you have a Derby without Pletcher? He has started 47 00:02:54.919 --> 00:02:59.280 sixty five Derby horses, Rapoli, by the way, over eight, 48 00:03:00.599 --> 00:03:03.719 Pletcher sixty five. He finally won one with street sense. 49 00:03:03.759 --> 00:03:08.639 He sends one another. But Pletcher is the record holder 50 00:03:09.120 --> 00:03:12.199 for most Derby starters and it was supposed to be 51 00:03:13.960 --> 00:03:18.759 a possibility this year. Well, they're all possible. I shouldn't 52 00:03:18.800 --> 00:03:22.319 say that some can't win it, but it's a lot. 53 00:03:22.319 --> 00:03:24.520 We're a lot better off in terms of information now 54 00:03:25.439 --> 00:03:29.280 since the points system began, and their horses running who 55 00:03:29.360 --> 00:03:32.919 belong in the race, whereas back in the day there 56 00:03:32.919 --> 00:03:37.000 are horses that did not belong in the race. So anyhow, yeah, 57 00:03:37.039 --> 00:03:40.400 that's the news from the backside. And by the way, 58 00:03:40.960 --> 00:03:43.639 I had seen where Kenny McPeak was keeping an eye 59 00:03:44.039 --> 00:03:49.000 on his horse and this is a rendered judgment. But 60 00:03:49.879 --> 00:03:52.240 as I go to air, as I pre record this, 61 00:03:52.960 --> 00:03:56.400 there had been no decision made about rendered judgment, but 62 00:03:56.439 --> 00:03:58.919 that could change by tomorrow morning. It may have changed 63 00:03:58.919 --> 00:04:02.960 by now by the time you hear this. But we've 64 00:04:03.000 --> 00:04:06.639 seen horses scratch on Derby Day. The most famous in 65 00:04:06.639 --> 00:04:12.080 my mind, APND back in the nineties, a prohibitive favorite, 66 00:04:12.360 --> 00:04:15.159 and he had a bruised hoof and went on to 67 00:04:15.199 --> 00:04:17.040 win the Preakness and a Belmont as one of the 68 00:04:17.040 --> 00:04:20.720 best horses ever, but never got a shot at the Derby. 69 00:04:21.040 --> 00:04:26.279 But that happens. That's horse racing. So yeah, keep your 70 00:04:26.319 --> 00:04:29.680 eye on the innerweb for updated info. And if you're 71 00:04:30.000 --> 00:04:32.759 a better a gambler, I know you will be on 72 00:04:32.839 --> 00:04:36.199 top of things. Hope you have a big Derby Day. 73 00:04:36.240 --> 00:04:39.680 And again we'll talk with Doubs Anderson coming up after 74 00:04:39.720 --> 00:04:43.319 the break. But there is some news to share with you. You 75 00:04:42.560 --> 00:04:46.759 heard about UK playing Saint John's in the CBS Classic 76 00:04:46.839 --> 00:04:53.680 coming up this Christmas time, Kentucky Purdue in rep Ana 77 00:04:53.920 --> 00:04:58.439 in a preseason game on October the twenty fourth, an 78 00:04:58.480 --> 00:05:03.319 exhibition game, and a lot of way too soon Posters 79 00:05:04.079 --> 00:05:07.680 have Purdue the top team in the country, so Mark 80 00:05:07.720 --> 00:05:10.879 Pope gets a chance to see what he's got in 81 00:05:10.920 --> 00:05:13.279 an exhibition with one of the best teams in America. 82 00:05:14.480 --> 00:05:16.439 And I know you've heard Pop talk about this, but 83 00:05:17.000 --> 00:05:20.480 he wants more college games period. He wants a forty 84 00:05:20.519 --> 00:05:24.240 game regular season. I don't know that that'll ever happen, 85 00:05:24.920 --> 00:05:27.160 but you may see more exhibitions like that. And keep 86 00:05:27.160 --> 00:05:35.199 in mind that same weekend is UK Tennessee at Kroger Field, 87 00:05:35.759 --> 00:05:38.639 so you could have a lot of fun in October. 