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Speaker 1: It's the last Call Sunday, and it's the last last

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call of the NFL regular season. I'm the prop Queen

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Ariel Epstein. Today on the show, we're gonna be joined

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by Yanni, the Greek lad from Las Vegas also known

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as Vegas Rutter, and he's gonna tell us where all

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the sharp groups are going. Then Carmel Bianco's gonna talk

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NFL props here in week eighteen, and also going with last,

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but not least, Marco, who's gonna be telling us all

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his sharp sides of the day. I know that by

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bet on it, he's got a play that he really likes.

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We all know that my Baltimore Ravens are in action tonight.

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I'm wearing my favorite Raven sweatshirt because it might be

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the last time that I can. And guess what, I

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saw a great tweet today. The tweet was it was

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spot on with how Ravens and Steelers fans are going

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to feel about the day. It said, the funniest part

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of Raven Steelers is no matter who wins, the winning

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fan base will victory lap and talk crap, and the

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losing fan base will cope by saying they're glad it happened,

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so the head coach can get fired. Thought it was

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a great tweet. I have no clue what to think

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of this Ravens Steelers game, because my heart says I

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don't want them to win, but they probably will to

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put me and keep me in misery for another week.

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And I also this week have a shot at winning

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my pick'm contest, so I need some winning action today.

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And that's why Yanni the Greek is joining the show

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right now telling us where all the sharp groups are going.

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I need to start with the important game of the day,

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and oh forty nine Ers hat that's an interesting choice

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for today, Yanni. But I'm really interested to hear your

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thoughts on this Ravens Steelers game because the line went

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from minus two and a half to minus three and

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a half Ravens on the road in Pittsburgh. Public is

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loving Pittsburgh, so many people said to me, Ariel, I'm

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so sorry, I love Pittsburgh today. Fine, I don't care, Yanni,

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Then why the heck is this line with what minus

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three and half minus four and a half Ravens on

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the road.

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Speaker 2: Because most people might like the Ravens, but are they

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betting the Ravens. I mean, or miss Steelers or what

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have you, because here's what I can tell you looking

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at the back end right now, it's all Ravens action.

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It's not Steelers action. The ticket count is higher Ravens,

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the money is higher Ravens. Everybody's maybe saying, like the

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Steelers look like the side, but they're playing looking at.

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Speaker 1: The DK splits, the DK splits had it favored the Steelers,

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so you probably obviously you're looking Vegas splits, right, That's.

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Speaker 2: What I'm saying. See, that's what I mean. It's different.

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That's the problem. I don't understand why recreational betters are

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so into what do the books have? What do they need? Dude?

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You could talk to two different book makers and they

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need the exact opposite. It's what you're booking. The market's

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going to tell you what you need to know. And

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when you look at the line, it's obvious it's a

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primetime game. It's Sunday night football. It's going to have

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the most risk out of any game today, and the

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lines reflecting what the action is. And if it was

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all Steeler action, rest assured, this line wouldn't be three

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and a half, it would be sitting at three, so

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there is Baltimore action coming in. But I think by

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the time this game kicks off, like most you're gonna

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get decent two way action. I don't think they're gonna

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have a ton of risk on that game. The under

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is where they're gonna have the risk so far, because

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it's sharps and recreational betters. But the difference is ariel

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that the sharps got down it under forty two and

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a half. The recreational betters are betting it under forty

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forty and a half. And that's what you got to

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remember today, because everybody was I've been asked like five

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times already, what are the sharp sides? What are the

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sharp sides? There's no sharp sides. The sharp sides are gone.

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The sharp sides were a team minus five that's now

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minus thirteen. Like so knowing that becomes irrelevant. It's where

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are we today? Where it stands right now? The sharp's

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already got out ahead of the market. The only thing

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they're waiting for now is if the public money moves

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somebody's lines further away than where they should be. Because

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I could tell you now all the groups that I

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work with, they've already gotten down. The only thing they're

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looking at right now are like player props, some team totals,

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and then, like I said, if any of these games, Yeah, the.

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Speaker 1: Hard thing about this week, So normally every week, aside

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for some standout injuries, you can say, okay, for the

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most part, this line might be moving because of the

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action coming in, or it could be moving because of

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an injury this week. How do you decipher which is

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which because we do have a ton of players that

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are going to sit out. In fact, the four pm

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Eastern time games, barely any props are posted because they

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don't know who's in and out exactly.

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Speaker 2: And that's not only are are we in a tough

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position and that puts the book makers in a tough

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position as well. And I always tell betters, look at

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the movement in the market. That's going to tell you

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how beatable market is. Meaning on a Sunday NFL, they're

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barely moving the line no matter what they're booking. Like

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you said, there has to be an injured player, There

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has to be weather related suspension, something major has to

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happen to move a line significantly in the NFL. Even

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sharp money is maybe going to move it a point

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and a half if it's not on a key number.

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But this is showing you that this type of week

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is almost like the preseason because it's hard to quantify motivation.

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Does any team that has nothing to play for even

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care about winning, especially when it's a team that doesn't

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have anything to play for against a team that has

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nothing to play for? How do you quantify motivation? How

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do you quantify replacement player? What are they worth? There's

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a lot of factors to consider, and that's why I've

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been telling betters to stay as selective as possible today.

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That's the key. You're still laying the same eleven to

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win ten as you did last week, and you're gonna

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next week. But if you don't feel you have those edges,

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there's no reason to gam again. If on this channel,

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we're doing this as an investment vehicle, using sports betting

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to profit, and if you're really using sports betting a profit,

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then some of these lines have already gotten away from

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us and you just got to call it a day.

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And if you don't like the other side, like real

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quickly a perfect example Minnesota Green Bay. We know the

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look ahead was six and a half right now, it's

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twelve and a half. There's only one side you can

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take in this game. If you like green Bay, great,

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good for you. You got a better number. If you

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like Minnesota, you have to pass because you didn't get

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down at six and a half, you didn't get down

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to seven and a half. You didn't get down at

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eight and a half, at nine and a half, at

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ten and a half, at eleven and a half, Like,

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what were you waiting for? What do you think the

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line should have been seventeen? So this morning you decided

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I'm going to lay the twelve and a half because

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it should be fourteen and a half fifteen. Why weren't

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you getting down at eight and a half, nine and

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a half, ten and a half in place an even

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bigger bet since your edge is so great. And again

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that's why I always try to tell most betters are sharp,

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they're smart, that they're they're reasonable, But when you put

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them in an environment of gambling, I'll tell you take

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the smartest guy on the planet, but you stick them

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in the casino setting, and they lose all reason, Like

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they'll do the stupidest shit. And that's exactly what the

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sportsbooks are counting on today for betters to bet these

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games after they've already had enough time to adjust the

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betting line. So again, where we stand now, you got

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to be cautious. And I'm not trying to discourage anybody.

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All I'm saying is tomorrow morning, no one's gonna give

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a shit about what happened today. We're all gonna be

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talking about next week's wild card. And you don't want

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to be that guy that lost their bank roll over

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nonsense this week. That's all I'm saying.

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Speaker 1: Johnny, Which games did stand out to you that people

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could still bet today?

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Speaker 2: There you go. Take the New York Giants. Take the

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New York Giants because that number three is still available.

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We got down at three and a half. I let

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my subscribers know they could get down at three. It's

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still good. I think they win that game out right.

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We like the Giants. Another game that we're on that

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the entire public's on as well, we're on the La

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Rams and that's one that we actually.

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Speaker 1: What are you laying in that game?

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Speaker 3: Late?

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Speaker 2: We actually bet laid thirteen and a half and fourteen,

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so that's why it's fourteen juice. Yeah, that was a

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little bit surprising to me because again. They didn't get

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down at twelve and a half, they didn't get down

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at thirteen, but then they hit that thirteen and a half.

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They actually did that this morning with that New York

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Giants that I sent out to subscribers. Another game that's

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sticking out to me, I kind of missed it. I

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don't know what I'm going to do with it. Is

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Atlanta over New Orleans. You saw that this team still playing,

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and for some reason, the recreational betters are loving New

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Orleans this week. And this is what I like to

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pay attention to as far as what the book makers

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are booking, like don't want I don't care about I

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want to fade the public. I'm not getting eleven to ten,

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so that's not going to help me. But what is

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going to help me is when I start seeing that

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instead of them taking the or, they're taking the money line,

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so they think that this Nororland teams doesn't even need

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these points. That to me is what sticks out a lot.

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When you have the higher ticket count on the underdog

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and the majority of the bets are bypassing the spread

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and they're taking the money line, that to me is

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a telling sign, especially when the lines move in opposite that.

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So the betters think they don't even need the points.

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And this is the key number. You went through the

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key number of three in that game at Lanta. Opens

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is a two two and a half point favorite. You

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went through the key number and they still don't think

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they need the points. That's a telling.

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Speaker 1: Sign people are betting. So people are betting Saints' money line.

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Speaker 2: St Yeah, they're loving the Saints like they don't even

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need the four points.

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Speaker 1: Well, you know what, Atlanta. If the Falcons win, Atlanta

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gets the third place schedule next year, likely facing Kansas City,

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the Rams, and the Cowboys. If the Falcons lose, they

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get the last place schedule, so they would face the Raiders,

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the Cardinals, and the Giants. So it kind of makes

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sense for Atlanta to want to lose to help themselves

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next year.

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Speaker 2: True, but are you like, how do you do that?

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What do you do? You huddle up as a team

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and say, well.

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Speaker 1: It's the wide receiver. If Drake London doesn't play the

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full game off Kyle Pitts, it's like, yeah, players could

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start the hardest part of Week eighteen. Who's not making

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it to the fourth quarter?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: What the coach is going to do what the coach

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is going to do. But yeah, I just think that's it.

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It's like all everybody looking to take advantage of those

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players that are on the bonus, like they need three

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catches and they're going to get an extra six hundred

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thousand rest is short. The sports books are well aware

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of this information as well, and they're juicing those those prompts.

