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Speaker 1: This is the best betting show ever. We're here to

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make you money. I'm Lawrence Presman. We got Joveniary, we

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got Art this Caesar, and we got a lot of

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actionable betting information coming your way. And I swear to

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God you're gonna laugh as well. Art, Caesar, Jovenary, Welcome

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to the show. We do this every day. I love

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doing this. I'm excited. There are seven hundred NBA games

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going today, a slate of college hoops. We got the Olympics.

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We're gonna talk some predictive markets, our parlay of the day,

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our best bets in our rundown.

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Speaker 2: Art.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with you right now. Were there any upsets

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in college basketball well or the NBA last night that

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cost the Westgates some cash or made them or may?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I would say, I would say UNC losing always

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is gonna make the book cash. Got some straight bets

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in parlays. You know, Purdue obviously got Lewis as high

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as Purdue getting two too and a half game close pick,

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so we actually saw pretty good Purdue money. So Nebraska

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making the comeback, we were thinking, Okay, maybe we're gonna steal

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this game. So Purdue ended up winning by three, so

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not the best result in the house. But I would

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say anytime you can get UNC to lose and you

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know they were picked minus one whatever it was. You know,

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anytime UNC loses out right always good for the sports book.

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Speaker 3: Well, there is a lot of parody.

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Speaker 4: It feels like, I mean, Illinois losing last night the

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Wisconsin and overtime was also crazy into Illinois. The more

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and more we get like that, the more and more

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of these upsets with these teams that are supposed to

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be untouchable. I mean, you got Florida and Georgia going

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tonight for instance, Boy, that would be another huge upset here.

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Do you have guys just come in and target this

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time of year, like just let's let's have it the

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dogs in college basketball, because on a weekly basis leading

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into March, that appears to be where the money can

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be here because we're getting more and more of them

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as we get closed in a March madness.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, especially when you're deep in a conference play,

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maybe you can zero in on some of the better

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conferences that are deeper conferences. You're right, you know, you

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look at a Georgia night. We'll talk about it in

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the sharp money. There's actually been a lot of Florida

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sharp money early, so that's surprising to me. But you know,

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when you have a team catching a whole bunch of

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points in the sec the Big ten, and they're at home,

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there probably is some value on teams like that.

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Speaker 3: Yeah you Caesar.

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Speaker 1: Joining us from the Westgate art one of our listeners

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A week A week A blah blah blah, he writes, Okay,

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I can sleep tonight knowing the Westgate did well on Sunday.

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Who freaking cares? I thought this was a betting show.

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Speaker 3: Week.

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Speaker 1: That was a weak, bloody comment. Bro, this is a

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betting show, which is exactly why we want to know

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if the bets won or lost, if the place taking

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the bets made money or didn't make money. It seems

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completely appropriate on this show to discuss that exact topic.

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So what that said? Out of the books do last night?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, we did well. It's funny, Presus. I

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saw that comment and I think loled it because you know,

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you get to a point where I think people they

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look at me like I'm the bad guy, like I'm

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here just to give the wrong information. And I'll say this,

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if you think me giving you information on one of

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let's say, seventy college basketball games is gonna swing the

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sportsbook's day. Trust me, I don't have that kind of power.

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I wish I did. I don't have that kind of influence.

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It's just I'm giving you the information that's in front

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of me. That's all I can do. I just think

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it's funny when people get to that point with oh,

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well he's just trying to trick us, okay, yeah, yeah,

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you know yeah.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 3: The problem is is that guys have.

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Speaker 4: They're just so they don't have actually to wear with

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all or the patience to actually try and become a better,

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better They're just interested in the moment. Just tell me

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what I got to play, tell me what's going. They

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have no interest in trying to understand, well, why how

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was this bet? Where did the market go? Why did

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the markt move that way? Was it profitable?

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Speaker 3: Was it not?

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Speaker 4: Is there something we can They're not interested. They just like,

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let me just kind of just tell me what to play,

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and if you're right or if you're wrong, and that's

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all it matters. There is actually no long term game

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plan with dudes like that, res none. They're just here

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for right now.

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Speaker 1: Anyway, week, I still appreciate you watching the show, and

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I appreciate you commenting, so thank you for that. It

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is okay to it is okay to be wrong. I

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it happened to me in seventies six. I think it was. Yeah,

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it was against the Russians. It's against the Russians in

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seventy six. I was wrong one time, and yeah, so

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I've been there a week. I understand art what's bet

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more right now? NBA or college basketball?

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Speaker 2: I would say college basketball. And you know, we're gonna

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get into this little stretch here where the NBA ends

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on Thursday, as we go into a week of NBA

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All Star Games. We're still out in the NHL, so

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college basketball is gonna be front and center here for

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a full week with really nothing to compete. So I mean,

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we're gonna be heavy on the college basketball here coming up.

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But I say, even with them going against each other,

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it seems to me like we take a little bit

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more handle nowadays on college and I think that has

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to do with just what's going on in the NBA.

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You don't know who's gonna play day in and day out.

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There's so much volatility with that. Unless you're gonna really

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just say, hey, I'm to be the one who's gonna

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sniff out when the injuries are gonna happen, when people

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are gonna say all that type stuff and play the

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schedule game. It's really that's kind of the way people

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want to bet the NBA.

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Speaker 4: Now, yeah, uh, the NBA careful, careful, I just if

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you're looking at you know, I think it's twofold here.

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And we mentioned this the other day. You gotta be

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careful with these lottery teams moving forward for the rest

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of the year. There are anybody that's been watching college basketball,

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Prez knows that this year's crop of players that are

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going to be eligible for the draft. You know, it's

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not just the number one or number two guy and

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than who cares like there is legit. You know, eight

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to ten guys coming out of college this year that

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could change a franchise for the better. So there is

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more reason for a lot of these teams. And I

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notice no tanking in the NBA cordet, so never that's

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why the lottery, Yeah, that's why you know, uh, you know,

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ping punk balls, I get it. But the reality is you,

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I mean, how would you like to great I'm a

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Washington Wizards fans. I just got two legit all Stars

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and you're never gonna see them play the rest of

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the way. Utah is only gonna play their guys for

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three quarters. Like you gotta you gotta know this ahead

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of time before you start, especially betting the NBA early are.

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The difference between what you're seeing overnight money versus where

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it ends up is just it's crazy how much the

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price difference is. You're almost nuts to bet the NBA

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overnight at this particular point for what you can't.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and we were a few years ago. Now now

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it's absolutely made sense to get ahead of teams. Teams

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like Utah literally announce a tank and still win their games.

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Speaker 3: Yeah exactly, well, yeah exactly.

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Speaker 1: You can't even tank correctly in the NBA. B It's

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just it is a strange, strange situation. But I will

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say this, Joe, such an easy way to fix the tanking.