88 00:05:39.920 --> 00:05:46.120 Kentucky Purdue basketball Friday, Kentucky Tennessee football on Saturday. And 89 00:05:46.240 --> 00:05:50.480 keep in mind that Saturday is the last day of 90 00:05:50.560 --> 00:05:54.040 the keenland Fall Meet. There's some major news coming out 91 00:05:54.079 --> 00:05:57.600 of the NBA, and that is that pop is stepping 92 00:05:57.639 --> 00:06:01.920 down as head coach of the Santencenios. Greg Popovich will 93 00:06:01.920 --> 00:06:04.839 no longer be the head coach, but he will transition 94 00:06:04.920 --> 00:06:08.279 to full time team president. Already in the Hall of 95 00:06:08.360 --> 00:06:11.399 Fame NBA is all time winning. His coach led to 96 00:06:11.439 --> 00:06:15.040 Spurs to five championships. But I guess he'll be the 97 00:06:15.040 --> 00:06:19.000 guy probably who appoints his successor along with the owners. 98 00:06:19.560 --> 00:06:22.639 But Pap is stepping down, and he's a guy who 99 00:06:22.720 --> 00:06:26.680 made the most of the talent that he had in 100 00:06:26.720 --> 00:06:31.439 San Antonio, and now somebody else will inherit one Biyana 101 00:06:31.439 --> 00:06:34.079 and some of the other young guys they have. And 102 00:06:34.160 --> 00:06:37.560 while we're talking coaching, if you follow the NBA at all, 103 00:06:37.600 --> 00:06:40.079 you know the Lakers have been eliminated all kinds of 104 00:06:40.079 --> 00:06:43.360 criticism of the head coach JJ Reddick. He's been a 105 00:06:43.360 --> 00:06:45.399 little bit combative, and why not, you know, I mean, 106 00:06:45.439 --> 00:06:47.639 if guys are coming after you, you can bark back. 107 00:06:47.959 --> 00:06:53.480 I don't mind that. But the word is already in 108 00:06:54.639 --> 00:06:59.040 that he has the support of Lebron James and Luka Donsig. 109 00:07:00.079 --> 00:07:03.160 People talk about how Lebron is the guy who hires 110 00:07:03.160 --> 00:07:06.879 and fires coaches. Well, if that's true, this is huge 111 00:07:06.920 --> 00:07:09.480 for JJ Reddick, even though they just lost in the 112 00:07:09.480 --> 00:07:13.399 first round again four to one to the Minnesota Timberwolves. 113 00:07:14.120 --> 00:07:18.800 But interestingly, one of the comments that Reddick made after 114 00:07:18.839 --> 00:07:24.439 the loss was that the Lakers quote must get into 115 00:07:24.600 --> 00:07:28.920 championship shape. He said, I'll start with the off season 116 00:07:29.439 --> 00:07:32.240 and work that's required in an off season to be 117 00:07:32.360 --> 00:07:36.439 in championship shape. So we have a ways to go. 118 00:07:36.480 --> 00:07:38.600 As a roster so they'll be making changes. But if 119 00:07:38.639 --> 00:07:41.639 you're a Lakers fan, you know he didn't single out 120 00:07:41.680 --> 00:07:47.399 anybody in particular. But one of the knocks on Luca 121 00:07:48.439 --> 00:07:52.279 coming out of Dallas, primarily by people trying to support 122 00:07:52.319 --> 00:07:54.879 the decision to trade him, was it he never got 123 00:07:54.920 --> 00:07:59.560 in shape. Struggle with weight and conditioning and late game 124 00:07:59.600 --> 00:08:06.040 execus cushion was one way Minnesota dominated the Lakers in 125 00:08:06.079 --> 00:08:11.720 the fourth quarter alone. Minnesota outscored LA one twenty seven 126 00:08:11.759 --> 00:08:16.399 to eighty five over those five games. So he might 127 00:08:16.439 --> 00:08:21.480 be thinking Luca, but not saying Luca. You can't knock Lebron. 