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Speaker 1: Well, I was shocked. Tony Pollard is right there. He

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needs sixty six rushing yards. They put it at sixty

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six and a half minus one ten something. Fish there's something.

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I mean, it's one yard up, but I feel like

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that's kind of fishy.

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Speaker 2: In all the words, you know what that that probably

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should have been probably should have been about fifty five

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fifty four. But they know everyone knows that situation that

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he needs sixty six yep, So they're teasing you with that.

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I know it's probably should be in the fifties, right,

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and yet they know they could make it sixty six

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because that's what he needs. Those are what you take

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advantage of. You go under ariel, you go under blindly.

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You know you placed the good bet regardless of outcome. Honestly,

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those are the kind of bets. I love placing because

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you could be confident you're getting the best of it

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because everybody's betting that sign for that exact reason.

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Speaker 1: They they're welcoming it. So do you do you would

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bet the under then, or do you stay away from

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those incentives?

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Speaker 2: No, I would bet the under. I would bet the under. Yeah, yeah,

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I would fade the narrative. I would And I get it.

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Speaker 1: And just where you need to win the game, they

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need to win and they have the best run d

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in football.

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Speaker 2: We've all seen the clip of Bronk telling Brady I

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need one more to get that million, and Brady drawing

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up a play real quick and say let's get grink

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the ball. That happens. I get it, course, but in

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every game and every opportunity, that's not going to be

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the case.

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Speaker 1: And that's anytime touchdown score is like a Hollywood Brown today.

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And I've been telling everyone this, I said, you have

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to just bet it, hoping that at some point in

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the next few weeks you win it. I've been betting

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it for the last two weeks. I had to bet

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it last week even though I didn't like the matchup,

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because they booked it at nine to one when he

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really is a three four to one anytime touchdown score,

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the value at nine to one for a player that

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needs one more touchdown to seven fifty k. Now he

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gets the Raiders who are one of the worst defenses

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against wide receivers. You saw they were trying to get

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Hollywood the ball last week. So this week at three

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to one is where I got it. Whatever, I was like,

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I just I want to hit this for him seven

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b That makes sense?

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Speaker 2: Did those bets are fine to play? Sean?

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Speaker 1: I got it at three to one at FanDuel. Check

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my pick and account. It's literally bet at three to one.

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Don't tell me bet at three to one. Anyway.

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Speaker 2: Someone asked about under in New Orleans in Atlanta, Yeah,

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I agree with that. I think it's a it'll be

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lower scoring game, and even the markets reflecting that. It

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started going towards the over midweek. But then you started

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seeing that sharper money come.

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Speaker 1: In totals today.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, definitely because the signs they are on

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the sides. But they got out ahead. They got out ahead.

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That's the key. Totals, So those numbers are are mostly gone.

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That's the key with that, all right, Some of the

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totals to take a look at Under in the rams,

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and that's moved a little bit, but the public's blasting

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that one over and that got steamed under multiple times.

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That one sticks out. The Atlanta New Orleans under that

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we talked about, that's down the forty three that was

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sitting at forty four to forty four and a half

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mid week even though it opened forty three. So that

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also under really sharp, Philly Washington under also really as

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you can tell, same narrative. It's mostly all the same things.

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It's unders, Dallas Giants under. So they played a lot

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of unders. The only over that stuck out is Cincinnati

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and Cleveland. They started betting that one over at forty four,

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and that's why you're looking at like forty six right now.

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So yeah, the totals is where they've gotten by Detroit, Chicago,

295
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that one also got over money. But seeing this is

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the key. Once it got the fifty one fifty one

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and a half, then you saw under come in because

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00:14:33,159 --> 00:14:36,200
again these guys are betting numbers over forty seven, great bet,

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00:14:36,320 --> 00:14:39,039
under fifty one, great bet. That's what it comes down to,

300
00:14:39,960 --> 00:14:40,600
a good question.

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Speaker 1: By Arius five twenty six, what lines do you think

302
00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:44,600
have over adjusted, Yanny.

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Speaker 2: Oh, I think Buffalo's over adjusted against the Jets. I

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00:14:52,519 --> 00:14:54,840
think you're paying too high of a premium there. I

305
00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:58,799
think Jacksonville has been over adjusted. I don't think that's

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00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:03,480
warranted even against Tennessee. Who else was sticking out to me?

307
00:15:04,159 --> 00:15:06,600
I thought Dallas, but we talked about that that was

308
00:15:06,639 --> 00:15:08,879
a little bit too high. Oh and I think Kansas City,

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Kansas City against Vegas, Kansas City showed us the week

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00:15:13,799 --> 00:15:16,039
after they had nothing to play for that they're not

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showing up. And to expect them to show up on

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the road meaningless game against the Raiders, I just don't

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see it. Now, we know the Raiders are the worst

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00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:27,600
team in the NFL, so I don't have confidence betting

315
00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:30,639
the Raiders. But I do think that line's a little

316
00:15:30,679 --> 00:15:34,720
bit too high considering where Kansas City is mentally. And

317
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then New England, New England now up to two touchdowns

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against Miami. Did Miami's always played them tough, whether Miami

319
00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:43,679
has a good year not a bad year. For whatever reason,

320
00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:47,200
they always tend to play New England tough. I get it.

321
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Weather cold, they're from Florida. No, it doesn't look good,

322
00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:55,039
but still you're looking at two touchdowns, and I know

323
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what betters are going to say, like, Okay, when a

324
00:15:57,240 --> 00:16:01,440
team finds himself behind, is thetor going to stay open today?

325
00:16:01,679 --> 00:16:05,000
You have no motivation to actually show up, you know,

326
00:16:05,159 --> 00:16:08,960
and get in through that back door. It doesn't really matter.

327
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Like again, every week a team like that has been

328
00:16:12,679 --> 00:16:15,559
out of it. Like it's not just this week. It's

329
00:16:15,559 --> 00:16:18,759
not as if a team like the Raiders have been

330
00:16:18,759 --> 00:16:21,279
playing for anything since Week five. They haven't been playing

331
00:16:21,279 --> 00:16:23,759
for anything. So you kind of kind of like, can't

332
00:16:23,799 --> 00:16:26,600
overthink it. I think, Ariel, you just got to realize

333
00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:30,639
some of these lines have moved just so significantly that

334
00:16:30,679 --> 00:16:32,440
you want to look the other way or leave it

335
00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:34,879
alone and wait for the playoffs.

336
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Speaker 1: People were asking in the chat, I know that we're

337
00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:41,360
very NFL heavy today, but they were asking for any

338
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:43,240
college basketball team.

339
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Speaker 2: No, a little early. I do that in the steam room.

340
00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:49,440
Not the only thing I did see. What was I

341
00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:56,440
saw Louisiana Tech, Louisiana Tech plus ten and who else? Yeah,

342
00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:58,519
the other ones are just litill too early, a little

343
00:16:58,519 --> 00:16:59,840
too early. Louisiana Tech.

344
00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:03,440
Speaker 1: So NFL and good question. That kind of sparked my

345
00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:07,279
brain here in the chat when players potentially could get

346
00:17:07,319 --> 00:17:10,880
moved or pulled at halftime or at some point in

347
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:14,680
the game. How much of a live betting opportunity is there.

348
00:17:14,519 --> 00:17:18,519
Speaker 2: Today, It's how fast you are on the trigger and

349
00:17:18,839 --> 00:17:21,839
what books are you're working with, because again the books

350
00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:24,960
understand this as well, like they're on top of things.

351
00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:26,799
That's what you got to remember. And a lot of

352
00:17:26,839 --> 00:17:30,240
those live bets also are heavier juiced, so you have

353
00:17:30,279 --> 00:17:33,039
to have an even higher winning percentage to cash those

354
00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:36,079
like you. They're not giving out free money just because

355
00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:39,400
it's the last week. Unfortunately, there's not no go to

356
00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:41,400
that we could all just grind the day. I wish

357
00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:44,440
there was. I wish there was, but there just isn't.

358
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Man Again, if you see some spots in live, go ahead,

359
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:49,519
take advantage of it, especially if you think you know

360
00:17:49,559 --> 00:17:52,400
they're going to sit a player or something along those lines.

361
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:56,200
But I just this is so hard to do. Trying

362
00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:58,599
to be a psychic makes it even harder. I'm just

363
00:17:58,640 --> 00:17:59,279
not good at that.

364
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Speaker 1: Gables said, what NFL underdogs would you take today?

365
00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:08,680
Speaker 2: The giants? The giants. I like the giants. I do.

366
00:18:09,720 --> 00:18:11,799
The market disagrees with me, But like I said, I

367
00:18:11,799 --> 00:18:14,279
thought Buffalo was given a little too many to the Jets,

368
00:18:14,319 --> 00:18:18,160
but now that ten's even juiced so sharp, so they're

369
00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:22,079
really blasting Buffalo for whatever reason. So I'll stick with

370
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:26,000
my Giants. I'll take the Giants as a top dog today.

371
00:18:26,559 --> 00:18:27,920
Speaker 1: Johanni, what are you promoting today?

372
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:31,880
Speaker 2: I got my NFL package up. It has all the

373
00:18:32,039 --> 00:18:35,880
early games in the four pm Eastern time games, so

374
00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:38,880
the early in the afternoon games. So far four four

375
00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:43,319
percent plays in there. Number one in NFL regular season,

376
00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:45,640
number one over the last seven days in the NFL

377
00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:48,680
twelve six and one. We're going to close out strong,

378
00:18:49,039 --> 00:18:52,400
stay selected, and if I'm able to confirm tonight's honestly

379
00:18:52,519 --> 00:18:55,400
not talenting Sunday night, I have a really strong lean.

