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Speaker 1: It was good. Everybody. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new. We always start this show by

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being transparent. And there were no shows over the weekend.

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Didn't end up doing a Friday show, so I guess

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a lot this happened. Is the last time we've talked NBA,

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you know, one five of them, my last seven NFL

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over the weekend. It was a lot of back and forth,

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and I think the Chiefs game may me be slightly losing.

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So NBA has been good lately. NFL back and forth

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maybe a little a little down there with the Chiefs game.

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How's everything been for you? You know? And good to

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be back with you.

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Speaker 2: Good to be back with you. Ski. Yesterday actually the

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first losing day I've had in football, and it was

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the Chiefs. Had a five percent play on the Chiefs

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yesterday and it did not get home. So we're number one,

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was number one at Wade your talk in the NFL.

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Not sure that that holds after yesterday. Don't want to look.

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College basketball been good two and one over the weekend.

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Houston first half didn't play it, Ski, but it pushed

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yesterday against Auburn minus four.

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Speaker 1: When you got.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you could have got four and a half and

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lost right in that one I did.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, four was they don't put those numbers out on

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the West coast so early. You know, they're scared to

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put them out. They want to wait and see which

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way the line was.

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Speaker 2: We can't have that, So yeah, we're looking to get

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back at it today with it. It's pretty big NBA slate,

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I have to say, for a Monday, So we got

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a little bit to talk about.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to it. Big decent slate, going

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rotation order like we always do. Clippers and Sixers opened

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up four and a half point favorites. For the Clippers

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looks like five and a half totally, one from two

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nineteen and a half as high as two twenty one.

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When I look at the injury report. Bogdanovich is now

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questionable for the Clippers. No Kawhi obviously, Dereck Jones is out,

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Miller out for the Sixers, no oubre Embiid or Bona,

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and then Paul George is probable. Looks like he's gonna

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be making his debut here tonight. For the Sixers, they

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are the more rested team. I think they've had two

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days off before this game. Clippers. It is a back

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to back for them, third and four, fourth and sixth,

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all that good stuff. And Clippers haven't been looking good

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in general. You know, I joke around. I don't know

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if it's Tylu haven't gambling dead, or it's just these

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old guys with the tennis balls with the Walkers. I

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don't know what it is, but the Clippers have not

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looked good so far this year. For the Sixers, they've

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been really good, especially in the first twenty four minutes.

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For like those third quarters they're struggling. So my first

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thought here, even though they have rest advantage, will be

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six Ers early. And I'm curious how you see this game.

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Speaker 2: Well, I'll go from from the Sixers standpoint. They had

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a little discussion, team discussion after the loss to Detroit

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the other night. You know, Detroit didn't have Kid, Detroit

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didn't have Jalen Durham. Detroit basically threw the B team

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at them and Philly couldn't hang on. And Tyree Smaxi

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and DJ Edgecombe probably the two most vocal, not that

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it got into any kind of a screaming match or anything,

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but the two guys who really are focused on forty

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eight minutes for the Sixers. It's been that way all

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season long.

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Speaker 1: Ski.

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Speaker 2: Either they fall behind early and come back late, or

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they get ahead early and fade late. In that game

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against Detroit it was a fade late. They lost a

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fourth quarter by eleven. So they're looking to put everything

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together here. I don't put it past them to do

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so against a Clippers team on back to backs. Like

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you mentioned, short bodies to begin with. The Kelly u

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Bray loss, I think is somewhat of a deal here.

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We'll see what Paul George can even bring to the

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table in his first game of the season. But to me,

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I think, you know, just watching the Sixers all season long,

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I've said it before, their legs never really look tired.

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I think what happens to them, and according to Maxi

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and Edgecombe is they just lose focus more than get fatigued.

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So if they maintain focus, tonight should be a Philadelphia game.

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I could be apt to play their team total over

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just because I don't think that the Clippers can keep

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up for forty eight minutes. The Clippers did give up

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a bunch yesterday, especially from three point range, to the Celtics,

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so I'm going to look at the Sixers in some

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capacity haven't played it yet, but they've been bet up

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to five and a half. Like you're saying, totals now

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sitting too twenty and a half.

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Speaker 1: I like Maxie rebound in that one numbers too low

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in my opinion, three and a half. He's been clearing

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that game, damn there, especially since e beat has been out,

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So I do like that in that game. Next we

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have Pacers and Pistons and opened up eight and a

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half all the way up to eleven total open two

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twenty eight and a half. That's gone up too. I'm

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seeing this how as two thirty one and a half.

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These Pacers, Hey, look they just season looks like over

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probably you know, that's what looks like for this Pacers team.

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For the Pistons, they're sitting at eleven and two. They've

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had a couple of days off before this game. It

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is the first of a back to back. But man,

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I mean you mentioned it the Pistons. I mean, it

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hasn't even mattered who's been playing. They've still been able

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to get the job done. Tonight we do have Cage

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still questionable, sorry Thompson questionable, No Tobias, no Ivy no Sasser,

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no Clintman during its probable for the Pacers, though a

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lot of guys too, Mattherin's questionable, no Furfee, Jackson Jones,

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n Smith or Topping just missing a whole lot for

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his Pacers team, and it seems like it's been too

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much to overcome. I would like to think, you know,

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they played more up tempo and and TJ, but the

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offense is just so bad. I don't think it's translating

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the points. Detroit has been playing good defense. I mean this,

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when is Detroit a passed for me? I even considered

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a Pacers team total under? How are you doing Pacers

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at Pistons?