128 00:08:21.759 --> 00:08:27.240 We know that he spends millions on his body. Luca 129 00:08:27.439 --> 00:08:29.680 might want to try doing the same if he cares 130 00:08:29.720 --> 00:08:32.279 that much. Who knows. All right, coming up next, we're 131 00:08:32.279 --> 00:08:34.279 going to talk about the Derby, gets some picks, get 132 00:08:34.360 --> 00:08:39.080 some betting decisions from Dubbs Anderson a fandual TV. Then 133 00:08:39.120 --> 00:08:41.039 at six forty five we'll step out of the way 134 00:08:41.039 --> 00:08:44.519 for Darren Heddrick. The wildcatch are taken on Mississippi State 135 00:08:45.080 --> 00:08:49.240 down in Stark, Vegas, Mississippi State. Remember now has just 136 00:08:49.320 --> 00:08:52.159 fired as coach, so you don't know what you're gonna 137 00:08:52.159 --> 00:08:57.279 get when the Bulldogs take the field. Maybe they're relieved, 138 00:08:57.679 --> 00:09:02.639 maybe they're upset, maybe they're distracted, who knows, but they've 139 00:09:02.639 --> 00:09:08.080 only won seven conference games in Kentucky right now. Looks 140 00:09:08.120 --> 00:09:10.519 like a team that's not only in the nca Tournament. 141 00:09:11.879 --> 00:09:14.279 But if it keeps winning at the same clip that 142 00:09:14.320 --> 00:09:17.799 it is now, maybe not every game, but if it 143 00:09:17.879 --> 00:09:21.919 keeps finding the success it's had, could be a three 144 00:09:22.000 --> 00:09:25.879 seed and maybe even a two seed in the nca tournament. 145 00:09:26.519 --> 00:09:29.919 Everybody gets in the SEC tournament right now, you've got 146 00:09:29.919 --> 00:09:33.759 to be thinking NCAAA. So big games start tonight. We'll 147 00:09:33.759 --> 00:09:36.279 have that for you coming up right here. Doubs Anderson next, 148 00:09:36.679 --> 00:09:40.120 and then Kentucky Baseball right here on your home for 149 00:09:40.639 --> 00:09:43.200 UK Sports, your number one spot for sports in fact, 150 00:09:43.519 --> 00:09:48.679 six point thirty WLAP Welcome back to the Big Blue 151 00:09:48.720 --> 00:09:51.759 Insider A joined now by a member of the fan 152 00:09:51.919 --> 00:09:54.639 dual Racing Talent. He is a racing analyst and a 153 00:09:54.679 --> 00:10:00.320 sports betting host, Dubbs Anderson. Dobbs, thanks for joining us. 154 00:10:00.320 --> 00:10:02.240 Excited to catch up. I mean, surely is one of 155 00:10:02.240 --> 00:10:05.000 the best weeks in sports, you know, on the betting 156 00:10:05.039 --> 00:10:07.399 side of things, second to none, and I feel like 157 00:10:07.399 --> 00:10:09.799 there's a lot of great storylines coming into this year 158 00:10:09.840 --> 00:10:10.799 is Kentucky Derby. 159 00:10:10.960 --> 00:10:13.559 Oh yeah, and folks, as you could tell, doves not 160 00:10:13.639 --> 00:10:17.159 from around here, you're from Austria. Tell me first of 161 00:10:17.200 --> 00:10:20.159 all before we start breaking down the Derby, how did 162 00:10:20.159 --> 00:10:21.440 you come to be a racing fan? 163 00:10:23.240 --> 00:10:26.879 So, you know, you highlighted my heritage from Australia and 164 00:10:26.960 --> 00:10:31.960 we're a proud horse racing country nation. I've always been involved, 165 00:10:31.960 --> 00:10:33.879 I guess on the book side, on the betting side 166 00:10:33.879 --> 00:10:36.679 of things, and found my way into the I guess 167 00:10:36.759 --> 00:10:40.000 the sports betting landscape here in the States and had 168 00:10:40.000 --> 00:10:42.639 the racing backgrounds. There was a great opportunity to sort 169 00:10:42.679 --> 00:10:45.600 of merged the two together and you know, just sort 170 00:10:45.639 --> 00:10:48.279 of to paint the picture. You know, I've got the 171 00:10:48.279 --> 00:10:51.279 best shop of the world covering racing betting on the 172 00:10:51.360 --> 00:10:53.960 day we hear from Los Angeles in the States, but 173 00:10:54.120 --> 00:10:58.000 back in Australia, racing is up there with you know, 174 00:10:58.200 --> 00:11:02.639 domestic football, so cricket. It's just sort of part of 175 00:11:02.679 --> 00:11:05.559 the culture and you know, ultimately, I think for the 176 00:11:05.600 --> 00:11:07.879 great game of horse racing, we need to try and 177 00:11:07.919 --> 00:11:11.080 get some of the young eyeballs