380
00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:57,880
I want to fire five percent on it, but I

381
00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:00,519
got to get that confirmation. Those primetime games have been

382
00:19:00,559 --> 00:19:03,519
so good, but I don't want to pull the trigger

383
00:19:03,559 --> 00:19:05,559
unless and if it doesn't happen, then we just move

384
00:19:05,599 --> 00:19:08,720
on to the playoffs. But over the next like after

385
00:19:08,759 --> 00:19:11,839
those one o'clock four pm games kick off, if you

386
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:14,640
see that package up for Sunday Night football, we got

387
00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:16,359
a good strong bet in there.

388
00:19:16,519 --> 00:19:17,839
Speaker 4: So yeah, and.

389
00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:24,440
Speaker 2: In the college football playoffs, the only one Bowl five

390
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:27,759
percent this season. That's one to know. Now our playoff

391
00:19:27,839 --> 00:19:31,079
five percent already fired. That that's sitting in the package

392
00:19:31,079 --> 00:19:34,039
for you. It's in Friday's bowl game.

393
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:38,880
Speaker 1: So, uh, say what you're waiting for for that primetime

394
00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:41,880
game tonight? Huh what are you waiting for in the

395
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:42,799
primetime game?

396
00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:45,240
Speaker 2: I want to see based on the early results, what

397
00:19:45,559 --> 00:19:48,480
how the adjustment? How they adjust that betting line, because again,

398
00:19:48,559 --> 00:19:51,880
all the risk ends up being on the primetime game

399
00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:55,880
on Sunday night and Monday night, and if they they

400
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:59,960
either adjust or they don't adjust based off that risk.

401
00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:03,680
So I look at how those early results happen, and

402
00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:06,640
then I try to determine what is the money line risk,

403
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:09,640
what is the teaser risk, and then they should do a.

404
00:20:09,920 --> 00:20:13,359
If they don't do a, then we fire b It's

405
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,119
been so simple, it really has.

406
00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:18,400
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be messaging you. I'm going to message you

407
00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:21,519
later today. Please do please do four o'clock, four o'clock

408
00:20:21,559 --> 00:20:21,839
ask you.

409
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:24,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, if by four fifteen, I know, I know if

410
00:20:24,759 --> 00:20:27,519
I'm firing, I don't need any longer than that.

411
00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:31,759
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm gonna be messaging you for fifteen Yanni's Greek

412
00:20:31,759 --> 00:20:34,039
find him over at Greek underscore gambler. He's also got

413
00:20:34,079 --> 00:20:36,680
the steam room very excited to see what his five

414
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:38,759
percent is at four to fifteen pm Eastern time as

415
00:20:38,759 --> 00:20:41,400
well if he fires it off. Yanni, good luck today.

416
00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:43,759
Speaker 2: Thank you, good luck to everybody. And remember we got

417
00:20:43,759 --> 00:20:46,680
playoffs next week, so hopefully do some damage today. But

418
00:20:47,079 --> 00:20:50,559
we got college football and the NFL seriousness ahead. Good

419
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:51,400
luck today, Ariel.

420
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:55,119
Speaker 1: It gets real heated in the next week, that's for

421
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:58,200
sure coming on now. Someoney's always heated. Someone ready to go,

422
00:20:58,319 --> 00:21:00,960
someone I saw in the chat at a questions, so

423
00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:03,039
I'm sure that could get answered as well. But he

424
00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:06,200
said he wants to talk props with me. Let's talk props,

425
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:08,720
Carma and Bianco. From here, I waiter talk joining the show.

426
00:21:08,799 --> 00:21:09,240
What's up?

427
00:21:09,279 --> 00:21:09,440
Speaker 3: Car?

428
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:13,039
Speaker 5: All's good. If I'm gonna talk props, has to be

429
00:21:13,079 --> 00:21:15,519
with the best prop person I know.

430
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,200
Speaker 1: Thank you. You want to talk props today?

431
00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:23,559
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's just because of this slate, and let's call

432
00:21:23,599 --> 00:21:26,960
it what it is. It's it's a garbage week eighteen

433
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:30,440
in the NFL, and I have like three games for

434
00:21:30,519 --> 00:21:32,839
clients and they're the only three games, and I waited

435
00:21:33,599 --> 00:21:36,160
until last night to post to them because I knew

436
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:38,640
that there's so many line movements going on that I'm

437
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,000
not going to give people a stale line. It is.

438
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:45,359
There's nothing more frustrating in the in the business is

439
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,519
giving someone a line and then that you posted on

440
00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:50,559
Thursday and then they go to bed on Sunday and

441
00:21:50,559 --> 00:21:53,240
they're like, it's moved four points dude.

442
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:53,240
Speaker 1: Ye.

443
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:57,240
Speaker 5: So so I just I avoided about what a sandwich

444
00:21:57,240 --> 00:22:01,440
spot for me? After Johnny and before Mark. This is

445
00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:02,079
what you call us.

446
00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:05,279
Speaker 1: We're actually filling big shoes. This is the John Murray slot.

447
00:22:05,319 --> 00:22:08,200
But John Murray's on vacation, yes, and.

448
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:11,119
Speaker 5: His Liverpool team is also losing, so he will in

449
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:13,000
a very angry mood right now.

450
00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:14,960
Speaker 1: He's not going to be happy before we get to

451
00:22:15,079 --> 00:22:18,000
NFL prop. Someone in the chat did have a hockey question.

452
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:24,279
They said, where is it? I think it was about

453
00:22:24,279 --> 00:22:27,480
the Dallas Oh Canadian Stars. Any thoughts on Canadians plus

454
00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:28,240
one seventy four.

455
00:22:29,799 --> 00:22:32,880
Speaker 5: Montrell's playing extremely well, but Dallas is off a couple

456
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:39,119
of bad losses, and I just think the goaltending matchup

457
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:42,359
probably favors favors Dallas. I have to believe Dallas is

458
00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:45,440
to play, but I can't play that one seventy four

459
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:48,200
people know that only that that much choose. I would

460
00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:52,920
probably play him in regulation in this spot here. Montreal

461
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:56,680
played last night. They basically didn't show up in Saint Louis.

462
00:22:57,480 --> 00:23:00,759
Lost that game to nothing, second of a back to

463
00:23:00,799 --> 00:23:02,799
back with travel, I wouldn't want to take them.

464
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:06,079
Speaker 1: Let's got NFL, We've got kteen. You want to talk props.

465
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:08,519
What props stood out to you the most today?

466
00:23:09,519 --> 00:23:12,200
Speaker 5: So this one is third on my list, but I'm

467
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:16,279
gonna put I'm gonna discuss it first, just because Gianni

468
00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:18,559
was talking about it. Ariel, I want to be part

469
00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:22,839
of the narrative today. With the Ballard rushing yards, the

470
00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:27,000
over sixty six, over sixty six and a half like

471
00:23:27,079 --> 00:23:30,279
minus one point fifteen, I get it. I get the

472
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:35,519
rush defense for the Jags, but there could be a

473
00:23:35,559 --> 00:23:38,599
lot of good. It's the second half of this game

474
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,000
that I'm more interested than the first half because you

475
00:23:41,039 --> 00:23:44,200
can live bet these props in game, and if the

476
00:23:44,279 --> 00:23:47,519
Jags are up big, you have to. You have to

477
00:23:47,519 --> 00:23:50,920
believe at some point, if they're up multiple scores, that

478
00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:52,920
they're gonna they're gonna take some of the guys off.

479
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:54,680
They can still get that number one seed, but they're

480
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:57,240
gonna need obviously Denver to lose, They're gonna need New

481
00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:00,559
England to lose. In New England may be up multiple

482
00:24:00,599 --> 00:24:04,519
points at that at that point, because the Denver game

483
00:24:04,559 --> 00:24:08,039
doesn't start till four thirty. You look at Pollard and

484
00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:11,200
his last four games, he's just they've just handed him

485
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:14,119
the rock one hundred and sixty one and four hundred

486
00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:17,079
and eighty five. It is the garbage yards in the

487
00:24:17,079 --> 00:24:21,279
second half that I'm looking at. If they know they again,

488
00:24:21,319 --> 00:24:23,799
it's the narrative he needs sixty six and a half

489
00:24:23,839 --> 00:24:26,400
on a losing team. They're just going to give him

490
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,880
the ball and try and get them that number. So

491
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:33,319
it's more about the second half garbage yards than it

492
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:35,319
is about what he does in the first half.

493
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,880
Speaker 1: Are you only going to betting incentives today, karm Or

494
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:41,799
Do you like props for other reasons? Uh?

495
00:24:42,079 --> 00:24:46,079
Speaker 5: Probably, perhaps for other reasons. You look at the cam

496
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:48,519
Ward won in the same game. You know cam Woard.

497
00:24:48,519 --> 00:24:50,440
You look at him the first twelve games of the season,

498
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:54,240
one TD pass was the most he threw in any

499
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:58,079
of those games. His last four games against Cleveland, San

500
00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:01,039
frank Casey and New Orleans, he's had two tds in

501
00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:04,559
each game. Two tds in this game and again garbage

502
00:25:04,599 --> 00:25:07,559
tds in the second half against prevent defense. Is when

503
00:25:07,599 --> 00:25:13,200
you're up late, two tds is plus two tds or

504
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,839
more is plus two to eight. So you're not laying

505
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:17,880
any vague. You're getting some good money and that's over

506
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:21,559
at DK. That's one that I would I would probably

507
00:25:21,599 --> 00:25:22,799
take that.

508
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:23,200
Speaker 2: I like.

509
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:26,279
Speaker 5: So it's one of those ones where Ward's going to

510
00:25:26,319 --> 00:25:29,079
be in there the whole game. You get them as

511
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,400
much experience as you can, and you get them as

512
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:34,799
much as experience against a number one defense or one

513
00:25:34,839 --> 00:25:39,640
of the top defenses. So that's that's another one.

514
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 2: I like.

515
00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:46,880
Speaker 5: Taking props two players on a team that is a

516
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:52,079
huge underdog is normally not a same thing to do.

