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Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,

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we do our best. We do always start to show

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by being transparent. No shows on the weekend, so that's

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where it gets tricky. But yesterday I did go five

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and three overall.

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Speaker 1: Well, Saturday I.

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Speaker 2: Went one and one but my top play one. So

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it's been a profitable couple couple of days since we

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last spoke. Things have been going well in general, so

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I'm gonna try to keep it going here. You know,

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it's good to be back with you. How you doing

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here today?

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Speaker 3: We are good today, Ski Things went well this weekend

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for me to Saturday and Sunday we're big days. Yesterday

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five percent on the Sunday night game Dallas Minnesota over

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the total fairly easy. Made me sweated a little bit

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with a couple of Aubrey missed field goals, which he

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never does, but they got there. College basketball has been

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very very good, nine and two last eleven, and NFL

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still the same number one at wager talk. So like

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I said, everything's been good. Nothing to complain about over here.

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Speaker 2: All right, Well, let's get to it. We have five

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NBA games, we have one NFL game. So we'll start

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with NBA like we usually do. That means rotation order

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for that is five twenty three, five twenty four Pistons

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and Celtics opened up minus one and a half for Boston,

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still sitting right there, total open two twenty nine and

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a half. Not a whole lot of movement on that.

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As far as the injury report, I don't see anybody

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on there for Detroit or Boston.

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Speaker 1: Pritchard.

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Speaker 2: Pritchard looks like he's questionable tonight. This Boston team has

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been playing. I mean, first of all, I think every

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team we're gonna talk about today has rest, so I

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don't even think we have to get into that. But

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I feel like the Celtics have been playing really well.

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A lot of what they do is, you know, shooting

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a lot.

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Speaker 1: Of threes and shooting the basketball well.

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Speaker 2: And I don't know, I just keep thinking that regression

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is coming for them, and if it was to come,

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it'll be versus Pistons team. Who I mean, on the season,

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they're the third best defensive ready team. Looking at last

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five games, they're still top ten. I think I would

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prefer the Pistons here, the better defense. I think they

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can still consistently score like they're really good defending above

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the break three and that's all Boston wants to shoot.

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So I just feel like I trust them a little

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bit more as well to score on Boston. Selem Piston's

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here for me. You know, how do you view it?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, you may have it.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I don't know that I want to make

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a full revenge angle out of this.

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Speaker 4: But they've played twice.

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Speaker 3: Detroit won the first time by six, Boston did win

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the most recent one by three, and it's it's not

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that far removed November twenty sixth, only three weeks ago,

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so possibly Boston or excuse me, Detroit still has that

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on their mind. Just to point out some numbers where

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Boston is concern Like you say, you would think that

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maybe some regression is due. Eight and one straight up,

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seven and two against the spread. These are all last

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nine games, and their team total eight and one to

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the over in their last nine games. So what wasn't

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working for them early in the year was they just

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weren't shooting well at all. We commented on it a

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few times, and now they've started to shoot the basketball well.

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Speaker 4: Pritchard would be a big deal here.

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Speaker 3: I think if he doesn't go. They rely on him

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to take a pretty good amount of shots each and

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every game, especially from three point range, so if he

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can't go, it might be a little.

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Speaker 4: Different from them.

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Speaker 3: I love this quote out of Jalen Duran, and I'm

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gonna paraphrase rather than read the whole thing to you,

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but basically, he said, we have no bench unit. The

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first ten guys on our team are all starters. It's

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the way they feel about their team. Doesn't mean it's

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necessarily true, but I like when teams are together units

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like that. So for me, Detroit it was in a

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bit of a tail spin. They seem to have come

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out of it that they smashed somebody on Friday Night

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Ski the last time we did a show. I forget

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who it was, but they absolutely I think they scored

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like one forty against somebody to show that maybe they're

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turning a bit of.

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Speaker 4: A Was it the Hawks? Yeah?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it shows maybe they're turning a little bit of

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a corner out of their slide.

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Speaker 4: So I would probably.

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Speaker 3: Prefer the Pistons here for Boston, Like I say, check

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the Pritchards status. To me, that would be a big

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deal and probably point me even further into Detroit direction.

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Speaker 2: All right, so looking towards the Pistons on that one,

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let's keep going. We have Raptors and Heat opened up

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six six at six. Total has come down though from

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two thirty seven and a half as low as two

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thirty four and a half. And when we look at

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the injury report, still know RJ. Barrett for Toronto, we

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know that definitely hurts the offense.

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Speaker 1: Defense.

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Speaker 2: It's a little bit better battle is for Miami ya

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could it's probable larcen is out and uh they still

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got them on there row zero out. Both of these

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teams have been in a downward spiral. I mean the Raptors,

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they've covered one game since r J. Bard has been

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out one that was the first one they failed to

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cover eight in a row. Now you have a Miami

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Heat team who I think has lost for in a row.