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The team who is first out of all the non

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playoff teams gets the first pick, and then the last

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team onwards gets two, three, four, five, and six. It's

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just it's like loading a plane back to front. There

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are just so many things that are so easy to fix.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, well, I press The problem is you need to

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get the and I don't know how you do it,

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and I don't think it's possible. But this generation of

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NBA player, you know, could you imagine a time the

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Kolby Bryant, Like if Kolbe Bryant was a part of

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the Lakers and saw the shit they pulled last night

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where on the second of a back to back, right

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on your own home court, you got one of the

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top teams that the West coming into your building. You

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just lost to the backups of OKC the night before.

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You think you'd have a little motivation come into the

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All Star break to put you know, let's let's try.

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Speaker 3: What do they do?

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Speaker 4: They set everybody in that game and Wemby had twenty

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five points in eight minutes to start that game. It's

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a it's a thirty point blowout. And you're watching dudes

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named like what Bronni. You're expecting to see Lebron and

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you get Bronni James playing in the game. Drew Timmy like,

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come on, man, I mean it's not even it's ridiculous.

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Did you imagine Koby being like, I'm just gonna guys,

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it's a scheduled loss. I'm gonna take the night off

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here and schedule We're good to go. This is a

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scheduled loss here tonight.

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Speaker 1: I don't think why don't they just not play the

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game at this point, we'll just call it a schedule.

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Speaker 4: Long I'm cut the eighty two games into like, there's

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no reason I have eighty two games. Then if you're

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just gonna keep allowing teams to schedule that these losses,

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just go ahead. Just cut it back to sixty five

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games is something.

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Speaker 1: You're good to go, guys, let's move our attention too

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sharp bets for today art Obviously we've got an absolutely

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enormous NBA card and college basketball card and yeah, some

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Olympics along the way. So any important things we need

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to know, any major bets being taken by you.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely, we're gonna go NBA and then we'll go college NBA.

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They took six and a half with the Hawks at

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the Hornets. Man, the Hornets were laying a big number.

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Their power rating has really shot up here in the

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last two weeks, rightfully so. But they did take the Hawks.

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Piston's at Raptors. They took under twenty four and a

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half now to twenty three. They took the Blazers plus seven.

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That's now five and a half. They are at Minnesota

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tonight college basketball. Lasal took money at home plus thirteen.

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That's now eleven and a half VCU. As I mentioned

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Florida big money minus seven and a half, minus eight

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and a half, it's now nine and a half at Georgia.

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So they hit it twice, which you know you're approaching

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almost double digits in that game. Buffalo was a one

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point dog overnight. They're at ball State. They're now a

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one and a half point favorite in that game off

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sharp money, and then Marshall saw pretty good under money

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under one fifty five, now one fifty two in that game.

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I believe they're playing Old Dominion.

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Speaker 3: Kind of crazy off the off the beaten pass.

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Speaker 4: Now, how are you seeing when it comes to overnight

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money in the college basketball art? Are you seeing still

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the same uh, the same amount of handle with be's

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coming in overnight on college which is you know, you

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gotta worry less about who's actually going to be playing

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in college the next day.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, as opposed to the NBA.

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Speaker 4: But are you seeing a lot of or is it

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just the same old, same old guys bent in the

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overnight lines and looking to try to push it one

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way or the.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that's usually what it is. Srure, Like,

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we have one account who I don't think I've ever

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seen him make a bet day of game. He only bets,

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only bets college overnight, right, and his stuff's pretty good.

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So he bets a lot of overnight college and then

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you never see him again. So it's crazy. Like you said,

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he's trying to push a number maybe one way or

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the other, or he's really feeling good about his information

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or the spot that he's betting. So you see accounts

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like that, you know, there's not a ton of overnight stuff.

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I don't want to sit here and say we you

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know we take hundreds of bets overnight. We really don't.

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It's just, honey, you have to have overnight numbers out

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because everyone else has them. That's really the way it is.

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Speaker 3: Does it happen in baseball to art?

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Speaker 4: Do you get a lot of overnight action guys trying

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to get out in front of the number in the MLB?

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Or is it about the same like in college ares

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a handful of guys.

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Speaker 2: I would say it's the same. You have one or

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two guys who are looking to do that even too,

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I mean, you know, not bait. Not that baseball has

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a ton of guys who are always resting, but maybe

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they're looking in that type of Well, okay, you know

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these teams, this guy is a lot of day, yeah,

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waiting for lineups, things of that nature. So you see

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a little bit of that with our overnight baseball and listen,

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that's why overnight lines are always limited, right. You know

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you're not gonna get a full, you know, full bet

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on an overnight market. You're just not. I mean, that's

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why we have to limit the overnight bets because of.

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Speaker 1: That art the caes you are joining us from the

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West Gate. Guys, hit that like button, do it right now,

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right the second hit the like but subscribe to our channel.

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Make sure to comment art. Listen, there's a very good

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chance my best bet today is going to be on

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the Washington Wizards. They are plus seventeen. Well, Joe, I

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don't I think this is a horrible spot with Cleveland

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And I'll tell you, I'll talk I'll talk about it

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later in the best bet section. But Art, I want

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to know, we don't see a plus seventeen very often.

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Speaker 3: No, I know, for the All Star Game apprable.

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Speaker 1: What type action are you taking on this game?

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Speaker 2: I mean on something on something like that, press the

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only bets you'll see or one of two ways. You'll

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see people who take the chance with the seventeen and

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then you'll have the can on all the all the

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money line parlays. They're gonna lay twelve dollars with Cleveland

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and put them in their five to six, seven eight teamers. Now,

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I will say this, when you have the Wizards, who

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are gonna be basically anywhere from seven to eight to

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one on the money line, you'll see some ten dollars

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bets on that, you know what I mean. You're not

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gonna see nickel and dime bets on that, but you're

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gonna see people who are just in the book for

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the night and they're like, you know what, I'll put

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twenty bucks on the Wizards. Maybe they'll win the game,

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you know, I mean, you'll see that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna we're gonna be talking about the Wizard

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Cleveland game throughout the show. Joe Nira, You've got a

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new segment for us predictive markets and guys, this is

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this is Kelshi and the rest of them absolutely enormous

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volume bet in the predictive markets on a daily basis.

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We're going to tackle this, Joe, How are we doing this? Dude?

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We're doing guys aren't And I have no preparation here.

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We don't have a clue what Joe's plan is.

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Speaker 3: So what kale us? You know?

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Speaker 4: So what we've gotten over obviously the last month or so,

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obviously leading into the Super Bowl? As I told you,

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you know, places like Calshie and Polly Mark and now

289
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all over the place. Their sites got crashed on the

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Super Bowl Sunday because of the amount of action.

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Speaker 3: A lot of people are not.

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Speaker 4: They don't seem to understand the concept of it or

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what it is and what's separated. What's it different from

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walking into the Westgate compared to what it is here?