517
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:54,799
But this week is, like I said, this week's a

518
00:25:54,799 --> 00:25:57,319
little different. I think the narratives are different. I think

519
00:25:58,519 --> 00:26:01,240
resting players in the second half some of these for

520
00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:03,880
some of these teams, like Johnny talked about, just to

521
00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:06,200
go off on a quick side note about the Bills

522
00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:08,559
line at ten, you know, Josh Allen has that huge

523
00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:13,400
street going of consecutive games played. He's gonna come in.

524
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,279
What's he gonna play? One series, hand ball off three times,

525
00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:20,880
keeps that streak going, and then it's Mitch Drubisky coming right.

526
00:26:21,599 --> 00:26:23,960
Speaker 1: That's why laying all these large spreads just isn't for

527
00:26:24,039 --> 00:26:24,519
me today.

528
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:30,039
Speaker 5: Yeah, no, it's not. It's it's absolutely insane. Another prop

529
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:33,519
I like, and this is the Dan Campbell prop. I

530
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:37,400
like the Detroit Lions team total, oh twenty three and

531
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:41,119
a half. They've gone over this number twelve or sixteen times.

532
00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:45,839
You know, Dan Campbell does not want to lose too

533
00:26:46,319 --> 00:26:49,720
divisional foe. He would love nothing better than to play spoiler.

534
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,160
Speaker 1: The problem is is that do they care like the Bears.

535
00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,279
I know that it's a difference in seeding, of course, Yeah,

536
00:26:56,319 --> 00:26:58,279
and it makes your path a little bit easier if

537
00:26:58,279 --> 00:27:01,720
you have the better seed, But is it really playing spoiler?

538
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:06,000
Speaker 5: Well, it's for maybe for k.

539
00:27:06,839 --> 00:27:08,559
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't have an answer. I don't

540
00:27:08,599 --> 00:27:10,400
know in my head. I can't figure out if the

541
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,079
Bears really are going to feel like it's spoiler, if

542
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:15,799
the Lions really care, I don't know, like Dan Campbell

543
00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:17,880
might care. Did his players care?

544
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:22,039
Speaker 5: Yeah? Well that's that's the things he's still said. He's

545
00:27:22,039 --> 00:27:23,519
going to keep them in there, and he's going to

546
00:27:23,559 --> 00:27:27,440
play them, so you have to believe the problem is

547
00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:30,039
is which side of Dan Campbell's gambling Do you end

548
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:34,160
up on the fourth down gambles that at the thirty

549
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:39,279
yard line that they don't they don't score and now

550
00:27:39,319 --> 00:27:42,480
you've gone a possession without another score, or are you

551
00:27:42,519 --> 00:27:44,519
on the side of the Dan Campbell who gambles and

552
00:27:44,599 --> 00:27:49,400
gets the first down that gets the TD. So you know,

553
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:53,319
it's kind of like Riverboat Run when he was with

554
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:58,279
Washington that you just did not know. Are you happy

555
00:27:58,319 --> 00:28:03,400
with the gambling coach? I'm not do you want to coach?

556
00:28:03,559 --> 00:28:05,599
Speaker 2: No? No, But I was like to.

557
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,759
Speaker 5: Yes, a gambling coach? Yeah? Yeah.

558
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:12,799
Speaker 1: I was like, is there something new way to talk

559
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:15,400
that we've got a gambling coach? No, but I understand

560
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:18,519
what you're saying that we all were gambling already and

561
00:28:18,559 --> 00:28:20,359
do we want to be on the wrong side of

562
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:24,240
a gambling coach? You're spot on, But yeah, I have

563
00:28:24,279 --> 00:28:26,519
been going back and forth on that game, thinking that

564
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:29,119
I don't know what the incentive is for caring for

565
00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:31,759
all these players that are going to be on the field,

566
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:34,559
but it seems like Lions fans still want to beat

567
00:28:34,559 --> 00:28:39,599
the Bears. So I understand. Someone asked to Karen, what

568
00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:41,599
do you think about the Blue Jackets money line?

569
00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:46,599
Speaker 5: The Blue jack I actually released. If you go to

570
00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:50,000
my uh if you go to my my Twitter or

571
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:53,720
x page at Karma and biancle w t, I've got

572
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:55,799
to kick ass graphic there. I do a pod plate

573
00:28:56,640 --> 00:29:00,240
showing that single game bets instead of parlays is the

574
00:29:00,279 --> 00:29:02,279
way to build a bankroll. And we started with a

575
00:29:02,319 --> 00:29:05,240
five thousand dollars bankroll. It is now up to a

576
00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:08,759
little over seventy six hundred, I believe, with just flat

577
00:29:08,759 --> 00:29:12,079
two hundred dollars bets. And Columbus is today's play at

578
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:17,039
minus one thirty over Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh's third game and four nights.

579
00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:20,000
They played last night, and Columbus is playing extremely well,

580
00:29:20,039 --> 00:29:22,440
good analytic numbers on them, and they just snapped the

581
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:27,039
Sabers ten game, winning the Sabers ten game a winning run.

582
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,400
So I'm going to take them at home. The goaltending

583
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:33,839
matchup isn't the greatest for either team. She loves Versus

584
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:38,279
murzilickans likely, but Columbus is a play minus one third.

585
00:29:38,319 --> 00:29:40,000
I think there's.

586
00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:43,519
Speaker 1: Another question on the Hockey world someone else.

587
00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:45,799
Speaker 2: There.

588
00:29:45,839 --> 00:29:47,440
Speaker 1: It is Carl what do you think of the Avalanche

589
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:48,160
at short price?

590
00:29:53,079 --> 00:29:57,000
Speaker 5: The Avalanche they're going into Florida. Obviously, these are two

591
00:29:57,039 --> 00:29:59,359
teams that could very well meet in the Stanley Cup

592
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:03,839
this year. Uh, Colorado's just playing insane hockey. They've only lost.

593
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:07,200
Speaker 1: Two games, lost to the Rangers and went to Classic.

594
00:30:08,359 --> 00:30:12,440
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's first of all, that was a horrible game.

595
00:30:12,559 --> 00:30:15,319
It was a horrible location to put a hockey arena.

596
00:30:15,359 --> 00:30:19,680
The site lines were terrible. Maybe you know, the Winter

597
00:30:19,759 --> 00:30:22,599
Classic doesn't belong in Florida. I'm sorry Florida fans, but

598
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:25,839
it just it just didn't look right, It didn't feel right.

599
00:30:27,079 --> 00:30:31,119
It belongs in places like Detroit or I don't even

600
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:35,119
want to say Toronto, like Minnesota. These places were are

601
00:30:35,160 --> 00:30:37,079
nice and cold, like they did it in Vegas. If

602
00:30:37,119 --> 00:30:41,319
you remember Colorado a while back where they played somewhere

603
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:46,480
out in the west, but no, that was as far

604
00:30:46,519 --> 00:30:50,000
as it'd be. Colorado or nothing for me, just just

605
00:30:50,039 --> 00:30:53,039
the way that they're playing right now. One more prop

606
00:30:53,119 --> 00:30:55,839
for you, Ariel, and I want your thoughts on this one.

607
00:30:56,119 --> 00:30:59,440
Drake May his rushing yards are only nineteen and a half,

608
00:30:59,519 --> 00:31:03,079
but I like the under despite the fact that I

609
00:31:03,119 --> 00:31:05,519
think he's only had like five games this year where

610
00:31:05,519 --> 00:31:10,720
he's gone under twenty yards rushing. How much does Vrabel

611
00:31:10,839 --> 00:31:13,960
gamble with Drake May today in this game against Miami

612
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:17,759
where they if they get out to a big first

613
00:31:17,799 --> 00:31:20,119
half lead, does he sit the second half?

614
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:20,759
Speaker 2: Like?

615
00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:24,920
Speaker 5: How how does he take the RPOs out of the

616
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:28,640
playbook and not put him at risk of rolling out

617
00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:32,440
and getting hit and getting injured. Imagine losing your star

618
00:31:32,599 --> 00:31:37,880
qv in what amounts to essentially a meaningless game unless

619
00:31:38,559 --> 00:31:41,400
New England believes that Denver is going to lose to

620
00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:42,880
Trey Lance today.

621
00:31:43,799 --> 00:31:47,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, and also against Miami already, Drake May went over

622
00:31:47,839 --> 00:31:52,559
in September on their matchup with rushing yards and I'm

623
00:31:52,599 --> 00:31:55,559
a big believer in the zigzag theory when it comes

624
00:31:55,640 --> 00:32:00,319
to facing divisional opponents. Drake May also is running less

625
00:32:00,359 --> 00:32:04,319
at home, just getting the numbers he's gone over. His

626
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:06,920
rushing yard prop on the road is seventy five percent

627
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:09,920
at the time, but only fifty percent at home. And

628
00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:13,279
he's listen, he can run for it, but nineteen and

629
00:32:13,319 --> 00:32:15,759
a half at least takes a couple of first down runs.

630
00:32:16,039 --> 00:32:18,640
I understand your thought, but I do think there's a

631
00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:22,200
world that Drake May would be playing through at least

632
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,119
the third quarter, and then you see in the fourth

633
00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:27,720
if it gets out of hand. But yeah, I don't know.

634
00:32:27,799 --> 00:32:29,599
I think your point. You're right that it's not worth

635
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:32,920
risking your quarterback on the ground when you're already in

636
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:35,599
the playoffs. You just need to hopefully win the one.

637
00:32:36,279 --> 00:32:39,200
Speaker 5: They're they're competitive, right, and he's competitive. So you know

638
00:32:39,599 --> 00:32:40,799
if he was the roll out and all of a

639
00:32:40,799 --> 00:32:42,720
sudden he sees a lane, he could bust one for

640
00:32:42,759 --> 00:32:45,920
twenty yards and there goes your and there goes your

641
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:49,240
your rushing prop under right, But I just think that

642
00:32:50,799 --> 00:32:52,160
they should at the very least.

