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Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Texas Tribune trip cast for Tuesday,

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August twelfth. I am Matthew Watkins, editor in chief of

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the Tribune, and I am joined by, as usual, our

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law and politics reporter Eleanor Clebanoff. Hello, Eleanor, Hello Matthew.

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Speaker 2: How are you.

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Speaker 1: I'm doing well. We were just talking about how you've

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been doing the yeomen's work of googling synonyms for unprecedented Yes.

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Speaker 2: Very March twenty twenty vibes, but more on the Texas

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legal politics side.

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Speaker 1: I feel like this is just I feel like the

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common debate among reporters right now is like, what's another

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word for flea? Flee the state. I feel like people

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are really you know, going DeCamp, you know, absconde, Yeah,

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really stretching the limits of our our language here to find.

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Speaker 2: We've gotten some negative feedback on flea people who are

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sort of supportive of the Democrats and feel like flea implies,

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you know, uh, doing so without perhaps without cause or

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without you know, sort of more of a cowardly move,

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which I think we've certainly heard Republicans sort of framing

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it that way. I kind of think flee is, you know,

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you can flee in defense of democracy.

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Speaker 1: Right, you can flee, you know, a nuclear bomb.

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Speaker 2: Exactly, say that people who flee nuclear bombs are towers.

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Speaker 1: I don't think there's a value judgment here.

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Speaker 3: That's what we say.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so yeah, we uh abscond on the lamb.

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Speaker 3: That one feels more criminal. Yeah yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 1: So we're struggling eleanor dot clipping off at texts Tribune

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dot org. If anyone has any language recommendations for us.

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Speaker 3: My email has been you don't need me.

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Speaker 1: I apologize.

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Speaker 2: I will say one thing, and I will I want

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to publicly may a cool book for this. I made

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a an error in a story today and people emailed

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me so aggressively. But to be fair, it was warranted.

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I engaged in bill clements erasure. I misstated what year

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Texas elected its first Republican governor. People emailed me, so

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I rate on behalf of bill clements, and that's fair.

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Speaker 3: I did get it.

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Speaker 2: I was an air I introduced an error in there,

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and uh, it's amazing how intense people were about that.

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Speaker 1: They always say, you know, you don't mess with the

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bill clements hive. That's exactly. Yeah, the rule number one

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of Texas journalism. Yeah, exactly, exactly, exactly right. All right, Well,

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this week, if you haven't picked up up and picked

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up on it already, we are going to continue talking

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about the quorum break and we're going to take a

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little visit to law school, which I think is probably

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exciting to you. Yeah, you know, catching people up. I'm

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sure most people listening to the show already know. But

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Texas Democrats in the Texas House remain outside of the

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state they're fleeing. Has continued, if you will, but the

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fight has shifted maybe a little bit more to the courtroom.

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State leaders since we last spoke, including Greg Abbott and

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Ken Paxson. We'll get into that in a little bit,

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have filed lawsuits seeking to remove thirteen Democrats in the

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Texas House, including House Democratic Leader Jean wu from office,

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basically claiming that they have abandoned their duties as elected officials.

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It is an unprecedented step in which the Texas Supreme

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Court will likely ultimately decide the fate of those lawmakers

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in the coming days or maybe weeks. Joining us to

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help us understand this is David Frumkin, a law professor

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at the University of Houston who studies, administrative law, election law,

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and democratic and constitutional theory, which sounds like a pretty

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good CV for the conversation. We're about to have the

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guy we needed exactly. So David, thank you for joining us.

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Speaker 4: Great to be with you.

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Speaker 1: All Right, So I'm going to start with you, Eleanor,

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and I'm going to ask you to explain what these

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legal filings are before we go to David, to help

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us understand whether there's anything to these legal filings. So

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just sum up with for us as quickly as you

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can what legal actions Abbot and Paxton have taken against

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these Democrats.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and I will say this is like one of

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the best parts definitively of being a journalist is that,

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like you can wake up on a Monday a week

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ago and have never heard the phrase quote warrntoe in

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your life, and by the end of the week, I'm

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sitting here being like everybody knows, like to file an

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information on a quote warrant to proceeding, you got to

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follow these different steps thanks to legal experts like Professor

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Frumpkin who educate us all on the fly.

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Speaker 3: But that's basically what this is.

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Speaker 2: They have asked first Abbot, first Governor abbot On has

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asked the Texasupreme Court to remove House Democratic Caucus Chair

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Gene Wu through this quot warrn toe preceding Attorney General

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packs and followed up with his own suit on seeking

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to remove thirteen members through the same mechanism, one Wu

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and twelve others.

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Speaker 3: And uh, yeah, that's it's.

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Speaker 2: An unprecedented filing to be used for a quorum break.

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It is basically if a public official. It can also

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be using corporate settings, but putting that aside for a second,

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if a public official has vacated their office or abandoned

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their office, it is how you get them.

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Speaker 3: Formally removed from office.

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Speaker 2: There are there's like rare precedent and how this has

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been used in you know these sort of in general,

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like how do you get somebody out of office?

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Speaker 3: It has never been used, you know, quorm break setting.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So David, I want to ask you first with

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a very simple question. I mean, is there anything laid

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out in the Constitution or elsewhere that sets sort of

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defined what kind of abandoning office? Abandoning your office means?