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Favorite It's an uncomfortable situation. I can tell you that

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absolutely I don't want Toronto, But at the same time,

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Heat nine to six, that just doesn't seem like their

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role to me. How about this, I said it hurts

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their offense, helps their defense. For Toronto, Heat games have

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been going under lately. I think that this could be

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another sneaky under I mean that the market did it

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down two thirty seven and a half. There's still some Actually, No,

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two thirty four and a half is pretty much what

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it is now.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I think it moved in the right direction.

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How do you feel about it? You know?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, just one look at the Miami side

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tells you that what they were doing well, they're not

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doing well anymore. And that's scoring points. Six of the

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last day they've scored one to eleven or less. Puts

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their team total at six and two to the under

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last eight games. And if Miami is not going to

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score the way that they've dedicated themselves to being the

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fastest tempo team in the league, if they're not going

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to score, then they're not going to win many. And

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that's where they're at right now. Like I said, it's

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a two and six ats overall, two and six straight

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up of course Toronto o and eighth straight up. So

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like you said, to start the ski, you got two teams,

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neither one is playing well.

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Speaker 4: Which one do we want?

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Speaker 3: It's kind of like trying to pick the good garbage

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out of the garbage can in these situations, if I'm

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forced to play. Sometimes we use the you know, we

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use the game gun to head who you gonna play?

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I think I would take points in that instance, just

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because neither team is playing really well and Miami isn't

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scoring enough. The two games that Miami has scored over

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their last date, they got to one thirty five and

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one for even one of those they didn't cover as

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a favorite.

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Speaker 4: They lost straight up to the Piston. So I know

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Toronto's been bad.

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Speaker 3: But my look at first, when I saw the total

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come down this morning, I thought, man, why is that happening?

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But when you do a deep dive into what's been

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going on with the Miami Heat, you understand totally why

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this thing has been met down from two thirty seven

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after two thirty four and a half. And it's not

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just the Miami side, it's both sides. So maybe the

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under is the way to look here. A Miami team

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total might not be a bad look either. List it

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at one twenty and a half and like I say,

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six of their last date that made it past one eleven.

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It's a lot of wiggle room there in a game

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like this, so we'll see how it goes. But I

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would have to lean that way didn't play.

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Speaker 4: I don't think I.

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Speaker 3: Will play Ski, but those are just thoughts. Maybe the

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team total under on the Miami side, maybe full game under.

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Speaker 2: All right, we're greening now, we think there should be

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less points in this game. Haven't quite pushed the button though.

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Next game MAVs and Jazz. This is a game that

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I do like a little bit more than the first two.

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It opened up minus three for Dallas is down to

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minus one. One shop even has them plus one and

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a half, so make sure you line shop depending what

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you like. Far as the total, it did go up

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from two thirty seven and a half as high as

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two forty and a half. Were looking at it out

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there for Utah, Nurkic is out, Kneeang is out for Dallas,

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no d Lo, still no Kyrie. You know that both

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Gaff and Anthony Davis are questionable here.

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Speaker 1: I feel like gafferd could be a.

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Speaker 2: Little closer to playing than not because he I feel

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like he's been listed as doubtful lately, but he is

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listened as questionable ad I don't think I saw him

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on this Andrew port earlier, so this is a new

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questionable tag and it makes sense why the Lions while

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the Lions have moved the way they are. I personally

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got in on over two thirty eight. I just I

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feel like Utah Jazz game should be a base of

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like two forty, especially at home, like twot thirty something

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is just it's too low. I should just playing a

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team that's gonna crawl. And lately Dallas has better point

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guard play, They're fine playing with some pace, and they

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could have less fer imp protection even you know if one,

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if not both of those bigs missed for them. So

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I think you can still get over the current best

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number of two forty.

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Speaker 1: What do you think here of you?

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Speaker 2: No?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I was saying to you off air before we

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came on. I was ready to play Dallas until the

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Anthony Davis news came out. And whenever you go from

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you know, playing to questionable in the middle of game day,

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it's not a good sign. So if he doesn't go

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ski like you said, not only is it less rim protection,

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it's basically zero rim protection because Derek Lively is already

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out I think for the year. So no Lively, possibly

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no Gafford, possibly no Davis means Utah at home with

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a clear path to the rim and plus they've got

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guys that can score inside anyway, Lari Markin and others.

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Speaker 4: So it changed my attention to.

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Speaker 3: Possibly Utah team total here, which is one twenty in

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a game, that's total that two forty or two forty

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and a half. And we know the disparity between Utah

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home and roads scoring, we know they score.

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Speaker 4: Better at home.

