WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Bedtime Astronomy. Explore the wonders of the cosmos

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<v Speaker 1>with our soothing Bedtime Astronomie podcast. Each episode offers a

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<v Speaker 1>gentle journey through the stars, planets, and beyond, perfect for

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<v Speaker 1>unwinding after a long day. Let's travel through the mysteries

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<v Speaker 1>of the universe as you drift off into a peaceful

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<v Speaker 1>slumber under the night sky.

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<v Speaker 2>Imagine standing in front of a mirror, just, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>looking at your normal.

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<v Speaker 3>Reflection, right, just checking your hair, yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Exactly, adjusted to your collar. But suddenly the glass shifts,

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<v Speaker 2>and instead of just showing your face, the reflection starts playing.

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<v Speaker 3>Backwards, like a movie on rewind.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, and not just by a few hours or like

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<v Speaker 2>a few days, yep. Imagine the reflection rewinds faster and faster,

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<v Speaker 2>dissolving the room right behind.

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<v Speaker 3>You, just completely falling away, right.

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<v Speaker 2>The walls fall away, the city outside dissolves into this wilderness,

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<v Speaker 2>and the earth itself literally unforms. It turns back into

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<v Speaker 2>a swirling disc of dust. The sun breaks apart.

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<v Speaker 3>You're going back to the very beginning.

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<v Speaker 2>All the way back. The mirror pulls back, accelerating through

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<v Speaker 2>deep time, billions of years, just collapsing in seconds, retreating

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<v Speaker 2>to a time of absolute, just unimaginable density. Everything you

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<v Speaker 2>ever known shrinks into a blinding, searing point of heat,

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<v Speaker 2>and then the mirror just pauses.

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<v Speaker 3>It hits play, hits play.

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<v Speaker 2>You are suddenly watching the entire thirteen point eight billion

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<v Speaker 2>year history of the cosmos play out and fast forward

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<v Speaker 2>right there in the glass.

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<v Speaker 3>Which I mean, it sounds like pure unadulterated science fictionally,

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<v Speaker 3>but the crazy thing is humanity is essentially building that

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<v Speaker 3>exact mirror right now.

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<v Speaker 2>It's wild to even think about. We are currently undertaking

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<v Speaker 2>one of the most ambitious computational projects ever attempted in

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<v Speaker 2>the history of our species. Oh, without a doubt, recreating

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<v Speaker 2>the formation of the universe itself from its very first

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<v Speaker 2>breath inside.

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<v Speaker 3>The sheer audacity of the project is what makes it

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<v Speaker 3>so compelling, honestly, because when we talk about these computational reconstructions,

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<v Speaker 3>we really have to strip away the idea that these

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<v Speaker 3>are just high definition animations.

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<v Speaker 2>No, it's not a Pixar movie exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>We aren't painting pretty pictures of stars and galaxies on

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<v Speaker 3>a digital canvas just so someone can use them as

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<v Speaker 3>a desktop wallpaper.

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<v Speaker 2>Though they do make great wallpapers.

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<v Speaker 3>They do, But we are constructing immense dynamic physical laboratories

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<v Speaker 3>in silicon. These are mathematical reconstructions built rigorously, I mean

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<v Speaker 3>line of code by line of code, from the.

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<v Speaker 2>Ground up, driven by the actual math.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, they are governed by the precise, unrelenting equations of gravity, thermodynamics,

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<v Speaker 3>radiation transfer, fluid motion, all of it cosmic expansion.

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<v Speaker 2>So by taking the absolute limits of observational astronomy infusing

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<v Speaker 2>them with the bleeding edge of supercomputing architecture, we're attempting

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<v Speaker 2>to mathematically weave reality together just to see if we

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<v Speaker 2>trulyunderstand how it works exactly. So today we are going

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<v Speaker 2>to explore exactly how scientists are building these dynamic reconstructions

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<v Speaker 2>of reality. You listening to this right now are about

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<v Speaker 2>to see how the invisible forces that shape literally everything

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<v Speaker 2>around us are being mapped and tested and ultimately understood.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a huge undertaking, it really is.

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<v Speaker 2>We're going to dive into the actual mechanics of how

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<v Speaker 2>you take the raw, chaotic math of the cosmos and

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<v Speaker 2>turn it into a breathing, evolving universe inside a machine.

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<v Speaker 2>Because honestly, there's a profound philosophical weight.

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<v Speaker 3>To this there is. It forces a real reckoning with

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<v Speaker 3>our own place in the grand scheme of things. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>think about it. We are a temporary biological species residing

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<v Speaker 3>on a tiny rock, a very tiny rock, attempting to

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<v Speaker 3>mathematically model our own origins. We are building virtual universes

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<v Speaker 3>to understand the singular physical universe that gave.

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<v Speaker 2>Birth to us, which is just wow.

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<v Speaker 3>It forces us to confront the deepest questions about the

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<v Speaker 3>nature of reality and how unbelievable complexity like galaxies, stars, planets, biology,

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<v Speaker 3>consciousness itself, how all of that emerges from incredibly simple

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<v Speaker 3>initial conditions.

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<v Speaker 2>But let's look at the immense roadblock right at the

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<v Speaker 2>starting line. Because the fundamental challenge of understanding the cosmos,

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<v Speaker 2>and therefore, you know, the very first challenge of simulating it,

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<v Speaker 2>is deeply frustrated.

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<v Speaker 3>It is a massive headache.

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<v Speaker 2>It's the fact that the vast, overwhelming majority of the

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<v Speaker 2>universe is completely utterly invisible to us. The stuff we know,

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<v Speaker 2>ordinary matter, the atoms that make up the stars, the planets,

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<v Speaker 2>the glowing gas clouds, the device you're listening to this

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<v Speaker 2>on in our own biological bodies, that constitutes just a

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<v Speaker 2>tiny almost negligible fraction of.

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<v Speaker 3>Cosmic reality around five percent.

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<v Speaker 2>Five percent. That is nothing.

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<v Speaker 3>It really isn't, which means if you want to build

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<v Speaker 3>a universe in a computer, you absolutely cannot start with ordinary.

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<v Speaker 2>Matter because it just wouldn't work right.

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<v Speaker 3>If you build a universe using only atoms, your simulation

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<v Speaker 3>will fail catastrophically. It won't look anything like the night sky.

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<v Speaker 3>The universe is completely dominated by two deeply mysterious, totally

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<v Speaker 3>invisible components, dark matter and dark energy, the Big Two.

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<v Speaker 3>The Big Two. Dark matter acts as the vital gravitational scaffolding.

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<v Speaker 3>It is the structural foundation that actually allows galaxies and

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<v Speaker 3>massive galaxy clusters to form in the first place.

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<v Speaker 2>And then dark energy.

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<v Speaker 3>Dark energy is the enigmatic force driving the accelerating expansion

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<v Speaker 3>of space itself.

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<v Speaker 2>And we can't see either of them.

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<v Speaker 3>No, we cannot hold either of these in a jar.

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<v Speaker 3>We don't even have a standardized particle model for dark

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<v Speaker 3>matter yet. But their silent, invisible influence dictates absolutely everything,

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<v Speaker 3>both the structure and the ultimate destiny of the cosmos.

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<v Speaker 2>So I want to focus on the mechanics of getting

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<v Speaker 2>this started. If you are a computational astrophysicist, sitting at

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<v Speaker 2>a supercomputer terminal and you want to simulate this invisible universe.

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<v Speaker 2>Where do you even begin?

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<v Speaker 3>You definitely don't just write a command prompt that says

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<v Speaker 3>run universe dot xe and walk away wish.

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<v Speaker 2>Is that easy?

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<v Speaker 3>Me too? But no, you have to give the computer

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<v Speaker 3>a highly specific starting state, initial conditions, and those initial

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<v Speaker 3>conditions are drawn from something called the cosmic microwave background

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<v Speaker 3>or the CMB.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, So, the CMB is what like the baby picture

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<v Speaker 2>of the universe.

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<v Speaker 3>Basically, it is the Rosetta stone of cosmology. Massive cosmological

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<v Speaker 3>simulations must begin with the conditions inferred from that early universe.

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<v Speaker 3>The cosmic microwave background is the ancient relic radiation left

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<v Speaker 3>over from the Big Bang. So it's light, yes, yes,

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<v Speaker 3>specifically it is the light emitted roughly three hundred and

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<v Speaker 3>eighty thousand years after the Big Bang during an event

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<v Speaker 3>called recombination.

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<v Speaker 2>Recombination, what's happening there?

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<v Speaker 3>That's when the universe finally cooled down enough for the

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<v Speaker 3>first stable atoms to form, which meant light could finally

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<v Speaker 3>travel freely through space without just smashing into a dense

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<v Speaker 3>soup of particles.

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<v Speaker 2>Ah, so it cleared up exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>It's the oldest light we can possibly see, and preserved

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<v Speaker 3>within that ancient light kind of like insects trapped in amber,

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<v Speaker 3>are tiny, almost imperceptible density fluctuations from when the universe

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<v Speaker 3>was extremely young.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about the scale of those fluctuations, because it's

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<v Speaker 2>really hard to wrap your head around. When we say tiny,

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<v Speaker 2>we really mean miniscus.

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<v Speaker 3>It's absolutely tiny.

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<v Speaker 2>The differences in density across that early universe were smaller

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<v Speaker 2>than one part in one hundred thousand.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, just barely there.

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<v Speaker 2>Imagine a perfectly smooth, vast ocean and the only waves

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<v Speaker 2>on it are microscopic ripples.

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<v Speaker 3>Great analogy.

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<v Speaker 2>Yet those incredibly faint quantum fluctuations, which were blown up

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<v Speaker 2>to macroscopic size during an early period of rapid inflation,

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<v Speaker 2>those are the seeds of absolutely everything that exists today.

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<v Speaker 3>Every galaxy, every star, You and me.

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<v Speaker 2>We all trace our physical lineage back to those microscopic

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<v Speaker 2>density irregularities.

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<v Speaker 3>And the physics of why those specific tiny seeds grew

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<v Speaker 3>is the entire foundation of the simulation. Gravity is the

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<v Speaker 3>ultimate patient sculptor here, how so well, under the influence

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<v Speaker 3>of gravity, those slightly denser regions of that prime soup.

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<v Speaker 3>The regions that were just a fraction of a percent

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<v Speaker 3>denser than the average, they exerted a slightly stronger gravitational

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<v Speaker 3>pull than the less dense regions around them.

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<v Speaker 2>Because more mass equals more gravity exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>So what happens. They gradually attract more matter. It is

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<v Speaker 3>a compounding runaway effect. Over hundreds of millions and then

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<v Speaker 3>billions of years, those one in one hundred thousand irregularities

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<v Speaker 3>undergo what we call nonlinear gravitational collapse.

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<v Speaker 2>Nonlinear gravitational collapse, right.

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<v Speaker 3>They draw in more and more dark matter, pulling it

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<v Speaker 3>out of the surrounding boyds and weaving it into these

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<v Speaker 3>enormous DNSE structures.

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<v Speaker 2>I always think of the CMB as this blurry static

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<v Speaker 2>ultrasound of the infant universe. It gives us that initial snapshot,

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<v Speaker 2>and the dark matter acts like an invisible, ghostly skeleton

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<v Speaker 2>growing out of that snapshot.