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Speaker 2: Well, I think you have to like Detroit in this

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game ski for the Pacers, it is it's two steps forward,

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two steps back, right. You get your point guards back

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them hard and McConnell just recently and now no will

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be topping nowhere in Nie Smith and I think they are.

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In Nie Smith thing is extended. Yeah, so maybe a

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month or over a month on that injury to him.

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So those are two guys that are offensive igniers mostly

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off the bench, that helped this team score. Without them,

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you're depth shy for sure. We're scoring his concern o

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Johnny Furfield a little lecture. He hasn't played in six games.

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It's just it's hard for Indiana to overcome all of this.

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And back to the point about the sixers. After their

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game against Detroit, they made mention of how physical Detroit

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is and how physical Detroit tries to be with their opponents,

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and I really don't know that Indiana matches up from

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a physical standpoint against this team, especially if Jalen Duran's

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back in the lineup. Underneath this, you know, Indiana is

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kind of a finesse team and Detroit seems to be

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one that's on the mission. When you start winning games

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like they did in the fourth quarter with your backups predominantly,

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that's a pretty good indication here. So I would probably

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played Detroit. I could see your point about Indiana team

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total under game has pushed a little bit toward the

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over as far as full game total is concerned. But

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I don't think I have a lot of fear of

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laying points here with Detroit. Indiana's shown the ability to

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be blown out this year. So if Kate is back, especially,

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you gotta play Detroit.

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Speaker 1: We'll keep going down the list here. Bucks and Cavaliers

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open seven and a half still looks like seven or

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seven and a half. Total went down from two thirty

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eight and a half as low as two thirty four

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and a half. Garland, Strus Entyson are out, Giannas is probable.

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No Porter or Prince for the Bucks like they have

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been playing a lot of games lately. Actually, both teams

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playing a lot of games lately. Third and fourth for

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the Bucks, fourth and six for both teams. The Bucks

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did lose to these Cavaliers already the season, so it

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could be a chance for some revenge. Also coming off

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with loss a spanking. I think it was versus the Lakers.

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So this is one where I faded the Cavaliers over

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the weekend with the Grizzlies, and the main thing was

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the Cavaliers haven't been playing good enough defense to be

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laying in so many points. So I do think the

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Bucks we'll be able to score. It's just, uh, I

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don't really trust a bunch of defense at the same time,

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so I don't know. And not at the same time

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as that, I mean no Garland, no Strews. That is

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some offense missing. It's tough. I want to say, maybe

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an over but don't feel too strong about this one.

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Anything appealing for you, Yeah, real quick.

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Speaker 2: I think the last time we talked, it was Cleveland

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Toronto that night. Right and Toronto have been playing pretty

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good defense, and Donovan Mitchell was on his own at

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point guard because Lonzo didn't play that game. But Lonzo

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did come back and play in the Memphis game and

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they still didn't cover it. Just seems like they too

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get They definitely get too offensively focused the Cavalies. Both

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teams do, which really makes it surprising that this number

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would come down from two thirty eight and a half

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to to thirty four and a half. Money must have

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thought that it was just too high to begin with,

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but it's hard to feel that way with these two teams.

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To your point about the earlier meeting, Cavs win one

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eighteen one thirteen, little Bucks revenge and Bucks off a loss,

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I've kind of leaned that way towards Milwaukee here. Not

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to steal your phrase, but again we're talking about bad defense.

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If you can't get stops, can you win by eight?

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Not sure that can happen here barely one by eight

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against Memphis the other day. So for me, it'll probably

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be Milwaukee as the dog here plus seven and a

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half or nothing. But I am a little bit surprised

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that the totalists come down as far as it has.

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Speaker 1: All Right, I'm getting some injury news here on one

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of these later games, so I'll keep that in mind

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and we can keep going down the list. Here, Robin

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Nicks and Heat opened up minus one for Miami seeing

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one and a half or two, the total goes up

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from two forty one and a half to two forty

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four and a half, regardless of brunts and being out

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and Og being out for this next team on the

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other side, no Bam, no Hero, and of course no

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Terry Rose here. You know, when I think about the

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Knicks minus Brunson, I like to think the offense struggles.

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So now without Og, you are losing a defender for

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those Knicks over there as well. So I don't know, Bam,

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I like to think you're losing some defense and rebounding.

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This is a tough game. I think I would trust

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the Heat being a little bit more healthy. I mean,

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the Knicks minus two starters, I only have some some

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other guys you know, they picked up this year. They're

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little bit more of a deeper team. But that's just

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gonna affect the bench. And when you're playing a heat

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team that just wants to run, run, run, run, run,

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you don't really want to be short guys. So look

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towards the heat in this one. I can also understand why,

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because of the pace, why the total continues to go up.

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How are you viewing this one?

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Speaker 2: You know, well, can I break out for the first

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time this year? I'm going to break out potential points

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for you Ski. How about that game that these two

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teams played Friday night up in New York. Two hundred

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and seventy two points. No Brunson, no og, no bam.

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None of the guys that are out tonight played in

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that one. They took one hundred and ninety nine shots

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from the field one hundred and ninety nine field goal attempts.

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Inside of that, one hundred and two of those were

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two pointers. That's two hundred and four possible points. Ninety

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seven threes, forty four by Miami, fifty three by the Knicks.