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Speaker 3: This is the team that, again Dallas with no rim protection,

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potentially likely to give up over one hundred and twenty

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points like the way they've been playing. Though I think

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we said it last week one of us did possibly

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you that about Nemhart at point guard. It's been much better,

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much smoother for Dallas offensively, so maybe you could still

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get there with a total.

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Speaker 4: But I'll just.

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Speaker 3: Point out the Jazz if you're betting side here, I'll

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point out that the Jazz are one in seven straight

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up after a win, and their only two game winning

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streak this year came when they had two days rest

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against Brooklyn on no rest, So really, the Jazz aren't

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a team that's going to string two games together. Dallas

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five and one last six ats. All of those except

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for one have been with ad so he's been a

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big boost.

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Speaker 4: Their points per one hundred.

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Speaker 3: Possessions went up from one oh nine one point zero

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nine to one point two to two the last six

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games so Ad has contributed well. I think he's averaging

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over two twenty points per game. Could hurt Dallas here

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a little bit if he doesn't go because they've been

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in a rhythm. I may turn my attention to Utah

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team total over here. To me, that seems like the

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safest way right now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Ad may matter for the side, but as far

243
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as my bet, I mean, I personally don't care if

244
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he's in or out. I mean, if he's in, he

245
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might help him score a little bit more. If he's out,

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defense gets even worse.

247
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Speaker 1: Though, I'll agree with that.

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Speaker 2: Keep going down the list, we have rockets and nuggets.

249
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This one opened up minus one and a half. Still

250
00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:36,320
looks like that one and a half out there. One

251
00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:39,840
shop actually has a pick on total open two thirty

252
00:12:39,879 --> 00:12:41,879
two and a half and this is as high as

253
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two thirty seven.

254
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Speaker 1: And a half.

255
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Speaker 2: As far as the injury report, you have easton questionable s.

256
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They don't know dfs. We know Vamfleet is out for Denver,

257
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Strawther is questionable. Bron and Gordon remain out.

258
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Speaker 1: You. No.

259
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Speaker 2: First things first, I think that, I mean the first

260
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thing that came to my mind when I saw this

261
00:13:05,919 --> 00:13:09,720
game was over, and I didn't push the button. And

262
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I'm upsetting myself because we've seen the line move five points, right,

263
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But the Nuggets, they can score the basketball and they

264
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can't get any stocks. Really, I mean, it's either you're

265
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gonna keep up with them, or if your defense is

266
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good enough, you might be able to hold them down

267
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a little bit. But really, if you're gonna be able

268
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to keep up with them offensively, That's really how I'm

269
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viewing Nuggets games right now, and I think the Rockets

270
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are a team that can, especially versus that poor defense.

271
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I fel like the rocketsmen scoring anyway, So I do

272
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agree with that market move up. I'm unsure if I

273
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still wouldn't play it at the current number just because

274
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of you know how I I say, I don't like

275
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to get the assing of the line, But what I

276
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can get there with is I like the Rockets side

277
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of this ro you know, I mean, you're gonna have

278
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the better defense, you should have the better rebounding team here,

279
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and this I just like the Rockets team has been

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playing better basketball in general.

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Speaker 1: That's when I think about them.

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Speaker 2: So I trust them more. Right now, I like the

283
00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:15,159
Rockets side of this one. What do you think here, Vino,

284
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Rockets over or can you talk me off?

285
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Speaker 3: Well, I don't know that I could talk you off

286
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because remember the other day when we had the Nuggets

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game on Friday. I think it was Jamal Murray who

288
00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:31,320
said they're just quicker as a team, faster paced without

289
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Braun and Gordon in the lineup, and it showed Friday night.

290
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I think I had their team total over. It was

291
00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:41,200
a high number one twenty four and a half against

292
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the Kings, but they got one thirty six, beat them

293
00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:47,639
pretty good. So you just go through their results and

294
00:14:47,679 --> 00:14:49,600
you can see Jamal Murray's just telling you that we're

295
00:14:49,679 --> 00:14:52,240
just faster. Nuggets one thirty five, one thirty four, one

296
00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:54,960
thirty six in three of their last four. If I

297
00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:57,720
backtrack a little further, one thirty and one thirty six,

298
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so one thirty or better in six of their last

299
00:15:01,320 --> 00:15:05,440
air five of their last seven. I want to get

300
00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:11,480
that right. So totally, I could plainly see here. If

301
00:15:11,519 --> 00:15:13,080
I go to side, I think you might get a

302
00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:16,120
little Houston revenge. You know, Denver went into Houston and

303
00:15:16,159 --> 00:15:18,639
won that game. I remember you and I talked about

304
00:15:18,639 --> 00:15:22,679
that one. I think we're leaning Houston that night, just

305
00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:26,480
because Denver very lackadaisical on defense, but Denver did. God

306
00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:29,240
they weren't playing with any real purpose at the at

307
00:15:29,279 --> 00:15:31,240
the time, but they came in there that night two

308
00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:33,600
and a half point dog win, one twelve, one oh nine.