643
00:32:52,279 --> 00:32:54,640
Speaker 1: I think playing an over in any game with the

644
00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:57,400
double digit spread for a team that's already in or

645
00:32:57,440 --> 00:33:02,480
out of the playoffs is is like it's like the NBA,

646
00:33:02,759 --> 00:33:05,720
I don't bet props in games with double digit spreads,

647
00:33:06,039 --> 00:33:08,839
and in the NFL, in this situation where there is

648
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:10,680
a chance you could come out in the fourth quarter,

649
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:14,079
I am nervous of any props for those players. So

650
00:33:14,079 --> 00:33:16,799
I actually have not been betting props for anybody unless

651
00:33:16,799 --> 00:33:18,880
there's a contract incentive at play.

652
00:33:19,079 --> 00:33:23,079
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's weird because we were all expecting them to

653
00:33:23,759 --> 00:33:26,279
roll the Dolphins. But the Dolphins play them tough. The

654
00:33:26,319 --> 00:33:28,400
Dolphins are like, what eight and two straight up their

655
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:31,039
last ten games, and nine and one against the spread

656
00:33:31,559 --> 00:33:34,920
the last ten games against the New England Patriots. So

657
00:33:36,319 --> 00:33:39,960
it's not as if they're coming to and their QB

658
00:33:41,119 --> 00:33:43,759
that they I can never pronounce his last name? Is

659
00:33:43,759 --> 00:33:44,240
it yours?

660
00:33:45,799 --> 00:33:46,160
Speaker 1: Miami?

661
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:50,079
Speaker 5: Yeah, he didn't look bad last week, So I'm not

662
00:33:50,079 --> 00:33:51,880
saying they're going to go in there and upset them.

663
00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:56,599
But when you're laying like almost two touchdowns, to me,

664
00:33:56,799 --> 00:34:01,359
always the Gambers' mentality or the is that, oh my god,

665
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:04,400
that back door is always open if it's like twenty

666
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,680
points and they just play prevent defense at.

667
00:34:06,519 --> 00:34:10,280
Speaker 1: The end's point, some of these lines have already over

668
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:12,480
adjusted to a point that you can only vet one

669
00:34:12,559 --> 00:34:16,679
side and that side. And Yanni's mind is sometimes the

670
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,199
dog if it adjusts too much. But Carmine, thank you

671
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:21,239
as always for coming on giving us some winners, giving

672
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:23,360
us props. I love talking props with you, love talking

673
00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:26,719
hockey with you. Catcham at Carmen bianco WT. What are

674
00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:27,519
you promoting today?

675
00:34:28,679 --> 00:34:34,639
Speaker 5: Yeah, just a three pack of NFL plays for today.

676
00:34:34,639 --> 00:34:40,079
Two oh yesterday we had the Panthers by the hook,

677
00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:43,119
I'll take it. And in Seattle, I really liked Seattle

678
00:34:43,159 --> 00:34:47,960
in yesterday's game, So running good. Overall, we have a

679
00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:51,440
lot of very good cappers in football over at wager Talk,

680
00:34:51,519 --> 00:34:54,880
be it college, be it NFL, but combined college and NFL.

681
00:34:55,119 --> 00:34:58,320
I think I'm number five at wager Talk, or i

682
00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:00,159
am number five I'm seeing up on the screen right. No,

683
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:03,039
so I'm pretty happy with that. As long as I'm

684
00:35:03,039 --> 00:35:05,000
making money for my clients, it's all that matters.

685
00:35:05,480 --> 00:35:08,960
Speaker 1: Yes, we love the winners. Carmen Bianco, thank you as always.

686
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 5: Good luck today, Hey, good luck to your ravens.

687
00:35:12,679 --> 00:35:16,719
Speaker 1: Thanks last year on the show, it's a Marco D'Angelo.

688
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,199
He's been an absolute heater and I'm so sad that

689
00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:21,639
the sandwich spots might be coming to an end. But

690
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:25,760
maybe he feels there are some today. Oh my gosh,

691
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:27,400
I know we're enemies today.

692
00:35:27,639 --> 00:35:27,920
Speaker 3: I know.

693
00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:32,000
Speaker 1: Wow, this is like a that's an epic picture right

694
00:35:32,039 --> 00:35:35,000
there of us ending the show this way. You know,

695
00:35:35,119 --> 00:35:37,119
I don't know if you were listening at the beginning

696
00:35:37,119 --> 00:35:39,320
of the show, and for anyone that's just tuning in,

697
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:41,840
there was a tweet that I thought was spot on

698
00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:43,719
and you could tell me if you feel the same.

699
00:35:44,079 --> 00:35:46,360
The funniest part of Raven Steelers is that no matter

700
00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:48,760
who wins, the winning fan base will victory lap and

701
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:51,280
talk crap, and the losing fan base will cope by

702
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:53,320
saying they're glad it happened so the head coach could

703
00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:55,159
get fired. Do you feel the same?

704
00:35:56,039 --> 00:35:58,239
Speaker 3: I actually said on a show this week to make

705
00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:00,920
this game interesting that I think I think what they

706
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:04,119
should do is the immediately when the game is over,

707
00:36:04,199 --> 00:36:08,039
the losing coach should be fired at midfield, right on

708
00:36:08,119 --> 00:36:11,000
the spot. That would make the game much more because

709
00:36:11,039 --> 00:36:14,199
I think both fan bases would be happy with that outcome.

710
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:17,320
Speaker 1: I'm cracking up. You know. It is hard for me

711
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:19,679
because I love John Harbaugh and I'm really not sure

712
00:36:19,679 --> 00:36:22,920
if there is a right coach for Lamar Jackson because

713
00:36:23,079 --> 00:36:26,199
Lamar is crazy and the same for the Steelers. It's

714
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,079
until you guys get a good draft pick, which, unfortunately,

715
00:36:29,159 --> 00:36:32,280
because you're always around five hundred, your draft pick's never

716
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:34,440
good enough to get you a good quarterback. So, like

717
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,239
my good friend Alex Bassano, he said he hopes that

718
00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:39,920
the Steelers are so bad next year that they get

719
00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:41,480
a top pick in the draft.

720
00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:42,000
Speaker 4: Yeah.

721
00:36:42,079 --> 00:36:44,599
Speaker 3: And the thing one thing about you know, Tomlin, and

722
00:36:44,639 --> 00:36:47,719
you talk about the draft pick with the quarterback, there

723
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:52,400
really hasn't been a quarterback available to the Steelers to

724
00:36:52,440 --> 00:36:56,079
take a reach on until last this year.

725
00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:58,960
Speaker 4: You know, they passed on Jackson Dart.

726
00:36:59,079 --> 00:37:01,760
Speaker 3: A lot of people thought the Steelers were gonna take him,

727
00:37:02,079 --> 00:37:05,280
and they passed on him. And with what we've seen

728
00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:08,079
so far out of Dart, you know, people are a

729
00:37:08,119 --> 00:37:10,719
little upset that that they didn't reach in and you know,

730
00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:13,239
and take him. But you know, time will tell. He's

731
00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:16,559
played well enough. But you know, again, I don't think

732
00:37:16,639 --> 00:37:19,559
he's a franchise quarterback. That's you know, one of those

733
00:37:19,679 --> 00:37:23,400
generational talents that everybody wants the Steelers to get.

734
00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:25,840
Speaker 4: And like you said, finishing.

735
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:29,440
Speaker 3: Over five hundred, never having that losing season, Mike Todlin,

736
00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:32,559
You're never going to get that generational quarterback.

737
00:37:33,079 --> 00:37:36,639
Speaker 1: Do you have an unbiased to feel or opinion for

738
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:37,440
the game tonight?

739
00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:41,920
Speaker 3: I am gonna be totally honest with you, Ariel. This

740
00:37:41,960 --> 00:37:45,639
is where I'm sitting. I have a four percent play

741
00:37:45,800 --> 00:37:49,000
ticket in my pocket from two months ago when I

742
00:37:49,039 --> 00:37:51,920
took the Ravens to win the division when they were

743
00:37:51,920 --> 00:37:55,880
coming out of their bye week, and my plan, we're

744
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:59,320
looking at this game because the injuries to the Steelers

745
00:38:00,159 --> 00:38:03,800
ar huge. We know that Baltimore should have won the

746
00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:09,400
first game. And that's my biased opinion because I had

747
00:38:09,440 --> 00:38:11,840
the Steelers in that game and I'm a Steeler fan.

748
00:38:12,039 --> 00:38:14,719
I did not deserve to win that game. I think

749
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,559
they still would have covered either way, but Baltimore should

750
00:38:17,559 --> 00:38:20,440
have won the game. This is a spot with dk

751
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:24,960
metcalf out really hurt the Steelers because the Steelers don't

752
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:27,599
have anybody else to go to. The other guy that

753
00:38:27,639 --> 00:38:32,159
they were using a lot was the big tight end Washington. Well,

754
00:38:32,199 --> 00:38:36,360
he breaks his arm last week and Aaron Rodgers really

755
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:39,760
had nobody that he was confident with going. I don't

756
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:45,519
know why Friarmuth has gotten lost in the playbook this year. Okay,

757
00:38:45,639 --> 00:38:49,159
I think he's a tremendous tight end and I think he.

758
00:38:49,079 --> 00:38:51,000
Speaker 1: Went a lot of money off Friar Pops.

759
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:54,800
Speaker 3: I think that if you are betting props today and

760
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:58,239
you want to do anything with Pittsburgh, the two players

761
00:38:58,280 --> 00:38:59,679
that I think are going to be key for the

762
00:38:59,679 --> 00:39:02,599
steel to have an opportunity. So these are the props

763
00:39:02,639 --> 00:39:04,599
I would look at. And I'm not a big prop player,

764
00:39:05,159 --> 00:39:07,920
full disclosure on that, but I would look to Friarmouth

765
00:39:08,199 --> 00:39:10,039
and I would also look to gain.