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That's possible two hundred and ninety one points, sixty three

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free throws. All told, that's five hundred and fifty eight

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points that could have been scored in that game.

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Speaker 1: That's crazy.

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Speaker 2: They did manage to score quite a bunch, just under

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forty nine percent of those went through the hoops, so

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we got what we got. There are two hundred and

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seventy two point game. I can understand why people bet

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this thing up from two forty one and a half

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to two forty four and a half because other than

238
00:13:02,240 --> 00:13:05,320
the venue, what's really going to change. You're probably gonna

239
00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:07,720
get the same pace. You may not get one hundred

240
00:13:07,759 --> 00:13:09,840
and ninety nine shots, but you probably get one hundred

241
00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:14,240
and ninety and the Knicks were just jacking threes like crazy.

242
00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:17,240
What I don't think will happen here ski is I

243
00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:20,000
don't think you get thirty six points out of Landry

244
00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:24,960
Shammon tonight, which is what they got Friday, and he

245
00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:29,200
played a really big role. Cat had thirty nine. You

246
00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:32,080
get a lot from the bench. Clerkson had twenty four.

247
00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:34,720
But I don't know if those bench numbers are repeatable

248
00:13:34,759 --> 00:13:37,080
here in this game. So to me, I like Miami

249
00:13:37,480 --> 00:13:40,080
a little bit. The NIXT show that they'll play to

250
00:13:40,159 --> 00:13:43,960
Miami style Friday night. Don't know why they wouldn't play

251
00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:46,240
to Miami style here tonight, So for me, it'd probably

252
00:13:46,279 --> 00:13:48,600
be Miami I think the price is in a pretty

253
00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:50,480
good spot. You can still get one and a half's

254
00:13:50,519 --> 00:13:53,919
out there too. Some markets are slow to move on

255
00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:56,080
this game. We see a few twos and two and

256
00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:57,679
a half's, but a lot of one and a half

257
00:13:58,279 --> 00:14:00,480
out there still. So I'd probably lay it with Miami.

258
00:14:01,919 --> 00:14:04,559
Speaker 1: What Casey's saying here, Mitch got ten rebounds in like

259
00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:07,360
sixteen minutes and still filed out. I think, you know,

260
00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:11,840
I mean, you have guys calling out where Kaleil where,

261
00:14:13,519 --> 00:14:15,440
and just saying he needs to do a better job of,

262
00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:18,799
you know, not letting Mitchell Robinson dominate the game. I

263
00:14:18,799 --> 00:14:21,559
think he had eight offensive rebounds in that game. I

264
00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:26,000
was thinking, maybe bet Mitchell Robinson rebounds under like that's

265
00:14:26,039 --> 00:14:27,840
gonna be an emphasis for his team not to let

266
00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:30,440
him kill them on the boards. Tonight could look at

267
00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:32,919
it another way and say, maybe Khalil where rebounds a

268
00:14:32,919 --> 00:14:35,600
little bit better. He has been pretty good without Bam

269
00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:38,480
out there. He only had ten last game. His numbers

270
00:14:38,480 --> 00:14:41,120
ten and a half. Considering both of those, whether it's

271
00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:47,519
Khalil over, whether it's Mitch rob under. Looking at both

272
00:14:47,519 --> 00:14:51,759
of those props, Jose Perez looking at Miami here, Mark

273
00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:56,159
likes Miami money line, also taking Maxi rebounds and assists.

274
00:14:56,639 --> 00:15:01,480
Good stuff on that. Our next game of Hornets and

275
00:15:02,159 --> 00:15:05,879
Raptors opened up Raps minus seven and a half. Looks

276
00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:09,279
like eight and a half. Total went up from two

277
00:15:09,279 --> 00:15:12,000
thirty eight and a half, beside as two forty and

278
00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:20,639
a half. Injury report for Charlotte. Josh Green, mcneey, Miller

279
00:15:20,799 --> 00:15:26,120
and Williams are out for Toronto. Abaji's doubtful battle is questionable.

280
00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:29,840
I have to go back to what I was saying,

281
00:15:30,200 --> 00:15:34,399
you know, I mean Raptors play some defense in that game.

282
00:15:34,399 --> 00:15:37,679
Remember I was saying, maybe it's who they've played, or

283
00:15:38,360 --> 00:15:40,840
I mean they played defense against the Cats in that game.

284
00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:45,720
Look damn good. Now you get a Hornets team that

285
00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:49,639
has been struggling to score, but a lot of those

286
00:15:49,679 --> 00:15:54,279
games has been without LaMelo. LaMelo obviously is going to

287
00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:59,639
increase the pace and help the offense for them. Man.

288
00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:03,360
I think the Hornets hit this one of their last

289
00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:06,039
five or six games as far as their team total tonight,

290
00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:09,399
the Raptors only giving it up I believe one of

291
00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:14,080
their last seven or something like that. Really, considering Hornet's

292
00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:16,679
team total under here, just wanting to continue to trust

293
00:16:16,679 --> 00:16:21,120
the Raptors defense. Obviously, you know LaMelo is going to

294
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:24,360
change how the Hornets have been looking lately. Anyway, any

295
00:16:24,399 --> 00:16:27,559
reason you know to talk me off of Hornet's team

296
00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:31,240
total under here, I don't think so.

297
00:16:31,399 --> 00:16:33,639
Speaker 2: Ski. I'm just at first I'll give you a quote,

298
00:16:33,679 --> 00:16:35,759
and then I want to get this something else here.