309
00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:36,399
Houston may be looking for some payback here. I would

310
00:15:36,879 --> 00:15:40,080
probably think that they are, which would lead me to

311
00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:45,840
the Houston side. And just to wrap it up, I'll

312
00:15:45,879 --> 00:15:47,600
connect that to your point. If you're going to beat

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00:15:47,639 --> 00:15:50,200
the Nuggets, you're gonna outscore them. So if I like

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00:15:50,279 --> 00:15:52,679
Houston to beat the Nuggets, I have to like over

315
00:15:52,799 --> 00:15:56,240
in this case. We don't like to, you know, give

316
00:15:56,279 --> 00:15:59,720
away the closing line value. But I still think in

317
00:15:59,759 --> 00:16:02,879
this instance, you may get there with a total in

318
00:16:02,919 --> 00:16:05,600
this game. But Houston would be the side i'd look at.

319
00:16:05,639 --> 00:16:09,960
I just think that it was meaningful that night, and

320
00:16:10,039 --> 00:16:11,840
it's not that long ago. I'm looking at the date

321
00:16:11,919 --> 00:16:14,639
right here, the twenty first of November, so again about

322
00:16:14,639 --> 00:16:18,720
three weeks ago, still fresh in their mind, well rested

323
00:16:18,799 --> 00:16:22,240
Houston team. For what it's worth, Houston games or excuse me.

324
00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:26,799
Denver games now six, eight, ten and two to the

325
00:16:26,919 --> 00:16:30,440
over in their last twelve, and they've been going way over.

326
00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:32,440
Not just a little over, they've been going way over,

327
00:16:32,559 --> 00:16:36,000
so little lean to Houston, little lean towards over.

328
00:16:37,279 --> 00:16:40,840
Speaker 2: All. Right, I'm gonna just talk it out a little

329
00:16:40,879 --> 00:16:43,039
bit more off I'll say that, or try to poke

330
00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:46,440
a hole in it, or maybe just you know, I'm

331
00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:53,000
looking at the Nuggets schedule here. I mean, King's Hornets, Hawks, Pacers,

332
00:16:53,159 --> 00:16:59,200
Mavericks've got no room protection, Sons, Spurs, who were I

333
00:16:59,240 --> 00:17:02,559
mean they should be able to score on those teams, right,

334
00:17:02,639 --> 00:17:05,039
I mean the Rockets defense is supposed to be a

335
00:17:05,039 --> 00:17:08,559
lot better than all of those teams that they've faced.

336
00:17:09,519 --> 00:17:12,000
That would be the one thing that we'll say against that,

337
00:17:12,799 --> 00:17:15,519
you know how how well the Nuggets have been scoring lately.

338
00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,599
But other than that, I still can't say I would.

339
00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:19,960
Speaker 1: Play it under.

340
00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:22,079
Speaker 4: Yeah.

341
00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:24,480
Speaker 3: The other thing that would poke against that ski would

342
00:17:24,519 --> 00:17:28,640
just be the final score. That night in Houston, Denver

343
00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:31,400
won a pretty low scoring game one twelve, one oh nine.

344
00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:32,400
Speaker 4: Where did that come from?

345
00:17:32,440 --> 00:17:35,160
Speaker 3: Only allowing one o nine on the Nuggets side when

346
00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:39,839
Houston was healthy and the Nuggets you know that result

347
00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:43,480
at that time honestly made me believe that there's a

348
00:17:43,519 --> 00:17:47,119
switch that Denver, like many other NBA teams, flip, you know,

349
00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:48,720
we don't care, we don't care, we don't care.

350
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Speaker 1: Hey, it's Houston, we care.

351
00:17:50,599 --> 00:17:53,359
Speaker 3: Let's play defense. One night out of eighty two, this

352
00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:56,799
is the one, so you never know how that stuff

353
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is gonna go. But Houston didn't score on them that

354
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:01,759
night either. It's it's kind of a back and forth

355
00:18:01,799 --> 00:18:02,559
where that's concerned.