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Is that like what do we have to go with

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to evaluate whether these Democrats have actually abandoned their office.

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Speaker 4: The Constitution says that when a vacancy occurs in a

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legislative position, then it is the job of the governor

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to call a special election to fill that vacancy. It

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doesn't provide an exhaustive list of the conditions under which

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a vacancy would occur, and the legal theory underlying these

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actions is that a court is entitled to identify a

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vacancy under this kind of circumstance.

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Speaker 1: This circumstance being essentially leaving the state in an effort

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to make it impossible for the Texas House to do

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its job to function. Essentially, I mean this is a.

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Speaker 3: Thing, though.

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Speaker 2: I mean Texas lawmakers have been breaking quorum as we

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call it since like the eighteen seventies. Our founding fathers

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for reasons that we don't know, but our founding fathers

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set our quorum very high. They gave us a two

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thirds quorum. We're one of only four states that has

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a two thirds quorum.

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Speaker 3: It is notable.

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Speaker 2: Those are the only states that really have ever had

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quorum breaks. Most states fifty percent, fine, whatever, here two thirds.

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The legal experts or the historians I've talked to you

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feel like this reflects early Texas's wanting to make government difficult,

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small and difficult to enact.

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Speaker 3: We don't know that for sure, though.

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Speaker 1: Okay, okay, so I mean, David, help us analyze these

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legal arguments that have What do you think about the

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case that Abbott and Paxton are making about you know

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that what they have done actually constitutes, you know, abandonment

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of office.

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Speaker 4: I think the case offered by both the governor and

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the Attorney General is very weak. They really haven't pointed

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to any precedent that supports their position. In fact, the

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precedents they cite tend to support or the alternative view

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that these legislators have not abandoned their positions because they

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intend to hold and exercise their positions. They're doing what

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they're doing in order to advance their legislative goals. The

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precedents that both the governor and the Attorney General cited

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suggests that a court could identify an instance of abandonment

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when a legislative office holder is no longer trying to

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exercise their office. Say they've gone off on a cruise

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for a year and they're not even engaged in legislative business.

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That's a far cry from the kind of situation we're

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looking at here.

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Speaker 1: So I mean, basically, what you're saying, what I think

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the Democrats are maybe arguing in as well, is that

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leaving the state to break quorum is not an abandonment office.

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It's actually using it's a constitutionally created function tool lever

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that they have to execute kind of their political or

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legislative goals.

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Speaker 3: That's certainly what the Democrats are saying.

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Speaker 2: I mean, they're saying, like, the constituents we represent in

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our blue districts do not want these new maps. We

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have no way to in like sort of represent them

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and block these maps by staying here. So to best

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represent them, we must leave the state and stop the

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maps from being passed.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 2: And we might get into this, but the Texas Supreme

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Court ruled in twenty twenty one that the Texas Constitution

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enables quorum breaking, that was their term. It also though,

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enables quorum forcing, which is like and they say that

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is something the chambers can do. They can set finds,

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they can set censure, they can even vote to expel

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a member over breaking quorum. You would need quorum and

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a two thirds vote to expel a member, So you know,

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that's a tricky thing for them to sort of get

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around now that this basically essentially more or less the

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same Supreme Court said the constitution enables quorum breaking.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so you what you are citing here is a

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an opinion by Justice Jimmy Blacklock, who now Chief Justice,

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who is now Chief Justice. Exactly. This is dating back

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to twenty twenty one, right when lawmakers fled the state

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to stop a voting a bill that would impose new

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voting restrictions. The House issued warrants to bring them back

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to the capitol, which is, you know, as you mentioned,

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allowed in the constitution, and Blacklock wrote, I'm going to

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just read the quote here. While it it being the Constitution,

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I believe does enable quorum breaking by a minority faction.

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It also enables the remaining members to compel the attendance

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of absent members. The two thirds quorum rule protects against

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legislative action by a smaller fraction of the body. And so.

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Speaker 3: There we go.

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Speaker 1: It's done. Right. They're going to reject this is that

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the well Governor.

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Speaker 2: Abbott has argued in his filing, And David, I'm curious

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your thoughts on this argument, because I found it sort

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of a compelling framing to say, well, the highway enables

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you to drive one hundred and twenty miles per hour.

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If you keep doing that, eventually we're going to take

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away your license.

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Speaker 3: I mean, what do you sort.

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Speaker 2: Of make of that argument that enabled is not doing

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that much as much work as people think it is

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in that ruling.

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Speaker 4: I think the important thing to understand here is that

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there would be a very fundamental separation of powers problem

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with a judicial officer coming in and trying to impose

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rules on the House. The Constitution assigns to the House

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the power to make its own rules of procedure. That

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implies that there are pretty strong limits on the ability

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of either the executive or the judiciary to come in

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and try to supersede those choices by the House. In fact,

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the Texas Constitution has a stronger separation of powers than

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the Federal Constitution has a separation of powers clause that

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makes explicit that where the Texas Constitution assigns to one

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branch of government of power, it prohibits the other branches

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from intruding on the exercise that power. And that's exactly

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what the governor and the Attorney General in my view

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are asking a court to do here.

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Speaker 1: Well, that's interesting because we've seen this come up recently

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in other cases. Right, the Ken Paxton remains very upset

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with some members of the Court of Criminal Appeals, right

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because they banned they prevented him from prosecuting voter fraud cases.

