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Speaker 3: seen the talk station.
Speaker 2: It is a thirty to fifty five KCD talks day
Speaker 2: Tuesdays at this time, I mean it is time for
Speaker 2: the Daniel Davis Deep Dive. Retired retired Lieutenant Colonel Daniel
Speaker 2: Davis providing thoughtful and insightful analysis about well feel the
Speaker 2: battlefields and the various battlefields we discussed every week, and
Speaker 2: today we're back to Russia, Ukraine, we'll talk a little
Speaker 2: Belarus as well as Georgia. Daniel Davis, Always a pleasure
Speaker 2: to have you on my program, my friend, Good to
Speaker 2: see you again.
Speaker 1: Always a pleasure to be here, Brian. So we have
Speaker 1: saboteurs in Russia.
Speaker 4: We've we've had saboteurs really all over the place. There's
Speaker 4: been a lot of this stuff going on for quite
Speaker 4: some time in Russia. There's a growing amount of saboteurs
Speaker 4: in Europe as well. They're starting to real concerned about that. Honestly,
Speaker 4: it's it's it's warfare, and it takes all the different places,
Speaker 4: from the front lines of the battle, to the diplomatic
Speaker 4: calls and to the the economic in the in the
Speaker 4: various places where war material are made.
Speaker 1: So this is certainly no surprise, and it's just another
Speaker 1: ugly part of war.
Speaker 2: It is, and I try to start off normally on
Speaker 2: more in eligent basis. The springboard to enter into our conversations.
Speaker 2: But I just was observing during this whole discussion we've
Speaker 2: had weeks and now years, I guess about the Russia
Speaker 2: Ukraine situation. Russia typically is presented as or at least
Speaker 2: appears to have sort of a unified front. It's people
Speaker 2: are all behind Vladimir Putin. Everybody's on his side. You know,
Speaker 2: they've got the troops, they've got the the the armaments,
Speaker 2: and they're making inroads in the Ukraine. Ukraine's divide to
Speaker 2: Ukraine's filled with a bunch of Russians. You don't want
Speaker 2: to be a part of Ukraine. All they're trying to
Speaker 2: do is liberate. I mean, yeah, it's the fog of war.
Speaker 2: We talk about it a lot, but didn't realize that
Speaker 2: Putin himself was having problems domestically, which I can't say
Speaker 2: that I'm disappointed about. I'm no fan of Vladimir Putin,
Speaker 2: even I know he's probably gonna end up winning this
Speaker 2: war with Ukraine.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, he is going to end up winning it.
Speaker 4: I mean, the fundamentals are really irreversible. They're so far
Speaker 4: in Russia's favor, and the biggest issue is manpower. Ukraine
Speaker 4: is suffering by Ukrainian reports, reports up to one hundred
Speaker 4: thousand desertions. When that number is just skyrocketing.
Speaker 1: You just can't. I fought like that didn't have any
Speaker 1: chance to win.
Speaker 4: But I'd be careful a little bit about some of
Speaker 4: these reports coming out of Rush about dissent or whatnot,
Speaker 4: because it's comparatively small. We'll see if it develops into anything,
Speaker 4: but I honestly think it's going to be too little,
Speaker 4: too late, and it's unclear just how widespread it actually is.
Speaker 2: Well it seems, and I'm not sure if the election
Speaker 2: of Donald Trump had an impact on this, but I
Speaker 2: hear Zelonsky now talking about maybe some sort of negotiating
Speaker 2: a peace deal. I see that maybe there was a
Speaker 2: seasfire negotiating between Israel and Lebanon. I mean, is Trump
Speaker 2: gonna be? Is Trump consequential in these seemingly like baby
Speaker 2: steps toward can I don't know if I dare use
Speaker 2: the word peace in this conversation, but some sort of
Speaker 2: settlement agreements or some resolution of these conflicts.
Speaker 4: Without question, there was a major major impact on the
Speaker 4: Russia Ukraine war, far more than anything in Israel. They'll
Speaker 4: all talk about that separately. The issue with the Ukraine
Speaker 4: side is that buzz Valinski Vlodimer Zelensky is doing everything
Speaker 4: he can to try to avoid the Trump effect. I mean,
Speaker 4: he still wants weapons, he still wants all these things.