back out there into 178 00:11:11.159 --> 00:11:13.559 the track and certainly back and getting a part of 179 00:11:13.600 --> 00:11:16.120 the big race days, which we always get on Kentucky 180 00:11:16.159 --> 00:11:19.000 Derby Day. It's a monster. Everyone knows the Derby, but 181 00:11:19.360 --> 00:11:21.440 some of the other big days sprinkle around that they'd 182 00:11:21.440 --> 00:11:23.720 be the best part because trust me, I cover all 183 00:11:23.720 --> 00:11:28.279 sports and nothing is as exciting as you know, playing 184 00:11:28.320 --> 00:11:28.799 the Ponies. 185 00:11:28.840 --> 00:11:31.399 It just hits a little different. I'm glad to hear 186 00:11:31.399 --> 00:11:33.840 you said that. Having been born and raised in Louisville, 187 00:11:33.840 --> 00:11:36.279 I've been to the Derby somewhere between forty five and 188 00:11:36.320 --> 00:11:39.039 fifty times. I love it. Unfortunately I'm not going to 189 00:11:39.039 --> 00:11:42.320 get there this year. But one more question is the Derby. 190 00:11:42.679 --> 00:11:45.559 How big a deal is that in Australia the Kentucky Derby. 191 00:11:46.799 --> 00:11:51.919 I'm doing about sixty hours coming up this weekend covering 192 00:11:51.960 --> 00:11:55.080 it for the Australian audience. It's a massive deal. You know. 193 00:11:55.679 --> 00:11:57.919 Back in Australia's got the Melbourne cob which is the 194 00:11:58.000 --> 00:12:00.720 race that stops the nation, and it's it's the same 195 00:12:00.759 --> 00:12:03.559 as what we get here for the Kentucky Derby. You know, 196 00:12:03.840 --> 00:12:07.960 everyone's getting into it. It's about the pageantry, the history, 197 00:12:08.039 --> 00:12:11.919 some of the big storylines and all the biggest strain players. 198 00:12:12.039 --> 00:12:14.919 They come over the Derby week, they're all out there 199 00:12:14.960 --> 00:12:19.159 at Churchill Down, so's it truly is a massive deal. 200 00:12:19.200 --> 00:12:21.120 And I guess you know some of the big names 201 00:12:21.120 --> 00:12:25.159 that we'll discussed. You know, you're Bob Baffers, He's a 202 00:12:25.200 --> 00:12:28.519 household name here, he's an icon. 203 00:12:28.799 --> 00:12:29.000 You know. 204 00:12:29.080 --> 00:12:32.679 Internationally you've now got the Japanese starbread to are trying 205 00:12:32.720 --> 00:12:35.039 to win and swerp on all the big races. They 206 00:12:35.080 --> 00:12:37.480 don't care if it's in Sydney, Hong Kong or out 207 00:12:37.480 --> 00:12:39.759 there in Louisville. So it really feels like it's turned 208 00:12:39.759 --> 00:12:42.320 out to be quite the global game. And we see 209 00:12:42.320 --> 00:12:44.080 them on the breeding side as well. But as long 210 00:12:44.120 --> 00:12:47.120 as you've got so much money on after five million 211 00:12:47.159 --> 00:12:49.679 dollars in the Kentucky Derby, they're going to be coming 212 00:12:49.679 --> 00:12:51.519 from are parts of the world. They want to win 213 00:12:51.559 --> 00:12:53.759 on the biggest stage and this is as big as 214 00:12:53.759 --> 00:12:54.919 he gets. At Churchill Down. 215 00:12:55.440 --> 00:12:58.480 Talking to dub d Anderson FanDuel TV racing analysts and 216 00:12:58.519 --> 00:13:02.279 sports betting host get two of the Kentucky Derby traditionally 217 00:13:02.360 --> 00:13:06.320 has been a really great betting race. Maybe not as dramatic, 218 00:13:06.320 --> 00:13:08.799 although Rich Strike turned out around there a couple of 219 00:13:08.840 --> 00:13:14.200 years ago, but really when the points system came into play, 220 00:13:14.559 --> 00:13:16.759 the chalk began to show up more and more. You 221 00:13:16.799 --> 00:13:19.679 can still get a decent price on a favorite, but 222 00:13:20.039 --> 