766
00:39:10,119 --> 00:39:10,360
Speaker 1: Well.

767
00:39:10,679 --> 00:39:11,800
Speaker 4: I think you're going to see.

768
00:39:11,599 --> 00:39:15,760
Speaker 3: A lot of passes out of the backfield, yeah, trying

769
00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:18,719
to get things, you know, moving in the open field

770
00:39:19,599 --> 00:39:22,679
when this line was starting to move. And I did

771
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:27,079
catch the segment at the beginning with VR talking about

772
00:39:27,159 --> 00:39:29,280
the way this line is going in the public and

773
00:39:29,320 --> 00:39:33,039
so forth. The sharp books that I respect in Vegas,

774
00:39:33,199 --> 00:39:37,119
and you know, we've got books up and down the strip.

775
00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:40,440
We have books that are locals that cater and you know,

776
00:39:40,519 --> 00:39:43,760
I always I won't call those particular books out, but

777
00:39:43,920 --> 00:39:46,079
you know, some of the local books I like to

778
00:39:46,119 --> 00:39:51,000
refer to them go to the old days of Bodog. Okay,

779
00:39:51,039 --> 00:39:52,639
it's the recreational players.

780
00:39:53,119 --> 00:39:57,000
Speaker 4: The sharp books are taking money on the Steelers. Okay.

781
00:39:57,079 --> 00:39:59,719
Speaker 3: We have seen some threes pop up at a couple

782
00:39:59,800 --> 00:40:02,840
of the books here in town. I was hoping to

783
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:06,280
see this when it was sitting at four. Go one

784
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:08,679
more tick to four and a half, and my plan

785
00:40:08,800 --> 00:40:12,599
would have been to hedge two percent of that play

786
00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:15,559
on the Steelers plus the four and a half.

787
00:40:15,679 --> 00:40:17,000
Speaker 4: Because the history of this.

788
00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:22,559
Speaker 3: Series Ariel is there are one score games, and more

789
00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:24,079
of them than.

790
00:40:24,039 --> 00:40:27,119
Speaker 1: Been wild card last year, and except the last game

791
00:40:27,159 --> 00:40:28,519
a few weeks ago.

792
00:40:28,599 --> 00:40:31,519
Speaker 3: Exactly, Yes, but well the game, the last one was

793
00:40:31,559 --> 00:40:33,760
still a one score game. It was a five point game.

794
00:40:33,760 --> 00:40:37,400
But yeah, last year's playoff game was an absolute nightmare.

795
00:40:37,039 --> 00:40:39,480
Speaker 4: For the Steelers. So this is a big game.

796
00:40:39,599 --> 00:40:42,760
Speaker 3: You've got the mistique of it being the Sunday night game.

797
00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:47,440
We know the history of Mike Tomlin on Monday night

798
00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:52,360
football at in Pittsburgh. He's, you know, unbeatable. But it's

799
00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:55,000
Sunday night. It's not Monday Night, and the Ravens are

800
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:57,000
gonna have something to do with it. I don't know

801
00:40:57,079 --> 00:41:01,519
about you, but the fact that mar Jackson's back, I

802
00:41:01,519 --> 00:41:03,400
don't know that that makes me warm and fuzzy.

803
00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:06,199
Speaker 4: If I'm a Baltimore fan, I really you.

804
00:41:06,199 --> 00:41:08,199
Speaker 1: Never know him, you never know.

805
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:12,760
Speaker 4: I really believe they try harder.

806
00:41:14,800 --> 00:41:18,840
Speaker 1: Huntley played a non divisional and a non conference opponent,

807
00:41:19,079 --> 00:41:21,280
which makes it a lot tougher when it's a backup

808
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:24,599
quarterback for its defense to essentially handicap when you're going

809
00:41:24,639 --> 00:41:27,599
up against Mike Tomlin. Who knows you who has seen

810
00:41:27,679 --> 00:41:30,719
Tyler Huntley play multiple times who has coached against him

811
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:34,079
multiple times. When it's your division, it's another beast. And

812
00:41:34,119 --> 00:41:36,719
if I'm going up against the divisional opponent for a

813
00:41:36,719 --> 00:41:40,159
shot at the playoffs, despite everyone else on social media

814
00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:42,599
saying the same thing you said, I still want Lamar

815
00:41:42,679 --> 00:41:43,719
Jackson as my quarterback.

816
00:41:44,320 --> 00:41:45,920
Speaker 2: Okay, I just give.

817
00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:49,000
Speaker 1: The MVP a better shot at being Listen, no one

818
00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:52,360
can predict Lamar, which means Mike Tomlin can't predict Lamar.

819
00:41:52,639 --> 00:41:55,679
John Harball can't even predict Lamar. So I'm gonna go

820
00:41:55,679 --> 00:41:57,679
with the wild card to try to get into the

821
00:41:57,719 --> 00:41:59,960
wild card. But let's get to the other AFC North game,

822
00:42:00,039 --> 00:42:02,119
because I know from bet on It that's the game

823
00:42:02,119 --> 00:42:05,480
that you actually were really looking at Cincinnati Cleveland. It's

824
00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:07,679
a touchdown, touchdown and a half right now that the

825
00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:09,880
Bengals are laying and on bet on It, that was

826
00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:10,559
your best bet.

827
00:42:10,599 --> 00:42:13,519
Speaker 3: Is it still it still is? And I like the

828
00:42:13,559 --> 00:42:16,880
over in the game as well. This is a simple scenario.

829
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:21,119
I know that this is a division rivalry, but Cleveland

830
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:25,480
their super Bowl was last week. Dariel, Okay, they hate

831
00:42:25,519 --> 00:42:27,800
the Steelers. That is their biggest rival. Don't give me

832
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:32,000
that it's an in state rivalry between Cincinnati. The pecking

833
00:42:32,159 --> 00:42:37,239
order of rivalry for the Browns, it's Pittsburgh first, then

834
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:41,440
it's Baltimore second, because that was actually them back in

835
00:42:41,480 --> 00:42:44,639
the day, all right, and then it's Cincinnati third. The

836
00:42:44,760 --> 00:42:49,519
fact that they denied the Steelers clinching the division last week,

837
00:42:49,559 --> 00:42:52,599
and that's what everybody assumed was gonna happen. And I

838
00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:56,480
warned anybody that would listen to me, Cleveland is coming

839
00:42:56,559 --> 00:43:00,800
to play last week and they're gonna play spoiler the Steelers.

840
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:03,599
That was their super Bowl. I don't see how they

841
00:43:03,679 --> 00:43:06,559
get excited about this game. And if you look at

842
00:43:06,599 --> 00:43:09,880
what the Bengals have done, they've played well down the stretch,

843
00:43:10,199 --> 00:43:14,800
except you know the game in Buffalo where Joe Burrow had,

844
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:17,039
you know, the two brain farts back to back with

845
00:43:17,119 --> 00:43:22,000
the interceptions for touchdowns that lost them that game. They're

846
00:43:22,039 --> 00:43:26,400
playing hard and the fact that Burrow came back on

847
00:43:26,440 --> 00:43:30,639
a team that was pure trash Thanksgiving night to play.

848
00:43:31,320 --> 00:43:32,599
Speaker 4: You know, it would have been.

849
00:43:32,559 --> 00:43:34,159
Speaker 3: Easy for him just to sit the rest of the

850
00:43:34,199 --> 00:43:36,320
season out and not get hurt. He wanted to be

851
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:39,039
with his team, and his team's playing hard for it.

852
00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:42,440
I don't see the Bengals stopping or excuse me, Cleveland's

853
00:43:42,440 --> 00:43:45,840
stopping the Bengals this week, and just as we said earlier,

854
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:50,800
the Steelers were handcuffed offensively last week. Cincinnati's got all

855
00:43:50,840 --> 00:43:54,039
hands on deck and that offense is clicking. I like Cincy.

856
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:57,000
You know, if you want to get greedy, you know

857
00:43:57,400 --> 00:44:02,159
it's Cincinnati. It's the game over, or it's the team total.

858
00:44:02,199 --> 00:44:05,360
Cincinnati over. If you worry that Cleveland can't get you

859
00:44:05,519 --> 00:44:08,639
enough points to get to the team the whole game total.

860
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:10,840
Speaker 4: I do like them. I'm still on them.

861
00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:14,239
Speaker 1: I'm trusting you. You've been on absolute fire this year.

862
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:16,280
I put it in my pick them contest. I need

863
00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:18,000
to win this week and pick them to win the

864
00:44:18,039 --> 00:44:21,639
contest like for the whole season. So your Cincinnati play

865
00:44:21,760 --> 00:44:23,960
is one of my plays of the day. Likes seven

866
00:44:24,039 --> 00:44:27,400
seven and a half. Another game that shockingly I feel

867
00:44:27,480 --> 00:44:31,119
like everyone's talking about is this Saints Falcons game. There

868
00:44:31,199 --> 00:44:35,280
is a big schedule implication for the Falcons, because the

869
00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:38,199
Falcons could either be a tough schedule in twenty twenty

870
00:44:38,199 --> 00:44:40,679
six or play the losing schedule in twenty twenty six

871
00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:43,360
depending on the outcome of this game. How much are

872
00:44:43,360 --> 00:44:46,079
you going to take that into consideration. Do you even

873
00:44:46,119 --> 00:44:48,840
look at this game? What are your thoughts on Falcon Saints?

874
00:44:49,199 --> 00:44:49,440
Speaker 2: Yeah?

875
00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:51,360
Speaker 3: I actually this is one of the games that I

876
00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:55,239
did use on Marco's Delhi and I'm taking the Saints

877
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:58,119
in this one. And everybody's telling me all Atlanta's playing

878
00:44:58,119 --> 00:45:01,599
so well right just what I say said about last

879
00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:04,960
the last game in Cleveland played their super Bowl last week.