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<v Speaker 3>I like that, the skeleton holding it all together.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we can't see the bones directly, but we know

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<v Speaker 2>exactly how they are shaping the glowing flesh of the

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<v Speaker 2>galaxies resting on top of them. We know the skeleton

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<v Speaker 2>is there because we see the exact shape of the

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<v Speaker 2>body it supports.

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<v Speaker 3>And historically this was a massive revelation back in the

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<v Speaker 3>nineteen seventies and eighties when cosmologists first started running these

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<v Speaker 3>primitive N body simulations.

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<v Speaker 2>Wait, what's an N body simulation?

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<v Speaker 3>Ah, there are computer algorithms that calculate the gravitational forces

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<v Speaker 3>between thousands or millions of individual particles. So when they

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<v Speaker 3>started running these, they realized that without dark matter, there

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<v Speaker 3>simply hadn't been enough time since the Big Bang for

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<v Speaker 3>ordinary matter to clump together and form the galaxies we see.

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<v Speaker 3>It was too slow, way too slow. Ordinary matter is

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<v Speaker 3>coupled to radiation in the early universe, so it just

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<v Speaker 3>gets pushed around. It couldn't start collapsing until that three

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<v Speaker 3>hundred and eighty thousand year.

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<v Speaker 2>Mark, but dark matter could.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, dark matter doesn't care about light. It is collisionless.

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<v Speaker 3>It started collapsing much earlier, creating these really deep gravitational wells.

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<v Speaker 3>So by the time ordinary matter was free to collapse,

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<v Speaker 3>the dark matter foundations were already laid out, just waiting

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<v Speaker 3>for the gas to fall in.

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<v Speaker 2>Wait. I want to pause there, because you just mentioned

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<v Speaker 2>that dark matter is collisionless.

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<v Speaker 3>I did, Yes, what does.

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<v Speaker 2>That actually mean in the context of coding a simulation,

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<v Speaker 2>how do you code a collisionless fluid?

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<v Speaker 3>It is a brilliant mathematical abstraction. Honestly, in a computer,

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<v Speaker 3>we don't simulate individual dark matter particles because if dark

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<v Speaker 3>matter is composed of sub atomic particles, there would be

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<v Speaker 3>an impossibly large number of them in even a cubic

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<v Speaker 3>millimeter of space.

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<v Speaker 2>Right the computer would just explode.

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<v Speaker 3>Instantly, So instead we use macro particles. A single particle

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<v Speaker 3>in the simulation might actually represent the mass of a

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<v Speaker 3>million suns worth of dark matter, And because it is collisionless,

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<v Speaker 3>it means these particles don't experience friction or pressure when

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<v Speaker 3>they pass through each other.

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<v Speaker 2>They just phase through.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly. If two clouds of ordinary gas collide, they heat up,

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<v Speaker 3>they slow down, they emit X rays. If two clouds

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<v Speaker 3>of dark matter collide, they literally pass right through each other,

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<v Speaker 3>like ghosts, interacting only via their mutual gravitational pull.

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<v Speaker 2>Eerie.

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<v Speaker 3>It is so the code simply has to solve Quasslan's

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<v Speaker 3>equation for gravity. It calculates the gravitational force every particle

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<v Speaker 3>exerts on every other particle, moves them a tiny step

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<v Speaker 3>forward in time, and then recalculates.

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<v Speaker 2>But calculating the gravity of every particle pulling on every

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<v Speaker 2>other particle, if you have billions of particles, doesn't the

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<v Speaker 2>math get exponentially out of control?

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, highly out of control.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean I remember from high school physics. The gravitational

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<v Speaker 2>force between two objects is easy. But if you have

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<v Speaker 2>ten billion objects, calculating the distance and pull between every

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<v Speaker 2>single combination of two objects sounds like it would melt

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<v Speaker 2>a computer.

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<v Speaker 3>You've hit on the exact computational bottleneck that plagued all

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<v Speaker 3>those early simulations. If you use a naive brute force calculation,

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<v Speaker 3>what we call an O N squared algorithm, the time

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<v Speaker 3>it takes to compute grows with the square of the

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<v Speaker 3>number of particles. So for billions of particles, for billions

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<v Speaker 3>of particles, the universe would end before the simulation finished.

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<v Speaker 3>That's a problem, a huge one. So computational astrophysicists had

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<v Speaker 3>to invent these brilliant shortcuts, and one of the most

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<v Speaker 3>famous is the tree algorithm, which was originally adapted from

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<v Speaker 3>methods in plasma physics.

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<v Speaker 2>How does that work?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, imagine you are looking at a forest from say

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<v Speaker 3>ten miles away. Do you need to calculate the gravitational

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<v Speaker 3>pull of every individual leaf on you.

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<v Speaker 2>No, obviously not right.

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<v Speaker 3>You group the entire forest into one massive object and

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<v Speaker 3>calculate the pull from its center of mass. The tree

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<v Speaker 3>algorithm divides the simulated universe into a hierarchical grid. Okay,

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<v Speaker 3>if a group of dark matter particles is far enough

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<v Speaker 3>away from the particle you are currently calculating, the computer

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<v Speaker 3>just treats that distant group as a single combined mass.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh, that's smart.

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<v Speaker 3>It drastically reduces the number of calculations required, changing the

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<v Speaker 3>computing time from o n square to oen logan. And

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<v Speaker 3>later they combine this with mesh grids, where you calculate

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<v Speaker 3>the gravitational field on a three D grid and interpolate

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<v Speaker 3>the forces resulting in three PM or tree particle mesh

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<v Speaker 3>algorithm article mesh.

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<v Speaker 2>Got it.

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<v Speaker 3>That breakthrough is exactly what allowed us to scale up

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<v Speaker 3>from simulating a few thousand particles in the eighties to

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<v Speaker 3>literally trillions of particles today.

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<v Speaker 2>That's incredibly elegant. We're using computational geometry to sort of

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<v Speaker 2>cheat the math just enough to make it run without

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<v Speaker 2>losing the macro accuracy precisely. Okay, so we have this

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<v Speaker 2>optimized collisionless ghost skeleton of dark matter forming in the computer.

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<v Speaker 2>But if we run this simulation, what does it actually

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<v Speaker 2>look like? Because it's not just a random scattering of

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<v Speaker 2>spherical blobs, right, it has a very specific, almost biological architecture.

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<v Speaker 3>It does, and it is arguably one of the most

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<v Speaker 3>stunning discoveries verified by these simulations. The dark matter organizes

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<v Speaker 3>into what we call the cosmic web cladma. We imagine

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<v Speaker 3>vast interconnected filaments of dense matter stretching across unimaginable distances

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<v Speaker 3>of space. Where these filaments intersect, you get these massive,

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<v Speaker 3>hyperdense knots called halos halos okay. And between these luminous

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<v Speaker 3>threads light enormous, terrifying void regions of space millions of

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<v Speaker 3>light years across that contain almost nothing at all, just

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<v Speaker 3>dead space exactly. And this weblike structure wasn't programmed into

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<v Speaker 3>the computers directly. It arises naturally, inevitably, just from the

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<v Speaker 3>gravitational evolution of those tiny CMB fluctuations.

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<v Speaker 2>I want to make sure I'm visualizing this correctly. It's

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<v Speaker 2>like watching water trickle down a bumpy windshield. It naturally

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<v Speaker 2>pools into streams and droplets leaving empty spaces between.

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<v Speaker 3>That's a really good way to picture it. The process

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<v Speaker 3>is often described by the Zeldovitch approximation. Initially, a matter

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<v Speaker 3>collapses along one axis, forming vast flattened structures we call pancakes.

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<v Speaker 2>Pancakes cosmologists are great at naming things.

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<v Speaker 3>They really are. Then it collapses along a second axis,

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<v Speaker 3>forming the long, stringy filaments. Finally, matter flows along those

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<v Speaker 3>filaments and collapses along the third axis into the dense nodes,

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<v Speaker 3>those dark matter.

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<v Speaker 2>Halos, and the voids.

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<v Speaker 3>The voids are just the regions that lost the gravitational

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<v Speaker 3>tug of war, slowly empty out as all their material

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<v Speaker 3>is pulled toward the filaments.

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<v Speaker 2>So in our supercomputer, we now have this beautiful, twisting

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<v Speaker 2>skeleton of dark matter. We have these dense halos acting

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<v Speaker 2>as massive gravitational sinks. But we are missing the stars.

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<v Speaker 3>We are missing the light, right.

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<v Speaker 2>We are missing the galaxies. We need to introduce ordinary

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<v Speaker 2>baryonic matter the gas. But wait, if gravity alone creates

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<v Speaker 2>this beautiful dark matter web, why can't we just stop there?

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<v Speaker 2>What goes wrong in the simulation if we hit play

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<v Speaker 2>with only gravity and no ordinary gas.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, if you only simulate gravity you get a highly

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<v Speaker 3>accurate map of where galaxies should be, but you don't

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<v Speaker 3>actually get galaxies. You just get cold, dark, gravitational wells,

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<v Speaker 3>empty bowls. Exactly to understand the actual universe, you have

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<v Speaker 3>to throw gas into those wells. You have to introduce hydrodynamics.

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<v Speaker 3>And this is where the simulation goes from being a

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<v Speaker 3>relatively clean, elegant mathematical exercise into an absolute nightmare of complexity.

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<v Speaker 2>I find this historically fascinating. It's so counterintuitive that the

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<v Speaker 2>stuff we understand best, ordinary matter, the gas, the stuff

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<v Speaker 2>you and I are made of, is actually the hardest

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<v Speaker 2>thing to mathematically simulate, oh without a doubt. Meanwhile, the

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<v Speaker 2>dark matter, that we fundamentally don't understand at a quantum

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<v Speaker 2>level is computationally much simpler because it's a one trick pony.

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<v Speaker 2>It just does gravity. But ordinary gas gas is a diva.

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<v Speaker 3>A diva is putting it mildly. Gas dynamics involve massive

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<v Speaker 3>chaotic turbulence. When ordinary gas falls into a dark matter halo,

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<v Speaker 3>it accelerates, and as it accelerates, it heats up to

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<v Speaker 3>millions of degrees, creating supersonic shock waves that just ripple

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<v Speaker 3>out through the space.

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<v Speaker 2>That sounds intense. It is.

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<v Speaker 3>You have incredibly complex magnetic fields twisting, snapping, and reconnecting.

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<v Speaker 3>You have to calculate the cooling functions because gas can't

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<v Speaker 3>form stars unless it cools down, and it cools by

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<v Speaker 3>emitting radiation, which requires tracking this specific atomic transitions of

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<v Speaker 3>elements like hydrogen, helium, and oxygen.

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<v Speaker 2>That sounds computationally You can't just use those dark matter

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<v Speaker 2>macro particles for gas, can you?

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<v Speaker 3>You can, but you have to modify them entirely. There

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<v Speaker 3>are two main approaches to handling the gas. One is

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<v Speaker 3>grid based, where you divide the universe into millions of

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<v Speaker 3>tiny cubic cells and calculate the flow of gas between

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<v Speaker 3>the cells using the oiler equations of fluid dynamics DEMI other.