356
00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:06,519
Speaker 2: All right, We'll keep going down the list to the

357
00:18:06,559 --> 00:18:09,400
Grizzlies and the Clippers. The last NBA game on slate

358
00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:12,519
for tonight opened up minus four for the Clippers. It says,

359
00:18:12,839 --> 00:18:16,720
looks like four and a half right now. Photo came

360
00:18:16,759 --> 00:18:19,000
down slightly from two twenty nine and a half. Looks

361
00:18:19,039 --> 00:18:21,599
like it's two twenty eight and a half everywhere. As

362
00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:26,559
far as the injury report, Harden is questionable, the Tomb

363
00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:32,359
is questionable. For Memphis. The same guys are out, and

364
00:18:32,599 --> 00:18:36,319
you know Edie continues to be out as well. Do

365
00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:40,240
you know I feel like in this one, I mean,

366
00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:45,279
you got the Clippers, but Stixon they got six wins

367
00:18:45,279 --> 00:18:49,240
Stixon nineteen so far. Rist the Grizzlies eleven and fourteen,

368
00:18:49,279 --> 00:18:51,720
and the Clippers are favorite by four and a half. Here,

369
00:18:52,519 --> 00:18:54,559
I just feel like this lion screams Clippers to me.

370
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:01,759
The Clippers, I feel like they've been starting to play

371
00:19:01,799 --> 00:19:04,720
a little bit better. I would win James Harden and

372
00:19:05,079 --> 00:19:08,240
the questionable tag. I don't know where that came from,

373
00:19:08,519 --> 00:19:10,400
but I would expect him to play after a few

374
00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:14,319
days off. For the Grizzlies, they just have not been

375
00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:18,920
good without Zach Gedy. They I think are three three,

376
00:19:19,559 --> 00:19:22,440
they're four and eleven or three and eleven, something like that.

377
00:19:22,599 --> 00:19:25,680
Three and eleven ats it is four and ten straight up.

378
00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:29,160
I think it was without Zach Edy so far this season,

379
00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:32,240
like this, this stretch of good games they were playing

380
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:36,519
was when he came back from injury. And then just

381
00:19:36,599 --> 00:19:39,599
on top of that, you know, I wouldn't try to

382
00:19:39,599 --> 00:19:41,279
play good and be good, but he's not doing it

383
00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:44,319
right now. And I think he's also messing up the flow.

384
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:48,200
So combination of those two things makes me think it

385
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:50,480
should be time to fade this Grizzlies team. I mean,

386
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,000
you see Zach Edy's out, they lose to the Jazz.

387
00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:57,519
I think that the you know, for one night, we

388
00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:02,240
take the the tennis balls and Walkers, and we goad

389
00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:06,880
head to Bingo Night. Robno'll take the Clippers in this

390
00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:07,440
one tonight.

391
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:08,359
Speaker 1: What do you think.

392
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:18,440
Speaker 3: Bingo Night is fantastic? Yeah, a couple of things. With

393
00:20:19,079 --> 00:20:22,880
Zach Edy, of course, it's a little easier around the

394
00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:27,759
rim Zoo bots if anybody's playing props, perhaps his rebounds

395
00:20:27,759 --> 00:20:28,559
look good tonight.

396
00:20:29,319 --> 00:20:31,680
Speaker 4: But you're right, you want to have James Harden.

397
00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:35,839
Speaker 3: I can't get beyond the fact that I know Memphis

398
00:20:35,839 --> 00:20:39,480
will play with pace now that Jaw's back, and it's

399
00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:42,359
going to force LA to run. I thought that the

400
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:46,960
total in this game probably is too low, and Memphis

401
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:50,680
has scored one nineteen plus in three of the last

402
00:20:50,759 --> 00:20:53,240
four and the game where Job played the other night

403
00:20:53,319 --> 00:20:56,920
was a real high scoring game. I just Memphis doesn't

404
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,720
play a lot of defense, so the Clippers should be

405
00:20:59,799 --> 00:21:02,240
able to score here. And I just feel like Memphis,

406
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:06,599
playing the way that they play tempo wise, will score

407
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,559
on LA as well. So for me, I think it's

408
00:21:09,599 --> 00:21:12,200
going to be an over I don't want to leave

409
00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:14,599
either side out of the equation unless.

410
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:15,400
Speaker 4: Harden isn't involved.

411
00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:18,440
Speaker 3: James Harden doesn't play, then all bets are off. I

412
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,559
think maybe I would In that case, I think I

413
00:21:20,599 --> 00:21:23,160
would just go to Memphis team total win or lose.

414
00:21:24,039 --> 00:21:25,599
Speaker 4: Memphis over one fourteen and.

415
00:21:25,599 --> 00:21:28,359
Speaker 3: A half would make sense to me, Eric, Yeah, one

416
00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:30,640
twelve and a half, excuse me, and even makes a

417
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:33,319
little sense right now. Even if James Harden plays Memphis

418
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:35,559
over one twelve and a half, may not win the game,

419
00:21:35,559 --> 00:21:37,039
but I think they'll get to one thirteen.

420
00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:41,359
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff from Rob Vino.