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Speaker 3: How do you compare the odds?

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Speaker 4: So let's just take a couple of these marks markets here, Prez,

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and I'll get your guys thoughts on it, and then

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we'll do the math and figure out if it makes sense.

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Does it make more sense to go into the Westgate

300
00:16:08,399 --> 00:16:10,240
and bet it with art? Is the number better there

301
00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:13,720
or is it better to go through the predictive markets.

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And the first one is if you were going to

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00:16:15,919 --> 00:16:19,919
better Stanley Cup champion right now, who's going to win it?

304
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The Colorado Avalanche are your favorite? Yes, at twenty six cents.

305
00:16:26,879 --> 00:16:29,559
So to put that in perspective, pres if I bet

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Colorado one hundred bucks right now, I get three sixty

307
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five in return.

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Speaker 3: Okay.

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Speaker 4: If I think the Colorado Avalanche Tampa Bay Lightning are next,

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that's sixteen cents. That's a big difference between in the

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future market Colorado to Tampa Bay. Who do you think

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first press is gonna win it?

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Speaker 3: Here?

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Speaker 4: If you were gonna bet somebody, just a guy and

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win the Stanley Cup right now, is it just Colorado?

316
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Speaker 3: And is that a cheap price in your mind right now? Yeah?

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00:17:00,399 --> 00:17:04,119
Speaker 1: So plus three point fifty at DK, what are you

318
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at art, We're at Avalanche plus three hundred three to one? Okay, Okay,

319
00:17:11,039 --> 00:17:17,160
So I putting all odds aside as in forget about

320
00:17:17,160 --> 00:17:20,640
what's going to find the best value. Colorado is going

321
00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:23,319
to win the Stanley Cup. This is a historically good

322
00:17:23,319 --> 00:17:26,160
hockey team, and I don't even think they're done yet.

323
00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:28,200
I think there's going to be a few trades along

324
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the way. So I mean, from my perspective, I think

325
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you're almost out a situation where it's Colorado in the field.

326
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That's how much better they are than everybody else. I

327
00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:42,559
don't think we've ever seen a team that is so dominant.

328
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Now things are going to change. You know, Vegas is loaded,

329
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:51,359
and if they could get goaltending, I think Vegas from

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a value perspective at plus eight hundred might be.

331
00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:56,559
Speaker 3: The best bet.

332
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Speaker 1: But man, I am not sold on their goaltending. Their

333
00:18:00,519 --> 00:18:04,160
defense is lacking. But hey, the trade deadline is not

334
00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:09,519
there yet, so you know, I need to reassess after

335
00:18:09,559 --> 00:18:12,720
the trade deadline. But if everything stays exactly the way

336
00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:17,079
it is, okay, all of out, it's Colorado or nothing.

337
00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:18,480
Speaker 3: What about you, Art?

338
00:18:18,599 --> 00:18:21,680
Speaker 4: Is there any value in anybody outside of Colorado to you?

339
00:18:21,759 --> 00:18:24,119
Speaker 3: Do you? I mean, is it just Colorado or Bust

340
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or the field?

341
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Speaker 2: Like Press says, I'm with Press, I think it's I

342
00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:30,720
think it's Vegas to Golden Knights. We actually have them

343
00:18:30,839 --> 00:18:33,559
ten to one. Wow, I mean you look, you look

344
00:18:33,559 --> 00:18:35,720
at the Knights that, yeah, we have them at ten

345
00:18:35,759 --> 00:18:37,279
to one.

346
00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:42,559
Speaker 4: Ten to one, Well, tell you Calsh is nine cents,

347
00:18:42,559 --> 00:18:44,839
so one hundred dollar bet wins me one thousand and

348
00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:48,039
forty four. So it's a it's about it's about a

349
00:18:48,119 --> 00:18:50,599
nine to one bet they are at Calshi. But here's

350
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:52,599
the thing, guys, and this is the thing that makes

351
00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:56,599
predictive markets totally different. If I framed it like this

352
00:18:56,880 --> 00:19:00,759
art and I said, listen, I could bet Colorado right

353
00:19:00,799 --> 00:19:03,319
now twenty six cents, but I don't need for the

354
00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:07,359
outcome to happen to get paid because at any point

355
00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:11,160
between now and actually who wins it, I can can't.

356
00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:13,240
It's like a stock pras I can cash it out

357
00:19:13,279 --> 00:19:15,839
at any time. So does it make sense to get

358
00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:16,839
Vegas at nine?

359
00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:17,279
Speaker 3: Sense?

360
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:19,160
Speaker 1: It's so interesting And.

361
00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:21,200
Speaker 4: If they make a run, can I cash it out

362
00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:23,119
of twenty five cents? If they make it there?

363
00:19:23,759 --> 00:19:29,319
Speaker 1: So it's so interesting, guys, because the bigger question is

364
00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:33,279
should you be cashing these tickets out? Rather than can

365
00:19:33,359 --> 00:19:38,359
you worse you can't, I would argue that you should

366
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:42,400
never cash these tickets out. I would argue that the

367
00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:47,160
whole concept of cashing tickets out is a is a

368
00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:51,559
negative if you are a successful better And we talk

369
00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:55,960
about this when we talk about hedging bets or arbitrage

370
00:19:56,039 --> 00:20:01,279
or any of that stuff. If you if you got

371
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:03,880
a if you have a good bet in your hand,

372
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:07,279
don't muck it up by cashing it out. I never

373
00:20:07,519 --> 00:20:10,640
cash out in game bets. You know, when you have

374
00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:13,599
like a you know, Seattle minus five and a half

375
00:20:13,599 --> 00:20:17,039
with the Super Bowl or up by fourteen, and you

376
00:20:17,079 --> 00:20:21,680
can cash the bet out. No, you are leaving money

377
00:20:21,759 --> 00:20:24,599
on the table if you cast these bets out.

378
00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:27,960
Speaker 3: I believe you. I think you are. I'm making money

379
00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:29,599
by cashing it out. I'm not.

380
00:20:30,039 --> 00:20:33,559
Speaker 4: I'm absolutely I could bet like you said, Press, I

381
00:20:33,599 --> 00:20:38,279
could get Tampa Bay Lightning at sixteen cents, Carolina ten cents,

382
00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:42,000
Vegas at nine, Edmonton at eight, Minnesota at six. I

383
00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,359
can bet all five of them and wait for them

384
00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:48,759
to gain ten cents by making a run at Colorado, and.

385
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:50,960
Speaker 3: Then cash it all out and Colorado still wins.

386
00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:53,799
Speaker 4: And you know what, I invested in five other teams

387
00:20:53,839 --> 00:20:56,119
like you said, to the field, and I didn't have

388
00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,559
to wait, by the way till June to cast my

389
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:00,839
money out. I could have gotten out at any time

390
00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:01,640
and made a profit.