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If I'm not mistaken, claiming that same separation of powers. Essentially,

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you know, the AG's office is part of the executive brand.

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Speaker 2: They can't I mean, well, and in that case they

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have to be invited in by the district attorney. That's

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like not a power given to them exactly, right, which

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we should say in that case. You know, Attorney General

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Ken Paxton was very upset with that ruling. He worked

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to unseat three incumbents on that court. Two more have

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said that they are not going to run for reelection,

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and there's already been some rhetoric around, you know, I

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mean from one person particular, Michael Quinn Sullivan has said,

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like the eyes of Texas Republican primary voters are on

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the Texasupreme Court with this case. Now, like all they

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have to do is look at what happened with the

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Court of Criminal Appeals. Like there is a lot of

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pressure on the Supreme Court right now, I would say,

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like frankly, like, I think Governor Abbott and Attorney General

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Paksna put them in a bit of a buying tier.

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Speaker 1: Right, right, Because the other difference between you know, the

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federal Constitution, the federal courts, and the state courts is

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that the state courts are elected, right, And so you know,

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in this state we have nine Republican members who face,

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you know, the most important election that they will be

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involved when will be in primaries including if I'm not mistaken,

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eleanor three next year. Right. I think there are a

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lot of people watching this. You know, Jimmy Blacklock again

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you mentioned the Chief Justice, he wrote that opinion. He

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was also appointed by Governor Abbot, as were many other

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members of the Supreme Court. I think there is a

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question of, you know, is there going to be intense

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pressure electoral or otherwise? Two go along with what Abbot

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and Paston are going for. David, I wonder what you

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think about that fear by many conservatives. I mean, do

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you think that's a reasonable concern that some Democrats have?

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Speaker 4: Well, I guess I can't really answer that question as

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a legal expert. I mean, I will say that, I

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think there are some strong arguments for having a popularly

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accountable judiciary. It's a good thing that ultimately public officials

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are accountable to the people. And at the end of

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the day, the question is going to be what will

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the people put up with in their public officials?

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Speaker 2: I mean, and where we stand now, the Texas Supreme

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Court has issued this extended deadline. So Governor Abbott asked so,

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and just for context here right, Governor Abbott a former

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member of the Texas Supreme Court, a former attorney general.

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He has appointed six of these nine justices, many of

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whom have gone, all of whom now have gone, you know,

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many of whom have gone on to win reelection on

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their own. Two of them are his former general counsels,

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including Chief Justice Blacklock. He, some legal experts said, somewhat presumptively,

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asked the Supreme Court to rule on this what he

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called a constitutional crisis case in forty eight hours. They

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did not take him up on that, and just last

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night they issued this briefing schedule that will put us

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basically past Labor Day before we get a decision on this,

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which buying themselves some time.

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Speaker 1: It seems like, yeah, what do you make of that, David,

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I mean, I think what that does is it it

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brings us to a situation where we're probably going to

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go past the special session period before we get a

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ruling on this. I mean, obviously Abbott can and will

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call another special session if this one ends, and in fact,

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I think Dan Patrick came out today and said that

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he might, and the session arose.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they said that they would adjourn Friday if they

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don't have quorum and immediately call immediately start the thirty.

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Speaker 1: Day clock over exactly. But is there anything to read

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into this kind of rejection of Abbott's request to rule

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very quickly on this and hear briefings and you know,

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kind of let this play out.

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Speaker 4: I don't think it was at all surprising, particularly in

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a situation where the Attorney General was suggesting that there

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was a standing problem with the governor's filing. So there

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are a lot of procedural issues, complicated procedural issues that

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the Court will want to look into before it rules

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on this question. The standing issue is not the only one.

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There's actually a very fundamental jurisdictional issue here. The jurisdictional

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provision that both the governor and the Attorney General have

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suggested as the basis for the Supreme Court's ability to

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rule on this question arguably does not extend to making

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a determination about a legislative vacancy. In the language of

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that jurisdictional statute says that they can rule on this

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kind of of action with respect to an officer of

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state government, But the Supreme Court has previously interpreted that

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language to refer to a narrower class of officials that

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doesn't include legislators.

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Speaker 1: And David, is what you're talking about here, this idea

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that it seems as though the rules for how you

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go about getting this removal is you go to a

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district court first, presumably one that is within the jurisdiction.

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I also believe it doesn't allow for it doesn't explicitly

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allow for the governor to make this filing. Is that

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sort of what you're talking about here.

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Speaker 4: So there are two separate issues there, one about the

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standing of the governor specifically. But you're absolutely right, and

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I think the proper jurisdictional course would have been to

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go to a district court first rather than trying to

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have an expedite at proceeding before the Supreme Court.

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Speaker 2: I mean this has been messy, right, I mean you

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sort of mentioned this right with Attorney General Paxton has

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raised standing issues about Governor Abbe being able to bring this.

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I think there's been sort of a degree of in

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fighting in the courts that creates a lot of this

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uncertainty and sort of crass. I think an opening for

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the courts to say, like we need a minute.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, let's let's actually step back and just walk through

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that process. Because I think it's, like you said, it's

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MESSI it's also kind of fascinating and interesting. There's a

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lot of dynamics here. So on August third, Democrats leave

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the state. Greg Abbott, I think that same day essentially

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threatens to remove them, saying that you know, we will

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take action to this. I think you know, I will

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speak for myself here. When I read that, I read

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that as not necessarily meaning that he would file it,

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but that you know, someone in Texas would file it.