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<v Speaker 3>The other is particle based. It's called smooth particle hydrodynamics

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<v Speaker 3>or SPH. In SPH, the gas is represented by particles

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<v Speaker 3>that carry properties like temperature, density, and entropy, and the

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<v Speaker 3>computer essentially blurs them together to calculate fluid pressure.

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<v Speaker 2>And both are hard.

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<v Speaker 3>Both methods are computationally brutal, and it's.

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<v Speaker 2>Not just the fluid dynamics right, because once the gas

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<v Speaker 2>does cool down and form stars, those stars start fighting back.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, that is the crucial concept of baryonic feedback. In

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<v Speaker 3>the late nineties and early two thousands, cosmologists ran these

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<v Speaker 3>early hydrodynamics simulations and they ran into a massive problem

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<v Speaker 3>called the overcooling problem.

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<v Speaker 2>Cooling, what did that look like?

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<v Speaker 3>Basically, the gas and the simulations cooled too efficiently. It

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<v Speaker 3>fell into the center of the dark matter halos and

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<v Speaker 3>formed stars at a ridiculous rate. The simulated galaxies ended

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<v Speaker 3>up being way too massive, way too compact, and formed

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<v Speaker 3>far too many stars compared to what we actually observed

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<v Speaker 3>through telescopes.

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<v Speaker 2>There were just star factories on overdrive exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>The simulations were completely failing to match reality because.

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<v Speaker 2>They were missing the explosions. They were modeling the stars

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<v Speaker 2>being born, but they weren't modeling what happens when the

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<v Speaker 2>massive ones die.

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<v Speaker 3>Precisely. They were missing supernova and they were missing super

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<v Speaker 3>massive black holes. A galaxy is not just a passive

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<v Speaker 3>collection of stars. It is a highly volatile, finely balanced ecosystem.

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<v Speaker 3>When a massive star dies in a supernova, it doesn't

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<v Speaker 3>just disappear quietly. It detonates with unimaginable energy, violently heating

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<v Speaker 3>the surrounding gas and physically blowing it out of the galaxy.

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<v Speaker 3>In massive galactic.

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<v Speaker 2>Winds, It's like the galaxy is an engine and the

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<v Speaker 2>supernova is an exploding pistol, and that blows the fuel

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<v Speaker 2>line apart. If the gas gets blown away, the galaxy

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<v Speaker 2>is suddenly out of fuel, so it stops making new stars. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>star formation shuts.

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<v Speaker 3>Down perfect analogy. And if supernovae weren't enough, you have

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<v Speaker 3>to model agn feedback AGM active galactic nuclei. At the

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<v Speaker 3>center of almost every galaxy is a super massive black hole.

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<v Speaker 3>As gas falls into the black hole, it forms an

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<v Speaker 3>accretion disk that gets so incredibly hot it outshines the

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<v Speaker 3>entire galaxy.

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<v Speaker 2>Wow.

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<v Speaker 3>It generates colossal jets of high energy particles that blast

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<v Speaker 3>out into space, heating up the gas in the dark

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<v Speaker 3>matter halo and preventing it from ever cooling down to

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<v Speaker 3>form stars. Injecting that kind of localized, extreme violent energy

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<v Speaker 3>into a massive, large scale cosmological simulation requires a level

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<v Speaker 3>of computational finesse that we have only recently begun.

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<v Speaker 2>To master, which brings us to the hardware. Because capturing

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<v Speaker 2>the sheer explosive chaos of a single galaxy is hard enough.

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<v Speaker 2>Trying to mathematically calculate the shock wave of a dying

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00:19:57.519 --> 00:20:01.279
<v Speaker 2>star or the jet of a black hole requires solving

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<v Speaker 2>differential equations over incredibly tiny time steps, very tiny, but

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00:20:06.400 --> 00:20:10.599
<v Speaker 2>doing that simultaneously for tens of thousands of galaxies across

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<v Speaker 2>a massive chunk of the observable universe, we are talking

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<v Speaker 2>about true computational leviathans. I mean, my laptop fan sounds

397
00:20:19.839 --> 00:20:21.599
<v Speaker 2>like a jet engine taking off just because I have

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<v Speaker 2>too many browser tabs open.

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<v Speaker 3>We've all been there.

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<v Speaker 2>I literally cannot fathom the it infrastructure required to run

401
00:20:27.359 --> 00:20:28.279
<v Speaker 2>a virtual universe.

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00:20:28.640 --> 00:20:33.400
<v Speaker 3>The computational scale is difficult to properly articulate modern cosmological projects,

403
00:20:33.440 --> 00:20:37.440
<v Speaker 3>like the ILLUSTRISTMG project or the Egle simulation, they are

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00:20:37.440 --> 00:20:39.680
<v Speaker 3>not run on desktop computers. They run on the world's

405
00:20:39.720 --> 00:20:43.799
<v Speaker 3>most powerful supercomputing clusters like warehouse sized things. Yes, we

406
00:20:43.839 --> 00:20:47.480
<v Speaker 3>are talking about machines utilizing tens of thousands, sometimes millions,

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00:20:47.680 --> 00:20:51.599
<v Speaker 3>of CPU and GPU cores operating in perfect tandem. A

408
00:20:51.599 --> 00:20:57.000
<v Speaker 3>single large scale simulation can take months of continuous uninterrupted operation. Months,

409
00:20:58.119 --> 00:21:00.880
<v Speaker 3>and if a single node in the supercomputer fails, the

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<v Speaker 3>code has to be robust enough to recover from the

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<v Speaker 3>last save state without corrupting the entire virtual universe.

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<v Speaker 2>And the data output. We aren't talking about a gigabyte

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<v Speaker 2>file you can put on a thumb drive. The data

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<v Speaker 2>sets they produce reach petabyte scales.

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<v Speaker 3>It's astonishing.

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<v Speaker 2>For context, for you listening, one petabyte is roughly the

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<v Speaker 2>equivalent of a quarter of a million high definition movies.

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<v Speaker 2>You would have to sit in front of a television

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<v Speaker 2>twenty four hours a day for over fifty years just

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<v Speaker 2>to watch that much data.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's just to watch it. Scientists have had to

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<v Speaker 3>invent entirely new database architectures and visualization software just to

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00:21:36.880 --> 00:21:40.960
<v Speaker 3>store and navigate these immense virtual environments. You literally can't

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<v Speaker 3>load the whole simulation into memory at once. You have

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00:21:43.880 --> 00:21:46.119
<v Speaker 3>to stream it piece by piece just to look at it.

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<v Speaker 2>That is insane.

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00:21:47.160 --> 00:21:50.440
<v Speaker 3>And yet, despite utilizing the most powerful machines ever constructed,

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00:21:50.759 --> 00:21:54.039
<v Speaker 3>there is a profound fundamental limitation. We have to face.

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00:21:54.559 --> 00:21:59.240
<v Speaker 3>These simulations, as incredibly detailed as they are, remain coarse

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<v Speaker 3>grained approximate.

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00:22:00.400 --> 00:22:01.599
<v Speaker 2>They're still approximations.

432
00:22:01.920 --> 00:22:06.720
<v Speaker 3>Computers, no matter how powerful, cannot mathematically model every single atom,

433
00:22:06.799 --> 00:22:11.279
<v Speaker 3>or even every single sar individually across an entire observable

434
00:22:11.400 --> 00:22:15.799
<v Speaker 3>volume of the universe. Consider the dynamic range required. You

435
00:22:15.839 --> 00:22:19.200
<v Speaker 3>are trying to simulate a cosmic web that is hundreds

436
00:22:19.200 --> 00:22:22.480
<v Speaker 3>of millions of light years across, while simultaneously trying to

437
00:22:22.519 --> 00:22:25.559
<v Speaker 3>resolve a supernova shockwave that is a fraction of a

438
00:22:25.640 --> 00:22:26.480
<v Speaker 3>light year across.

439
00:22:26.519 --> 00:22:27.440
<v Speaker 2>You just can't do both.

440
00:22:27.519 --> 00:22:31.680
<v Speaker 3>It is computationally impossible to resolve both scale simultaneously.

441
00:22:32.039 --> 00:22:36.000
<v Speaker 2>So if the computer can't see the individual stars or

442
00:22:36.039 --> 00:22:38.839
<v Speaker 2>the individual supernovae because they are smaller than the smallest

443
00:22:38.839 --> 00:22:42.039
<v Speaker 2>pixels in the simulation, how do they run the feedback?

444
00:22:42.160 --> 00:22:44.319
<v Speaker 2>How do they get the supernova to blow the gas away?

445
00:22:44.640 --> 00:22:47.000
<v Speaker 2>If the simulation doesn't even know the supernova exists.

446
00:22:47.720 --> 00:22:50.400
<v Speaker 3>They rely on what is arguably the most controversial and

447
00:22:50.559 --> 00:22:55.359
<v Speaker 3>essential technique in computational astrophysics subgrid physics.

448
00:22:55.599 --> 00:22:57.720
<v Speaker 2>Okay, we you just spend some time on subgrid physics.

449
00:22:58.200 --> 00:23:00.920
<v Speaker 2>Because this feels like a massive conception leap it is.

450
00:23:01.119 --> 00:23:02.799
<v Speaker 2>I like to think of it like trying to predict

451
00:23:02.799 --> 00:23:05.640
<v Speaker 2>traffic in a massive city like Tokyo or New York.

452
00:23:06.480 --> 00:23:09.680
<v Speaker 2>You don't need a supercomputer to track every single turn

453
00:23:09.799 --> 00:23:12.440
<v Speaker 2>signal where every time a driver hits the brake, pedal

454
00:23:12.759 --> 00:23:15.680
<v Speaker 2>or the rpm of every individual engine to know that

455
00:23:15.720 --> 00:23:19.039
<v Speaker 2>there's a massive traffic jam forming on the main highway

456
00:23:19.079 --> 00:23:20.279
<v Speaker 2>at five zero pm.

457
00:23:20.400 --> 00:23:21.279
<v Speaker 3>Right, you don't make that.

458
00:23:21.319 --> 00:23:24.400
<v Speaker 2>You don't need the micro details. You approximate the local

459
00:23:24.480 --> 00:23:26.720
<v Speaker 2>chaos to understand the macro flow.

460
00:23:27.119 --> 00:23:32.400
<v Speaker 3>That is an incredibly apt analogy. Subgrid physics utilizes statistical

461
00:23:32.440 --> 00:23:35.880
<v Speaker 3>models to represent those smaller scale processes that occur strictly

462
00:23:35.920 --> 00:23:39.920
<v Speaker 3>below the simulation's resolution limit the Greed size. For instance,

463
00:23:39.960 --> 00:23:42.559
<v Speaker 3>the simulation might have a spatial resolution of one thousand

464
00:23:42.640 --> 00:23:45.960
<v Speaker 3>light years, it cannot track the fiery mechanics of one

465
00:23:46.000 --> 00:23:50.160
<v Speaker 3>specific star going supernova because that star is completely sub resolution.

466
00:23:50.319 --> 00:23:51.400
<v Speaker 2>It's invisible to the grid.