391
00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:03,680
Speaker 1: All right, I'll go to you because I want your

392
00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:06,759
thoughts on this. So I understand what Joe is saying,

393
00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:10,599
But that is a different show. That's not a sports

394
00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:13,759
betting show. If you're going to be buying these tickets

395
00:21:13,759 --> 00:21:17,960
and cashing them out, that's a whole different model. That's

396
00:21:18,079 --> 00:21:18,880
you playing.

397
00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:24,559
Speaker 4: You're an ark. That's what that pence predictive markets. That's difference.

398
00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:29,319
Speaker 1: And what I'm saying is that makes you a day trader.

399
00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:33,160
You can make money, it's great. But if you're if

400
00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:37,240
you believe that you could hit fifty four percent across

401
00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:40,519
a thousand bets over a long period of time, don't

402
00:21:40,559 --> 00:21:43,799
you dare cash out a bet and buck up that math?

403
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:48,240
Speaker 4: Ever, Well, no, you're never gonna get that kind of

404
00:21:48,279 --> 00:21:50,720
return on a cash out bet anyway. You're only that

405
00:21:50,799 --> 00:21:54,279
the numbers are awful as far as going right exactly this.

406
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:57,279
You don't have to tie up capital and wait for

407
00:21:57,319 --> 00:22:00,720
the event to happen. You can actually make your profits

408
00:22:00,759 --> 00:22:03,640
and move on and reinvest in something out And I got.

409
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:04,240
Speaker 3: No problem with it.

410
00:22:05,640 --> 00:22:07,359
Speaker 1: It's just not what we do.

411
00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:09,240
Speaker 3: What are your thoughts correct?

412
00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:12,680
Speaker 2: I actually think you're both right in the sense. Joe's

413
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:15,240
right when you look at futures, if you want to

414
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:17,279
bet it that way and just take your profits, like

415
00:22:17,279 --> 00:22:21,119
you said, it's great for futures because if you're making

416
00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:25,680
a bet, let's say early in the NHL season October, November, December,

417
00:22:25,799 --> 00:22:27,319
and then, like you said, you gotta wait all the

418
00:22:27,319 --> 00:22:29,759
way to mid June to catch it. You could have

419
00:22:29,799 --> 00:22:32,839
four or five teams take your profit, move on, reinvest

420
00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:36,880
somewhere out. So yeah, when you come to futures, I

421
00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:39,279
love that because I'm a big futures player, so I

422
00:22:39,279 --> 00:22:41,960
think that's great. But Press, you're right on the daily stuff.

423
00:22:42,559 --> 00:22:44,359
I'll say this, and you know, obviously I'll probably get

424
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,240
killed in the comments for this, but if you're a

425
00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:49,480
sports book and you're offering something to someone like a

426
00:22:49,559 --> 00:22:51,160
cash out, it's probably not.

427
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:52,319
Speaker 3: Good for the play ye.

428
00:22:55,880 --> 00:23:02,319
Speaker 1: Warranty. Yeah, that's when the blackjack dealer asks you.

429
00:23:02,279 --> 00:23:06,880
Speaker 2: If you want to insurance like you no, no, you don't,

430
00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:09,720
you don't do it. I totally agree. But like I said,

431
00:23:09,759 --> 00:23:11,759
I think both can be right, and I think the

432
00:23:11,839 --> 00:23:15,240
future stuff is definitely you could be a guy or

433
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,119
a girl who moves your your money into that field

434
00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:20,799
and says, hey, let me just start kind of investing

435
00:23:20,839 --> 00:23:24,039
in futures and taking my profit you know, week in,

436
00:23:24,519 --> 00:23:26,680
you know, week out, month and month out, whatever the

437
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:28,519
case may be. I think that's a fun way to

438
00:23:28,559 --> 00:23:29,559
attack futures.

439
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:31,839
Speaker 4: The only way I would do it because I don't

440
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:33,599
have to wait for somebody to get hurt.

441
00:23:33,759 --> 00:23:36,799
Speaker 3: I don't I agree you buy low, you say it.

442
00:23:37,319 --> 00:23:39,759
Speaker 4: So the whole point of this was due for those

443
00:23:39,799 --> 00:23:42,319
that have not dove into the cow season. But you

444
00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:45,119
keep hearing about it, and if you've ever wondered, well,

445
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:47,000
what the hell's the difference between that? Or why don't

446
00:23:47,039 --> 00:23:50,640
I just walk in somewhere and throw it down at fandol, Well,

447
00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:53,680
here's the difference. The difference is you're buying low, you're

448
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:56,480
selling high, and you you don't have to wait for

449
00:23:56,559 --> 00:23:59,960
the outcome. And it sometimes I mean major league based

450
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:03,759
right art thirty three cents right now for the Dodgers

451
00:24:03,759 --> 00:24:07,640
to win fourteen cents for Seattle, ten cents for New

452
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:11,319
York and your Toronto Blue Jays there, Prez, I could

453
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:15,240
bet them right now at seven cents right that they

454
00:24:15,279 --> 00:24:19,359
are actually going to be the world champions this year

455
00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:22,640
at seven cents. So I'm buying in right now. If

456
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:24,920
it happens at seven cents, one hundred dollar bet is

457
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:28,480
thirteen forty one. But again, my goal isn't for them

458
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:31,079
to actually run the table. My goal is for them

459
00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:33,759
to get the thirty cents brands right or thirty five

460
00:24:33,839 --> 00:24:36,240
cents and get the hell out and then look for

461
00:24:36,319 --> 00:24:41,039
something else. But that's the whole concept of Calci and

462
00:24:41,079 --> 00:24:43,759
polymarket versus Joost Joe.

463
00:24:43,799 --> 00:24:46,920
Speaker 1: Interestingly enough, and we'll get into some other stuff as well.

464
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:50,039
Kelcey Wise, what we're finding out is that the odds

465
00:24:50,079 --> 00:24:53,480
are very similar, so DC as Toronto Blue Jays at

466
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,960
plus fourteen hundred, which is basically what you said. Yeah,

467
00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,960
so really there is very little difference in the odds.

468
00:25:00,759 --> 00:25:03,519
But the real advantage is that you can sell your

469
00:25:03,559 --> 00:25:06,960
bets early. And I do like that concept in a

470
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:12,599
future's environment, but I hate that concept in a daily environment.

471
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What other kelshake questions do you have for us?

472
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:15,200
Speaker 3: Well?

473
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,559
Speaker 4: And you have it because when you go to different

474
00:25:17,599 --> 00:25:21,480
things like, for instance, we'll go to how about crypto

475
00:25:21,599 --> 00:25:24,839
for instance, because you're a big crypto here today?

476
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:27,079
Speaker 3: Ready, so right now.

477
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:30,799
Speaker 4: Will bitcoins brice today come at time of recording, we're

478
00:25:30,839 --> 00:25:34,359
about twenty minutes away here from noon eastern. Right at

479
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:39,720
noon eastern, will it be over sixty six five or over.

