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Speaker 1: You are alive, my friend.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to Wager Talk Day, to the gold standard of

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sports betting shows where we talked to talk would definitely

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walk the walk. It is Wednesday, mid week, board is loaded.

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Ralph Michaels has got two college football games. Are gonna

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break down, get you an edge there. Teddy Covers is

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gonna join in and break down some baseball games. We

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got Blue Jays, Yankees, Phillies, Dodgers, and then we're gonna

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do this line makes no sense. I'm gonna try and

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convince Teddy that there's a line that is way off

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in the NFL. It's It was a great five dollars

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Tuesday for myself and for clients. If you guys joined

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it on that play. First off, thank you very much.

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In second, I hope you're enjoying the money. It was

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a wild, wild night on Contender series, biggest bet of

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my entire life last night. It was great. It was

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a great, great night. So but we're gonna get started

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with Ralph Michaels. We're gonna bring in Ralph here and

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talk about some teams that Ralph. I'll just be honest,

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I have not watched one second of some of these

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teams here, but doesn't mean there's not an edge here.

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So we're gonna get your started with Missouri State and

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Middle Tennessee. How do you break this game down? It's

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a two point spread for Missouri State over under fifty.

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Tell me something about these teams, because I know nothing

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about these guys, Andy.

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Speaker 3: What's really exciting is from now to Thanksgiving, we basically

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almost have football every day. Match can starts next Tuesday

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and Wednesday. CUSA schedule these zerarly season games. So I

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love October for football because, as you said, you know,

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if there's an injury in Alabama Missouri, we all know

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about it. If there's an injury in this game, and

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we're gonna talk about it. Keeping me off Tonight's game

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is something that you have to dig a little deeper for.

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First off, it is Missouri State their first year in

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the FBS heading to Middle Tennessee State. Oh yeah, By

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the way, Middle Tennessee State has not won an FBS

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game at home.

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Speaker 4: Since November eighteenth, twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 3: That's almost that's almost two seasons they have not won

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an FBS game at home. You look at their stat profile,

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Missouri is number one twelve in yards per play diff.

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And I like looking at yards per play diff the

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offensive minus the defense. Yes, minus one twelve is not good.

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Number one twelve is not good. But they've played the

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number sixty three schedule. Middle Tennessee State is actually number

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one hundred and twenty four minus one point two to

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three yards per play. Not only is that twelve spots

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worse than Missouri State, but they've played a schedule that

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is fifty eight spots lower. They've played one of the

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weakest schedules. That's a big edge for me. When you

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look at Middle Tennessee State on offense, they're number one

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hundred and twenty one, averaging only three hundred and sixteen

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yards per game, and they get sacked very often, allowing

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eighteen sacks this season. I look at Middle and they

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are coming off a home loss to Marshall where they

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out gained as a favor by seventy six yards. They

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went to Keenness State minus one turnover, had a yard

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a jedge, but lost to a pitiful Knnessas State team

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twenty four to sixteen, their only.

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Speaker 4: Win on the season.

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Speaker 3: They went out to Nevada beat the wolf Pack, but

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they were outgained by seventeen yards. The only reason they

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won that game by one point was because of a

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wolf Pack turnover. Now Missouri State, this game likely would

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have been a four percent play for me.

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Speaker 5: Guys.

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Speaker 4: That's how much I do like this.

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Speaker 3: Going to USC and losing by sixty in the season opener,

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no concern at all for me. In your first FBS

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game that you're transitioning in. Going to Marshall in game

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number two, pulling the upset was impressive. They lost by

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eighteen against SMU at home, but they were only out

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gained by one hundred and twenty yards.

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Speaker 4: Not a bad loss. They blow out U. T.

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Speaker 3: Martin like they should, forty two to ten, and then

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last week against Western.

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Speaker 4: Kentucky only fail to they failed.

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Speaker 3: They lost that game by only five points, so statistical

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profiles better. The situation is better because they've been home

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for three straight games, but again, the only thing keeping

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this from being a best bet is the quarterback injury. Now,

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Jacob Clark is a stud. You look at his percentages

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sixty seven percent this year.

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Speaker 4: He looked like what was a horrible.

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Speaker 3: Knee injury last week against Western Kentucky. That's part of

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the reason they lost that game. He had his leg

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in a brace. He was using crutches. He sat out

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the second half. They said he was likely going to

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be out, and they switched to day to day midweek.

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But the problem is this, if Clark does not go,

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then it's true freshman Deuce Bailey who played his first

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game yesterday and then really struggled in that first game,

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only seven to sixteen for forty four percent completions. With

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that situation, it's a pass for me. But since I

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can't load it as a play, I will tell you this.

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If you tune in the TV tonight and you see

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J Bob Clark is playing and starting the game, I

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would jump on Missouri State. If not, it's a pass.

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Speaker 2: All right. A great breakdown there, Ralph. And we're gonna

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go to couple teams again I don't know that much about.

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That's why we bring you in East Carolina versus Tulane.

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And then after that we're gonna go over some trends

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and some angles in the NFL. And this week's NFL

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trended angles is gonna blow your guys' mind, because it

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blew my mind here.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: We got Tulane minus six and a half over under

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fifty three and a half. How do you break this

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game down?

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Speaker 3: You know, I am an East Carolina fan this year,

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and I look at what they've done. You know, beating

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Army last week was impressive to me, one hundred and

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forty one yard per game edge, And actually it wasn't

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last week. They are coming off a bye. In fact,

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they haven't played since two thursdays to go when they

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beat Army. You look at the Pirates their losses this

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year to BYU, there are minus two turnovers, only out

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game by fourteen yards per game. At NC State they

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lost by seven. They were only eight out game by

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ten yards per game. This is a team I like.

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The problem is Tulane has won twenty three of their

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last twenty five conference games. They have a coach who

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knows how to win, in John summer All in his

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second season here. They're only loss a good loss at

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Mississippi where they.

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Speaker 4: Lost by thirty fo eve points.

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Speaker 3: But I say a good loss because they've beaten those

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teams they care about.

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Speaker 4: They do have a strong home field.

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Speaker 3: I do like the small stadium they playing out, and

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we saw it against Duke when.

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Speaker 4: They did allow four hundred and fifty two yards to

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the Blue Devils, but.

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Speaker 3: They won that game thirty four to twenty seven, and

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Duke did have several penalties because of the noise in

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that situation.

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Speaker 4: Statistically, when I break it down, East.

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Speaker 3: Carolina much better yards per play diff number forty two

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versus eighty eight, but Toulane a much better schedule thirty

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one versus eighty five. So when that occurs, you've got

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to take a look at which you feel is stronger

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based on the strength of schedule.

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Speaker 4: But I like East Caroline in the situation.