467
00:23:51.559 --> 00:23:55.920
<v Speaker 3>Yes. However, based on theoretical physics and smaller scale high

468
00:23:55.920 --> 00:23:58.920
<v Speaker 3>resolution models, the developers know that a certain amount of

469
00:23:58.960 --> 00:24:01.400
<v Speaker 3>gas of a certain dense and temperature will produce a

470
00:24:01.440 --> 00:24:04.519
<v Speaker 3>specific number of supernovae over a specific period of time.

471
00:24:04.759 --> 00:24:08.039
<v Speaker 2>So instead of simulating the bomb exploding, they just mathematically

472
00:24:08.039 --> 00:24:11.240
<v Speaker 2>inject the heat of the explosion into that one thousand

473
00:24:11.319 --> 00:24:12.880
<v Speaker 2>light year cell exactly.

474
00:24:12.960 --> 00:24:16.319
<v Speaker 3>The code essentially says, ugh, this cell has met the

475
00:24:16.319 --> 00:24:22.200
<v Speaker 3>conditions for star formation. Statistically, x number of supernovae just occurred. Here. Therefore,

476
00:24:22.319 --> 00:24:26.160
<v Speaker 3>I will artificially inject why amount of thermal energy and

477
00:24:26.279 --> 00:24:28.880
<v Speaker 3>Z amount of momentum into the surrounding gas cells.

478
00:24:28.960 --> 00:24:30.559
<v Speaker 2>It just cheats the physics a little bit.

479
00:24:30.599 --> 00:24:35.880
<v Speaker 3>It averages out the unobservable microphysics to faithfully reproduce the

480
00:24:35.920 --> 00:24:37.799
<v Speaker 3>macroscale effects on the galaxy.

481
00:24:37.960 --> 00:24:40.440
<v Speaker 2>I have a real problem with this Conceptually. I understand

482
00:24:40.440 --> 00:24:43.000
<v Speaker 2>why it's necessary for the computers to not melt down.

483
00:24:43.759 --> 00:24:46.759
<v Speaker 2>But if we're using approximations, if we're manually writing code

484
00:24:46.799 --> 00:24:50.559
<v Speaker 2>that says, inject this much energy when this happens, aren't

485
00:24:50.559 --> 00:24:52.759
<v Speaker 2>we just baking our own assumptions into the cake.

486
00:24:53.000 --> 00:24:54.119
<v Speaker 3>That's the big question.

487
00:24:54.319 --> 00:24:56.880
<v Speaker 2>How do we know the simulation is actually revealing the

488
00:24:56.960 --> 00:25:00.200
<v Speaker 2>underlying truth of the universe rather than just spinning our

489
00:25:00.200 --> 00:25:03.200
<v Speaker 2>own bias theories back at us. It sounds like tuning

490
00:25:03.240 --> 00:25:05.599
<v Speaker 2>a guitar until it plays the note you want and

491
00:25:05.640 --> 00:25:07.200
<v Speaker 2>then declaring you've discovered music.

492
00:25:07.519 --> 00:25:11.720
<v Speaker 3>That is the precise epistemological paradox that critics of cosmological

493
00:25:11.759 --> 00:25:16.759
<v Speaker 3>simulations frequently raise. Are these predictive scientific tools or are

494
00:25:16.799 --> 00:25:20.079
<v Speaker 3>they highly sophisticated post talk fitting exercises?

495
00:25:20.240 --> 00:25:20.759
<v Speaker 2>Exactly?

496
00:25:20.839 --> 00:25:24.240
<v Speaker 3>It is a deeply valid critique if you manually tune

497
00:25:24.319 --> 00:25:27.480
<v Speaker 3>the subgrid parameters for supernova feedback just to make sure

498
00:25:27.559 --> 00:25:30.759
<v Speaker 3>you're simulating galaxies match the exact size of the Milky Way,

499
00:25:31.160 --> 00:25:34.359
<v Speaker 3>you haven't necessarily proven how the Milky Way formed. You've

500
00:25:34.440 --> 00:25:36.960
<v Speaker 3>just reverse engineered a specific result.

501
00:25:36.960 --> 00:25:39.519
<v Speaker 2>Right, So how do the scientists defend against that? How

502
00:25:39.519 --> 00:25:41.920
<v Speaker 2>do they prove this is actual science and not just

503
00:25:41.960 --> 00:25:43.359
<v Speaker 2>cosmic video game design?

504
00:25:43.680 --> 00:25:48.440
<v Speaker 3>By demanding predictive power across multiple distinct observational metrics. A

505
00:25:48.559 --> 00:25:52.920
<v Speaker 3>robust simulation like ILLUSTRISTNG is calibrated. The team tunes the

506
00:25:52.920 --> 00:25:55.680
<v Speaker 3>some grid parameters so that the simulation correctly matches a

507
00:25:55.799 --> 00:25:59.680
<v Speaker 3>very specific baseline observation. Usually the stellar.

508
00:25:59.319 --> 00:26:01.640
<v Speaker 2>Mass function was the stellar mass function.

509
00:26:01.599 --> 00:26:04.240
<v Speaker 3>Which is simply the abundance of galaxies of different masses

510
00:26:04.279 --> 00:26:07.319
<v Speaker 3>in the present day universe. They adjust the feedback dials

511
00:26:07.400 --> 00:26:10.640
<v Speaker 3>until the simulation produces the right ratio of large galaxies

512
00:26:10.680 --> 00:26:11.599
<v Speaker 3>to small galaxies.

513
00:26:11.799 --> 00:26:14.599
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so they calibrate to one specific metric. They tune

514
00:26:14.599 --> 00:26:15.799
<v Speaker 2>the guitar to one string.

515
00:26:16.000 --> 00:26:19.720
<v Speaker 3>Yes, but here's the critical test. Once those parameters are

516
00:26:19.759 --> 00:26:22.359
<v Speaker 3>locked in to match the mass function, they do not

517
00:26:22.440 --> 00:26:24.880
<v Speaker 3>touch the dials again. They let the simulation run hands

518
00:26:24.920 --> 00:26:27.119
<v Speaker 3>off the keyboard, hands off of it, And then they

519
00:26:27.200 --> 00:26:31.680
<v Speaker 3>ask does this simulation, which was only tuned to match

520
00:26:31.720 --> 00:26:37.319
<v Speaker 3>galaxy masses, naturally reproduce other completely unrelated phenomena, like what

521
00:26:37.720 --> 00:26:40.519
<v Speaker 3>does it produce the correct clustering of galaxies across the

522
00:26:40.559 --> 00:26:44.240
<v Speaker 3>cosmic web? Does it naturally produce the observed division between

523
00:26:44.400 --> 00:26:49.480
<v Speaker 3>blue star forming spiral galaxies and red dead elliptical galaxies.

524
00:26:49.880 --> 00:26:52.720
<v Speaker 3>Does it correctly map the distribution of heavy metals like

525
00:26:52.799 --> 00:26:56.839
<v Speaker 3>oxygen and iron in the intergalactic medium? Does it reproduce

526
00:26:56.880 --> 00:27:00.920
<v Speaker 3>the mysterious magnetic field topologies we see in galaxy clusters

527
00:27:00.960 --> 00:27:04.640
<v Speaker 3>Moonishingly yes, wow, When the physics are implemented correctly, these

528
00:27:04.680 --> 00:27:08.759
<v Speaker 3>simulations reproduce a staggering array of observational data that they

529
00:27:08.759 --> 00:27:10.720
<v Speaker 3>were never explicitly tuned to match.

530
00:27:11.119 --> 00:27:12.680
<v Speaker 2>The math checks out, that's incredible.

531
00:27:12.680 --> 00:27:16.880
<v Speaker 3>They are generating mock telescope observations that perfectly mimic the

532
00:27:17.039 --> 00:27:20.759
<v Speaker 3>large scale gravitational lensing patterns we see in the real sky.

533
00:27:21.640 --> 00:27:24.440
<v Speaker 3>In many instances, if you take a simulated galaxy from

534
00:27:24.440 --> 00:27:29.000
<v Speaker 3>the high resolution runs and apply synthetic telescope noise to it,

535
00:27:29.000 --> 00:27:32.640
<v Speaker 3>it is virtually indistinguishable from a real image. Taken by

536
00:27:32.640 --> 00:27:34.079
<v Speaker 3>the Hubble space telescope.

537
00:27:34.160 --> 00:27:35.160
<v Speaker 2>You can't tell the difference.

538
00:27:35.200 --> 00:27:38.839
<v Speaker 3>Even trained astronomers struggle to tell which is the mathematical

539
00:27:38.880 --> 00:27:41.039
<v Speaker 3>abstraction and which is the real universe.

540
00:27:41.440 --> 00:27:47.000
<v Speaker 2>That convergence between simulation and observation is wild because traditionally

541
00:27:47.440 --> 00:27:50.920
<v Speaker 2>the scientific method is all about direct experimentation. You want

542
00:27:50.920 --> 00:27:52.400
<v Speaker 2>to know what a chemical does, You put it in

543
00:27:52.400 --> 00:27:54.119
<v Speaker 2>a beaker, you add a regent, you heat it up,

544
00:27:54.160 --> 00:27:58.559
<v Speaker 2>you measure the reaction. But cosmology has a fundamental constraint.

545
00:27:59.200 --> 00:28:02.160
<v Speaker 2>We only have one universe. We are stuck inside it.

546
00:28:02.480 --> 00:28:04.640
<v Speaker 2>We can't put the Big Bang in a Petri dish,

547
00:28:04.640 --> 00:28:06.759
<v Speaker 2>and we can't rewind the actual universe to see what

548
00:28:06.759 --> 00:28:08.559
<v Speaker 2>would happen if things were different exactly.

549
00:28:08.599 --> 00:28:12.720
<v Speaker 3>Astrophysics is traditionally an observational science, not an experimental one.

550
00:28:13.000 --> 00:28:14.920
<v Speaker 3>We can only look at the history of the universe

551
00:28:14.920 --> 00:28:19.119
<v Speaker 3>decided to give us until now right. These highly accurate,

552
00:28:19.200 --> 00:28:24.039
<v Speaker 3>predictive simulations completely change that paradigm. They cease to be

553
00:28:24.200 --> 00:28:30.000
<v Speaker 3>just sophisticated visual aids. They function as true, rigorous computational experiments.

554
00:28:30.279 --> 00:28:34.119
<v Speaker 3>They become active laboratories where human researchers can test hypothetical

555
00:28:34.119 --> 00:28:37.519
<v Speaker 3>physical laws and compare the outcomes against the reality we

556
00:28:37.599 --> 00:28:38.680
<v Speaker 3>observe in the night sky.

557
00:28:39.480 --> 00:28:42.519
<v Speaker 2>We are essentially allowing human beings to play god with

558
00:28:42.559 --> 00:28:45.559
<v Speaker 2>the laws of physics. Inside a machine, we get to

559
00:28:45.599 --> 00:28:48.960
<v Speaker 2>tweak the dials of reality. What happens if we run

560
00:28:49.000 --> 00:28:51.680
<v Speaker 2>a simulation where we alter the properties of dark matter

561
00:28:51.839 --> 00:28:52.640
<v Speaker 2>just a tiny bit?

562
00:28:53.000 --> 00:28:56.039
<v Speaker 3>That is precisely how we test competing theories of physics.