Speaker 4: He's trying to get people still, even in this eleventh hour,
Speaker 4: to try to give him more weapons and more ammunition
Speaker 4: so he can have a better negotiating position. But then
Speaker 4: when in this sky News interview you're talking about here
Speaker 4: a few days back, when you listen to him, he
Speaker 4: still doesn't want to give up anything. He still says, well,
Speaker 4: it's illegal for me to give up any territory for peace,
Speaker 4: but we're going to have to for you know, to
Speaker 4: get the hot phase over.
Speaker 1: But then we'll get it back.
Speaker 4: Later as long as we have NATO. That's the reason
Speaker 4: why Russia went to war in the first place. So
Speaker 4: that's a complete non starter. So look, Trump is coming
Speaker 4: in and he has unequivocally said he's going to end
Speaker 4: the fighting.
Speaker 1: He's not going to keep supporting it.
Speaker 4: So I think that Zelensky should probably recognize what's happening
Speaker 4: and move into a direction that makes some sense, because
Speaker 4: the one he's going is not going to work.
Speaker 2: Well, and let's go back to the point you made
Speaker 2: early on and I read the same information. The desertion
Speaker 2: level in the Ukrainian forces is really high. And you
Speaker 2: can have all the weapons in the world laying around,
Speaker 2: but if you have somebody to use them, it's not
Speaker 2: going to do you witsworth a good. It's become some
Speaker 2: big ammo dump that the com putin's going to come
Speaker 2: in and take advantage of himself when he runs over
Speaker 2: the territory.
Speaker 4: Well, and you know when there was another really peculiar
Speaker 4: thing he said in the interviewed. So remember in the
Speaker 4: context here back in May, we finally passed that sixty
Speaker 4: one billion dollar deal that everybody at the time said
Speaker 4: was decisive and was going to make a difference or whatever.
Speaker 1: We didn't see it make any difference at all.
Speaker 4: But now then that Biden is trying to get those
Speaker 4: last i think eight billion dollars out the door before
Speaker 4: January twentieth, you know, to just surge the zone. As
Speaker 4: Jake Sullivan said in an interview, you had Zelensky saying,
Speaker 4: we have ten brigades and we've been trying for a
Speaker 4: year to get them outfitted, and we've only got two
Speaker 4: and a half. So then the question is where did
Speaker 4: all that money go and what did it Bob, Because
Speaker 4: you're telling me you have seven and a half brigades
Speaker 4: with no equipment, and you don't have enough people, and
Speaker 4: they're deserting, et cetera.
Speaker 1: Everywhere you look. This thing has just fallen apart.
Speaker 2: Well, I think most of my listening audiences aware that
Speaker 2: Ukraine and not exactly the most upright country in terms of,
Speaker 2: you know, lack of corruption.
Speaker 1: It has been a long time problem with corruption.
Speaker 2: Goes back to you know, Biden withholding a billion dollars
Speaker 2: of aid because well they had a little problem there
Speaker 2: with the prosecutors in Barisima holdings interesting connection there. So
Speaker 2: it doesn't shock me that maybe some of the resources
Speaker 2: we've sent to that country have gone missing. We can't
Speaker 2: even do our own accounting of our own American military
Speaker 2: here with our own resources dead. Well, there's true, yeah,
Speaker 2: we can't. Even the Pentagon has never passed to an audience.
Speaker 2: So I don't know why we think Ukraine's going to
Speaker 2: be able to but you see on the battlefield that
Speaker 2: it has an impact.
Speaker 1: Yes it does.
Speaker 2: And unless say, we haven't talked about the situation in Israel,
Speaker 2: for a while, so let's get your an update on
Speaker 2: your current position relatives. I know it looks like Lebanon
Speaker 2: might be settling down a little bit, and there's always
Speaker 2: breaches of the ceasefire agreements, but where are we vise
Speaker 2: of the Lebanon Israel and I guess guys as well.
Speaker 4: Yeah, there's a couple of different factors in some positive,
Speaker 4: some not so positive.
Speaker 1: For Israel.