421
00:21:41,559 --> 00:21:44,319
Speaker 2: Shout out the razor and the chat dropping his gambler's

422
00:21:44,319 --> 00:21:46,839
first glance for everybody. Love to see it as well,

423
00:21:47,599 --> 00:21:50,680
because I agree. All right, you know that's the NBA card.

424
00:21:50,759 --> 00:21:52,599
We'll talk a little bit of Monday Night football. We

425
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:56,680
have the Dolphins and the Steelers and opened up three

426
00:21:57,079 --> 00:22:00,480
hasn't moved. I'll open forty two still looks like two.

427
00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:05,559
I'll tell you my thoughts on this game. I haven't

428
00:22:05,559 --> 00:22:10,839
played it yet, but I do have thoughts. My thoughts are, Damn,

429
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,880
Miami's won four in a row. Miami's not dead yet.

430
00:22:14,279 --> 00:22:16,000
I thought Miami was dead a long time ago.

431
00:22:16,039 --> 00:22:18,400
Speaker 1: I had to look. I'm like, Miami still has a chance.

432
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:19,559
They're not out of it yet.

433
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:22,279
Speaker 2: The Steelers are just seven and six, so this is

434
00:22:22,319 --> 00:22:25,480
a really big important game. I do look at who

435
00:22:25,519 --> 00:22:29,039
Miami's played lately, and again I looked at this last night.

436
00:22:29,079 --> 00:22:31,200
I think it was so I don't have anything in

437
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:32,880
front of me, but I feel like the schedule was

438
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,799
a lot easier than the one that Pittsburgh has been

439
00:22:35,799 --> 00:22:40,359
playing lately. At the same time, So why I'm saying

440
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:45,680
that is because I think Miami's Like Miami's defense earlier

441
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:48,759
in the year was garbage, but lately the defense has

442
00:22:48,759 --> 00:22:52,480
looked a little bit better, at least the past defense.

443
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:53,519
Speaker 1: I feel like.

444
00:22:55,319 --> 00:22:59,440
Speaker 2: Porter Steelers, I don't trust their defense at all. Has

445
00:22:59,519 --> 00:23:02,079
defense run defense, it don't matter. I don't trust them

446
00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:07,519
to stop anybody. And their running back is questionable now,

447
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:10,759
so they might not be able to take advantage of

448
00:23:10,799 --> 00:23:13,160
a week Dolphins run defense. It's going to be just

449
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:17,119
past past, past past, and I don't think that's the

450
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:20,079
recipe for success. As long as eight Han is playing,

451
00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:26,759
I feel like the Dolphins can score. I'm leaning towards

452
00:23:26,799 --> 00:23:29,400
the Dolphins here the total. I'm kind of I'm a

453
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:32,839
little bit iffy, but maybe I trust I trust the

454
00:23:32,839 --> 00:23:35,240
Dolphins side more than I trust Pittsburgh side.

455
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:36,599
Speaker 1: What do you think you're rob you.

456
00:23:36,519 --> 00:23:40,839
Speaker 3: Know, Wow, I thought you might come at me with

457
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:42,599
Pittsburgh here, I'm in agreement with you.

458
00:23:42,799 --> 00:23:46,880
Speaker 4: I'm going to add to your point. I the Pittsburgh defense.

459
00:23:47,079 --> 00:23:49,799
Speaker 3: They're seven and six somehow, some way, but it's got

460
00:23:49,839 --> 00:23:51,880
nothing to do with their defense. It's like the fifth

461
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,160
worst in total yards per game allowed in the league.

462
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,680
They don't stop the run, they don't stop the pass,

463
00:23:56,839 --> 00:23:57,720
and they don't have TJ.

464
00:23:57,880 --> 00:23:58,119
Speaker 4: Watt.

465
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:00,519
Speaker 3: Tonight, TJ Watt they found that whole is lung. He

466
00:24:00,559 --> 00:24:02,240
had surgery this week.

467
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:04,400
Speaker 4: Won't be involved. That saves tu us.

468
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 3: I'll call it rear end a little bit right, No

469
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:12,039
blind side pressure from TJ. Watt and Devon h. Chan

470
00:24:12,279 --> 00:24:14,759
that that's the reason why. And and the schedule. You're right,

471
00:24:14,799 --> 00:24:19,279
Miami schedule has been fairly soft as of late. But

472
00:24:19,759 --> 00:24:23,839
all that being said, they've started to develop a running

473
00:24:23,839 --> 00:24:26,319
game with a Chan and he's a breakaway home run

474
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:28,400
threat every time he touches the ball. And if they

475
00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,920
can run it a little like it's a Steelers defense

476
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:32,920
that gives up one twenty five a game on the

477
00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:36,880
ground with Watt, then you know without him, and I

478
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:40,359
know he's mostly known for past pressure, but still that

479
00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:45,680
replacing him Pittsburgh doesn't have the personnel to do so fully.