00:13:23.080 can you tell me, have you figured out yet how 223 00:13:23.120 --> 00:13:27.000 you'd like to maybe with some exotics, maybe try to 224 00:13:27.039 --> 00:13:29.759 beat the chalk or make some money on Derby Day. 225 00:13:30.639 --> 00:13:32.879 Yeah, I think that's the great hall lot. It's going 226 00:13:32.960 --> 00:13:36.600 to be a fantastic cut. Fourteen races in title here 227 00:13:36.639 --> 00:13:39.759 for the Big Sadday Derby guns off a rice number twelve, 228 00:13:39.840 --> 00:13:42.000 so there's a lot of ways to jump in horizontally 229 00:13:42.039 --> 00:13:45.000 around the derby, but you know, within the rice and 230 00:13:45.039 --> 00:13:48.039 it's similar to the same game Poloight you've got exactly 231 00:13:48.080 --> 00:13:51.919 as trifectors super effectors. And it was only as recently 232 00:13:51.919 --> 00:13:54.120 as two years ago that we saw the super effector, 233 00:13:54.159 --> 00:13:56.399 which is the first floor across the finish line, right. 234 00:13:56.480 --> 00:13:58.879 You could have played it for a dollar three hundred 235 00:13:59.039 --> 00:14:02.879 and twenty thousand dollars on return there. Now Rich Strike 236 00:14:02.960 --> 00:14:04.320 a bit of an outlivee but if you look in 237 00:14:04.320 --> 00:14:07.480 the last five years, the favorite tag gone missing, and 238 00:14:07.559 --> 00:14:11.240 now the big storyline for this year is journalism is 239 00:14:11.279 --> 00:14:13.879 the horse to beat. West Coast Warrior coming in from 240 00:14:13.879 --> 00:14:17.200 Michael McCarty and the team and look on paper visually 241 00:14:17.240 --> 00:14:20.360 impressive four wins. We saw it in the seam Phelipe 242 00:14:20.960 --> 00:14:23.759 was tested in the sin Anita Derby now goes over 243 00:14:23.799 --> 00:14:26.639 to church or its looks fantastic in the paddic has 244 00:14:26.639 --> 00:14:29.240 the pedigree, has the price take? What could go wrong? 245 00:14:29.279 --> 00:14:29.440 Now? 246 00:14:29.480 --> 00:14:32.240 For me on a day like this, I have to 247 00:14:32.279 --> 00:14:34.759 play against the chalky if I can find a good reason. 248 00:14:35.120 --> 00:14:38.200 Now the reasons for me? Journalism has only had one 249 00:14:38.320 --> 00:14:40.879 race outside of Breaking the Maiden, where there's been more 250 00:14:40.919 --> 00:14:44.120 than four competitors in that race, so it hasn't been 251 00:14:44.159 --> 00:14:47.159 a massive field. Sign as we're going against Erta recently, 252 00:14:47.519 --> 00:14:50.440 to his credit God journalism the win in that sen 253 00:14:50.519 --> 00:14:52.120 and need to Derby, but also found a bit of 254 00:14:52.159 --> 00:14:56.200 trouble throughout the race amongst a much smaller field. Now 255 00:14:56.200 --> 00:14:58.679 you look at SAT Day, one hundred and fifty thousand 256 00:14:58.679 --> 00:15:01.279 people are going to be out there on track. It's 257 00:15:01.320 --> 00:15:03.440 a lot noisier, there's a lot of commotion. 258 00:15:04.080 --> 00:15:04.240 Now. 259 00:15:04.320 --> 00:15:07.879 Suddenly journalism is taken on a field of nineteen going 260 00:15:08.399 --> 00:15:11.879 a testing distance at a mile and a quarter and 261 00:15:12.360 --> 00:15:15.159 I just think if journalism goes off here at two 262 00:15:15.159 --> 00:15:17.200 to one three to one is your post time favorite, 263 00:15:17.200 --> 00:15:19.559 which I do expect to be the case, and what 264 00:15:19.799 --> 00:15:22.000 has to go in right. It's not just about the 265 00:15:22.000 --> 00:15:24.279 best horse on paper. It's all the other factors. It's 266 00:15:24.279 --> 00:15:27.039 a bit of rating luck that comes into place. I'm 267 00:15:27.080 --> 00:15:27.919 trying to play against. 