480
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:43,200
Speaker 3: Sixty six two fifty? What do you think? How would

481
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:43,519
you bet?

482
00:25:43,599 --> 00:25:45,680
Speaker 4: Is it going to continue to rise or continue to fall.

483
00:25:45,759 --> 00:25:46,880
You're over the next twenty.

484
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 1: Minutes continue to fall. I would bet under sixty sixty fifty.

485
00:25:52,839 --> 00:25:56,319
Right now it is sixty six three two seven. It

486
00:25:56,440 --> 00:26:01,839
was sixty seven ten minutes ago. So I think it

487
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:05,240
is going to fall. I actually think it's going to

488
00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:09,400
plummet over the next few months. But that's all the question,

489
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,920
and I don't I'd like to be wrong on that.

490
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:17,400
Remember in nineteen seventy six against the Russians yep marked out? Today?

491
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:21,519
Is it real chance I'm wrong again today? Please let

492
00:26:21,559 --> 00:26:22,160
me be wrong.

493
00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:24,880
Speaker 4: Well, let me ask you this, BRIT's how low will

494
00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:29,519
bitpoint get in February below fifty seven to five or below.

495
00:26:29,279 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 1: Sixty below fifty seven to five? Please let me be wrong?

496
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:37,039
Speaker 4: Twenty nine cents right now at that market you can

497
00:26:37,079 --> 00:26:39,720
cut in and you're looking at a one hundred dollar

498
00:26:39,799 --> 00:26:40,960
ways and a win three oho eight.

499
00:26:41,839 --> 00:26:44,440
Speaker 1: There you go. I think that's a reasonable ben. I

500
00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:45,440
actually think it might go.

501
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:49,440
Speaker 3: You don't have to tie it up for more than yeah,

502
00:26:49,519 --> 00:26:51,240
you know, two weeks.

503
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,039
Speaker 1: Joe, I think is there is there alternate lines at

504
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:57,079
Kelshi alternately?

505
00:26:57,160 --> 00:27:01,680
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, absolutely, tell me what you're thinking. I think it's.

506
00:27:01,559 --> 00:27:03,839
Speaker 1: Going to go below forty five.

507
00:27:04,079 --> 00:27:07,039
Speaker 4: Okay, below forty five, let's say, all right, so below

508
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,799
fifty is ten cents, below forty is four cents.

509
00:27:10,799 --> 00:27:12,240
Speaker 3: Present there you go.

510
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:17,119
Speaker 1: Uh, listen again. I hope I'm wrong. I hope I'm wrong.

511
00:27:17,559 --> 00:27:20,039
Speaker 4: Friends, between now, over the next two weeks, the lower

512
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:22,400
it drops, the more money you're gonna make.

513
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:24,680
Speaker 3: If you're below forty thousand dollars.

514
00:27:24,960 --> 00:27:28,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I want to be wrong. Okay, I know

515
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:31,319
I want it to be over one hundred thousand.

516
00:27:32,319 --> 00:27:33,039
Speaker 3: That's a lot.

517
00:27:33,079 --> 00:27:36,839
Speaker 4: The predictive markets are all about. It's get in by low,

518
00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:39,279
wait for the market to go into your favor, and

519
00:27:39,319 --> 00:27:42,559
then a decision, Get in, get out, all right.

520
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:44,559
Speaker 1: I feel like Joe's just about to give out an

521
00:27:44,559 --> 00:27:46,880
affiliate code to Kelshay No.

522
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:49,640
Speaker 4: And by the way, Polly market is different odds too,

523
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:51,720
by the way, to cats the same thing we always say,

524
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,519
shot and get the best numbers around. There's more, Yeah,

525
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:58,160
there's more than one place. Everybody's getting into this. And

526
00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:01,960
if you're a serious sports banner, this is the way.

527
00:28:02,079 --> 00:28:02,359
Speaker 3: I mean.

528
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:06,039
Speaker 4: I would never make a future bet in a book anymore.

529
00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:11,160
But I would never make I would only look in

530
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:12,519
in these markets only.

531
00:28:13,319 --> 00:28:15,400
Speaker 2: I'm starting to think that way. I'm a futurest guy.

532
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:16,839
I have a ton of futures work in.

533
00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:17,519
Speaker 3: Why not.

534
00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:21,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you because that's always the problem and

535
00:28:21,799 --> 00:28:23,039
it's right.

536
00:28:23,279 --> 00:28:25,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, Nate.

537
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:29,440
Speaker 1: McKinnon gets injured tomorrow, get out of your bet.

538
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:33,839
Speaker 2: That's like a like small sample size. Let's say you

539
00:28:33,839 --> 00:28:35,960
bet the Hornets two weeks ago to win their division.

540
00:28:36,079 --> 00:28:36,480
Speaker 3: Correct.

541
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:39,559
Speaker 2: Now, you probably made quadruple your money on the Hornets

542
00:28:39,559 --> 00:28:40,359
to win their division.

543
00:28:40,519 --> 00:28:40,839
Speaker 3: Correct.

544
00:28:40,839 --> 00:28:43,599
Speaker 2: I mean you probably really profited and they probably won't

545
00:28:43,599 --> 00:28:45,440
win their division. You're like, let me get out, now,

546
00:28:45,519 --> 00:28:47,279
take my profit and reinvest.

547
00:28:47,519 --> 00:28:47,599
Speaker 1: Ye.

548
00:28:48,279 --> 00:28:52,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, well, we'll let me ask you this the art

549
00:28:52,759 --> 00:28:55,200
real quick here, just to give you something on a

550
00:28:55,319 --> 00:28:59,160
compare apples apples. Let's go to the PGA Tour for instance, right,

551
00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:03,400
Pebble Beach. Scotty Scheffler to win Pebble Beach this week

552
00:29:03,559 --> 00:29:06,680
most places, what three to one, four to one, something

553
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:11,839
along those lines, Yeah, five to two right somewhere along yeah, right,

554
00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:15,240
So basically you could lock in on Scotty Scheffler to

555
00:29:15,279 --> 00:29:19,240
win this thing, right, the PGA Pebble Beach Tournament here

556
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,240
and all he's got to do is be leading after

557
00:29:22,279 --> 00:29:25,440
the first or second round, and there it goes. That

558
00:29:25,519 --> 00:29:27,440
number is gonna go right, So you don't have to

559
00:29:27,519 --> 00:29:30,240
wait until the outcome of the game. You'll be able

560
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,720
to lock him in no lower than fifty five sixty

561
00:29:33,759 --> 00:29:36,119
cents if we get to the weekend and he's within

562
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:37,799
one or two strokes of the league.

563
00:29:38,559 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 3: Yeah.