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But regardless that that's what happens. A day later, the

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House issues arrest warrants for the members, you know, just

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quickly right standard fair. It means you can arrest them

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and essentially bring them back to the House. It doesn't

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mean you're like state line going to charge them, yeah

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and yeah, and you can only arrest people within state lines.

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And then Paxton on August fifth, announces that he'll seek

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orders to remove Democrats from their seats if they don't

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return by that Friday. Hours later, Governor Abbott files to

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specifically remove Gene Wu, the House Democratic Leader, which then

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leads maybe like an hour later for Paxton to write

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a letter to the Supreme Court essentially saying, you know,

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Governor Abbott means well, here, but you know, we all

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know he can't actually do this. Where it kind of

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looks like these two you know, high profile statewide elected

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officials are sort of fighting each other over who gets

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the right to throw out these Democrats. Meanwhile, our you know,

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senior state Senator John Cornyan, who faces a primary challenge

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from Attorney General Kin Paxton, is essentially just lobbing grenades

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from Washington d C at Ken Paxton essentially saying, you know,

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he's not doing enough. He's on a European vacation, like

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Greg Abbott is having to step in and do the

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work for the Attorney g General without him, And so

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it's this fascinating and maybe I will say hilarious, you know,

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kind of like fight within the political fight over who

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can do this and what kind of I guess political

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benefit they can get from being able to do it right.

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Speaker 2: And Paxton originally said, which I think legal experts sort

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of agree with. He said, like, we would have to

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file each of the He was like, this is going

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to be a challenge. We're gonna have to file in

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everyone's individual jurisdiction. You know, this would have to be

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you know, we're going to be in blue counties, DA, DA, DA.

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And now he came in, like you said, after these

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you know, bombs are being thrown at him and files

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in the Supreme Court and says like, oh no, no, no, no,

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I can file in the Supreme Court directly. Actually, Governor Abbot,

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we should say, is arguing he can. The one part

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of state statute says a quote warrant o proceeding can

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only be brought by the county or district attorney or

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the Attorney General and district court. Governor Abbott says, I'm

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citing a different part of state statute. Now, you know,

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Atturne General Paxton is saying, I'm citing that part of statute.

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But I think we can go directly to the Texas

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Supreme Court. So you can sort of understand the Texasupreme

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Court saying like we're gonna need a minute on all

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of this to your point, David, just like the standing

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and the jurisdictional issues and the even before we get

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to the unprecedented question of is this vacating an office,

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Like they've created a little bit of a and they

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have now consolidated those cases together and have basically said

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and this morning, Attorney or late last night, Attorney General

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Ken Paxon said he looks forward to fighting alongside Governor

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Abbott on this.

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Speaker 3: So we're all friends again. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: So I guess, David, what can you tell us about

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like how what we should expect and how we should

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watch this in the coming days, weeks and months. I mean,

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how does this do we know? Is there enough President

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President to know how this plays out in the coming weeks.

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Speaker 4: Well, as I've said, I think there's absolutely no precedent

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supporting the position of the plaintiffs here. I think it

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would be really shocking if the Supreme Court were to

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find any merit in these claims that in my view

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seemed to be completely without merit, even after you address

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the procedural problems. As you said a few minutes ago,

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the Supreme Court said just four years ago that legislators

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are entitled to engage in quorum breaking. It would be

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pretty shocking for them to execute a complete about face

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just four years later and to say, not only is

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that something they're not permitted to do, it is something

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that means they have forfeited their offices. I mean, that

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seems so radical and surprising in view of the precedents

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and the very clear separation of powers issues here.

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Speaker 1: Let me just play like a little bit of like

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try to take the other side of this argument right now.

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I mean, you know, I think we should eventually at

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some point talk about kind of the democratic issues of

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democracy in all of this. But it is not the

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most democratic thing for a small minority of you know,

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the clear minority of a of a legislative body to

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be able to halt, not to be able to halt

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the entire work and functioning of the legislature in order

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to stop you know, one particular bill that they don't like.

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Right you know, theoretically, these lawmakers could just make the

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decision to never come back, and then we just don't

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have a legislature anymore, Like I mean, should should there

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not be some kind of mechanism within the law to allow,

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you know, a constitutionally created branch of government to function,

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you know, despite you know, and overcome a minority faction

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of that, you know, trying to prevent them from functioning period.

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Speaker 2: Right, I mean that's Governor Abbott's argument, And like, I mean,

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you can say some of this is sort of a

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little bit of sort of taking this to it's worst extreme.

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But he's saying, like we could bankrupt the state, Like

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they could just stay away, they could never pass a budget,

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they could never return they have to return to probably

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run for their seats again.

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Speaker 3: But like, yeah, you can do that over zoom.

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Speaker 2: These days, Like we could just shut down the Texas

436
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Texas forever.

437
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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I do think and frankly, I think a lot of this,

439
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and I've heard this from some Republican lawmakers is the

440
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fact that they also broke korum in twenty twenty one.