563
00:28:56.279 --> 00:28:59.559
<v Speaker 3>For example, let's take dark matter. The standard model assumes

564
00:28:59.599 --> 00:29:02.599
<v Speaker 3>cold dark matter, meaning the particles move very slowly compared

565
00:29:02.599 --> 00:29:03.359
<v Speaker 3>to the speed of light.

566
00:29:03.680 --> 00:29:04.599
<v Speaker 2>Cold means slow.

567
00:29:04.799 --> 00:29:08.160
<v Speaker 3>Yes, this allows them to clump together easily, creating small

568
00:29:08.200 --> 00:29:11.079
<v Speaker 3>structures that merge into larger ones a bottom up formation.

569
00:29:11.599 --> 00:29:13.799
<v Speaker 3>But what if dark matter is warm? What if the

570
00:29:13.799 --> 00:29:15.640
<v Speaker 3>particles are lighter and move much faster.

571
00:29:16.039 --> 00:29:19.000
<v Speaker 2>If they're moving faster, they wouldn't clump together as easily, right,

572
00:29:19.039 --> 00:29:21.240
<v Speaker 2>It would buzz out of the small gravitational wells.

573
00:29:21.319 --> 00:29:26.160
<v Speaker 3>Precisely so, researchers run the exact same massive simulation, but

574
00:29:26.240 --> 00:29:29.680
<v Speaker 3>they change the fundamental velocity properties of the dark matter

575
00:29:29.759 --> 00:29:33.839
<v Speaker 3>particles to match a warm dark matter theory. They hit

576
00:29:33.920 --> 00:29:37.680
<v Speaker 3>play let thirteen billion years pass in the computer, and

577
00:29:37.759 --> 00:29:40.119
<v Speaker 3>then look at the results. And what do they find

578
00:29:40.319 --> 00:29:43.200
<v Speaker 3>in a warm dark matter universe, the massive filaments and

579
00:29:43.359 --> 00:29:47.440
<v Speaker 3>large galaxies still form, but the thousands of tiny dwarf

580
00:29:47.480 --> 00:29:51.240
<v Speaker 3>galaxies that usually swarm around massive galaxies like our Milky

581
00:29:51.279 --> 00:29:54.720
<v Speaker 3>Way are completely wiped out. The fast moving dark matter

582
00:29:54.799 --> 00:29:57.119
<v Speaker 3>simply smoothed out the small scale structure.

583
00:29:57.400 --> 00:29:59.319
<v Speaker 2>So then you take that virtual output, you look at

584
00:29:59.359 --> 00:30:00.839
<v Speaker 2>the real milk You and you say, well, the real

585
00:30:00.880 --> 00:30:04.440
<v Speaker 2>Milkiya does have dozens of dwarf galaxies orbiting it exactly.

586
00:30:04.799 --> 00:30:07.880
<v Speaker 3>Therefore, the worm dark matter model must be wrong or

587
00:30:07.920 --> 00:30:11.680
<v Speaker 3>at least highly constrained. If a tweaked parameter causes the

588
00:30:11.680 --> 00:30:15.680
<v Speaker 3>simulated universe to fundamentally break down, if galaxies fail to form,

589
00:30:16.039 --> 00:30:19.319
<v Speaker 3>or the cosmic web looks entirely wrong compared to massive

590
00:30:19.359 --> 00:30:22.759
<v Speaker 3>sky surveys like the Slorn Digital Sky Survey, then that

591
00:30:22.880 --> 00:30:26.160
<v Speaker 3>specific theoretical model of particle physics is discarded.

592
00:30:26.240 --> 00:30:27.559
<v Speaker 2>It just doesn't survive the test.

593
00:30:27.640 --> 00:30:30.079
<v Speaker 3>It is a ruthless computational process of.

594
00:30:30.039 --> 00:30:34.240
<v Speaker 2>Elimination and one of the biggest, most terrifying dials they

595
00:30:34.240 --> 00:30:37.240
<v Speaker 2>are trying to figure out how to tune is dark energy.

596
00:30:37.759 --> 00:30:40.480
<v Speaker 2>We mentioned it earlier, but it is such a profound mystery,

597
00:30:40.559 --> 00:30:43.680
<v Speaker 2>a huge one for most of human history, we assume

598
00:30:43.759 --> 00:30:46.720
<v Speaker 2>the expansion of the universe, which started with the Big Bang,

599
00:30:46.920 --> 00:30:50.319
<v Speaker 2>would eventually be slowed down by the collective gravitational pull

600
00:30:50.519 --> 00:30:51.920
<v Speaker 2>of all the matter inside it.

601
00:30:51.839 --> 00:30:53.000
<v Speaker 3>Like tossing a ball in the air.

602
00:30:53.079 --> 00:30:55.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, exactly, it has to come back down. But in

603
00:30:55.480 --> 00:30:59.480
<v Speaker 2>the late nineteen nineties, observations of distant supernovae reveal the

604
00:30:59.519 --> 00:31:04.119
<v Speaker 2>exact opposite. The expansion of the universe is actually accelerating.

605
00:31:04.599 --> 00:31:07.599
<v Speaker 2>Space is pushing itself apart faster and faster.

606
00:31:07.759 --> 00:31:11.880
<v Speaker 3>It was a Nobel Prize winning discovery that completely upended physics.

607
00:31:12.079 --> 00:31:15.720
<v Speaker 3>In the standard cosmological model known as Lambda CDM, this

608
00:31:15.880 --> 00:31:19.240
<v Speaker 3>dark energy is represented by Lambda, the cosmological constant.

609
00:31:19.279 --> 00:31:21.079
<v Speaker 2>The cosmological constant.

610
00:31:20.759 --> 00:31:24.079
<v Speaker 3>It acts as an intrinsic, pervasive repulsive energy of empty

611
00:31:24.119 --> 00:31:27.440
<v Speaker 3>space itself. As space expands, there is more empty space,

612
00:31:27.480 --> 00:31:31.400
<v Speaker 3>which means there's more repulsive energy, driving even faster expansion.

613
00:31:31.519 --> 00:31:34.119
<v Speaker 3>What is it really The true physical nature of dark

614
00:31:34.200 --> 00:31:38.319
<v Speaker 3>energy remains completely unexplained. Is it the vacuum energy of

615
00:31:38.400 --> 00:31:42.759
<v Speaker 3>quantum fields. Is it a dynamic changing scalar field often

616
00:31:42.759 --> 00:31:47.759
<v Speaker 3>called quintessence, or do we fundamentally misunderstand how gravity operates

617
00:31:47.759 --> 00:31:49.079
<v Speaker 3>on colossal scales.

618
00:31:49.319 --> 00:31:51.880
<v Speaker 2>So we put these different theories of dark energy into

619
00:31:51.920 --> 00:31:55.279
<v Speaker 2>the supercomputer. What do the simulations tell us if we

620
00:31:55.319 --> 00:31:58.759
<v Speaker 2>play with that specific dial. What happens if dark energy

621
00:31:58.799 --> 00:32:01.920
<v Speaker 2>doesn't remain constant but actually gets stronger over time.

622
00:32:02.200 --> 00:32:05.440
<v Speaker 3>If you program a simulation where the dark energy equation

623
00:32:05.559 --> 00:32:08.680
<v Speaker 3>of state the dial dictating its strength, increases over time,

624
00:32:09.160 --> 00:32:11.319
<v Speaker 3>you enter a scenario known as the Big Rip.

625
00:32:11.400 --> 00:32:13.240
<v Speaker 2>The big rip that sounds bad it is.

626
00:32:13.559 --> 00:32:18.839
<v Speaker 3>The simulation shows the repulsive force of space eventually overpowering everything. First,

627
00:32:18.960 --> 00:32:22.440
<v Speaker 3>it pushes the galaxy clusters apart. Then the repulsive force

628
00:32:22.440 --> 00:32:26.440
<v Speaker 3>grows so strong it overwhelms the gravity holding individual galaxies together,

629
00:32:26.559 --> 00:32:28.160
<v Speaker 3>stripping stars away from the core.

630
00:32:28.400 --> 00:32:28.720
<v Speaker 2>Oh wow.

631
00:32:29.000 --> 00:32:33.160
<v Speaker 3>Eventually it overwhelms the gravity of planetary systems, tearing planets

632
00:32:33.200 --> 00:32:36.599
<v Speaker 3>from their stars. In the final moments of the simulation,

633
00:32:36.960 --> 00:32:41.759
<v Speaker 3>the expansion outpaces the electromagnetic and strong nuclear forces, and

634
00:32:41.839 --> 00:32:44.000
<v Speaker 3>the very atoms themselves are ripped apart.

635
00:32:44.160 --> 00:32:47.599
<v Speaker 2>Okay, that is deeply bleak, very bleak. But what if

636
00:32:47.680 --> 00:32:50.400
<v Speaker 2>we just stick to the standard model. What if dark

637
00:32:50.519 --> 00:32:55.279
<v Speaker 2>energy is just a constant, unchanging force exactly as Lamb

638
00:32:55.279 --> 00:32:59.240
<v Speaker 2>to CDM suggests. The simulation must show us where our

639
00:32:59.319 --> 00:33:01.200
<v Speaker 2>actual re universe is heading.

640
00:33:01.440 --> 00:33:04.680
<v Speaker 3>It does, and the implications are haunting in a quieter way.

641
00:33:04.799 --> 00:33:08.839
<v Speaker 3>How So, if dark energy remains constant, the accelerating expansion

642
00:33:08.880 --> 00:33:12.960
<v Speaker 3>continues unchecked. The simulations reveal that the cosmic web as

643
00:33:12.960 --> 00:33:15.839
<v Speaker 3>we see it today is a temporary structure. Over tens

644
00:33:15.839 --> 00:33:18.640
<v Speaker 3>of billions of years, the gravitational bonds holding the larger

645
00:33:18.640 --> 00:33:21.960
<v Speaker 3>web together will fail, The voids will expand relentlessly.

646
00:33:22.119 --> 00:33:23.319
<v Speaker 2>Everything just drifts apart.

647
00:33:23.480 --> 00:33:26.519
<v Speaker 3>Yes, galaxies that are not already bound together by local

648
00:33:26.559 --> 00:33:28.880
<v Speaker 3>gravity will be pushed away from each other at speeds

649
00:33:28.920 --> 00:33:30.079
<v Speaker 3>exceeding the speed of light.

650
00:33:30.160 --> 00:33:32.559
<v Speaker 2>Wait, I thought nothing could move faster than the speed

651
00:33:32.559 --> 00:33:32.920
<v Speaker 2>of light.

652
00:33:33.119 --> 00:33:35.960
<v Speaker 3>Nothing can travel through space faster than the speed of light.

653
00:33:36.680 --> 00:33:39.240
<v Speaker 3>But space itself has no such speed limit. It can

654
00:33:39.279 --> 00:33:43.319
<v Speaker 3>expand at any rate. The simulations show that eventually distant

655
00:33:43.319 --> 00:33:47.079
<v Speaker 3>galaxies will be pushed beyond our observable horizon. The light

656
00:33:47.119 --> 00:33:49.880
<v Speaker 3>they emit will never be able to traverse the rapidly

657
00:33:49.920 --> 00:33:51.319
<v Speaker 3>expanding space between us.