564
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:42,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I mean, speaking of golf, could you could

565
00:29:42,039 --> 00:29:45,480
start doing that with majors you mastered by Yeah, you

566
00:29:45,559 --> 00:29:47,640
buy three to five guys and then by the time

567
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:49,960
they tee off, correct, you've probably made money on the

568
00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:51,960
guys if you can know the way they're going to

569
00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:54,039
be playing heading in and you bet a guy at

570
00:29:54,079 --> 00:29:56,160
forty to one and when he teas off he's twenty

571
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:58,839
five to one. Yep, Hey, you probably made some money.

572
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:01,240
So you could do that too with the majors. Probably

573
00:30:01,279 --> 00:30:03,240
the same thing in tennis. Maybe not as much in

574
00:30:03,319 --> 00:30:06,279
tennis because obviously the men's the top two guys, but

575
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:09,200
maybe in the women's yep, why not that.

576
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:12,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, men's tennis is a little bit of a mess

577
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:12,799
right now.

578
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:18,759
Speaker 4: It's a little bit of influence there. But my point is, guys,

579
00:30:18,799 --> 00:30:21,440
there's a lot of different ways. This just opens up

580
00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:23,880
the ability for you to be able to profit in

581
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:27,400
different ways in different markets among the same things. So

582
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:30,440
and plus it offers all the other markets that, like

583
00:30:30,519 --> 00:30:33,119
you said, Art, I can't bet on the color at

584
00:30:33,119 --> 00:30:35,920
a Gatorade in Vegas, like I can't bet on who

585
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,880
the next governor of this state or that state is

586
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:39,279
gonna be.

587
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,400
Speaker 3: You can do all that on these predictive markets here.

588
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:50,960
Speaker 1: And we're gonna do this. We're gonna talk predicted markets regularly, guys, Joe.

589
00:30:51,279 --> 00:30:54,799
We will be still taping in thirteen minutes, so we'll

590
00:30:54,799 --> 00:30:57,599
know whether we want to lost that bitcoin back. Correct,

591
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:02,839
We've got now down to sixty one eighty we're in

592
00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:06,400
right now. Yeah, so we got twelve. I again, I

593
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:08,839
want to be wrong. I want to be wrong. Let's

594
00:31:08,839 --> 00:31:11,119
turn our attention to the parlay of the day, and

595
00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:16,359
I'm sticking with the Washington Wizard at plus seventeen. Art.

596
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:20,400
Speaker 2: Interesting, I'm gonna lay six and a half with am

597
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,720
at home against Missouri.

598
00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:24,920
Speaker 3: Joe, Oh, your dirty dog.

599
00:31:26,519 --> 00:31:29,720
Speaker 4: It pains me to do this, but I gotta bet

600
00:31:29,799 --> 00:31:33,960
New Orleans over Miami tonight the NBA. It's the third

601
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:38,119
and fourth for Miami and the fact that they literally

602
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:42,160
were being handed the opportunity to win that game, and

603
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:45,319
they didn't against Utah. They they're running out of steam

604
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:49,079
right now. And again, no, Norman's already out. I don't

605
00:31:49,359 --> 00:31:52,079
is Tyler Herro even in the league anymore. I don't know.

606
00:31:52,319 --> 00:31:56,000
Wiggins is still hurt. So yeah, I think New Orleans

607
00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:58,039
at Home might be the play here tonight.

608
00:31:58,119 --> 00:32:03,119
Speaker 1: Unfortunately, there aren't anything to promote.

609
00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:05,920
Speaker 2: Now. I mean, listen, this is a great show. I

610
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:08,880
think we had we found a new fun segment. And

611
00:32:08,960 --> 00:32:11,200
unfortunately I'm not on the show tomorrow, but I am

612
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,240
back Friday, so I'll see everyone Friday.

613
00:32:13,599 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 1: Oh, there you go, Art to Caesar. Everyone guys hit

614
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:19,480
that like button. Please, And also, now that NFL and

615
00:32:19,519 --> 00:32:21,880
college football are behind us, put up in the comment

616
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:24,200
section what you'd like to hear or see on the show.

617
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:28,119
Any segments that you think would be worth doing, Any

618
00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:31,720
conversations you want us to have let us know, put

619
00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:34,160
it up in the comment section. We still got lots

620
00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:37,279
more show to go. We got our best bets. I'll

621
00:32:37,319 --> 00:32:39,799
be doing a rundown, so will Joe, and of course

622
00:32:39,799 --> 00:32:42,640
we'll end the show with the mail bag section.

623
00:32:42,839 --> 00:32:47,079
Speaker 3: Joe. Right now, I'm for business, I'm for business.

624
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:52,680
Speaker 1: Brother, seventy nine dollars one week of all our college

625
00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:58,200
basketball places is a buy one, get one offer. I've

626
00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,880
lost my last two winning night last night in college hoops.

627
00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:06,000
We're down one since Monday on this program. That means

628
00:33:06,079 --> 00:33:08,319
it's a great time to buy. I got a college

629
00:33:08,319 --> 00:33:12,000
basketball play up tonight that I absolutely love, and Joe

630
00:33:12,039 --> 00:33:15,400
and I are gonna kill it in college hoops moving forward.

631
00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:18,720
We have been over the last month. So guys, please,

632
00:33:18,759 --> 00:33:21,240
seventy nine dollars, you get a week of Joe's college

633
00:33:21,279 --> 00:33:24,359
basketball and a week of my college basketball. It's a

634
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,640
really great offer and we should be profitable by the

635
00:33:27,759 --> 00:33:29,720
end of it all. So yeah, head over to Joe's

636
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,319
page or my page, take advantage of the buy one,

637
00:33:32,359 --> 00:33:36,119
get one offer, and that's it. That's it with me, dude.

638
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:39,440
I got two NBA and one college hoops going tonight.

639
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:40,119
What about you?

640
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:43,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, gotta love it there, Yeah, take advantage of it, guys.

641
00:33:43,039 --> 00:33:43,359
Hop on.

642
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:47,480
Speaker 4: I've got two college basketball plays ready to roll, as

643
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:51,680
well as two NBA plays up and ready to go

644
00:33:51,759 --> 00:33:54,319
here on a loaded card here tonight in both so

645
00:33:54,519 --> 00:33:58,079
take advantage and get not one, but well really two

646
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:02,039
of us here tonight. Some great opportunities and some great

647
00:34:02,079 --> 00:34:04,319
value on this board here tonight. So visit us over

648
00:34:04,359 --> 00:34:07,640
at wager talk dot com. Get that bogo going here,

649
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:08,960
buy one, get one prize.

650
00:34:09,039 --> 00:34:13,519
Speaker 1: Let's do it, Joe, it's twelve oh five, brother, Uh

651
00:34:13,559 --> 00:34:17,760
sixty five, nine sixty six. I was right on bitcoin

652
00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:25,000
being's it forty. I'm upset that I was right, but uh,

653
00:34:25,039 --> 00:34:27,159
and nobody could take advantage of it either, because the

654
00:34:27,199 --> 00:34:30,320
show wasn't up online anyway. Let's get too out.