880
00:45:05,320 --> 00:45:08,159
The Atlanta Falcons played their super Bowl on Monday Night

881
00:45:08,199 --> 00:45:09,880
Football last week when they.

882
00:45:09,719 --> 00:45:10,480
Speaker 4: Beat the Rams.

883
00:45:10,719 --> 00:45:14,719
Speaker 3: Okay, both teams are playing well right now. But the

884
00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:18,920
Saints are a young team that is excited right now.

885
00:45:19,039 --> 00:45:22,280
They feel they found their quarterback of the future in

886
00:45:22,519 --> 00:45:25,679
Tyler Shuck and the team's on a winning streak, just

887
00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:29,119
like Atlanta's on a winning streak. But to me, I

888
00:45:29,159 --> 00:45:32,079
don't see Atlanta playing with the same intensity that they

889
00:45:32,119 --> 00:45:34,760
played last week. And I know, oh, they can control

890
00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:37,960
the destiny of Tampa Bay. What do they care about,

891
00:45:38,199 --> 00:45:41,239
you know, Tampa Bay? To help Tampa Bay out? You know,

892
00:45:41,440 --> 00:45:44,800
that's your fault that you're in this situation that you

893
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:46,000
need our help, you know.

894
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:47,079
Speaker 4: I think the.

895
00:45:47,039 --> 00:45:50,159
Speaker 3: Saints want the game more and everybody's telling me about

896
00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:53,039
you know how Atlanta wants to finish the season on

897
00:45:53,159 --> 00:45:56,119
a roll. The only part that does scare me a

898
00:45:56,199 --> 00:46:00,280
little bit about going against Atlanta is there is one

899
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:02,039
person it does have something to play for.

900
00:46:02,320 --> 00:46:04,199
Speaker 4: And to me that is Kirk Cousins.

901
00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:09,920
Speaker 3: Okay, he's the one guy that you know, got cast

902
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:12,480
to the you know, to the bench last year and

903
00:46:12,599 --> 00:46:14,840
at the end of the season for Michael Pennix Junior,

904
00:46:15,039 --> 00:46:18,079
who is you know, the future of the franchise. Is

905
00:46:18,159 --> 00:46:23,599
he playing these final games of the season for maybe,

906
00:46:23,679 --> 00:46:26,360
you know, getting the job back? I don't think so.

907
00:46:26,639 --> 00:46:29,320
I think more so if somebody else wants, you know,

908
00:46:29,599 --> 00:46:32,559
a quality quarterback and comes and makes you know, an offer,

909
00:46:32,760 --> 00:46:35,199
you know, one of those one or two year fixes,

910
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:37,599
you know, whatever he's got left in the tank. That's

911
00:46:37,639 --> 00:46:41,440
the only thing that sees me with any motivation for Atlanta.

912
00:46:41,519 --> 00:46:43,800
But I like the way the Saints are playing. They've

913
00:46:43,840 --> 00:46:47,519
been non relevant for how many seasons now since Sean

914
00:46:47,559 --> 00:46:50,639
Payton's been gone and Drew Brees has been gone. There

915
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:52,800
is excitement with the Saints and I think they're gonna

916
00:46:52,800 --> 00:46:55,199
play hard. And my other thing, if you want to

917
00:46:55,199 --> 00:46:57,159
look at that game, I'm I have to look at

918
00:46:57,159 --> 00:47:00,519
the over two teams that don't have anything play for

919
00:47:01,079 --> 00:47:04,000
if you're both out of the playoffs. I always looked

920
00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:04,440
at the over.

921
00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:08,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's like an All Star game where defense is nonexistent.

922
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:11,639
David Tookarski said, Marco, do you take ten?

923
00:47:12,559 --> 00:47:12,679
Speaker 5: Uh?

924
00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:16,119
Speaker 1: Oh, it's a I don't understand. Do you take gets

925
00:47:16,199 --> 00:47:18,639
with the I think you meant Jets with the ten?

926
00:47:19,159 --> 00:47:21,000
How does like Buffalo and by so much?

927
00:47:21,599 --> 00:47:21,880
Speaker 2: Yeah?

928
00:47:21,960 --> 00:47:22,760
Speaker 4: This game?

929
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:26,280
Speaker 3: You know, betting the Jets at any number is scary.

930
00:47:26,400 --> 00:47:29,760
But I can't play Buffalo today. I just can't with

931
00:47:29,800 --> 00:47:33,400
what happened last week and the way they lost. You know,

932
00:47:33,559 --> 00:47:38,079
Josh Allen, you know how much does he play. You

933
00:47:38,159 --> 00:47:40,079
don't want to get him hurt. You saw that he

934
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:42,679
wasn't one hundred percent last week. But this guy is

935
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:44,880
such a warrior. He always wants to be out there.

936
00:47:45,760 --> 00:47:48,079
I just don't trust it. I think the back door

937
00:47:48,159 --> 00:47:50,920
is going to be open for the Jets. You know,

938
00:47:51,039 --> 00:47:55,239
and the Jets have the distinction of might of making

939
00:47:55,440 --> 00:47:58,760
NFL history today if they don't get an interception on

940
00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:00,840
the final week of the season, and they will be

941
00:48:00,880 --> 00:48:03,599
the first NFL team to go through an entire season

942
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:06,719
without a single interception. Do you know how hard is

943
00:48:06,800 --> 00:48:11,480
he So that doesn't mean they're gonna go out and

944
00:48:11,480 --> 00:48:14,719
get one today. But I think the Jets are gonna

945
00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:16,679
you know, I think the Jets are the team that's

946
00:48:16,679 --> 00:48:19,280
gonna play harder. I just Buffalo after the way they

947
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:22,679
lost last week? How do you pick yourself up off

948
00:48:22,679 --> 00:48:24,679
the mat. I know there's a chance of things for

949
00:48:24,760 --> 00:48:28,039
them to play for, but what has to happen in

950
00:48:28,079 --> 00:48:30,559
front of them to change their positions is not going

951
00:48:30,639 --> 00:48:31,039
to happen.

952
00:48:31,719 --> 00:48:33,960
Speaker 1: There are a lot of large spreads today. Did any

953
00:48:34,039 --> 00:48:35,119
stand out to you, Marco?

954
00:48:36,519 --> 00:48:41,079
Speaker 3: The the numbers, the way they have gone crazy is ridiculous.

955
00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:42,639
Speaker 4: The two games.

956
00:48:43,519 --> 00:48:46,280
Speaker 3: You saw the line on Minnesota. Okay, as soon as

957
00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:49,519
they said JJ McCarthy's gonna play, which I don't understand.

958
00:48:49,840 --> 00:48:52,800
Why in the world he's been hurt how many times

959
00:48:52,880 --> 00:48:56,039
this year? You saw what happened with Washington, you know,

960
00:48:56,079 --> 00:49:01,000
bringing Jayden Daniels back. Why if JJ McCarthy is really

961
00:49:01,039 --> 00:49:04,199
your future, why are you going to risk bringing him back,

962
00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:06,840
you know, when he's been injured two different times already

963
00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:09,960
this year, and risk him getting hurt in a meaningless game.

964
00:49:10,239 --> 00:49:13,719
But they're starting him and the public has just gone crazy.

965
00:49:13,800 --> 00:49:14,079
Speaker 2: With it.

966
00:49:14,519 --> 00:49:17,039
Speaker 3: I like the Minnesota side, but I don't like him

967
00:49:17,079 --> 00:49:20,079
at the current number. And what Green Bay is going

968
00:49:20,159 --> 00:49:22,880
to be putting on the field, I can't trust them either.

969
00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:26,719
Just remember you don't have to bet every game, especially

970
00:49:26,719 --> 00:49:30,000
on week eighteen. I think this is one that maybe

971
00:49:30,079 --> 00:49:32,760
moved too much. Another one and I think maybe moved

972
00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:35,840
too much. And I know VR talked about that they

973
00:49:35,880 --> 00:49:39,320
still hit them at these numbers, and that's the Rams game.

974
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:43,920
You know, this is so unlike Sean McVay in the

975
00:49:43,960 --> 00:49:47,559
final week of the season to be playing everybody. But

976
00:49:47,880 --> 00:49:50,960
he is upset at the way the team has played

977
00:49:50,960 --> 00:49:54,079
the last few weeks and he wants to get that

978
00:49:54,199 --> 00:49:57,559
bad taste out of his mouth. But laying fourteen and

979
00:49:57,599 --> 00:50:00,199
if this gets to fourteen and a half, Arizona the

980
00:50:00,280 --> 00:50:03,159
can score points. Problem is they give up a lot

981
00:50:03,159 --> 00:50:05,960
of points. Does he have the people in there in

982
00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:08,320
the second half? You know, this is to me.

983
00:50:08,559 --> 00:50:09,199
Speaker 4: I could see this.

984
00:50:09,159 --> 00:50:11,960
Speaker 1: Ass so hard to handicap, and I was asking Yanni this,

985
00:50:12,039 --> 00:50:14,039
I was asking calmness, I'll ask you the same thing.

986
00:50:15,199 --> 00:50:17,760
We don't know if certain players are going to be

987
00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:19,840
making it to the fourth quarter, So are you just

988
00:50:19,840 --> 00:50:21,320
gonna stay away from those games.

989
00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:24,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, if I played this game, honestly, I probably with

990
00:50:24,679 --> 00:50:27,599
the inflated line would look if I was looking full game,

991
00:50:27,800 --> 00:50:30,599
I would be looking for Arizona on the back door. Yeah,

992
00:50:30,679 --> 00:50:33,199
if I was playing first half, I would be playing

993
00:50:33,199 --> 00:50:34,960
the Rams, because I think the Rams are gonna come

994
00:50:34,960 --> 00:50:38,000
out and if they come out first two or three

995
00:50:38,119 --> 00:50:42,840
drives and put up fourteen or seventeen points, I could

996
00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:46,800
see him yanking everybody because you know, it's like a

997
00:50:46,840 --> 00:50:49,320
preseason game. You want your starters to get a little

998
00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:51,679
bit of work, but you want to see results, and

999
00:50:51,719 --> 00:50:55,119
if they put up some quick points, he's gonna be

1000
00:50:55,159 --> 00:50:58,119
happy with that, I think, And at some point I

1001
00:50:58,159 --> 00:51:00,440
would see substitutions in the game.