658
00:33:51.559 --> 00:33:55.920
<v Speaker 2>That means that future civilizations, if biological or synthetic life

659
00:33:55.960 --> 00:33:59.000
<v Speaker 2>manages to survive billions of years from now, are going

660
00:33:59.039 --> 00:34:02.720
<v Speaker 2>to wake up in incredibly lonely universe, every lonely they

661
00:34:02.799 --> 00:34:06.160
<v Speaker 2>might inhabit isolated galactic islands, just the merged remnants of

662
00:34:06.200 --> 00:34:08.719
<v Speaker 2>their local group of galaxies. They would look out through

663
00:34:08.760 --> 00:34:12.400
<v Speaker 2>their ultra advanced telescopes, expecting to see a vast cosmos,

664
00:34:12.519 --> 00:34:14.440
<v Speaker 2>and they would see absolutely nothing.

665
00:34:14.360 --> 00:34:16.559
<v Speaker 3>A completely black, empty sky.

666
00:34:17.199 --> 00:34:19.519
<v Speaker 2>All the evidence of the Big Bang, the cosmic Web,

667
00:34:19.559 --> 00:34:21.960
<v Speaker 2>the billions of other galaxies that we are privileged enough

668
00:34:22.000 --> 00:34:25.079
<v Speaker 2>to observe and simulate today, will have been permanently erased

669
00:34:25.119 --> 00:34:28.719
<v Speaker 2>from their observable horizon. They might falsely conclude that their

670
00:34:28.760 --> 00:34:32.079
<v Speaker 2>single solitary galaxy is the entire universe.

671
00:34:32.400 --> 00:34:36.360
<v Speaker 3>It is a profound existential insight derived directly from the

672
00:34:36.440 --> 00:34:40.280
<v Speaker 3>numerical outputs of a supercomputer. We are living in a

673
00:34:40.400 --> 00:34:43.719
<v Speaker 3>privileged observational epoch. We happen to exist at a time

674
00:34:43.760 --> 00:34:46.320
<v Speaker 3>when the universe is old enough to have formed complex

675
00:34:46.440 --> 00:34:50.480
<v Speaker 3>galaxies and conscious observers, but young enough that dark energy

676
00:34:50.519 --> 00:34:52.840
<v Speaker 3>hasn't yet erased the evidence of our origins.

677
00:34:53.119 --> 00:34:57.000
<v Speaker 2>And this brings up another existential revelation from these computational experiments,

678
00:34:57.400 --> 00:34:59.880
<v Speaker 2>the sheer, terrifying fragility of our reality.

679
00:35:00.000 --> 00:35:03.760
<v Speaker 3>It's a fine tuning problem. It is inescapable. When you

680
00:35:03.800 --> 00:35:07.360
<v Speaker 3>work with these simulations, they prove mathematically that our universe

681
00:35:07.440 --> 00:35:11.559
<v Speaker 3>is incredibly, almost absurdly sensitive to its initial conditions.

682
00:35:11.559 --> 00:35:12.960
<v Speaker 2>The dials are very touchy.

683
00:35:13.079 --> 00:35:16.480
<v Speaker 3>Exactly if you alter the parameters just a microscopic amount,

684
00:35:16.599 --> 00:35:19.079
<v Speaker 3>if you change the initial expansion rate of the Big Bang,

685
00:35:19.119 --> 00:35:21.159
<v Speaker 3>if you shift the density of dark matter by a

686
00:35:21.199 --> 00:35:24.719
<v Speaker 3>tiny fraction, or if you make those primordial quantum fluctuations

687
00:35:24.719 --> 00:35:27.639
<v Speaker 3>in the CMB just slightly smaller or larger, you produce

688
00:35:27.719 --> 00:35:30.039
<v Speaker 3>dramatically different sterile universes.

689
00:35:30.119 --> 00:35:32.360
<v Speaker 2>I read about one where they just slightly lowered the

690
00:35:32.400 --> 00:35:36.280
<v Speaker 2>initial density fluctuations and what happened. The dark matter never

691
00:35:36.360 --> 00:35:39.239
<v Speaker 2>gathered enough mass to overcome the expansion of space.

692
00:35:40.119 --> 00:35:43.800
<v Speaker 3>Galaxies simply failed to form entirely. The universe remained a

693
00:35:43.800 --> 00:35:48.480
<v Speaker 3>diffuse dark fog of hydrogen gas, forever expanding, forever cooling,

694
00:35:48.880 --> 00:35:51.599
<v Speaker 3>no stars, no carbon, no biology.

695
00:35:51.760 --> 00:35:54.840
<v Speaker 2>Or conversely, if you make gravity just slightly stronger or

696
00:35:54.840 --> 00:35:58.760
<v Speaker 2>the expansion rate slightly slower, the entire universe collapses back

697
00:35:58.840 --> 00:36:01.880
<v Speaker 2>in on itself in a big crow before stars even

698
00:36:01.920 --> 00:36:04.719
<v Speaker 2>have time to ignite. Wow. The window of parameters that

699
00:36:04.760 --> 00:36:08.159
<v Speaker 2>allows for the formation of stable cosmic web structures long

700
00:36:08.199 --> 00:36:11.840
<v Speaker 2>lived stars, and the complex chemistry necessary for life is

701
00:36:12.079 --> 00:36:13.440
<v Speaker 2>infinitesimally narrow.

702
00:36:13.719 --> 00:36:17.079
<v Speaker 3>So how do scientists grapple with this? If tweaking the

703
00:36:17.119 --> 00:36:20.320
<v Speaker 3>code just a tiny fraction ruins the whole simulation and

704
00:36:20.360 --> 00:36:23.559
<v Speaker 3>prevents planets and humans from forming, does this suggest our

705
00:36:23.599 --> 00:36:27.039
<v Speaker 3>existence hangs by a mere mathematical thread. Do we just

706
00:36:27.119 --> 00:36:30.079
<v Speaker 3>accept that we got incredibly improbably lucky in a.

707
00:36:30.000 --> 00:36:31.800
<v Speaker 2>Cosmic watery it's a huge debate.

708
00:36:31.960 --> 00:36:34.559
<v Speaker 3>Or does this fine tuning point to something else? Does

709
00:36:34.599 --> 00:36:38.280
<v Speaker 3>it imply there's a deeper, unifying physical law that naturally

710
00:36:38.280 --> 00:36:40.880
<v Speaker 3>locks those dials into place, and we simply haven't discovered

711
00:36:40.880 --> 00:36:43.719
<v Speaker 3>the math yet. That represents the very bleeding edge of

712
00:36:43.800 --> 00:36:48.039
<v Speaker 3>modern theoretical physics. The simulations don't answer the why, they

713
00:36:48.079 --> 00:36:52.519
<v Speaker 3>only illuminate the what. This immense fine tuning highlights how

714
00:36:52.559 --> 00:36:57.119
<v Speaker 3>beautifully balanced cosmic evolution appears to be for some physicists.

715
00:36:57.159 --> 00:37:00.559
<v Speaker 3>It strongly implies the existence of a multiverse idea being.

716
00:37:00.639 --> 00:37:04.480
<v Speaker 2>If you run infinite simulations with random parameters, most of

717
00:37:04.519 --> 00:37:09.440
<v Speaker 2>them will be dead steril fogs, but simply by statistical inevitability,

718
00:37:09.480 --> 00:37:11.800
<v Speaker 2>one of them will roll the exact right numbers to

719
00:37:11.880 --> 00:37:15.400
<v Speaker 2>create stars in life and because we are alive, we

720
00:37:15.480 --> 00:37:18.239
<v Speaker 2>must necessarily be in the one that worked the anthropic

721
00:37:18.360 --> 00:37:19.880
<v Speaker 2>principle exactly.

722
00:37:20.079 --> 00:37:23.559
<v Speaker 3>But for others, invoking a multiverse is an intellectually unsatisfying

723
00:37:23.599 --> 00:37:27.440
<v Speaker 3>cop out. They believe that a future deeper fundamental theory,

724
00:37:27.800 --> 00:37:31.079
<v Speaker 3>perhaps a complete theory of quantum gravity like string theory

725
00:37:31.199 --> 00:37:34.360
<v Speaker 3>or loop quantum gravity, will eventually reveal that these parameters

726
00:37:34.400 --> 00:37:36.679
<v Speaker 3>are not random dials that can be freely tweaked.

727
00:37:36.760 --> 00:37:37.840
<v Speaker 2>They have to be what they are.

728
00:37:38.079 --> 00:37:41.239
<v Speaker 3>A deeper theory might dictate mathematically that the universe must

729
00:37:41.239 --> 00:37:44.400
<v Speaker 3>have exactly the dark matter density and dark energy values

730
00:37:44.440 --> 00:37:48.280
<v Speaker 3>that we observe, but that remains completely unresolved. What is

731
00:37:48.360 --> 00:37:52.519
<v Speaker 3>undeniably proven by these computational experiments is precisely how delicate

732
00:37:52.559 --> 00:37:55.920
<v Speaker 3>and improbable the long chain of physical events was that

733
00:37:56.000 --> 00:37:58.800
<v Speaker 3>allowed you and me to exist and have this conversation.

734
00:37:59.239 --> 00:38:02.320
<v Speaker 2>To push these boundaries further, to try and solve these

735
00:38:02.400 --> 00:38:05.639
<v Speaker 2>ultimate mysteries, we need to run more experiments. We need

736
00:38:05.679 --> 00:38:09.679
<v Speaker 2>to test thousands of different dial tweaking scenarios, run higher resolutions,

737
00:38:09.719 --> 00:38:12.880
<v Speaker 2>and resolve both the massive cosmic web and the individual

738
00:38:12.920 --> 00:38:17.159
<v Speaker 2>supernovae simultaneously. We more power, right, but human minds and

739
00:38:17.199 --> 00:38:20.320
<v Speaker 2>even our traditional algorithms are hitting a limit, so we

740
00:38:20.360 --> 00:38:23.360
<v Speaker 2>are now enlisting the help of artificial minds. AI and

741
00:38:23.440 --> 00:38:26.840
<v Speaker 2>machine learning are fundamentally rewriting how we simulate the universe.

742
00:38:27.119 --> 00:38:32.159
<v Speaker 3>The integration of artificial intelligence into cosmological simulation represents a massive,

743
00:38:32.519 --> 00:38:37.039
<v Speaker 3>necessary paradigm shift. Remember the petabyte scale data sets we discussed.

744
00:38:36.599 --> 00:38:37.960
<v Speaker 2>The fifty years of movies.

745
00:38:38.360 --> 00:38:43.079
<v Speaker 3>Yes, the sheer volume of output is overwhelming human beings,

746
00:38:43.159 --> 00:38:47.159
<v Speaker 3>even teams of thousands of postdocs simply cannot comb through

747
00:38:47.199 --> 00:38:53.280
<v Speaker 3>that much information efficiently. Machine learning systems, particularly convolutional neural networks,

748
00:38:53.719 --> 00:38:58.639
<v Speaker 3>are incredibly adept at analyzing these massive, multidimensional data sets.

749
00:38:59.039 --> 00:39:02.840
<v Speaker 3>They can identify deeply hidden nonlinear patterns in the cosmic

750
00:39:02.920 --> 00:39:05.920
<v Speaker 3>web that human intuition would completely miss.