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Speaker 3: You have three wide receivers that all have between twenty

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two and twenty eight catches. All three of those receivers

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have between three hundred and three hundred and fifty two yards.

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Speaker 4: They're all averaging over twelve and a half yards per carry.

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I make this line three. This play may still make

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it to my car tomorrow.

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Speaker 3: I'm a Pirates fan Thursday night with East Carolina and

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perhaps even an out right upset.

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Speaker 2: All right, Ralph, now we're gonna go to the NFL

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trends and listen. What's what what? What's one of the

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biggest narratives now that we're in the week five and said, well,

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team coming off a bye, they've got that extra rest,

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extra week to prepare. Let's talk about buys because this

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is gonna surprise everybody, so so watch out if you're

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using oh, they're they're off of a buye on on

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your on your NFL handicapping. Let's pull up this chart

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and walk us through how many how many every reading

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newsletters this week?

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Speaker 3: Again, this is why it's so important to know the facts,

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because it makes sense that they're going to benefit off

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a bye because the NFL you start getting beat up

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during the season.

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Speaker 4: But take a look down that left hand column.

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Speaker 3: If you blindly bet every NFL team off of bye

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since twenty fifteen.

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Speaker 4: You have gone forty nine percent. Wow, if they are

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a home favorite the next.

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Speaker 3: Week forty five percent, a home dog forty nine, and

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away favorite forty eight point five. So the only situations

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are if the team is an away dog off a bye,

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and then I have on the right hand andy and

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I will post this on my Twitter. This is what

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they did the week before. So if you want to

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look at how a team wanted home the week before bye,

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lost at home a week four four or bye, won

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away before they're by or lost away before a bye.

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Speaker 4: But take a look at the away dogs. It doesn't matter.

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Now these aren't wow.

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Speaker 3: Numbers, but it's fifty five percent, so it needs to

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be part of your handicappinger. And it doesn't matter the

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previous game. If they won at home, lost at home,

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won away, or lost away. It's basically consistent across the

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board if they are off of if they are off

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a home loss, that category, I do have a type

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when they're my apologies. See the first category says home win.

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The next one should be home loss, and I have

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win loss in there. I'll correct that when I posted

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chart to Twitter. But those are strong away favorites off

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a home loss sixty four, away dogs off of home

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loss sixty three. So I'm not telling you you cannot

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play teams off a bye, but just make sure you

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have a small negative check mark in there so you

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are handicapping the game properly.

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Speaker 1: All right?

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Speaker 3: Uh?

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Speaker 2: Do we know are there any teams in particularly off

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the top of your heads that this really affects this week?

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I'm trying to think.

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Speaker 3: There were four teams off a bye, and let's see

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if I could pull.

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Speaker 2: Those up because dealers, bears, falcons, help me out, chat

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which one am I missing, Steelers, Bears, Falcons, and there

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was there was one other team, Teddy's. Teddy's in the

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back room just just just screaming at us. Teddy's just screaming.

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Speaker 1: Bay, thank you.

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Speaker 4: I'm looking at Andy and I had a brave fart.

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Andy had a bread fart. So thank you for finally jumping.

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Speaker 5: In, Teddy.

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Speaker 4: What the hell are you waiting for so long?

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Speaker 2: Teddy? Teddy was like, you idiots, it's cream Bay. Okay.

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So those are the four teams that were that we're

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looking at for this week. The Steelers, the Path Okay,

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all right, thank you very much, Teddy. Ralph, uh, It's

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it's Wednesday. What do you have for clients?

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Speaker 4: Well again, it's weekend Warrior week, guys.

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Speaker 3: And I'll say this, I had a losing Saturday college football,

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only my second of the week. I went one and

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one Sunday lost my big play. I did have a

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college football five percent loser last Friday. We always want

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to mention the winners and the losers, but number two

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in college football since the start of twenty twenty four,

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college football run twenty seven and fourteen sixty six percent

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college football and NFL best bets. Those are four percent

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and five percent plays thirty seven and sixteen seventy percent.

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I will have an NFL five percent, they are six

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and one eighty six percent, and Andy my NFL teasers

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rated four percent or five percent, sixteen and three eighty

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four percent. The Weekend Warrior forty nine dollars. Get it now.

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As soon as I load any college football plays for Saturday,

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NFL plays for Sunday, and if I have a Monday

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NFL play, you'll get that as well. You get him

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immediately and get the lines that I bet the game's

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at and want you to bet him at as well.

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Speaker 2: Ralph Michaels, take advantage of the week and Warrior forty

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nine dollars get you all those plays. Great run on

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those teasers, Ralph, that's a that's a really strong run.

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So make sure you're grabbing the Weekend Warrior for Ralph

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Michael's over wager. Just talk. Thank you, Ralph, great stuff,

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great breakdowns, great thanks.

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 3: Teddy's like one of those guys that at the end

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of the show we have to go through the blips

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and errors that Teddy should be on each show, catching

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everything and pointing those out to everyone. So let him

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know that he should be on the show five days

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a week, and just to be able to do that

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for us, that would be we'd be very appreciative.

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Speaker 4: Thanks, guys, have a great weekend.

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Speaker 2: Thanks Ralph. Let's us bring in Teddy covers right now

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and then we'll do All around the World Teddy. That

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would Teddy, that would be amazing. If you had you

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had to come on every day and correct all the mistakes,

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it'd be like a fifteen minute segment. Well, Andy said this,

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Ralphie's said this.

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Speaker 1: They used to have the guy on Cornhyder and Wilbon

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used to do that back in the.

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Speaker 5: Day, right, Yeah, yeah, but then you'd have to listen

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to the show. And I love being on the show.

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But when I'm not on, I'm not you know, it's

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a busy time. Once you get in October, you know, October, November, December,

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it's a sports better.

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Speaker 1: This is the busiest time of the year.

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Speaker 5: So all the periphery stuff just kind of floats away

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and then it's it's sports and sports betting pretty much

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twenty four to seven, at least in my world this time.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, my world too. We're starting to look at NBA

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futures over unders props don't forget that is right around

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the corner. So I know I've forgotten me either, me either.

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I can't wait, can't wait to start talking NBA. So

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we're gonna talk a little bit about the Blue Jays, Yankees, Phillies, Dodgers,

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and then I'm gonna give you a an NFL line

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that I think makes no sense. But let's start with

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this Blue Jays Yankees. Yankees with the big comeback last

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night and a R minus one forty five favorite. I

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saw our friend Ariel Epstein had to do three shots

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of tequila right in a row if the Yankees completed

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the comeback, and she did it. She did it. Shout

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out to her. She posted on social media three straight

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shots of tequila. Well, what are we looking at for

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this game today? Here we got Schlitler for New York,

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Marlin for Toronto as the listed starters. How do you

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break came down?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, maybe the Blue Jay should have closed this one

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out when they had the chance.