268 00:15:28.639 --> 00:15:30.120 Oh, I don't blame you at all, and I try 269 00:15:30.159 --> 00:15:32.120 to do it every year. I try to beat the favorite, 270 00:15:32.159 --> 00:15:35.759 although you know, I'll play in maybe a saver here there, 271 00:15:35.759 --> 00:15:37.840 and I like journalism most of all. But you're right 272 00:15:38.240 --> 00:15:40.879 when they come out of that far turn dubs and 273 00:15:40.960 --> 00:15:45.240 hit that wall of noise, you know there are horses 274 00:15:45.279 --> 00:15:47.960 that just cower and then some just plow right through it. 275 00:15:48.000 --> 00:15:51.480 That's the fun part. But really it's that first turn 276 00:15:51.919 --> 00:15:53.240 where you might not be able to win it, but 277 00:15:53.279 --> 00:15:54.039 you can lose. 278 00:15:53.840 --> 00:15:58.279 It right absolutely, And you know the first five seconds 279 00:15:58.759 --> 00:16:01.440 of the race so crucial. And we talk about the 280 00:16:01.440 --> 00:16:04.279 big jockeys, and you know that they get the credit 281 00:16:04.320 --> 00:16:07.480 because they know when the city cup off the pace, 282 00:16:07.559 --> 00:16:09.120 they know when to hit that go but and they 283 00:16:09.159 --> 00:16:11.720 know what's underneath them. Now we always see a pretty 284 00:16:11.759 --> 00:16:14.360 quick tempo in the derby. I think we get that 285 00:16:14.440 --> 00:16:16.720 again coming into this ship now, we're meant to have 286 00:16:16.759 --> 00:16:20.639 the two Baffit runners. Rodriguez has been as scratch. So 287 00:16:20.759 --> 00:16:24.039 with Rodriguez not going, Citizen Ball likely with that inside 288 00:16:24.039 --> 00:16:27.240 starting spot will go forward. And not to be forgotten about. 289 00:16:27.279 --> 00:16:30.480 This is a massive redemption spot for Bob Bafford, been 290 00:16:30.559 --> 00:16:33.519 suspended for three years. The Citizen Ball, the two year 291 00:16:33.559 --> 00:16:36.960 old champ who was best of my journalism last out. 292 00:16:36.639 --> 00:16:38.919 Don't knock on its chances. I don't know if we 293 00:16:38.919 --> 00:16:41.159 were really dialed up for a big one then Bob 294 00:16:41.159 --> 00:16:43.399 Baffett he wants to make a statement on return. I 295 00:16:43.440 --> 00:16:46.360 think Citizen Bulls certainly will be that early pace set 296 00:16:46.480 --> 00:16:48.559 up could be right in the stick of it as 297 00:16:48.559 --> 00:16:51.360 they turned for home. But as you highlighted, it's you know, 298 00:16:51.399 --> 00:16:53.759 every horse is going to have to overcome a bit 299 00:16:53.759 --> 00:16:56.720 of adversity. They're going to have to have that fitness, 300 00:16:56.919 --> 00:16:59.799 that attrition, and you know, as we see time and 301 00:16:59.799 --> 00:17:02.919 time again, the good race horses, they've got characters, the 302 00:17:03.039 --> 00:17:05.839 gun personality, and they're really gonna have to dig in 303 00:17:06.200 --> 00:17:08.279 and show a little something white. You know, we had 304 00:17:08.279 --> 00:17:11.920 that fantastic finish last year. It was Mystic Dan. It 305 00:17:11.920 --> 00:17:13.839 could have gone to Pierraly on it could have gone 306 00:17:13.839 --> 00:17:16.920 to foreby young that were right there, and I expected 307 00:17:16.960 --> 00:17:18.200 to be another close one the ship. 308 00:17:18.680 --> 00:17:21.480 I really like Sierra Leone and I have to admit, 309 00:17:21.519 --> 00:17:23.480 and I know Kenny McPeak. I like him a lot. 310 00:17:23.559 --> 00:17:26.319 He's an election and guy h I was so happy 311 00:17:26.359 --> 00:17:28.880 for him, but I was on Sierra Leone. We're talking 312 00:17:28.920 --> 00:17:33.279 with Doubbs Anderson FanDuel TV racing analysts and sports betting hosts. 