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There's this sense that this is now like a tool

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that's going to be used more frequently against anything they

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don't like. Of course, Democrats would say, like this is

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such a you know, once in a lifetime thing I

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would say that, like the remedy for that, the typical

446
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remedy for that right is like you can't just go

447
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to the courts and say, like we think this is

448
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insane that you can do this is like change the law.

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Speaker 3: Right. The House has done some of that, They've created

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increased House rules, But how can you change the law.

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It's a constitutional amendment. You need a two thirds vote.

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Speaker 2: I mean, this is the like I just talked yesterday

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to represent Cody Vasuit, who's chairing the redistricting committee. He

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since twenty twenty one has filed several bills to reduce

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quorum to fifty percent, like almost every other state. The

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problem is it's a constitutional amendment. You need a two

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thirds majority to get that done.

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Speaker 3: So they are in a little bit of a bind here.

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Speaker 2: I will say that part of this is that if

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they do get those vacancies declared quorum reduces, I bet

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there just would go ahead and while while they've got

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this reduced quorum, pass a bill that says quorums fifty percent.

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So like there's a lot that could suddenly happen if

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they were to take that sort of extraordinary step.

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Speaker 1: David, what do you think about that? That question.

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Speaker 4: It's it's a really great question, and it really goes

467
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to the merits of the constitutional rule. As you observed earlier,

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it's usual rule by the standards of state constitutions, setting

469
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a two thirds quorum requirement for the House, and arguably

470
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not a great rule, although the history suggests that it

471
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did tend to promote more collegiality and cooperation in the

472
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Texas legislature than in many state legislatures. But I do

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agree with the observation that majority rule is a very

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central principle of democracy, and we should ask questions about

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rules that empower a minority to obstruct majority rule. But

476
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there's a process for reforming those institutions. And in a

477
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:36,839
society with the rule of law, you need to follow

478
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:39,799
the rules to change the rules. When you don't do that,

479
00:26:41,039 --> 00:26:44,880
you are really not complying with the rule of law,

480
00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:46,839
and that's really disturbing.

481
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 1: Okay, own our game out for me. What happens if

482
00:26:50,319 --> 00:26:55,200
these thirteen members are tossed from office?

483
00:26:56,839 --> 00:26:57,839
Speaker 3: What next?

484
00:26:58,200 --> 00:26:59,799
Speaker 2: Well, I get to use a pre rite that I

485
00:27:00,759 --> 00:27:03,759
that's currently burning a hole in my pocket. I mean,

486
00:27:03,799 --> 00:27:07,519
I think if those thirteen are removed, you know, it

487
00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:10,640
technically opens the door for any Democrat who does not

488
00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:15,559
return to be removed. It effectively ends quorum breaking as

489
00:27:15,599 --> 00:27:19,880
a strategy for a demo for any minority party in Texas.

490
00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:21,519
I mean, one question I do have that's like a

491
00:27:21,599 --> 00:27:23,960
legal question, is like if I mean, they're at ninety

492
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:26,880
five to ninety seven, like they're pretty close to quorum.

493
00:27:27,559 --> 00:27:30,599
If they make quorum, can the Texasupreme Courts throw this

494
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:34,480
out as moot? Like can they we resolve this constitutional

495
00:27:34,559 --> 00:27:35,279
crisis that way?

496
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:41,960
Speaker 4: I don't know. I mean, it seems like if there

497
00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:45,880
are it seems like the theory in this case is

498
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:48,799
that legislators who are not showing up are in so

499
00:27:49,039 --> 00:27:53,920
doing producing a vacancy. And it doesn't seem like that

500
00:27:54,279 --> 00:27:57,680
goes away just because other legislators have shown up. I mean,

501
00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:00,319
it seems pretty clear to me that not show up

502
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:02,960
for the purpose of denying the House of quorum does

503
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:06,480
not constitute an abandonment of office. But I'm not sure

504
00:28:06,519 --> 00:28:10,160
that it would be mooted just because other legislators show.

505
00:28:10,039 --> 00:28:14,119
Speaker 1: Up, although you know, history suggests that once they have

506
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:16,799
a quorum, the other members show up too, right, and

507
00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:21,039
that right that it would be harder to make the

508
00:28:21,079 --> 00:28:23,440
case that they've abandoned their office, if they have shown

509
00:28:23,559 --> 00:28:26,720
back up to the legislature to do the work.

510
00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:28,680
Speaker 2: Right, like I think probably, if they make quorum, the

511
00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:32,880
people who are facing expulsion from office might make haste

512
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,559
in return. Yeah. Also, though they might want a ruling

513
00:28:35,559 --> 00:28:37,200
on this, they might want to force the courts to

514
00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:41,079
So I think there's so much unresolved that you know,

515
00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:42,759
we're not going to get an answer for several weeks.

516
00:28:42,799 --> 00:28:44,599
We're not going to get maps for several weeks, it seems,

517
00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:46,960
unless by some miracle they make quorum on Friday. So

518
00:28:47,799 --> 00:28:50,839
you know, yeah, this is going to be much more

519
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:51,640
extended than we thought.