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Speaker 1: You gave the Yankees.

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Speaker 5: Life, and that's not always a good thing. Yankees have

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done this before, you know, uh, they've overcome it to nothing.

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Speaker 1: The deficit in.

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Speaker 5: The best of five division series back in two thousand

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and one. They made the World Series that year in

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twenty seventeen as well, so the franchise has that history.

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And you know, when you're trailing six to one early

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and then you score eight unanswered run, you know, that's

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their largest comeback ever in elimination game, tied to the

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second biggest comeback in any game. And Toronto hadn't lost

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all season after trailing after I stayed leading by four

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runs or more, so, all of a sudden, it's uncharted

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territory for the Blue days, the folks coming out of

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the Yankees locker room or exactly.

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Speaker 1: What you want.

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Speaker 5: I've celebration there. Aaron Biom quote, another one tomorrow. I'll

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enjoyed this for about ten minutes. I get ready for that.

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Aaron Goud quote. Tonight was special And for Judge, it

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really was a special game, you know, with the home

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run that somehow or other state fair with a diving

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catch in right field, with you know it was it

311
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was a big game for Aaron Judge, who went now

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seven for eleven in the series. For our yesterday quote,

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tonight was special, but there's still more work to be done.

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Hopefully we have some more cool moments like this the

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rest of the postseason. We had another big game tomorrow night.

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So certainly we've seen the Yankees bats. We've seen all

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the bats in this series come alive. You know, the

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series three and zero to the over so far, the

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second round of the postseason seven and three to the

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over in ten games. After the first round in the

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wildcard matches, didn't get any runs, it was one under

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after the next.

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Speaker 1: It's been the.

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Speaker 5: Opposite of that over the last of four days, and

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I wouldn't be surprised we see more run scored tonight.

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Speaker 1: You talked about and I really always Shoultay in his name.

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You like him, I gonna say it right or not.

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Speaker 5: Schlittler, you know who is coming off. You know I

329
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backed him last time against Boston. I thought the Yankees

330
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were going to win that game and win the series.

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I did not expect what I got for Slipper though.

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He was unbelievable in that ball game. Twelve strikeouts, no walks,

333
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eight innings of shutout ball, but he also threw a

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season high in pitches in that contest. Is definitely a

335
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concern for me here. Toronto hit him hard. You know,

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he lasted one to two thirds in a home game

337
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against the Blue Jays, and this was in September.

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Speaker 1: Four runs, five hit, seven month loss.

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Speaker 5: They filed off the Blue Jays twenty four of Shitler's

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sixty six pitches in that ball game quote it was

341
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impressive how many foul balls that were. But I think

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of a different pisuer now than I was when I

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faced my month ago, and that even from two weeks ago.

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That's a lot of confidence off the one start.

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Speaker 1: The Blue Jays have been hitting. You know, they scored.

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Speaker 5: They hit three ninety two, scored twenty three runs in

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the first two game in Toronto. They scored here yesterday.

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I know they only scored. He had two hits in

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the final five innings. But this is a lineup that

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is clicking right now. The wind blowing from left to

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right out towards right field.

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Speaker 1: That makes that short work in right very tempting.

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Speaker 5: Slittler, I'm not expecting a start as good as his

354
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last start. On the other side of the equation, we

355
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got viralind who got hit yesterday by the Yankees. Lour

356
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coming in as the backups the the bulk inting starter.

357
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I'm expecting runs. It's been high scoring in the series.

358
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It's been high scoring first five, it has been high scoring.

359
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Full game, first five over four and a half, full

360
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game over eight and a half. That's the way I

361
00:17:30,920 --> 00:17:32,920
would look for this, and I think the first five

362
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might be the.

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Speaker 1: Stronger of the two. But no argument with anyone who's.

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Speaker 5: Expecting runs in the Bronx in evening Action on Wednesday.

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Speaker 2: Real quick, justin, I know, justin awesome, awesome guy, where's

366
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:50,319
near one forty five? Yeah, that line is no longer available.

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That was the opening line. That's when we made the graphic.

368
00:17:52,799 --> 00:17:55,480
Tons of money have come in on the Yankees, So yes,

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you are correct. When we made the graphic, that's what

370
00:17:58,319 --> 00:18:01,319
it was. But now, I mean, I'm seeing minus one

371
00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:05,359
sixty five, minus one seventy five, So yes, justin minus

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one forty five open. It's not there anymore. But we

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like the over so we're not even gonna mess with

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the money line on that one.

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Speaker 5: And just to jump in real quick, because I don't

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even know where it opened minus one forty five.

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Speaker 1: I didn't. I didn't see that number.

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00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:22,920
Speaker 5: Okay, it may have been out there somewhere, but right now,

379
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look at the os logic live on screen, it's minus

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one sixty five anywhere up to minus one eighty depending

381
00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:31,400
on where you shop. Total pretty much across the board,

382
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sitting at eight and a half right now that Osologic

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live on screen.

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Speaker 1: Get your free trial, guys.

385
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Speaker 5: It's free seven day free all access for a live

386
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odds service.

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Speaker 1: If you've never used one, it's cool, do it today again.

388
00:18:45,839 --> 00:18:47,920
Speaker 5: Dot combats by Petty gets a free seven day all

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after check.

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Speaker 2: That's seven and a half totally. I talked with Brian

391
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Power yesterday about that seven and a half total and

392
00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:57,160
Yanks and Blue Jedals like, what are we doing here?

393
00:18:58,680 --> 00:18:58,920
Speaker 1: Why?

394
00:18:58,960 --> 00:19:02,640
Speaker 2: Why did ever never mind Phillies Dodgers. Here we got

395
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Nola going for Philly, Yamamoto going for the Dodgers. The

396
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,119
Dodgers is a big favorite here. How do you break

397
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this game down?

398
00:19:11,839 --> 00:19:14,559
Speaker 5: So again, looking at the odds logic live on screen

399
00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:17,759
right now, I'm seeing the Dodgers in the minus one

400
00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:21,519
seventy five range total seven and a half juice to

401
00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:26,279
the over. And you know in a second round we've

402
00:19:26,279 --> 00:19:28,160
seen a bunch of overs. You know, well, we didn't

403
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:30,200
get there with these two teams last time a four

404
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,440
to three final. The Dodgers bullpen tried to blow it

405
00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:36,480
in the ninth inning but didn't quite get there. They'll

406
00:19:36,519 --> 00:19:42,640
probably try again tonight, you know. Rob Thompson, Phillies manager quote,

407
00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:44,720
I love the fight in the eighth and ninth inning.