1002
00:51:01,320 --> 00:51:02,840
Speaker 4: That's my thought on that one.

1003
00:51:03,280 --> 00:51:05,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you for sure. I've been also

1004
00:51:05,719 --> 00:51:07,400
staying away from some of these games that I just

1005
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:09,159
have no clue if these players are playing the full

1006
00:51:09,199 --> 00:51:11,599
game or not, especially when it comes to props, which

1007
00:51:11,599 --> 00:51:13,400
I'll get to in a second. Marco D'Angelo, what are

1008
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:14,159
you promoting today?

1009
00:51:15,159 --> 00:51:17,880
Speaker 3: Well, you know, I've got one play that we really like,

1010
00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:20,000
and yesterday we had one football play and it was

1011
00:51:20,039 --> 00:51:22,360
a big one. We had a five percent on Seattle,

1012
00:51:22,760 --> 00:51:26,480
and I absolutely loved the Seahawks and that was a game.

1013
00:51:26,960 --> 00:51:27,199
Speaker 2: Areo.

1014
00:51:27,360 --> 00:51:28,960
Speaker 4: You watched a game yesterday, the.

1015
00:51:28,920 --> 00:51:32,960
Speaker 3: Most dominant ten point victory I've ever witnessed in my life.

1016
00:51:33,000 --> 00:51:36,159
And if we don't get that interception, it's a three

1017
00:51:36,199 --> 00:51:40,480
point game and I'm gonna I kept seeing nightmares of

1018
00:51:40,519 --> 00:51:44,119
the Chicago Green Bay game from a couple Saturday nights ago,

1019
00:51:44,159 --> 00:51:46,800
when I, unfortunately was on the Green Bay Packers. I

1020
00:51:46,880 --> 00:51:49,119
was on the side of the team that dominated the

1021
00:51:49,159 --> 00:51:50,719
whole game and then had.

1022
00:51:50,559 --> 00:51:51,800
Speaker 4: To puke at the end of it.

1023
00:51:52,320 --> 00:51:55,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I could see the rerun of that, but

1024
00:51:56,199 --> 00:51:58,159
that was a five percent. We're now forty one and

1025
00:51:58,360 --> 00:52:01,960
eighteen going back to February of twenty twenty four. With

1026
00:52:02,039 --> 00:52:05,400
those plays, I've got a four percent play today. It

1027
00:52:05,480 --> 00:52:10,039
is my one NFL underdog upset shocker, and no it

1028
00:52:10,119 --> 00:52:13,320
is not the Pittsburgh Steelers. Okay, it is a different

1029
00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:16,480
game today. So you can check that out over at

1030
00:52:16,519 --> 00:52:19,719
wager Talk. Jump on board for that one. And we

1031
00:52:19,760 --> 00:52:24,280
have been running good for the last two seasons combined,

1032
00:52:24,360 --> 00:52:27,400
College and NFL were number two and money one at

1033
00:52:27,480 --> 00:52:30,320
a wager Talk. So we're proud of that and we

1034
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:33,280
want to finish out, get through this landmine that's called

1035
00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:36,159
Week eighteen, and get into the playoffs when you know,

1036
00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:39,480
everything is good. And that's one of the reasons why

1037
00:52:39,599 --> 00:52:43,320
the big play came in at San Francisco Seattle game,

1038
00:52:43,400 --> 00:52:47,280
because it was a pure handicap. All hands were going

1039
00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:50,119
to be on deck and everybody had the same thing

1040
00:52:50,199 --> 00:52:52,599
to play for, and it was just the better team.

1041
00:52:52,679 --> 00:52:53,960
Speaker 4: The better team won that game.

1042
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:56,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, and it was a great fait the public move

1043
00:52:56,119 --> 00:52:58,199
as well, because everybody thought there was no chance the

1044
00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:00,519
Niners were gonna lose for the number one seed to

1045
00:53:00,599 --> 00:53:05,320
run through Zimbrancisco at home. Oh no, yeah, Okay, I

1046
00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:09,199
need to take a picture of us because so let

1047
00:53:09,239 --> 00:53:11,159
me hold on, I have to stand up a little

1048
00:53:11,159 --> 00:53:13,599
bit so I could get it better. I'm going to

1049
00:53:13,679 --> 00:53:16,960
take a picture of us to explait hold on, I

1050
00:53:16,960 --> 00:53:18,960
have to try to take a picture at the same

1051
00:53:19,000 --> 00:53:25,800
time as holding up my shirt. Okay, ready, three two one,

1052
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:31,079
I probably that's a key for Oh my gosh, Margot,

1053
00:53:31,119 --> 00:53:33,599
thank you so much. Made the best team win and

1054
00:53:34,079 --> 00:53:36,519
losing the wild card, that's probably what's gonna happen for

1055
00:53:36,599 --> 00:53:42,960
both these losers absolutely today.

1056
00:53:43,320 --> 00:53:45,360
Speaker 4: All right, thanks Ariel for.

1057
00:53:45,360 --> 00:53:48,400
Speaker 1: Anyone that wants to know some contract incentives that are

1058
00:53:48,599 --> 00:53:51,840
available right now if you are interested. I think no

1059
00:53:51,840 --> 00:53:55,000
one's talking about the Jaguars defensive tackle Eric Armstead, who

1060
00:53:55,039 --> 00:53:56,679
needs one and a half sacks to earn a million

1061
00:53:56,719 --> 00:54:00,159
dollars is over half a sack. I'mlike Myles Gay right,

1062
00:54:00,199 --> 00:54:04,159
whos minus three fifty Eric Armstead his over a half

1063
00:54:04,199 --> 00:54:06,719
a sack is plus two sixty. So you could still

1064
00:54:06,719 --> 00:54:09,079
get some decent value there for a sack from Armstead.

1065
00:54:09,599 --> 00:54:11,760
We mentioned the Tony Pollard props. I don't think that

1066
00:54:11,840 --> 00:54:15,039
people are talking about the touchdowns either. Tony Pollard, of

1067
00:54:15,079 --> 00:54:17,400
course needs the sixty six rushing yards to earn two

1068
00:54:17,400 --> 00:54:20,440
fifty K. It's at sixty six and a half the prop.

1069
00:54:21,000 --> 00:54:23,760
Or Tony Pollard needs two rushing touchdowns to earn two

1070
00:54:23,840 --> 00:54:26,599
hundred K. You could get him anytime touchdown at close

1071
00:54:26,639 --> 00:54:28,719
to two to one Tony Pollard. If you do want

1072
00:54:28,719 --> 00:54:31,639
to go for two, it's fifteen to one Tony Pollard

1073
00:54:31,639 --> 00:54:34,079
over one and a half rushing touchdowns and Leslie, you know,

1074
00:54:34,360 --> 00:54:36,800
Hollywood Brown three to one to score a touchdown, it's

1075
00:54:36,800 --> 00:54:38,840
seven to fifty K. If he does it, he's up

1076
00:54:38,840 --> 00:54:42,199
against the Raiders who absolutely stink. There were some other

1077
00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:45,360
props that I'm waiting for. Jets kicker Nick Folk also

1078
00:54:45,440 --> 00:54:47,880
needs two field goals to make one twenty five k

1079
00:54:48,119 --> 00:54:49,840
His over one and a half field goals is plus

1080
00:54:49,880 --> 00:54:53,880
one ten, so you could look there. That game is

1081
00:54:53,920 --> 00:54:56,840
at four twenty five pm Eastern time. I also on

1082
00:54:56,880 --> 00:54:59,239
the prop queen dot com have all the other props

1083
00:54:59,400 --> 00:55:02,119
that you could look for. You can subscribe to the

1084
00:55:02,119 --> 00:55:05,719
newsletter and there is a free guide for all the incentives.

1085
00:55:05,960 --> 00:55:09,599
A lot of them just aren't posted yet, so I'm waiting,

1086
00:55:09,679 --> 00:55:11,519
but I'm gonna be posting. I sent the newsletter out

1087
00:55:11,559 --> 00:55:13,599
for the one o'clock games that are posted, and then

1088
00:55:13,639 --> 00:55:15,800
for the four o'clock games. Once those get posted, I

1089
00:55:15,800 --> 00:55:18,280
will send another newsletter out to the prop queen dot

1090
00:55:18,360 --> 00:55:21,440
com subscribers. Good luck to all of your bets today.

1091
00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:24,239
Thanks for watching here on wager Talk class call. Oh wait,

1092
00:55:24,280 --> 00:55:28,000
I forgot the needs. Sorry, one more thing. I know

1093
00:55:28,079 --> 00:55:32,000
that we're on very long so from art to Caezar,

1094
00:55:32,199 --> 00:55:34,800
he said from over at the West Gates and sewn

1095
00:55:34,880 --> 00:55:41,679
Murray's away today. Colts, Dolphins, Ravens, Cowboys, Titans. Those are

1096
00:55:41,719 --> 00:55:44,920
the needs of the day. Over at the Westgates Superbook.

1097
00:55:45,360 --> 00:55:49,800
So go to the propqueen dot com hit newsletter and subscribe.

1098
00:55:49,920 --> 00:55:52,519
And that's the way to get to the newsletter. Good

1099
00:55:52,599 --> 00:55:56,119
luck to all the bets today. Happy week eighteen. Regular

1100
00:55:56,159 --> 00:56:00,440
seasons almost over. It's insane. Go Ravens, I guess us

1101
00:56:00,639 --> 00:56:02,719
see you next week. Care on Wajer talks last cor