520
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:53,359
Speaker 1: I think, okay, but I want to I want to

521
00:28:53,519 --> 00:28:55,960
lay out you know, there's there's the legal precedent in

522
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:57,839
what happens on there, but there's also just the like

523
00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:01,960
practicality of getting this these new maps passed. Right, So

524
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:04,920
if correct me if I'm wrong here, But if the

525
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:10,960
lawmakers are thrown out the quorum, the threshold to meet

526
00:29:11,039 --> 00:29:14,240
quorum is two thirds of the members of the body,

527
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:17,680
not two thirds of the one hundred and fifty constitutionally

528
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:21,359
created House seats. So Democrats would I mean Republicans would

529
00:29:21,359 --> 00:29:24,400
be able to meet quorum with a smaller with a

530
00:29:24,519 --> 00:29:27,160
number of Democrats kicked out, which would mean they could

531
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:28,839
come back together, pass out these.

532
00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:31,000
Speaker 3: Maps, and you know, maybe the agenda.

533
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:32,839
Speaker 1: Maybe we go through this whole process again with the Senate.

534
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:34,640
We would have to see, but essentially, yeah, past the

535
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:38,680
rest of the agenda that they have through, then Abbott

536
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:43,440
would be expected to call a special election. Those members

537
00:29:43,519 --> 00:29:46,599
who were kicked out could run again and essentially win

538
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,640
their seats back. So we're essentially like there is a

539
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:52,880
world where we sort of returned to the status quo,

540
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:56,759
except the bills that are up in the special session

541
00:29:56,839 --> 00:30:00,160
have passed during that brief period of time where we

542
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:04,920
have fewer or maybe even no Democrats in the Texas House.

543
00:30:05,079 --> 00:30:07,160
Speaker 2: Right, we come back in twenty twenty seven with the

544
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:09,640
same people people essentially.

545
00:30:09,359 --> 00:30:11,920
Speaker 1: Exactly, except they're all a little bit more mad at

546
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:13,039
each other than they were before.

547
00:30:13,119 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 3: I think, arguably a lot more mad. I mean, I

548
00:30:15,039 --> 00:30:15,759
do think like.

549
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:19,480
Speaker 2: This is like a real this whole episode, whatever happens,

550
00:30:19,559 --> 00:30:22,960
is such a blow to whatever shreds of bipartisanship were left.

551
00:30:23,079 --> 00:30:28,359
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, well, and it's not just bipartisanship bipartisanship to

552
00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:30,519
it it seems like there are all these little things

553
00:30:30,559 --> 00:30:36,119
that are happening where the ability of the people of

554
00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:41,160
Texas to choose their elected representation are being limited. Right, So,

555
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:46,079
I mean the maps themselves are an example of this. Right,

556
00:30:46,119 --> 00:30:48,839
they are taking this step, you know, outside the norm.

557
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,920
It's happened one time before, but to essentially draw seats

558
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,279
that will determine who will win the seats in advance.

559
00:30:54,599 --> 00:30:58,119
You know, this, you know is nothing completely new, but

560
00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,920
it's a more extreme step. In order to do that,

561
00:31:01,359 --> 00:31:07,240
you have, you know, this idea of removing democratically elected

562
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:13,720
democrats low capital D democratically elected capital D democrats from

563
00:31:13,799 --> 00:31:18,440
office for doing something that you know, I suspect that

564
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:23,799
the people that put them in office support. Right, Separate

565
00:31:23,839 --> 00:31:26,680
from that, completely unrelated to this whole fight, we have

566
00:31:26,759 --> 00:31:29,279
this parallel process that's going on right now in the

567
00:31:29,279 --> 00:31:35,160
Republican Party where essentially the State Republican Executive Committee, a

568
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:38,920
small committee of you know, elected but you know, very

569
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:42,759
activist wing people of the party are you know, pursuing

570
00:31:42,799 --> 00:31:48,480
the power to censure members of their own party. In

571
00:31:48,519 --> 00:31:51,880
the In the Texas House, Republican members who did not

572
00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:54,559
align with some of the priorities of the party with

573
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:57,400
the goal of banning them from being able to be

574
00:31:57,559 --> 00:32:02,119
on the primary ballot in twenty twenty six, you know,

575
00:32:02,559 --> 00:32:06,480
essentially then again, a small committee of people deciding to

576
00:32:06,519 --> 00:32:09,640
disqualify people who have been elected by the people in

577
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:13,640
their district to represent them. It just it just seems

578
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:17,640
to me like there are a lot of aspects of

579
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:19,880
democracy that are not looking real great right now.

580
00:32:21,039 --> 00:32:22,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I think a lot of this is.

581
00:32:25,039 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 2: Like sort of walking us towards very very shaky ground.

582
00:32:28,119 --> 00:32:31,400
And like, you know, to have a governor who's a

583
00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:34,400
former Supreme Court justice, a former Attorney general by all

584
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:37,759
of respects, like a very smart lawyer, you know, even

585
00:32:37,839 --> 00:32:42,200
just like tempt the court with this legal argument. It's

586
00:32:43,039 --> 00:32:45,559
it's a new I don't know, it's a new chapter

587
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:47,440
we're in. I mean, David, like when you look at

588
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:51,279
this in terms of like the where we're gonna where

589
00:32:51,319 --> 00:32:54,519
like our democracy is going to be when this all resolves, Like,

590
00:32:55,079 --> 00:32:57,519
what's your diagnosis.