408
00:19:44,759 --> 00:19:46,680
They fought like hell and hopefully that carries over in

409
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a Wednesday. This is a resilient group. Our backs are

410
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:52,720
against the wall. We've just got to come out fighting

411
00:19:53,319 --> 00:19:55,960
and I think Philadelphia will be able to do that. Look,

412
00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:58,039
teams that are up to nothing in the best of

413
00:19:58,079 --> 00:20:01,720
five postseason series are eighty and ten, So ten times

414
00:20:01,759 --> 00:20:04,440
he'ms a comeback. There have been fifty four sweeps out

415
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:08,400
of those ninety tries, so we've seen, you know, a

416
00:20:08,519 --> 00:20:11,720
five and a half to one ratio of sweeps versus comebacks.

417
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:16,319
That being said, Philadelphia is certainly you know going into

418
00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:18,559
the series. At least in my mind, the winner of

419
00:20:18,559 --> 00:20:21,319
this series is the team to back to win it

420
00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:23,960
all and that hasn't changed through the first two games.

421
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And if Philadelphia does come back against LA I think

422
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they will be the team to beat moving forward. So

423
00:20:33,559 --> 00:20:36,200
we got Nola going for Philadelphia. I don't trust Nola.

424
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You don't trust Nola. He's pitched better of late. He

425
00:20:39,599 --> 00:20:41,440
does not have a great tracker against the Dodgers. He's

426
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:44,680
not got a great track record down the stretch, but

427
00:20:45,839 --> 00:20:46,799
they have a ranger.

428
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Speaker 1: Suarez to back them up.

429
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Speaker 5: So if Nola gets into trouble, I would expect to

430
00:20:49,319 --> 00:20:53,519
see Suarez fairly early four of Philadelphia. And of course,

431
00:20:53,559 --> 00:20:56,559
if Nola pitches a gem, which you know he's a veteran,

432
00:20:56,559 --> 00:20:58,440
he's more than cable dowing. He's done in the postseason

433
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:02,599
many times before. Even if it looks like Max Monts,

434
00:21:02,599 --> 00:21:03,880
He's going to get his first start of the series.

435
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,519
We could see Will Smith in this ball game as

436
00:21:06,559 --> 00:21:10,839
well for La. Not sure about that yet, but even

437
00:21:10,839 --> 00:21:14,880
against the Dodgers, if Nola's dealing, they'll be dealing. That

438
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:18,359
being said, you know, Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, ice cold.

439
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:21,799
What a fourteen with eight strikeout so far in this series.

440
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:24,519
You know Harper's quote, it's kind of weird and crazy

441
00:21:24,519 --> 00:21:26,279
to see there's only been one homer hitting the first

442
00:21:26,279 --> 00:21:28,559
two games. Pitching has been good on both sides. I

443
00:21:28,599 --> 00:21:30,680
think there's maybe two guys that have kind of played

444
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:34,119
well on both sides. So Philadelphia knows they have a

445
00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:36,920
better game in them. They certainly, you know, we talk

446
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:40,200
about Yamamoto has been ACE level, you know, all year long.

447
00:21:40,839 --> 00:21:47,519
That being said, ace level all year long, and then

448
00:21:47,559 --> 00:21:50,359
ace level against Philadelphia in the postseason with the pressure

449
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:53,000
and the bullpen issues behind him, That to me.

450
00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 1: Is something con sir for La in the pitching tonight.

451
00:21:57,039 --> 00:22:01,319
Speaker 5: I like thee the Phillies team total over in this ballgain.

452
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:03,920
Three and a half is the number of the prevailing number,

453
00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:05,839
and you get that even at a plus price plus

454
00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:08,920
one oh five I'm seeing available right now. I'm Philadelphia

455
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:12,920
team total over. I understand that they haven't hit as

456
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:15,400
well as expected so far in this series, but I

457
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:17,799
think the change of location the day off can only

458
00:22:17,839 --> 00:22:21,359
help a very potent lineup against a pitching staff that

459
00:22:21,759 --> 00:22:25,079
has seen a few cracks. So we like over in

460
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:29,920
both games. Full game for Yankees, Blue Jays, the Dodgers,

461
00:22:30,519 --> 00:22:34,480
and Phillies. We like Phillies team total over three and

462
00:22:34,519 --> 00:22:34,920
a half.

463
00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:38,920
Speaker 2: I love it. I was so jealous that Tokyo Brandon

464
00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:41,680
came up with taking the Reds team total over against

465
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:44,799
the Dodgers in those guy, I was so jealous that

466
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:46,359
he came up with that one, And now you're doing

467
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:48,720
the same thing Phillies Dodgers makes all the sense in

468
00:22:48,759 --> 00:22:50,440
the world. And yes, it's generous saying they have a

469
00:22:50,480 --> 00:22:52,640
few cracks in their pitching staff.

470
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Speaker 1: Teddy, Well, it's worth noting that.

471
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:58,319
Speaker 5: You know, we've seen Dave Roberts avoid the bullpen entirely

472
00:22:58,400 --> 00:22:59,839
and just go back to his you know, because they

473
00:22:59,839 --> 00:23:00,759
have so many starters.

474
00:23:01,079 --> 00:23:03,400
Speaker 1: You know, could we see Glass Noow again in this ballgame? Wait?

475
00:23:03,799 --> 00:23:06,279
Speaker 5: You know, I don't think we'll see Sasaki tonight. They've

476
00:23:06,319 --> 00:23:11,680
been really doing their best to keep so Soccer from

477
00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:13,680
pitching him back to back games. He's a guy that

478
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:16,200
they've got a lot of money tied into and a

479
00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:19,839
lot of hopes for the future tied into. So there's

480
00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,799
definitely a possibility in this game for late game shenanigans

481
00:23:22,799 --> 00:23:26,799
with the doctors going without likely going without their Erstwhile closer.

482
00:23:28,799 --> 00:23:31,039
Speaker 2: Shout out to Rob, he says, sorry, I'm late. Could

483
00:23:31,039 --> 00:23:36,359
we start the show over? I love Rob? I love Rob.

484
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:39,039
Go back and watch from the very beginning, Rob. Oh,

485
00:23:39,039 --> 00:23:41,720
that's great, that's great, Teddy, I'm gonna do this line

486
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:43,920
makes no sense. But before do that, tell everyone what

487
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:45,960
you have up for clients that we did you're talking so.

488
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:47,880
Speaker 5: Right now you have a single best bet available in

489
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:50,799
MLB for today early start game, so if you want

490
00:23:50,799 --> 00:23:52,920
some aster new in action, the MLB has been really good.

491
00:23:53,039 --> 00:23:55,599
Fifteen and four are dating back to last year seventy

492
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:59,319
nine percent plus thirty point four units this season an

493
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:02,440
MLB players some five and one eighty three percent making

494
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:06,079
money and sometimes the games are jumping at me. And

495
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,119
that's real nice to see in October you don't always expected.