299
00:16:35,799 --> 00:16:41,159
This is the Raptors head coach Darko Rodjakovich. He says,

300
00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:43,440
I'm really satisfied with than four out of five on

301
00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:46,120
this road trip. I think we played some really really

302
00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:49,320
good basketball, and it's still part of the process. I

303
00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:51,919
still believe there are areas for us to continue improving

304
00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:54,519
and get better. So coach likes what he sees, thinks

305
00:16:54,519 --> 00:16:58,080
they're going to get even better. And we've noticed obviously

306
00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:02,200
the defensive side of the Lord where they've been really

307
00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:08,359
really good. One thing real quick here on scheduling. If

308
00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:10,960
I'm right, this would be the Raptors first game back

309
00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:15,200
off of that five game road trip. It is generally

310
00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:19,000
we don't like to play aside the home side in

311
00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:22,079
that particular situation. Doesn't mean they won't bring the defense,

312
00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:25,799
just makes it a little leery of playing the Raptors.

313
00:17:25,839 --> 00:17:27,759
Makes me a little leary of playing the Raptors here,

314
00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:30,160
some of those games that you mentioned with Charlotte hadn't scored,

315
00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:32,960
not only no LaMelo ball, but no Colin Sexton for

316
00:17:33,039 --> 00:17:35,799
maybe one or two of those as well. He had

317
00:17:35,799 --> 00:17:39,279
been hurt a little bit. So I don't know. With Charlotte.

318
00:17:39,279 --> 00:17:41,920
They're always going to push pace when LaMelo's in the game.

319
00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:46,240
That's what scares me off of anything involving Under. But

320
00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:51,319
the defensive prowess of Toronto so far has been really good.

321
00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:54,200
So can't talk you off it. I don't think I'll

322
00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:57,519
be on it. Probably let this one go. I would

323
00:17:57,599 --> 00:17:59,400
like if it wasn't the first game back after a

324
00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:01,400
five game trip, I probably would have found some way

325
00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:02,759
to play Toronto.

326
00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:08,640
Speaker 1: I like that Horners team total under that's calling my

327
00:18:08,759 --> 00:18:12,799
name right there. I think that pretty sure I'll play that.

328
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:19,559
Next will be Oklahoma City and New Orleans not gonna.

329
00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:21,960
I mean seventeen and a half were looking at Zion

330
00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:26,039
is questionable. Total came down from two twenty six to

331
00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:32,000
two twenty four. Murray nopool then for okay, see Caruso's

332
00:18:32,079 --> 00:18:39,119
questionable topic. Wigainst Kenrick Williams, Jay dub also out Man.

333
00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:43,960
You know Okay seek and win by forty and thirty

334
00:18:44,039 --> 00:18:45,640
until I bet on him. I mean I went to

335
00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:49,240
and won that day, but I bet Okay. See, all

336
00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:51,680
of a sudden, you know, they don't do anything in

337
00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:53,920
the or they let the other team do whatever to

338
00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:59,160
come cover the number. It's hard to I'm not betting

339
00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:03,880
against okayc right now. I'm not, especially with this lackluster

340
00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:07,960
Pelicans team. Could be missing Zion, et cetera. So it's

341
00:19:08,039 --> 00:19:10,480
simple under another for me, and I think I will

342
00:19:10,519 --> 00:19:12,599
be out the way, you know, anything for you here.

343
00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:17,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, they just beat him by thirty one. I don't know,

344
00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:20,680
a couple of weeks ago, November two, so around the

345
00:19:20,759 --> 00:19:23,880
seventeen fifteen days ago beat this team by thirty one

346
00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:28,240
and after not really winning by margin to start the

347
00:19:28,279 --> 00:19:30,079
season ski then all of a sudden they hit the

348
00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:33,880
gas and started to win and cover games. So, okay,

349
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,559
season really good form right now. New Orleans, it's hit

350
00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:39,279
or missed when they shoot the basketball. That's the problem

351
00:19:39,319 --> 00:19:42,759
with them. Always looks tempting to take some points with them,

352
00:19:42,799 --> 00:19:46,240
but they just don't shoot it well enough. In fact,

353
00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:49,880
James Brego, head coach of New Orleans, actually said he

354
00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:54,279
hopes his team shooting level matches its defensive intensity when

355
00:19:54,279 --> 00:19:58,559
the Pelicans play Oklahoma City tonight. So I don't like

356
00:19:59,079 --> 00:20:02,359
New Orleans much at all on either side of the floor,

357
00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:04,960
especially if you're not going to get zion from an

358
00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:08,480
offensive standpoint. So it'd probably be the Oklahoma City Thunder

359
00:20:08,559 --> 00:20:10,680
or nothing for me. Again, I won't get involved with

360
00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:13,599
with laying this big of a price. And I'm gonna

361
00:20:13,599 --> 00:20:16,519
contradict myself a couple of games further down the board here,

362
00:20:16,559 --> 00:20:19,960
but I generally don't like to lay this type of number.

363
00:20:21,599 --> 00:20:25,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, I will not be laying this number. All right.