655
00:34:30,519 --> 00:34:32,239
Speaker 4: It just proves our points. You could have got in

656
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:34,760
and got out and welcome to the predictive market.

657
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:38,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly, Joe. I got three NBA bets. I want

658
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:41,280
to give out two of them on the rundown one

659
00:34:41,480 --> 00:34:46,519
right now. My best bet is Washington plus seventeen against Cleveland.

660
00:34:46,559 --> 00:34:49,559
And let me bottom line this year, guys. Look, obviously,

661
00:34:49,679 --> 00:34:51,639
Cleveland's one of the best teams in the league and

662
00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:55,000
hot as hell. They just won four straight. They won

663
00:34:55,519 --> 00:34:58,559
nine of their last ten, and they beat some good

664
00:34:58,599 --> 00:35:02,159
teams along the way. They speat Denver one nineteen to

665
00:35:02,199 --> 00:35:04,840
one seventeen. But if you watch that game, it felt

666
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:08,840
like Cleveland was just about to regress slightly. And I

667
00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:11,280
think this is a bad spot for them. They're coming

668
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:14,880
over from a five game West Coast road trip. I

669
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:18,000
don't want to bet these East Coast teams on the

670
00:35:18,079 --> 00:35:22,159
first game back of a West Coast road trip. They

671
00:35:22,199 --> 00:35:25,119
do not normally do well, and on top of that,

672
00:35:25,679 --> 00:35:30,239
they have to win by seventeen points. This has let

673
00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:34,159
down written all over them. They're tired from the road trip,

674
00:35:35,119 --> 00:35:38,400
they're unhappy that they're back with their women. They're in

675
00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:42,519
a letdown spot. They don't care about Washington, and Washington

676
00:35:42,559 --> 00:35:46,599
has not been horrendous. I mean, it's not like they're

677
00:35:46,599 --> 00:35:49,360
on some nine to ten game losing streak. They didn't

678
00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:52,480
beat Detroit, they didn't beat Sacramento. They have won two

679
00:35:52,519 --> 00:35:56,719
of their last five games. I think Washington's gonna keep

680
00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:57,199
it closer.

681
00:35:57,320 --> 00:35:57,559
Speaker 3: Joe.

682
00:35:57,639 --> 00:36:00,840
Speaker 1: I'm telling you, this is way too big enough, horrible,

683
00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:03,199
horrible spot for Cleveland.

684
00:36:04,079 --> 00:36:06,000
Speaker 3: I like that Prez a lot.

685
00:36:06,199 --> 00:36:10,800
Speaker 4: In fact, all right, so you've got although lesson let's

686
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:14,280
face it, I mean, it's a lot of points on

687
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:16,199
any given day, whether they're back or not.

688
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:17,280
Speaker 3: But I agree with you.

689
00:36:17,400 --> 00:36:19,840
Speaker 4: I think there's I think there's some big time value

690
00:36:20,519 --> 00:36:24,000
in that play there, all right. My best bet here today,

691
00:36:24,639 --> 00:36:28,400
pres let me get that set up. Here is going

692
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:32,760
to be in college basketball. We'll go to college hoops here,

693
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:36,280
and I think I like Ohio State to get it

694
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:41,039
done here today against USC. Listen, anytime you get USC

695
00:36:41,159 --> 00:36:45,239
crossing the country, it's never a good thing here.

696
00:36:45,519 --> 00:36:46,000
Speaker 3: USC.

697
00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:48,840
Speaker 4: They are one and four in Quad one games so

698
00:36:49,039 --> 00:36:52,559
far this year, but this would go a long way

699
00:36:52,599 --> 00:36:57,480
into securing their spot into March madness here. Not to

700
00:36:57,519 --> 00:37:00,519
mention at eight of their last nine games have been

701
00:37:00,559 --> 00:37:04,000
decided by six points or less. But the problem is

702
00:37:04,400 --> 00:37:08,119
they're gonna be missing likely Chad Baker Mazzara, their best

703
00:37:08,199 --> 00:37:11,559
player here, really the heart and soul of this team.

704
00:37:12,159 --> 00:37:14,960
I think that they're gonna be able to come up

705
00:37:15,119 --> 00:37:18,400
just a little bit short once again, and ultimately the

706
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:22,480
frustration level like we usually see with USC, especially when

707
00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:24,719
they have to come to the east side of town,

708
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:30,000
is not good here. I think Ohio State has enough firepower.

709
00:37:30,039 --> 00:37:33,199
They've been very good at home. They are owing seven

710
00:37:33,199 --> 00:37:36,840
in Quad one games. They have missed a few opportunities

711
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:38,960
to get a big one. I think they get it

712
00:37:39,039 --> 00:37:42,559
done here tonight. I think they get USC and I

713
00:37:42,599 --> 00:37:46,119
think they are on their way to solidifying another big

714
00:37:46,199 --> 00:37:48,880
ten heading the march madness here, Prez.

715
00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:52,480
Speaker 1: Joe, let's move to the NBA rundown. I got two

716
00:37:52,519 --> 00:37:55,360
bets for you guys. The first is in the Milwaukee

717
00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:58,440
Bucks Orlando Magic game. And look, these guys played each

718
00:37:58,480 --> 00:38:00,800
other two days ago, went under the total one to

719
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:05,039
eighteen ninety nine. It was a blowout with the Magic,

720
00:38:05,079 --> 00:38:07,280
and I think we're going to see another under tonight.

721
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:11,239
The line is two twenty and a half. And look,

722
00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:14,960
the bottom line here is the element of surprise is gone.

723
00:38:15,119 --> 00:38:17,599
These teams know each other. We've seen this over and

724
00:38:17,639 --> 00:38:20,920
over again. These short revenge games tend to play to

725
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:24,280
the under. The defense will be tighter, the rotations will

726
00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:30,239
be sharper, the easy buckets should disappear. I think this.

727
00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:32,880
I know two twenty and a half eels low in

728
00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:35,800
this day and age. I don't want to overthink this.

729
00:38:36,039 --> 00:38:40,079
Even if Wagner plays thirty minutes tonight for Orlando, his

730
00:38:40,159 --> 00:38:42,840
efficiency is likely going to regress. He's not going to

731
00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:46,840
be shooting sixty percent from the field forever. Take the

732
00:38:47,039 --> 00:38:50,800
under and the Atlanta Hawks. They're playing Charlotte tonight. Plus

733
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:54,800
five and a half for Atlanta, and I like the dog.