496
00:24:09,319 --> 00:24:10,920
So the baseball has been good. Get it right now

497
00:24:11,039 --> 00:24:15,359
nine bucks on my page WT Buzz Backslash TC. I'm

498
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:19,200
writing a twenty five and thirteen All sports run sixty

499
00:24:19,759 --> 00:24:22,079
five percent over the last two and a half weeks,

500
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,079
and I'm writing a fifteen and eight football heater that's

501
00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:29,039
NFL and college combined College ten and three seventy seven

502
00:24:29,039 --> 00:24:32,200
percent over the last I think it's three Saturdays. So

503
00:24:32,559 --> 00:24:34,960
making money in football, making money in baseball. I cannot

504
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:40,559
complain too much, but you know, Andy, we'll find a way.

505
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:45,279
Speaker 2: I had my very first ever prop bet that was

506
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:48,359
voided because of an injury on Monday night. We had

507
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,359
Breton Strange, the tight end. He catches one pass in

508
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,160
the first quarter, gets hurt and they avoid the bet.

509
00:24:54,319 --> 00:24:57,039
Was the first time it's ever happened to me. This

510
00:24:57,079 --> 00:25:00,640
is the DraftKings and ESPN, Bet and Bett where they

511
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:03,200
decide to randomly void player prop bets if there's an

512
00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:05,720
injury in the first half of the first quarter. What

513
00:25:05,759 --> 00:25:08,240
a world? What an age we live in? Teddy Sportsbook's

514
00:25:08,279 --> 00:25:11,319
randomly voiding bets because of injuries.

515
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 1: Note that that's happening in a scenario where they don't

516
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:15,240
have a lot of liability.

517
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:17,680
Speaker 2: You know, yes, absolutely, it's.

518
00:25:17,559 --> 00:25:19,160
Speaker 5: Gonna be a scenario where they get a nice pr

519
00:25:19,279 --> 00:25:21,240
move and it doesn't cost them a lot of money,

520
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:22,519
and that's what they'll do.

521
00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:26,680
Speaker 2: This was that, yes, Brenton strange props. Sure they didn't

522
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:28,200
have a whole lot on that one, So all right,

523
00:25:28,279 --> 00:25:30,119
we're gonna do This line makes no sense that I

524
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:32,759
got a lifestyle question here for you, Teddy. All right,

525
00:25:33,039 --> 00:25:38,759
this line makes no sense. Rams minus seven and a

526
00:25:38,799 --> 00:25:43,440
half against the Ravens. My opinion, the Ravens are absolutely

527
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:46,880
punting on these games before the bye week. Lamar Jackson's

528
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:49,880
not playing. Seven defenders are out, so what are they

529
00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:52,279
gonna do. They're gonna rest their guys this week, then

530
00:25:52,319 --> 00:25:53,880
they have the bye. They come out of the buy

531
00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:56,759
one and five. They think their season's over. Not so fast,

532
00:25:56,839 --> 00:26:02,000
my friend. They have Bears, Dolphins, Vikings, Brown Jets, Bengals, Steelers, Bengals,

533
00:26:02,039 --> 00:26:05,079
Patriots after their bye week. That's where they make their run.

534
00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:08,279
Rams get extra rest from the Thursday game. They're coming

535
00:26:08,279 --> 00:26:12,359
off an embarrassing loss to a rival, and the Ravens

536
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:15,559
have allowed six point one yards per play and a

537
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:19,640
league worst thirty nine point seven points per game the

538
00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:22,839
last three games. Teddy, they don't have a defense. The

539
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,759
Ravens have lost their last two games by seventeen and

540
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:30,279
thirty four. This line makes no sense. The Rams should

541
00:26:30,319 --> 00:26:32,599
be ten and a half point favorites. I think the

542
00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:34,559
Rams blow out the Ravens in a game. I think

543
00:26:34,559 --> 00:26:35,359
they're throwing away.

544
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 5: You agree or disagree, so well, I'm supposed to disagree

545
00:26:40,279 --> 00:26:41,519
with you, right, I can make an argue.

546
00:26:41,559 --> 00:26:44,039
Speaker 2: You can do whatever. I'm just saying. This line makes

547
00:26:44,039 --> 00:26:48,359
no sense. I will be using Rams and Survivor Rams everything.

548
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:52,039
I use Texans and Survivor Rams crush the Ravens.

549
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,759
Speaker 5: So there are a couple of key factors to consider

550
00:26:55,799 --> 00:26:57,839
before you load up all your bankroll on the Rams

551
00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:00,680
in this bogain, all right, you had off Michael's on

552
00:27:00,799 --> 00:27:04,839
talking about the teams coming out of the buy and

553
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:06,079
the team's coming out of the buy.

554
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:07,839
Speaker 1: There's nothing there, all right.

555
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:09,559
Speaker 5: Everyone goes, oh, they're coming off a buy, they're coming

556
00:27:09,559 --> 00:27:11,599
off of BUYE and obviously coming bye from a points

557
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:15,920
rap perspective is actually a slight negative, you know, going

558
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:20,200
into the buy that's where the positives are. And if

559
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:22,240
you follow Ralph on Twitter as you if you don't, don't,

560
00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:24,519
you got to follow Ralph on Twitter at cal Sports

561
00:27:24,599 --> 00:27:27,920
LB on Twitter. He's just a great follow and he,

562
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:29,519
you know, tweets out all these charts, even stuff you

563
00:27:29,519 --> 00:27:33,559
don't see on the shows. But if you know that,

564
00:27:33,599 --> 00:27:37,400
he put out a chart with the teams before the

565
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:40,799
BUYE and the teams before in all the different categories,

566
00:27:40,799 --> 00:27:44,119
teams before the buy positive expectation sixty percent sixty plus percent.

567
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:48,839
That's your spot is not after the BUYE. It's before

568
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:53,720
the BUYE. Factor number two, all right, So you want

569
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:56,480
teams like Baltimore going into the bye week. Plus you know,

570
00:27:56,880 --> 00:28:02,000
as a dog in general factor number two, how confident

571
00:28:02,039 --> 00:28:04,400
are you? And you're Baltimore Raven's power rating right now,

572
00:28:04,759 --> 00:28:08,559
this team is still favored to win the AFC North. Okay,

573
00:28:08,559 --> 00:28:12,960
they're still the favorites in the division. Okay, how confident

574
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,119
are you that you're powerting on Baltimore is spot on?

575
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 1: Because I'm not.