364
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:27,480
We'll keep going down the list. And this one we

365
00:20:27,519 --> 00:20:33,079
did have somewhere guys getting rolled out. So for Minnesota

366
00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:38,839
w without Terrence Shannon Jr. Then for the Mavericks, no

367
00:20:40,039 --> 00:20:47,960
Nimhar Lively, Irving gafferd Exhem, Anthony Davis all out. For

368
00:20:48,039 --> 00:20:54,920
this MAVs team, man, you know this one still went

369
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:56,599
from two twenty seven and a half as I as

370
00:20:56,640 --> 00:20:58,920
two thirty one and a half. I mean, I guess

371
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:01,039
that's a lot of im protection you're missing from this

372
00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:04,599
Dallas side. But this Dallas team just struggles to score.

373
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:09,920
And we know how good, how capable the Timberwolves are

374
00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:13,440
on defense. It is second of a back to back

375
00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:16,720
for these Mavericks, just the third and four for the Wolves.

376
00:21:17,279 --> 00:21:20,200
And if I'm not mistaken, the Mavericks did also play

377
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:24,400
an overtime game, so I could very easily see them,

378
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:27,519
you know, running low on energy, running out of gas,

379
00:21:27,519 --> 00:21:31,200
however you want to call it. And it's very hard

380
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:35,279
to look any other way than team total under for

381
00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:39,799
this Mavericks team. Top five defense for the Timberwolves last

382
00:21:39,799 --> 00:21:42,599
five games, bottom five offense for the MAVs. We know

383
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,720
what they looked like all season. This is actually interesting

384
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:48,519
now I'm looking at it here. Mavericks first half team

385
00:21:48,559 --> 00:21:51,319
total is five and zero to the under, but the

386
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:53,279
full game team total is four and one to the

387
00:21:53,319 --> 00:21:56,880
over for the Mavericks. So I guess they're just starting

388
00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:58,960
to slow out the gate and figuring it out, and

389
00:21:59,039 --> 00:22:01,839
maybe these numbers have begin to get a little bit

390
00:22:01,839 --> 00:22:05,880
too low. I think the Mavericks struggle to score here.

391
00:22:06,799 --> 00:22:09,400
Only way I can can't think about this game. How

392
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:10,279
are you seeing it? You know?

393
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:16,160
Speaker 2: Well, the way I see everything ski through that over

394
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:20,039
lens and to me, Minnesota's team total will go over.

395
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,400
So we're probably saying the same thing. One twenty two

396
00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:25,519
and a half is the t Wolves team total Dallas

397
00:22:25,519 --> 00:22:28,640
off overtime, Dallas without all three centers, how are they

398
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,640
going to stop anybody? And Anthony Edwards could probably go

399
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,839
to the rim all day, all night. Randall should be

400
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:38,160
big at the rim here. As far as scoring is concerned,

401
00:22:38,319 --> 00:22:41,799
the t Wolves, for what it's worth, have been putting

402
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,559
up some pretty solid numbers as far as points scored

403
00:22:44,599 --> 00:22:47,720
our concern, and Dallas has been giving it up all

404
00:22:47,759 --> 00:22:52,000
season long. Dallas likes to play quick, just increases the

405
00:22:52,039 --> 00:22:54,519
amount of possessions here. Minnesota is not going to shy

406
00:22:54,599 --> 00:22:57,599
away against this team. So for me, it's gonna be

407
00:22:57,759 --> 00:23:01,240
and it already has been. Minnesota team total over one

408
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:03,000
twenty two and a half one of the couple of

409
00:23:03,039 --> 00:23:05,200
things I played today. But I don't see any way

410
00:23:05,279 --> 00:23:07,000
Dallas holds them under one twenty five.

411
00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:12,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I could see that Timberwolves offense that's been solid lately.

412
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:18,920
Let me just do another glance here at their numbers. Yeah,

413
00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:21,680
I mean they've been putting up like one twenty every game.

414
00:23:22,279 --> 00:23:23,759
What's thirteen total for tonight?

415
00:23:24,799 --> 00:23:26,400
Speaker 2: One twenty two and a half.

416
00:23:27,839 --> 00:23:32,880
Speaker 1: On twenty two and a half. Yeah, I mean I

417
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:34,640
could see them getting their maps have been giving it

418
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:37,319
up too. They've given that up in their last three games.

419
00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:40,319
It looks like right there, So I think that could

420
00:23:40,319 --> 00:23:42,000
be a solid way to play it there, you know,

421
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:47,720
all right, Bobby says, easiest pick of the year by

422
00:23:47,839 --> 00:23:50,440
far was how games Jazz Bulls over? That was a

423
00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:53,960
good one yesterday. I did have an easy one yesterday.

424
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:56,720
Nice to get those easy ones every now and then.

425
00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:01,880
Let's talk about those Bulls playing again. Today opened up

426
00:24:02,519 --> 00:24:05,000
with the Nuggets minus ten and a half. And if

427
00:24:05,039 --> 00:24:06,880
you saw we're watching the game last night, you know

428
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:10,799
this line was gonna skyrocket after the first overtime. Then

429
00:24:10,839 --> 00:24:14,119
again after the next overtime. You now see the Nuggets

430
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:17,440
minus fourteen and a half out there. Total has come

431
00:24:17,519 --> 00:24:21,680
down two forty four was the opener as low as

432
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,839
two thirty nine and a half. Let's take a look

433
00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:28,680
at injury report as of right now. Kobe White will

434
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,480
be out, you know, Zach Waller, I'm sorry, Zach Collins

435
00:24:31,519 --> 00:24:36,319
is doubtful. And then you have Trey Jones questionable for

436
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:40,839
this Nuggets team. Yo Kich is probable. Cam Johnson and