734
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:57,559
The market is reacting to an injury report and a

735
00:38:57,800 --> 00:39:01,280
venue change. But the maths doesn't add up here. We

736
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:03,519
are getting five and a half points with an Atlanta

737
00:39:03,559 --> 00:39:06,079
team that has just played the same Charlotte squad to

738
00:39:06,159 --> 00:39:11,199
the wire on Saturday. And don't get old g huddled

739
00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:16,159
over questionable tags Jayalen Johnson, Dyson Daniels. They missed the

740
00:39:16,199 --> 00:39:20,000
last game against Minnesota. I expect them both to play tonight.

741
00:39:20,079 --> 00:39:23,280
The market is pricing them out or hurt. I think

742
00:39:23,280 --> 00:39:25,480
we're going to see them on the floor. The bottom

743
00:39:25,519 --> 00:39:28,199
line here, Joe is I'm not overthinking this. Not only

744
00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:32,280
do I think Atlanta can win this game, but I

745
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:35,119
get five and a half points, I'm taking them, Joe,

746
00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:36,079
what's going on?

747
00:39:36,800 --> 00:39:40,559
Speaker 4: I like you, Screw you Charlotte and your winning streaks

748
00:39:40,599 --> 00:39:44,360
over anyway, All right, Prez, let's talk some college troops

749
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:48,719
and i's some big matchups, some big opportunities for teams

750
00:39:49,119 --> 00:39:51,239
that might be on the bubble here, and I think

751
00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:54,760
Texas A and M is looking first and foremost to

752
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:57,199
try and wash that taste out of their mouth from

753
00:39:57,239 --> 00:40:01,199
getting absolutely boat raced by the universe City of Florida

754
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:04,360
over the weekend. They are home again. They are taking

755
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:08,480
on Missouri here tonight. And it's interesting because we've seen

756
00:40:08,519 --> 00:40:10,280
a lot of tickets and money coming in on A

757
00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:13,639
and M so far today, but it hasn't really moved much.

758
00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:16,119
Speaker 3: Six and a half is the number.

759
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:20,519
Speaker 4: Listen, Bucky Ball, Bucky McMillan, new head coach of the Texas.

760
00:40:20,199 --> 00:40:20,559
Speaker 3: A and M.

761
00:40:20,559 --> 00:40:24,239
Speaker 4: Maggie's I don't know anybody that had them sitting right

762
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:27,840
now with sixteen wins on the season, seven to three

763
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:33,480
in the SEC standings, a game behind Florida. But they're

764
00:40:33,519 --> 00:40:36,880
taking on this Missouri team who's also on the bubble.

765
00:40:37,320 --> 00:40:39,800
But they're gonna be an underdog here, and they've got

766
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:43,400
absolutely no perimeter defense. And if it's the one thing

767
00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:46,559
that we know about A and M, they shoot thirty

768
00:40:46,599 --> 00:40:50,880
seven percent from three, even better at home. Florida was

769
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:55,079
a terrible defensive matchup for him. Missouri gonna be much easier.

770
00:40:55,119 --> 00:40:57,320
Not to mention, Missouri doesn't hit a ton of threes.

771
00:40:57,599 --> 00:41:00,840
Missouri loves to play inside the paints. Hate to break

772
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:02,679
it to them here they can have all the paint

773
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:06,400
points they want. Three is more than two in Texas

774
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:09,679
A and M. Fifteen and eight against the number. Yeah,

775
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:13,679
meanwhile nine only nine covers in twenty three games from

776
00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:15,920
Missouri this year. I think A and M has the

777
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:18,800
math in their favorite pres and I think they get

778
00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:23,599
it done and don't sleep on Pepperdine here tonight. Saint

779
00:41:23,679 --> 00:41:26,400
Mary's opened up as a twenty five and a half

780
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:29,960
point favorite, and now we're starting to see that tick down,

781
00:41:30,079 --> 00:41:33,960
much like we saw it happen with Houston yesterday against Utah.

782
00:41:34,079 --> 00:41:36,679
They were up to an eighteen and a half point favorite.

783
00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:40,360
That game closed down to sixteen and a half. Yeah,

784
00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:42,440
and they didn't get the cover. They did get to win.

785
00:41:42,519 --> 00:41:45,480
I think the same thing happens here tonight with Pepperdine

786
00:41:45,559 --> 00:41:47,039
staying within the number.

787
00:41:47,079 --> 00:41:50,320
Speaker 1: There, Prez Joe, let's get to our mailback section of

788
00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:52,719
the show. One of our listeners, Roy says, pres he

789
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:56,400
loved the Olympic segment. He wants Olympic bet every single day.

790
00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:59,079
So yeah, brother, I got one for you of Finland

791
00:41:59,119 --> 00:42:05,119
taking on Canada tomorrow in women's hockey. That's Thursday, over

792
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:10,239
five and a half. I absolutely love this play over

793
00:42:10,519 --> 00:42:13,880
five and a half on the Canada Finland women's hockey

794
00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:19,239
game tomorrow. So thank you, Roy. There you go. Not

795
00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:21,639
a lot of comments to respond to.

796
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:23,679
Speaker 3: Joe.

797
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:26,320
Speaker 1: So yeah, guys, if you want to, if you want

798
00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:29,199
to get involved in the show, you want to put

799
00:42:29,280 --> 00:42:32,320
up some comments, we'll talk about them. Kelly Vincenzo best

800
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:35,360
show on wager Talk. Whole bunch of other people commenting

801
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:38,400
about how great the show is. Thomas Fenel gave an

802
00:42:38,519 --> 00:42:43,559
update on our records as well. Check that out. Other

803
00:42:43,639 --> 00:42:47,360
than that, brother, really soft day in the comments section yesterday.

804
00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:48,760
Let's hope we're a better one today.

805
00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:52,559
Speaker 4: Listen, and any of the predictive markets that you guys

806
00:42:52,639 --> 00:42:55,440
are interested in or want to know more about, drop

807
00:42:55,559 --> 00:42:58,480
them in there and we'll cover those each and every

808
00:42:58,519 --> 00:43:02,719
week here for whether it's whatever you want to do,

809
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:08,840
whether it's entertainment, whether it's sports related, or any of

810
00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:13,440
the trending topics, culture, crypto, climate, economics, whatever it is,

811
00:43:13,840 --> 00:43:16,360
drop it in there, guys, and we'll see and point

812
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:18,199
you in the right direction and see if we can't

813
00:43:18,559 --> 00:43:23,000
make it a very profitable day of predictive markets trading there.

814
00:43:23,079 --> 00:43:23,760
Speaker 3: Prez has that.

815
00:43:24,559 --> 00:43:27,199
Speaker 1: There you go, my brother, awesome fun show. Everyone will

816
00:43:27,239 --> 00:43:30,079
see you tomorrow. Steve Berroll will be joining us. Thanks

817
00:43:30,079 --> 00:43:32,960
for watching the best betting show ever. Hit that like button.

818
00:43:33,039 --> 00:43:37,880
Subscribe to our channel Joe Kick as tonighte bro oh