480
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:47,400
Speaker 4: If it was.

481
00:24:47,519 --> 00:24:49,680
Speaker 3: You know, the main argument I hear all the time, well,

482
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:52,680
the Dolphins can't win in cold weather. Well, there's got

483
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,559
to be a time where the Dolphins wins something in

484
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:59,559
cold weather. I'm not a big to a fan, don't

485
00:24:59,559 --> 00:25:02,039
always trust him. I'll probably hold my breath every time

486
00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:03,200
he drops back the past.

487
00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:03,920
Speaker 4: But I'm with you.

488
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:06,359
Speaker 3: I thought their team total was a little light in

489
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:10,960
this game despite the cold weather. I think if they

490
00:25:11,039 --> 00:25:14,119
chin can run it a little, they get that established.

491
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:16,200
Speaker 4: No Wat coming at to off the edge.

492
00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:18,680
Speaker 3: He probably does complete some balls tonight, and they've got

493
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:20,640
guys on the receiver in.

494
00:25:20,599 --> 00:25:22,359
Speaker 4: The receiving core that can go the distance.

495
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:26,200
Speaker 3: So for me, it's a look at the Miami Dolphins

496
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:28,839
team total toward the over.

497
00:25:29,279 --> 00:25:30,759
Speaker 4: I think it's probably the best way to go.

498
00:25:32,039 --> 00:25:34,000
Speaker 2: Nineteen and a half is what I'm looking at here,

499
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:37,799
and it seems very doable. I mean, if I'm liking

500
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,599
Miami and I'm liking over or I didn't sayn Id

501
00:25:42,599 --> 00:25:45,000
was liking Over, but I do think I said I

502
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:48,319
trust Miami to score, I don't trust Pittsburgh's defense.

503
00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 1: That does seem like to play. Maybe I'll go. I mean,

504
00:25:52,039 --> 00:25:54,200
I like Miami. I like both.

505
00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:56,359
Speaker 2: Maybe I have to double up here team total and

506
00:25:56,480 --> 00:25:59,440
Miami on the spread. A couple of things from the

507
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:03,480
comments section. I mean you did mention, you know, also

508
00:26:03,519 --> 00:26:07,119
how Tua hasn't been good in the cold. He's talking

509
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:09,640
about Steelers blisz rate still top five in the league.

510
00:26:10,279 --> 00:26:12,119
Speaker 1: It's gonna take I mean, they're gonna take a hit

511
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:12,599
without t J.

512
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:15,880
Speaker 2: Watt Day Dog likes to over in this game, Razor says,

513
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:21,240
Stellers one and eleven without TJ. Tua like, like you mentioned,

514
00:26:21,799 --> 00:26:29,400
like it's happier than him right to He's loving that. So, yeah,

515
00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:31,480
I think that that could be a double up spot.

516
00:26:31,759 --> 00:26:32,119
Speaker 1: I just.

517
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:38,480
Speaker 2: I mean, I feel like the Steelers give up twenty

518
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:39,279
points in their sleep.

519
00:26:39,319 --> 00:26:41,680
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna glance. Let me see if I can

520
00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:45,240
pull doing it for you. Yeah, they give up twenty

521
00:26:45,279 --> 00:26:46,880
every week almost Yeah.

522
00:26:47,319 --> 00:26:50,000
Speaker 3: Seven of their last state games over twenty.

523
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:51,119
Speaker 1: Yeah.

524
00:26:51,279 --> 00:26:54,759
Speaker 3: Only one time that that they didn't, and that was

525
00:26:54,799 --> 00:26:58,680
against Cincinnati without Joe Burrow thirty four to twelve.

526
00:27:00,079 --> 00:27:01,559
Speaker 4: Why is it's almost automatic?

527
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:05,640
Speaker 1: I like that. I like that. Rovino.

528
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:09,319
Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna have to open my wallet man,

529
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:11,359
but we can sure.

530
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:12,640
Speaker 1: We stop the show now.

531
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 2: We can shut it down because we went through all

532
00:27:15,039 --> 00:27:15,839
the games already.

533
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,920
Speaker 1: So but we know we like to make money on

534
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:22,680
this show. We don't just like to talk, all.

535
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:27,559
Speaker 2: Right, you know, before I put the best best stuff up,

536
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,039
Let's see what can I go through here?

537
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:31,119
Speaker 1: We will do.

538
00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 2: We still have the full court all access pass right

539
00:27:34,319 --> 00:27:37,440
three days of NBA and college basketball only forty nine dollars.

540
00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,960
If you want to do the longer term, you can

541
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,160
get five hundred dollars off of one year pass comes

542
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:46,799
out to just one twenty five a month. And for example,

543
00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:49,359
if you were to get a one year pass for Robno,

544
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:52,319
he would then get a twenty five percent bonus coupon.