576
00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:20,319
Speaker 5: You know, my number for the game came five and

577
00:28:20,319 --> 00:28:22,519
a half, and I'm like, I guess I'm not downgrading

578
00:28:22,559 --> 00:28:25,839
the Ring now, you know, I guess I'm not. You know,

579
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:29,279
the markets have downgraded them, what ten, twelve, fourteen points

580
00:28:29,279 --> 00:28:31,319
since the start of the season, and I've only downgraded

581
00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:33,519
them eight or ten points. It's, you know, from where

582
00:28:33,519 --> 00:28:35,039
they were. I think maybe nine nine and a half

583
00:28:35,039 --> 00:28:38,920
points from where they were. But I'm not confident in

584
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:42,359
my number. You're not confident in your number. Anyone that says, oh,

585
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,000
I know I got the Ravens pegged, I know exactly

586
00:28:45,079 --> 00:28:45,960
what the you know?

587
00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:47,480
Speaker 1: You know so?

588
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 5: And then factor number three, We're gonna keep making paid

589
00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:55,960
cases for the for the dog here. How good are

590
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:59,440
the Rams exactly? You know, not like they're killing teams.

591
00:29:00,039 --> 00:29:01,599
I like the Rams are blowing everybody out of the

592
00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:03,880
water every week. That's not how they play. That's not

593
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:06,559
how this season's gone for them. It's not you got

594
00:29:06,599 --> 00:29:08,599
a West Coast team traveling the East for an early

595
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,759
Star game. You know, uh, they win this game by

596
00:29:11,759 --> 00:29:15,440
a touchdown. They're just plenty happy. So there's case in

597
00:29:15,519 --> 00:29:19,319
many for Baltimore here, maybe some good ones. Line's not

598
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:20,759
high or not, line's too high?

599
00:29:21,279 --> 00:29:21,480
Speaker 1: You know?

600
00:29:21,839 --> 00:29:26,759
Speaker 2: Oh man you Oh I watched. I watched what the

601
00:29:26,759 --> 00:29:28,799
Texans did to this Baltimore team, and I don't think

602
00:29:28,839 --> 00:29:30,000
Houston's that good.

603
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:30,400
Speaker 3: Uh.

604
00:29:30,759 --> 00:29:34,160
Speaker 2: They just laid a whooping on Baltimore. So all right,

605
00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:36,680
we shall see, we shall see. I did pretty decent

606
00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:39,319
on this segment last week with with with with my

607
00:29:39,319 --> 00:29:43,440
Broncos pick. So all right, so we were talking before the show.

608
00:29:44,599 --> 00:29:47,640
Do not do this, guys, but do not recommend this, Teddy.

609
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,000
Have you ever gone all in on a bet? I

610
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:53,400
talked about this, Okay, one time.

611
00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 4: I did it.

612
00:29:55,799 --> 00:29:58,680
Speaker 2: Last night. We got tired. We got a lot of time.

613
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,920
Tell the story of about your all in bed. I

614
00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:04,559
think I've heard you tell this story before. I don't

615
00:30:04,559 --> 00:30:05,680
remember what happened.

616
00:30:06,319 --> 00:30:10,039
Speaker 1: So it was the year I cashed in the Hilton Con.

617
00:30:10,039 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 5: I was a top ten finisher in the super contest

618
00:30:12,119 --> 00:30:14,640
in I think it was nineteen ninety nine and two

619
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:17,359
thousand comes and I freaking can't pick a winner, you

620
00:30:17,359 --> 00:30:20,200
know how it is? Oh, last year was great this year,

621
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:23,440
isn't you know? And I had back to back terrible weeks.

622
00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:26,519
I wasn't an established capper then, I was just starting out.

623
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:29,160
I didn't have a bank roll that could withstand a

624
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:31,039
whole lot, and.

625
00:30:31,039 --> 00:30:32,480
Speaker 1: I got clobbered back to back week.

626
00:30:32,519 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 5: It was a Monday night game with it's got to

627
00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:39,400
be Cordell Stewart against Chris Chandler with the Steelers and

628
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:45,279
the Falcons, right, yeah, yeah, And this is Atlanta coming

629
00:30:45,359 --> 00:30:50,319
off a Super Bowl appearance the previous year, and.

630
00:30:52,039 --> 00:30:53,440
Speaker 1: They had an awful start to the season.

631
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:55,599
Speaker 5: Pittsburgh was laying the four and a half, five and

632
00:30:55,599 --> 00:30:58,799
a half, six and a half, and I took every

633
00:30:58,799 --> 00:31:03,319
dollar I had time and I played Atlanta plus the points.

634
00:31:03,359 --> 00:31:07,359
Speaker 1: I had Atlanta on the money line, and I.

635
00:31:07,319 --> 00:31:09,319
Speaker 5: Played more Atlanta plus the point because I found a

636
00:31:09,359 --> 00:31:11,839
plus seven and I literally that was my all end moments.

637
00:31:13,079 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 1: And the Falcon trailed fine margin the whole game and

638
00:31:16,559 --> 00:31:18,640
the fourth quarter of the rally back. I actually had

639
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:21,279
first and goal from the three to win the game.

640
00:31:21,839 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 5: They didn't win the game straight up, they weren't able

641
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:27,240
to convert, but they covered the number. Uh So I

642
00:31:27,279 --> 00:31:30,079
won the majority of my bets and that kept me

643
00:31:30,119 --> 00:31:31,559
alive and then the rest of it.

644
00:31:32,119 --> 00:31:33,960
Speaker 1: But yeah, that was early on in my career. Where

645
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:35,559
if I lose that game, I don't know what happened,

646
00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:37,559
probably never heard it.

647
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:41,960
Speaker 2: Do Do you remember what you felt like like leading

648
00:31:42,039 --> 00:31:43,599
up to the game, Like.

649
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 5: I remember what I felt like when they were down

650
00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,200
fourteen to nothing in the first and you know, or early.

651
00:31:49,279 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 1: And I was pretty you know, but.

652
00:31:52,839 --> 00:31:55,400
Speaker 5: You know that feeling when it's bad, but it's just

653
00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:58,640
so bad you can't really process it, you know what

654
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:00,440
I'm talking about. I'm sure you guys out there, no

655
00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:02,599
one I'm talking about. It was that, you know, that

656
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:08,000
was It was like all right, you know, let's yeah,

657
00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:08,680
it was pretty bad.

658
00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:13,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that was that was me. Last night there

659
00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:16,000
was a fight on Contender series. I don't know if

660
00:32:16,039 --> 00:32:18,200
you heard me tell there was a fighter. I've never

661
00:32:18,279 --> 00:32:20,160
done tape study on a fighter this bad in my

662
00:32:20,319 --> 00:32:24,000
entire career. I've never seen a fighter this awful. And

663
00:32:24,039 --> 00:32:26,359
we just we went all in on everything. Fight doesn't

664
00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:28,759
go the distance under one and a half, fight ends

665
00:32:28,759 --> 00:32:32,720
in round one, it's loop Fernandez by knockout. Every possible

666
00:32:32,799 --> 00:32:36,400
play you could possibly think of, we would I had

667
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,880
my entire bankroll, and then I added more money on

668
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:40,440
top of the bank right. I told people, I was like,

669
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:42,400
I literally had like five hundred percent of my bank

670
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,240
roll on there. And it was it was incredibly terrifying.