437
00:24:41,039 --> 00:24:46,400
Julian Strauter are questionable. Brawn looks like he's out. This

438
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:50,160
is a Nuggets team you know that has been you

439
00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:52,920
know a lot of times I say I don't like him. Defensively,

440
00:24:53,319 --> 00:24:57,880
they have been playing some pretty good defense. Don't want

441
00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:00,160
to forget to mention it first game home off road

442
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:03,799
trip for them, although they do have the rest advantage

443
00:25:03,839 --> 00:25:06,200
tonight obviously with you know, Bulls on the back to

444
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:10,599
back double overtime game. But yeah, Nuggets, I'm sorry. On

445
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,759
the season, wow, number three offensive rated and number three

446
00:25:13,799 --> 00:25:18,720
defensive rated last five games, still top five in both categories.

447
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:23,279
I mean, it's very very hard for me, robo to

448
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:26,000
think that the Bulls don't run out of gas here

449
00:25:27,039 --> 00:25:30,000
in this game. And the Bulls defense, I mean, it's

450
00:25:30,039 --> 00:25:33,000
also falling off a cliff. Maybe the Nuggets just name

451
00:25:33,039 --> 00:25:35,839
their number in this one. The only way I think

452
00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:38,400
the Bulls get over their team total tonight is if

453
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:43,400
the Nuggets are scoring one forty and just don't care anymore.

454
00:25:43,759 --> 00:25:46,680
Other than that, I don't. I don't see the Bulls

455
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:49,920
having enough gas in the tank. Who knows how many

456
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:56,000
people will be available tonight and in elevation. I like

457
00:25:56,079 --> 00:25:58,599
Bulls team total under That's what I bet at one thirteen.

458
00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:01,519
But at the same time, see the Nuggets putting up

459
00:26:01,559 --> 00:26:03,799
as much as they want, So I'm thinking like that

460
00:26:03,799 --> 00:26:07,240
the Nugget should cover Nugga's team thought all over, How

461
00:26:07,279 --> 00:26:08,519
are you feeling about this one? You know?

462
00:26:10,039 --> 00:26:12,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just said about five minutes ago that I

463
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:15,359
was gonna contradict myself where big numbers are concerned, And

464
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:18,480
this is where I do contradict. Don't like to lay it,

465
00:26:18,519 --> 00:26:20,319
but I laid it here. Ski. Not only is it

466
00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:22,759
back to back, but it's back to back still in altitude.

467
00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:25,599
You played double overtime in Utah and then go to

468
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:29,640
Denver and you got three starters that played over forty minutes. Obviously,

469
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:32,759
Kobe White's already out. He played thirty minutes last night,

470
00:26:33,279 --> 00:26:37,759
so he's out of this game. But a Koro Busovich

471
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:41,400
and Giddy all over forty minutes. I don't know how

472
00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:44,160
you hold up for four quarters against Denver. Like you say,

473
00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:48,519
their offense has been outstanding all season long. The defensive numbers,

474
00:26:48,519 --> 00:26:50,839
I guess are a little bit deceptive because it doesn't

475
00:26:50,839 --> 00:26:54,160
always look like they're playing really good defense. But to

476
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:58,559
be ranked three is pretty good. And I just don't

477
00:26:58,599 --> 00:27:01,480
know the Bulls hit on this last week. I think

478
00:27:02,839 --> 00:27:06,200
once or twice. You know, the erosion of the Bowl

479
00:27:06,319 --> 00:27:09,400
defense after Billy Donovan. They started the year so good.

480
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:12,559
He was chanting defense, physicality. It just hasn't held up,

481
00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:15,000
and I don't think it holds up here honestly, with

482
00:27:15,079 --> 00:27:17,240
the guys they're gonna put on the floor tonight. This

483
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:21,640
could be one of those just you know, lay down games.

484
00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:24,079
I'm not so sure. Sometimes those happen on the road

485
00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,240
with road teams that are in these on these trips

486
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,599
and in these types of situations. But Denver doesn't have

487
00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:34,799
a lot of problem beating people by fifteen when they

488
00:27:34,799 --> 00:27:37,359
have this kind of advantage. So I'm there. I laid

489
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:41,440
fourteen points with the Nuggets. I guess the only thing

490
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:44,799
you worry about is maybe, you know, late third quarter

491
00:27:44,839 --> 00:27:47,039
they unload the bench, but even still the bench will

492
00:27:47,039 --> 00:27:50,200
be fresher than the bulls. So give me Nuggets minus fourteen.

493
00:27:52,279 --> 00:27:54,599
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm with you on that. Bobby E says

494
00:27:54,599 --> 00:27:56,519
you got to should offer a combo package. Come on,

495
00:27:56,519 --> 00:27:58,279
why you talk, Let's do it. You know, if you

496
00:27:58,319 --> 00:28:00,000
reach out to the customer service, I'm pretty sure they'll

497
00:28:00,039 --> 00:28:02,160
put something together for you. But we'll also, you know,

498
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:03,799
we'll talk to him. We'll see what we can come

499
00:28:03,839 --> 00:28:08,480
back with in the near future. You know. All right,

500
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:10,200
I'll say I have another stet but I guess I'll

501
00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:14,599
save it for for best bets. You know, we do

502
00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:19,720
have a Monday night football game. I don't feel the

503
00:28:19,759 --> 00:28:24,079
strongest about this one, but I will say, yeah, it's