591
00:32:58,319 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 4: I would say, it's it's pretty bleak. I Mean, we've

592
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:04,759
talked a lot about the violations of the state constitution

593
00:33:05,039 --> 00:33:08,119
that would be created if courts were to accept these

594
00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:10,839
theories that the governor and the Attorney General are advancing,

595
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:12,519
But I think it's worth taking a step back and

596
00:33:12,559 --> 00:33:16,160
focusing on the objective that this is all directed to war.

597
00:33:17,079 --> 00:33:20,680
We're talking here about a very unusual mid decade redistricting

598
00:33:20,839 --> 00:33:24,279
that pretty clearly is only happening in order to gerrymander

599
00:33:24,759 --> 00:33:29,640
the House map. Mid decade redistricting is historically really have

600
00:33:29,799 --> 00:33:33,680
not happened when the same party drew the initial map.

601
00:33:35,359 --> 00:33:41,079
That's what's really unusual here. And on top of that,

602
00:33:41,559 --> 00:33:44,839
they did so with a stated objective of reducing the

603
00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:49,319
representation of communities of color, likely making this redistricting plan

604
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:53,640
illegal under federal law as a racial gerrymander. Before you

605
00:33:53,720 --> 00:33:57,400
even get to the potential violations of the Voting Rights Act. Now,

606
00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,440
it has to be said that the US Supreme Court

607
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:03,559
has contribut a lot to the perilous state that American

608
00:34:03,599 --> 00:34:05,960
democracy is in. I would really lay a lot of

609
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:08,119
the blame at the feet of the US Supreme Court

610
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:12,960
fundamentally for blessing partisan gerrymandering in twenty nineteen, saying that

611
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:17,519
state legislatures are permitted to engage in any degree of

612
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:21,880
partisan jerrymandering. That really is what opened the floodgates as

613
00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:25,599
we're now seeing. On top of that, though, the Supreme

614
00:34:25,599 --> 00:34:29,679
Court indicated just last week that it is likely to

615
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:32,840
further constrict the protections of the Voting Rights Act, which

616
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:38,880
was the one real protection in federal law restraining partisan gerrymandering.

617
00:34:39,079 --> 00:34:41,119
If the Supreme Court were to do what a lot

618
00:34:41,119 --> 00:34:44,280
of experts expect it will do in this Louisiana case

619
00:34:44,559 --> 00:34:47,639
that has just been scheduled for reargument in mid October,

620
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:52,480
that would dismantle the one really substantial remaining check on

621
00:34:52,559 --> 00:34:58,679
the ability of in particular Southern legislatures to thoroughly gerrymander

622
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:04,559
maps to deny uh, members of minority groups any political representation.

623
00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:08,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, and we also just started this scenario

624
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:12,559
now where it really just feels like maximum political warfare, right,

625
00:35:12,639 --> 00:35:15,559
and and how do we get to a point where

626
00:35:15,599 --> 00:35:16,880
that's no longer the case?

627
00:35:17,039 --> 00:35:17,199
Speaker 3: You know?

628
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:21,320
Speaker 1: Uh, before we right before we started recording this, Ken

629
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:24,159
Paxton put out a press release where he's saying, he's,

630
00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:28,239
you know, asking a local district judge to jail back

631
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:33,960
to O'Rourke for uh, for for what, defying a court

632
00:35:34,079 --> 00:35:37,440
order to stop fundraising for the Democrats as a part

633
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:41,800
of this quorum break. He quoted a quote from O'Rourke

634
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,840
at a Fort Worth rally on Saturday, where where O'Rourke said,

635
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:47,880
you know, there are no refs in this game. Fuck

636
00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:50,960
the rules, right, and.

637
00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:51,880
Speaker 3: Well we're getting kicked off Apple podcast.

638
00:35:52,079 --> 00:35:56,079
Speaker 1: That's fine, people, people cut Joe Rogan is like the

639
00:35:56,159 --> 00:36:00,239
most popular. Yeah, But I mean, you know, one of

640
00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:02,719
the things you have heard from Democrats in response to

641
00:36:02,760 --> 00:36:06,360
this redistricting plan is like, it's time to stop playing nice.

642
00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:09,480
It's you know, it's time to We're gonna Rea. We're

643
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:11,920
gonna do this what the Republicans are doing in Texas,

644
00:36:11,960 --> 00:36:13,679
we're gonna do in California, and we're gonna do in

645
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:18,119
New York. And it seems like each side keeps just

646
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:21,000
wanting to kind of up the game out out of

647
00:36:21,039 --> 00:36:24,119
what they view as an existential danger created by the

648
00:36:24,159 --> 00:36:26,400
other side in a way that it just is very

649
00:36:26,400 --> 00:36:29,519
hard for me to figure out what the sort of

650
00:36:29,639 --> 00:36:31,519
release valve is for all this pressure.

651
00:36:32,079 --> 00:36:34,599
Speaker 2: And I think, I mean, we have a story today

652
00:36:34,679 --> 00:36:36,719
in which I accurately describe Bill Clements as the first

653
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:39,239
Republican governor of Texas, in which we talk about like,

654
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:41,559
how in you know, I think this is true? In

655
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:43,840
I think blue states are, like you said, are pushing

656
00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:47,159
this like maximum politics idea.

657
00:36:47,519 --> 00:36:48,440
Speaker 3: Texas is as well.