671
00:32:45,799 --> 00:32:48,680
It was nerve wracking. But and then the fight lasted

672
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:51,880
one punch our guy, our guy hit our guy, hit

673
00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:54,039
the guy one time, and the fight was over. It

674
00:32:54,119 --> 00:32:56,079
lasted twelve seconds, but it could have been eight because

675
00:32:56,079 --> 00:32:58,240
the ref was late to stop it. But I do

676
00:32:58,319 --> 00:33:01,160
not recommend that it was great for one night. I

677
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:03,200
don't ever want to do that ever, ever again.

678
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 5: So I remember making a really as big a bet

679
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:09,440
as I've ever made. I bet against Mark Mulder. I

680
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:11,119
think it might have been his last career start. He

681
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:13,920
was starting for the Cardinals who were playing the Rays.

682
00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:17,279
The Rays were red hot and the Cardinals were favored,

683
00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:19,920
and I'm like, this is this is the dumbest line

684
00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:22,119
I've ever seen, you know, and I, you know, bad,

685
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:23,640
that's one of these dude games of the years and

686
00:33:23,759 --> 00:33:25,559
this is my game of the year. And I loaded

687
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:27,039
up and that was you know, it was like eight

688
00:33:27,079 --> 00:33:28,480
to one Tampa in the second inning.

689
00:33:28,559 --> 00:33:29,680
Speaker 1: It was that kind of a scenario.

690
00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:32,079
Speaker 5: It was easy, you know, you like it when here

691
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,119
you're the handicap is right, molded, was you know what

692
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:37,720
he was done? I think it was moulder, but yeah,

693
00:33:37,759 --> 00:33:39,920
that was Those are nice when they come when when

694
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:41,720
you handicap it right and it comes through.

695
00:33:42,079 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 1: Uh.

696
00:33:42,279 --> 00:33:45,119
Speaker 5: There was another early one that I had when it

697
00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:50,279
was Steve Spurrier with the Washington Redskins at the time.

698
00:33:50,839 --> 00:33:54,680
He was going to Tokyo for a preseason opener against

699
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:57,680
Mariucci in the forty nine. It's a preseason game and

700
00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:02,559
Spurrier is like, we're going to win and mary Ucci's like, uh, yeah,

701
00:34:02,599 --> 00:34:06,599
we got a tour of Osaka, you know. And San

702
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:09,559
Franz was laying three at the open all right, you know,

703
00:34:10,679 --> 00:34:12,920
and I'm like, this is the dumbest line I've ever seen.

704
00:34:13,119 --> 00:34:16,599
It closed Washington plus minus three, and they won the game.

705
00:34:16,599 --> 00:34:18,880
I think it was thirty eight to seven. I mean

706
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:21,760
it wasn't it was. It was over well before halftime.

707
00:34:21,960 --> 00:34:23,599
And that was another one that was like I loaded

708
00:34:23,679 --> 00:34:25,880
up and it felt great and it worked right, and

709
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:29,800
you know, so it's nice when they come through like that.

710
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:34,559
Any nice call, good handicap, easy cash, well done.

711
00:34:34,559 --> 00:34:36,519
Speaker 1: Those are the best.

712
00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:38,360
Speaker 2: There are there are. It was a great feeling, and

713
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:41,559
Rob asked, how many times did you throw up watching

714
00:34:41,599 --> 00:34:45,119
your all in bet? I didn't over under two and

715
00:34:45,159 --> 00:34:48,760
a half cash the under on throwing up. But it's

716
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:51,880
it's it's a nerve wracking feeling, and I do not recommend.

717
00:34:51,519 --> 00:34:54,440
Speaker 1: It for Tessie best just thirteen to nine or something

718
00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:56,000
like that. Yeah, it was an ugly only game.

719
00:34:57,679 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 2: Tessie went and pulled up the game.

720
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:02,480
Speaker 5: Yeah at nine matter, Yeah, because it was it was

721
00:35:02,519 --> 00:35:06,159
like stick and a half. Uh, it was closing number

722
00:35:06,199 --> 00:35:09,519
around town. Uh and seven I found I found a

723
00:35:09,559 --> 00:35:14,599
seven or something. But yeah, yes, that was what a

724
00:35:14,639 --> 00:35:15,280
fun day.

725
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:20,559
Speaker 2: What amazing day. Teddy covers, Teddy, first, thank you for.

726
00:35:20,679 --> 00:35:22,679
Speaker 1: Those are all the last thing I'm gonna say.

727
00:35:22,679 --> 00:35:24,000
Speaker 5: Sorry, I don't mean to cut you off any but

728
00:35:24,079 --> 00:35:27,519
the key is those are all at least both the

729
00:35:27,679 --> 00:35:30,440
early career stuff when your bank roll is not where

730
00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:34,159
it needs to be, you know, ends and you haven't

731
00:35:34,199 --> 00:35:34,599
learned some of.

732
00:35:34,559 --> 00:35:36,320
Speaker 1: The lessons that you learned later on.

733
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:38,760
Speaker 5: But that being said, when your bank roll is what

734
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:40,920
it's supposed to be so you can step up and

735
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:43,719
have a big size wager, you know, you're just not betting.

736
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:43,800
Speaker 1: All of it.

737
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:48,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, absolutely, Teddy Covers love the story. Thank you

738
00:35:48,119 --> 00:35:50,039
very much. Can't wait to see you on Friday for

739
00:35:50,079 --> 00:35:55,320
Football Friday. Cheers uh Teddy Covers everyone. So yeah, yeah,

740
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:56,960
it was. It was a wild night. We cashed our

741
00:35:57,000 --> 00:36:00,239
five dollars Tuesday play said we were going to and

742
00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:02,159
now we move on to our five percent play in

743
00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:05,639
UFC on Saturday. It's not an all in play. This

744
00:36:05,679 --> 00:36:08,199
is a very confident play that we've already bet. We

745
00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:10,480
hit our five percent play on Saturday. We hit our

746
00:36:10,519 --> 00:36:13,079
five dollars Tuesday play and Contender series last night. We're

747
00:36:13,079 --> 00:36:14,960
gonna hit our five percent play in UFC. If you

748
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:18,960
haven't gotten that, go grab that play. Absolutely love it.