504
00:28:24,079 --> 00:28:26,559
supposed to. I mean, first of all, the opener fifty

505
00:28:26,599 --> 00:28:29,799
one came down to forty nine. Side hasn't really moved

506
00:28:29,799 --> 00:28:33,599
too much a three and a half. But you know,

507
00:28:33,839 --> 00:28:35,839
my bad for not having the name. But this is

508
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:39,799
the Cowboys first game after one of their players passed away, right,

509
00:28:41,319 --> 00:28:44,079
so probably a really emotional game for them. They probably

510
00:28:44,079 --> 00:28:50,359
played really, really hard, you know, for him. And you know,

511
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:54,759
these these emotional spots is it's hard to say quantify,

512
00:28:54,839 --> 00:28:58,759
I guess, but I do think it will be a

513
00:28:58,799 --> 00:29:00,759
thing so because of it that it is hard to

514
00:29:00,759 --> 00:29:07,799
play against the Cowboys. Here, the number looks funny, you know,

515
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:10,759
the Cowboys I pictured him putting up as many points

516
00:29:10,759 --> 00:29:14,119
as they want, especially versus Raiders defense. I'm just curious

517
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:17,240
how how well the defense will play. At the same time,

518
00:29:18,039 --> 00:29:19,839
we know Gino can give it right back to them.

519
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:25,759
He probably will the interception, and I'm thinking things like

520
00:29:25,839 --> 00:29:29,160
that can lead to more points in this game. I

521
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:34,319
think I'm in disagreement with the line coming down. I'm

522
00:29:34,359 --> 00:29:36,720
trying to get there with some kind of over. I

523
00:29:36,759 --> 00:29:39,720
know the Cowboys and these teams have been opposite. Cowboys

524
00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:41,440
so far in the first half, eight and one to

525
00:29:41,519 --> 00:29:45,240
the over, Raiders eight and one to the under. So

526
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:48,680
what side is gonna win that battle? We shall see,

527
00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:51,319
But I want to think points will be scored in

528
00:29:51,359 --> 00:29:53,720
this game. Anything from you on Cowboys.

529
00:29:53,359 --> 00:29:57,759
Speaker 2: Raiders, Yeah, I isolated its ski. I played Cowboys team

530
00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:00,839
total because they left it underneath the key number twenty seven.

531
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:02,680
I got twenty six and a half. I think twenty

532
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,319
six and a half is still available. A couple of

533
00:30:05,359 --> 00:30:08,720
reasons why I did, and the main one is that

534
00:30:09,559 --> 00:30:12,599
Dallas's pass protection, for what it's worth, has been really

535
00:30:12,599 --> 00:30:15,359
good this year, and the Raiders don't sack the quarterback

536
00:30:15,519 --> 00:30:18,240
Max Crosby or not. Their pass rush hasn't been there.

537
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:21,039
They're down the bottom of the league in sacks. And

538
00:30:21,039 --> 00:30:23,680
if you don't get to Dak with Pickens and cde

539
00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:27,119
Lamb and they're tight end Ferguson running around the field,

540
00:30:27,279 --> 00:30:30,720
it's gonna be difficult, so I thought Dallas would score theirs.

541
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,480
They did make some defensive acquisitions at the trade deadline.

542
00:30:34,519 --> 00:30:38,799
We'll see how much they help. And to the to

543
00:30:38,839 --> 00:30:41,599
the point of Marshaw and Neeland, I think if this

544
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:45,240
game was played the very next day, that you know,

545
00:30:45,319 --> 00:30:47,440
their minds might not be in it. But they've had

546
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:51,960
a lot of time eight days or so to you know,

547
00:30:52,319 --> 00:30:55,519
absorb everything that's going on, and like you say, maybe

548
00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:59,240
use it as a dedication game and come out fully focused.

549
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:02,200
So I can see that as well. Their last offensive

550
00:31:02,279 --> 00:31:05,240
game wasn't really a great one out of them, but

551
00:31:05,319 --> 00:31:08,359
they've scored twenty seven or more in most of their

552
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,680
games last five or six, So I'm there. I played

553
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:15,000
over twenty six and a half Cowboys team total. I

554
00:31:15,119 --> 00:31:17,000
just at this point in time, I don't trust the

555
00:31:17,079 --> 00:31:19,599
defense enough. We'll see how the new pieces fit in.

556
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:20,559
Maybe they get better.

557
00:31:23,400 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 1: Okay, team total could absolutely be a good way to

558
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:31,400
go there. Vegas Hike Life says Raiders only allowed six

559
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:35,200
yards per Why is everyone hating on their defense? First half?

560
00:31:35,359 --> 00:31:38,799
Unders on their games have been money they have they

561
00:31:38,839 --> 00:31:42,519
have we shall see, I mean because of how the

562
00:31:42,599 --> 00:31:44,480
Raiders have played the first half. I'm hesitant on the

563
00:31:44,519 --> 00:31:48,160
first half over because it's been almost automatic for the Cowboys.

564
00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:50,279
We know what they're gonna do. They're gonna score. The

565
00:31:50,319 --> 00:31:52,720
defense is not gonna do a whole lot of stopping anybody.