313 00:17:33.519 --> 00:17:37.839 You mentioned that journalism looks great, uh, and guys like 314 00:17:37.920 --> 00:17:40.960 you can can watch horses work in the mornings, and 315 00:17:41.000 --> 00:17:44.039 by the way, aren't the mornings great? I love Derby Day, 316 00:17:44.359 --> 00:17:47.359 but the mornings are even better, I think. Uh. But 317 00:17:47.400 --> 00:17:49.960 as any any horse jumped out at you in terms 318 00:17:49.960 --> 00:17:53.359 of what you've seen taking to the track, because that 319 00:17:53.440 --> 00:17:55.160 track has has some quirks to it. 320 00:17:56.319 --> 00:18:00.319 Yeah, it really does. And you know, journalism, it's special 321 00:18:00.359 --> 00:18:02.799 to go off as your favorite on paper looks to 322 00:18:02.880 --> 00:18:05.000 be the best horse in this field, but there's more 323 00:18:05.039 --> 00:18:07.400 that goes into it. I think Burnham Square, who starts 324 00:18:07.440 --> 00:18:12.400 right alongside journalism, has looks fantastic going through the final preparations, 325 00:18:12.680 --> 00:18:15.720 is trained by Ian Wilkes, my fellow Ossie. I know 326 00:18:15.759 --> 00:18:17.680 this would be a great spot. And this is a 327 00:18:17.759 --> 00:18:21.000 runner that you know storms onto the scene winning that 328 00:18:21.039 --> 00:18:23.079 holy ball and then didn't have it in the Fountain 329 00:18:23.119 --> 00:18:25.079 of the Youth and you know a lot of pundents 330 00:18:25.160 --> 00:18:28.039 jump ship, but we finally saw it in the Bluegrass 331 00:18:28.240 --> 00:18:31.359 figured out and I think if there's been any standout 332 00:18:31.440 --> 00:18:34.680 for me, Burnham Square this week has looks very impressive 333 00:18:34.720 --> 00:18:37.359 and you know, certainly not going to lose anything on 334 00:18:37.400 --> 00:18:39.839 the connection side. Yet you hear from me and Wilson, 335 00:18:40.240 --> 00:18:43.039 this is a horse that's actually going to appreciate that 336 00:18:43.200 --> 00:18:45.319 stretch out and distance to a mile and a quarter, 337 00:18:45.359 --> 00:18:47.759 a distance where you know a volk of the field 338 00:18:48.160 --> 00:18:52.000 untested at, untried at. So to hear that from the connections, 339 00:18:52.039 --> 00:18:54.920 Burnham Square twelfth to one on the morning line, I 340 00:18:54.960 --> 00:18:56.839 think is absolutely going to be there right and the 341 00:18:56.839 --> 00:18:59.640 fig of it, and you know, for our regular horse players, 342 00:19:00.079 --> 00:19:02.680 well aware of pace makes the rice. But when we 343 00:19:02.720 --> 00:19:05.200 do get a lot of early speed signed up, there's 344 00:19:05.240 --> 00:19:08.160 always that chance that they could potentially take each other 345 00:19:08.240 --> 00:19:10.759 out of the rice and could open things up for 346 00:19:10.839 --> 00:19:14.279 that big charge down the lane that we saw from 347 00:19:14.279 --> 00:19:17.200 a rich strike. Well watch out for Burnham Square who 348 00:19:17.240 --> 00:19:18.799 can do that and watch out for a couple of 349 00:19:18.799 --> 00:19:22.640 the outside runners in Sovereignty and Standman. I think they're 350 00:19:22.640 --> 00:19:25.240 going to be seeing a bit more play on Rice Day. 351 00:19:25.319 --> 00:19:28.279 More with Doves Anderson and FanDuel TV. When we come 352 00:19:28.319 --> 00:19:31.920 back on the Big Booing Sider six thirty WLAP Welcome Back. 353 00:19:31.920 --> 00:19:35.839 We're talking with Doves Anderson fan Duel TV about tomorrow's 354 00:19:35.920 --> 00:19:40.519 Kentucky Derby. I'm also curious though about lux Or Cafe. 355 00:19:41.160 --> 00:19:45.160 The American Pharaoh called one of the Japanese horses. It 356 00:19:45.279 --> 00:19:47.839 just seems like one of these years a horse coming 357 00:19:47.880 --> 00:19:50.559 through Japan's gonna jump up. And he won two of 358 00:19:50.559 --> 00:19:54.119 the japan Road to the Kentucky Derby races. Tell me 359 00:19:54.160 --> 00:19:55.720 about them, the seven horse. 