545
00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:54,240
Speaker 1: You can use it on something that I have and

546
00:27:54,279 --> 00:27:59,079
come check out. You know how SKI is handicapping? All right?

547
00:27:59,160 --> 00:27:59,359
Speaker 4: You know.

548
00:28:00,599 --> 00:28:03,480
Speaker 2: Now we'll move it over to best bets. I'll ask

549
00:28:03,519 --> 00:28:05,680
you if there's anything else you would like to promote,

550
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:08,079
and if you have a best bet for the show,

551
00:28:08,319 --> 00:28:09,119
we would love to hear it.

552
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:10,759
Speaker 1: If you don't, it's all good.

553
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:14,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, real quick again, And I know it's a we

554
00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:17,720
mostly do basketball on this show. I will promote just

555
00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:20,680
because Bowl season is heating up. It started on Saturday.

556
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:23,400
We did have a winner in that Washington Boise State game.

557
00:28:23,759 --> 00:28:26,279
Bowl package is up and available. I think wager talk

558
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:28,440
produced it by like one hundred and eighty bucks for

559
00:28:28,519 --> 00:28:32,559
the package all the way through the National Championship. Forty

560
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:37,160
one forty forty two games still left in Bowl season,

561
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:41,599
so if you're interested, you can purchase a reduced price

562
00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:48,440
Bowl package at wager talk dot com. Man, I've done

563
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:52,240
this more often than not lately, so I won't do

564
00:28:52,279 --> 00:28:56,880
it again. I'm gonna say for the NBA purposes, I

565
00:28:56,920 --> 00:29:00,000
know I'm gonna play Memphis over one twelve and a half,

566
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:02,559
so I'll use that as a best bet here. It

567
00:29:02,599 --> 00:29:05,359
will be my only client play today coming from the NBA.

568
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:09,960
Didn't especially care for the car other than Dallas, but

569
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,480
Memphis for over one twelve and a half I will

570
00:29:12,559 --> 00:29:14,880
use for clients, So I'll leave that here as the

571
00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:16,519
best bet for the show. And as you can tell

572
00:29:16,559 --> 00:29:19,440
by the way we were talking out the Monday night

573
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:22,400
football game, I do like that Miami side as well,

574
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,839
but best bet here for NBA purposes Memphis team total

575
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:27,359
over one twelve and a half.

576
00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:32,000
Speaker 2: Good stuff, Ravino. I'll remind everybody. Stuff has been going

577
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:35,839
pretty good for me lately. So I know NFL, I've

578
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:38,079
hit fifteen of the last twenty. I think that is

579
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:43,000
so NFL has been pretty nice lately. Basketball has also

580
00:29:43,039 --> 00:29:45,480
been good. I think what is it sixty six and

581
00:29:45,519 --> 00:29:48,559
thirty eight run? I'm on in both between college and NBA.

582
00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:52,440
So yeah, it's a good time to be on board.

583
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:56,759
I have made three NBA plays tonight. But for a

584
00:29:56,799 --> 00:30:00,799
best bet for the show, I'm gonna go with I'm

585
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:05,240
a stand up straight you know. I mean, I'm opening

586
00:30:05,319 --> 00:30:07,119
up my wallet like I said, and I'm going with

587
00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,519
the Dolphins team total over nineteen and a half.

588
00:30:09,839 --> 00:30:12,240
Speaker 1: It makes a lot of sense. You talked it out.

589
00:30:13,039 --> 00:30:17,119
Speaker 2: No, TJ Wye chasing two around a chan should be

590
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:20,160
able to run all over that Pittsburgh defense. The Dolphins

591
00:30:20,279 --> 00:30:23,079
to get to twenty. That's to play for tonight. That's

592
00:30:23,079 --> 00:30:23,799
the best bet.

593
00:30:24,039 --> 00:30:24,799
Speaker 1: So Vino.

594
00:30:26,839 --> 00:30:29,880
Speaker 2: Appreciate you breaking down these games with me definitely helps

595
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,400
my process. I'm sure it helps everybody else out there

596
00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:37,000
as well. Chat We appreciate all you guys. You guys

597
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:39,839
are you know, shared a lot of great information, great people,

598
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,799
and just great vibes. So what you guys bring to

599
00:30:42,839 --> 00:30:45,079
the show is much appreciated as well.

600
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:47,519
Speaker 1: We'll be back again tomorrow.

601
00:30:47,759 --> 00:30:50,799
Speaker 2: We do have it's what just the NBA Cup game right,

602
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,240
so they'll be short and sweet, but it will be

603
00:30:53,279 --> 00:30:55,240
a good game. That's a luck on all your action

604
00:30:55,359 --> 00:30:57,079
tonight and we will catch you all then