566
00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:57,680
So we'll see what side wins the battle in this one,

567
00:31:58,200 --> 00:31:59,720
all right, you know, I think we did a good

568
00:31:59,799 --> 00:32:03,640
enough job, talked about NBA, talked about Monday Night football,

569
00:32:04,319 --> 00:32:08,920
and I am actually unsure what we have going, So

570
00:32:09,079 --> 00:32:11,599
I think this one is still going. We'll talk about these,

571
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:16,319
we'll talk about this one. Actually, full core pass. I'm

572
00:32:16,319 --> 00:32:18,759
pretty sure that should still be going. You can get

573
00:32:18,759 --> 00:32:21,559
a three day all access college Basketball and NBA only

574
00:32:21,559 --> 00:32:25,319
forty nine dollars both Rob you know and myself. That

575
00:32:25,359 --> 00:32:28,000
will be available for us, and then I think they

576
00:32:28,039 --> 00:32:30,000
have the ten days of pitch plus and ten dollars

577
00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:32,759
per day. So if you like to be involved, it's

578
00:32:32,799 --> 00:32:35,480
a good way to check us out. Like somebody mentioned

579
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:38,279
in the chat earlier, if you are interested in you know,

580
00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:42,799
something for both Ravino and myself. I'm pretty sure customer

581
00:32:42,839 --> 00:32:46,119
service will we'll take care of you, but we'll ask

582
00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:48,720
and we'll see what we can come back with. All right,

583
00:32:48,839 --> 00:32:54,000
you no best bets, I'm gonna ask if there's anything

584
00:32:54,039 --> 00:32:56,759
you anything else you would like to promote, and then

585
00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:58,319
if you have a best bet for the show, we'd

586
00:32:58,319 --> 00:33:00,480
love to hear it. If you don't, so good, I

587
00:33:00,519 --> 00:33:01,559
got one cooking today.

588
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:07,519
Speaker 2: I think the only other special that's still live SKI

589
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:12,279
is the longer term one, the five hundred dollars off

590
00:33:12,319 --> 00:33:15,240
and in one hundred and twenty or some I forget.

591
00:33:15,359 --> 00:33:17,000
I don't want to say it because I forget, but

592
00:33:17,039 --> 00:33:19,920
there is a longer term special that's still active that

593
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:22,480
we've been posting. Ski's been posting here on the show.

594
00:33:22,559 --> 00:33:25,440
So three choices to choose from if you want to

595
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:31,079
get involved. Let's get to tonight's basketball top play. I think,

596
00:33:31,119 --> 00:33:34,599
in my mind is going to I got a decision

597
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:37,359
here between two. I want to make sure I kind

598
00:33:37,359 --> 00:33:39,359
of leave the right one for the for the chat.

599
00:33:39,799 --> 00:33:41,519
I played two games, guys, you know I'm both, but

600
00:33:41,519 --> 00:33:43,880
I'm going to leave you with Minnesota Timberwolves team total

601
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:45,640
over one twenty two and a half. Just don't see

602
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:48,079
anyway there's a bounce back out of Dallas with three

603
00:33:48,119 --> 00:33:51,880
centers out of this game. Rim protection is so I

604
00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:56,240
guess PJ Washington becomes your de facto type, you know,

605
00:33:56,480 --> 00:34:01,720
interior presence, which is matched by more than two Timberwolves here.

606
00:34:01,839 --> 00:34:05,160
So for me, they've been scoring a lot lately. I

607
00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:07,599
don't see any problem getting to one twenty five years.

608
00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:10,880
So it's gonna be Minnesota team total over one twenty

609
00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:12,679
two and a half is the best bet.

610
00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:17,400
Speaker 1: Good stuff from Vino and Uh for myself, I'll go

611
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:21,119
back to that Bulls game. We're gonna go with Bulls

612
00:34:21,119 --> 00:34:25,679
team total under one thirteen and we'll shot this out

613
00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:28,119
really quick. I mean, we all know what situation they're in,

614
00:34:28,719 --> 00:34:36,000
but double digit, double digit unrested road dog off a

615
00:34:36,079 --> 00:34:40,440
double overtime game. They have only cleared this. I mean

616
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:42,960
it's ten and two to under, but they've only the

617
00:34:43,039 --> 00:34:45,880
highest scoring team was one O six out of all

618
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:48,320
these games in the database, one O six. They're just

619
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:50,639
gonna run out of gas. This is a Denver team

620
00:34:50,679 --> 00:34:53,559
who's top five defensive rated team, last five games allowing

621
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:57,119
close to one O eight. I mean, Chicago after that

622
00:34:57,159 --> 00:35:00,719
double overtime traveling going into elevation, it's out a good spot.

623
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:02,440
They're going to run out of gas in this game,

624
00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:05,440
or at least that's what my money says, so Bulls

625
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:08,519
team total under one thirteen will be my best bet

626
00:35:08,559 --> 00:35:10,960
for the show. You know. Good to be back rocking

627
00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:15,920
with you on the show about eighty five ninety now,

628
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:17,639
so I'm feeling a hell of a lot better, in

629
00:35:17,679 --> 00:35:21,559
a better mood. Hopefully it can translate to you know,

630
00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:24,880
winning some of these tickets. So appreciate you taking it

631
00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:26,880
time to break the games down with this. Everybody in

632
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,880
the chat, we appreciate you as well. Good people, good

633
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:32,320
cappers and uh, like I always say, we're all just

634
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:34,599
trying to help each other win. So we'll be back

635
00:35:34,639 --> 00:35:38,119
again tomorrow. Until then, best of look everybody on all

636
00:35:38,159 --> 00:35:38,559
your action