751
00:39:06.039 --> 00:39:08.920
<v Speaker 2>The AI isn't just acting as a highly efficient data janitor.

752
00:39:09.280 --> 00:39:11.559
<v Speaker 2>It's not just sweeping up the data after the simulation

753
00:39:11.679 --> 00:39:14.599
<v Speaker 2>is done. AI is actively helping to build the virtual

754
00:39:14.679 --> 00:39:15.519
<v Speaker 2>universes faster.

755
00:39:15.960 --> 00:39:19.280
<v Speaker 3>Yes, through the development of AI surrogate models or emulators,

756
00:39:19.519 --> 00:39:22.719
<v Speaker 3>we talked about how computationally expensive subgrid physics and fluid

757
00:39:22.800 --> 00:39:26.679
<v Speaker 3>dynamics are. A high resolution simulation calculating every thermal shockwave

758
00:39:26.719 --> 00:39:29.320
<v Speaker 3>can take months. But what if we don't have months.

759
00:39:29.360 --> 00:39:31.440
<v Speaker 3>What if we want to test ten thousand different dark

760
00:39:31.559 --> 00:39:34.960
<v Speaker 3>energy models. We can't wait ten thousand months. So researchers

761
00:39:35.000 --> 00:39:38.960
<v Speaker 3>train an AI on a small, insanely detailed, high resolution simulation.

762
00:39:39.519 --> 00:39:42.760
<v Speaker 3>The neural network learns the deeply complex physical mapping.

763
00:39:42.840 --> 00:39:44.599
<v Speaker 2>It finds the shortcuts exactly.

764
00:39:44.679 --> 00:39:47.480
<v Speaker 3>It learns ah when the dark matter density looks exactly

765
00:39:47.559 --> 00:39:50.199
<v Speaker 3>like this, the resultant gas temperature and star formation rate

766
00:39:50.239 --> 00:39:51.440
<v Speaker 3>will look exactly like that.

767
00:39:52.000 --> 00:39:55.679
<v Speaker 2>It bypasses the traditional math. Instead of calculating the fluid

768
00:39:55.760 --> 00:39:59.119
<v Speaker 2>dynamics step by step using the oiler equations, the AI

769
00:39:59.280 --> 00:40:02.400
<v Speaker 2>just looks at the innatetion and immediately predicts the final

770
00:40:02.440 --> 00:40:04.280
<v Speaker 2>state based on the patterns.

771
00:40:03.920 --> 00:40:07.760
<v Speaker 3>It learned exactly. It emulates the physics. Once the AI

772
00:40:07.880 --> 00:40:10.800
<v Speaker 3>is trained, they can deploy it across a massive scale,

773
00:40:11.199 --> 00:40:15.360
<v Speaker 3>low resolution dark matter simulation. The AI instantly paints the

774
00:40:15.440 --> 00:40:19.800
<v Speaker 3>highly complex, realistic buryonic gas and stars onto the dark

775
00:40:19.840 --> 00:40:21.719
<v Speaker 3>matter skeleton in a fraction of the time.

776
00:40:21.840 --> 00:40:22.639
<v Speaker 2>That is brilliant.

777
00:40:22.800 --> 00:40:26.199
<v Speaker 3>It dramatically saves millions of hours of supercomputing time while

778
00:40:26.280 --> 00:40:30.679
<v Speaker 3>rigidly preserving an astonishing degree of scientific accuracy. This allows

779
00:40:30.760 --> 00:40:33.920
<v Speaker 3>us to run vast parameter sweeps that were literally impossible

780
00:40:33.960 --> 00:40:35.880
<v Speaker 3>five years ago, and we're.

781
00:40:35.679 --> 00:40:38.440
<v Speaker 2>Going to need that speed because the data pipeline from

782
00:40:38.480 --> 00:40:41.480
<v Speaker 2>Rule World astronomy is about to explode and the simulations

783
00:40:41.480 --> 00:40:43.760
<v Speaker 2>are going to have to keep up. We are looking

784
00:40:43.840 --> 00:40:48.480
<v Speaker 2>at future computing horizons like exass scale architectures, machines like

785
00:40:48.519 --> 00:40:52.960
<v Speaker 2>the Frontier supercomputer capable of performing over a quintillion calculations

786
00:40:53.000 --> 00:40:53.880
<v Speaker 2>per second.

787
00:40:53.599 --> 00:40:56.440
<v Speaker 3>A billion billion operations a second.

788
00:40:56.719 --> 00:40:59.519
<v Speaker 2>We need that power because the telscoast are getting too good.

789
00:41:00.360 --> 00:41:04.480
<v Speaker 3>Between observation and computation is entering an era of unprecedented

790
00:41:04.639 --> 00:41:08.920
<v Speaker 3>tension and precision. The James Webb Space Telescope is currently

791
00:41:09.039 --> 00:41:12.199
<v Speaker 3>peering further back in time than human eyes ever have,

792
00:41:12.960 --> 00:41:16.519
<v Speaker 3>looking at the very dawn of galaxy formation, and it

793
00:41:16.599 --> 00:41:20.440
<v Speaker 3>is finding massive, fully formed galaxies existing much earlier in

794
00:41:20.480 --> 00:41:22.719
<v Speaker 3>the universe than our current simulations predicted.

795
00:41:22.840 --> 00:41:23.880
<v Speaker 2>It's breaking the models.

796
00:41:23.960 --> 00:41:27.239
<v Speaker 3>It is actively stressing our subgrid models of star formation.

797
00:41:27.480 --> 00:41:29.840
<v Speaker 2>The model said those early galaxies shouldn't have had enough

798
00:41:29.840 --> 00:41:32.440
<v Speaker 2>time to get that big. JWST is looking at the

799
00:41:32.440 --> 00:41:34.559
<v Speaker 2>sky and saying your code is wrong.

800
00:41:34.559 --> 00:41:39.119
<v Speaker 3>Precisely, and that is exactly how the science advances JWST

801
00:41:39.239 --> 00:41:42.760
<v Speaker 3>provides the tension, and the computational astrophysicists must return to

802
00:41:42.800 --> 00:41:45.920
<v Speaker 3>the supercomputers, refine their models of dark matter or early

803
00:41:46.000 --> 00:41:50.599
<v Speaker 3>baryonic feedback, perhaps introduce new mechanics like birsty star formation

804
00:41:50.760 --> 00:41:54.039
<v Speaker 3>or primordial black holes, and run the simulations again until

805
00:41:54.039 --> 00:41:56.519
<v Speaker 3>the virtual universe matches the new reality.

806
00:41:56.719 --> 00:41:58.280
<v Speaker 2>It's a constant feedback loop.

807
00:41:58.519 --> 00:42:01.519
<v Speaker 3>Furthermore, we have the upcoming of v Uroc Reuben Observatory,

808
00:42:01.679 --> 00:42:04.920
<v Speaker 3>which will map the entire Southern Sky every few nights,

809
00:42:05.000 --> 00:42:08.920
<v Speaker 3>generating an absolute tsunami of data regarding dark matter lensing

810
00:42:09.039 --> 00:42:10.360
<v Speaker 3>and cosmic expansion.

811
00:42:10.920 --> 00:42:13.760
<v Speaker 2>The Vera Reuben is going to catalog billions of galaxies.

812
00:42:14.239 --> 00:42:16.599
<v Speaker 2>To make sense of that, we need simulated universes that

813
00:42:16.679 --> 00:42:19.880
<v Speaker 2>contain billions of simulated galaxies to compare them against.

814
00:42:20.079 --> 00:42:23.559
<v Speaker 3>Exactly, as JWST and the Vera Ruben Observatory gather vastly

815
00:42:23.599 --> 00:42:28.159
<v Speaker 3>more precise data, our simulations will become increasingly relentlessly constrained

816
00:42:28.159 --> 00:42:31.719
<v Speaker 3>by reality. We will be forced to simulate magnetic fields,

817
00:42:31.800 --> 00:42:36.119
<v Speaker 3>general relativistic effects, and complex chemical evolution with a resolution

818
00:42:36.239 --> 00:42:37.639
<v Speaker 3>we previously thought impossible.

819
00:42:37.719 --> 00:42:39.119
<v Speaker 2>That is going to get more more detailed.

820
00:42:39.400 --> 00:42:43.679
<v Speaker 3>We are approaching an era where entire observable volume universes

821
00:42:43.760 --> 00:42:47.199
<v Speaker 3>may be mathematically modeled at resolutions currently reserved for a

822
00:42:47.280 --> 00:42:49.079
<v Speaker 3>single isolated galaxy.

823
00:42:49.320 --> 00:42:51.159
<v Speaker 2>I want to take a step back from the terabytes

824
00:42:51.159 --> 00:42:53.039
<v Speaker 2>and the algorithms for a moment and just look at

825
00:42:53.079 --> 00:42:56.360
<v Speaker 2>the existential reality of what we have discussed today, because

826
00:42:56.360 --> 00:43:01.039
<v Speaker 2>there is something deeply, overwhelmingly poetic about this higher endeavor.

827
00:43:01.199 --> 00:43:01.800
<v Speaker 3>There really is.

828
00:43:02.480 --> 00:43:06.519
<v Speaker 2>We are a biological species. We evolve to hunt, gather,

829
00:43:06.719 --> 00:43:10.360
<v Speaker 2>and survive on a rocky planet orbiting a very average

830
00:43:10.440 --> 00:43:13.760
<v Speaker 2>yellow star. We have possessed electricity for less than a

831
00:43:13.800 --> 00:43:16.639
<v Speaker 2>couple of centuries. We have been looking through telescopes for

832
00:43:16.639 --> 00:43:19.320
<v Speaker 2>a blink of a cosmic eye, just a blink. And

833
00:43:19.440 --> 00:43:23.280
<v Speaker 2>yet somehow the physical matter inside our skulls has developed

834
00:43:23.280 --> 00:43:27.320
<v Speaker 2>the mathematical capacity to reverse engineer and reconstruct the entire

835
00:43:27.719 --> 00:43:30.639
<v Speaker 2>fourteen billion year history of the universe that created us.

836
00:43:30.760 --> 00:43:34.519
<v Speaker 3>It is the most profound recursion imaginable in the natural world.

837
00:43:34.960 --> 00:43:37.679
<v Speaker 3>Let us trace the physical path we've outlined today. The

838
00:43:37.800 --> 00:43:42.360
<v Speaker 3>universe begins as incomprehensibly tiny random quantum fluctuations in a

839
00:43:42.360 --> 00:43:49.039
<v Speaker 3>primordial soup, through entirely deterministic, unthinking physical laws gravity, thermodynamics,

840
00:43:49.079 --> 00:43:52.679
<v Speaker 3>fluid dynamics operating silently over billions of years in the dark,

841
00:43:53.199 --> 00:43:57.840
<v Speaker 3>those fluctuations evolve, They collapse into a dark matter web,

842
00:43:58.199 --> 00:44:02.360
<v Speaker 3>they ignite into stars. Those stars forge heavy elements like

843
00:44:02.480 --> 00:44:05.719
<v Speaker 3>carbon and iron in their cores and explode them out into.

844
00:44:05.519 --> 00:44:07.039
<v Speaker 2>The void, spreading the seeds.