360 00:19:56.680 --> 00:19:59.319 Yeah, and I'm glad you asked. You know, my top 361 00:19:59.400 --> 00:20:02.839 selection I've been going on for weeks, maybe months. Luksaw 362 00:20:02.960 --> 00:20:07.079 Cafe is going to take my dollars. 363 00:20:06.279 --> 00:20:06.640 Out of it. 364 00:20:06.920 --> 00:20:10.599 Yeah, I'm that big on Laksaw Cafe. And what has 365 00:20:10.640 --> 00:20:13.000 to that to me is you highlight the trend the 366 00:20:13.079 --> 00:20:16.279 Japanese runners. They're trying to take over the big events. 367 00:20:16.359 --> 00:20:19.440 We've seen it everywhere extent at the Kentucky Derby they 368 00:20:19.440 --> 00:20:22.839 had two of the top five last year and you 369 00:20:22.920 --> 00:20:26.720 look at Forever Young now gone to be considerably one 370 00:20:26.720 --> 00:20:29.279 of the best race sources in the world. So that's 371 00:20:29.279 --> 00:20:32.079 a strong form one. You've got the pedigree for Laksaw 372 00:20:32.200 --> 00:20:35.839 Cafe being the son of American Fearer. It's a ten 373 00:20:35.920 --> 00:20:38.480 year anniversary. Not that we're just going to back off 374 00:20:38.519 --> 00:20:40.920 a bit of a hunch play, but Laksaw Cafe has 375 00:20:40.960 --> 00:20:44.480 won four races in a row, has beaten at My Daytona, 376 00:20:44.559 --> 00:20:48.400 the other Japanese horses Stuns right alongside. It's Joe Marrera, 377 00:20:48.920 --> 00:20:52.799 the magic Man who's dominated the Southern hemisphere from Hong 378 00:20:52.880 --> 00:20:55.279 Kong to back in Australia, and he's going to be 379 00:20:55.720 --> 00:20:58.119 aboard for the ride. And this is a cult that 380 00:20:58.200 --> 00:21:00.880 if you just go off the litmus test from what 381 00:21:00.960 --> 00:21:04.039 we have seen how these past races, there's something really 382 00:21:04.079 --> 00:21:09.119 special here now for Lasaw Cafe has one going left handers, 383 00:21:09.160 --> 00:21:12.720 there's also one going right handers. So just having that 384 00:21:12.880 --> 00:21:17.000 versatility and really that's finished. If whattsall Cafe can just 385 00:21:17.119 --> 00:21:20.319 navigate a middle of the pack run, I think it's 386 00:21:20.359 --> 00:21:23.519 absolutely live to get a big score here on Saturday. 387 00:21:23.519 --> 00:21:26.359 So I think Lasaw Cafe could be still sitdn't there 388 00:21:26.480 --> 00:21:29.799 double digits come kick off, and I think the time 389 00:21:29.880 --> 00:21:33.559 is now that the Japanese finally have their time out 390 00:21:33.599 --> 00:21:37.440 at Churchill Downs. I just think it's a polished look 391 00:21:37.440 --> 00:21:40.559 and race horse. And I don't think we've seen the 392 00:21:40.599 --> 00:21:43.440 same buzz that we saw from Forever Young this time 393 00:21:43.519 --> 00:21:47.400 last year. Why, I really couldn't tell you. I guess 394 00:21:47.480 --> 00:21:49.759 the numbers. You know, it's tough trying to stack up 395 00:21:49.839 --> 00:21:52.759 these international runners to what we have here in the States. 396 00:21:52.799 --> 00:21:56.720 But I think Lasaw Cafe is just still sneaking under 397 00:21:56.720 --> 00:21:57.480 the radar a bit. 398 00:21:58.319 --> 00:22:01.000 Well, I'm glad of you say that. And have you 399 00:22:01.039 --> 00:22:02.680 seen him on the track as you look good? 400 00:22:03.720 --> 00:22:07.839 He looks fantastic. You know, the pedigrees obviously there to 401 00:22:07.960 --> 00:22:11.640