749
00:36:19,199 --> 00:36:21,039
The line is moving a little bit, but it's still

750
00:36:21,079 --> 00:36:24,119
available and still still a five percent worthy play. So

751
00:36:24,159 --> 00:36:26,559
that is over at wt dot Buzz slash Ah. That's

752
00:36:26,559 --> 00:36:31,599
our big play for the weekend. Justin what would you

753
00:36:31,639 --> 00:36:34,639
have done if if you've lost, you just start over?

754
00:36:35,559 --> 00:36:40,039
That was that was the mindset. I talked to jim

755
00:36:40,199 --> 00:36:43,119
you guys know jim My one of my betting partners.

756
00:36:43,159 --> 00:36:45,639
He's on my team, and we were just like, if

757
00:36:45,639 --> 00:36:48,880
it loses, we start over from scratch. That's it. So

758
00:36:49,039 --> 00:36:51,880
that was the mindset. But again, I don't ever want

759
00:36:51,920 --> 00:36:54,840
to be in that position ever again. But boy, if

760
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:58,039
they put a fighter like that up, we may we

761
00:36:58,079 --> 00:37:00,679
may be in there. All right, big, let's pull up

762
00:37:00,679 --> 00:37:06,360
all around the world. Let's get some free plays. And yes,

763
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:09,119
the ring girl yesterday that if you watch yesterday, the

764
00:37:09,199 --> 00:37:11,719
ring goal yesterday was the ring goal for the guy

765
00:37:12,159 --> 00:37:15,119
that loss. So all right, here we go. Warren Fogel

766
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:16,840
over one and a half shots on goal and the

767
00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:19,000
Kings and the Golden Knights. He didn't have any shots

768
00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:20,639
on goal last night, but he had two shots that

769
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:23,480
just missed. He's hit this in sixty nine percent of

770
00:37:23,519 --> 00:37:25,840
his games last year, and he's gone over this in

771
00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:28,440
the last four games that he's played against Golden Knights.

772
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:30,480
We'll take warm Fogel over one and a half shots

773
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:32,519
on goal. I'm saying a lot of people on UTEP

774
00:37:33,039 --> 00:37:36,880
on the money line, Liberty are won in four ats

775
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:39,599
and straight up, Liberty lost all their games against FBS

776
00:37:39,599 --> 00:37:42,599
teams by double digits and they've only scored fifty seven

777
00:37:42,679 --> 00:37:45,840
points total. UTEP pretty good defense, especially on third and

778
00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:49,280
fourth down. Liberty defense is bad, allowing five point five

779
00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:52,039
yards per carry. I believe I read Brian Power say

780
00:37:52,079 --> 00:37:54,719
that no team has been lowered in his power rankings

781
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:57,800
more than Liberty, So Liberty is a fate at this point.

782
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:00,440
And the Cubs and Brewers Tokyo brand. He's got a

783
00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:04,519
team total. He's been fantastic on these team totals, Cubs

784
00:38:04,599 --> 00:38:06,559
over one and a half in the first five. The

785
00:38:06,599 --> 00:38:09,480
Cubs hitters have had success against Priest. He's given up

786
00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:12,039
over one and a half runs in his last four starts.

787
00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:14,599
Cubs have put up ten earned runs against him in

788
00:38:14,639 --> 00:38:18,239
the season in three starts. So those are your free

789
00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:20,480
plays for tonight. We made a really nice I'm so

790
00:38:20,559 --> 00:38:22,960
excited Hockey's back this war, and Fog is going to

791
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:25,079
be a client play. We hit Carter for Hagy to

792
00:38:25,159 --> 00:38:29,079
have a point. Yesterday, I think I hit over sixty

793
00:38:29,679 --> 00:38:32,519
one percent of NHL props. So we're gonna start talking

794
00:38:32,559 --> 00:38:34,760
a lot about NHL props on this show. If you're

795
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:39,559
not betting NHL props, you're doing yourself a disservice. You

796
00:38:39,599 --> 00:38:43,599
can hit an incredibly high percentage on NHL props. These

797
00:38:43,679 --> 00:38:46,960
lines are soft and the books do not adjust, so

798
00:38:47,159 --> 00:38:49,719
we'll start talking a lot about NHL props. That's going

799
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:51,280
to do it for us today. Thank you so much

800
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:54,320
for joining us. Hit the like button, leave us a comment,

801
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:56,920
tell us if you had an all in moment that

802
00:38:56,960 --> 00:38:59,639
you're not that proud of in the comment section below,

803
00:39:00,039 --> 00:39:02,480
and I wanted to shout out somebody in the chat,

804
00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:04,960
who oh hey, Chris, can we pull up that comment?

805
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:07,039
We have a sorry, we have a bet with Jesse

806
00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:12,079
Jesse Schule, do you have that? We know we'll save

807
00:39:12,119 --> 00:39:15,760
it for tomorrow. Okay, somebody posted a fantastic comment that

808
00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:18,639
me and Jesse can have a bet on the game

809
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:21,559
on the Georgia Tech game this weekend. We'll show that tomorrow,

810
00:39:21,639 --> 00:39:24,239
but Jesse has agreed to it where each of us

811
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:26,360
has a punishment if the other one loses. So we'll

812
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:29,119
pull that up tomorrow. So fantastic in the comment section,

813
00:39:29,199 --> 00:39:32,159
and somebody gave me sent me a very very nice

814
00:39:32,199 --> 00:39:35,559
message asking about the Dion Sanders poster that I had

815
00:39:35,559 --> 00:39:37,920
in the background. It's right over there. It's you can

816
00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:39,400
kind of see the corner of it. But I just

817
00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:41,360
wanted to say thank you. That was such a cool

818
00:39:41,400 --> 00:39:44,119
moment and a really really nice conversation that I had

819
00:39:44,159 --> 00:39:46,519
with that gentleman. So I appreciate that and that is

820
00:39:46,519 --> 00:39:48,559
in the comment section, so leave us a comment below.

821
00:39:49,079 --> 00:39:50,559
Thanks very much for joining us. We're going to do

822
00:39:50,599 --> 00:39:53,719
it again tomorrow. And don't forget football Fridays, guys. Friday

823
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:57,679
our biggest show of the week. We break down NFL

824
00:39:58,079 --> 00:40:00,960
NC double A, Marco's Wings, Sauce, Teddy and I do

825
00:40:01,079 --> 00:40:04,280
Sell Me, we talk Survivor, we talk about the Super Contest.

826
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:07,679
It's a huge, huge Friday, so make sure you're watching

827
00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:11,159
on Fridays. It's the best football show of the week

828
00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:14,280
by far, outside of Opening Line Report, which Teddy does

829
00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:16,480
on Monday. All right, thanks for joining us, good luck

830
00:40:16,480 --> 00:40:18,239
and all your plays. Well, see everyone tomorrow. Take care.