658
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:52,400
Speaker 2: And Texas just has so much Republican power, right, And

659
00:36:52,639 --> 00:36:56,800
every branch of government in Texas is so securely dominated

660
00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:59,840
by the furthest reaches of the party that it's like,

661
00:37:00,639 --> 00:37:03,280
you know, I think it's part of why it feels

662
00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:04,880
so extreme in one direction here.

663
00:37:05,079 --> 00:37:06,719
Speaker 3: And we hear this from Republicans a lot.

664
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,239
Speaker 2: Well, you know, Illinois does it too, and New York

665
00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:11,880
does it too, and like, like you said, absolutely both

666
00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:14,679
sides have pushed each other to the edge, but we

667
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:16,679
just have such complete dominance of one party here.

668
00:37:16,960 --> 00:37:19,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, But I mean it is worth thinking about how

669
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:22,079
I think I made this point last week too, But

670
00:37:22,119 --> 00:37:26,679
it's worth making again that the legislative session started this

671
00:37:26,800 --> 00:37:31,320
year with a robust debate about shared governance and the

672
00:37:32,039 --> 00:37:36,800
power and allowing Democrats to be a part of the process, right.

673
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:40,800
And you know, the person who won the House Speakers

674
00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:45,840
race was won that race with the support of Democrats.

675
00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:49,960
And now here we are eight months later, and those

676
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:54,159
same Democrats are being you know, the attempts are being

677
00:37:54,199 --> 00:37:56,840
made to forcefully remove them from office.

678
00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:59,599
Speaker 2: Rip those vice chairmanships that they fought so hard for.

679
00:37:59,679 --> 00:38:01,599
I mean, I mean, I just do think that like

680
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:03,360
this when I say, like this is sort of the

681
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:05,880
end of any bipartisanship, Like like you said, eight months ago,

682
00:38:06,079 --> 00:38:09,039
we were saying, you know, oh, you know, should they

683
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:11,920
should Democrats be chairs of committees in the House or

684
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,480
just vice chairs of committees? And where are we gonna

685
00:38:14,599 --> 00:38:16,920
you know, And now it's like they're gonna be stripped

686
00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:18,719
of their almost certainly right, there's all of talk about

687
00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:22,000
they're gonna be stripe stripped of their vice chairmanships that era.

688
00:38:22,159 --> 00:38:24,199
I think we will look back quaintly on that as

689
00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:27,119
like you know, the time when Democrats held chairs in

690
00:38:27,199 --> 00:38:30,119
the Texas Legislature. I mean, I think the House is

691
00:38:30,159 --> 00:38:31,639
gonna look a lot more like the Senate in terms

692
00:38:31,679 --> 00:38:37,079
of just like mono party dominance. And you know a

693
00:38:37,079 --> 00:38:39,199
lot of Republicans say, like that's overdue. We've been too

694
00:38:39,599 --> 00:38:40,199
too cautious.

695
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:44,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, absolutely, I mean, David, do you let's let's

696
00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:51,079
talk about your democratic and constitutional theory part of your uh,

697
00:38:51,159 --> 00:38:54,920
your areas of research. Do you do you see do

698
00:38:55,639 --> 00:38:59,159
you agree with our assessment? Do you see any opportunity

699
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:02,880
here to to cool the temperature? In any way.

700
00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:06,920
Speaker 4: Well, I think one of the tragedies here is that

701
00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:08,840
there is going to be a cycle of tit for

702
00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:14,679
tat where states with democratic legislatures are understandably going to

703
00:39:14,679 --> 00:39:17,239
feel that they have to respond. If you know your

704
00:39:17,239 --> 00:39:20,679
game theory, you know that you're just encouraging more bad

705
00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:23,639
behavior on the other side if you don't have a

706
00:39:23,679 --> 00:39:29,320
proportional response. So I think, you know, whereas historically, blue

707
00:39:29,320 --> 00:39:32,960
states really had a lot more interest in creating independent

708
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:40,199
redistricting commissions and developing other state law constraints on partisan jerrymandering.

709
00:39:40,639 --> 00:39:43,840
For example, California has an independent commission. New York has

710
00:39:44,519 --> 00:39:49,440
state constitutional constraints on partisan jerrymandering. I think there's going

711
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:52,559
to be a lot of pressure for backsliding in those

712
00:39:53,039 --> 00:39:56,000
blue states on these issues, which you know, might be

713
00:39:56,159 --> 00:39:59,880
necessary from a game theory perspective in the situation that

714
00:40:00,039 --> 00:40:03,760
we're in, but is a sad thing for our democracy

715
00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:10,400
in the aggregate when progress toward improving the districting process

716
00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:13,000
is going to be rolled back as a result of

717
00:40:13,039 --> 00:40:16,039
these gerrymanders that are taking place.

718
00:40:17,480 --> 00:40:19,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, nobody's coming out of this un scathes.

719
00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:23,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly. Well, something tells me we'll be talking about

720
00:40:23,239 --> 00:40:25,199
this next week. Yeah too, but I think this is

721
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:27,880
a good place to stop right now. Thank you David

722
00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:30,760
for joining us in providing your insight. Thank you Eleanor,

723
00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:33,159
and thank you to our producers Robin Chris. We will

724
00:40:33,199 --> 00:40:34,800
talk to y'all next week.