845
00:44:07.119 --> 00:44:11.400
<v Speaker 3>That complex chemistry eventually coalesces into planets and ultimately generates

846
00:44:11.400 --> 00:44:14.239
<v Speaker 3>conscious biological observers us.

847
00:44:14.599 --> 00:44:18.440
<v Speaker 2>And then those conscious observers extract silicon from the Earth,

848
00:44:19.079 --> 00:44:22.480
<v Speaker 2>constructs sophisticated mechanical brains out of it, and program those

849
00:44:22.480 --> 00:44:26.920
<v Speaker 2>supercomputers to build internal mathematical models capable of perfectly reproducing

850
00:44:26.960 --> 00:44:30.000
<v Speaker 2>the universe's on history right back to the quantum fluctuations.

851
00:44:30.039 --> 00:44:33.000
<v Speaker 3>It is exactly as if the universe spent fourteen billion

852
00:44:33.079 --> 00:44:36.559
<v Speaker 3>years growing a biological brain, just so that biological brain

853
00:44:36.559 --> 00:44:39.000
<v Speaker 3>could build a mechanical brain, all to dream about how

854
00:44:39.000 --> 00:44:40.519
<v Speaker 3>the universe was born in the first place.

855
00:44:40.639 --> 00:44:41.599
<v Speaker 2>That is just beautiful.

856
00:44:41.639 --> 00:44:45.199
<v Speaker 3>Through these computational laboratories, we are the cosmos performing self reflection.

857
00:44:45.440 --> 00:44:47.440
<v Speaker 3>We are the universe trying to understand itself.

858
00:44:47.719 --> 00:44:51.480
<v Speaker 2>And I think the visual beauty of these simulations completely

859
00:44:51.519 --> 00:44:54.519
<v Speaker 2>reinforces this awe. When you look at the outputs of

860
00:44:54.559 --> 00:44:58.920
<v Speaker 2>projects like Illustrious or the Millennium simulation, the vast twisting

861
00:44:58.960 --> 00:45:02.159
<v Speaker 2>filaments of dark mans stretching across the blackness of space

862
00:45:02.719 --> 00:45:06.880
<v Speaker 2>look remarkably undeniably like luminous neural networks.

863
00:45:07.039 --> 00:45:08.559
<v Speaker 3>The resemblance is uncanny.

864
00:45:08.760 --> 00:45:12.800
<v Speaker 2>The largest macro structures of the universe visually echo the

865
00:45:12.840 --> 00:45:15.840
<v Speaker 2>microstructures of the human brain that is currently simulating them.

866
00:45:16.320 --> 00:45:23.440
<v Speaker 2>The universe appears simultaneously intensely coldly mathematical and deeply beautifully organic.

867
00:45:23.599 --> 00:45:26.159
<v Speaker 3>It completely changes how we view the very nature of

868
00:45:26.199 --> 00:45:31.480
<v Speaker 3>reality itself. These simulations demonstrate unequivocally that staggering, our inspiring

869
00:45:31.519 --> 00:45:34.480
<v Speaker 3>complexity naturally emerges from ultimate simplicity.

870
00:45:34.559 --> 00:45:36.360
<v Speaker 2>Right, you don't need a complicated start now.

871
00:45:36.280 --> 00:45:38.519
<v Speaker 3>You start with a few simple rules, a few basic

872
00:45:38.639 --> 00:45:41.880
<v Speaker 3>fundamental forces, and a slight imbalance in density. You give

873
00:45:41.880 --> 00:45:45.000
<v Speaker 3>it fourteen billion years of processing time, and you get everything,

874
00:45:45.239 --> 00:45:48.079
<v Speaker 3>the cosmic web, the galaxies, the planets, and the mines

875
00:45:48.199 --> 00:45:49.679
<v Speaker 3>capable of understanding the math.

876
00:45:49.960 --> 00:45:53.000
<v Speaker 2>But despite all of this computing power, despite the AI

877
00:45:53.159 --> 00:45:56.079
<v Speaker 2>and the EXAs scale machines, we have to remain humble

878
00:45:56.920 --> 00:46:01.320
<v Speaker 2>because these simulations also explicitly define the bounce of human ignorance.

879
00:46:01.480 --> 00:46:01.679
<v Speaker 3>Oh.

880
00:46:01.719 --> 00:46:06.559
<v Speaker 2>Absolutely, the universe remains fundamentally mysterious. We can model dark

881
00:46:06.599 --> 00:46:09.960
<v Speaker 2>matter flawlessly, but we have never directly detected a dark

882
00:46:10.000 --> 00:46:13.320
<v Speaker 2>matter particle in a lab. We can code dark energy

883
00:46:13.360 --> 00:46:18.000
<v Speaker 2>into the simulation, but it remains completely unexplained. In fundamental physics,

884
00:46:18.719 --> 00:46:22.360
<v Speaker 2>the crucial unification of quantum mechanics and gravity, the very

885
00:46:22.400 --> 00:46:25.320
<v Speaker 2>thing required to understand the literal instant of the Big Bang,

886
00:46:25.480 --> 00:46:26.679
<v Speaker 2>remains unresolved.

887
00:46:26.800 --> 00:46:28.440
<v Speaker 3>It's the holy grail of physics.

888
00:46:28.760 --> 00:46:32.039
<v Speaker 2>Every single virtual universe we boot up inside a supercomputer

889
00:46:32.400 --> 00:46:35.239
<v Speaker 2>is built upon a foundation that contains a vast ocean

890
00:46:35.280 --> 00:46:36.440
<v Speaker 2>of known unknowns.

891
00:46:36.679 --> 00:46:39.760
<v Speaker 3>That humility is essential. A simulation is only as good

892
00:46:39.760 --> 00:46:43.159
<v Speaker 3>as the physics programmed into it, but the progress is undeniable.

893
00:46:43.320 --> 00:46:45.760
<v Speaker 3>We are no longer just guessing at how the invisible

894
00:46:45.800 --> 00:46:47.639
<v Speaker 3>shapes the visible. We are testing it.

895
00:46:47.719 --> 00:46:48.440
<v Speaker 2>We are proving it.

896
00:46:48.840 --> 00:46:52.320
<v Speaker 3>Yes, we are proving that our reality possesses a deep

897
00:46:52.639 --> 00:46:56.920
<v Speaker 3>underlying order, an order capable of being represented mathematically across

898
00:46:56.960 --> 00:47:00.800
<v Speaker 3>scales of time and space that utterly defy daily heute intuition.

899
00:47:01.519 --> 00:47:05.119
<v Speaker 2>Let's bring this grand journey full circle. Think about the sheer,

900
00:47:05.320 --> 00:47:08.760
<v Speaker 2>mind bending scale of what we've explored today. We started

901
00:47:08.760 --> 00:47:13.480
<v Speaker 2>with microscopic one in one hundred thousand quantum ripples preserved

902
00:47:13.519 --> 00:47:16.199
<v Speaker 2>in the ancient light of the CMB. The very beginning,

903
00:47:16.280 --> 00:47:19.599
<v Speaker 2>we watch those ripples get magnified by gravity, pulled into

904
00:47:19.639 --> 00:47:24.440
<v Speaker 2>an invisible, collisionless dark matter skeleton. We saw how chaotic, hot,

905
00:47:24.480 --> 00:47:28.360
<v Speaker 2>turbulent ordinary gas falls into those structures, battles against the

906
00:47:28.400 --> 00:47:32.519
<v Speaker 2>explosive feedback of supernovae and supermassive black holes to finally

907
00:47:32.559 --> 00:47:34.280
<v Speaker 2>ignite the galaxies we know and love.

908
00:47:34.440 --> 00:47:36.320
<v Speaker 3>It's a chaotic ballet, it really is.

909
00:47:36.559 --> 00:47:40.360
<v Speaker 2>We talked about how computational astrophysicists are mathematically rebuilding all

910
00:47:40.400 --> 00:47:43.880
<v Speaker 2>of this, using petabytes of data, running complex fluid dynamics

911
00:47:43.880 --> 00:47:46.800
<v Speaker 2>on millions of processing cores, and tweaking the physical dials

912
00:47:46.800 --> 00:47:50.320
<v Speaker 2>of reality to see what happens. All while artificial intelligence

913
00:47:50.320 --> 00:47:53.280
<v Speaker 2>helps us untangle the unimaginable complexity of the results.

914
00:47:53.599 --> 00:47:56.239
<v Speaker 3>It is a testament to the fact that profound intelligence

915
00:47:56.239 --> 00:47:59.199
<v Speaker 3>can arise within a universe vast enough to contain both

916
00:47:59.199 --> 00:48:02.440
<v Speaker 3>the crushing gravit of dark matter halos and the fragile

917
00:48:02.480 --> 00:48:06.599
<v Speaker 3>biological minds capable of deciphering their equations.

918
00:48:06.679 --> 00:48:10.599
<v Speaker 2>Which brings us to one final deeply provocative thought, something

919
00:48:10.639 --> 00:48:13.440
<v Speaker 2>for you listening right now to ponder long after you

920
00:48:13.480 --> 00:48:17.039
<v Speaker 2>stop the playback. Today, we have talked extensively about how

921
00:48:17.079 --> 00:48:23.239
<v Speaker 2>our supercomputers are already generating entire observable universes. They're utilizing

922
00:48:23.320 --> 00:48:28.440
<v Speaker 2>complex subgrid physics and AI emulators to produce simulated galaxies

923
00:48:28.599 --> 00:48:33.519
<v Speaker 2>that are virtually indistinguishable from real telescope images. We've established

924
00:48:33.559 --> 00:48:37.920
<v Speaker 2>that incredible organic complexity inevitably arises from simple mathematical rules

925
00:48:38.000 --> 00:48:40.880
<v Speaker 2>executing over vast stretches of time. So if we can

926
00:48:40.880 --> 00:48:44.239
<v Speaker 2>simulate a universe this accurately today, imagine what we will

927
00:48:44.280 --> 00:48:47.079
<v Speaker 2>be able to simulate in one hundred years or one thousand.

928
00:48:47.760 --> 00:48:49.960
<v Speaker 2>What happens when a simulation running inside one of our

929
00:48:49.960 --> 00:48:53.320
<v Speaker 2>descendants machines becomes complex enough and operates at high enough

930
00:48:53.400 --> 00:48:57.320
<v Speaker 2>quantum resolution to naturally develop its own simulated conscious observers.

931
00:48:57.400 --> 00:49:00.119
<v Speaker 3>Observers who evolve on a simulated Rocky plan.

932
00:49:00.360 --> 00:49:03.599
<v Speaker 2>Yes, who look up at their simulated stars, build their

933
00:49:03.599 --> 00:49:07.039
<v Speaker 2>own simulated computers and try to mathematically model their own origins.

934
00:49:07.519 --> 00:49:11.159
<v Speaker 2>And if that recursion is mathematically possible, if simulated universes

935
00:49:11.159 --> 00:49:14.000
<v Speaker 2>can spawn their own simulated minds, how can we be

936
00:49:14.280 --> 00:49:17.719
<v Speaker 2>absolutely fundamentally certain that we aren't already living inside one

937
00:49:17.760 --> 00:49:19.400
<v Speaker 2>of those computational experiments right now,