Speaker 4: You got to admit and can see that the militarily
Speaker 4: they have been really devastating to the entire Hezbola organization
Speaker 4: from the top all the way down to that pager
Speaker 4: and walkie talkie attack. The decapitation of all the leadership
Speaker 4: and then the physical incursion there has had an absolute
Speaker 4: devastating effect on Hisbola and that was one of the
Speaker 4: reasons why.
Speaker 1: They agreed to the ceasefire.
Speaker 4: Israel agreed to the ceas far because they were having
Speaker 4: real problems with casualties and their reserve forces have been
Speaker 4: on duty so long. I think we're into the fourteenth now,
Speaker 4: heading toward the fifteenth month of overall conflict and they
Speaker 4: need a breather as well. But then you also see
Speaker 4: that Iran had been promising after the last year Israeli
Speaker 4: attacked that they would retaliate and responding kind. But now
Speaker 4: then they were the first ones to get behind the
Speaker 4: ceasefire against Hezbola, so they're also licking their wounds. So
Speaker 4: Bosstom line is it's kind of put a lull on
Speaker 4: things and give people a chance to breathe. But the
Speaker 4: problem is none of the underlying conditions that led to
Speaker 4: war in the first place or even being addressed. And
Speaker 4: you have this whole problem still raging in Gaza. So
Speaker 4: you know, we're not out of the woods yet, but
Speaker 4: there is at least a breather on a couple of fronts.
Speaker 4: And before we part company, Daniel Davis and I always
Speaker 4: enjoy these conversations. I would jump over back to Russia.
Speaker 4: I've read reports that there haven't been a problem with
Speaker 4: their currency. The ruble is not doing real well. And
Speaker 4: if the backbone of your system of government, obviously the
Speaker 4: ruble is collapsing, that causes you real long term problems
Speaker 4: and even short term problems. Is there any truth or
Speaker 4: connection with what's going on in terms of the the
Speaker 4: war situation, the relationship with the Iranians or anybody else
Speaker 4: over there that the ruble is causing or impacting.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it has spiked of late.
Speaker 4: It also spiked in the first part of the war,
Speaker 4: like really really high, and of course that's when everybody
Speaker 4: first thought the sanctions we're going to have their crippling effect.
Speaker 1: And then their you know, their.
Speaker 4: Institutions, their financial institutions took action at the government level
Speaker 4: and brought it back.
Speaker 1: Down to a stable area. Now it's seeing another spiked.
Speaker 4: It's a little bit surprising in that it's coming, you know,
Speaker 4: a month or so after month and a half now
Speaker 4: after the Bricks meeting, which was to solidify their economic
Speaker 4: base or so it's it's still a little early to
Speaker 4: see if this is a blip or if it's going
Speaker 4: to be an indication of something more serious, because if
Speaker 4: it keeps going in that direction, it will cause ripple
Speaker 4: effects across their entire economy. But of course they're going
Speaker 4: to do whatever they can to try and get that
Speaker 4: back under control. We'll have to wait and see whether
Speaker 4: they succeed or whether this is just an indicator of
Speaker 4: more trouble to come.
Speaker 2: Well, our popcorn will stay out meantime. I'll look forward
Speaker 2: to another discussion next Tuesday. Deep Dive with Daniel Davis.
Speaker 2: Find him online Dan to Day with deep dive search
Speaker 2: for the podcast. You're gonna love what he has to say.
Speaker 2: I always enjoy our conversations, my friend, and already looking
Speaker 2: forward to another one next week. You have a great week,
Speaker 2: say thirty nine. If you have krc DE talk station,
Speaker 2: we're gonna talk blood cancer. We're gonna talk a blood
Speaker 2: cancer coming up with the OHC folks and got some
Speaker 2: really really of course, it's always positive information coming from
Speaker 2: OHC about treatments, so excuse me. My next guest, doctor
Speaker 2: Akash mccarjee will be speaking about that, giving us some
Speaker 2: details on how the new treatments are going to be
Speaker 2: working for solid tumors. Got car tea you talk about.
Speaker 2: We got byte therapy as well. Don't go away, that's
Speaker 2: up next.
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